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event moral
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event moral
two we should always if we're getting an
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two we should always if we're getting an
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two we should always if we're getting an
estimated probability
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estimated probability
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estimated probability
know that and probably say that and not
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know that and probably say that and not
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know that and probably say that and not
confuse it with the actual
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confuse it with the actual
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confuse it with the actual
probability the third moral here is it
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probability the third moral here is it
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probability the third moral here is it
was kind of stupid to do a simulation
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was kind of stupid to do a simulation
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was kind of stupid to do a simulation
since it was a very simple closed form
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since it was a very simple closed form
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since it was a very simple closed form
answer that we could compute that would
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answer that we could compute that would
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answer that we could compute that would
really tell us what the actual
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really tell us what the actual
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really tell us what the actual
probability is why even bother with the
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probability is why even bother with the
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probability is why even bother with the
simulation well we're going to see why
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simulation well we're going to see why
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simulation well we're going to see why
now cuz simulations can be very
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now cuz simulations can be very
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