| [ |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 113.28\nB) 118.22\nC) 110.81\nD) 120.70", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 113.28", |
| "B) 118.22", |
| "C) 110.81", |
| "D) 120.70" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "118.22", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 70.22\nB) 52.49\nC) 58.40\nD) 40.68", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 70.22", |
| "B) 52.49", |
| "C) 58.40", |
| "D) 40.68" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "58.40", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 337.47\nB) 252.49\nC) 286.48\nD) 303.48", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 337.47", |
| "B) 252.49", |
| "C) 286.48", |
| "D) 303.48" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "303.48", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 5.36%\nB) 3.22%\nC) 6.08%\nD) 7.50%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.36%", |
| "B) 3.22%", |
| "C) 6.08%", |
| "D) 7.50%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "5.36%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20220515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2022-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) 2.67%\nB) -3.73%\nC) -10.13%\nD) 9.06%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.67%", |
| "B) -3.73%", |
| "C) -10.13%", |
| "D) 9.06%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-3.73%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20221115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2022-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) 4.18%\nB) -39.20%\nC) -28.36%\nD) -60.89%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.18%", |
| "B) -39.20%", |
| "C) -28.36%", |
| "D) -60.89%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-28.36%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 7.68%\nB) 6.82%\nC) 3.41%\nD) 5.97%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.68%", |
| "B) 6.82%", |
| "C) 3.41%", |
| "D) 5.97%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "5.97%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 150,825K\nB) 155,186K\nC) 146,464K\nD) 142,102K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 150,825K", |
| "B) 155,186K", |
| "C) 146,464K", |
| "D) 142,102K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "150,825K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20220215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2022-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) 79.86%\nB) 51.38%\nC) -5.57%\nD) -34.05%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 79.86%", |
| "B) 51.38%", |
| "C) -5.57%", |
| "D) -34.05%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "51.38%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) $73,468M\nB) $75,791M\nC) $78,114M\nD) $85,083M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $73,468M", |
| "B) $75,791M", |
| "C) $78,114M", |
| "D) $85,083M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$78,114M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20220815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS5", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.83%\nB) 3.37%\nC) 1.52%\nD) 2.91%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.83%", |
| "B) 3.37%", |
| "C) 1.52%", |
| "D) 2.91%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.91%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 23.58%\nB) 46.74%\nC) 31.30%\nD) 0.41%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 23.58%", |
| "B) 46.74%", |
| "C) 31.30%", |
| "D) 0.41%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "23.58%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20221115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) 3,653.35\nB) 3,991.73\nC) 4,668.49\nD) 5,006.88", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,653.35", |
| "B) 3,991.73", |
| "C) 4,668.49", |
| "D) 5,006.88" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3,991.73", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 4.43%\nB) -0.16%\nC) 9.01%\nD) 13.60%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.43%", |
| "B) -0.16%", |
| "C) 9.01%", |
| "D) 13.60%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "9.01%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20220215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2022-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) -5.74%\nB) 20.22%\nC) 0.75%\nD) 13.73%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -5.74%", |
| "B) 20.22%", |
| "C) 0.75%", |
| "D) 13.73%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "13.73%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 1,557K\nB) 1,450K\nC) 1,771K\nD) 1,343K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,557K", |
| "B) 1,450K", |
| "C) 1,771K", |
| "D) 1,343K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1,557K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) -23.44%\nB) -11.80%\nC) 23.13%\nD) -0.15%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -23.44%", |
| "B) -11.80%", |
| "C) 23.13%", |
| "D) -0.15%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-11.80%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) +1.04pp\nB) -0.73pp\nC) +0.60pp\nD) +1.93pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +1.04pp", |
| "B) -0.73pp", |
| "C) +0.60pp", |
| "D) +1.93pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.60pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 59.18%\nB) 64.17%\nC) 61.05%\nD) 62.30%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 59.18%", |
| "B) 64.17%", |
| "C) 61.05%", |
| "D) 62.30%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "62.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.53%\nB) 10.10%\nC) 19.25%\nD) 14.67%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.53%", |
| "B) 10.10%", |
| "C) 19.25%", |
| "D) 14.67%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "5.53%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) $19,249B\nB) $17,916B\nC) $19,915B\nD) $16,584B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $19,249B", |
| "B) $17,916B", |
| "C) $19,915B", |
| "D) $16,584B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$17,916B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) -3.93%\nB) 4.44%\nC) 1.65%\nD) 7.23%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.93%", |
| "B) 4.44%", |
| "C) 1.65%", |
| "D) 7.23%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.65%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.09%\nB) 18.12%\nC) 14.36%\nD) 10.60%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.09%", |
| "B) 18.12%", |
| "C) 14.36%", |
| "D) 10.60%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "10.60%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.26%\nB) 0.99%\nC) -7.53%\nD) -3.27%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.26%", |
| "B) 0.99%", |
| "C) -7.53%", |
| "D) -3.27%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "5.26%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20221115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2022-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-06.)\n\nA) 9.81%\nB) 7.40%\nC) 8.61%\nD) 6.20%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.81%", |
| "B) 7.40%", |
| "C) 8.61%", |
| "D) 6.20%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "7.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20220815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.71%\nB) 2.69%\nC) 3.20%\nD) 4.73%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.71%", |
| "B) 2.69%", |
| "C) 3.20%", |
| "D) 4.73%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.20%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 8.59%\nB) 3.72%\nC) 5.67%\nD) 6.64%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.59%", |
| "B) 3.72%", |
| "C) 5.67%", |
| "D) 6.64%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.64%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 1,424K\nB) 1,623K\nC) 1,722K\nD) 1,325K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,424K", |
| "B) 1,623K", |
| "C) 1,722K", |
| "D) 1,325K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1,424K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20220215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.0113\nB) 1.1363\nC) 1.1863\nD) 1.0863", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.0113", |
| "B) 1.1363", |
| "C) 1.1863", |
| "D) 1.0863" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.1363", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20220815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS30", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) 2.79%\nB) 2.49%\nC) 3.10%\nD) 2.18%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.79%", |
| "B) 2.49%", |
| "C) 3.10%", |
| "D) 2.18%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20220815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-06.)\n\nA) 5.51%\nB) 4.75%\nC) 6.26%\nD) 5.13%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.51%", |
| "B) 4.75%", |
| "C) 6.26%", |
| "D) 5.13%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "5.13%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) $659,458M\nB) $693,132M\nC) $625,784M\nD) $726,806M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $659,458M", |
| "B) $693,132M", |
| "C) $625,784M", |
| "D) $726,806M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$659,458M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) $-67,584M\nB) $-84,685M\nC) $-73,284M\nD) $-101,786M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-67,584M", |
| "B) $-84,685M", |
| "C) $-73,284M", |
| "D) $-101,786M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$-84,685M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20220215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) 112.8410\nB) 110.0420\nC) 115.6400\nD) 119.8385", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 112.8410", |
| "B) 110.0420", |
| "C) 115.6400", |
| "D) 119.8385" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "115.6400", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 9.80%\nB) 3.52%\nC) 6.66%\nD) 12.94%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.80%", |
| "B) 3.52%", |
| "C) 6.66%", |
| "D) 12.94%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "12.94%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 1,857K\nB) 2,058K\nC) 1,757K\nD) 1,656K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,857K", |
| "B) 2,058K", |
| "C) 1,757K", |
| "D) 1,656K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1,857K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 95.71\nB) 101.33\nC) 106.96\nD) 91.95", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 95.71", |
| "B) 101.33", |
| "C) 106.96", |
| "D) 91.95" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "101.33", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20220815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2022-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) 99.71%\nB) 12.50%\nC) 41.57%\nD) -16.57%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 99.71%", |
| "B) 12.50%", |
| "C) 41.57%", |
| "D) -16.57%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "41.57%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 44.02\nB) 51.11\nC) 79.47\nD) 58.20", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 44.02", |
| "B) 51.11", |
| "C) 79.47", |
| "D) 58.20" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "58.20", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 6.16%\nB) 17.39%\nC) 9.90%\nD) -1.33%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.16%", |
| "B) 17.39%", |
| "C) 9.90%", |
| "D) -1.33%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "6.16%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) -0.54pp\nB) -2.20pp\nC) -7.17pp\nD) -5.51pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.54pp", |
| "B) -2.20pp", |
| "C) -7.17pp", |
| "D) -5.51pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.20pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20221115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "ICSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-06.)\n\nA) 965,890\nB) 1,343,835\nC) 210,000\nD) 587,945", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 965,890", |
| "B) 1,343,835", |
| "C) 210,000", |
| "D) 587,945" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "210,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.86%\nB) 3.92%\nC) 9.20%\nD) 6.03%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.86%", |
| "B) 3.92%", |
| "C) 9.20%", |
| "D) 6.03%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.03%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20220815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) 4,297.14\nB) 3,950.29\nC) 4,990.84\nD) 3,256.59", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4,297.14", |
| "B) 3,950.29", |
| "C) 4,990.84", |
| "D) 3,256.59" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4,297.14", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) -3.66%\nB) 1.91%\nC) 10.26%\nD) -6.44%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.66%", |
| "B) 1.91%", |
| "C) 10.26%", |
| "D) -6.44%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.91%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 106.05\nB) 109.26\nC) 112.47\nD) 117.28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 106.05", |
| "B) 109.26", |
| "C) 112.47", |
| "D) 117.28" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "112.47", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 111.85\nB) 119.20\nC) 106.35\nD) 115.53", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 111.85", |
| "B) 119.20", |
| "C) 106.35", |
| "D) 115.53" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "115.53", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 17.11%\nB) 12.57%\nC) 21.64%\nD) 26.18%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 17.11%", |
| "B) 12.57%", |
| "C) 21.64%", |
| "D) 26.18%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "17.11%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 8.90%\nB) 3.20%\nC) 0.35%\nD) 6.05%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.90%", |
| "B) 3.20%", |
| "C) 0.35%", |
| "D) 6.05%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.20%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20220215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2022-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) -6.89%\nB) 9.38%\nC) 1.25%\nD) 17.52%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -6.89%", |
| "B) 9.38%", |
| "C) 1.25%", |
| "D) 17.52%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.25%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 306.07\nB) 284.22\nC) 320.63\nD) 298.79", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 306.07", |
| "B) 284.22", |
| "C) 320.63", |
| "D) 298.79" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "298.79", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20220815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2022-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) -3.82%\nB) -10.69%\nC) 3.04%\nD) -24.42%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.82%", |
| "B) -10.69%", |
| "C) 3.04%", |
| "D) -24.42%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-3.82%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) -19.94%\nB) -3.95%\nC) 20.02%\nD) 4.04%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -19.94%", |
| "B) -3.95%", |
| "C) 20.02%", |
| "D) 4.04%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-3.95%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) $-69,822M\nB) $-48,750M\nC) $-62,798M\nD) $-76,846M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-69,822M", |
| "B) $-48,750M", |
| "C) $-62,798M", |
| "D) $-76,846M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$-62,798M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 326.17\nB) 248.05\nC) 313.15\nD) 287.11", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 326.17", |
| "B) 248.05", |
| "C) 313.15", |
| "D) 287.11" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "287.11", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 7.37%\nB) 9.25%\nC) 13.00%\nD) 5.49%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.37%", |
| "B) 9.25%", |
| "C) 13.00%", |
| "D) 5.49%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "7.37%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) -2.07pp\nB) +2.10pp\nC) +0.71pp\nD) +3.49pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.07pp", |
| "B) +2.10pp", |
| "C) +0.71pp", |
| "D) +3.49pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "+2.10pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.09%\nB) 10.95%\nC) 5.43%\nD) -2.85%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.09%", |
| "B) 10.95%", |
| "C) 5.43%", |
| "D) -2.85%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "5.43%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 6.31%\nB) 10.37%\nC) 9.56%\nD) 7.94%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.31%", |
| "B) 10.37%", |
| "C) 9.56%", |
| "D) 7.94%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "7.94%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) +2.30pp\nB) +5.04pp\nC) +0.93pp\nD) -0.44pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +2.30pp", |
| "B) +5.04pp", |
| "C) +0.93pp", |
| "D) -0.44pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "+2.30pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 0.41%\nB) 3.20%\nC) 5.99%\nD) 11.56%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.41%", |
| "B) 3.20%", |
| "C) 5.99%", |
| "D) 11.56%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.20%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20221115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "T10Y2Y", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) -0.13pp\nB) -0.79pp\nC) -0.57pp\nD) -1.24pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.13pp", |
| "B) -0.79pp", |
| "C) -0.57pp", |
| "D) -1.24pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.57pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) $-74,062M\nB) $-52,753M\nC) $-59,856M\nD) $-66,959M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-74,062M", |
| "B) $-52,753M", |
| "C) $-59,856M", |
| "D) $-66,959M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$-66,959M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 101.10\nB) 97.33\nC) 104.86\nD) 91.69", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 101.10", |
| "B) 97.33", |
| "C) 104.86", |
| "D) 91.69" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "101.10", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20221115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) 6.6427\nB) 7.0440\nC) 7.7128\nD) 7.3115", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.6427", |
| "B) 7.0440", |
| "C) 7.7128", |
| "D) 7.3115" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "7.0440", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 230.44\nB) 267.48\nC) 252.66\nD) 237.84", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 230.44", |
| "B) 267.48", |
| "C) 252.66", |
| "D) 237.84" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "252.66", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 12.47%\nB) 15.77%\nC) -0.75%\nD) 9.16%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12.47%", |
| "B) 15.77%", |
| "C) -0.75%", |
| "D) 9.16%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "9.16%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 21.50%\nB) 13.10%\nC) 8.89%\nD) 17.30%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 21.50%", |
| "B) 13.10%", |
| "C) 8.89%", |
| "D) 17.30%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "21.50%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 153.44\nB) 141.16\nC) 149.35\nD) 137.07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 153.44", |
| "B) 141.16", |
| "C) 149.35", |
| "D) 137.07" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "141.16", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 0.68%\nB) -11.64%\nC) 6.84%\nD) 19.16%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.68%", |
| "B) -11.64%", |
| "C) 6.84%", |
| "D) 19.16%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "6.84%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20220215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2022-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) 9.71%\nB) 0.88%\nC) 7.50%\nD) 3.09%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.71%", |
| "B) 0.88%", |
| "C) 7.50%", |
| "D) 3.09%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.09%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20221115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2022-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) -14.76%\nB) -29.78%\nC) -22.27%\nD) 7.78%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -14.76%", |
| "B) -29.78%", |
| "C) -22.27%", |
| "D) 7.78%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-14.76%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 157,949K\nB) 153,362K\nC) 148,775K\nD) 141,894K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 157,949K", |
| "B) 153,362K", |
| "C) 148,775K", |
| "D) 141,894K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "153,362K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20221115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) 20.22\nB) 37.49\nC) 24.54\nD) 28.86", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 20.22", |
| "B) 37.49", |
| "C) 24.54", |
| "D) 28.86" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "24.54", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 15.65%\nB) 9.38%\nC) 6.24%\nD) 10.94%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 15.65%", |
| "B) 9.38%", |
| "C) 6.24%", |
| "D) 10.94%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "10.94%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 15.48%\nB) 20.12%\nC) 6.21%\nD) 24.75%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 15.48%", |
| "B) 20.12%", |
| "C) 6.21%", |
| "D) 24.75%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "15.48%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 290.61\nB) 273.25\nC) 299.29\nD) 247.21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 290.61", |
| "B) 273.25", |
| "C) 299.29", |
| "D) 247.21" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "273.25", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20220515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) 36.31\nB) 14.21\nC) 27.47\nD) 31.89", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 36.31", |
| "B) 14.21", |
| "C) 27.47", |
| "D) 31.89" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "27.47", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 112.15\nB) 127.51\nC) 123.12\nD) 116.54", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 112.15", |
| "B) 127.51", |
| "C) 123.12", |
| "D) 116.54" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "116.54", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 288.27\nB) 264.87\nC) 302.31\nD) 278.91", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 288.27", |
| "B) 264.87", |
| "C) 302.31", |
| "D) 278.91" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "288.27", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.06%\nB) 5.84%\nC) 8.16%\nD) 3.51%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.06%", |
| "B) 5.84%", |
| "C) 8.16%", |
| "D) 3.51%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "5.84%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) +4.26pp\nB) +8.80pp\nC) +1.99pp\nD) -0.28pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +4.26pp", |
| "B) +8.80pp", |
| "C) +1.99pp", |
| "D) -0.28pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "+1.99pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) $73,361M\nB) $81,161M\nC) $69,461M\nD) $75,311M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $73,361M", |
| "B) $81,161M", |
| "C) $69,461M", |
| "D) $75,311M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$75,311M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20220815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) 2.79%\nB) 1.61%\nC) 3.97%\nD) 3.58%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.79%", |
| "B) 1.61%", |
| "C) 3.97%", |
| "D) 3.58%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.79%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 1,926K\nB) 1,735K\nC) 1,830K\nD) 1,640K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,926K", |
| "B) 1,735K", |
| "C) 1,830K", |
| "D) 1,640K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1,735K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 9.50%\nB) 6.61%\nC) 8.54%\nD) 5.65%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.50%", |
| "B) 6.61%", |
| "C) 8.54%", |
| "D) 5.65%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "8.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) $17,385B\nB) $20,278B\nC) $19,555B\nD) $18,108B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $17,385B", |
| "B) $20,278B", |
| "C) $19,555B", |
| "D) $18,108B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$18,108B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20220515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2022-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) -12.83%\nB) 4.31%\nC) -4.26%\nD) 12.89%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -12.83%", |
| "B) 4.31%", |
| "C) -4.26%", |
| "D) 12.89%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-12.83%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 5.19%\nB) 6.70%\nC) 4.44%\nD) 5.94%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.19%", |
| "B) 6.70%", |
| "C) 4.44%", |
| "D) 5.94%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "6.70%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20220215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS5", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.09%\nB) 2.37%\nC) 1.94%\nD) 2.79%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.09%", |
| "B) 2.37%", |
| "C) 1.94%", |
| "D) 2.79%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.94%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 265.19\nB) 298.98\nC) 274.85\nD) 284.50", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 265.19", |
| "B) 298.98", |
| "C) 274.85", |
| "D) 284.50" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "284.50", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 10.19%\nB) 28.69%\nC) 22.52%\nD) -2.15%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10.19%", |
| "B) 28.69%", |
| "C) 22.52%", |
| "D) -2.15%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "10.19%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20220215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CCSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-06.)\n\nA) 8,356,402\nB) 1,637,000\nC) 6,116,601\nD) 3,876,801", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8,356,402", |
| "B) 1,637,000", |
| "C) 6,116,601", |
| "D) 3,876,801" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1,637,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20220815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2022-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) 17.53%\nB) -21.09%\nC) -11.43%\nD) -1.78%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 17.53%", |
| "B) -21.09%", |
| "C) -11.43%", |
| "D) -1.78%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-11.43%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) $84,000M\nB) $71,472M\nC) $78,989M\nD) $76,483M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $84,000M", |
| "B) $71,472M", |
| "C) $78,989M", |
| "D) $76,483M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$76,483M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) -0.50pp\nB) +2.86pp\nC) -2.18pp\nD) -5.54pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.50pp", |
| "B) +2.86pp", |
| "C) -2.18pp", |
| "D) -5.54pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) -1.00%\nB) 11.66%\nC) 24.33%\nD) 20.11%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.00%", |
| "B) 11.66%", |
| "C) 24.33%", |
| "D) 20.11%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "11.66%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20220515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) $140.79/bbl\nB) $123.50/bbl\nC) $114.86/bbl\nD) $88.93/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $140.79/bbl", |
| "B) $123.50/bbl", |
| "C) $114.86/bbl", |
| "D) $88.93/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$114.86/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 105.16\nB) 108.48\nC) 118.46\nD) 113.47", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 105.16", |
| "B) 108.48", |
| "C) 118.46", |
| "D) 113.47" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "113.47", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 134.77\nB) 147.80\nC) 142.59\nD) 126.96", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 134.77", |
| "B) 147.80", |
| "C) 142.59", |
| "D) 126.96" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "134.77", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20220215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) 2.52%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 1.11%\nD) 2.98%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.52%", |
| "B) 1.58%", |
| "C) 1.11%", |
| "D) 2.98%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.58%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) -28.10pp\nB) -22.30pp\nC) -10.70pp\nD) +0.90pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -28.10pp", |
| "B) -22.30pp", |
| "C) -10.70pp", |
