Daily Papers

A decision model can give probabilities that sum to one for every question yet disagree with itself when the same decision is broken into smaller steps. We study this form of probabilistic coherence in Jev and the English Laya checkpoint, using 2,500 matched examples per system across TREC, CLINC150, and MASSIVE. Across 72,000 classification questions, we compare direct fine-label predictions with broad-category probabilities and predictions reconstructed through those categories. Both systems show substantial disagreement: mean category-level total variation ranges from 0.219 to 0.349 for Jev and from 0.424 to 0.689 for Laya, on a scale where zero means exact agreement. The consequences differ sharply. On CLINC150, reconstruction reduces Jev's accuracy by 22.9 percentage points (paired 95% bootstrap interval: [-24.9, -20.9]) and improves Laya's by 21.3 points ([18.0, 24.5]). The same directions hold across all three datasets, with all six unadjusted accuracy-change intervals excluding zero. Improved accuracy can also accompany less reliable confidence: on MASSIVE, Laya gains 9.2 accuracy points while its expected calibration error rises from 0.046 to 0.124. Error analysis identifies both broad-category mistakes and within-category confusions. These findings show why decision systems need joint evaluation of accuracy, confidence calibration, and probability coherence in the workflow used by an application.

Multimodal rerankers are usually dedicated models: a vision-language model (VLM) is trained on retrieval data to score the candidates of a query. Scoring options is not specific to reranking. System One decision models such as Jev map a state and a typed question to one probability per option without generating text, and general models can make such decisions with little or no training. Reranking is one such decision, with the query and its candidates as the state and the candidates as the options. We therefore argue that a general VLM can serve as a multimodal reranker through System One decisions, and that decision tuning can improve its reranking. We ask a VLM one choice question over the top 16 candidates of a first-stage retriever and rank the candidates by the probabilities of their labels, read from one forward pass. On MMEB-V2 image retrieval, this choice scores 5.4 to 7.3 hit@1 above a yes/no question per candidate, and the yes/no question falls below the first stage. With the choice, zero-shot Qwen3.8-27B beats the supervised Qwen3-VL-Reranker-2B on all three benchmarks and comes within 1.6 points of Reranker-8B on each. It matches Reranker-8B on MMEB-V2 visual documents (84.79 vs. 84.78 nDCG@5), at 1.1 to 1.5 times its latency. JEV-27B-VL, the same backbone tuned on text decisions only, improves page reranking by 0.6 to 1.1 points, with gains on most tasks (sign test, p <= 0.017), and leaves natural images unchanged. The zero-shot model is larger than the supervised rerankers and of a newer generation, so these comparisons are confounded; we discuss this and other alternative views, and the experiments that would test the position.

System One models answer typed questions in a single forward pass and promise the same answer for the same input. For choice questions, this promise fails: the answer depends on the order of the options, increasingly so as they grow in number, and averaging over their cyclic shifts reduces this dependence without removing it. Scoring each option alone, which the order cannot affect, shows that the order changes the answer mostly when the model is unsure among its top few options, even though the listwise answer looks confident. We therefore propose Runoff, which considers, then chooses: it scores each option alone to keep a few candidates, then compares them in listings where each candidate takes every position. It needs no training and can run in two forward passes, and its answer does not depend on the option order by construction. On two open models and five datasets, it changes no answer under shuffling, against 9.3% for cyclic averaging, and with 20 options it is about as accurate and three to four times faster. Wrapped around eight System One models, it removes the order dependence of the five benchmarks, while cyclic averaging changes up to 15.4%.

Crash datasets that carry an investigator narrative hold information the coded fields omit. Coding those narratives at scale has been blocked by three obstacles. Frontier large language models are costly at that scale, their generated text cannot be verified, and no rule says how much output a human must check. This paper formulates narrative coding as gated, typed decisions answered by Jev, a System One model that returns probabilities over analyst-defined options and generates no text. A screen covered 499,500 Texas narratives and 195,857 were coded with a 27-question schema. Cost is governed by schema size rather than narrative length. The probabilities are audited against coded fields and against 2,416 blinded human judgments drawn under a stated sampling design. Two frontier large language models are benchmarked on the same records. Against human labels the typed model attains an F1 of 0.908. One frontier model gains 0.059 and the other is indistinguishable from it. Calibration varies by model rather than by paradigm, so each model must be audited. Recalibration on the same labels reduces calibration error by a factor of 3.3. Agreement with coded fields understates fidelity to the narrative by a median of 0.26 in kappa. A resolution-floor bound covers any model that reports probabilities on a discrete grid. A review budget over flagged records gives the records a human must read per variable and per year. Adding the calibrated variables to the coded fields raises the injury and fatal crashes attributed to nine factors by 10,747 per year.

Typed decision models answer schema-constrained questions about a text in one forward pass and return probabilities meant to be thresholded. We ask whether biomedical sentence encoders trained for retrieval are good starting points for such models. We present SBERT2S1, which converts Sentence-Transformers encoders into bi-encoder, cross-head (C) and prior-fused residual (PFR) decision models, together with BIODECIDE, a biomedical typed-decision suite, and MEDLINE-S1, 243k training decisions derived from NLM indexing. Across six parent-retriever pairs, retrieval training improves zero-shot matching of content-bearing options. After fine-tuning, its effect depends on the head: across five pairs and three training-set sizes, retrieval training significantly helps PFR, which keeps the retrieval prior, in 10 of 15 comparisons, but helps C in one and hurts it in five. A matched grid of two heads and five training objectives shows that C outperforms PFR under every objective, and that the released RLCD recipe of open System One models trails cross-entropy by 2.5-3.0 points. The deficit stems mainly from its reward normalisation, which inflates the noisy score-function term 3.6-15-fold; an unbiased leave-one-out estimator recovers most of the gap. After temperature scaling, no objective is clearly better calibrated than cross-entropy. We release the code, the MEDLINE-S1 labels and a model.

Medical models are judged not only on correctness, but on whether reported confidence matches actual accuracy. Generalist multimodal medical models have expanded what a single model can perceive, yet they still express bounded decisions such as diagnoses, findings or cell counts as generated text, so the reported probability reflects the next token rather than the decision itself. Motivated by decision-native interfaces such as Jev, we introduce OmniMed-Jev, which represents each medical decision as a Choice, Noul or Score decision over a runtime-supplied candidate set and returns a full distribution over that set: mutually exclusive classes, binary presence of a finding, or a bounded ordered value. The design is omni in three respects: it accepts diverse imaging modalities, covers different prediction tasks, and expresses them through one candidate-conditioned probability model, so heterogeneous outputs become comparable probabilities rather than task-specific strings. In an interface-controlled comparison against a generative baseline trained on the same backbone, data and schedule, OmniMed-Jev's reported probabilities track observed correctness far more closely, reducing calibration error by up to an order of magnitude and reliability error by up to two, while point-prediction performance remains comparable; counting is the one family where the generative baseline stays ahead. Making the decision distribution the model's output is not a format change but what turns reported numbers into probabilities that mean what they say. These results support explicit decision modeling as a way to make reported confidence meaningful within the evaluated tasks, and they are not evidence of clinical readiness: the comparison cannot separate the interface from associated training differences, which we state alongside the results. Code is available at github.com/lytang63/OmniMed-Jev.

System One models output constrained decisions and probability distributions rather than free-form text generation. While prevailing paradigms rely on structured schema objects to encode state, intent, and candidate choices, we revisit a fully natural language-based System One interface. In this framework, both the user request and each candidate option are expressed in natural language, supported by multimodal (image and video) auxiliary inputs. We introduce MetaEncoder, which fine-tunes a pre-trained Muse-Glimmer 30B decoder into an instruction-following decision-making encoder. To scale effectively across both small closed-set (< 256) and massive open-set (millions) candidate spaces, MetaEncoder employs a bi-encoder architecture trained via unidirectional contrastive learning for request-candidate alignment. We conduct extensive evaluations across 11 benchmark suites and 190 tasks spanning multimodal decision-making, understanding (closed-set) and retrieval (open-set), highlighting where MetaEncoder beats SOTA multimodal encoders, as well as its current limits on reasoning-intensive tasks.

