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Datasets:
vpcapitano
/
polymarket-genesis-liquidity

Modalities:
Tabular
Text
Formats:
parquet
Languages:
English
Size:
100M - 1B
Tags:
prediction-markets
market-microstructure
polymarket
liquidity
order-book
Libraries:
Datasets
pandas
Polars
License:
Dataset card Data Studio Files
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timestamp_ms
int64
token_id
string
token_side
string
market_id
string
question
string
best_bid
float64
best_ask
float64
mid
float64
spread
float64
total_bid_depth
float64
total_ask_depth
float64
n_bid_levels
int64
n_ask_levels
int64
neg_risk
bool
tick_size
float64
top_bids_json
string
top_asks_json
string
1,764,632,872,137
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.09
0.56
0.325
0.47
331.52
1,234.99
6
7
true
0.01
[[0.09, 5.0], [0.08, 25.0], [0.07, 25.0], [0.06, 67.0], [0.05, 200.0], [0.01, 9.52]]
[[0.56, 5.0], [0.57, 10.0], [0.67, 33.33], [0.79, 33.33], [0.9, 20.0], [0.91, 133.33], [0.95, 1000.0]]
1,764,632,872,166
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.08
0.56
0.32
0.48
326.52
1,234.99
5
7
true
0.01
[[0.08, 25.0], [0.07, 25.0], [0.06, 67.0], [0.05, 200.0], [0.01, 9.52]]
[[0.56, 5.0], [0.57, 10.0], [0.67, 33.33], [0.79, 33.33], [0.9, 20.0], [0.91, 133.33], [0.95, 1000.0]]
1,764,632,872,256
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.08
0.09
0.085
0.01
321.52
1,239.99
5
8
true
0.01
[[0.08, 20.0], [0.07, 25.0], [0.06, 67.0], [0.05, 200.0], [0.01, 9.52]]
[[0.09, 5.0], [0.56, 5.0], [0.57, 10.0], [0.67, 33.33], [0.79, 33.33], [0.9, 20.0], [0.91, 133.33], [0.95, 1000.0]]
1,764,632,872,320
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.08
0.09
0.085
0.01
312.52
1,239.99
5
8
true
0.01
[[0.08, 11.0], [0.07, 25.0], [0.06, 67.0], [0.05, 200.0], [0.01, 9.52]]
[[0.09, 5.0], [0.56, 5.0], [0.57, 10.0], [0.67, 33.33], [0.79, 33.33], [0.9, 20.0], [0.91, 133.33], [0.95, 1000.0]]
1,764,632,872,338
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.08
0.09
0.085
0.01
302.52
1,239.99
5
8
true
0.01
[[0.08, 1.0], [0.07, 25.0], [0.06, 67.0], [0.05, 200.0], [0.01, 9.52]]
[[0.09, 5.0], [0.56, 5.0], [0.57, 10.0], [0.67, 33.33], [0.79, 33.33], [0.9, 20.0], [0.91, 133.33], [0.95, 1000.0]]
1,764,632,872,419
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.07
0.08
0.075
0.01
301.52
1,249.04
4
9
true
0.01
[[0.07, 25.0], [0.06, 67.0], [0.05, 200.0], [0.01, 9.52]]
[[0.08, 9.05], [0.09, 5.0], [0.56, 5.0], [0.57, 10.0], [0.67, 33.33], [0.79, 33.33], [0.9, 20.0], [0.91, 133.33], [0.95, 1000.0]]
1,764,633,190,183
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.06
0.09
0.075
0.03
226.52
1,200
3
7
true
0.01
[[0.06, 17.0], [0.05, 200.0], [0.01, 9.52]]
[[0.09, 5.0], [0.18, 25.0], [0.19, 10.0], [0.62, 20.0], [0.9, 40.0], [0.91, 100.0], [0.95, 1000.0]]
1,764,665,168,233
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.07
0.09
0.08
0.02
298.8
2,276.6
2
9
true
0.01
[[0.07, 98.8], [0.05, 200.0]]
[[0.09, 5.0], [0.1, 25.0], [0.13, 6.49], [0.16, 100.0], [0.18, 596.0], [0.91, 11.11], [0.94, 33.0], [0.95, 1000.0], [0.97, 500.0]]
1,764,665,177,383
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.07
0.09
0.08
0.02
297.6
2,275.6
2
9
true
0.01
[[0.07, 97.6], [0.05, 200.0]]
[[0.09, 5.0], [0.1, 24.0], [0.13, 6.49], [0.16, 100.0], [0.18, 596.0], [0.91, 11.11], [0.94, 33.0], [0.95, 1000.0], [0.97, 500.0]]
1,764,669,374,243
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.07
0.09
0.08
0.02
1,277.6
2,276.2
3
9
true
0.01
[[0.07, 77.6], [0.05, 200.0], [0.04, 1000.0]]
[[0.09, 5.0], [0.1, 10.0], [0.11, 21.09], [0.16, 100.0], [0.18, 596.0], [0.91, 11.11], [0.94, 33.0], [0.95, 1000.0], [0.97, 500.0]]
1,764,671,809,764
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.07
0.13
0.1
0.06
1,277.6
2,235.21
3
7
true
0.01
[[0.07, 77.6], [0.05, 200.0], [0.04, 1000.0]]
[[0.13, 15.1], [0.16, 100.0], [0.18, 576.0], [0.91, 11.11], [0.94, 33.0], [0.95, 1000.0], [0.97, 500.0]]
1,764,677,472,142
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.08
0.12
0.1
0.04
1,282.6
2,539.62
4
10
true
0.01
[[0.08, 5.0], [0.07, 77.6], [0.05, 200.0], [0.04, 1000.0]]
[[0.12, 71.13], [0.13, 31.15], [0.14, 47.04], [0.15, 58.57], [0.16, 522.62], [0.18, 265.0], [0.91, 11.11], [0.94, 33.0], [0.95, 1000.0], [0.97, 500.0]]
1,764,677,472,173
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.07
0.08
0.075
0.01
1,277.6
2,544.62
3
11
true
0.01
[[0.07, 77.6], [0.05, 200.0], [0.04, 1000.0]]
[[0.08, 5.0], [0.12, 71.13], [0.13, 31.15], [0.14, 47.04], [0.15, 58.57], [0.16, 522.62], [0.18, 265.0], [0.91, 11.11], [0.94, 33.0], [0.95, 1000.0]]
1,764,689,081,521
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.07
0.11
0.09
0.04
1,247.6
6,971.75
3
9
true
0.01
[[0.07, 47.6], [0.05, 200.0], [0.04, 1000.0]]
[[0.11, 15.0], [0.12, 53.0], [0.14, 33.75], [0.16, 100.0], [0.18, 265.0], [0.64, 5.0], [0.65, 5000.0], [0.95, 1000.0], [0.97, 500.0]]
1,764,689,081,548
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.05
0.11
0.08
0.06
1,200
6,971.75
2
9
true
0.01
[[0.05, 200.0], [0.04, 1000.0]]
[[0.11, 15.0], [0.12, 53.0], [0.14, 33.75], [0.16, 100.0], [0.18, 265.0], [0.64, 5.0], [0.65, 5000.0], [0.95, 1000.0], [0.97, 500.0]]
1,766,094,988,893
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.032
0.114
0.073
0.082
33,273.92
16,889.75
12
27
true
0.001
[[0.032, 240.0], [0.031, 323.2], [0.03, 1500.0], [0.015, 9.18], [0.014, 100.0], [0.012, 100.0], [0.01, 2000.0], [0.006, 12.77], [0.005, 500.0], [0.003, 344.77]]
[[0.114, 23.16], [0.116, 15.0], [0.117, 555.0], [0.159, 30.0], [0.16, 100.0], [0.186, 753.89], [0.28, 65.0], [0.61, 18.31], [0.649, 241.0], [0.65, 5000.0]]
1,766,358,673,966
