Add B5 Qwen3-4B fixed-budget aggregate evidence

README.md

@@ -0,0 +1,30 @@
+---
+pretty_name: MoS-DFlash Aggregate Experiment Evidence
+language:
+- en
+---
+
+# MoS-DFlash aggregate experiment evidence
+
+This dataset repository contains aggregate, reviewer-facing evidence for the
+MoS-DFlash experiments. It does not contain prompts, per-prompt generations,
+training data, credentials, internal paths, or raw training logs.
+
+## B5 Qwen3-4B fixed-budget replication
+
+`releases/b5-qwen3-4b-fixed-budget/` contains:
+
+- the frozen result summary;
+- the matched-training-volume aggregate trajectory;
+- plot-ready aggregate trajectories;
+- run metadata; and
+- an artifact manifest with hashes for the larger local evidence tree.
+
+The files named by `artifact_manifest.json` are provenance records. Files that
+are not present in this repository remain unpublished; their names and hashes
+are included only to make the released aggregates traceable to the frozen
+local evidence snapshot.
+
+The reported paired bootstrap intervals quantify prompt-level uncertainty for
+one fixed model pair. They do not establish training-seed robustness or a
+universal per-domain improvement.

releases/b5-qwen3-4b-fixed-budget/RESULTS.md

@@ -0,0 +1,39 @@
+# B5 Qwen3-4B fixed-budget paired evaluation
+
+Both conditions were evaluated at exactly **2,397,120 training samples** with the
+same Qwen3-4B target snapshot, ReasonMix held-out prompts, target-side Qwen3-4B
+preformatting, thinking enabled, greedy generation, and DFlash
+`CONFIG=8,1,1,16`. The reported intervals are 50,000-replicate paired prompt
+bootstrap percentile intervals; they do not measure training-seed uncertainty.
+
+| Domain | D0-MoS Arm A | Generalist | Delta | Paired 95% CI |
+|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|
+| Code | 3.3324 | 3.2132 | +0.1192 | [+0.0796, +0.1588] |
+| Math | 4.9530 | 4.6473 | +0.3057 | [+0.1522, +0.4576] |
+| Factual QA | 2.9001 | 2.8455 | +0.0546 | [+0.0145, +0.0962] |
+| Creative writing | 2.7287 | 2.7282 | +0.0005 | [-0.1076, +0.0847] |
+| General | 3.0432 | 3.0507 | -0.0075 | [-0.0773, +0.0599] |
+| **Five-domain unweighted mean** | **3.3915** | **3.2970** | **+0.0945** | **[+0.0537, +0.1339]** |
+| Token-weighted pooled | 3.2424 | 3.1717 | +0.0707 | [+0.0418, +0.0988] |
+
+The fixed-budget aggregate direction therefore replicates at 4B. Code, Math,
+and Factual QA have positive prompt-bootstrap intervals; Creative writing and
+General are individually inconclusive, with General's point estimate slightly
+negative. The evidence supports a same-series, second-scale replication claim,
+not a universal per-domain improvement or a multi-seed robustness claim.
+
+The frozen historical trajectories contain 29 exactly sample-matched dense
+points from 80,000 to 2,320,000 samples. Arm A is higher at all 29 points; the
+overall-AL delta has range `+0.0311` to `+0.1089` and median `+0.0870`.
+
+Run metadata:
+
+- GPUs: 1--5, one domain per GPU; ports 32101--32105.
+- Wall time: 292 seconds (2026-07-19 03:33:07--03:37:59 UTC), including Arm A
+  expert export, ten evaluation cells, and CPU bootstrap.
+- Prompts per condition: 256 (Code 89, Math 35, Factual QA 47, Creative writing
+  30, General 55).
+- Bootstrap artifact SHA-256:
+  `9c2857c4f9b9833f26d81c60254673bffed4852b3292db062d7f5295ef2cccd9`.
+- Full file-level hashes and local-copy verification are in
+  `artifact_manifest.json`.

