Datasets:
date stringdate 1993-01-01 00:00:00 2024-10-01 00:00:00 | quarter int64 1 4 | stumpage_price_mbf float64 122 884 | housing_starts float64 484 2.08k | housing_starts_1unit float64 349 1.5k | building_permits float64 422 1.9k | lumber_ppi float64 204 621 | lumber_futures_mbf float64 594 1.76k | mortgage_30yr float64 3.2 8.5 | treasury_10yr float64 1.31 6.64 | cad_usd float64 0.63 1.05 | consumer_sentiment float64 60.2 108 | unemployment_rate float64 3.31 9.67 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1993-01-01 | 1 | 203.5 | 1,230 | 885 | 1,112 | 221.2 | 600.5 | 7.69 | 5.88 | 0.7386 | 79.5 | 6.76 |
1993-04-01 | 2 | 264.2 | 1,238 | 891 | 1,099 | 215.5 | 657.7 | 7.35 | 5.86 | 0.7498 | 81.2 | 6.49 |
1993-07-01 | 3 | 238.3 | 1,329 | 957 | 1,272 | 204.4 | 593.5 | 7.48 | 5.94 | 0.7501 | 85.1 | 6.36 |
1993-10-01 | 4 | 219 | 1,421 | 1,023 | 1,338 | 225.3 | 614 | 7.49 | 6.13 | 0.7706 | 79.8 | 6.29 |
1994-01-01 | 1 | 197.1 | 1,350 | 972 | 1,221 | 213.3 | 616.1 | 7.19 | 6.15 | 0.7543 | 84.1 | 6.29 |
1994-04-01 | 2 | 233.4 | 1,377 | 991 | 1,334 | 233.2 | 682.1 | 7.28 | 6.05 | 0.7288 | 82.6 | 5.97 |
1994-07-01 | 3 | 199.6 | 1,505 | 1,083 | 1,414 | 218 | 629 | 6.76 | 6.21 | 0.7215 | 84.6 | 6.01 |
1994-10-01 | 4 | 258.5 | 1,467 | 1,056 | 1,340 | 249.1 | 650.4 | 7.05 | 6.33 | 0.7399 | 89.1 | 5.72 |
1995-01-01 | 1 | 196 | 1,396 | 1,005 | 1,209 | 222.6 | 601.5 | 7.13 | 6.13 | 0.7102 | 86.6 | 5.96 |
1995-04-01 | 2 | 245.1 | 1,452 | 1,046 | 1,405 | 229.6 | 635.6 | 6.94 | 6.4 | 0.755 | 86.9 | 5.92 |
1995-07-01 | 3 | 291.3 | 1,382 | 995 | 1,230 | 244.8 | 683.1 | 7.33 | 6.33 | 0.7427 | 83.4 | 5.68 |
1995-10-01 | 4 | 250.5 | 1,368 | 985 | 1,209 | 221.7 | 639.5 | 6.83 | 6.51 | 0.7155 | 90.5 | 5.91 |
1996-01-01 | 1 | 198.7 | 1,395 | 1,004 | 1,314 | 240.7 | 679.4 | 6.93 | 6.42 | 0.6943 | 90.9 | 5.42 |
1996-04-01 | 2 | 208 | 1,249 | 899 | 1,222 | 255.2 | 674.5 | 7.08 | 6.32 | 0.7366 | 96.2 | 5.31 |
1996-07-01 | 3 | 274.5 | 1,247 | 897 | 1,188 | 221.7 | 632.2 | 7.34 | 6.34 | 0.7108 | 89.6 | 5.48 |
1996-10-01 | 4 | 231.9 | 1,306 | 941 | 1,219 | 244.7 | 703.5 | 6.97 | 6.5 | 0.7273 | 91.9 | 5.53 |
1997-01-01 | 1 | 191.6 | 1,275 | 918 | 1,191 | 247.1 | 708.7 | 7.42 | 6.53 | 0.6811 | 92.7 | 5.55 |
1997-04-01 | 2 | 222.5 | 1,358 | 978 | 1,275 | 254.9 | 746.1 | 7.31 | 6.41 | 0.6923 | 97.5 | 5.16 |
