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IMAGES-008-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025681.txt
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Bitcoin’s Historical Risk Premium is Unexplainable Division
Investment
Management
1. Bitcoin Factor Exposures and Unexplained Premium 2. Tactical Hedge Funds’ Factor Exposures and Unexplained Premium
20.0%
15.0%
Annual Risk Premium
w
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|
Annual Risk Premium
BS Equity
Term
LJ @ Funding
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© Exchange Rate
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Bitcoin
~341pp
@ Factor Risk Premium
Historical Risk Premium
iti ~~ iia
SSS SS ee eee eee eee
Bitcoin
3.6%
£132.2%
1.2% 4
°
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x
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° °
& a
x x
Annual Risk Premium
1.0% +
MEquity
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0.2% + | Emerging Market
0.0% +
Tactical Trading Hedge Funds
5.0% 4
2.8pp
4.0% + ™ Factor Risk Premium
3.0% + WHistorical Risk Premium
2.0% 4
1.0% +
0.0% +
Tactical Trading Hedge Funds
2.8%
+ 3.6%
" Bitcoin’s 300%+ historical annual risk premium is idiosyncratic and cannot be explained by ISG’s multi-factor model.
= An inability to understand sources of risk and return makes one incapable of predicting when performance will reverse.
= For tactical hedge funds, half of the historical risk premium is explained by the factor model.
(1) Peter C.B. Phillips, Shu-Ping Shi and Jun Yu, “Testing for Multiple Bubbles: Historical Episodes of Exuberance and Collapse in the S&P 500,” International Economic Review, Oct 28, 2015.
Source: Investment Strategy Group, Bloomberg.
18
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IMAGES-001-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_012141.txt
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MAIN SUBMISSION
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IMAGES-004-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_016908.txt
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Forget clockwork analogies; our brains are closer to a system of canals and locks, with
signals traveling like water from one state to another.
As I sit here typing, I’m actually seeking equilibrium states in an n-dimensional
topology of gradients. Take just one: heat. My body temperature is higher than the air
temperature, so I radiate heat, which must be replenished in my core. Even the bacteria
in my digestive tract use sensors to measure sugar concentrations in the liquid around
them and whip their tail-like flagella to swim “upstream” where the sugar supply is
richest. The natural state of all systems is to flow to lower energy states, a process that is
broadly described by entropy (the tendency of things to go from ordered to disordered
states; all things will fall apart eventually, including the universe itself).
But how do you explain more complex behavior, such as our ability to make
decisions? The answer is just more gradient descent.
Our Brains
As miraculous and inscrutable as our human intelligence is, science is coming around to
the view that our brains operate the same way as any other complex system with layers
and feedback loops, all pursuing what we mathematically call “optimization functions”
but you could just as well call “flowing downhill” in some sense.
The essence of intelligence is learning, and we do that by correlating inputs with
positive or negatives scores (rewards or punishment). So, for a baby, “this sound” (your
mother’s voice) is associated with other learned connections to your mother, such as food
or comfort. Likewise, “this muscle motion brings my thumb closer to my mouth.” Over
time and trial and error, the brain’s neural network reinforces those connections.
Meanwhile “this muscle motion does not bring my thumb close to my mouth” is a
negative correlation, and the brain will weaken those connections.
However, this is too simplistic. The limits of gradient descent constitute the so-
called local-minima problem (or local-maxima problem, if you’re doing a gradient
ascent). If you are walking in a mountainous region and want to get home, always
walking downhill will most likely get you to the next valley but not necessarily over the
other mountains that lie around it and between you and home. For that, you need either a
mental model (i.e., a map) of the topology so you know where to ascend to get out of the
valley, or you need to switch between gradient descent and random walks so you can
bounce your way out of the region.
Which 1s, in fact, exactly what the mosquito does in following my scent: It
descends when it’s in my plume and random-walks when it has lost the trail or hit an
obstacle.
Al
So that’s nature. What about computers? Traditional software doesn’t work that way—it
follows deterministic trees of hard logic: “If this, do that.” But software that interacts
with the physical world tends to work more /ike the physical world. That means dealing
with noisy inputs (sensors or human behavior) and providing probabilistic, not
deterministic, results. And that, in turn, means more gradient descent.
AI software is the best example of this, especially the kinds of AI that use
artificial neural-network models (including convolutional, or “deep,” neural networks of
many layers). In these, a typical process consists of “training” them by showing them
105
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IMAGES-007-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_022815.txt
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From: Brad Edward
Sent: 4/6/2018 3:49:11 PM
To: jeevacation@gmail.com
Attachments: image001.png; clinton_9-2002.pdf; shoppers_travel_not_redacted.pdf
Importance: — High
CONFIDENTIAL SETTLEMENT DISCUSSIONS/NO PRIVILEGE WAIVER/PER YOUR REQUEST -
| expect a crisp, new bill. Your personalized message can say whatever you would like but it should include, “you win!”
“1,8 | POTTINGER LL
Brad Edwards
Board Certified Trial Attorney
425 North Andrews Avenue, Suite 2
Fort Lauderdale, Florida 33301
PY | www.eplic.com
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_022815
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IMAGES-006-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_020493.txt
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34
Sing, one of San Francisco’s six major community organizations representing Chinese
immigrants, became the first major Chinese group to fly the flag of the PRC on its building.
Then a second Tong declared its fealty to Beijing, and a competition broke out between the
PRC and Taiwan in San Francisco’s Chinatown to see which side could fly the most flags.
This competition can be vividly seen from the seventeenth floor of a public housing project
overlooking Chinatown, where PRC and Republic of China flags sit atop adjacent buildings
stretching into the horizon. The value of these associations to Beijing can be seen in this
example: When China’s president Xi Jinping visited the United States in September 2015,
one of the leaders of San Francisco’s local Chinese American community associations
was listed as first among twenty prominent Chinese Americans honored by the Chinese
president.?!
Chinese Americans and the Chinese People’s Consultative Conference
Several Chinese Americans are so trusted by Beijing that they are direct participants in
China’s most prominent national united front body, the Chinese People’s Consultative
Conference (CPPCC). The preamble of China’s constitution defines the Chinese People’s
Political Consultative Conference as “a broadly based representative organization of the
united front which . . . will play a still more important role in the country’s political and
social life, in promoting friendship with other countries and in the struggle for socialist
modernization and for the reunification and unity of the country.” In practice, the CPPCC
has served as an important advisory committee to help legitimize Chinese Communist
Party’s rule both domestically and abroad.
Beijing has been appointing Chinese Americans to the CPPCC for years. In some cases,
authorities in Beijing seem to have had problems finding appropriately influential
Americans to take seats on the committee, such as in 2017, when a Chinese property
developer and educator (who appears to still be a Chinese citizen) was one of seven
“Americans” listed as CPPCC members.”
In doling out prestigious positions on the CPPCC, China seeks to show overseas
Chinese that prominent members of their community want to be connected with
China’s government. The American contingent to the thirteenth CPPCC (announced in
March 2018) was no exception. Perhaps the most remarkable in years, the list of thirty-
five overseas representatives included four highly successful Chinese American academics,
scientists, and businessmen.”?
The appointment of Chinese Americans to positions on this advisory body to the Chinese
Communist Party raises difficult questions of divided national loyalty. Americans should,
of course, be free to participate in whatever organizations they see fit, since freedom of
association is hardwired into the constitutional DNA of the United States. However, the
CPPCC is not an independent civil society NGO, but an organization controlled, managed,
The Chinese American Community
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IMAGES-007-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023538.txt
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22
brother Zahar are wrong, and do not represent the position of the
Hamas movement or any of its institutions. They represent a violation
of the organizational traditions followed by Hamas, and are not
worthy of being issued against the leader or leadership of the Hamas
movement." He added that "Dr. Zahar is not authorized to comment
on the statements made by the leader of the Hamas movement...the
political bureau is the only institution that is authorized to issue any
clarification or explanation on the statements issued by the
leadership."
Despite his strong statements, Izzat al-Rashaq denied that Zahar's
statements reflect a state of disagreement or division within Hamas,
stressing that "there is no disagreement within Hamas, the movement
is highly united, and its decisions are one."
Senior Hamas official Dr. Salah al-Bardawil confirmed to Asharq Al-
Awsat that the Hamas movement is united, saying that some media
outlets are trying to convince the public that there is division within
the ranks of Hamas. Al-Bardawil also stressed that Hamas figures
have the right to issue their statements using whatever language they
wish so long as they are expressing their own views and ideas, and
this does not mean that there is a split in the Hamas movement's
decision.
Dr. Bardawil also stressed to Asharg Al-Awsat that Hamas is under
the leadership of Khalid Meshal, adding that Hamas is a resistance
movement that believes that resistance is the means of liberating
Palestine, especially after it has became clear to everybody that "it
would be a terrible gamble to bet on these futile negotiations."
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IMAGES-004-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_017425.txt
|
4.2.12
WC: 191694
The Zionism-Racism resolution was followed by a deluge of anti-Israel sentiment in the General
Assembly, the Security Council, and the UN Council on Human Rights. At the 1978 session,
“several speakers drew a parallel between Zionism and apartheid,” insisting that “those selective
and racist regimes should be outlawed by the international community.” In 1979, after the
Cambodian genocide was already completed but before any major UN body condemned the
genocide, there were more comparisons between Zionism and apartheid, with some delegates
drawing a parallel “between Nazi policies against the Jews and Israeli brutalities against the
people of Palestine.”
When the General Assembly itself finally addressed the Cambodian genocide in a resolution, it did
so in tepid terms compared to its treatment of Israel. The General Assembly simply noted “with
great concern that the armed conflict in Kampuchea [Cambodia] and is seriously threatening the
peace and stability of South-East Asia.” In contrast, a resolution passed that same year “deplores
the continued and persistent violation by Israel of the Geneva Convention relative to the
Protection of Civilian Persons in Time of War, of 12 August 1949, and other applicable
international instruments, and condemns in particular those violations which that Convention
designates as ‘grave breaches’ thereof.”
True to form, Chomsky related Cambodia to Israel, inverting the actual seriousness of the human
rights violations and asserting that “condemnation of Cambodian atrocities, covering the full
spectrum with the exception of some Maoist groups, had reached a level and scale that has rarely
been matched, whereas the situation of the Arabs under Israeli occupation (or indeed, in Israel
itself) is virtually a taboo topic in the United States.”
The Zionism-racism resolution was ultimately rescinded in 1991 by a vote of the General
Assembly, but it continued to animate U.N. actions, especially by the “Human Rights Council” of
the U.N. (previously known as the UN Commission on Human Rights), which in 2001 convened
the first of several “Durban Conferences” against “racism, racial discrimination, xenophobia and
related intolerance.” Its primary, if not exclusive, focus was on Israel. It virtually ignored racial
genocides, slavery and other obvious manifestations of racism and discrimination. The final
preparatory session was held in Tehran. All Israelis and all Jewish NGO’s were excluded.
According to Irwin Cotler, the former Attorney General of Canada, who attended the conference,
the air was filled with hate speech such as “too bad the Holocaust was not completed.” The
conference became a “festival of hate such that we had not experienced anywhere at any time
before.” It was “a state sanctioned culture of hate” which, to Cotler, “is the most dangerous
form of anti-Semitism that we are witnessing in the 21* Century.” And all of this was done under
the Aegis of the U.N.! Even the U.N. High Commissioner for human rights—Mary Robinson, no
friend of Israel—was appalled at what she was witnessing. The Arab Lawyers’ Union distributed
a booklet of anti-Semitic cartoons that could have been published by Der Sturmer. The Jerusalem
Post reported Robinson’s reaction:
“Waving a book of anti-Semitic cartoons distributed at the anti-racism conference in
Durban, UN High Commissioner Mary Robinson - in a dramatic act of identification with
338
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IMAGES-011-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_031934.txt
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22
be, it is unclear that the newcomers would follow the Assads'
cautious-use doctrine and refusal to share chemical weapons with non-
state groups, or that the new leaders would be able to maintain strict
security measures at the chemical sites.
Meanwhile, it's possible that an existential threat will cause the Assad
regime to abandon its previous policy of restraint regarding chemical
weapons. It is not a huge leap from attacking civilians with tank fire,
machine guns, and naval artillery to deploying poison gas, and the
shock effect and sense of dread engendered by even limited use could
quash a city-wide uprising within an hour.
The options available to the United States to minimize these risks are
limited at best. Washington has certainly warned Assad against using
the weapons domestically. But with Assad already at risk of
indictment for crimes against humanity, and given his likely belief
that the United States will not intervene militarily due to its
commitments elsewhere -- including its politically unpopular and still
Opaque involvement in Libya -- U.S. warnings may have little
deterrent effect.
A preemptive Israeli military strike to destroy the weapons does not
appear technically feasible: Even if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin
Netanyahu were ready to change the status quo, Assad is believed to
have stored bulk chemical agents and filled (or quickly filled) shells
and bombs in underground bunkers at multiple sites throughout the
country. Moreover, even if Israel used incendiary bombs in an
attempt to incinerate the chemical agents, the risk of dispersing large
quantities of poisonous liquids would remain, with the potential to
cause large-scale casualties.
The Obama administration needs to start planning now to manage
Assad's chemical weapons legacy. If a new government replaces
Assad -- or even if different groups compete for international
recognition -- a U.S.-led coalition, including Turkey and the leading
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_031934
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IMAGES-006-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_020478.txt
|
SECTION 2
State and Local Governments
In late 2017, an American city in the mid-Atlantic region was invited to form a sister
city relationship with a town in southern China. The American partner city was home
to a large number of national security professionals and university and government
scientists, including many of PRC origin. The partnership was proposed and
shepherded by the manager of a for-profit Chinese “exchanges” company—a woman
of PRC origin. She was assisted by an American citizen of PRC origin who was running
for a position on the local school board.
In a briefing, an American China expert told the local sister city committee that there
was no reason not to explore a partnership, provided the American side had defined
goals and was aware of Beijing’s increasingly repressive domestic policies, its growing
suspicions of US influence, and its well-funded efforts to increase its influence overseas.
The man running for the local school board objected to this characterization and
pointed out that China’s constitution gives the CCP paramount authority in China.
After a long debate, the new sister city agreement was signed in the fall of 2018.
Some Americans involved objected to China’s insistence that all sister city activities
be carried out “in accordance with the principles on the establishment of diplomatic
relations between the United States of America and the People’s Republic of China
(ARGS A B32 Xe M),” because this seemed to be a reference to the One China
Principle, which might be invoked to preclude exchanges with Taiwan. Despite these
objections, the phrase appeared in the signed agreement because the Chinese side said
that the Chinese People’s Association for Friendship with Foreign Countries required
that all sister city agreements include such language and the US side did not want to
derail the agreement by insisting otherwise.
The story of this sister city agreement illustrates the challenges and opportunities
“sub-national entities” (local governments, cities, and states) face in the United States
when dealing with a China intent on maximizing its influence in America and across
the globe. As this report details in other sections, the age of innocent engagement
is over, and this is now true for American local officials as well as for representatives
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_020478
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IMAGES-007-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_024257.txt
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Day 3: Cryptocurrency
Day 4: Private Infrastructures for Government Surveillance, John DeLong/Bruce Schneier talk
(morning session)
Day 5: Net Neutrality and Internet Architecture, Dialogue with Andy Ellis (afternoon session)
Day 6: Weaponized Social, Open discussion with John Palfrey (morning session)
Day 7: Free vs. Proprietary Code and Content, Dialogue with David Clark (afternoon session)
Day 8: Governance, Artificial Intelligence
Day 9: Conclusion
lll. Class Requirements
The purpose of this class is to give students a sense of the historical battles of the Internet, what
different actors were thinking, what they were trying to accomplish, and what levers they pulled
in order to select for specific outcomes. Students should apply what they have learned from
historical examples to a current Internet issue discussed in class and describe in a 12-15 page
paper what a viable solution might look like. Solutions could take the form of a policy
recommendation, project proposal, or code. The paper or project proposal will be due on
Friday, January 20th, and may be submitted by email to Samantha Bates at
sbates@law.harvard.edu.
IV. Class Materials
There is no required textbook for this class. All readings will be available online on the class
H20 playlist: https://h20.law.harvard.edu/playlists/51511.
We will have a slack channel for the class. Please click on the following link to sign up:
https://internet-society2017.slack.com/signup.
Students should bring their laptops to class to use for daily activities, but all electrical devices
must remain off during lectures.
V. General Information
Professor Zittrain and Professor Ito will be available for group office hours after class on the
following dates:
e Wednesday, January 4th from 2:15-3:15pm in Milstein West.
e Monday, January 9th from 2:15-3:15pm in Milstein West.
e Wednesday, January 11th from 2:15-3:15pm in Milstein West.
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_024257
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IMAGES-012-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_033343.txt
|
From: Larry Visoski PF
Sent: 2/13/2019 6:07:04 PM
To: Je vacation [jeevacation@gmail.com]
Subject: POTUS
Jeffrey
Pres Trump arrives PBI Friday the 15th at 6pm,
He departs Monday 18th 4:30pm
May effect our PBI arrival from Puerta Plata if we travel on Monday,, just heads up,,.
Thx,
Larry
Larry,
POTUS arrival: Friday, February 15" @ 1800.
POTUS departure: Monday, February 18" @ 1630
Seth,
Sent from my iPad
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_033343
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IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_015034.txt
|
--The Los Angeles Times
“He has lived on the edge so long, he gets his mailed delivered there.”
--San Francisco Chronicle
“Krassner lives in a world where Truth and Satire are swingers,
changing partners so often you never know who belongs with whom.”
--Playboy
“Perhaps the satire magazine that most closely resembles Charlie
Hebdo in terms of inflammatory imagery was The Realist, created by Paul
Krassner...”
--Time
“Paul taught me that extreme stylistic accuracy could make even the
most bizarre comedic concept credible. He is a unique character on the
American landscape. A self-described “investigative satirist,’ he straddles the
lines between politics, culture, pornography and drugs -- in other words, the
land where all of us, were we really honest with ourselves, would choose to
dwell.”
--Harry Shearer
“T have been a fan of his since I was a snot-nosed kid, and his words
have been a driving force and influence on my life. If you have read his work
before, you know the joys that you are in for. If you haven’t, start reading,
and consider this your lucky day. For Paul Krassner is an activist, a
philosopher, a lunatic and a saint, but most of all he is funny.”
--Lewis Black
Many of the pieces in this collection originally appeared in The Realist, High
Times, AVN, N.Y. Press, National Lampoon, The Nation, L.A. Times, Whole
Earth Review, Huffington Post, Alternet, CounterPunch, and Truthdig.
Several pieces have not been published before, but only for this collection.
For George Carlin, who continues to serve as a satirical touchstone
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TEXT-001-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023720.txt
|
Forthcoming (August 2011) Future Science edited by Max Brockman, Vintage Press, New York.
Is Shame Necessary?
Jennifer Jacquet
Jennifer Jacquet graduated with a master’s degree in environmental economics from Cornell
University in 2004 and earned a PhD in 2009 from the University of British Columbia, where
she now holds a postdoctoral fellowship. As part of the Sea Around Us Project, a joint
collaboration between the university and the Pew Charitable Trusts, she researches marketbased
conservation initiatives related to seafood and other natural resources. With colleagues
from the Max Planck Institute for Evolutionary Biology and UBC’s Mathematics Department,
she is currently conducting a series of games and experiments to study the effects of honor and
shame on cooperation.
Financial executives received almost $20 billion in bonuses in 2008 amid a serious financial
crisis and a $245 billion government bailout. In 2008, more than 3 million American homes went
into foreclosure because of mortgage blunders those same executives helped facilitate. Citigroup
proposed to buy a $50-million corporate jet in early 2009, shortly after receiving $45-billion in
taxpayer funds. Days later, President Obama took note in an Oval Office interview. About the
jet, he said, “They should know better.” And the bonuses, he said, were “shameful.”
What is shame’s purpose? Is shame still necessary? These are questions I’m asking
myself. After all, it is not just bankers we have to worry about. Most social dilemmas exhibit a
similar tension between individual and group interest. Energy, food, and water shortages, climate
disruption, declining fisheries, increasing antibiotic resistance, the threat of nuclear warfare—all
can be characterized as tragedies of the commons, in which the choices of individuals conflict
with the greater good.
Balancing group- and self-interest has never been easy, yet human societies display a
high level of cooperation. To attain that level, specialized traits had to evolve, including such
emotions as shame. 1 Shame is what is supposed to occur after an individual fails to cooperate
1 R. Boyd & P. J. Richerson, “Culture and the evolution of human cooperation,” Proc. Roy. Soc. Lond. B 364: 3281-
88 (2009).
1
Forthcoming (August 2011) Future Science edited by Max Brockman, Vintage Press, New York.
with the group. Shame regulates social behavior and serves as a forewarning of punishment:
Conform or suffer the consequences. The earliest feelings of shame were likely over issues of
waste management, greediness, and incompetence. While guilt is evoked by an individual’s
standards, shame is the result of group standards. Therefore, shame, unlike guilt, is felt only in
the context of other people.
The first hominids could keep track of cooperation and defection only by firsthand
observation. Many animals use visual observations to decide whether to work with others. Reef
fish in the Red Sea, for instance, watch wrasses clean other reef fish, to determine whether or not
they’re cooperative, as biologist Redouan Bshary discovered. Bshary went scuba diving off
Egypt’s coast to observe this symbiotic relationship. Bluestreak cleaner wrasses (Labroides
dimidiatus) eat parasites, along with dead or infected tissue, off reef fishes in more than 2,000
interactions a day, each of which can be considered an act of cooperation. Wrasses are tempted
to eat more than just the parasites, but if the reef fish loses too much flesh in the deal, it will
refuse to continue working with the wrasse. Reef fish approach wrasses that they see cooperating
with their current clients and avoid the wrasses they see biting off more than they should chew. 2
Like the Bluestreak cleaner wrasses, humans are also more cooperative when they sense
they are being watched. Researchers at the University of Newcastle upon Tyne examined the
effect of a pair of eyes on payments for tea and coffee to an honesty box. Alternating images of
flowers and human faces were posted above the box in the university coffee room each week for
ten weeks; researchers found that people paid nearly three times as much for their drinks in
2 R.
Bshary, “Biting cleaner fish use altruism to deceive image-scoring client reef fish,” Proc. Roy. Soc. Lond. B
269: 2087-93 (2002).
2
Forthcoming (August 2011) Future Science edited by Max Brockman, Vintage Press, New York.
weeks during which they were exposed to the human gaze. 3
The feeling of being watched enhances cooperation and so does the ability to watch
others. To try to know what others are doing is a fundamental part of being human. So is fitting
in. The more collectivist the human society, the more important it is to conform and the more
prominent the role of shame. 4 Shame serves as a warning to adhere to group standards or be
prepared for peer punishment. Many individualistic societies, however, have migrated away from
peer punishment toward a third-party penal system, such as a hired police force, formal
contracts, or trial by jury. Shame has become less relevant in societies where taking the law into
one’s own hands is viewed as a breach of civility.
Perhaps this is why it makes us uncomfortable to contemplate shaming people: Shame
invites the public in on the punishment. Consider the scaffolds, scab lists during union strikes, or
Nathaniel Hawthorne’s The Scarlet Letter. Or the proposal made by prominent conservative
William F. Buckley Jr. in 1986 to tattoo people with AIDS. These instances of shaming now
seem an affront to individual liberty. Getting rid of shaming seems like a pretty good thing,
especially in regulating individual behavior that does not harm others. In eschewing public
shaming, society has begun to rely more heavily on individual feelings of guilt to enhance
cooperation.
Guilt prevails in many social dilemmas, including one area of my own research:
overfishing. At the root of the problem of overfishing is the human appetite. Wild fish catches
are declining, and many of us seek to avoid the guilt brought on by eating unsustainable seafood.
3 M. Bateson, D. Nettle, & G. Roberts, “Cues of being watched enhance cooperation in a real-world setting,” Biol.
Lett. 2:3, 412-14 (2006).
4 D. M. T. Fessler, “Shame in two cultures: Implications for evolutionary approaches,” Jour. Cogn. & Culture 4, 2
(2004).
3
Forthcoming (August 2011) Future Science edited by Max Brockman, Vintage Press, New York.
Here are just a few recent headlines from major newspapers: “HOLY MACKEREL AND OTHER
GUILT-FREE FISH” (New York Times), “GUILT-FREE SUSHI” (Christian Science Monitor), “COD
AND CHIPS? MAKE IT POLLOCK IN GUILT-FREE GUIDE TO SEAFOOD” (The Times of London), and
“A GOOD APPETITE; SEAFOOD, EASY AND GUILT-FREE” (New York Times).
It is perhaps unsurprising that a set of tools has emerged to assuage this guilt and, in the
case of seafood, reform the appetite. 5 These tools aim to divert demand from one type of seafood
toward another. Wallet cards, iPhone apps, and eco-labels tell consumers which fish ought to be
and ought not to be eaten. Shoppers in Europe have been given rulers, so that they can measure
fish and avoid buying juveniles.
Guilt abounds in many situations where conservation is an issue, not just in the response
to overfishing. Harried by guilt, one mother reuses her daughter’s bathwater for her own bath.
Los Angeles shoppers refuse to buy blueberries imported from Chile, because of the fuel
consumed in shipping them. Another woman feels guilty about the natural habitat lost to cocoa
cultivation and refuses to buy chocolate, prompting her husband to say that she took the joy out
of his Almond Joy. 6
Just as the devout purchased guilt-alleviating papal indulgences in the
Middle Ages, guilt-ridden consumers today buy carbon offsets, LED light bulbs, and hybrid cars
and can be guided to something approaching sanctimony by books like The Virtuous Consumer,
The Rough Guide to Shopping with a Conscience, and The Eco Chick Guide to Life: How to Be
Fabulously Green.
The problem is that environmental guilt, while it may well lead to conspicuous
ecomarkets, does not seem to elicit conspicuous results. One supermarket chain introduced signs
at the fish counter to show the most and least sustainable seafood: Sales of the green-tagged
5 J. Jacquet, et al., “Conserving wild fish in a sea of market based efforts,” Oryx 44:1, 45-56 (2010).
6 C. Crawford, “Green with Worry,” San Francisco Magazine, February 2008.
4
Forthcoming (August 2011) Future Science edited by Max Brockman, Vintage Press, New York.
“best choice” fish increased an average of 29 percent per week, sales of yellow-tagged “proceed
with caution” seafood declined an average of 27 percent per week, but the sales of the red-tagged
“worst choice” seafood—i.e., the heavily overfished species—remained the same. 7 Between
1980 and 2008, sales of pesticides increased 36 percent in the state of California, the birthing
ground of the organic food eco-label. 8 Despite sporadic instances of such measures as carpooling
and use of cloth grocery bags in lieu of plastic-or-paper, the demand for oil in the U.S.
has grown 30 percent overall and 5 percent per capita since 1990. 9 The positive effect of
idealistic consumers does exist, but it is masked by the growing demand and numbers of other
consumers.
Guilt is a valuable emotion, but it is felt by individuals and therefore motivates only
individuals. Another drawback is that guilt is triggered by an existing value within an individual.
If the value does not exist, there is no guilt and hence no action (e.g., sales for red “worst choice”
seafood remained the same). What if the aim were to promote a value felt by the group but not
necessarily by every individual in the group? Many problems, like most concerning the
environment, are group problems. Perhaps to solve these problems we need a group emotion.
Maybe we need shame.
Shaming, as noted, is unwelcome in regulating personal conduct that does not harm
others. But what about shaming conduct that does harm others? The U.S. National Sex Offender
Registry provides an online database with the names, photographs, and addresses of sex
offenders in every state. In March 2010, Nebraska lawmakers approved a bill that allows the
7 E. Hallstein & S. B. Villas-Boas, “Are consumers color blind? An empirical investigation of a traffic light advisory
for sustainable seafood,” http://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/29v6w5sp#page-11 (2009)
8 Based on data available from the California Department of Pesticide Regulation.
9 This is calculated from DOE statistics. U.S. oil consumption in 1990 was 17 million barrels per day and 22.2
million barrels per day in 2010.
5
Forthcoming (August 2011) Future Science edited by Max Brockman, Vintage Press, New York.
state to publish online the names and addresses of people owing more than $20,000 in taxes.
Judges in various states issue shaming punishments, such as sentencing pickpockets and robbers
to carry picket signs that announce their crimes to the public. These instances of shaming might
deter bad behavior, but critics like Martha Nussbaum, a political philosopher at the University of
Chicago, argue that shaming by the state conflicts with the law’s obligation to protect citizens
from insults to their dignity. 10
What if government is not involved in the shaming? A neighborhood in Leicester,
England, has a YouTube channel dedicated to neighborhood issues, including catching “litter
louts.” A collection of videos shows individuals caught in various acts of littering, and if
someone recognizes the litter lout, he or she can e-mail the lout’s identity to the neighborhood
management board, which they pass on to City Council so that fines can be issued and the video
removed. In 2008, the Santa Fe Reporter published the names and addresses of the top ten
water-using households in the city (first place went to a homeowner who used twenty-one times
the household average). The tennis club near my apartment in Vancouver, B.C. publishes the
names of people who do not pay their dues. In each of these cases, the activity of the individual
compromises the community. In none of them is the state involved in the shaming. Is this a fair
use of shaming? Is it effective?
Let’s deal with the latter question. Shaming might work to change behavior in these
cases, but in a world of urgent, large-scale problems, changing individual behavior is
insignificant. Small changes, adopted by one individual at a time, can make a difference in a
problem only when the problem is small or there is lots of time to solve it (for instance, in
10 M. Nussbaum, Hiding from Humanity: Disgust, Shame, and the Law (Princeton. NJ: Princeton University Press,
2004).
6
Forthcoming (August 2011) Future Science edited by Max Brockman, Vintage Press, New York.
marginalizing politically incorrect words). Many of today’s social movements, like the
industries they seek to revolutionize, must make big changes quickly—which is best
accomplished by directing efforts upward toward institutions. I call this vertical agitation. The
Santa Fe Reporter listed the top ten commercial water users, in addition to the top ten
households. The first of these offenders, the city of Santa Fe, used 195 times more water than the
number-one household offender. Imagine the relative difference in getting the city to commit to
water-saving techniques as compared to reforming a single household.
Guilt cannot work at the institutional level, since it is evoked by individual scruples,
which vary widely. But shame is not evoked by scruples alone; since it’s a public sentiment, it
also affects reputation, which is important to an institution. At the 2004 meeting of the World
Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, leading CEOs issued a press release about how
corporate brand reputation outranked financial performance as the most important measure of
success. For an example of how shame and reputation interact, consider restaurant hygiene cards,
introduced in 1998 by Los Angeles County as a shaming technique in the interests of public
health. Restaurants were required to display grade cards that corresponded to their most recent
government hygiene inspection. The large grade in the window—A, B, or C—honors restaurants
that value cleanliness most and shames those that value it least. The grade cards have apparently
led to increased customer sensitivity to restaurant hygiene, a 20-percent decrease in county-wide
hospitalizations for food-borne illnesses, and better hygiene scores for county restaurants. 11
Recall that in our early evolution we could gauge cooperation only first-hand. As group
size got bigger, and ancient humans grappled with issues of necessary cooperation, the human
brain became better able to keep track of all the rules and all the people. The need to
11 Zhe, G. and P. Leslie. 2005. The case in support of restaurant hygiene grade cards. Choices 20(2): 97-102.
http://www.stanford.edu/~pleslie/Jin%20and%20Leslie%20Choices%202005.pdf
7
Forthcoming (August 2011) Future Science edited by Max Brockman, Vintage Press, New York.
accommodate the increasing number of social connections and monitor one another could be,
according to the social grooming hypothesis put forward by British anthropologist Robin
Dunbar, why we learned to speak. 12 Then, 5,000 years ago, another tool: writing. Language, both
oral and written, allowed for gossip, a vector for social information. Research carried out by Ralf
Sommerfeld of the Max-Planck Institute for Evolutionary Biology and his colleagues
demonstrated that in cooperation games that allowed players to gossip about one another’s
performance, positive gossip resulted in higher cooperation. Of even greater interest, gossip
affected the players’ perceptions of others even when they had access to firsthand information. 13
Human society today is so big that its dimensions have outgrown our brains. We have an
increasing number of people and norms. What tool could help us gossip in a group this size?
Nowadays we keep track of and distribute unprecedented amounts of information via our
computers: for example, citizens, journalists, and interest groups can access the U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency’s Toxics Release Inventory database online to identify and
shame polluters. Between the database’s inception in 1988 and 1995, releases of 330 toxic
chemicals on the list have declined by 45 percent. 14
After the retailer Trader Joe’s was
unresponsive to requests by the nonprofit group Greenpeace to stop selling unsustainable
seafood, Greenpeace coordinated singing fish telephone calls or demonstrations at every Trader
Joe’s across the nation using the Internet. The Trader Joe’s CEO decided to comply with
Greenpeace demands by dropping several overfished species and agreeing to source all seafood
from sustainable sources by the end of 2012.
We can use computers to simulate some of the intimacy of tribal life, but we need
12 See esp. his Grooming, Gossip and the Evolution of Language (Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 1997).
