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3496
1
null
null
27
14804
(I'm a newbie at stats. I'm a mathematician and a programmer and I'm trying to build something like a naive Bayesian spam filter.) I've noticed in many places that people tend to break down the denominator in the equation from Bayes' Theorem. So instead of this: $\frac{P(A|B)\cdot P(B)}{P(A)}$ We are presented with thi...
Why break down the denominator in Bayes' Theorem?
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-11T23:45:58.103
2010-10-12T08:30:55.770
null
null
5793
[ "bayesian" ]
3497
1
null
null
8
953
I have a fairly larege file 100M rows and 30 columns or so on which I would like to run multiple regressions. I have specialized code to run the regressions on the entire file, but what I would like to do is draw random samples from the file and run them in R. The strategy is: randomly sample N rows from ...
Doing regressions on samples from a very large file: are the means and SEs of the sample coefficients consistent estimators?
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-11T23:47:31.373
2010-12-19T21:49:54.970
2010-10-12T08:23:45.100
8
null
[ "r", "regression", "large-data", "bootstrap" ]
3500
2
null
3496
9
null
One reason for using the total probability rule is that we often deal with the component probabilities in that expression and it's straightforward to find the marginal probability by simply plugging in the values. For an illustration of this, see the following example on Wikipedia: - Bayes' Theorem > Example 1: Drug ...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-12T01:53:18.930
2010-10-12T01:53:18.930
null
null
251
null
3501
2
null
3496
18
null
The short answer to your question is, "most of the time we don't know what P(cheese) is, and it is often (relatively) difficult to calculate." The longer answer why Bayes' Rule/Theorem is normally stated in the way that you wrote is because in Bayesian problems we have - sitting in our lap - a prior distribution (the ...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-12T02:16:56.347
2010-10-12T03:49:44.033
2010-10-12T03:49:44.033
null
null
null
3502
2
null
3489
5
null
it sounds as tho the following simplified situation may capture the essence of your problem: there are two populations of individuals: A = acceptable individuals and U = unacceptables. associated with each individual is a 'score' $X$. suppose in each of the two populations, the scores have gaussian distributions, wher...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-12T03:00:29.283
2010-10-12T03:00:29.283
null
null
1112
null
3503
2
null
3497
2
null
The greater the sample N, the smaller the standard error (higher t stat, and smaller the respective p values) associated with all your regression coefficients. The greater M, the more datapoints you will have and the smaller will be your standard error of the mean of the coefficients over M runs. Such means should ha...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-12T04:24:05.447
2010-10-12T16:10:17.650
2010-10-12T16:10:17.650
1329
1329
null
3504
1
3506
null
5
10221
I measured response variable $Y$ at three levels of factor $A$ and four levels of factor $B$, $n=6$ reps/treatment. Results include - $A$ has strong effects on $Y$. - $B$ has no effect on $Y$ - There is no $A*B$ interaction I would like to report all three results (the second two are actually more interesting than...
If an ANOVA indicates no main effect and no interaction, should the lack of interaction be stated?
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-12T04:26:28.497
2010-10-12T11:11:42.463
2010-10-12T08:34:15.140
1381
1381
[ "anova", "multiple-comparisons", "interpretation" ]
3505
2
null
3504
6
null
Please let me know if you have replicates in your experiment. As you mention using Tukey HSD, I am guessing you don't have any replicates. If you experiment analyzes test of additivity in a two-way factorial Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) with one observation per cell, then please read ahead or otherwise ignore my soluti...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-12T07:34:16.077
2010-10-12T11:11:42.463
2010-10-12T11:11:42.463
1307
1307
null
3506
2
null
3504
8
null
Well, it depends if the interaction was your main hypothesis or not. If this the case, then you are encouraged to report the negative result, otherwise you can simply refit your model (without the B and A:B terms) to get a better estimate of A. Now, the part of your conclusion that you emphasized doesn't sound correct ...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-12T07:39:17.673
2010-10-12T07:39:17.673
null
null
930
null
3507
2
null
3497
5
null
If you can assume that your rows of your data matrix are exchangeable then your modelling strategy should work well. Your method should be fine under the conditions stated by Gaetan Lion before. The reason why your method will work (given the exchangeability assumption holds) is that it be taken as a special case of p...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-12T07:49:44.903
2010-10-12T07:57:05.120
2010-10-12T07:57:05.120
1307
1307
null
3508
2
null
3489
12
null
Just to add to other responses, here is a brief recap' on terminology. For any biometric or classification system, the main performance indicator is the [receiver operating characteristic](http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Receiver_operating_characteristic) (ROC) curve, which is a plot of true acceptance rate (TAR=1-FRR, th...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-12T08:19:36.063
2010-10-16T09:07:13.943
2010-10-16T09:07:13.943
930
930
null
3509
2
null
3496
7
null
Previous replies are detailed enough, but an intuitive way of looking why $P (A) $ (ie dinominator in the Bayes theorem) is broken into two cases. It is hard to comment about what is the $P(A)$ without any knowledge whether the email is ham or spam. You are correct that "cheese" appears in spam as well as in ham, but i...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-12T08:30:55.770
2010-10-12T08:30:55.770
null
null
1307
null
3510
2
null
3458
15
null
It's important to bear in mind that there's no one algorithm that's always better than others. As stated by Wolpert and Macready, "any two algorithms are equivalent when their performance is averaged across all possible problems." (See [Wikipedia](http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/No_free_lunch_in_search_and_optimization) f...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-12T08:56:16.850
2010-10-12T08:56:16.850
null
null
1436
null
3511
1
3513
null
12
8881
I have programmed a logistic regression using the [IRLS algorithm](http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iteratively_reweighted_least_squares). I would like to apply a [LASSO penalization](http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Least_squares#LASSO_method) in order to automatically select the right features. At each iteration, the followi...