releases/b5-qwen3-4b-fixed-budget/artifact_manifest.json

@@ -0,0 +1,320 @@
+{
+  "analysis": "b5_qwen3_4b_local_evidence_verification",
+  "bootstrap_sha256": "9c2857c4f9b9833f26d81c60254673bffed4852b3292db062d7f5295ef2cccd9",
+  "frozen_files": {
+    "RESULTS.md": {
+      "sha256": "df1ad8d3aed1d65399f06b5281863f946775bd5202871cd634143f28b8c11290",
+      "size_bytes": 2110
+    },
+    "b5_qwen3_4b_bootstrap.json": {
+      "sha256": "9c2857c4f9b9833f26d81c60254673bffed4852b3292db062d7f5295ef2cccd9",
+      "size_bytes": 20848
+    },
+    "eval/d0_mos_arm_a/code/al_curve.csv": {
+      "sha256": "94442979917f3cdb85ea9381eb3076a204785219e1d657117a1e3b73789fe66a",
+      "size_bytes": 65
+    },
+    "eval/d0_mos_arm_a/code/code__code/bench.log": {
+      "sha256": "eb82023755b92563392eed3aa2f66f4df99b37ea46c26c5411c1c509c83e72c9",
+      "size_bytes": 57173
+    },
+    "eval/d0_mos_arm_a/code/code__code/code__code_perprompt_customjsonl_bs8_st1_tk1_dt16.jsonl": {
+      "sha256": "efcb30e941cb1c05d24444c18db312d190f6b2339fb3cc5d7bdf4ee8679808e2",
+      "size_bytes": 95850
+    },
+    "eval/d0_mos_arm_a/code/code__code/code__code_results_20260719_033611.jsonl": {
+      "sha256": "e8248a21d397a868e29f918e184adf21dab04cb02d5cd49039e15d31c5ae00cf",
+      "size_bytes": 711
+    },
+    "eval/d0_mos_arm_a/code/code__code/done": {
+      "sha256": "eb0229c745894d530cbbe711955ddd082f62f3d5472d07b40d3dd73fcdeb6a6e",
+      "size_bytes": 17
+    },
+    "eval/d0_mos_arm_a/creative_writing/al_curve.csv": {
+      "sha256": "0bdc4e80a81b637192bd2fad32572f5fbd4e967bcaea32e3dc218fd0cecb2ba1",
+      "size_bytes": 103
+    },
+    "eval/d0_mos_arm_a/creative_writing/creative_writing__creative_writing/bench.log": {
+      "sha256": "dab609047441fdee26c0c37b4973684b169a3ab8fbbcee7bd277b4f7a8e92d1e",
+      "size_bytes": 34276
+    },
+    "eval/d0_mos_arm_a/creative_writing/creative_writing__creative_writing/creative_writing__creative_writing_perprompt_customjsonl_bs8_st1_tk1_dt16.jsonl": {
+      "sha256": "e7078dde499556a5eeea701571353c8988d85be6697dae75757a7b95487f3dbd",
+      "size_bytes": 33030
+    },
+    "eval/d0_mos_arm_a/creative_writing/creative_writing__creative_writing/creative_writing__creative_writing_results_20260719_033556.jsonl": {
+      "sha256": "8f6b5813806b5649bb3c47d01c436937a8745b16f7ef4b21afb1ad162dbc9e9c",
+      "size_bytes": 723
+    },
+    "eval/d0_mos_arm_a/creative_writing/creative_writing__creative_writing/done": {
+      "sha256": "59826b8d0f6bbd31a770a930cbb3c6e5c8308bec0ad1c865ab223739346a0c15",
+      "size_bytes": 19
+    },
+    "eval/d0_mos_arm_a/factual_qa/al_curve.csv": {
+      "sha256": "136510674deb4da601b8b3a25cea8a5bfa5132ffad69c8a60312e132cc60ec2d",
+      "size_bytes": 85
+    },
+    "eval/d0_mos_arm_a/factual_qa/factual_qa__factual_qa/bench.log": {
+      "sha256": "4b003428f21d9bd31281ff9b44f575103707b19b3149214131b0d3d401763159",
+      "size_bytes": 40489
+    },
+    "eval/d0_mos_arm_a/factual_qa/factual_qa__factual_qa/done": {
+      "sha256": "727427728dddec288336ad4dcf624e362b9c89b949ddf4875387d6803680f12f",
+      "size_bytes": 19
+    },
+    "eval/d0_mos_arm_a/factual_qa/factual_qa__factual_qa/factual_qa__factual_qa_perprompt_customjsonl_bs8_st1_tk1_dt16.jsonl": {
+      "sha256": "602e80e6b6d01857b5edf82b7404f3569f1392db6209484d69d72ad0eb4e79ec",
+      "size_bytes": 51154
+    },
+    "eval/d0_mos_arm_a/factual_qa/factual_qa__factual_qa/factual_qa__factual_qa_results_20260719_033601.jsonl": {
+      "sha256": "e1e203f2ad341ea024ae9b60efeb6cb81df74c6f4f5e75782eb75887f4d97fe5",
+      "size_bytes": 719
+    },
+    "eval/d0_mos_arm_a/general/al_curve.csv": {
+      "sha256": "301a1b3228ea5363b968d57d30dc2610269596be4fdb0b695ec6368fa4a9293c",
+      "size_bytes": 76
+    },
+    "eval/d0_mos_arm_a/general/general__general/bench.log": {
+      "sha256": "0b993c79444502fab4e3f300fccc933f6836f01edd2cd2c67f9c57ad566970a8",
+      "size_bytes": 43967
+    },
+    "eval/d0_mos_arm_a/general/general__general/done": {
+      "sha256": "4355191453fb9c636483689b7c60c524155a19191670e22348c63be85421bf52",
+      "size_bytes": 19
+    },
+    "eval/d0_mos_arm_a/general/general__general/general__general_perprompt_customjsonl_bs8_st1_tk1_dt16.jsonl": {
