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4,000
Asset Allocation and Risk Assessment with Gross Exposure Constraints for Vast Portfolios
q-fin.PM
Markowitz (1952, 1959) laid down the ground-breaking work on the mean-variance analysis. Under his framework, the theoretical optimal allocation vector can be very different from the estimated one for large portfolios due to the intrinsic difficulty of estimating a vast covariance matrix and return vector. This can res...
finance
4,001
Evaluating the performance of adapting trading strategies with different memory lengths
q-fin.PM
We propose a prediction model based on the minority game in which traders continuously evaluate a complete set of trading strategies with different memory lengths using the strategies' past performance. Based on the chosen trading strategy they determine their prediction of the movement for the following time period of...
finance
4,002
Application of the Kelly Criterion to Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Processes
q-fin.PM
In this paper, we study the Kelly criterion in the continuous time framework building on the work of E.O. Thorp and others. The existence of an optimal strategy is proven in a general setting and the corresponding optimal wealth process is found. A simple formula is provided for calculating the optimal portfolio for a ...
finance
4,003
La prime de risque dans un cadre international : le risque de change est-il apprécié ?
q-fin.PM
In this article, we investigate whether exchange rate risk is priced. We use a multivariate GARCH-in-Mean specification and test alternative conditional international CAPM versions. Our results support strongly the international asset-pricing model that includes exchange rate risk for both developed and emerging stock ...
finance
4,004
Jump-Diffusion Risk-Sensitive Asset Management
q-fin.PM
This paper considers a portfolio optimization problem in which asset prices are represented by SDEs driven by Brownian motion and a Poisson random measure, with drifts that are functions of an auxiliary diffusion 'factor' process. The criterion, following earlier work by Bielecki, Pliska, Nagai and others, is risk-sens...
finance
4,005
Continuous-Time Markowitz's Model with Transaction Costs
q-fin.PM
A continuous-time Markowitz's mean-variance portfolio selection problem is studied in a market with one stock, one bond, and proportional transaction costs. This is a singular stochastic control problem,inherently in a finite time horizon. With a series of transformations, the problem is turned into a so-called double ...
finance
4,006
The premium of dynamic trading
q-fin.PM
It is well established that in a market with inclusion of a risk-free asset the single-period mean-variance efficient frontier is a straight line tangent to the risky region, a fact that is the very foundation of the classical CAPM. In this paper, it is shown that in a continuous-time market where the risky prices are ...
finance
4,007
Global risk minimization in financial markets
q-fin.PM
Recurring international financial crises have adverse socioeconomic effects and demand novel regulatory instruments or strategies for risk management and market stabilization. However, the complex web of market interactions often impedes rational decisions that would absolutely minimize the risk. Here we show that, for...
finance
4,008
Optimal investment with inside information and parameter uncertainty
q-fin.PM
This paper has been withdrawn by the authors pending corrections.
finance
4,009
Mutual Fund Theorem for continuous time markets with random coefficients
q-fin.PM
We study the optimal investment problem for a continuous time incomplete market model such that the risk-free rate, the appreciation rates and the volatility of the stocks are all random; they are assumed to be independent from the driving Brownian motion, and they are supposed to be currently observable. It is shown t...
finance
4,010
Existence of Shadow Prices in Finite Probability Spaces
q-fin.PM
A shadow price is a process lying within the bid/ask prices of a market with proportional transaction costs, such that maximizing expected utility from consumption in the frictionless market with this price process leads to the same maximal utility as in the original market with transaction costs. For finite probabilit...
finance
4,011
Jump-Diffusion Risk-Sensitive Asset Management I: Diffusion Factor Model
q-fin.PM
This paper considers a portfolio optimization problem in which asset prices are represented by SDEs driven by Brownian motion and a Poisson random measure, with drifts that are functions of an auxiliary diffusion factor process. The criterion, following earlier work by Bielecki, Pliska, Nagai and others, is risk-sensit...
finance
4,012
Rentes en cours de service : un nouveau critère d'allocation d'actif
q-fin.PM
The aim of this paper is to compare two asset allocation methods for a pension scheme during the decumulation phase in the simplified portfolio selection between a risky asset following a geometric Brownian motion and a riskless asset. The two asset allocation criteria are the ruin probability of the insurance company ...