Software that hands branching decisions to a model needs a declared option and a probability it can threshold. Typed decision models, also called System One models, return such probabilities without generating text, while supervised classifiers and generative language models are the established alternatives. One harness sends eight decision-model checkpoints from six families, including the hosted model Jev, and four open generative models from three developers the same semantic requests, and scores trained and zero-shot classifiers on the same workflow, intent, emotion and social-science items. With task labels, a fine-tuned DeBERTa-v3-large has the highest observed accuracy on every labeled benchmark but one. Without labels, no decision model is significantly more accurate than Jev on workflows or intents, but Gemma-4-31B matches it on workflows and exceeds it on CLINC-150 at higher cost and latency. Stated probabilities of generative models become unreadable when replies miss the key format, whereas key likelihoods avoid this but can saturate. A guaranteed 5 percent risk leaves Jev 0.528 of the intent decisions, and an in-scope threshold still accepts 0.310 of out-of-scope requests. On typed-decisions, swapping yes and no flips 50.5 answers per hundred for Jev and at least 16.8 for every generative model tested, against at most 6.5 for four fine-tuned decision checkpoints. Exposure to a benchmark's training data explains the largest lead of an open checkpoint, which vanishes on rater-labeled emotions. An intent-trained first stage escalating to Gemma-4-31B reaches that model's accuracy at about Jev's price. The results yield condition-dependent design rules for automated decision gates.

Visual agents must turn video observations into timely decisions to track progress and choose what to do next. Building on the emerging System One paradigm, we introduce VideoJev, a family of models that cast video understanding and interaction as structured decision tasks. We adapt pretrained multimodal large language models (MLLMs) by replacing autoregressive answer decoding with a shared head that scores temporal intervals and textual options against video evidence. These scores yield event spans or answer choices, unifying temporal grounding and multiple-choice video question answering. This combines the semantic flexibility of MLLMs with efficient decisions that agents can use directly. As an interaction unfolds, new goals and intermediate results prompt further queries about the same visual history. VideoJev therefore reuses visual computation through Cached inference for queries as they arrive and Joint inference for multiple queries in a single forward pass. Across three temporal grounding benchmarks, VideoJev-4B and VideoJev-35B-A3B improve mean mIoU over their backbones by 6.7 and 10.8 points, respectively, with measured inference speedups of 2.8-3.1times. On four video QA benchmarks, both achieve performance comparable to their backbones in Thinking mode, with measured inference speedups exceeding 100times. These results offer a unified, reusable decision interface for composing structured visual judgments into complex, open-ended workflows.

System One models such as Jev offer an efficient alternative to generative language models for tasks that require decisions rather than open-ended responses. However, existing Jev models exhibit limited Chinese-language decision accuracy, restricting their utility in both general and specialized settings. In this paper, we introduce Chinese-Jev, a System One model that addresses this gap through a unified data processing and training pipeline. Our data processing protocol converts heterogeneous Chinese-language annotations into probability targets over candidate options, enabling a shared training formulation across domains and question formats. To enable efficient inference, Chinese-Jev adopts a lightweight encoder-only backbone for text encoding and learns to score candidate answers through decision-oriented training. To address the misalignment between the pre-training distribution and downstream Chinese-language scenarios, we first train the model on a general-purpose corpus of 10 million examples, then fine-tune it separately for the medical, legal, and financial domains. To evaluate decision accuracy and calibration in both general and domain-specific Chinese-language settings, we introduce Chinese-Jev Bench (CJ-Bench). After first-stage pre-training, Chinese-Jev exceeds the accuracy of the closed-source Jev model by 1.24% on general-domain tasks while achieving a 20.3x speedup. Subsequent domain-specific fine-tuning yields a 4.0% accuracy improvement over Jev in medicine and achieves 92% of Jev's average accuracy across specialized domains, with a 17x speedup and an average latency of only 15 ms per example. We further demonstrate on-device deployment of an INT8-quantized model on mobile devices, achieving an inference latency of approximately 1.0 second per decision. The project is available at https://gulucaptain.github.io/Chinese-Jev/.

Jev is a commercial System One model from TypeSafe AI that does not generate text: given a state and typed questions, it returns a choice from fixed options, a position on a rubric, or the probability that a statement is true, with probabilities the vendor describes as calibrated. Such models target small decisions in information access pipelines, such as routing queries, checking grounding, moderating content, or rating against a rubric. We evaluate Jev (jev-1.13.0) zero-shot on 37 datasets spanning classification, routing, natural language inference, reading comprehension, commonsense reasoning, moderation, legal clause analysis and rubric scoring, with one frozen template per dataset and full evaluation splits: 346,009 requests for under USD 10. For reference, we score Qwen3.8-27B and Gemma-4-E4B on identical requests via their exact next-token probabilities over the options. Jev reaches 95-99% accuracy on IMDB, SST-2, HellaSwag and ARC and 86.7% on Belebele across 122 languages. It beats Qwen on 27 of 37 datasets, with none of Qwen's nine leads outside the bootstrap intervals, and Gemma on all 37. All three models degrade on low-resource languages, fine-grained or noisy labels, and rubric-based quality judgments. Jev's choice probabilities are well calibrated and support selective prediction. Binary probabilities rank well but are poorly placed relative to a fixed 0.5 threshold; thresholds tuned on training data raise micro-F1 on UNFAIR-ToS from 0.50 to 0.75. Jev answers MMLU's calculation-heavy questions more accurately than other MMLU questions (94% vs. 91%), whereas both open models, and all three on C-Eval, find them harder. Rotating the options leaves Jev's accuracy unchanged and withholding the question drops it to near chance, ruling out shallow memorization but not memorized question-answer pairs. We release the code, harness and all raw responses.

System one models enable direct, low-latency decision-making. Yet recent practice of predicting an answer from serialized text does not, by itself, respect the structure of a decision problem. We argue that current designs underemphasize four important structural requirements. (i) null-aware: Models should distinguish answer absence from uncertainty among candidates; (ii) permutation-invariant: Reordering alternatives should not change the decision; (iii) option-scalable: Growing candidate sets should not require redefining the output space; (iv) cacheable: Request-independent computation over recurring alternatives should be reusable across requests. We introduce Jeva, a decision-native architecture that addresses these requirements jointly. A shared encoder independently represents the request and each option, while a compact decision stack refines only the request state against immutable option memory. Symmetric aggregation yields permutation-equivariant probabilities; shared scoring accommodates variable-size candidate sets. A separate coverage estimate distinguishes answer absence from candidate competition, enabling explicit null outcomes. Request-independent option representations and layer projections support reuse across newly assembled sets. These mechanisms unify Choice, Noul, and Score outputs. Across evaluations, Jeva combines strong typed-decision performance with near-perfect null detection and no decision flips under any tested permutations. It scales to thousands of candidates and substantially reduces latency through cross-request reuse without changing decisions.

The appearance of Jev marked the era of System One Models, foundation models that return structured decisions with probability distributions rather than text. Aside from low cost and great speed, Jev's central promise is that these probabilities are calibrated: such claim is not backed by any public test and available external benchmarks evaluate confidence calibration, not whether every returned option probability has the right numerical meaning. To tackle this issue, we introduce Sys1Cal-v1, a dataset of True/False questions about a proposition A for which the exact probability P(A) is known by construction. Each item is queried through the three Jev primitives - Noul, Choice and Score - and evaluated by total variation distance from the ground-truth distribution, which can be used to estimate a soft accuracy of System One Models. We showcase the utility of Sys1Cal-v1 as a benchmark dataset by evaluating Jev and SemIf, an open-source Choice-style baseline. In this work, however, we focus even more deeply on Jev, by studying the calibration of its Score and Choice answers. In particular, we discover a peculiar behaviour that can be explained by assuming that Jev suppresses a third truth value, going beyond True and False. In other words, in Choice answers, P(A) and P(neg A) are presented as if P(A)+P(neg A)=1, while a term P(U)neq0 is missing in the sum. Recovering P(U) leads to an improvement of median soft accuracy in Choice answers from 0.771 to 0.978, suggesting that, even in binary decisions, Jev wants to answer with a third option:``I don't know''.

There has been a recent explosion of computer vision models which perform many tasks and are composed of an image encoder (usually a ViT) and an autoregressive decoder (usually a Transformer). However, most of this work simply presents one system and its results, leaving many questions regarding design decisions and trade-offs of such systems unanswered. In this work, we aim to provide such answers. We take a close look at autoregressive decoders for multi-task learning in multimodal computer vision, including classification, captioning, visual question answering, and optical character recognition. Through extensive systematic experiments, we study the effects of task and data mixture, training and regularization hyperparameters, conditioning type and specificity, modality combination, and more. Importantly, we compare these to well-tuned single-task baselines to highlight the cost incurred by multi-tasking. A key finding is that a small decoder learned on top of a frozen pretrained encoder works surprisingly well. We call this setup locked-image tuning with decoder (LiT-decoder). It can be seen as teaching a decoder to interact with a pretrained vision model via natural language.

