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Sep 2

What Will This Copper Look Like Later? Forecasting Surface Appearance and Rendering It as a PBR Material

Digital design requires predicting how a metal surface will look later in its oxidation; this paper presents such a pipeline for copper. Given a fixed-camera observation, the system forecasts appearance 10 accelerated units ahead and converts it into the albedo, normal, roughness and metallic maps a renderer consumes. Forecasting is evaluated as an authoring tool would use it, on a copper specimen the system has not observed: an entire recording is held out, so training and checkpoint selection use one specimen and the test set is the whole of a second, recorded on a different day and condition. Under this protocol a learned spatio-temporal model with a monotone oxidation state, the most accurate forecaster within a single recording, is less accurate than copying the last observed frame on an unseen specimen, in both directions, as are three further trained architectures. The only forecaster that transfers is a closed-form global color extrapolation with no trained parameters, improving on copy-last-frame by 13.4% and 50.6%, with a margin that increases with horizon to +16.7% and +55.5% at t+10. Two controls qualify this: correcting every frame for the photometric drift measured on a non-oxidizing reference region leaves both margins intact, ruling out uncontrolled exposure as their source, and a moving-block bootstrap over the 6 independent windows each recording contains separates the larger margin from zero but leaves the smaller one not individually significant. The mechanism is measured: a learned susceptibility map encodes where corrosion begins on the training specimen and misleads on a new one, whereas the global color trajectory is what specimens share. The pipeline therefore deploys the closed-form forecaster for unseen specimens and the learned model only for continuing one already observed. Code, splits, protocol and leakage audit are released.

  • 4 authors
·
Aug 27

A Vector-Based Algorithm for Generating Complete Balanced Reaction Sets with Arbitrary Numbers of Reagents

We present a vector-based method to balance chemical reactions. The algorithm builds candidates in a deterministic way, removes duplicates, and always prints coefficients in the lowest whole-number form. For redox cases, electrons and protons/hydroxide are treated explicitly, so both mass and charge are balanced. We also outline the basic principles of the vector formulation of stoichiometry, interpreting reactions as integer vectors in composition space, this geometric view supports compact visualizations of reagent-product interactions and helps surface distinct reaction families. The method enumerates valid balances for arbitrary user-specified species lists without special-case balancing rules or symbolic tricks, and it provides a clean foundation for developing new algorithmic variants (e.g., alternative objectives or constraints). On representative examples (neutralization, double displacement, decomposition, classical redox, small multicomponent sets) and a negative control, the method produced correct integer balances. When multiple balances exist, we report a canonical one - minimizing the total coefficient sum with a simple tie-breaker - without claiming global optimality beyond the solutions the search enumerates. The procedure applies per reaction and extends to reaction networks via consistent per-reaction application. We do not report runtimes, broader benchmarking and code/data release are planned.

  • 3 authors
·
Oct 29, 2025

Validity conditions for moment closure approximations in stochastic chemical kinetics

Approximations based on moment-closure (MA) are commonly used to obtain estimates of the mean molecule numbers and of the variance of fluctuations in the number of molecules of chemical systems. The advantage of this approach is that it can be far less computationally expensive than exact stochastic simulations of the chemical master equation. Here we numerically study the conditions under which the MA equations yield results reflecting the true stochastic dynamics of the system. We show that for bistable and oscillatory chemical systems with deterministic initial conditions, the solution of the MA equations can be interpreted as a valid approximation to the true moments of the CME, only when the steady-state mean molecule numbers obtained from the chemical master equation fall within a certain finite range. The same validity criterion for monostable systems implies that the steady-state mean molecule numbers obtained from the chemical master equation must be above a certain threshold. For mean molecule numbers outside of this range of validity, the MA equations lead to either qualitatively wrong oscillatory dynamics or to unphysical predictions such as negative variances in the molecule numbers or multiple steady-state moments of the stationary distribution as the initial conditions are varied. Our results clarify the range of validity of the MA approach and show that pitfalls in the interpretation of the results can only be overcome through the systematic comparison of the solutions of the MA equations of a certain order with those of higher orders.

