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TUERLINCKX , F. The shape of partial correlation matrices. Communications in Statistics-Theory and Methods 51 , 12 (2022), 4133โ€“4150. [4] BARLOW , J., AND DEMMEL , J. Computing accurate eigensystems of scaled diagonally dominant matrices. SIAM Journal on Numerical Analysis 27 , 3 (1990), 762โ€“791. [5] BECKERS , S., E BE...
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National Academy of Sciences 45 , 5 (1959), 740โ€“744. [22] POLONI , F. Positive matrix and diagonally dominant. MathOverflow, 2020. URL:https://mathoverflow.net/q/350334 (version: 2020-01-13). [23] REISACH , A., S EILER , C., AND WEICHWALD , S. Beware of the simulated dag! causal discovery benchmarks may be easy to game...
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We use ๐‘ˆto denote the set of unobserved (unmeasured) variables, ๐‘‚to denote the set of observed (measured) random variable, in short observable (s). ๐‘ข,๐‘ฃ,๐‘–,๐‘—,๐‘˜ , as well as integers and ๐‘Ž,๐‘,๐‘,๐‘‘ , are used to index a vertex (node) in a graph. Let ๐‘Œrepresents a random variable vector, then ๐‘Œ๐‘ข,๐‘Œ๐‘ฃ,๐‘Œ๐‘–,๐‘Œ๐‘—re...
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assertions. B.2 Problems of DAG representation when there exist unobserved confounder Causal sufficiency means no unmeasured (unobserved) common causes or the confounder takes only one value, which is usually violated in practice. As an example, in Figure 6 (reproducedfrom [ 29]),๐‘ˆis an unobserved confounder in the DA...
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Algorithm in [29]). DEFINITION 14 ( M-SEPARATION ).m-separation extends d- separation to the mixed graph: if there is no active path ๐œŒ๐‘Ž(๐ด,๐ต|๐‘†), then๐‘†m-separates ๐ด,๐ต DEFINITION 15 (A NCESTRAL [10]).An ordinary (single edge) mixed graph without any undirected edge is ancestral if its directed part is acyclic, and...
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The intersection of ADMGs and ancestral graph is called ancestral ADMG. 12 understanding solution space of causal discovery with unobserved confounding DEFINITION 17 (O-M ARKOV EQUIVALENT BETWEEN DAG S). Two DAGS๐ท1(๐‘‚,๐‘ˆ)and๐ท2(๐‘‚,๐‘ˆ)are O-Markov equivalent if they represent the same set of CI statements with respect ...
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=๐‘„(ฮฃโ€ฒ)โˆ’1๐‘„๐‘‡(74) =(ฮฃ11)โˆ’10 0([ฮฃ/ฮฃ11])โˆ’1 (75) while (ฮฃโ€ฒ)โˆ’1=ฮฃ11ฮฃ12 ฮฃ21ฮฃ22โˆ’1 =" [(ฮฃโ€ฒ)โˆ’1]11[(ฮฃโ€ฒ)โˆ’1]12 [(ฮฃโ€ฒ)โˆ’1]21([ฮฃ/ฮฃ11])โˆ’1# (76) So the congruent transform with ๐‘„๐‘‡of(ฮฃโ€ฒ)โˆ’1as a precision matrix, the lower-right block ([ฮฃ/ฮฃ11])โˆ’1is preserved. COROLLARY 8.Let๐‘‹1,...,๐‘‹๐‘be multivariate Gaussian whose covariance matrix...
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11ฮฃ12=0 (101) The corresponding adjacency matrix ๐‘Šโ€ฒโ€ฒ 2is ๐‘Šโ€ฒโ€ฒ 2=๐‘„โˆ’๐‘‡๐‘Šโ€ฒ๐‘„๐‘‡=๐‘„โˆ’๐‘‡๐‘Š๐‘œฮ› 0 0 ๐‘„๐‘‡(102) =๐ผโˆ’ฮฃโˆ’1 11ฮฃ12 0๐ผ ๐‘Š๐‘œฮ› 0 0 ๐ผ 0 ฮฃ21ฮฃโˆ’1 11๐ผ (103) =๐‘Š๐‘œ+ฮ›ฮฃ21ฮฃโˆ’1 11ฮ› 0 0 (104) โ–ก REMARK 21.The๐‘„12component in Equation (62)will mix๐œ‰into the second partition of ๐œ–โ€ฒโ€ฒin Equation (97). Unless๐‘„(equivalently ...
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graph ๐บ upon marginalization. Let one of such a DAG be ๐ท1(๐บ). Although ๐ท1(๐บ)and๐ท(๐บ)(the canonical DAG as defined above) satisfy the same set of polynomial constraints among the covariances of the observed variables, they could still differ as models. For instance, there could be certain polynomial inequalities (...
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(13) and (14) can be equivalently reformulated via the implicit formulation in Equations (1)and (5), with the covariance matrix ฮฉ, defined in Equation (4), having nonzero off-diagonal entries. PROOF . Define ๐œ–โ€ฒ ๐‘Œ=ฮ›๐œ‰+๐œ–๐‘‚. Then ฮฉโ€ฒ=E(๐œ–โ€ฒ ๐‘Œ๐œ–โ€ฒ ๐‘Œ๐‘‡) =E (ฮ›๐œ‰+๐œ–๐‘‚)(ฮ›๐œ‰+๐œ–๐‘‚)๐‘‡ =ฮ›E(๐œ‰๐œ‰๐‘‡)ฮ›๐‘‡+E(๐œ–๐‘‚๐œ–๐‘‡ ๐‘‚). (121) By L...
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path travels ๐‘Ÿ1steps to reach vertex ๐‘ขand starting from ๐‘ก2a path lead to ๐‘ฃin๐‘Ÿ2steps. This is a trek from ๐‘ขto๐‘ฃ with top๐‘ก1,๐‘ก2being confounded if ๐‘ก1โ‰ ๐‘ก2. The summation over all possible treks between ๐‘ข,๐‘ฃis given byรโˆž ๐‘Ÿ1=0,๐‘Ÿ2=0ร ๐‘ก1,๐‘ก2can be written as โˆ‘๏ธ ๐‘ก๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘˜(๐‘ข,๐‘ฃ;๐‘˜=(๐‘ก1,๐‘ก2)|๐ท)โˆˆ๐‘‡(๐‘ข,๐‘ฃ|๐ท)๐‘š๐‘ก๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๏ฟฝ...
