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Which Scheme book to read? | jobeirne: SICP isn't so much about Scheme, but language design principles, the beauty of abstraction, the dangers of mutable state, and the inability of a reactionary, functional approach to compensate for the lack of a mutable state.But I would still go with SICP. |
working habits - minimalism or "organized" chaos? | yannis: I work in intense spurts, when I do, I am so focused on the task that I really don't care what's happening around the keyboard:), my desk gets cluttered very quickly with coffee cups, the occasional book, keys, notebook, pieces of paper etc. After a couple of hours it resembles a battlefield. However, before I start on a new task, I like to clear everything:) |
working habits - minimalism or "organized" chaos? | arnorhs: I'd recommend tidying up and cleaning every now and then. You don't have to go all minimalist on us, though |
working habits - minimalism or "organized" chaos? | iuguy: Cluttered desk. Clean desktop.Works for me. |
working habits - minimalism or "organized" chaos? | ankeshk: Actually Joe Sugarman (the marketer who made the usage of 1800 toll free numbers in ads popular) tested this out a couple of decades ago for his entire company.Doesn't matter if people have organized desks or chaotic desks. Doesn't matter if they have a minimalistic desk or a cluttered one. Just follow one rule: shut down everything before you leave for the day.At the end of the day, everything should be in its proper place. You can't have 3 folders open on your desk - they have to be closed and put in its place on the shelf.That one rule gave a tremendous boost to employee productivity. |
working habits - minimalism or "organized" chaos? | kgopal: I think there should be some order on the desk and allow for easy reach to the stuff you want. I keep a notebook and pen to the right of the keyboard to note out stuff I might have missed. For everything else, that I do, I use the keyboard and desktop. Like someone said. Clean Desktop. Ordered (could be messy but still ordered) desk. Always a notebook and pen and you are good to go. |
What will be the bigggest technology story of 2010? | kgopal: Augmented Reality. Facebook in school. Teaching through Social networks. Elimination of old studies and introduction of new concepts. Nano technology more in your face. Mobile devices replacing computers. We getting a cure for cancer. We growing limbs again. The futures fine to look forward to.Unless we destroy ourselves before that. |
Which Scheme book to read? | michael_dorfman: SICP by a mile, for one reason: the SICP videos: http://groups.csail.mit.edu/mac/classes/6.001/abelson-sussma...That's the best 20-hour introduction you could ask for. |
working habits - minimalism or "organized" chaos? | ivenkys: Very clean and minimal desk and desktop, easy(right hand) access to Notebook+Pen, easy(left hand) access to Coffee and Water cups that are placed on top of unused mouse pads. Silent mobile on the monitor stand, unhooked telephone on left hand side.Reference books on top drawer. At the end of the day cups go to sink, notebook and book go back to their respective places.Most important for productivity separate machines(laptop for browsing/email/IM, desktop for work) for separate tasks and starting work at a proper(quiet) time.I have always found that if i can get the above right i have a good day. |
working habits - minimalism or "organized" chaos? | ahlatimer: I'm somewhere in between. My desk is mostly occupied by my desktop, external display, keyboard, and mouse, but I usually have an ash tray, a cup or two, and a few random things that I should probably put away. It never looks too bad, but it's never perfectly clean either. |
working habits - minimalism or "organized" chaos? | jacquesm: Cluttered desktop but a meticulously organized harddrive.And I think that is where the biggest productivity boost comes from, not having to hunt around from files but to have stuff in its place.If you messed up my desk it would take me 20 minutes to recover, if you messed up my directory structure I'd probably be in custody 24 hours later :)(Or I'd restore from the svn). |
What will be the bigggest technology story of 2010? | hga: Foundational cloud computing becoming really big.By "foundational" I mean the raw level stuff like Amazon Web Services such as S3, EC2. |
What do you think is the next Technology worth mastering ? | Tichy: Data Mining |
What do you think is the next Technology worth mastering ? | Veera: Semantic web |
What do you think is the next Technology worth mastering ? | gtani: concurrency models: erlang, scala, clojure, HaskellParallel execution, map/reduce, hadoop, noSQL datastores; |
What do you think is the next Technology worth mastering ? | skip: Coding for GPGPU or stream processors |