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.052
0.069
0.0605
0.017
32,700.48
23,156.44
12
28
true
0.001
[[0.052, 258.01], [0.051, 300.0], [0.05, 1400.0], [0.015, 11.47], [0.014, 100.0], [0.012, 100.0], [0.01, 2000.0], [0.006, 12.33], [0.005, 500.0], [0.003, 343.67]]
[[0.069, 625.0], [0.072, 54.1], [0.078, 32.18], [0.079, 30.0], [0.08, 3333.0], [0.113, 600.0], [0.117, 555.0], [0.16, 100.0], [0.28, 759.0], [0.62, 18.79]]
1,766,412,707,279
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.062
0.078
0.07
0.016
43,494.86
19,515.68
14
29
true
0.001
[[0.062, 45.56], [0.061, 108.49], [0.06, 900.0], [0.053, 490.0], [0.05, 200.0], [0.038, 11111.0], [0.013, 16.12], [0.012, 100.0], [0.01, 2000.0], [0.006, 5.02]]
[[0.078, 30.0], [0.079, 600.0], [0.08, 12.5], [0.082, 61.6], [0.087, 333.0], [0.113, 600.0], [0.117, 555.0], [0.159, 30.0], [0.16, 100.0], [0.28, 65.0]]
1,766,522,913,936
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.054
0.077
0.0655
0.023
42,944.41
16,027.65
13
26
true
0.001
[[0.054, 218.5], [0.053, 490.0], [0.05, 200.0], [0.039, 300.0], [0.038, 11111.0], [0.013, 16.81], [0.012, 100.0], [0.01, 2000.0], [0.006, 6.44], [0.005, 500.0]]
[[0.077, 57.94], [0.079, 74.24], [0.086, 30.0], [0.087, 333.0], [0.1, 650.0], [0.113, 600.0], [0.117, 555.0], [0.16, 100.0], [0.28, 65.0], [0.62, 37.59]]
1,766,554,047,520
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.054
0.069
0.0615
0.015
42,457.3
16,172.58
12
27
true
0.001
[[0.054, 17.39], [0.053, 490.0], [0.05, 200.0], [0.038, 11111.0], [0.013, 16.81], [0.012, 100.0], [0.01, 2000.0], [0.006, 6.44], [0.005, 500.0], [0.003, 340.66]]
[[0.069, 62.38], [0.07, 122.38], [0.071, 60.33], [0.087, 333.0], [0.1, 763.61], [0.112, 30.0], [0.113, 600.0], [0.117, 555.0], [0.16, 100.0], [0.28, 65.0]]
1,766,554,146,966
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.054
0.069
0.0615
0.015
42,618.3
16,171.47
12
27
true
0.001
[[0.054, 178.39], [0.053, 490.0], [0.05, 200.0], [0.038, 11111.0], [0.013, 16.81], [0.012, 100.0], [0.01, 2000.0], [0.006, 6.44], [0.005, 500.0], [0.003, 340.66]]
[[0.069, 62.38], [0.07, 121.27], [0.071, 60.33], [0.087, 333.0], [0.1, 763.61], [0.112, 30.0], [0.113, 600.0], [0.117, 555.0], [0.16, 100.0], [0.28, 65.0]]
1,766,688,542,223
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.054
0.068
0.061
0.014
42,850.79
18,394.81
13
28
true
0.001
[[0.054, 210.7], [0.053, 490.0], [0.05, 200.0], [0.039, 200.0], [0.038, 11111.0], [0.013, 16.08], [0.012, 100.0], [0.01, 2000.0], [0.006, 7.35], [0.005, 500.0]]
[[0.068, 0.3], [0.069, 44.43], [0.07, 71.62], [0.086, 30.0], [0.087, 333.0], [0.099, 30.0], [0.1, 968.61], [0.113, 600.0], [0.117, 555.0], [0.16, 100.0]]
1,766,723,992,690
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.054
0.069
0.0615
0.015
42,450.79
18,412.98
12
28
true
0.001
[[0.054, 10.7], [0.053, 490.0], [0.05, 200.0], [0.038, 11111.0], [0.013, 16.08], [0.012, 100.0], [0.01, 2000.0], [0.006, 7.35], [0.005, 500.0], [0.003, 340.66]]
[[0.069, 77.06], [0.07, 107.29], [0.071, 59.16], [0.086, 30.0], [0.087, 333.0], [0.099, 30.0], [0.1, 868.61], [0.113, 600.0], [0.117, 555.0], [0.16, 100.0]]
1,766,743,844,707
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.053
0.067
0.06
0.014
42,420.77
18,973.49
11
24
true
0.001
[[0.053, 470.68], [0.05, 200.0], [0.038, 11111.0], [0.013, 16.08], [0.012, 100.0], [0.01, 2000.0], [0.006, 7.35], [0.005, 500.0], [0.003, 340.66], [0.002, 2000.0]]
[[0.067, 36.94], [0.069, 41.75], [0.07, 120.15], [0.071, 30.0], [0.086, 30.0], [0.087, 333.0], [0.1, 968.6], [0.113, 600.0], [0.117, 555.0], [0.16, 100.0]]
1,766,869,766,770
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.054
0.066
0.06
0.012
45,729.71
20,104.11
13
32
true
0.001
[[0.054, 198.94], [0.053, 470.68], [0.05, 200.0], [0.039, 100.0], [0.038, 11111.0], [0.013, 16.08], [0.012, 100.0], [0.01, 2000.0], [0.006, 7.35], [0.005, 500.0]]
[[0.066, 64.69], [0.067, 85.43], [0.068, 39.89], [0.069, 56.11], [0.086, 30.0], [0.087, 333.0], [0.1, 1037.49], [0.112, 30.0], [0.113, 600.0], [0.117, 555.0]]
1,766,869,779,065
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.054
0.066
0.06
0.012
45,728.65
20,104.11
13
32
true
0.001
[[0.054, 197.88], [0.053, 470.68], [0.05, 200.0], [0.039, 100.0], [0.038, 11111.0], [0.013, 16.08], [0.012, 100.0], [0.01, 2000.0], [0.006, 7.35], [0.005, 500.0]]
[[0.066, 64.69], [0.067, 85.43], [0.068, 39.89], [0.069, 56.11], [0.086, 30.0], [0.087, 333.0], [0.1, 1037.49], [0.112, 30.0], [0.113, 600.0], [0.117, 555.0]]
1,766,929,337,842
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.053
0.067
0.06
0.014
45,471.79
20,028.93
11
31
true
0.001
[[0.053, 470.68], [0.05, 200.0], [0.038, 11111.0], [0.013, 16.08], [0.012, 100.0], [0.01, 2000.0], [0.006, 7.35], [0.005, 500.0], [0.003, 341.46], [0.002, 2000.0]]
[[0.067, 170.86], [0.068, 79.78], [0.069, 112.22], [0.07, 16.0], [0.084, 30.0], [0.087, 333.0], [0.1, 1037.49], [0.112, 30.0], [0.113, 600.0], [0.16, 100.0]]
1,766,929,340,613
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.053
0.068
0.0605
0.015
45,471.79
19,876.07
11
31
true
0.001
[[0.053, 470.68], [0.05, 200.0], [0.038, 11111.0], [0.013, 16.08], [0.012, 100.0], [0.01, 2000.0], [0.006, 7.35], [0.005, 500.0], [0.003, 341.46], [0.002, 2000.0]]
[[0.068, 39.89], [0.069, 112.22], [0.07, 16.0], [0.071, 57.89], [0.086, 30.0], [0.087, 333.0], [0.1, 1037.49], [0.112, 30.0], [0.113, 600.0], [0.16, 100.0]]
1,766,929,346,486
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.054
0.069
0.0615
0.015
45,501.79
19,722.18
12
29
true
0.001
[[0.054, 30.0], [0.053, 470.68], [0.05, 200.0], [0.038, 11111.0], [0.013, 16.08], [0.012, 100.0], [0.01, 2000.0], [0.006, 7.35], [0.005, 500.0], [0.003, 341.46]]
