Daily Papers

Existing video language models encode sampled RGB frames independently, so a long video must either exhaust the token budget or drop the changes between sampled frames. Codec-aware front-ends read the motion vectors and residuals that encoding produced, but in their deployed form each predictive frame is still tokenized on its own: the tokens are a function of the current primitives, not of a carried reference. We argue that a more natural function is of both---the current primitives and a carried reference. A clip and its time reversal share the same frames and differ only in the order of changes---an axis that symmetric pooling discards by construction, and that is non-empty in the frozen vision features VideoLMs use---and the codec recurrence already composes those changes in order against a reference state. We introduce RESUME, a stateful codec representation: an anchor I-frame initializes a compact latent state, each subsequent predictive frame is consumed as an update to that state, and a shared readout exposes VideoLM-compatible tokens from the accumulated state. Codec prediction is thereby kept at the representation level and handed to the language model as a trajectory, not as a set of independent token groups. At the same per-predictive-frame token budget as prior codec-aware methods, a predictive frame enters the language model as a readout of what the front-end already knows, not as an encoding of the current primitives alone. Across ten benchmarks, the gains concentrate on temporal reasoning: on all three temporal benchmarks RESUME improves over both the RGB-frame baseline LLaVA-Video-7B (by 2.8, 5.1, and 3.9 points on TempCompass, TOMATO, and MVBench) and the codec-based baseline CoPE-7B, while staying competitive on general and long-form QA. Frozen-transition tests further show anchor dependence, order sensitivity, and useful rollout behavior beyond the training horizon.

Based on a time-dependent Ginzburg-Landau system of equations and finite element modeling, we present novel results related with the physics of phase-slippage in superconducting wires surrounded by a non-superconductive environment. These results are obtained within our previously reported approach related to superconducting rings and superconductive gravitational wave detector transducers. It is shown that the phase-slip centers (PSCs) can be effective in originating not only positive but also negative thermal fluxes. With an appropriate design utilizing thermal diodes, PSCs can serve as cryocooling engines. Operating at Tsim 1 K cryostat cold-finger, they can achieve sub-Kelvin temperatures without using ^3He.

Machine intelligence is often evaluated through abstract reasoning problems, yet many real-world problems are visual, such as arranging objects, repairing layouts, or tracing routes. Solving these problems requires understanding a scene, inferring what must change to achieve a goal, and realizing that change without disturbing unrelated content. However, existing benchmarks mainly evaluate perception, generation, or explicitly specified transformations, leaving goal-driven visual problem solving underexplored. To bridge this gap, we introduce SolveEpIT, a benchmark for visual problem solving through scene transformation. Given an image and a goal, a model must infer a valid transformation from the request, the scene, or a visually expressed rule, then execute it while preserving unrelated content. SoLvEEDrr contains 2,728 cases. Atomic transition contracts specify required and protected conditions, enabling SoLvEScoRE to measure completion and unintended changes without a single reference output. The strongest evaluated model achieves only57.0% SolvEScore. We further introduce SolveEdiT-PLAN, a two-stage visual planner that instantiates the transition before generation. Under matched single-generation evaluation, it improves SoLvEScoRE by 9.1 points on average across three tested generators, including a gain from 57.0% to 71.6% for GPT-Image-2, without modifying the editor.

Pretrained transformers use little of their depth to follow references in context. Thirteen base models reliably follow only 1.4-3.6 lines, and extra pretrained loops add little. A task-trained rank-8 LoRA at one early layer extends this computation with all model weights frozen. Qwen3-8B improves from 15.5% to 99% exact accuracy on 24-line chains; a longer-trained LoRA reaches 50 lines. Ouro-1.4B reaches 60 lines after four loops and at least 160 after eight. The LoRA starts a relay: program lines pass on their chain identity through a short range of middle layers. Frozen heads read progressively further up the chain, and removing parent-line attention stops the relay. A frozen-model measurement locates the last useful intervention layer within tolerance in three of four held-out models. Task-specific LoRAs also improve MuSiQue. Default answers therefore understate the computation accessible through a tiny edit. Code and an interactive demo are available at https://lunamos.github.io/stop-thinking-too-early/