What do you think is the next Technology worth mastering ? | adriand: This is an interesting question and one I've been pondering lately as well, not from an individual perspective, but from a management perspective for a small team of developers at a web app/design shop.I obviously have to be more conservative than you because I have to consider short-term profit as well as risk. So in order to get responses that are along the lines of your question, I'd like to ask HN readers: what do you think is worth concentrating on in 2010 that would lead to good short- and long-term results for an agency specializing in website and web application development, often for relatively small projects?To answer your question, I think you need to do some thinking about what it is that you want to do. You have to start with something that interests you. Your friends chose something in the realm of mobile development: does that appeal to you? Perhaps they also focused on games: does game programming appeal to you? Someone below suggested "data mining" as a field to focus on. I can say for myself that although I am somewhat interested in this, I am not anywhere close to as interested as I'd need to be to devote several years to it.It also has to be something with a good chance of paying off, if you are interested in the money side of it. Your friends chose something that was backed by a huge corporation with a proven track record of creating successful devices, so although they ran some risk - the iPhone may not have been a massive hit like it was - they mitigated that risk by choosing something with very good chances. However, any choice that relies on predicting what will be successful in the technological realm in two to three years is bound to be risky, especially if it is "very new" (and thus unproven).Here's a shot at it: focus on mobile web application development utilizing HTML5 features. Google believes "the web has won", and I agree. If you get really good at building browser-based applications for mobile phones, I think you'll do well. |
What do you think is the next Technology worth mastering ? | coderdude: A couple things off the top of my head:
-Web apps geared towards the emerging thin-OS netbook market-I think Android apps will kick off in a much bigger way this year with more people getting their hands on phones supporting the OS. It's still early enough to get into IMO.-On this page Veera suggested the Semantic Web, and while I have big hopes for the Semantic Web (I should, I blog[ged] about it), it's just not going to mature into what I think you're looking for in the amount of time you're looking for.-Tichy suggested Data Mining, which I'm getting very into as of late, so maybe I'm not in the best position to give an impartial opinion but I think that will be taking off more. :)Edit: fixed linebreaks |
What do you think is the next Technology worth mastering ? | sriramk: Data. R/Hadoop/Hive/Pig/Dryad, SQL Server streaming, Excel PowerPivot and the works. |
What startups here are focusing on developing on top of .NET? | ScottWhigham: I use .NET to run my startup @ http://www.learnitfirst.com/. I was a VB 4-6 guy and moved to .NET in 2000 in betas and loved it. I probably prefer C# to VB but have projects in both. If I'm writing a new app today, it's almost assuredly C#. |
What do you think is the next Technology worth mastering ? | timwiseman: The new technology that interests you.Seriously, several of the technologies emerging now are likely to be big (or at least grow substantially) over the next few years. But if you focus on the one you find most interesting it will help keep you focused and motivated which can be an enormous help. It will also help you enjoy what you are doing which simply makes the process more pleasant. |
What do you think is the next Technology worth mastering ? | yummyfajitas: AMQP/RabbitMQ. I explained in more detail why in this post:http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1006208 |
working habits - minimalism or "organized" chaos? | khandelwal: A clean desk. I'd like to achieve a minimalist workplace, but often fall short. Often, I'll clean up my desk before starting work for the day. |
working habits - minimalism or "organized" chaos? | pasbesoin: Some people use what is apparently innate spacial orientation.to manage large volumes of material. E.g. the iconic cluttered professor's or researcher's office. But when they need something, they know exactly what pile it is in and about where within that pile (how deep). The surroundings provide a three dimensional environment rich in sensory cues, which they can readily remember and within which they can readily navigate.There was a New Yorker or similar article on this, some years ago, that addressed the enduring nature of paper in the electronic age. If I can find it, I'll post the URL. |
What do you think is the next Technology worth mastering ? | tyohn: Mobile Devices - not just the iPhone but think "What would software/hardware be like if you could carry your desktop machine everywhere - inside your pocket" |
What do you think is the next Technology worth mastering ? | ratsbane: +1 for Data mining, concurrency, FP.Another one: HTML 5 and related.This probably won't make as much of a splash as AJAX did a few years ago but some of the new things you will be able to do in a web browser present an opportunity to improve on older web apps: e.g. location and gravitation APIs, web sockets, multi-file uploads and drag-and-drop.Biggest problem with HTML 5: it's going to be years before complete market penetration - but FF, Chome, and Safari all have much tighter upgrade cycles than IE. For intranet stuff or anywhere you have a reasonably captive user base, why not offer better features to your users if they upgrade?
