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Central North South |
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Paleoecological studies indicate that Biscayne Bay has become increasingly |
marine over the last 100 years (Ishman et al. 1998; Stone et al. 2000; Wingard et al. |
2003, 2004), with smaller inter-decadal and decadal salinity fluctuations after 1915. |
Among the significant changes in the bay during the last century are declines in |
submerged vegetation (SAV) in central BB, and reduced molluscan faunal abundance |
and diversity bay-wide (Berkeley and Campos 1984, Serafy et al. 1997, Ault et al. |
1999a, b) and changes in the benthic foraminifera communities as reported in core and |
sediment samples from South Florida (Ishman 1996, 1997, 1998). |
Besides impacting SAV, salinity conditions affect some animal species in |
Biscayne Bay whose life cycles are closely linked to salinity conditions ranging from 12 |
to 28 ppt such as: the American crocodile (Crocodylus acutus), oyster (Crassostria |
virginica), spotted seatrout (Cynoscion nebulosus), silver perch (Bairdiella chrysoura), |
mojarras (Eucinostomus) and red drum/‖redfish‖ (Sciaenops ocellatus) (Bellmund et al |
2004). |
BISCAYNE BAY COASTAL WETLANDS |
Over a century of water management has caused estuarine habitats in the bay to |
shrink, while at the same time expanded areas of low biological productivity within |
Biscayne Bay’s watershed. This is particularly evident in areas that have been cut off |
from freshwater sources by canals or roads. The dwarf mangrove forest, known as the |
―white zone‖ along the coast of south Biscayne Bay is a good example of this inland |
impact (Fig 2.9). This zone is expanding and its landward boundary has moved inland |
by an average of one and a half kilometers (0.9 miles) since 1940 (CERP 2010). The |
low productivity of the white zone is primarily a result of absence of freshwater input |
from upstream sources. Perhaps one of the most important projects in the |
Comprehensive Everglades Restoration Plan (CERP) is to restore wetlands within |
Biscayne Bay (Fig 2.9). The project will divert runoff that currently discharges through |
regional canals and redistribute the freshwater through a spreader canal system into the |
coastal wetlands adjoining Biscayne Bay to provide a more natural and historic overland |
27 |
flow. The slower, more natural delivery of fresh water over a broad area is expected to |
reduce hypersaline conditions and re-establish appropriate estuarine salinities that are |
important to provide nursery habitat for fish and shellfish in tidal wetlands and nearshore |
bay habitats. This project is expected to create conditions that would be conducive to |
the re-establishment of oysters and other components typical of a healthy estuarine |
ecosystem. |
Figure 2.9: Satellite image showing the low-productivity dwarf mangrove forest, or |
―white zone‖ along the western coast of Card and Barnes sounds, and the location of |
the Biscayne Bay Coastal Wetlands Project (modified from CERP 2010) |
White |
Zone |
Turkey Point |
Card |
Sound |
Barnes |
Sound |
28 |
SECTION 3: |
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS |
SUMMARY STATISTICS |
Each WQ parameter at each sampling station was subjected to preliminary |
calculation of its statistics. Those dataset with more than 10% non-detects, were |
subjected to additional non-parametric calculations of robust regression on order |
statistics (Robust-ROS) and analysis of their probability plot. These calculations were |
only required for SRP and DIN for the overall BB dataset for initial characterization and |
clustering (Appendix 5), and for SRP, NOx, NO3, DIN and SRP for some individual subbasins. Robust-ROS procedure uses probabilities and applies survival analysis methods |
on log transformed and flipped data, without assuming normal distribution of the data. |
This procedure computes summary statistics avoiding transformation bias from logs to |
original data units (Helsel and Cohn 1988). A detailed discussion of the calculations is |
presented elsewhere (Helsel 2005). Detection limits for FIU data were not constant |
along the POR (Appendix 7), posing additional complications to the calculation of |
statistics for characterization and cluster analysis. Finally, summary statistics for all |
variables at each station are presented in (Appendix 5). |
FACTOR ANALYSIS AND CLUSTERING |
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