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Sep 18

Predicting Turn-Taking Outcomes in Multi-Party Conversation: Interpretable Modelling of Speech and Gaze Dynamics with Interpersonal Closeness

Smooth speaker transitions are fundamental to effective conversation and rely on an interlocutor's ability to predict when to enter the conversation. This ability depends on accurately interpreting and expressing the verbal and non-verbal cues that signal when a speaker wishes to take or relinquish the floor. The process becomes even more complex in noisy, natural, multi-party settings, with multiple interlocutors available. This study models how gaze and speech, together with perceived interpersonal closeness, signal conversational floor changes in free four-person dialogue. Using the GaMMA corpus, we trained logistic regression models using interpretable, behaviourally motivated features extracted before each turn-taking event to classify floor-transfer outcomes as gaps or overlaps. Predictors included gaze features such as transition motifs and behavioural contrasts, entropy, gaze-based addressee identity, and mutual gaze, alongside speech features derived from speaker loudness, as well as perceived interpersonal closeness (IOS) between speakers. Results show that gaze features capture predictive structure, and that combining them with loudness improves performance (ROC AUC = 0.76 +- 0.04). Loudness reflected speaker control, while gaze dispersion and addressing indexed listener readiness and competitive entry. Performance remained robust across noise conditions, indicating that gaze provides a complementary, noise-resilient cue to turn-taking dynamics.

  • 4 authors
·
Aug 27

Measuring Language Transfer in Robot Policies: Adding Greek to a Cosmos3 Vision-Language-Action Policy

Robot foundation models are trained and evaluated predominantly in English, and robot demonstration corpora do not exist for most languages. We study the addition of Greek to an open vision-language-action stack using only machine-rephrased instructions and no architecture changes. The main challenge is measurement rather than translation. Several plausible instruments produce false conclusions: a color-histogram metric rewards noise, a single-goal benchmark scores 84.6% under correct Greek and 82.6% under deliberately wrong instructions, training loss fails to predict Greek success, and single-run comparisons are dominated by seed variation. On a discriminative ninety-task suite with three seeds per arm, a multilingual text tower without Greek demonstrations remains at its wrong-instruction floor, while Greek-only training exceeds its control by at most 2.7 points. Bilingual training yields a consistent 6.7-7.1 point margin over its control and reaches about two fifths of English performance. The policy also overfits the translator's phrasing; training on seven phrasings per task approximately halves this penalty. Warm-starting from a language-adapted world model and unfreezing the text tower both degrade performance. The results support two practical requirements for low-resource robot-policy localization: build a guaranteed null before trusting a metric, and replicate low-resource-language results across seeds.

KIEFERSA KIEFER
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Sep 6 2

FloAff-Kitchen: Bridging Navigation and Manipulation via Canonical and Progressive Floor Affordance Learning

Mobile manipulation requires robots to identify Floor Affordance (FloAff) that maximizes downstream manipulation success rather than merely ensuring navigation feasibility. FloAff prediction is a target-conditioned local spatial reasoning problem, yet existing methods suffer from representation ambiguity caused by irrelevant spatial context and arbitrary object orientations, while entangling shared and task-specific knowledge across heterogeneous manipulation skills. To address these challenges, we propose a unified framework for FloAff prediction from egocentric multimodal perception, consisting of canonical representation learning and progressive affordance prior learning. Specifically, we introduce a Canonical Floor Affordance Representation (CFAR), which learns canonical interaction geometry by preserving affordance-relevant local structure while eliminating nuisance spatial variations unrelated to robot base placement. We further propose Progressive Floor Affordance Learning (PFAL), which learns transferable FloAff priors from a foundation manipulation task and progressively adapts them to heterogeneous downstream manipulation skills. To facilitate systematic evaluation, we establish the first cross-scene, multi-view FloAff-Kitchen benchmark covering diverse manipulation skills, scene layouts, furniture styles, and viewpoints. Extensive experiments on three benchmark settings demonstrate that our method consistently outperforms strong baselines, while ablation studies validate the contribution of each proposed component. Project page: https://csu-hero-lab.github.io/FloAff-Kitchen_Web/

  • 6 authors
·
Jul 26

Visually Impaired Aid using Convolutional Neural Networks, Transfer Learning, and Particle Competition and Cooperation