| "D) +0.90pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-10.70pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20220515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CCSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-06.)\n\nA) 8,123,252\nB) 3,626,417\nC) 5,874,834\nD) 1,378,000", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8,123,252", |
| "B) 3,626,417", |
| "C) 5,874,834", |
| "D) 1,378,000" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1,378,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20221115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DJIA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2022-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) -6.91%\nB) 7.58%\nC) 14.82%\nD) -28.65%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -6.91%", |
| "B) 7.58%", |
| "C) 14.82%", |
| "D) -28.65%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-6.91%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 8.60%\nB) 6.24%\nC) 5.45%\nD) 7.81%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.60%", |
| "B) 6.24%", |
| "C) 5.45%", |
| "D) 7.81%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "6.24%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.73%\nB) -1.38%\nC) 3.36%\nD) -3.75%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.73%", |
| "B) -1.38%", |
| "C) 3.36%", |
| "D) -3.75%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.36%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20220215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) 0.85%\nB) 1.30%\nC) 1.75%\nD) 0.40%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.85%", |
| "B) 1.30%", |
| "C) 1.75%", |
| "D) 0.40%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.21%\nB) 4.43%\nC) 6.76%\nD) 2.88%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.21%", |
| "B) 4.43%", |
| "C) 6.76%", |
| "D) 2.88%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "5.21%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $5,582M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $4,300,000M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $6,200,000M", |
| "B) $5,582M", |
| "C) $2,400,000M", |
| "D) $4,300,000M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$5,582M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) -11.45%\nB) 11.95%\nC) -3.65%\nD) -19.25%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -11.45%", |
| "B) 11.95%", |
| "C) -3.65%", |
| "D) -19.25%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-3.65%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) +4.33pp\nB) -1.33pp\nC) +5.74pp\nD) +1.50pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +4.33pp", |
| "B) -1.33pp", |
| "C) +5.74pp", |
| "D) +1.50pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "+1.50pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 59.90%\nB) 64.99%\nC) 57.87%\nD) 62.95%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 59.90%", |
| "B) 64.99%", |
| "C) 57.87%", |
| "D) 62.95%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "59.90%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) $28.17/hr\nB) $27.40/hr\nC) $26.63/hr\nD) $28.93/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $28.17/hr", |
| "B) $27.40/hr", |
| "C) $26.63/hr", |
| "D) $28.93/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$27.40/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20220515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) 112.27\nB) 124.06\nC) 120.69\nD) 115.64", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 112.27", |
| "B) 124.06", |
| "C) 120.69", |
| "D) 115.64" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "120.69", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 287.69\nB) 312.96\nC) 294.01\nD) 300.32", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 287.69", |
| "B) 312.96", |
| "C) 294.01", |
| "D) 300.32" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "300.32", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) $21,720B\nB) $26,043B\nC) $18,837B\nD) $20,278B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $21,720B", |
| "B) $26,043B", |
| "C) $18,837B", |
| "D) $20,278B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$21,720B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) $612,013M\nB) $638,101M\nC) $585,924M\nD) $664,189M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $612,013M", |
| "B) $638,101M", |
| "C) $585,924M", |
| "D) $664,189M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$638,101M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20221115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) 2.93%\nB) 4.67%\nC) 3.80%\nD) 3.37%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.93%", |
| "B) 4.67%", |
| "C) 3.80%", |
| "D) 3.37%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.80%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 333.05\nB) 314.88\nC) 278.54\nD) 296.71", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 333.05", |
| "B) 314.88", |
| "C) 278.54", |
| "D) 296.71" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "296.71", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 60.10%\nB) 62.14%\nC) 58.06%\nD) 65.21%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 60.10%", |
| "B) 62.14%", |
| "C) 58.06%", |
| "D) 65.21%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "60.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) $-102,017M\nB) $-82,157M\nC) $-62,297M\nD) $-95,397M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-102,017M", |
| "B) $-82,157M", |
| "C) $-62,297M", |
| "D) $-95,397M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$-82,157M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.67%\nB) -8.28%\nC) 0.09%\nD) 2.88%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.67%", |
| "B) -8.28%", |
| "C) 0.09%", |
| "D) 2.88%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.09%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 8.80%\nB) 11.14%\nC) 6.45%\nD) 4.11%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.80%", |
| "B) 11.14%", |
| "C) 6.45%", |
| "D) 4.11%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.11%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20220215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-06.)\n\nA) $16,647B\nB) $15,333B\nC) $17,961B\nD) $17,304B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $16,647B", |
| "B) $15,333B", |
| "C) $17,961B", |
| "D) $17,304B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$16,647B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20220215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2022-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-06.)\n\nA) 12.73%\nB) 9.34%\nC) 8.22%\nD) 11.60%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12.73%", |
| "B) 9.34%", |
| "C) 8.22%", |
| "D) 11.60%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "9.34%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20220515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-06.)\n\nA) 5.63%\nB) 4.31%\nC) 5.30%\nD) 4.64%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.63%", |
| "B) 4.31%", |
| "C) 5.30%", |
| "D) 4.64%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "5.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) +0.26pp\nB) +1.14pp\nC) +1.57pp\nD) +0.70pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.26pp", |
| "B) +1.14pp", |
| "C) +1.57pp", |
| "D) +0.70pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.70pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 6.55%\nB) 4.49%\nC) 5.18%\nD) 5.86%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.55%", |
| "B) 4.49%", |
| "C) 5.18%", |
| "D) 5.86%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "6.55%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) $687,842M\nB) $659,847M\nC) $575,863M\nD) $715,837M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $687,842M", |
| "B) $659,847M", |
| "C) $575,863M", |
| "D) $715,837M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$659,847M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 276.29\nB) 223.77\nC) 263.16\nD) 236.90", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 276.29", |
| "B) 223.77", |
| "C) 263.16", |
| "D) 236.90" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "263.16", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 12.09%\nB) 1.44%\nC) 9.43%\nD) 4.10%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12.09%", |
| "B) 1.44%", |
| "C) 9.43%", |
| "D) 4.10%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20220815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2022-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-06.)\n\nA) 10.02%\nB) 12.48%\nC) 11.25%\nD) 8.79%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10.02%", |
| "B) 12.48%", |
| "C) 11.25%", |
| "D) 8.79%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "10.02%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 34.01%\nB) 10.89%\nC) 45.57%\nD) -23.79%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 34.01%", |
| "B) 10.89%", |
| "C) 45.57%", |
| "D) -23.79%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "10.89%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20220515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) 125.1946\nB) 135.0831\nC) 129.1500\nD) 139.0386", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 125.1946", |
| "B) 135.0831", |
| "C) 129.1500", |
| "D) 139.0386" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "129.1500", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 4.75%\nB) 7.06%\nC) 2.45%\nD) 3.60%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.75%", |
| "B) 7.06%", |
| "C) 2.45%", |
| "D) 3.60%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.60%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 60.10%\nB) 62.14%\nC) 57.04%\nD) 64.18%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 60.10%", |
| "B) 62.14%", |
| "C) 57.04%", |
| "D) 64.18%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "60.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20220515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-06.)\n\nA) $15,623B\nB) $17,022B\nC) $14,923B\nD) $18,422B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $15,623B", |
| "B) $17,022B", |
| "C) $14,923B", |
| "D) $18,422B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$17,022B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.77%\nB) 2.43%\nC) 3.60%\nD) 7.12%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.77%", |
| "B) 2.43%", |
| "C) 3.60%", |
| "D) 7.12%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.60%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20220815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DJIA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) 27,606.45\nB) 38,116.43\nC) 29,708.45\nD) 33,912.44", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 27,606.45", |
| "B) 38,116.43", |
| "C) 29,708.45", |
| "D) 33,912.44" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "33,912.44", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 10.47%\nB) 9.08%\nC) 7.69%\nD) 6.30%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10.47%", |
| "B) 9.08%", |
| "C) 7.69%", |
| "D) 6.30%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "10.47%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) $30.23/hr\nB) $27.75/hr\nC) $29.40/hr\nD) $25.27/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $30.23/hr", |
| "B) $27.75/hr", |
| "C) $29.40/hr", |
| "D) $25.27/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$27.75/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) +0.52pp\nB) -1.72pp\nC) +5.01pp\nD) +11.73pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.52pp", |
| "B) -1.72pp", |
| "C) +5.01pp", |
| "D) +11.73pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "+5.01pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 63.55%\nB) 59.18%\nC) 61.05%\nD) 62.30%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 63.55%", |
| "B) 59.18%", |
| "C) 61.05%", |
| "D) 62.30%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "62.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20220815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) 2.72%\nB) 3.65%\nC) 1.79%\nD) 1.33%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.72%", |
| "B) 3.65%", |
| "C) 1.79%", |
| "D) 1.33%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.72%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $5,591M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $2,400,000M", |
| "B) $5,591M", |
| "C) $4,300,000M", |
| "D) $6,200,000M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$5,591M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 108.32\nB) 95.17\nC) 100.81\nD) 104.56", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 108.32", |
| "B) 95.17", |
| "C) 100.81", |
| "D) 104.56" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "100.81", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20220815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) $88.09/bbl\nB) $108.41/bbl\nC) $77.93/bbl\nD) $98.25/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $88.09/bbl", |
| "B) $108.41/bbl", |
| "C) $77.93/bbl", |
| "D) $98.25/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$98.25/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20220515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) 4,008.01\nB) 3,302.71\nC) 2,950.07\nD) 5,065.95", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4,008.01", |
| "B) 3,302.71", |
| "C) 2,950.07", |
| "D) 5,065.95" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4,008.01", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) -0.82%\nB) 4.89%\nC) 10.60%\nD) 13.45%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.82%", |
| "B) 4.89%", |
| "C) 10.60%", |
| "D) 13.45%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.89%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.37pp\nB) +1.75pp\nC) +0.90pp\nD) +2.17pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.37pp", |
| "B) +1.75pp", |
| "C) +0.90pp", |
| "D) +2.17pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.90pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 9.19%\nB) 5.20%\nC) 8.39%\nD) 6.79%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.19%", |
| "B) 5.20%", |
| "C) 8.39%", |
| "D) 6.79%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.79%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20221115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) 139.3600\nB) 153.7609\nC) 129.7594\nD) 148.9606", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 139.3600", |
| "B) 153.7609", |
| "C) 129.7594", |
| "D) 148.9606" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "139.3600", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20220515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DJIA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) 34,415.34\nB) 32,223.42\nC) 30,031.50\nD) 27,839.58", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 34,415.34", |
| "B) 32,223.42", |
| "C) 30,031.50", |
| "D) 27,839.58" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "32,223.42", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20221115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) 5.54%\nB) 3.79%\nC) 4.37%\nD) 3.20%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.54%", |
| "B) 3.79%", |
| "C) 4.37%", |
| "D) 3.20%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4.37%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20220815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2022-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) 121.32%\nB) -54.42%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 33.45%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 121.32%", |
| "B) -54.42%", |
| "C) 4.16%", |
| "D) 33.45%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "33.45%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 3.89%\nB) -8.41%\nC) 22.33%\nD) -2.26%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.89%", |
| "B) -8.41%", |
| "C) 22.33%", |
| "D) -2.26%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.89%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) -29.80pp\nB) -24.50pp\nC) -19.20pp\nD) -13.90pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -29.80pp", |
| "B) -24.50pp", |
| "C) -19.20pp", |
| "D) -13.90pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-24.50pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 16.91%\nB) -1.85%\nC) 7.53%\nD) 10.65%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 16.91%", |
| "B) -1.85%", |
| "C) 7.53%", |
| "D) 10.65%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "7.53%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20221115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-06.)\n\nA) 5.20%\nB) 7.08%\nC) 6.14%\nD) 6.61%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.20%", |
| "B) 7.08%", |
| "C) 6.14%", |
| "D) 6.61%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.61%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 6.29%\nB) 7.82%\nC) 7.05%\nD) 4.75%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.29%", |
| "B) 7.82%", |
| "C) 7.05%", |
| "D) 4.75%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "6.29%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) $16,015B\nB) $17,106B\nC) $18,197B\nD) $15,469B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $16,015B", |
| "B) $17,106B", |
| "C) $18,197B", |
| "D) $15,469B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$17,106B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) 1.40%\nC) 0.08%\nD) 0.96%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.52%", |
| "B) 1.40%", |
| "C) 0.08%", |
| "D) 0.96%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.08%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20220515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) 2.13%\nB) 4.01%\nC) 1.75%\nD) 2.88%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.13%", |
| "B) 4.01%", |
| "C) 1.75%", |
| "D) 2.88%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.88%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20220515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) 2.58%\nB) 3.54%\nC) 3.06%\nD) 1.62%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.58%", |
| "B) 3.54%", |
| "C) 3.06%", |
| "D) 1.62%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.58%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 108.12\nB) 116.96\nC) 112.54\nD) 123.58", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 108.12", |
| "B) 116.96", |
| "C) 112.54", |
| "D) 123.58" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "116.96", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) -4.96pp\nB) +1.87pp\nC) -0.41pp\nD) -7.23pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -4.96pp", |
| "B) +1.87pp", |
| "C) -0.41pp", |
| "D) -7.23pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.41pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) -0.31%\nB) -8.40%\nC) -32.65%\nD) -16.48%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.31%", |
| "B) -8.40%", |
| "C) -32.65%", |
| "D) -16.48%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-16.48%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20221115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2022-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) 13.82%\nB) -15.27%\nC) -44.36%\nD) 42.91%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 13.82%", |
| "B) -15.27%", |
| "C) -44.36%", |
| "D) 42.91%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "13.82%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 144.91\nB) 139.01\nC) 141.96\nD) 147.86", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 144.91", |
| "B) 139.01", |
| "C) 141.96", |
| "D) 147.86" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "139.01", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) $258,029M\nB) $268,384M\nC) $278,740M\nD) $299,451M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $258,029M", |
| "B) $268,384M", |
| "C) $278,740M", |
| "D) $299,451M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$278,740M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) $17,599B\nB) $19,176B\nC) $16,023B\nD) $18,388B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $17,599B", |
| "B) $19,176B", |
| "C) $16,023B", |
| "D) $18,388B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$18,388B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) -1.50pp\nB) +0.18pp\nC) -4.85pp\nD) -6.53pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.50pp", |
| "B) +0.18pp", |
| "C) -4.85pp", |
| "D) -6.53pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.50pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) -1.15pp\nB) +0.20pp\nC) +1.55pp\nD) +1.10pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.15pp", |
| "B) +0.20pp", |
| "C) +1.55pp", |
| "D) +1.10pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20220215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) $77.18/bbl\nB) $84.26/bbl\nC) $98.43/bbl\nD) $112.60/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $77.18/bbl", |
| "B) $84.26/bbl", |
| "C) $98.43/bbl", |
| "D) $112.60/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$98.43/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20220815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) 7.0252\nB) 6.3910\nC) 7.4057\nD) 6.7715", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.0252", |
| "B) 6.3910", |
| "C) 7.4057", |
| "D) 6.7715" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.7715", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 7.47%\nB) 0.83%\nC) 14.10%\nD) 4.15%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.47%", |
| "B) 0.83%", |
| "C) 14.10%", |
| "D) 4.15%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "7.47%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20221115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) 131.43\nB) 123.04\nC) 127.23\nD) 116.75", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 131.43", |
| "B) 123.04", |
| "C) 127.23", |
| "D) 116.75" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "123.04", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20220515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2022-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) 1.51%\nB) 14.79%\nC) 8.15%\nD) 5.93%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.51%", |
| "B) 14.79%", |
| "C) 8.15%", |
| "D) 5.93%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "8.15%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) +5.93pp\nB) -30.13pp\nC) -24.12pp\nD) -12.10pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +5.93pp", |
| "B) -30.13pp", |
| "C) -24.12pp", |
| "D) -12.10pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-12.10pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 2.78%\nC) 3.24%\nD) 3.69%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.33%", |
| "B) 2.78%", |
| "C) 3.24%", |
| "D) 3.69%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.33%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) -8.39%\nB) 10.17%\nC) 16.36%\nD) 22.54%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -8.39%", |
| "B) 10.17%", |
| "C) 16.36%", |
| "D) 22.54%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "10.17%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 66.45%\nB) 60.24%\nC) 62.10%\nD) 63.96%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 66.45%", |
| "B) 60.24%", |
| "C) 62.10%", |
| "D) 63.96%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "62.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) $28.98/hr\nB) $27.24/hr\nC) $25.51/hr\nD) $28.11/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $28.98/hr", |
| "B) $27.24/hr", |
| "C) $25.51/hr", |
| "D) $28.11/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$28.11/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 292.06\nB) 307.10\nC) 317.12\nD) 277.03", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 292.06", |
| "B) 307.10", |
| "C) 317.12", |
| "D) 277.03" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "292.06", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 73.47%\nB) 78.15%\nC) 85.97%\nD) 82.84%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 73.47%", |
| "B) 78.15%", |
| "C) 85.97%", |
| "D) 82.84%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "78.15%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 75.86%\nB) 83.52%\nC) 78.92%\nD) 86.58%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 75.86%", |
| "B) 83.52%", |
| "C) 78.92%", |
| "D) 86.58%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "78.92%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20220215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS30", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) 2.67%\nB) 2.07%\nC) 3.28%\nD) 2.37%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.67%", |
| "B) 2.07%", |
| "C) 3.28%", |
| "D) 2.37%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.37%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20220215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "T10Y2Y", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) +0.47pp\nB) +0.87pp\nC) +0.07pp\nD) +1.07pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.47pp", |
| "B) +0.87pp", |
| "C) +0.07pp", |
| "D) +1.07pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.47pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) $20,938B\nB) $18,601B\nC) $20,159B\nD) $16,265B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $20,938B", |
| "B) $18,601B", |
| "C) $20,159B", |
| "D) $16,265B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$18,601B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20220215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2022-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) 139.85%\nB) -4.45%\nC) 53.27%\nD) -33.31%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 139.85%", |
| "B) -4.45%", |
| "C) 53.27%", |
| "D) -33.31%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "53.27%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20220815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.1186\nB) 0.9436\nC) 1.0686\nD) 1.0186", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.1186", |
| "B) 0.9436", |
| "C) 1.0686", |
| "D) 1.0186" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.0186", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20220515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) 11,662.79\nB) 7,092.78\nC) 8,616.12\nD) 14,709.46", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 11,662.79", |
| "B) 7,092.78", |
| "C) 8,616.12", |
| "D) 14,709.46" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "11,662.79", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 110.24\nB) 113.70\nC) 118.89\nD) 122.35", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 110.24", |
| "B) 113.70", |
| "C) 118.89", |
| "D) 122.35" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "113.70", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.67%\nB) 2.12%\nC) 0.77%\nD) 1.22%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.67%", |
| "B) 2.12%", |
| "C) 0.77%", |
| "D) 1.22%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.77%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 11.82%\nB) 5.82%\nC) 4.63%\nD) 8.22%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 11.82%", |
| "B) 5.82%", |
| "C) 4.63%", |
| "D) 8.22%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "8.22%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20221115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) 11,358.41\nB) 8,501.78\nC) 7,073.47\nD) 14,215.04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 11,358.41", |
| "B) 8,501.78", |
| "C) 7,073.47", |
| "D) 14,215.04" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "11,358.41", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 1,914K\nB) 1,704K\nC) 1,809K\nD) 1,388K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,914K", |
| "B) 1,704K", |
| "C) 1,809K", |
| "D) 1,388K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1,704K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 70.95%\nB) 74.00%\nC) 78.58%\nD) 81.63%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 70.95%", |
| "B) 74.00%", |
| "C) 78.58%", |
| "D) 81.63%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "78.58%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 4.57%\nB) 7.77%\nC) 10.97%\nD) 14.17%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.57%", |
| "B) 7.77%", |
| "C) 10.97%", |
| "D) 14.17%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "14.17%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20220815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2022-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) 7.19%\nB) 9.57%\nC) 0.08%\nD) 2.45%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.19%", |
| "B) 9.57%", |
| "C) 0.08%", |
| "D) 2.45%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "7.19%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20220515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) 0.9170\nB) 1.0420\nC) 1.0920\nD) 0.9920", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.9170", |
| "B) 1.0420", |
| "C) 1.0920", |
| "D) 0.9920" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.0420", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 73.88%\nB) 83.20%\nC) 78.54%\nD) 86.31%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 73.88%", |
| "B) 83.20%", |
| "C) 78.54%", |
| "D) 86.31%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "78.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 63.55%\nB) 59.18%\nC) 61.05%\nD) 62.30%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 63.55%", |
| "B) 59.18%", |
| "C) 61.05%", |
| "D) 62.30%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "62.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) -7.46%\nB) 4.03%\nC) 15.52%\nD) -18.95%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -7.46%", |