+      "sha256": "814fb1c7352e952f8bd443a06eda1f9f5caf04581919fb1a20d397ede6a8337b",
+      "size_bytes": 59554
+    },
+    "eval/d0_mos_arm_a/general/general__general/general__general_results_20260719_033606.jsonl": {
+      "sha256": "9f9522b452c10fe2ca285ab80629d4822258c833d78fe1afa97442e6209c3c6b",
+      "size_bytes": 716
+    },
+    "eval/d0_mos_arm_a/math/al_curve.csv": {
+      "sha256": "5f84b59fec4ba36d7ea5bea290b61fffafd54bf57c2b59fc1332a80b104caf71",
+      "size_bytes": 66
+    },
+    "eval/d0_mos_arm_a/math/math__math/bench.log": {
+      "sha256": "273a3e4a8d80e602a028196312070464b6bd28bbb5402bc705a3a8c79cdcb6a3",
+      "size_bytes": 33537
+    },
+    "eval/d0_mos_arm_a/math/math__math/done": {
+      "sha256": "2b60b99e2c072a2d239cb5a50f7823ede11542634d255d67a9395c2f632edf4d",
+      "size_bytes": 18
+    },
+    "eval/d0_mos_arm_a/math/math__math/math__math_perprompt_customjsonl_bs8_st1_tk1_dt16.jsonl": {
+      "sha256": "42100bfe3c96feda374aa73c0d691e7e4127157c143f0f11b15c85fe7ddcf5c1",
+      "size_bytes": 37672
+    },
+    "eval/d0_mos_arm_a/math/math__math/math__math_results_20260719_033556.jsonl": {
+      "sha256": "4855119039d623e4bf64aaa92cc812aeb385a1c7ff17bc2169d10fad0387755a",
+      "size_bytes": 710
+    },
+    "eval/generalist/code/al_curve.csv": {
+      "sha256": "d8e957c3cdfa597f42669f7aabcb8fa16e9cc28ecdda4509855700116b91a887",
+      "size_bytes": 98
+    },
+    "eval/generalist/code/epoch_2_step_37455__code/bench.log": {
+      "sha256": "368d0daf79efa8d11f52cadae32c2c50747a7334875f381008a581e57f6ff507",
+      "size_bytes": 56487
+    },
+    "eval/generalist/code/epoch_2_step_37455__code/done": {
+      "sha256": "68e4b70a22597fe91c8c1caf84944370199b9285625b336de010b2ac8b0c134d",
+      "size_bytes": 18
+    },
+    "eval/generalist/code/epoch_2_step_37455__code/epoch_2_step_37455__code_perprompt_customjsonl_bs8_st1_tk1_dt16.jsonl": {
+      "sha256": "5d7e53e5cf180139fd3471deef8ac36e1ed87bca0948c3ffdfe0e7c9484f2629",
+      "size_bytes": 94378
+    },
+    "eval/generalist/code/epoch_2_step_37455__code/epoch_2_step_37455__code_results_20260719_033754.jsonl": {
+      "sha256": "e88d1936f3fef2da8b6be53e995667476c738719a2c4952c2732fc0e244c4a47",
+      "size_bytes": 697
+    },
+    "eval/generalist/creative_writing/al_curve.csv": {
+      "sha256": "a8f05ed65beabc4fac0bd13226c534f4c0dc202007af1bd3606f616fd37cf2ac",
+      "size_bytes": 111
+    },
+    "eval/generalist/creative_writing/epoch_2_step_37455__creative_writing/bench.log": {
+      "sha256": "821e8b25753df38231ffc6378233f93ca671fb897a37f3c6d3b8179c2e20d5bb",
+      "size_bytes": 34401
+    },
+    "eval/generalist/creative_writing/epoch_2_step_37455__creative_writing/done": {
+      "sha256": "7fad3d4d65d010dffffcde1f5a2fcedcacf43d8c0373509e1ed3fb4cdba61ac0",
+      "size_bytes": 19
+    },
+    "eval/generalist/creative_writing/epoch_2_step_37455__creative_writing/epoch_2_step_37455__creative_writing_perprompt_customjsonl_bs8_st1_tk1_dt16.jsonl": {
+      "sha256": "54ed29414382743bc01915bff3afc6b725e5278cfa8c70e5508d3881ab9cb265",
+      "size_bytes": 32152
+    },
+    "eval/generalist/creative_writing/epoch_2_step_37455__creative_writing/epoch_2_step_37455__creative_writing_results_20260719_033730.jsonl": {
+      "sha256": "fb66a10c5f2f35b200ae3f227a9f9fc066580b30c52efc79195151879e67fb2c",
+      "size_bytes": 698
+    },
+    "eval/generalist/factual_qa/al_curve.csv": {
+      "sha256": "24c59156dcafa1e99ef5d5e08f81d399b28d45461e2e02b67345b8d5cd5c1aa9",
+      "size_bytes": 104
+    },
+    "eval/generalist/factual_qa/epoch_2_step_37455__factual_qa/bench.log": {
+      "sha256": "eaaab9f8a769e6479c6f9889bd6d7c75ec0409ee30bb69551aada99354a1c52b",
+      "size_bytes": 40991
+    },
+    "eval/generalist/factual_qa/epoch_2_step_37455__factual_qa/done": {
+      "sha256": "e3025abf0c86acc2fe41b7d4a2da4c07fd0e86665d6c211d3d7954536d2ea93b",
+      "size_bytes": 18
+    },
+    "eval/generalist/factual_qa/epoch_2_step_37455__factual_qa/epoch_2_step_37455__factual_qa_perprompt_customjsonl_bs8_st1_tk1_dt16.jsonl": {
+      "sha256": "dc4203ee6ad99059f064ba774d6d0bd1dc3cf63878b563ff42e79bc4f2ca882a",
+      "size_bytes": 50103
+    },
+    "eval/generalist/factual_qa/epoch_2_step_37455__factual_qa/epoch_2_step_37455__factual_qa_results_20260719_033736.jsonl": {
