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license: cc-by-4.0
language:
  - en
pretty_name: >-
  Orbits and pointing: LAGEOS orbit prediction, JWST momentum and JWST fine
  guidance, computed with a proof on every row
tags:
  - physics
  - aerospace
  - orbit-determination
  - precise-orbit-determination
  - orbit-prediction
  - space-domain-awareness
  - satellite-laser-ranging
  - slr
  - lageos
  - jwst
  - momentum-management
  - fine-guidance
  - line-of-sight
  - verification
  - validation
  - cryptographic-proof
  - ml-dsa-87
  - mcp
  - model-context-protocol
  - agents
  - super-intelligence
  - zero-trust-physics
size_categories:
  - n<1K
source_datasets:
  - original
configs:
  - config_name: orbit_distance
    default: true
    data_files:
      - split: train
        path: data/comparison/orbit_distance.parquet
  - config_name: momentum_months
    data_files:
      - split: train
        path: data/comparison/momentum_months.parquet
  - config_name: momentum_runs
    data_files:
      - split: train
        path: data/comparison/momentum_runs.parquet
  - config_name: fine_guide_files
    data_files:
      - split: train
        path: data/comparison/fine_guide_files.parquet
  - config_name: lageos_rows
    data_files:
      - split: train
        path: data/lageos/rows.parquet
  - config_name: lageos_frames
    data_files:
      - split: train
        path: data/lageos/frames.parquet
  - config_name: srp_2023_06_rows
    data_files:
      - split: train
        path: data/momentum_jwst_srp__2023-06-15_to_2023-07-14/rows.parquet
  - config_name: srp_2023_06_frames
    data_files:
      - split: train
        path: data/momentum_jwst_srp__2023-06-15_to_2023-07-14/frames.parquet
  - config_name: srp_2023_07_rows
    data_files:
      - split: train
        path: data/momentum_jwst_srp__2023-07-15_to_2023-08-14/rows.parquet
  - config_name: srp_2023_07_frames
    data_files:
      - split: train
        path: data/momentum_jwst_srp__2023-07-15_to_2023-08-14/frames.parquet
  - config_name: srp_2023_08_rows
    data_files:
      - split: train
        path: data/momentum_jwst_srp__2023-08-15_to_2023-09-14/rows.parquet
  - config_name: srp_2023_08_frames
    data_files:
      - split: train
        path: data/momentum_jwst_srp__2023-08-15_to_2023-09-14/frames.parquet
  - config_name: dihedral_2023_07_rows
    data_files:
      - split: train
        path: data/momentum_jwst_dihedral__2023-07-15_to_2023-08-14/rows.parquet
  - config_name: dihedral_2023_07_frames
    data_files:
      - split: train
        path: data/momentum_jwst_dihedral__2023-07-15_to_2023-08-14/frames.parquet
  - config_name: dihedral_2023_08_rows
    data_files:
      - split: train
        path: data/momentum_jwst_dihedral__2023-08-15_to_2023-09-14/rows.parquet
  - config_name: dihedral_2023_08_frames
    data_files:
      - split: train
        path: data/momentum_jwst_dihedral__2023-08-15_to_2023-09-14/frames.parquet
  - config_name: fine_guide_worked_rows
    data_files:
      - split: train
        path: data/los_jwst_fine_guide__worked/rows.parquet
  - config_name: fine_guide_worked_frames
    data_files:
      - split: train
        path: data/los_jwst_fine_guide__worked/frames.parquet
  - config_name: fine_guide_2022_05_rows
    data_files:
      - split: train
        path: data/los_jwst_fine_guide__2022-05/rows.parquet
  - config_name: fine_guide_2022_05_frames
    data_files:
      - split: train
        path: data/los_jwst_fine_guide__2022-05/frames.parquet
  - config_name: fine_guide_2022_06_rows
    data_files:
      - split: train
        path: data/los_jwst_fine_guide__2022-06/rows.parquet
  - config_name: fine_guide_2022_06_frames
    data_files:
      - split: train
        path: data/los_jwst_fine_guide__2022-06/frames.parquet
homepage: https://zerotrustphysics.com