[[0.069, 56.11], [0.07, 16.0], [0.087, 333.0], [0.099, 30.0], [0.1, 1037.49], [0.112, 30.0], [0.113, 600.0], [0.16, 100.0], [0.28, 65.0], [0.62, 37.59]]
1,766,929,349,307
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.054
0.07
0.062
0.016
45,501.79
19,666.07
12
28
true
0.001
[[0.054, 30.0], [0.053, 470.68], [0.05, 200.0], [0.038, 11111.0], [0.013, 16.08], [0.012, 100.0], [0.01, 2000.0], [0.006, 7.35], [0.005, 500.0], [0.003, 341.46]]
[[0.07, 16.0], [0.087, 333.0], [0.099, 30.0], [0.1, 1037.49], [0.112, 30.0], [0.113, 600.0], [0.16, 100.0], [0.28, 65.0], [0.62, 37.59], [0.649, 342.0]]
1,766,929,353,049
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.054
0.087
0.0705
0.033
45,501.79
18,612.58
12
26
true
0.001
[[0.054, 30.0], [0.053, 470.68], [0.05, 200.0], [0.038, 11111.0], [0.013, 16.08], [0.012, 100.0], [0.01, 2000.0], [0.006, 7.35], [0.005, 500.0], [0.003, 341.46]]
[[0.087, 333.0], [0.099, 30.0], [0.112, 30.0], [0.113, 600.0], [0.16, 100.0], [0.28, 65.0], [0.62, 37.59], [0.649, 342.0], [0.65, 5000.0], [0.67, 43.29]]
1,766,933,976,821
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.066
0.082
0.074
0.016
46,139.13
19,607.26
13
31
true
0.001
[[0.066, 67.34], [0.065, 600.0], [0.053, 470.68], [0.05, 200.0], [0.038, 11111.0], [0.013, 16.08], [0.012, 100.0], [0.01, 2000.0], [0.006, 7.35], [0.005, 500.0]]
[[0.082, 70.0], [0.083, 98.82], [0.084, 171.18], [0.085, 216.89], [0.087, 333.0], [0.1, 757.79], [0.113, 600.0], [0.159, 30.0], [0.16, 100.0], [0.279, 30.0]]
1,766,934,097,419
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.066
0.083
0.0745
0.017
46,139.13
19,342.26
13
30
true
0.001
[[0.066, 67.34], [0.065, 600.0], [0.053, 470.68], [0.05, 200.0], [0.038, 11111.0], [0.013, 16.08], [0.012, 100.0], [0.01, 2000.0], [0.006, 7.35], [0.005, 500.0]]
[[0.083, 23.82], [0.084, 224.95], [0.085, 43.12], [0.087, 333.0], [0.1, 757.79], [0.113, 600.0], [0.159, 30.0], [0.16, 100.0], [0.279, 30.0], [0.28, 65.0]]
1,766,934,112,050
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.066
0.085
0.0755
0.019
46,139.13
19,093.49
13
28
true
0.001
[[0.066, 67.34], [0.065, 600.0], [0.053, 470.68], [0.05, 200.0], [0.038, 11111.0], [0.013, 16.08], [0.012, 100.0], [0.01, 2000.0], [0.006, 7.35], [0.005, 500.0]]
[[0.085, 43.12], [0.087, 333.0], [0.1, 757.79], [0.113, 600.0], [0.159, 30.0], [0.16, 100.0], [0.279, 30.0], [0.28, 65.0], [0.62, 37.59], [0.649, 22.0]]
1,766,934,143,793
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.066
0.085
0.0755
0.019
46,139.13
18,708.5
13
28
true
0.001
[[0.066, 67.34], [0.065, 600.0], [0.053, 470.68], [0.05, 200.0], [0.038, 11111.0], [0.013, 16.08], [0.012, 100.0], [0.01, 2000.0], [0.006, 7.35], [0.005, 500.0]]
[[0.085, 43.12], [0.087, 333.0], [0.1, 372.8], [0.113, 600.0], [0.159, 30.0], [0.16, 100.0], [0.279, 30.0], [0.28, 65.0], [0.62, 37.59], [0.649, 22.0]]
1,766,934,176,356
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.066
0.087
0.0765
0.021
46,139.13
18,462.58
13
28
true
0.001
[[0.066, 67.34], [0.065, 600.0], [0.053, 470.68], [0.05, 200.0], [0.038, 11111.0], [0.013, 16.08], [0.012, 100.0], [0.01, 2000.0], [0.006, 7.35], [0.005, 500.0]]
[[0.087, 333.0], [0.093, 20.0], [0.1, 150.0], [0.113, 600.0], [0.159, 30.0], [0.16, 100.0], [0.279, 30.0], [0.28, 65.0], [0.62, 37.59], [0.649, 22.0]]
1,766,936,500,863
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.066
0.087
0.0765
0.021
46,094.57
18,452.58
13
28
true
0.001
[[0.066, 22.78], [0.065, 600.0], [0.053, 470.68], [0.05, 200.0], [0.038, 11111.0], [0.013, 16.08], [0.012, 100.0], [0.01, 2000.0], [0.006, 7.35], [0.005, 500.0]]
[[0.087, 333.0], [0.094, 20.0], [0.1, 150.0], [0.113, 600.0], [0.159, 30.0], [0.16, 100.0], [0.278, 20.0], [0.28, 65.0], [0.62, 37.59], [0.649, 22.0]]
1,766,955,125,019
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.066
0.099
0.0825
0.033
45,778.57
19,110.76
14
28
true
0.001
[[0.066, 22.78], [0.055, 163.0], [0.054, 200.0], [0.053, 470.68], [0.05, 200.0], [0.038, 11111.0], [0.013, 16.08], [0.012, 100.0], [0.01, 2000.0], [0.006, 7.35]]
[[0.099, 150.0], [0.113, 600.0], [0.159, 30.0], [0.16, 100.0], [0.279, 20.0], [0.28, 65.0], [0.62, 37.59], [0.649, 22.0], [0.65, 5000.0], [0.67, 43.29]]
1,767,024,432,403
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.087
0.096
0.0915
0.009
47,666.12
21,336.58
14
33
true
0.001
[[0.087, 45.85], [0.086, 200.0], [0.085, 333.0], [0.053, 470.68], [0.05, 200.0], [0.038, 11111.0], [0.013, 18.17], [0.012, 100.0], [0.01, 2000.0], [0.005, 500.0]]
[[0.096, 36.0], [0.097, 75.0], [0.112, 101.78], [0.113, 600.0], [0.12, 122.0], [0.129, 662.22], [0.159, 30.0], [0.16, 100.0], [0.269, 20.0], [0.27, 500.0]]
1,767,110,608,954
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.087
0.092
0.0895
0.005
49,936.46
18,527.57
14
34
true
0.001
[[0.087, 33.79], [0.086, 10.4], [0.085, 333.0], [0.053, 470.68], [0.05, 200.0], [0.038, 11111.0], [0.013, 18.17], [0.012, 100.0], [0.01, 2000.0], [0.005, 500.0]]
[[0.092, 5.5], [0.096, 36.0], [0.109, 98.43], [0.113, 600.0], [0.12, 122.0], [0.159, 30.0], [0.16, 100.0], [0.269, 20.0], [0.27, 500.0], [0.489, 783.0]]
1,767,112,126,037
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.087
0.092
0.0895
0.005
49,933.22
19,160.36
14
34
true
0.001
[[0.087, 30.55], [0.086, 10.4], [0.085, 333.0], [0.053, 470.68], [0.05, 200.0], [0.038, 11111.0], [0.013, 18.17], [0.012, 100.0], [0.01, 2000.0], [0.005, 500.0]]
[[0.092, 5.5], [0.096, 36.0], [0.113, 600.0], [0.12, 122.0], [0.13, 731.22], [0.159, 30.0], [0.16, 100.0], [0.269, 20.0], [0.27, 500.0], [0.489, 783.0]]
1,767,112,241,968
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.087
0.092
0.0895