+      "sha256": "dfcfa31ddfb6e85ec8586d3ca13fcc05a44671b37a5b1ea3e232fd1afa2f6ebf",
+      "size_bytes": 696
+    },
+    "eval/generalist/general/al_curve.csv": {
+      "sha256": "0a02d128de4ac4a0443f1546d832125054787097fa0d82ec03b94264b85ad17e",
+      "size_bytes": 101
+    },
+    "eval/generalist/general/epoch_2_step_37455__general/bench.log": {
+      "sha256": "87fcf2e77caa8789ce39f54fd2bca4919b7f53af9c6c9f99401218eddeb431fb",
+      "size_bytes": 44253
+    },
+    "eval/generalist/general/epoch_2_step_37455__general/done": {
+      "sha256": "c8cd3a2c57c59c8f70d58118fb5f5c0529bc74b4213deff6a0a490646b3c6091",
+      "size_bytes": 18
+    },
+    "eval/generalist/general/epoch_2_step_37455__general/epoch_2_step_37455__general_perprompt_customjsonl_bs8_st1_tk1_dt16.jsonl": {
+      "sha256": "5beb3e1d26cd712bd58ea6781f1768cd4847aeaa3673ee11449ae984ffec34f6",
+      "size_bytes": 58446
+    },
+    "eval/generalist/general/epoch_2_step_37455__general/epoch_2_step_37455__general_results_20260719_033743.jsonl": {
+      "sha256": "51d6dced3e12a74c70d1ed7ee05d31f7ca4cdba49ebbd48f3445e8b33aca97a0",
+      "size_bytes": 698
+    },
+    "eval/generalist/math/al_curve.csv": {
+      "sha256": "79965ee430500dd15ebb7aa353bd623a4986d92325f091293c44add4de6dfb94",
+      "size_bytes": 98
+    },
+    "eval/generalist/math/epoch_2_step_37455__math/bench.log": {
+      "sha256": "3fb78420eade5b725e421530c404fa9275e861deb487e4131c16c2364e3d0b27",
+      "size_bytes": 34208
+    },
+    "eval/generalist/math/epoch_2_step_37455__math/done": {
+      "sha256": "94115f734a0c590c793d80cedb3a72e01bf9edd99a59b86b4439f512148110d2",
+      "size_bytes": 18
+    },
+    "eval/generalist/math/epoch_2_step_37455__math/epoch_2_step_37455__math_perprompt_customjsonl_bs8_st1_tk1_dt16.jsonl": {
+      "sha256": "be0a805dd12175c199bde86b8e232fc7aeb1f5f7232a6d3860bf12364421eefc",
+      "size_bytes": 37032
+    },
+    "eval/generalist/math/epoch_2_step_37455__math/epoch_2_step_37455__math_results_20260719_033738.jsonl": {
+      "sha256": "738d2a17c8cedaaf6db6ce90970024e6e6ba192829b998b904f20657b9fa2476",
+      "size_bytes": 695
+    },
+    "export.log": {
+      "sha256": "d87ea97c1001c6ff77d040895521c8109e17721d7181186169f4c03b62fa9d20",
+      "size_bytes": 1390
+    },
+    "matched_volume_summary.json": {
+      "sha256": "a69092fbb23a772989ae38b2609464f6cf11f0bad9871bda46d6073f47c2b40d",
+      "size_bytes": 821
+    },
+    "matched_volume_trajectory.csv": {
+      "sha256": "272d11f64a0fe64bd24cb40f8e63204a2ba35568f242a673920cd8881e45e6b7",
+      "size_bytes": 4613
+    },
+    "plot_armA_traj.csv": {
+      "sha256": "70082850ca060f1a2b0a7762c85ba07d515b4c66d87382870dda0be5a5ceafd1",
+      "size_bytes": 1974
+    },
+    "plot_gen_traj.csv": {
+      "sha256": "5dd37b6c7d9a3d4c6ede536aec2a869aa26afd8c67c3096a04e66355827815e9",
+      "size_bytes": 1447
+    },
+    "run_metadata.json": {
+      "sha256": "91cbd8bf28c659281bb225682076ee5bb898bdd6f276b5cdeeaffc1b6b9b229f",
+      "size_bytes": 240
+    },
+    "training_state_metadata.json": {
+      "sha256": "3b319f64d5e01e4b84c16668e54b8288b67b7b1726ac0361f28118d6517f6f26",
+      "size_bytes": 3164
+    }
+  },
+  "paired_prompt_digests_identical": true,
+  "total_prompts_per_condition": 256,
+  "validated_cells": {
+    "left": {
+      "code": {
+        "aggregate": "eval/d0_mos_arm_a/code/code__code/code__code_results_20260719_033611.jsonl",
+        "aggregate_sha256": "e8248a21d397a868e29f918e184adf21dab04cb02d5cd49039e15d31c5ae00cf",
+        "n_prompts": 89,
+        "sidecar": "eval/d0_mos_arm_a/code/code__code/code__code_perprompt_customjsonl_bs8_st1_tk1_dt16.jsonl",
+        "sidecar_sha256": "efcb30e941cb1c05d24444c18db312d190f6b2339fb3cc5d7bdf4ee8679808e2"
+      },
+      "creative_writing": {
+        "aggregate": "eval/d0_mos_arm_a/creative_writing/creative_writing__creative_writing/creative_writing__creative_writing_results_20260719_033556.jsonl",
+        "aggregate_sha256": "8f6b5813806b5649bb3c47d01c436937a8745b16f7ef4b21afb1ad162dbc9e9c",
+        "n_prompts": 30,
+        "sidecar": "eval/d0_mos_arm_a/creative_writing/creative_writing__creative_writing/creative_writing__creative_writing_perprompt_customjsonl_bs8_st1_tk1_dt16.jsonl",