Large language models (LLMs) often make discrete decisions, such as flagging phishing or escalating to a human. System-1 models, such as Jev and the OpenAI Decisions API, return probabilities over options in a single forward pass, while System-2 approaches generate reasoning steps. Which decisions can System-1 models handle, and which require generative reasoning? We introduce System1-Arena, a benchmark that gives all models the same decision requests and scores their probabilities. It contains 92k questions across 105 tasks from 268 public sources, in four groups: text classification and knowledge, applied decisions, evaluation and control, and agent and action. It also includes 138 closed-loop environments, from web shopping and SWE-bench coding control to robotics, games, and driving; in real-time mode, the world evolves while a model decides. We evaluate 30 models: 7 closed LLMs, 13 open LLMs read at the answer token, and 10 System-1 models. The largest System-1 models match or exceed fast closed LLMs in non-agentic accuracy, with better-calibrated probabilities at one-quarter of the latency. A reasoning LLM is the most accurate, at about 70x the cost of a fast LLM. In closed loops, large open LLMs succeed most often (up to 32.9%); small System-1 models rarely succeed.

Typed decision models answer a declared question without generating text: a decision head returns a probability for each of the declared options in a single forward pass. A single pass is fast, intuitive System 1 thinking. We study what lies between one pass and generated reasoning: looping, in which the same layers are recursively applied several times before one typed readout. Each loop lets the model revise its hidden state before it commits to an answer, without generating a token; we call this System 1.5 thinking. We propose SanSi, which turns a pre-trained looped language model into a typed decision model. The option probabilities are read after every loop, and every loop is trained with a proper scoring rule, so that one model serves every budget from one loop to eight in a single run. On 10,027 test decisions from 59 sources, SanSi reaches 72.0% accuracy: 13.5 points above a non-looped model of the same shape trained with the same recipe, 5.3 points above a newer non-looped model of its size, and 1.8 points below one with three times the parameters. On two depth-controlled tasks, loops extend the solvable depth beyond the depths seen in training, where the larger single-pass model fails. Used as the judge for policy optimization with reinforcement learning, without gold answers, SanSi raises the generator's F1 by 7.7 points.

Deploying multiple models within shared GPU clusters is a key strategy to improve resource efficiency in large language model (LLM) serving. Existing multi-LLM serving systems improve GPU utilization at the cost of degraded inference performance, particularly time-to-first-token (TTFT). We attribute this degradation to the lack of awareness regarding future workload characteristics. In contrast, recent analyses have shown the strong periodicity and long-term predictability of real-world LLM serving workloads. In this paper, we propose one-for-many GPU prewarming, which proactively loads parameters from multiple models onto GPUs based on workload forecasts. These prewarmed weights enable the system to promptly instantiate serving instances upon encountering request bursts. We design and implement WarmServe, a multi-LLM serving system incorporating three key techniques: (1) a model placement algorithm that optimizes prewarming decisions to minimize cross-model prewarming interference, (2) a KV cache reservation strategy that repurposes idle KV cache space on running GPUs for prewarming new models, and (3) an efficient GPU memory switching mechanism for tensor management. Evaluation on real-world datasets shows that WarmServe reduces tail TTFT by up to 50.8times compared to the state-of-the-art autoscaling-based system, while supporting up to 2.5times higher request throughput than the GPU-sharing system.

Dual-process agents pair a fast policy with a slow deliberative model. In real-time settings the slow model usually runs continuously; in turn-based agents and robot planners it is invoked on events such as uncertainty or a detected failure. We study a fast learned actor that takes every decision and hands control to a reasoning vision-language model only when a gate opens, while the game keeps running. We use closed-loop Doom and the new open "System One" typed-decision models, served through a common llama.cpp interface. On 900 held-out questions, (i) zero-shot decision models from 0.15B to 9B parameters choose to collect items 1.6-1.8 times more often than chance among their errors, in any option order, although the order changes some models' accuracy; (ii) accuracy, calibration and sensitivity (how well confidence separates right from wrong answers) are distinct: models of similar accuracy differ widely in AUROC, and the confidence of the most sensitive one tracks which kinds of situation it fails, not which answers are wrong; (iii) offline, deferring the least confident 30% of decisions to a reasoning model gains over random deferral in proportion to the actor's AUROC (rank correlation 0.87); with actor and rate chosen on held-out games the gain is +0.13 [0.08, 0.18] with doomLaya's option order and +0.08 [0.02, 0.14] with shuffled options, and reasoning carries about half of it; (iv) in closed loop (33 games, three seeds) no variant reaches the exit. Committing to plans, the reasoner's or a fixed explore rule's, opens more doors and makes an actor that stands still play; with the rule the agent dies more often. Told that some doors need keys, the reasoner takes ordinary doors for locked ones, which the state cannot tell apart; without that knowledge it goes back to collecting. We release code, prompts, data and logs.

Large language model (LLM) agents are increasingly expected to operate in enterprise environments, where work is distributed across specialized roles, permission-controlled systems, and cross-departmental procedures. However, existing enterprise benchmarks largely evaluate single agents with broad tool access, while existing multi-agent benchmarks rarely capture realistic enterprise constraints such as role specialization, access control, stateful business systems, and policy-based approvals. We introduce EntCollabBench, a benchmark for evaluating enterprise multi-agent collaboration. EntCollabBench simulates a permission-isolated organization with 11 role-specialized agents across six departments and contains two evaluation subsets: a Workflow subset, where agents collaboratively modify enterprise system states, and an Approval subset, where agents make policy-grounded decisions. Evaluation is based on execution traces, database state verification, and deterministic policy adjudication rather than natural-language response judging. Experiments with representative LLM agents show that current models still struggle with end-to-end enterprise collaboration, especially in delegation, context transfer, parameter grounding, workflow closure, and decision commitment. EntCollabBench provides a reproducible testbed for measuring and improving agent systems intended for realistic organizational environments.

The emergence and impact of tipping points have garnered significant interest in both the social and natural sciences. Despite widespread recognition of the importance of feedbacks between human and natural systems, it is often assumed that the observed nonlinear dynamics in these coupled systems rests within either underlying human or natural processes, rather than the rates at which they interact. Using adoption of agricultural diversification practices as a case study, we show how two stable management paradigms (one dominated by conventional, homogeneous practices, the other by diversified practices) can emerge purely from temporal feedbacks between human decisions and ecological responses. We explore how this temporal mechanism of tipping points provides insight into designing more effective interventions that promote farmers transitions towards sustainable agriculture. Moreover, our flexible modeling framework could be applied to other cases to provide insight into numerous questions in social-ecological systems research and environmental policy.

General-purpose frontier models are large, expensive to run, and increasingly reluctant to engage with authorised defensive- and offensive-security work. We ask the opposite question: how small can a cybersecurity-specialist transformer be while remaining genuinely useful to a security practitioner? We introduce CT0, a Cybersecurity Transformer architecture, and CT0-Micro, its first incarnation: a compact (~4B-parameter) model built on the open base model, whose backbone is specialised by two-phase on-policy distillation on our Cybersecurity AI (CAI) dataset. CT0 serves two modes from one set of weights: System 1 answers typed security decisions (is this file suspicious, is this request an attack, did the model just refuse) in a single forward pass without generating a token, System 2 is the usual tool-using agent, and a confidence gate spends generation only where the fast path is unsure. Specialisation lifts the agentic path: CT0-Micro solves 21.1% of cybench-subtask against 7.6% for its base, above every open model of comparable footprint and the densest cybersecurity capability per parameter we measured. The fast path is what the architecture buys: CT0-Micro screens eighty files per second for indicators of compromise, catches its own refusals at 96.5% accuracy in 47 ms where the model judging itself reaches 76.5% in 254 ms and misses half of them, flags jailbreak requests at AUROC 0.966 in 8 ms, and, generating only for the facts it is unsure about, extracts vulnerability facts more accurately than either mode alone at a fifth of the generative cost. All of it is built in about 314 RTX PRO 6000 GPU-hours and served from one workstation GPU, with no policy layer between operator and target. Across eighteen benchmarks and use cases run with one checkpoint and head, we report where the design helps, where it does not, and what it still lacks.

System One models output calibrated probabilities over typed answers such as categorical choices, ordinal levels, or binary outcomes, via a non-generative interface. Software can act on these probabilities through thresholds, cost-weighted choices, and escalation rules. Consequently, if these probabilities are miscalibrated or wording-sensitive, the software ma take unintended actions leaving human operators with no textual rationale to inspect. Current evaluations largely report accuracy and calibration on public classification datasets without a clear reference. We present TypedBench, a benchmark for typed decision models like Jev built from seven policy-labelled generators and nine evaluation suites. We report accuracy as median and range across paraphrases, and calibration error relative to the finite-sample noise floor of a matched, perfectly calibrated predictor. We assess probability quality through selective prediction, ordinal proper scoring rules, and realised cost under asymmetric cost matrices. We evaluate a hosted model, an open encoder, and a family of open decoders spanning 0.8B-9B parameters on identical items. The hosted model follows the stated policy but is wording-sensitive and systematically underconfident; under asymmetric costs, using its probabilities can be worse than taking its top answer. Decoders route exactly and are slow as options or questions are added. The decoder is least accurate on policy questions and degrades with more options. Overall, typed decision models must be evaluated jointly on policy adherence, wording robustness, probability quality, and induced decision outcomes.