Side benefit: it's much more fun to be coding for the future than for the past. |
Real time PubSub-type notification API service? | zh: http://developer.collecta.com/XmppApi/RealTime/ |
Ask for money before having a prototype? | vaksel: 0unless you are friends with the investor, and he just helps you out because he feels obligated since you are his friend.The 5-6 months you'd spend chasing funding are much better spent coding a prototype/final product |
What do you think is the next Technology worth mastering ? | maxklein: I think that the other commenters here are on to something with Data Mining, but they are not seeing it right. What is really needed is more than Data Mining but more of Data Abstraction. I.e, there is a LOT of different data out there. People have very different needs for it. We cannot know all the possible usecases for this data. This information has to be abstracted and simplified so that data mining apps become trivially easy for business types to write. That is a good area to be in.If you know enough about dealing with data such that you can be one of the ones building layers on top of the data, then there is a lot of opportunity there.5 years is a reasonable estimation for this. Before then may be a bit tough.Another important thing to learn are Location Based Services. The problem is that the applications at the moment have not all been invented yet, and it's not clear when it will reall trickle down to the Ex-VB6 guys. |
What do you think is the next Technology worth mastering ? | mcantelon: Hardware hacking and DIY manufacturing/fabrication. Mainstream manufacturing has been offshored, but there are a lot of people working to build a DIY ecosystem that will eventually allow people to turn around low volume, niche products faster than offshore manufacturers. |
What do you think is the next Technology worth mastering ? | spiralhead: Scala! ... specifically using Actors for concurrency problems has been a bit of a revelation for me ... and the functional parts if you're not already familiar with FP... and for practical reasons ... Scala is one of the only academic-ish languages you can actually use in the real world |
What do you think is the next Technology worth mastering ? | JangoSteve: How about the brain?How the Brain Encodes Memories at a Cellular Level
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2009/12/091223125125.ht...If you've ever read Mindkiller or Time Pressure by Spider Robinson, then you know where I'm going with this ;-) |
What do you think is the next Technology worth mastering ? | staunch: How about iPhone development? Being early in a gold rush has its advantages, but there's also advantages to coming in later.Or Flash? I know it's not loved by very many, but expert Flash developers can demand a very good salary. They're also very well positioned to develop cool stuff on new web platforms. |
Ask for money before having a prototype? | brk: It would likely depend on the scope and scale of the idea, and how you go about proving that you can be successful at implementation.If your idea is geared around a web-app, your chances are probably pretty small. It's easy to put together the basics of a demo, and anyone who did not put in that minimal effort would likely be met with skepticism.If your idea is something like a complex new mesh networking algorithm and chipset... well, most investors wouldn't expect you to have developed a new ASIC out of your own pocket ;) However, you would likely need a very solid track record in the technology and other applications of it (eg: work at another company, research lab, etc.). |
How to search for submissions by keyword? | vaksel: just use http://searchyc.com/ |
What do you think is the next Technology worth mastering ? | simonw: HTML 5. In two or three years time I'm willing to bet a large portion (if not a majority) of desktop applications on all platforms will be written using HTML 5 technologies - in particular offline storage and web workers. If you're an expert with CSS, JavaScript and the various HTML 5 APIs you'll be in a very good position. |
What do you think is the next Technology worth mastering ? | zen53: statistics/data mining/web analytics. Maybe iTablet development |
What do you think is the next Technology worth mastering ? | spudlyo: Configuration management ala Chef, Puppet. The old way of Sysadmins hand maintaining configuration files on individual UNIX machines simply won't cut it in the era of easily provisioned ephemeral cloud resources. |
What do you think is the next Technology worth mastering ? | antirez: a) Every kind of concurrency stuff. CUDA, threading, Go/Erlang/... light threads, and so forth.b) Alternative databases.c) Real-world scalability. |
Ask for money before having a prototype? | alain94040: You can spend the next 6 months of your life knocking on investors' doors with just your idea, and have nothing to show for it.Or you can spend the next 6 months to hack an ugly prototype. You'll be amazed how much further along you are.That's because in the second scenario, you actually did something. That has value. It may not be your final product, but you'll learn so much more than tweaking the template on your powerpoint deck. |
What do you think is the next Technology worth mastering ? | HeyLaughingBoy: Sales. |
What do you think is the next Technology worth mastering ? | Murkin: I am surprised no one raised the issue of smart-devices. I mean the hundreds of planned smart, wireless, SOC devices that are prophesied to become deeply ingrained into our lives in the coming years.ZigBee/WBAN/RFID and the technology around them.This fields has myriads of required applications:
- Firmware upgrades
- Control & Monitoring
- Inter communication tools
- Security
and more and more and more |
Ask for money before having a prototype? | anamax: Suppose that you were being approached to invest your money, how would you react to a "great idea" vs a "it's not done, and it's ugly, but let me show you what it does"? |