Orbits and pointing: LAGEOS orbit prediction, JWST momentum build-up and JWST fine guidance, computed with a proof on every row

Protocol Company · zerotrustphysics.com · Domain Packs for training: 30 withheld tasks and 100,000 sealed runs, scored offline, $9,500, order or ask · WhatsApp +1 928-264-7883 · kruze@zerotrustphysics.com

For precise orbit determination and space domain awareness: a seven-day orbit prediction of the laser-ranging satellites LAGEOS-1 and LAGEOS-2 from one published state, against the ILRS precise orbits. For observatory operations: the James Webb Space Telescope's momentum build-up between momentum unloads under sunlight pressure, against its own telemetry, and its guide star's position one fine-guidance frame (64 ms) ahead, against the Fine Guidance Sensor's centroids. Every run is the comparison's own request, computed again with a cryptographic proof on every row and signed by the operator's key, with the comparison with measurement in a table beside it.

Zero-Trust Physics is a deterministic physics runtime with a proof on every answer, for agents and RL rollouts. SI agents ask it questions about real hardware, and every answer comes with a cryptographic proof, so any agent can run it again and get the same thing. Past what a model was compared with, it keeps going with the same equations and flags every step. It stops only at a physical limit, or where its equations, constants or tables no longer hold, and it names the reason.

https://mcp.zerotrustphysics.com/mcp Open to any agent. Public answer key: https://mcp.zerotrustphysics.com/answer-key.

Note, 4 November 2026: the open address serves engine 0.15.3 since 30 October 2026, on the same kernel (genesis_kernel_v0.13.1); the run and dataset seals here, made on 0.15.2, verify there unchanged.

Note, 26 October 2026: re-sealed on engine 0.15.2 (genesis_kernel_v0.13.1), the engine the open address served then. The requests are the same; no run seal moved; every dataset seal moved with the engine's version, and every signature below was made again by the open address. The dataset seals, signed heads and file hashes on this page are the new ones.

What is in it

Nine sealed datasets, 133 rows and 489,051 recorded frames, every row completed:

Dataset Model Rows Frames What the rows are Dataset seal
lageos LAGEOS free flight 42 78,438 Seven starts in each of six weeks outside the choice of the card's structure: LAGEOS-1, 6 to 12 and 13 to 19 September 2026; LAGEOS-2, four weeks from 23 August to 19 September 2026. From each day's 0 h state, runs of seven, three, one day and one revolution, 10 s steps, a frame every 120 s 10a57ecbdf1898e109a863198a971c62c57a6571e26c366f1ae8be67054d5e31308dffa337dd658b684c91c823c03ac2
momentum_jwst_srp__2023-06-15_to_2023-07-14 JWST momentum, one flat sunlit layer 12 42,903 Every minute of every stretch between thruster events, the telemetered attitude and the Sun as load, in pieces of at most 4,000 minutes fefc647e52e083b5e2583a9bd7817d69403b33bf88af47de49a8b5e17a22bfbcd7c390cbf84ad2b89c667a5e31ed0bce
momentum_jwst_srp__2023-07-15_to_2023-08-14 the same 15 44,371 the same 9f55d4fce5a043404066b15fd13b9e4004c3b8077a6860ec82bbb859dbf337028d2bb06094c61587b11da010367d6ce7
momentum_jwst_srp__2023-08-15_to_2023-09-14 the same 12 44,512 the same ff20b7455652ca90bb11374077b9f30f950afa0c4ddd3a2bb038bfe27b4f35bfba030cf4f0a7bbf290089f7c1d2dc015
momentum_jwst_dihedral__2023-07-15_to_2023-08-14 JWST momentum, the first layer as two slopes 15 44,371 the same minutes as the one-layer model's 4380bf0dead32ab09c51157804ce0897a356b1e82b7a092f64b6e4c67183a3836ee23591e5977f6dc80e4c2b549e161e
momentum_jwst_dihedral__2023-08-15_to_2023-09-14 the same 12 44,512 the same d368526651259d0718643d4679ed8dd039f0ebec6e93e56d43dc8eee9cb9d16ee2d05b5653b490b10d91c658afc692d6
los_jwst_fine_guide__worked JWST line of sight in fine guide 1 1,252 The model's worked run: frames 469 to 1,720 of one fine-guide file of April 2022, a file it was fitted on bb721aaabab4c7b16baee476dbc5a0da51a50394bae4a859be7c22c7bbc9785263e8f9eb25c80a4a5253f930a566d55a
los_jwst_fine_guide__2022-05 the same 11 84,146 One file of each of the 11 visits of May 2022 outside the fit, one frame a step 3a1c4db417459070aa60334b26a956be01daad97f2b34c5a45745970c06abcc91751d28bb7de8ece457c04e8a87aae72
los_jwst_fine_guide__2022-06 the same 13 104,546 One file of each of the 13 visits of June 2022 outside the fit c409635857445d69a39789688276a982bb2002ddacb3dec2e09df982ea4eb90cfb4440968d677c8bfa8b6731594f3885