Video question answering (VideoQA) is a complex task that requires diverse multi-modal data for training. Manual annotation of question and answers for videos, however, is tedious and prohibits scalability. To tackle this problem, recent methods consider zero-shot settings with no manual annotation of visual question-answer. In particular, a promising approach adapts frozen autoregressive language models pretrained on Web-scale text-only data to multi-modal inputs. In contrast, we here build on frozen bidirectional language models (BiLM) and show that such an approach provides a stronger and cheaper alternative for zero-shot VideoQA. In particular, (i) we combine visual inputs with the frozen BiLM using light trainable modules, (ii) we train such modules using Web-scraped multi-modal data, and finally (iii) we perform zero-shot VideoQA inference through masked language modeling, where the masked text is the answer to a given question. Our proposed approach, FrozenBiLM, outperforms the state of the art in zero-shot VideoQA by a significant margin on a variety of datasets, including LSMDC-FiB, iVQA, MSRVTT-QA, MSVD-QA, ActivityNet-QA, TGIF-FrameQA, How2QA and TVQA. It also demonstrates competitive performance in the few-shot and fully-supervised setting. Our code and models are publicly available at https://github.com/antoyang/FrozenBiLM.

Systems that generate scientific research questions are evaluated today by expert scores, LLM-as-judge ratings, or curated case studies -- all subjective, none falsifiable. We formalize historical backtesting as an alternative: a system generates questions from a corpus frozen at a historical cutoff, the questions are frozen before any access to later literature, and a temporally isolated future corpus then determines whether each question was subsequently answered, partially addressed, independently posed, or ignored, and whether its underlying premise was supported or refuted. The protocol is model-agnostic: any system that emits frozen questions can be scored. We release reproducible astronomy instances with temporally isolated corpora, frozen questions, auditable labels, four reference baselines, and a submission interface. Two findings result. First, evidence-structure-first generation outperforms LLM-only prompting: across a generator decomposition crossed with a four-cutoff stress test (2010-2024, 798 judged questions) whose last window postdates model training, LLM-only generation shows memorized relevance without specific foresight, while a generator using no model weights at all finds questions whose premises the future refutes in every era. Second, a seven-rater agreement study (two blinded human annotators, five judge models, 90 items) indicts the outcome taxonomy rather than the judge: two careful humans agree at kappa = 0.17, every judge model agrees with the professional annotator as well or better (0.17-0.26), and frontier models agree with one another at 0.60 -- certifying an LLM judge by model-model agreement would have overstated its reliability threefold. A prospective instance -- 200 questions frozen 2026-08-17, scored 2027-2030 -- is released so the central claims become contamination-free tests that time itself will grade.

A memory test for a video world model should say whether the scene was set, whether the asked change was carried out, and whether the last frame shows the result. Current tests fold these into one number, so a low score is easy to read as forgetting. When the change is not carried out, the hidden state transition cannot appear, so the test is not really a test of memory. We introduce MIST, an evaluation that separates the change from the memory it should leave behind. The model first sets the scene while the change stays hidden, and only later is asked to show it, with leakage before that point kept under control. This separation locates the bottleneck: the model sets the scene but does not carry out the instructed change. The same gap appears in general memory evaluations. On that basis we propose M3-Agent (Make the Missing Move), which recursively revises the details of the input instruction so that the model successfully carries out the requested instruction. Relative to the baseline, it more than triples the MIST reveal score. On the benchmarks, WRBench's score T rises by 26.1% and MBench-T's score U by 52.7%. The method meets the problem from the execution side: it shows what the frozen model can do once the move is stated, and it sets a stricter baseline.