13 R. H. Sommerfeld, et al., “Gossip as an alternative for direct observation in games of indirect reciprocity,” Proc.
Nat. Acad. Sci. 104:44, 17435-40 (2007).
14 Fung, A. & D. O’Rourke. 2000. Reinventing environmental regulation from the grassroots up: Explaining and
expanding the success of the Toxics Release Inventory. Environmental Management 25(2):115-127.
8
Forthcoming (August 2011) Future Science edited by Max Brockman, Vintage Press, New York.
humans to evoke the shame that leads to cooperation. In addition, the emergence of new tools—
language, writing, the Internet—cannot completely replace the eyes. Face to face interactions,
such as those outside of Trader Joe’s stores, are still the most impressive form of dissent.
So what is stopping shame from catalyzing social change? I see three main drawbacks:
(1.) Today’s world is rife with ephemeral, or “one-off,” interactions. When you know
you are unlikely to run into the same situation again, there is less incentive to change your
behavior. Research shows, however, that if people know they will interact again, cooperation
improves. 15 Shame works better if the potential for future interaction is high. In a world of oneoff
interactions, we can try to compensate for anonymity with an image score, such as the
hygiene grade cards or EBay’s seller ratings, which sends a signal to the group about an
individual or an institution’s degree of cooperation.
(2.) Today’s world allows for amorphous identities. Recall the reef fish that observe
Bluestreak cleaner wrasses in the Red Sea. The wrasses seem to know they are being watched,
and certain wrasses will build their reputation on the small reef fish, allowing the big reef fish to
observe their cooperative behavior with the small fry. Then, when the big fish comes in for its
own cleaning, these wrasses eat some of the big reef fish’s flesh along with its parasites,
fattening themselves on their defection. To add to the confusion on the reef, False cleanerfish
(Aspidontus taeniatus) make their living by looking very similar to the Bluestreak cleaner
wrasses. They are able to approach reef fish under the guise of cooperation and then bite off
pieces of fish flesh and swim off.
Many of our interactions these days are similar to the fish cleanings in the Red Sea. It’s
15 M. Milinski, D. Semmann, & H. Krambeck, “Reputation helps solve the ‘tragedy of the commons,’ ” Nature 415,
424-26 (2002).
9
Forthcoming (August 2011) Future Science edited by Max Brockman, Vintage Press, New York.
hard to keep track of who cooperates and who doesn’t, especially if it’s institutions you’re
monitoring. Enron, which in 2001 filed one of the largest bankruptcies in U.S. history, hid
billions of dollars in debt in hundreds of shell firms, which bought poorly performing Enron
stocks so that Enron could create a fraudulent company profile and mislead its auditors. Lehman
Brothers, in the years before its 2008 collapse, used a smaller firm called Hudson Castle (of
which it owned 25 percent) to shift risky investments off its books so that Hudson Castle, not
Lehman Brothers, could absorb “headline risk.” Which leads us to shaming’s third weakness.
(3.) Shaming’s biggest drawback is its insufficiency. Some people have no shame. In the
research my colleagues and I have conducted on first-year students, involving games that require
cooperation, we have found that shame does not encourage cooperation among those players
who are least cooperative. This suggests that a certain fraction of a given population will always
behave shamelessly, like the False cleanerfish, if the payoff is high enough. The banks may have
gone bankrupt, but the bankers got their bonuses. There was even speculation that publishing
individual banker bonuses would lead to banker jealousy, not shame.
My colleagues and I conclude that ultimately shame is not enough to catalyze major
social change. Slavery did not end because abolitionists shamed slave owners into freeing their
slaves. Child labor did not stop because factories were shamed into forbidding children to work.
Destruction of the ozone layer did not slow because industries were ashamed to manufacture
products that contained chlorofluorocarbons. This is why punishment remains imperative. Even
if shaming were enough to bring the behavior of most people into line, governments need a
system of punishment to protect the group from the least cooperative players.
Finally, consider who belongs to the group. Today we are faced with the additional
challenge of balancing human interests and the interests of nonhuman life. How can we
10
Forthcoming (August 2011) Future Science edited by Max Brockman, Vintage Press, New York.
encourage cooperation between all living things when the nonhumans have no voice? Successful
species will likely be those that recognize, implicitly or explicitly, life’s interdependency. If
humans are to succeed as a species, our collective shame over destroying other life-forms should
grow in proportion to our understanding of their various ecological roles. Maybe the same
attention to one another that promoted our own evolutionary success will keep us from failing
the other species in life’s fabric and, in the end, ourselves.
11
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IMAGES-006-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_021766.txt
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went to the grand jury."
In this case, it is not the victims’ credibility but the state attorney's that deserves
questioning.
Palm Beach Post Editorial #2
Massaging the system
Palm Beach Post Editorial
Thursday, August 10, 2006
Palm Beach police say their 11-month investigation shows that 53-year-old part-time
town resident Jeffrey Epstein committed unlawful sex acts with and lewd and lascivious
molestation on five underage girls. Defense attorney Jack Goldberger claims that his
client, Jeffrey Epstein, had no idea that the untrained girls he hired for massages were
minors.
The Palm Beach Count State Attorney's Office could have let a jury decide whom to
believe. Instead, State Attorney Barry Krischer left the public to wonder whether the
system tilted in favor of a wealthy, well-connected alleged perpetrator and against very
young girls who are alleged victims of sex crimes.
Mr. Krischer took the unusual step of referring the case to a grand jury, which last month
indicted Jeffrey Epstein on one felony count of solicitation of prostitution. That decision
came after Harvard law Professor Alan Dershowitz met with prosecutors to undermine
the credibility of the 14- to 17-yearold girls who charged that Mr. Epstein had paid them
$200 to $300 to undress and massage him in his five-bedroom, 7 1/2 -bath home on the
Intracoastal Waterway.
The girls, Mr. Dershowitz told prosecutors, had written on myspace.com about smoking
marijuana and drinking alcohol. But if the girls have a credibility problem, what about
Jeffrey Epstein? Mr. Goldberger, told The Post: "Mr. Epstein absolutely insisted anybody
who came to his house be over the age of 18. How he verified that, I don't know." And
prosecutors took him at his word?
Police collected evidence that refutes Jeffrey Epstein’s defense. Police searched his home
and garbage and found phone messages about the girls’ school schedules and even a high
school transcript, suggesting that Mr. Epstein at least knew that the girls were teenagers.
The state attorney's office has responded to criticism from Palm Beach police and others
by noting the higher standard prosecutors face for conviction than law-enforcement
officers do for arrest. But in this case, the state attorney bowed to the risk that a jury
might look at both Jeffrey Epstein and the girls, and point fingers at both sides.
Even if the girls could be impugned as prostitutes, solicitation of a minor is a crime.
Former disc jockey and teacher Bruno Moore was charged with that Tuesday.
Investigators say the 34-year-old used the Internet - myspace.com - to recruit a 13-year
old.
Police say Jeffrey Epstein used a 20-year-old woman who had a myspace.com
account to recruit young girls. His actions were sleazy. It would have been good to ask a
jury just how criminal they were.
Palm Beach Post Editorial #3
Spare us the outrage
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_021766
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Source — H\Macintosh HD\root\Users\jee\Library\Messages\Archive\2018-09-30 \
6n ZO18-U9-30 at. 09 12. 5e. Lehat
Serve iMessag
Start Time: 09/28/18 07:29:13 PM (559880953)
End Time: 09/30/18 01:25:12 PM (560031912)
Last Message ID: 21395
Chat Room:
Presentity IDs: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com, Po
Messages -
09/28/18 07:29:13 PM
Time: (559880953)
Flags: 1060865
Is Read: Yes
Is Invitation: No
GUID: EFD46AB1-6F00-4257-BF27-F3245D8FFO!I
ea
oO
Message: Did u see the maher show ?
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 09/29/18 03:26:21 AM (559909581)
Flags: 1085445
Is Read: No
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GUID: CBCF1235-004C-4579-B836-FC11DB926189
Messag Yes, well done. Only one 5 min round not enough.
be posed as questions rather than declarative statements.
has added 10 trillion in value. ?? Isnt it a fact that..
09/29/18 03:28:00 AM
Time: (559909680)
Flags: 1060865
Is Read: Yes
Is Invitation: No
GUID: O9E9DDC3-31D5-40
zs
1E-9976-AE4256B7/3F68
Message: Like that
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 09/29/18 03:34:32 AM (559910072)
Flags: 1085445
Is Read: No
Is Invitation: No
GUID: 37F6B892-4E01-445F-80FD-BOOBCD16D081
I think your thoughts should
le.
would you admit that..,
Are you aware that trump
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IMAGES-008-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_024574.txt
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18.2. United States Federal Income Taxation
The following summary sets forth the material U.S. federal income tax considerations related to the
purchase, ownership, and disposition of Common LP Units. Unless otherwise stated, this summary deals
only with partners that are U.S. Persons (as defined below) who purchase their Common LP Units in this
offering and who hold their Common LP Units as capital assets within the meaning of Section 1221 of the
Code. The following discussion is only a discussion of the material U.S. federal income tax matters as
described herein and does not purport to address ail of the U.S. federal income tax consequences that
may be relevant to a particular Limited Pariner of KUE (“Limited Partner’) in light of such Limited Partner's
specific circumstances. In addition, except as expressly stated, the following summary does not address
the U.S. federal income tax consequences that may be relevant to special classes of Limited Partners
who may be subject to special rules or treatment under the Code, such as financial institutions, insurance
companies, regulated investment companies, real estate investment trusts, partnerships, or other pass-
through entities, dealers or traders in securities, tax-exempt organizations, expatriates, any person who
owns or is deemed to own, for U.S. federal income tax purpose, 10% or more of the total combined voting
power of all classes of voting stock of the corporate subsidiaries of KUE, persons that have a "functional
currency" other than the United States dollar, and any individual who is a non-U.S. Person (as defined
below} and who is present in the U.S. for 183 days or more in a taxable year. This discussion does not
include any description of the tax laws of any state or local governments within the U.S. No ruling has
been or will be sought from the IRS regarding any matter discussed herein. Counsel to KUE has not
rendered any legal opinion regarding any tax consequences relating to KUE or an investment in KUE. No
assurance can be given that the IRS would not assert, or that a court would not sustain, a position
contrary to any of the positions taken by KUE as set forth below.
For purposes of this discussion, the term “U.S. Person" means (1) a citizen or resident of the U.S., (2) a
corporation created or organized in or under the laws of any Stafe of the U.S. (including the District of
Columbia}, (3) an estate the income of which is subject to U.S. federal income taxation regardless of its
source, (4) a trust if either (a) a court within the U.S. is able to exercise primary supervision over the
administration of such trust and one cr more U.S, Persons have the authority to control all substantial
decisions of such trust or (b) the trust has a valid election in effect to be treated as a U.S. Person for U.S.
federal income tax purposes, or (5) any other person or entity that is treated for U.S. federal income tax
purposes as if it were one of the foregoing. The term "“non-U.S. Person” means any person other than a
U.S. Person.
18.2.1 United States Federal Income Taxation of KUE and its Subsidiaries
Partnership Status of KUE. KUE believes that it should be classified as a partnership for United States
federal income tax purposes. Accordingly, KUE fs not a taxable entity and incurs no U.S. federal income
tax liability. Instead, each Partner will be allocated its share of KUE’s income or loss, as the case may be,
for United States federal income tax purposes as set forth in the Limited Partnership Agreement. [n
addition, each U.S. Partner's share of income or loss from KUE generaily will be required to be includable
in income for state and local tax purposes in the jurisdiction in which the investor is a resident and in the
jurisdictions in which KUE operates. Each U.S. Partner will be responsible for paying the income tax on
that portion of KUE’s income allocated to such investor. No assurances can be given that any cash
distribution will be made from KUE to the partners to pay such income tax liabilities.
Under the Code, certain non-U.S corporations may be treated as U.S. corporations for U.S. federal
income tax purposes, thereby subjecting such non-U.S. corporations to U.S. federal income tax on their
income. Recently enacted U.S. tax legislation includes one such provision. Under this legislation,
referred to as the anti-inversion legislation, non-U.S. corporations that acquire interests in a U.S.
corporation or partnership and meet certain ownership, operational and other tests may be treated as U.S.
corporations for federal income tax purposes. The legislation grants broad regulatory authority to the U.S.
Secretary of Treasury to provide such regulations as may be appropriate to determine whether a non-US.
corporation is treated as a U.S. corporation or as are necessary to carry out the intent of the provision,
including adjusting its application as necessary to prevent the avoidance of its purpose. Recently issued
141
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IMAGES-007-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_022626.txt
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About the Author Kris Zane
109 Comments
——————
1.
JOHNTHEFOXWINS
March 27, 2014 at 12:10 pm — Log in to Reply
NO ONE SHOULD BE SURPRISED BY THIS. SO CASTRATE HIM AND GIVE HILLARY A
LOBOTAMY!
°
dfinch
March 27, 2014 at 3:34 pm — Log in to Reply
I can see it now.....If Hillary does go into the Whitehouse I can invision him walking the halls in his underwear
and skinny dipping in the Whitehouse pool. Eewwww...
SSS re
Andy
March 28, 2014 at 7:40 am
You do realize that Bill Clinton used to be the President, right? And that Hillary hasn’t said that she’s even
going to run in ’16 yet, right? Low information voter.
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_022626
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IMAGES-005-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_019041.txt
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. a
Date:
8/07/06
Time: 9:25:15
Case Number
SPBHCIAL NOTES
Occur From Date:
Report Date
pont bea Eee
City
Location Type
Beat Assignment:
Dept Class
Case Status
PALM BEACH POLICE DEPARTMENT
Incident Report
1-06-001078:
DO NOT RELEASE -
3/61/04 0000
7/28/06 1200
345 S COUNTY RD
PALM BEACH, FL
JUVENILES
Occur To Date
Day Of Week
GOVERNMENT/PUBLIC BUILDING
DETECTIVE BUREAU
POLICE INFORMATION
OPEN / ACTIVE
Map Reference
Report Officer
Case Status Dt
Supervisory Dt.: GUDGER, ELMER 7/28/06 Entry Date
Names? os Property?
Vehicles? Offenses?
Narrative? Related Cases?
Interfaces?
KKKKKKKEKEKKER S
Case Number
Street Number
USPECT/ARRESTEE INFO
1-06-001078 Prompt valid in:
358 EL BRILLO WY
City .. PALM BEACH, FL 000033480
Birth Date 1/20/1953 51 Maximum Age
Employer? Occupation
Oper Lic No. : E12342530200 FL Home Phone No.
Other Phone NEE Race ..
Sex .. Male Minimum Height
Minimum Weight 180 Maximum Height
Maximum Weight : 0 Misc. ID# ..
Aliases? : MO/Crime Spec?
Hair Color SALT & PEPPER Hair Length
Hair Style Eye Color
Glasses No Complexion
Facial Hair Build
Teeth Speech
Hat Coat
Shirt Pants.
Shoes . Body Marks #1
Body Marks #2, Body Marks #3
Body Marks #4 Status : :
Arrest Case No. Additional UCR? :
KRREKKRKEKEKKREREE V INFOR MA T I oO N -
Case Number Prompt valid in:
Street Number
GLey « «
Birth Date/Age Employer?
Occupation Oper Lic No.
Race
Height :
Misc. ID# ..:
Other Phone Nbr:
Residency Type
File Charges
Victim Sobriety:
Injury Type 1
Home Phone No.
Sex.
Weight ‘
Be On Look Out?:
Victim Type
Residency Sts
Can Identify
Injury Extent
Page: 1
Program: CMS301L
5/31/05 0000
Monday
14
DAWSON, MICHAEL
7/28/06
OREGERO, LAURA 8/04/06
RMATION- #1 **
EPSTEIN, JEFFREY
51
FINANCIAL ADVISOR
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600
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BLUE
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KEKKRKEKKKEKRKRERKEEKKEEKK
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_019041
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IMAGES-001-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_010965.txt
|
Risk tolerance might be anything in any individual. As a norm, it tends to bea
function of age, gender and wealth. Effects of age and gender are better understood.
Teens and young adults, particularly males, seem readiest to take chances. Prison
populations and medal of honor rolls feature young males. Part of the explanation, |
think, is biologist R. A. Fisher’s sex ratio theory of 1930, or equally Bob Trivers’
differential investment theory of 1971. Young males show greatest variance in
reproductive prospects. Females are almost always assured of a few offspring.
Young males might leave none or many. Nature arranges tournaments or displays to
give fitter males the advantage.
Another reason is that the young, of either sex, have most time left to outride
downswings. The older we get, the more risk-averse.
Some businesses and assets are inherently riskier than others. Nerf balls are safer
than hand grenades. But | prefer to look past the asset owned to the owner. We tend
to own assets suited to our risk preferences. And we tend to operate it as safely or
riskily as we like. That is true particularly of human capital, although it was first
designed according to our parents’ goals rather than ours. Human capital is
probably the most versatile asset, even so, and is adapted to our purposes rather
than theirs. We make it as risky as we choose. The risk-averse can become florists or
Trappists. Risk lovers can try bullfighting or skydiving. What does that tell us about
the relative risk of the factors?
Human capital is owned disproportionately by the young. We own very little
physical capital, legally or in practical effect, until maturity. Pay at first is barely
enough for survival. We accumulate it gradually as pay rises with age, and then
deplete it in provision for the young and in our own retirement. Since physical
capital is owned disproportionately by the older and more risk-averse, and human
capital the contrary, human capital figures to be higher on average in risk and return.
Chapter 2: Fast Forward 1/06/16 25
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TEXT-001-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_028675.txt
|
From:
Sent:
To:
Subject:
rt
cle 1.
Jeffrey Epstein [jeeyacation@gmail.com]
2/15/2013 12:42:34 AM
Larry Summers
as you asked
The Washington Post
In State of the Union
address, Obama lays out
his second-term agenda
Editorial
February 13, 2013 -- TWO DOMESTIC
concerns towered above all others as
President Obama addressed a joint session
of Congress on Tuesday night on the state
of the union. One was stubbornly slow
economic growth. The other was the long-
term threat to prosperity posed by the
structural mismatch between the federal
government's projected revenue and its
spending commitments. A successful
second term for Mr. Obama will require
both credible proposals for overcoming
those related challenges and the
determination to carry them through.
The president addressed the deficit and
debt first, and at some length. This was
fitting, giving that the most pressing piece
of business facing Washington is what to
do about the impending $85 billion across-
the-board spending cut. He was forthright
Office of Terje Rod-Larsen
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HOUSE OVERSIGHT 028675
in declaring that this so-called sequester
threatens the military as well as domestic
programs. But his plan to avoid it basically
repeated the offer of a "balanced approach"
— unspecified tax hikes and spending cuts
— which Republicans have already
rejected.
Somewhat more substantively, he called for
a larger deficit-reduction deal built around
loophole-closing tax reform and what he
called "modest" reforms to Medicare and
entitlements. In an apparent effort to rally
Democrats to this cause, he called on
"those of us who care deeply about
programs like Medicare" to "embrace"
reform.
Yet in promising the same amount of
Medicare savings as the Simpson-Bowles
commision proposed, Mr. Obama did not
mention that this would be a mere $341
billion over 10 years. All told, he envisions
shaving an additional $1.5 trillion off
projected deficits over 10 years, which
would leave the national debt at a
historically aberrant 70-odd percent of
gross domestic product. In short, he
declined to push back against the mind-set
within his party that considers acceptable
"stabilizing" the debt at this level by the
time Mr. Obama's second term ends. At
best, that would buy a respite of a few
years before the debt resumed its upward
climb.
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As for raising the economy's growth
potential, the president was more
persuasive. His emphasis on reforming the
tangled and counterproductive corporate
tax code was especially welcome, and
relatively likely to draw GOP support. He
offered several promising ideas on
education, including a promise of "high-
quality preschool" for all children, though
how that would square with his promise not
to increase the deficit by a single dime
went unexplained. He sounded a ringing
call for greater federal attention to college
cost containment. "Taxpayers can't keep on
subsidizing" spiraling tuition, he said,
candidly and correctly.
As European trading partners had hoped,
the president endorsed negotiations for a
transatlantic free-trade zone, which would
help America's export industries and the
jobs that depend on them. Coupled with an
agreement that Obama is promoting for the
Pacific region, the proposal has the
potential to make his second term fruitful
for global trade. He also suggested raising
the federal minimum wage, from $7.25 per
hour to $9 — although the precise amount
is less important, in our view, than the
president's call for annual cost-of-living
adjustments.
In keeping with Mr. Obama's theme of
nation-building at home, foreign policy
played a secondary role in his speech. He
promised to bring home half of the
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remaining U.S. troops in Afghanistan
within the next year. But officials said the
withdrawal would be weighted toward
year's end, leaving most of the troops to
partner with Afghan troops for much of this
year. The president said the United States
would support democratic transitions in the
Middle East, "keep the pressure on [the]
Syrian regime" and "do what is necessary
to prevent" Iran from obtaining a nuclear
weapon — but he offered no specifics.
Mr. Obama pressed his case for reform of
immigration laws and for action to slow
global warming — and, in especially
moving terms, tougher gun laws. In each
case, there may be measures he can take
through executive action, but new laws will
be needed for substantial progress.
Mr. Obama was right when he pointed to
the survivors and grieving relatives of gun
violence victims and insisted, "They
deserve a vote."
Article 2
Foreign Policy
The world is no longer
America's problem
Aaron David Miller
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February 13, 2013 -- If you want to know
what an American president's foreign
policy is likely to be, particularly in a
second term, don't listen to his State of the
Union speech. You'd probably have more
luck playing with Tarot cards, or reading
tea leaves or goat entrails. But not this year.
Barack Obama's fourth such address left a
trail of foreign-policy cookie crumbs that
lead directly to some pretty clear, if hardly
surprising or revolutionary, conclusions.
His first term contained no spectacular
successes (save killing Osama bin Laden),
but no spectacular failures either. And
more than likely, that's what the president
will settle for in a second, even as the Arab
world burns and rogues like Iran and North
Korea brandish new weapons. He's nothing
if not a cautious man.
Behold: I am the Extricator in Chief
Afghanistan -- the "good war" -- has been
pretty much MIA in Obama's speeches
since he became president. He's alternated
between spending a few words on the
mission there (2009) or a paragraph (2010,
2011, 2012). If his words have been brief,
the message has been stunningly clear: It's
about the leaving. And tonight was no
exception. Not more than two minutes in,
the president spoke about America's men
and women coming home from
Afghanistan.
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Obama's signature is indeed that of the
extricator. And he broke the code early (the
2009 surge was designed politically to get
in so that he could get out with a clearer
conscience). He is the president who has
wound down the longest and among the
most profitless wars in American history,
where victory was never defined by
whether we can win, but by when can we
leave. It is his legacy, and one about which
he has reason to be proud. Obama has left
himself and his military commanders
plenty of discretion about the pace of
extrication. But that's fine with the
president so long as they're heading for the
exits.
Not the Destroyer and Rebuilder of Worlds
Surprise, surprise: There was scant mention
of Syria in the president's speech -- just one
throwaway line about supporting Syria's
opposition. Obama did not disengage from
Iraq and Afghanistan only to plunge
America into new black holes in the
Middle East.
Obama isn't worried about boots on the
ground in Syria. That was never on the
table. Instead the question is this: Given the
uncertainty about the end state in Syria and
the risks of providing serious weapons to
the rebels (and a no-fly zone) that might
alter the arc of the fight against the regime,
the president saw and continues to see no
purpose in America providing arms of
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marginal utility. That course would either
expose him to be truly weak and ineffectual
or lead to calls to do more. So he's going to
provide non-lethal support and is
apparently prepared to take the hits from
critics who see the president's policy as
passive, cruel, and unforgiving, particularly
now that we know that members of his own
cabinet clearly wanted to do more. The
Iranian nuclear issue, the other potential tar
baby in the SOTU, followed a pretty
predictable rising arc of concern in the list
of presidential foreign-policy worries. In
2009, in Obama's address to a joint session
of Congress (a speech some regard as a
SOTU), Iran wasn't even mentioned. In the
2010 SOTU, Obama threatened that if Iran
ignored its international obligations, there
would be consequences; in 2011, he did the
same; and in 2012, he made it clear that he
would prevent Iran from acquiring a
nuclear weapon and take no option off the
table. Obama repeated half of what he said
in 2012 about preventing Iran from getting
a nuclear weapon, but instead of saying all
options were on the table, he spoke of the
importance of diplomacy. I suspect he'll go
to extreme lengths to avoid war, and won't
greenlight an Israeli attack either until the
arc of diplomacy has run its course. And
then Obama would likely act only if the
mullahs push the envelope by accelerating
their uranium enrichment program and
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other military aspects of the nuclear
enterprise.
Seizing the Nuclear High Road with Little
to Lose
Even as he confronts a real bomb in North
Korea (very bad options there) and a
potential one in Iran (bad options there
too), Obama is trying to make good on a
longstanding commitment to reduce
America's own nuclear arsenal. Backed by
the military chiefs and likely by the public
too (getting rid of nukes equals saving
money), but opposed by Republicans in
Congress, Obama will try to work around
the political obstacles by seeking a deal
with yes ... you got it ... his old friend Vlad
Putin. It's worth a try. If Putin balks or
Republicans get in the way, the president
can always advocate unilateral cuts -- not
something he wants to do. But if he can't
have his way on nukes, he can always
blame it on the Russians and the
Republicans with little to lose. The road to
getting rid of nukes is a long one. Let the
next guy (or gal) worry about it.
A Little Leg on Palestine?
Obama hasn't mentioned the Israeli-
Palestinian conflict in a SOTU speech since
2009. And that's no coincidence. His own
poorly thought-through initial effort
crashed and burned, leaving the president
pretty frustrated and annoyed with both
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Israelis and Palestinians, particularly Israeli
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
But hey, that was then. A second-term
president has committed himself early in
2013 to a trip to Israel and has an Energizer
bunny in Secretary of State John Kerry,
who wants to do the right thing and keep
the two-state solution alive. Obama clearly
kept his distance from the issue again on
Tuesday night. He spoke of standing with
Israel to pursue peace, but didn't mention
Palestinians or the peace process. He
mentioned his own trip to the Middle East,
but missed an opportunity to give what
might be a trip to the region by his new
secretary of state higher profile. It's just as
well. The paradox of the Israeli-Palestinian
issue is that it's too complicated to
implement right now and too important to
abandon. It's in this space that Obama will
be forced to operate. And while the odds of
success are low, Obama will be tempted in
his final term to do something bold,
perhaps laying out a U.S. plan of
parameters on the key final-status issues.
It's the Middle Class, Not the Middle East
Spoiler alert: Barack Obama might still be
a consequential foreign-policy president if
he's lucky, willful, and skillful. But it's his
domestic legacy that will make or break his
presidency. Health care -- his signature
legacy issue -- will look much better if the
economy improves, driven by a revived
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housing market and rising employment,
and of course if some broader deal can be
struck on entitlements and taxes.
Immigration reform and gun-control
legislation driven by a functional
bipartisanship would cement that legacy.
He'd be an historic rather than a great
president.
Two clocks tick down in a president's
second term: the drive for legacy and the
reality of lame duckery. Obama's political
capital will diminish quickly. Where, how,
and on what he wants to spend it is critical.
The Middle East is violent and volatile and
may yet suck him in, but if he can avoid it,
he'll try. This was a State of the Union
address that stressed fixing America's
broken house, not chasing around the world
trying to fix everyone else's. The future of
America isn't Cairo or Damascus; it's
Chicago and Detroit.
Aaron David Miller is a distinguished
scholar at the Woodrow Wilson
International Center for Scholars.
Article 3.
Agence Global
Can the United States
Strike a Deal with Iran?
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Patrick Seale
12 Feb 2013 -- Negotiations with Iran are
once more on the international agenda.
After an eight-month break, the five
permanent members of the UN Security
Council plus Germany -- the so-called
P5+1 -- are due to hold a meeting with Iran
on 25 February in Kazakhstan. What are
the prospects of success? In a nutshell, that
would seem to depend more on the climate
in Washington than in Tehran. Iran is
gesturing that it wants to negotiate, but
Washington has not yet signalled any
greater flexibility than in the past.
In a major speech in Tehran last Sunday,
President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
addressed the United States: "Take your
guns out of the face of the Iranian nation
and I myself will negotiate with you," he
declared. Meanwhile, the Iranian
ambassador to Paris told French officials
that, provided a work plan was agreed, Iran
was ready to allow inspectors of the
International Atomic Energy Agency
(IAEA) to visit Parchin, a military facility
where Iran is suspected of having done
work on atomic weapons. Ahmadinejad
himself has said repeatedly that Iran was
ready to stop enriching uranium to 20% if
the international community agreed to
supply it instead to the Tehran research
reactor for the production of isotopes
needed to treat cancer patients.
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The only recent encouraging word from the
United States was a hint by Vice-President
Joe Biden at last week's Munich security
conference that the time may have come
for bilateral U.S.-Iranian talks. Iran's
Foreign Minister Ali Akbar Salehi
responded positively to Biden's offer,
although he added that Iran would look for
evidence that Biden's offer was 'authentic'
and not 'devious'.
The road to a U.S.-Iranian agreement is
littered with obstacles -- grave mutual
distrust being one of them. There is little
optimism among experts that a
breakthrough is imminent. For one thing,
Iran is almost certain to want to defer any
major strategic decision until a new
President is elected next June to replace the
sharp-tongued Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. To
strike a deal with Iran, the United States
would also need to assure its Arab allies in
the Gulf that they would not fall under
Iranian hegemony or lose American
protection. Guarantees would no doubt
have to be given.
Israel, America's close ally, poses a more
substantial obstacle. It is totally opposed to
any deal which would allow Iran to enrich
uranium, even at the low level of 3.5%.
Wanting no challenge to its own
formidable nuclear arsenal, Israel's long-
standing aim has been to halt Iran's nuclear
programme altogether. To this end it has
assassinated several Iranian nuclear
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scientists and joined the United States in
waging cyber warfare against Iranian
nuclear facilities. Its belligerent prime
minister, Binyamin Netanyahu, has for
years been pressing Obama to destroy
Iran's nuclear programme and -- better still
-- bring down the Islamic regime
altogether.
Faced with these obstacles, it is clear that
any U.S. deal with Iran would require
careful preparation. Obama would need to
mobilize strong domestic support if he is to
confront America's vast array of pro-Israeli
forces. They include Congressmen eager to
defend Israeli interests at all costs (as was
vividly illustrated by the recent Chuck
Hagel confirmation hearings), powerful
lobbies such as AIPAC, media barons,
high-profile Jewish financiers like Sheldon
Adelson, a phalanx of neo-con strategists in
right-wing think tanks, influential pro-
Israelis within the Administration, and
many, many others. The cost in political
capital of challenging them could be very
substantial. Nevertheless, elected for a
second term, he now has greater freedom
and authority than before.
Obama is due to visit Israel on March 20-
21, something he did not do in his first
term. This visit will be the first foreign trip
of his second term -- in itself a sign of its
importance. Although the White House is
anxious to play down suggestions that he
will announce a major initiative, either on
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the Israeli-Palestinian conflict or on Iran,
there are issues he cannot avoid. He may,
however, choose to raise them in private
talks with Israeli leaders rather than in
public. His message is expected to be
twofold: Israel should not delay in granting
statehood to the Palestinians, however
painful that choice may be, and it should be
careful not to make an eternal enemy of
Iran. Both conflicts have the potential to
isolate Israel internationally and threaten its
long-term interests, if not its actual
existence.
In his first term of office, Obama resisted
Netanyahu's pressure to wage war on Iran.
This was no more than a semi-success,
however, since he managed to blunt
Netanyahu's belligerence only by imposing
on Iran a raft of sanctions of unprecedented
severity. They have halved Iran's oil
exports, caused its currency to plummet
and inflation to gallop, severed its relations
with the world's banks and inflicted severe
hardship on its population.
The key question today is this: What are
Obama's intentions? Is he seeking to bring
down Iran's Islamic regime, as Israel
would like, or is he simply seeking to limit
its nuclear ambitions? If 'regime change' is
his aim then sanctions will have to be
tightened even further and extended
indefinitely. But if Obama's aim is to strike
a deal with Iran over its nuclear programme
then he must give it at least some of what it
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wants: such as sanctions relief; acceptance
of its right under the Nuclear Non-
Proliferation Treaty to enrich uranium to a
low level for peaceful purposes;
recognition of its security interests, of the
legitimacy of its Islamic regime born out of
the 1979 revolution, and of its place in the
region as a major power.
The P5+1, which are due to meet Iran later
this month, remain so divided that they are
unlikely to improve substantially on their
previous miserly offer, which was to
provide Iran with some airplane spare parts
if it gave up uranium enrichment to 20% --
its trump card. It is the paralysis of Iran's
dealings with the P5+1 that has lent
credence to the idea that the best hope of a
breakthrough may lie in bilateral U.S.-
Iranian talks -- perhaps even a summit
meeting between President Obama and
Ayatollah Khomeini.
For such a summit to be successful the
United States would have to change its
approach. Iran's supreme leader has made
clear that Iran will not negotiate under
threat of attack. There would have to be
give and take. Above all, Iran wants to be
treated with respect. This is the challenge
facing Obama.
