Daily Papers

Galaxies can be characterized by many internal properties such as stellar mass, gas metallicity, and star-formation rate. We quantify the amount of cosmological and astrophysical information that the internal properties of individual galaxies and their host dark matter halos contain. We train neural networks using hundreds of thousands of galaxies from 2,000 state-of-the-art hydrodynamic simulations with different cosmologies and astrophysical models of the CAMELS project to perform likelihood-free inference on the value of the cosmological and astrophysical parameters. We find that knowing the internal properties of a single galaxy allow our models to infer the value of Omega_{rm m}, at fixed Omega_{rm b}, with a sim10% precision, while no constraint can be placed on sigma_8. Our results hold for any type of galaxy, central or satellite, massive or dwarf, at all considered redshifts, zleq3, and they incorporate uncertainties in astrophysics as modeled in CAMELS. However, our models are not robust to changes in subgrid physics due to the large intrinsic differences the two considered models imprint on galaxy properties. We find that the stellar mass, stellar metallicity, and maximum circular velocity are among the most important galaxy properties to determine the value of Omega_{rm m}. We believe that our results can be explained taking into account that changes in the value of Omega_{rm m}, or potentially Omega_{rm b}/Omega_{rm m}, affect the dark matter content of galaxies. That effect leaves a distinct signature in galaxy properties to the one induced by galactic processes. Our results suggest that the low-dimensional manifold hosting galaxy properties provides a tight direct link between cosmology and astrophysics.

This work, together with its companion paper, Secco and Samuroff et al. (2021), presents the Dark Energy Survey Year 3 cosmic shear measurements and cosmological constraints based on an analysis of over 100 million source galaxies. With the data spanning 4143 deg^2 on the sky, divided into four redshift bins, we produce the highest significance measurement of cosmic shear to date, with a signal-to-noise of 40. We conduct a blind analysis in the context of the ΛCDM model and find a 3% constraint of the clustering amplitude, S_8equiv σ_8 (Ω_{rm m}/0.3)^{0.5} = 0.759^{+0.025}_{-0.023}. A ΛCDM-Optimized analysis, which safely includes smaller scale information, yields a 2% precision measurement of S_8= 0.772^{+0.018}_{-0.017} that is consistent with the fiducial case. The two low-redshift measurements are statistically consistent with the Planck Cosmic Microwave Background result, however, both recovered S_8 values are lower than the high-redshift prediction by 2.3σ and 2.1σ (p-values of 0.02 and 0.05), respectively. The measurements are shown to be internally consistent across redshift bins, angular scales and correlation functions. The analysis is demonstrated to be robust to calibration systematics, with the S_8 posterior consistent when varying the choice of redshift calibration sample, the modeling of redshift uncertainty and methodology. Similarly, we find that the corrections included to account for the blending of galaxies shifts our best-fit S_8 by 0.5σ without incurring a substantial increase in uncertainty. We examine the limiting factors for the precision of the cosmological constraints and find observational systematics to be subdominant to the modeling of astrophysics. Specifically, we identify the uncertainties in modeling baryonic effects and intrinsic alignments as the limiting systematics.

We derive cosmological constraints using a galaxy cluster sample selected from the 2500~deg^2 SPT-SZ survey. The sample spans the redshift range 0.25< z<1.75 and contains 343 clusters with SZ detection significance ξ>5. The sample is supplemented with optical weak gravitational lensing measurements of 32 clusters with 0.29<z<1.13 (from Magellan and HST) and X-ray measurements of 89 clusters with 0.25<z<1.75 (from Chandra). We rely on minimal modeling assumptions: i) weak lensing provides an accurate means of measuring halo masses, ii) the mean SZ and X-ray observables are related to the true halo mass through power-law relations in mass and dimensionless Hubble parameter E(z) with a-priori unknown parameters, iii) there is (correlated, lognormal) intrinsic scatter and measurement noise relating these observables to their mean relations. We simultaneously fit for these astrophysical modeling parameters and for cosmology. Assuming a flat νΛCDM model, in which the sum of neutrino masses is a free parameter, we measure Ω_m=0.276pm0.047, σ_8=0.781pm0.037, and σ_8(Ω_m/0.3)^{0.2}=0.766pm0.025. The redshift evolution of the X-ray Y_X-mass and M_gas-mass relations are both consistent with self-similar evolution to within 1σ. The mass-slope of the Y_X-mass relation shows a 2.3σ deviation from self-similarity. Similarly, the mass-slope of the M_gas-mass relation is steeper than self-similarity at the 2.5σ level. In a νwCDM cosmology, we measure the dark energy equation of state parameter w=-1.55pm0.41 from the cluster data. We perform a measurement of the growth of structure since redshift zsim1.7 and find no evidence for tension with the prediction from General Relativity. We provide updated redshift and mass estimates for the SPT sample. (abridged)