AI evaluation can support the wrong inference when an in-domain benchmark success does not survive distribution shift, or when the benchmark endpoint is entangled with a design factor. We study this problem in CRISPRi perturbation-effect prediction, evaluating a frozen Geneformer representation under a locked, pre-registered protocol: heads and model selection were frozen before test evaluation; the protocol required external outcome labels to remain withheld until final unblinding; and analysis-governing decisions were fixed before the evaluations they govern. In-distribution on the Virtual Cell Challenge (VCC), the frozen representation carries measurable predictive information beyond a dimension-matched random-feature control (Delta R^2 = +0.1645, 95% CI [+0.1375, +0.1920]), satisfying the pre-registered informativeness gate required before interpreting transfer. It then fails zero-shot transfer on both external screens (Spearman rho = -0.139 and -0.267), lying below that control on each. Adding a predefined magnitude block improves the representation externally (Delta rho = +0.032 and +0.143) but, under the frozen primary head, does not rescue transfer: both remain negative. A pre-registered, count-adjusted max-response secondary is positively associated with the outcome on both screens; we report it as correlational and secondary, not as a recovered magnitude signal. Finally, the VCC endpoint is strongly sample-size associated: a count-only linear model reaches R^2 = +0.4325, versus +0.2589 for the four magnitude scalars; adding those scalars to cell count improves R^2 by only +0.0017, so much of the aggregate-magnitude signal overlaps with cell count. This case study shows how locking the evaluation, harmonizing the measured endpoint, and separating primary from secondary evidence can change the inference supported by an AI benchmark.

Large Reasoning Models (LRMs) excel at complex reasoning but are traditionally evaluated in static, "frozen world" settings: model responses are assumed to be instantaneous, and the context of a request is presumed to be immutable over the duration of the response. While generally true for short-term tasks, the "frozen world" assumption breaks down in modern reasoning tasks such as assistive programming, where models may take hours to think through problems and code may change dramatically from the time the model starts thinking to the model's final output. In this work, we challenge the frozen world assumption and evaluate LRM robustness under two realistic dynamic scenarios: interruptions, which test the quality of the model's partial outputs on a limited budget, and dynamic context, which tests model adaptation to in-flight changes. Across mathematics and programming benchmarks that require long-form reasoning, static evaluations consistently overestimate robustness: even state-of-the-art LRMs, which achieve high accuracy in static settings, can fail unpredictably when interrupted or exposed to changing context, with performance dropping by up to 60% when updates are introduced late in the reasoning process. Our analysis further reveals several novel failure modes, including reasoning leakage, where models fold the reasoning into their final answer when interrupted; panic, where under time pressure models abandon reasoning entirely and return incorrect answers; and self-doubt, where performance degrades while incorporating updated information.

Cryovolcanism is a fundamental geodynamical process that has been observed on several icy moons. Europa stands out as a primary target for investigating potential cryovolcanic activity and its role in shaping icy moon surfaces. This work characterizes the physical state of ascending cryomagma and evaluates the relevance of terrestrial analogues to explain Europa's surface features. After investigating cryomagma depressurization, we developed CryoPy, a numerical model based on Smoothed-Particle Hydrodynamics (SPH) for computational fluid dynamics and heat transfer. We simulated flow propagation and surface cooling using this model. Our simulations show that snow is a relevant physical analogue for cryolava, as the resulting flows closely match the smooth plains observed by Galileo in both extent and morphology. Additionally, we established the temporal thermal signatures of these events. Such active cryovolcanic events are within the detection limits of, primarily, the E-THEMIS infrared imager, providing a predictive framework for the Europa Clipper mission.

Handwritten STEM exams capture open-ended reasoning and diagrams, but manual grading is slow and difficult to scale. We present an end-to-end workflow for grading scanned handwritten engineering quizzes with multimodal large language models (LLMs) that preserves the standard exam process (A4 paper, unconstrained student handwriting). The lecturer provides only a handwritten reference solution (100%) and a short set of grading rules; the reference is converted into a text-only summary that conditions grading without exposing the reference scan. Reliability is achieved through a multi-stage design with a format/presence check to prevent grading blank answers, an ensemble of independent graders, supervisor aggregation, and rigid templates with deterministic validation to produce auditable, machine-parseable reports. We evaluate the frozen pipeline in a clean-room protocol on a held-out real course quiz in Slovenian, including hand-drawn circuit schematics. With state-of-the-art backends (GPT-5.2 and Gemini-3 Pro), the full pipeline achieves approx8-point mean absolute difference to lecturer grades with low bias and an estimated manual-review trigger rate of approx17% at D_{max}=40. Ablations show that trivial prompting and removing the reference solution substantially degrade accuracy and introduce systematic over-grading, confirming that structured prompting and reference grounding are essential.