+        "sidecar_sha256": "e7078dde499556a5eeea701571353c8988d85be6697dae75757a7b95487f3dbd"
+      },
+      "factual_qa": {
+        "aggregate": "eval/d0_mos_arm_a/factual_qa/factual_qa__factual_qa/factual_qa__factual_qa_results_20260719_033601.jsonl",
+        "aggregate_sha256": "e1e203f2ad341ea024ae9b60efeb6cb81df74c6f4f5e75782eb75887f4d97fe5",
+        "n_prompts": 47,
+        "sidecar": "eval/d0_mos_arm_a/factual_qa/factual_qa__factual_qa/factual_qa__factual_qa_perprompt_customjsonl_bs8_st1_tk1_dt16.jsonl",
+        "sidecar_sha256": "602e80e6b6d01857b5edf82b7404f3569f1392db6209484d69d72ad0eb4e79ec"
+      },
+      "general": {
+        "aggregate": "eval/d0_mos_arm_a/general/general__general/general__general_results_20260719_033606.jsonl",
+        "aggregate_sha256": "9f9522b452c10fe2ca285ab80629d4822258c833d78fe1afa97442e6209c3c6b",
+        "n_prompts": 55,
+        "sidecar": "eval/d0_mos_arm_a/general/general__general/general__general_perprompt_customjsonl_bs8_st1_tk1_dt16.jsonl",
+        "sidecar_sha256": "814fb1c7352e952f8bd443a06eda1f9f5caf04581919fb1a20d397ede6a8337b"
+      },
+      "math": {
+        "aggregate": "eval/d0_mos_arm_a/math/math__math/math__math_results_20260719_033556.jsonl",
+        "aggregate_sha256": "4855119039d623e4bf64aaa92cc812aeb385a1c7ff17bc2169d10fad0387755a",
+        "n_prompts": 35,
+        "sidecar": "eval/d0_mos_arm_a/math/math__math/math__math_perprompt_customjsonl_bs8_st1_tk1_dt16.jsonl",
+        "sidecar_sha256": "42100bfe3c96feda374aa73c0d691e7e4127157c143f0f11b15c85fe7ddcf5c1"
+      }
+    },
+    "right": {
+      "code": {
+        "aggregate": "eval/generalist/code/epoch_2_step_37455__code/epoch_2_step_37455__code_results_20260719_033754.jsonl",
+        "aggregate_sha256": "e88d1936f3fef2da8b6be53e995667476c738719a2c4952c2732fc0e244c4a47",
+        "n_prompts": 89,
+        "sidecar": "eval/generalist/code/epoch_2_step_37455__code/epoch_2_step_37455__code_perprompt_customjsonl_bs8_st1_tk1_dt16.jsonl",
+        "sidecar_sha256": "5d7e53e5cf180139fd3471deef8ac36e1ed87bca0948c3ffdfe0e7c9484f2629"
+      },
+      "creative_writing": {
+        "aggregate": "eval/generalist/creative_writing/epoch_2_step_37455__creative_writing/epoch_2_step_37455__creative_writing_results_20260719_033730.jsonl",
+        "aggregate_sha256": "fb66a10c5f2f35b200ae3f227a9f9fc066580b30c52efc79195151879e67fb2c",
+        "n_prompts": 30,
+        "sidecar": "eval/generalist/creative_writing/epoch_2_step_37455__creative_writing/epoch_2_step_37455__creative_writing_perprompt_customjsonl_bs8_st1_tk1_dt16.jsonl",
+        "sidecar_sha256": "54ed29414382743bc01915bff3afc6b725e5278cfa8c70e5508d3881ab9cb265"
+      },
+      "factual_qa": {
+        "aggregate": "eval/generalist/factual_qa/epoch_2_step_37455__factual_qa/epoch_2_step_37455__factual_qa_results_20260719_033736.jsonl",
+        "aggregate_sha256": "dfcfa31ddfb6e85ec8586d3ca13fcc05a44671b37a5b1ea3e232fd1afa2f6ebf",
+        "n_prompts": 47,
+        "sidecar": "eval/generalist/factual_qa/epoch_2_step_37455__factual_qa/epoch_2_step_37455__factual_qa_perprompt_customjsonl_bs8_st1_tk1_dt16.jsonl",
+        "sidecar_sha256": "dc4203ee6ad99059f064ba774d6d0bd1dc3cf63878b563ff42e79bc4f2ca882a"
+      },
+      "general": {
+        "aggregate": "eval/generalist/general/epoch_2_step_37455__general/epoch_2_step_37455__general_results_20260719_033743.jsonl",
+        "aggregate_sha256": "51d6dced3e12a74c70d1ed7ee05d31f7ca4cdba49ebbd48f3445e8b33aca97a0",
+        "n_prompts": 55,
+        "sidecar": "eval/generalist/general/epoch_2_step_37455__general/epoch_2_step_37455__general_perprompt_customjsonl_bs8_st1_tk1_dt16.jsonl",
+        "sidecar_sha256": "5beb3e1d26cd712bd58ea6781f1768cd4847aeaa3673ee11449ae984ffec34f6"
+      },
+      "math": {
+        "aggregate": "eval/generalist/math/epoch_2_step_37455__math/epoch_2_step_37455__math_results_20260719_033738.jsonl",
+        "aggregate_sha256": "738d2a17c8cedaaf6db6ce90970024e6e6ba192829b998b904f20657b9fa2476",
+        "n_prompts": 35,
+        "sidecar": "eval/generalist/math/epoch_2_step_37455__math/epoch_2_step_37455__math_perprompt_customjsonl_bs8_st1_tk1_dt16.jsonl",
+        "sidecar_sha256": "be0a805dd12175c199bde86b8e232fc7aeb1f5f7232a6d3860bf12364421eefc"
+      }
+    }
+  }
+}