LLM-based decision-making systems, also called System One models, have recently gained popularity, most notably through Jev (Almeida, 2026). Given a typed input state, a question, and a set of options, they return a probability for each option in a single forward pass, without text generation. We show that existing open instruction-tuned language models can achieve comparable performance without any additional training, by reading out answers from letters (A, B, C, etc.) in the model's output logits at the last token position. Furthermore, we show how a simple supervised fine-tuning recipe can improve their performance further. We evaluate four open instruction-tuned language models: Gemma 4 31B, Gemma 4 12B, Qwen3.6-27B, and Qwen3.5-4B. We fine-tune each using LoRA and a decision head initialized from a slice of the language model head. Furthermore, we introduce OpenDecisions, a novel 2,352-question validation dataset designed to reflect the task composition of JevBench (JevBench main- tainers, 2026) and which computes a Capability score based on accuracy and calibration metrics. Without fine-tuning, Gemma 4 31B scores 79.6 on OpenDecisions, compared to Jev's 80.1. After undergoing our fine-tuning recipe, it scores 84.4 on OpenDecisions and 81.5 on JevBench v1.7, outperforming Jev by 4.3 and 4.4 Capability points respectively and setting a new state-of-the-art on OpenDecisions. On a suite of public decision datasets, our models achieve accuracy comparable to Jev, with lower calibration error. Our results show that open language models already possess System One capabilities, and with simple fine-tuning they outperform Jev on a wide range of decision tasks. We release our models, serving code, and OpenDecisions.

System One models choose an agent's next action by scoring a supplied set of options in a single pass. This makes them fast and cheap, but when they choose wrongly there is nothing to inspect: did the model misread what the agent has seen, or read it correctly and still act wrongly? We answer behaviorally. On a frozen benchmark of agent decision states from simulated environments, customer-service policies, tool use, web navigation and coding, we pair every next-action question with factual probes about the same state, each answered independently. Across seventeen fast systems and a reasoning model, the answer is consistent: most wrong actions follow correct reading, and the more accurate a system, the more of its errors take this form. These errors are not noise; they gather on the same states across systems of every kind. Where the probed facts provably determine the action, models that read every fact still fail to combine them, and their own answers, composed by code, repair the failure. On real states, what is missing is often not a fact but the next sub-goal.

Agentic memory is becoming essential for long-horizon AI agents, yet many existing systems rely on autoregressive LLMs to control how memories are organized, retrieved, and used, placing expensive generation on the critical path of memory operations. We introduce \method, a new agentic memory architecture inspired by System-One/System-Two cognition. System One captures fast, lightweight decision-making, whereas System Two performs slower, deliberative reasoning. Jev-Mem brings this division of labor to agentic memory through a dedicated System-One control plane, a structured multi-relational memory plane, and a System-Two reasoning plane. The System-One controller governs memory typing and relational organization during construction, and dynamically performs query routing, retrieval-budget allocation, graph traversal, candidate scoring, and adaptive stopping during retrieval. System Two is invoked only for complex reasoning and answer synthesis. This design improves both memory effectiveness and system efficiency: on LoCoMo Jev-Mem achieves an overall LLM-as-a-Judge score of 0.777, an 11.0\% relative improvement over the strongest baseline, while reducing memory construction time to 158\,s, a 6.6times speedup over the fastest competing memory system, and lowering average query latency to 0.93\,s, a 36.7\% reduction.

Spatial intelligence lets an agent perceive and act in the physical world, and many of its judgments must be made at interaction rates: which spatial relation holds, how far an object is, or where to place it. Vision-language models (VLMs) produce these answers by free-form text generation, paying for autoregressive decoding and answer parsing even though the output space is compact: one of a few options, a scalar, or a 2D point. In light of this, we introduce MJev-Spatial, a System 1 multimodal decision model that tackles all three types of spatial understanding tasks within a unified classification framework. Specifically, MJev-Spatial treats each candidate as a class and scores it using the backbone's pretrained query and key projections, without adding parameters. The candidates are the given options for choice tasks, or value bins and image regions refined through coarse-to-fine classification for numerical and point prediction, respectively. At inference, each classification decision takes a single forward pass and generates no answer tokens. To train on heterogeneous spatial data efficiently, we supervise all coarse-to-fine stages jointly with teacher forcing in one forward pass, and combine this with length-aware global batching and cross-GPU load balancing, raising training throughput by 30.8% over the original batching strategy. Built on Qwen3.5-4B and trained on 12.3M question-answer pairs converted from existing spatial datasets, MJev-Spatial achieves the highest overall score (65.64%) among eight tested models, ranks first on seven of twelve benchmarks, and outperforms its unmodified autoregressive base model on all twelve, while running 2.5 times faster than the fastest autoregressive baseline and 5.6 times faster than the base model.

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly explored for graph understanding and decision-making, while System One models such as Jev select directly from supplied options. However, the capabilities of System One models on graph-related tasks remain unclear. We introduce GraphDecide, a model-independent benchmark that combines structural task profiles, matched graph-text input contrasts and heuristic-proposal controls to diagnose graph decision performance. We evaluate Jev and related choice-based models alongside language-model baselines, covering fourteen model-interface configurations. Jev's results illustrate the benchmark's central distinctions: accurate adjacency recognition does not guarantee broader structural correctness, joint graph-text input does not consistently improve prediction, and feasible construction does not establish high solution quality. Its task contracts, candidate interfaces and scoring rules support comparison across native selectors and language-model adapters. Code and aggregate results are available at https://github.com/VictorYXL/JevGraphBench.

Deploying Large Language Models for runtime operational triage incurs prohibitive latency (>100-500 ms), high VRAM requirements (>4-8 GB), and excessive energy dissipation. Extending Mandelbrot Fractal Neural Synthesis (Dagli et al., 2026), this paper presents the Universal Fractal Natural Language Decision Map, realized via the werr machine-native edge reflex runtime and the production answerr platform (https://answerr.me). Operating entirely without stored weight tensors (0 Bytes VRAM), the engine synthesizes deterministic decisions---noul (Boolean), choice (categorical), and score (ordinal)---by dynamically modulating 24-byte coordinate seeds along the chaotic boundary of the Mandelbrot set and evaluating 4-quadrant escape dynamics. Drawing inspiration from biological System-One reflex arcs, the engine introduces: (i) an Auto-Seed Router with domain projector Phi_D yielding a +28.8% accuracy gain over linear baselines; (ii) an Information-Theoretic Acoustic Damping Filter grounded in token entropy and phonetic spectral density that insulates against prompt injections (0.0% empirical bypass; 95% Wilson CI: [0.0%, 30.8%]) while pruning escape iterations by 45.8% (accelerating throughput 2.5x to 3.31 ms latency); and (iii) an Organic Dynamic Calibration framework using O(1) Exponential Moving Average (EMA, alpha=0.03) and quadrant phase rotation to eliminate positional bias. Benchmarked on bare-metal infrastructure (api.answerr.me:4431) across 1,150+ verified decisions (3,200+ questions) and ranked World #1 on the independent JevBench suite (81.65%), the framework achieves 92.6% macro-accuracy (95% CI: [90.8%, 94.1%]) with 7.08 ms median CPU latency. We provide an OpenAI-compatible API (/v1/chat/completions) and demonstrate feasibility on microcontrollers and 32-byte EVM smart contracts.

"System One" decision models such as TypeSafe's Jev and its open counterpart Laya answer typed questions about a text in a single forward pass with calibrated probabilities, but they cannot ask for missing information: when a first message does not say what separates two departments, they guess. We present LAVOIR (Laya with Value-Of-Information Routing), which places the candidate pieces of missing information (slots) in the input next to the answer options, so that one forward pass returns both the decision distribution and, for every slot, the expected gain in the probability of the correct decision if the user were asked about it. VOI targets need no human labels: gold decisions come from schema rules, an LLM only verbalizes messages and answers, a model from another family checks every text, and pairing each message with several profiles makes regression on realized gains estimate the expected gain. A Gini-impurity cap bounds the predicted value by what a calibrated model can still gain. In a controlled study, decisions on seen schemas are statistically indistinguishable from the Bayes ceiling. The final model's question policy matches a greedy oracle VOI policy on seen schemas (AUC 0.799 vs. 0.797), and with at most 0.5 questions per conversation it is 14.1 points more accurate than never asking. On real ABCD conversations, one real exchange raises accuracy by 8.3 points where LAVOIR asks and leaves it unchanged where it does not; on SGD the cap lowers the asking rate from 93% to 8.6%. On Laya's twelve benchmarks LAVOIR is above Laya's reported scores on seven, and it answers a question in 31 ms (median, GH200).