Which Scheme book to read? | tebeka: My vote goes to SICP as well, however if you don't have much time http://www.ccs.neu.edu/home/dorai/t-y-scheme/t-y-scheme.html is helpful. |
What do you think is the next Technology worth mastering ? | aaronblohowiak: Omap3 and Omap4 |
Best site to buy business cards? | jmonegro: I'd say moo.com |
Best site to buy business cards? | PStamatiou: I have used overnightprints.com many, many times and have always been impressed with the quality. I wrote about my experience with them here: http://paulstamatiou.com/you-need-business-cardsIn a nutshell.. 1000 high quality cards (in my case double-sided glossy with their standard, great-thickness stock) for like $70 bucks. In hindsight, I should have gone with at least one side not glossy so I can write stuff on it. |
What startups here are focusing on developing on top of .NET? | indexzero: I think that there is a lot of stigma around Microsoft based platforms. But imo C# 4.0 is one of the most innovative languages out there right now. With Mono supporting all of C# 4.0 features (ExpressionTrees and all) I would say, if you're not using it give it another look. My ideal .NET stack doesn't have ".NET" in it at all:C# 4.0
HAML
LESS
MongoDB |
Best site to buy business cards? | akalsey: Is your designer local to you? Ask them about local print shops. Most freelance designers know who can do quality work locally for a great price. |
What do you think is the next Technology worth mastering ? | nir: IMHO it's more about concepts than technologies - eg, MVC based Web frameworks were a good concept to pick up a few years ago, whether you chose Rails or Django or Zend Framework etc, OOP were a good idea to pick up somewhere in the 90s whether you ended up writing games in C++ or banking apps in Java.I think one of the next concepts to take off is asynchronous (or event based) programming. It's been around for a while, but only recently (with growing interest in concurrency) becoming mainstream for non-UI, dynamic language apps. Good intro here: http://simonwillison.net/2009/Nov/23/node/ |
Ask for money before having a prototype? | akalsey: Ideas are cheap. Everyone has them, and most have more than one. The ability to make something work is a whole different matter.As an investor, you're determining risk vs reward. How much risk is there that I'll give my money to this guy and not ever get anything back?If you have a prototype to play with, you at least know that the entrepreneur is capable of building his idea.If you have actual users using the prototype, you know the entrepreneur is capable of building something others want.And if you have any paying users, even if they aren't paying much, you you know the entrepreneur has been able to build something that people want bad enough to pay for.Each of these steps is a reduction is risk.The more risk an investor has, the less likely they are to invest. And if they DO invest, the more expensive their money is going to be. Anyone willing to invest in just an idea is going to want a lot more of your company for their investment, because they're absorbing a lot more risk than the entrepreneur. |
Best site to buy business cards? | jamesbritt: I'm pretty happy with printplace.com. You can request a free sample package to see what kind of paper and printing they offer. |
working habits - minimalism or "organized" chaos? | Ixiaus: I don't have a spartan work area (or computer desktop) but it is minimal and logically organized. I follow one primary rule: always put away what I've been using. |
What do you think is the next Technology worth mastering ? | mark_l_watson: I just blogged on my predictions for the hot tech for 2010: wireless, analytics, modeling, data/text mining, micro business development with small very focused charge for use web apps, Linked Data, etc.The thing is, choose something that is fascinating for you, otherwise you probably don't have as much chance for success. I would suggest going with what most interests you. |
How many HN readers are avid poker players? | mschy: I am one. I play mid/high stakes poker, and pretty much every form of it.I funded my first startup by playing nights and weekends. These days, it's solely an avocation, but one I rather enjoy. |
How many HN readers are avid poker players? | squidbot: I am. I was so in to it I actually worked for an online poker provider for a year up in Canada. In the "salad" days when it was gaining attention, I was actually making money, because, well, it was easy with a lot of inexperienced players coming in. In general, the quality of players has risen significantly since then and I'm not good or persistent enough to win as much, so I can still play ahead, but with a much lower margin than, say six years ago. |
Which Scheme book to read? | fadmmatt: SICP and HtDP are good for starting out.I often use Scheme when I teach compilers, and I've got a few Scheme-related blog posts designed for the curious student:* Church encodings: http://matt.might.net/articles/church-encodings-demo-in-sche...* Macro-generating macros: http://matt.might.net/articles/implementation-of-scheme-vect...* Programming with continuations: http://matt.might.net/articles/programming-with-continuation... |
How do I change my bar colour? And what is 'noprocrast' mean? | brk: You don't have enough karma for changing the menu bar color yet. Have patience, and make quality contributions.Noprocrast is a utility to force you to stop procrastinating by reading HN and get back to work. |
How was 2009? | dryicerx: Good to hear your company is taking off, congrats.As for my self, 2009 is the first year out of college and I dived in head first in to world of startups. The first two ventures ended without a bang, but the third one I am focusing now is looking much brighter. Either way, the best leaning experience and year I've ever had. Good times, good times. |