Navigation and mobility are some of the major problems faced by visually impaired people in their daily lives. Advances in computer vision led to the proposal of some navigation systems. However, most of them require expensive and/or heavy hardware. In this paper we propose the use of convolutional neural networks (CNN), transfer learning, and semi-supervised learning (SSL) to build a framework aimed at the visually impaired aid. It has low computational costs and, therefore, may be implemented on current smartphones, without relying on any additional equipment. The smartphone camera can be used to automatically take pictures of the path ahead. Then, they will be immediately classified, providing almost instantaneous feedback to the user. We also propose a dataset to train the classifiers, including indoor and outdoor situations with different types of light, floor, and obstacles. Many different CNN architectures are evaluated as feature extractors and classifiers, by fine-tuning weights pre-trained on a much larger dataset. The graph-based SSL method, known as particle competition and cooperation, is also used for classification, allowing feedback from the user to be incorporated without retraining the underlying network. 92\% and 80\% classification accuracy is achieved in the proposed dataset in the best supervised and SSL scenarios, respectively.

  • 2 authors
·
May 9, 2020

GEOID-Flood: A Large-Scale Multi-Modal Benchmark Dataset for Flood Segmentation

Geospatial foundation models aim to learn representations that transfer across regions and sensors, yet evaluating them on specific tasks requires large, high-quality, multi-modal benchmarks that measure how well such models extract value from data. Concerning flood mapping, existing datasets rarely combine bi-temporal SAR and co-registered optical imagery at scale, leaving the value of foundation models for this downstream task largely untested. We introduce GEOID-Flood, a large-scale multi-modal flood segmentation benchmark, derived from Copernicus Emergency Management Service activations, spanning 219 events across 65 countries over ten years. The dataset provides more than 14,000 tiles with co-registered pre- and post-event Sentinel-1, in GRD and RTC format, pre-event Sentinel-2 composite, and DEM, including manually validated labels that separate background from permanent water and flooded water. Using this benchmark, we evaluate foundation models against conventional encoders across single-image, multi-temporal, and multi-modal protocols. We report three main findings: foundation models offer a consistent but modest advantage; optical-SAR fusion with finetuning best resolves transient flooding; and models trained on GEOID-Flood transfer to unseen events better than those trained on existing datasets. Dataset and code available at https://github.com/links-ads/geoid-flood.

Resolution-Aware Perpetual Futures on Binary Prediction Markets: An Empirical Risk-Design Framework Using Polymarket Data

We develop and counterfactually evaluate a resolution-aware risk-design framework (PIRAP) for perpetual futures whose underlying tracks a single binary prediction-market probability through resolution. The framework specifies six components: an index estimator combining mid-price, depth-weighted mid, and time-decayed VWAP; jump-aware tiered margin sized against bounded-event terminal-collapse magnitude; leverage compression schedule contracting toward resolution; resolution-aware funding rule with boundary-aware correction; a multi-stage halt protocol; and an eligibility framework. Two formal non-portability propositions establish that standard basis-only funding paired with continuous-vol static margin fails on bounded-event underlyings. Empirical evaluation uses Polymarket's PMXT v2 archive for 2026-04-21 to 2026-04-27 (13,298-market analysis sample passing adequacy gates from 61,087 ingested; 13,115 resolved within the empirical window for E3). E1 evaluates two pre-registered stylized facts; E2 conducts counterfactual replay across three engine configurations; E3 isolates the resolution-zone protocol's contribution. Results are mixed. Five pre-registered floors: stylized-fact floors (boundary depth asymmetry, terminal-jump magnitude) PASS; welfare-side directional floors (final-hour liquidation -6%, drawdown -5.1% pooled, median PnL +14%) two FAIL one PASS; E3 mechanic floors (final-hour liquidation -80% by halt construction PASS; bad-debt frequency +2.4% FAIL). Three of five materiality floors fail: the framework as specified does not validate deployment, but the empirical record establishes a halt-versus-margin scope distinction (halt addresses execution-channel risk; terminal-jump bad-debt remains margin-side) and documents a pre-emption trade-off constraining the dynamic-margin component. The paper concludes with structural recommendations and explicit non-deployable status.

  • 1 authors
·
May 10