id int64 28.1k 30.8k | title stringlengths 18 192 | description stringlengths 0 5.49k | resolution stringclasses 29
values | close stringlengths 20 20 | open stringlengths 20 20 | status stringclasses 1
value | __index_level_0__ int64 23 696 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
29,775 | Will the Alta ski resort be listed as Open by On the Snow's Ski Report on November 22, 2024? | From the resolution source: "The Vail snow report for Nov 01 is a 0" base depth with 0 of 33 lifts open. Please note ski conditions and snowfall at Vail are sourced directly from the ski resort and are only recorded during the official ski season's opening to closing dates." | yes | 2024-11-13T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-12T15:30:00Z | resolved | 330 |
29,774 | Will the cheapest new Tesla Model 3 be listed as under $43,000 on December 30, 2024? | As of November 11, 2024, this price was $42,490 | yes | 2024-11-13T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-12T15:30:00Z | resolved | 331 |
29,773 | Will the Federal Register list 3 or more executive orders by President Joe Biden for November 2024? | Ballotpedia: [Joe Biden's executive orders and actions](https://ballotpedia.org/Joe_Biden%27s_executive_orders_and_actions) | no | 2024-11-13T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-12T15:30:00Z | resolved | 332 |
29,772 | Will the Federal Register list 1 or 2 executive orders by President Joe Biden for November 2024? | Ballotpedia: [Joe Biden's executive orders and actions](https://ballotpedia.org/Joe_Biden%27s_executive_orders_and_actions) | annulled | 2024-11-13T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-12T15:30:00Z | resolved | 333 |
29,771 | Will the Federal Register list exactly zero executive orders by President Joe Biden for November 2024? | Ballotpedia: [Joe Biden's executive orders and actions](https://ballotpedia.org/Joe_Biden%27s_executive_orders_and_actions) | no | 2024-11-13T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-12T15:30:00Z | resolved | 334 |
29,744 | Will the International Criminal Court issue any warrants in November or December 2024? | The [International Criminal Court (ICC)](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Criminal_Court) was founded in 2002 following the wars in Rwanda and the former Yugoslavia, and it is [intended](https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/04/29/icc-israel-warrants-gaza/) as a permanent court to investigate war crimes,... | yes | 2024-11-21T11:45:00Z | 2024-11-14T15:30:00Z | resolved | 336 |
29,743 | Will Astro Bot win the Game of the Year 2024 award? | [The Game Awards](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Game_Awards), launched in 2014 and founded by video game journalist Geoff Keighley, are widely recognized as one of the most prestigious annual events in the video game industry. The Game of the Year (GOTY) award honors a game that delivers the best experience across ... | yes | 2024-12-11T12:00:00Z | 2024-11-14T15:30:00Z | resolved | 337 |
29,729 | Will either major party candidate in California’s 22nd Congressional District concede the election before December 1, 2024? | In the 2022 midterms, CA-22 was one of the slowest elections to be called, with the Democratic challenger [conceding](https://www.cnn.com/2022/11/22/politics/california-22-valadao-salas/index.html) on November 22, 2022. See also: [Why does it take California so long to count votes?](https://calmatters.org/politics/elec... | yes | 2024-11-12T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-11T15:30:00Z | resolved | 341 |
29,728 | Will Jelly Roll win an award in any of these 2024 CMA Awards categories? | [58th Annual Country Music Association Awards](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/58th_Annual_Country_Music_Association_Awards) | no | 2024-11-12T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-11T15:30:00Z | resolved | 342 |
29,716 | Will the number of active US oil drilling rigs be less than 585 on November 29, 2024? | Baker Hughes [issues](https://rigcount.bakerhughes.com/) US oil rig counts every Friday, and issued rig counts to the oil & gas industry since 1944. | yes | 2024-11-12T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-11T15:30:00Z | resolved | 354 |
29,715 | Will the number of active US oil drilling rigs be greater than or equal to 585 and less than or equal to 590 on November 29, 2024? | Baker Hughes [issues](https://rigcount.bakerhughes.com/) US oil rig counts every Friday, and issued rig counts to the oil & gas industry since 1944. | no | 2024-11-12T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-11T15:30:00Z | resolved | 355 |
29,714 | Will the number of active US drilling rigs exceed 590 on November 29, 2024? | Baker Hughes [issues](https://rigcount.bakerhughes.com/) US oil rig counts every Friday, and issued rig counts to the oil & gas industry since 1944. | no | 2024-11-12T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-11T15:30:00Z | resolved | 356 |
29,696 | What will be the closest color to the 2025 Pantone Color of the Year? | Each December, the Pantone Color Institute reveals its "[Color of the Year](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pantone#Color_of_the_Year)", which influences design, fashion, and product development for the following year. This tradition of annual color selection has become a widely anticipated event in creative industries, ... | Orange | 2024-12-05T14:00:00Z | 2024-11-14T15:30:00Z | resolved | 357 |
29,657 | Which party will the new Prime Minister of Iceland belong to after the 2024 parliamentary elections? | The [2017 parliamentary elections in Iceland](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2017_Icelandic_parliamentary_election) resulted in an unusual governing coalition of the left-wing [Left-Green Movement](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Left-Green_Movement), the centre [Progressive Party](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Progressiv... | Social Democratic Alliance | 2024-12-14T12:00:00Z | 2024-11-09T18:30:00Z | resolved | 362 |
