README.md

---
language:
- en
license: other
extra_gated_prompt: "To get access to this dataset, you must subscribe to Papers With Backtest. To subscribe, go to https://paperswithbacktest.com/ > Login > Choose Your Plan > Subscribe."
dataset_info:
  features:
  - name: datetime
    dtype: string
  - name: turing_risk
    dtype: float64
  - name: market_risk
    dtype: float64
  - name: business_risk
    dtype: float64
  - name: political_risk
    dtype: float64
  - name: hs
    dtype: float64
  - name: ma
    dtype: float64
  - name: ewma
    dtype: float64
  - name: garch
    dtype: float64
  - name: ensemble
    dtype: float64
  - name: vix
    dtype: float64
  - name: systemic
    dtype: float64
  - name: turbulence
    dtype: float64
  - name: recession_6
    dtype: float64
  - name: recession_12
    dtype: float64
  - name: recession_24
    dtype: float64
  - name: cape
    dtype: float64
  - name: naiim_neg
    dtype: float64
  - name: aaii_neg
    dtype: float64
  - name: ads_business_neg
    dtype: float64
  - name: nonman_outlook_neg
    dtype: float64
  - name: man_phil_neg
    dtype: float64
  - name: man_tex_neg
    dtype: float64
  - name: man_ny_neg
    dtype: float64
  - name: cfnai_fneg
    dtype: float64
  - name: zew_sent_neg
    dtype: float64
  - name: atlanta_unc
    dtype: float64
  - name: building_index_neg
    dtype: float64
  - name: consumer_index_neg
    dtype: float64
  - name: industry_index_neg
    dtype: float64
  - name: main_index_neg
    dtype: float64
  - name: retail_index_neg
    dtype: float64
  - name: services_index_neg
    dtype: float64
  - name: mics_ics_neg
    dtype: float64
  - name: mics_icc_neg
    dtype: float64
  - name: mics_ice_neg
    dtype: float64
  - name: news_sent_neg
    dtype: float64
  - name: term_spread
    dtype: float64
  - name: credit_spread
    dtype: float64
  - name: corp_bond_distress
    dtype: float64
  - name: misery_index
    dtype: float64
  - name: housing_afford_neg
    dtype: float64
  - name: new_trucks
    dtype: float64
  - name: new_homes
    dtype: float64
  - name: cfsec_neg
    dtype: float64
  - name: us_policy_unc_d
    dtype: float64
  - name: uk_policy_unc_d
    dtype: float64
  - name: china_policy_unc_m
    dtype: float64
  - name: us_market_unc_d
    dtype: float64
  - name: us_policy_vol_m
    dtype: float64
  - name: global_policy_unc_m
    dtype: float64
  - name: us_sovereign_unc_m
    dtype: float64
  - name: geo_unc_d
    dtype: float64
  - name: geo_unc_m
    dtype: float64
  - name: geo_equal_m
    dtype: float64
  - name: web_search_unc_m
    dtype: float64
  - name: thinktank_unc_m
    dtype: float64

---
# Dataset Information

The **Turing Risk Index** aggregates market, business, and political risk
signals into a comprehensive daily indicator. The dataset provides historical
values for the headline index along with its underlying components, enabling
users to monitor and forecast global risk conditions.

## Key Highlights
- **Coverage**: Daily history of the global Turing Risk Index from SOV.AI.
- **Composition**: Includes market risk estimates, recession probabilities,
  volatility measures, macro sentiment surveys, and geopolitical uncertainty
  metrics.
- **Use cases**: Assess systemic risk, anticipate market turbulence, and track
  macroeconomic and geopolitical pressures impacting global markets.

## Data Source
Data provided by SOV.AI.