  • 3 authors
·
Jul 31, 2014

Variance Reduced Halpern Iteration for Finite-Sum Monotone Inclusions

Machine learning approaches relying on such criteria as adversarial robustness or multi-agent settings have raised the need for solving game-theoretic equilibrium problems. Of particular relevance to these applications are methods targeting finite-sum structure, which generically arises in empirical variants of learning problems in these contexts. Further, methods with computable approximation errors are highly desirable, as they provide verifiable exit criteria. Motivated by these applications, we study finite-sum monotone inclusion problems, which model broad classes of equilibrium problems. Our main contributions are variants of the classical Halpern iteration that employ variance reduction to obtain improved complexity guarantees in which n component operators in the finite sum are ``on average'' either cocoercive or Lipschitz continuous and monotone, with parameter L. The resulting oracle complexity of our methods, which provide guarantees for the last iterate and for a (computable) operator norm residual, is mathcal{O}( n + nLvarepsilon^{-1}), which improves upon existing methods by a factor up to n. This constitutes the first variance reduction-type result for general finite-sum monotone inclusions and for more specific problems such as convex-concave optimization when operator norm residual is the optimality measure. We further argue that, up to poly-logarithmic factors, this complexity is unimprovable in the monotone Lipschitz setting; i.e., the provided result is near-optimal.

  • 3 authors
·
Oct 4, 2023

Extended Detailed Balance for Systems with Irreversible Reactions

The principle of detailed balance states that in equilibrium each elementary process is equilibrated by its reverse process. For many real physico-chemical complex systems (e.g. homogeneous combustion, heterogeneous catalytic oxidation, most enzyme reactions etc), detailed mechanisms include both reversible and irreversible reactions. In this case, the principle of detailed balance cannot be applied directly. We represent irreversible reactions as limits of reversible steps and obtain the principle of detailed balance for complex mechanisms with some irreversible elementary processes. We proved two consequences of the detailed balance for these mechanisms: the structural condition and the algebraic condition that form together the extended form of detailed balance. The algebraic condition is the principle of detailed balance for the reversible part. The structural condition is: the convex hull of the stoichiometric vectors of the irreversible reactions has empty intersection with the linear span of the stoichiometric vectors of the reversible reaction. Physically, this means that the irreversible reactions cannot be included in oriented pathways. The systems with the extended form of detailed balance are also the limits of the reversible systems with detailed balance when some of the equilibrium concentrations (or activities) tend to zero. Surprisingly, the structure of the limit reaction mechanism crucially depends on the relative speeds of this tendency to zero.

  • 2 authors
·
Jan 27, 2011

Harnessing Structural Disorder: Unraveling Hydrogen Evolution in Monolayer Amorphous Carbon via First-Principles Simulations and Machine-Learned Potentials

Disorder and defective coordination in the catalytic plane are crucial for enhancing the Hydrogen Evolution Reaction (HER) on two-dimensional catalysts. Amorphous materials are disordered, making them catalytically adaptive for many reactions. In this work, the HER capabilities of Monolayer Amorphous Carbon (MAC) were studied in comparison with crystalline carbon derivatives, such as pristine graphene (GE) and graphyne derivatives. MAC generated from melt-quench simulations revealed a diverse framework of predominantly sp2 and sp3 carbons with numerous 5-, 6-, and 7-membered rings. Density Functional Theory (DFT) calculations investigated free-energy variations in hydrogen adsorption for each material. According to Sabatier's principle, optimum activity is achieved when the Gibbs free energy (Delta GH) change approaches zero. Crystalline carbon materials possess limited active sites, with beta-graphyne showing the best Delta GH value of +0.34 eV. The adsorption study for MAC was conducted in 30 distinct local environments, where core structural properties were analyzed against varying radii. Calculations showed a Delta GH distribution for MAC ranging from -0.02 eV to +1.35 eV. To evaluate activity across the entire MAC surface, a MACE MLIP foundation model was finetuned, achieving optimal energy and force fitting of 1.67 meV/atom and 29.15 meV/A, respectively. The MLIP predicted Delta GH values from -0.91 eV to +1.70 eV, with approximately 15% of sites exhibiting values below +0.25 eV. Feature analysis revealed that 7-membered rings, curvature, and ripple height enhance HER activity. Our findings suggest that, with careful optimization of local features, MAC can be tuned to compete with noble metal catalysts.

  • 3 authors
·
May 7

Sensitivity Amplification in the Phosphorylation-Dephosphorylation Cycle: Nonequilibrium steady states, chemical master equation and temporal cooperativity