29,653 | Will the number of active US oil drilling rigs be less than 585 on November 29, 2024? | Baker Hughes [issues](https://rigcount.bakerhughes.com/) US oil rig counts every Friday, and issued oil rig counts to the petroleum industry since 1944. | annulled | 2024-11-08T22:19:00Z | 2024-11-08T15:30:00Z | resolved | 363 |
29,652 | Will the number of active US oil drilling rigs be greater than or equal to 585 and less than or equal to 590 on November 29, 2024? | Baker Hughes [issues](https://rigcount.bakerhughes.com/) US oil rig counts every Friday, and issued oil rig counts to the petroleum industry since 1944. | annulled | 2024-11-08T22:24:00Z | 2024-11-08T15:30:00Z | resolved | 364 |
29,651 | Will the number of active US oil drilling rigs exceed 590 on November 29, 2024? | Baker Hughes [issues](https://rigcount.bakerhughes.com/) US oil rig counts every Friday, and issued oil rig counts to the petroleum industry since 1944. | annulled | 2024-11-08T22:25:00Z | 2024-11-08T15:30:00Z | resolved | 365 |
29,648 | Will Matt Eberflus cease to be the Chicago Bears head coach before January 1, 2025? | Yahoo Sports: [Bears fans are once again fed up with Matt Eberflus, coaching staff](https://sports.yahoo.com/bears-fans-once-again-fed-222243082.html) | yes | 2024-11-09T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-08T15:30:00Z | resolved | 368 |
29,647 | On November 29, 2024, Will Apple have the largest market cap in the world? | As of October 5, 2024, Apple was the #1 company in the world by market cap, according to the resolution source. | yes | 2024-11-09T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-08T15:30:00Z | resolved | 369 |
29,641 | Will 12-15 U.S. federal executive department heads be announced by the incoming administration between the election and December 16, 2024? | Following presidential elections in the U.S., new or re-elected presidents announce changes to [the cabinet](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cabinet_of_the_United_States) as part of their transition or continued administration. The Cabinet has 26 members: the vice president, 15 federal executive department heads, and 10 ... | yes | 2024-11-09T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-08T15:30:00Z | resolved | 375 |
29,640 | Will 10 or 11 U.S. federal executive department heads be announced by the incoming administration between the election and December 16, 2024? | Following presidential elections in the U.S., new or re-elected presidents announce changes to [the cabinet](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cabinet_of_the_United_States) as part of their transition or continued administration. The Cabinet has 26 members: the vice president, 15 federal executive department heads, and 10 ... | no | 2024-11-09T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-08T15:30:00Z | resolved | 376 |
29,639 | Will 8 or 9 U.S. federal executive department heads be announced by the incoming administration between the election and December 16, 2024? | Following presidential elections in the U.S., new or re-elected presidents announce changes to [the cabinet](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cabinet_of_the_United_States) as part of their transition or continued administration. The Cabinet has 26 members: the vice president, 15 federal executive department heads, and 10 ... | no | 2024-11-09T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-08T15:30:00Z | resolved | 377 |
29,638 | Will 6 or 7 U.S. federal executive department heads be announced by the incoming administration between the election and December 16, 2024? | Following presidential elections in the U.S., new or re-elected presidents announce changes to [the cabinet](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cabinet_of_the_United_States) as part of their transition or continued administration. The Cabinet has 26 members: the vice president, 15 federal executive department heads, and 10 ... | no | 2024-11-09T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-08T15:30:00Z | resolved | 378 |
29,637 | Will 4 or 5 U.S. federal executive department heads be announced by the incoming administration between the election and December 16, 2024? | Following presidential elections in the U.S., new or re-elected presidents announce changes to [the cabinet](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cabinet_of_the_United_States) as part of their transition or continued administration. The Cabinet has 26 members: the vice president, 15 federal executive department heads, and 10 ... | no | 2024-11-09T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-08T15:30:00Z | resolved | 379 |
29,636 | Will 0-3 U.S. federal executive department heads be announced by the incoming administration between the election and December 16, 2024? | Following presidential elections in the U.S., new or re-elected presidents announce changes to [the cabinet](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cabinet_of_the_United_States) as part of their transition or continued administration. The Cabinet has 26 members: the vice president, 15 federal executive department heads, and 10 ... | no | 2024-11-09T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-08T15:30:00Z | resolved | 380 |
29,635 | Will the 2024 World Chess Champion be decided in the first 10 games? | The [World Chess Championship 2024](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Chess_Championship_2024) match between the reigning world champion Ding Liren (Rating: 2728 as of 1 Nov 2024) and the challenger Gukesh Dommaraju (Rating: 2783 as of 1 Nov 2024) is set to take place between 25 November and 13 December 2024, in Sing... | no | 2024-11-09T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-08T15:30:00Z | resolved | 381 |