finance
4,013
Risk Sensitive Investment Management with Affine Processes: a Viscosity Approach
q-fin.PM
In this paper, we extend the jump-diffusion model proposed by Davis and Lleo to include jumps in asset prices as well as valuation factors. The criterion, following earlier work by Bielecki, Pliska, Nagai and others, is risk-sensitive optimization (equivalent to maximizing the expected growth rate subject to a constrai...
finance
4,014
Utility Maximization of an Indivisible Market with Transaction Costs
q-fin.PM
This work takes up the challenges of utility maximization problem when the market is indivisible and the transaction costs are included. First there is a so-called solvency region given by the minimum margin requirement in the problem formulation. Then the associated utility maximization is formulated as an optimal swi...
finance
4,015
Horizon dependence of utility optimizers in incomplete models
q-fin.PM
This paper studies the utility maximization problem with changing time horizons in the incomplete Brownian setting. We first show that the primal value function and the optimal terminal wealth are continuous with respect to the time horizon $T$. Secondly, we exemplify that the expected utility stemming from applying th...
finance
4,016
Transaction fees and optimal rebalancing in the growth-optimal portfolio
q-fin.PM
The growth-optimal portfolio optimization strategy pioneered by Kelly is based on constant portfolio rebalancing which makes it sensitive to transaction fees. We examine the effect of fees on an example of a risky asset with a binary return distribution and show that the fees may give rise to an optimal period of portf...
finance
4,017
Fully Flexible Views: Theory and Practice
q-fin.PM
We propose a unified methodology to input non-linear views from any number of users in fully general non-normal markets, and perform, among others, stress-testing, scenario analysis, and ranking allocation. We walk the reader through the theory and we detail an extremely efficient algorithm to easily implement this met...
finance
4,018
Utility theory front to back - inferring utility from agents' choices
q-fin.PM
We pursue an inverse approach to utility theory and consumption & investment problems. Instead of specifying an agent's utility function and deriving her actions, we assume we observe her actions (i.e. her consumption and investment strategies) and ask if it is possible to derive a utility function for which the observ...
finance
4,019
Measuring Portfolio Diversification
q-fin.PM
In the market place, diversification reduces risk and provides protection against extreme events by ensuring that one is not overly exposed to individual occurrences. We argue that diversification is best measured by characteristics of the combined portfolio of assets and introduce a measure based on the information en...
finance
4,020
Hedging of Game Options With the Presence of Transaction Costs
q-fin.PM
We study the problem of super-replication for game options under proportional transaction costs. We consider a multidimensional continuous time model, in which the discounted stock price process satisfies the conditional full support property. We show that the super-replication price is the cheapest cost of a trivial s...
finance
4,021
Notional portfolios and normalized linear returns
q-fin.PM
The vector of periodic, compound returns of a typical investment portfolio is almost never a convex combination of the return vectors of the securities in the portfolio. As a result the ex post version of Harry Markowitz's "standard mean-variance portfolio selection model" does not apply to compound return data. We pro...
finance
4,022
Dynamic Portfolio Optimization with a Defaultable Security and Regime Switching
q-fin.PM
We consider a portfolio optimization problem in a defaultable market with finitely-many economical regimes, where the investor can dynamically allocate her wealth among a defaultable bond, a stock, and a money market account. The market coefficients are assumed to depend on the market regime in place, which is modeled ...
finance
4,023
Necessary and sufficient conditions in the problem of optimal investment with intermediate consumption
q-fin.PM
We consider a problem of optimal investment with intermediate consumption in the framework of an incomplete semimartingale model of a financial market. We show that a necessary and sufficient condition for the validity of key assertions of the theory is that the value functions of the primal and dual problems are finit...
finance
4,024
Constructing the Best Trading Strategy: A New General Framework
q-fin.PM
We introduce a new general framework for constructing the best trading strategy for a given historical indicator. We construct the unique trading strategy with the highest expected return. This optimal strategy may be implemented directly, or its expected return may be used as a benchmark to evaluate how far away from ...
finance
4,025
Diversification Return, Portfolio Rebalancing, and the Commodity Return Puzzle
q-fin.PM
Diversification return is an incremental return earned by a rebalanced portfolio of assets. The diversification return of a rebalanced portfolio is often incorrectly ascribed to a reduction in variance. We argue that the underlying source of the diversification return is the rebalancing, which forces the investor to se...