How to Apply the Iteratively Reweighted Least Squares (IRLS) Method to the LASSO Model?
CC BY-SA 4.0
null
2010-10-12T09:01:26.290
2019-08-11T13:44:03.553
2019-08-11T13:44:03.553
6244
1351
[ "logistic", "generalized-linear-model", "feature-selection", "lasso", "convex" ]
3512
2
null
3511
5
null
The LASSO loss function has a discontinuity at zero along each axis, so IRLS is going to have problems with it. I have found a sequential minimal optimisation (SMO) type approach very effective, see e.g. [http://bioinformatics.oxfordjournals.org/content/19/17/2246](http://bioinformatics.oxfordjournals.org/content/19/1...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-12T09:53:32.290
2010-10-12T09:53:32.290
null
null
887
null
3513
2
null
3511
13
null
This problem is typically solved by fit by coordinate descent ([see here](http://www.jstatsoft.org/v33/i01/paper)). This method is both safer more efficient numerically, algorithmically easier to implement and applicable to a more general array of models (also including Cox regression). An R implementation is availab...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-12T10:47:21.650
2010-10-12T10:47:21.650
null
null
603
null
3514
1
null
null
6
15725
While most of the tests for normality help for continous variables, is there a way to test the normality assumptions for binary variables. From what i've read on wiki, the K-S test can be applied for continous variables. How do we perform normality tests for binary (or even categorical variables)?
What is the normality test for binary data?
CC BY-SA 3.0
null
2010-10-12T12:34:08.707
2011-07-22T14:35:13.750
2011-07-22T14:35:13.750
null
null
[ "normality-assumption" ]
3515
2
null
3514
13
null
There is no such thing as normality of categorical variable. Normal distribution is a continuous distribution so in assumption don't cover categorical output.
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-12T12:38:31.813
2010-10-12T12:38:31.813
null
null
null
null
3516
1
null
null
7
4267
I have a binary variable (which takes values 0,1). I have about 100k records of it. How do I determine if it follows the binomial distribution? (I'm bascially trying to test for normality. And, if the data is not normal, I might have to apply a transformation to get the variable into a binomial distribution.) --- He...
Binomial test for a binary variable
CC BY-SA 3.0
null
2010-10-12T13:17:55.790
2012-05-25T15:33:12.343
2012-05-25T15:33:12.343
919
null
[ "binomial-distribution", "assumptions" ]
3517
2
null
3516
17
null
You cannot determine this through a statistical test, for a trivial reason and a profound reason. The trivial reason is that your data consist of $k$ ones and $n-k$ zeros with $n$ about 100k. These data conform extremely closely to a Bernoulli($k/n$) distribution. No testing is necessary. The profound reason is that ...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-12T13:31:01.233
2010-10-12T13:31:01.233
null
null
919
null
3518
2
null
3516
5
null
I completely agree with @whuber -- just wanted to add: If you were to try to transform the data. How would you go about doing so? You would map 0 to some number say, -5 and 1 to some other number?, say 5? So now instead of having: ``` 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 ``` You have: ``` -5 -5 -5 5 -5 5 5 -5 5 -5 5 ``` This cann...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-12T13:40:22.543
2010-10-12T13:40:22.543
null
null
1499
null
3519
1
3521
null
14
9891
I started to do Monte Carlo in R as a hobby, but eventually a financial analyst advised to migrate to Matlab. I'm an experienced software developer. but a Monte Carlo beginner. I want to construct static models with sensitivity analysis, later dynamic models. Need good libraries/ algorithms that guide me. To me seems t...
Is Matlab/octave or R better suited for monte carlo simulation?
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-12T13:58:35.760
2011-01-20T21:11:26.137
null
null
778
[ "r", "matlab", "monte-carlo" ]
3520
1
3523
null
63
23337
I see the concept of 'exchangeability' being used in different contexts (e.g., bayesian models) but I have never understood the term very well. - What does this concept mean? - Under what circumstances is this concept invoked and why?
Can someone explain the concept of 'exchangeability'?
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-12T14:59:04.240
2017-11-03T23:18:45.340
2017-11-03T23:18:45.340
11887
1558
[ "bayesian", "intuition", "exchangeability" ]
3521
2
null
3519
18
null
I use both. I often prototype functions & algorithms in Matlab because, as stated, it is easier to express an algorithm in something which is close to a pure mathematical language. R does have excellent libraries. I'm still learning it, but I'm starting to leave Matlab in the dust because once you know R, it's also f...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-12T15:01:30.577
2010-10-12T17:30:48.863
2010-10-12T17:30:48.863
1499
1499
null
3523
2
null
3520
71
null
Exchangeability is meant to capture symmetry in a problem, symmetry in a sense that does not require independence. Formally, a sequence is exchangeable if its joint probability distribution is a symmetric function of its $n$ arguments. Intuitively it means we can swap around, or reorder, variables in the sequence with...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-12T15:42:19.113
2010-10-12T15:42:19.113
null
null
null
null
3524
2
null
3519
2
null
If your simulations will involve relatively sophisticated techniques, then R is the way to go, because it is likely that routines you'll need will be available in R, but not necessarily in matlab.