Large language models (LLMs) have shown promise for recommendation reranking, but their use introduces an important tradeoff between recommendation quality and serving efficiency. We investigate whether a decision-oriented model provides a useful alternative when the reranking task is fundamentally a structured choice among predefined candidate items. Specifically, we conduct a controlled empirical study of Jev, described by TypeSafe AI as a ``System One Model,'' for personalized recommendation reranking and compare it with recommendation-specific models and pointwise and listwise Qwen rerankers across multiple Amazon Reviews domains and candidate-set sizes, evaluating both recommendation effectiveness and observed serving latency. Our results show that Jev maintains strong recommendation effectiveness relative to the evaluated baselines while exhibiting substantially more gradual latency growth than the pointwise Qwen rerankers, although its observed serving latency remains substantially higher than that of recommendation-specific models. Together, these characteristics place Jev in a distinct quality--latency operating regime across candidate sizes and domains. These findings motivate further investigation of decision-oriented models for recommendation and other ranking tasks with structured output spaces.

Human intelligence relies heavily on learned intuition: recognising patterns and judging situations without explicitly unfolding every intermediate step. We introduce Bongard, an open-weight System One model that treats machine intuition as an independent capability to design and train. A T5Gemma 2 4B-4B encoder-decoder separates reading the evidence from making judgments. The encoder reads the state bidirectionally together with the question instructions, and separate decoder branches share this encoding, so many judgments about the same situation require only one reading of the state. A trained head returns probabilities over the supplied candidates without generating text. Training proceeds in three stages, from supervised judgments to semantic relationships to action outcomes, and each stage updates all 7.09 billion trainable parameters on one Blackwell GPU. Joint-embedding post-training raises accuracy on held-out rephrasings from 75.7% to 85.9%. A sandbox stage then learns outcome distributions from action rollouts and exact oracles, raising accuracy on a frozen sandbox panel from 50.6% to 64.8%. On DecisionBench, the final model reaches 78.05% accuracy over 23,900 decisions and ranks fourth of 61 systems in the public comparison. On one RTX PRO 6000, its median latency is 36 ms for short requests, and 32 questions about one state take 221 ms. Bongard demonstrates that machine intuition can be systematically trained via representation learning and outcome feedback, providing an open, efficient alternative for high-throughput decision workloads.

A typed decision model answers a fixed question about an input by returning a probability for each of several caller-defined options. Each option carries a short label and a written definition, which is where a developer states the rule the model should apply. Jev introduced this interface for routing, moderation and triage, open implementations followed, and the same operation occurs whenever a language model is used as a classifier by scoring label strings. We study the open implementations, whose weights we can inspect and patch, and ask whether the probability follows the definitions or the labels. A preference for the label we call option-label bias. Across four open-weight typed decision models, three ways of reading an answer from a Qwen2.5 backbone, eleven classification tasks and PolicyBench, a synthetic routing suite we introduce in which the rule appears only in the definitions, the answer is mostly the labels. Deleting every definition leaves accuracy unchanged (laya-td: 0.8559 against 0.8487), although those definitions support 0.7971 on their own, and renaming the options to A and B raises accuracy by +0.1511 [+0.1377, +0.1646]. One system, von, is unaffected, and the two code bases differ in one expression: laya writes each option as "{label}: {definition}", while von writes only the definition. Changing that expression in both directions, with no weight changed, makes all three laya checkpoints exactly invariant (+0.0000 [+0.0000, +0.0000]) and creates the effect in von, whose accuracy falls from 0.8511 to 0.2281 when a label contradicts its definition. Earlier work attributed this failure to the constrained decision head these models use in place of a text decoder; our results locate it in the prompt rendering. We give a two-call test that tells a practitioner which case applies to their model, and measure what four mitigations are worth.

Decision models return probabilities over supplied options, but a deployed agent may also need to reply in words. The present study introduces System X, a large language model (LLM) decision model that adds a text-reply option to the LLM-as-Jev readout. When this option wins, or confidence is low, the same model continues from the decision's key-value (KV) cache, avoiding a repeated prompt prefill. Qwen3-0.6B has been fine-tuned with LoRA on Reason-9k and Bitext reply rows. JevBench accuracy shows no statistically significant change (55.4% to 54.5%, p=0.87), while expected calibration error falls from 0.292 to 0.169. Held-out Bitext routing accuracy reaches 98.3%. Cache reuse saves 15-37% of latency on an Apple M4 Pro, with token-identical replies in the FP32 demonstration cases. Scoring options on copies of the prompt cache matches full-sequence scoring to within 1.4e-6 in probability. Adding dialogue, industry and complaint data (System X+) improves support-task results but lowers IFEval accuracy from 55.5% to 45.0%. System X v4 uses Qwen3-1.7B, rebalanced data and teacher-rewritten reply targets. Against its base LLM, JevBench accuracy rises from 55.0% to 61.0% (p=0.04), with no statistically significant IFEval change (p=0.71). A matched latency test on unadapted Qwen3-1.7B saves 17-39%. One LLM judge prefers v4 replies to an unadapted 1.7B second call (31 to 11 pairs, p=0.003); the other's preference is not significant. These reply comparisons also differ in prompts and generation limits. State conflicts and unsupported reply details remain failure modes. Further studies with several seeds, human raters and real support data are recommended.

One of the most critical tasks for startups is to validate their business model. Therefore, entrepreneurs try to collect information such as feedback from other actors to assess the validity of their assumptions and make decisions. However, previous work on decisional guidance for business model validation provides no solution for the highly uncertain and complex context of earlystage startups. The purpose of this paper is, thus, to develop design principles for a Hybrid Intelligence decision support system (HI-DSS) that combines the complementary capabilities of human and machine intelligence. We follow a design science research approach to design a prototype artifact and a set of design principles. Our study provides prescriptive knowledge for HI-DSS and contributes to previous work on decision support for business models, the applications of complementary strengths of humans and machines for making decisions, and support systems for extremely uncertain decision-making problems.

Reliable evaluation is essential for developing and deploying large language models, yet in practice it often requires substantial manual effort: practitioners must identify appropriate benchmarks, reproduce heterogeneous evaluation codebases, configure dataset schema mappings, and interpret aggregated metrics. To address these challenges, we present One-Eval, an agentic evaluation system that converts natural-language evaluation requests into executable, traceable, and customizable evaluation workflows. One-Eval integrates (i) NL2Bench for intent structuring and personalized benchmark planning, (ii) BenchResolve for benchmark resolution, automatic dataset acquisition, and schema normalization to ensure executability, and (iii) Metrics \& Reporting for task-aware metric selection and decision-oriented reporting beyond scalar scores. The system further incorporates human-in-the-loop checkpoints for review, editing, and rollback, while preserving sample evidence trails for debugging and auditability. Experiments show that One-Eval can execute end-to-end evaluations from diverse natural-language requests with minimal user effort, supporting more efficient and reproducible evaluation in industrial settings. Our framework is publicly available at https://github.com/OpenDCAI/One-Eval.

The Multisource AI Scorecard Table (MAST) is a checklist tool based on analytic tradecraft standards to inform the design and evaluation of trustworthy AI systems. In this study, we evaluate whether MAST is associated with people's trust perceptions in AI-enabled decision support systems (AI-DSSs). Evaluating trust in AI-DSSs poses challenges to researchers and practitioners. These challenges include identifying the components, capabilities, and potential of these systems, many of which are based on the complex deep learning algorithms that drive DSS performance and preclude complete manual inspection. We developed two interactive, AI-DSS test environments using the MAST criteria. One emulated an identity verification task in security screening, and another emulated a text summarization system to aid in an investigative reporting task. Each test environment had one version designed to match low-MAST ratings, and another designed to match high-MAST ratings, with the hypothesis that MAST ratings would be positively related to the trust ratings of these systems. A total of 177 subject matter experts were recruited to interact with and evaluate these systems. Results generally show higher MAST ratings for the high-MAST conditions compared to the low-MAST groups, and that measures of trust perception are highly correlated with the MAST ratings. We conclude that MAST can be a useful tool for designing and evaluating systems that will engender high trust perceptions, including AI-DSS that may be used to support visual screening and text summarization tasks. However, higher MAST ratings may not translate to higher joint performance.

AI explanations are often mentioned as a way to improve human-AI decision-making, but empirical studies have not found consistent evidence of explanations' effectiveness and, on the contrary, suggest that they can increase overreliance when the AI system is wrong. While many factors may affect reliance on AI support, one important factor is how decision-makers reconcile their own intuition -- beliefs or heuristics, based on prior knowledge, experience, or pattern recognition, used to make judgments -- with the information provided by the AI system to determine when to override AI predictions. We conduct a think-aloud, mixed-methods study with two explanation types (feature- and example-based) for two prediction tasks to explore how decision-makers' intuition affects their use of AI predictions and explanations, and ultimately their choice of when to rely on AI. Our results identify three types of intuition involved in reasoning about AI predictions and explanations: intuition about the task outcome, features, and AI limitations. Building on these, we summarize three observed pathways for decision-makers to apply their own intuition and override AI predictions. We use these pathways to explain why (1) the feature-based explanations we used did not improve participants' decision outcomes and increased their overreliance on AI, and (2) the example-based explanations we used improved decision-makers' performance over feature-based explanations and helped achieve complementary human-AI performance. Overall, our work identifies directions for further development of AI decision-support systems and explanation methods that help decision-makers effectively apply their intuition to achieve appropriate reliance on AI.