finance
4,026
Optimal investment with intermediate consumption and random endowment
q-fin.PM
We consider a problem of optimal investment with intermediate consumption and random endowment in an incomplete semimartingale model of a financial market. We establish the key assertions of the utility maximization theory assuming that both primal and dual value functions are finite in the interiors of their domains a...
finance
4,027
Suitability of using technical indicators as potential strategies within intelligent trading systems
q-fin.PM
The potential of machine learning to automate and control nonlinear, complex systems is well established. These same techniques have always presented potential for use in the investment arena, specifically for the managing of equity portfolios. In this paper, the opportunity for such exploitation is investigated throug...
finance
4,028
Portfolio optimisation under non-linear drawdown constraints in a semimartingale financial model
q-fin.PM
A drawdown constraint forces the current wealth to remain above a given function of its maximum to date. We consider the portfolio optimisation problem of maximising the long-term growth rate of the expected utility of wealth subject to a drawdown constraint, as in the original setup of Grossman and Zhou (1993). We wor...
finance
4,029
An analytical performance comparison of exchanged traded funds with index funds: 2002-2010
q-fin.PM
Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) have been gaining increasing popularity in the investment community as is evidenced by the high growth both in the number of ETFs and their net assets since 2000. As ETFs are in nature similar to index mutual funds, in this paper we examined if this growing demand for ETFs can be explained ...
finance
4,030
Multicurrency advisor based on the NSW model. Detailed description and perspectives
q-fin.PM
Flexible algorithm of multicurrency trade on Forex market has been built on the grounds of non-linear stochastic wavelets (NSW) model. Probability of the loss-free trade has been evaluated. Results of the algorithm's real-time testing and issues of the algorithm's development are discussed.
finance
4,031
The Nature of Alpha
q-fin.PM
We suggest an empirical model of investment strategy returns which elucidates the importance of non-Gaussian features, such as time-varying volatility, asymmetry and fat tails, in explaining the level of expected returns. Estimating the model on the (former) Lehman Brothers Hedge Fund Index data, we demonstrate that th...
finance
4,032
On the game interpretation of a shadow price process in utility maximization problems under transaction costs
q-fin.PM
To any utility maximization problem under transaction costs one can assign a frictionless model with a price process $S^*$, lying in the bid/ask price interval $[\underline S, \bar{S}]$. Such process $S^*$ is called a \emph{shadow price} if it provides the same optimal utility value as in the original model with bid-as...
finance
4,033
Asymptotic Analysis for Optimal Investment in Finite Time with Transaction Costs
q-fin.PM
We consider an agent who invests in a stock and a money market account with the goal of maximizing the utility of his investment at the final time T in the presence of a proportional transaction cost. The utility function considered is power utility. We provide a heuristic and a rigorous derivation of the asymptotic ex...
finance
4,034
Building portfolios of stocks in the São Paulo Stock Exchange using Random Matrix Theory
q-fin.PM
By using Random Matrix Theory, we build covariance matrices between stocks of the BM&F-Bovespa (Bolsa de Valores, Mercadorias e Futuros de S\~ao Paulo) which are cleaned of some of the noise due to the complex interactions between the many stocks and the finiteness of available data. We also use a regression model in o...
finance
4,035
Optimal Trading with Linear Costs
q-fin.PM
We consider the problem of the optimal trading strategy in the presence of linear costs, and with a strict cap on the allowed position in the market. Using Bellman's backward recursion method, we show that the optimal strategy is to switch between the maximum allowed long position and the maximum allowed short position...
finance
4,036
Transaction Costs, Shadow Prices, and Duality in Discrete Time
q-fin.PM
For portfolio choice problems with proportional transaction costs, we discuss whether or not there exists a "shadow price", i.e., a least favorable frictionless market extension leading to the same optimal strategy and utility. By means of an explicit counter-example, we show that shadow prices may fail to exist even...
finance
4,037
Life Insurance Purchasing to Maximize Utility of Household Consumption
q-fin.PM
We determine the optimal amount of life insurance for a household of two wage earners. We consider the simple case of exponential utility, thereby removing wealth as a factor in buying life insurance, while retaining the relationship among life insurance, income, and the probability of dying and thus losing that income...