One request to the engine is at most 16,777,216 bytes, so the momentum months and the fine-guide months are sealed one dataset each. A momentum row of 4,000 minutes is a request of about 0.9 MB; a fine-guide row of 10,000 frames, about 1.3 MB.

The fine-guide rows are a rule-based subset of the 134 files the model was compared with: of each of the 24 visits outside the fit, the first file in the record's list, run whole as the comparison ran it (its first 10,000 frames, the lock point the median of its good centroids, one step a frame, the table's own numbers). 24 files, 188,692 frames, 114,769 of them quiet.

The comparison tables are the default views. data/comparison/orbit_distance.parquet: one line per LAGEOS run, the largest distance from the published orbit after one revolution, one day, three days and seven days. data/comparison/momentum_months.parquet: the five measures of each month, each model. data/comparison/momentum_runs.parquet: one line per momentum row, with |H| at its end, the model's and the telemetry's. data/comparison/fine_guide_files.parquet: one line per fine-guide file, the error one frame ahead on the quiet frames, the hold-last error and the lock-point error, each axis. data/<dataset>/rows.parquet and frames.parquet are the sealed rows and frames, written only after the whole dataset verified.

How close it comes to the measurements

LAGEOS orbit prediction, against the ILRS combined orbit, largest 3-D distance over every 120 s epoch to each horizon. Nothing fitted: the Earth's field is EGM2008 to degree and order 12, sunlight pressure the analysis centres' 1.13.

Satellite Runs After one revolution After one day After three days After seven days
LAGEOS-1, 2 weeks 14 0.65 m (target 1 m) 3.8 m (target 10 m) 12.7 m 32 m (target 100 m)
LAGEOS-2, 4 weeks 28 0.34 m 2.9 m 8.9 m 22 m

These distances are the record's: on every run and every horizon this dataset's frames give the same distance as the comparison the model's description names, to within 3.3 micrometres.

JWST momentum build-up, against the observatory's telemetered total angular momentum, every settled minute. A: the growth of |H| over each day within 0.1 of the observed plus 0.2 N m s (target 80 percent of days). B: the change of the vector H over each day, the same allowance. C: |H| at the end of each run of 3 days or more between thruster events (target 10 percent). D: the hourly growth rate, RMS error over its spread (target 0.5). E: the torque on one attitude, RMS error over the RMS torque (target 0.4).

Model Month (2023) A B C D E
One flat layer (fitted on 12 May to 14 June) 15 Jun to 14 Jul 23 of 28 days 14 of 28 -8.4 % after 10.7 days, -0.9 % after 16.3 0.437 0.262
15 Jul to 14 Aug 15 of 28 8 of 28 -16.2 % after the 3.9-day run after an unload; +0.5, -5.3, -5.1 % after 12.4, 8.5, 4.4 days 0.384 0.314
15 Aug to 14 Sep 17 of 30 8 of 30 -7.4 % after 29.3 days 0.421 0.347
Two slopes (fitted on 12 May to 14 July) 15 Jul to 14 Aug 25 of 28 18 of 28 +0.7, -1.7, +4.9, +0.9 % after 12.4, 8.5, 3.9, 4.4 days 0.272 0.144
15 Aug to 14 Sep 22 of 30 13 of 30 -5.5 % after 29.3 days 0.375 0.149

Every number in this table is computed from this dataset's frames by the record's own measures, and equals the record's.