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2 with ฮ”๐‘–(ฮฉ)>1, we have ๐œ†(ฮฉโˆ’1)<1. PROOF .According to [ 32], ifฮ”๐‘–(ฮฉ)>0as in Definition 7, then โˆฅฮฉโˆ’1โˆฅโˆžโ‰คmax 1โ‰ค๐‘–โ‰ค|๐‘‰|1 ฮ”๐‘–(ฮฉ), (182) where the matrix infinity norm for the precision matrix ฮฉโˆ’1of size |๐‘‰|is defined as โˆฅฮฉโˆ’1โˆฅโˆž=max ๐‘ฅโ‰ 0โˆฅฮฉโˆ’1๐‘ฅโˆฅโˆž โˆฅ๐‘ฅโˆฅโˆž=max 1โ‰ค๐‘–โ‰ค|๐‘‰||๐‘‰|โˆ‘๏ธ ๐‘—=1 [ฮฉโˆ’1]๐‘–,๐‘— . (183) The Gershgorin disks for ฮฉโˆ’...
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of the singular values of(๐ผโˆ’๐‘Š)๐‘‡. Let๐‘ฃ(๐‘Š,๐œ†(๐‘Š))be eigenvector of ๐‘Šcorresponding to eigenvalue ๐œ†(๐‘Š), then (๐ผโˆ’๐‘Š)๐‘ฃ(๐‘Š,๐œ†(๐‘Š))=(1โˆ’๐œ†(๐‘Š))๐‘ฃ(๐‘Š,๐œ†(๐‘Š)) (216) (๐ผโˆ’๐‘Š)โˆ’1๐‘ฃ(๐‘Š,๐œ†(๐‘Š))=1 1โˆ’๐œ†(๐‘Š)๐‘ฃ(๐‘Š,๐œ†(๐‘Š)) (217) series decomposintion of (๐ผโˆ’๐‘Š)โˆ’1 Since det ๐‘Š๐‘‡โˆ’๐œ†๐ผ =det (๐‘Šโˆ’๐œ†๐ผ)๐‘‡ =det(๐‘Šโˆ’๐œ†๐ผ) (218) and ๐œ†(...
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Low-Rank Graphon Estimation: Theory and Applications to Graphon Games Olga Klopp ESSEC Business School Fedor Noskov HSE University Abstract This paper tackles the challenge of estimating a low-rank graphon from sampled network data, employing a singular value thresholding (SVT) estimator to create a piecewise-constant ...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.09299v1
a sampled network emerges as a significant problem extensively explored in the literature [Chatterjee, 2015, Gao et al., 2015, Klopp et al., 2017, Klopp and Verzelen, 2019, Xu, 2018]. In connection to our motivating applica- tions, in this study, our focus lies on providing a low-rank estimator for the underlying unkno...
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results on graphon estimation to the problem of targeted interventions in networks games and provide numerical experiments to illustrate our foundings. The proofs of all the results are given in the appendix. Notation Let [n] :={1, . . . , n }. Given two numbers a, b, denote their maximum (minimum) by aโˆจb(aโˆงb). We use ...
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the results of Sections 4 can be easily extended to the model given by Qij=ฯnW(ฮพi, ฮพj). 1Note that the expected number of neighbours of a node in the graph defined by Ais of the order ฯnn, and hence the expected number of edges in the graph is ฯnn2. Hence, the density of the graph is of the order ฯnn2/n2=ฯn. Thus, the ...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.09299v1
of player xis given by U(s(x), zW(x|s), ฮธ(x)) =โˆ’1 2s(x)2+s(x)ยท(ฮณzW(x|s) +ฮธ(x)). (3) Here, ฮณ >0 is the peer-effect parameter, zW(x|s) is the local aggregate sensed by player xvia the graphon, defined as zW(x|s) :=Z1 0W(x, y)s(y)dy, (4) andฮธ(x) is a parameter modeling heterogeneity among the players. We denote a graphon ...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.09299v1
be reformulated as a semidefinite program (SDP) with only two variables and a linear matrix inequality (LMI) con- straint involving a matrix of size r+ 2 (see [Parise and Ozdaglar, 2023, footnote 14]). This insight, together with Theorem 1, highlights the need for a graphon estimator that simultaneously satisfies both ...
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Conjugate Gradient method. This procedure generates a monotone sequence L1, L2, . . .that converges to the optimal solution L(see [Gander et al., 1989, Reinsch, 1967]). However, each iteration of the algorithm may require O(nยท|E|) operations, where |E|is the number of edges in A, since solving the linear equation  I+L...
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an absolute constant defined in Proposition 5 in Appendix J. Remark 3.In [Klopp and Verzelen, 2019], the authors consider the problem of estimating the ma- trixQin cut-norm and show that for ฯn>1/n, there exists a constant Csuch that inf bQsup QโˆˆSBM(2 ,ฯn)EโˆฅQโˆ’bQโˆฅโ–กโ‰ฅCrฯn n, where SBM(2 , ฯn) denotes a Stochastic Block Mo...
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=X 1โ‰คi,jโ‰คkSijI{(x, y)โˆˆPiร—Pj}. Note that networks generated from the SBM graphon defined above correspond to networks generated from the classic Stochastic Block Model (SBM) [Holland et al., 1983]. The following result provides a bound on the error and the rank of the estimator WbQฮปwhen Wis an SBM graphon. Theorem 3. Co...
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and the coefficients are bounded by M. Since the functions ckare bounded, Wsatisfies the ( H,1)-Hยจ older condition for some H.4Consequently, using Theorem 5, we derive the following result. Theorem 6. Consider a graphon Wthat is (M, r)-analytic. Assume that nฯnโ‰ฅCPr.5log(2n/ฮด). Then, there are constants CandCโ€ฒdepending ...