0.005
49,931.88
19,160.36
14
34
true
0.001
[[0.087, 29.21], [0.086, 10.4], [0.085, 333.0], [0.053, 470.68], [0.05, 200.0], [0.038, 11111.0], [0.013, 18.17], [0.012, 100.0], [0.01, 2000.0], [0.005, 500.0]]
[[0.092, 5.5], [0.096, 36.0], [0.113, 600.0], [0.12, 122.0], [0.13, 731.22], [0.159, 30.0], [0.16, 100.0], [0.269, 20.0], [0.27, 500.0], [0.489, 783.0]]
1,767,112,308,334
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.087
0.092
0.0895
0.005
49,925.73
19,210.36
14
35
true
0.001
[[0.087, 23.06], [0.086, 10.4], [0.085, 333.0], [0.053, 470.68], [0.05, 200.0], [0.038, 11111.0], [0.013, 18.17], [0.012, 100.0], [0.01, 2000.0], [0.005, 500.0]]
[[0.092, 5.5], [0.095, 50.0], [0.096, 36.0], [0.113, 600.0], [0.12, 122.0], [0.13, 731.22], [0.159, 30.0], [0.16, 100.0], [0.269, 20.0], [0.27, 500.0]]
1,767,112,325,710
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.086
0.091
0.0885
0.005
49,902.67
19,180.36
13
35
true
0.001
[[0.086, 10.4], [0.085, 333.0], [0.053, 470.68], [0.05, 200.0], [0.038, 11111.0], [0.013, 18.17], [0.012, 100.0], [0.01, 2000.0], [0.005, 500.0], [0.004, 9.2]]
[[0.091, 20.0], [0.092, 5.5], [0.096, 36.0], [0.113, 600.0], [0.12, 122.0], [0.13, 731.22], [0.159, 30.0], [0.16, 100.0], [0.269, 20.0], [0.27, 500.0]]
1,767,199,106,015
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.085
0.089
0.087
0.004
57,979.95
13,966.87
13
37
true
0.001
[[0.085, 334.51], [0.053, 470.68], [0.05, 200.0], [0.039, 100.0], [0.038, 11111.0], [0.013, 18.05], [0.012, 100.0], [0.01, 2000.0], [0.005, 500.0], [0.004, 9.49]]
[[0.089, 25.0], [0.09, 20.0], [0.092, 76.0], [0.112, 91.58], [0.113, 600.0], [0.12, 122.0], [0.122, 697.43], [0.159, 30.0], [0.16, 100.0], [0.269, 10.0]]
1,767,200,218,444
100000490830271269851920749661415771692780615224041386325838995197097673897250
YES
693289
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary election
0.088
0.095
0.0915
0.007
43,469.35
14,372.65
10
35
true
0.001
[[0.088, 323.91], [0.053, 470.68], [0.05, 200.0], [0.039, 100.0], [0.038, 11111.0], [0.013, 18.05], [0.012, 100.0], [0.004, 9.49], [0.003, 335.0], [0.001, 30801.22]]
[[0.095, 126.78], [0.112, 91.58], [0.113, 600.0], [0.12, 122.0], [0.123, 1097.43], [0.159, 30.0], [0.16, 100.0], [0.269, 10.0], [0.27, 500.0], [0.489, 362.0]]
1,764,811,041,827
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.76
0.81
0.785
0.05
879.77
2,382.55
6
7
true
0.01
[[0.76, 100.0], [0.73, 150.0], [0.04, 44.47], [0.03, 66.0], [0.02, 7.23], [0.01, 512.07]]
[[0.81, 0.26], [0.82, 150.0], [0.84, 1549.0], [0.85, 50.0], [0.86, 100.0], [0.98, 26.29], [0.99, 507.0]]
1,764,811,046,116
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.81
0.83
0.82
0.02
885.51
2,382.29
7
6
true
0.01
[[0.81, 5.74], [0.76, 100.0], [0.74, 150.0], [0.04, 44.47], [0.03, 66.0], [0.02, 7.23], [0.01, 512.07]]
[[0.83, 150.0], [0.84, 1549.0], [0.85, 50.0], [0.86, 100.0], [0.98, 26.29], [0.99, 507.0]]
1,764,814,584,694
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.81
0.82
0.815
0.01
1,733.95
2,008.03
6
6
true
0.01
[[0.81, 1004.74], [0.75, 100.0], [0.04, 44.51], [0.03, 66.0], [0.02, 6.63], [0.01, 512.07]]
[[0.82, 144.74], [0.83, 1180.0], [0.85, 100.0], [0.86, 50.0], [0.98, 26.29], [0.99, 507.0]]
1,764,817,669,411
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.81
0.82
0.815
0.01
1,645.44
2,005.57
9
6
true
0.01
[[0.81, 997.74], [0.8, 155.0], [0.76, 100.0], [0.74, 13.51], [0.73, 150.0], [0.04, 44.49], [0.03, 66.0], [0.02, 6.63], [0.01, 112.07]]
[[0.82, 144.74], [0.83, 1410.88], [0.86, 150.0], [0.97, 166.66], [0.98, 26.29], [0.99, 107.0]]
1,764,827,905,456
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.81
0.83
0.82
0.02
1,394.74
1,605.25
5
6
true
0.01
[[0.81, 997.74], [0.78, 100.0], [0.74, 150.0], [0.05, 40.0], [0.01, 107.0]]
[[0.83, 139.0], [0.84, 6.25], [0.85, 1203.0], [0.87, 50.0], [0.88, 100.0], [0.99, 107.0]]
1,764,859,169,998
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.77
0.81
0.79
0.04
2,353.87
2,647.28
9
7
true
0.01
[[0.77, 9.19], [0.76, 100.0], [0.75, 1853.34], [0.74, 150.0], [0.08, 31.25], [0.05, 33.93], [0.04, 50.0], [0.02, 11.14], [0.01, 115.02]]
[[0.81, 100.0], [0.83, 714.28], [0.84, 1451.0], [0.86, 100.0], [0.88, 50.0], [0.98, 125.0], [0.99, 107.0]]
1,764,859,337,399
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.78
0.81
0.795
0.03
2,456.1
2,082
9
7
true
0.01
[[0.78, 111.42], [0.76, 100.0], [0.75, 1853.34], [0.74, 150.0], [0.08, 31.25], [0.05, 33.93], [0.04, 50.0], [0.02, 11.14], [0.01, 115.02]]
[[0.81, 100.0], [0.83, 149.0], [0.84, 1451.0], [0.86, 100.0], [0.88, 50.0], [0.98, 125.0], [0.99, 107.0]]
1,764,880,016,572
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.78
0.81
0.795
0.03
51,421.83
8,440.31
8
8
true
0.01
[[0.78, 31.14], [0.77, 7000.0], [0.76, 15859.43], [0.75, 28100.0], [0.73, 150.0], [0.09, 27.77], [0.02, 53.5], [0.01, 199.99]]
[[0.81, 113.95], [0.82, 990.0], [0.85, 100.0], [0.87, 50.0], [0.95, 9.04], [0.96, 62.5], [0.98, 7.82], [0.99, 7107.0]]
1,764,896,311,710
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.77
0.81
0.79
0.04
9,482.95
8,352.4
9
9
true
0.01
[[0.77, 34.79], [0.76, 131.48], [0.75, 1816.42], [0.73, 145.0], [0.11, 45.45], [0.1, 50.0], [0.05, 33.94], [0.02, 111.12], [0.01, 7114.75]]
[[0.81, 13.95], [0.82, 991.0], [0.85, 100.0], [0.87, 50.0], [0.92, 31.25], [0.93, 5.15], [0.94, 41.66], [0.98, 12.39], [0.99, 7107.0]]
1,764,896,317,270
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.76
0.81
0.785
0.05
9,448.16
8,352.4
8
9
true
0.01
[[0.76, 131.48], [0.75, 1816.42], [0.73, 145.0], [0.11, 45.45], [0.1, 50.0], [0.05, 33.94], [0.02, 111.12], [0.01, 7114.75]]