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-12T16:10:12.330
2010-10-12T16:10:12.330
null
null
247
null
3525
2
null
3519
9
null
Although I almost exclusively use `R`, I really admire the profiler in `Matlab`. When your program is kind of slow you normally want to know where the bottleneck is. Matlab's profiler is a great tool for achieving this as it tells you how much time is spend on each line of the code. At least to me, using `Rprof` is inc...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-12T16:44:23.817
2010-10-12T16:44:23.817
null
null
442
null
3526
1
null
null
10
12500
The Marascuilo procedure as described [here](http://www.itl.nist.gov/div898/handbook/prc/section4/prc474.htm) seems to be a test that addresses the issue of multiple comparisons for proportions when you want to test which specific proportions are different from each other after rejecting the null in an overall chi-squa...
Has anyone used the Marascuilo procedure for comparing multiple proportions?
CC BY-SA 3.0
null
2010-10-12T16:53:32.110
2013-05-24T18:02:22.337
2017-04-13T12:44:45.783
-1
null
[ "multiple-comparisons", "chi-squared-test" ]
3527
2
null
3519
15
null
To be honest, I think any question you ask around here about R vs ... will be bias towards R. Remember that R is by far the most used [tag](https://stats.stackexchange.com/tags)! What I do My current working practice is to use R to prototype and use C when I need an extra boost of speed. It used to be that I would have...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-12T17:22:31.393
2010-10-12T17:22:31.393
2017-04-13T12:44:49.837
-1
8
null
3528
2
null
1874
2
null
I tend to use Gaussian process models for this and similar surface estimation (Possible relevant examples [here](http://www.ece.uvic.ca/~btill/papers/learning/Evans_etal_1993.pdf) and [here](http://www.springerlink.com/content/mv8888524v86043g/)). But perhaps your question would be best asked over on [Stack Overflow?]...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-12T18:05:37.703
2010-10-12T18:11:52.460
2017-05-23T12:39:27.620
-1
1499
null
3529
2
null
3476
13
null
ars has the right, and succinct answer. I'll add that when learning how to use matplotlib, I found the [thumbnail gallery](http://matplotlib.sourceforge.net/gallery.html#) to be really useful for finding relevant code and examples. For your case, I submitted [this boxplot example](http://matplotlib.sourceforge.net/exam...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-12T18:59:33.793
2010-10-12T18:59:33.793
null
null
1080
null
3530
2
null
298
217
null
I always hesitate to jump into a thread with as many excellent responses as this, but it strikes me that few of the answers provide any reason to prefer the logarithm to some other transformation that "squashes" the data, such as a root or reciprocal. Before getting to that, let's recapitulate the wisdom in the existin...
null
CC BY-SA 3.0
null
2010-10-12T18:59:34.423
2011-10-16T16:27:44.830
2011-10-16T16:27:44.830
919
919
null
3531
1
7011
null
6
494
I would like to perform reversible jump on a network model, but before arriving there, I'm wondering if there are any R packages which support reversible jump for a user specified generalized linear model or spatial-GLM? Something as simple as an RJMCMC procedure (in R) for the selection of predictors in a logistic reg...
Are there any R functions which support Reversible Jump MCMC for a GLM or SGLM?
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-12T19:54:05.787
2011-02-09T04:39:53.350
2010-10-12T20:07:43.090
8
1499
[ "r", "bayesian", "markov-chain-montecarlo" ]
3532
1
3535
null
15
1493
When programming in R, I've used the [multicore](http://www.rforge.net/doc/packages/multicore/multicore.html) package a few times. However, I've never seen a statement about how it handles it's random numbers. When I use openMP with C, I'm careful to use a proper parallel RNG, but with R I've assume that something sens...
Random numbers and the multicore package
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-12T20:14:49.203
2010-10-14T08:11:42.007
2010-10-14T08:11:42.007
8
8
[ "r", "random-generation", "parallel-computing", "multicore" ]
3533
2
null
298
22
null
For more on whuber's excellent point about reasons to prefer the logarithm to some other transformations such as a root or reciprocal, but focussing on the unique interpretability of the regression coefficients resulting from log-transformation compared to other transformations, see: Oliver N. Keene. The log transforma...