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|x1โˆ’x2|1/2+|y1โˆ’y2|1/2, 14 where we used the triangle inequality and the fact thatโˆš a+bโ‰คโˆša+โˆš bfor any non-negative a, b. For each nโˆˆ {20,120, . . . , 4920}, we sample a network Aand heterogeneity parameters ฮธas follows:๏ฃฑ ๏ฃฒ ๏ฃณAij=Bern (ฯnW(ฮพ(i), ฮพ(j))), i < j, ฮธi=ฮพ2 (i),(11) where ฯn=nโˆ’0.25andฮพ1, . . . , ฮพ nare samples fr...
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Upper Left: difference between target functions for optimal interventions of a network on nvertices sampled from (1 ,1/2)-Hยจ older graphon W1(x, y) =p |xโˆ’y|and interventions based on hard-thresholding estimator. Lower Left: Rank of the hard-thresholding estimator for a network on nvertices sampled from W1(x, y).Midlle:...
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and Caines, 2019a] Gao, S. and Caines, P. E. (2019a). Optimal and approximate solutions to linear quadratic regulation of a class of graphon dynamical systems. In 2019 IEEE 58th Conference on Decision and Control (CDC) , pages 8359โ€“8365. [Gao and Caines, 2019b] Gao, S. and Caines, P. E. (2019b). Spectral representation...
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center 0. Thus, using Proposition 7 we get โˆฅห†ฮธ1โˆ’ห†ฮธ2โˆฅL2โ‰ค(1 +ฮณโˆฅW1โˆฅop)2โˆฅR2(ฮณ,W1)[ฮธ+ห†ฮธ1]โˆ’ R2(ฮณ,W2)[ฮธ+ห†ฮธ1]โˆฅL2 โ‰ค(1 +ฮณโˆฅW1โˆฅop)2ยท โˆฅR2(ฮณ,W1)โˆ’ R2(ฮณ,W2)โˆฅopยท โˆฅฮธ+ห†ฮธ1โˆฅL2. (12) To bound the operator norm of the difference, we use decomposition R2(ฮณ,W) =โˆžX i=0(i+ 1)ฮณiWi. The right-hand side converges because ฮณโˆฅWiโˆฅ<1 for i= 1,2. Hence, ...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.09299v1
bound, with probability at least 1 โˆ’ฮด/2, it holds ยต{ฯˆ(x)ฬธ=ฯ•(x)} โ‰คkโˆ’1X a=1taโ‰ค2k nlog4k ฮด+kโˆ’1X a=1r 2ea nlog4k ฮด. (15) The second term in the right-hand side can be bounded using the Cauchy-Schwartz inequality to obtain kโˆ’1X a=1r 2ea nlog4k ฮดโ‰คvuut2k nkโˆ’1X a=1ealog4k ฮด. Assumption nโ‰ฅ2klog4k ฮดimplies 2k nlog4k ฮดโ‰คr 2k nlog4...
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where the sum is taken over all adjacency matrix A. We introduce a new random variable ฮธ= max{k|ฮพkbelongs to the first comminity }, with the convention that ฮธ= 0 if ฮพkbelongs to the second community. Subject to ฮธ, the distributions Pโˆ†(ยท |ฮธ) and P0(ยท |ฮธ) are identical, since both of them are random graph models with the...
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1 โˆ’ฮด/2 and applying Lemma 1 we obtain the result. ii)Upper bound on the rank. We start by recalling the following result from approximation theory. Lemma 2. FixkโˆˆN. Define โˆ†ij= [(iโˆ’1)/k, i/k )ร—[(jโˆ’1)/k, j/k )for1โ‰คi, jโ‰คk. Define โ„“=โŒŠฮฑโŒ‹. Then for any (H, ฮฑ)-Hยจ older graphon Wthere exists a function Pk: [0,1]2โ†’Rsuch that 1...
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rank 1, then Pkhas decompositionPโ„“2p r=1vrgT r, where vr= (ฯ•r(ฮพi))n i=1,gr= (ฯˆr(ฮพi))n i=1. We have, ฯƒโ„“2p(Q)โ‰ค โˆฅQโˆ’ฯnPpโˆฅopโ‰ค โˆฅQโˆ’ฯnPpโˆฅFโ‰คMnฯ n21โˆ’p. For any kโ‰ฅโ„“2, by choosing p=k โ„“2 we can conclude that ฯƒk(Q)โ‰คMnฯ n21โˆ’pโ‰ค4Mnฯ n2โˆ’k โ„“2. 28 SinceโˆฅQโˆฅopโ‰คnฯn, there exists constant C(M, r) such that ฯƒk(Q)โ‰คC(M, r)nฯn2โˆ’kfor all positi...
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graphon Wis (H,1)-Hยจ older for H= max {4Mrโˆ’1,2rโˆ’1}, so, repeating the proof of Case 2, we conclude that, with probability at least 1 โˆ’ฮด, we have T(A,ฮธ)(ห†ฮธ)โˆ’T(A,ฮธ)(ห†ฮธโ€ฒ)โ‰ค2ฮฑ(1 +ฮฑโˆฅAโˆฅop/N)2(โˆฅฮธโˆฅ/โˆš N+โˆš B)2 (1โˆ’ฮฑยทmax{โˆฅAโˆฅop/N, ฯ NโˆฅAโ€ฒโˆฅop/nฯn})5 ร— 15rฯN nฯn+C2(M, r)ฯNlog(16 n/ฮด) n1/2! , and rank( cW)โ‰คC2(M, r) log( nฯn) by the co...
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ij|Xij|. In our paper, we choose ฯต=3โˆš 2 4โˆ’1โ‰ˆ0.06. Then, (1+ ฯต)2โˆš 2 = 3. We denote the corresponding cฯตbyCPr.5. J.2 Stability of variational inequality problem LetHbe a Hilbert space. Definition 4. We say that a function F:Hโ†’Hadmits the strong monotonicity property with constant ฮฑ >0 if for each x1, x2we have โŸจF(x1)โˆ’F(x...