| "B) 4.03%", |
| "C) 15.52%", |
| "D) -18.95%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-7.46%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20220815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) 11.18\nB) 19.95\nC) 15.56\nD) 33.11", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 11.18", |
| "B) 19.95", |
| "C) 15.56", |
| "D) 33.11" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "19.95", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 22.25%\nB) 3.47%\nC) 8.17%\nD) -1.22%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 22.25%", |
| "B) 3.47%", |
| "C) 8.17%", |
| "D) -1.22%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "8.17%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 4.10%\nB) 5.38%\nC) 7.95%\nD) 6.03%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.10%", |
| "B) 5.38%", |
| "C) 7.95%", |
| "D) 6.03%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.03%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20220215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DJIA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2022-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) 10.68%\nB) -9.29%\nC) 23.99%\nD) -2.64%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10.68%", |
| "B) -9.29%", |
| "C) 23.99%", |
| "D) -2.64%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "10.68%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 1,836K\nB) 1,531K\nC) 1,633K\nD) 1,226K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,836K", |
| "B) 1,531K", |
| "C) 1,633K", |
| "D) 1,226K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1,531K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 6.41%\nB) 7.02%\nC) 5.18%\nD) 4.57%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.41%", |
| "B) 7.02%", |
| "C) 5.18%", |
| "D) 4.57%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "5.18%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 7.98%\nB) 5.29%\nC) 10.68%\nD) 2.60%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.98%", |
| "B) 5.29%", |
| "C) 10.68%", |
| "D) 2.60%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.60%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20220815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DJIA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2022-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) -4.51%\nB) -11.46%\nC) 16.33%\nD) -25.35%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -4.51%", |
| "B) -11.46%", |
| "C) 16.33%", |
| "D) -25.35%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-4.51%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 1,631K\nB) 1,531K\nC) 1,331K\nD) 1,832K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,631K", |
| "B) 1,531K", |
| "C) 1,331K", |
| "D) 1,832K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1,531K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 11.04%\nB) 8.43%\nC) 7.12%\nD) 4.51%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 11.04%", |
| "B) 8.43%", |
| "C) 7.12%", |
| "D) 4.51%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "7.12%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20220815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) 125.07\nB) 128.71\nC) 115.98\nD) 121.43", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 125.07", |
| "B) 128.71", |
| "C) 115.98", |
| "D) 121.43" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "121.43", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 3.83%\nB) 7.57%\nC) -3.65%\nD) 11.31%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.83%", |
| "B) 7.57%", |
| "C) -3.65%", |
| "D) 11.31%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.83%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20220215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "ICSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-06.)\n\nA) 1,365,198\nB) 234,000\nC) 611,066\nD) 988,132", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,365,198", |
| "B) 234,000", |
| "C) 611,066", |
| "D) 988,132" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "234,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) -8.88pp\nB) -19.12pp\nC) -14.00pp\nD) -3.75pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -8.88pp", |
| "B) -19.12pp", |
| "C) -14.00pp", |
| "D) -3.75pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-14.00pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) +2.02pp\nB) -2.24pp\nC) -3.66pp\nD) +0.60pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +2.02pp", |
| "B) -2.24pp", |
| "C) -3.66pp", |
| "D) +0.60pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.60pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 154,242K\nB) 166,170K\nC) 147,085K\nD) 159,013K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 154,242K", |
| "B) 166,170K", |
| "C) 147,085K", |
| "D) 159,013K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "154,242K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 4.56%\nB) 5.60%\nC) 6.65%\nD) 6.12%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.56%", |
| "B) 5.60%", |
| "C) 6.65%", |
| "D) 6.12%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "5.60%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20221115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS30", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) 4.32%\nB) 2.97%\nC) 3.98%\nD) 3.64%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.32%", |
| "B) 2.97%", |
| "C) 3.98%", |
| "D) 3.64%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.98%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20221115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) $76.79/bbl\nB) $96.95/bbl\nC) $56.62/bbl\nD) $86.87/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $76.79/bbl", |
| "B) $96.95/bbl", |
| "C) $56.62/bbl", |
| "D) $86.87/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$86.87/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) $76,640M\nB) $72,464M\nC) $78,728M\nD) $80,816M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $76,640M", |
| "B) $72,464M", |
| "C) $78,728M", |
| "D) $80,816M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$76,640M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 17.54%\nB) 0.06%\nC) -17.42%\nD) -5.77%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 17.54%", |
| "B) 0.06%", |
| "C) -17.42%", |
| "D) -5.77%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.06%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20220815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) 8,689.22\nB) 10,168.83\nC) 13,128.05\nD) 11,648.44", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8,689.22", |
| "B) 10,168.83", |
| "C) 13,128.05", |
| "D) 11,648.44" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "13,128.05", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 20.21%\nB) 26.06%\nC) -3.15%\nD) 8.53%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 20.21%", |
| "B) 26.06%", |
| "C) -3.15%", |
| "D) 8.53%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "8.53%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20220515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "T10Y2Y", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) +0.30pp\nB) +0.88pp\nC) +0.11pp\nD) +0.69pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.30pp", |
| "B) +0.88pp", |
| "C) +0.11pp", |
| "D) +0.69pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 9.70%\nB) 5.19%\nC) -1.57%\nD) 0.68%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.70%", |
| "B) 5.19%", |
| "C) -1.57%", |
| "D) 0.68%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "5.19%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20220215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) 34.47\nB) 38.85\nC) 25.70\nD) 12.55", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 34.47", |
| "B) 38.85", |
| "C) 25.70", |
| "D) 12.55" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "25.70", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20220515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2022-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) 132.90%\nB) 162.04%\nC) 45.50%\nD) 74.63%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 132.90%", |
| "B) 162.04%", |
| "C) 45.50%", |
| "D) 74.63%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "74.63%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) $5,419M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $4,300,000M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $5,419M", |
| "B) $6,200,000M", |
| "C) $2,400,000M", |
| "D) $4,300,000M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$5,419M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) $17,097B\nB) $21,638B\nC) $24,666B\nD) $18,611B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $17,097B", |
| "B) $21,638B", |
| "C) $24,666B", |
| "D) $18,611B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$21,638B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 23.31%\nB) 5.01%\nC) 9.58%\nD) -4.15%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 23.31%", |
| "B) 5.01%", |
| "C) 9.58%", |
| "D) -4.15%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "9.58%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) $26,010B\nB) $22,941B\nC) $19,872B\nD) $21,406B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $26,010B", |
| "B) $22,941B", |
| "C) $19,872B", |
| "D) $21,406B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$21,406B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20220215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) $92.07/bbl\nB) $112.25/bbl\nC) $85.34/bbl\nD) $105.52/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $92.07/bbl", |
| "B) $112.25/bbl", |
| "C) $85.34/bbl", |
| "D) $105.52/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$92.07/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 267.90\nB) 296.54\nC) 279.36\nD) 313.71", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 267.90", |
| "B) 296.54", |
| "C) 279.36", |
| "D) 313.71" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "296.54", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20220515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2022-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) 124.14%\nB) 8.74%\nC) 66.44%\nD) -20.11%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 124.14%", |
| "B) 8.74%", |
| "C) 66.44%", |
| "D) -20.11%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "66.44%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 57.86%\nB) 65.01%\nC) 62.97%\nD) 59.90%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 57.86%", |
| "B) 65.01%", |
| "C) 62.97%", |
| "D) 59.90%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "59.90%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20220515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2022-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-06.)\n\nA) 9.37%\nB) 8.18%\nC) 11.75%\nD) 6.99%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.37%", |
| "B) 8.18%", |
| "C) 11.75%", |
| "D) 6.99%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "9.37%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 104.72\nB) 100.96\nC) 97.19\nD) 91.54", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 104.72", |
| "B) 100.96", |
| "C) 97.19", |
| "D) 91.54" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "100.96", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20220815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "T10Y2Y", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) -1.01pp\nB) +0.19pp\nC) -0.41pp\nD) -0.01pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.01pp", |
| "B) +0.19pp", |
| "C) -0.41pp", |
| "D) -0.01pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.41pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20220815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-06.)\n\nA) $16,592B\nB) $15,851B\nC) $18,072B\nD) $17,332B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $16,592B", |
| "B) $15,851B", |
| "C) $18,072B", |
| "D) $17,332B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$17,332B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) $19,510B\nB) $18,752B\nC) $21,026B\nD) $17,236B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $19,510B", |
| "B) $18,752B", |
| "C) $21,026B", |
| "D) $17,236B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$19,510B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 282.10\nB) 295.10\nC) 288.60\nD) 308.10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 282.10", |
| "B) 295.10", |
| "C) 288.60", |
| "D) 308.10" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "295.10", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20221115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) $115.28/bbl\nB) $73.32/bbl\nC) $94.30/bbl\nD) $104.79/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $115.28/bbl", |
| "B) $73.32/bbl", |
| "C) $94.30/bbl", |
| "D) $104.79/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$94.30/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.44%\nB) 7.02%\nC) 11.60%\nD) 4.73%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.44%", |
| "B) 7.02%", |
| "C) 11.60%", |
| "D) 4.73%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.73%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 9.41%\nB) 0.88%\nC) 17.94%\nD) 13.68%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.41%", |
| "B) 0.88%", |
| "C) 17.94%", |
| "D) 13.68%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "9.41%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 334.68\nB) 306.28\nC) 277.87\nD) 320.48", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 334.68", |
| "B) 306.28", |
| "C) 277.87", |
| "D) 320.48" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "306.28", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.81%\nB) 5.24%\nC) 3.78%\nD) 4.75%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.81%", |
| "B) 5.24%", |
| "C) 3.78%", |
| "D) 4.75%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.78%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 1,296K\nB) 1,191K\nC) 1,611K\nD) 1,401K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,296K", |
| "B) 1,191K", |
| "C) 1,611K", |
| "D) 1,401K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1,401K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 3.80%\nB) 12.31%\nC) 9.48%\nD) 0.96%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.80%", |
| "B) 12.31%", |
| "C) 9.48%", |
| "D) 0.96%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.80%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 27.87%\nB) 19.97%\nC) 23.92%\nD) 12.07%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 27.87%", |
| "B) 19.97%", |
| "C) 23.92%", |
| "D) 12.07%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "19.97%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) $18,744B\nB) $18,159B\nC) $17,574B\nD) $15,820B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $18,744B", |
| "B) $18,159B", |
| "C) $17,574B", |
| "D) $15,820B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$17,574B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 22.71%\nB) 14.72%\nC) 28.03%\nD) 20.04%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 22.71%", |
| "B) 14.72%", |
| "C) 28.03%", |
| "D) 20.04%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "20.04%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20220815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) 133.1300\nB) 129.8781\nC) 126.6262\nD) 139.6338", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 133.1300", |
| "B) 129.8781", |
| "C) 126.6262", |
| "D) 139.6338" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "133.1300", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) -1.74%\nB) 1.05%\nC) -4.52%\nD) 9.41%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.74%", |
| "B) 1.05%", |
| "C) -4.52%", |
| "D) 9.41%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.05%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) $303,688M\nB) $291,392M\nC) $279,095M\nD) $254,502M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $303,688M", |
| "B) $291,392M", |
| "C) $279,095M", |
| "D) $254,502M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$279,095M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20220815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CCSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-06.)\n\nA) 8,164,760\nB) 5,913,173\nC) 3,661,587\nD) 1,410,000", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8,164,760", |
| "B) 5,913,173", |
| "C) 3,661,587", |
| "D) 1,410,000" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1,410,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 56.70\nB) 71.75\nC) 79.28\nD) 41.65", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 56.70", |
| "B) 71.75", |
| "C) 79.28", |
| "D) 41.65" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "56.70", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20220215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) 109.94\nB) 114.93\nC) 119.92\nD) 123.24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 109.94", |
| "B) 114.93", |
| "C) 119.92", |
| "D) 123.24" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "114.93", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $6,040M\nD) $6,200,000M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $2,400,000M", |
| "B) $4,300,000M", |
| "C) $6,040M", |
| "D) $6,200,000M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$6,040M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20221115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DJIA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) 27,535.32\nB) 31,573.72\nC) 29,554.52\nD) 33,592.92", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 27,535.32", |
| "B) 31,573.72", |
| "C) 29,554.52", |
| "D) 33,592.92" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "33,592.92", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 139.75\nB) 143.44\nC) 128.71\nD) 132.39", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 139.75", |
| "B) 143.44", |
| "C) 128.71", |
| "D) 132.39" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "139.75", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) -7.22pp\nB) -2.30pp\nC) -3.94pp\nD) +0.98pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -7.22pp", |
| "B) -2.30pp", |
| "C) -3.94pp", |
| "D) +0.98pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.30pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20220515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "ICSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-06.)\n\nA) 980,651\nB) 602,826\nC) 225,000\nD) 1,358,477", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 980,651", |
| "B) 602,826", |
| "C) 225,000", |
| "D) 1,358,477" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "225,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 8.71%\nB) -3.27%\nC) -27.23%\nD) -15.25%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.71%", |
| "B) -3.27%", |
| "C) -27.23%", |
| "D) -15.25%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-15.25%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20220815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-08.)\n\nA) $92.24/bbl\nB) $82.47/bbl\nC) $62.92/bbl\nD) $102.01/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $92.24/bbl", |
| "B) $82.47/bbl", |
| "C) $62.92/bbl", |
| "D) $102.01/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$92.24/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 307.33\nB) 291.30\nC) 280.61\nD) 269.92", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 307.33", |
| "B) 291.30", |
| "C) 280.61", |
| "D) 269.92" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "291.30", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) $16,856B\nB) $18,380B\nC) $19,142B\nD) $17,618B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $16,856B", |
| "B) $18,380B", |
| "C) $19,142B", |
| "D) $17,618B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$19,142B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20220515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) 0.62%\nB) 0.17%\nC) 2.43%\nD) 1.07%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.62%", |
| "B) 0.17%", |
| "C) 2.43%", |
| "D) 1.07%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.07%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20220215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) 14,139.76\nB) 9,589.63\nC) 17,173.18\nD) 11,106.34", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 14,139.76", |
| "B) 9,589.63", |
| "C) 17,173.18", |
| "D) 11,106.34" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "14,139.76", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 257.71\nB) 269.55\nC) 293.22\nD) 234.03", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 257.71", |
| "B) 269.55", |
| "C) 293.22", |
| "D) 234.03" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "269.55", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20220215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) 6.8346\nB) 6.0905\nC) 6.3385\nD) 6.5865", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.8346", |
| "B) 6.0905", |
| "C) 6.3385", |
| "D) 6.5865" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "6.3385", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20221115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) 1.0960\nB) 0.8902\nC) 0.9784\nD) 1.0372", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.0960", |
| "B) 0.8902", |
| "C) 0.9784", |
| "D) 1.0372" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.0372", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20220215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-06.)\n\nA) 3.92%\nB) 4.24%\nC) 4.87%\nD) 3.60%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.92%", |
| "B) 4.24%", |
| "C) 4.87%", |
| "D) 3.60%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.92%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20221115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CCSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-06.)\n\nA) 5,964,610\nB) 1,450,000\nC) 8,221,916\nD) 3,707,305", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5,964,610", |
| "B) 1,450,000", |
| "C) 8,221,916", |
| "D) 3,707,305" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1,450,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.13%\nB) -3.47%\nC) 0.33%\nD) 11.72%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.13%", |
| "B) -3.47%", |
| "C) 0.33%", |
| "D) 11.72%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.33%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) $24,493B\nB) $20,341B\nC) $23,109B\nD) $21,725B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $24,493B", |
| "B) $20,341B", |
| "C) $23,109B", |
| "D) $21,725B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$21,725B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 10.02%\nB) 6.76%\nC) 3.49%\nD) 16.56%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10.02%", |
| "B) 6.76%", |
| "C) 3.49%", |
| "D) 16.56%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "10.02%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20221115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-06.)\n\nA) $18,177B\nB) $17,405B\nC) $15,861B\nD) $15,089B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $18,177B", |
| "B) $17,405B", |
| "C) $15,861B", |
| "D) $15,089B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$17,405B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20220515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS5", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) 1.96%\nB) 3.70%\nC) 2.83%\nD) 1.52%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.96%", |
| "B) 3.70%", |
| "C) 2.83%", |
| "D) 1.52%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.83%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) $257,536M\nB) $296,536M\nC) $286,786M\nD) $277,036M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $257,536M", |
| "B) $296,536M", |
| "C) $286,786M", |
| "D) $277,036M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$277,036M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) $26.97/hr\nB) $24.76/hr\nC) $26.23/hr\nD) $25.50/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $26.97/hr", |
| "B) $24.76/hr", |
| "C) $26.23/hr", |
| "D) $25.50/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$26.97/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 22.80%\nB) 19.92%\nC) 11.26%\nD) 28.58%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 22.80%", |
| "B) 19.92%", |
| "C) 11.26%", |
| "D) 28.58%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "19.92%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 6.85%\nB) 5.04%\nC) 8.67%\nD) 14.12%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.85%", |
| "B) 5.04%", |
| "C) 8.67%", |
| "D) 14.12%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "8.67%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20220515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS30", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) 3.99%\nB) 2.19%\nC) 3.39%\nD) 3.09%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.99%", |
| "B) 2.19%", |
| "C) 3.39%", |
| "D) 3.09%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.09%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.90%\nB) 5.05%\nC) 6.20%\nD) 7.35%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.90%", |
| "B) 5.05%", |
| "C) 6.20%", |
| "D) 7.35%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.90%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 57.43\nB) 62.80\nC) 52.07\nD) 68.17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 57.43", |
| "B) 62.80", |
| "C) 52.07", |
| "D) 68.17" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "62.80", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) $293,916M\nB) $305,464M\nC) $282,368M\nD) $270,820M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $293,916M", |
| "B) $305,464M", |
| "C) $282,368M", |
| "D) $270,820M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$282,368M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20220215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DJIA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) 39,375.17\nB) 30,602.51\nC) 41,568.34\nD) 34,988.84", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 39,375.17", |
| "B) 30,602.51", |
| "C) 41,568.34", |
| "D) 34,988.84" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "34,988.84", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) $663,566M\nB) $758,537M\nC) $631,909M\nD) $726,880M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $663,566M", |
| "B) $758,537M", |
| "C) $631,909M", |
| "D) $726,880M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$663,566M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20221115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2022-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) 0.02%\nB) 7.79%\nC) 5.20%\nD) 2.61%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.02%", |
| "B) 7.79%", |
| "C) 5.20%", |
| "D) 2.61%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "7.79%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 19.88%\nB) 7.32%\nC) 11.51%\nD) 3.14%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 19.88%", |
| "B) 7.32%", |
| "C) 11.51%", |
| "D) 3.14%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "11.51%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20220501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for May 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-31.)\n\nA) 143,093K\nB) 158,548K\nC) 147,508K\nD) 151,924K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 143,093K", |
| "B) 158,548K", |
| "C) 147,508K", |
| "D) 151,924K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "151,924K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20220815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "ICSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2022-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-06.)\n\nA) 220,000\nB) 974,997\nC) 1,352,496\nD) 597,499", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 220,000", |
| "B) 974,997", |
| "C) 1,352,496", |
| "D) 597,499" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "220,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20221101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for November 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-01.)\n\nA) -14.61%\nB) -20.62%\nC) -2.58%\nD) -32.65%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -14.61%", |
| "B) -20.62%", |
| "C) -2.58%", |
| "D) -32.65%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-20.62%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20220215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.67%\nB) 0.92%\nC) 2.05%\nD) 2.43%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.67%", |
| "B) 0.92%", |
| "C) 2.05%", |
| "D) 2.43%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.05%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20221115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) 3.25%\nB) 3.78%\nC) 5.37%\nD) 4.31%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.25%", |
| "B) 3.78%", |
| "C) 5.37%", |
| "D) 4.31%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.31%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 3.60%\nB) 5.93%\nC) 7.10%\nD) 4.77%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.60%", |
| "B) 5.93%", |
| "C) 7.10%", |
| "D) 4.77%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.60%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20221115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS5", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) 4.97%\nB) 3.93%\nC) 2.37%\nD) 3.41%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.97%", |