finance
4,038
Stability of the exponential utility maximization problem with respect to preferences
q-fin.PM
This paper studies stability of the exponential utility maximization when there are small variations on agent's utility function. Two settings are considered. First, in a general semimartingale model where random endowments are present, a sequence of utilities defined on R converges to the exponential utility. Under a ...
finance
4,039
The Long Neglected Critically Leveraged Portfolio
q-fin.PM
We show that the efficient frontier for a portfolio in which short positions precisely offset the long ones is composed of a pair of straight lines through the origin of the risk-return plane. This unique but important case has been overlooked because the original formulation of the mean-variance model by Markowitz as ...
finance
4,040
Can Metropolitan Housing Risk be Diversified? A Cautionary Tale from the Recent Boom and Bust
q-fin.PM
Geographic diversification is fundamental to risk mitigation among investors and insurers of housing, mortgages, and mortgage-related derivatives. To characterize diversification potential, we provide estimates of integration, spatial correlation, and contagion among US metropolitan housing markets. Results reveal a hi...
finance
4,041
Diffusion-based models for financial markets without martingale measures
q-fin.PM
We consider a general class of diffusion-based models and show that, even in the absence of an Equivalent Local Martingale Measure, the financial market may still be viable, in the sense that strong forms of arbitrage are excluded and portfolio optimisation problems can be meaningfully solved. Relying partly on the rec...
finance
4,042
Utility Maximization in a Binomial Model with transaction costs: a Duality Approach Based on the Shadow Price Process
q-fin.PM
We consider the problem of optimizing the expected logarithmic utility of the value of a portfolio in a binomial model with proportional transaction costs with a long time horizon. By duality methods, we can find expressions for the boundaries of the no-trade-region and the asymptotic optimal growth rate, which can be ...
finance
4,043
Maximising Survival, Growth, and Goal Reaching Under Borrowing Constraints
q-fin.PM
In this paper, we consider three problems related to survival, growth, and goal reaching maximization of an investment portfolio with proportional net cash flow. We solve the problems in a market constrained due to borrowing prohibition. To solve the problems, we first construct an auxiliary market and then apply the d...
finance
4,044
Portfolio Choice in Markets with Contagion
q-fin.PM
We consider the problem of optimal investment and consumption in a class of multidimensional jump-diffusion models in which asset prices are subject to mutually exciting jump processes. This captures a type of contagion where each downward jump in an asset's price results in increased likelihood of further jumps, both ...
finance
4,045
The Merton Problem with a Drawdown Constraint on Consumption
q-fin.PM
In this paper, we work in the framework of the Merton problem but we impose a drawdown constraint on the consumption process. This means that consumption can never fall below a fixed proportion of the running maximum of past consumption. In terms of economic motivation, this constraint represents a type of habit format...
finance
4,046
Impact of time illiquidity in a mixed market without full observation
q-fin.PM
We study a problem of optimal investment/consumption over an infinite horizon in a market consisting of two possibly correlated assets: one liquid and one illiquid. The liquid asset is observed and can be traded continuously, while the illiquid one can be traded only at discrete random times corresponding to the jumps ...
finance
4,047
Viscosity characterization of the value function of an investment-consumption problem in presence of illiquid assets
q-fin.PM
We study a problem of optimal investment/consumption over an infinite horizon in a market consisting of a liquid and an illiquid asset. The liquid asset is observed and can be traded continuously, while the illiquid one can only be traded and observed at discrete random times corresponding to the jumps of a Poisson pro...
finance
4,048
Generalizations of Functionally Generated Portfolios with Applications to Statistical Arbitrage
q-fin.PM
The theory of functionally generated portfolios (FGPs) is an aspect of the continuous-time, continuous-path Stochastic Portfolio Theory of Robert Fernholz. FGPs have been formulated to yield a master equation - a description of their return relative to a passive (buy-and-hold) benchmark portfolio serving as the num\'er...
finance
4,049
Smooth Value Function with Applications in Wealth-CVaR Efficient Portfolio and Turnpike Property
q-fin.PM
In this paper we continue the study of Bian-Miao-Zheng (2011) and extend the results there to a more general class of utility functions which may be bounded and non-strictly-concave and show that there is a classical solution to the HJB equation with the dual control method. We then apply the results to study the effic...
finance
4,050
Optimal Liquidation in a Finite Time Regime Switching Model with Permanent and Temporary Pricing Impact
q-fin.PM
In this paper we discuss the optimal liquidation over a finite time horizon until the exit time. The drift and diffusion terms of the asset price are general functions depending on all variables including control and market regime. There is also a local nonlinear transaction cost associated to the liquidation. The mode...