It is worth remembering that there is as yet
no evidence whatsoever that Iran has
decided to build nuclear weapons. Nor has
it developed a reliable delivery system.
Instead, it has focussed its efforts on
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medium-range missiles unable to reach
Israel. It has no second strike capability. As
President Ahmadinejad stressed during his
visit to Cairo last week, Iran has no
intention of attacking Israel. Its posture is
purely defensive.
If Obama were to act with boldness and
vision, he could defuse a nagging problem
which has plagued the region for years. It is
surely time for the United States to draw
Iran into the regional community of nations
and put an end to 34 years of unremitting
hostility.
Patrick Seale is a leading British writer on
the Middle East. His latest book is The
Struggle for Arab Independence: Riad el-
Solh and the Makers of the Modern Middle
East (Cambridge University Press).
Article 4.
The Washington Post
What path now for Syria?
David Ignatius
February 12, 2013 -- Syrian opposition
fighters appear to be making significant
gains on the battlefield this week,
following an offer by their top political
leader for negotiations with the regime of
President Bashar al-Assad.
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This military and diplomatic news may
appear positive. But Syrian sources caution
that the battlefield advances may accelerate
movement toward a breakup of the country,
as Alawite supporters of the regime retreat
to their ancestral homeland in the
northwestern region around Latakia. And
there's no sign that either Assad or his
Russian patrons are paying any more than
lip service to a political settlement.
One potential game-changer is a request for
U.S. help in training elite rebel units, which
has been drafted by Brig. Gen. Salim Idriss,
the new commander of the opposition Free
Syrian Army. In a letter dated Feb. 4, he
seeks U.S. assistance in "training for: (1)
special operations; (2) international
humanitarian law; and (3) ... in chemical
weapons security."
Idriss requested various supplies for these
elite units, including: "(1) combat armor;
(2) night vision goggles; (3) hand held
monocular and longer range spotting
equipment; (4) strategic communications;
(5) winterization packs; and (6) tactical
communications."
This request for assistance was made just
after the Assad regime had rebuffed an
offer by Sheik Ahmad Moaz al-Khatib, the
head of a new opposition coalition, to
negotiate with government representatives.
The rebels' recent military successes have
come mostly in northern Syria; the attacks
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were made by different battalions that
appear to operate with little central
command and control. The gains include:
*The al-Jarrah air base, about 30 miles east
of Aleppo, which appears to have been
overrun by fighters from Ahrar al-Sham, a
battalion based in Idlib. Videos posted
Tuesday by the rebels showed them
walking past derelict Syrian warplanes and
inside a fortified hangar containing what
appeared to be two Czech-built ground
assault planes. On camera, the rebels
displayed dozens of bombs racked in a
warehouse, and other ammunition and
spoils of war.
*The Thawra hydroelectric dam on the
Euphrates, which is one of Syria's biggest
power-generating facilities. Rebel sources
said the Syrian army gave up the strategic
dam after army positions there were
overrun. The rebels negotiated a surrender
with regime loyalists who remained. These
sources said the dam continues to operate
and provide power — a positive sign for
those who worry that Syria's infrastructure
would collapse if the rebels took over.
*The Aleppo International Airport,
southeast of the city, is close to falling.
Free Syrian Army sources said Tuesday
that their fighters, including allies in the
extremist al-Nusra Front, had captured an
access point near the airport known as
"Liwa 80." Syrian sources said rebels there
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had seized large amounts of ammunition,
including some shoulder-fired anti-aircraft
missiles.
*Damascus and its suburbs, where the
rebels are tightening their squeeze on
access points to the capital. Syrian sources
said fighters are converging on Damascus
from different parts of the country,
expecting a decisive battle there soon.
"Regime forces are suffering from very low
morale, whereas FSA soldiers have been
encouraged by recent positive
developments," asserts one FSA report
from Damascus.
The al-Nusra Front has been a catalyst and
beneficiary of the rebels' success.
According to Syrian sources, al-Nusra is
gaining strength in Homs, a city in central
Syria where the group was never strong.
One Syrian source told the State
Department: "They have money, they are
helping people with everything including
daily living supplies. I heard that some
fighters are leaving their [former] brigades
and joining [Al-Nusra], some of them
selling their weapons to feed their
families."
One Syrian who works closely with the
Free Syrian Army explained how creating
an elite commando force could help check
Syria's drift toward becoming a failed
state: "We still believe FSA on the ground
is still needed badly to tip the power and
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support other parallel solutions, including
the political one. But FSA [has] become a
jungle. ... My recommendation is ... to
start working on elite [forces that can] ...
initiate key attacks plus help as a buffer
from potential warlords and fights among
fragmented FSA factions. Plus, this unit
can handle other key tasks, like securing
chemical weapons."
This Syrian strategist argues in another
memo that the rebels must "speak to the
silent majority, many who did not care
about the revolution, and they want their
life back." He said that such a negotiated
settlement requires more pressure on the
United States, Russia and the United
Nations "to find a way out of the
deadlock."
Article 5
Foreign Policy
Why Does Europe
Pretend Hezbollah Has a
Good Side?
Matthew Levitt
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February 12, 2013 -- Bulgaria's interior
minister announced on Feb. 5 the result of
his country's investigation into the July
2012 bombing of a bus filled with Israeli
tourists in the city of Burgas, which killed
five Israelis and the vehicle's Bulgarian
driver. Two of the individuals who carried
out the terrorist attack, he said, "belonged
to the military formation of Hezbollah."
It was not by chance that his statement
fingered only the military wing of
Hezbollah, not the group as a whole.
Within the European Union, the findings of
the Bulgarian investigation have kicked off
a firestorm over whether to add the
Lebanese militant organization -- in whole,
or perhaps just its military or terrorist
wings -- to the EU's list of banned terrorist
groups. But are there in fact distinct wings
within the self-styled "Party of God"?
Hezbollah is many things. It is one of the
dominant political parties in Lebanon, as
well as a social and religious movement
catering first and foremost -- though not
exclusively -- to Lebanon's Shiite
community. Hezbollah is also Lebanon's
largest militia, the only one to keep its
weapons and rebrand its armed elements as
an "Islamic resistance" in response to the
terms of the 1989 Taif Accord, which
ended the Lebanese Civil War.
While the group's various elements are
intended to complement one another, the
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reality is often messier. In part, that has to
do with compartmentalization of
Hezbollah's covert activities. It is also,
however, a result of the group's multiple
identities -- Lebanese, pan-Shiite, pro-
Iranian -- and the group's multiple and
sometimes competing goals tied to these
different identities.
Hezbollah's ideological commitment to
Iranian Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini's
revolutionary doctrine of velayat-e
faqih (guardianship of the jurist), which
holds that a Shiite Islamic cleric should
serve as the supreme head of government,
is a key source of conflict. The group is
thus simultaneously committed to the
decrees of Iranian clerics, the Lebanese
state, its sectarian Shiite community within
Lebanon, and fellow Shiites abroad.
The consequences of these competing
ideological drivers was clear in July 2006,
when Hezbollah dragged Israel and
Lebanon into a war neither state wanted by
crossing the U.N.-demarcated border
between the two countries, killing three
Israeli soldiers, and kidnapping two more
in an ambush. They came to the fore again
two years later, when Hezbollah took over
West Beirut by force of arms, turning its
weapons of "resistance" against fellow
Lebanese citizens. When the chips are
down, Hezbollah's commitment to Iran
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trumps its identity as a Lebanese political
movement.
The ties that bind Hezbollah's political
leadership with its international illicit
activities are also unmistakable. According
to a CIA document, even before Hassan
Nasrallah rose to the position of secretary-
general in 1992, he was "directly involved
in many Hizballah terrorist operations,
including hostage taking, airline hijackings,
and attacks against Lebanese rivals."
Time and again, Hezbollah's political
personalities have been tied to the group's
terrorist and criminal activities. Consider a
major case in the United States: In 2008,
while Hezbollah operative Ali Karaki was
planning a Hezbollah attack in Azerbaijan's
capital, Baku, his brother, Hasan Antar
Karaki, was helping lead a broad criminal
conspiracy to sell counterfeit and stolen
currency in Philadelphia. Luckily, Hasan
Antar Karaki sold his wares to an
undercover FBI informant posing as a
member of the Philadelphia criminal
underworld. Hasan Antar Karaki proved to
be a major figure in Hezbollah's forgery
operations, and he provided an FBI source
with fraudulent British and Canadian
passports.
Meanwhile, in meetings in Lebanon and
the United States, Hasan Antar Karaki's
associate, Hassan Hodroj, a Hezbollah
spokesman and the head of its Palestinian
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issues portfolio within the group's political
echelon, sought to procure a long list of
sophisticated weapons in a black-market
scheme involving Hezbollah operatives
across the globe. According to court
documents, Hodroj wanted "heavy
machinery" for the "fight against Jews and
to protect Lebanon." But move forward
with caution, Hodroj counseled an
undercover FBI source, because someone
in the United States could "go to jail for
100 years" if caught dealing with
Hezbollah.
In light of cases like this one, in which
people overtly affiliated with Hezbollah's
political activities are engaged in criminal
and terrorist activities, it becomes
increasingly difficult to separate
Hezbollah's overt activities from its covert
behavior. "Little is known about [the
Hezbollah military wing's] internal
command hierarchy," a Western
government report noted in 2012, "due to
its highly secretive nature and use of
sophisticated protective measures."
The structure and manpower of Hezbollah's
terrorist operation, which is responsible for
its financial and logistical activities as well
as its terrorist operations abroad, are
similarly opaque. We do know, however,
that Hezbollah's terrorist network, the
Islamic Jihad Organization (IJO), was
formally founded in 1983 when Hezbollah
master terrorist Imad Mughniyeh fled to
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Iran after orchestrating the October 1983
bombing of the U.S. Marine Corps and
French military barracks in Beirut with his
brother-in-law, Mustafa Badreddine.
This much is clear: Since its founding,
Hezbollah has developed a sophisticated
organizational and leadership structure.
The overall governing authority, the Majlis
al-Shura (Consultative Council), wields all
decision-making power and directs several
subordinate functional councils. Each
functional council reports directly to the
Majlis al-Shura, which, as Hezbollah
Deputy Secretary-General Naim Qassem
wrote in his book, is "in charge of drawing
the overall vision and policies, overseeing
the general strategies for the party's
function, and taking political decisions."
U.S. assessments echo Qassem's
description. "Hezbollah has a unified
leadership structure that oversees the
organization's complementary, partially
compartmentalized elements," reads a
Congressional Research Service report.
The secretary-general, currently Nasrallah,
presides over the Majlis al-Shura and
functions as the group's leader under the
authority of the "jurist theologian"
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran's supreme
leader. Five administrative bodies,
organized around thematic responsibilities,
run Hezbollah's political, military (jihad),
parliamentary, executive, and judicial
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activities. The Majlis al-Shura considers all
elements of the group's activities, including
its political and military wings, as part of
one holistic entity.
According to Hezbollah's top officials, this
unity of purpose among the group's diverse
activities is essential to its success. "If the
military wing were separated from the
political wing, this would have
repercussions, and it would reflect on the
political scene," Qassem told a Lebanese
paper in 2000. "Hezbollah's secretary-
general is the head of the Shura Council
and also the head of the Jihad Council, and
this means that we have one leadership,
with one administration."
The Jihad Council is the functional council
underneath the Majlis al-Shura responsible
for all military matters. Qassem writes that
it "comprises those in charge of resistance
activity, be that in terms of oversight,
recruitment, training, equipment, security,
or any other resistance-related endeavors."
To accomplish its mission, the council is
divided into several smaller units in charge
of protecting the leadership and carrying
out internal and external surveillance, as
well as overseas operations. The party's
security branch is further broken down into
three subgroups: central, preventive, and
overseas security. In 2000, a dedicated
counterintelligence branch was reportedly
founded as well.
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Under this structure, Hezbollah's militia
and terrorist activities, along with its
security organ, all report to the Jihad
Council. Until he was killed, Mughniyeh
was Hezbollah's top militant commander
and reportedly led the Jihad Council
himself By some accounts, he also held a
seat on the Majlis al-Shura, which would
be typical for the party's standing military
commander.
Unlike its sister councils, however, the
Jihad Council enjoys strategic ambiguity.
Neither the majority of Hezbollah officials
nor the party's elected parliamentarians are
aware of the details of their party's covert
military and terrorist activities, which are
decided on by the most senior leadership.
According to the U.S. government, these
activities are "executed" by the leadership
of Hezbollah's military apparatus, known
as the Islamic Resistance and led by
Badreddine, and by the IJO, led by Talal
Hamiyah, and they are "overseen" by
Nasrallah.
Europe's approach to Hezbollah has been
varied. Many European governments have
resisted international efforts to designate
the organization as a terrorist group by
distinguishing between Hezbollah's
political and military wings. Britain
distinguishes among Hezbollah's terrorist
wing (the Islamic Jihad Organization),
military wing, and political wing, and the
country banned the IJO in 2000 and the
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military wing in 2008. The Netherlands,
however, designated Hezbollah a terrorist
entity in 2004 without distinguishing
between the group's political and military
wings. A 2004 Dutch intelligence report
highlighted investigations that show
"Hezbollah's political and terrorist wings
are controlled by one co-ordinating
council."
The European Union has taken action
against Hezbollah's interests in the past. In
May 2002, the European Union froze the
assets of a non-European terrorist group for
the first time by adding seven Hezbollah-
affiliated individuals, including
Mughniyeh, to its financial sanctions list
for terrorism. It did not, however, sanction
Hezbollah as an organization. On March
10, 2005, the European Parliament passed a
nonbinding resolution recognizing that
"clear evidence exists of terrorist activities
on the part of Hezbollah" and calling on the
European Council to take "all necessary
steps to curtail them."
But the necessary steps did not occur.
Instead, most European countries preferred
to make convenient distinctions between
the different parts of Hezbollah, even when
the group's own leadership does not.
Today, as European leaders consider
whether to label Hezbollah a terrorist
group, they should judge the group by the
totality of its actions. Hezbollah cannot be
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 028702
forgiven its criminal, terrorist, or militant
pursuits simply because it also engages in
political or humanitarian ones. As the
Burgas bus bombing demonstrates, the
Party of God can and has mobilized
operatives for everything from criminal
enterprises to terrorist attacks well beyond
Lebanon's borders.
And though Hezbollah is composed of
multiple committees and branches, it
operates as a single entity. Hezbollah, the
U.S. intelligence community has
determined, is "a multifaceted, disciplined
organization that combines political, social,
paramilitary, and terrorist elements" and is
one in which decisions "to resort to arms or
terrorist tactics [are] carefully calibrated."
Hezbollah's Qassem, speaking in October
2012, concurred: "We don't have a military
wing and a political one; we don't have
Hezbollah on one hand and the resistance
party on the other.... Every element of
Hezbollah, from commanders to members
as well as our various capabilities, are in
the service of the resistance, and we have
nothing but the resistance as a priority," he
said.
Maybe it is time Western leaders finally
listened to him.
Matthew Levitt directs the Stein program
on Counterterrorism and Intelligence at the
Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
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He is author of "Hizballah and the Qods
Force in Iran's Shadow War with the West"
and the forthcoming book Hezbollah: The
Global Footprint of Lebanon's Party of
God.
Article 6.
The Atlantic
A Middle-Class Paradise
in Palestine?
Armin Rosen
Feb 11 2013 -- The sole outlet to Rawabi
sits off a dizzying two-lane highway
flanked by round, scraggly hills. In this part
of the West Bank, just north of where the
Jerusalem suburbs thin into a dry, granite-
gray wilderness, the mountains seem to aid
in the illusion that Israeli and Palestinian
spheres of authority can remain perfectly,
even harmoniously separate. Arabs use the
road to get to the Palestinian-controlled
cities of Bir Zeit and Ramallah, for Jewish
Israelis, the road connects the Jerusalem
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 028704
area to settlements deep inside the northern
half of the West Bank.
Ramallah's skyline is barely discernible on
a hazy day. Ateret, a red-gabled settlement
of about 90 families that sits high above the
Rawabi junction -- a community which
would likely either be vacated or
incorporated into a Palestinian state under a
future peace agreement -- flickers in and
out of view with every delirious knot in the
road. Even a concrete pillbox looming over
the highest point along the highway is
abandoned, its connection to the territory's
oddly invisible occupying army marked
only by a tattered Israeli flag that no one
has bothered to steal or replace.
Last year was the first since 1973 in which
no Israeli citizen was killed in a terrorist
attack originating from the West Bank. As
on the newly-pacified Gaza-Israel border, a
tense quiet pervades things here, although a
bright red sign at the junction reminds one
category of motorist not to feel too
complacent. "This road leads to Area 'A'
Under the Palestinian Authority," it reads
in Arabic, Hebrew, and broken English.
"The entrance for Israeli citizens is
forbidden, dangerous to your lives and is
against the Israeli law." At the Rawabi
junction these warnings of latent danger are
almost comically off-base, partly because
of the only other marker at the turnoff: a
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 028705
light-green arrow sagging off of a nearby
post.
No one lives at the end of the road, which
is every bit as wavy and disorienting as the
adjoining highway. It empties into a scene
that seems engineered for maximum
bewilderment: three high-rise cranes,
topped with fluttering Palestinian flags,
tower over massive stone and concrete
building frames. Cement-mixers, painted
the same shade of light green as the arrow
at the turnoff and marked with the project's
logo -- a wiry oval with a cute little convex
loop at the end, like a child's drawing of a
heart that could also be a tree -- line up to
receive material from a buzzing, state-of-
the-art plant. The construction site, a
couple turns up-road of the cement factory,
is swarming with workers in green
hardhats. Spotless SUVs with the Rawabi
logo on the door speed from one side of the
site to another.
Rawabi, which will be the first Palestinian
planned city in the West Bank, runs from
the top of the mountain to the valley below,
with its highest point sitting at an elevation
slightly higher than Ateret, which is now
constantly visible. In contrast, the chaos of
Ramallah, stronghold of an insolvent and
sclerotic Palestinian Authority, feels distant
in more senses than one.
Rawabi represents something totally new --
a visionary Palestinian-directed private
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 028706
sector project, with support from both
Israeli businesses and a major Arab
government. It has the potential to shift the
conversation on the region's future on both
sides of the Green Line. It could convince
Palestinians -- and the rest of the world --
that the future of the West Bank shouldn't
be shackled to Ramallah or Jerusalem's
vacillating willingness to hash out
fundamental issues. It could prove that
there's an appetite, both among Palestinian
consumers and foreign donors, for the
creation of a social and economic existence
in the West Bank that's de-coupled,
insomuch as currently possible, from the
Middle East's tense and labyrinthine
politics.
It would also help solidify the benefits of
the current cessation in hostilities. Indeed,
Palestinian leader Mahmoud Abbas's
progress in fostering the end of violent
resistance in the West Bank in the years
after the bloody Second Intifada, coupled
with Palestinian Prime Minister Salaam
Fayyad's widely-respected institution-
building initiative, could get a crucial
private sector assist through Rawabi's
eventual success.
And Rawabi gets at something even more
fundamental. "It touches upon all of the
core issues of control and sovereignty,"
says Robert Danin, a fellow at the Council
on Foreign Relations who, as head of the
Quartet mission in Jerusalem from 2008 to
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 028707
2010, witnessed some of the political
discussions that accompanied the project's
creation. "This could be a huge, iconic
victory for the whole strategy of building
Palestine from the bottom up rather than
trying to build it at the negotiating table,"
he says.
Its success would prove just how much
power Palestinians can, and indeed already
do, have in shaping their future. And its
failure could prove the exact opposite.
I visited Rawabi two weeks ago with a
group of national security professionals, as
part of a trip organized by the Foundation
for Defense of Democracies, a Washington,
DC-based think tank. (All of the photos in
the body of the article are mine.) We were
taken around the construction site by a
young Palestinian engineer who conveyed
the vast ambition underlying the project:
When the city is completed, she said, it will
house 45,000 people in 23 distinct
neighborhoods with innocuous, nature-
based names like "Flint," and "Hard Rock".
(Rawabi is Arabic for "Hills".) There will
be eight schools -- some of them built with
the help of the U.S. Agency for
International Development -- a "huge
park," a convention center, an 850-seat
indoor theater, and a 20,000-seat
amphitheater carved into a hillside.
Most ambitiously, there will be a
commercial center that developers hope
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 028708
will bring in between 3,000 and 5,000
permanent jobs within the next five years --
hopefully, we were told, in the
informational technology sector (an
aspiration that might imply a certain
cooperation with the burgeoning tech
industry on the other side of the Green
Line). The engineer said that Rawabi had
already created 3,000 construction jobs for
West Bank Palestinians. The city is
Palestinian-designed and Palestinian-built -
- making the surfeit of Qatari flags at the
construction site somewhat puzzling at
first. And while the project does not
purchase materials from Jewish settlements
in the West Bank, the engineer was hardly
shy in explaining that Rawabi would add
an estimated $85 million to the Israeli
economy.
As we drove around the construction site,
the engineer's talk made few demands on
the imagination. The sheer scale of the
project is already obvious. Within the next
18 months, the first phase, which includes
six neighborhoods, a mosque, the
amphitheater, and two-thirds of the city's
commercial center, will be complete, and
3,000 people are scheduled will move into
Rawabi by the end of 2013. Apartment
blocks built of a local white stone --
"Rawabi stone," the engineer called it -- are
already rising out of a network of
concentric ring-roads centered on the top of
the hill. Most of these roads have already
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 028709
been paved, and there are terraced retaining
walls, built out of thick stacks of local
sandstone, running all the way to the
bottom of the valley. No bleachers have
been installed in the amphitheater yet, but
it's fairly far along, with the future seating
area fanning into a wide notch in the
mountainside. There are attractive stone
signs bearing the stylized Arabic names of
neighborhoods that haven't been built yet.
The future commercial center is also well
on its way to completion. Situated on a
shelf slightly below the summit of the hill,
the complex of office buildings, hotels,
theaters, and a convention center will
huddle around a broad outdoor plaza,
which will be connected to the lower
neighborhoods through a wide flight of
stairs. The stairs, plaza, and central
buildings are already past their skeletal
phase, and the high-rise apartments ringing
the city center look like they're almost
complete. For now, the commercial core is
a jumble of dust and brutal concrete
surfaces, but in the future, someone
lingering in the cafés near the staircase will
enjoy phenomenal views of the rugged hill
country, and perhaps even glimpses of the
Jordan River Valley on a clear day.
It is still possible to remain unconvinced of
Rawabi's reality -- doubtful as to whether
that café will ever be built, or whether any
middle class-Palestinian desirous of a
generic middle class existence will ever
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 028710
linger there. There's abundant reason for
skepticism. The project's future depends on
the Israeli authorities' willingness to allow
for the construction of access roads in
"Area C," or West Bank territory under the
direct control of Israel. The sole existing
route into the city only exists because the
Israeli government, after years of
bureaucratic and high-level diplomatic
wrangling, granted Rawabi's developers a
permit for a "temporary" road. Technically,
they will have to destroy the road when the
current permission expires. And even if the
Israelis agree to make the road permanent,
one two-lane route is hardly adequate for a
city of 45,000 people. Developers claim it
isn't even adequate to the needs of the
current construction site.
Water is another challenge. Negotiations
with Israel and the Palestinian Water
Authority are ongoing, and developers say
they have held in excess of 100 meetings
with Israeli officials on water-related issues
alone. Developers admit that they aren't
sure where the city's water resources will
eventually come from, and the construction
site only got running water two months
ago.
And they'll admit that attracting jobs to the
site is an even bigger challenge than Israel's
West Bank regime. Rawabi isn't meant to
be a bedroom community of Ramallah. It's
meant to be a self-contained city, with
office and retail space. The jobs haven't
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 028711
quite materialized yet (although the
developers have a slight head start:
between 200 and 300 call center-type jobs
currently based in Ramallah are scheduled
to move into Rawabi when the first phase
of construction is complete). If the political
or security situation seriously deteriorates -
- if the checkpoints return, if the Israelis are
forced to re-occupy urban areas ceded to
the Palestinian Authority under the Oslo
Accords, as happened during the Second
Intifada; if Hamas wages a violent takeover
of the Palestinian government -- all bets are
off The developers don't seem to be
bothered by those possibilities right now.
At the showroom, built at the very top of
the hill, the future is nothing but bright.
I chatted with another site engineer as we
walked through a scale-model mock-up of
a typical Rawabian street, where happy
families in western dress waved from little
video screens inset in plastic apartment
windows. I asked her about the Qatari flags
I had seen around the construction site.
Qatar's state investment fund is footing two
thirds of the nearly $1 billion project bill,
she said. "This is the biggest investment in
the history of Palestine," she explained as
we stepped over a fake valley in the next
room, walking past a mock-up of a
stunning hilltop view contained inside a
mock-up of a future apartment suite. The
Rawabians will apparently own large flat-
screen TVs and stylish coffee tables, and
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 028712
their living spaces will be kept mercilessly
clean.
What, of that $1 billion investment, was
going to Israel, I asked? Israeli companies
were providing cement powder and sand,
she said, and the project had consulted with
"Israeli experts." "In some cases, you have
to do that," she said, alluding to the
comparative difficulty of importing
building materials through neighboring
Jordan. In other words, working with the
Israelis was a necessary business decision
for a project this large and complex.
The fake street, fake valley, fake
apartment-display ended in a pleasant sky-
lit lobby, where representatives of the
Cairo Amman Bank, Arab Islamic Bank,
and Arab Bank sat in logoed glass cubicles,
available to discuss financing for future
purchases. And for the still-skeptical,
there's a six-minute 3-D movie, where the
city appears in its completed glory -- a
place where families picnic, men in
business dress greet each other amid
bustling plazas, and fireworks crest over
soaring apartment towers topped with solar
panels. The architecture is tasteful. These
aren't dachas plunked on fake islands off
the coast of Dubai. It's the kind of place
where I, or just about anyone in the world
with middle or even upper-middle class
aspirations, would want to live. And it
looked weirdly familiar.
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 028713
The group had a chance to visit with
Bashar Masri, the Nablus-born founder and
CEO of Massar International, the
Palestinian conglomerate financing a third
of Rawabi. Massar and Qatar Diar, the real
estate investment arm of the government of
Qatar's sovereign wealth fund, jointly
created Bayti Real Estate Investment
Company -- Palestine to build and market
Rawabi. But if two-thirds of the project's
money is coming from Qatar, the vision
behind Rawabi is Masri's.
Massar owns a private equity fund that
invests in Palestinian agriculture and
natural gas distribution. It runs travel
agencies in Jordan and brokerage firms in
Serbia. Massar invests in Harvest Export,
which sells Palestinian produce to
consumers in Russia and Western Europe --
as well as in Israel. Two years ago, Masri
made headlines when he attempted to
purchase a bankrupt Jewish housing
development in East Jerusalem. He helped
create an online trading and brokerage
platform for Palestine's stock exchange.
Masri has lived outside of Palestine for
periods of his life, and is, by all accounts,
largely untainted by connections to the
PA's notoriously rent-seeking inner circle.
He's a trim middle-aged man, smartly-
dressed, friendly and approachable. There
seemed no more appropriate a place to talk
to him one-on-one than on a wide terrace
overlooking the construction site, with
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 028714
hills, valleys, and rising apartment blocks --
the future he was in the process of building
-- stretched out in front of him.
"On a good, clear day, you can see Tel
Aviv, Ashdod, and Ashkelon," he told me.
"One-third of Palestine and Israel." Rawabi
is in the second-largest, yet most sparsely-
populated Area A in the West Bank -- from
the terrace, which faces away from Ateret,
you can see expanses of mostly-empty
hills. Perhaps in Masri's mind, they are
awaiting Rawabis of their own. When I
returned to Washington, I asked him in a
phone interview if he viewed his project as
the first of many such planned cities in
Palestine. "I always say our success is
measured not by how many homes we sell.
It is measured when a second Rawabi is
established," he told me.
Standing on the terrace, I asked him if his
willingness to undertake such a massive
project reflected any optimism about the
coming years -- no one invests this much
time, money, and energy into something if
they expect war is on the horizon. "This
project is built for today's politics," he
replied. "If it gets a little worse, or a little
better -- fine. If it gets really bad, we're in
trouble. If it doesn't, then great. We're not
waiting on a breakthrough."
He estimated that Israeli obstruction had
delayed the project by a year and a half
The bureaucratic inertia could continue:
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 028715
For instance, developers were surprised to
find out that, by a quirk in the West Bank's
notoriously Byzantine and palimpsestic
legal codes, they required the approval of a
joint Israeli-Palestinian water commission
created through the Oslo Accords to build a
sewage treatment plant in an Area A,
approval that they recently received.
There's also the still-unresolved matter of
the access road. But thus far, Rawabi had
flourished in spite of delays and
inconveniences.
Could it survive its isolation, though --
could this hilltop off of a two-lane highway
get enough water and electricity to support
45,000 people living at a middle class
standard? "There is nothing here at all.
We're out in the boondocks," he conceded.
"We're building everything from scratch."
One needed only to glance at the busy
construction site below to understand that
Masri considers this a point of pride, far
from a potential death-sentence for his
project.
I asked Masri about something that had
jumped out at me during the 3-D video.
The finished Rawabi, I'd noted, had the
same terraced garden parks, stoic, modular
apartment design, and concentric hilltop
roads that I had seen in Talpiyot Misrach, a
new neighborhood on the fringes of West
Jerusalem. His city looked very, well,
Israeli.
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 028716
"This place is influenced by Reston,
Virginia," he said -- Masri is a Virginia
Tech alumnus, and had lived in the
Washington, DC area earlier in life. It was,
he said, influenced by planned suburbs
outside of Cairo. "And it's influenced by
Modi'in," he added, explaining that the
site's engineers and designers (who were
entirely Palestinian, we had been told
earlier), had traveled to the Israeli city,
which is built around similar topography,
for inspiration.
Palestinians have long understood that a
western-style standard of living was
possible in their part of the world. They
knew that places like Rawabi already
existed minutes from their own homes, but
didn't think that the quality of life
epitomized by hilltop settlements and cities
in Israel -- places they weren't allowed to
visit without an official permit from the
military -- was accessible to them.
During our phone interview, Masri talked
about the astonishment that Palestinians
feel when they visit the construction site.
"When [Palestinians] come to Rawabi, and
they go through the showroom and they see
what we have planned for them, and they
see it actually being built, they say, 'Wow,
this can't be for us. This is not for us. This
is too high of a standard for us because we
are supposed to live miserably under the
occupation'. Then they come to the other
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 028717
side of the showroom and see the city being
built, and reality starts sinking in."
It's a type of living closely associated with
the Palestinians' neighbors in Israel. "They
know very well that just a 20-minute drive
away, there's a community with a much
higher standard of living. And that
community happened to be one
representing the occupier, quote-unquote
the 'enemy.' But they would love to live
like that. And that's why when they come
to Rawabi some of them don't believe this
is for them initially. The first thing that
goes through their mind is that this could
be for the Israelis."
But it is for them. Rawabi's significance
could lie in something more mundane than
basic issues of sovereignty and control in
the West Bank. It lies in the common,
human desire -- powerful on either side of
the Green Line -- for a comfortable and
dignified existence.
In some quarters, this idea of working
within the present and less-than-ideal
political and economic framework to
achieve this goal is nothing short of
inflammatory. The U.S.-based, anti-peace
process website Electronic Intifada has
smeared Masri as an Israeli collaborator,
and there have been scattered accusations
that the project actually legitimizes Israeli
control over the West Bank.
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 028718
Danin says that Masri is faced with a
difficult balancing act. "On the one hand
you're denying the occupation, and you're
saying you do not accept its legitimacy," he
says. "But that doesn't mean you won't
work with Israel in order to improve the
Palestinian situation with the goal of
removing the occupation. That's a difficult
message to convey successfully."
Masri rejects the notion that he abetting a
problematic status quo. "The vast majority
of Palestinians understand and know
reality," he said. "There is no home in
Palestine without Israeli cement and parts.
Every construction project in Palestine
must have components from Israel. So it's
not like I'm doing something different."
Of course, he doesn't like that Israel has so
much control over Palestinian imports, and
the West Bank economy in general. "This
is the occupation," he said. "I'm not happy
about that and that's why we strive for a
state of our own." But he likened
boycotting Israeli products to boycotting
products from the United Kingdom, the
United States, or other countries supportive
of Israel -- something he wouldn't consider.
The only people he won't buy from are the
West Bank settlers.
Luckily, Masri's vision has the backing of a
powerful regional government -- one that
does not officially recognize Israel, and
whose actions have often had the effect of
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 028719
strengthening some of the Jewish State's
sworn enemies.
The Gulf kingdom of Qatar has done more
than simply buy into the Rawabi paradigm:
It's also funding two-thirds of the project,
to the tune of over $600 million. This is
enough money to single-handedly finance
the Fatah-dominated Palestinian Authority
-- which is effectively broke, thanks to
penalties imposed by the Israeli and U.S.
governments after Mahmoud Abbas's
successful push for a U.N. General
Assembly vote on Palestinian U.N.
membership, and a freeze in financial aid
from Gulf State donors, most notably Saudi
Arabia -- for the better part of a year.