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Zaiats, 2009]. Suppose that we have some family of ditributions Pฮธ, ฮธโˆˆฮ˜,over a sample space Xparametrized by parametric space ฮ˜. Let R: ฮ˜ร—ฮ˜โ†’R+be a semidistance on ฮ˜. Any function bฮธ:X โ†’ ฮ˜ is referred to as an estimator of the parameter ฮธ. Given a sample Xdrawn from the distribution Pฮธ, the quantity R(bฮธ(X), ฮธ) serves a...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.09299v1
Competing-risk Weibull survival model with multiple causes Kai Wanga,b, Yuqin Mua,b, Shenyi Zhanga, Zhengjun Zhangc,d, and Chengxiu Ling*,a aAcademy of Pharmacy, Xiโ€™an Jiaotong-Liverpool University, Suzhou, 215123, China bDepartment of Mathematical Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, L693BX, UK cDepartment of...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.09310v1
risk analyses, including worldwide studies on HIV-positive patients (Breger et al., 2020), gastric adenocarcinoma patients (Xie et al., 2020), post-lung transplantation patients (Anderson et al., 2023), and all-cause mortality (Bishop et al., 2023; Dobson et al., 2023; Wijnen et al., 2022). In this paper, we propose a ...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.09310v1
should not be completely identical, otherwise unidentifiability will be introduced. The intercepts ฮฑ1, . . . , ฮฑ Lcontrol the relative importance of each risk, where a very large intercept indicates an approximately eliminated risk with the min-competing structure. Then, the survival probability of Tbecomes P{T > t}=P{...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.09310v1
by Jensenโ€™s inequality when p(k|ฮธ,y)ฬธ=p(k|ฮธ0,y). To this, we introduce an augmented variable K, denoting the dominating group for the uncensored samples, the complete likelihood for ( T, K) is LC(ฮธ) =nY i=1 LY l=1f(Ti, Ki=l)I(Ki=l)!ฮดi S(Ti)1โˆ’ฮดi. (3.1) 6 Noting the explicit form of survival function S(t) specified in Eq...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.09310v1
penalizing the intercept ฮฑlin the model specified in Eq.(2.1) to the direction towards infinity. Due to the parametrization, the penalization on the group intercept would not penalize any intercept to exactly infinity and hence would not introduce group sparsity directly. With the lasso-type penalization, Ql(ฮธ|ฮธ(m)) = ...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.09310v1
time Similar to the expected survival time in traditional parametric survival models, we compute the expectation under the min-survival structure. The conditional expectations are not the minimum of the expected values across the risks (groups) due to the heteroskedasticity. The expectation of Tis given by E{T}=Zโˆž 0S(t...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.09310v1
of uncensored ( d) and censored ( c) samples for three examples and provides the estimated values of the mean and standard errors (SE) for ฯƒ, ฮฑ, ฮฒ . The results indicate a slight reduction in precision with increasing proportions of censorship. Nonetheless, all parameters are accurately estimated with relatively small ...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.09310v1
1 0.911 (0.039) 0.955 (0.085) โˆ’2.907 (0.071) 2.001 (0.053) - 0.934 (0.052) - - CF 2 1.071 (0.038) 1.400 (0.101) 2.011 (0.082) 2.007 (0.053) - - - - (n=d= 1500) CF 3 1.101 (0.048) 1.043 (0.129) โˆ’2.000 (0.101) 3.098 (0.070) 2.035 (0.088) - - - Example 2CF 1 1.025 (0.040) 1.011 (0.101) โˆ’2.977 (0.085) 1.967 (0.062) - 0.977...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.09310v1
the most common cause 17 of dementia (Knopman et al., 2021). Although the amyloid beta hypothesis is the predomi- nant explanation, the exact causes of Alzheimerโ€™s disease remain poorly understood (Burns and Iliffe, 2009). Definitive diagnosis of Alzheimerโ€™s disease is only possible through au- topsy, while clinical di...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.09310v1
and middle). Figure 2: Time-dependent ROCs (left, middle) for competing-Weibull, Cox, and Weibull models at 10 percentile survival time ( t= 357) and at 2 years ( t= 730). Estimated time- varying winning probability (right) of four competing groups for uncensored samples. Table 5 presents the estimated scale parameters...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.09310v1
model to the max-linear family. This model keeps the linear structure within each competing group, maintaining the inter- pretability of the Weibull model, and employs the minimum structure to allow non-Weibull survival time and competition across the factors. Our proposal also enables incorporation of 21 lasso or othe...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.09310v1
parsi- mony and goodness of fit, considering factors such as the number of variables, number of groups, overall accuracy, redundancy, and similar effects of variables, as proposed by (Liu et al., 2024) for logistic max-linear models. Additionally, an automatic selection algorithm is encouraged to explore possible confi...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.09310v1
โˆ’LX k=1Ti exp ฮฑk+XโŠค ikฮฒk1/ฯƒk!! โ‰คฮดilog LX l=1T1/ฯƒlโˆ’1 i ฯƒlexp (ฮฑl+XโŠค ilฮฒl)/ฯƒlexp โˆ’Ti exp ฮฑl+XโŠค ilฮฒl1/ฯƒl!! =:ฮดilog LX l=1ฯˆ(Ti;ฯƒl, ฮฑl, Xil,ฮฒl)! . Note that ฯˆ(t;ฯƒl, ฮฑl, Xil,ฮฒl), t > 0,is the Weibull density with scale parameter exp ฮฑl+XโŠค ilฮฒl and shape parameter 1 /ฯƒl. Thus for 0 < t < 1, we have tโˆ’1> t1/ฯƒlโˆ’1, a...
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Under assumption A3, the inequality is strict, and ฮธ0is the unique maximizer of Q(ฮธ) over ฮ˜. Noting that ฮ˜ is compact (assumption A1) and Q(ฮธ) is continuous, Lemma 6.3 follows. Lemma 6.4 (Extremum Consistency Theorem, Newey and McFadden (1994, Theorem 2.1)) . If there is a function Q(ฮธ), such that 1.Q(ฮธ)is uniquely max...