finance
4,051
Gambling in contests with regret
q-fin.PM
This paper discusses the gambling contest introduced in Seel & Strack (Gambling in contests, Discussion Paper Series of SFB/TR 15 Governance and the Efficiency of Economic Systems 375, Mar 2012.) and considers the impact of adding a penalty associated with failure to follow a winning strategy. The Seel & Strack model...
finance
4,052
Value-Based Inventory Management
q-fin.PM
The basic financial purpose of a firm is to maximize its value. An inventory management system should also contribute to realization of this basic aim. Many current asset management models currently found in financial management literature were constructed with the assumption of book profit maximization as basic aim. H...
finance
4,053
Theory of Performance Participation Strategies
q-fin.PM
The purpose of this article is to introduce, analyze and compare two performance participation methods based on a portfolio consisting of two risky assets: Option-Based Performance Participation (OBPP) and Constant Proportion Performance Participation (CPPP). By generalizing the provided guarantee to a participation in...
finance
4,054
Optimal investment and price dependence in a semi-static market
q-fin.PM
This paper studies the problem of maximizing expected utility from terminal wealth in a semi-static market composed of derivative securities, which we assume can be traded only at time zero, and of stocks, which can be traded continuously in time and are modeled as locally-bounded semi-martingales. Using a general ut...
finance
4,055
Portfolio Optimization under Partial Information with Expert Opinions: a Dynamic Programming Approach
q-fin.PM
This paper investigates optimal portfolio strategies in a market where the drift is driven by an unobserved Markov chain. Information on the state of this chain is obtained from stock prices and expert opinions in the form of signals at random discrete time points. As in Frey et al. (2012), Int. J. Theor. Appl. Finance...
finance
4,056
Dynamic Credit Investment in Partially Observed Markets
q-fin.PM
We consider the problem of maximizing expected utility for a power investor who can allocate his wealth in a stock, a defaultable security, and a money market account. The dynamics of these security prices are governed by geometric Brownian motions modulated by a hidden continuous time finite state Markov chain. We red...
finance
4,057
A liability tracking approach to long term management of pension funds
q-fin.PM
We propose a long term portfolio management method which takes into account a liability. Our approach is based on the LQG (Linear, Quadratic cost, Gaussian) control problem framework and then the optimal portfolio strategy hedges the liability by directly tracking a benchmark process which represents the liability. Two...
finance
4,058
Optimal initiation of a GLWB in a variable annuity: no arbitrage approach
q-fin.PM
This paper offers a financial economic perspective on the optimal time (and age) at which the owner of a Variable Annuity (VA) policy with a Guaranteed Living Withdrawal Benefit (GLWB) rider should initiate guaranteed lifetime income payments. We abstract from utility, bequest and consumption preference issues by treat...
finance
4,059
On the Dividend Strategies with Non-Exponential Discounting
q-fin.PM
In this paper, we study the dividend strategies for a shareholder with non-constant discount rate in a diffusion risk model. We assume that the dividends can only be paid at a bounded rate and restrict ourselves to the Markov strategies. This is a time inconsistent control problem. The extended HJB equation is given an...
finance
4,060
Optimal portfolios of a long-term investor with floor or drawdown constraints
q-fin.PM
We study the portfolio selection problem of a long-run investor who is maximising the asymptotic growth rate of her expected utility. We show that, somewhat surprisingly, it is essentially not affected by introduction of a floor constraint which requires the wealth process to dominate a given benchmark at all times. We...
finance
4,061
Robust Portfolios and Weak Incentives in Long-Run Investments
q-fin.PM
When the planning horizon is long, and the safe asset grows indefinitely, isoelastic portfolios are nearly optimal for investors who are close to isoelastic for high wealth, and not too risk averse for low wealth. We prove this result in a general arbitrage-free, frictionless, semimartingale model. As a consequence, op...
finance
4,062
Hedging and Leveraging: Principal Portfolios of the Capital Asset Pricing Model
q-fin.PM
The principal portfolios of the standard Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) are analyzed and found to have remarkable hedging and leveraging properties. Principal portfolios implement a recasting of any correlated asset set of N risky securities into an equivalent but uncorrelated set when short sales are allowed. Whil...