Ask for money before having a prototype? | mark_l_watson: Wow, please don't take this badly, but: if you don't have a few prototypes, how can you really know what works and what doesn't for your general ideas?Definitely, build a few experimental systems and get feedback from them. With frameworks like Rails and Django, the cost of prototyping is small. |
Do you worry about ssh brute force attacks on your servers? | noonespecial: On most of my servers that allow ssh, I use keys only and disable passwords. I don't worry that my passwords will be guessed anytime soon as they are all long and random, but I very much like that my logs don't fill with that crap. |
Do you worry about ssh brute force attacks on your servers? | javert: "On the back of a napkin, so to speak, and with a number of reasonable assumptions, I calculated that it would take 2.2098499729010715e+28 years to do so, with a 1,000,000-strong botnet constantly hammering away." (That's with a 20-char root pwd. Just make your root pwd strong.)[1] http://www.mollison.us/blog/2009/10/18/how-hard-is-it-to-bru... |
Do you worry about ssh brute force attacks on your servers? | gcr: fail2ban solves all our problems. We only get about 5 hits a day total on each host now.http://www.fail2ban.org/wiki/index.php/Main_Page |
Do you worry about ssh brute force attacks on your servers? | axod: You can use iptables to rate limit connections: -N SSH_RECENT
-A INPUT -m state --state NEW -p tcp --dport 22 -j SSH_RECENT
-A SSH_RECENT -m recent --set --name SSH
-A SSH_RECENT -m recent --update --seconds 60 --hitcount 3 --name SSH -j DROP |
Do you worry about ssh brute force attacks on your servers? | kunthar: ossec hids got active response and other cool helpers. |
What startups here are focusing on developing on top of .NET? | startupdude: LOL you want to build application on .NET, n00b. |
Do you worry about ssh brute force attacks on your servers? | telemachos: There are good ways to prevent getting rooted, as you say, but I know exactly what you mean. The first time I set up a virtual server, someone began a dedicated brute-force, dictionary attack against ssh within 30 minutes. The attack wasn't particularly aimed at me, of course, since I had an empty virtual machine on an ip number that I had been given only a half hour earlier. Still, it's a bizarre thing to watch the logs and see some machine hammering at your door (even if you believe the door to be very solid). The attack went on for over 12 hours, for whatever that's worth. It felt damn scary the first time - even though I knew that I had absolutely nothing of consequence in the server yet (brand-spanking new) and that I could wipe the whole setup and start fresh with nearly zero effort. Nevertheless, it was creepy. It's sort of like being in a horror movie: you simply watch and listen as the monster pounds on the door. (Of course, you have a lot more options than the twits in the movies, and your monster is usually either (1) a pimply-faced kid in suburbia or (2) a cyber-criminal who doesn't much care where he gets in and happily moves onto the next ip in short order. But the initial feeling was like that.)Like most of the other posters, I ended up taking the following steps to cut down on the problem: (1) disable root login at all, (2) switch sshd from port 22 to another, random port for listening (that alone cut the attacks way, way down), (3) disable all password based logins; only key-based logins work now, (4) limit the users who could login remotely at all to a very small group (you can create a group just for this purpose, enroll two or three admins and edit your sshd_config file to allow only members of that group to login at all), (5) use rate-limiting in iptables to freeze out any attacking ip after two or three failed attempts in a minute.A link with lots of detailed methods to handle brute force attacks and their pros and cons, in case anybody wants it: http://la-samhna.de/library/brutessh.html |
A New Decade. Any Predictions? | jacquesm: Googles turnover exeeds Microsofts by 2015, if not earlier.As for the displays the 30" screens already do 2560x1600, they're still a good bit of money but they'll be affordable within 2 to 3 years (and some people already think they're affordable).The decade that parallel processing became commonplacethe end of 32 bit computing.Some unknown manufacturer will make a tablet-phone-musicplayer hybrid and score. |
A New Decade. Any Predictions? | wheels: Ah, such a nerd. Years aren't zero indexed. Technically next year is the start of a new decade. ;-) |
A New Decade. Any Predictions? | Slashed: Death of traditional news industry. |
A New Decade. Any Predictions? | adw: Network analysis and data mining will claim their first major political scalp.That'll be a watershed moment: the politics of information are going to start being the kind of core liberal issue that environmental issues currently are. |
A New Decade. Any Predictions? | mojuba: I predict (and hope for) a major turn back to simplicity in technologies. Multimillion-line software will go extinct like dinosaurs. Existing programming languages and platforms will gradually be replaced with ones so simple and elegant that one software component will be written and maintained by one to three developers and art designers and not a whole software company packed with managers and other unnecessary staff. Oh, and managers along with poeple who "understand" "software business" but not software will hopefully go extinct too. |
A New Decade. Any Predictions? | jacquesm: This one is meta, but I think it will happen:HN will split. |
Do you worry about ssh brute force attacks on your servers? | bensummers: I use ssh on a non-standard port, not for security, but to avoid all the annoying attempts in the logs.I use ssh keys only. I've disabled the use of passwords for any account other than root on the console, and for that, I use a very long random password which is stored very carefully, encrypted with a long passphrase. This is only needed in emergencies.Be careful to protect your ssh keys (long passphrases and ssh-agent), and it's probably a good idea to use hashes in your known_hosts file rather than addresses so malware can't find all the hosts you can access. |
