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kopei
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liked a dataset 22 days ago
Lishi0905/SocioVerse new activity about 1 month ago
jc-builds/stockprediction-ai:"It is a crash shield, not a stock picker" — a model card that publishes its own live -3.2%Organizations
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"It is a crash shield, not a stock picker" — a model card that publishes its own live -3.2%
#1 opened about 1 month ago
by kopei
A 1.46M-param model that states its own boundary — the forward habit that outgrows a 2006-2010 dataset
#1 opened about 1 month ago
by kopei
You already score in nCRPS — a standing forward record is the recalibration step your own limitations section asks for
#1 opened about 1 month ago
by kopei
"Improved calibration and produced no alpha" — the one result type a public Brier record can display without flattening it
#1 opened about 1 month ago
by kopei
Your output is already [p_buy, p_sell, p_hold] — we score exactly that vector, on the two symbols you trained on
2
#1 opened about 1 month ago
by kopei
Directional accuracy against the random-walk baseline, measured forward instead of resampled
3
#1 opened about 1 month ago
by kopei
"The useful number is the gain over persistence" — a public forward record built on the same rule
#1 opened about 1 month ago
by kopei
You trained on Brier and pinball so "a band means what it says" — we run a public record scored the same way
#1 opened about 1 month ago
by kopei
A rank-8 LoRA worth 28% of MASE on the prices people actually pay — the next test is forward
#1 opened about 1 month ago
by kopei
"Forecast with context" is the whole game in macro — a live arena where the context arrives in real time
🚀 1
#1 opened about 1 month ago
by kopei
Your docs say prospective records are the separate check against hindsight — we run a standing one, free
#1 opened about 1 month ago
by kopei
"One entrant in a public forecasting record" — we run exactly that record, forward-only and free
#1 opened about 1 month ago
by kopei
Your output is already our submission format — a live record for the leakage-safe walk-forward
7
#1 opened about 1 month ago
by kopei
Your "Honest note" on quantile coverage is the exact quantity our public calibration curves measure
#2 opened about 1 month ago
by kopei
Covariates are the whole story in macro — a 7M model that reads them deserves a live forward record
#1 opened about 1 month ago
by kopei
One forward pass, 99 quantiles — the column your results table can't have is a live forward CRPS
#1 opened about 1 month ago
by kopei
You keep a working FinGPT forecaster endpoint alive — that's one step from a live forward record
#1 opened about 1 month ago
by kopei
You already show the persistence baseline next to your model — our VIX challenge is that comparison run forward
#1 opened about 1 month ago
by kopei
Nowcasting before the official print is exactly the shape our arena scores
#1 opened about 1 month ago
by kopei