29,579 | How many upvotes will the "Top" Sidechat post of the week on Brown have by 5pm on 11/19? | Brown Sidechat | 900-999 | 2024-11-19T22:00:00Z | 2024-11-07T23:54:00Z | resolved | 383 |
29,578 | How many total points will the top forecaster on our leaderboard have by 5:01pm on 11/19? | We will look at the leaderboard. | 1036.297 | 2024-11-19T22:01:00Z | 2024-11-07T23:51:00Z | resolved | 384 |
29,576 | How many students will pre-register for the MWF 9am-9:50am APMA 1650: Statistical Inference I section with Sarah Brauner by the end of pre-registration (5pm, 11/19)? | .... | 210.0 | 2024-11-19T22:00:00Z | 2024-11-07T23:33:00Z | resolved | 386 |
29,569 | Will China's youth unemployment rate be greater than 19.0 for October 2024? | China's youth unemployment rate, which measures the percentage of people aged 16 to 24 who are not in school and are unemployed, has been a growing concern for the country's policymakers and economists. In July 2024, the rate [soared to 17.1%](https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/20/chinas-youth-unemployment-soars-above-17perc... | no | 2024-11-08T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-07T15:30:00Z | resolved | 388 |
29,568 | Will China's youth unemployment rate be greater than 18.0 and less than or equal to 19.0 for October 2024? | China's youth unemployment rate, which measures the percentage of people aged 16 to 24 who are not in school and are unemployed, has been a growing concern for the country's policymakers and economists. In July 2024, the rate [soared to 17.1%](https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/20/chinas-youth-unemployment-soars-above-17perc... | no | 2024-11-08T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-07T15:30:00Z | resolved | 389 |
29,567 | Will China's youth unemployment rate be greater than 17.0 and less than or equal to 18.0 for October 2024? | China's youth unemployment rate, which measures the percentage of people aged 16 to 24 who are not in school and are unemployed, has been a growing concern for the country's policymakers and economists. In July 2024, the rate [soared to 17.1%](https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/20/chinas-youth-unemployment-soars-above-17perc... | yes | 2024-11-08T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-07T15:30:00Z | resolved | 390 |
29,566 | Will China's youth unemployment rate be less than or equal to 17.0 for October 2024? | China's youth unemployment rate, which measures the percentage of people aged 16 to 24 who are not in school and are unemployed, has been a growing concern for the country's policymakers and economists. In July 2024, the rate [soared to 17.1%](https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/20/chinas-youth-unemployment-soars-above-17perc... | no | 2024-11-08T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-07T15:30:00Z | resolved | 391 |
29,564 | Will Luke Combs win an award in any of these 2024 CMA Awards categories? | [58th Annual Country Music Association Awards](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/58th_Annual_Country_Music_Association_Awards) | no | 2024-11-08T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-07T15:30:00Z | resolved | 393 |
29,563 | Will Astro Bot win in any of these categories at the 2024 Golden Joystick Awards?
| [Voting Is Now Open in the 42nd Golden Joystick Awards](https://www.gamespress.com/Voting-Is-Now-Open-in-the-42nd-Golden-Joystick-Awards) | yes | 2024-11-08T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-07T15:30:00Z | resolved | 394 |
29,562 | Will John Thune succeed Mitch McConnell as Republican Leader of the US Senate? | At the time of this question, Senate Minority Whip John Thune is widely considered the frontrunner to succeed Mitch McConnell. See e.g., Punchbowl News: [Thune hits the trail for GOP candidates — and his leadership bid](https://punchbowl.news/article/senate/thune-campaigns-for-leadership-bid-in-indiana/) | yes | 2024-11-08T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-07T15:30:00Z | resolved | 395 |
29,561 | Will either major party candidate in California’s 13th Congressional District concede the election before December 1, 2024? | In the 2022 midterms, CA-13 was one of the slowest elections to be called, with Democrat Adam Gray [not conceding](https://www.cnn.com/2022/12/03/politics/john-duarte-house-election-california-republican/index.html) to Republican John Duarte until December 3, 2022. See also: [Why does it take California so long to coun... | no | 2024-11-08T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-07T15:30:00Z | resolved | 396 |
29,558 | Will the Jackson Hole ski resort be listed as Open by On the Snow's Ski Report on November 29, 2024? | From the resolution source: "Jackson Hole Mountain Resort, located in western Wyoming’s Teton Village, is situated just 15 miles from the Jackson Hole Airport and Grand Teton National Park" | yes | 2024-11-08T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-07T15:30:00Z | resolved | 399 |
29,510 | Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against Benjamin Netanyahu before 2025? | On October 7th, 2023, Palestinians militants launched rockets at Israel and 3,000 militants breached the Gaza-Israel border. More than 1,000 Israelis were killed in Kibbutzims, military bases, and at a [music festival](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Re%27im_music_festival_massacre), and over 200 hostages were abducted a... | yes | 2024-11-07T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-06T15:30:00Z | resolved | 406 |
29,509 | Before December 1, 2024, will laws be in place requiring that AI systems that emulate humans must reveal to people that they are AI?