[[0.81, 13.95], [0.82, 991.0], [0.85, 100.0], [0.87, 50.0], [0.92, 31.25], [0.93, 5.15], [0.94, 41.66], [0.98, 12.39], [0.99, 7107.0]]
1,764,979,359,166
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.78
0.81
0.795
0.03
7,800.28
8,419.83
6
8
true
0.01
[[0.78, 302.45], [0.74, 100.0], [0.73, 145.0], [0.08, 62.5], [0.03, 83.33], [0.01, 7107.0]]
[[0.81, 565.76], [0.82, 166.0], [0.83, 307.0], [0.84, 100.0], [0.86, 50.0], [0.92, 93.75], [0.98, 30.32], [0.99, 7107.0]]
1,765,038,207,527
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.79
0.81
0.8
0.02
32,123.28
61,504.63
12
11
true
0.01
[[0.79, 329.05], [0.77, 4018.0], [0.76, 3149.0], [0.75, 3081.0], [0.74, 3163.0], [0.73, 145.0], [0.71, 4536.0], [0.69, 7.24], [0.68, 5994.0], [0.65, 7447.5]]
[[0.81, 539.42], [0.82, 155.55], [0.83, 6013.0], [0.84, 4324.0], [0.85, 4406.0], [0.86, 4503.0], [0.88, 41.66], [0.89, 7668.0], [0.92, 12372.0], [0.95, 21375.0]]
1,765,040,882,131
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.79
0.81
0.8
0.02
32,506.23
62,279.47
12
13
true
0.01
[[0.79, 480.0], [0.77, 4250.0], [0.76, 3149.0], [0.75, 3081.0], [0.74, 3163.0], [0.73, 145.0], [0.71, 4536.0], [0.69, 7.24], [0.68, 5994.0], [0.65, 7447.5]]
[[0.81, 550.68], [0.82, 150.0], [0.83, 6765.0], [0.84, 4324.0], [0.85, 4406.0], [0.86, 4503.0], [0.88, 41.66], [0.89, 7668.0], [0.92, 12372.0], [0.94, 6.58]]
1,765,041,498,576
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.79
0.81
0.8
0.02
32,526.46
63,820.47
13
13
true
0.01
[[0.79, 475.23], [0.77, 4250.0], [0.76, 3149.0], [0.75, 3081.0], [0.74, 3163.0], [0.73, 145.0], [0.71, 4536.0], [0.69, 7.24], [0.68, 5994.0], [0.65, 7447.5]]
[[0.81, 1591.68], [0.82, 150.0], [0.83, 6765.0], [0.84, 4824.0], [0.85, 4406.0], [0.86, 4503.0], [0.88, 41.66], [0.89, 7668.0], [0.92, 12372.0], [0.94, 6.58]]
1,765,048,255,171
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.79
0.81
0.8
0.02
107,617.57
63,026.18
11
12
true
0.01
[[0.79, 2971.42], [0.78, 11880.0], [0.77, 10450.0], [0.76, 11618.33], [0.75, 10370.0], [0.73, 145.0], [0.72, 15200.82], [0.69, 20020.0], [0.66, 24850.0], [0.21, 25.0]]
[[0.81, 523.42], [0.82, 155.55], [0.83, 7515.0], [0.84, 4224.0], [0.85, 4456.0], [0.86, 4553.0], [0.88, 41.66], [0.89, 7668.0], [0.91, 55.55], [0.92, 12372.0]]
1,765,048,299,026
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.8
0.81
0.805
0.01
107,682.57
64,429.18
12
12
true
0.01
[[0.8, 65.0], [0.79, 2971.42], [0.78, 11880.0], [0.77, 10450.0], [0.76, 11618.33], [0.75, 10370.0], [0.73, 145.0], [0.72, 15200.82], [0.69, 20020.0], [0.66, 24850.0]]
[[0.81, 523.42], [0.82, 1558.55], [0.83, 7515.0], [0.84, 4224.0], [0.85, 4456.0], [0.86, 4553.0], [0.88, 41.66], [0.89, 7668.0], [0.91, 55.55], [0.92, 12372.0]]
1,765,052,258,958
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.8
0.82
0.81
0.02
107,609.57
200,709.21
13
11
true
0.01
[[0.8, 70.0], [0.79, 2971.42], [0.78, 11784.0], [0.77, 10450.0], [0.76, 11711.33], [0.75, 10270.0], [0.74, 100.0], [0.73, 145.0], [0.72, 15200.82], [0.69, 20020.0]]
[[0.82, 1685.0], [0.83, 17105.0], [0.84, 14080.0], [0.85, 14620.0], [0.86, 15060.0], [0.88, 41.66], [0.89, 25560.0], [0.91, 55.55], [0.92, 41240.0], [0.95, 71250.0]]
1,765,052,875,844
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.8
0.82
0.81
0.02
108,644.82
200,727.84
14
13
true
0.01
[[0.8, 70.26], [0.79, 3812.42], [0.78, 11784.0], [0.77, 10450.0], [0.76, 11711.33], [0.75, 10270.0], [0.74, 100.0], [0.73, 145.0], [0.72, 15200.82], [0.69, 20020.0]]
[[0.82, 1685.0], [0.83, 17105.0], [0.84, 14080.0], [0.85, 14620.0], [0.86, 15060.0], [0.88, 41.66], [0.89, 25560.0], [0.91, 55.55], [0.92, 41240.0], [0.94, 6.58]]
1,765,054,816,015
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.8
0.81
0.805
0.01
108,905.83
201,183.84
13
14
true
0.01
[[0.8, 65.26], [0.79, 3788.42], [0.78, 11768.0], [0.77, 10450.0], [0.76, 11711.33], [0.75, 10770.0], [0.74, 100.0], [0.73, 145.0], [0.72, 15200.82], [0.69, 20020.0]]
[[0.81, 500.0], [0.82, 1641.0], [0.83, 17105.0], [0.84, 14080.0], [0.85, 14620.0], [0.86, 15060.0], [0.88, 41.66], [0.89, 25560.0], [0.91, 55.55], [0.92, 41240.0]]
1,765,064,987,848
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.8
0.81
0.805
0.01
108,882
201,093.61
13
16
true
0.01
[[0.8, 2970.0], [0.79, 654.0], [0.78, 11027.0], [0.77, 12591.33], [0.76, 10330.0], [0.75, 10870.0], [0.73, 158.68], [0.72, 15180.0], [0.69, 20020.0], [0.66, 24850.0]]
[[0.81, 500.0], [0.82, 1358.55], [0.83, 17105.0], [0.84, 14080.0], [0.85, 14620.0], [0.86, 15060.0], [0.87, 80.0], [0.88, 41.66], [0.89, 25560.0], [0.91, 27.77]]
1,765,079,347,226
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.79
0.8
0.795
0.01
158,551.41
273,264.42
17
15
true
0.01
[[0.79, 21715.0], [0.78, 24852.0], [0.77, 38450.0], [0.76, 12841.33], [0.75, 100.0], [0.73, 15385.0], [0.71, 21.12], [0.7, 20080.0], [0.67, 24900.0], [0.21, 25.0]]
[[0.8, 2944.0], [0.82, 650.0], [0.83, 11179.88], [0.84, 28485.0], [0.85, 42620.0], [0.86, 15060.0], [0.87, 15660.0], [0.89, 90.9], [0.9, 27000.0], [0.91, 27.77]]
1,765,089,732,091
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.79
0.8
0.795
0.01
130,918.65
272,214.44
16
13
true
0.01
[[0.79, 11890.83], [0.78, 20725.45], [0.77, 24635.19], [0.76, 12428.14], [0.75, 600.0], [0.73, 15240.0], [0.72, 145.0], [0.71, 7.04], [0.7, 20080.0], [0.67, 24900.0]]
[[0.8, 2714.0], [0.81, 874.0], [0.82, 3227.78], [0.83, 7000.0], [0.84, 28485.0], [0.85, 42620.0], [0.86, 15060.0], [0.87, 15660.0], [0.88, 41.66], [0.9, 27000.0]]
1,765,089,733,912
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.8
0.81
0.805
0.01
159,024.65
269,500.44
17
12
true
0.01
[[0.8, 7946.0], [0.79, 11890.83], [0.78, 20958.18], [0.77, 24635.19], [0.76, 12195.41], [0.75, 600.0], [0.73, 15240.0], [0.72, 145.0], [0.71, 20167.04], [0.7, 20080.0]]