This paper introduces a new approach to reconstruct cosmological functions using artificial neural networks based on observational measurements with minimal theoretical and statistical assumptions. By using neural networks, we can generate computational models of observational datasets, and then we compare them with the original ones to verify the consistency of our method. This methodology is applicable to even small-size datasets. In particular, we test the proposed method with data coming from cosmic chronometers, fσ_8 measurements, and the distance modulus of the Type Ia supernovae. Furthermore, we introduce a first approach to generate synthetic covariance matrices through a variational autoencoder, using the systematic covariance matrix of the Type Ia supernova compilation.

Cosmological simulations play a crucial role in elucidating the effect of physical parameters on the statistics of fields and on constraining parameters given information on density fields. We leverage diffusion generative models to address two tasks of importance to cosmology -- as an emulator for cold dark matter density fields conditional on input cosmological parameters Ω_m and σ_8, and as a parameter inference model that can return constraints on the cosmological parameters of an input field. We show that the model is able to generate fields with power spectra that are consistent with those of the simulated target distribution, and capture the subtle effect of each parameter on modulations in the power spectrum. We additionally explore their utility as parameter inference models and find that we can obtain tight constraints on cosmological parameters.

Cosmological hydrodynamical simulations connect observed galaxies to cosmology and the physics of galaxy formation. Each simulation is expensive, and different codes model galaxy formation in different ways. We present Celia (Catalog Embeddings Learned from cosmologIcal simulAtions), a self-supervised foundation model that maps catalogs of subhalos and their galaxy properties to an embedding vector for the purposes of compression and organization of astrophysical and large-scale structure information. Celia is pretrained without parameter labels on the IllustrisTNG, SIMBA and Astrid suites of CAMELS and their N-body counterparts, by reconstructing masked subhalo properties and predicting the representations of a teacher network. Simple linear models fitted to the embeddings recover Ω_{mathrm m} with R^2=0.999, and σ_8 and both supernova-feedback amplitudes with R^2geq0.97, in all three suites. The embeddings translate well to out-of-distribution simulations such as Swift-EAGLE, a code that Celia never saw. A linear model fitted on the three training codes predicts its Ω_{mathrm m} with a correlation coefficient r=0.985, and linear models fitted on 20 labeled simulations reach rgeq0.94 for Ω_{mathrm m}, σ_8 and a supernova-feedback amplitude. We decompose the variation among the simulations of each suite into principal components of the embedding, and simple power laws of the simulation parameters describe the leading components. Celia gives simulated galaxy catalogs a shared coordinate system for simulation-based inference, emulation, the comparison of galaxy-formation models, the detection of physical degeneracies and the discovery of new astrophysical probes.