| Cross-posted from [ai.metaculus](ai.metaculus.com). Originally sourced from [Science Bets](http://sciencebets.org/one_sided_predictions.html). | annulled | 2024-11-07T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-06T15:30:00Z | resolved | 407 |
29,506 | Will OpenAI's o1 remain the top LLM in all categories of Chatbot Arena on November 30, 2024?
| [Chatbot Arena](https://lmarena.ai/) (previously hosted on <https://lmsys.org/>) is a [benchmarking platform](https://lmsys.org/blog/2023-05-03-arena/) for large language models (LLMs). It uses an [Elo rating system](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elo_rating_system) similar to the one used in chess to rank LLMs by their... | yes | 2024-11-07T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-06T15:30:00Z | resolved | 410 |
29,505 | Will Mike Tyson have a public boxing match before January 1, 2025? | At the time of this question, Mike Tyson is scheduled to box against Jake Paul on November 15, 2024. However, it has previously been postponed. For more information please see [Wikipedia Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jake_Paul_vs._Mike_Tyson) | yes | 2024-11-07T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-06T15:30:00Z | resolved | 411 |
29,504 | Will Atlético Mineiro win the 2024 Copa Libertadores? | Copa Libertadores is South America's top-tier association football championship; the two-legged semifinals for the current tournament take place between October 22nd and 30th, with the single-match final taking place on November 30 at the Monumental stadium in Buenos Aires, Argentina. | no | 2024-11-07T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-06T15:30:00Z | resolved | 412 |
29,472 | Will the USDA-posted recall of Hickory Hollow's ready-to-eat jerky products be closed before December 1, 2024? | According to the Alabama Media Group on [September 4, 2024](https://www.al.com/life/2024/09/6229-pounds-of-jerky-from-alabama-company-recalled.html), "Ready-to-eat jerky products from an Alabama-based company are being recalled. The products were shipped to retail locations in Alabama, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina,... | no | 2024-11-06T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-05T15:30:00Z | resolved | 416 |
29,470 | Will the number of FBI firearms background checks initiated through the NICS exceed 2.6M for October 2024? | In the long term (since the turn of the 21st Century), firearms sales in the US have risen, surging in 2020, with numbers trending downward since. Starting in July 2024, year-over-year monthly numbers have again begun trending upward. | annulled | 2024-11-06T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-05T15:30:00Z | resolved | 418 |
29,469 | Will the number of FBI firearms background checks initiated through the NICS exceed 2.4M for October 2024? | In the long term (since the turn of the 21st Century), firearms sales in the US have risen, surging in 2020, with numbers trending downward since. Starting in July 2024, year-over-year monthly numbers have again begun trending upward. | annulled | 2024-11-06T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-05T15:30:00Z | resolved | 419 |
29,468 | Will the number of FBI firearms background checks initiated through the NICS exceed 2.2M for October 2024? | In the long term (since the turn of the 21st Century), firearms sales in the US have risen, surging in 2020, with numbers trending downward since. Starting in July 2024, year-over-year monthly numbers have again begun trending upward. | annulled | 2024-11-06T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-05T15:30:00Z | resolved | 420 |
29,467 | Will Nvidia earnings for Q3 2024 exceed $0.74 per share? | Consensus earnings estimates are for an average of $0.74 per share, according to [Yahoo Finance](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/analysis/). | yes | 2024-11-06T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-05T15:30:00Z | resolved | 421 |
29,465 | Will US airline passenger volume for the Tuesday and Wednesday before Thanksgiving 2024 be up year over year, according to the TSA? | The Thanksgiving season is one of the busiest times of the year for travel, and 2024 [is expected](https://www.crossroadstoday.com/lifestyle/the-busiest-travel-days-around-thanksgiving/article_1dc81c6f-58c2-543c-a858-ca738283d6f1.html) to break records.. | yes | 2024-11-06T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-05T15:30:00Z | resolved | 423 |
29,463 | Will the CDC report more than 80% of the tested influenza sequences as influenza A during the 2024-25 season through the week ending Dec 21, 2024? | Influenza pandemics typically [come from](https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2928832/) Influenza A, particularly from a sub-type against which much of the human population lacks much immunity. According [to CDC](https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/viruses-types.html):
>Currently circulating influenza A(H1N1) viruses a... | yes | 2024-11-06T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-05T15:30:00Z | resolved | 425 |
29,461 | Will the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the week of Nov 23, 2024 be more than 2,000? | According to the CDC, 0.4% of all deaths in the United States from October 2023 to August 2024 [had](https://www.cdc.gov/flu/whats-new/flu-summary-2023-2024.html#cdc_generic_section_8-mortality-surveillance) influenza listed as an underlying or contributing cause. At its height, for the week ending January 6, 2024, 1.3... | yes | 2024-11-06T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-05T15:30:00Z | resolved | 427 |
29,419 | Will Oregon voters approve Measure 118, which would initiate a universal basic income in the state, funded by corporate tax? | Ballotpedia: [Oregon Measure 118, Corporate Tax Revenue Rebate for Residents Initiative (2024)](https://ballotpedia.org/Oregon_Measure_118,_Corporate_Tax_Revenue_Rebate_for_Residents_Initiative_(2024)) | no | 2024-11-05T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-04T15:30:00Z | resolved | 433 |
29,418 | Will Donald Trump Lose in New York State by under 6.0 points in the 2024 election? | In the 2022 gubernatorial election, the Democratic governor, Kathy Hochul, won by 6.39 points over her Republican opponent. In 2020, Joe Biden won the presidential popular vote in NYS by 23.1 points. On October 27, 2024, Donald Trump held a rally in Madison Square Garden. | no | 2024-11-05T15:30:00Z | 2024-11-04T15:30:00Z | resolved | 434 |
29,416 | Will BirdCast report 1 billion birds flying over the United States at any point before December 1, 2025?