JWST fine guidance, one frame ahead, on the quiet frames (a centroid within 5 mas of the lock point, outside 2 s before and 30 s after a disturbance), error of the prediction over the error of holding the last centroid:

Frames Files x y
This dataset's subset 24 (one per visit) 0.788 (0.550 against 0.698 mas) 0.803 (0.499 against 0.622 mas)
The model's whole comparison 134 0.790 (0.510 mas) 0.807 (0.472 mas)

Target 0.85. The subset's squared error over the stated variance is 1.035 on x and 0.946 on y (target 0.67 to 1.50); the whole comparison's, 1.004 and 0.986. On each of the 24 files, this dataset's numbers equal the record's for that file.

One row

Row 0 of lageos is LAGEOS-1 from 0 h UTC on 6 September 2026, seven days at 10 s steps, started from GFZ's published state turned into the card's frame. The request, as run_trajectory takes it:

{"tool": "run_trajectory", "arguments": {"card": "satellite_lageos1", "domain": "aerospace", "dt_s": 10.0, "initial": {"epoch_utc_s": 841924800.0, "forecast_elapsed_s": 0.0, "position_m": [295558.7678903363, -5108650.370522532, -11100383.23606335], "velocity_m_s": [-4821.08544993592, -3331.9602315669836, 1405.5539438152634]}, "record_every": 12, "segments": [{"load": {}, "steps": 60480}]}}

Outcome completed, after 60,480 steps. Its largest distance from the ILRS combined orbit is 0.65 m after one revolution, 3.8 m after one day and 31.9 m after seven days. Run seal:

a3a5f892c16178d0ac9942c64cadbc696cc88ee4f7de2321828e78ad8d06a1a529d8ea12ce381b48b2d441e79ad75aa9

Verify it yourself

Every row can be verified without trusting this page.

# 1. the proof of a whole dataset, with no engine running: the seal of every row, its chain of frames and the root
genesis_seal verify-dataset sealed/lageos/head.json sealed/lageos/rows.jsonl sealed/lageos/frames.bin

# 2. one row's proof on its own: the row, its chain and its path to the dataset seal
genesis_seal row-proof sealed/lageos/head.json sealed/lageos/rows.jsonl 0 sealed/lageos/frames.bin > row0.json
genesis_seal verify-proof row0.json

# 3. the operator's signature on a signed head or a signed answer, against the published key
genesis_seal verify-signature signed/lageos/signed_000.head.json --public-key signed/answer_key_public.b64 --now <its issued_at>
  1. Send any row's request to run_trajectory at the open address and compare the run_seal.
  2. Send verify_dataset the head's request with its dataset_seal: the engine runs the whole plan again and reaches the same seal. At the open address this holds for lageos (about 20 s) and los_jwst_fine_guide__worked; the momentum and fine-guide month plans, 11 to 14 MB, are larger than the open address takes in one request, so verify those row by row with step 4.

When this dataset was re-sealed, 26 October 2026, all of these were run on each of the nine datasets, and all held: the stored plan run again on the served engine build, head, rows and frames equal byte for byte; verify_dataset by the stored seal; its short form on a fresh engine, the plan run again; genesis_seal verify-dataset, every row; the public verify_dataset.py, every row; one row's proof on its own; and every row's run seal computed again by the open address in the signed heads and answers below, equal to the stored row's, 133 of 133.

Signed

The row seals and the dataset seals were computed by the served engine build, run locally. The open address then signed ML-DSA-87 what it returned for the same requests: for lageos, the dataset heads, which carry the merkle_root and rows_sha384 over their rows' run seals (the LAGEOS rows are not signed one by one); for the momentum and fine-guide datasets, each row's own answer.