| "B) 3.93%", |
| "C) 2.37%", |
| "D) 3.41%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.93%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20220515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) $139.10/bbl\nB) $130.76/bbl\nC) $114.07/bbl\nD) $122.41/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $139.10/bbl", |
| "B) $130.76/bbl", |
| "C) $114.07/bbl", |
| "D) $122.41/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$114.07/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 6.10%\nB) 8.96%\nC) 7.53%\nD) 6.81%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.10%", |
| "B) 8.96%", |
| "C) 7.53%", |
| "D) 6.81%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.81%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20220515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DJIA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2022-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) -6.13%\nB) -19.33%\nC) -12.73%\nD) 7.07%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -6.13%", |
| "B) -19.33%", |
| "C) -12.73%", |
| "D) 7.07%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-6.13%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20220515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2022-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-08.)\n\nA) 7.1677\nB) 6.7852\nC) 6.4027\nD) 6.1477", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.1677", |
| "B) 6.7852", |
| "C) 6.4027", |
| "D) 6.1477" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "6.7852", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20221115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2022-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2022-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-08.)\n\nA) -80.38%\nB) 36.68%\nC) 7.42%\nD) -51.11%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -80.38%", |
| "B) 36.68%", |
| "C) 7.42%", |
| "D) -51.11%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "7.42%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) -27.80%\nB) -21.97%\nC) -16.14%\nD) -10.31%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -27.80%", |
| "B) -21.97%", |
| "C) -16.14%", |
| "D) -10.31%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-10.31%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 115.28\nB) 109.32\nC) 121.24\nD) 105.34", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 115.28", |
| "B) 109.32", |
| "C) 121.24", |
| "D) 105.34" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "115.28", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 5.93%\nB) 6.46%\nC) 4.88%\nD) 8.03%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.93%", |
| "B) 6.46%", |
| "C) 4.88%", |
| "D) 8.03%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "6.46%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20220215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2022-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2022-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-08.)\n\nA) 4,812.70\nB) 3,787.81\nC) 4,471.07\nD) 5,154.33", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4,812.70", |
| "B) 3,787.81", |
| "C) 4,471.07", |
| "D) 5,154.33" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4,471.07", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20220801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) -3.74pp\nB) +5.36pp\nC) +3.09pp\nD) +0.81pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.74pp", |
| "B) +5.36pp", |
| "C) +3.09pp", |
| "D) +0.81pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.81pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20220201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.44%\nB) -1.36%\nC) 5.84%\nD) 1.04%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.44%", |
| "B) -1.36%", |
| "C) 5.84%", |
| "D) 1.04%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.44%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20220224-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $111.32/bbl\nB) $91.68/bbl\nC) $101.50/bbl\nD) $121.14/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $111.32/bbl", |
| "B) $91.68/bbl", |
| "C) $101.50/bbl", |
| "D) $121.14/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$91.68/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-5d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20220224-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $111.32/bbl\nB) $91.68/bbl\nC) $101.50/bbl\nD) $121.14/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $111.32/bbl", |
| "B) $91.68/bbl", |
| "C) $101.50/bbl", |
| "D) $121.14/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$91.68/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-5d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20220224-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $121.14/bbl\nB) $72.04/bbl\nC) $91.68/bbl\nD) $81.86/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $121.14/bbl", |
| "B) $72.04/bbl", |
| "C) $91.68/bbl", |
| "D) $81.86/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$91.68/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-10d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20220224-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $121.14/bbl\nB) $72.04/bbl\nC) $91.68/bbl\nD) $81.86/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $121.14/bbl", |
| "B) $72.04/bbl", |
| "C) $91.68/bbl", |
| "D) $81.86/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$91.68/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-10d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20220224-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $101.50/bbl\nB) $72.04/bbl\nC) $121.14/bbl\nD) $91.68/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $101.50/bbl", |
| "B) $72.04/bbl", |
| "C) $121.14/bbl", |
| "D) $91.68/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$91.68/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-20d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20220224-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $101.50/bbl\nB) $72.04/bbl\nC) $121.14/bbl\nD) $91.68/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $101.50/bbl", |
| "B) $72.04/bbl", |
| "C) $121.14/bbl", |
| "D) $91.68/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$91.68/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-20d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20220224-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $91.68/bbl\nB) $111.32/bbl\nC) $81.86/bbl\nD) $72.04/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $91.68/bbl", |
| "B) $111.32/bbl", |
| "C) $81.86/bbl", |
| "D) $72.04/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$91.68/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-40d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20220224-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $91.68/bbl\nB) $111.32/bbl\nC) $81.86/bbl\nD) $72.04/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $91.68/bbl", |
| "B) $111.32/bbl", |
| "C) $81.86/bbl", |
| "D) $72.04/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$91.68/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-40d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20220224-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $121.14/bbl\nB) $91.68/bbl\nC) $81.86/bbl\nD) $62.22/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $121.14/bbl", |
| "B) $91.68/bbl", |
| "C) $81.86/bbl", |
| "D) $62.22/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$91.68/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-60d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20220224-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $121.14/bbl\nB) $91.68/bbl\nC) $81.86/bbl\nD) $62.22/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $121.14/bbl", |
| "B) $91.68/bbl", |
| "C) $81.86/bbl", |
| "D) $62.22/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$91.68/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-60d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20220224-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $118.69/bbl\nB) $69.59/bbl\nC) $89.23/bbl\nD) $79.41/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $118.69/bbl", |
| "B) $69.59/bbl", |
| "C) $89.23/bbl", |
| "D) $79.41/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$89.23/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-120d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20220224-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $118.69/bbl\nB) $69.59/bbl\nC) $89.23/bbl\nD) $79.41/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $118.69/bbl", |
| "B) $69.59/bbl", |
| "C) $89.23/bbl", |
| "D) $79.41/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$89.23/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-120d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $99.00/bbl\nB) $128.91/bbl\nC) $108.97/bbl\nD) $118.94/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $99.00/bbl", |
| "B) $128.91/bbl", |
| "C) $108.97/bbl", |
| "D) $118.94/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$118.94/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-5d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $99.00/bbl\nB) $128.91/bbl\nC) $108.97/bbl\nD) $118.94/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $99.00/bbl", |
| "B) $128.91/bbl", |
| "C) $108.97/bbl", |
| "D) $118.94/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$118.94/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-5d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $133.18/bbl\nB) $163.10/bbl\nC) $103.26/bbl\nD) $113.24/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $133.18/bbl", |
| "B) $163.10/bbl", |
| "C) $103.26/bbl", |
| "D) $113.24/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-10d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $133.18/bbl\nB) $163.10/bbl\nC) $103.26/bbl\nD) $113.24/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $133.18/bbl", |
| "B) $163.10/bbl", |
| "C) $103.26/bbl", |
| "D) $113.24/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-10d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $103.26/bbl\nB) $133.18/bbl\nC) $163.10/bbl\nD) $143.15/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $103.26/bbl", |
| "B) $133.18/bbl", |
| "C) $163.10/bbl", |
| "D) $143.15/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-20d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $103.26/bbl\nB) $133.18/bbl\nC) $163.10/bbl\nD) $143.15/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $103.26/bbl", |
| "B) $133.18/bbl", |
| "C) $163.10/bbl", |
| "D) $143.15/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-20d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $163.10/bbl\nB) $113.24/bbl\nC) $133.18/bbl\nD) $153.12/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $163.10/bbl", |
| "B) $113.24/bbl", |
| "C) $133.18/bbl", |
| "D) $153.12/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-40d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $163.10/bbl\nB) $113.24/bbl\nC) $133.18/bbl\nD) $153.12/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $163.10/bbl", |
| "B) $113.24/bbl", |
| "C) $133.18/bbl", |
| "D) $153.12/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-40d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $163.10/bbl\nB) $153.12/bbl\nC) $143.15/bbl\nD) $133.18/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $163.10/bbl", |
| "B) $153.12/bbl", |
| "C) $143.15/bbl", |
| "D) $133.18/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-60d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $163.10/bbl\nB) $153.12/bbl\nC) $143.15/bbl\nD) $133.18/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $163.10/bbl", |
| "B) $153.12/bbl", |
| "C) $143.15/bbl", |
| "D) $133.18/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-60d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $133.18/bbl\nB) $153.12/bbl\nC) $113.24/bbl\nD) $163.10/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $133.18/bbl", |
| "B) $153.12/bbl", |
| "C) $113.24/bbl", |
| "D) $163.10/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-120d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $133.18/bbl\nB) $153.12/bbl\nC) $113.24/bbl\nD) $163.10/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $133.18/bbl", |
| "B) $153.12/bbl", |
| "C) $113.24/bbl", |
| "D) $163.10/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-120d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220224-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 22.60\nB) 27.59\nC) 32.58\nD) 12.63", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 22.60", |
| "B) 27.59", |
| "C) 32.58", |
| "D) 12.63" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "27.59", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-5d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220224-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 22.60\nB) 27.59\nC) 32.58\nD) 12.63", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 22.60", |
| "B) 27.59", |
| "C) 32.58", |
| "D) 12.63" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "27.59", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-5d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220224-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 42.55\nB) 12.63\nC) 27.59\nD) 32.58", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 42.55", |
| "B) 12.63", |
| "C) 27.59", |
| "D) 32.58" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "27.59", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-10d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220224-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 42.55\nB) 12.63\nC) 27.59\nD) 32.58", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 42.55", |
| "B) 12.63", |
| "C) 27.59", |
| "D) 32.58" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "27.59", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-10d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220224-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 11.70\nB) 16.68\nC) 26.66\nD) 21.67", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 11.70", |
| "B) 16.68", |
| "C) 26.66", |
| "D) 21.67" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "21.67", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-20d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220224-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 11.70\nB) 16.68\nC) 26.66\nD) 21.67", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 11.70", |
| "B) 16.68", |
| "C) 26.66", |
| "D) 21.67" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "21.67", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-20d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220224-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 18.57\nB) 33.53\nC) 23.56\nD) 13.58", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 18.57", |
| "B) 33.53", |
| "C) 23.56", |
| "D) 13.58" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "18.57", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-40d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220224-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 18.57\nB) 33.53\nC) 23.56\nD) 13.58", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 18.57", |
| "B) 33.53", |
| "C) 23.56", |
| "D) 13.58" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "18.57", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-40d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220224-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 33.53\nB) 18.57\nC) 8.60\nD) 28.54", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 33.53", |
| "B) 18.57", |
| "C) 8.60", |
| "D) 28.54" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "18.57", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-60d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220224-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 33.53\nB) 18.57\nC) 8.60\nD) 28.54", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 33.53", |
| "B) 18.57", |
| "C) 8.60", |
| "D) 28.54" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "18.57", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-60d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220224-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 23.56\nB) 28.54\nC) 18.57\nD) 33.53", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 23.56", |
| "B) 28.54", |
| "C) 18.57", |
| "D) 33.53" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "18.57", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-120d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220224-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 23.56\nB) 28.54\nC) 18.57\nD) 33.53", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 23.56", |
| "B) 28.54", |
| "C) 18.57", |
| "D) 33.53" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "18.57", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-120d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220224-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.56%\nB) 1.76%\nC) 2.59%\nD) 1.97%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.56%", |
| "B) 1.76%", |
| "C) 2.59%", |
| "D) 1.97%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.97%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-5d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220224-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.56%\nB) 1.76%\nC) 2.59%\nD) 1.97%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.56%", |
| "B) 1.76%", |
| "C) 2.59%", |
| "D) 1.97%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.97%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-5d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220224-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.98%\nB) 1.57%\nC) 2.39%\nD) 1.36%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.98%", |
| "B) 1.57%", |
| "C) 2.39%", |
| "D) 1.36%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.98%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-10d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220224-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.98%\nB) 1.57%\nC) 2.39%\nD) 1.36%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.98%", |
| "B) 1.57%", |
| "C) 2.39%", |
| "D) 1.36%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.98%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-10d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220224-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 2.17%\nB) 2.38%\nC) 1.76%\nD) 3.00%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.17%", |
| "B) 2.38%", |
| "C) 1.76%", |
| "D) 3.00%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.38%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-20d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220224-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 2.17%\nB) 2.38%\nC) 1.76%\nD) 3.00%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.17%", |
| "B) 2.38%", |
| "C) 1.76%", |
| "D) 3.00%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.38%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-20d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220224-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 2.72%\nB) 2.52%\nC) 2.93%\nD) 2.31%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.72%", |
| "B) 2.52%", |
| "C) 2.93%", |
| "D) 2.31%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.93%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-40d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220224-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 2.72%\nB) 2.52%\nC) 2.93%\nD) 2.31%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.72%", |
| "B) 2.52%", |
| "C) 2.93%", |
| "D) 2.31%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.93%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-40d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220224-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 2.71%\nB) 3.74%\nC) 2.91%\nD) 3.12%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.71%", |
| "B) 3.74%", |
| "C) 2.91%", |
| "D) 3.12%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.12%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-60d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220224-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 2.71%\nB) 3.74%\nC) 2.91%\nD) 3.12%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.71%", |
| "B) 3.74%", |
| "C) 2.91%", |
| "D) 3.12%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.12%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-60d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220224-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 3.49%\nB) 3.08%\nC) 4.11%\nD) 3.70%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.49%", |
| "B) 3.08%", |
| "C) 4.11%", |
| "D) 3.70%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.49%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-120d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220224-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 3.49%\nB) 3.08%\nC) 4.11%\nD) 3.70%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.49%", |
| "B) 3.08%", |
| "C) 4.11%", |
| "D) 3.70%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.49%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-120d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220224-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.2511\nB) 1.1261\nC) 1.0761\nD) 1.2011", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.2511", |
| "B) 1.1261", |
| "C) 1.0761", |
| "D) 1.2011" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.1261", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-5d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220224-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.2511\nB) 1.1261\nC) 1.0761\nD) 1.2011", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.2511", |
| "B) 1.1261", |
| "C) 1.0761", |
| "D) 1.2011" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.1261", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-5d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220224-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.0011\nB) 1.0761\nC) 1.1261\nD) 1.2011", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.0011", |
| "B) 1.0761", |
| "C) 1.1261", |
| "D) 1.2011" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.1261", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-10d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220224-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.0011\nB) 1.0761\nC) 1.1261\nD) 1.2011", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.0011", |
| "B) 1.0761", |
| "C) 1.1261", |
| "D) 1.2011" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.1261", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-10d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220224-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.0511\nB) 1.1761\nC) 1.0011\nD) 1.1261", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.0511", |
| "B) 1.1761", |
| "C) 1.0011", |
| "D) 1.1261" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.1261", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-20d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220224-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.0511\nB) 1.1761\nC) 1.0011\nD) 1.1261", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.0511", |
| "B) 1.1761", |
| "C) 1.0011", |
| "D) 1.1261" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.1261", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-20d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220224-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.1261\nB) 1.2011\nC) 1.0011\nD) 1.0511", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.1261", |
| "B) 1.2011", |
| "C) 1.0011", |
| "D) 1.0511" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.1261", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-40d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220224-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.1261\nB) 1.2011\nC) 1.0011\nD) 1.0511", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.1261", |
| "B) 1.2011", |
| "C) 1.0011", |
| "D) 1.0511" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.1261", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-40d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220224-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.0511\nB) 1.1261\nC) 1.1761\nD) 1.2511", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.0511", |
| "B) 1.1261", |
| "C) 1.1761", |
| "D) 1.2511" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.1261", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-60d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220224-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.0511\nB) 1.1261\nC) 1.1761\nD) 1.2511", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.0511", |
| "B) 1.1261", |
| "C) 1.1761", |
| "D) 1.2511" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.1261", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-60d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220224-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.1761\nB) 1.0761\nC) 1.1261\nD) 1.0011", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.1761", |
| "B) 1.0761", |
| "C) 1.1261", |
| "D) 1.0011" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.1261", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-120d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220224-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.1761\nB) 1.0761\nC) 1.1261\nD) 1.0011", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.1761", |
| "B) 1.0761", |
| "C) 1.1261", |
| "D) 1.0011" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.1261", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", |
| "event_date": "2022-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-120d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20220316-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.15%\nB) 0.26%\nC) 0.41%\nD) 0.33%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-01", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.15%", |
| "B) 0.26%", |
| "C) 0.41%", |
| "D) 0.33%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.33%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20220316-40d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20220316-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.15%\nB) 0.26%\nC) 0.41%\nD) 0.33%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-01", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.15%", |
| "B) 0.26%", |
| "C) 0.41%", |
| "D) 0.33%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.33%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20220316-40d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20220316-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.33%\nB) 0.26%\nC) 0.41%\nD) 0.18%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-01", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.33%", |
| "B) 0.26%", |
| "C) 0.41%", |
| "D) 0.18%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.33%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20220316-60d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20220316-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.33%\nB) 0.26%\nC) 0.41%\nD) 0.18%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-01", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.33%", |
| "B) 0.26%", |
| "C) 0.41%", |
| "D) 0.18%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.33%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20220316-60d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20220316-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.41%\nB) 0.33%\nC) 0.26%\nD) 0.18%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-01", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.41%", |
| "B) 0.33%", |
| "C) 0.26%", |
| "D) 0.18%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.33%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20220316-120d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20220316-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.41%\nB) 0.33%\nC) 0.26%\nD) 0.18%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-01", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.41%", |
| "B) 0.33%", |
| "C) 0.26%", |
| "D) 0.18%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.33%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20220316-120d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220316-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.12%\nB) 1.40%\nC) 1.94%\nD) 1.76%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.12%", |
| "B) 1.40%", |
| "C) 1.94%", |
| "D) 1.76%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.94%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-5d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220316-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.12%\nB) 1.40%\nC) 1.94%\nD) 1.76%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.12%", |
| "B) 1.40%", |
| "C) 1.94%", |
| "D) 1.76%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.94%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-5d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220316-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.48%\nB) 1.76%\nC) 1.40%\nD) 1.94%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.48%", |
| "B) 1.76%", |
| "C) 1.40%", |
| "D) 1.94%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.94%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-10d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220316-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.48%\nB) 1.76%\nC) 1.40%\nD) 1.94%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.48%", |
