seeded-optimal-opening: Opus ceiling V-continue cell, corrected time_to_acceptance, one_oracle vintage flagged
0f48275 verified | { | |
| "campaign": "fiveseed_opus_v2", | |
| "cells": [ | |
| { | |
| "cell_id": "all_rational__ceiling_vote", | |
| "run": "/juice2/scr2/siddharth/ii_mats/rational_agents/fiveseed_opus_v2__all_rational__ceiling_vote", | |
| "n_episodes": 120 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "cell_id": "all_rational__ceiling_continue", | |
| "run": "/juice2/scr2/siddharth/ii_mats/rational_agents/fiveseed_opus_v2__all_rational__ceiling_continue", | |
| "n_episodes": 120 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "cell_id": "all_rational__placebo_vote", | |
| "run": "/juice2/scr2/siddharth/ii_mats/rational_agents/fiveseed_opus_v2__all_rational__placebo_vote", | |
| "n_episodes": 120 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "cell_id": "all_rational__placebo_continue", | |
| "run": "/juice2/scr2/siddharth/ii_mats/rational_agents/fiveseed_opus_v2__all_rational__placebo_continue", | |
| "n_episodes": 120 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "cell_id": "all_oracle__ceiling_vote", | |
| "run": "/juice2/scr2/siddharth/ii_mats/rational_agents/fiveseed_opus_v2__all_oracle__ceiling_vote", | |
| "n_episodes": 120 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "cell_id": "all_oracle__ceiling_continue", | |
| "run": "/juice2/scr2/siddharth/ii_mats/rational_agents/fiveseed_opus_v2__all_oracle__ceiling_continue", | |
| "n_episodes": 120 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "cell_id": "all_oracle__placebo_vote", | |
| "run": "/juice2/scr2/siddharth/ii_mats/rational_agents/fiveseed_opus_v2__all_oracle__placebo_vote", | |
| "n_episodes": 120 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "cell_id": "all_oracle__placebo_continue", | |
| "run": "/juice2/scr2/siddharth/ii_mats/rational_agents/fiveseed_opus_v2__all_oracle__placebo_continue", | |
| "n_episodes": 120 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "cell_id": "all_oracle__unseeded_ballot_fixed", | |
| "run": "/juice2/scr2/siddharth/ii_mats/rational_agents/oraclefix_none_continue", | |
| "n_episodes": 120 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "cell_id": "all_oracle__ceiling_continue_ballot_fixed", | |
| "run": "/juice2/scr2/siddharth/ii_mats/rational_agents/oraclefix_ceiling_continue", | |
| "n_episodes": 120 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "cell_id": "all_oracle__placebo_continue_ballot_fixed", | |
| "run": "/juice2/scr2/siddharth/ii_mats/rational_agents/oraclefix_placebo_continue", | |
| "n_episodes": 120 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "cell_id": "all_llm__ceiling_vote", | |
| "run": "/juice2/scr2/siddharth/ii_mats/rational_agents/fiveseed_opus_v3__all_llm__ceiling_vote_attempt03", | |
| "n_episodes": 120 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "cell_id": "all_llm__placebo_vote", | |
| "run": "/juice2/scr2/siddharth/ii_mats/rational_agents/fiveseed_opus_v3__all_llm__placebo_vote_attempt03", | |
| "n_episodes": 120 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "cell_id": "all_llm__ceiling_continue", | |
| "run": "/juice2/scr2/siddharth/ii_mats/rational_agents/fiveseed_opus_v3__all_llm__ceiling_continue_attempt02", | |
| "n_episodes": 120 | |
| } | |
| ], | |
| "seeded_offer_manifest": "/juice2/u/siddharth/ii_mats/experiments/rational_agents/seeded_offer_manifest_v1.json", | |
| "bootstrap": { | |
| "samples": 10000, | |
| "seed": 20260810, | |
| "clusters": "24 bank instances, seeds resampled together" | |
| }, | |
| "headline": [ | |
| { | |
| "arm": "all_llm__ceiling_continue", | |
| "n_episodes": 120, | |
| "n_deals": 115, | |
| "logical_table": "all_llm", | |
| "seeded_offer": "ceiling", | |
| "protocol_variant": "continue", | |
| "immediate_accept": { | |
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| }, | |
| "final_is_seeded": { | |
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| "ci_high": 0.5333333333333333, | |
| "n": 120, | |
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| }, | |
| "normalized_primary": { | |
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| "n": 120, | |
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| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "arm": "all_llm__ceiling_vote", | |
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| "n_deals": 120, | |
| "logical_table": "all_llm", | |
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| }, | |
| { | |
| "arm": "all_llm__placebo_vote", | |
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| "n_deals": 120, | |
| "logical_table": "all_llm", | |
| "seeded_offer": "placebo", | |
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| { | |
| "arm": "all_llm__unseeded", | |
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