null
CC BY-SA 4.0
null
2010-10-12T20:26:52.947
2021-12-09T20:01:45.203
2021-12-09T20:01:45.203
321901
449
null
3534
2
null
3532
7
null
You might want to look at page 5 of this [document](http://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/multicore/multicore.pdf) and of this [document](http://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/doMC/vignettes/gettingstartedMC.pdf). By default, under R, each core sets is own seed (i seem to recall using high precision time). NB: if yo...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-12T20:52:14.757
2010-10-13T06:40:54.883
2010-10-13T06:40:54.883
603
603
null
3535
2
null
3532
8
null
I'm not sure how the `foreach` works (from the doMC package, I guess), but in multicore if you did something like `mclapply` the `mc.set.seed` parameter defaults to `TRUE` which gives each process a different seed (e.g. `mclapply(1:1000, rnorm)`). I assume your code is translated into something similar, i.e. it boils ...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-12T20:54:46.470
2010-10-12T20:54:46.470
null
null
251
null
3536
2
null
3526
8
null
Just a partial answer because I've never heard of this method. From what I read in the link you provided, it seems to be a single-step procedure (much like Bonferroni, except we rework the test statistics instead of the p-value) which is likely to be too conservative. In R, there is a function `pairwise.prop.test()` wh...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-12T20:56:39.273
2010-10-12T21:23:24.407
2010-10-12T21:23:24.407
930
930
null
3537
1
null
null
1
998
I have 3 factors factor1 (treatment) with 2 levels (control, stress) factor2 (Variates) with 12 Levels (Var1, Var2,....Var12) factor3 (Time) with 12 levels (Week1, Week2,..., Week12) The treatment has 3 replicates for control and 6 replicates for stress. Would it be unbalanced Design? What design would you suggest in ...
Unbalanced repeated measure design for the given data?
CC BY-SA 2.5
0
2010-10-12T22:33:09.020
2011-01-14T19:30:39.253
2011-01-14T19:30:39.253
449
null
[ "anova", "experiment-design", "split-plot" ]
3538
2
null
3537
2
null
Judging by your description- Yes, your design is unbalanced. But you haven't specified what happens with the factor2? or when you say variates - you mean to say that you include co-variates in the model as in ANCOVA. As you say, repeated measures, I am assuming each of the 3 replicates in control and 6 replicates in st...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-12T22:43:53.553
2010-10-13T17:37:12.843
2010-10-13T17:37:12.843
1307
1307
null
3539
1
3546
null
30
33502
Which inter-rater reliability methods are most appropriate for ordinal or interval data? I believe that "Joint probability of agreement" or "Kappa" are designed for nominal data. Whilst "Pearson" and "Spearman" can be used, they are mainly used for two raters (although they can be used for more than two raters). What o...
Inter-rater reliability for ordinal or interval data
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-12T22:48:56.690
2022-05-12T09:30:29.330
2011-07-29T01:01:31.163
183
1564
[ "reliability", "psychometrics", "agreement-statistics", "cohens-kappa" ]
3540
2
null
3539
6
null
The [Intraclass correlation](http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Intra-class_correlation_coefficient) may be used for ordinal data. But there are some caveats, primarily that the raters cannot be distinguished. For more on this and how to choose among different versions of the ICC, see: - Intraclass correlations: uses in a...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-12T23:11:53.597
2010-10-12T23:11:53.597
null
null
251
null
3542
1
3543
null
51
2701
I've seen various theoretical treatments of graphics, such as the [Grammar of Graphics](http://rads.stackoverflow.com/amzn/click/0387987746). But I have seen nothing equivalent with regards to tables. Over the while I have developed an informal model of good practice in table design. However, I'd like to be able to pr...
What is a good resource on table design?
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-13T01:57:30.580
2019-09-11T05:16:40.350
2010-11-11T00:44:27.600
183
183
[ "tables" ]
3543
2
null
3542
28
null
Ed Tufte has a few pages on this in his classic ["The Visual Display of Quantitative Information"](http://rads.stackoverflow.com/amzn/click/0961392142). For a much more detailed treatment, there is Jane Miller's [Chicago Guide to Writing about Numbers](http://rads.stackoverflow.com/amzn/click/0226526313). I've never se...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-13T02:26:22.177
2010-10-13T02:26:22.177
null
null
159
null
3544
2
null
3526
3
null
I would like to see the Marascuilo procedure used more often. Quite frequently I see people calculating the chi-square on a subset of the main table ie two categories at the time but without actually doing the partitioning correctly. The reason why they do it this way as far as iI understood is that they can't bear gro...
null
CC BY-SA 3.0
null
2010-10-13T03:14:21.180
2013-05-24T18:02:22.337
2013-05-24T18:02:22.337
805
10229
null
3545
2
null
3542
15
null
Stephen Few's book [Show Me the Numbers: Designing Tables and Graphs to Enlighten](http://www.powells.com/biblio/62-9780970601995-0) has a couple of chapters devoted to tabular display of information. It's good and recommended, but it's not quite Grammar of Graphics if that's what you're after. Update This sounds inte...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-13T03:34:07.880
2010-10-13T03:39:35.697
2010-10-13T03:39:35.697
251
251
null
3546
2
null
3539
35
null
The Kappa ($\kappa$) statistic is a quality index that compares observed agreement between 2 raters on a nominal or ordinal scale with agreement expected by chance alone (as if raters were tossing up). Extensions for the case of multiple raters exist (2, pp. 284–291). In the case of ordinal data, you can use the [weigh...
null
CC BY-SA 4.0
null
2010-10-13T06:12:24.867
2022-05-12T09:30:29.330
2022-05-12T09:30:29.330
79696
930
null
3547
2
null
3463
4
null
How do you define correlation for non stationary time series? Do you plan to take the correlation of the diff or these time series? If not, I suggest you look for cointegration rather than correlation (cf Granger etc...)