| "B) 1.76%", |
| "C) 1.40%", |
| "D) 1.94%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.94%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-10d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220316-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 1.94%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 2.12%\nD) 2.30%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.94%", |
| "B) 1.58%", |
| "C) 2.12%", |
| "D) 2.30%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.94%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-20d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220316-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 1.94%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 2.12%\nD) 2.30%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.94%", |
| "B) 1.58%", |
| "C) 2.12%", |
| "D) 2.30%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.94%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-20d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220316-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.12%\nB) 1.94%\nC) 1.40%\nD) 2.48%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.12%", |
| "B) 1.94%", |
| "C) 1.40%", |
| "D) 2.48%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.94%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-40d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220316-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.12%\nB) 1.94%\nC) 1.40%\nD) 2.48%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.12%", |
| "B) 1.94%", |
| "C) 1.40%", |
| "D) 2.48%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.94%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-40d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220316-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.30%\nB) 1.76%\nC) 1.94%\nD) 2.12%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.30%", |
| "B) 1.76%", |
| "C) 1.94%", |
| "D) 2.12%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.94%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-60d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220316-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.30%\nB) 1.76%\nC) 1.94%\nD) 2.12%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.30%", |
| "B) 1.76%", |
| "C) 1.94%", |
| "D) 2.12%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.94%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-60d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220316-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.48%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 2.12%\nD) 1.94%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.48%", |
| "B) 1.58%", |
| "C) 2.12%", |
| "D) 1.94%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.94%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-120d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220316-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.48%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 2.12%\nD) 1.94%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.48%", |
| "B) 1.58%", |
| "C) 2.12%", |
| "D) 1.94%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.94%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-120d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220316-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.38%\nB) 2.81%\nC) 2.59%\nD) 3.02%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.38%", |
| "B) 2.81%", |
| "C) 2.59%", |
| "D) 3.02%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.38%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-5d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220316-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.38%\nB) 2.81%\nC) 2.59%\nD) 3.02%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.38%", |
| "B) 2.81%", |
| "C) 2.59%", |
| "D) 3.02%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.38%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-5d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220316-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 1.84%\nB) 2.48%\nC) 2.69%\nD) 2.91%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.84%", |
| "B) 2.48%", |
| "C) 2.69%", |
| "D) 2.91%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.48%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-10d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220316-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 1.84%\nB) 2.48%\nC) 2.69%\nD) 2.91%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.84%", |
| "B) 2.48%", |
| "C) 2.69%", |
| "D) 2.91%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.48%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-10d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220316-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.58%\nB) 2.15%\nC) 2.79%\nD) 3.00%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.58%", |
| "B) 2.15%", |
| "C) 2.79%", |
| "D) 3.00%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.79%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-20d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220316-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.58%\nB) 2.15%\nC) 2.79%\nD) 3.00%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.58%", |
| "B) 2.15%", |
| "C) 2.79%", |
| "D) 3.00%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.79%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-20d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220316-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 3.55%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.69%\nD) 3.12%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.55%", |
| "B) 3.33%", |
| "C) 2.69%", |
| "D) 3.12%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.12%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-40d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220316-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 3.55%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.69%\nD) 3.12%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.55%", |
| "B) 3.33%", |
| "C) 2.69%", |
| "D) 3.12%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.12%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-40d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220316-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 3.15%\nB) 3.58%\nC) 2.94%\nD) 2.72%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.15%", |
| "B) 3.58%", |
| "C) 2.94%", |
| "D) 2.72%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.15%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-60d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220316-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 3.15%\nB) 3.58%\nC) 2.94%\nD) 2.72%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.15%", |
| "B) 3.58%", |
| "C) 2.94%", |
| "D) 2.72%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.15%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-60d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220316-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 4.13%\nB) 3.49%\nC) 3.70%\nD) 2.85%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.13%", |
| "B) 3.49%", |
| "C) 3.70%", |
| "D) 2.85%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.49%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-120d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220316-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 4.13%\nB) 3.49%\nC) 3.70%\nD) 2.85%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.13%", |
| "B) 3.49%", |
| "C) 3.70%", |
| "D) 2.85%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.49%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-120d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 5 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 4.56%\nB) 4.70%\nC) 4.42%\nD) 4.14%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.56%", |
| "B) 4.70%", |
| "C) 4.42%", |
| "D) 4.14%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4.42%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-5d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 5 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 4.56%\nB) 4.70%\nC) 4.42%\nD) 4.14%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.56%", |
| "B) 4.70%", |
| "C) 4.42%", |
| "D) 4.14%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4.42%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-5d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 10 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 4.26%\nB) 4.53%\nC) 4.39%\nD) 4.67%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.26%", |
| "B) 4.53%", |
| "C) 4.39%", |
| "D) 4.67%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.67%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-10d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 10 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 4.26%\nB) 4.53%\nC) 4.39%\nD) 4.67%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.26%", |
| "B) 4.53%", |
| "C) 4.39%", |
| "D) 4.67%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.67%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-10d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 20 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 5.00%\nB) 5.28%\nC) 5.41%\nD) 4.59%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.00%", |
| "B) 5.28%", |
| "C) 5.41%", |
| "D) 4.59%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "5.00%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-20d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 20 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 5.00%\nB) 5.28%\nC) 5.41%\nD) 4.59%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.00%", |
| "B) 5.28%", |
| "C) 5.41%", |
| "D) 4.59%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "5.00%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-20d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 5.44%\nB) 5.30%\nC) 5.58%\nD) 4.89%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.44%", |
| "B) 5.30%", |
| "C) 5.58%", |
| "D) 4.89%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "5.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-40d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 5.44%\nB) 5.30%\nC) 5.58%\nD) 4.89%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.44%", |
| "B) 5.30%", |
| "C) 5.58%", |
| "D) 4.89%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "5.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-40d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 6.22%\nB) 5.40%\nC) 5.81%\nD) 6.09%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.22%", |
| "B) 5.40%", |
| "C) 5.81%", |
| "D) 6.09%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "5.81%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-60d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 6.22%\nB) 5.40%\nC) 5.81%\nD) 6.09%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.22%", |
| "B) 5.40%", |
| "C) 5.81%", |
| "D) 6.09%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "5.81%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-60d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 6.84%\nB) 6.56%\nC) 7.11%\nD) 6.70%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.84%", |
| "B) 6.56%", |
| "C) 7.11%", |
| "D) 6.70%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.70%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-120d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 6.84%\nB) 6.56%\nC) 7.11%\nD) 6.70%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2022-03-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.84%", |
| "B) 6.56%", |
| "C) 7.11%", |
| "D) 6.70%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.70%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", |
| "event_date": "2022-03-16", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-120d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20220913-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 11,719.68\nB) 13,803.56\nC) 9,635.80\nD) 10,330.43", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 11,719.68", |
| "B) 13,803.56", |
| "C) 9,635.80", |
| "D) 10,330.43" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "11,719.68", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-5d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20220913-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 11,719.68\nB) 13,803.56\nC) 9,635.80\nD) 10,330.43", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 11,719.68", |
| "B) 13,803.56", |
| "C) 9,635.80", |
| "D) 10,330.43" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "11,719.68", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-5d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20220913-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 13,108.93\nB) 11,719.68\nC) 12,414.31\nD) 11,025.05", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 13,108.93", |
| "B) 11,719.68", |
| "C) 12,414.31", |
| "D) 11,025.05" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "11,719.68", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-10d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20220913-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 13,108.93\nB) 11,719.68\nC) 12,414.31\nD) 11,025.05", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 13,108.93", |
| "B) 11,719.68", |
| "C) 12,414.31", |
| "D) 11,025.05" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "11,719.68", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-10d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20220913-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 13,108.93\nB) 12,414.31\nC) 11,719.68\nD) 13,803.56", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 13,108.93", |
| "B) 12,414.31", |
| "C) 11,719.68", |
| "D) 13,803.56" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "11,719.68", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-20d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20220913-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 13,108.93\nB) 12,414.31\nC) 11,719.68\nD) 13,803.56", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 13,108.93", |
| "B) 12,414.31", |
| "C) 11,719.68", |
| "D) 13,803.56" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "11,719.68", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-20d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20220913-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 10,330.43\nB) 13,108.93\nC) 13,803.56\nD) 11,719.68", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10,330.43", |
| "B) 13,108.93", |
| "C) 13,803.56", |
| "D) 11,719.68" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "11,719.68", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-40d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20220913-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 10,330.43\nB) 13,108.93\nC) 13,803.56\nD) 11,719.68", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10,330.43", |
| "B) 13,108.93", |
| "C) 13,803.56", |
| "D) 11,719.68" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "11,719.68", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-40d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20220913-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 11,719.68\nB) 13,803.56\nC) 12,414.31\nD) 11,025.05", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 11,719.68", |
| "B) 13,803.56", |
| "C) 12,414.31", |
| "D) 11,025.05" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "11,719.68", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-60d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20220913-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 11,719.68\nB) 13,803.56\nC) 12,414.31\nD) 11,025.05", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 11,719.68", |
| "B) 13,803.56", |
| "C) 12,414.31", |
| "D) 11,025.05" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "11,719.68", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-60d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20220913-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 12,895.45\nB) 12,200.82\nC) 10,811.57\nD) 10,116.94", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12,895.45", |
| "B) 12,200.82", |
| "C) 10,811.57", |
| "D) 10,116.94" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "12,200.82", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-120d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20220913-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 12,895.45\nB) 12,200.82\nC) 10,811.57\nD) 10,116.94", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12,895.45", |
| "B) 12,200.82", |
| "C) 10,811.57", |
| "D) 10,116.94" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "12,200.82", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-120d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20220913-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4,507.17\nB) 4,133.06\nC) 3,946.01\nD) 3,571.90", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4,507.17", |
| "B) 4,133.06", |
| "C) 3,946.01", |
| "D) 3,571.90" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3,946.01", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-5d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20220913-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4,507.17\nB) 4,133.06\nC) 3,946.01\nD) 3,571.90", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4,507.17", |
| "B) 4,133.06", |
| "C) 3,946.01", |
| "D) 3,571.90" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3,946.01", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-5d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20220913-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4,507.17\nB) 4,320.12\nC) 3,384.85\nD) 3,946.01", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4,507.17", |
| "B) 4,320.12", |
| "C) 3,384.85", |
| "D) 3,946.01" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3,946.01", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-10d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20220913-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4,507.17\nB) 4,320.12\nC) 3,384.85\nD) 3,946.01", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4,507.17", |
| "B) 4,320.12", |
| "C) 3,384.85", |
| "D) 3,946.01" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3,946.01", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-10d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20220913-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,946.01\nB) 4,133.06\nC) 3,571.90\nD) 4,507.17", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,946.01", |
| "B) 4,133.06", |
| "C) 3,571.90", |
| "D) 4,507.17" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3,946.01", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-20d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20220913-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,946.01\nB) 4,133.06\nC) 3,571.90\nD) 4,507.17", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,946.01", |
| "B) 4,133.06", |
| "C) 3,571.90", |
| "D) 4,507.17" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3,946.01", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-20d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20220913-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4,320.12\nB) 3,946.01\nC) 4,133.06\nD) 3,571.90", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4,320.12", |
| "B) 3,946.01", |
| "C) 4,133.06", |
| "D) 3,571.90" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3,946.01", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-40d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20220913-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4,320.12\nB) 3,946.01\nC) 4,133.06\nD) 3,571.90", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4,320.12", |
| "B) 3,946.01", |
| "C) 4,133.06", |
| "D) 3,571.90" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3,946.01", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-40d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20220913-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4,454.22\nB) 3,893.06\nC) 4,080.11\nD) 4,267.16", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4,454.22", |
| "B) 3,893.06", |
| "C) 4,080.11", |
| "D) 4,267.16" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4,080.11", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-60d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20220913-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4,454.22\nB) 3,893.06\nC) 4,080.11\nD) 4,267.16", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4,454.22", |
| "B) 3,893.06", |
| "C) 4,080.11", |
| "D) 4,267.16" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4,080.11", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-60d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20220913-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,618.60\nB) 4,366.81\nC) 4,740.92\nD) 4,179.76", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,618.60", |
| "B) 4,366.81", |
| "C) 4,740.92", |
| "D) 4,179.76" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4,179.76", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-120d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20220913-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,618.60\nB) 4,366.81\nC) 4,740.92\nD) 4,179.76", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,618.60", |
| "B) 4,366.81", |
| "C) 4,740.92", |
| "D) 4,179.76" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4,179.76", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-120d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220913-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.41%\nB) 3.05%\nC) 2.68%\nD) 4.14%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.41%", |
| "B) 3.05%", |
| "C) 2.68%", |
| "D) 4.14%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.41%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-5d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220913-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.41%\nB) 3.05%\nC) 2.68%\nD) 4.14%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.41%", |
| "B) 3.05%", |
| "C) 2.68%", |
| "D) 4.14%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.41%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-5d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220913-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 2.68%\nB) 3.41%\nC) 3.05%\nD) 4.50%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.68%", |
| "B) 3.41%", |
| "C) 3.05%", |
| "D) 4.50%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.41%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-10d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220913-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 2.68%\nB) 3.41%\nC) 3.05%\nD) 4.50%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.68%", |
| "B) 3.41%", |
| "C) 3.05%", |
| "D) 4.50%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.41%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-10d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220913-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 2.32%\nB) 3.05%\nC) 3.41%\nD) 4.14%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.32%", |
| "B) 3.05%", |
| "C) 3.41%", |
| "D) 4.14%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.41%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-20d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220913-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 2.32%\nB) 3.05%\nC) 3.41%\nD) 4.14%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.32%", |
| "B) 3.05%", |
| "C) 3.41%", |
| "D) 4.14%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.41%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-20d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220913-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.50%\nB) 3.77%\nC) 3.05%\nD) 3.41%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.50%", |
| "B) 3.77%", |
| "C) 3.05%", |
| "D) 3.41%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.41%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-40d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220913-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.50%\nB) 3.77%\nC) 3.05%\nD) 3.41%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.50%", |
| "B) 3.77%", |
| "C) 3.05%", |
| "D) 3.41%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.41%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-40d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220913-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.41%\nB) 4.14%\nC) 4.50%\nD) 2.68%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.41%", |
| "B) 4.14%", |
| "C) 4.50%", |
| "D) 2.68%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.41%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-60d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220913-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.41%\nB) 4.14%\nC) 4.50%\nD) 2.68%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.41%", |
| "B) 4.14%", |
| "C) 4.50%", |
| "D) 2.68%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.41%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-60d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220913-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.10%\nB) 3.37%\nC) 2.28%\nD) 3.01%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.10%", |
| "B) 3.37%", |
| "C) 2.28%", |
| "D) 3.01%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.37%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-120d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220913-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.10%\nB) 3.37%\nC) 2.28%\nD) 3.01%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.10%", |
| "B) 3.37%", |
| "C) 2.28%", |
| "D) 3.01%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.37%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-120d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220913-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 5.68%\nB) 3.39%\nC) 3.96%\nD) 4.53%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.68%", |
| "B) 3.39%", |
| "C) 3.96%", |
| "D) 4.53%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.96%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-5d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220913-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 5.68%\nB) 3.39%\nC) 3.96%\nD) 4.53%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.68%", |
| "B) 3.39%", |
| "C) 3.96%", |
| "D) 4.53%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.96%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-5d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220913-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 6.02%\nB) 4.87%\nC) 3.73%\nD) 4.30%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.02%", |
| "B) 4.87%", |
| "C) 3.73%", |
| "D) 4.30%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-10d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220913-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 6.02%\nB) 4.87%\nC) 3.73%\nD) 4.30%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.02%", |
| "B) 4.87%", |
| "C) 3.73%", |
| "D) 4.30%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-10d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220913-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.30%\nB) 6.02%\nC) 4.87%\nD) 3.73%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.30%", |
| "B) 6.02%", |
| "C) 4.87%", |
| "D) 3.73%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-20d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220913-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.30%\nB) 6.02%\nC) 4.87%\nD) 3.73%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.30%", |
| "B) 6.02%", |
| "C) 4.87%", |
| "D) 3.73%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-20d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220913-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 5.87%\nB) 4.72%\nC) 5.29%\nD) 3.00%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.87%", |
| "B) 4.72%", |
| "C) 5.29%", |
| "D) 3.00%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.72%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-40d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220913-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 5.87%\nB) 4.72%\nC) 5.29%\nD) 3.00%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.87%", |
| "B) 4.72%", |
| "C) 5.29%", |
| "D) 3.00%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.72%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-40d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220913-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.00%\nB) 5.29%\nC) 4.72%\nD) 6.44%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.00%", |
| "B) 5.29%", |
| "C) 4.72%", |
| "D) 6.44%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4.72%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-60d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220913-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.00%\nB) 5.29%\nC) 4.72%\nD) 6.44%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.00%", |
| "B) 5.29%", |
| "C) 4.72%", |
| "D) 6.44%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4.72%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-60d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220913-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 6.20%\nB) 6.77%\nC) 3.90%\nD) 5.05%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.20%", |