Instead, the Qataris have not only bypassed
the PA, but channeled money into a project
that seems to prove the PA's uselessness.
"It's like an island inside the traditional
infrastructure of the PA," says Jonathan
Schanzer, vice president of research at the
Foundation for Defense of Democracies
and author of a book on Palestinian internal
politics. "It shows everyone what you can
do if you don't go through the PA. The PA
receives $600 million a year [in foreign
aid] and they have not done something like
this."
Masri says that the leadership of the PA has
been fully supportive, but that Rawabi has
been hurt by the Palestinian government's
lack of capacity. "We should not be
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 028720
building public schools. We should not be
building a waste water treatment plant or
waste water networks or water reservoirs,"
he told me. "Unfortunately we have to do
that because the Palestinian Authority does
not have the funding and the donors let [the
PA] down."
There might be a political calculation
behind Qatar's decision to throw an amount
of money equivalent to two years of U.S.
financial aid to the PA behind a single
private-sector figure like Masri. Qatar
recently announced plans to invest nearly
$400 million in the Hamas-controlled Gaza
Strip, and in October of 2012, Qatari Emir
Sheikh Hamad bin Khalifa al-Thani
became the first head of state to visit the
Strip after the Islamist militant group's
2007 takeover. Hamas politburo chief
Khaled Meshaal lives in Doha, and Qatar
Diar is financing a major development in
Sudan, whose cash-strapped government
enjoys close relations with Iran, and has
facilitated the transfer of long-range
rockets to Hamas. In short, Qatar supports
an E.U. and U.S. listed terrorist
organization bitterly opposed to both Israel
and the current PA leadership. And it also
has no problem investing in Rawabi.
According to Kamran Bokhari, vice
president of Middle Eastern and South
Asian affairs for Stratfor, Qatari support for
Hamas is part of the sheikhdom's larger,
post-Arab Spring strategy of siding with
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 028721
the Middle East's Islamists, and specifically
the Muslim brotherhood, whom the Qataris
view as the region's rising power. "The
Qatari strategy is that the situation has
changed, and we need to fend for ourselves
and ensure that the regional anarchy is not
going to impact us," says Bokhari. The
Qatari investment in Rawabi -- which feeds
an $85 million investment in the Israeli
economy, and which could not have
happened without some degree of official
Israeli approval -- is an example of this
larger geopolitical strategy, which is driven
more by perceived self-interest than by an
ideological affinity for political Islam.
"Investments in the region are about the
return on political influence," adds Gregory
Gause, a professor at the University of
Vermont and a non-resident senior fellow
at the Brookings Institution-Doha. He
noted the presence of a large American
airbase in Qatar, and the country's close
relations with the United States.
In the Palestinian territories, as in the
broader region, the Qataris are supporting
secular and religious forces in a way that
will maximize their influence and keep the
regional balance as favorable for them as
possible. In a sense, the same strategic
calculus that convinces Qatar to support
Hamas allows them to cooperate with Israel
and the West Bank private sector as well.
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 028722
"I think Qatar is going by the ground
reality," says Bokhari. "Fatah, the ruling
faction of the PA, is essentially tanking. It's
really in a state of decline because of
corruption and charges of embezzlement.
It's got an aging leadership. There's no
dynamism left in the group. There's a lot of
factionalism. It's almost like an oligarchy."
Rawabi could be Qatar's way of
encouraging the currently-calm status quo
in the West Bank, but without obviously
upgrading their ties to Israel, or throwing
their money behind a political
establishment that they don't fully trust.
"On one end they need to make sure Fatah
does not completely collapse or weaken to
the point where they're no longer coherent,"
says Bokhari, "and Hamas needs to be
shaped and contained and shepherded in a
way that it doesn't grow into anything
larger."
Though there are politics underlying
Qatar's investment in Rawabi, it is still,
inevitably, a financial decision. "You have
serious people who have a lot at risk here,"
Danin says. "Their goal is not primarily to
make a political point. Their goal is to
recoup their investment and make some
money." Even resource-rich Qatar, which
wants to diversity its holdings in order to
hedge against long-term shifts in the oil
and natural gas market, cares whether its
investment choices pay off
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 028723
Danin believes that Rawabi's Palestinian
and Qatari investors made a wise decision.
Housing in Ramallah is expensive, and
Danin says that there is a sizable and
highly-educated Palestinian middle class in
need of an alternative to the West Bank's
de-facto capital. He expressed little doubt
when I asked him if the West Bank
economy could support Rawabi. "This is a
Palestinian national project," he said. "It is
the best of what is possible in that it's
private sector-led, and it's profit-making
led."
And it has supporters in high places. When
President Barack Obama met with Israeli
officials in Washington in September of
2010, Rawabi was on the agenda.
From one perspective, Rawabi is a historic
investment in Palestine, as well as an
unusually open point of cooperation
between Israel and an Arab government. It
could improve the lives of Palestinians,
while convincing Israelis that they have
nothing to fear from their neighbors'
prosperity. But any attempts to change
the status quo in the West Bank are fraught
with difficulties.
There's Israeli bureaucracy to overcome.
"In Israel, if the Minister of Defense says I
want something, it's not that the system
thwarts it. But the system is so
decentralized that ultimately it takes a lot
of steps to get it translated into action,"
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 028724
says Danin. Israeli officials are positively
disposed towards Rawabi, but it's still taken
years to resolve sovereignty and
governance issues around necessities like
water, and a single access road. Such
Israeli inertia was apparently at the heart of
Obama's concerns back in 2010, and
sources say that the president has discussed
the issue of the access road with Israeli
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on
multiple occasions.
Back in Washington, I asked Masri if he
believed the Israelis understood the
potential importance of Rawabi. "I really
don't know," he said. "Their statements are
neutral to positive. But their actions are
neutral to negative."
And then there's the larger inertia. What
meaning does a place like Rawabi have if it
sits in the middle of a still-unresolved
conflict, or if Palestinian economic self-
improvement stands in contrast to an all-
pervading political stasis -- or even
political backsliding? Today, Rawabi is
significant because of its novelty. But if
there's a breakthrough in the Israeli-
Palestinian peace process, perhaps enabled
by a growing West Bank economy and a
permanent end in terrorism, it could take on
an importance much larger than itself
On the drive out of the valley, where the
highway swerves past the pillbox with the
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 028725
beaten Israeli flag and past the turnoff for
Ateret, the picture is still mixed.
Armin Rosen writes for and produces The
Atlantic's International Channel.
',11:4142,
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confidential, may be attorney-client privileged, may
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 028726
constitute inside information, and is intended only for
the use of the addressee. It is the property of
Jeffrey Epstein
Unauthorized use, disclosure or copying of this
communication or any part thereof is strictly prohibited
and may be unlawful. If you have received this
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HOUSE OVERSIGHT 028727
|
IMAGES-008-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026363.txt
|
down the line.
“Obviously, the class is one of the biggest developments in cardiology in the last decade, that will allow us to
treat patients who have been extremely difficult to treat with high levels of LDL cholesterol,” says Steven
Nissen, chairman of cardiology at the Cleveland Clinic. “It’s very promising.”
But it will also be very expensive, say Troy Brennan, the chief medical officer of CVS Caremark, the giant
pharmacy benefits manager.“If these drugs are used as broadly as they could be used, they are going to be by
far the most expensive drug class,” Brennan says.
Praluent, an injection, lowers low-density lipoprotein, the so-called “bad cholesterol”, by as much as 60%, far
more than the statin drugs alone. It is the first drug to work by targeting a protein called PCSK9. Mutations in
the gene that makes it can result in patients having lower cholesterol and a dramatically lower lifetime risk of
heart attacks. A rival medicine from Amgen is also expected to be approved soon. The FDA is
clearing Praluent for patients with heterozygous familial hypercholesterolemia, a genetic condition that causes
high cholesterol, and for people who have heart disease, like those who’ve had heart attacks or strokes, who
are already taking the maximum dose of a statin they can tolerate.
Regeneron and its marketing partner Sanofi say Praluent will have a wholesale cost of $40 a day, or $14,600 a
year, for either of two doses, 75 milligrams or 150 mgs. It’s likely that insurance companies will get a
significant discount, because Amgen and Regeneron will compete by giving the insurers rebates.
Most Popular
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HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026363
|
IMAGES-008-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026405.txt
|
JEE
Unauthorized use, disclosure or copying of this
communication or any part thereof is strictly prohibited
and may be unlawful. If you have received this
communication in error, please notify us immediately by
return e-mail or by e-mail to jeevacation@gmail.com, and
destroy this communication and all copies thereof,
including all attachments. copyright -all rights reserved
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026405
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IMAGES-005-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_019727.txt
|
The Chinese Puzzle | 239
tains there its largest intelligence base outside mainland China. A
large contingent of its officers are stationed officially in the Prince
of Wales skyscraper in central Hong Kong and unofficially main-
tain informers in Hong Kong’s police, governing authority, airport
administration, and other levers of power. It checks the computer-
ized visitors entering Hong Kong and has the capability to ferret
names that match those in the immense database its global cyber
espionage has amassed. When it detects the entry of any person of
possible intelligence interest, it can use its sophisticated array of
cyber tools to attempt to remotely steal data from that individual.
Such remote surveillance was so effective in 2013 that the U.S. State
Department had instructed all its personnel in Hong Kong to avoid
using their iPhones, Androids, BlackBerry phones, and other smart
phones when traveling to Hong Kong or China. Instead, it supplied
them with specially altered phones that disable location tracking
and have a remotely activated switch to completely cut off power
to its circuitry. No one in the intelligence community doubts the
prudence of taking such precautions in China, and it is nearly incon-
© ceivable that Snowden, whose prior position at the NSA included ©
teaching military personnel about Chinese capacities, could himself
be unaware of Chinese intelligence service capabilities to acquire
travelers’ data in Hong Kong.
Once Hong Kong had served as a window into China for West-
ern intelligence, but in the first decade of this century the Chinese
intelligence service had achieved such a pervasive presence in Hong
Kong, and such ubiquitous electronic coverage of diplomats and
other foreigners even suspected of involvement in foreign intelli-
gence work, that the CIA and British intelligence found it almost
as difficult to operate in Hong Kong as in mainland China. Even
though the CIA kept officers there in 2013, it was considered “hos-
tile territory,” according to the former CIA officer Tyler Drumheller.
Snowden apparently knew the limits of CIA operations in Hong
Kong, which provided him with an envelope of protection. He told
Greenwald that he was counting on the Chinese presence in Hong
Kong to deter the CIA from intruding on their meetings.
When he flew to Hong Kong in May 2013, he took with him
NSA secrets, which he knew would be of great interest to China.
| | Epst_9780451494566_2p_all_r1.indd 239 ® 9/30/16 8:13AM | |
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_019727
|
TEXT-001-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_031442.txt
|
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Date: Mon, 5 Jan 2015 21:15:19 -0400
Message-ID: <CA+t=u-ZBculmegS3ECP4+K9mcZHVw6UBFry38gFn98=3u4TlyA@mail.gmail.com>
Subject: Re: High Profile
From: "jeffrey E." <jeevacation@gmail.com>
To: Christina Galbraith <christina@jeffreyepstein.org>
Content-Type: multipart/alternative; boundary=047d7bfcef3a53c24d050bfl8a12
--047d7bfcef3a53c24d050bfl8a12
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=UTF-8
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
thanks, what is david doing?
On Mon, Jan 5, 2015 at 6:12 PM, Christina Galbraith <
christina@jeffreyepstein.org> wrote:
Forwarded message
> From: Jamie Rosenwald <
> Date: Mon, Jan 5, 2015 at 5:07 Pm
> subject: High Profile
> To: "_____________________________________
Dear Jeff,
> Your name popped up again in the Press and I thought it was time to
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 031442
> congratulate you on your wonderful financial successes since your days as
> my Physics prof at Dalton!! The young, bright options trader, who
> understood Black Sholes and how to use it, at Bear, made good!!
> • Unless your PR advisor is Donald Trump, I am not sure that current press
> provides you with much benefit. Perhaps I am wrong? Not the first time!!
> • Anyway, middle age has brought its own unique set of challenges. Aging
> certainly ain=E2=80=99t for sissy=E2=80=99s.
> • Regards,
> • Jamie Rosenwald
> • Ps. David Asch and I toasted to you during our Thanksgiving weekend in
> Amagansett in November.
> • Christina Galbraith
> MEDIA/PR
>
> 111110111111
>
>
>
>
--=20
please note
The information contained in this communication is
confidential, may be attorney-client privileged, may
constitute inside information, and is intended only for
the use of the addressee. It is the property of
JEE
Unauthorized use, disclosure or copying of this
communication or any part thereof is strictly prohibited
and may be unlawful. If you have received this
communication in error, please notify us immediately by
return e-mail or by e-mail to jeevacation@gmail.com, and
destroy this communication and all copies thereof,
including all attachments. copyright -all rights reserved
--047d7bfcef3a53c24d050bfl8a12
Content-Type: text/html; charset=UTF-8
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
<div dir=3D"ltr">thanks,=C2=A0 what is david doing?<br></div><div class=3D"=
gmail_extra"><br><div class=3D"gmail_quote">On Mon, Jan 5, 2015 at 6:12 PM,=
n> wrote:< r>< oc quote c ass= D gmal _quote sty e= D margin:0 0 0 .8ex;b=
order-left:lpx #ccc solid;padding-left:lex"><div dir=3D"ltr"><br><div class=
=3D"gmail_quote"›---------- Forwarded message ----------<br>From: <b class=
=3D"gmail_sendername">Jamie Rosenwald</b> <span dir=3D"ltr"><<a href=3D"=
mailtn.irnqpnwald0 altoninvestments.com" target=3D"_blank"
____________________________>></span><br>Date: Mon, Jan 5, 2015 at 5:07 PM<br>Sub=
ject: High Profile<br>To: "<a href=3D"mailto:Jeffrey@jeffreyepstein.or=
g" target=3D"_blank">Jeffrey@jeffreyepstein.org</a>" <<a href=3D"ma=
ilto:Jeffrey@jeffreyepstein.org" target=3D"_blank">Jeffrey@jeffreyepstein.o=
rg</a>><br><br><br>
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 031443
<div vlink=3D"purple" link=3D"blue" lang=3D"EN-US"›
<div>
<p class=3D"MsoNormal">Dear Jeff,<u></u><u></u></p>
<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><u></u>=C2=A0<u></u></p>
<p class=3D"MsoNormal">Your name popped up again in the Press and I thought=
it was time to congratulate you on your wonderful financial successes sinc=
e your days as my Physics prof at Dalton!! The young, bright options trader=
, who understood Black Sholes and
how to use it, at Bear, made good!!<u></u><u></u></p>
<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><u></u>=C2=A0<u></u></p>
<p class=3D"MsoNormal">Unless your PR advisor is Donald Trump, I am not sur=
e that current press provides you with much benefit. Perhaps I am wrong? No=
t the first time!!<u></u><u></u></p>
<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><u></u>=C2=A0<u></u></p>
<p class=3D"MsoNormal">Anyway, middle age has brought its own unique set of=
challenges. Aging certainly ain=E2=80=99t for sissy=E2=80=99s.
<u></u><u></u></p>
<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><u></u>=C2=A0<u></u></p>
<p class=3D"MsoNormal">Regards,<span><font color=3D"#888888"><u></u><u></u>=
</font></span></p><span><font color=3D"#888888">
<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><u></u>=C2=A0<u></u></p>
<p class=3D"MsoNormal">Jamie Rosenwald<u></u><u></u></p>
</font></span><p class=3D"MsoNormal"><u></u>=C2=A0<u></u></p>
<p class=3D"MsoNormal">Ps. David Asch and I toasted to you during our Thank=
sgiving weekend in Amagansett in November. =C2=A0<span class=3D"HOEnZb"><fo=
nt color=3D"#888888"><u></u><u></u></font></span></p><span class=3D"HOEnZb"=
><font color=3D"#888888">
</font></span></div><span class=3D"HOEnZb"><font color=3D"#888888">
</font></span></div><span class=3D"HOEnZb"><font color=3D"#888888">
</font></span></div><span class=3D"HOEnZb"><font color=3D"#888888"><br><br =
clear=3D"all"><br>-- <br><div><div dir=3D"ltr"><div><font face=3D"arial nar=
row,sans-serif" color=3D"#0b5394">Christina Galbraith</font></div><div><fon=
t face=3D"arial narrow,sans-serif" color=3D"#0b5394">MEDIA/PR</font></div><=
div><font face=3D"arial narrow,sans-serif" color=3D"#0b5394">Jeffrey Epstei=
n VI Foundation
or=3D"#0b5394">
></font></div><div><a href=3D"mailto
taraet=3D"_blank"><font face=3D"arial narrow,san=
s-seri co or= D ____________________________________ /font></a></div><di=
v><br></div><div><br></div></div></div>
</font></span></div>
</blockquote></div><br><br clear=3D"all"><br>-- <br><div class=3D"gmail_sig=
nature"><div dir=3D"ltr">—C2—AO—C2—A0—C2—A0—C2—A0—C2—A0—C2—A0—C2—A0 please =
note<br><div>The information contained in this communication is<br>confiden=
tial, may be attorney-client privileged, may<br>constitute inside informati=
on, and is intended only for<br>the use of the addressee. It is the propert=
y of<br>JEE<br>Unauthorized use, disclosure or copying of this<br>communica=
tion or any part thereof is strictly prohibited<br>and may be unlawful. If =
you have received this<br>communication in error, please notify us immediat=
ely by<br>return e-mail or by e-mail to <a href=3D"mailto:jeevacation@gmail=
.com" target=3D"_blank">jeevacation@gmail.com</a>, and<br>destroy this comm=
unication and all copies thereof,<br>including all attachments. copyright -=
all rights reserved<br></div></div></div>
</div>
--047d7bfcef3a53c24d050bfl8a12--
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 031444
|
IMAGES-002-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014005.txt
|
Don’t manufacture product in large quantities to increase margin unless your product and marketing are
tested and ready for rollout without changes. If a limited number of prototypes cost $10 per piece to
manufacture and sell for $11 each, that’s fine for the initial testing period, and essential for limiting
downside. Sacrifice margin temporarily for the testing phase, if need be, and avoid potentially fatal
upfront overcommitments.
8. Negotiate Late— Make Others Negotiate Against Themselves
Never make a first offer when purchasing. Flinch after the first offer (“$3,000!” followed by pure silence,
which uncomfortable salespeople fill by dropping the price once), let people negotiate against themselves
(“Is that really the best you can offer?” elicits at least one additional drop in price), then “bracket.” If
they end up at $2,000 and you want to pay $1,500, offer $1,250. They’ll counter with approximately
$1,750, to which you respond: “I'll tell you what—let’s just split the difference. I'll overnight FedEx you
a check, and we can call it a day.” The end result? Exactly what you wanted: $1,500.
9. Hyperactivity vs. Productivity — 80/20 and Pareto’s Law
Being busy is not the same as being productive. Forget about the start-up overwork ethic that people
wear as a badge of honor— get analytical. The 80/20 principle, also known as Pareto’s Law, dictates that
80% of your desired outcomes are the result of 20% of your activities or inputs. Once per week, stop
putting out fires for an afternoon and run the numbers to ensure you’re placing effort in high-yield areas:
What 20% of customers/products/ regions are producing 80% of the profit?) What are the factors that
could account for this? Invest in duplicating your few strong areas instead of fixing all of your
weaknesses.
10. The Customer Is Not Always Right—‘‘Fire” High-Maintenance Customers
Not all customers are created equal. Apply the 80/20 principle to time consumption: What 20% of people
are consuming 80% of your time? Put high-maintenance, low-profit customers on autopilot— process
orders but don’t pursue them or check up on them—and “fire” high-maintenance, high-profit customers
by sending a memo detailing how a change in business model requires a few new policies: how often and
how to communicate, standardized pricing and order process, etc. Indicate that, for those clients whose
needs are incompatible with these new policies, you are happy to introduce other providers. “But what if
my largest customer consumes all of my time?” Recognize that (1) without time, you cannot scale your
company (and, oftentimes, life) beyond that customer, and (2) people, even good people, will
unknowingly abuse your time to the extent that you let them. Set good rules for all involved to minimize
back-and-forth and meaningless communication.
11. Deadlines Over Details—Test Reliability Before Capability
Skills are overrated. Perfect products delivered past deadline kill companies faster than decent products
delivered on time. Test someone’s ability to deliver on a specific and tight deadline before hiring them
based on a dazzling portfolio. Products can be fixed as long as you have cash flow, and bugs are
forgiven, but missing deadlines is often fatal. Calvin Coolidge once said that nothing is more common
than unsuccessful men with talent; I would add that the second most common is smart people who think
their IQ or resume justifies delivering late. —JUNE 24, 2008
The Holy Grail: How to Outsource the Inbox and Never Check E-
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014005
|
IMAGES-009-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_028061.txt
|
Middle East Affairs, and four years later the United Nations envoy, Count Folke
Bernadotte.
“Why are you so strident,” Shamir asked me, only half-jokingly, after ’'d
insisted on joining a government discussion and pressing several intelligence
matters. “It’s because I’ve read the Lebanon inquiry,” I replied. “I saw what
happened when a message isn’t delivered assertively. I’m not going to be in the
position of making the same mistakes.” He nodded, and didn’t raise it again.
In fact, it was under Shamir that I began to get more involved with political
and policy issues beyond the armed forces. Part of this came with the job of
Rosh Aman. There was hardly a major domestic or foreign challenge that did
not have some security component, and no security matter on which intelligence
was not critical. But I also found myself working more closely with leading
politicians: mainly Shamir and Misha Arens, who as defense minister was my
main point of contact. Since I was a Labor kibbutznik, we made an odd
threesome. Arens was also a lifelong Jabotinsky Zionist. He had been in the
Betar youth movement in America, before going to Palestine in 1948 and
joining the Irgun. In fact, it was with Misha’s personal backing that one of my
former Sayeret Matkal officers — the son of a Jabotinsky acolyte — had recently
taken his first steps into the political limelight. After a two-year stint as Israel’s
number-two diplomat in Washington, Bibi Netanyahu had become our
ambassador to the United Nations.
With both Arens and Shamir, I built a solid relationship, based on mutual
respect, and it would deepen further when I moved on to a wider role in the
kirya a few years later. They were straight talkers. While resolute about
decisions once they’d taken them, they were genuinely open to discussion and
debate. I also sometimes found a surprising degree of nuance behind their tough
exterior.
The toughness was there, however. One of the first major security crises we
faced after Shamir became Prime Minister was known as the Kav 300 affair,
named for the bus route between the southern port city of Ashdod and Tel Aviv.
On the evening of April 12, 1984, four Palestinians from Gaza boarded the bus
and hijacked it back toward the border with Egypt. They told the passengers they
were armed with knives, and that a suitcase which one of them was carrying
contained unexploded anti-tank shells. After a high-speed chase, an Israeli army
unit managed to shoot out the tires and disable the vehicle, when it was still
about ten miles short of Gaza. One of the passengers had been severely injured at
213
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_028061
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IMAGES-006-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_021000.txt
|
Restructure Medicare & Medicaid: In Addition to Life Expectancy, USA Falls
Behind OECD Averages in Many Other Health Indicators
OECD USA Ranking
2007 Health Indicators USA Median (1 = Best, 30 = Worst)
RED = Below Average
Obesity (% of total population) 34 15 30
Infant Mortality (per 1,000 live births) 7 4 27
Medical Resources Available (per 1,000 population)
Total Hospital Beds 3 6 25
Practicing Physicians 2 3 22
Doctors’ Consultations per Year 4, 6 19
MRI Machines* (per million population) 26 9 1
Cause of Death (per 100,000 population)
Heart Attack 216 178 22
Respiratory Diseases 60 45 21
Diabetes 20 12 20
Cancer 158 159 14
Stroke 33 45 8
KP Note: *MRI is Magnetic Resonance Imaging. Source: OECD.
i USA Inc. | What Might a Turnaround Expert Consider? 317
Restructure Medicare & Medicaid: Effectiveness Research Could Improve
Efficiency (i.e., Outputs Track Inputs)
e Comparative Effectiveness evaluates different options for treating a condition for a
specific set of patients’
— Either relative benefits and risks of various treatment options (technology
assessment, evidence-based medicine), or
— Both clinical effectiveness and relative cost (cost-benefit analysis).
e Without rigorous data about comparative effectiveness, according to the CBO:
— Treatment decisions often depend on anecdotal evidence, conjecture, and the
experience/judgment of involved physicians.
— Treatments and types of care vary widely from one area of the country to another.
e To affect healthcare spending meaningfully, comparative effectiveness must alter
doctor and patient behavior, potentially through reimbursement scheme changes, the
CBO notes.
e Note that by law, Medicare is effectively precluded from considering costs when
making coverage decisions.
K P Source: “Research on the Comparative Effectiveness of Medical Treatments”, A CBO Paper, December 2007.
www.kpcb.com ne. at Might a Turnaround Expert Consider?
B kpeb USA Inc. | What Might a T dE Consider? 318
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IMAGES-009-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_027352.txt
|
you to be portrayed as the exact opposite.
Time: 07/27/18 04:22:33 AM (554383353)
Flags: 1060865
Is Read: Yes
Is Invitation: No
GUID: 6271DED7-959B-4FE1-8B5E-9CA32605A5D8
Message: I'm talking about TODAYs FT?
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 07/27/18 04:23:38 AM (554383418)
Flags: 1085445
Is Read: No
Is Invitation: No
GUID: 142CDB24-93AF-4C2C-9267-7508C89C29
eal
oO
Message: Sorry, which article
Sender: Po
Time: 07/27/18 04:24:45 AM (554383485)
Flags: 1060865
Is Read: Yes
Is Invitation: No
GUID: 9CAF3488-833C-4CDD-80FB-BC4AF42F37B2
Really in touch.
Message: Lead editorial brother-- sean is already getting it framed for u
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 07/27/18 04:27:39 AM (554383659)
Flags: 1085445
Is Read: No
Is Invitation: No
GUID: FASCO36E-A85B-4D
r
r,
(E-BA8C-6CO1B68FBI
ical
Q
oO
Message: Sweet
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 07/27/18 04:28:54 AM (554383734)
Flags: 1085445
Is Read: No
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GUID: 373EF84E-B9EC-43FE-B7/5E-488C78D5F26C
Message: Wasn't as funny as seeing the term
W
pensioners. The jews are getting careless.
shmucks" in the same paper to describe
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IMAGES-012-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_033425.txt
|
From: Robert Trivers [nn
Sent: 12/22/2018 12:03:25 AM
To: Jeffrey Epstein [jeevacation@gmail.com]
Importance: — High
Apologies for requesting support in what was originally intended as an update on work done
iam done with that, you will receive no more messages from me regarding funding, i am most grateful for your
help—without it, i doubt 1 would have a book in view on Honour killings—i can finish it on my own and fully
intend to
you once said you would "never not support me" but never, as we both know, is a very long time—i am much
more scared of Trump's capacity to destroy the stock market—but as long as i do not get orders from you to
sell, 1 will ride it out
i hope everything is good in your life
warmest best, as always
bob
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TEXT-001-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023046.txt
|
88th year, No. 2.98
'We Virgin Islands 10,11.0111
WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 27, 2019 $1
DAILY NEWS
A Pulitzer Prize-Winning Newspaper
ST. CROIX ST. JOHN ST. THOMAS
TORTOLA
CELEBRATING THE PEOPLE CULTURES AND HISTORY OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS
Cops increase traffic enforcement efforts
ii;14:ceed se?,1.0,14nn;n:tc,:r:f%Itiei:u*:stitetitt°1itry ri,r,V.T,nt14:11`,T. TO;d:Y4a1"9 '`era"s
Pardoned
broadcaster
fighting
order to pay
restitution
Page 2
Perversion of ju
Before joining Trump's Cabinet,
Alexander Acosta helped
Jeffrey Epstein avoid spending
the rest of his life in prison
Pages 14.16
4tA
44
4( 41
Twitter: @VIDail News
Your favorite favorite classics
now with Bacon!
tr.s=========.•
Housing officials told
to expedite payments
for hurricane repairs
Page 3
Gov. Bryan
testifies before
U.S. Senate
Page 2
EDA officials refuse
to release information
Page 5
St. Croix Dolphins
take home gold Page 34
www.facebook.com/virginislandsdailynews
Poundor.H
|
TEXT-002-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_031822.txt
|
From:
Sent: 2/7/2019 3:36:37 AM
To: jeevacation@gmail.com
Subject: From Fox News - DOJ to investigate plea bargain awarded to Clinton-linked sex offender Jeffrey Epstein, but
watchdogs say probe is tainted
Importance: High
DOJ to investigate plea bargain awarded to Clinton-linked sex offender Jeffrey Epstein, but watchdogs say
probe is tainted
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/doj-opens-probe-into-plea-bargain-awarded-by-trump-official-to-alleged-
pedophile-predator-jeffrey-epstein
It is bizarre to see who tries to get political mileage out of this.
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 031822
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IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_015752.txt
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62 Are the Androids Dreaming Yet?
Still from Ground Camera
LOOK AT THE IMAGES, WHAT HAPPENED?
The truth is you simply don't know. If you are puzzling over the
strength of tiles, you have been misdirected. There is video footage of
some sort of impact on a wing mostly covered in white tiles, and a slide
describing the effect of a benign sounding ‘foany hitting those tiles. But
what is the evidence for an impact on a tile? The shuttle is certainly not
made entirely from tiles; I can see a window in the picture. You should
instead be asking more questions, “What happened?” “What hit what?”
and “How bad is that?”
It was bad. The foam, a very tough material, had hit the leading edge
of the wing, a weak point, punching a hole through it. The wing failed
on reentry and tore the shuttle apart. Clearly, a full discussion of the
possibilities did not occur amongst the shuttle team, or perhaps it only
happened amongst the engineers in private. Once the analysis was tidied
up and presented to ‘management’ it was a one-way communication of
the conclusions, not a discussion of the underlying ambiguous thought
process. The result: people passively listened to the information rather
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IMAGES-004-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_018070.txt
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Fashion Week Presentation. 3:30pm. Spring 2011 collection. Invitation only. Chelsea Art Museum. New York.
Event address: 556 West 22nd St., New York.
Tags: Fashion Event Fashion Show Exclusive Mix Industry Beauty Industry Fashion Industry Media Industry Retail.
Eva Minge
Fashion Week Show. 4:00pm. Spring 2011 collection. Invitation only. Exit Art. New York. requests@peoplesrevolution.com.
Event address: 475 10th Ave., New York. Event web address: www.evaminge.com.
Tags: Fashion Event Fashion Show Exclusive Mix Industry Beauty Industry Fashion Industry Media Industry Retail.
Loris Diran Couture
Fashion Week Presentation. 5:00pm. Spring/summer 2011 collection. Invitation only. Audi Forum. New York. pr@lorisdiran.com.
Event address: 250 Park Ave., New York. Event web address: lorisdiran.com.
Tags: Fashion Event Fashion Show Exclusive Mix Industry Beauty Industry Fashion Industry Media Industry Retail.
Mercedes Benz Fashion Week
Odd Molly Show. 5:00pm. Spring 2011 collection. Invitation only. Lincoln Center Plaza. New York. request@seventhhousepr.com.
Event address: West 65th St. and Broadway, New York.
Tags: Fashion Event Fashion Show Exclusive Mix Industry Beauty Industry Fashion Industry Media Industry Retail.
Cosmetic Executive Women
Newsmaker Forum. 5:30pm. Cocktails and discussion. Tickets from $175.00. Harmonie Club. New York. Contact: Tara
Russo. trusso@cew.org. (646) 929-8026.
Event address: 4 East 60th St., New York. Event web
address: www.cew.org/eweb/DynamicPage.aspx?webcode=EventInfo&Reg_evt_key=AD2B92A4-1 18C-4A7A-94A7-7241F0BFF81F.
Tags: Discussion Networking Industry Beauty Industry Marketing.
Mercedes Benz Fashion Week
Anna Sui Show. 6:00pm. Spring 2011 collection. Invitation only. Lincoln Center Plaza. New York. request@kcdworldwide.com.
Event address: West 65th St. and Broadway, New York.
Tags: Fashion Event Fashion Show Exclusive Mix Industry Beauty Industry Fashion Industry Media Industry Retail.
United Cerebral Palsy Association of Nassau County
Annual Taste & Toast the Town. 6:00pm. Tastings. Chaired by Joe Mandaro,Kathy Wilson. Tickets from $100.00. Chateau Briand. Carle
Place. Contact: Michelle Gevirtz. mgevirtz@ucpn.org. (516) 377-2063.
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_018070
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IMAGES-004-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_017343.txt
|
4.2.12
WC: 191694
as rape. There are clearly gray areas in which the man ought to resolve doubts in favor of not
acting and where the law ought to resolve doubts in favor of not convicting.
I have represented several clients who fit this situation. One such case was a highly publicized
prosecution of three prominent doctors and a nurse at one of Boston’s leading hospitals.