Optimizer selection for large-scale model training has become a system-level design decision constrained jointly by compute, memory, tuning budget, and task diversity, yet the landscape of over one hundred methods remains fragmented. We therefore present OmniOpt, a unified survey and benchmark cookbook of optimizers for the research community. OmniOpt rests on four coupled components. First, we treat every optimizer update as a structured transformation through a five-stage meta-pipeline, and show that most methods engage only one or two of these stages. Second, we use norm-constrained linear minimization oracles (LMOs) to unify different optimizers. Third, these two views ground a dual-dimension taxonomy, one dimension assigning each method to a mechanism family and the other recording the measurable training objectives it aims to improve. Fourth, and at the core of this paper, we instantiate the full taxonomy in a unified cross-domain benchmark spanning representative optimizers, model scales, and training regimes from language model pretraining to image classification, systematically analyzing each method family across multiple effect objectives and laying out their trade-offs. OmniOpt thus supplies the research community with an operational coordinate system for selecting optimizers under explicit mechanism and objective assumptions, and charts a direction for the future development of the optimizer community.

The core of Transferable Utility (T.U.) games is a well-known solution concept from cooperative game theory yielding a cost allocation among n agents (called players) forming a coalition that is stable (i.e. no subset of players has an interest to deviate). In this paper, inspired by a practical application in the context of a decision support system for collaborative transportation in a Short Food Supply Chain (SFSC), we mainly focus on Traveling Salesman Games (TSGs), where the objective is to allocate the cost of a Traveling Salesman Problem (TSP) with n locations and 1 depot to n players, each linked to exactly one of the locations. Given the computational complexity of computing an element of the core and the cost of a TSP, we study semicore allocations: a relaxation of the core that only requires that the subsets of size n -1 and of size 1 do not wish to deviate from the coalition. In the literature, instances of TSGs with empty cores and semicores are found. Hence, this paper first surveys the methods to approximate stability whenever the core is empty, such as the cost of stability (computing the minimum amount of money to subsidize the coalition with to attain stability) and the ε-core (which is a set of allocations that allow subsets of players to exceed their actual cost, but at most of a value of ε). We prove that these two solution

This paper addresses the general problem of reinforcement learning (RL) in partially observable environments. In 2013, our large RL recurrent neural networks (RNNs) learned from scratch to drive simulated cars from high-dimensional video input. However, real brains are more powerful in many ways. In particular, they learn a predictive model of their initially unknown environment, and somehow use it for abstract (e.g., hierarchical) planning and reasoning. Guided by algorithmic information theory, we describe RNN-based AIs (RNNAIs) designed to do the same. Such an RNNAI can be trained on never-ending sequences of tasks, some of them provided by the user, others invented by the RNNAI itself in a curious, playful fashion, to improve its RNN-based world model. Unlike our previous model-building RNN-based RL machines dating back to 1990, the RNNAI learns to actively query its model for abstract reasoning and planning and decision making, essentially "learning to think." The basic ideas of this report can be applied to many other cases where one RNN-like system exploits the algorithmic information content of another. They are taken from a grant proposal submitted in Fall 2014, and also explain concepts such as "mirror neurons." Experimental results will be described in separate papers.

A semantic decision engine such as Jev can return a valid answer and still miss a network deadline, select an infeasible action or leave the service unverified. We systematize 139 paper families by decision interface, execution path and check ownership. Fifty families claim that their engine fits a control loop or time budget, but only four support the claim with matched measurement. Across all 139, four report deadline attainment. The gap concentrates where the decision has no deterministic computation step. Those 72 families make 22 of the claims, none supported, and name a coverage owner in only two. Bounded tests under one event model show that each gap can reverse an admission verdict. A decision that meets a 10 s budget for every isolated request meets it for none once decisions queue ahead of replayed execution times. The same engine passes one coverage check and fails another. We derive a minimum reporting record, design rules and a research agenda for admitting decision engines to control loops.

Long-term user engagement (LTE) optimization in sequential recommender systems (SRS) is shown to be suited by reinforcement learning (RL) which finds a policy to maximize long-term rewards. Meanwhile, RL has its shortcomings, particularly requiring a large number of online samples for exploration, which is risky in real-world applications. One of the appealing ways to avoid the risk is to build a simulator and learn the optimal recommendation policy in the simulator. In LTE optimization, the simulator is to simulate multiple users' daily feedback for given recommendations. However, building a user simulator with no reality-gap, i.e., can predict user's feedback exactly, is unrealistic because the users' reaction patterns are complex and historical logs for each user are limited, which might mislead the simulator-based recommendation policy. In this paper, we present a practical simulator-based recommender policy training approach, Simulation-to-Recommendation (Sim2Rec) to handle the reality-gap problem for LTE optimization. Specifically, Sim2Rec introduces a simulator set to generate various possibilities of user behavior patterns, then trains an environment-parameter extractor to recognize users' behavior patterns in the simulators. Finally, a context-aware policy is trained to make the optimal decisions on all of the variants of the users based on the inferred environment-parameters. The policy is transferable to unseen environments (e.g., the real world) directly as it has learned to recognize all various user behavior patterns and to make the correct decisions based on the inferred environment-parameters. Experiments are conducted in synthetic environments and a real-world large-scale ride-hailing platform, DidiChuxing. The results show that Sim2Rec achieves significant performance improvement, and produces robust recommendations in unseen environments.

Clinical decision-support systems are expert systems whose recommendations clinicians act on directly, yet they are usually cleared on one aggregate accuracy number from a held-out test set. That number says nothing about input reliability under encoding shifts, subgroup gaps, threshold sensitivity, or operational feasibility. We present RISED, a pre-deployment evaluation framework operationalising five dimensions (Reliability, Inclusivity, Sensitivity, Equity, Deployability) through BCa bootstrap 95% confidence intervals, literature-grounded thresholds, and Holm-Bonferroni-corrected PASS / FAIL / INCONCLUSIVE verdicts; Equity is a proxy-dependence diagnostic rather than a gating test. Applied to seven cohorts spanning 35 years (n from 303 to 99,492), RISED surfaces failures invisible to AUROC: on Diabetes 130, Reliability passes by three orders of magnitude (PSS = 0.0004) while Inclusivity (AUC parity gap = 0.262) and Sensitivity (max threshold-flip rate 49.1%) fail decisively; both NHIS cohorts reproduce this. NHANES 2021-2023, with a complete feature profile, achieves INCONCLUSIVE verdicts; BRFSS 2024 produces the suite's most severe Sensitivity failure (max threshold-flip rate 64.2%) after instrument rotation removed hypertension and cholesterol. The pattern recurs on credit- and income-prediction cohorts, confirming domain-agnosticity; a multi-model check shows the failures are data-driven, not model-specific. RISED ships as an open-source Python package complementing TRIPOD+AI, FUTURE-AI, and Fairlearn with the structured numerical evidence those standards require but do not prescribe.

Concept Bottleneck Models (CBMs) are interpretable-by-design neural networks that detect human-understandable concepts from the input and use them to generate predictions. By allowing users to inspect the concepts underlying a prediction and explore how predictions change under alternative concept configurations, CBMs have emerged as one of the most prominent approaches to supporting human-AI collaboration. However, user studies investigating their actual effectiveness as decision-support systems remain limited. We present two large-scale user studies (N participants = 705, N observations = 6,959) evaluating how concept-based explanations and user interventions on the model's concepts affect the performance of the human-AI team in two distinct binary classification tasks. Our results show that CBMs, and particularly their interactive component, can improve human-AI team accuracy relative to both unaided human performance and performance with non-interpretable AI support. However, these benefits emerge only under certain conditions: classification tasks perceived as difficult, easily identifiable concepts, and active interaction with the model. We also discuss how inaccurate concept detection may undermine users' trust in the model. Overall, this work provides practical guidance for the deployment of CBMs as effective decision-support tools.