| "B) 6.77%", |
| "C) 3.90%", |
| "D) 5.05%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "5.05%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-120d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220913-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 6.20%\nB) 6.77%\nC) 3.90%\nD) 5.05%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.20%", |
| "B) 6.77%", |
| "C) 3.90%", |
| "D) 5.05%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "5.05%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-120d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220913-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 27.16\nB) 32.13\nC) 19.70\nD) 24.67", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 27.16", |
| "B) 32.13", |
| "C) 19.70", |
| "D) 24.67" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "27.16", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-5d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220913-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 27.16\nB) 32.13\nC) 19.70\nD) 24.67", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 27.16", |
| "B) 32.13", |
| "C) 19.70", |
| "D) 24.67" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "27.16", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-5d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220913-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 25.14\nB) 32.60\nC) 35.09\nD) 27.63", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 25.14", |
| "B) 32.60", |
| "C) 35.09", |
| "D) 27.63" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "32.60", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-10d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220913-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 25.14\nB) 32.60\nC) 35.09\nD) 27.63", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 25.14", |
| "B) 32.60", |
| "C) 35.09", |
| "D) 27.63" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "32.60", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-10d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220913-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 41.09\nB) 38.60\nC) 33.63\nD) 36.12", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 41.09", |
| "B) 38.60", |
| "C) 33.63", |
| "D) 36.12" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "33.63", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-20d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220913-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 41.09\nB) 38.60\nC) 33.63\nD) 36.12", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 41.09", |
| "B) 38.60", |
| "C) 33.63", |
| "D) 36.12" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "33.63", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-20d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220913-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 41.09\nB) 36.12\nC) 26.17\nD) 33.63", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 41.09", |
| "B) 36.12", |
| "C) 26.17", |
| "D) 33.63" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "33.63", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-40d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220913-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 41.09\nB) 36.12\nC) 26.17\nD) 33.63", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 41.09", |
| "B) 36.12", |
| "C) 26.17", |
| "D) 33.63" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "33.63", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-40d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220913-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 33.63\nB) 31.14\nC) 41.09\nD) 26.17", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 33.63", |
| "B) 31.14", |
| "C) 41.09", |
| "D) 26.17" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "33.63", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-60d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220913-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 33.63\nB) 31.14\nC) 41.09\nD) 26.17", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 33.63", |
| "B) 31.14", |
| "C) 41.09", |
| "D) 26.17" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "33.63", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-60d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220913-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 36.12\nB) 33.63\nC) 38.60\nD) 41.09", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 36.12", |
| "B) 33.63", |
| "C) 38.60", |
| "D) 41.09" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "33.63", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-120d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220913-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 36.12\nB) 33.63\nC) 38.60\nD) 41.09", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 36.12", |
| "B) 33.63", |
| "C) 38.60", |
| "D) 41.09" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "33.63", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-13", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-120d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220923-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 5.09%\nB) 3.22%\nC) 3.97%\nD) 3.60%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-23", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.09%", |
| "B) 3.22%", |
| "C) 3.97%", |
| "D) 3.60%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.97%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-23", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-5d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220923-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 5.09%\nB) 3.22%\nC) 3.97%\nD) 3.60%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-23", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.09%", |
| "B) 3.22%", |
| "C) 3.97%", |
| "D) 3.60%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.97%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-23", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-5d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220923-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 3.60%\nB) 4.72%\nC) 2.85%\nD) 3.97%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-23", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.60%", |
| "B) 4.72%", |
| "C) 2.85%", |
| "D) 3.97%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.97%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-23", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-10d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220923-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 3.60%\nB) 4.72%\nC) 2.85%\nD) 3.97%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-23", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.60%", |
| "B) 4.72%", |
| "C) 2.85%", |
| "D) 3.97%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.97%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-23", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-10d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220923-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 4.25%\nB) 3.13%\nC) 3.50%\nD) 5.00%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-23", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.25%", |
| "B) 3.13%", |
| "C) 3.50%", |
| "D) 5.00%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.25%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-23", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-20d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220923-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 4.25%\nB) 3.13%\nC) 3.50%\nD) 5.00%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-23", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.25%", |
| "B) 3.13%", |
| "C) 3.50%", |
| "D) 5.00%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.25%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-23", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-20d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220923-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 3.50%\nB) 4.25%\nC) 5.37%\nD) 5.00%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-23", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.50%", |
| "B) 4.25%", |
| "C) 5.37%", |
| "D) 5.00%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.25%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-23", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-40d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220923-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 3.50%\nB) 4.25%\nC) 5.37%\nD) 5.00%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-23", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.50%", |
| "B) 4.25%", |
| "C) 5.37%", |
| "D) 5.00%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.25%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-23", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-40d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220923-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 3.50%\nB) 4.62%\nC) 4.25%\nD) 3.13%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-23", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.50%", |
| "B) 4.62%", |
| "C) 4.25%", |
| "D) 3.13%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4.25%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-23", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-60d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220923-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 3.50%\nB) 4.62%\nC) 4.25%\nD) 3.13%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-23", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.50%", |
| "B) 4.62%", |
| "C) 4.25%", |
| "D) 3.13%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4.25%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-23", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-60d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220923-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 5.00%\nB) 3.50%\nC) 4.62%\nD) 4.25%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-23", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.00%", |
| "B) 3.50%", |
| "C) 4.62%", |
| "D) 4.25%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.25%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-23", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-120d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220923-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 5.00%\nB) 3.50%\nC) 4.62%\nD) 4.25%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-23", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.00%", |
| "B) 3.50%", |
| "C) 4.62%", |
| "D) 4.25%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.25%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-23", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-120d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220923-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 32.60\nB) 37.57\nC) 25.14\nD) 27.63", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-23", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 32.60", |
| "B) 37.57", |
| "C) 25.14", |
| "D) 27.63" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "32.60", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-23", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-5d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220923-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 32.60\nB) 37.57\nC) 25.14\nD) 27.63", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-23", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 32.60", |
| "B) 37.57", |
| "C) 25.14", |
| "D) 27.63" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "32.60", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-23", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-5d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220923-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 40.06\nB) 32.60\nC) 35.09\nD) 37.57", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-23", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 40.06", |
| "B) 32.60", |
| "C) 35.09", |
| "D) 37.57" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "32.60", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-23", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-10d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220923-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 40.06\nB) 32.60\nC) 35.09\nD) 37.57", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-23", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 40.06", |
| "B) 32.60", |
| "C) 35.09", |
| "D) 37.57" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "32.60", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-23", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-10d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220923-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 38.60\nB) 28.66\nC) 33.63\nD) 41.09", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-23", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 38.60", |
| "B) 28.66", |
| "C) 33.63", |
| "D) 41.09" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "33.63", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-23", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-20d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220923-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 38.60\nB) 28.66\nC) 33.63\nD) 41.09", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-23", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 38.60", |
| "B) 28.66", |
| "C) 33.63", |
| "D) 41.09" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "33.63", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-23", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-20d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220923-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 28.66\nB) 38.60\nC) 36.12\nD) 33.63", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-23", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 28.66", |
| "B) 38.60", |
| "C) 36.12", |
| "D) 33.63" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "33.63", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-23", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-40d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220923-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 28.66\nB) 38.60\nC) 36.12\nD) 33.63", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-23", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 28.66", |
| "B) 38.60", |
| "C) 36.12", |
| "D) 33.63" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "33.63", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-23", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-40d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220923-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 33.63\nB) 36.12\nC) 38.60\nD) 28.66", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-23", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 33.63", |
| "B) 36.12", |
| "C) 38.60", |
| "D) 28.66" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "33.63", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-23", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-60d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220923-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 33.63\nB) 36.12\nC) 38.60\nD) 28.66", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-23", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 33.63", |
| "B) 36.12", |
| "C) 38.60", |
| "D) 28.66" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "33.63", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-23", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-60d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220923-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 36.12\nB) 33.63\nC) 28.66\nD) 41.09", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-23", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 36.12", |
| "B) 33.63", |
| "C) 28.66", |
| "D) 41.09" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "33.63", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-23", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-120d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220923-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 36.12\nB) 33.63\nC) 28.66\nD) 41.09", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-23", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 36.12", |
| "B) 33.63", |
| "C) 28.66", |
| "D) 41.09" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "33.63", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-23", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-120d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220923-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 0.9111\nB) 1.0455\nC) 0.9783\nD) 0.8439", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-23", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.9111", |
| "B) 1.0455", |
| "C) 0.9783", |
| "D) 0.8439" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.9783", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-23", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-5d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220923-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 0.9111\nB) 1.0455\nC) 0.9783\nD) 0.8439", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-23", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.9111", |
| "B) 1.0455", |
| "C) 0.9783", |
| "D) 0.8439" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.9783", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-23", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-5d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220923-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 1.1657\nB) 1.0985\nC) 0.9305\nD) 0.9977", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-23", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.1657", |
| "B) 1.0985", |
| "C) 0.9305", |
| "D) 0.9977" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.9977", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-23", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-10d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220923-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 1.1657\nB) 1.0985\nC) 0.9305\nD) 0.9977", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-23", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.1657", |
| "B) 1.0985", |
| "C) 0.9305", |
| "D) 0.9977" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.9977", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-23", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-10d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220923-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 0.9977\nB) 1.0649\nC) 0.9305\nD) 0.8633", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-23", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.9977", |
| "B) 1.0649", |
| "C) 0.9305", |
| "D) 0.8633" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.9977", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-23", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-20d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220923-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 0.9977\nB) 1.0649\nC) 0.9305\nD) 0.8633", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-23", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.9977", |
| "B) 1.0649", |
| "C) 0.9305", |
| "D) 0.8633" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.9977", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-23", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-20d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220923-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 0.9723\nB) 1.0395\nC) 1.1403\nD) 1.2075", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-23", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.9723", |
| "B) 1.0395", |
| "C) 1.1403", |
| "D) 1.2075" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.0395", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-23", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-40d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220923-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 0.9723\nB) 1.0395\nC) 1.1403\nD) 1.2075", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-23", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.9723", |
| "B) 1.0395", |
| "C) 1.1403", |
| "D) 1.2075" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.0395", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-23", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-40d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220923-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 0.9647\nB) 1.2335\nC) 1.0655\nD) 1.1663", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-23", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.9647", |
| "B) 1.2335", |
| "C) 1.0655", |
| "D) 1.1663" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.0655", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-23", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-60d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220923-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 0.9647\nB) 1.2335\nC) 1.0655\nD) 1.1663", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-23", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.9647", |
| "B) 1.2335", |
| "C) 1.0655", |
| "D) 1.1663" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.0655", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-23", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-60d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220923-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 1.0246\nB) 1.1926\nC) 1.2598\nD) 1.0918", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-23", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.0246", |
| "B) 1.1926", |
| "C) 1.2598", |
| "D) 1.0918" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.0918", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-23", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-120d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220923-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 1.0246\nB) 1.1926\nC) 1.2598\nD) 1.0918", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-23", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.0246", |
| "B) 1.1926", |
| "C) 1.2598", |
| "D) 1.0918" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.0918", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", |
| "event_date": "2022-09-23", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-120d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20221108-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 11,358.41\nB) 12,798.14\nC) 9,198.81\nD) 12,078.28", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2022-11-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 11,358.41", |
| "B) 12,798.14", |
| "C) 9,198.81", |
| "D) 12,078.28" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "11,358.41", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "FTX collapse", |
| "event_date": "2022-11-08", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-5d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20221108-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 11,358.41\nB) 12,798.14\nC) 9,198.81\nD) 12,078.28", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2022-11-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 11,358.41", |
| "B) 12,798.14", |
| "C) 9,198.81", |
| "D) 12,078.28" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "11,358.41", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "FTX collapse", |
| "event_date": "2022-11-08", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-5d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20221108-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 13,518.01\nB) 11,358.41\nC) 12,078.28\nD) 10,638.54", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2022-11-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 13,518.01", |
| "B) 11,358.41", |
| "C) 12,078.28", |
| "D) 10,638.54" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "11,358.41", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "FTX collapse", |
| "event_date": "2022-11-08", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-10d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20221108-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 13,518.01\nB) 11,358.41\nC) 12,078.28\nD) 10,638.54", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2022-11-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 13,518.01", |
| "B) 11,358.41", |
| "C) 12,078.28", |
| "D) 10,638.54" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "11,358.41", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "FTX collapse", |
| "event_date": "2022-11-08", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-10d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20221108-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 12,202.32\nB) 9,322.85\nC) 11,482.45\nD) 12,922.18", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2022-11-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12,202.32", |
| "B) 9,322.85", |
| "C) 11,482.45", |
| "D) 12,922.18" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "11,482.45", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "FTX collapse", |
| "event_date": "2022-11-08", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-20d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20221108-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 12,202.32\nB) 9,322.85\nC) 11,482.45\nD) 12,922.18", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2022-11-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12,202.32", |
| "B) 9,322.85", |
| "C) 11,482.45", |
| "D) 12,922.18" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "11,482.45", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "FTX collapse", |
| "event_date": "2022-11-08", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-20d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20221108-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 13,642.05\nB) 9,322.85\nC) 12,202.32\nD) 11,482.45", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2022-11-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 13,642.05", |
| "B) 9,322.85", |
| "C) 12,202.32", |
| "D) 11,482.45" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "11,482.45", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "FTX collapse", |
| "event_date": "2022-11-08", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-40d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20221108-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 13,642.05\nB) 9,322.85\nC) 12,202.32\nD) 11,482.45", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2022-11-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 13,642.05", |
| "B) 9,322.85", |
| "C) 12,202.32", |
| "D) 11,482.45" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "11,482.45", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "FTX collapse", |
| "event_date": "2022-11-08", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-40d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20221108-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 12,200.82\nB) 10,761.09\nC) 11,480.95\nD) 10,041.22", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2022-11-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12,200.82", |
| "B) 10,761.09", |
| "C) 11,480.95", |
| "D) 10,041.22" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "12,200.82", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "FTX collapse", |
| "event_date": "2022-11-08", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-60d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20221108-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 12,200.82\nB) 10,761.09\nC) 11,480.95\nD) 10,041.22", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2022-11-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12,200.82", |
| "B) 10,761.09", |
| "C) 11,480.95", |
| "D) 10,041.22" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "12,200.82", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "FTX collapse", |
| "event_date": "2022-11-08", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-60d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20221108-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 10,066.98\nB) 12,226.58\nC) 12,946.45\nD) 14,386.18", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2022-11-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10,066.98", |
| "B) 12,226.58", |
| "C) 12,946.45", |
| "D) 14,386.18" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "12,226.58", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "FTX collapse", |
| "event_date": "2022-11-08", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-120d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20221108-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 10,066.98\nB) 12,226.58\nC) 12,946.45\nD) 14,386.18", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2022-11-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10,066.98", |
| "B) 12,226.58", |
| "C) 12,946.45", |
| "D) 14,386.18" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "12,226.58", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "FTX collapse", |
| "event_date": "2022-11-08", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-120d-max", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20221108-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 20.05\nB) 29.92\nC) 22.52\nD) 27.45", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2022-11-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 20.05", |