A new type of cooperativity termed temporal cooperativity [Biophys. Chem. 105 585-593 (2003), Annu. Rev. Phys. Chem. 58 113-142 (2007)], emerges in the signal transduction module of phosphorylation-dephosphorylation cycle (PdPC). It utilizes multiple kinetic cycles in time, in contrast to allosteric cooperativity that utilizes multiple subunits in a protein. In the present paper, we thoroughly investigate both the deterministic (microscopic) and stochastic (mesoscopic) models, and focus on the identification of the source of temporal cooperativity via comparing with allosteric cooperativity. A thermodynamic analysis confirms again the claim that the chemical equilibrium state exists if and only if the phosphorylation potential triangle G=0, in which case the amplification of sensitivity is completely abolished. Then we provide comprehensive theoretical and numerical analysis with the first-order and zero-order assumptions in phosphorylation-dephosphorylation cycle respectively. Furthermore, it is interestingly found that the underlying mathematics of temporal cooperativity and allosteric cooperativity are equivalent, and both of them can be expressed by "dissociation constants", which also characterizes the essential differences between the simple and ultrasensitive PdPC switches. Nevertheless, the degree of allosteric cooperativity is restricted by the total number of sites in a single enzyme molecule which can not be freely regulated, while temporal cooperativity is only restricted by the total number of molecules of the target protein which can be regulated in a wide range and gives rise to the ultrasensitivity phenomenon.

  • 2 authors
·
Apr 15, 2009

Well-Posedness of a Coupled Brinkman--Biofilm--Nutrient System with Volume-Fraction Constraints

We investigate a coupled system of partial differential equations modeling the interaction between Brinkman flow, biofilm evolution, and nutrient transport in a porous medium. The model captures the mutual influence between the fluid velocity and the biofilm through drag and diffusion coefficients that depend on the local biofilm volume fraction. A hard constraint on the admissible range of the biofilm fraction is incorporated through the subdifferential of an indicator functional, which leads naturally to an evolution variational inequality formulation for the biofilm dynamics. Assuming standard coercivity, ellipticity, and growth conditions on the model coefficients and reaction terms, we prove the global-in-time existence of weak solutions. The analysis relies on a decomposition of the system into three interconnected subproblems: the Brinkman equation with a fixed biofilm profile, the constrained biofilm evolution treated through maximal monotone operator theory, and the nutrient equation viewed as a semilinear parabolic problem. These components are then coupled through a Leray--Schauder type fixed-point argument, with the passage to the limit justified by Aubin--Lions and Simon compactness results. We further establish the nonnegativity of the nutrient concentration under a natural quasi-positivity assumption on the reaction term. Finally, we provide conditional uniqueness results for weak solutions in two spatial dimensions under additional smallness assumptions.

  • 2 authors
·
Jun 30

Memory as a Wasting Asset: Pricing Flash Endurance for Embodied Agents, and the Limits of Doing So

A robot's flash endurance is a non-renewable stock: every persisted write spends one of a few thousand program/erase cycles and never refills, yet no fielded robot memory system prices which memories are worth an erase cycle. We treat embodied memory as depreciating capital and price that stock with a single endurance shadow price η, which makes cost-minimizing placement across a RAM / on-board NVM / cloud hierarchy a threshold in a wear-augmented per-byte index. The index is cost-optimal whatever the sign of the value-write association χ; only when χ> 0 does the optimum turn non-monotone, sending a robot's most valuable memories off its flash. The pivot is thus empirical, and we measure χ on real robot logs at a pre-specified gate: its sign is a property of the deployment regime -- positive on recurrent long-horizon manipulation (hatχ approx +1.0 times 10^{-3}, replicated at full power), null on a shorter-horizon suite, and negative on non-recurrent teleoperation. Two boundaries scope the result. The endurance budget is dormant on premium 3,000-P/E TLC at datasheet prices and binding on the commodity QLC/eMMC (sim1,000 P/E) that cheaper edge robots run. And where it binds, a learned wear-aware controller only ties price-based routing on task value, because realized value is tier-invariant across RAM, NVM, and cloud: the rent governs device lifetime and cost, not task performance. Whether wear-aware placement improves task value remains open -- χ is measured against a value proxy, and the non-monotone optimum, while proven, is not yet observed in data.

  • 1 authors
·
Jun 15

The Open Catalyst 2022 (OC22) Dataset and Challenges for Oxide Electrocatalysts

The development of machine learning models for electrocatalysts requires a broad set of training data to enable their use across a wide variety of materials. One class of materials that currently lacks sufficient training data is oxides, which are critical for the development of OER catalysts. To address this, we developed the OC22 dataset, consisting of 62,331 DFT relaxations (~9,854,504 single point calculations) across a range of oxide materials, coverages, and adsorbates. We define generalized total energy tasks that enable property prediction beyond adsorption energies; we test baseline performance of several graph neural networks; and we provide pre-defined dataset splits to establish clear benchmarks for future efforts. In the most general task, GemNet-OC sees a ~36% improvement in energy predictions when combining the chemically dissimilar OC20 and OC22 datasets via fine-tuning. Similarly, we achieved a ~19% improvement in total energy predictions on OC20 and a ~9% improvement in force predictions in OC22 when using joint training. We demonstrate the practical utility of a top performing model by capturing literature adsorption energies and important OER scaling relationships. We expect OC22 to provide an important benchmark for models seeking to incorporate intricate long-range electrostatic and magnetic interactions in oxide surfaces. Dataset and baseline models are open sourced, and a public leaderboard is available to encourage continued community developments on the total energy tasks and data.

