| { | |
| "matched_attempts": 3843, | |
| "predicted_attempts": 4156, | |
| "ece_10bin": 0.0425, | |
| "brier": 0.0341, | |
| "share_below_10_or_above_90": 0.7299, | |
| "success_rate": 0.5857, | |
| "mean_p": 0.6076, | |
| "reliability": [ | |
| { | |
| "bin": [ | |
| 0.0, | |
| 0.1 | |
| ], | |
| "n": 899, | |
| "mean_p": 0.065, | |
| "success_rate": 0.0056 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "bin": [ | |
| 0.1, | |
| 0.2 | |
| ], | |
| "n": 442, | |
| "mean_p": 0.1357, | |
| "success_rate": 0.0271 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "bin": [ | |
| 0.2, | |
| 0.3 | |
| ], | |
| "n": 120, | |
| "mean_p": 0.2415, | |
| "success_rate": 0.075 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "bin": [ | |
| 0.3, | |
| 0.4 | |
| ], | |
| "n": 66, | |
| "mean_p": 0.3473, | |
| "success_rate": 0.3636 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "bin": [ | |
| 0.4, | |
| 0.5 | |
| ], | |
| "n": 44, | |
| "mean_p": 0.4393, | |
| "success_rate": 0.3864 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "bin": [ | |
| 0.5, | |
| 0.6 | |
| ], | |
| "n": 62, | |
| "mean_p": 0.5549, | |
| "success_rate": 0.5806 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "bin": [ | |
| 0.6, | |
| 0.7 | |
| ], | |
| "n": 68, | |
| "mean_p": 0.6512, | |
| "success_rate": 0.7206 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "bin": [ | |
| 0.7, | |
| 0.8 | |
| ], | |
| "n": 87, | |
| "mean_p": 0.7549, | |
| "success_rate": 0.8046 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "bin": [ | |
| 0.8, | |
| 0.9 | |
| ], | |
| "n": 149, | |
| "mean_p": 0.8548, | |
| "success_rate": 0.8926 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "bin": [ | |
| 0.9, | |
| 1.0 | |
| ], | |
| "n": 1906, | |
| "mean_p": 0.983, | |
| "success_rate": 0.9948 | |
| } | |
| ], | |
| "note": "test rollouts (899); predicted attempts matched one to one to P&W gold attempts (same label, IoU >= 0.5, the failure-metric matching); success = gold rating not failed; 10 equal-width bins" | |
| } |