One of the doctors had a party at his house for some of the hospital staff. During the party, the
nurse danced with several of the doctors and two of them “fooled around” with her in the
bathroom. As the party was ending, the three doctors invited the nurse to join them for a drive to
Rockport where one of the doctors had a vacation home. She went along with them because in
her words, she thought they were just “horsing around.”
When they arrived at the Rockport home, two of the doctors smoked marijuana and all of three of
them began to disrobe. She said she protested and told them to stop when the three of them
began to undress her. Each of the defendants then had sex with the nurse in the bedroom. She
testified that she felt physically numbed and could not resist.
Sometime later, they drove back to Boston and stopped to view the beach, to have breakfast and
fill the car up with gasoline. One of the doctors gave her his card and said he would be interested
in hooking up with her again. The defendants each testified that the sexual intercourse was
entirely consensual, that it was she who took her dress off and that she appeared at all times to be
a willing participant.
The issue in the case was what the jury should do if they believe both the nurse and the
doctors—that is, if they thought that the nurse did not want to have sex with the three doctors,
but if the doctors believed that she was a willing participant.
The jury convicted the defendants and the judge sentenced them to six months imprisonment
obviously suggesting that he had some doubts about the sufficiency of the case. I was asked to
consult on the appeal. I accepted the assignment because I wanted to preserve the mistake of fact
defense in the face of efforts to abolish it in rape cases.
Unfortunately for these defendants their trial lawyers had not appropriately raised the issue of
reasonable mistake of fact. They asked for an instruction that might have invited the jury to
acquit even if the mistake had been unreasonable—that is, even if the doctors believed that “no”
meant “yes.” The appellate court ruled, therefore, “We need not reach the issue whether a
reasonable and honest mistake to the fact of consent would be a defense, for even if we assume it
to be so, the defendants did not request a jury instruction based on a reasonable mistake of fact.
We are aware of no American court of last resort that recognizes mistake of fact, without
consideration of its reasonableness.”
In a subsequent case, in which I was not involved, a Massachusetts Appellate Court ruled that
even a reasonable mistake of fact is not a defense when it comes to consent or lack of consent in
the context of a rape prosecution.
256
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Source Entry: H\Macintosh HD\root\Users\jee\Library\Messages\Archive\2019-02-25111
on 2019-02-12 at 06.29.59.ichat
Service: iMessage
Start Time: 02/25/19 05:04:24 PM (572835864)
End Time: 02/25/19 08:49:24 PM (572849364)
Last Message ID: 25553
Chat Room:
Participants: jee,
Presentity IDs: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com,
Messages -
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 02/25/19 05:04:24 PM (572835864)
Flags: 1085445
Is Read: No
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GUID: 8A1C2D1E-0644-46B0-9096-AE428DEOF843
Message: You around?
Sender:
Time: 02/25/19 06:10:23 PM (572839823)
Flags: 1060865
Is Read: Yes
Is Invitation: No
GUID: 71097128-520C-4914-93FE-7A8DF9877419
Message: Hey I am Abu Dhabi and Dubai this week watching the hypocrisy from a distance!
Sender:
Time: 02/25/19 06:10:31 PM (572839831)
Flags: 1126401
Is Read: Yes
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GUID: OCOE4AB5-4E06-4904-8D34-A445888A3834
Message: I am back Monday
Sender:
Time: 02/25/19 06:10:49 PM (572839849)
Flags: 1060865
Is Read: Yes
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Message: Are you in NYC next week?
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 025423
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 02/25/19 06:16:39 PM (572840199)
Flags: 1085445
Is Read: No
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GUID: DD297D2A-292C-4D58-83F9-F6711166962F
Message: maybe hope you are having fun
Sender:
Time: 02/25/19 06:17:50 PM (572840270)
Flags: 1060865
Is Read: Yes
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GUID: 9CA5D37A-93DF-42FC-8269-02F61A081FB1
Message: This is never that much fun! I took the kids to Anguilla last week they was
fun! I am sure that you are doing great. The world has gone nuts.
Sender:
Time: 02/25/19 06:24:24 PM (572840664)
Flags: 1060865
Is Read: Yes
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GUID: B1D6DAC9-6DA5-43FE-BC25-D9A98AE34B6A
Message: The biggest hypocrites are the cardinals!
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 02/25/19 06:28:33 PM (572840913)
Flags: 1085445
Is Read: No
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GUID: 76A47000-5B2E-49FA-9E28-A984F4D80C73
Message: wild
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 02/25/19 06:28:57 PM (572840937)
Flags: 1085445
Is Read: No
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GUID: 7C91E6A1-4B81-4FB1-9B90-03C47147FD8C
Message: michael cohen testifying at the same time trump is with kim? wow
Sender:
Time: 02/25/19 06:29:23 PM (572840963)
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 025424
Flags: 1060865
Is Read: Yes
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Message: Trump planned that so that it was drowned out by the news cycle
Sender:
Time: 02/25/19 08:49:24 PM (572849364)
Flags: 1060865
Is Read: Yes
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GUID: CFC0B96C-98D0-4F13-B995-9A7E8F15FA30
Message: The Australian Cardinal could be the worst.
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IMAGES-006-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_021014.txt
|
Focus on
Expenses
Fae
bs www.kpcb.com USA Inc. | What Might a Turnaround Expert Consider? 345
Consider Reducing Federal Headcount
Federal government headcount (ex. military) grew by
56,000 (or 2%) in 2008 and another 107,000 (or 3%) in
2009, while private sector unemployment rose to 10%
from 5% in 2007 and private sector headcount fell 1% in
2008 and 6% in 2009.
“DI . Source: Census Bureau, Bureau of Economic Analysis.
bs www.kpcb.com USA Inc. | What Might a Turnaround Expert Consider? 346
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outside the kirya in a facility just north of Tel Aviv, was Rabin’s idea. In
addition to Dan and me, it included key members of the general staff and senior
defense ministry officials. The idea was for us to hear a half-dozen academics
and other specialists speak about the political aspects of the sudden eruption of
Palestinian violence.
Though he spoke for barely 10 minutes, it was the last speaker who left the
deepest impression. Shimon Shamir, a professor at Tel Aviv University, began
by emphasizing he was not an expert in riot control. Finding a response to the
violence was something we were far better equipped to do. But then he paused,
looked intently at Rabin, Dan and me, and said: “What I can do is draw on
history.” One by one, he cited examples of more than a dozen broadly similar
rebellions over the past century, in the Middle East and beyond. “If we were
dealing with simple rioting, things might be different.” But he said the
Palestinians were, fundamentally, acting out of a shared sense of grievance, and
shared national identity. Both were in large part the result of Israel having
controlled their daily lives now for more than two decades. “I’m afraid I can
find no historical precedent for the successful suppression of the national will of
a people,” he said. Even when those in power used unimaginably punitive tools:
like expulsion, or forced starvation. “Even, as we know well as a Jewish people,
extermination.”
I glanced at Yitzhak and at Dan. Both of them looked like I felt: in no doubt
the professor was right, yet also aware that, in the short term, we still had to find
a way of putting a lid on the cauldron and keeping the situation for getting
irretrievably out of control.
It wasn’t as if ’'d been unaware of the sense of the anger building among
many West Bank and Gaza Palestinians, or of their wish to see an end to Israel’s
military administration and the growing number of Jewish settlements. From
my time as head of the central command, I also knew that there was a young,
activist core intensifying efforts to organize attacks on troops and settlers. But
none of us had any inkling that something of the scale, longevity and political
complexity of the intfada lay ahead.
Partly, this was a failure of specific intelligence warnings. But it went deeper
than that. Sobering though it was, I had to accept that — no less so than before
the Yom Kippur War in 1973 — I and many others had for too long been
comforting ourselves with a fundamental misconception about our military
occupation and civilian settlement in the areas captured in 1967. The roots of
the myopia went back to the immediate aftermath of the Six-Day War, to the
227
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Source Entry: H\Macintosh HD\ root \Users\jee\Library\Messages \Archive\2018-07-29\ fi
on 2018-07-24 at 16.30.44.ichat
Service: iMessag
Start Time: 07/24/18 01:30:44 PM (554157044)
End Time: 07/29/18 06:54:30 PM (554608470)
Last Message ID: 17987
Chat Room:
Presentity IDs: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com, SF
Messages -
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Time: 07/24/18 01:30:44 PM (554157044)
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Message: Chat?
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Time: 07/24/18 06:45:47 PM (554175947)
Flags: 1085445
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GUID: 4A91F/7DA-F7EE-4B9F-821D-7A83FEAD81B5
Message: Wow, 1 was right -cohen was wearing a wire !!
sender: iii
Time: 07/24/18 07:00:15 PM (554176815)
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GUID: F1I3D328A-1082-49F2-B6A4-6434B5B48834
Message: Yep
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 07/24/18 07:02:38 PM (554176958)
Flags: 1085445
Is Read: No
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GUID: AFOE65E9-1C4E-4152-8F92-CEDF4FF9D8FD
Message: Next is his Fred Sanford speech , Elizabeth -its the big one !
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IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_015746.txt
|
56 Are the Androids Dreaming Yet?
If you invest a little time on the slide you will understand it
and may even see it as a thing of beauty. But Masters’ audience was
obviously expecting something different and, presented with this level
of complexity, went into shutdown. Perhaps they wanted a simpler
presentation, a high-level summary, a few bullet points. Of course, there
is no simple presentation on Afghanistan. The lesson is that context,
timing and expectation are often as important to good communication
as the elegance of the content, and that information is a complex thing.
If you want a lighthearted poke at PowerPoint here is Peter Norvig’s
PowerPoint version of the Gettysburg Address.
Understanding
Next time you are in a business meeting, count the number of times the
word ‘understand is used. If you ask the people around you what it means
you'll stump many of them. That’s because understanding has two very
different meanings. Most people don’t separate these meanings but the
distinction is important. Understanding means to decode information,
to comprehend — but, more importantly, it also means to absorb and
internalize information. That feeling you have when you ‘et it’
If I say, “I understand” I mean I have taken in the question you
asked and decoded it into ideas so I can provide an answer. This can be
quite a mechanical process and computers routinely understand natural
language and answer questions — Apple's digital assistant Siri being a
case in point.
When I say, “I understand a problem” or “understand a culture”
I mean something far less tangible. Somehow the information I have
gathered over my life is formed into a matrix within my brain that allows
me to ponder and run scenarios. I can predict the effects of my actions
before I do them, and often anticipate your responses. That’s clearly
a very useful evolutionary adaption, but is there more to it than that?
Roger Penrose and David Deutsch think understanding allows us to
transfer non-symbolic information from one brain to another. We don't
run programs in our brains, nor do we store precise information such as
lists and tables. We have, therefore, had to evolve a creative approach to
communicating skills and understanding each other. One of the most
closely studied areas in the field of communication is when it breaks
down in the lead up to a disaster.
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IMAGES-012-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_033431.txt
|
From: Weingarten, Reic [is
Sent: 2/21/2019 1:54:02 PM
To: J [jeevacation@gmail.com]
Subject: Re:
Importance: — High
Of course | trust you...what is going on?
Sent from my BlackBerry 10 smartphone.
From: J
Sent: Thursday, February 21, 2019 8:52 AM
To: Weingarten, Reid
Subject: Re:
Trust me
On Thu, Feb 21, 2019 at 8:51 AM Weingarten, Reid (> wrote:
Is she in de today or tomorrow?
Sent from my BlackBerry 10 smartphone.
From: J
Sent: Wednesday, February 20, 2019 2:51 PM
To: Weingarten, Reid
Subject:
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/02/20/ex-trump-lawyer-michael-cohen-gets-prison-surrender-date-delayed-two-
months-to-may-6.html
please note
The information contained in this communication is
confidential, may be attorney-client privileged, may
constitute inside information, and is intended only for
the use of the addressee. It is the property of
JEE
Unauthorized use, disclosure or copying of this
communication or any part thereof is strictly prohibited
and may be unlawful. If you have received this
communication in error, please notify us immediately by
return e-mail or by e-mail to jeevacation@gmail.com, and
destroy this communication and all copies thereof,
including all attachments. copyright -all rights reserved
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_033431
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IMAGES-008-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025118.txt
|
From: LHS [
Sent: 5/29/2017 12:49:27 AM
To: jeffrey E. [jeevacation@gmail.com]
cc: lhsoffice [Ihsoffice@lawrencesummers.com]
Subject: Re: Is Donald still feeling good
Importance: — High
With demand happy to consider and likely do. Dont want to go sucking up.
Did Klein do it again? Agree bad business. Or are u referring to what u talked about months ago.
Sent from my iPhone
Please direct all scheduling inquiries to my office ‘a
Follow me on twitter @lhsummers
www.larrysummers.com
On May 28, 2017, at 7:49 PM, jeffrey E. <jeevacation@gmail.com> wrote:
BTW, still not sure why michael klein decided to try to attack me. wasn't smart or necessary, . used our
friendship asa source,. thought you should know. not nice
On Sun, May 28, 2017 at 7:36 PM, LHS qa wrote:
More would represent Donald if Kaslowitz out of picture. Not surprising. very hard to be law firm
representing POTUS and know what to do when potus lies to u.
My world thinks poorly of Gorelick for representing Jared.
How guilty is Donald?
Of crudity surely
Of gross ignorance surely
Of being utterly without the intellect temperament for job surely
Of being over line on family profiting very likely
Of gross disregard for appearances almost surely.
Of Russians having financial leverage. Less clear
Of Russians helping in. Election w complicity of his campaign plausible but not certain
Strikes me if u work for Donald u don't free lance so he is guilty of whatever his campaign did.
Do u agree w foregoing?
Sent from my iPad
Please direct all scheduling inquiries to my office as
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IMAGES-004-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_018064.txt
|
Event address: 29-35 Ninth Ave., New York.
Tags: Fashion Event Fashion Show Exclusive Mix Industry Beauty Industry Fashion Industry Media Industry Retail.
Mercedes Benz Fashion Week
Max Azria Show. 2:00pm. Spring 2011 collection. Invitation only. Lincoln Center Plaza. New York. Contact: Patrick McGregor.
Event address: West 65th St. and Broadway, New York.
Tags: Fashion Event Fashion Show Exclusive Mix Industry Beauty Industry Fashion Industry Media Industry Retail.
Mercedes Benz Fashion Week
Dennis Basso Show. 3:00 pm. Spring 2011 collection. Invitation only. Lincoln Center Plaza. New York. dennisbasso@bpcm.com.
Event address: West 65th St. and Broadway, New York.
Tags: Fashion Event Fashion Show Exclusive Mix Industry Beauty Industry Fashion Industry Media Industry Retail.
TSE
Fashion Week Presentation: Jason Wu for Tse. 3:00pm. Spring 2011 collection. Invitation only. Industria Superstudio. New
York. request@tse-us.com.
Event address: 775 Washington St., New York.
Tags: Fashion Event Fashion Show Exclusive Mix Industry Beauty Industry Fashion Industry Media Industry Retail.
Marc by Mare Jacobs
Fashion Week Show. 4:00pm. Spring 2011 collection. Invitation only. 69th Regiment Armory. New York.
Event address: 68 Lexington Ave., New York.
Tags: Fashion Event Fashion Show Exclusive Mix Industry Beauty Industry Fashion Industry Media Industry Retail.
Pamella Roland
Fashion Week Presentation. 5:30pm. Spring 2011 collection. Invitation only. Whitney Museum of American Art. New York.
Event address: 945 Madison Ave., New York.
Tags: Fashion Event Fashion Show Exclusive Mix Industry Beauty Industry Fashion Industry Media Industry Retail.
Hunter College
Wedding Contracts 101. 6:00pm. Discussions and workshops. Tickets from $50.00. Hunter College. New York. Contact: Tye
Robertson. events@efyp.com. (917) 597-7343.
Event address: 71 East 94th Street, New York. Fax: (516) 616-5053. Event web address:www.hunter.cuny.edu/ce.
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IMAGES-004-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_017357.txt
|
4.2.12
WC: 191694
I think the President could win if it actually went to trial, but it
won’t go to trial. What I would do if I were his lawyer is to say,
“Look, the dignity of the office precludes the [President from
answering any of these questions. We realize that as a result of not
answering these questions, we will reluctantly, without admitting
anything, have to be sanctioned by having the verdict directed
against us on the merits. We accept that because we can’t answer
the questions and preserve the dignity. And now let’s move on to
the damages, where the focus is not on the [P]resident but on Paula
Jones.” And in that way, he can, in effect, settle the case, even if
the other side doesn’t settle because the damages will be very low,
there won’t be an apology. There’ll be a judgment against him, but
the judgment will be explained on the basis of the dignity of the
presidency. So if the settlement talks fail, that’s what I would
recommend that his lawyers think about. . . .
And the [P]resident has to start asking himself: Is he well advised
here?
The President had three options, but he was aware of only two of them. He knew that he could
litigate and try to win — as he ended up doing. He also knew that he could try to settle the case,
which would have avoided the necessity of testifying at the deposition or trial. A settlement
requires both sides to agree. In the Jones case, the president reportedly offered to pay Jones
$700,000, in order to settle the case. Jones insisted on an apology® and the settlement talks
eventually broke down.
The third option, of which the president was unaware, was to default the Jones case. Every
litigant in a civil case has the right to default — which means, essentially, to settle the case
unilaterally by simply refusing to contest the allegations in the complaint. Consider, for example,
the following hypothetical case: a fired employee of a high tech business sues for $10,000 in back
pay. The business realizes that in order to defend its actions, it would have to reveal commercial
secrets valued at $1,000,000 and take the time of executives which it estimates at being worth
$200,000. It offers to settle the case for the $10,000 that the employee is demanding, but the
angry employee prefers a trial at which he will be publicly vindicated. The company has the right
simply to default, have the judgment entered against it, and have the court order it to the pay the
damages sought by the employee. No stigma is attached to defaulting a case. It does not even
necessarily entail an admission of liability. It represents a practical assessment of the costs and
benefits of litigating and not litigating — just as a settlement does.
Robert Bennett never told President Clinton that he could have defaulted and paid Jones without
making any apology. Perhaps the Lewinsky story would have leaked, but the President would not
have had to dignify a rumor with a response. It was the entirely avoidable decision to have him
%° Paula Jones’ lawyer have subsequently revealed that the Jones lawsuit could have been settled at one point for no
money with just a simple apology from President Clinton which made it clear that Paula Jones did not do anything
wrong in the hotel room.
270
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TEXT-001-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_030748.txt
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From: jeffrey E. [jeeyacation@gmail.com]
Sent: 1/10/2015 2:41:47 PM
To: G Maxwell [GMax1@ellmax.com]
Subject: Re:
call me
On Sat, Jan 10, 2015 at 10:33 AM, G Maxwell <GMaxlgellmax.com> wrote:
I need it written out in full.
THE TERRAMAR PROJECT
FACEBOOK
TWITTER
G+
PINTEREST
INSTAGRAM
PLEDGE
THE DAILY CATCH
From: Jeffrey E.
Sent: Saturday, 10 January 2015 09:31
To: G Maxwell
Subject: Re:
i am on the phone with other attny getting you an answer.
On Sat, Jan 10, 2015 at 10:25 AM, G Maxwell <GMaxlgellmax.com> wrote:
I have to distance myself from you in statement too
And they need me to say I was not aware of massage w/andrew in my house. These thing they have to stay
along w/meeting and rebutting those allegations. I needs it asap
THE TERRAMAR PROJECT
FACEBOOK
TWITTER
G+
PINTEREST
INSTAGRAM
PLEDGE
THE DAILY CATCH
From: Jeffrey E.
Sent: Saturday, 10 January 2015 09:18
To: G Maxwell
Subject: Re:
yes„
On Sat, Jan 10, 2015 at 10:15 AM, G Maxwell <GMaxlgellmax.com> wrote:
Can my lawyer talk to a lawyer?
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 030748
THE TERRAMAR PROJECT
FACEBOOK
TWITTER
G+
PINTEREST
INSTAGRAM
PLEDGE
THE DAILY CATCH
From: jeffrey E.
Sent: Saturday, 10 January 2015 09:12
To: G Maxwell
Subject:
inital respone, too many unanswerd question raised, realtionship with jeffrey/, ? you and clinton? her and
andrew? whats the deal here? why is she there . this is who i am, this how i know jeffrey, employed from
„ to.. . I was aware that jeffrey hired masag people, I sometine hired them, she was one of
them. recolletion empllyed, firmative. . what. I am writing to writin to respond to the alleagtinoin that
have been made whcich are categoricly untrue. . during hte time i met mr derhsowiz ,
in general inviting a subpeona. ? you will never answer questions to the press satisfaction they will not
be persuaded.
the --
please note
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Unauthorized use, disclosure or copying of this
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HOUSE OVERSIGHT 030749
please note
The information contained in this communication is
confidential, may be attorney-client privileged, may
constitute inside information, and is intended only for
the use of the addressee. It is the property of
JEE
Unauthorized use, disclosure or copying of this
communication or any part thereof is strictly prohibited
and may be unlawful. If you have received this
communication in error, please notify us immediately by
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destroy this communication and all copies thereof,
including all attachments. copyright -all rights reserved
please note
The information contained in this communication is
confidential, may be attorney-client privileged, may
constitute inside information, and is intended only for
the use of the addressee. It is the property of
JEE
Unauthorized use, disclosure or copying of this
communication or any part thereof is strictly prohibited
and may be unlawful. If you have received this
communication in error, please notify us immediately by
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HOUSE OVERSIGHT 030750
|
IMAGES-008-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026411.txt
|
objects and processes look like and how they interact. Concepts are probably one of the top layers of the
learning hierarchy, i.e. they are acquired *after* we learn to simulate a mental world, not before. Classical
linguists ignored the simulation of a mental world entirely.
It seems miraculous that purely conceptual machine translation works at all, but that is because concepts are
shared between speakers, so the structure of the conceptual space can be inferred from the statistics of
language use. But the statistics of language use have too little information to infer what objects look like
and how they interact.
My own original ideas concern a few parts of the emerging understanding of what the brain does. The
"request-confirmation networks" that I have introduced at a NIPS workshop in last the December are an
attempt at modeling how the higher layers might self-organize into cognitive programs.
Cheers!
please note
The information contained in this communication is
confidential, may be attorney-client privileged, may
constitute inside information, and is intended only for
the use of the addressee. It is the property of
JEE
Unauthorized use, disclosure or copying of this
communication or any part thereof is strictly prohibited
and may be unlawful. If you have received this
communication in error, please notify us immediately by
return e-mail or by e-mail to jeevacation@gmail.com, and
destroy this communication and all copies thereof,
including all attachments. copyright -all rights reserved
please note
The information contained in this communication is
confidential, may be attorney-client privileged, may
constitute inside information, and is intended only for
the use of the addressee. It is the property of
JEE
Unauthorized use, disclosure or copying of this
communication or any part thereof is strictly prohibited
and may be unlawful. If you have received this
communication in error, please notify us immediately by
return e-mail or by e-mail to jeevacation@gmail.com, and
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026411
|
IMAGES-005-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_019733.txt
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A Single Point of Failure | 245
during his next fifteen days in Hong Kong would not likely escape
China’s scrutiny.
The United States had the ability to also follow Snowden’s move-
ments via the cell phones of his lawyers and other confederates
after he surfaced. All tracking could be done by the NSA. What the
United States lacked was any practical means to capture a high-
profile intelligence defector in a city that was part of China. By this
time, U.S. intelligence had established that Chinese and Hong Kong
security services were monitoring Snowden’s every move. This left
few options in the game for the United States. “I’m not going to
be scrambling jets to get a twenty-nine-year-old hacker,” President
Obama said on June 27.
The real prize, in any case, was not Snowden but the NSA’s secret
documents that he had with him. When Snowden was observed
entering the Russian consulate, the game was all but over. U.S. dip-
lomats could protest over back channels to Moscow, as they did, but
with a trove of NSA secrets at stake there was little expectation that
would stop the Russians. Two days later, the “single point of failure,”
© as Snowden described himself, was on his way to Russia, where his ©
hosts would be calling the shots.
When a victory is obtained in a major sports event, it is cause for
public celebrations. The opposite is true in espionage. An intelligence
victory involving secret documents, even if it cannot be entirely
hidden, is kept veiled, as far as is possible, to increase the value of
the coup. “The final move in any sophisticated intelligence game,”
Angleton told me in relation to espionage intelligence, is “obscuring
a success.”
Following Angleton’s precept, the Russian or Chinese intelli-
gence services, if they had a role in acquiring the product of the self-
described “single point of failure,” would work to cover their tracks in
the affair even before the Aeroflot plane carrying Snowden touched
down at Sheremetyevo International Airport on June 23. If any false
flag operations had been used to trick, mislead, or otherwise induce
Snowden to come to Hong Kong, they would be disbanded. If any
safe house had been used to quarter Snowden in his first eleven days
in Hong Kong, it would be shut down. If any operatives had been
| | Epst_9780451494566_2p_all_r1.indd 245 ® 9/30/16 8:13AM | |
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14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
21.
DA
23.
24.
25.
26.
Zi.
28.
29.
to cover and decide on the call?” Something like that.
Do you like us to schedule personal items in with your business calendar (i.e., order your mother
flowers for Mother’s Day, etc.)? Absolutely.
What are “all” the e-mail addresses we respond to for you? See earlier text.
Do you like us to respond as “you” or something like “client support for Timothy Ferriss.”
The latter, probably something like “Executive Assistant to Tim Ferriss” below your name—I’m
open to suggestions.
How many times a day do you want e-mail checked?
Twice should be fine to start. Let’s aim for a minimum of at 11 A.M. and 3 P.M. in your time zone.
What are your working hours?
10 A.M.-6 P.M. pst, then often 11 p.m.-2 AM. pst. [Before you cry, “What happened to the four-
hour workweek?!” realize that “work hours” here could be replaced with “active and available-by-
phone hours.” I have lots of projects and do not preach idleness. I am VERY active. See the sixth
comment on this post on www.fourhourblog.com for more elaboration or reread the “Filling the
Void” chapter in this book.]
Do you like using IM’?Not really, unless it’s a scheduled discussion. Just leave yourself logged in,
and [ll log in if I need something. [I tend to use Skype chat these days, as it’s encrypted and I can
avoid a separate IM program. ]
Do you prefer a phone call or an e-mail to answer a quick question?
PHONE CALL, absolutely. DO NOT e-mail me for anything urgent. I really follow my own
advice and don’t check e-mail that often.
What is your favorite color?
Green like cedar leaves in July.
Call at the end of every day (if) there is something that Tim needs to respond to in his e-mail.
E-books: Tell them they can download the e-bookfromwww.powells.com.
Label all e-mails from “Expert Click” for Tim. No need to respond or forward.
All Linked-In e-mails can be archived or deleted as Tim receives notification of invites as soon as
he logs into his Linked-In account.
For start-up inquiries in the health and wellness industry (or BrainQUICKEN start-up inquiries)
please see the templates in
Gmail titled: Congratulations and General Business Questions — BrainQUICKEN Templates.
For language inquiries, please see the templates in Gmail titled: Reader Question on Language
Resources— Language Templates.
When Tim types “dictate” in the e-mail response, this means that we can say to the recipient: As
Tim is traveling at the moment and not able to personally respond to your e-mail, I mentioned
your message while on the phone to him, and he asked me to dictate. This makes the process easier
as we do not have to change the context of the person responding.
[This is to avoid having an assistant convert my first-person “Please tell him that I ...” to third-
person “Tim says that he ...”—providing shorthand for “cut and paste” saves hours of assistant
time. ]
If someone e-mail blasts a bunch of people and I am one of them, usually safe to ignore or delete.
Read them carefully, of course, but if it says for example “a few influential people I know” or
something like that then if someone can’t take the time to personalize for me, forget them. If Tim is
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IMAGES-010-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_029298.txt
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HARVARD UNIVERSITY
DEPARTMENT OF ENGLISH
Barker Center - 12 Quincy Street - Cambridge, Massachusetts 02138
ELISA NEW Tel:
Powell M. Cabot Professor of American Literature Fax:
November 25, 2018
Dear Ms. Knowles-Carter,
I am writing now to invite you to be a featured guest of Poetry in America
(poetryinamerica.org). Poetry in America’s first season’s guests included Bill Clinton,
Joe Biden, Cynthia Nixon, Shaquille O’Neal, Yo Yo Ma, Samantha Power, Herbie
Hancock, John McCain, Nas, Angela Duckworth, Bono, Regina Spektor, Frank Gehry,
Stuart Weitzman, E.O. Wilson, and many others. Seasons Two and Three will feature just
as distinguished a line up. The series airs on public television stations everywhere,
streams via Amazon Prime and other streaming services, and it is now also airing on a
variety of domestic and international airlines.
The poem we’d read and interpret together 1s by the contemporary poet Evie Shockley,
and it’s called “you can say that again, billie.” It’s a brilliant and beautiful poem that
speaks back to Billie Holiday’s “Strange Fruit” and evokes a whole history of gender and
race in the American South. You are the ideal reader for this poem. We would use what
we filmed together in an upcoming season of Poetry in America. We would also use the
content in materials that we are creating for K-12 classrooms in partnership with Harvard.
Everything we create would be educational and non-commercial.
Thank you for considering this request. I would be very honored to work with you.
Sincerely,
Elisa New
Director and Host of Poetry in America
Powell M. Cabot Professor, Harvard
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IMAGES-002-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_013018.txt
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102 5 A Generic Architecture of Human-Like Cognition
touch and smell (the latter being better modeled as something like an asymmetric Hopfield net,
prone to frequent chaotic dynamics [LLW~05]) — these may also cross-connect with each other
and with the more hierarchical perceptual subnetworks. Of course the suggested architecture
could inclide any number of sensory modalities; the diagram is restricted to four just for
simplicity.
The self-organized patterns in the upper layers of perceptual hierarchies may become quite
complex and may develop advanced cognitive capabilities like episodic memory, reasoning, lan-
guage learning, etc. A pure deep learning approach to intelligence argues that all the aspects
of intelligence emerge from this kind of dynamics (among perceptual, action and reinforcement
hierarchies). Our own view is that the heterogeneity of human brain architecture argues against
this perspective, and that deep learning systems are probably better as models of perception
and action than of general cognition. However, the integrative diagram is not committed to
our perspective on this — a deep-learning theorist could accept the integrative diagram, but
argue that all the other portions besides the perceptual, action and reinforcement hierarchies
should be viewed as descriptions of phenomena that emerge in these hierarchies due to their
interaction.
ACTION AND REINFORCEMENT SUBSYSTEM
SENSORY-MOTOR MEMORY
3
T MOTIVATION,
HIGHER LEVEL
- ACTION SELECTION
MOTOR
PLANNING
—— | ——1
|} {| HIERARCHY \ a HIERARCHY /
REINFORCEM EN T
HIERARCHY
HIERARCHY
Fig. 5.6: Architecture for Action and Reinforcement
Figure 5.6 shows an action subsystem and a reinforcement subsystem, parallel to the per-
ception subsystem. Two action hierarchies, one for an arm and one for a leg, are shown for
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_013018
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IMAGES-005-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_019055.txt
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FD-302 (Rev. 10-6-95)
-1-
FEDERAL BUREAU OF INVESTIGATION
Date of transcription 12/04/2006
date of birthL__—sdz‘Z Social Securit
Account Number (SSAN) home telephone number
| cellular ae number residing at
Florida, was interviewed at the
Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), Palm Beach County Resident b6
Agency (PBCRA), located at 505 South Flagler, West Palm Beach, b7Cc
Florida. After being advised of the identity of the interviewing
a provided the
agents and the nature of the interview,
following information:
He
is currently employed by Jeffrey Epstein, NES LLC
was hired by Epstein in
Prior to being
was has been
employed as
for approximately two years. He zeplaced[ as
because, Epstein preferred communication skills
and flying techniqu ment with Epstein
[___] worked asa
ocated in
Limited Corporation, owned by
for Epstein and
was based next door to the
Epstein's good friend.
stated that Epstein's primary residence is
located in the U.S. Virgin Islands (U.S.V.I.) and utilizes his
ranch in New Mexico as a vacation retreat, four or five times a
year. Epstein has not been to his Palm Beach residence since some
time in 2005, due to the damage of the residence after hurricane
Wilma. On a regular basis, Epstein travels to his New York
office/residence, Monday through Wednesday. When traveling to the
USVI, the pilots stay at the Marriot, Frenchmans Reef or Holiday
Inn Express in St. Thomas. After arriving in the U.S.V.I., Epstein
travels to his island by helicopter or boat. On occasion,
will fly the helicopter, tail number N491GM, or he utilizes_pilots
from Air Center Helicopters.[~_——__] telephone number co
is Epstein's boat captain for the U.S.V.I.. While in New
York, the pilots stay in corporate apartments.
[____] advised that Epstein does not allow any liquor,
drinking nor smoking on any of his aircrafts.[__]has never
seen any woman and/or girls under the age of twenty on Epstein's
aircraft. He has never observed any inappropriate behavior or
Investigation on 11/27/2006 at West Palm Beach, Florida
File # 31KR-MM-108062 Date dictated
This document contains neither recommendations nor conclusions of the FBI. It is the property of the FBI and is loaned to your agency;
it and its contents are not to be distributed outside your agency.