| BirdCast is a [consortium](https://birdcast.info/about/collaborators/) of interdisciplinary researchers, with the three primary institutions being the Cornell Lab of Ornithology, Colorado State University's Aeroeco Lab, and the University of Massachusetts Amherst, with funding from the National Science Foundation, the ... | annulled | 2024-11-04T16:53:00Z | 2024-11-04T15:30:00Z | resolved | 436 |
29,402 | How many U.S. federal executive department heads will the incoming administration announce between the election and December 16, 2024? | Following presidential elections in the U.S., new or re-elected presidents announce changes to [the cabinet](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cabinet_of_the_United_States) as part of their transition or continued administration. The Cabinet has 26 members: the vice president, 15 federal executive department heads, and 10 ... | 12-15 | 2024-11-22T19:00:00Z | 2024-11-07T15:30:00Z | resolved | 439 |
29,400 | Will both Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin congratulate the winner of the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election before December 1, 2024? | Historically, winners of important elections are congratulated by foreign leaders as a form of diplomatic courtesy. However, geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and both China and Russia have raised questions about whether their respective leaders will maintain this tradition in 2024. After the 2020 U.S. election, f... | yes | 2024-11-07T19:30:00Z | 2024-11-07T15:30:00Z | resolved | 440 |
29,360 | In Nebraska will Initiative 439, the Right to Abortion Initiative, receive more votes than Initiative 434, the Prohibit Abortions After the 1st Trimester Amendment? | Ballotpedia: [Nebraska Initiative 434, Prohibit Abortions After the First Trimester Amendment (2024)](https://ballotpedia.org/Nebraska_Initiative_434,_Prohibit_Abortions_After_the_First_Trimester_Amendment_(2024)); Ballotpedia: [Nebraska Initiative 439, Right to Abortion Initiative (2024)](https://ballotpedia.org/Nebra... | no | 2024-11-02T14:30:00Z | 2024-11-01T14:30:00Z | resolved | 444 |
29,359 | Will the USDA-posted recall of Perdue Foods LLC's Frozen, Ready-To-Eat Chicken Breast Nugget and Tender Products be closed before November 16, 2024? | According to NBC News on [August 17, 2024](https://www.nbcnews.com/health/health-news/perdue-recalls-frozen-ready-eat-chicken-nuggets-tenders-possible-metal-rcna167004), "'FSIS is concerned that some product may be in consumers’ freezers,' the agency said. 'Consumers who have purchased these products are urged not to c... | yes | 2024-11-02T14:30:00Z | 2024-11-01T14:30:00Z | resolved | 445 |
29,357 | Will Apple earnings for Q3 2024 exceed $1.60 per share? | Consensus earnings estimates are for an average of $1.60 per share, according to [Yahoo Finance](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/analysis/). | annulled | 2024-11-02T14:30:00Z | 2024-11-01T14:30:00Z | resolved | 447 |
29,356 | Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2024 World Chess Championship? | As of 2024, the [world chess champion](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Chess_Championship_2024) is determined by a match of 14 games between the current world champion and the winner of the Candidates tournament. In the previous world chess championship in 2023, Ding Liren defeated Ian Nepomniachtchi in a nerve-wra... | yes | 2024-11-02T14:30:00Z | 2024-11-01T14:30:00Z | resolved | 448 |
29,355 | Will there be a white Christmas in at least 4 of these 9 large European cities in 2024? | Many children wish for a white Christmas, i.e. snow on the days 24th or 25th December. Transit operators and homeless people enjoy it less. It is an important cultural event around the northern Atlantic, though; hence this question!