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-13T06:37:12.110
2010-10-13T06:37:12.110
null
null
1709
null
3548
2
null
555
10
null
ANOVA can be used with categorical explanatory variables (factors) that take more than 2 values (levels), and gives a basic test that the mean response is the same for every value. This avoids the regression problem on carrying multiple pairwise t-tests between those levels: - Multiple t-tests on a fixed 5% significan...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-13T08:53:32.477
2010-10-29T13:26:46.320
2010-10-29T13:26:46.320
1077
1077
null
3549
1
3555
null
88
82996
In a multiple linear regression, why is it possible to have a highly significant F statistic (p<.001) but have very high p-values on all the regressor's t tests? In my model, there are 10 regressors. One has a p-value of 0.1 and the rest are above 0.9 --- For dealing with this problem see the [follow-up question](ht...
Why is it possible to get significant F statistic (p<.001) but non-significant regressor t-tests?
CC BY-SA 3.0
null
2010-10-13T09:40:17.420
2020-10-17T02:24:14.720
2020-10-17T02:24:14.720
11887
1077
[ "regression", "hypothesis-testing", "t-test", "multicollinearity", "faq" ]
3550
2
null
1610
5
null
(a bit joke answer I invented just a minute ago) - A first class person thinks he is always right. - A second class person thinks he is always wrong. --- - The first class person can only make a type I error (because sometimes he will be wrong). - The second class person can only make a type II error (because ...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-13T10:15:00.153
2010-10-13T10:15:00.153
null
null
1219
null
3551
2
null
3516
1
null
ALL binary variables have the binomial distribution, provided that the probability of success (probability to observe 1) does not change and that all their instances are independent. A rule of thumb says that binomial distribution can be fairly approximated by normal distribution when n*p>30, with n=number of instances...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-13T11:07:31.753
2010-10-13T11:07:31.753
null
null
1219
null
3552
1
null
null
5
762
I've got a model that I've developed in R, but also need to express in SAS. It's a double GLM, that is, I fit both the mean and (log-)variance as linear combinations of the predictors: $E(Y) = X_1'b_1$ $\log V(Y) = X_2'b_2$ where Y has a normal distribution, $X_1$ and $X_2$ are the vectors of independent variables, and...
Replicating R model in SAS
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-13T11:31:21.963
2010-10-14T03:36:05.547
2010-10-13T12:34:00.090
null
1569
[ "r", "sas" ]
3553
2
null
3549
42
null
This happens when the predictors are highly correlated. Imagine a situation where there are only two predictors with very high correlation. Individually, they both also correlate closely with the response variable. Consequently, the F-test has a low p-value (it is saying that the predictors together are highly signific...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-13T11:45:32.477
2010-10-13T11:45:32.477
null
null
159
null
3554
2
null
3352
1
null
If $x_1=0$, then $Y$~$(\beta_0,\sigma^2)$ in model 1 and $Y$~$(0,\sigma^2)$ in model 2. If $x_1=1$, then $Y$~$(\beta_0+\beta_1,\sigma^2)$ in model 1 and $Y$~$(\beta_1,\sigma^2)$ in model 2. Look for example at the first line: is $\beta_0$ a random variable or is a zero constant?
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-13T11:46:32.707
2010-10-13T11:46:32.707
null
null
1219
null
3555
2
null
3549
61
null
As Rob mentions, this occurs when you have highly correlated variables. The standard example I use is predicting weight from shoe size. You can predict weight equally well with the right or left shoe size. But together it doesn't work out. Brief simulation example ``` RSS = 3:10 #Right shoe size LSS = rnorm(RSS, RSS, 0...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-13T12:29:11.170
2010-10-13T12:29:11.170
null
null
8
null
3556
1
null
null
13
4636
Can anyone report on their experience with an adaptive kernel density estimator? (There are many synonyms: adaptive | variable | variable-width, KDE | histogram | interpolator ...) [Variable kernel density estimation](http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variable_kernel_density_estimation) says "we vary the width of the kernel...
Adaptive kernel density estimators?
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-13T14:22:54.863
2011-11-26T20:26:33.493
2011-01-17T23:59:29.293
449
557
[ "kde", "k-nearest-neighbour" ]
3557
2
null
3549
10
null
A keyword to search for would be "collinearity" or "multicollinearity". This can be detected using diagnostics like [Variance Inflation Factors](http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variance_inflation_factor) (VIFs) or methods as described inthe textbook ["Regression Diagnostics: Identifying Influential Data and Sources of Col...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-13T14:38:26.963
2010-10-13T14:38:26.963
null
null
1352
null
3558
2
null
1337
10
null
This one's from the xkcd forums: > Three statisticians are out hunting. Bird flies up out of the bush, and the first statistician aims and fires. Unfortunately for them, he missed, the bullet going about a foot below the bird. The second one fires, but the bullet goes about a foot above the bird. The thi...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-13T15:07:55.360
2010-10-13T15:07:55.360
null
null
144
null
3559
1
3562
null
72
85563
I have `SPSS` output for a logistic regression model. The output reports two measures for the model fit, `Cox & Snell` and `Nagelkerke`. So as a rule of thumb, which of these $R^²$ measures would you report as the model fit? Or, which of these fit indices is the one that is usually reported in journals? --- Some Bac...
Which pseudo-$R^2$ measure is the one to report for logistic regression (Cox & Snell or Nagelkerke)?