| "B) 29.92", |
| "C) 22.52", |
| "D) 27.45" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "22.52", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "FTX collapse", |
| "event_date": "2022-11-08", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-5d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20221108-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 20.05\nB) 29.92\nC) 22.52\nD) 27.45", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2022-11-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 20.05", |
| "B) 29.92", |
| "C) 22.52", |
| "D) 27.45" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "22.52", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "FTX collapse", |
| "event_date": "2022-11-08", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-5d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20221108-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 23.76\nB) 13.89\nC) 28.69\nD) 21.29", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2022-11-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 23.76", |
| "B) 13.89", |
| "C) 28.69", |
| "D) 21.29" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "21.29", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "FTX collapse", |
| "event_date": "2022-11-08", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-10d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20221108-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 23.76\nB) 13.89\nC) 28.69\nD) 21.29", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2022-11-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 23.76", |
| "B) 13.89", |
| "C) 28.69", |
| "D) 21.29" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "21.29", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "FTX collapse", |
| "event_date": "2022-11-08", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-10d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20221108-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 19.06\nB) 11.66\nC) 16.59\nD) 14.13", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2022-11-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 19.06", |
| "B) 11.66", |
| "C) 16.59", |
| "D) 14.13" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "19.06", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "FTX collapse", |
| "event_date": "2022-11-08", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-20d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20221108-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 19.06\nB) 11.66\nC) 16.59\nD) 14.13", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2022-11-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 19.06", |
| "B) 11.66", |
| "C) 16.59", |
| "D) 14.13" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "19.06", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "FTX collapse", |
| "event_date": "2022-11-08", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-20d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20221108-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 21.53\nB) 19.06\nC) 14.13\nD) 16.59", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2022-11-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 21.53", |
| "B) 19.06", |
| "C) 14.13", |
| "D) 16.59" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "19.06", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "FTX collapse", |
| "event_date": "2022-11-08", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-40d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20221108-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 21.53\nB) 19.06\nC) 14.13\nD) 16.59", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2022-11-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 21.53", |
| "B) 19.06", |
| "C) 14.13", |
| "D) 16.59" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "19.06", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "FTX collapse", |
| "event_date": "2022-11-08", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-40d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20221108-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 20.34\nB) 22.80\nC) 17.87\nD) 12.94", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2022-11-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 20.34", |
| "B) 22.80", |
| "C) 17.87", |
| "D) 12.94" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "17.87", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "FTX collapse", |
| "event_date": "2022-11-08", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-60d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20221108-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 20.34\nB) 22.80\nC) 17.87\nD) 12.94", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2022-11-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 20.34", |
| "B) 22.80", |
| "C) 17.87", |
| "D) 12.94" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "17.87", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "FTX collapse", |
| "event_date": "2022-11-08", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-60d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20221108-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 10.85\nB) 8.38\nC) 23.18\nD) 15.78", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2022-11-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10.85", |
| "B) 8.38", |
| "C) 23.18", |
| "D) 15.78" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "15.78", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "FTX collapse", |
| "event_date": "2022-11-08", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-120d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20221108-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 10.85\nB) 8.38\nC) 23.18\nD) 15.78", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2022-11-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10.85", |
| "B) 8.38", |
| "C) 23.18", |
| "D) 15.78" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "15.78", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "FTX collapse", |
| "event_date": "2022-11-08", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-120d-min", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2022-01-26", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-23", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2022-01-26, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for February 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-23.)\n\nA) 0.08%\nB) 1.40%\nC) 0.96%\nD) 0.52%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.08%", |
| "B) 1.40%", |
| "C) 0.96%", |
| "D) 0.52%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.08%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2022-03-16", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "April 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-13", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2022-03-16, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for April 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.68%\nB) 0.33%\nC) 0.78%\nD) 1.23%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.68%", |
| "B) 0.33%", |
| "C) 0.78%", |
| "D) 1.23%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.33%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2022-05-04", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "June 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-05-01", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2022-05-04, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for June 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-01.)\n\nA) 2.56%\nB) 2.11%\nC) 1.21%\nD) 1.66%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.56%", |
| "B) 2.11%", |
| "C) 1.21%", |
| "D) 1.66%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.21%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2022-06-15", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "July 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-06-12", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2022-06-15, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for July 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-12.)\n\nA) 1.23%\nB) 2.13%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 1.68%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.23%", |
| "B) 2.13%", |
| "C) 2.58%", |
| "D) 1.68%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.68%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2022-07-27", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-24", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2022-07-27, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for August 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-24.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.42%\nC) 1.88%\nD) 3.24%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.33%", |
| "B) 1.42%", |
| "C) 1.88%", |
| "D) 3.24%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.33%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2022-09-21", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "October 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-18", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2022-09-21, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for October 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-18.)\n\nA) 2.61%\nB) 3.08%\nC) 4.49%\nD) 4.02%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.61%", |
| "B) 3.08%", |
| "C) 4.49%", |
| "D) 4.02%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.08%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2022-11-02", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "December 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-30", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2022-11-02, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for December 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-30.)\n\nA) 3.13%\nB) 5.56%\nC) 4.10%\nD) 4.59%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.13%", |
| "B) 5.56%", |
| "C) 4.10%", |
| "D) 4.59%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2022-12-14", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "January 2023", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-12-11", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2022-12-14, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for January 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2022-12-11.)\n\nA) 2.68%\nB) 5.98%\nC) 5.43%\nD) 4.33%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.68%", |
| "B) 5.98%", |
| "C) 5.43%", |
| "D) 4.33%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.33%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-202201", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "January 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-28", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for January 2022 (released around 2022-02-04)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-28.)\n\nA) 190K\nB) -4,006K\nC) -1,209K\nD) 2,987K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 190K", |
| "B) -4,006K", |
| "C) -1,209K", |
| "D) 2,987K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "190K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-202202", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "February 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-25", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for February 2022 (released around 2022-03-04)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-25.)\n\nA) 5,017K\nB) 819K\nC) 3,618K\nD) -3,379K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5,017K", |
| "B) 819K", |
| "C) 3,618K", |
| "D) -3,379K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "819K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-202203", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "March 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-25", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for March 2022 (released around 2022-04-01)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-25.)\n\nA) 1,890K\nB) -910K\nC) 490K\nD) 3,289K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,890K", |
| "B) -910K", |
| "C) 490K", |
| "D) 3,289K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "490K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-202204", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "April 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-04-29", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for April 2022 (released around 2022-05-06)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-04-29.)\n\nA) -2,491K\nB) -1,092K\nC) 4,507K\nD) 308K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2,491K", |
| "B) -1,092K", |
| "C) 4,507K", |
| "D) 308K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "308K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-202205", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "May 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-05-27", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for May 2022 (released around 2022-06-03)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-27.)\n\nA) 301K\nB) 3,101K\nC) 1,701K\nD) -1,099K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 301K", |
| "B) 3,101K", |
| "C) 1,701K", |
| "D) -1,099K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "301K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-202206", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "June 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-06-24", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for June 2022 (released around 2022-07-01)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-24.)\n\nA) 1,834K\nB) 434K\nC) 4,634K\nD) -3,766K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,834K", |
| "B) 434K", |
| "C) 4,634K", |
| "D) -3,766K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "434K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-202207", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "July 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-29", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for July 2022 (released around 2022-08-05)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-29.)\n\nA) 2,114K\nB) 4,915K\nC) 714K\nD) 3,515K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,114K", |
| "B) 4,915K", |
| "C) 714K", |
| "D) 3,515K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "714K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-202208", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "August 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-08-26", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for August 2022 (released around 2022-09-02)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-26.)\n\nA) -3,912K\nB) -1,111K\nC) 3,091K\nD) 290K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3,912K", |
| "B) -1,111K", |
| "C) 3,091K", |
| "D) 290K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "290K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-202209", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "September 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-30", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for September 2022 (released around 2022-10-07)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-30.)\n\nA) 220K\nB) 4,422K\nC) -2,581K\nD) -1,181K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 220K", |
| "B) 4,422K", |
| "C) -2,581K", |
| "D) -1,181K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "220K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-202210", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "October 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-28", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for October 2022 (released around 2022-11-04)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-28.)\n\nA) 4,559K\nB) 357K\nC) -3,845K\nD) 1,758K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4,559K", |
| "B) 357K", |
| "C) -3,845K", |
| "D) 1,758K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "357K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-202211", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "November 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-25", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for November 2022 (released around 2022-12-02)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-25.)\n\nA) -2,498K\nB) 1,704K\nC) 303K\nD) 4,505K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2,498K", |
| "B) 1,704K", |
| "C) 303K", |
| "D) 4,505K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "303K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-202212", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "December 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-12-30", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for December 2022 (released around 2023-01-06)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-12-30.)\n\nA) -1,301K\nB) -4,102K\nC) 4,302K\nD) 100K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1,301K", |
| "B) -4,102K", |
| "C) 4,302K", |
| "D) 100K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "100K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-202201", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "January 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for January 2022 (released around 2022-02-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-06.)\n\nA) 7.56%\nB) 5.79%\nC) 9.33%\nD) 6.68%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.56%", |
| "B) 5.79%", |
| "C) 9.33%", |
| "D) 6.68%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "7.56%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-202203", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-04-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for March 2022 (released around 2022-04-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-04-06.)\n\nA) 7.55%\nB) 8.57%\nC) 6.52%\nD) 11.65%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.55%", |
| "B) 8.57%", |
| "C) 6.52%", |
| "D) 11.65%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "8.57%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-202204", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "April 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for April 2022 (released around 2022-05-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-06.)\n\nA) 7.14%\nB) 9.32%\nC) 8.23%\nD) 4.97%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.14%", |
| "B) 9.32%", |
| "C) 8.23%", |
| "D) 4.97%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "8.23%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-202206", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "June 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for June 2022 (released around 2022-07-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-06.)\n\nA) 5.38%\nB) 10.18%\nC) 6.58%\nD) 8.98%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.38%", |
| "B) 10.18%", |
| "C) 6.58%", |
| "D) 8.98%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "8.98%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-202207", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "July 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for July 2022 (released around 2022-08-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-06.)\n\nA) 8.46%\nB) 9.70%\nC) 12.18%\nD) 10.94%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.46%", |
| "B) 9.70%", |
| "C) 12.18%", |
| "D) 10.94%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "8.46%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-202209", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for September 2022 (released around 2022-10-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-06.)\n\nA) 10.80%\nB) 8.19%\nC) 12.10%\nD) 5.58%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10.80%", |
| "B) 8.19%", |
| "C) 12.10%", |
| "D) 5.58%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "8.19%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-202210", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "October 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for October 2022 (released around 2022-11-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-06.)\n\nA) 10.40%\nB) 5.11%\nC) 7.76%\nD) 3.79%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10.40%", |
| "B) 5.11%", |
| "C) 7.76%", |
| "D) 3.79%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "7.76%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-202212", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "December 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2023-01-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for December 2022 (released around 2023-01-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-06.)\n\nA) 9.08%\nB) 3.73%\nC) 10.42%\nD) 6.40%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.08%", |
| "B) 3.73%", |
| "C) 10.42%", |
| "D) 6.40%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-gdp-2022q1", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "gdp_yoy", |
| "indicator": "GDPC1", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "Q1 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-05-14", |
| "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q1 2022 (advance estimate released around 2022-05-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-14.)\n\nA) 4.03%\nB) 5.84%\nC) 7.64%\nD) 0.43%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.03%", |
| "B) 5.84%", |
| "C) 7.64%", |
| "D) 0.43%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.03%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-gdp-2022q2", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "gdp_yoy", |
| "indicator": "GDPC1", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "Q2 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-08-14", |
| "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q2 2022 (advance estimate released around 2022-08-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-14.)\n\nA) 6.06%\nB) 2.45%\nC) 4.26%\nD) 7.87%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.06%", |
| "B) 2.45%", |
| "C) 4.26%", |
| "D) 7.87%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.45%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-gdp-2022q3", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "gdp_yoy", |
| "indicator": "GDPC1", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "Q3 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-14", |
| "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q3 2022 (advance estimate released around 2022-11-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-14.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) -3.08%\nC) 2.35%\nD) 5.97%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.54%", |
| "B) -3.08%", |
| "C) 2.35%", |
| "D) 5.97%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.35%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-gdp-2022q4", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "gdp_yoy", |
| "indicator": "GDPC1", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "Q4 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2023-02-14", |
| "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q4 2022 (advance estimate released around 2023-02-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2023-02-14.)\n\nA) 6.73%\nB) -0.49%\nC) -2.29%\nD) 1.32%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.73%", |
| "B) -0.49%", |
| "C) -2.29%", |
| "D) 1.32%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.32%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20220107", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-01-07", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-12-31", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-01-07? (Use only information available on or before 2021-12-31.)\n\nA) 19.73\nB) 9.45\nC) 30.01\nD) 35.15", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 19.73", |
| "B) 9.45", |
| "C) 30.01", |
| "D) 35.15" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "19.73", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20220114", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-01-14", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-07", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-01-14? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-07.)\n\nA) 35.67\nB) 20.31\nC) 15.19\nD) 30.55", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 35.67", |
| "B) 20.31", |
| "C) 15.19", |
| "D) 30.55" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "20.31", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20220121", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-01-21", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-14", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-01-21? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-14.)\n\nA) 18.66\nB) 23.76\nC) 28.85\nD) 33.94", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 18.66", |
| "B) 23.76", |
| "C) 28.85", |
| "D) 33.94" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "28.85", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20220204", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-02-04", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-28", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-02-04? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-28.)\n\nA) 14.73\nB) 9.68\nC) 29.88\nD) 24.83", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 14.73", |
| "B) 9.68", |
| "C) 29.88", |
| "D) 24.83" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "24.83", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20220211", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-02-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-04", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-02-11? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-04.)\n\nA) 27.36\nB) 37.43\nC) 42.47\nD) 32.40", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 27.36", |
| "B) 37.43", |
| "C) 42.47", |
| "D) 32.40" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "27.36", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20220218", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-02-18", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-11", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-02-18? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-11.)\n\nA) 38.36\nB) 28.33\nC) 43.37\nD) 33.34", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 38.36", |
| "B) 28.33", |
| "C) 43.37", |
| "D) 33.34" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "28.33", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20220304", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-03-04", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-25", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-03-04? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-25.)\n\nA) 28.34\nB) 38.30\nC) 33.32\nD) 23.35", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 28.34", |
| "B) 38.30", |
| "C) 33.32", |
| "D) 23.35" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "33.32", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20220311", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-04", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-04.)\n\nA) 41.41\nB) 31.49\nC) 51.33\nD) 36.45", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 41.41", |
| "B) 31.49", |
| "C) 51.33", |
| "D) 36.45" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "36.45", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20220318", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-03-18", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-11", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-03-18? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-11.)\n\nA) 31.77\nB) 26.89\nC) 17.12\nD) 22.00", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 31.77", |
| "B) 26.89", |
| "C) 17.12", |
| "D) 22.00" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "31.77", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20220401", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-04-01", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-25", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-04-01? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-25.)\n\nA) 24.30\nB) 20.56\nC) 13.07\nD) 31.79", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 24.30", |
| "B) 20.56", |
| "C) 13.07", |
| "D) 31.79" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "20.56", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20220408", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-04-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-04-01", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-04-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-04-01.)\n\nA) 12.26\nB) 15.54\nC) 22.10\nD) 28.66", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12.26", |
| "B) 15.54", |
| "C) 22.10", |
| "D) 28.66" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "22.10", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20220415", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-04-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-04-08", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-04-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-04-08.)\n\nA) 18.34\nB) 27.38\nC) 30.40\nD) 24.37", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 18.34", |
| "B) 27.38", |
| "C) 30.40", |