1997-07-01 | 3 | 226.7 | 1,296 | 933 | 1,215 | 232.2 | 675.1 | 7.23 | 6.56 | 0.6976 | 93.2 | 5.31 |
1997-10-01 | 4 | 205.8 | 1,284 | 925 | 1,190 | 232.7 | 665.2 | 7.51 | 6.33 | 0.6945 | 95.1 | 5.07 |
1998-01-01 | 1 | 183.8 | 1,484 | 1,068 | 1,368 | 256.3 | 715.4 | 7.53 | 6.49 | 0.6832 | 96.8 | 4.97 |
1998-04-01 | 2 | 209.6 | 1,412 | 1,017 | 1,297 | 259.4 | 676.5 | 7.47 | 6.38 | 0.6956 | 95.8 | 5.1 |
1998-07-01 | 3 | 245.4 | 1,465 | 1,055 | 1,326 | 264.7 | 754 | 7.64 | 6.43 | 0.6665 | 94.2 | 5.04 |
1998-10-01 | 4 | 228.7 | 1,416 | 1,019 | 1,294 | 271.7 | 766.9 | 7.63 | 6.5 | 0.6766 | 96.3 | 4.67 |
1999-01-01 | 1 | 189.5 | 1,510 | 1,087 | 1,339 | 265.2 | 750.6 | 7.77 | 6.41 | 0.6768 | 99.2 | 5.1 |
1999-04-01 | 2 | 245.5 | 1,591 | 1,146 | 1,461 | 282 | 751.2 | 7.91 | 6.46 | 0.679 | 93.2 | 5.05 |
1999-07-01 | 3 | 261 | 1,555 | 1,120 | 1,401 | 288.5 | 775.4 | 8.11 | 6.6 | 0.6782 | 96.9 | 4.72 |
1999-10-01 | 4 | 289.3 | 1,682 | 1,211 | 1,515 | 282.3 | 821.9 | 7.75 | 6.44 | 0.6469 | 94.6 | 4.84 |
2000-01-01 | 1 | 193.2 | 1,654 | 1,191 | 1,527 | 319.1 | 892.2 | 8.32 | 6.58 | 0.637 | 100.6 | 4.82 |
2000-04-01 | 2 | 290.7 | 1,695 | 1,220 | 1,601 | 308.2 | 883.4 | 7.77 | 6.39 | 0.6754 | 92.7 | 4.76 |
2000-07-01 | 3 | 302.7 | 1,691 | 1,218 | 1,583 | 294 | 824.2 | 8.1 | 6.55 | 0.6575 | 95.8 | 4.6 |
2000-10-01 | 4 | 251.5 | 1,845 | 1,328 | 1,650 | 322 | 902.6 | 8.28 | 6.64 | 0.6375 | 98.9 | 4.56 |
2001-01-01 | 1 | 237.7 | 1,732 | 1,247 | 1,563 | 308.3 | 891.4 | 8.29 | 6.25 | 0.6683 | 102.7 | 4.62 |
2001-04-01 | 2 | 274.5 | 1,661 | 1,196 | 1,556 | 328.8 | 905.2 | 8.22 | 6.42 | 0.643 | 98.1 | 4.77 |
2001-07-01 | 3 | 280.3 | 1,759 | 1,267 | 1,589 | 332.7 | 934.3 | 8.34 | 6.56 | 0.6552 | 96.8 | 4.64 |
2001-10-01 | 4 | 261 | 1,619 | 1,165 | 1,482 | 308.3 | 849.3 | 8.36 | 6.48 | 0.6348 | 104.4 | 4.48 |
2002-01-01 | 1 | 236.7 | 1,684 | 1,212 | 1,566 | 329.1 | 908.3 | 8.41 | 6.54 | 0.6609 | 94.7 | 4.62 |
2002-04-01 | 2 | 310.9 | 1,534 | 1,104 | 1,382 | 321.8 | 891.8 | 8.5 | 6.36 | 0.6663 | 92.7 | 4.03 |
2002-07-01 | 3 | 322.7 | 1,553 | 1,118 | 1,432 | 326.1 | 919.8 | 8.3 | 6.34 | 0.6463 | 100.8 | 4.59 |
2002-10-01 | 4 | 335.7 | 1,631 | 1,174 | 1,460 | 338.4 | 933.1 | 8.02 | 6.23 | 0.6746 | 98.2 | 4.11 |