CC BY-SA 3.0
null
2010-10-13T16:12:57.630
2022-04-08T13:17:46.170
2022-04-07T19:24:49.050
11887
442
[ "logistic", "goodness-of-fit", "r-squared", "pseudo-r-squared" ]
3560
2
null
3559
3
null
I would prefer the Nagelkerke as this model fit attains 1 when the model fits perfectly giving the reader a sense of how far your model is from perfect fit. The Cox & Shell does not attain 1 for perfect model fit and hence interpreting a value of 0.09 is a bit harder. See this url for further info on [Pseudo RSquared](...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-13T16:36:53.413
2010-10-13T16:36:53.413
null
null
null
null
3561
1
3569
null
27
16311
In a multiple linear regression with highly correlated regressors, what is the best strategy to use? Is it a legitimate approach to add the product of all the correlated regressors?
Dealing with correlated regressors
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-13T17:34:00.057
2010-10-14T07:24:54.397
2010-10-13T19:36:47.703
1352
1077
[ "regression", "multicollinearity" ]
3562
2
null
3559
94
null
Normally I wouldn't report $R^2$ at all. Hosmer and Lemeshow, in their textbook [Applied Logistic Regression](http://rads.stackoverflow.com/amzn/click/0471356328) (2nd Ed.), explain why: > In general, [$R^2$ measures] are based on various comparisons of the predicted values from the fitted model to those from [the ba...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-13T17:46:39.857
2010-10-13T17:46:39.857
null
null
919
null
3563
2
null
3561
1
null
I'm no expert on this, but my first thought would be to run a principal component analysis on the predictor variables, then use the resulting principal components to predict your dependent variable.
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-13T17:48:25.090
2010-10-13T18:00:55.567
2010-10-13T18:00:55.567
364
364
null
3564
1
3581
null
5
6863
I would like to apply KDE to inventory replenishment, but I am not sure how to use the analysis to predict future sales based on past sales. Given a set of data and having applied KDE to it (probably using a Gaussian distribution), how do I make a prediction about the future? Thanks for any help! Please let me know if...
How to use Kernel Density Estimation for Prediction?
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-13T17:48:45.233
2015-04-23T05:53:04.807
2015-04-23T05:53:04.807
9964
1574
[ "time-series", "forecasting", "smoothing", "kernel-smoothing" ]
3565
2
null
3561
-1
null
One of the ways to reduce the effects of correlation is to standardize the regressors. In standardizing, all the regressors are subtracted by their respective means and divided by their respective standard deviations. Specifically, if $X$ is the regression matrix: $$x_{ij}^{standardized}=\frac {x_{ij}-\overline{x_{.j}}...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-13T17:48:53.860
2010-10-13T18:09:04.173
2010-10-13T18:09:04.173
1307
1307
null
3566
2
null
3559
32
null
Both indices are measures of strength of association (i.e. whether any predictor is associated with the outcome, as for an LR test), and can be used to quantify predictive ability or model performance. A single predictor may have a significant effect on the outcome but it might not necessarily be so useful for predicti...
null
CC BY-SA 4.0
null
2010-10-13T18:02:06.783
2022-03-18T18:34:41.897
2022-03-18T18:34:41.897
4253
930
null
3567
2
null
3561
11
null
You can use principal components or ridge regression to deal with this problem. On the other hand, if you have two variables that are correlated highly enough to cause problems with parameter estimation, then you could almost certainly drop either one of the two without losing much in terms of prediction--because the ...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-13T18:12:33.317
2010-10-13T19:44:22.127
2010-10-13T19:44:22.127
485
485
null
3568
2
null
1610
10
null
I'll try not to be redundant with other responses (although it seems a little bit what J. M. already suggested), but I generally like showing the following two pictures: ![alt text](https://i.stack.imgur.com/9TEBZ.jpg) ![alt text](https://i.stack.imgur.com/YBAL1.png)
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-13T18:43:21.297
2010-10-13T18:43:21.297
null
null
930
null
3569
2
null
3561
16
null
Principal components make a lot of sense... mathematically. However, I'd be wary of simply using some mathematical trick in this case and hoping that I don't need to think about my problem. I'd recommend thinking a little about what kind of predictors I have, what the independent variable is, why my predictors are corr...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-13T19:25:05.967
2010-10-13T19:25:05.967
null
null
1352
null
3570
2
null
3559
18
null
I found Tue Tjur's short [paper "Coefficients of Determination in Logistic Regression Models - A New Proposal: The Coefficient of Discrimination" (2009, The American Statistician)](http://pubs.amstat.org/doi/abs/10.1198/tast.2009.08210) on various proposals for a coefficient of determination in logistic models quite e...
null
CC BY-SA 4.0
null
2010-10-13T19:33:11.767
2018-07-12T21:29:56.463
2018-07-12T21:29:56.463
1352
1352
null
3571
2
null
3561
3
null
Here is another thought that is inspired by Stephan's [answer](https://stats.stackexchange.com/questions/3561/dealing-with-correlated-regressors/3569#3569): If some of your correlated regressors are meaningfully related (e.g., they are different measures of intelligence i.e., verbal, math etc) then you can create a sin...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-13T19:43:22.190
2010-10-13T19:43:22.190
2017-04-13T12:44:45.783
-1
null
null
3572
2
null
3561
2
null
I was about to say much the same thing as Stephan Kolassa above (so have upvoted his answer). I'd only add that sometimes multicollinearity can be due to using [extensive variables](http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Intensive_and_extensive_properties) which are all highly correlated with some measure of size, and things can...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-13T19:48:14.617
2010-10-14T07:24:54.397
2010-10-14T07:24:54.397
449
449
null
3573
2
null
3564
5
null
I would have thought that KDE bear little if any relationship to predicting future sales based on past sales. Sounds more like [time series analysis](http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Time_series) to me, though that's really not my area.