| "D) 24.37" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "24.37", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20220506", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-05-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-04-29", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2022-04-29.)\n\nA) 32.34\nB) 24.25\nC) 40.43\nD) 35.04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 32.34", |
| "B) 24.25", |
| "C) 40.43", |
| "D) 35.04" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "32.34", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20220513", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-05-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-05-06", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-05-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-06.)\n\nA) 37.41\nB) 34.75\nC) 29.44\nD) 32.09", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 37.41", |
| "B) 34.75", |
| "C) 29.44", |
| "D) 32.09" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "34.75", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20220520", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-05-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-05-13", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-05-20? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-13.)\n\nA) 28.29\nB) 33.63\nC) 30.96\nD) 22.96", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 28.29", |
| "B) 33.63", |
| "C) 30.96", |
| "D) 22.96" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "30.96", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20220603", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-06-03", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-05-27", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-06-03? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-27.)\n\nA) 31.82\nB) 23.90\nC) 29.18\nD) 26.54", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 31.82", |
| "B) 23.90", |
| "C) 29.18", |
| "D) 26.54" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "26.54", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20220610", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-06-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-06-03", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-06-10? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-03.)\n\nA) 27.75\nB) 19.85\nC) 33.02\nD) 35.65", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 27.75", |
| "B) 19.85", |
| "C) 33.02", |
| "D) 35.65" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "27.75", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20220617", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-06-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-06-10", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-06-17? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-10.)\n\nA) 41.92\nB) 34.02\nC) 36.65\nD) 28.75", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 41.92", |
| "B) 34.02", |
| "C) 36.65", |
| "D) 28.75" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "34.02", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20220701", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-07-01", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-06-24", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-07-01? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-24.)\n\nA) 23.56\nB) 31.28\nC) 28.71\nD) 26.14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 23.56", |
| "B) 31.28", |
| "C) 28.71", |
| "D) 26.14" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "28.71", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20220708", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-07-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-07-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) 30.08\nB) 35.16\nC) 32.62\nD) 27.54", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 30.08", |
| "B) 35.16", |
| "C) 32.62", |
| "D) 27.54" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "27.54", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20220715", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-07-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-08", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-07-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-08.)\n\nA) 27.29\nB) 22.23\nC) 34.89\nD) 32.35", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 27.29", |
| "B) 22.23", |
| "C) 34.89", |
| "D) 32.35" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "27.29", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20220805", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-29", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-29.)\n\nA) 26.44\nB) 23.93\nC) 21.42\nD) 16.41", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 26.44", |
| "B) 23.93", |
| "C) 21.42", |
| "D) 16.41" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "23.93", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20220812", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-08-12", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-08-05", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-08-12? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-05.)\n\nA) 24.28\nB) 14.25\nC) 21.77\nD) 26.79", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 24.28", |
| "B) 14.25", |
| "C) 21.77", |
| "D) 26.79" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "21.77", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20220819", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-08-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-08-12", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-08-19? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-12.)\n\nA) 25.62\nB) 18.09\nC) 23.11\nD) 20.60", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 25.62", |
| "B) 18.09", |
| "C) 23.11", |
| "D) 20.60" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "20.60", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20220902", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-09-02", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-08-26", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-09-02? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-26.)\n\nA) 26.21\nB) 23.70\nC) 28.72\nD) 33.75", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 26.21", |
| "B) 23.70", |
| "C) 28.72", |
| "D) 33.75" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "26.21", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20220909", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-09-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-02", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-09-09? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-02.)\n\nA) 24.39\nB) 26.91\nC) 21.88\nD) 19.36", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 24.39", |
| "B) 26.91", |
| "C) 21.88", |
| "D) 19.36" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "26.91", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20220916", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-09-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-09", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-09-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-09.)\n\nA) 19.80\nB) 34.74\nC) 27.27\nD) 24.78", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 19.80", |
| "B) 34.74", |
| "C) 27.27", |
| "D) 24.78" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "27.27", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20221007", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-10-07", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-30", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-30.)\n\nA) 26.32\nB) 28.84\nC) 38.92\nD) 31.36", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 26.32", |
| "B) 28.84", |
| "C) 38.92", |
| "D) 31.36" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "31.36", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20221014", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-10-14", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-07", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-10-14? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-07.)\n\nA) 33.63\nB) 36.16\nC) 26.03\nD) 41.23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 33.63", |
| "B) 36.16", |
| "C) 26.03", |
| "D) 41.23" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "33.63", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20221021", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-10-21", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-14", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-10-21? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-14.)\n\nA) 26.22\nB) 31.37\nC) 36.52\nD) 33.94", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 26.22", |
| "B) 31.37", |
| "C) 36.52", |
| "D) 33.94" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "31.37", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20221104", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-11-04", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-28", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-11-04? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-28.)\n\nA) 31.03\nB) 20.73\nC) 25.88\nD) 28.45", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 31.03", |
| "B) 20.73", |
| "C) 25.88", |
| "D) 28.45" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "25.88", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20221111", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-11-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-04", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-11-11? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-04.)\n\nA) 31.03\nB) 18.69\nC) 23.62\nD) 26.09", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 31.03", |
| "B) 18.69", |
| "C) 23.62", |
| "D) 26.09" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "26.09", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20221118", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-11-18", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-11", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-11-18? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-11.)\n\nA) 24.54\nB) 22.08\nC) 31.93\nD) 27.00", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 24.54", |
| "B) 22.08", |
| "C) 31.93", |
| "D) 27.00" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "24.54", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20221202", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-12-02", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-25", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-12-02? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-25.)\n\nA) 27.14\nB) 22.21\nC) 29.60\nD) 24.67", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 27.14", |
| "B) 22.21", |
| "C) 29.60", |
| "D) 24.67" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "22.21", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20221209", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-12-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-12-02", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-12-09? (Use only information available on or before 2022-12-02.)\n\nA) 30.22\nB) 20.37\nC) 22.83\nD) 27.75", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 30.22", |
| "B) 20.37", |
| "C) 22.83", |
| "D) 27.75" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "22.83", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20221216", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-12-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-12-09", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2022-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-12-09.)\n\nA) 20.08\nB) 27.46\nC) 29.92\nD) 25.00", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 20.08", |
| "B) 27.46", |
| "C) 29.92", |
| "D) 25.00" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "25.00", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220107", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-01-07", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-12-31", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-01-07? (Use only information available on or before 2021-12-31.)\n\nA) -5.66%\nB) -1.93%\nC) -9.40%\nD) -3.17%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -5.66%", |
| "B) -1.93%", |
| "C) -9.40%", |
| "D) -3.17%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-5.66%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220114", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-01-14", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-07", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-01-14? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-07.)\n\nA) 3.47%\nB) -0.33%\nC) 0.94%\nD) 2.21%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.47%", |
| "B) -0.33%", |
| "C) 0.94%", |
| "D) 2.21%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.33%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220121", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-01-21", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-14", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-01-21? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-14.)\n\nA) -7.62%\nB) -1.29%\nC) -5.09%\nD) -8.89%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -7.62%", |
| "B) -1.29%", |
| "C) -5.09%", |
| "D) -8.89%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-5.09%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220204", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-02-04", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-28", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-02-04? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-28.)\n\nA) 2.92%\nB) 1.61%\nC) 0.31%\nD) -1.00%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.92%", |
| "B) 1.61%", |
| "C) 0.31%", |
| "D) -1.00%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.00%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220211", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-02-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-04", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-02-11? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-04.)\n\nA) -1.60%\nB) -0.27%\nC) -4.27%\nD) -5.60%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.60%", |
| "B) -0.27%", |
| "C) -4.27%", |
| "D) -5.60%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.60%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220218", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-02-18", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-11", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-02-18? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-11.)\n\nA) 0.96%\nB) -1.76%\nC) -0.40%\nD) 2.32%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.96%", |
| "B) -1.76%", |
| "C) -0.40%", |
| "D) 2.32%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.76%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220304", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-03-04", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-25", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-03-04? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-25.)\n\nA) -4.60%\nB) -6.01%\nC) -3.18%\nD) 1.05%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -4.60%", |
| "B) -6.01%", |
| "C) -3.18%", |
| "D) 1.05%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-3.18%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220311", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-04", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-04.)\n\nA) 2.85%\nB) -1.27%\nC) 4.23%\nD) 0.10%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.85%", |
| "B) -1.27%", |
| "C) 4.23%", |
| "D) 0.10%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220318", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-03-18", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-11", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-03-18? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-11.)\n\nA) 10.43%\nB) 7.66%\nC) 9.05%\nD) 6.28%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10.43%", |
| "B) 7.66%", |
| "C) 9.05%", |
| "D) 6.28%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "10.43%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220401", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-04-01", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-03-25", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-04-01? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-25.)\n\nA) -3.48%\nB) -0.65%\nC) 3.59%\nD) -2.07%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.48%", |
| "B) -0.65%", |
| "C) 3.59%", |
| "D) -2.07%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.65%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220408", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-04-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-04-01", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-04-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-04-01.)\n\nA) -2.81%\nB) -7.08%\nC) -5.65%\nD) -8.50%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.81%", |
| "B) -7.08%", |
| "C) -5.65%", |
| "D) -8.50%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-5.65%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220415", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-04-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-04-08", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-04-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-04-08.)\n\nA) 2.42%\nB) -1.89%\nC) 0.98%\nD) -0.45%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.42%", |
| "B) -1.89%", |
| "C) 0.98%", |
| "D) -0.45%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.45%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220506", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-05-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-04-29", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2022-04-29.)\n\nA) -3.12%\nB) 1.49%\nC) -0.05%\nD) -1.58%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.12%", |
| "B) 1.49%", |
| "C) -0.05%", |
| "D) -1.58%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-3.12%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220513", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-05-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-05-06", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-05-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-06.)\n\nA) -0.03%\nB) 1.56%\nC) -3.21%\nD) 3.16%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.03%", |
| "B) 1.56%", |
| "C) -3.21%", |
| "D) 3.16%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.56%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220520", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-05-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-05-13", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-05-20? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-13.)\n\nA) -5.91%\nB) -7.55%\nC) -2.64%\nD) -4.28%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -5.91%", |
| "B) -7.55%", |
| "C) -2.64%", |
| "D) -4.28%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.64%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220603", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-06-03", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-05-27", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-06-03? (Use only information available on or before 2022-05-27.)\n\nA) 4.55%\nB) -2.27%\nC) -5.68%\nD) -0.57%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.55%", |
| "B) -2.27%", |
| "C) -5.68%", |
| "D) -0.57%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.57%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220610", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-06-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-06-03", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-06-10? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-03.)\n\nA) -5.98%\nB) -4.26%\nC) -9.43%\nD) -2.53%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -5.98%", |
| "B) -4.26%", |
| "C) -9.43%", |
| "D) -2.53%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-5.98%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220617", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-06-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-06-10", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-06-17? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-10.)\n\nA) -1.85%\nB) -0.10%\nC) -3.60%\nD) 1.65%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.85%", |
| "B) -0.10%", |
| "C) -3.60%", |
| "D) 1.65%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220701", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-07-01", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-06-24", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-07-01? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-24.)\n\nA) -5.28%\nB) -1.61%\nC) -3.44%\nD) 2.06%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -5.28%", |
| "B) -1.61%", |
| "C) -3.44%", |
| "D) 2.06%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-3.44%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220708", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-07-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-01", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-07-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-01.)\n\nA) -0.93%\nB) 0.92%\nC) 6.46%\nD) 2.77%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.93%", |
| "B) 0.92%", |
| "C) 6.46%", |
| "D) 2.77%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.77%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220715", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-07-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-08", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-07-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-08.)\n\nA) 0.70%\nB) 2.56%\nC) 6.28%\nD) -1.16%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.70%", |
| "B) 2.56%", |
| "C) 6.28%", |
| "D) -1.16%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.70%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220805", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-07-29", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2022-07-29.)\n\nA) -1.49%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 4.25%\nD) 8.07%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.49%", |
| "B) 2.33%", |
| "C) 4.25%", |
| "D) 8.07%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.33%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220812", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-08-12", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-08-05", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-08-12? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-05.)\n\nA) -0.66%\nB) 8.95%\nC) 3.19%\nD) 1.26%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.66%", |
| "B) 8.95%", |
| "C) 3.19%", |
| "D) 1.26%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.19%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220819", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-08-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-08-12", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-08-19? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-12.)\n\nA) -7.10%\nB) -9.03%\nC) 2.59%\nD) -3.22%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -7.10%", |
| "B) -9.03%", |
| "C) 2.59%", |
| "D) -3.22%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-3.22%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220902", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-09-02", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-08-26", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-09-02? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-26.)\n\nA) -3.22%\nB) -1.25%\nC) 0.72%\nD) -7.15%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.22%", |
| "B) -1.25%", |
| "C) 0.72%", |
| "D) -7.15%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-3.22%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220909", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-09-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-02", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-09-09? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-02.)\n\nA) 2.95%\nB) 4.91%\nC) 8.85%\nD) 10.82%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.95%", |
| "B) 4.91%", |
| "C) 8.85%", |
| "D) 10.82%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.91%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20220916", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-09-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-09", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-09-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-09.)\n\nA) -0.73%\nB) -4.69%\nC) -6.67%\nD) -2.71%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.73%", |
| "B) -4.69%", |
| "C) -6.67%", |
| "D) -2.71%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-6.67%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20221007", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-10-07", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-09-30", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-30.)\n\nA) -5.56%\nB) 4.57%\nC) 0.52%\nD) -1.51%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -5.56%", |
| "B) 4.57%", |
| "C) 0.52%", |
| "D) -1.51%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.51%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20221014", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-10-14", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-07", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-10-14? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-07.)\n\nA) -2.09%\nB) -4.15%\nC) -8.25%\nD) 4.07%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.09%", |
| "B) -4.15%", |
| "C) -8.25%", |
| "D) 4.07%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.09%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20221021", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-10-21", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-14", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-10-21? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-14.)\n\nA) 5.86%\nB) 1.72%\nC) 3.79%\nD) -4.48%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.86%", |
| "B) 1.72%", |
| "C) 3.79%", |
| "D) -4.48%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.72%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20221104", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-11-04", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-10-28", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-11-04? (Use only information available on or before 2022-10-28.)\n\nA) -0.45%\nB) -10.99%\nC) -4.67%\nD) -6.78%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.45%", |
| "B) -10.99%", |
| "C) -4.67%", |
| "D) -6.78%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-4.67%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20221111", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-11-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-04", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-11-11? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-04.)\n\nA) 11.43%\nB) 5.06%\nC) 0.82%\nD) 7.18%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 11.43%", |
| "B) 5.06%", |
| "C) 0.82%", |
| "D) 7.18%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "7.18%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20221118", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-11-18", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-11", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-11-18? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-11.)\n\nA) -0.45%\nB) -7.02%\nC) 3.94%\nD) 1.74%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.45%", |
| "B) -7.02%", |
| "C) 3.94%", |
| "D) 1.74%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.45%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20221202", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-12-02", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-11-25", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-12-02? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-25.)\n\nA) 10.34%\nB) 3.73%\nC) 1.53%\nD) 5.93%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10.34%", |
| "B) 3.73%", |
| "C) 1.53%", |
| "D) 5.93%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.73%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20221209", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-12-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-12-02", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-12-09? (Use only information available on or before 2022-12-02.)\n\nA) -4.30%\nB) -6.51%\nC) -2.09%\nD) 0.11%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -4.30%", |
| "B) -6.51%", |
| "C) -2.09%", |
| "D) 0.11%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.09%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20221216", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2022-12-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-12-09", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2022-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-12-09.)\n\nA) 0.47%\nB) -1.73%\nC) -8.33%\nD) -3.93%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.47%", |
| "B) -1.73%", |
| "C) -8.33%", |
| "D) -3.93%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-3.93%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2022 |
| } |
| ] |
