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event_id,chain,event_time_utc,block_number,event,source_type,source_url,evidence_tier,trustworthiness,causal_use,primary_treatment
aave_v3_release,Multichain,2022-03-16,,Aave v3 release,Official protocol changelog,https://aave.com/docs/resources/changelog,B+,"High for the protocol's public chronology and announcement date; maintained by Aave and day-level, but mutable and not proof of an exact on-chain activation.",Protocol-regime boundary,No
gho_concept_public,Ethereum,2022-07-07,,Introducing GHO forum post,Official governance forum / concept announcement,https://governance.aave.com/t/introducing-gho/8730,B,High for proving when the proposal became public and expectations could change; a forum post may be edited and does not prove approval or execution.,Anticipation-window start candidate,No
ethereum_v3_core_market,Ethereum,2023-01-27,,Aave v3 Ethereum Core market deployed,Official protocol changelog,https://aave.com/docs/resources/changelog,B+,"High for the official deployment chronology; day-level and mutable, so it should not supersede block-level treatment evidence.",Concurrent market-regime covariate,No
gho_mainnet_arfc,Ethereum,2023-06-06,,GHO mainnet ARFC posted,Official governance forum / ARFC,https://governance.aave.com/t/arfc-gho-mainnet-launch/13574,B,High for public-intent and anticipation timing; the ARFC explicitly conditions launch on later approval and execution.,Anticipation-window start for mainnet launch,No
ethereum_gho_policy,Ethereum,2023-07-15T14:02:59Z,17699249,GHO launch payload executed,On-chain governance execution / market activation,https://etherscan.io/tx/0xae8e542d4fdb5a6a33eeb129bb80f9bf23a1ceb3ef5f6caed1fd634ae3730c0b,A+,"Very high: immutable transaction, block and timestamp, independently reproducible through Ethereum RPC; decoded payload and Aave Proposal 268 establish market activation.",Primary policy treatment,Yes
ethereum_first_borrow,Ethereum,2023-07-15T14:03:47Z,17699253,First verified GHO borrow/mint,On-chain user transaction / Aave Borrow and Mint logs,https://etherscan.io/tx/0x97858017903ffbe793a4c5789293f170719f5a9d918db52e31e7f74e1129dd75,A-,Very high for proving this borrow occurred; the claim that it was first depends on an exhaustive scan of all earlier eligible blocks.,Post-treatment implementation check and outcome onset,No
gho_public_launch_note,Ethereum,2023-07-16,,Aave changelog records GHO launch,Official protocol changelog / public announcement,https://aave.com/docs/resources/changelog,B+,High for the official public narrative and attention date; it is day-level and one day later than the on-chain UTC activation.,Post-treatment publicity or attention shock,No
base_v3_market,Base,2023-08-16,,Aave v3 Base market deployed,Official protocol changelog,https://aave.com/docs/resources/changelog,B+,High for official market chronology; insufficient for exact GHO treatment timing.,Destination-market readiness shock,No
gnosis_v3_market,Gnosis,2023-11-06,,Aave v3 Gnosis market deployed,Official protocol changelog,https://aave.com/docs/resources/changelog,B+,High for official market chronology; insufficient for exact GHO treatment timing.,Destination-market readiness shock,No
gho_gsm,Ethereum,2024-01-29,,GHO Stability Module introduced,Official protocol changelog,https://aave.com/docs/resources/changelog,B+,High for the official mechanism-change date; day-level and should be cross-checked against the governance execution transaction for exact timing.,Mechanism or confounder event,No
crosschain_arfc,Arbitrum,2024-05-08,,Cross-chain GHO ARFC names Arbitrum as first destination,Official governance forum / ARFC,https://governance.aave.com/t/arfc-gho-cross-chain-launch/17616,B,"High for public anticipation and the announced CCIP design; not evidence that contracts, lanes or the reserve were operational.",Anticipation-window start for Arbitrum,No