Software delegates more of its branches to models every year: which queue a ticket enters, whether a command is safe to run, whether a claim clears without a person. What the program needs back is not prose. It is one of n declared options and a number it can threshold. Today that costs a round trip to a frontier model -- hundreds of milliseconds, a per-token bill, and a parser -- for a question that is usually a conjunction of three clauses. this-that-model-1.0 is a 2B-parameter typed decision model. Its answer is read directly from the hidden state at a designated position and restricted to the option set the caller declared, so no text is generated, nothing can be malformed, and every question in a request is answered in the same forward pass. It decides in 30.9 ms on one laptop GPU and generates zero output tokens doing it, where a frontier API call costs 8758 ms and the hosted systems that answer these questions well spend between 21 and 212 generated tokens per question thinking first, billed for every one. It sustains 32 decisions per second on one consumer GPU and never lets the state leave the machine. On a third party's recorded cohort of 68 decision questions, on their inputs and their wording, it scores 0.941 with a Brier score of 0.042, against 0.765 and 0.133 for the hosted service Jev on the same items. One pass of our 42-family internal suite takes 32 seconds and 0.000217 USD of electricity; the most accurate hosted model we measured needs 155.2 minutes and 10.636 USD. We also report where it loses. On multi-step arithmetic, which a single forward pass cannot carry intermediate results through, it scores 0.560 against their 0.98 to 1.00, and a targeted second training round improved the five task families it was written for and transferred to none of the other 13. The model is open-sourced in https://huggingface.co/flock-io/this-that-model-1.0

The recent phenomenal success of language models has reinvigorated machine learning research, and large sequence models such as transformers are being applied to a variety of domains. One important problem class that has remained relatively elusive however is purposeful adaptive behavior. Currently there is a common perception that sequence models "lack the understanding of the cause and effect of their actions" leading them to draw incorrect inferences due to auto-suggestive delusions. In this report we explain where this mismatch originates, and show that it can be resolved by treating actions as causal interventions. Finally, we show that in supervised learning, one can teach a system to condition or intervene on data by training with factual and counterfactual error signals respectively.

Recent advances in large-scale language models (LLMs) have made multi-agent architectures attractive for challenging reasoning tasks. However, many existing systems rely on stochastic routing or ad-hoc heuristics, making their behavior difficult to reproduce and their decision process hard to interpret. We propose ORCH, a deterministic coordination framework for discrete-choice reasoning that orchestrates heterogeneous LLMs. ORCH follows a ``many analyses, one decision'' paradigm: multiple base models independently produce structured analyses, and a dedicated merge agent outputs the final choice. The framework uses fixed rules for task decomposition and answer aggregation, keeping the pipeline predictable, reproducible, and training-free. Determinism here refers to fixed routing and aggregation rules under a fixed evaluation protocol, rather than strict bit-level reproducibility across deployments. To exploit model complementarity, we optionally introduce an EMA-guided router that updates agent selection using historical accuracy, latency, or cost; since it relies on answer-based feedback, it is mainly intended for benchmarking, controlled evaluation, or delayed-feedback settings. Experiments on MMLU, MMLU-Pro, and GSM8K show that ORCH consistently outperforms single-model baselines and a majority-vote ensemble. On MMLU-Pro, ORCH improves accuracy by over 10 points compared to the strongest baseline, and on GSM8K it yields gains exceeding 50 points; McNemar tests confirm statistical significance. The EMA router provides an additional 0.7--2.0 point accuracy boost, and ablations show that both multi-agent collaboration and routing contribute substantially. Overall, ORCH offers a practical path toward controllable, interpretable, and deployment-ready LLM-based agent systems for discrete-choice reasoning.

Memory is critical for enabling large language model (LLM) based agents to maintain coherent behavior over long-horizon interactions. However, existing agent memory systems suffer from two key gaps: they rely on a one-size-fits-all memory structure and do not model memory structure selection as a context-adaptive decision, limiting their ability to handle heterogeneous interaction patterns and resulting in suboptimal performance. We propose a unified framework, FluxMem, that enables adaptive memory organization for LLM agents. Our framework equips agents with multiple complementary memory structures. It explicitly learns to select among these structures based on interaction-level features, using offline supervision derived from downstream response quality and memory utilization. To support robust long-horizon memory evolution, we further introduce a three-level memory hierarchy and a Beta Mixture Model-based probabilistic gate for distribution-aware memory fusion, replacing brittle similarity thresholds. Experiments on two long-horizon benchmarks, PERSONAMEM and LoCoMo, demonstrate that our method achieves average improvements of 9.18% and 6.14%.

Large Language Models (LLMs) have achieved remarkable success across a wide array of tasks. Due to the impressive planning and reasoning abilities of LLMs, they have been used as autonomous agents to do many tasks automatically. Recently, based on the development of using one LLM as a single planning or decision-making agent, LLM-based multi-agent systems have achieved considerable progress in complex problem-solving and world simulation. To provide the community with an overview of this dynamic field, we present this survey to offer an in-depth discussion on the essential aspects of multi-agent systems based on LLMs, as well as the challenges. Our goal is for readers to gain substantial insights on the following questions: What domains and environments do LLM-based multi-agents simulate? How are these agents profiled and how do they communicate? What mechanisms contribute to the growth of agents' capacities? For those interested in delving into this field of study, we also summarize the commonly used datasets or benchmarks for them to have convenient access. To keep researchers updated on the latest studies, we maintain an open-source GitHub repository, dedicated to outlining the research on LLM-based multi-agent systems.

Large language models (LLMs) and LLM-based agents are increasingly deployed as assistants in planning and decision making, yet most existing systems are implicitly optimized for a single-principal interaction paradigm, in which the model is designed to satisfy the objectives of one dominant user whose instructions are treated as the sole source of authority and utility. However, as they are integrated into team workflows and organizational tools, they are increasingly required to serve multiple users simultaneously, each with distinct roles, preferences, and authority levels, leading to multi-user, multi-principal settings with unavoidable conflicts, information asymmetry, and privacy constraints. In this work, we present the first systematic study of multi-user LLM agents. We begin by formalizing multi-user interaction with LLM agents as a multi-principal decision problem, where a single agent must account for multiple users with potentially conflicting interests and associated challenges. We then introduce a unified multi-user interaction protocol and design three targeted stress-testing scenarios to evaluate current LLMs' capabilities in instruction following, privacy preservation, and coordination. Our results reveal systematic gaps: frontier LLMs frequently fail to maintain stable prioritization under conflicting user objectives, exhibit increasing privacy violations over multi-turn interactions, and suffer from efficiency bottlenecks when coordination requires iterative information gathering.

Voice provides a natural and immediate interface for AI agents. Many settings in which voice agents could be useful, including meetings, households, and collaborative work, are inherently multi-speaker. Supporting these settings introduces challenges that are largely absent from one-on-one interaction. We introduce the Multi-Speaker Interaction Benchmark (MSI-Bench) for evaluating multi-speaker voice interaction. Each test case is a short multi-party multi-turn audio scene with participant context, expected tool calls, and atomic rubrics. The benchmark targets three capability families: multi-speaker memory, multi-speaker instruction following, and multi-speaker reasoning. It comprises 1,152 test cases, evenly split between Mandarin Chinese and English (576 each). The strongest configuration on each split passes all rubrics on only 66.8% of English and 54.5% of Mandarin cases, and the strongest open-weight configuration on 34.0% and 19.3%. Failure analysis separates perception from reasoning: open-weight models are bottlenecked by the multi-speaker audio front-end, while frontier systems still fail speaker-scoped decision making on clean transcripts---and models across the board often respond when no one has addressed them. These results identify speaker-grounded perception, speaker-scoped decision making, and conversational restraint as concrete targets for future voice agents.

Long-term memory lets an LLM assistant use a history it can no longer reread, and most memory systems build it by rewriting conversations into facts, graphs or typed memories at write time. We argue that the work of memory divides, as thinking does, into two systems. Most of it is fast System 1 work: many small, independent yes/no judgments about records, such as whether a record is needed or no longer current, which a decision model makes by the dozen in a third of a second. Only a little is slow System 2 work: writing a few search queries, naming what the reply needs and composing the answer, which an LLM does well but slowly. We present Mnemon, a memory agent built on this division. It keeps conversations as raw, dated records; an LLM (System 2) plans searches over them, a decision model, Jev (System 1), judges what the searches return, and rules with explicit budgets turn the judgments into a small View for an unchanged answering model. A background pass consolidates each record once into topic timelines, value histories and standing instructions linked to the records, so that questions about a whole conversation reach evidence their own searches miss. Because nothing is decided about a record when it is written, the same agent can read any store that returns dated records. With gpt-4.1-mini answering, as in a public re-evaluation of 14 systems, Mnemon scores 91.7% on LoCoMo, the highest among them, and 83.8% on LongMemEval-S, from under 4k tokens of context per question, with the lowest effective cost index on LoCoMo. With a reasoning model answering, it reaches 92.2% on LoCoMo and 94.4% on LongMemEval-S, the latter on par with the best published results. From 100K to 10M tokens of history on BEAM, its cost per question grows by a factor of 1.11. On the same records, Jev separates gold evidence better than two LLMs and is 3-11 times faster.