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-13T19:54:25.117
2010-10-13T19:54:25.117
null
null
449
null
3574
2
null
3559
9
null
I was also going to say 'neither of them', so i've upvoted whuber's answer. As well as criticising R^2, Hosmer & Lemeshow did propose an alternative measure of goodness-of-fit for logistic regression that is sometimes useful. This is based on dividing the data into (say) 10 groups of equal size (or as near as possible)...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-13T20:08:11.973
2010-10-13T20:08:11.973
null
null
449
null
3575
1
3576
null
5
16484
I've got a data table like: ``` ID Low Color Med Color High Color 1 234 123 324 2 4 432 3423 ``` The rows are widgets, the columns are color levels. Would you call this table "widgets by color level" or "color levels by widget"?
Is it "rows by columns" or "columns by rows"?
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-13T20:45:25.290
2021-02-01T13:30:41.447
2021-02-01T13:30:41.447
101426
1531
[ "terminology" ]
3576
2
null
3575
9
null
"That depends." Rows are usually considered observations, and columns are variables. So I would say widgets by color level in your context. But it really depends on which are your [dependent and independent variables](http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dependent_and_independent_variables) (or how you're interpreting the d...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-13T20:50:40.067
2010-10-13T20:50:40.067
null
null
5
null
3577
2
null
3575
5
null
Of course you can view this table either way by transposing it. Conventionally, in a database rows represent objects and columns contain their attributes, whence this presentation would typically be viewed as a list of widgets, not a list of color levels.
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-13T20:51:02.110
2010-10-13T20:51:02.110
null
null
919
null
3578
2
null
3575
3
null
Typically, we talk about a r(ow) X (c)olumn matrix, from Linear Algebra. So, a matrix with 2 rows and 3 columns is a 2 X 3 matrix. By that logic, I'd call your data frame a "Widgets by Color" table.
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-13T20:54:42.053
2010-10-13T20:54:42.053
null
null
485
null
3579
2
null
3575
2
null
for a table like that, I say it the same way I'd say "n by k" for a matrix with n rows and k columns (i.e. rows first).
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-13T21:46:38.637
2010-10-13T21:46:38.637
null
null
805
null
3581
2
null
3564
7
null
You can use conditional kernel density estimation to obtain the density of sales at time $t+h$ conditional on the values of sales at times $t, t-1, t-2, \dots$ This gives you a density forecast rather than a point forecast. The problem is that the conditioning is difficult in a density setting when the number of condit...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-13T22:49:26.513
2010-10-13T22:49:26.513
null
null
159
null
3582
2
null
3556
-1
null
Loess/lowess is basically a variable KDE method, with the width of the kernel being set by the nearest-neighbour approach. I've found that it works pretty well, certainly much better than any fixed-width model when the density of data points varies markedly. One thing to be aware of with KDE and multi-dimensional data ...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-14T01:16:51.910
2010-10-14T01:16:51.910
null
null
1569
null
3583
2
null
3552
4
null
Rather than the code you present, I assume you're doing something like `class x21 x22` followed by the `repeated` clause `group=x21*x22` to end up with 12 parameters. This is the only option I'm aware of within SAS, i.e. I don't think you can get a straightforward stratification of the variation across the combined le...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-14T03:22:37.420
2010-10-14T03:36:05.547
2010-10-14T03:36:05.547
251
251
null
3584
1
3585
null
10
1350
I have a dataset asking people whether they have been to a certain places (e.g. A, B, C, D), and they can make more than one choice, then a specimen is taken from their nose to see if they are infected with some disease. I need to find out the relative risk of getting infected for one going to a certain place, I can on...
How to deal with survey question with multiple response?
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-14T03:36:34.627
2010-10-14T20:37:16.073
2010-10-14T20:37:16.073
1352
588
[ "logistic" ]
3585
2
null
3584
2
null
You can still use logistic regression because your outcome is dichotomous, infected vs not-infected. I would just simply take a dummy variable approach and use no travel as the reference category (i.e. for each of your places you have a variable coded as 1 if they visited that place and coded as 0 if they did not visit...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-14T04:40:09.423
2010-10-14T04:40:09.423
null
null
1036
null
3586
1
3593
null
2
1537
I am trying to calculate the relative risk for being tested as positive for people aged >25 or <=25, and here is the result. ``` $data Negative Positive Total >25 115 11 126 <=25 117 3 120 Total 232 14 246 $measure risk ratio with 95% C.I. estimat...
