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woodpecker
Sandhill
bird index
CLIP
P1
CLIP
P2
CLIP
P1
CLIP
P2
CLIP
P1
CLIP
P2
CLIP
P1
CLIP
P2
CLIP
P1
CLIP
P2
CLIP
P1
CLIP
P2
CLIP
P1
CLIP
P2
Baseline area of target (km2
) 5,101.0 260.6 3,978.1 99.1 4,438.8 215.1 3,527.6 n/a 3,895.5 35.1 2,652.7 131.5 4,838.8 229.9
Area (km2
)
2040 Urban Int SLR 4,999.1 246.8 3,977.9 99.1 4,395.4 209.0 3,523.7 n/a 3,803.5 29.4 2,612.0 125.5 4,741.0 217.4
2040 Urban High SLR 4,998.1 246.8 3,977.2 99.1 4,395.0 209.0 3,523.5 n/a 3,803.3 29.4 2,611.9 125.5 4,740.4 217.4
2070 Alt Urban Int SLR 4,859.9 229.0 3,977.4 99.1 4,304.0 196.9 3,516.8 n/a 3,681.1 26.1 2,541.2 117.3 4,608.7 201.7
2070 Alt Urban High SLR 4,850.4 228.8 3,969.7 99.0 4,300.0 196.8 3,515.6 n/a 3,677.5 26.1 2,540.6 117.3 4,601.4 201.6
2070 Trend Urban Int SLR 4,711.1 220.6 3,977.1 99.1 4,219.0 190.0 3,459.1 n/a 3,555.8 25.2 2,498.8 111.6 4,466.7 194.5
2070 Trend Urban High SLR 4,701.7 220.4 3,969.4 99.0 4,215.1 190.0 3,458.0 n/a 3,552.3 25.2 2,498.2 111.6 4,459.5 194.3
% decrease from baseline
2040 Urban Int SLR 2.0 5.3 0.004 0.003 1.0 2.9 0.1 n/a 2.4 16.4 1.5 4.6 2.0 5.4
2040 Urban High SLR 2.0 5.3 0.02 0.01 1.0 2.9 0.1 n/a 2.4 16.4 1.5 4.6 2.0 5.4
2070 Alt Urban Int SLR 4.7 12.1 0.02 0.01 3.0 8.5 0.3 n/a 5.5 25.5 4.2 10.8 4.8 12.3
2070 Alt Urban High SLR 4.9 12.2 0.2 0.1 3.1 8.5 0.3 n/a 5.6 25.6 4.2 10.8 4.9 12.3
2070 Trend Urban Int SLR 7.6 15.3 0.02 0.01 5.0 11.7 1.9 n/a 8.7 28.1 5.8 15.2 7.7 15.4
2070 Trend Urban High SLR 7.8 15.4 0.2 0.1 5.0 11.7 2.0 n/a 8.8 28.2 5.8 15.2 7.8 15.5
n/a ¼ not applicable.
Figure 2. Study objective was to model susceptibility
scenarios resulting from urbanization and sea level rise (SLR)
to understand their potential future impacts on the Peninsular
Florida Landscape Conservation Cooperative conservation
targets, completed in 2018. Difference in the percent of area
lost (of Critical Lands and Waters Identification Project Priority
1 and 2 combined) between SLR scenarios (High and
Intermediate [Int]), holding urbanization scenarios constant
for High Pine & Scrub (HPS), Coastal Uplands (CU), and
Freshwater Aquatics (FA) Priority Resources. Higher values
indicate a greater difference in the percent area lost between
High and Intermediate SLR.
Impacts of Urbanization and Sea Level Rise S.S. Romanach et al. ˜
Journal of Fish and Wildlife Management | www.fwspubs.org June 2020 | Volume 11 | Issue 1 | 178
Downloaded from http://meridian.allenpress.com/jfwm/article-pdf/11/1/174/3103287/i1944-687x-11-1-174.pdf by guest on 29 February 2024
Table 3. Study objective was to model susceptibility scenarios resulting from urbanization and sea level rise (SLR) to understand
their potential future impacts on the Peninsular Florida Landscape Conservation Cooperative conservation targets, completed in
2018. The area (km2
) and percent (%) decrease in area of each model input (i.e., conservation target) for the Coastal Uplands Priority
Resource for each future model scenario of urbanization (Urban) and SLR. The baseline area of target represents the current extent
of the input model data with the 2010 urban baseline extracted. Each area and percent decrease in area is represented for Critical
Lands and Waters Identification Project Priority 1 and 2 (CLIP P1 and CLIP P2, respectively). The CLIP Landscape Integrity Index values
8 (high ecological integrity) and Florida Ecological Greenways Network Priority 1 (P1 ¼ Critical Linkages) were used for
calculations. We also present the area and percent change in area for the entire Coastal Uplands Priority Resource for CLIP P1 and
CLIP P2.
Model data and scenario
Coastal
Uplands
Priority
Resource
Protected
status
Landscape
Integrity
(8)
Ecological
Greenways
(P1)
American
oystercatcher
Snowy
plover
CLIP
P1
CLIP
P2
CLIP
P1
CLIP
P2
CLIP