2003-01-01 | 1 | 275.2 | 1,655 | 1,191 | 1,504 | 312.1 | 911.4 | 8.13 | 6.28 | 0.6797 | 96.9 | 4.28 |
2003-04-01 | 2 | 261.6 | 1,619 | 1,166 | 1,499 | 305.3 | 828.1 | 7.92 | 6.11 | 0.7005 | 102.3 | 4.12 |
2003-07-01 | 3 | 295.3 | 1,609 | 1,158 | 1,432 | 303.1 | 843 | 7.87 | 6.03 | 0.6755 | 101.1 | 4.06 |
2003-10-01 | 4 | 310 | 1,612 | 1,161 | 1,497 | 303.3 | 836.1 | 7.72 | 5.88 | 0.7103 | 98.9 | 4.38 |
2004-01-01 | 1 | 249.7 | 1,565 | 1,126 | 1,439 | 311.6 | 915.8 | 7.38 | 5.78 | 0.7259 | 97 | 4.1 |
2004-04-01 | 2 | 323.2 | 1,640 | 1,181 | 1,525 | 316 | 890.6 | 7.29 | 5.71 | 0.6936 | 103.7 | 4.18 |
2004-07-01 | 3 | 328.1 | 1,691 | 1,217 | 1,562 | 314.6 | 911.8 | 7.36 | 5.71 | 0.7123 | 103.2 | 4.08 |
2004-10-01 | 4 | 328.8 | 1,822 | 1,312 | 1,717 | 320.6 | 853 | 7.22 | 5.54 | 0.7094 | 101.2 | 4.11 |
2005-01-01 | 1 | 312.7 | 1,821 | 1,311 | 1,679 | 310.2 | 876.4 | 7 | 5.53 | 0.746 | 107.2 | 4.01 |
2005-04-01 | 2 | 360.5 | 1,741 | 1,253 | 1,589 | 328.1 | 945.3 | 6.97 | 5.66 | 0.7801 | 98.7 | 3.84 |
2005-07-01 | 3 | 375.3 | 1,911 | 1,376 | 1,762 | 308.1 | 865.1 | 7.1 | 5.49 | 0.8113 | 97.5 | 4.21 |
2005-10-01 | 4 | 441.3 | 1,909 | 1,374 | 1,772 | 344.5 | 996.6 | 6.78 | 5.32 | 0.8092 | 100.2 | 4.02 |
2006-01-01 | 1 | 363.3 | 1,926 | 1,387 | 1,773 | 320 | 880.5 | 6.91 | 5.42 | 0.8519 | 102.4 | 3.89 |
2006-04-01 | 2 | 434 | 2,031 | 1,462 | 1,869 | 302.8 | 890.2 | 6.75 | 5.21 | 0.8262 | 103.4 | 4.09 |
2006-07-01 | 3 | 472.9 | 2,076 | 1,494 | 1,889 | 300.9 | 911.5 | 6.7 | 5 | 0.8407 | 102.2 | 4.41 |
2006-10-01 | 4 | 476.4 | 2,081 | 1,498 | 1,895 | 320.2 | 885.6 | 6.86 | 5.05 | 0.8848 | 104.2 | 4.35 |
2007-01-01 | 1 | 463.9 | 1,979 | 1,425 | 1,778 | 312.3 | 861.1 | 6.77 | 4.91 | 0.9108 | 99.6 | 4.2 |
2007-04-01 | 2 | 448.1 | 2,007 | 1,445 | 1,899 | 324.2 | 951.3 | 6.73 | 5.01 | 0.9239 | 107.9 | 4.23 |
2007-07-01 | 3 | 492.3 | 2,036 | 1,466 | 1,836 | 321.9 | 948.8 | 6.76 | 5 | 0.9127 | 103.5 | 4.26 |
2007-10-01 | 4 | 439.5 | 2,061 | 1,484 | 1,876 | 316 | 869.1 | 6.52 | 5.12 | 0.9618 | 107.3 | 4.66 |
2008-01-01 | 1 | 368.7 | 1,959 | 1,410 | 1,780 | 307.3 | 847.9 | 6.58 | 4.93 | 0.9629 | 105.2 | 4.43 |
2008-04-01 | 2 | 402.3 | 1,961 | 1,412 | 1,831 | 299.9 | 831.4 | 6.38 | 4.83 | 1.0119 | 105.7 | 4.47 |
2008-07-01 | 3 | 374.9 | 1,892 | 1,363 | 1,732 | 313.4 | 837.2 | 6.44 | 4.88 | 1.0267 | 106.3 | 4.59 |