finance
4,063
Portfolio Optimization in R
q-fin.PM
We consider the problem of finding the efficient frontier associated with the risk-return portfolio optimization model. We derive the analytical expression of the efficient frontier for a portfolio of N risky assets, and for the case when a risk-free asset is added to the model. Also, we provide an R implementation, an...
finance
4,064
Transformation Method for Solving Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman Equation for Constrained Dynamic Stochastic Optimal Allocation Problem
q-fin.PM
In this paper we propose and analyze a method based on the Riccati transformation for solving the evolutionary Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation arising from the stochastic dynamic optimal allocation problem. We show how the fully nonlinear Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation can be transformed into a quasi-linear paraboli...
finance
4,065
Asset Allocation under the Basel Accord Risk Measures
q-fin.PM
Financial institutions are currently required to meet more stringent capital requirements than they were before the recent financial crisis; in particular, the capital requirement for a large bank's trading book under the Basel 2.5 Accord more than doubles that under the Basel II Accord. The significant increase in cap...
finance
4,066
Continuous-Time Portfolio Optimisation for a Behavioural Investor with Bounded Utility on Gains
q-fin.PM
This paper examines an optimal investment problem in a continuous-time (essentially) complete financial market with a finite horizon. We deal with an investor who behaves consistently with principles of Cumulative Prospect Theory, and whose utility function on gains is bounded above. The well-posedness of the optimisat...
finance
4,067
Portfolio Optimization under Small Transaction Costs: a Convex Duality Approach
q-fin.PM
We consider an investor with constant absolute risk aversion who trades a risky asset with general Ito dynamics, in the presence of small proportional transaction costs. Kallsen and Muhle-Karbe (2012) formally derived the leading-order optimal trading policy and the associated welfare impact of transaction costs. In th...
finance
4,068
Asymptotic analysis for Merton's problem with transaction costs in power utility case
q-fin.PM
We revisit the optimal investment and consumption problem with proportional transaction costs. We prove that both the value function and the slopes of the lines demarcating the no-trading region are analytic functions of cube root of the transaction cost parameter. Also, we can explicitly calculate the coefficients of ...
finance
4,069
Seven Sins in Portfolio Optimization
q-fin.PM
Although modern portfolio theory has been in existence for over 60 years, fund managers often struggle to get its models to produce reliable portfolio allocations without strongly constraining the decision vector by tight bands of strategic allocation targets. The two main root causes to this problem are inadequate par...
finance
4,070
The Kelly growth optimal strategy with a stop-loss rule
q-fin.PM
From the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation for the value function we derive a non-linear partial differential equation for the optimal portfolio strategy (the dynamic control). The equation is general in the sense that it does not depend on the terminal utility and provides additional analytical insight for some optimal...
finance
4,071
Time--consistent investment under model uncertainty: the robust forward criteria
q-fin.PM
We combine forward investment performance processes and ambiguity averse portfolio selection. We introduce the notion of robust forward criteria which addresses the issues of ambiguity in model specification and in preferences and investment horizon specification. It describes the evolution of time-consistent ambiguity...
finance
4,072
A Fast Algorithm for Computing High-dimensional Risk Parity Portfolios
q-fin.PM
In this paper we propose a cyclical coordinate descent (CCD) algorithm for solving high dimensional risk parity problems. We show that this algorithm converges and is very fast even with large covariance matrices (n > 500). Comparison with existing algorithms also shows that it is one of the most efficient algorithms.
finance
4,073
A New Characterization of Comonotonicity and its Application in Behavioral Finance
q-fin.PM
It is well-known that an $\mathbb{R}$-valued random vector $(X_1, X_2, \cdots, X_n)$ is comonotonic if and only if $(X_1, X_2, \cdots, X_n)$ and $(Q_1(U), Q_2(U),\cdots, Q_n(U))$ coincide \emph{in distribution}, for \emph{any} random variable $U$ uniformly distributed on the unit interval $(0,1)$, where $Q_k(\cdot)$ ar...
finance
4,074
Optimal Strategies for a Long-Term Static Investor
q-fin.PM
The optimal strategies for a long-term static investor are studied. Given a portfolio of a stock and a bond, we derive the optimal allocation of the capitols to maximize the expected long-term growth rate of a utility function of the wealth. When the bond has constant interest rate, three models for the underlying stoc...