[[0.81, 874.0], [0.82, 3227.78], [0.83, 7000.0], [0.84, 28485.0], [0.85, 42620.0], [0.86, 15060.0], [0.87, 15660.0], [0.88, 41.66], [0.9, 27000.0], [0.93, 45120.0]]
1,765,089,738,053
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.8
0.81
0.805
0.01
126,899.24
269,494.36
15
12
true
0.01
[[0.8, 8351.0], [0.79, 11485.83], [0.78, 20958.18], [0.77, 24635.19], [0.75, 600.0], [0.74, 15315.0], [0.72, 145.0], [0.71, 20167.04], [0.68, 24975.0], [0.21, 25.0]]
[[0.81, 867.92], [0.82, 3227.78], [0.83, 7000.0], [0.84, 28485.0], [0.85, 42620.0], [0.86, 15060.0], [0.87, 15660.0], [0.88, 41.66], [0.9, 27000.0], [0.93, 45120.0]]
1,765,089,742,178
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.8
0.81
0.805
0.01
126,899.24
269,468.49
15
12
true
0.01
[[0.8, 8351.0], [0.79, 11485.83], [0.78, 20958.18], [0.77, 24635.19], [0.75, 600.0], [0.74, 15315.0], [0.72, 145.0], [0.71, 20167.04], [0.68, 24975.0], [0.21, 25.0]]
[[0.81, 842.05], [0.82, 3227.78], [0.83, 7000.0], [0.84, 28485.0], [0.85, 42620.0], [0.86, 15060.0], [0.87, 15660.0], [0.88, 41.66], [0.9, 27000.0], [0.93, 45120.0]]
1,765,089,798,684
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.8
0.81
0.805
0.01
114,791.65
269,967.25
15
12
true
0.01
[[0.8, 8351.0], [0.79, 18485.83], [0.78, 13985.18], [0.77, 12500.6], [0.76, 600.0], [0.74, 15315.0], [0.72, 145.0], [0.71, 20167.04], [0.68, 24975.0], [0.21, 25.0]]
[[0.81, 840.81], [0.82, 3727.78], [0.83, 7000.0], [0.84, 28485.0], [0.85, 42520.0], [0.86, 15160.0], [0.87, 15660.0], [0.88, 41.66], [0.9, 27000.0], [0.93, 45120.0]]
1,765,092,860,960
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.81
0.82
0.815
0.01
124,312.11
305,134.08
19
14
true
0.01
[[0.81, 47.0], [0.8, 3673.0], [0.79, 25473.33], [0.78, 10958.18], [0.77, 12536.6], [0.76, 10930.0], [0.74, 150.0], [0.73, 15240.0], [0.71, 7.04], [0.7, 20080.0]]
[[0.82, 238.88], [0.83, 4381.39], [0.84, 8334.0], [0.85, 31232.99], [0.86, 43515.0], [0.87, 15925.0], [0.88, 16291.66], [0.91, 28740.0], [0.93, 140.0], [0.94, 49980.0]]
1,765,095,432,627
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.81
0.83
0.82
0.02
118,521.76
357,434
17
14
true
0.01
[[0.81, 340.11], [0.8, 21305.0], [0.79, 11734.69], [0.78, 12587.97], [0.77, 10500.0], [0.76, 500.0], [0.74, 15465.0], [0.71, 20167.04], [0.68, 24975.0], [0.21, 25.0]]
[[0.83, 120.85], [0.84, 3743.75], [0.85, 8389.0], [0.86, 29110.0], [0.87, 44430.0], [0.88, 16306.66], [0.89, 17040.0], [0.92, 30930.0], [0.93, 140.0], [0.94, 6.39]]
1,765,098,014,587
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.82
0.83
0.825
0.01
112,002.39
459,078.99
19
13
true
0.01
[[0.82, 30.88], [0.81, 11445.11], [0.8, 13936.36], [0.79, 11714.08], [0.78, 12551.97], [0.77, 600.0], [0.75, 15405.0], [0.74, 150.0], [0.72, 20240.0], [0.71, 7.04]]
[[0.83, 112.85], [0.84, 3743.75], [0.85, 1389.0], [0.86, 100.0], [0.87, 19142.99], [0.88, 16306.66], [0.89, 17040.0], [0.9, 18000.0], [0.93, 33875.0], [0.94, 6.39]]
1,765,098,441,675
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.82
0.83
0.825
0.01
111,602.62
458,624.06
19
13
true
0.01
[[0.82, 269.44], [0.81, 11040.11], [0.8, 13936.36], [0.79, 11480.75], [0.78, 12551.97], [0.77, 600.0], [0.75, 15405.0], [0.74, 150.0], [0.72, 20240.0], [0.71, 7.04]]
[[0.83, 107.12], [0.84, 3743.75], [0.85, 1389.0], [0.86, 100.0], [0.87, 18687.99], [0.88, 16306.66], [0.89, 17040.0], [0.9, 18000.0], [0.93, 33875.0], [0.95, 8.21]]
1,765,108,262,832
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.82
0.83
0.825
0.01
156,972.76
359,111.47
20
13
true
0.01
[[0.82, 299.44], [0.81, 284.11], [0.8, 18536.36], [0.79, 25705.31], [0.78, 39636.91], [0.77, 10500.0], [0.76, 500.0], [0.75, 150.0], [0.74, 15315.0], [0.73, 13.68]]
[[0.83, 441.17], [0.84, 1182.0], [0.85, 8699.0], [0.86, 32922.99], [0.87, 44280.0], [0.88, 16330.0], [0.89, 17040.0], [0.92, 30992.5], [0.94, 5.91], [0.95, 57000.0]]
1,765,108,809,406
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.82
0.83
0.825
0.01
159,921.51
362,111.47
20
13
true
0.01
[[0.82, 291.44], [0.81, 284.11], [0.8, 20783.36], [0.79, 26005.31], [0.78, 40046.66], [0.77, 10500.0], [0.76, 500.0], [0.75, 150.0], [0.74, 15315.0], [0.73, 13.68]]
[[0.83, 441.17], [0.84, 11182.0], [0.85, 15699.0], [0.86, 46922.99], [0.87, 16280.0], [0.88, 16330.0], [0.89, 17040.0], [0.92, 30992.5], [0.94, 5.91], [0.95, 57000.0]]
1,765,108,868,132
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.82
0.83
0.825
0.01
159,921.51
362,053.47
20
13
true
0.01
[[0.82, 291.44], [0.81, 284.11], [0.8, 20783.36], [0.79, 26005.31], [0.78, 40046.66], [0.77, 10500.0], [0.76, 500.0], [0.75, 150.0], [0.74, 15315.0], [0.73, 13.68]]
[[0.83, 433.17], [0.84, 11182.0], [0.85, 15699.0], [0.86, 46922.99], [0.87, 16280.0], [0.88, 16280.0], [0.89, 17040.0], [0.92, 30992.5], [0.94, 5.91], [0.95, 57000.0]]
1,765,118,418,018
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.81
0.82
0.815
0.01
160,092.97
305,663.13
18
13
true
0.01
[[0.81, 494.63], [0.8, 10341.78], [0.79, 26319.87], [0.78, 40339.68], [0.77, 10400.0], [0.76, 10930.0], [0.74, 150.0], [0.73, 15240.0], [0.7, 20080.0], [0.67, 24900.0]]
[[0.82, 19.12], [0.83, 2308.03], [0.84, 10125.0], [0.85, 32315.99], [0.86, 43910.0], [0.87, 15630.0], [0.88, 16280.0], [0.91, 28740.0], [0.94, 49980.0], [0.96, 12.19]]
1,765,121,232,446
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.8
0.82
0.81
0.02
159,991.62
306,103.02
17
13
true
0.01
[[0.8, 10855.28], [0.79, 25869.78], [0.78, 40819.55], [0.77, 10400.0], [0.76, 10430.0], [0.75, 500.0], [0.73, 15240.0], [0.7, 20080.0], [0.67, 24900.0], [0.21, 25.0]]