  • 17 authors
·
Jun 17, 2022

Monotone deep Boltzmann machines

Deep Boltzmann machines (DBMs), one of the first ``deep'' learning methods ever studied, are multi-layered probabilistic models governed by a pairwise energy function that describes the likelihood of all variables/nodes in the network. In practice, DBMs are often constrained, i.e., via the restricted Boltzmann machine (RBM) architecture (which does not permit intra-layer connections), in order to allow for more efficient inference. In this work, we revisit the generic DBM approach, and ask the question: are there other possible restrictions to their design that would enable efficient (approximate) inference? In particular, we develop a new class of restricted model, the monotone DBM, which allows for arbitrary self-connection in each layer, but restricts the weights in a manner that guarantees the existence and global uniqueness of a mean-field fixed point. To do this, we leverage tools from the recently-proposed monotone Deep Equilibrium model and show that a particular choice of activation results in a fixed-point iteration that gives a variational mean-field solution. While this approach is still largely conceptual, it is the first architecture that allows for efficient approximate inference in fully-general weight structures for DBMs. We apply this approach to simple deep convolutional Boltzmann architectures and demonstrate that it allows for tasks such as the joint completion and classification of images, within a single deep probabilistic setting, while avoiding the pitfalls of mean-field inference in traditional RBMs.

  • 3 authors
·
Jul 10, 2023

Last Switch Dependent Bandits with Monotone Payoff Functions

In a recent work, Laforgue et al. introduce the model of last switch dependent (LSD) bandits, in an attempt to capture nonstationary phenomena induced by the interaction between the player and the environment. Examples include satiation, where consecutive plays of the same action lead to decreased performance, or deprivation, where the payoff of an action increases after an interval of inactivity. In this work, we take a step towards understanding the approximability of planning LSD bandits, namely, the (NP-hard) problem of computing an optimal arm-pulling strategy under complete knowledge of the model. In particular, we design the first efficient constant approximation algorithm for the problem and show that, under a natural monotonicity assumption on the payoffs, its approximation guarantee (almost) matches the state-of-the-art for the special and well-studied class of recharging bandits (also known as delay-dependent). In this attempt, we develop new tools and insights for this class of problems, including a novel higher-dimensional relaxation and the technique of mirroring the evolution of virtual states. We believe that these novel elements could potentially be used for approaching richer classes of action-induced nonstationary bandits (e.g., special instances of restless bandits). In the case where the model parameters are initially unknown, we develop an online learning adaptation of our algorithm for which we provide sublinear regret guarantees against its full-information counterpart.

  • 4 authors
·
Jun 1, 2023

Feature Lottery? A Bifurcation Theory of Concept Emergence

Neural networks acquire structured representations at specific moments during training, yet identifying these transitions typically relies on retrospective, label-dependent metrics. We introduce a bifurcation theory of representation dynamics to detect these moments in real time. Analyzing a passive GMM probe attached to the evolving encoder, we show the onset of structure corresponds to a supercritical pitchfork bifurcation driven by the loss Hessian. The system exhibits a theoretically predictable zero-crossing (β_c) that, compared to the network's current state (β), yields a dynamic ratio β(t)/β_c(t): a universal, label-free phase coordinate for representation dynamics, computable entirely from hidden states. We empirically validate four distinct transition regimes predicted by this coordinate across diverse settings: SAEs on language models (Pythia), SSL (CIFAR), and grokking (modular arithmetic). Crucially, under finite dissipation, macroscopic symmetry-breaking can lag the initial zero-crossing by orders of magnitude, which providing a rigorous dynamical account of the delayed escape observed in grokking. Microscopically, the bifurcation creates a shared unstable subspace, forcing collective symmetry breaking. We term this the "feature lottery" in SAE training: a feature's terminal interpretability becomes predictable remarkably early. By only 5% of training, early atom purity robustly predicts final convergence purity, with top-decile early atoms achieving over 12x the baseline purity at convergence. Beyond explaining concept emergence, β/β_c provides a practical early-warning indicator for training health, detecting the onset of usable structure, the crystallization of feature identity, and representational collapse epochs before downstream metrics react.

  • 1 authors
·
May 21