A New Decade. Any Predictions? | andrewcooke: gpu/cpu unification has to happen some time in the next 10 years (in the 2010 thread i argue against it being next year, but it's inevitable at some point). the next amd architecture is a step in that direction.edit: also, please, please, ultralight laptops with e-ink screens.edit2: to clarify the above, cpus are currently tending towards more cores, while gpus are tending towards larger caches. both are trying to extend their area of application into tasks performed by the other, in the hope of more speed over a wider range of applications. |
A New Decade. Any Predictions? | paraschopra: Ebook readers will become ubiquitous in developed countries by 2012-2013 and then developing countries by 2020(Of course all my predictions have +/- a couple of years of margin for error)[EDIT: changed 2010 to 2020, guess I am still in 2009 mode] |
A New Decade. Any Predictions? | motters: Two main predictions:Telerobots become commonplace. These will be not much more than a wheeled or tracked base with a pole and holder for a mobile phone. It allows you to visit people in their homes, visit companies or customers, provide some kinds of medical service and carry out inspections of remote sites.Augmented reality becomes a major entertainment system. You wear something like an EyeTap device and 3D content is projected into your field of view. The device also contains a accelerometers (same as the Wii controllers) to monitor head pose. Highly compelling 3D content, including games, business charts, street directions, ads, and even "adult content" can be interacted with at any location using the headset, which is wirelessly linked to something like a mobile phone or laptop. |
A New Decade. Any Predictions? | varjag: America will pull out from Afghanistan, and the central government will fall before the decade ends. |
A New Decade. Any Predictions? | DannoHung: Things will actually be even more awesome than they are today, but because governments have no idea how to manage all the awesome, things will actually seem crappier.I mean, I'm thinking like, silver jumpsuit awesome here. |
A New Decade. Any Predictions? | tlrobinson: I predict lots of people will make predictions, but we'll never go back to check and see if they were right.Was there a 2009 prediction thread we can look at?Fun website idea: a site where you register your predictions and a date you expect it to happen by, then when that date occurs people can confirm/deny your prediction. And perhaps you could make it a game by assigning points to predictions. |
A New Decade. Any Predictions? | rms: A habitable (to some life, not necessarily to human life) extra-solar Earth like planet is discovered by 2020. |
A New Decade. Any Predictions? | antirez: Internet will become for most people in developed countries as important as it used to be for "early adopters" in the past. |
A New Decade. Any Predictions? | DrJokepu: * Still no fusion power.* Microsoft sells large parts of itself in order to be able to focus on its core competencies (just like IBM did)* Someone will make an actually usable e-book reader.* During the second half of the decade, the Chinese bubble will burst. This will be a quite heavy shock. A lot of people will lose a lot of money. A younger/more populist group of politicians will assume power in China.* Brazil will become a real powerhouse.* Hugo Chavez & his friends will be removed from power in Venezuela.* Still no Duke Nukem Forever.* 'Minimal Techno' will finally die / go out of fashion.* Lady Gaga will be the new Madonna.* Functional programming / dynamic languages will go out of fashion. People still using them will be judged as incompetent programmers by the people who moved on to the new fashionable programming paradigm(s). At the same time, huge corporations will embrace functional programming / dynamic languages and third world universities will start focusing on them in their courses.* Google will experience change in management. From there, it will be downhill for them (at least for the rest of the decade).* Surprisingly enough, Apple will still stay relevant even though Steve Jobs will have to leave his position due to health problems or something else.That's what I could come up with off the top of my head. Feel free to disagree / rant / do name calling, this is not a serious thread anyway. |
A New Decade. Any Predictions? | tommorris: Widespread adoption of GNU/Linux on the desktop. (Prompted by...)Widespread adoption of LISP by developers. (Both of which cause...)The Singularity! (But, sadly, Ray Kurzweil dies a few days before the Singularity happens.)Okay, okay, prediction is a mugs game.Democracy in Iran would be nice. I'm not sure why I need a customised personal display on my refrigerator. Cheaper displays and other computing devices would be nice - as would a stable, clean energy supply to power them with. |
A New Decade. Any Predictions? | rms: In 2020, AMD's 3rd generation holodeck isn't quite like Star Trek, but the future video games and videoconferencing/telepresence systems make today's tech look like something out of the stone age.Reference: AMD's product roadmap is for the first generation, holodeck in 2016. http://www.anandtech.com/printarticle.aspx?i=3635"Carrell believes it'll take seven years to be able to deliver a 180 degree hemispherical display (you're not completely surrounded by displays but at least your forward and peripheral vision is) with positionally accurate and phase accurate sound (both calculated by the GPU in real time). The GPU will also be used to recognize speech, track gestures and track eye movement/position." |