arbitrum_technical_deploy,Arbitrum,2024-06-23T00:25:05Z,224701178,GHO token and CCIP pool payload executed,On-chain governance / infrastructure transaction,https://arbiscan.io/tx/0x3c5b32821cd57712e686488f3ea1963b58a12b7dab715328e292d239df001c3a,A,"Very high for payload execution time and deployed contracts; it proves technical readiness, not that the Aave reserve was yet borrowable.",Technical-readiness clock,No
arbitrum_gho_policy,Arbitrum,2024-07-02T15:40:32Z,228027379,GHO reserve activated in Aave Arbitrum,On-chain governance execution / market activation,https://arbiscan.io/tx/0x8cad096ec3dfdc94be9376f32d1a77909e6afe074575b2a3beaca88eb46ec8a6,A+,Very high: immutable successful execution with block and timestamp; decoded configuration and created reserve contracts establish the governance-controlled availability switch.,Primary policy treatment,Yes
arbitrum_first_ccip,Arbitrum,2024-07-02T15:45:24Z,228028546,First verified successful CCIP GHO delivery,On-chain cross-chain delivery transaction,https://arbiscan.io/tx/0xe7bdb7e7ccd5ca9750e3d7aca7c2c57531e8fa99bc39b80b60f80529e3d39357,A-,Very high for proving this delivery occurred; the word first requires an exhaustive scan of all prior router and token logs.,Technical-availability robustness clock,No
arbitrum_first_borrow,Arbitrum,2024-07-02T16:01:29Z,228032399,First verified user GHO borrow,On-chain user transaction / Aave Borrow logs,https://arbiscan.io/tx/0xf29752a7d517637c6576ec034a01252848f75c470c14a4b5a099eddaaabf90e6,A-,Very high for proving this borrow occurred; first-user status depends on a complete post-activation log scan and is behaviorally endogenous.,Post-treatment implementation check and outcome onset,No
base_gho_arfc,Base,2024-10-07,,GHO-on-Base ARFC posted,Official governance forum / ARFC,https://governance.aave.com/t/arfc-launch-gho-on-base-set-aci-as-emissions-manager-for-rewards/19338,B,High for public-intent and anticipation timing; the post was subsequently updated and does not itself prove execution.,Anticipation-window start for Base,No
avalanche_gho_arfc,Avalanche,2024-10-07,,GHO-on-Avalanche ARFC posted,Official governance forum / ARFC,https://governance.aave.com/t/arfc-launch-gho-on-avalanche-set-aci-as-emissions-manager-for-rewards/19339,B,High for public-intent and anticipation timing; not proof of the later technical or market activation.,Anticipation-window start for Avalanche,No
mantle_market_arfc,Mantle,2025-01-07,,Aave v3 Mantle ARFC posted,Official governance forum / market ARFC,https://governance.aave.com/t/arfc-deploy-aave-v3-on-mantle/20542,B,High for the beginning of public market expectations; the long-running thread was updated and does not prove the 2026 deployment.,Anticipation-window start for Mantle market,No
base_technical_deploy,Base,2025-02-10T15:28:47Z,26205990,GHO and CCIP configuration payload executed,On-chain governance / infrastructure transaction,https://basescan.org/tx/0x9de14a0ba0726c5856825c578a5e2b93fd40100d518a06ef65cebc139ee4b13e,A,Very high for the exact technical configuration; it precedes and is distinct from the Aave reserve listing.,Technical-readiness clock,No
base_gho_policy,Base,2025-02-10T16:19:31Z,26207512,GHO reserve listed and borrowing enabled in Aave Base,On-chain governance execution / market activation,https://basescan.org/tx/0x0e26c649e7421d9e2bf10f61c511d396b4c503963f2bf8682b9a606471c95e1b,A+,"Very high: immutable execution, block and timestamp; decoded PoolConfigurator effects establish the governance-controlled borrowability switch.",Primary policy treatment,Yes
base_first_borrow,Base,2025-02-10T16:27:25Z,26207749,First verified user GHO borrow,On-chain user transaction / Aave Borrow logs,https://basescan.org/tx/0x0706d479ee55af0b7b40ac1190646f65fdba881724a6a681a4fc4a6d59e177e0,A-,Very high for proving this borrow occurred; first-user status depends on exhaustive earlier-log exclusion and is behaviorally endogenous.,Post-treatment implementation check and outcome onset,No