[[0.82, 577.78], [0.83, 2189.26], [0.84, 10125.0], [0.85, 32315.99], [0.86, 43910.0], [0.87, 15630.0], [0.88, 16280.0], [0.91, 28740.0], [0.94, 49980.0], [0.96, 12.19]]
1,765,121,677,559
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.8
0.83
0.815
0.03
160,091.62
305,655.61
17
12
true
0.01
[[0.8, 10955.28], [0.79, 25869.78], [0.78, 40819.55], [0.77, 10400.0], [0.76, 10430.0], [0.75, 500.0], [0.73, 15240.0], [0.7, 20080.0], [0.67, 24900.0], [0.21, 25.0]]
[[0.83, 2383.38], [0.84, 10131.25], [0.85, 32245.99], [0.86, 43910.0], [0.87, 15630.0], [0.88, 16280.0], [0.91, 28740.0], [0.94, 49980.0], [0.96, 12.19], [0.97, 106325.0]]
1,765,121,808,410
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.8
0.83
0.815
0.03
160,136.62
305,655.61
17
12
true
0.01
[[0.8, 10950.28], [0.79, 25869.78], [0.78, 40819.55], [0.77, 10400.0], [0.76, 10430.0], [0.75, 500.0], [0.73, 15240.0], [0.7, 20130.0], [0.67, 24900.0], [0.21, 25.0]]
[[0.83, 2383.38], [0.84, 10131.25], [0.85, 32245.99], [0.86, 43910.0], [0.87, 15630.0], [0.88, 16280.0], [0.91, 28740.0], [0.94, 49980.0], [0.96, 12.19], [0.97, 106325.0]]
1,765,123,857,613
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.8
0.82
0.81
0.02
162,073.33
311,237.82
16
13
true
0.01
[[0.8, 10887.0], [0.79, 25869.78], [0.78, 40819.55], [0.77, 12400.0], [0.76, 10930.0], [0.73, 15240.0], [0.7, 20130.0], [0.67, 24900.0], [0.21, 25.0], [0.1, 100.0]]
[[0.82, 6005.55], [0.83, 4866.29], [0.84, 7125.0], [0.85, 32345.99], [0.86, 43910.0], [0.87, 15630.0], [0.88, 16280.0], [0.91, 28740.0], [0.94, 49980.0], [0.96, 12.19]]
1,765,123,980,745
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.81
0.82
0.815
0.01
160,059.33
308,137.82
17
13
true
0.01
[[0.81, 56.0], [0.8, 10817.0], [0.79, 25869.78], [0.78, 40819.55], [0.77, 10400.0], [0.76, 10930.0], [0.73, 15240.0], [0.7, 20130.0], [0.67, 24900.0], [0.21, 25.0]]
[[0.82, 6005.55], [0.83, 1866.29], [0.84, 7125.0], [0.85, 32245.99], [0.86, 43910.0], [0.87, 15630.0], [0.88, 16280.0], [0.91, 28740.0], [0.94, 49980.0], [0.96, 12.19]]
1,765,124,487,766
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.8
0.83
0.815
0.03
202,003.33
305,138.52
16
12
true
0.01
[[0.8, 24846.78], [0.79, 54495.31], [0.78, 40164.24], [0.77, 10400.0], [0.76, 10930.0], [0.73, 15240.0], [0.7, 20130.0], [0.67, 24900.0], [0.21, 25.0], [0.1, 100.0]]
[[0.83, 1866.29], [0.84, 10131.25], [0.85, 32245.99], [0.86, 43910.0], [0.87, 15630.0], [0.88, 16280.0], [0.91, 28740.0], [0.94, 49980.0], [0.96, 12.19], [0.97, 106325.0]]
1,765,124,870,896
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.8
0.83
0.815
0.03
155,753.32
305,120.53
16
10
true
0.01
[[0.8, 7196.77], [0.79, 25895.31], [0.78, 40164.24], [0.77, 10400.0], [0.76, 10930.0], [0.73, 15240.0], [0.7, 20130.0], [0.67, 24900.0], [0.21, 25.0], [0.1, 100.0]]
[[0.83, 1866.29], [0.84, 10131.25], [0.85, 32245.99], [0.86, 43910.0], [0.87, 15630.0], [0.88, 16280.0], [0.91, 28740.0], [0.94, 49980.0], [0.97, 106325.0], [0.99, 12.0]]
1,765,124,875,426
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.8
0.82
0.81
0.02
155,733.01
305,703.42
16
11
true
0.01
[[0.8, 7831.77], [0.79, 25240.0], [0.78, 40164.24], [0.77, 10400.0], [0.76, 10930.0], [0.73, 15240.0], [0.7, 20130.0], [0.67, 24900.0], [0.21, 25.0], [0.1, 100.0]]
[[0.82, 582.89], [0.83, 1866.29], [0.84, 10131.25], [0.85, 32245.99], [0.86, 43910.0], [0.87, 15630.0], [0.88, 16280.0], [0.91, 28740.0], [0.94, 49980.0], [0.97, 106325.0]]
1,765,124,875,449
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.8
0.82
0.81
0.02
155,733.01
305,697.42
16
11
true
0.01
[[0.8, 7831.77], [0.79, 25240.0], [0.78, 40164.24], [0.77, 10400.0], [0.76, 10930.0], [0.73, 15240.0], [0.7, 20130.0], [0.67, 24900.0], [0.21, 25.0], [0.1, 100.0]]
[[0.82, 576.89], [0.83, 1866.29], [0.84, 10131.25], [0.85, 32245.99], [0.86, 43910.0], [0.87, 15630.0], [0.88, 16280.0], [0.91, 28740.0], [0.94, 49980.0], [0.97, 106325.0]]
1,765,124,898,601
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.8
0.82
0.81
0.02
155,750.04
305,695.77
16
11
true
0.01
[[0.8, 7848.8], [0.79, 25240.0], [0.78, 40164.24], [0.77, 10400.0], [0.76, 10930.0], [0.73, 15240.0], [0.7, 20130.0], [0.67, 24900.0], [0.21, 25.0], [0.1, 100.0]]
[[0.82, 575.24], [0.83, 1866.29], [0.84, 10131.25], [0.85, 32245.99], [0.86, 43910.0], [0.87, 15630.0], [0.88, 16280.0], [0.91, 28740.0], [0.94, 49980.0], [0.97, 106325.0]]
1,765,124,977,530
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.8
0.82
0.81
0.02
156,042.16
305,695.4
16
11
true
0.01
[[0.8, 7455.83], [0.79, 25290.0], [0.78, 40799.33], [0.77, 10400.0], [0.76, 10930.0], [0.73, 15240.0], [0.7, 20130.0], [0.67, 24900.0], [0.21, 25.0], [0.1, 100.0]]
[[0.82, 575.24], [0.83, 1872.17], [0.84, 10125.0], [0.85, 32245.99], [0.86, 43910.0], [0.87, 15630.0], [0.88, 16280.0], [0.91, 28740.0], [0.94, 49980.0], [0.97, 106325.0]]
1,765,124,985,605
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.8
0.82
0.81
0.02
156,047.16
305,694.05
16
11
true
0.01
[[0.8, 7460.83], [0.79, 25290.0], [0.78, 40799.33], [0.77, 10400.0], [0.76, 10930.0], [0.73, 15240.0], [0.7, 20130.0], [0.67, 24900.0], [0.21, 25.0], [0.1, 100.0]]
[[0.82, 573.89], [0.83, 1872.17], [0.84, 10125.0], [0.85, 32245.99], [0.86, 43910.0], [0.87, 15630.0], [0.88, 16280.0], [0.91, 28740.0], [0.94, 49980.0], [0.97, 106325.0]]
1,765,124,986,018
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.8
0.82
0.81
0.02
156,047.16
305,690.28
16
11
true
0.01
[[0.8, 7460.83], [0.79, 25290.0], [0.78, 40799.33], [0.77, 10400.0], [0.76, 10930.0], [0.73, 15240.0], [0.7, 20130.0], [0.67, 24900.0], [0.21, 25.0], [0.1, 100.0]]
[[0.82, 570.12], [0.83, 1872.17], [0.84, 10125.0], [0.85, 32245.99], [0.86, 43910.0], [0.87, 15630.0], [0.88, 16280.0], [0.91, 28740.0], [0.94, 49980.0], [0.97, 106325.0]]