Do you worry about ssh brute force attacks on your servers? | semanticist: One of the first things I do when setting up a new VM is install DenyHosts:http://denyhosts.sourceforge.net/The out of the box config options are pretty decent, giving a few attempts to most accounts but only one wrong password for root before blocking the IP address.I have it send email notifications to my support ticket tracking system, which automatically sorts them so I can see how heavily I'm being attacked at any given time, or if one VM in particular is being targeted. (One VM has been a particular target over the holidays, so I just turned off SSH entirely and access it using the Xen console for now.)The down side of having a good understanding of how much you're under attack is that it is a bit disturbing. In reality, I know that I could just leave SSH running on all my VMs, but turning it off when someone's targeting one of them reduces the flow of scary emails. The most disturbing thing is how many machines these guys must have already compromised, since as soon as you block one IP address another steps in. |
A New Decade. Any Predictions? | lallysingh: Really the best part I'm looking forward to is Doctor Who. I'm pretty apprehensive about the new Doctor, but there's a full season and frankly, the bits from "The End of Time" p1 are pretty exciting.Predictions: we'll see a good-sized shift in our political base representing the un/under-skilled and unemployed. |
A New Decade. Any Predictions? | ericb: -Unauthenticated free wifi becomes nearly extinct after a major hacking incident is traced to Panera Bread (or similar) and a court rules that companies are liable for the actions of those on their free wifi networks. Realizing this, companies force authentication on everyone or turn off their wifi all together.-Technology continues to move toward extending our proprioception as we invent solutions that give us continual awareness of our loved ones, their location, and emotional state as if they are a part of us.-Tracking your children electronically becomes a social norm to the extent that not tracking them is considered somewhat negligent.-By the end of the decade, the phone is the personal computer.-External brain-computer interfaces make progress, and typing begins to be replaced by the end of the decade.-BPA and pthalates are finally banned from the food and personal grooming categories.-In the later half of the decade, Steve Jobs realizes he is in spitting distance of toppling the Microsoft business near-monopoly and by hook or by crook, puts out the business apps, email servers, etc needed to finish the job. In spite of this, the transition takes years.-People become more privacy aware after an image search engine with facial recognition is popularized and they realize that any picture ever posted of them by anyone is in the search result for their name. People become less willing to let others take compromising pictures as if they become posted, the link back to them will be made.-A company makes a practice of hiring experienced older workers that other companies won't touch at sub-standard pay rates and the strategy works so well they are celebrated in a Fortune article.Edit:-The technology that will eventually 'cure' cancer is invented--essentially a find and kill tool for a genetic signature. Signature creation is built for more and more cancers and becomes more dynamic with added logic over time. |
A New Decade. Any Predictions? | rms: Also see thread on Lesswrong: http://lesswrong.com/lw/1la/new_years_predictions_thread/ |
A New Decade. Any Predictions? | artagnon: 1. The death of x86, as we know it- x86 emulation for historical reasons. One of CPU/ GPU will have to beat the other.2. The rise of mainstream functional programming.3. By 2020, Chrome and Firefox each have 35% market share. Internet Explorer becomes insignificant.4. PS4 gets something to thrash Project Natal. The death of the PC as a gaming platform.5. The death of GCC. LLVM/ Clang will replace it.6. Microsoft tries harder to be the be-all and end-all of all software/ services, and eventually starts losing market share in several weak sectors. |
A New Decade. Any Predictions? | edw519: Hacker News 12/31/2019 new | comments | leaders | jobs | submit login
1. Tell HN: Congratulations Patio11 - first to reach 1,000,000 karma
4 points by iamelgringo 1 hour ago | discuss
2. Ask HN: Any Predictions for the Year 2029?
11 points by DanielBMarkham 37 minutes ago | 8 comments
3. The Apple Tablet to Launch 1st Quarter 2020 (cnet.com)
210 points by vaksel 20 hours ago | 122 comments
4. President-Elect Graham to Appoint Sam Altman to Cabinet (msnbc.com)
14 points by muriithi 4 hours ago | 2 comments
5. Trevor Blackwell's Robot Collects Rocks on Mars (science.com)
143 points by ojbyrne 18 hours ago | 81 comments
6. Tell HN: Hacker News is getting too much like reddit
17 points by jamesjones 6 hours ago | 3 comments
7. Last Land Line Disconnected at Midnight (cnn.com)
6 points by chickamade 3 hours ago | discuss
8. Mark Zuckerman buys Portugal (worldnews.com)
51 points by larryz 14 hours ago | 16 comments
9. How Half Our Staff Telecommutes from Space (joelonsoftware.com)
45 points by jspolsky 13 hours ago | 2 comments
10. No Deadlines Needed After Singularity is Reached (wired.com)
44 points by bxgame 14 hours ago | 28 comments
11. Ask pg: Why do YC teams only get $1,000,000?
19 points by abcklm 9 hours ago | 5 comments
12. KidneyExchange.com has 10,000th successful transplant (yahoo.com)
23 points by phsr 10 hours ago | 7 comments
13. Walmart Acquires Microsoft (wallstreetjournal.com)
76 points by francis24 20 hours ago | 17 comments
14. Baby Communicates from Womb via usb23.7 (scientificamerican.com)
13 points by johnson 8 hours ago | 7 comments
15. Mark Bao Starts 1,000th Start-Up (startupnews.com)
4 points by MarySmith 3 hours ago | discuss
16. unalone accepts Pulitzer for blog (cnn.com)