releases/b5-qwen3-4b-fixed-budget/matched_volume_summary.json

@@ -0,0 +1,25 @@
+{
+  "analysis": "qwen3_4b_matched_training_volume_trajectory",
+  "n_matched_points": 29,
+  "output_csv": "paper/submission/evidence/b5_qwen3_4b/matched_volume_trajectory.csv",
+  "output_csv_sha256": "272d11f64a0fe64bd24cb40f8e63204a2ba35568f242a673920cd8881e45e6b7",
+  "overall_delta_arm_a_minus_generalist": {
+    "maximum": 0.1089,
+    "median": 0.087,
+    "minimum": 0.0311,
+    "positive_points": 29
+  },
+  "pairing": {
+    "arm_a_samples_per_logged_step": 32,
+    "generalist_samples_per_logged_step": 64,
+    "rule": "arm_a_step = 2 * generalist_step"
+  },
+  "source_sha256": {
+    "d0_mos_arm_a": "70082850ca060f1a2b0a7762c85ba07d515b4c66d87382870dda0be5a5ceafd1",
+    "generalist": "5dd37b6c7d9a3d4c6ede536aec2a869aa26afd8c67c3096a04e66355827815e9"
+  },
+  "training_samples_range": [
+    80000,
+    2320000
+  ]
+}