Cultural note: The majority of inhabitants of Instanbul do not celebrate Christmas at ... | no | 2024-11-02T14:30:00Z | 2024-11-01T14:30:00Z | resolved | 449 |
29,353 | Will the US State Department approve more than 20 arms sales globally in the fourth quarter of 2024? | The United States is the largest arms exporter in the world, [accounting for](https://www.sipri.org/sites/default/files/2024-03/fs_2403_at_2023.pdf) 42% of global arms exports, with France and Russia tied for a distant 2nd, at 11%, and China in 4th place at 6%. In the past 5 years, State Department-approved arms sales ... | yes | 2024-11-02T14:30:00Z | 2024-11-01T14:30:00Z | resolved | 451 |
29,352 | Will the US State Department approve more than 15 arms sales globally in the fourth quarter of 2024? | The United States is the largest arms exporter in the world, [accounting for](https://www.sipri.org/sites/default/files/2024-03/fs_2403_at_2023.pdf) 42% of global arms exports, with France and Russia tied for a distant 2nd, at 11%, and China in 4th place at 6%. In the past 5 years, State Department-approved arms sales ... | annulled | 2024-11-02T14:30:00Z | 2024-11-01T14:30:00Z | resolved | 452 |
29,351 | Will it rain more than 200mm in Brasília, Brazil in December 2024? | Brasília, the capital city of Brazil, has [just had rain](https://brazilian.report/liveblog/politics-insider/2024/10/07/brasilia-longest-drought-ever/) after a record-breaking drought, characterized by 167 consecutive days of no rain. September 2024 was the [hottest September on record](https://portal.inmet.gov.br/noti... | yes | 2024-11-02T14:30:00Z | 2024-11-01T14:30:00Z | resolved | 453 |
29,350 | Will it rain more than 150mm in Brasília, Brazil in December 2024? | Brasília, the capital city of Brazil, has [just had rain](https://brazilian.report/liveblog/politics-insider/2024/10/07/brasilia-longest-drought-ever/) after a record-breaking drought, characterized by 167 consecutive days of no rain. September 2024 was the [hottest September on record](https://portal.inmet.gov.br/noti... | yes | 2024-11-02T14:30:00Z | 2024-11-01T14:30:00Z | resolved | 454 |
29,349 | Will it rain more than 100mm in Brasília, Brazil in December 2024? | Brasília, the capital city of Brazil, has [just had rain](https://brazilian.report/liveblog/politics-insider/2024/10/07/brasilia-longest-drought-ever/) after a record-breaking drought, characterized by 167 consecutive days of no rain. September 2024 was the [hottest September on record](https://portal.inmet.gov.br/noti... | yes | 2024-11-02T14:30:00Z | 2024-11-01T14:30:00Z | resolved | 455 |
29,348 | [Short fuse] Will California's Proposition 33 (allowing rent control) pass in the 2024 general election? | Proposition 33 ([Ballotpedia](https://ballotpedia.org/California_Proposition_33,_Prohibit_State_Limitations_on_Local_Rent_Control_Initiative_(2024))) will appear on the state-wide ballot in California for the US General Election on Tuesday, November 5, 2024. It will pass if a simple majority who vote on the measure app... | no | 2024-11-02T14:30:00Z | 2024-11-01T14:30:00Z | resolved | 456 |
29,311 | Will at least three of the five major networks declare a winner in the upcoming US presidential election by noon ET on Nov. 6? | Every election from 2004 to 2016 was called before noon on the day after the election. In 2020, it took four days before most networks certified Joe Biden's victory. | yes | 2024-11-05T01:00:00Z | 2024-11-01T16:00:00Z | resolved | 459 |
29,306 | Will North Dakota voters approve Initiated Measure 5, which would legalize recreational marijuana in the state? | Ballotpedia: [North Dakota Initiated Measure 5, Marijuana Legalization Initiative (2024)](https://ballotpedia.org/North_Dakota_Initiated_Measure_5,_Marijuana_Legalization_Initiative_(2024)) | no | 2024-11-01T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-31T14:30:00Z | resolved | 464 |
29,305 | Will Donald Trump outperform Marsha Blackburn in Tennessee in the 2024 election? | [Senate Republican candidates are trailing Donald Trump](https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/09/15/senate-election-trump-republicans/) | yes | 2024-11-01T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-31T14:30:00Z | resolved | 465 |
29,304 | Will Kalshi be #1 in the free apps in the Apple App Store on November 5, 2024? | On October 28, 2024, the CEO of Kalshi [tweeted](https://x.com/mansourtarek_/status/1851102973738271088), "Alright - this is getting crazy.