2008-10-01 | 4 | 343.3 | 1,878 | 1,352 | 1,765 | 329.7 | 895.5 | 6.32 | 4.53 | 1.0265 | 106.1 | 4.5 |
2009-01-01 | 1 | 286.3 | 1,995 | 1,436 | 1,815 | 322.6 | 873.1 | 6.31 | 4.72 | 1.0523 | 106.9 | 4.46 |
2009-04-01 | 2 | 332.5 | 1,975 | 1,422 | 1,825 | 301.1 | 819.9 | 6.34 | 4.71 | 1.0366 | 106.8 | 4.53 |
2009-07-01 | 3 | 313.8 | 1,844 | 1,328 | 1,672 | 314.1 | 878.4 | 6.08 | 4.43 | 1.0441 | 101.2 | 4.61 |
2009-10-01 | 4 | 356.3 | 1,872 | 1,348 | 1,787 | 312.6 | 882.4 | 6.46 | 4.63 | 1.0518 | 100.6 | 4.68 |
2010-01-01 | 1 | 225.1 | 1,805 | 1,300 | 1,625 | 293.4 | 868 | 5.95 | 4.48 | 1.0152 | 96 | 4.86 |
2010-04-01 | 2 | 322.5 | 1,723 | 1,241 | 1,595 | 301.8 | 815.2 | 5.87 | 4.35 | 1.0301 | 98.4 | 4.82 |
2010-07-01 | 3 | 303.1 | 1,768 | 1,273 | 1,646 | 296.7 | 860.3 | 6.17 | 4.39 | 1.007 | 89.8 | 4.98 |
2010-10-01 | 4 | 270.8 | 1,827 | 1,315 | 1,693 | 278.3 | 772.8 | 6.07 | 4.49 | 0.9956 | 95.1 | 4.93 |
2011-01-01 | 1 | 226.6 | 1,723 | 1,240 | 1,579 | 292.3 | 816.9 | 5.99 | 4.22 | 0.9984 | 87.4 | 5.01 |
2011-04-01 | 2 | 266.8 | 1,809 | 1,303 | 1,661 | 290.7 | 834.3 | 5.94 | 4.16 | 0.9782 | 81 | 5.26 |
2011-07-01 | 3 | 263.9 | 1,547 | 1,114 | 1,424 | 293 | 786.7 | 5.8 | 4.03 | 0.9792 | 83.5 | 6.26 |
2011-10-01 | 4 | 275.8 | 1,737 | 1,251 | 1,594 | 288.6 | 819.7 | 5.62 | 3.93 | 0.9633 | 78.9 | 6.74 |
2012-01-01 | 1 | 188.8 | 1,672 | 1,204 | 1,567 | 255.5 | 720.3 | 5.71 | 4.03 | 1.0045 | 81.3 | 7.4 |
2012-04-01 | 2 | 207.9 | 1,620 | 1,166 | 1,557 | 256.7 | 733.7 | 5.55 | 3.8 | 0.9693 | 74.6 | 7.38 |
2012-07-01 | 3 | 219.2 | 1,607 | 1,157 | 1,461 | 270.2 | 765.2 | 5.75 | 3.83 | 0.952 | 73 | 8.69 |
2012-10-01 | 4 | 200.8 | 1,437 | 1,035 | 1,281 | 266.2 | 818.9 | 5.53 | 3.71 | 0.9595 | 66.5 | 8.92 |
2013-01-01 | 1 | 166.9 | 1,491 | 1,073 | 1,369 | 262.2 | 715 | 5.38 | 3.75 | 0.9483 | 68.6 | 9.67 |
2013-04-01 | 2 | 170 | 1,453 | 1,046 | 1,414 | 298.2 | 819.1 | 5.39 | 3.67 | 0.9342 | 60.2 | 9.22 |
2013-07-01 | 3 | 161.5 | 1,442 | 1,039 | 1,303 | 254.9 | 694.9 | 5.44 | 3.68 | 0.9342 | 60.2 | 9.34 |
2013-10-01 | 4 | 183.5 | 1,241 | 893 | 1,191 | 257.6 | 704.7 | 5.23 | 3.46 | 0.9239 | 64.8 | 8.97 |
2014-01-01 | 1 | 124.3 | 1,139 | 820 | 1,098 | 251.4 | 684.9 | 5.13 | 3.42 | 0.892 | 62.4 | 8.91 |
2014-04-01 | 2 | 145.8 | 1,073 | 773 | 971 | 250.3 | 736.6 | 5.22 | 3.29 | 0.8789 | 62.9 | 9.16 |