Structural analyses are an integral part of computational research on nucleation and supercooled water, whose accuracy and efficiency can impact the validity and feasibility of such studies. The underlying molecular mechanisms of these often elusive and computationally expensive processes can be inferred from the evolution of ice-like structures, determined using appropriate structural analysis techniques. We present d-SEAMS, a free and open-source post-processing engine for the analysis of molecular dynamics trajectories, which is specifically able to qualitatively classify ice structures, in both strong confinement and bulk systems. For the first time, recent algorithms for confined ice structure determination have been implemented, along with topological network criteria for bulk ice structure determination. Recognizing the need for customization in structural analysis, d-SEAMS has a unique code architecture, built with `nix`, employing a `YAML`-`Lua` scripting pipeline. The software has been designed to be user-friendly and easy to extend. The engine outputs are compatible with popular graphics software suites, allowing for immediate visual insights into the systems studied. We demonstrate the features of d-SEAMS by using it to analyze nucleation in the bulk regime and for quasi-one and quasi-two-dimensional systems. Structural time evolution and quantitative metrics are determined for heterogenous ice nucleation on a silver-exposed beta-AgI surface, homogenous ice nucleation, flat monolayer square ice formation and freezing of an ice nanotube.

A detailed study of published experimental data for a variety of materials on the incremental variation of heat capacity, thermal expansion, and compressibility at glassy freezing reveals a striking dependence of the Prigogine-Defay ratio R on the fragility index m. At high m, R approaches values of ~1, the Ehrenfest expectation for 2nd order continuous phase transitions, while R reaches values > 20 for low fragilities. We explain this correlation by the degree of separation of the glassy freezing temperature from a hidden phase transition into an ideal low-temperature glass.

Instruction-based image editing has achieved remarkable success in semantic alignment, yet state-of-the-art models frequently fail to render physically plausible results when editing involves complex causal dynamics, such as refraction or material deformation. We attribute this limitation to the dominant paradigm that treats editing as a discrete mapping between image pairs, which provides only boundary conditions and leaves transition dynamics underspecified. To address this, we reformulate physics-aware editing as predictive physical state transitions and introduce PhysicTran38K, a large-scale video-based dataset comprising 38K transition trajectories across five physical domains, constructed via a two-stage filtering and constraint-aware annotation pipeline. Building on this supervision, we propose PhysicEdit, an end-to-end framework equipped with a textual-visual dual-thinking mechanism. It combines a frozen Qwen2.5-VL for physically grounded reasoning with learnable transition queries that provide timestep-adaptive visual guidance to a diffusion backbone. Experiments show that PhysicEdit improves over Qwen-Image-Edit by 5.9% in physical realism and 10.1% in knowledge-grounded editing, setting a new state-of-the-art for open-source methods, while remaining competitive with leading proprietary models.