Raise your hand if you want a market on who will be #1 in the entire App Store by Nov 5th?" | yes | 2024-11-01T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-31T14:30:00Z | resolved | 466 |
29,303 | Will Donald Trump sweep all 7 battleground states in the 2024 election? | Newsweek: [Electoral College Map Projector Flips All Battleground States to Donald Trump](https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-kamala-harris-polls-swing-states-1971095) | yes | 2024-11-01T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-31T14:30:00Z | resolved | 467 |
29,302 | Will Hawaii voters approve the constitutional amendment on the ballot in 2024, which would repeal the state's ban on same-sex marriage? | Ballotpedia: [Hawaii Remove Legislature Authority to Limit Marriage to Opposite-Sex Couples Amendment (2024)](https://ballotpedia.org/Hawaii_Remove_Legislature_Authority_to_Limit_Marriage_to_Opposite-Sex_Couples_Amendment_(2024)) | yes | 2024-11-01T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-31T14:30:00Z | resolved | 468 |
29,301 | Will South Dakota voters approve Initiated Measure 29, which would legalize recreational marijuana in the state? | Ballotpedia: [South Dakota Initiated Measure 29, Marijuana Legalization Initiative (2024)](https://ballotpedia.org/South_Dakota_Initiated_Measure_29,_Marijuana_Legalization_Initiative_(2024)) | no | 2024-11-01T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-31T14:30:00Z | resolved | 469 |
29,300 | Will Democratic Congressman Don Davis be re-elected in North Carolina's 1st Congressional District in the 2024 election? | Ballotpedia: [North Carolina's 1st Congressional District](https://ballotpedia.org/North_Carolina%27s_1st_Congressional_District). The 2024 US general election is scheduled for November 5, 2024. | yes | 2024-11-01T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-31T14:30:00Z | resolved | 470 |
29,299 | Will Republican Congressman Anthony D'Esposito be re-elected in New York's 4th Congressional District in the 2024 election? | Ballotpedia: [New York's 4th Congressional District](https://ballotpedia.org/New_York%27s_4th_Congressional_District). The 2024 US general election is scheduled for November 5, 2024. | no | 2024-11-01T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-31T14:30:00Z | resolved | 471 |
29,298 | Will Netumbo Nandi-Ndaitwah win 55% or more of the vote in the first round of the Namibian presidential election? | Wikipedia: [2024 Namibian general election
](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Namibian_general_election) | yes | 2024-11-01T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-31T14:30:00Z | resolved | 472 |
29,297 | Will Missouri voters approve Missouri Amendment 7, which would prohibit ranked-choice voting in the state? | Ballotpedia: [Missouri Amendment 7, Require Citizenship to Vote and Prohibit Ranked-Choice Voting Amendment (2024)](https://ballotpedia.org/Missouri_Amendment_7,_Require_Citizenship_to_Vote_and_Prohibit_Ranked-Choice_Voting_Amendment_(2024)) | yes | 2024-11-01T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-31T14:30:00Z | resolved | 473 |
29,258 | Will Massachusetts voters approve Question 4, which would legalize psychedelic substances for adults 21 years old and older? | Ballotpedia: [Massachusetts Question 4, Legalization and Regulation of Psychedelic Substances Initiative (2024)](https://ballotpedia.org/Massachusetts_Question_4,_Legalization_and_Regulation_of_Psychedelic_Substances_Initiative_(2024)) | no | 2024-10-31T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-30T14:30:00Z | resolved | 476 |
29,257 | Will Florida voters approve Amendment 3, which would legalize marijuana for adults 21 years old and older? | Ballotpedia: [Florida Amendment 3, Marijuana Legalization Initiative (2024)](https://ballotpedia.org/Florida_Amendment_3,_Marijuana_Legalization_Initiative_(2024)) | no | 2024-10-31T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-30T14:30:00Z | resolved | 477 |
29,256 | Will Ohio voters approve Ohio Issue 1, which seeks to end gerrymandering in the state? | Wikipedia: [2024 Ohio Issue 1](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Ohio_Issue_1) | no | 2024-10-31T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-30T14:30:00Z | resolved | 478 |
29,255 | Will Democrats be ahead in the generic ballot on Election Day, according to 538? | Pew: [Why The Generic Ballot Test?](https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2002/10/01/why-the-generic-ballot-test/) | yes | 2024-10-31T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-30T14:30:00Z | resolved | 479 |
29,254 | Will Democratic Congressman Jared Golden be re-elected in Maine's 2nd Congressional District in the 2024 election? | Ballotpedia: [Maine's 2nd Congressional District](https://ballotpedia.org/Maine%27s_2nd_Congressional_District). The 2024 US general election is scheduled for November 5, 2024. | yes | 2024-10-31T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-30T14:30:00Z | resolved | 480 |
29,253 | Will Republican Congressman John Duarte be re-elected in California's 13th Congressional District in the 2024 election? | Ballotpedia: [California's 13th Congressional District](https://ballotpedia.org/California%27s_13th_Congressional_District). The 2024 US general election is scheduled for November 5, 2024. | no | 2024-10-31T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-30T14:30:00Z | resolved | 481 |
29,252 | Will Oregon voters approve Oregon Measure 117, which would establish ranked-choice voting in the state? | Ballotpedia: [Oregon Measure 117, Ranked-Choice Voting for Federal and State Elections Measure (2024)](https://ballotpedia.org/Oregon_Measure_117,_Ranked-Choice_Voting_for_Federal_and_State_Elections_Measure_(2024)) | no | 2024-10-31T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-30T14:30:00Z | resolved | 482 |