The total charm-quark production cross section per unit of rapidity dσ({rm cc})/dy, and the fragmentation fractions of charm quarks to different charm-hadron species f(crm h_{c}), are measured for the first time in p-Pb collisions at s_mathrm{NN} = 5.02 TeV at midrapidity (-0.96<y<0.04 in the centre-of-mass frame) using data collected by ALICE at the CERN LHC. The results are obtained based on all the available measurements of prompt production of ground-state charm-hadron species: D^{0}, D^{+}, D_s^{+}, and J/ψ mesons, and Λ_c^{+} and Ξ_{rm c}^{0} baryons. The resulting cross section is dσ({rm cc})/dy =219.6 pm 6.3;(stat.) {;}_{-11.8}^{+10.5};(syst.) {;}_{-2.9}^{+8.3};(extr.)pm 5.4;(BR)pm 4.6;(lumi.) pm 19.5;(rapidity shape)+15.0;(Ω_{rm c}^{0}) mb, which is consistent with a binary scaling of pQCD calculations from pp collisions. The measured fragmentation fractions are compatible with those measured in pp collisions at s = 5.02 and 13 TeV, showing an increase in the relative production rates of charm baryons with respect to charm mesons in pp and p-Pb collisions compared with e^{+e^{-}} and e^{-p} collisions. The p_T-integrated nuclear modification factor of charm quarks, R_pPb({rm cc})= 0.91 pm 0.04;{rm (stat.)}{}^{+0.08}_{-0.09};{rm (syst.)}{}^{+0.05}_{-0.03};{rm (extr.)}{}pm 0.03;{rm (lumi.)}, is found to be consistent with unity and with theoretical predictions including nuclear modifications of the parton distribution functions.

Differentially Private Stochastic Gradient Descent (DP-SGD) is the dominant paradigm for private training, but its fundamental limitations under worst-case adversarial privacy definitions remain poorly understood. We analyze DP-SGD in the f-differential privacy framework, which characterizes privacy via hypothesis-testing trade-off curves, and study shuffled sampling over a single epoch with M gradient updates. We derive an explicit suboptimal upper bound on the achievable trade-off curve. This result induces a geometric lower bound on the separation κ which is the maximum distance between the mechanism's trade-off curve and the ideal random-guessing line. Because a large separation implies significant adversarial advantage, meaningful privacy requires small κ. However, we prove that enforcing a small separation imposes a strict lower bound on the Gaussian noise multiplier σ, which directly limits the achievable utility. In particular, under the standard worst-case adversarial model, shuffled DP-SGD must satisfy σge 1{2ln M} quadorquad κge 1{8}!left(1-1{4πln M}right), and thus cannot simultaneously achieve strong privacy and high utility. Although this bound vanishes asymptotically as M to infty, the convergence is extremely slow: even for practically relevant numbers of updates the required noise magnitude remains substantial. We further show that the same limitation extends to Poisson subsampling up to constant factors. Our experiments confirm that the noise levels implied by this bound leads to significant accuracy degradation at realistic training settings, thus showing a critical bottleneck in DP-SGD under standard worst-case adversarial assumptions.

We present the first joint analysis of the power spectrum and bispectrum using the Data Release 1 (DR1) of the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI), focusing on Luminous Red Galaxies (LRGs) and quasars (QSOs) across a redshift range of 0.4leq zleq2.1. By combining the two- and three-point statistics, we are able to partially break the degeneracy between the logarithmic growth rate, f(z), and the amplitude of dark matter fluctuations, σ_s8(z), which cannot be measured separately in analyses that only involve the power spectrum. In comparison with the (fiducial) Planck ΛCDM cosmology we obtain f/f^fid={0.888_{-0.089}^{+0.186},0.977_{-0.220}^{+0.182},1.030_{-0.085}^{+0.368}}, σ_{s8}/σ^fid_s8={1.224_{-0.133}^{+0.091},1.071_{-0.163}^{+0.278},1.000_{-0.223}^{+0.088}} respectively for the three LRG redshift bins, corresponding to a cumulative 10.1\% constraint on f, and of 8.4\% on σ_s8, including the systematic error budget. The cumulative constraints for the ShapeFit compressed parameters from our joint power spectrum-bispectrum analysis are respectively σ_{α_iso}=0.9% (9\% improvement with respect to our power spectrum-only analysis); σ_{α_AP}=2.3% (no improvement with respect to power spectrum-only analysis, which is expected given that the bispectrum monopole has no significant anisotropic signal); σ_{fσ_s8}=5.1% (9\% improvement); σ_{m+n}=2.3% (11\% improvement). These results are fully consistent with the main DESI power spectrum analysis, demonstrating the robustness of the DESI cosmological constraints, and compatible with Planck ΛCDM cosmology.