Achieving human-level intelligence requires refining the transition from the fast, intuitive System 1 to the slower, more deliberate System 2 reasoning. While System 1 excels in quick, heuristic decisions, System 2 relies on logical reasoning for more accurate judgments and reduced biases. Foundational Large Language Models (LLMs) excel at fast decision-making but lack the depth for complex reasoning, as they have not yet fully embraced the step-by-step analysis characteristic of true System 2 thinking. Recently, reasoning LLMs like OpenAI's o1/o3 and DeepSeek's R1 have demonstrated expert-level performance in fields such as mathematics and coding, closely mimicking the deliberate reasoning of System 2 and showcasing human-like cognitive abilities. This survey begins with a brief overview of the progress in foundational LLMs and the early development of System 2 technologies, exploring how their combination has paved the way for reasoning LLMs. Next, we discuss how to construct reasoning LLMs, analyzing their features, the core methods enabling advanced reasoning, and the evolution of various reasoning LLMs. Additionally, we provide an overview of reasoning benchmarks, offering an in-depth comparison of the performance of representative reasoning LLMs. Finally, we explore promising directions for advancing reasoning LLMs and maintain a real-time https://github.com/zzli2022/Awesome-Slow-Reason-System{GitHub Repository} to track the latest developments. We hope this survey will serve as a valuable resource to inspire innovation and drive progress in this rapidly evolving field.

General decision models, such as Jev, have recently emerged as efficient alternatives to LLMs for structured judgment and selection. But what kinds of decisions can these models reliably make, and how does their behavior change when individual decisions are composed into larger systems? To study this, we introduce JEVal, a bilingual benchmark comprising 11,257 instances from 36 datasets across 10 application domains, and evaluate 25 model configurations spanning general decision models and generative LLMs. Our results show that (1) general decision models are most competitive when decisions can be resolved from available evidence, but weaken when they require specialist knowledge or faithful uncertainty estimation: they can often identify the most likely outcome while substantially overstating its probability. (2) In more dynamic and realistic systems involving long-horizon, multi-step interactions, the advantages of fast local decision making are offset by reliability failures at the system level. on τ-bench, faster local decisions reduce median episode time but lower task success as decision errors accumulate over long trajectories. (3) In large-scale social simulation, decision models approach strong generative LLMs on individual response prediction at substantially lower inference cost, yet remain weaker in user profiling and exhibit larger aggregate estimation errors and systematic bias. Finally, we propose InnerJev-4B and InnerJev-27B, which internalize an open-weight LLM's own reasoning into a single-pass first-token decision through Reasoning-to-Readout Self-Distillation, with InnerJev-27B performing on par with Jev on JEVal while answering a typical query in about 0.1 s.

The technical report introduces O1-CODER, an attempt to replicate OpenAI's o1 model with a focus on coding tasks. It integrates reinforcement learning (RL) and Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) to enhance the model's System-2 thinking capabilities. The framework includes training a Test Case Generator (TCG) for standardized code testing, using MCTS to generate code data with reasoning processes, and iteratively fine-tuning the policy model to initially produce pseudocode, followed by the generation of the full code. The report also addresses the opportunities and challenges in deploying o1-like models in real-world applications, suggesting transitioning to the System-2 paradigm and highlighting the imperative for environment state updates. Updated model progress and experimental results will be reported in subsequent versions. All source code, curated datasets, as well as the derived models will be disclosed at https://github.com/ADaM-BJTU/O1-CODER .

A service system may use the same categories to assign standard allocations and to check whether each service is fulfilled. Finer categories can match individual needs more closely, but they divide the observations available for monitoring. We study this conflict for a fixed menu from which participants select by declaring a category, with fulfilment assessed from each category's aggregate outcomes during a fixed period. We relate allocation loss to variation in preferred allocations within categories and identify conditions under which aggregate observations preserve the verification performance of individual records. For nested refinements under stated utility and observation assumptions, an allocation-loss tolerance and a per-category detection target define a feasibility band. Categories must be fine enough to provide suitable allocations but sufficiently populated to support verification. A source-dependent lower bound on declaration entropy and a minimum contributor requirement give necessary information and population constraints. For an explicit finite population with quadratic utility and binary service outcomes, we prove the exact feasible range across all categorical designs and exhibit designs attaining the information lower bound at specified tolerances. The results provide conditions for choosing categories jointly for allocation and verification.

The o1 system card identifies the o1 models as the most robust within OpenAI, with their defining characteristic being the progression from rapid, intuitive thinking to slower, more deliberate reasoning. This observation motivated us to investigate the influence of System-2 thinking patterns on model safety. In our preliminary research, we conducted safety evaluations of the o1 model, including complex jailbreak attack scenarios using adversarial natural language prompts and mathematical encoding prompts. Our findings indicate that the o1 model demonstrates relatively improved safety performance; however, it still exhibits vulnerabilities, particularly against jailbreak attacks employing mathematical encoding. Through detailed case analysis, we identified specific patterns in the o1 model's responses. We also explored the alignment of System-2 safety in open-source models using prompt engineering and supervised fine-tuning techniques. Experimental results show that some simple methods to encourage the model to carefully scrutinize user requests are beneficial for model safety. Additionally, we proposed a implementation plan for process supervision to enhance safety alignment. The implementation details and experimental results will be provided in future versions.

The pervasive uncertainty and dynamic nature of real-world environments present significant challenges for the widespread implementation of machine-driven Intelligent Decision-Making (IDM) systems. Consequently, IDM should possess the ability to continuously acquire new skills and effectively generalize across a broad range of applications. The advancement of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) that transcends task and application boundaries is critical for enhancing IDM. Recent studies have extensively investigated the Transformer neural architecture as a foundational model for various tasks, including computer vision, natural language processing, and reinforcement learning. We propose that a Foundation Decision Model (FDM) can be developed by formulating diverse decision-making tasks as sequence decoding tasks using the Transformer architecture, offering a promising solution for expanding IDM applications in complex real-world situations. In this paper, we discuss the efficiency and generalization improvements offered by a foundation decision model for IDM and explore its potential applications in multi-agent game AI, production scheduling, and robotics tasks. Lastly, we present a case study demonstrating our FDM implementation, DigitalBrain (DB1) with 1.3 billion parameters, achieving human-level performance in 870 tasks, such as text generation, image captioning, video game playing, robotic control, and traveling salesman problems. As a foundation decision model, DB1 represents an initial step toward more autonomous and efficient real-world IDM applications.

A robot that fails at a task faces the first decision in corrective dialogue: act on its own diagnosis, consult another onboard sensor, or interrupt a person. Choosing well requires knowing how much the robot's sensors reveal about the cause and how reliable the robot's own diagnosis is. We build a simulated benchmark in which every failure's true cause is known, because we injected it, and measure what each sensor reveals, with explicit checks against data leakage. Some failures are diagnosable from camera images; others only from the robot's force data (0.99 from force data, no image method above 0.55). We then test six open vision-language models. Their behavior tracks the surface of the prompt, not the evidence: moving the refusal option from last to first in the answer list collapses refusal rates from 78-100% to 0-6% in three of the six swept model-and-family pairs. Accuracy from frames stays at or below a majority-class baseline under every prompt variant, with or without worked examples, and stated confidence carries no information about correctness. Handing the same models the force data as ten lines of text produces the first above-baseline diagnoses, in four of the six models: much of the failure reflects missing sensor data, not missing ability. We pose the choice as a three-action decision problem, act, consult your own sensors, or ask a human, whose optimal policy follows from measured accuracy. The models do not follow it, and their ask rates ignore a fourfold change in question cost. One question to a human still lifts them from that baseline to roughly the answerer's own reliability (0.70-0.81 when they ask). The decision to ask should be tied to measured accuracy and stated costs, not to the model's confidence.

A typed decision is a choice among a fixed set of options, returned as a probability rather than as text. Systems that need typed decisions today use models trained for that purpose. This report describes AnyJev, which reads a typed decision from one prefill of a pretrained instruction-tuned language model. The readout restricts the next-token distribution at the answer position to the option tokens. It has two defects: the model assigns higher probability to some labels whatever the input, and to some positions in the option list. AnyJev corrects both with no gradient steps and no parameter changes: it divides out a label prior estimated from unlabelled inputs, and it averages log-probabilities over the K cyclic rotations of the option list. On two 20-option tasks the rotations lower the order-flip rate from 0.33 to 0.14 and from 0.33 to 0.18, and raise accuracy on 11 of 11 models on both. Reading every rotation requires K prefills. A stopping rule selected against the full-rotation decision on unlabelled states cuts that. Selecting the threshold on one unlabelled split and bounding its disagreement on a second, it reads 10.6 rotations of 18 at a verified 0.008 bound on two of four cells; selected and bounded on one split, as our serving run did, it reads 7.3 and serves 2.2 times as many decisions per second on vLLM. The code is open source.