29,251 | Will Alaska voters approve Alaska Ballot Measure 2, which would repeal ranked-choice voting and nonpartisan primaries in the state? | Ballotpedia: [Alaska Ballot Measure 2, Repeal Top-Four Ranked-Choice Voting Initiative (2024)](https://ballotpedia.org/Alaska_Ballot_Measure_2,_Repeal_Top-Four_Ranked-Choice_Voting_Initiative_(2024)) | no | 2024-10-31T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-30T14:30:00Z | resolved | 483 |
29,249 | Will election night 2024 end without Dave Wasserman, Nate Silver, or Nate Cohn calling the 2024 presidential election? | All three elections analysts are known for calling elections before official media sources such as the AP. For previous AP calls please see: [Here’s when past presidential elections were called](https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4954203-heres-when-past-presidential-elections-were-called/) | no | 2024-10-31T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-30T14:30:00Z | resolved | 485 |
29,248 | Will Donald Trump says "win," "won," or "winner" on election night? | On election night 2020, Donald Trump said the word "won" 15 times; see transcript [here](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YlmaKdbC6ZM). | yes | 2024-10-31T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-30T14:30:00Z | resolved | 486 |
29,211 | Will Joe Rogan endorse Donald Trump in the 2024 election before November 5, 2024? | Joe Rogan endorsed RFK Jr. following RFK Jr.'s appearance on the Rogan podcast. There are [reports](https://www.essentiallysports.com/ufc-mma-news-joe-rogan-finally-admits-his-curiosity-for-donald-trump-podcast-amid-demand-for-jre-episode/) that Trump may appear on the Rogan podcast, amid increasing praise from Rogan i... | yes | 2024-10-30T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-29T14:30:00Z | resolved | 498 |
29,210 | In the 2024 US elections, will the party winning the White House differ from the party winning the House of Representatives? | The 2024 US elections will be held on November 5, 2024. See Wikipedia: [2024 United States elections](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_elections) | no | 2024-10-30T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-29T14:30:00Z | resolved | 499 |
29,209 | In the 2024 US elections, will Republicans win both the White House and the House of Representatives? | The 2024 US elections will be held on November 5, 2024. See Wikipedia: [2024 United States elections](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_elections) | yes | 2024-10-30T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-29T14:30:00Z | resolved | 500 |
29,208 | In the 2024 US elections, will Democrats win both the White House and the House of Representatives? | The 2024 US elections will be held on November 5, 2024. See Wikipedia: [2024 United States elections](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_elections) | no | 2024-10-30T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-29T14:30:00Z | resolved | 501 |
29,206 | Will Donald Trump outperform Rick Scott in Florida in the 2024 election? | [Senate Republican candidates are trailing Donald Trump](https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/09/15/senate-election-trump-republicans/) | yes | 2024-10-30T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-29T14:30:00Z | resolved | 503 |
29,205 | Will Kamala Harris win New Mexico, New Hampshire, Virginia, and Maine in the 2024 election? | On journalist Mark Halperin's political discussion show [Two-Way on October 25, 2024](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kE-GYg9lD5Y), the panel mentioned that the biggest possible states for a Trump upset were New Mexico, New Hampshire, Maine, and Virginia. | yes | 2024-10-30T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-29T14:30:00Z | resolved | 504 |
29,204 | Will the same presidential candidate win Michigan and Wisconsin in the 2024 election? | [Election Forecast Correlations](https://roadtolarissa.com/forecast-correlation/) | yes | 2024-10-30T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-29T14:30:00Z | resolved | 505 |
29,203 | Will Donald Trump win Arizona and Georgia in the 2024 election? | [Election Forecast Correlations](https://roadtolarissa.com/forecast-correlation/) | yes | 2024-10-30T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-29T14:30:00Z | resolved | 506 |
29,200 | Will a woman be named the Time Person of the Year for 2024? | Wikipedia: [Time Person of the Year](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Time_Person_of_the_Year) | no | 2024-10-30T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-29T14:30:00Z | resolved | 509 |
29,177 | Will country music singer/songwriter Riley Green endorse Donald Trump in the 2024 election before November 5, 2024? | Riley Green is notable for being a conservative musician according to articles such as [this](https://www.hollywoodintoto.com/conservative-musicians-worth-a-listen/), though he has not made any endorsements in 2024. | no | 2024-10-29T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-28T14:30:00Z | resolved | 512 |
29,176 | Before November 5, 2024, will Kalshi ever show Donald Trump with a 70% chance of winning? | Kalshi began election trading in the US presidential election on October 4, 2024. | no | 2024-10-29T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-28T14:30:00Z | resolved | 513 |
29,175 | Will Montana voters approve CI-128, which would add the right to abortion to the state's constitution? | Ballotpedia: [Montana CI-128, Right to Abortion Initiative (2024)](https://ballotpedia.org/Montana_CI-128,_Right_to_Abortion_Initiative_(2024)) | yes | 2024-10-29T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-28T14:30:00Z | resolved | 514 |
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