releases/b5-qwen3-4b-fixed-budget/matched_volume_trajectory.csv

@@ -0,0 +1,30 @@
+training_samples,generalist_step,arm_a_step,generalist_overall_al,arm_a_overall_al,delta_overall_al,generalist_code,arm_a_code,delta_code,generalist_math,arm_a_math,delta_math,generalist_factual_qa,arm_a_factual_qa,delta_factual_qa,generalist_creative_writing,arm_a_creative_writing,delta_creative_writing,generalist_general,arm_a_general,delta_general
+80000,1250,2500,2.8705,2.9335,0.0630,2.8119,2.8528,0.0409,3.8965,4.1414,0.2449,2.5357,2.5529,0.0172,2.4068,2.3996,-0.0072,2.7016,2.7209,0.0193
+160000,2500,5000,2.9964,3.0275,0.0311,2.9148,2.9729,0.0581,4.1491,4.2464,0.0973,2.6310,2.6362,0.0052,2.5090,2.5029,-0.0061,2.7783,2.7791,0.0008
+240000,3750,7500,3.0412,3.0940,0.0528,2.9734,3.0365,0.0631,4.2085,4.3622,0.1537,2.6458,2.6655,0.0197,2.5334,2.5707,0.0373,2.8447,2.8351,-0.0096
+320000,5000,10000,3.0631,3.1315,0.0684,3.0204,3.1009,0.0805,4.2495,4.4019,0.1524,2.6940,2.6961,0.0021,2.5024,2.6091,0.1067,2.8490,2.8495,0.0005
+400000,6250,12500,3.1019,3.1969,0.0950,3.0239,3.1276,0.1037,4.3264,4.5913,0.2649,2.6841,2.7403,0.0562,2.5902,2.6474,0.0572,2.8851,2.8777,-0.0074
+480000,7500,15000,3.1331,3.2012,0.0681,3.0864,3.1329,0.0465,4.3506,4.5902,0.2396,2.7112,2.7227,0.0115,2.5946,2.6764,0.0818,2.9230,2.8840,-0.0390
+560000,8750,17500,3.1352,3.2312,0.0960,3.0659,3.1796,0.1137,4.3782,4.5761,0.1979,2.7174,2.7718,0.0544,2.5937,2.6783,0.0846,2.9209,2.9503,0.0294
+640000,10000,20000,3.1686,3.2405,0.0719,3.0954,3.1978,0.1024,4.4225,4.6114,0.1889,2.7484,2.7855,0.0371,2.6225,2.6783,0.0558,2.9544,2.9295,-0.0249
+720000,11250,22500,3.1772,3.2702,0.0930,3.1039,3.2066,0.1027,4.4655,4.6825,0.2170,2.7516,2.7797,0.0281,2.6328,2.7210,0.0882,2.9324,2.9610,0.0286
+800000,12500,25000,3.2067,3.2897,0.0830,3.1265,3.2198,0.0933,4.5161,4.7660,0.2499,2.7495,2.8254,0.0759,2.6620,2.6797,0.0177,2.9796,2.9575,-0.0221
+880000,13750,27500,3.2080,3.2950,0.0870,3.1213,3.2186,0.0973,4.5298,4.7407,0.2109,2.7881,2.7984,0.0103,2.6315,2.7394,0.1079,2.9692,2.9779,0.0087
+960000,15000,30000,3.2329,3.3085,0.0756,3.1571,3.2391,0.0820,4.5298,4.7723,0.2425,2.7828,2.8213,0.0385,2.6881,2.7316,0.0435,3.0066,2.9781,-0.0285
+1040000,16250,32500,3.2303,3.3256,0.0953,3.1638,3.2592,0.0954,4.5333,4.8172,0.2839,2.8110,2.8294,0.0184,2.6524,2.7085,0.0561,2.9912,3.0135,0.0223
+1120000,17500,35000,3.2244,3.3261,0.1017,3.1572,3.2914,0.1342,4.5287,4.8069,0.2782,2.8225,2.8414,0.0189,2.6216,2.6962,0.0746,2.9920,2.9948,0.0028
+1200000,18750,37500,3.2505,3.3239,0.0734,3.1740,3.2841,0.1101,4.5890,4.8004,0.2114,2.8148,2.8284,0.0136,2.6895,2.7176,0.0281,2.9849,2.9890,0.0041
+1280000,20000,40000,3.2580,3.3506,0.0926,3.1773,3.2863,0.1090,4.6245,4.8107,0.1862,2.8278,2.8388,0.0110,2.6648,2.7968,0.1320,2.9958,3.0202,0.0244
+1360000,21250,42500,3.2841,3.3679,0.0838,3.2001,3.2620,0.0619,4.6594,4.9353,0.2759,2.8040,2.8437,0.0397,2.7143,2.7576,0.0433,3.0429,3.0407,-0.0022
+1440000,22500,45000,3.2748,3.3627,0.0879,3.2091,3.2946,0.0855,4.6305,4.8828,0.2523,2.8277,2.8456,0.0179,2.6620,2.7726,0.1106,3.0446,3.0178,-0.0268
+1520000,23750,47500,3.2820,3.3761,0.0941,3.2021,3.3020,0.0999,4.6091,4.8511,0.2420,2.8431,2.8643,0.0212,2.7181,2.8334,0.1153,3.0378,3.0299,-0.0079
+1600000,25000,50000,3.3024,3.3793,0.0769,3.2186,3.3113,0.0927,4.6353,4.9204,0.2851,2.8531,2.8589,0.0058,2.7463,2.7821,0.0358,3.0587,3.0235,-0.0352
+1680000,26250,52500,3.2875,3.3732,0.0857,3.2030,3.3012,0.0982,4.6233,4.9109,0.2876,2.8247,2.8472,0.0225,2.7414,2.7816,0.0402,3.0452,3.0251,-0.0201
+1760000,27500,55000,3.2927,3.3787,0.0860,3.2635,3.3068,0.0433,4.6114,4.8855,0.2741,2.8239,2.8820,0.0581,2.7157,2.7892,0.0735,3.0490,3.0299,-0.0191
+1840000,28750,57500,3.2976,3.3867,0.0891,3.2152,3.3318,0.1166,4.6911,4.8669,0.1758,2.8471,2.8990,0.0519,2.7057,2.8080,0.1023,3.0287,3.0275,-0.0012
+1920000,30000,60000,3.2872,3.3851,0.0979,3.2221,3.3215,0.0994,4.6485,4.9434,0.2949,2.8589,2.8583,-0.0006,2.6593,2.7836,0.1243,3.0472,3.0184,-0.0288
+2000000,31250,62500,3.2953,3.3869,0.0916,3.2416,3.2986,0.0570,4.6257,4.9339,0.3082,2.8402,2.8783,0.0381,2.6999,2.8065,0.1066,3.0691,3.0170,-0.0521
+2080000,32500,65000,3.2755,3.3844,0.1089,3.1940,3.3203,0.1263,4.6257,4.8788,0.2531,2.8419,2.8800,0.0381,2.6853,2.7953,0.1100,3.0304,3.0476,0.0172
+2160000,33750,67500,3.3071,3.3854,0.0783,3.2128,3.3001,0.0873,4.6789,4.8815,0.2026,2.8465,2.8600,0.0135,2.7220,2.8460,0.1240,3.0751,3.0393,-0.0358
+2240000,35000,70000,3.2808,3.3894,0.1086,3.2014,3.3288,0.1274,4.6642,4.9029,0.2387,2.8179,2.8620,0.0441,2.7018,2.8070,0.1052,3.0183,3.0465,0.0282
+2320000,36250,72500,3.2694,3.3713,0.1019,3.1896,3.3143,0.1247,4.6233,4.8882,0.2649,2.8381,2.8801,0.0420,2.6616,2.7253,0.0637,3.0345,3.0484,0.0139

