Daily Papers

On-policy self-distillation (OPSD) uses reference solutions as privileged hindsight to supervise student-generated reasoning trajectories. However, reference-based guidance may explain a correct solution without addressing why the student's own reasoning fails. This reasoning mismatch between the guidance provided and the correction needed can encourage the student to borrow correct conclusions while leaving its reasoning errors unresolved. Moreover, applying the same hindsight throughout the trajectory risks a distillation trap, where unnecessary constraints on valid reasoning compete with correction of substantive errors. To address these issues, we propose Root-Cause-Guided On-Policy Distillation (RC-OPD), which uses repairs of the student's own reasoning to provide guidance that addresses its specific errors while building on valid progress. For each failed attempt, RC-OPD locates the earliest substantive error, develops a local correction, and uses the corrected intermediate result as an anchor for the valid prefix. An iterative diagnosis--repair--continuation process tests the repairs through student continuation, identifying further errors within a fixed repair budget. For repair chains that reach a correct answer, root--cause--guided distillation uses failure diagnoses and corrective goals to supervise the erroneous segments, while anchor-guided distillation supports the corresponding valid prefixes with reasoning chains leading to the repaired intermediate results. We evaluate RC-OPD across multiple datasets and model scales. Extensive experiments and analyses show that it mitigates reasoning mismatch and the distillation trap, yielding substantial performance gains.

Memory has become a standard substrate for self-evolving agents, yet retaining experience is not the same as learning how to evolve through it. Existing memory agents can store trajectories, retrieve reflections, or accumulate skills, but often lack the holistic competence to select useful experience, act on it, write reusable knowledge, and maintain a growing repository. We introduce OPD-Evolver, a slow-fast co-evolution framework that cultivates such an agent evolver through on-policy self-distillation. In the fast loop, OPD-Evolver interacts with a four-level memory hierarchy to read, use, write, and maintain experience for rapid test-time evolution. In the slow loop, outcome-calibrated memory attribution and privileged hindsight distill these four abilities into the deployable policy. Across multi-domain benchmarks, OPD-Evolver surpasses memory systems such as ReasoningBank by up to 11.5%, and training-based methods such as Skill0 by ~5.8%. Further analysis shows that OPD-Evolver internalizes high-value experience and memory management, enabling OPD-Evolver-9B to challenge giant counterparts such as Qwen3.5-397B-A17B and Step-3.5-Flash, pointing beyond memory-augmented agents toward genuinely qualified agent evolvers.

Reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards (RLVR) turns agent experience into learning signals primarily through scalar outcome rewards after interaction. For group-relative objectives, however, this signal vanishes when all rollouts receive the same reward, even though their trajectories may reveal useful information about what the task requires and how the agent fails. We ask a complementary question: can hindsight teach an agent what it could have anticipated before acting? We introduce prospective learning, which uses post-hoc experience to supervise foresight predictions from the pre-interaction view, and instantiate it with Self-Retrospection Distillation (SRD). Intuitively, a completed trajectory reveals knowledge that would have been useful and pitfalls that should be avoided; SRD distills this privileged hindsight into trajectory-blind foresight of the same policy. Foresight serves only as a training target and need not be explicitly generated at inference time. Across 10 tool-integrated reasoning and long-horizon agentic tasks, SRD complements RLVR and self-distillation baselines with gains of up to 24.2 pp. Its advantage is especially pronounced when reward contrast is scarce: when 37--98% of rollout groups are reward-uniform across model scales, yet SRD can still exploit learning signal from sampled trajectories. In the 2B setting, where 98% of groups are all-failure, the RLVR training ends up at 0.0% success, while adding SRD reaches 60.6% under the same rollout budget. Our results suggest that post-hoc agent experience is useful not only for evaluating or improving behavior, but also for shaping predictive representations before available interaction.

Reinforcement learning for long-horizon agents relies on purely retrospective training signals: credit is assigned only after observing environmental consequences, leaving the agent's belief at action time invisible to the gradient. We introduce Prospective Hindsight (PH), a self-calibrating training principle that augments any retrospective base method with a signal derived from the gap between the agent's prospective prediction (before feedback) and the retrospective evaluation (after feedback). This per-rollout surprise identifies samples where the agent's self-model is most inaccurate and amplifies their gradient contribution through a stop-gradient surprise-weighted advantage. Since the prospective predictor shares parameters with the policy, the two co-evolve, progressively shifting focus to the agent's remaining blind spots. We connect this principle to a privileged-information gap and show that minimizing the surprise residual provides a descent pathway on the agent's miscalibration rate; calibration thus emerges as a byproduct of optimization rather than from an added objective. On single-turn verifiable tasks and a multi-turn personal-agent task (under GRPO, on-policy distillation, and their combination), PH improves both task performance and calibration, with consistent gains across model scales. Notably, the dominant miscalibration mode shifts structurally between regimes, overconfident failures in single-turn, underconfident successes in multi-turn, yet the same training principle addresses both successfully.