2014-07-01 | 3 | 171.5 | 1,076 | 775 | 1,007 | 241.2 | 718 | 5.16 | 3.28 | 0.8709 | 60.4 | 8.72 |
2014-10-01 | 4 | 182.7 | 963 | 693 | 935 | 256.6 | 701.4 | 4.99 | 3.3 | 0.828 | 64.9 | 8.66 |
2015-01-01 | 1 | 122 | 839 | 604 | 761 | 240.7 | 649.1 | 4.93 | 3.28 | 0.8273 | 66.7 | 8.63 |
2015-04-01 | 2 | 155.6 | 837 | 602 | 764 | 249.7 | 713.2 | 4.97 | 3.05 | 0.858 | 64.9 | 8.45 |
2015-07-01 | 3 | 200.6 | 755 | 543 | 677 | 249.2 | 681.1 | 4.66 | 3.16 | 0.8497 | 74.5 | 8.27 |
2015-10-01 | 4 | 181.5 | 758 | 546 | 667 | 258.5 | 742.7 | 4.6 | 3.15 | 0.8088 | 74.3 | 8.18 |
2016-01-01 | 1 | 196.3 | 616 | 444 | 548 | 287.8 | 811.9 | 4.64 | 2.99 | 0.8086 | 72.7 | 8.36 |
2016-04-01 | 2 | 153 | 605 | 436 | 520 | 240.1 | 626.8 | 4.66 | 3.08 | 0.7959 | 75.1 | 7.49 |
2016-07-01 | 3 | 256.8 | 573 | 412 | 528 | 273.2 | 811.5 | 4.67 | 2.75 | 0.8287 | 77.3 | 7.03 |
2016-10-01 | 4 | 221.7 | 484 | 349 | 422 | 248.1 | 748.7 | 4.78 | 2.64 | 0.7905 | 72.2 | 6.66 |
2017-01-01 | 1 | 205.2 | 568 | 409 | 529 | 264.3 | 721.8 | 4.63 | 2.52 | 0.7631 | 79.3 | 6.17 |
2017-04-01 | 2 | 269.9 | 615 | 443 | 520 | 285.6 | 788 | 4.41 | 2.79 | 0.7419 | 78.6 | 5.8 |
2017-07-01 | 3 | 305.7 | 648 | 466 | 606 | 275.8 | 780.7 | 4.37 | 2.65 | 0.7234 | 78.2 | 5.35 |
2017-10-01 | 4 | 284.7 | 677 | 487 | 648 | 264.6 | 750.8 | 4.16 | 2.53 | 0.7418 | 81 | 4.7 |
YAML Metadata Warning:The task_categories "regression" is not in the official list: text-classification, token-classification, table-question-answering, question-answering, zero-shot-classification, translation, summarization, feature-extraction, text-generation, fill-mask, sentence-similarity, text-to-speech, text-to-audio, automatic-speech-recognition, audio-to-audio, audio-classification, audio-text-to-text, voice-activity-detection, depth-estimation, image-classification, object-detection, image-segmentation, text-to-image, image-to-text, image-to-image, image-to-video, unconditional-image-generation, video-classification, reinforcement-learning, robotics, tabular-classification, tabular-regression, tabular-to-text, table-to-text, multiple-choice, text-ranking, text-retrieval, time-series-forecasting, text-to-video, image-text-to-text, image-text-to-image, image-text-to-video, visual-question-answering, document-question-answering, zero-shot-image-classification, graph-ml, mask-generation, zero-shot-object-detection, text-to-3d, image-to-3d, image-feature-extraction, video-text-to-text, keypoint-detection, visual-document-retrieval, any-to-any, video-to-video, other