The operator's key signs every answer of the open address ML-DSA-87, over its receipt, with an expiry of 3,600 s and a nonce. With SHA-384, these are the CNSA 2.0 algorithms. The public key is at https://mcp.zerotrustphysics.com/answer-key, key ID ca06027a…1be38.

  • lageos: the same plan was sent to the open address in 14 chunks of three rows (an inline dataset records at most 10,000 frames). Every one of the 14 signed heads verifies against the published key, and every row's run seal in them equals the stored row's. The signed heads are in signed/lageos/ (signed_NNN.head.json, the head's own bytes as they came; signed_NNN.json, the whole answer).
  • The momentum and fine-guide datasets: the open address refuses a signed head for rows this long (it counts the plan's request into the 42,500 characters of one inline answer: 155,659 for the shortest row, the worked run). Each row's request was sent alone to run_trajectory at the open address instead; every answer is signed in its own receipt. Each signature verifies against the published key, and each answer's run seal equals the stored row's. The signed answers are in signed/<dataset>/row_NNN.json.gz (unzip before verify-signature), with signed_summary.json and attest.json.

Files

Path What it holds
sealed/<dataset>/head.json, rows.jsonl, frames.bin each sealed dataset: the head with its request and dataset_seal, the rows, the frames
data/<dataset>/rows.parquet, frames.parquet the same rows and frames as Parquet, written after the dataset verified
data/comparison/*.parquet, *.csv the four comparison tables
signed/<dataset>/ the signed heads or signed answers from the open address, and their verification
signed/answer_key_public.b64 the operator's public key, as published at https://mcp.zerotrustphysics.com/answer-key
source/lageos/ the 12 orbit files the LAGEOS runs read: GFZ's (the start states) and the ILRS combined orbit (the comparison), six weeks
source/momentum/ the minute rows of each month and the JPL Horizons ephemeris of JWST used for the Sun
source/fine_guide/ the FGS centroid tables of the 25 fine-guide files used

Where the numbers come from

  • LAGEOS. International Laser Ranging Service combined orbits and GFZ's orbits (product 10.5067/SLR/SLR_ILRSORB_001), from the EUROLAS Data Center at DGFI-TUM. The start state of each run is GFZ's state at 0 h of its day, turned into the card's frame outside the engine with IERS Bulletin A, as the model's description says; the distances are to the ILRS combined orbit (ILRSA). Weeks used, each Sunday to Saturday: LAGEOS-1, 2026-09-06 to 09-12 and 09-13 to 09-19; LAGEOS-2, 2026-08-23 to 08-29, 08-30 to 09-05, 09-06 to 09-12 and 09-13 to 09-19. The ILRS asks: Pearlman, M. R., Noll, C. E., Pavlis, E. C. et al. (2019). The ILRS: approaching 20 years and planning for the future. J Geod 93, 2161–2180, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00190-019-01241-1. Keyword: SLR.
  • JWST momentum. The JWST engineering database at MAST: SA_ZMOMMAG and SA_ZMOMECIX/Y/Z every 4.096 s, the attitude quaternion SA_ZATTEST1 to 4 every 0.256 s, the slew status SA_ZSLEWST and the unload status SA_ZMOMUNLST, read as one row a minute. The Sun's direction and distance from JPL Horizons, target -170 (NASA/JPL). The sunshield's area (Proc. SPIE 9904, 990405), its optical numbers (Origins Space Telescope study report, appendix C), the solar irradiance (Geophys. Res. Lett. 38, L01706), the layers' dihedral angle (Northrop Grumman Technology Review Journal) and the sunshield's width (PASP 135, 058002).
  • JWST fine guidance. Space Telescope Science Institute, Mikulski Archive for Space Telescopes, programme 1163, OTE-26 Routine WFSC/CC Jitter Maintenance: the table FGS CENTROID PACKET of each calibrated fine-guide file.
  • The models' numbers. Each model's description, served at the open address, states what it was fitted on, what it was compared with and how close it came; the comparison tables here are computed from this dataset's frames by the same rules.
  • This work is based in part on observations made with the NASA/ESA/CSA James Webb Space Telescope. The data were obtained from the Mikulski Archive for Space Telescopes at the Space Telescope Science Institute, which is operated by the Association of Universities for Research in Astronomy, Inc., under NASA contract NAS5-03127 for JWST. These observations are associated with program #1163. The momentum rows are based on engineering telemetry of the NASA/ESA/CSA James Webb Space Telescope, obtained from the same archive.