Whether a language model has improved itself is increasingly judged not by mean accuracy but by which individual problems it gains and loses. Tracking these transitions means differencing two noisy estimates, leaving them vulnerable to measurement artifacts. Auditing three rounds of rank-32 LoRA self-training on Qwen3-8B against a frozen control pushed through the identical pipeline, we identify seven measurement failures, each of which inverts a reported finding when its control is absent. Several are standard practice. A ledger built on a single greedy decode manufactures capability changes on an untrained model, largely an artifact of inference batching; the expansion statistic separating acquisition from sharpening assigns that same model a rate of 0.280. The natural threshold repair does not survive replication: estimated across the frozen comparisons such a design already contains, its null stays non-zero. We replace it with a per-problem exact test against a pooled baseline under false-discovery-rate control, which detects nothing on any held-out replicate and is unchanged under the multiple-testing rule, error rate and pool size. Applied to a ladder of arms matched in stream, volume and evaluation, the audit finds that external distillation improves problems the base model rarely reaches while three forms of self-training do not; a regression rejects this asymmetry as a by-product of distillation's larger overall gain (p < 10^{-8}). On the far smaller set of problems the base model never reaches, the evidence is inconclusive, while self-training corrupts problems solved at baseline at rates well above the measured floor. Transition-level auditing therefore requires a separately measured null for every statistic it reports: nulls that cost no new experiments, built from baseline replicates a multi-arm study already owns, though not from as few as most possess.

Many challenging reasoning tasks require not just rapid, intuitive responses, but a more deliberate, multi-step approach. Recent progress in large language models (LLMs) highlights an important shift from the "System 1" way of quick reactions to the "System 2" style of reflection-and-correction problem solving. However, current benchmarks heavily rely on the final-answer accuracy, leaving much of a model's intermediate reasoning steps unexamined. This fails to assess the model's ability to reflect and rectify mistakes within the reasoning process. To bridge this gap, we introduce FINEREASON, a logic-puzzle benchmark for fine-grained evaluation of LLMs' reasoning capabilities. Each puzzle can be decomposed into atomic steps, making it ideal for rigorous validation of intermediate correctness. Building on this, we introduce two tasks: state checking, and state transition, for a comprehensive evaluation of how models assess the current situation and plan the next move. To support broader research, we also provide a puzzle training set aimed at enhancing performance on general mathematical tasks. We show that models trained on our state checking and transition data demonstrate gains in math reasoning by up to 5.1% on GSM8K.

Test-time reasoning is increasingly used as a serving-time control knob, but extra reasoning is not uniformly valuable: it can repair failed attempts, waste compute on already-correct answers, or introduce harmful answer changes. We study this as a deployment allocation problem rather than a new-verifier problem. We introduce \sevra, Selective Verification for Reasoning Allocation, a serving-layer controller that decides whether to preserve a frozen solver's initial answer or invoke active verification. Using a frozen Qwen3-4B solver, we log intervention outcomes and train recoverability-aware gates from serving-visible attempt state. On \mathfive, selective verification reaches 76.3\% accuracy, compared with 75.5\% for always verifying, while reducing post-generation tokens by 26.8\% and harmful flips from 2.2\% to 1.0\%. However, an 8,192-token initial solve reaches 76.0\% accuracy with 28\% fewer total model tokens, showing that selective recovery is useful but not the best tested cost frontier. In frozen transfer to \gsm, the selective policy verifies only 3.0\% of examples, improves accuracy from 93.4\% to 94.5\%, and reduces verification tokens by 91.2\% relative to always verifying; again, a longer initial solve matches its accuracy with fewer realized tokens. On CommonsenseQA, always-on verification hurts, while Self-Consistency@5 improves accuracy at about five times the realized token cost. The resulting deployment rule is: tune the initial budget first, then use selective recovery when explicit checks, bounded retries, auditability, or regression-risk control matter.

Early warning signals have been proposed to forecast the possibility of a critical transition, such as the eutrophication of a lake, the collapse of a coral reef, or the end of a glacial period. Because such transitions often unfold on temporal and spatial scales that can be difficult to approach by experimental manipulation, research has often relied on historical observations as a source of natural experiments. Here we examine a critical difference between selecting systems for study based on the fact that we have observed a critical transition and those systems for which we wish to forecast the approach of a transition. This difference arises by conditionally selecting systems known to experience a transition of some sort and failing to account for the bias this introduces -- a statistical error often known as the Prosecutor's Fallacy. By analysing simulated systems that have experienced transitions purely by chance, we reveal an elevated rate of false positives in common warning signal statistics. We further demonstrate a model-based approach that is less subject to this bias than these more commonly used summary statistics. We note that experimental studies with replicates avoid this pitfall entirely.