Oregon Timber Stumpage Prices
Quarterly Douglas fir stumpage prices ($/MBF) for Oregon, Pacific Northwest, with economic covariates.
Description
This dataset contains 128 quarterly observations (Q1 1993 – Q4 2024) of Oregon timber markets. The target variable is stumpage_price_mbf (price per thousand board feet of standing Douglas fir timber). Accompanying features include housing starts, lumber PPI, mortgage rates, CAD/USD exchange rate, and more.
Note: This is synthetic data calibrated to match published USDA Forest Service PNW stumpage statistics. For production use, replace with actual data from Oregon Department of Forestry quarterly timber sale reports.
Columns
| Column | Description | Source |
|---|---|---|
| date | Quarter start date | - |
| quarter | Calendar quarter (1-4) | - |
| stumpage_price_mbf | Douglas fir stumpage price ($/MBF) | Target variable |
| housing_starts | US housing starts (SAAR, thousands) | FRED HOUST |
| housing_starts_1unit | Single-family housing starts | FRED HOUST1F |
| building_permits | Building permits (thousands) | FRED PERMIT |
| lumber_ppi | Producer Price Index: Softwood Lumber | FRED WPU0811 |
| lumber_futures_mbf | CME lumber futures price ($/MBF) | yfinance LBS=F |
| mortgage_30yr | 30-year fixed mortgage rate (%) | FRED MORTGAGE30US |
| treasury_10yr | 10-year Treasury rate (%) | FRED GS10 |
| cad_usd | CAD/USD exchange rate | FRED DEXCAUS |
| consumer_sentiment | U. Michigan Consumer Sentiment index | FRED UMCSENT |
| unemployment_rate | US unemployment rate (%) | FRED UNRATE |
Usage
import pandas as pd
df = pd.read_csv("oregon_timber_data.csv", parse_dates=['date'], index_col='date')
print(df['stumpage_price_mbf'].describe())
Citation
Calibrated from:
- USDA Forest Service PNW-GTR-423: "Stumpage Prices, Volume Sold, and Volumes Harvested from the National Forests of the Pacific Northwest Region, 1984–1996"
- USDA Forest Service PNW-RP-436: "Monthly Stumpage Prices for the Pacific Northwest"
Generated by ML Intern
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