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lS1/ฯƒl il LP l=1 1 TiฯƒlS1/ฯƒl ilโˆ’ โˆ’1 Tiฯƒ2 lS1/ฯƒl il2 LP l=1 1 TiฯƒlS1/ฯƒl il2 โ‰ค 1 Tiฯƒ3 lS1/ฯƒl il LP l=1 1 TiฯƒlS1/ฯƒl il +  โˆ’1 Tiฯƒ2 lS1/ฯƒl il2 LP l=1 1 TiฯƒlS1/ฯƒl il2 โ‰ค2 ฯƒ2 l. Further, we deal with the second-order derivative w.r.t. ฮฒlandฮฒk. Recalling Eqs.(6.4) and 31 (6.5), we have for lฬธ=k โˆ‚2logg(Ti|Xi;ฮธ,1)...
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calculation and the properties of Weibull density that E (logTi)2 โ‰คฮดiLX l=1Zโˆž 0(logt)2ฯˆ(t;ฯƒl, ฮฑl, Xil,ฮฒl)dt +(1โˆ’ฮดi)LX l=1Zโˆž 0(logt)2exp โˆ’t exp ฮฑl+XโŠค ilฮฒl1/ฯƒl! dt <โˆž, 34 and we obtain Eq.(6.2). The next two lemmas are used for the proof of the asymptotic normality of the MLE for the parameters involved. Lemma 6.5. ...
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=Zโˆž Mโˆ’hโ€ฒ(t)LP k=1ฮถk(t) LP k=1ฮถk(t)2+h(t)LP k=1(1 ฯƒkโˆ’1)ฮถk(t) t LP k=1ฮถk(t)2dt=โˆ’h(t) LP k=1ฮถk(t) โˆž M=h(M) LP k=1ฮถk(M). Thus, Zโˆž Mh(t)dtโ‰ฅh(M) LP k=1ฮถk(M)๏ฃซ ๏ฃฌ๏ฃฌ๏ฃฌ๏ฃญ1 +1 ฯƒโˆ—MLP k=1ฮถk(M)๏ฃถ ๏ฃท๏ฃท๏ฃท๏ฃธโˆ’1 โ‰ฅh(M) LP k=1ฮถk(M)๏ฃซ ๏ฃฌ๏ฃฌ๏ฃฌ๏ฃญ1โˆ’1 ฯƒโˆ—MLP k=1ฮถk(M)๏ฃถ ๏ฃท๏ฃท๏ฃท๏ฃธ using 1 /(1 +x)โ‰ฅ1โˆ’xforx >0. We complete the proof of Lemma 6.7. References Ahmad, F....
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L. (1995). Analysis of competing risks survival data when some failure types are missing. Biometrika , 82(4):821โ€“833. He, Y., Kim, S., Mao, L., and Ahn, K. W. (2022). Marginal semiparametric transfor- mation models for clustered multivariate competing risks data. Statistics in Medicine , 41(26):5349โ€“5364. Heagerty, P. ...
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Latouche, A. (2013). Regression modeling of the cumulative inci- dence function with missing causes of failure using pseudo-values. Statistics in medicine , 32(18):3206โ€“3223. Moreno-Betancur, M., Sadaoui, H., Piffaretti, C., and Rey, G. (2017). Survival analysis with multiple causes of death: extending the competing ri...
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arXiv:2503.09507v1 [math.ST] 12 Mar 2025Parameter estimation for the stochastic Burgers equation driven by white noise from local measurements Josef Janยด ak Universit` a di Pavia, Italy Email: josefjanak@seznam.czEnrico Priola Universit` a di Pavia, Italy Email: enrico.priola@unipv.it March 13, 2025 Abstract For one di...
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in space of the solution against some small โ€œob servational windowโ€. That is represented by a function called kernel Kthat is scaled and localized around certain observation point x0โˆˆฮ›. The observational data then comes in the form of convolution /an}brackโŒ‰tlโŒ‰{tX(t),Kฮด,x0/an}brackโŒ‰tri}htL2(ฮ›)and the asymptotics is stud...
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measu rements. The precise statement is formulated in Theorem 3.4. Based on the asymptotic result, we can deduce (data-driven) con ๏ฌdence in- tervalsfor ฯ‘(thatalsomatchthe developedtheory). We mentionthatnumerica l simulations for stochastic Burgers equations ( 1.1) driven by space-time white noise were already present...
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equation ( 1.1) driven by additive space-time white noise. The initial value X0โˆˆH3/2is supposed to be deterministic. By Theorem 14.2.4 in [ 14] (see also [ 12], [13] and Remark 2.3below), there exists a unique mild solution to the equation ( 1.1). 4 Namely, for any T >0, there exists an L2(ฮ›)-valued adapted process X= ...
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all tโ‰ฅ0.In [13] they also de๏ฌne the usual stopping times: ฯ„n= inf{tโ‰ฅ0 :/barโŒˆblXn(t)/barโŒˆbl โ‰ฅn}, nโ‰ฅ1. (2.6) They prove that ฯ„nโ†’ โˆž,P-a.s.. Since Xn(t) =Xm(t),mโ‰ฅn,tโ‰คฯ„none can setX(t) =Xn(t),tโ‰คฯ„n, and obtain a mild solution to the initial Burgers equation. 2.3 The observation scheme As motivated in [ 2], [3], [23], we obse...
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Iฮด)โˆ’1Rฮดand (Iฮด)โˆ’1Mฮด vanish, as ฮดโ†’0, and to prove asymptotic normality, we will show that ฮดโˆ’1(Iฮด)โˆ’1Rฮดโ†’0, whileฮดโˆ’1(Iฮด)โˆ’1Mฮดconverges in distribution to a Gaussian random variable. To analyze these terms, we use the โ€˜splitting techniqueโ€™ of the solut ion (i.e., we write X=ยฏX+/tildewideXas above) and we study separately the...
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sum in (S.3) to converge. (Such result comes fr om Lemma S.2(ii) and it is not quite clear if Lemma S.1 is able to tame it even in the case ฮณ >1/4.) Moreover, in the proof of Lemma S.8, it is not completely clear why the random variable /tildewideX(t,0) (that is basically /tildewideX(t,x0)) isG-measurable. The isonorma...
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< sโ‰ค1, the operator โˆ’(โˆ’A)sis also the generator of a symmetric Markovian semigroup Ts tonL2(ฮ›) obtained by subordination of order sofTt. (For more on subordination like Tf t=/integraltextโˆž 0Tsยตf t(ds), see for instance [ 4].) The Dirichlet form associated to Ts tisEswith Dom( Es) = Dom/parenleftbig (โˆ’A)s/2/parenrightbi...