releases/b5-qwen3-4b-fixed-budget/plot_armA_traj.csv

@@ -0,0 +1,33 @@
+point,step,overall_al,code,math,factual_qa,creative_writing,general
+step_10000,10000,3.1315,3.1009,4.4019,2.6961,2.6091,2.8495
+step_12500,12500,3.1969,3.1276,4.5913,2.7403,2.6474,2.8777
+step_15000,15000,3.2012,3.1329,4.5902,2.7227,2.6764,2.8840
+step_17500,17500,3.2312,3.1796,4.5761,2.7718,2.6783,2.9503
+step_20000,20000,3.2405,3.1978,4.6114,2.7855,2.6783,2.9295
+step_22500,22500,3.2702,3.2066,4.6825,2.7797,2.7210,2.9610
+step_2500,2500,2.9335,2.8528,4.1414,2.5529,2.3996,2.7209
+step_25000,25000,3.2897,3.2198,4.7660,2.8254,2.6797,2.9575
+step_27500,27500,3.2950,3.2186,4.7407,2.7984,2.7394,2.9779
+step_30000,30000,3.3085,3.2391,4.7723,2.8213,2.7316,2.9781
+step_32500,32500,3.3256,3.2592,4.8172,2.8294,2.7085,3.0135
+step_35000,35000,3.3261,3.2914,4.8069,2.8414,2.6962,2.9948
+step_37500,37500,3.3239,3.2841,4.8004,2.8284,2.7176,2.9890
+step_40000,40000,3.3506,3.2863,4.8107,2.8388,2.7968,3.0202
+step_42500,42500,3.3679,3.2620,4.9353,2.8437,2.7576,3.0407
+step_45000,45000,3.3627,3.2946,4.8828,2.8456,2.7726,3.0178
+step_47500,47500,3.3761,3.3020,4.8511,2.8643,2.8334,3.0299
+step_5000,5000,3.0275,2.9729,4.2464,2.6362,2.5029,2.7791
+step_50000,50000,3.3793,3.3113,4.9204,2.8589,2.7821,3.0235
+step_52500,52500,3.3732,3.3012,4.9109,2.8472,2.7816,3.0251
+step_55000,55000,3.3787,3.3068,4.8855,2.8820,2.7892,3.0299
+step_57500,57500,3.3867,3.3318,4.8669,2.8990,2.8080,3.0275
+step_60000,60000,3.3851,3.3215,4.9434,2.8583,2.7836,3.0184
+step_62500,62500,3.3869,3.2986,4.9339,2.8783,2.8065,3.0170
+step_65000,65000,3.3844,3.3203,4.8788,2.8800,2.7953,3.0476
+step_67500,67500,3.3854,3.3001,4.8815,2.8600,2.8460,3.0393
+step_70000,70000,3.3894,3.3288,4.9029,2.8620,2.8070,3.0465
+step_72500,72500,3.3713,3.3143,4.8882,2.8801,2.7253,3.0484
+step_7500,7500,3.0940,3.0365,4.3622,2.6655,2.5707,2.8351
+epoch_0_step_24970,24970,3.2848,3.2287,4.6862,2.8052,2.7273,2.9769
+epoch_1_step_49940,49940,3.3640,3.2700,4.8682,2.8645,2.8029,3.0143
+epoch_2_step_74910,74910,3.3845,3.3085,4.9530,2.8821,2.7355,3.0432

releases/b5-qwen3-4b-fixed-budget/plot_gen_traj.csv

@@ -0,0 +1,30 @@
+step,overall_al,code,math,factual_qa,creative_writing,general
+10000,3.1686,3.0954,4.4225,2.7484,2.6225,2.9544
+11250,3.1772,3.1039,4.4655,2.7516,2.6328,2.9324
+1250,2.8705,2.8119,3.8965,2.5357,2.4068,2.7016
+12500,3.2067,3.1265,4.5161,2.7495,2.6620,2.9796
+13750,3.2080,3.1213,4.5298,2.7881,2.6315,2.9692
+15000,3.2329,3.1571,4.5298,2.7828,2.6881,3.0066
+16250,3.2303,3.1638,4.5333,2.8110,2.6524,2.9912
+17500,3.2244,3.1572,4.5287,2.8225,2.6216,2.9920
+18750,3.2505,3.1740,4.5890,2.8148,2.6895,2.9849
+20000,3.2580,3.1773,4.6245,2.8278,2.6648,2.9958
+21250,3.2841,3.2001,4.6594,2.8040,2.7143,3.0429
+22500,3.2748,3.2091,4.6305,2.8277,2.6620,3.0446
+23750,3.2820,3.2021,4.6091,2.8431,2.7181,3.0378
+2500,2.9964,2.9148,4.1491,2.6310,2.5090,2.7783
+25000,3.3024,3.2186,4.6353,2.8531,2.7463,3.0587
+26250,3.2875,3.2030,4.6233,2.8247,2.7414,3.0452
+27500,3.2927,3.2635,4.6114,2.8239,2.7157,3.0490
+28750,3.2976,3.2152,4.6911,2.8471,2.7057,3.0287
+30000,3.2872,3.2221,4.6485,2.8589,2.6593,3.0472
+31250,3.2953,3.2416,4.6257,2.8402,2.6999,3.0691
+32500,3.2755,3.1940,4.6257,2.8419,2.6853,3.0304
+33750,3.3071,3.2128,4.6789,2.8465,2.7220,3.0751
+35000,3.2808,3.2014,4.6642,2.8179,2.7018,3.0183
+36250,3.2694,3.1896,4.6233,2.8381,2.6616,3.0345
+3750,3.0412,2.9734,4.2085,2.6458,2.5334,2.8447
+5000,3.0631,3.0204,4.2495,2.6940,2.5024,2.8490
+6250,3.1019,3.0239,4.3264,2.6841,2.5902,2.8851
+7500,3.1331,3.0864,4.3506,2.7112,2.5946,2.9230
+8750,3.1352,3.0659,4.3782,2.7174,2.5937,2.9209

releases/b5-qwen3-4b-fixed-budget/run_metadata.json

@@ -0,0 +1,19 @@
+{
+  "end_utc": "2026-07-19T03:37:59+00:00",
+  "gpus": [
+    1,
+    2,
+    3,
+    4,
+    5
+  ],
+  "ports": [
+    32101,
+    32102,
+    32103,
+    32104,
+    32105
+  ],
+  "start_utc": "2026-07-19T03:33:07+00:00",
+  "wall_time_seconds": 292
+}