finance
4,075
Risk- and ambiguity-averse portfolio optimization with quasiconcave utility functionals
q-fin.PM
Motivated by recent axiomatic developments, we study the risk- and ambiguity-averse investment problem where trading takes place over a fixed finite horizon and terminal payoffs are evaluated according to a criterion defined in terms of a quasiconcave utility functional. We extend to the present setting certain existen...
finance
4,076
Credit Portfolio Management in a Turning Rates Environment
q-fin.PM
We give a detailed account of correlations between credit sector/quality and treasury curve factors, using the robust framework of the Barclays POINT Global Risk Model. Consistent with earlier studies, we find a strong negative correlation between sector spreads and rate shifts. However, we also observe that the correl...
finance
4,077
Optimal Investment with Transaction Costs and Stochastic Volatility
q-fin.PM
Two major financial market complexities are transaction costs and uncertain volatility, and we analyze their joint impact on the problem of portfolio optimization. When volatility is constant, the transaction costs optimal investment problem has a long history, especially in the use of asymptotic approximations when th...
finance
4,078
Dynamic Mean-LPM and Mean-CVaR Portfolio Optimization in Continuous-time
q-fin.PM
Instead of controlling "symmetric" risks measured by central moments of investment return or terminal wealth, more and more portfolio models have shifted their focus to manage "asymmetric" downside risks that the investment return is below certain threshold. Among the existing downside risk measures, the lower-partial ...
finance
4,079
Purchasing Life Insurance to Reach a Bequest Goal
q-fin.PM
We determine how an individual can use life insurance to meet a bequest goal. We assume that the individual's consumption is met by an income, such as a pension, life annuity, or Social Security. Then, we consider the wealth that the individual wants to devote towards heirs (separate from any wealth related to the afor...
finance
4,080
Expert Opinions and Logarithmic Utility Maximization in a Market with Gaussian Drift
q-fin.PM
This paper investigates optimal portfolio strategies in a financial market where the drift of the stock returns is driven by an unobserved Gaussian mean reverting process. Information on this process is obtained from observing stock returns and expert opinions. The latter provide at discrete time points an unbiased est...
finance
4,081
Introduction to Risk Parity and Budgeting
q-fin.PM
Although portfolio management didn't change much during the 40 years after the seminal works of Markowitz and Sharpe, the development of risk budgeting techniques marked an important milestone in the deepening of the relationship between risk and asset management. Risk parity then became a popular financial model of in...
finance
4,082
Momentum Strategies with L1 Filter
q-fin.PM
In this article, we discuss various implementation of L1 filtering in order to detect some properties of noisy signals. This filter consists of using a L1 penalty condition in order to obtain the filtered signal composed by a set of straight trends or steps. This penalty condition, which determines the number of breaks...
finance
4,083
Utility maximization in the large markets
q-fin.PM
In the large financial market, which is described by a model with countably many traded assets, we formulate the problem of the expected utility maximization. Assuming that the preferences of an economic agent are modeled with a stochastic utility and that the consumption occurs according to a stochastic clock, we obta...
finance
4,084
A Note on the Quantile Formulation
q-fin.PM
Many investment models in discrete or continuous-time settings boil down to maximizing an objective of the quantile function of the decision variable. This quantile optimization problem is known as the quantile formulation of the original investment problem. Under certain monotonicity assumptions, several schemes to so...
finance
4,085
Is It Possible to OD on Alpha?
q-fin.PM
It is well known that combining multiple hedge fund alpha streams yields diversification benefits to the resultant portfolio. Additionally, crossing trades between different alpha streams reduces transaction costs. As the number of alpha streams increases, the relative turnover of the portfolio decreases as more trades...
finance
4,086
Signal-wise performance attribution for constrained portfolio optimisation
q-fin.PM
Performance analysis, from the external point of view of a client who would only have access to returns and holdings of a fund, evolved towards exact attribution made in the context of portfolio optimisation, which is the internal point of view of a manager controlling all the parameters of this optimisation. Attributi...
finance
4,087
An Optimal Consumption-Investment Model with Constraint on Consumption
q-fin.PM
A continuous-time consumption-investment model with constraint is considered for a small investor whose decisions are the consumption rate and the allocation of wealth to a risk-free and a risky asset with logarithmic Brownian motion fluctuations. The consumption rate is subject to an upper bound constraint which linea...