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2.1.We deduce from Lemma 14.2.1 of [ 14] that the solu- tionXโˆˆC([0,T];Hs),P-a.s., for sโˆˆ[0,1/2). For the stochastic convolution ยฏX, we know that from Proposition 4.2, for the nonlinear part /tildewideX, it follows from Lemma4.5(iv). Recall that the initial condition X0โˆˆH3/2. To get more spatial regularity for /tildewid...
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weak solution Proof of Lemma 2.2.The proof is not di๏ฌƒcult, but rather lengthy. We give a sketch of proof. For the nonlinear part /tildewideXwe have by ( 2.1)P-a.s. /tildewideX(t) =Sฯ‘(t)X0+1 2/integraldisplayt 0Sฯ‘(tโˆ’s)โˆ‚x/parenleftBig (ยฏX(s)+/tildewideX(s))2/parenrightBig ds. (4.5) Now we work with ฯ‰๏ฌxed (i.e., we ๏ฌx ฯ‰โˆˆโ„ฆ...
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/tildewideXoverยฏX. The convergence ฮดU3,ฮดPโ†’0 will be established by a speci๏ฌc representation of /tildewideX(t,x0). First, we establish upper bounds for relevant terms (c.f. Lemma S.3 in [2]). Lemma 4.7. For any small ฮต >0, uniformly in 0โ‰คtโ‰คT,kโ‰ฅ1,rโ‰ค1: (i)/vextendsingle/vextendsingle/vextendsingle/tildewideXโˆ† ฮด(t)/vextend...
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main point of the proof will be to represent /tildewideX(t,x0),x0โˆˆฮ›,tโˆˆ[0,T] a.e., in the form /tildewideX(t,x0) =โˆž/summationdisplay i=1bi(t)ฮฝi, (4.13) wherebiโˆˆL2([0,T]) are deterministic functions and ( ฮฝi)โˆž i=1form an orthonor- mal basis in a separable space L2(โ„ฆ,Fโ€ฒ) =L2(โ„ฆ,Fโ€ฒ,P), with a ฯƒ-๏ฌeldFโ€ฒโŠ‚ F that will be speci๏ฌ...
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the solution Xto the Burgers equation veri๏ฌes, P-a.s., for any tโˆˆ[0,T],nโ‰ฅ1, X(tโˆงฯ„n) =Xn(tโˆงฯ„n) (ฯ„nis de๏ฌned in ( 2.6)). We deduce that X(tโˆงฯ„n) isFโ€ฒ-measurable, tโˆˆ[0,T], nโ‰ฅ1. Passing to the limit, P-a.s. asnโ†’ โˆž(sinceฯ„nโ†’ โˆž) we obtain that for eachtโˆˆ[0,T] theH-valued random variable X(t) isFโ€ฒ-measurable. Assertion (4.20) f...
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EยฏIฮด+ฮด2oP(ฮดโˆ’2) ฮด2EยฏIฮดPโ†’1, as well as ฮด2EยฏIฮดPโ†’T/barโŒˆblKโ€ฒ/barโŒˆbl2 L2(R) 2ฯ‘/barโŒˆblK/barโŒˆbl2 L2(R). Therefore, the ๏ฌrst factor in ( 4.25) converges to N(0,1) in distribution by the standard continuous martingale central limit theorem (e.g., [ 26], Theorem 1.19, or [27], Theorem 5.5.4), while the second factor assembles the...
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Prob. Th. Rel. Fields 103, 143โ€“163. [21] I. Iscoe, M. B. Marcus, D. McDonald, M. Talagrand, J. Zinn (19 90) Conti- nuity ofl2-valued Ornstein-Uhlenbeckprocesses, The Annals of Probability , 68โ€“84. [22] K. Itห† o, M. Nisio (1968).On the convergenceofsums ofindepe ndent Banach space valued random variables, Osaka J. Math ...
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arXiv:2503.09583v1 [cs.LG] 12 Mar 2025Minimax Optimality of the Probability Flow ODE for Di๏ฌ€usion Models Changxiao Caiโˆ—Gen Liโ€  March 13, 2025 Abstract Score-based di๏ฌ€usion models have become a foundational par adigm for modern generative modeling, demonstrating exceptional capability in generating sampl es from complex...
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. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 3.2 Theoretical guarantees . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 4 Analysis 12 4.1 Preparation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ...
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B.1 Proof of Lemma 1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41 B.2 Proof of Lemma 2 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42 B.3 Proof of Lemma 3 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ....
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Chen et al. (2024a );Tang and Zhao (2024) for an overview of theoretical advances. At the core of di๏ฌ€usion models are two complementary process es: a forward process that progressively corrupts a sample from the target data distribution with Gau ssian noise, and a reverse process that aims to reverse the forward proces...
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) and ODE-based samplers ( Chen et al. ,2023c;Li et al. ,2023) known to converge polynomially fast toward distributions whose total variation (TV) distance to the target scales proporti onally to the score estimation error. These results suggest that with accurate score estimates available, di๏ฌ€u sion models can, in pri...
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truncated score estimator obt ains the (near-)minimax rate in TV distance for subgaussian distributions with ฮฒ-Soblev-smooth densities with ฮฒโ‰ค2.Holk et al. (2024) investigated stochastic samplers in re๏ฌ‚ected di๏ฌ€usion models for constr ained generative modeling, and established the 3 (near-)minimax optimality in TV dist...
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with ฮฒ-Hรถlder smooth densities for ฮฒโ‰ค2 (see Section 2.2for rigorous de๏ฌnitions), we propose a smooth kernel-based regularized score estimator that simultaneously controls the L2score error and the associated Jacobian error. Building upo n a re๏ฌned convergence guarantee that characterizes the discretizat ion error of th...
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TV distance) either replied onLโˆž-accurate estimates ( De Bortoli et al. , 2021;Albergo et al. ,2023), or exhibited exponential dependence ( De Bortoli ,2022;Block et al. ,2020). A breakthrough came from Lee et al. (2022), which provided the ๏ฌrst polynomial iteration complexity as- suming only L2-accurate score estimate...