gnosis_gho_arfc,Gnosis,2025-03-13,,GHO-on-Gnosis ARFC posted,Official governance forum / ARFC,https://governance.aave.com/t/arfc-launch-gho-on-gnosis-chain/21379,B,High for public-intent and anticipation timing; not proof of later governance execution.,Anticipation-window start for Gnosis,No
avalanche_technical_deploy,Avalanche,2025-06-25T20:21:16Z,64465031,GHO and CCIP configuration payload executed,On-chain governance / infrastructure transaction,https://snowscan.xyz/tx/0x02dccf97560254656ce0563558a0f84e740e7fd6bc40da5353607c2e2511f0ba,A,Very high for exact payload execution and technical readiness; not proof that borrowing was already enabled.,Technical-readiness clock,No
avalanche_gho_policy,Avalanche,2025-06-25T21:06:11Z,64466944,GHO reserve listed and borrowing enabled in Aave Avalanche,On-chain governance execution / market activation,https://snowscan.xyz/tx/0xfc950ab0642b944a0d81d312af8743bf0a9bce6fa7b16304a98c5fc6604c204e,A+,"Very high: immutable execution, block and timestamp; decoded market configuration establishes the governance-controlled availability switch.",Primary policy treatment,Yes
avalanche_first_borrow,Avalanche,2025-06-25T21:40:46Z,64468230,First verified user GHO borrow,On-chain user transaction / Aave Borrow logs,https://snowscan.xyz/tx/0xfcc2ec076368b1a149d9323555fdfb1666078a34121f0637c36a0ff43dcd2f48,A-,Very high for proving this borrow occurred; first-user status requires a complete earlier-log scan and is behaviorally endogenous.,Post-treatment implementation check and outcome onset,No
gnosis_technical_deploy,Gnosis,2025-08-05T14:48:10Z,41453179,GHO and CCIP configuration payload executed,On-chain governance / infrastructure transaction,https://gnosisscan.io/tx/0x19f54b6b17728d7aff96e9d169e2205cc1a6c3b959dafcaa34de13f054f8ef8b,A,Very high for exact payload execution and technical readiness; it remains separate from reserve listing.,Technical-readiness clock,No
gnosis_gho_policy,Gnosis,2025-08-05T17:18:10Z,41454924,GHO reserve listed and borrowing enabled in Aave Gnosis,On-chain governance execution / market activation,https://gnosisscan.io/tx/0xa83f67826954a6aac0ffc1d9b09885bade5c15d61cc49c06c73d9b4042142163,A+,"Very high: immutable execution, block and timestamp; decoded market configuration establishes the governance-controlled availability switch.",Primary policy treatment,Yes
gnosis_first_borrow,Gnosis,2025-08-05T19:38:40Z,41456530,First verified user GHO borrow,On-chain user transaction / Aave Borrow logs,https://gnosisscan.io/tx/0x94756d22fa5f5b394a089d57b5f8df16a824fbf2c141ed16a1e66497bf9c0f3c,A-,Very high for proving this borrow occurred; first-user status requires exhaustive earlier-log exclusion and is behaviorally endogenous.,Post-treatment implementation check and outcome onset,No
mantle_technical_deploy,Mantle,2026-01-29T08:22:32Z,90772320,GHO and CCIP configuration payload executed,On-chain governance / infrastructure transaction,https://mantlescan.xyz/tx/0x682add8cb17a8d3ffd05e05d4b229022608ab682c109f027538d4e7cae4bc0eb,A,Very high for exact payload execution and technical readiness; it precedes market activation by 13 days.,Technical-readiness clock,No
mantle_gho_policy,Mantle,2026-02-11T10:10:50Z,91337169,Aave v3 Mantle market activated with GHO reserve,On-chain governance execution / market activation,https://mantlescan.xyz/tx/0x2ce73734a150fabab836ab33b2af537343a1f149d5bf44b5f6886ba30fb57497,A+,"Very high: immutable execution, block and timestamp; the activated market and GHO reserve are independently corroborated by Aave's official 11 February 2026 changelog entry.",Primary policy treatment,Yes
mantle_first_borrow,Mantle,2026-02-12T16:16:50Z,91391349,First verified user GHO borrow,On-chain user transaction / Aave Borrow logs,https://mantlescan.xyz/tx/0xe2f4e8c7ca5a6b312f3643d1f1f4bf23132c9eb371bafcc4156089c0d73c5874,A-,Very high for proving this borrow occurred; first-user status requires exhaustive earlier-log exclusion and is behaviorally endogenous.,Post-treatment implementation check and outcome onset,No