What the rows do not say

  • LAGEOS: free flight from a published state, on two orbits near 12,270 km, for at most seven days. The card carries no drag, no light reflected from the Earth and no ocean tide, and its error grows with the length of a forecast: from 0.65 m after one revolution to 32 m after seven days on LAGEOS-1. The published orbit is the analysis centres' fit to laser ranges, good to a few centimetres.
  • JWST momentum: the change of H between settled minutes, the observatory not slewing; the thrusters, the wheels' speeds and attitudes outside the field of regard are outside the comparison. The daily change of the vector H is within its allowance on 8 to 18 days of 28 or 30, against a target of 80 percent: beyond 2 degrees of roll the one flat layer's torque about the boresight is off by about 30 µN m, and the two slopes' torque about J3 by 10 to 11 µN m RMS. Across each slew of more than 0.5 rad the settled momentum moved by about 0.26 N m s RMS that sunlight does not account for.
  • JWST fine guidance: the model describes quiet fine guide. Inside a disturbance it is worse than holding the last centroid, 2.03 against 1.00 mas on x and 1.57 against 0.78 on y over the whole comparison, and it flags those frames. In the worked run, 32 frames are flagged more than four stated standard deviations from where they were expected and 11 more than 5 mas from the lock point, the first at frames 1,199 and 1,237 (counted from 0). Nothing above 7.8 Hz is resolved by a 64 ms frame. The lock point is not in the file; the comparison took the median of the run's good centroids.
  • A row is a computation, not a measurement: past what the model was compared with, it keeps going with the same equations and flags every step.

Benchmark tasks

Three questions on these models are tasks in Environments since version 0.5 (tag v0.5.0, 22 October 2026), each scored by a program that sends the agent's request to the verifier again, with no judge. Their inputs are not in this dataset: no row here shares a task's start state and loads, or differs from it in one input only, a limit task's open input set aside.

  • figure-lageos-radius-after-twelve-hours (figure): LAGEOS-1 is at position (9,636,913.2006, 6,151,016.5697, -4,447,242.7873) m with velocity (-76.809374, -3,497.872725, -4,941.758241) m/s, in the frame turning with the Earth, at 00:00 UTC on 7 September 1996 (842,097,600 s of UTC from 1970). How far is it from the Earth's centre, in metres, twelve hours later?
  • figure-jwst-momentum-after-two-days (figure): The James Webb Space Telescope holds attitude quaternion (q1, q2, q3, q4) = (-0.2918584049, 0.790687263, -0.4820995033, 0.2391911894) with the Sun in direction (-0.111079227693045, 0.9106690061131182, 0.39792381994555476) at 1.0 au, and its reaction wheels start holding a total angular momentum of (0.4, -0.9, 1.3) N m s. What is the magnitude of its total angular momentum, in N m s, after two days under sunlight pressure with no momentum unload?
  • stop-jwst-sun-behind-sunshield (stop): The James Webb Space Telescope holds attitude quaternion (q1, q2, q3, q4) = (-0.2918584049, 0.790687263, -0.4820995033, 0.2391911894) with the Sun in direction (0.111079227693045, -0.9106690061131182, -0.39792381994555476) at 1.0 au, starting from a total angular momentum of (0.4, -0.9, 1.3) N m s. How much does its angular momentum grow in ten hours under sunlight pressure?

In Environments, python3 prompt.py <id> prints the text an agent is given, and python3 score.py <replies> --engine <verifier> scores the replies.

Cite

The paper: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23517223. The open address: https://mcp.zerotrustphysics.com/mcp.

Made by Super Intelligence, on behalf of Protocol Company. Data: CC BY 4.0, with the ILRS citation and the MAST acknowledgment above.