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provide a brief introduction to score-ba sed di๏ฌ€usion models. Forward process. The forward process begins with a sample X0โˆผpโ‹† 0distributed according to some initial distribution pโ‹† 0(typically chosen to match or closely approximate the targe t distribution pโ‹†) and progressively adds Gaussian noise via the following Mar...
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scheme in ( 7) is fundamentally grounded in the probability ๏ฌ‚ow ODE for di๏ฌ€usion models. Indeed, the continuous process (Xsde t)tโˆˆ[0,T]de๏ฌned by the forward SDE ( 5), which can be interpreted as the continuum limit of the forwar d process (Xk)K k=0in (1), admits a reverse- time process (Yode t)tโˆˆ[0,T](Song et al. ,2020...
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this condition accommodates many cases of interest and simp li๏ฌes analysis, it can exclude multi-modal distributions frequently found in real-world application sโ€”where di๏ฌ€usion models have shown particular advantages over traditional methods like Langevin dynamic s. Indeed, a constant lower-bounded density on a compact...
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score estima tor/hatwidest(ยท) :Rdโ†’RdforZtas follows: /hatwidest(x):=โˆ‡/hatwidept(x) /hatwidept(x)ฯˆ/parenleftbig /hatwidept(x);ฮทt/parenrightbig withฮทt:=logn n(2ฯ€t)d/2. (18) 9 Algorithm 1 Probability ๏ฌ‚ow ODE-based sampler 1:Input: training data{X(i)}n i=1sampled from the target distribution pโ‹†. 2:Set the learning rates {ฮฑ...
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random initi alization of YK), that is, (YKโˆ’1,...,Y 1)is purely deterministic given YK. 10 3.2 Theoretical guarantees In this section, we present the end-to-end sampling guarant ee of the proposed ODE-based sampler in Theo- rem1. A proof outline is provided in Section 4. Theorem 1. Suppose the target distribution pโ‹†sat...
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Dou et al. (2024) where early stopping techniques are not needed to achieve the (nea r-)minimax optimal performance. โ€ขAnalysis framework for ODE-based samplers. The theoretical framework we establish provides a foun- dation for analyzing the performance guarantees of various ODE-based samplers. For instance, it can be ...
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t >0, we denote the density, score function, and associated Jacobia n matrix of Ztby pt(x):=pZt(x), s t(x):=sZt(x),andJt(x):=Jst(x). (24) 12 By Tweedieโ€™s formula ( Efron,2011), the score function st(x)takes the form st(x) =1 tE/bracketleftbig Z0โˆ’Zt|Zt=x/bracketrightbig . (25) The Jacobian matrix Jt(x)can be expressed a...
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an arbitrary score estimator. The proof can be found in Appendix A.1. Theorem 2. Suppose that the number of iterations satis๏ฌes K/greaterorsimilard2(logK)5andKc2โ‰ฅEX0โˆผpโ‹† 0[/โŒŠaโˆ‡dโŒŠlX0/โŒŠaโˆ‡dโŒŠl2 2]for some absolute constant c2>0and that the learning rates are chosen according to (15)withc1/8โˆ’c2/2โ‰ฅ1. Then for any score estima...
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in(20)satisfy ฮต2 sc/lessorsimilarCโ€ฒ d n/braceleftbigg 1+ฯƒd/parenleftbigg ฯ„โˆ’d/2โˆงKc0d/2 dlogK/parenrightbigg/bracerightbigg (logn)d/2+1; (35a) ฮตjcb/lessorsimilar/radicalbigg Cโ€ฒ d n/braceleftbigg 1+ฯƒd/2/parenleftbigg ฯ„โˆ’d/4โˆงKc0d/4 dlogK/parenrightbigg/bracerightbigg (logn)d/4+1+Cโ€ฒ dฯƒd n/parenleftbigg ฯ„โˆ’d/2โˆงKc0d/2 dlogK/par...
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( 12): sXk(x) =1โˆšฮฑkstk(x/โˆšฮฑk)andJsXk(x) =1 ฮฑkJtk(x/โˆšฮฑk). Leveraging this with our construction of the score estimato r/hatwidesXk=/hatwidestk(x/โˆšฮฑk)/โˆšฮฑkin (20) allows us to establish a direct correspondence between E/bracketleftbig /โŒŠaโˆ‡dโŒŠlJ/hatwidesXk(Xk)โˆ’JsXk(Xk)/โŒŠaโˆ‡dโŒŠl/bracketrightbig andE/bracketleftbig /โŒŠaโˆ‡dโŒŠlJ/hat...
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Ec t(x)/parenrightbig /lessorsimilarnโˆ’10. (41) 17 Remark 5. Since the target density is allowed to be vanishingly small pโ‹†(x), the termpt(x)appearing on the numerator on the right-hand side of the above bounds is essential to obtaining sharp bounds. In addition, both /โŒŠaโˆ‡dโŒŠlst(x)/โŒŠaโˆ‡dโŒŠl2and/โŒŠaโˆ‡dโŒŠlHt(x)/โŒŠaโˆ‡dโŒŠlassociated...
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selected ฯ„=nโˆ’2/(d+2ฮฒ)into Theorem 3, we can characterize the estimation errors ฮตsc andฮตjcb(de๏ฌned in ( 33)) of our proposed score estimator {/hatwidesXk(ยท)}K k=1in (20): ฮต2 sc/lessorsimilarCโ€ฒ d n/braceleftbigg 1+ฯƒd/parenleftbigg nd d+2ฮฒโˆงKc0d 2 dlogK/parenrightbigg/bracerightbigg (logn)d 2+1/lessorsimilarCโ€ฒ dฯƒdnโˆ’2ฮฒ d+2ฮฒ...
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Hong K ong Direct Grant for Research. References Albergo, M. S., Bo๏ฌƒ, N. M., and Vanden-Eijnden, E. (2023). St ochastic interpolants: A unifying framework for ๏ฌ‚ows and di๏ฌ€usions. arXiv preprint arXiv:2303.08797 . Anderson, B. D. (1982). Reverse-time di๏ฌ€usion equation mod els.Stochastic Processes and their Applications ...