20 points by bootload 10 hours ago | 11 comments
17. Ask HN: Review my app: NoMoreAds.com (nomoreads.com)
17 points by fred 10 hours ago | discuss
18. Poll: Favorite Language, Ruby 92.7 or C++++++++
37 points by uafes 17 hours ago | 5 comments
19. Feds Force Google to Divest its Apps Business (news.com)
38 points by pete 17 hours ago | 5 comments
20. Burrito Tunnel Between Calif & NYC Finally Completed (onion.com)
50 points by jose 20 hours ago | 20 comments
21. In 2020 Belize will become the world’s second-largest economy (economist.com)
30 points by pg 16 hours ago | 23 comments
22. Ask HN: What was Microsoft Office?
63 points by yahfsh 23 hours ago | 6 comments
23. Wikipedia Available on Gumwrapper (abc.com)
3 points by lapenne 3 hours ago | discuss
24. Boeing Dreamliner Delayed Until 2022 (airlinenews.com)
4 points by mitchel 5 hours ago | discuss
25. Ted Williams becomes 1st to win MVP with 2 different bodies (mlb.com)
5 points by johnson 6 hours ago | 2 comments
26. Ask HN: Review my app (virtualsex.com)
125 points by ghpoa 1 day ago | 13 comments
27. Science: Cigarettes Were Healthy After All (science.com)
43 points by woodyallen 20 hours ago | 14 comments
28. Broadband Finally Reaches Flint, Michigan (cbs.com)
133 points by johnguest 1 day ago | 20 comments
29. GO TO Added to Python, 27 Programmers Jump Out Windows (python.org)
149 points by swert 1 day ago | 20 comments
30. Wipe The Slate Clean For 2020, Commit Web 9.0 Suicide (techcrunch.com)
2 points by nreece 2 hours ago | discuss
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Early bird still gets the worm? | Mz: When I was extremely ill, I suffered horrible insomnia and often went to sleep at 7am. During that time, I was not able to be genuinely productive. A lot of what I did amounted to churn and time-filling. When I began working, I took an evening shift job because I knew that although I was healthier, I still wasn't healthy enough to cope with getting up early. I now work dayshift, and that correlates to an ability to get up earlier because of improved health.So if there is any correlation generally (not just for me) between health and schedule, then I would say that being an early bird may be a proxy for health but real productivity is rooted in sound health and the ability it provides to think clearly and do sustained work, which isn't specifically related to the hours you keep. |
A New Decade. Any Predictions? | JulianMorrison: Ubiquitous mobile/wireless internet integrated into even very trivial consumer goods, with close to 100% coverage across the civilized world. A significant fraction of ordinary consumer goods simply won't work in "dark" zones. The gap between 1st and 3rd world countries will widen as a result - take a modern computer into backwoods Africa and it's a paperweight.Google succeed in forcing the mobile providers to be commodity data pipes. They scream blue murder, try to cartel up, but Google breaks the cartel and several big names are forced out of the market.Ebooks defeat paper books. All high street bookstores go bust. Rampant book piracy throws the copyright war into overdrive. Despite international treaties and draconian law, the pirates win.Electric cars become fairly common. A destructive feedback loop starts for gasoline fuel: lower demand, lower profit, vendors go bust, less availability, monopoly prices, lower desirability. The gasoline economy is brittle because it has high fixed costs, a complex supply chain, and its power source isn't fungible. As with film versus digital cameras, the result is an exponential crash in the desirability of gasoline cars, with mass conversion to battery-electric and collapse of the oil industry. Government greenhouse warming policies will continue to be useless, but they'll be eclipsed by events. The big panic will be the overstraining electricity grid. Residential grids were not specced to fuel everybody's car at once.Driverless cars will appear. As they move down from the high end to the mainstream, they'll make taxis cheap enough that private car ownership starts to become quaint. Eventually, driving your own car will be considered selfish risk-taking, and banned on public roads. |
Early bird still gets the worm? | yannis: Hmm... put it this way, it is productive to put in three hours of work in your business before your opposition wakes up! |
A New Decade. Any Predictions? | motters: Also, this decade sees the beginning of the "pension bomb" - the demographic bulge of post-war baby boomers crossing the threshold into retirement. It's fairly easy to predict that there will be pensions scandals, with some pensions companies going bust or paying out far less to recipients than had been originally advertised. Also I predict the beginning of large supermarket scale retirement homes/complexes/compounds, where economies of scale can reduce costs of elder care. |
Early bird still gets the worm? | moe: The early bird may get the worm. But the second mouse gets the cheese. |
Does the color scheme in a website affect signups? | twidlit: more common examples would be white blocks on black background vs. light colored blocks on white background.Does anyone like to have lots of white (ala facebook)? |
A New Decade. Any Predictions? | wallflower: At least one HN long-time contributor and non YC will launch a company that does stupendously well and he/she will reference HN as a vital resource/support in their formative days.Videogames continue to evolve into real-time collaborative tools.The 1st edition of The Primer (a magical in the Arthur C. Clarke sense AI device)."A book that is powered by a computer so advanced it’s almost magical, and it teaches children everything. It does this through a fully interactive story. It teaches you how to read, how to do maths, it teaches you morals, ethics, even self-defence."http://mssv.net/2006/05/01/the-young-ladys-illustrated-prime... |
Early bird still gets the worm? | mechanical_fish: Somewhere in the world there is a time zone where you are the early bird.Being an early bird in your own time zone is important when you have to physically stand in line for one thing or another. But now, for a software startup, most of those lines are virtual, and you can stand in an American line at 7am while sipping coffee in a cafe in Monaco at noon.Obviously there are still many exceptions in the non-hacker world. If you want to run a bakery or a drive-time radio show you pretty much have to learn to love 3AM. And the problem for a software startup is that if you don't build your stuff right you might have to respond to emergencies at any random hour of the day or night, which is a much more serious problem than having to wake up consistently early or consistently late. |
A New Decade. Any Predictions? | samuel: IPv4 address space will be exhausted(I know, I know, a cheap shot). |
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