1,765,125,815,362
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.8
0.82
0.81
0.02
157,314.1
309,304.28
16
11
true
0.01
[[0.8, 8727.77], [0.79, 27573.33], [0.78, 38516.0], [0.77, 10400.0], [0.76, 10930.0], [0.73, 15240.0], [0.7, 20130.0], [0.67, 24900.0], [0.21, 25.0], [0.1, 100.0]]
[[0.82, 570.12], [0.83, 7141.17], [0.84, 8470.0], [0.85, 32245.99], [0.86, 43910.0], [0.87, 15630.0], [0.88, 16280.0], [0.91, 28740.0], [0.94, 49980.0], [0.97, 106325.0]]
1,765,125,848,393
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.8
0.82
0.81
0.02
157,319.1
309,296.28
16
11
true
0.01
[[0.8, 8732.77], [0.79, 27573.33], [0.78, 38516.0], [0.77, 10400.0], [0.76, 10930.0], [0.73, 15240.0], [0.7, 20130.0], [0.67, 24900.0], [0.21, 25.0], [0.1, 100.0]]
[[0.82, 562.12], [0.83, 7141.17], [0.84, 8470.0], [0.85, 32245.99], [0.86, 43910.0], [0.87, 15630.0], [0.88, 16280.0], [0.91, 28740.0], [0.94, 49980.0], [0.97, 106325.0]]
1,765,126,849,275
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.8
0.83
0.815
0.03
108,008.31
256,752.1
16
12
true
0.01
[[0.8, 1422.0], [0.79, 13573.33], [0.78, 10516.0], [0.77, 10400.0], [0.76, 10930.0], [0.73, 15240.0], [0.7, 20130.0], [0.67, 24900.0], [0.21, 25.0], [0.1, 100.0]]
[[0.83, 1141.17], [0.84, 4470.0], [0.85, 18245.99], [0.86, 15910.0], [0.87, 15630.0], [0.88, 16280.0], [0.91, 28740.0], [0.94, 49980.0], [0.96, 12.38], [0.97, 106325.0]]
1,765,126,922,398
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.81
0.83
0.82
0.02
192,647.31
308,744.1
17
12
true
0.01
[[0.81, 7639.0], [0.8, 8422.0], [0.79, 55573.33], [0.78, 38516.0], [0.77, 10400.0], [0.76, 10930.0], [0.73, 15240.0], [0.7, 20130.0], [0.67, 24900.0], [0.21, 25.0]]
[[0.83, 1133.17], [0.84, 14470.0], [0.85, 32245.99], [0.86, 43910.0], [0.87, 15630.0], [0.88, 16280.0], [0.91, 28740.0], [0.94, 49980.0], [0.96, 12.38], [0.97, 106325.0]]
1,765,130,485,394
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.81
0.82
0.815
0.01
164,493.16
366,493.59
20
13
true
0.01
[[0.81, 609.0], [0.8, 18295.0], [0.79, 25821.88], [0.78, 40220.33], [0.77, 10500.0], [0.76, 500.0], [0.74, 15315.0], [0.73, 2150.0], [0.72, 5000.0], [0.71, 20160.0]]
[[0.82, 14.43], [0.83, 7011.17], [0.84, 8970.0], [0.85, 15513.0], [0.86, 45722.99], [0.87, 15680.0], [0.88, 16400.0], [0.89, 17040.0], [0.9, 2000.0], [0.92, 30930.0]]
1,765,130,559,397
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.81
0.82
0.815
0.01
164,493.16
366,485.59
20
13
true
0.01
[[0.81, 609.0], [0.8, 18295.0], [0.79, 25821.88], [0.78, 40220.33], [0.77, 10500.0], [0.76, 500.0], [0.74, 15315.0], [0.73, 2150.0], [0.72, 5000.0], [0.71, 20160.0]]
[[0.82, 6.43], [0.83, 7011.17], [0.84, 8970.0], [0.85, 15513.0], [0.86, 45722.99], [0.87, 15680.0], [0.88, 16400.0], [0.89, 17040.0], [0.9, 2000.0], [0.92, 30930.0]]
1,765,132,035,804
100003403450025047917779714861272621320450628883564828294239574418984460985323
NO
692096
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?
0.82
0.83
0.825
0.01
168,494.97
367,060.41
18
11
true
0.01
[[0.82, 13.57], [0.81, 9003.74], [0.8, 29285.0], [0.79, 40117.45], [0.78, 10578.21], [0.77, 10500.0], [0.76, 500.0], [0.74, 17465.0], [0.73, 5000.0], [0.71, 20160.0]]
[[0.83, 1133.17], [0.84, 8931.25], [0.85, 7013.0], [0.86, 33722.99], [0.87, 44678.0], [0.88, 16400.0], [0.89, 17040.0], [0.92, 30930.0], [0.95, 57000.0], [0.98, 150200.0]]
End of preview. Expand in Data Studio

Polymarket Genesis-Phase Liquidity — Dome L2 Order-Book Snapshots

Level-2 top-of-book snapshots for Polymarket outcome tokens, fetched via the Dome API (/polymarket/orderbooks). Companion dataset to the paper Opening Wide, Moving Fast: Spread Dynamics in Polymarket Prediction Markets (MARBLE 2026).

  • Rows: 339,183,655
  • Collection window: Oct 2025 – Mar 2026
  • One file: data/dome_polymarket_2025-10_2026-03.parquet (~14 GB, zstd)
  • Grain: one row per (timestamp_ms, token_id, token_side) snapshot
  • Code: github.com/vpercap-rg/polymarket-genesis-liquidity

Schema

column type description
timestamp_ms int64 snapshot time, epoch ms (UTC)
token_id string Polymarket CLOB token id
token_side string YES or NO
market_id string market identifier
question string market question text
best_bid double highest bid price = max(bids)
best_ask double lowest ask price = min(asks)
mid double (best_bid + best_ask) / 2
spread double best_ask - best_bid
total_bid_depth double summed size across bid levels
total_ask_depth double summed size across ask levels
n_bid_levels int64 number of bid price levels
n_ask_levels int64 number of ask price levels
neg_risk bool negative-risk market flag
tick_size double market tick size
top_bids_json string top 10 [price, size], price-descending
top_asks_json string top 10 [price, size], price-ascending

Prices are in [0, 1]. Both book sides are always populated (snapshots with an empty side were dropped at fetch time). Values are recorded exactly as returned by Dome, with no imputation.

Reproducing the paper's sample

The analysis restricts to two-sided, in-range quotes on the YES side:

WHERE token_side = 'YES'
  AND spread > 0 AND spread <= 1
  AND mid   > 0 AND mid   < 1

Note: ~0.019% of snapshots (64,238 rows) are crossed books (spread < 0) present in the source data, e.g. settled markets with stale resting orders. They are kept here for fidelity and excluded from all paper results by the filter above.

License

Data released under CC-BY-4.0. Redistribution is subject to the Dome API terms of service; verify before reuse.

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Number of rows:
339,183,655
Total file size:
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