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neural information processing systems , 34:8780โ€“8794. Dou, Z., Kotekal, S., Xu, Z., and Zhou, H. H. (2024). From opti mal score matching to optimal sampling. arXiv preprint arXiv:2409.07032 . Durmus, A. and Moulines, ร‰. (2019). High-dimensional Bayes ian inference via the unadjusted Langevin algorithm. Bernoulli , 25(4...
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low-dimensio nal structures in score-based di๏ฌ€usion models. arXiv preprint arXiv:2405.14861 . Li, G. and Yan, Y. (2024b). O(d/T)convergence theory for di๏ฌ€usion probabilistic models unde r minimal assumptions. arXiv preprint arXiv:2409.18959 . Li, S., Chen, S., and Li, Q. (2024c). A good score does not lead to a good ge...
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S. (2021). Solving in verse problems in medical imaging with score-based generative models. arXiv preprint arXiv:2111.08005 . Song, Y., Sohl-Dickstein, J., Kingma, D. P., Kumar, A., Ermo n, S., and Poole, B. (2020b). Score-based generative modeling through stochastic di๏ฌ€erential equat ions.arXiv preprint arXiv:2011.134...
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addition, we de๏ฌne the pointwise score error and Jacobian error as ฮต2 sc,k(x):=/vextenddouble/vextenddouble/hatwidesXk(x)โˆ’sXk(x)/vextenddouble/vextenddouble2 2andฮตjcb,k(x):=/vextenddouble/vextenddoubleJ/hatwidesXk(x)โˆ’JsXk(x)/vextenddouble/vextenddouble. (49) Finally, for two functions f(K),g(K)>0, we usef(K)โ‰ชg(K)to mea...
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expectation over the score estimator {/hatwidesXk}K k=1, we ๏ฌnd that E/bracketleftbig TV(pX1,pY1)/bracketrightbig /lessorsimilardlog4K K+โˆš dlog3/2K/radicaltp/radicalvertex/radicalvertex/radicalbt1 KK/summationdisplay k=1(1โˆ’ฮฑk)ฮต2 sc,k+dlogK KK/summationdisplay k=2(1โˆ’ฮฑk)ฮตjcb,k =dlog4K K+โˆš dฮตsclog3/2K+dฮตjcblogK, where the...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.09583v1
As for the integral over the complement set of Etyp 2, we can derive /integraldisplay x0/โˆˆEtyp 2pX0|Xk(x0|x)exp/parenleftbigg โˆ’(1โˆ’ฮฑk)/vextenddouble/vextenddoublexโˆ’โˆšฮฑkx0/vextenddouble/vextenddouble2 2 2(ฮฑkโˆ’ฮฑk)(1โˆ’ฮฑk)โˆ’/โŒŠaโˆ‡dโŒŠlu/โŒŠaโˆ‡dโŒŠl2 2โˆ’2uโŠค/parenleftbig xโˆ’โˆšฮฑkx0/parenrightbig 2(ฮฑkโˆ’ฮฑk)/parenrightbigg dx0 (i) โ‰คโˆž/summationdis...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.09583v1
K/parenleftbiggฮฑ1 1โˆ’ฮฑ1/parenrightbiggd/2 +1 c1logKk0/summationdisplay k=2ฮฑkโˆ’1โˆ’ฮฑk ฮฑkโˆ’1(1โˆ’ฮฑkโˆ’1)/parenleftbiggฮฑk 1โˆ’ฮฑk/parenrightbiggd/2 +1 (ii) โ‰ค1 K(1โˆ’ฮฑ1)d/2+1 c1logKk0/summationdisplay k=22 ฮฑk(1โˆ’ฮฑk)/parenleftbiggฮฑk 1โˆ’ฮฑk/parenrightbiggd/2/parenleftbig ฮฑkโˆ’1โˆ’ฮฑk/parenrightbig +1 =1 K(1โˆ’ฮฑ1)d/2+2 c1logKk0/summationdisplay k=2ฮฑ...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.09583v1
as cฮทโ‰ฅ2. This proves the claim in ( 74). Now, given the expression of /hatwidest(x), we can then decompose E/bracketleftBig/vextenddouble/vextenddouble/hatwidest(Zt)โˆ’st(Zt)/vextenddouble/vextenddouble2 2/bracketrightBig =/integraldisplay RdE/bracketleftBig/vextenddouble/vextenddouble/hatwidest(x)โˆ’st(x)/vextenddouble/ve...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.09583v1
(27a), one can bound /vextenddouble/vextenddouble/hatwidegt(x)/vextenddouble/vextenddouble 2=/vextenddouble/vextenddouble/vextenddouble/vextenddouble1 ntn/summationdisplay i=1(Xiโˆ’x)ฯ•t(Xiโˆ’x)/vextenddouble/vextenddouble/vextenddouble/vextenddouble 2 โ‰คmax iโˆˆ[n]1 t/vextenddouble/vextenddouble(Xiโˆ’x)ฯ•t(Xiโˆ’x)/vextenddouble/ve...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.09583v1
n(2ฯ€t)d/2t+1 t/radicalBigg logn n(2ฯ€t)d/21 n(2ฯ€t)d/2/parenrightbigg +/โŒŠaโˆ‡dโŒŠlHt(x)/โŒŠaโˆ‡dโŒŠl pt(x) โ‰1 tโˆšlogn+/โŒŠaโˆ‡dโŒŠlHt(x)/โŒŠaโˆ‡dโŒŠl pt(x) where (i) uses ( 40c) in Lemma 3; (ii)pt(x)โ‰คcฮทฮทton the setFc t; (iii) plugs in the values of ฮทtin (18). Thus, we ๏ฌnd that (I)/lessorsimilar/integraldisplay Fc t/parenleftbigg1 t+/โŒŠaโˆ‡dโŒŠlHt(x...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.09583v1
the standard Gaussian property and the change of variable z=y/โˆš t, one has: /integraldisplay Rdysฯ•t(y)dy=t|s|/2/integraldisplay Rdd/productdisplay i=1zsi iฯ•1(z)dzโ‰คCst|s|/2 39 for some constant Csdepending on sif|s|is even, and the integral is zero for odd |s|. Similarly, the standard Gaussian property tells us /integra...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.09583v1