Inconsistency between Chi-sq and CI Estimation using Wald test
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-14T05:14:57.183
2010-10-15T06:16:16.390
2010-10-14T07:09:09.693
588
588
[ "chi-squared-test", "relative-risk" ]
3587
2
null
3586
0
null
I am not sure what is the $H_o$ in the case of the hypothesis test. Usually its $H_o: OR=1$. If this is true then, your situation can arise because of the following reasons: The asymptotics that you comparing might be very different in the two cases. The test statistic's sampling distribution for relative risk and OR ...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-14T06:34:56.423
2010-10-14T06:53:23.313
2010-10-14T06:53:23.313
1307
1307
null
3588
2
null
3556
7
null
The article * D. G. Terrell; D. W. Scott (1992). "Variable kernel density estimation". Annals of Statistics 20: 1236–1265.* cited at the end of the Wikipedia article you yourself cite clearly states that unless the observations space is very sparse the variable kernel method is not recommended on the basis of global ro...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-14T06:52:05.923
2010-10-14T06:52:05.923
null
null
603
null
3589
1
3605
null
10
32308
In a problem I am working on, I have two random variables, X and Y. I need to figure out how closely correlated the two of them are, but they are of different dimensions. The rank of the row space of X is 4350, and the rank of the row space of Y is substantially larger, in the tens of thousands. Both X and Y have the s...
Correlation between two variables of unequal size
CC BY-SA 3.0
null
2010-10-14T06:56:42.463
2017-03-03T08:41:00.493
2017-03-03T08:41:00.493
11887
1118
[ "time-series", "correlation", "missing-data", "finance" ]
3590
2
null
2948
8
null
Gephi implements the Louvain Modularity method: [http://wiki.gephi.org/index.php/Modularity](http://wiki.gephi.org/index.php/Modularity) cheers
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-14T07:15:50.350
2010-10-14T07:15:50.350
null
null
null
null
3591
2
null
3586
1
null
I think suncoolsu is on the right track, though RR = 1 if and only if OR = 1, so those null hypotheses are in fact one and the same. Pearson's chi-square test can be derived as a score test. In finite samples, score tests are, in general, better behaved than Wald tests, but less good than likelihood-ratio tests. If you...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-14T07:44:10.447
2010-10-14T07:44:10.447
null
null
449
null
3592
1
3604
null
7
352
I'm wondering about this question: short version: how to adequately compare the effect of a reclassification of the same subjects on survival long version: I have one cancer cohort that was sorted into TNM classes long time ago. The definition of the classes has now been updated and I like to know if, say, class 1 of t...
Survival analysis, one cohort, two classifications
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-14T07:45:21.910
2010-11-11T23:24:58.520
2010-11-11T23:24:58.520
449
1573
[ "hypothesis-testing", "survival", "non-independent" ]
3593
2
null
3586
4
null
The Wald test for contingency tables is known to be misleading or conservative and the general advice is to prefer the Likelihood Ratio Test: ``` > library(vcd) > mat <- matrix(c(115, 117, 11, 3), 2, 2) > assocstats(mat)$chisq_tests X^2 df P(> X^2) Likelihood Ratio 4.730771 1 0.02962760 Pearson...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-14T07:45:42.830
2010-10-15T06:16:16.390
2017-04-13T12:44:25.243
-1
251
null
3594
2
null
3589
10
null
So the problem is one of missing data (not all Y have a corresponding X, where correspondence is operationalized via time points). I don't think there is much to do here than just to throw away the Y you don't have an X for and calculate the correlation on the full pairs. You may want to read up on financial time serie...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-14T08:59:31.170
2010-10-14T13:21:45.070
2010-10-14T13:21:45.070
1352
1352
null
3595
1
3597
null
28
15815
Currently I have to analyze approximately 20M records and build prediction models. So far I have tried out Statistica, SPSS, RapidMiner and R. Among these Statistica seems to be most suitable to deal with data mining and RapidMiner user interface is also very handy but it seems that Statistica, RapidMiner and SPSS are ...
Statistics and data mining software tools for dealing with large datasets
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-14T10:28:15.937
2014-12-22T15:47:25.553
2010-10-14T17:54:48.267
null
315
[ "large-data", "software", "data-mining" ]
3596
2
null
2061
3
null
[http://datajournalism.stanford.edu/](http://datajournalism.stanford.edu/) : Video on visualisation
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-14T10:31:18.257
2010-10-14T10:31:18.257
null
null
183
null
3597
2
null
3595
19
null
I'll second @suncoolsu comment: The dimensionality of your data set is not the only criterion that should orient you toward a specific software. For instance, if you're just planning to do unsupervised clustering or use PCA, there are several dedicated tools that cope with large data sets, as commonly encountered in ge...
null
CC BY-SA 2.5
null
2010-10-14T11:15:57.903
2010-10-15T11:39:14.457
2010-10-15T11:39:14.457
930
930
null
3598
2
null
3589
1
null
Given the extra information in your comments I'd recommend looking at two correlations. The first would be the common time periods that the companies were both around. So, if one was around 2 years earlier you'd just drop that data and look at the rest. The second would be the relative time periods. In the second o...
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2010-10-14T11:45:25.467
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Could anyone give me hints as to a model framework that can be used in the following setting: The outcome A is dichotomous. I want to investigate the effect of a continuous variable B and a continous variable C on A in a longitudinal setting. So far so good. The problem is that C depends on B, in that values of B abo...
Model suggestion
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2010-10-14T12:36:05.257
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[ "modeling", "causality" ]
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@Jeromy Anglim specified this correctly. Having the extra information when only one of the time series existed would provide no value here. And in principle, the data should be sampled at the same time for it to be meaningful using conventional correlation measures. As a more general problem, I would add that there a...
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2010-10-14T13:31:19.233
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