finance
4,088
Optimal investment under behavioural criteria -- a dual approach
q-fin.PM
We consider a discrete-time, generically incomplete market model and a behavioural investor with power-like utility and distortion functions. The existence of optimal strategies in this setting has been shown in a previous paper under certain conditions on the parameters of these power functions. In the present paper...
finance
4,089
Optimal Portfolio Problem Using Entropic Value at Risk: When the Underlying Distribution is Non-Elliptical
q-fin.PM
This paper is devoted to study the optimal portfolio problem. Harry Markowitz's Ph.D. thesis prepared the ground for the mathematical theory of finance. In modern portfolio theory, we typically find asset returns that are modeled by a random variable with an elliptical distribution and the notion of portfolio risk is d...
finance
4,090
Active extension portfolio optimization with non-convex risk measures using metaheuristics
q-fin.PM
We consider the optimization of active extension portfolios. For this purpose, the optimization problem is rewritten as a stochastic programming model and solved using a clever multi-start local search heuristic, which turns out to provide stable solutions. The heuristic solutions are compared to optimization results o...
finance
4,091
Portfolio optimization in the case of an asset with a given liquidation time distribution
q-fin.PM
Management of the portfolios containing low liquidity assets is a tedious problem. The buyer proposes the price that can differ greatly from the paper value estimated by the seller, the seller, on the other hand, can not liquidate his portfolio instantly and waits for a more favorable offer. To minimize losses in this ...
finance
4,092
Risk-sensitive investment in a finite-factor model
q-fin.PM
A new jump diffusion regime-switching model is introduced, which allows for linking jumps in asset prices with regime changes. We prove the existence and uniqueness of the solution to the risk-sensitive asset management criterion maximisation problem in this setting. We provide an ODE for the optimal value function, wh...
finance
4,093
Mean-Reversion and Optimization
q-fin.PM
The purpose of these notes is to provide a systematic quantitative framework - in what is intended to be a "pedagogical" fashion - for discussing mean-reversion and optimization. We start with pair trading and add complexity by following the sequence "mean-reversion via demeaning -> regression -> weighted regression ->...
finance
4,094
Bounds on Portfolio Quality
q-fin.PM
The signal-noise ratio of a portfolio of p assets, its expected return divided by its risk, is couched as an estimation problem on the sphere. When the portfolio is built using noisy data, the expected value of the signal-noise ratio is bounded from above via a Cramer-Rao bound, for the case of Gaussian returns. The bo...
finance
4,095
An expansion in the model space in the context of utility maximization
q-fin.PM
In the framework of an incomplete financial market where the stock price dynamics are modeled by a continuous semimartingale (not necessarily Markovian) an explicit second-order expansion formula for the power investor's value function - seen as a function of the underlying market price of risk process - is provided. T...
finance
4,096
Dynamic Investment Portfolio Optimization under Constraints in the Financial Market with Regime Switching using Model Predictive Control
q-fin.PM
In this work, we consider the optimal portfolio selection problem under hard constraints on trading volume amounts when the dynamics of the risky asset returns are governed by a discrete-time approximation of the Markov-modulated geometric Brownian motion. The states of Markov chain are interpreted as the states of an ...
finance
4,097
Portfolio Optimization in the Financial Market with Correlated Returns under Constraints, Transaction Costs and Different Rates for Borrowing and Lending
q-fin.PM
In this work, we consider the optimal portfolio selection problem under hard constraints on trading amounts, transaction costs and different rates for borrowing and lending when the risky asset returns are serially correlated. No assumptions about the correlation structure between different time points or about the dis...
finance
4,098
Optimal Allocation of Trend Following Strategies
q-fin.PM
We consider a portfolio allocation problem for trend following (TF) strategies on multiple correlated assets. Under simplifying assumptions of a Gaussian market and linear TF strategies, we derive analytical formulas for the mean and variance of the portfolio return. We construct then the optimal portfolio that maximiz...
finance
4,099
Optimising Credit Portfolio Using a Quadratic Nonlinear Projection Method
q-fin.PM
A novel optimisation framework through quadratic nonlinear projection is introduced for credit portfolio when the portfolio risk is measured by Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR). The whole optimisation procedure to search toward the optimal portfolio state is conducted by a series of single-step optimisations under the ...
finance