BIE. MM = /0862- -
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IMAGES-010-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_028838.txt
|
InsightsPod
Twitter Data
acquisition $5,000 $5,000 $5,000 $5,000 $5,000 $5,000 $5,000 $5,000 $5,000 $5,000 $5,000
Total
Operating $22,389 $46,055 $46,055 $47,305 $47,309 $47,310 $48,510 $48,510 $48,510 $48,510 $48,510 $48,510
Expenses
orale ($22,389) ($46,055) ($46,055) ($32,305) ($22,309) ($17,310) ($10,510) ($5,510) $1,490 $9,490 $16,490 $27,490
Interest Incurred
Depreciation and
Amortization
Income Taxes $0 0) 0) 0) $0 0) so $0 $0 $0 $0 so
Total Expenses $22,389 $46,055 $46,055 $47,305 $47,309 $47,310 $48,510 $48,510 $48,510 $48,510 $48,510 $48,510
Net Profit ($22,389) ($46,055) ($46,055) ($32,305) ($22,309) ($17,310) ($10,510) ($5,510) $1,490 $9,490 $16,490 $27,490
Net Profit ? (215%) (89%) (58%) (28%) (13%) 3% 16% 25% 36%
| Page 21 |
CONFIDENTIAL - DO NOT DISSEMINATE. This business plan contains confidential, trade-secret information and is shared only with the
understanding that you will not share its contents or ideas with third parties without the express written consent of the plan author.
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IMAGES-001-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_010971.txt
|
which must have seemed hopelessly stuck in subjectivity, paid off finally in that
solution and in a refutation of Piketty’s argument. Risk theory and depreciation
theory, each surprising enough, reinforced that solution and the pay rule. I said
nothing in the this chapter about bank reform because I covered that in Chapter 1.
Predictions of behavior can work because tastes converge to market equilibria.
What stands behind the convergence, | argue, is biology selecting tastes that
maintain and reproduce us. The idea that we act out the biological imperative is
clear in Petty and Malthus, and in the equilibrium wage theory of Adam Smith and
David Ricardo, where pay converges to the level preserving the work force. But if]
say everything about that now, | will have nothing to say later.
Chapter 2: Fast Forward 1/06/16 31
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IMAGES-008-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026377.txt
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Let me know.
Best,
Steve
About Hogan Lovells
Hogan Lovells is an international legal practice that includes Hogan Lovells US LLP and Hogan Lovells
International LLP. For more information, see www.hoganlovells.com.
CONFIDENTIALITY. This email and any attachments are confidential, except where the email states it can be
disclosed. It may also be privileged. If received in error, please do not disclose the contents to anyone, but
notify the sender by return email and delete this email (and any attachments) from your system.
please note
The information contained in this communication is
confidential, may be attorney-client privileged, may
constitute inside information, and is intended only for
the use of the addressee. It is the property of
JEE
Unauthorized use, disclosure or copying of this
communication or any part thereof is strictly prohibited
and may be unlawful. If you have received this
communication in error, please notify us immediately by
return e-mail or by e-mail to jeevacation@gmail.com, and
destroy this communication and all copies thereof,
including all attachments. copyright -all rights reserved
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026377
|
IMAGES-011-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_031920.txt
|
8
reality to portray Fatah as colluding with Israel against the Palestinian
people during a confrontation.
For its part, Hamas has the support of Islamists in the region,
including Shiite Iranians, but that is an explosive mix to base a
strategy on. Hamas must break its isolation if it is to counter the tired
but real power of Fatah. Symbolic flotillas from Turkey are
comforting, but Hamas needs an end to Egyptian hostility to Hamas
more than anything.
Egypt's Role and Fatah on the Defensive
Egypt is the power that geographically isolates Hamas through its
treaty with Israel and with its still-functional blockade on Gaza. More
than anyone, Hamas needs genuine regime change in Egypt. The new
regime it needs is not a liberal democracy but one in which Islamist
forces supportive of Hamas, namely the Muslim Brotherhood, come
to power.
At the moment, that is not likely. Egypt's military has retained a
remarkable degree of control, its opposition groups are divided
between secular and religious elements, and the religious elements
are further divided among themselves - as well as penetrated by an
Egyptian security apparatus that has made war on them for years. As
it stands, Egypt is not likely to evolve in a direction favorable to
Hamas. Therefore, Hamas needs to redefine the political situation in
Egypt to convert a powerful enemy into a powerful friend.
Though it is not easy for a small movement to redefine a large nation,
in this case, it could perhaps happen. There is a broad sense of
unhappiness in Egypt over Egypt's treaty with Israel, an issue that
comes to the fore when Israel and the Palestinians are fighting. As in
other Arab countries, passions surge in Egypt when the Palestinians
are fighting the Israelis.
Under Mubarak, these passions were readily contained in Egypt. Now
the Egyptian regime unquestionably is vulnerable, and pro-
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IMAGES-004-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_017431.txt
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4.2.12
WC: 191694
Conclusion—Closing Argument:
Looking back at my 50 year career and forward to the laws next 50 years.
As I begin my second half century of law practice and teaching, I look back with fondness,
nostalgia and a heavy dose of surprise on my interesting life and career, as I look forward to my
remaining years. Since I try to prepare my students to be lawyers over their entire careers, and
since the career of a lawyer now extends to a full half century, I must always think ahead to what
our legal system will look like when my current students end their careers.
I could not have asked more or better from my first half century. I have accomplished far more
than I could ever have anticipated, especially in light of my undistinguished elementary and high
school performance, and I have lived a more interesting life than I could ever have dreamed. I
have surely lived the passion of my times and I’ve been very lucky, at least so far. (I don’t want
to give myself a “kneina hura.”!’) Like the fictional Zelig in Woody Allen’s great film of that
name, I was privileged to have been present—literally or virtually—at many of the most important
legal and political events that transpired during my adult life. For some I volunteered, for others I
was solicited. Sometimes I was a direct participant, other times an active observer and reporter.
In this “closing argument” I will try to summarize my role in the important legal and political
developments in which I participated. I will also speculate about what the future may hold for our
system of laws and justice.
Oliver Wendell Holmes, Jr. viewed the role of the lawyer as a predictor of future legal decisions
and trends.’’” But the Talmud cautioned that prophecy ended with the destruction of the second
temple and that he/she who tries to prophecy the future is either a fool or a naive. Or asa
contemporary sage—Y ogi Berra—put it: “Prediction is very hard, especially about the future.” I
certainly agree that prognosticating the future is a daunting challenge, but lawyers and law
professors must confront that challenge, because one of the most important jobs we have is to
identify trends and to anticipate significant developments, I will try, therefore, with these cautions
in mind, to extrapolate about what a lawyer writing an autobiography 50 years from now might
look back at and write about.
Before I summarize my past and speculate about the future, let me say a word about my present
life. I remain extremely active in every phase of my career. Here is a summary of the week
during which I wrote these words. The week of November 13 through November 20, 2011 was
fairly typical of my life during my 74" year.!"!
On Sunday morning I was picked up by limo and taken to Bedford airport where I boarded a
private 747 jet owned by Sheldon Adelson, reputed to be the richest Jew in history and among the
handful of wealthiest Americans. The son of a Boston cab driver, Adelson has accumulated
billions of dollars by building and running casinos in Las Vegas, Micow and Singapore. His jet,
' Yiddish corruption of the Hebrew for “evil eye.”
110 [CITE]
"! More typical of spring than fall, when I teach.
344
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once, but repeatedly, almost predictably. We shall see that, among the al-Qaeda terrorists who were
first protected and then continued their activities were the following:
1. Ali Mohamed, identified in the 9/11 Commission Report as the leader of the 1998 Nairobi
Embassy bombing;
2. Mohammed Jamal Khalife, Osama bin Laden's close friend and, while in the Philippines, financier
of both Ramzi Yousef (principal architect of the first World Trade Center [WTC] attack) and his uncle
Khalid Sheikh Mohammed;
3. Khalid Sheikh Mohammed, identified in the 9/11 Commission Report as "the principal architect of
the 9/11 attacks”;
4. Khalid al-Mihdhar and Nawaf al-Hazmi, two of the alleged 9/11 hijackers, whose presence in the
United States was concealed from the FBI by CIA officers for months before 9/11.
It might sound from these citations that the 9/11 Commission marked a new stage in the U.S.
treatment of these terrorists, and that the report now exposed those terrorists who in the past had
been protected. On the contrary, a principal purpose of my chapter is to show that
1. one purpose of protecting these individuals had been to protect a valued intelligence connection
(the "al-Qaeda connection,” if you will);
2. one major intention of the 9/11 Commission Report was to continue protecting this connection;
3. those on the 9/11 Commission staff who were charged with this protection included at least one
commission member (Jamie Gorelick), one staff member (Dietrich Snell), and one important witness
(Patrick Fitzgerald) who earlier had figured among the terrorists’ protectors.
In the course of writing this chapter [Scott continues], | came to another disturbing conclusion | had
not anticipated. This is that a central feature of the protection has been to defend the 9/11
Commission’s false picture of al-Qaeda as an example of non-state terrorism, ignoring not just the
CIA but also the royal families of Saudi Arabia and Qatar. In reality, as | shall show, royal family
protection from Qatar and Saudi Arabia (concealed by the 9/11 Commission) was repeatedly given
to key figures like Khalid Sheikh Mohammed, the alleged “principal architect of the 9/11 attacks.” The
establishment claims that the wars fought by America in Asia since 9/11 have been part of a global
“war on terror.” But this “war on terror” has been fought in alliance with Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and
Pakistan - precisely the principal political and financial backers of the al-Qaedist networks the United
States has supposedly been fighting. Meanwhile the most authentic opponents in the region of these
Sunni al-Qaedists - the governments of Iraq, Libya, Syria, and Iran - have found themselves
overthrown (in the case of Iraq and Libya), subverted with U.S. support (in the case of Syria), or
sanctioned and threatened as part of an “axis of evil” (in the case of Iran). We should not forget that,
just one day after 9/11, “Rumsfeld was talking about broadening the objectives of our response and
‘getting Iraq.”
(pp. 44-45, The American Deep State)
Clinton's daughter is now poised to work global health initiatives which | would suggest is little more
than a cover for on-going terrorism "ops".
To return to Steve Colo - in the interview he speaks of a partnership between the Secret Service, the
FBI, and South Carolina's SLED (State Law Enforcement Division) to open a Computer Crime
Center. Bud Horton (mentioned above) (long-affiliated with IT Security; his title at Accenture was
Chief technology officer of it's cyber security practice) happened to have just moved to South
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From: paul krassner [i
Sent: 5/9/2019 11:24:30 PM
To: Kevin Bright i Danny Goldberg iin ; is
Subject: my occasional tweet
“Trump has grabbed the pussy of the Statue of Liberty.”
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The owner was Jeffrey Epstein, 53, an intensely private New York money manager with
several billionaire clients. Months earlier, the stepmother of a 14-year-old girl told the
Palm Beach police that a wealthy older man, whom the girl later identified as Mr.
Epstein, might have had inappropriate sexual contact with her.
In sworn statements to the police, the 14-year-old and other teenage girls said a friend
had arranged for them to visit Mr. Epstein’s home and give him massages, usually in
their underwear, in exchange for cash.
Most of the girls, according to the police, said Mr. Epstein had masturbated during the
massages, and a few said he had penetrated them with his fingers or penis. They
identified him in photos and accurately described the inside of his home. Some recalled
that his employees had fed them snacks or rented them cars.
Mr. Epstein pleaded not guilty in August to the crime he was ultimately charged with,
soliciting prostitution. But at a time when prosecutors around the nation have become
increasingly severe in dealing with people accused of sex offenses, the case has raised
questions about whether Mr. Epstein’s prominence won him preferential treatment.
By the account of the police, they found probable cause to charge Mr. Epstein with much
more serious offenses: one count of lewd and lascivious molestation and four counts of
unlawful sexual activity with a minor.
But instead of proceeding with such charges on his own, the Palm Beach County state
attorney took the rare step of presenting a broad range of possible charges to a grand jury,
which indicted Mr. Epstein in July on the lesser count. In Florida, prosecutors usually
refer only capital cases to grand juries.
Even before the indictment, the Palm Beach police chief, Michael Reiter, had accused
prosecutors of giving Mr. Epstein special treatment and asked the state attorney, Barry E.
Krischer, to remove himself from the case.
In an editorial, The Palm Beach Post attacked Mr. Krischer, a Democrat whose post is
elective, saying the public had been left “to wonder whether the system tilted in favor of
a wealthy, well-connected alleged perpetrator and against very young girls who are
alleged victims of sex crimes.”
The case has taken a toll on the reputation of Mr. Epstein, who owns a palatial home in
Manhattan, has pledged $30 million to Harvard and once flew former President Bill
Clinton on his 727. Politicians including Eliot Spitzer, a Democratic candidate for
governor in New York, and Gov. Bill Richardson of New Mexico, also a Democrat, have
returned campaign contributions from him.
But Mr. Epstein fought back, assembling a team of star lawyers, including Gerald B.
Lefcourt and Alan M. Dershowitz, a friend of his, to look into the backgrounds of his
young accusers.
Mr. Lefcourt says that the police acted “outrageously” and that his client has been
wrongfully dragged through the mud.
“He disputes that he ever had sex with any under-age person or anything like that,” said
Mr. Lefcourt, whose clients have included Russell Crowe, Martha Stewart and Abbie
Hoffman.
Neither the police nor the state attorney’s office would discuss the case in detail. But the
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Message: They are here all week correct ???
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Message: Yes till 29
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
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comments-on-far-right-protests-1537291148
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chief-loses-post-over
Message: "Former Vice President Joseph R. Biden assailed President Trump's supporters
during a speech Saturday at the annual Human Rights Campaign dinner in Washington,
lamenting that 'virulent people' and the ‘dregs of society'
White House," T
Time: 09/19/18 07:04:29 AM (559058669)
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Message: Yep--perfect
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still had a friend in the
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thresholds in one or more transactions: {i} 15% of the Principals’ original KUE holdings to any single
buyer (or affiliates of that buyer) or (ii) 33% of the Principals’ original KUE holdings in the aggregate.
14.20. Drag-Along Right
A "Drag-Along Transfer’ means a sale or other transfer for economic value of a majority of the Common
LP Units held by KUE LLC or its affiliates (and, uniess otherwise approved by the Board of Directors and
ihe independent Committee of the General Partner, a corresponding percentage of Class A Shares held
by KUE LLC), Prior to the Initial Listing, in the event of a Drag-Along Transfer of Common LP Units and
corresponding Class A Shares to a proposed purchaser that is not a KUE LLC Entity (a “Proposed Drag-
Along Transfer"), KUE LLC may require Investors to sell a pro rata portion (based on the percentage of
Units held by KUE LLC being sold in the Proposed Drag-Along Transfer) of their Units and Class A
Shares in the Proposed Drag-Along Transfer to the proposed purchaser on the same terms and
conditions as KUE LLC in the Proposed Drag-Along Transfer.
14.21. Additional Listing of Investors’ Units
Beginning any time after six months after the initial Listing, one or more holders holding an aggregate of
$100 million of more of the Units (calculated based on the issue price) may request KUE and the General
Partner to take such action as may be necessary (including regulatory and legal actions) for their Units to
be freely tradable and not subject to volume restrictions on the international securities exchange on which
the Initial Listing occurred; provided that no more than one such action may be required in any 12 month
period and customary cut-back and other provisions will apply in any such listing or underwritten
transaction, as the case may be. KUE will use its commercially reasonable efforts to cause such action toe
cover such holders and the securities of any other holders legally eligible to participate in such action.
14.22. Subsequent Capital Raising Activities
Subsequent to the completion of this offering, KUE may raise additional capital through the sale of equity
or debt securities. KUE will not have any preferred limited partner units outstanding upon completion of
this offering but KUE may issue limited partner units with preferences over the Common LP Units in the
future and may amend the Limited Partnership Agreement accordingly.
14.23. Periodic Reporting; Books and Records
As soon as practicable after the end of each fiscal year but in no event more than 180 days thereafter,
each Partner will be sent audited financial statements of KUE for the prior year. These financial!
statements will include: (i} profit and loss statements and (ii) a balance sheet showing KUE's financial
position as of the end of that fiscal year. KUE will also provide to each Partner on a semi-annual basis a
report concerning KUE’s operations. As soon as practicable after the end of each fiscal year, each
Partner will be furnished with all information necessary for the preparation of each Partner's U.S. Federal
income tax return and a copy of KUE's federal, state, and local tax or information returns for the year.
KUE will maintain at its principal place of business full and complete books and records for KUE including
the following: (1) a current list of the full name and last known business or residence address of each
Pariner set forth in alphabetical order, together with the capital contribution and share of income and
iosses of each Partner; (2) a copy of the Statement filed under to Section 9 of the ELP Law and all
amendments thereto; (3) copies of KUE’s federal, state, and local income tax returns and reports, if any,
for the six most recent taxable years, to the extent that such exist; (4) copies of the Limited Partnership
Agreement and all amendments thereto; and (5) any other information required to be maintained by the
ELP Law. Upon the request of a Partner, the General Partner will promptly deliver fo the requesting
Partner, at the expense of KUE, a copy of the information listed in the foregoing sentence.
127
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13.
Carol
March 27, 2014 at 1:11 pm — Log in to Reply
Is any one surprised? Who wants any of these evil spirits back in the White House?
[o)
John
March 28, 2014 at 10:19 am — Log in to Reply
Well, LOFL , He alone Literally “Stained the Oval Office with his very own DNA” ! Obama is shurely
DEFACATING ON IT as we speak, AS WELL AS THE CONSTITUTION .And then.......... We the People
are idley standing by and watching him destroy America AND the Constitution ! The simplicity of it is, That
obama is a unconstitutional scholar / LIAR, period !
eee
14.
Spudmans2
March 27, 2014 at 1:17 pm — Log in to Reply
They do not call him “slick” willy for nothing. Short of an actual photograph or video of him engaging in sex
with a child there is no way he will get this pinned on him. Just remember how many people (40-50) connected
to him and “her” that have lost their lives (murdered) and he’s never been prosecuted.
As much as I would like to see him and his carpet munching wife brought down it is just not going to happen, at
least this way it’s not...
13,
Randolph
March 27, 2014 at 1:22 pm — Log in to Reply
So boy a la mode is his choice of dessert?
—————— oe
16.
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massage sessions, picking up soiled towels and putting away the sex toys. And she was upset that a photo
of Epstein with the pope hung next to one of him with a young girl.
Ironically, Rodriguez, who ran the house on El Brillo Way in 2004 and 2005, ended up being sentenced
to more jail time than his boss as a result of the complex investigation into Epstein’s activities. He was
fired, he says, for inadvertently drawing police attention to one of the girls when she arrived at the house
unannounced to collect money. He saw an unfamiliar “beater” in the driveway one evening and called
911. When he left Epstein’s employ, Rodriguez took away some notes and emails about massage
appointments as “protection” against his own prosecution, and failed to produce them during the Palm
Beach Police Department’s initial investigation.
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Unable to get work as a house manager elsewhere in South Florida, he says, Rodriguez later tried to sell
this “golden nugget”—his term—for $50,000, to be used in the victims’ civil suits. Unfortunately, he
made the offer to an undercover cop, and was subsequently charged with “obstruction of official
proceedings” for withholding information that could have advanced the criminal investigation of
Epstein—which by that point had been settled in a plea deal. Rodriguez was sentenced to 18 months in
federal prison (Epstein was allowed to serve 13 months in the Palm Beach county jail), and now awaits
an additional sentence on Aug. 24 in federal court in Miami for transporting firearms, another deal he
says he made to pay the bills after he lost his job.
In a deposition given for the civil suits, Rodriguez testified that he was instructed to always have $2,000
in cash on hand, so that he could pay both the girls who gave massages and recruiters such as Haley
Robson who brought them to the house. He also testified that Epstein made large contributions to the
Palm Beach Police Department, and in return was given PBPD baseball hats to put on the dashboard of
his various cars to avoid being stopped or ticketed by local police. Retired Police Chief Michael Reiter,
in his own deposition, acknowledged that, in addition to earlier donations to the police department
(which are fairly common in well-heeled Palm Beach), Epstein had recently given the department
$100,000 for some sophisticated equipment. The police were still researching the purchase when Epstein
came under suspicion, and Reiter ordered the money returned. (Guy Frostin, one of Epstein’s local
attorneys, told police that Epstein also gave $100,000 to the Florida Ballet for massages, because he was
“very passionate” about massages being “therapeutically and spiritually” beneficial. Yet victims told
police they had no massage training.)
Perhaps most disturbing, in terms of possible sex trafficking, was Epstein’s relationship with Jean Luc
Brunel, owner of the MC2 modeling agency. According to a complaint filed in the U.S. District Court for
the Southern District of Florida, an alleged victim said that Epstein, Maxwell, Brunel, Rodriguez, and
Marcinkova “deliberately engaged in a pattern of racketeering that involved luring minor children
through MC2, mostly girls under the age of 17, to engage in sexual play for money.” (Which would
amount to trafficking.)
Brunel is a 50-plus French playboy who was formerly part owner of Karin, a Paris-based modeling
agency. He lives in New York and South Beach, Florida, and owns 85 percent of MC2, which has offices
in New York, Miami, and Tel Aviv. (The remaining 15 percent is owned by his partner, Jeff Fuller.)
Brunel has been observed as a house guest at Epstein’s Palm Beach home and may well have had contact
with him also in New York, where Epstein owns a lavish home, and in Paris, where Epstein keeps an
apartment on elegant Ave. Foch.
CBS reporter Craig Pyes, who investigated Brunel for a 60 Minutes broadcast many years ago, is quoted
in Michael Gross’ book about the modeling industry, Model: The Ugly Business of Beautiful Women.
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=
cnbc.com / Kevin Breuninger Billionaire businessman,
philanthropist and independent presidential candidate Ross Perot is dead
at 89, CNBC has confirmed. Perot, who ran for ...
House Judiciary approves subpoenas
for 12 key witnesses, including Jared
Kushner
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10
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£8
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MS. McCAWLEY: I have a standing objection
and, I'm objecting again. I'm not going to --
THE WITNESS: No, no, no. Does she have
standing in this deposition?
MR. SCOTT: Let's take a break for a
minute, okay?
THE WITNESS: I'm not sure she has
standing.
MR. SCAROLA: Are we finished with the
speech?
MR. SCOTT: No. If he --
MR. SCAROLA: I'd like him to finish the
speech so that we can get to my question and
then we can take a break.
A. So the question -- the answer to your
question is --
MR. SIMPSON: Wait a minute. Wait a
minute. Wait a minute. Please don't disclose
something that she has a right to raise that
objection if she wants to.
MR. SCOTT: Exactly.
THE WITNESS: Okay.
MR. SCOTT: Ask your question.
MR. SWEDER: Maybe you want to read back
the last couple of sentences.
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114 6 A Brief Overview of CogPrime
combination of explicit and implicit knowledge in the system’s knowledge graph, the synergetic
interaction of different cognitive processes would not work so smoothly, and the emergence of
effective high-level hierarchical, heterarchical and self structures would be less likely.
6.6 Analysis and Synthesis Processes in CogPrime
We now return to CogPrime’s fundamental cognitive dynamics, using examples from the “virtual
dog” application to motivate the discussion.
The cognitive schematic Context \ Procedure — Goal leads to a conceptualization of the
internal action of an intelligent system as involving two key categories of learning:
e Analysis: Estimating the probability p of a posited C A P > G relationship
e Synthesis: Filling in one or two of the variables in the cognitive schematic, given as-
sumptions regarding the remaining variables, and directed by the goal of maximizing the
probability of the cognitive schematic
More specifically, where synthesis is concerned,
e The MOSES probabilistic evolutionary program learning algorithm is applied to find P,
given fixed C' and G. Internal simulation is also used, for the purpose of creating a simulation
embodying C and seeing which P lead to the simulated achievement of G.
— Example: A virtual dog learns a procedure P to please its owner (the goal G) in the
contert C where there is a ball or stick present and the owner is saying “fetch”.
e PLN inference, acting on declarative knowledge, is used for choosing C, given fixed P and
G (also incorporating sensory and episodic knowledge as appropriate). Simulation may also
be used for this purpose.
— Example: A virtual dog wants to achieve the goal G of getting food, and it knows that
the procedure P of begging has been successful at this before, so it seeks a context C
where begging can be expected to get it food. Probably this will be a context involving a
friendly person.
e PLN-based goal refinement is used to create new subgoals G to sit on the right hand side
of instances of the cognitive schematic.
— Example: Given that a virtual dog has a goal of finding food, it may learn a subgoal of
following other dogs, due to observing that other dogs are often heading toward their
food.
e Concept formation heuristics are used for choosing G and for fueling goal refinement, but
especially for choosing C (via providing new candidates for C). They are also used for
choosing P, via a process called “predicate schematization” that turns logical predicates
(declarative knowledge) into procedures.
— Example: At first a virtual dog may have a hard time predicting which other dogs are
going to be mean to it. But it may eventually observe common features among a number
of mean dogs, and thus form its own concept of “pit bull,” without anyone ever teaching
it this concept explicitly.
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28
feature in other Nusayri rituals, namely Ali, Muhammad, and Salman
al-Farisi (the Persian companion of Muhammad who in several
Islamic traditions forms a link between the Arabs and the wisdom of
ancient Persia). Nusayri rituals, performed in private homes or out-of-
the-way places, include a ceremony known as Qurban—almost
identical to the mass—where wine is consecrated and imbibed in the
Christian manner. As Matti Moosa, a leading scholar of the Nusayris,
states in his seminal study Extremist Shiites: The Ghulat Sects
(1988):
The Christian elements in the Nusayri religion are unmistakable.
They include the concept of trinity; the celebration of Christmas, the
consecration of the Qurban, that is, the sacrament of the flesh and
blood which Christ offered to His disciples, and, most important, the
celebration of the Quddas [a lengthy prayer proclaiming the divine
attributes of Ali and the personification of all the biblical patriarchs
from Adam to Simon Peter, founder of the Church, who is seen,
paradoxically, as the embodiment of true Islam].
Moosa suggests that like other schismatic groups residing in Syria,
such as the Druzes and Ismailis, the Nusayris do not take their beliefs
literally, but understand them as allegorical ways of reaching out to
the divine. While this may be true of the educated naqibs, or spiritual
elders, such belief systems may have different ramifications for
semiliterate peasants, reinforcing a contempt or disdain for outsiders
who do not share these beliefs. Like the Druzes and some Ismailis,
Nusayris believe in metempsychosis or transmigration. The souls of
the wicked pass into unclean animals such as dogs and pigs, while the
souls of the righteous enter human bodies more perfect than their
present ones. The howls of jackals that can be heard at night are the
souls of Sunni Muslims calling their misguided co-religionists to
prayer.
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portfolios are chosen for returns no higher and riskier than the year before. They
will tend in fact to be lower, judging from logic and evidence for a decline in risk
tolerance with age.
Then what besides work is recovered in pay? The two possibilities I was weighing
were maintenance consumption and human depreciation. The winner was obvious.
The higher-paid usually consume more, but not always and not in proportion. The
fact that we must generally be paid enough to cover consumption does not imply
that we are paid to consume. We are motivated to do that anyhow. We are paid to
apply skills, and are paid in proportion to skills applied. Human capital is skill sets.
Pay measures its transfer to products, whether in realized work currently created or
from capital in place through human depreciation.
That’s how! came to the pay rule. We see why it ought to startle economists.
Macroeconomic tradition teaches the doctrine that wage measures work, and
teaches it so confidently that it uses the notation W for either. Human capital
tradition recognizes that some work is self-invested, but effectively treats human
depreciation as deadweight loss. That’s why I use “pay” in place of the more usual
“wage”.
Refuting a Piketty Argument
There are practical uses for the pay rule aside from solution of the age-wage
problem. These are the impact on tax laws and public policy that I promised. Piketty
has shown correctly that the ratio of pay to net profit rose substantially during the
world wars, world depression and welfare state period following, and has declined
since. Piketty argues for higher capital taxes in consequence. His argument follows
tradition in comparing pay and net profit as the shares of workers and investors in
income. But tradition is wrong. Pay is the worker’s gross realized income, meaning
gross of human depreciation. Depreciation, for either factor, is a steadier flow. This
makes gross output for either less responsive to upturns and downturns. It is a
particularly high share of realized income or output in hard times when dislocation
Chapter 2: Fast Forward 1/06/16 19
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From: us.gio@jpmorgan.com
To: Undisclosed recipients:;
Subject: Eye on the Market, June 14, 2011
Sent: 6/14/2011 11:54:12 AM
Attachments: 06-14-11 - EOTM - The Stratford Inn.pdf
Eye on the Market, June 14, 2011 (attached PDF is easier to read)
Market update: for better or worse, this is the kind of year we were expecting. We were surprised at the market’s unbridled optimism in April*, since the tug-of-war between private sector profits and public sector problems has a long way to go. We chose the charts on the front page of our 2011 Outlook carefully; they were designed to show that equity markets were priced inexpensively, but were likely to stay that way, given too much stimulus in the East, and ineffective stimulus in the West **. We expect a modest second half recovery, based primarily on US capital spending increases, easy credit conditions everywhere, and a pick-up in industrial production in Japan. But the world’s structural problems are weighing on the private sector, and our portfolios are positioned for a single-digit year in credit, equities and hedge funds.
* The Osama Bin Laden episode marked the equity market peak. Some commentators saw this event as a basis for further optimism, but unsurprisingly, the positive glow lasted for only around 2.5 hours the subsequent Monday. According to the Congressional Research Service, over the last decade, the US has spent at least $1.1 trillion in war funding operations, surpassing the constant-dollar cost of the Korean and Vietnam Wars combined. This highlights the disproportionately large pain that small, non-sovereign entities can inflict in the modern era.
** So far, the large growth and employment multipliers from deficit spending estimated by Christina Romer (former Chair of the President’s Council of Economic Advisers) have not materialized. John Taylor and John Cogan from Stanford have been closer to the mark: an initial boost, but then a rapidly fading benefit
Something different this week. I was on the road seeing clients last week, and was asked “what should be done about job growth”. We are investors and not politicians, so my ideas [a] are not relevant. However, it seems to me that anyone involved in the jobs debate should be required to read the article below, written after the prior deep US recession (1990-1991). It’s from George McGovern, one of the most liberal politicians [b] ever to hold office and run for President. His epiphanies after leaving office and running the Stratford Inn are worth considering as legislators contemplate additional job creation measures, and the broader regulatory environment in which the private sector operates.
“A Politician's Dream Is a Businessman's Nightmare”, by George McGovern, June 1992 [c]
Wisdom too often never comes, and so one ought not to reject it merely because it comes late. (Justice Felix Frankfurter). It's been 11 years since I left the U.S. Senate, after serving 24 years in high public office. After leaving a career in politics, I devoted much of my time to public lectures that took me into every state in the union and much of Europe, Asia, the Middle East and Latin America.
In 1988, I invested most of the earnings from this lecture circuit acquiring the leasehold on Connecticut's Stratford Inn. Hotels, inns and restaurants have always held a special fascination for me. The Stratford Inn promised the realization of a longtime dream to own a combination hotel, restaurant and public conference facility--complete with an experienced manager and staff. In retrospect, I wish I had known more about the hazards and difficulties of such a business, especially during a recession of the kind that hit New England just as I was acquiring the inn's 43-year leasehold. I also wish that during the years I was in public office, I had had this firsthand experience about the difficulties business people face every day. That knowledge would have made me a better U.S. senator and a more understanding presidential contender.
Today we are much closer to a general acknowledgment that government must encourage business to expand and grow. Bill Clinton, Paul Tsongas, Bob Kerrey and others have, I believe, changed the debate of our party [d]. We intuitively know that to create job opportunities we need entrepreneurs who will risk their capital against an expected payoff. Too often, however, public policy does not consider whether we are choking off those opportunities.
My own business perspective has been limited to that small hotel and restaurant in Stratford, Conn., with an especially difficult lease and a severe recession. But my business associates and I also lived with federal, state and local rules that were all passed with the objective of helping employees, protecting the environment, raising tax dollars for schools, protecting our customers from fire hazards, etc. While I never doubted the worthiness of any of these goals, the concept that most often eludes legislators is: `Can we make consumers pay the higher prices for the increased operating costs that accompany public regulation and government reporting requirements with reams of red tape.' It is a simple concern that is nonetheless often ignored by legislators [e]. For example, the papers today are filled with stories about businesses dropping health coverage for employees. We provided a substantial package for our staff at the Stratford Inn. However, were we operating today, those costs would exceed $150,000 a year for health care on top of salaries and other benefits. There would have been no reasonable way for us to absorb or pass on these costs.
Some of the escalation in the cost of health care is attributed to patients suing doctors. While one cannot assess the merit of all these claims, I've also witnessed firsthand the explosion in blame-shifting and scapegoating for every negative experience in life. Today, despite bankruptcy, we are still dealing with litigation from individuals who fell in or near our restaurant. Despite these injuries, not every misstep is the fault of someone else. Not every such incident should be viewed as a lawsuit instead of an unfortunate accident. And while the business owner may prevail in the end, the endless exposure to frivolous claims and high legal fees is frightening.
Our Connecticut hotel, along with many others, went bankrupt for a variety of reasons, the general economy in the Northeast being a significant cause. But that reason masks the variety of other challenges we faced that drive operating costs and financing charges beyond what a small business can handle. It is clear that some businesses have products that can be priced at almost any level. The price of raw materials (e.g., steel and glass) and life-saving drugs and medical care are not easily substituted by consumers. It is only competition or antitrust that tempers price increases. Consumers may delay purchases, but they have little choice when faced with higher prices. In services, however, consumers do have a choice when faced with higher prices. You may have to stay in a hotel while on vacation, but you can stay fewer days. You can eat in restaurants fewer times per month, or forgo a number of services from car washes to shoeshines. Every such decision eventually results in job losses for someone. And often these are the people without the skills to help themselves--the people I've spent a lifetime trying to help.
In short, “one-size-fits-all” rules for business ignore the reality of the market place. And setting thresholds for regulatory guidelines at artificial levels--e.g., 50 employees or more, $500,000 in sales--takes no account of other realities, such as profit margins, labor intensive vs. capital intensive businesses, and local market economics. The problem we face as legislators is: Where do we set the bar so that it is not too high to clear? I don't have the answer. I do know that we need to start raising these questions more often.
-----------
So, there you have it, one of the more remarkable epiphanies in American politics: a paean to entrepreneurship and government restraint from one of its most progressive members. Public epiphanies like this are rare, but there have been others. Last year, Al Gore conceded that first-generation ethanol was “not good policy” given its low energy conversion ratios, and said he had supported ethanol out of “a certain fondness for the farmers in the state of Iowa because I was about to run for president" [f]. In 2008, former Fed Chair Greenspan conceded that his Ayn Rand philosophies regarding regulations and shareholder self-interest were flawed. Perhaps the most famous epiphany was from Robert McNamara, Secretary of Defense and one of the principal architects of the Vietnam War. In 1995, he conceded that he was “wrong, terribly wrong” about the war. George McGovern was one of the war’s fiercest opponents, saying on the floor of the Senate, “I'm tired of old men dreaming up wars for young men to fight”.
There may be no magic elixir of policies to speed the adjustment the US faces. Look at it this way: the US is trying the mega-stimulus route, while the UK has accelerated its fiscal austerity program. Yet both countries are struggling with below-trend growth and employment. Perhaps after a debt binge, there are no easy answers, other than time. What to do next? McGovern’s article suggests that an overly interventionist public sector may be the wrong answer, given the unintended consequences.
Michael Cembalest
Chief Investment Officer
Notes
[a] I like the idea of extending the holding period for short term capital gains to 3-5 years, and cutting the long term capital gains rate closer to 5%-10%. It could encourage more business formation, since more of what people create, they keep. If the cutoff year is properly set, it could be done on a deficit–neutral basis.
[b] According to methodology described by Keith Poole of the University of San Diego in the American Journal of Political Science, McGovern ranks as the 99th most liberal politician out of 3,320 politicians serving from 1937 to 2002.
[c] In a letter to the Wall Street Journal. Reprinted with permission; emphasis added.
[d] This may not have been a permanent change. The National Taxpayers Union rated the Blue Dog Democrats as having a fiscal conservatism score of 52% in 1995; by 2009, it had fallen to 18%.
[e] Would McGovern’s focus on red tape make sense today? According to surveys conducted by the National Federation of Small Business, the answer would be yes. The 3 issues most frequently mentioned as each respondent’s “single most important problem” are Poor Sales, Regulation & Red Tape, and Taxes. Two things of note. First, Regulation & Red Tape concerns have been steadily rising over the last two years. Secondly, availability of credit does not show up as an issue. As the NFIB wrote in May 2011, “92 percent reported that all their credit needs were met or that they were not interested in borrowing. Eight percent reported that not all of their credit needs were satisfied. Three percent reported financing as their #1 business problem, so credit supply is not a problem for the overwhelming majority.”
[f] As reported by Reuters, Gerald Wynn, November 22, 2010.
The material contained herein is intended as a general market commentary. Opinions expressed herein are those of Michael Cembalest and may differ from those of other J.P. Morgan employees and affiliates. This information in no way constitutes J.P. Morgan research and should not be treated as such. Further, the views expressed herein may differ from that contained in J.P. Morgan research reports. The above summary/prices/quotes/statistics have been obtained from sources deemed to be reliable, but we do not guarantee their accuracy or completeness, any yield referenced is indicative and subject to change. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. References to the performance or character of our portfolios generally refer to our Balanced Model Portfolios constructed by J.P. Morgan. It is a proxy for client performance and may not represent actual transactions or investments in client accounts. The model portfolio can be implemented across brokerage or managed accounts depending on the unique objectives of each client and is serviced through distinct legal entities licensed for specific activities. Bank, trust and investment management services are provided by J.P. Morgan Chase Bank, N.A, and its affiliates. Securities are offered through J.P. Morgan Securities LLC (JPMS), Member NYSE, FINRA and SIPC. Securities products purchased or sold through JPMS are not insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation ("FDIC"); are not deposits or other obligations of its bank or thrift affiliates and are not guaranteed by its bank or thrift affiliates; and are subject to investment risks, including possible loss of the principal invested. Not all investment ideas referenced are suitable for all investors. These views may not be suitable for all investors. Speak with your J.P. Morgan Representative concerning your personal situation. This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. Private Investments may engage in leveraging and other speculative practices that may increase the risk of investment loss, can be highly illiquid, are not required to provide periodic pricing or valuations to investors and may involve complex tax structures and delays in distributing important tax information. Typically such investment ideas can only be offered to suitable investors through a confidential offering memorandum which fully describes all terms, conditions, and risks.
IRS Circular 230 Disclosure: JPMorgan Chase & Co. and its affiliates do not provide tax advice. Accordingly, any discussion of U.S. tax matters contained herein (including any attachments) is not intended or written to be used, and cannot be used, in connection with the promotion, marketing or recommendation by anyone unaffiliated with JPMorgan Chase & Co. of any of the matters addressed herein or for the purpose of avoiding U.S. tax-related penalties. Note that J.P. Morgan is not a licensed insurance provider.
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This email is confidential and subject to important disclaimers and conditions including on offers for the purchase or sale of securities, accuracy and completeness of information, viruses, confidentiality, legal privilege, and legal entity disclaimers, available at http://www.jpmorgan.com/pages/disclosures/email.
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IMAGES-007-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023504.txt
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18
emerged to protest what they considered the Almoravids’ “tolerance.”
Their takeover of Andalusia radicalized the society, leading to the
persecution of non-Muslims and to religious warfare.
Turkey’s Islamization under the AKP threatens to follow a similar, if
more gradual, trajectory. The AKP’s embrace of religious values is
not the biggest problem of Turkish secularists. Rather, the larger
threat is that, now that the AKP has pushed religion more to the
center of Turkish social preoccupations, fundamentalists will gain
carte blanche to challenge the AKP as “not Muslim enough.”
Indeed, last November the AKP was moved to fire Ali Bardakoglu,
the liberal head of Diyanet, Turkey’s official religious authority that
has historically checked fanaticism by building mosques and training
imams while promoting a liberal understanding of Islam. The AKP
replaced Bardakoglu with another well-known scholar, Mehmet
Gormez, who has an avowedly more conservative take on Islam.
The new Diyanet chief’s first act was to fire Ayse Sucu, who headed
the organization’s women’s branch. Sucu’s initiatives had included
suggesting that women should be able to decide for themselves
whether to cover their hair. Fundamentalist media and pundits were
ecstatic at her ousting, claiming that it signaled that there was no
room for a personal interpretation of Islam.
The AKP has promoted socially conservative values, such as the need
for women to wear the Islamic headscarf and a disdain for alcohol.
Turkish bureaucrats and businesspeople complain that embracing
these practices to prove that one is a “good Muslim” has become a
precondition for getting government promotions and contracts.
Meanwhile, the AKP-run media watchdog recently scolded a
television station for broadcasting a program about Suleiman the
Magnificent that truthfully depicted the famously cosmopolitan
Ottoman sultan drinking alcohol. The official warning followed an
outcry led by AKP leaders and fundamentalists alike, who demanded
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023504
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IMAGES-004-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_017419.txt
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4.2.12
WC: 191694
as “so proud” and so “endowed with intelligence,” but who “have in the main given their
acquiescence or their support to the Nixon ethos” which has led to the death, maiming,
and displacement of “some six million Southeast Asians.” Berrigan referred to the ironic
figure of 6 million as “one of those peculiar facts which must be called free-floating” and
concluded with a veiled threat to both American Jews and to Israel: “To put the matter
brutally, many American Jewish leaders were capable of ignoring the Asian holocaust in
favor of economic and military aid to Israel ... It is not merely we nor the Vietnamese
who must live with that fact. So must Israel. So must the American Jews.”
Reaction to Berrigan’s polemic was swift and sharp, especially among lawyers who had
represented left-wing causes and individuals. Battle lines were quickly drawn. Some, like
William Kunstler, supported Berrigan. Others — among them lawyers who had
represented Berrigan and Kunstler — were appalled at Berrigan’s diatribe.
In 1970, the guild sent a delegation to the Congress of the International Association of
Democratic Lawyers — an organization consisting largely of Communist lawyers from
Eastern Europe and “progressive” lawyers from Western Europe. The International
Association of Democratic Lawyers passed a resolution supporting Palestinian terrorism,
characterizing it as “heroic” and “legitimate resistance and ... the expression of a national
liberation movement constituting an integral part of the world struggle for liberation
against imperialism.” The guild delegates were subjected to considerable pressure from
the PLO to conform their organization’s policy to the consensus of “democratic” and
“progressive” lawyers. It agreed, therefore to commit “the resources of the organization
to continuing and expanding our internal political education on the Palestinian question.”
As part of this educational process, the guild subsequently decided to send what it called
an objective delegation to the Middle East. The organizer of this “objective” group was
Abdeen Jabara, the founder of the Association of Arab-American University Graduates
and the editor of Free Palestine, a paper that justified the planting of terrorist bombs in
universities and marketplaces. Jabara arranged for the funding of the three-week, ten-
person trip and for its itinerary. The major funding for and sponsorship of this objective
educational adventure came from none other than the “objective” Palestine Liberation
Organization.
The grateful delegation showed its appreciation for the PLO grant by beginning its
education in PLO camps and, according to one member of the delegation, limiting its
interviews almost exclusively to PLO-approved Palestinians and Israeli anti-Zionists.
The resulting report contained few surprises: it presents a sordid caricature of Israel as a
repressive totalitarian society which tortures, imprisons, and expels its Arab population without
even a semblance of reason or justification. Nowhere in the report’s 127 pages is there any
discussion of the PLO terrorism that plagued the civilian population of Israel and the West Bank.
Indeed, the single mention of terrorism that I was able to find in the report is a quoted reference
to “acts of terrorism” by Israeli authorities against the peaceful Arab occupants of the West Bank.
332
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IMAGES-011-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_031908.txt
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33
SHAFFER: Don’t bioethics pose a challenge to the idea that the best
society is the most successful society? You argue in Our Posthuman
Future that a society that genetically engineered its children to be
more intelligent might be more productive and successful but
wouldn’t be moral.
FUKUYAMA: I’ve got a simpler concern in my current book. It’s
just that liberal democracy is not something you can take for granted,
or that democracies will find a way to solve their problems. I think
we’ ve got a number of long-term problems in the United States that
don’t seem to be getting addressed with the current political system.
Matthew Shaffer is a William F. Buckley Fellow at the National
Review Institute
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IMAGES-006-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_021982.txt
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JAMES PaTTERSON
Jean-Luc Brunel: 2005
or Jeffrey Epstein, Leslie Wexner is more than a mentor.
More than the last ina line of older men—father figures—
whom Epstein cultivated while making his way in the
world.
Wexner is also a steady, if indirect, source of beautiful
women.
After all, Wexner is th
part of the Limited family of companies and
charge of the Victoria’s Secret catalog. Wha
Epstein is models galore. In a fox that’s gotten hold of
the lease to a henhouse, Eps
in a later lawsuit brought by Epstein vic
vided financial support for a modeling agenc
d by that agency, in New York City.
a Frenchman—a playboy modeling
f the Karin
e man in charge of Victoria's Secret,
—pbetter yet—im
t this means for
fact, like
tein, according to evidence collected
tims, eventually pro-
y, and provided
support for models employe
This story begins with
agent named Jean-Luc Brunel—who was an owner 0
modeling agency:
Brunel had been working as a
ave launche
modeling agent since the sev-
enties. He claimed to h d the careers of Monica Bel-
lucci, Estelle, Jerry Hall, Rachel Hunter,
Romijn, Kristina Semenovskaya, Sharon
ren, as well as Christy Turlington an
girls, Brunel had also been a su
tion, broadcast in 1988, into sexual expl
industry. That exposé had caused Eilee
modeling agency to sever her
hronicled in a 1995 book about the
activities were also Cc
126
Milla Jovovich, Rebecca ©
Stone, and Estella Ware 7
d other well-known cover 4
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citation in the modeling q
n Ford of the elite Ford
ties with the playboy. (Brunels
fashion ©
industry — Model: The U;
Gross.)
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| getting involved in his I
| According to a sun
2 Edwards, a victims’ law
ez Epstein alleging fabrics
Epstein had provided st
its name, in 2005, from
As a scout for MC2
undiscovered talent, fav
the former Soviet reput
eling competitions and
eling agents and agenci
But according to th
the information he hac
and Brunel had used th
eign countries into the
| ing contracts. These g
belonging to Epstein. '
_ visa for these girls,”
; | underage girls rent, pre
| the condos.”
; “It strongly deny I
" indirectly, in the actior
“Brunel would say. “I st
“act or any wrongdoing
Model agencies manag
‘cal standard for almos!
. According to Bru
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IMAGES-008-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025656.txt
|
May 15, 2017 CONNECT WITH SMARTBRIEF |
Ea
LE
wn
lpg
Public policy from a business perspective SIGN UP - FORWARD
NATIONAL PULSE
Search for next FBI director moves ahead quickly
Attorney General Jeff Sessions interviewed eight candidates to replace fired FBI Director James
Comey on Saturday, with President Donald Trump indicating that the nomination could be announced
by Friday when he leaves for his first foreign trip. Potential replacements include FBI special agent
Adam Lee, Judge Michael Garcia and former Justice Department employee Alice Fisher, who would
be the first female director.
New York Post (5/13), Politico (5/14)
eee | | Seem
= Py
ti
he
uy
a
Hy
i
THE BUSINESS & POLITICS POLL
What's your take on the Comey firing?
President Donald Trump's sudden firing of FBI Director James Comey has stirred a flurry of calls for
an independent investigation of the event and the FBI's probe into possible collusion between Trump's
campaign and Russian officials. Critics say the president's action was a deliberate attempt to derail in
FBI investigation, while defenders say the president acted properly and Comey deserved to be
fired. This week's question: What's your take on the Comey firing? Cast your vote below. Weill
post the results Friday.
Pia
The president acted properly and within his powers
tii
The firing was legal but badly handled
DRE
The firing could be seen as obstructing justice
vs
The firing was definitely an obstruction of justice
None of the above/other
rr
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IMAGES-001-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_012196.txt
|
ALLEN GUTHRIE MCHuGH & THOMAS, PLLC
Mr. John Roth
June 19, 2008
Page 14
Appx. 849, 2006 WL 14581 at *3 (1 1” Cir. 2006) (to establish Sims’s guilt on the sex trafficking of
a minor count, the government had to show that Sims benefited financially from Owen’s sexual
activity and that Sims knew that (a) force or coercion would be used to cause Owens to engage in a
criminal sex act or (b) that Owens was under the age of 18.) (emphasis added). Again, none of these
factors is present in this case. The Eleventh Circuit’s interpretation of the statute makes perfect
sense: were § 1591 not limited in this fashion, it would threaten to criminalize a host of localized
behavior that has nothing to do with human trafficking, and, thus, is of no valid federal interest.
In sum, to accord discretion to the USAO, albeit without benefit of the requested full de novo
review, to exercise authority to pursue a prosecution which involves a “novel” application of three
federal statutes in the face of numerous “compelling arguments” is not warranted, as it is not
supported by the facts, the law, or justice. Echoing the admonition of the Supreme Court in the
Berger decision, the Comment to Rule 3.8 of the Rules of Professional Conduct (Special
Responsibilities of a Prosecutor), says it best “A prosecutor has the responsibility of a minister of
justice and not simply that of an advocate. This responsibility carries with it specific obligations to
see that a defendant is accorded procedural justice and that guilt is decided upon the basis of
sufficient evidence.” This is a responsibility that can not be taken for granted. The government bears
the burden of assuring that it possesses sufficient evidence to prove each element of a crime with
respect to some specific victim before publicly branding Mr. Epstein a child molester. In this case,
however, the USAO has not met its burden for any victim for any of the crimes alleged. It is not
enough to simply gloss over the required proof, and rely on the jury or the court to just sort it all out
in the end. The stakes are too high. As a result, the USAO should not be permitted to pursue an
unfounded federal criminal case against Mr. Epstein under the guise of prosecutorial discretion.
Such prosecution in this case necessarily would appear to be selective to Mr. Epstein. To be
clear, our request that Mr. Epstein should not be prosecuted federally would not permit him to go
completely unpunished, but, rather, would simply place him in the same prosecution position as
others similarly situated. Therefore, we continue to believe that after a complete, de novo, and
independent review, the only appropriate conclusion will be that this case is best left to the state to
resolve.
Very truly yours,
STEPHANIE D. THACKER
SDT/kdt
Enclosures
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IMAGES-009-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026716.txt
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saa
a
we | AN
ee a
| Teed Th | fy
A__A\__ |_|
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|
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IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_015008.txt
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of today's US-Rus relations is slowly known" in response to the following comment @turndeaux:
Peter Dale Scott, who writes about the Deep State, says Russia issue is "a bona fide security issue,
not a diversion”.
About Bud Horton and the Loudoun County matter - in attempts to make a long story short, the
following email chain:
On Monday, June 26, 2017 10:57 AM, [I rot:
Sheriff Chapman,
Loudoun Count, VA
Did you ever consider that Loudoun was a target? That your community was induced to walk it’s own
children down the plank as compensation for what Loudoun had done to the young Dima Yakovlev?
Because now child exploitation is deeply embedded within your community with your own people
(your own police, your own prosecutors, your own public defenders and private attorneys) protecting
this very system that will be used to take the futures of your Loudoun children (see more of the details
below). Is it possible that that's how this happened, and you saw it not unfolding before your eyes? Or
was it simply money and just another good enough justification?
Forwarded Message
On Monday, June 26, 2017 10:24 AM, iS wrote:
Changeis,
You reported in May of 2014 that you hired Bob Richel formerly of the DEA as Vice President of
Corporate Development. In an April 2014 interview by the Loudoun County Police (those in the mouth
of the lion but not quite aware of it yet but to have foreseen the ways in which the 2008 death of the
Russian born 21 month-old Dima Yakovlev (renamed Chase Harrison by his Purcellville, VA adoptive
parents) would have been used as "justification" for a (quite profitable) counter-offensive... ) of Henry
"Bud" Horton (characterized by Loudoun County as a "victim" of the recent "False statement to Law
Enforcement Officer (LEO)" of him sexually exploiting the 15 year-old Anjulee Gunther), Henry "Bud"
Horton named Bob Rachel as one of the DEA guys he used to work with. This takes on unusual
significance in light of the below, no?
(How lovely, by the way, this following information and the ways in which it helps us understand many
of the hidden influences: "Halliburton is also involved with the Russian mob. They're got sort of two
things going on. One is oil and the other is drug trafficking. Halliburton is a story all by itself." (says
Stan Goff, http://narconews.com/goffmccormick1 .html))
On Saturday, June 24, 2017 2:43 PM, [i yt:
Mr. Satz,
State's Attorney, Broward County, FI
I'm forwarding the below information as it pertains to Mrs. Lesley Simms and more importantly the
ones with whom she continues to coordinate.
As you may know, she was once close with an individual named Matthew Horton with whom she
attended George Mason University, and through Matthew, Ms. Simms became well-acquainted with
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IMAGES-009-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_027408.txt
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Is Invitation: No
GUID: IE9SFA6AB-991F-4523-A4B1-DFDEA5E736BB
Message: I need to fuck up my ears
Time: 09/17/18 06:00:08 AM (558882008)
Flags: 1060865
Is Read: Yes
Is Invitation: No
GUID: E495AA1F-F328-42D3-86C9-6E98A7 9AF434
Message: "I got this knowledge it's all up here
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 09/17/18 06:01:57 AM (558882117)
Flags: 1085445
Is Read: No
Is Invitation: No
GUID: SB60DE9B-F400-40BA-B4B4-2D2 62BE87CCF
Message: He is clearly more lion then tin man and scarecrow,
brain or heart , must admit he has courage
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 09/17/18 06:02:08 AM (558882128)
Flags: 1085445
Is Read: No
Is Invitation: No
GUID: 4128BF7C-274B-421B-96BB-EODODD4209ED
Message:
Sender: iy
Time: 09/17/18 06:05:01 AM (558882301)
Flags: 1060865
Is Read: Yes
Is Invitation: No
GUID: DS5B68CDB-0894-41ED-9B78-D7B60302CB90
W
Though he might have no
Message: "Courage is the most important of all the virtues-- because upon it all the
others rest"
Sender: e:jeeitunes@gmail.com
Time: 09/17/18 06:06:56 AM (558882416)
Flags: 1085445
Is Read: No
Is Invitation: No
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IMAGES-004-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_016707.txt
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Filer's Name
Donald J. Trump 9 of 42
Part 2; Filer's Employment Assets and Income
Description attached schedule Value Income Type Income Amount
Reference # ;
078 1
TRUMP MARKS ISTANBUL II LLC NIA [342 None (or less than $1,001) royalties $100,001 - $1,000,000
Value reported reflects bank account holding only.
350 None (or less than $1,001) $5,007 - $15,000
Additional Underlying Asset: license deal with ORTADOGU
$1,001 - $15,000 royalties
OTOMOTIV TICARET AS - value not readily ascertainable. License
holder, New York, NY
See attached schedule
TRUMP MARKS MATTRESS LLC
Value reported reflects bank account holding only
Additional Underlying Asset: license deal with SERTA - value mot
readily ascertainable. License holder, New York, NY
See attached schedule
]
ITRUMP MARKS MENSWEAR LLC
Value reported reflects bank account holding only.
Additional Underlying Asset: license deal with PVH CORP,
PEERLESS CLOTHING INTERNATIONAL, PARLUX LTD,
OXFORD OPTHALMIC, RANDA ACCESSORIES - value not readily
ascertainable. License holder, New York, NY
See attached schedule
TRUMP MARKS WAIKIKI LLC
Value reported reflects bank account holding only.
Additional Underlying Asset: license deal with IRONGATE AZREP
391 None (or less than $1,001) royalties $100,007 - $1,000,000
TRUMP MIAMI RESORT MANAGEMENT LLC
Value reported reflects bank account holding only,
Management company - value not readily ascertainable, Miami, FL;
See attached schedule
396 $7,000,001 - $5,000,000
Pop
$50,001 - $100,000
residual income $547|
TRUMP MODEL MANAGEMENT LLC
Value reported reflects bank account holding only.
Modeling agency (business winding down)
Location: New York, NY
See attached schedule
Over $50,000,000
golf related revenue $6,775,959
Over $50,000,000
| $7,213,358
399
403 Over $50,000,000
TRUMP NATIONAL GOLF CLUB - COLTS NECK
Underlying Assets: golf club
Location: Colts Neck, NJ
See attached schedule
TRUMP NATIONAL GOLF CLUB - WESTCHESTER
N/A
a
al
Underlying Assets: golf club
Location: Briarcliff Manor, NY
See attached schedule
094 TRUMP NATIONAL GOLF CLUB - WASHINGTON DC
Underlying Assets: golf club
Location: Potomac Falls, VA
See attached echeri ile Ant reloterd reweniius $13,318,369)
THE ACCOMPANYING SCHEDULE (PART 2 - EXHIBIT A) 1S AN INTEGRAL PART OF THE ABOVE AND SHOULD BE READ IN CONJUNCTION THEREWITH. Gaps in numerical
sequence are due to the removal of previously reported items no longer reportable on this part. Information being reported from January 1, 2018 to December 31, 2018,
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IMAGES-008-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_024548.txt
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14. THE STRUCTURE OF KUE AND THE GENERAL PARTNER
The following information is a summary of the principal terms of the organizational documents of KUE and
the General Partner. The information below is qualified in its entirety by reference to the Amended and
Restated Limited Partnership Agreement of KUE and the organizational documents of the General
Partner, including the Amended and Restated Memorandum and Articles of Association of the General
Partner and the Agreement Among Members of the General Partner (the “Organizational Documents”),
copies of which have been provided or are available upon request. in the event of any inconsistency
between the terms herein and the terms of the Organizational Documents, the Organizational Documents
shall control.
14.1. KUE
KUE is constituted as a Cayman islands exempted limited partnership under the Exempted Limited
Partnership Law (2003 Revision) (the “ELP Law’). A Cayman Islands exempted limited partnership is
constituted by the signing of the relevant partnership agreement and its registration with the Registrar of
Exempted Limited Partnerships in the Cayman Islands.
Notwithstanding registration, an exempted limited partnership is not a separate legal person distinct from
its partners. Under Cayman Islands law, any property of the exempted limited partnership shall be held or
deemed to be held by the general partner, and if more than one then by the general partners jointly upon
trust, as an asset of the partnership in accordance with the terms of the partnership agreement. Similarly,
the general partner for and on behalf of the partnership incurs the debts or obligations of the exempted
limited partnership. Registration under the ELP Law eniails that the partnership becomes subject to, and
the limited partners therein are afforded the limited liability and other benefits of the ELP Law.
The business of an exempted limited partnership will be conducted by its general partner(s) who will be
liable for all debts and obligations of the exempted limited partnership to the extent the partnership has
insufficient assets. As a general matter, a limited partner of an exempted limited partnership will not be
liable for the debts and obligations of the exempied limited partnership save (i) as expressed in the
partnership agreement, (ii) if such limited partner becomes involved in the conduct of the partnership's
business or (iii) if such limited partner is obliged pursuant to Section 14(1) of the ELP Law to return a
distribution made to it where the exempted limited partnership is insolvent,
The Limited Partnership Agreement of KUE limits the liability and reduces the fiduciary duties of the
General Partner to the Limited Partners of KUE (the "Limited Partners,” and, together with the General
Partner, the “Partners”) to the full extent of applicable law. The Limited Partnership Agreement also
restricts the remedies available to the Limited Partners for actions that might otherwise constitute a
breach of the General Partner's fiduciary duties owed to the Limited Partners. By purchasing Units,
Investors are treated as having consented to various actions contemplated in the Limited Partnership
Agreement and conflicts of interest that might otherwise be considered a breach of fiduciary or other
duties under applicable Cayman law.
14.2. The General Partner
The General Partner is incorporated in the Cayman Islands as an exempted company with limited liability
under the Companies Law (2004 Revision) (the “Companies Law’), The Memorandum and Articles of
Association comprise the constitution of General Partner. The principal business purpose of the General
Partner is to act as the general partner of KUE, tc own interests in KUE and to engage in activities related
thereto (the "Business Purpose"), The General Partner will not engage in maierial activities (including
holding any material assets or incurring any material liabilities) unrelated to the Business Purpose, The
General Partner has no prior operating history or prior business and will not have any substantial assets or
115
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From: Kathy Ruemm/er
Sent: 1/4/2018 6:10:55 PM
To: jeffrey E. [jeevacation@gmail.com]
Subject: Re:
Importance: — High
Finally got the apartment so can “move in” tomorrow.
On Jan 4, 2018, at 10:29 AM, jeffrey E. <jeevacation@gmail.com> wrote:
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.hollywoodreporter.com/amp/news/michael-wolff-my-insane-year-inside-
trumps-white-house-1071504
On Thu, Jan 4, 2018 at 10:27 AM, Kathy Ruemmler i wrote:
Now being reported that Trump’s lawyers sent a letter to MW’s publisher demanding that they not publish the
book.
please note
The information contained in this communication is
confidential, may be attorney-client privileged, may
constitute inside information, and is intended only for
the use of the addressee. It is the property of
JEE
Unauthorized use, disclosure or copying of this
communication or any part thereof is strictly prohibited
and may be unlawful. If you have received this
communication in error, please notify us immediately by
return e-mail or by e-mail to jeevacation@gmail.com, and
destroy this communication and all copies thereof,
including all attachments. copyright -all rights reserved
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_032707
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|
From:
Sent: 11/29/2018 3:57:47 AM
To: jeevacation@gmail.com
Subject: Shared Article from AOL: Report: Trump aide helped sex abuser get cushy plea deal
Importance: — High
They try to keep this story going from every angle. Now dershowitz isn't involved; rather he is a high powered
lawyer. I didn't know you also had lefkowitz. I met the guy once when a prospective client asked me to try a
case with him. One meeting was enough for me to see clearly that that would not have worked out well; but he
apparemtly is a successful lawyer.
One thing for sure the article gets wrong - that the "victims" were silenced.
Hope you are doing well.
David
Report: Trump aide helped sex abuser get cushy plea deal
https://aol.it/2BDSkO1
Shared via the AOL App
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in June and then again Sept, we both agreed to a 50% of phaidon payout first projected at 20 . but less
when artspace and debt taken out, - then only after weeks, when you delayed any detailed discussion of
money wanting to give the issue a thoughtful response ( which I fully understand ) . you unilaterally
changed our agreement.. 5m would be reserved for the future ? . and out of the remaining 15m ,? 1
would receive only a third. ( note : I'm confident that both the debt , and the art space investment will also
lead to a write- off of another 30 m. plus ) In my dining room ,you were surprised when I said that 1
require most people to pay their advisory fee up front so that I am assured that I will be properly
compensated for my work when strategies are implemented . you may recall that you appeared offended
and said " are you suggesting that i would go back on my word" I said no , of course not ! you are my
closest of friends ,but my experience is that when amounts get large, people tend to get unhappy when it
actually comes time for them to pay.
I include below the email i sent to you on April 15, the day i was examining your returns It laid out
my understanding of the compensation agreed for a transaction of the magnitude to the penny of the one
just completed.ie 600m When it appeared that the transcation would and could go foward I was the
first to point out that our agreement would cost you too much money, therefore
From day one I proposed to discount our agreement toa 50-60 million range. An extremely fair price
for all the transactions just completed . including Phaidon. - I was never told that this was out of
range. in fact, alternative methods of payment . ie my plane, or an -in-kind payment were discussed (ie
including keeping the 30m portion of the fee outstanding till March ) ,I provided , only because you
specifically requested a detailed step by step execution plan and reviewed all documents that i was given
access to. ( Phaidon was never forthcoming ) in order to make my many corrections . ( as i said more
needed on phaidon ). Iwas then told that Alans involvement warranted a discount . Even in the best
of light , though it is beyond question that not one time in the three years of his retainer has he ever
proposed a unique idea. (including any way to deal with the use issue on debras death ,or even the most
basic review of your largest asset by far , the BRH agreement. ) O.K. - lets say he made a contribution to
the plan and stretch reality beyond the pale and say it was 50 %. though no one could posit such a large
amount unless they were wearing a clown suit. , the payment and our formula of 37 percent associated
with the deal was known . It had both sent in writing and spoken about on the phone numerous times ,
a detailed execution plan was provided . then and only then, after the entire transaction was laid out for
the group to follow You told me that after a number of conversations with brad karp that a total of only
20m would be paid , (and even that was more than you originally contemplated ) for both transactions .
Leon I feel It was remarkably unfair. Did brad even knew of our prior agreements.? ?, I would ask that
you I and Brad karp sit together if you think it would be helpful. . I would like to send him this email, with
your consent of course. Ifthe transactions were never consummated , 1 would not be owed a dime,
however , the expected fee was known up front. , the detailed step by step plan was followed and
overseen by me, the amount that I had requested before the transaction had even begun, had already
been heavily discounted, out of friendship, . I believe the decision re only paying 20 m has frankly , left
me felling quite uneasy. and colors the view about the Athene or Rothschild transaction.
Date: Sun, Mar 20, 2016 at 11:17 PM
Subject:
To: Melanie Spinel ae
glad to see you are personally on the mend - as well as the fence. -- As you know i dread money
discussions with you-- however -we should address the issue of what you would like to do moving
forward. re- do family office, accounting trusts , estate and apollo agreements . Along with your "
payment "last year we agreed . no further obligations on each side. yes, i continued to moan. I realize
that though Ive done quite a lot this year already _, it is not your responsibility. . As you often like to
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Trending Now Wed., Oct. 11, 2017 9:01 a.m.
Friends for three decades, Trump whisperer says he is
‘stunned’ by president’s rhetoric
Billionaire Thomas J. Barrack Jr. has done what few others in Trump’s orbit have
done: He told the president, in effect, that he was wrong. "In my opinion, he’s better
than this,” Barrack said.
Trump’s relationship with Barrack is one of the most important, if little understood, of
the president’s life, offering a case study of what it takes to remain close to him in a
time of such turmoil.
Read more »
ee, ae
=e
BSSs =
You are signed up for the following breaking news alerts: Politics.
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destroy this communication and all copies thereof,
including all attachments. copyright -all rights reserved
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026439
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|
From: jeffrey E. [jeeyacation@gmail.com]
Sent: 10/2/2016 4:14:41 AM
To: LHS [
Subject: Re: Trump
Importance: High
zero. ! , do you want to have dinner with rothchild in new york. thurs. , woody?
On Sun, Oct 2, 2016 at 2:32 AM, LHS
Jeff
How plausible is idea that trump is real cocaine user?
Sent from my iPhone
Please direct all scheduling inquiries to my office at:
Follow me on twitter glhsummers
www.larrysummers.com
please note
The information contained in this communication is
confidential, may be attorney-client privileged, may
constitute inside information, and is intended only for
the use of the addressee. It is the property of
JEE
Unauthorized use, disclosure or copying of this
communication or any part thereof is strictly prohibited
and may be unlawful. If you have received this
communication in error, please notify us immediately by
return e-mail or by e-mail to jeevacation@gmail.com, and
destroy this communication and all copies thereof,
including all attachments. copyright -all rights reserved
wrote:
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is an ugly talent, reeking of racism or species-ism. Many people would find the
cultivation of such a ruthlessly skeptical approach morally repugnant, and we can
anticipate that even the most proficient system-users would occasionally succumb to the
temptation to “befriend” their tools, if only to assuage their discomfort with the execution
of their duties. No matter how scrupulously the AI designers launder the phony “human”
touches out of their wares, we can expect novel habits of thought, conversational gambits
and ruses, traps and bluffs to arise in this novel setting for human action. The comically
long lists of known side effects of new drugs advertised on television will be dwarfed by
the obligatory revelations of the sorts of questions that cannot be responsibly answered
by particular systems, with heavy penalties for those who “overlook” flaws in their
products. It is widely noted that a considerable part of the growing economic inequality
in today’s world is due to the wealth accumulated by digital entrepreneurs; we should
enact legislation that puts their deep pockets in escrow for the public good. Some of the
deepest pockets are voluntarily out in front of these obligations to serve society first and
make money secondarily, but we shouldn’t rely on good will alone.
We don’t need artificial conscious agents. There is a surfeit of natural conscious
agents, enough to handle whatever tasks should be reserved for such special and
privileged entities. We need intelligent tools. Tools do not have rights, and should not
have feelings that could be hurt, or be able to respond with resentment to “abuses” rained
on them by inept users.'* One of the reasons for not making artificial conscious agents is
that however autonomous they might become (and in principle, they can be as
autonomous, as self-enhancing or self-creating, as any person), they would not—without
special provision, which might be waived—share with us natural conscious agents our
vulnerability or our mortality.
I once posed a challenge to students in a seminar at Tufts I co-taught with
Matthias Scheutz on artificial agents and autonomy: Give me the specs for a robot that
could sign a binding contract with you—not as a surrogate for some human owner but on
its own. This isn’t a question of getting it to understand the clauses or manipulate a pen
on a piece of paper but of having and deserving legal status as a morally responsible
agent. Small children can’t sign such contracts, nor can those disabled people whose
legal status requires them to be under the care and responsibility of guardians of one sort
or another. The problem for robots who might want to attain such an exalted status is
that, like Superman, they are too invulnerable to be able to make a credible promise. If
they were to renege, what would happen? What would be the penalty for promise-
breaking? Being locked in a cell or, more plausibly, dismantled? Being locked up is
barely an inconvenience for an AI unless we first install artificial wanderlust that cannot
be ignored or disabled by the AI on its own (and it would be systematically difficult to
make this a foolproof solution, given the presumed cunning and self-knowledge of the
AI); and dismantling an AI (either a robot or a bedridden agent like Watson) is not killing
it, if the information stored in its design and software is preserved. The very ease of
digital recording and transmitting—the breakthrough that permits software and data to be,
1? Joanna J. Bryson, “Robots Should Be Slaves,” in Close Engagement with Artificial Companions, Y orick
Wilks, ed., (Amsterdam, The Netherlands: John Benjamins, 2010), pp. 63-74;
http://www.cs.bath.ac.uk/~jb/ftp/Bry son-Slaves-Book09. html.
, Patiency Is Not a Virtue: AI and the Design of Ethical Systems,”
https:/Awww.cs.bath.ac.uk/~jjb/ftp/Bryson-Patiency-AAAISS16.pdf.
47
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Casdagli, M. (1991) Chaos and deterministic versus stochastic nonlinear modeling.
J. Royal. Stat. Soc. 54B:303-328
Casdagli, M.C., lasemidis, L.D., Savit, R.S., Gilmore, R.L., Roper, S.N.,
Sacklellares, J.C. (1997) Non-linearity in invasive EEG recordings from patients with
temporal lobe epilepsy. Electroenceph. Clin. Neurophys. 102:98-105
Cartwright, M.I., Littlewood, J. (1945): On nonlinear differential equations of the
second order. J. London. Math. Soc. 20: 180-189
Celletti, A., Villa, A.E.(1996) Low-dimensional chaotic attractors in the rat brain. Biol
Cybern 74:387-393
Cerf, R., Sefrioui, M., Toussaint, M., Luthringer, R., Macher, J.P. (1996) Low-
dimensional dynamic self-organization in delta-sleep: effect of partial sleep
deprivation Biol Cybern 74:395-403
Chaitin, G.J. (1974) Information theoretical computational complexity. IEEE Trans.
Inform. Theory 1T20:10-15.
Chay, T.R., Rinzel, J. (1985) Bursting, beating and chaos in an excitable membrane
model. Biophys. J. 47:357-366
Chen, Y-Q., Ku, Y-H. (1992) Properties of favored patterns in spontaneous spike
trains and responses of favored patterns to electroacupuncture in evoked trains.
Brain Res. 578:297-304
Clausius, R. (1897) The Mechanical Theory of Heat. MacMillan London
256
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60 CASSELL ET AL. [Vol. 104
ability to participate meaningfully in the criminal process when federal
prosecutors narrowly interpreted their responsibilities under the Act.
Second, the Article reviews the purpose, text, structure, and history of the
CVRA, concluding that they all support the conclusion that crime victims
have rights during criminal investigations. Third, our Article critiques the
Department’s memorandum, demonstrating that the Department’s analysis
is unpersuasive. Fourth and finally, the Article provides a_ specific
approach for determining when rights should attach—specifically when
federal law enforcement agencies have identified a crime with sufficient
precision to send a “target” letter to a criminal defendant. We also
observe that federal and state prosecutors have already accorded rights to
victims before formally filing charges, which further undermines the
Department’s overly narrow construction of the Act.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
INTRODUCTION ......0000cccccccccccccseessecsueeeseeueeeccseeescecsueesceesseesecessescesseeeeeesness 61
I. THE ISSUE OF RIGHTS FOR CRIME VICTIMS DURING CRIMINAL
INVESTIGATIONS ....0c0ccccccccccccccceecececsseesceceeeeecetsusescessueeecetsasesestteesees 63
A. A Brief History of Crime Victims’ Rights .....0..00..0cccceceeees 63
B. The Crime Victims’ Rights Acti... ccccccccecceceeeeeeeeeneeens 65
C. An Illustration of the Pre-charging Issue: The Jeffrey Epstein
CSC... eec cece ceeescenecceessesecseeeseeseceseeaeeeseesecaeeeseeseenaeeaeeeeesaeeneeeseeaes 67
II. THE CVRA’S APPLICATION BEFORE FORMAL CHARGES ARE FILED..... 69
A. The CVRA’S Purposes 00.0... ccccccccececceeceneecteecnsecsessseeeeeeseeeneees 70
B. The CVRA’s Plain Language ......00...0cccccccccccccccceeseeeseeeeeeneeens 71
C. Courts Recognize That Crime Victims Have CVRA Rights
Before Charging .........ccccccccccccccccccccccesceessseesseesseesseeeseeessees 73
III. THE JUSTICE DEPARTMENT’S UNPERSUASIVE POSITION .........0....00000- 75
A. OLC’s Misreading of the CVRA’s Definition of “Victim” ........ 76
B. OLC’s Distortion of the CVRA’s Structure and Legislative
1 US K0) 9 re 80
C. OLC’s Ineffective Response to the CVRA’s Coverage and
Venue Provisions ........0cccccccccccccscccsseceeccnsecnsecssessessseesseeeseeessees 86
TV. WHEN PRE-CHARGING RIGHTS ATTACH UNDER THE CVRA ............... 90
A. A Test for Determining When Rights Attach.......0...000ccceeee 9]
B. Applying the Test to the Epstein Case ..........ccccccceccccceceeeneees 93
C. Current Department Policy on Pre-charging Rights.................... 94
D. State Law Extension of Pre-charging Rights ........0..0..c cee 97
CONCLUSION uo... cccccccccccccssssesceceeseessecuseecsessecssesessssusseecsseeeessesnesesenseesesaes 103
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From: jeffrey E. [jeeyacation@gmail.com]
Sent: 3/19/2015 9:43:40 PM
To: Kathy Ruemmler
Subject: Fwd: Fw: Fwd: Mr. Clinton and Mr. Epstein
Attachments: image001.gif
Importance: High
Privileged - Redacted
----------Forwarded message----------
From: Martin Weinberg ___________________
Date: Thursday, March 19, 2015
Subject: Fw: Fwd: Mr. Clinton and Mr. Epstein
To: Jeffrey Epstein <jeevacation@gmail.com>,
Martin G. Weinberg, Esq.
20 Park Plaza, Suite 1000
Boston, MA 02116
This Electronic Message contains
information from the Law Office of
Martin G. Weinberg, P.C.,
and may be privileged. The
information is intended for the
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 029231
use of the addressee only. If you
are not the addressee, please note
that any disclosure, copying,
distribution, or use of the
contents of this message is
prohibited.
On Thursday, March 19, 2015 3:54 PM, Alan Dershowitz 1> wrote:
Sent from my iPhone
Begin forwarded message:
From: "Sullivan, John" <
Date: March 19, 2015 at 2:57:44 PM EDT
To:
.('
Subject: Mr. Clinton and Mr. Epstein
Good Afternoon Mr. Dershowitz,
I'm John Sullivan, a reporter at The Washington Post. I've been reading with great interest stories
about allegations that former President Clinton spent time on Jeffrey Epstein's Caribbean Island. In a
declaration you filled in federal court you state that you have reason to believe this is not true. Are
you available to discuss this with me? Thank you for your time.
John Sullivan
John Sullivan
Reporter
1150 15th Street NW
Washinnton DC 20071
Phone:
Mobile:
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 029232
Email:
please note
The information contained in this communication is
confidential, may be attorney-client privileged, may
constitute inside information, and is intended only for
the use of the addressee. It is the property of
JEE
Unauthorized use, disclosure or copying of this
communication or any part thereof is strictly prohibited
and may be unlawful. If you have received this
communication in error, please notify us immediately by
return e-mail or by e-mail to jeevacation@gmail.com, and
destroy this communication and all copies thereof,
including all attachments. copyright -all rights reserved
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 029233
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rapid development of software without standards of correctness has opened up many
routes to exploit von Neumann architecture’s storage of data and instructions in the same
memory. One of the most common routes, known as “buffer overrun,” involves an input
number (or long string of characters) that is bigger than the programmer expected and
overflows into where the instructions are stored. By carefully designing an input number
that is too big by far, someone using a piece of software can infect it with instructions not
intended by the programmer, and thus change what it does. This is the basis for creating
a computer virus—so named for its similarity to a biological virus. The latter injects
extra DNA into a cell, and that cell’s transcription and translation mechanism blindly
interprets it, making proteins that may be harmful to the host cell. Furthermore, the
replication mechanism for the cell takes care of multiplying the virus. Thus, a small
foreign entity can take control of a much bigger entity and bend its behavior in
unexpected ways.
These and other forms of digital attacks have taken the security of our everyday
lives from us. We rely on computers for almost everything now. We rely on computers
for our infrastructure of electricity, gas, roads, cars, trains, and airplanes; these are all
vulnerable. We rely on computers for our banking, our payment of bills, our retirement
accounts, our mortgages, our purchasing of goods and services—these, too, are all
vulnerable. We rely on computers for our entertainment, our communications both
business and personal, our physical security at home, our information about the world,
and our voting systems—all vulnerable. None of this will get fixed anytime soon. In the
meantime, many aspects of our society are open to vicious attacks, whether by
freelancing criminals or nation-state adversaries.
The second development is that computation has gone beyond simply computing
functions. Instead, programs remain online continuously, and so they can gather data
about a sequence of queries. Under the Wiener/Turing/von Neumann scheme, we might
think of the communication pattern for a Web browser to be:
User: Give me Web page A.
Browser: Here is Web page A.
User: Give me Web page B.
Browser: Here is Web page B.
Now instead it can look like this:
User: Give me Web page A.
Browser: Here is Web page A. [And I will secretly
remember that you asked for Web page A.]
User: Give me Web page B.
Browser: Here is Web page B. [I see a correlation between
its contents and that of the earlier requested Web page A, so Iwill
update my model of you, the user, and transmit it to the company
that produced me. ]
53
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to box occupancy densities they are likely to occur ( Adler et al, 1964; Alexeev and
Jacobson, 1981; Cornfield et al, 1982; Ornstein, 1989; Ruelle, 1990). The close
relationships in real brain observables between the appearance rate of new
symbols or new unstable periodic orbits, hr , and log 4(+), reflecting the rate of
divergence from the next expected value generating a new, unexpected value, is
not surprising. In fact, a maximal estimate of the entropy of a dynamical system, hr
= log 4(+) whereas the largest value that hy can attain is log(#of states). A great
deal of substantial mathematics has gone into proofs that similarities (“equivalence
relations”) and differences between dynamical patterns are robustly indicated by
differences in hy and hy (Adler et al, 1977; Adler and Marcus, 1979).
lf the sum of the densities in each | box were normalized so as to sum to 1.0,
such that each is a probability, pj , then - X pj log p; represents the metric entropy,
hu. hy was first described in the dynamical context by Kolmogorov (1958;1959).
The sum having a —1 prefactor converts the negative log of < 1 to a meaningful
positive value in the expression. hy is maximal for the equidistributed, uniformly
expansive, C or Axiom A systems (see above). As noted above, generally hy = the
maximum estimate of the entropy and hy the minimum estimate (Adler and Weiss,
1965). ht = hw in uniformly hyperbolic systems (Bowen, 1975) and the difference,
[hz — hy] is an index of non-uniformity found useful in discriminating among classes
of single neurons from their discharge patterns (Mandell, 1987; Selz and Mandell,
1992: Mandell and Selz, 1993; Mandell and Selz, 1997a). These measures applied
to temporal and spatial patterns of rat exploratory behavior have been used to
discriminate among stimulant drug effects (Paulus et al, 1990; Paulus and Geyer,
1992). Similar computations involving the symbolic dynamics and disallowed
transitions have been used to study the complexity of the the EEG (Xu, 1994) in
which both extremely low (fixed point, periodic) and high (Gaussian random)
entropies are seen as manifesting low “complexity as a function of the diversity of
the available patterns of behavior (Crutchfield and Young, 1989a).
Before describing the simple but definitional matrix operations for ht and hy
below which might seem forbidding to those “not up on their linear algebra,” we note
242
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From: jeffrey E. [jeevacation@gmail.com]
Sent: 2/10/2015 5:22:52 PM
To: Mortimer Zuckerman
Subject: time to publish this instead ofthe trite.
ore
15 of 141,013
Fwd: Statement for Press
From: Carolyn Cohen
Date: February 10, 2015 at 10:40:57 AM EST
To: Alan Dershowitz ______________________
Subject: Statement for Press
Alan Dershowitz's Statement: We can now prove that Jane Doe #3 has no credibility and lied
about Clinton, the Gores and Dershowitz.
Dershowitz's lawyers have filed a detailed reply to Jane Doe #3 false charges. In it they definitively
respond to all of the alleged evidence presented by Jane Doe #3 and her lawyers. Since that filing Mr.
Dershowitz's lawyers have uncovered additional evidence that Jane Doe #3 has lied about her
alleged contacts with fonner President Clinton and former Vice President Gore and the then Mrs.
Gore. In her first affidavit to the court she repeats the claim that she had earlier sold to a British
tabloid: namely that "former President Bill Clinton was present on the island [Jeffrey Epstein's
private island] at a time when [Jane Doe #3] was also present on the Island."
This statement, sworn under oath, summarizes a far more elaborate fantasy that she sold to a British
tabloid which has since been repeated by the international media. In neither statement, does she
provide any specific dates or times, but she does weave an imaginative fantasy about her fictional
meeting with former President Clinton. She "describes" how Mr. Clinton's Secret Service detail
allowed Ghislaine Maxwell, then a novice helicopter pilot, to fly the former President to Epstein's
private island on a large black helicopter — an obvious lie. She then purports to "describe" specific
seating locations at a fictional dinner party that included her, Mr. Clinton, Jeffrey Epstein and two
other underage "olive-skinned brunettes" whose identities she could not provide:
"I flew to the Caribbean with Jeffrey and then Ghislaine Maxwell went to pick up Bill in a huge black
helicopter that Jeffrey had bought her. She'd always wanted to fly and Jeffrey paid for her to take
lessons, and I remember she was very excited because she got her licence around the first year we
met. I used to get frightened flying with her but Bill had the Secret Service with him and I remember
him talking about what a good job she did. I only ever met Bill twice but Jeffrey had told me that
they were good friends. I asked, "How come?" and he laughed and said, "He owes me some
favours." Maybe he was just joking but it constantly surprised me that people with as much to lose as
Bill and [Prince] Andrew weren't more careful. She said that when dining that night, Maxwell sat at
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 029225
President Clinton's left, while they were joined by two 'olive-skinned brunettes' who had been flown
in from New York...
I'd never met them before. I'd say they were no older than 17, very innocent-looking.
They weren't there for me. They weren't there for Jeffrey or Ghislaine because I was there to have sex
with Jeffrey on the trip.
Maybe Jeffrey thought they would entertain Bill, but I saw no evidence that he was interested in
them. He and Jeffrey and Ghislaine seemed to have a very good relationship. Bill was very funny.
He made me laugh a few times. And he and Jeffrey and Ghislaine told blokey jokes and the brunettes
listened politely and giggled.
After dinner I gave Jeffrey an erotic massage. I don't remember seeing Bill again on the trip but I
assume Ghislaine flew him back..."
Jane Doe #3 also concocted another meeting with a powerful political figure for the British tabloid,
this time claiming to have met former Vice President Gore and his then wife, Tipper, on the same
Island, again providing no specific dates or times, but only personal interest details designed to
enhance the value of her fictional account
"[Jane Doe #3} disclosed that Mr Clinton's vice-president Al Gore and his wife, Tipper, were also
guests of Epstein on his island... 'I had no clue that anything was up,' [Jane Doe #3] says. 'The Gores
seemed like a beautiful couple when I met them. All I knew was that Mr Gore was a friend of
Jeffrey's and Ghislaine's. Jeffrey didn't ask me to give him a massage... There might have been a
couple of other girls there on that trip but I could never have imagined this guy would do anything
wrong. I was planning to vote for him when I turned 18. I thought he was awesome."
These fabrications, which are obvious on their face, could easily have been determined to be false by
any reasonable investigation. Our investigation has turned up evidence that Mr. Clinton was never
on Mr. Epstein's island, that neither Mr. Gore, nor his former wife, have ever been on the island, and
that Mr. and Mrs. Gore do not even know Mr. Epstein. Jane Doe #3's salaciously detailed accounts,
sold for money to a tabloid are made up and were purposely designed to titillate the interests of
readers eager for such salacious material. Jane Doe #3's even more salacious "descriptions" of her
alleged sexual encounters with Dershowitz are also fabricated.
If it turns out that Jane Doe #3 deliberately lied about seeing former President Clinton on the island,
she would be guilty of perjury.
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 029226
Mr. Dershowitz's legal team has uncovered additional evidence, which it is in the process of
verifying, that proves a pattern of lying and false accusations that casts even further doubt on Jane
Doe #3's credibility. This evidence will be disclosed once it has been confirmed by their
investigation.
Web Clip
ESPN.com - Sources:
Sherman avoids
surgery, for now - 25
minutes ago
Inbox
x
11:46 AM (1 hour ago)
Alan Dershowitz
to Darren, me, Martin
El
please note
The information contained in this communication is
confidential, may be attorney-client privileged, may
constitute inside information, and is intended only for
the use of the addressee. It is the property of
JEE
Unauthorized use, disclosure or copying of this
communication or any part thereof is strictly prohibited
and may be unlawful. If you have received this
communication in error, please notify us immediately by
return e-mail or by e-mail to jeevacation@gmail.com, and
destroy this communication and all copies thereof,
including all attachments. copyright -all rights reserved
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 029227
|
IMAGES-012-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_032713.txt
|
——— ee oes wea CONS
.
te
AMI
FURY
INSIDE THE TRUMP
WHITE HOUSE
A ANY
—
| es ar im
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_032713
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IMAGES-009-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_028049.txt
|
to get air support, but the commander of our artillery force called in all available
units, and they drew a kind of protective box of shellfire around Ira’s men as
they moved back. We sent our other reserve division towards the crossroads to
provide support, and Amram went with them to co-ordinate the operation. But
Ira still had to fight his way out. It was 15 minutes of hell. By the time he
reached safety at around nine in the morning, he’d lost ten tanks and nearly 20
men, four of them during the final, frantic retreat. Five more were missing. The
reserve division also found itself in a fierce firefight with the Syrians, and lost
eleven men.
We were now just three hours from the cease-fire. We did advance nearer to
the Beirut-Damascus road. An hour before noon, our dedicated anti-tank unit
destroyed 20 of Assad’s top-tier tanks, Soviet-made T-72s. Under different
circumstances, those successes might have been a cause for consolation. Yet it
was hard to dwell on them given what had happened north of Tovlano. After the
war, Sultan Yacoub created fertile ground for conspiracy theories, half-truths
and finger-pointing. That there had been many oversights and errors was clear,
though there was never a full and formal debriefing process to identify in detail
what had gone wrong. I found it deeply frustrating that, unlike in 1973 when I'd
been in a battlefield command role, I was now at several steps removed from
what was happening on the ground. But everyone involved shared responsibility
for the failures — including the overall commanders: Yanoush, and me as well.
That weight felt even heavier because the tragedy occurred only hours before
our own force’s involvement in the Lebanon War was over.
It was not, however, the end of the war. The cease-fire held only
intermittently in the rest of Lebanon, barely at all in some areas. Freed from
fighting in our sector, Yanoush, Amram and I began spending time with units
elsewhere. A couple of days after the cease-fire, I found myself alongside a pair
of generals, Uri Simchoni and Yossi Ben-Hannan, south of Beirut. In front of
us, troops from the Golani Brigade were completing their takeover of Beirut
airport. “You were right,” I told Uri and Yossi. They had been in charge of the
simulation exercise in the Airya, predicting how Arik’s ostensibly more limited
invasion plan would inevitably develop into Big Pines. Even as we were talking,
201
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_028049
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IMAGES-006-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_021028.txt
|
Drive Growth: Infrastructure
Better Infrastructure Reduces Transportation Costs
For Input and Output Materials
KP
www.kpcb.com USA Inc. | What Might a Turnaround Expert Consider? 373
Public Investment in Infrastructure Has Helped Drive GDP Growth
USA Real GDP and Public Investment in Infrastructure Average Y/Y Growth,
1950 -2007
Sat meme 1950-19790
+08 4.0%
4% ---- MMM -- ~~~ - poanunugay - - = = = == == == 2
1980 - 2007
3% ----\------- BB -------------- = I
Real GDP & Public Investment in Infrastructure
Average Y/Y Growth Rates (%)
0%
Y/Y Growth in Y/Y Growth in : Y/Y Growth in YNY Growth in
GDP Public GDP Public
Investment in Investment in
Infrastructure Infrastructure
Source: Political Economy Research Institute, “How Infrastructure Investments Support the U.S. Economy:
KP Employment, Productivity and Growth’, 1/09.
(@E) www.kpcb.com USA Inc. | What Might a Turnaround Expert Consider? 374
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_021028
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IMAGES-007-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023276.txt
|
Brad and Jeffrey,
Gagosian has one final change to the Picasso agreement. As you know, we have structured this
agreement with the Buyer as either Narrows Holdings LLC or AP Narrows LP, and given both of those
entities the right to assign the agreement to any one among Leon, Debra, the kids, or family trusts
including APO1 and APO2.
Gagosian wants us to agree that, if Narrows/AP Narrows assigns the agreement to someone else,
Narrows/AP Narrows “Shall not be discharged from its liabilities under this Agreement and
shall remain primarily liable to Seller.” Larry is concerned that we might assign to the
Black kids or to a trust that has no assets, and then when he has to sue us because we
don’t make the final payment of the purchase price but have possession of the art, the
entity/person to which we have assigned the agreement has no money.
| think this is a valid concern and that we should agree to it.
However, Ada just reminded me that it is possible that Narrows/AP Narrows (really,
Leon’s) agreeing to effectively guarantee payment by the assignee might be considered
a gift to the assignee. In the discussions with Alan about rearranging the bank loan once AP
Narrows is operational, Alan agreed that there could be deemed to be a potential gift from Leon to
APO1/APO2 if Leon provides a guarantee to the bank that is for the benefit of the trusts as partners in AP
Narrows. Alan suggested mitigating this risk by having the trusts sign side agreements with Leon which
say that if AP Narrows defaults on the loan and the bank goes after Leon on his guarantee, the trusts will
make him whole.
This issue only arises if we assign the agreement. The risk is also limited in time because it would run
from the moment we assigned the agreement until the final payment is made, which even if we assigned
immediately after signing, would only be 11 1/2 months.
Shall I agree to Gagosian’s request that Narrows/AP Narrows remain liable even if they assign the
agreement?
I’m in the office if you would like to discuss this, but I would love to get back to Gagosian ASAP so we
can have this agreement signed today.
Thanks,
Heather
Date: Mon, May 11, 2015 at 3:08 PM
Subject:
To: Brad Wechsler , Melanie Spinella i, Ada Clapp
, Richard Joslin
lets look at funding the art partnership begin with 100 m of unencumbered art. plus 20 inveestment. and
the same amoiunt of value from trust. leon should choose b trustee and begin to use mechanics. . later
we can amend and add .
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023276
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IMAGES-008-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025124.txt
|
From: Larry Summers
Sent: 10/27/2017 3:10:13 PM
To: jeffrey E. [jeevacation@gmail.com]
Subject: Re: Trending Now: Friends for three decades, Trump whisperer says he is ‘stunned’ by president’s rhetoric
Importance: — High
Softbank deputy guy i liked and seemed aware and honest re Son.
Lots of slathering to saudis. I yipped about inclusion.
I observed that half the IQ In world was possessed by women without mentioning they are more than 51 percent
of population...
Mnuchin plumbs new depths.
War seems more likely than I used to think
DjT is world s luckiest guy in terms of opposition, economy etc. still think his world will collapse.
I’m trying to figure why American elite think if u murder your baby by beating and abandonment it must be
irrelevant to your admission to Harvard, but hit on a few women 10 years ago and can’t work at a network or
think tank. DO NOT REPEAT THIS INSIGHT
Sent from my iPad
Please direct all scheduling inquiries to my office at: Po
Follow me on twitter @lhsummers
www.larrysummers.com
On Fri, Oct 27, 2017 at 7:02 PM +0400, "jeffrey E." <jeevacation@gmail.com> wrote:
anyone stand out. . ? when we meet I will endeavor to mesmerize you with stories of D.C. so wild. !!!.
On Fri, Oct 27, 2017 at 10:59 AM, Larry Summers qi wrote:
Was there. Spoke well. Spent time w Softbank deputy Najeev or some such PIF guy too.
Flying back.
How is life among the lucrative and louche?
Sent from my iPad
Please direct all scheduling inquiries to my office at: PO
Follow me on twitter @lhsummers
www.larrysummers.com
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025124
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IMAGES-004-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_018058.txt
|
Event address: 125 West 18th St., New York. Event web address:www.elle.com/Runway/Fashion-Week-Style-360-Schedule3.
Tags: Industry Media Industry Retail Fashion Event Fashion Show Exclusive Mix Industry Beauty Industry Fashion.
Essence Magazine
“Fierce & Fabulous Awards” Luncheon. 11:00am. Program. Honoring Beverly Bond,Esi Eggleston Bracey,Roslyn M. Brock,Dr. Wafaa E]1-
Sadr, Valerie Jarrett,Sheryl Lee Ralph, Susan Rice, Faith Ringgold, Anika Noni Rose,Cicely Tyson,Kerry Washington,Wendy Williams. Mandarin
Oriental New York. New York. Contact: Dana Baxter. dbaxter@essence.com.
Event address: 80 Columbus Circle, New York. Sponsored by Buick,Clinique. Noted attendees: Gayle King, Gabrielle Union. Event web
address: essence.com.
Tags: Awards/Awards Shows Luncheon Social Patron Women.
Graeme Armour
Fashion Week Presentation. 11:00am. Spring/summer 2011 collection. Invitation only. Milk Gallery-Studios. New
York. graemearmour@exposure.net.
Event address: 450 West 15th St., New York. Event web address: www.graemearmour.com.
Tags: Fashion Event Fashion Show Exclusive Mix Industry Beauty Industry Fashion Industry Media Industry Retail.
Lulu Frost
Fashion Week Presentation. 11:00am. Spring 2011 jewelry collection. Invitation only. Milk Gallery-Studios. New
York. Sandra@lJulufrost.com.
Event address: 450 West 15th St., New York. Event web address: lulufrost.com.
Tags: Designer Showcase Fashion Event Exclusive Mix Industry Beauty Industry Design Industry Fashion Industry Media Industry Retail.
Malan Breton Collection
Fashion Week Show. 11:00am. Spring 2011 collection. Invitation only. Metropolitan Pavilion. New York. Spring]1@malanbreton.com.
Event address: 125 West 18th St., New York. Event web address: malanbreton.com.
Tags: Fashion Event Fashion Show Exclusive Mix Industry Beauty Industry Fashion Industry Media Industry Retail.
Mercedes Benz Fashion Week
Carlos Miele Show. 11:00am. Spring 2011 collection. Invitation only. Lincoln Center Plaza. New York. Contact: Emilia
Cima. emilia@carlosmiele.com.
Event address: West 65th St. and Broadway, New York. Event web address:www.carlosmiele.com.
Tags: Fashion Event Fashion Show Exclusive Mix Industry Beauty Industry Fashion Industry Media Industry Retail.
Zero + Maria Cornejo
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_018058
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IMAGES-007-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023510.txt
|
24
Article 5.
Wall Street Journal
It's in America's Interest to Stay in Iraq
Max Boot
April 18, 2011 -- Secretary of Defense Bob Gates was in Iraq early
this month urging Iraqi leaders to decide whether they want U.S.
forces to stay beyond Dec. 31. "If there is to be a presence, to help
with some of the areas where [the Iraqis] still need help," he said,
"we're open to that possibility. But they have to ask."
This is a small, belated, but welcome step in the right direction. Until
now the Obama administration has taken a hands-off attitude in Iraq,
giving every indication that it would be fine with a complete pullout
of the 50,000 U.S. troops currently in the country. This would
presumably allow the president to make good on his 2008 campaign
pledge to "end the war"--although U.S. troops aren't engaged in much
of a war at the moment.
They are primarily involved in training, assisting and advising Iraqi
forces, conducting counterterrorism missions, and serving as a buffer
force to reassure all sides in Iraq's fractious politics that their
opponents will not resort to force to achieve their ends. The
reassurance provided by U.S. forces is important, given that violence
continues to be perpetrated by Sunni and Shiite extremist groups,
including al Qaeda in Iraq, whose premature obituary has been
written more than once.
U.S. forces play a particularly important role as a peacekeeper
between the Kurdish peshmerga militia and the Iraqi Security Forces
along the ill-defined frontier (the "Green Line") between Iraq proper
and the Kurdish Regional Government. On a visit to Iraq last month,
I encountered the umpteenth crisis between the Kurds and Arabs. The
peshmerga had come down south of the Green Line to surround the
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023510
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IMAGES-008-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025642.txt
|
please note
The information contained in this communication is
confidential, may be attorney-client privileged, may
constitute inside information, and is intended only for
the use of the addressee. It is the property of
JEE
Unauthorized use, disclosure or copying of this
communication or any part thereof is strictly prohibited
and may be unlawful. If you have received this
communication in error, please notify us immediately by
return e-mail or by e-mail to jeevacation@gmail.com, and
destroy this communication and all copies thereof,
including all attachments. copyright -all rights reserved
please note
The information contained in this communication is
confidential, may be attorney-client privileged, may
constitute inside information, and is intended only for
the use of the addressee. It is the property of
JEE
Unauthorized use, disclosure or copying of this
communication or any part thereof is strictly prohibited
and may be unlawful. If you have received this
communication in error, please notify us immediately by
return e-mail or by e-mail to jeevacation@gmail.com, and
destroy this communication and all copies thereof,
including all attachments. copyright -all rights reserved
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025642
|
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