GUI agents are commonly trained offline from successful interaction trajectories. Standard training decomposes each trajectory into prefix-action pairs: the agent predicts an action from the current screen and interaction history, while the subsequent observation is discarded. This removes the rationale of why an action is correct: the evidence often appears only on the subsequent screen. For example, to enable Soft Wrap, the agent should click Edit or View, but nothing reveals this until the menu opens. Without such evidence, standard imitation gives the model little chance of ever sampling and thus learning the correct reasoning. To address this issue, we propose Gated Hindsight Distillation (GHD), which uses the next screenshot as privileged information during training. A student predicts from the observable trajectory prefix, while a parameter-sharing teacher additionally observes the next screenshot and re-scores the student's on-policy responses. We apply distillation only when the student fails and the hindsight-conditioned teacher recovers the demonstrated action. GHD improves task success over GRPO on AndroidWorld and AndroidLab across two vision-language models. The code and checkpoints will be made available.

Reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards (RLVR) has substantially improved the reasoning capabilities of large language models on tasks such as mathematical reasoning and code generation. However, most RLVR methods assign a scalar outcome reward to an entire trajectory, resulting in sparse supervision and limited token-level credit assignment. On-policy distillation (OPD) provides denser supervision by distilling token-level distributions from a stronger teacher model, but requires an additional teacher and typically assumes a shared vocabulary. On-policy self-distillation (OPSD) removes this dependency by conditioning the same model on privileged information to construct a teacher policy. However, directly matching the teacher distribution may cause information leakage and unstable optimization. RLSD avoids direct matching by using the teacher signal only to modulate update magnitudes, but it cannot provide an explicit correction direction when the sampled reasoning fails. To address this tradeoff, we introduce H^{2}SD, a hybrid hindsight self distillation framework that uses the teacher differently according to trajectory correctness. For successful trajectories, the teacher receives the student response confirmed as correct together with a rephrasing instruction, and its probabilities on the original response tokens are used to modulate update magnitudes without changing the direction determined by the reward. For failed trajectories, we condition the teacher on a reference hint containing key reasoning steps and a verified answer, and minimize the reverse KL divergence from the student to the teacher. Experiments on multiple challenging reasoning benchmarks show that H^2SD consistently outperforms representative RLVR, OPSD, and RLSD baselines while maintaining stable optimization and favorable generation efficiency.

Tool-Integrated Reasoning (TIR) enables LLMs to solve complex tasks through iterative tool interactions. However, existing reinforcement learning methods often rely on trajectory-level supervision, limiting fine-grained credit assignment in long-horizon TIR scenarios. On-policy self-distillation offers denser signals through teacher branches with privileged context, but existing approaches typically derive such context from ground-truth answers or retrieved skills, which may not reflect the states actually visited by the agent. Moreover, token-level supervision fails to capture the turn-level structure of tool interactions. To address this, we propose TurnSight, a turn-level hindsight self-distillation framework that derives supervision directly from execution-conditioned hindsight. It then constructs multiple hindsight views with different lookahead horizons and selects reliable supervision through cross-horizon directional agreement. Finally, the selected hindsight signal is normalized across sibling rollouts and used to adaptively modulate RL advantages while preserving their original optimization direction. Extensive experiments on three benchmarks demonstrate the effectiveness of TurnSight. Our codes are available at https://github.com/quchangle1/TurnSight.

Training multi-turn LLM agents with reinforcement learning typically relies on trajectory-level rewards, which assign a uniform advantage to every step and cannot identify which decisions led to success or failure. Self-distillation methods can provide finer-grained supervision by augmenting RL with privileged information. However, existing approaches usually apply the same type of privileged information to every step in an indistinguishable manner, ignoring a key asymmetry: routine steps need little additional guidance, while critical error steps require corrective direction that environment feedback alone cannot provide. We propose AHEAD, a step-aware framework that matches different supervision sources to different step types. The teacher receives environment feedback on all steps as a grounded dense signal, and additionally receives LLM-generated corrective hints on error steps to supply the direction that environment feedback lacks. The method introduces minimal changes to the standard GRPO algorithm. Across ALFWorld, WebShop, and Search-based QA, and across three model scales, AHEAD raises task success (+13.3 points on ALFWorld and +11.0 on WebShop at 7B over GRPO), reaches a given success rate in fewer training steps, and solves tasks within tighter interaction budgets than outcome-only RL and prior self-distillation baselines.

Language-model agents are usually trained by reinforcement learning from one reward per episode, and privileged self-distillation enriches it by letting the same policy, given a skill, teach its skill-free self through token probabilities. However, we identify two phenomena that question this channel. Invisible Advantage: a skill in context lifts WebShop success from 42.2% to 56.2%, yet changes the probabilities of fewer than a quarter of the sampled tokens. Much to Align: a skill changes the hidden states of over 80% of response tokens, in a way that linear probes can trace back to the specific skill. To exploit this, we propose Privileged Representation On-policy Self-Distillation (PR-OPD). After a GRPO warm start, the policy writes a hindsight skill for each trajectory, re-reads its own responses with that skill as a stop-gradient teacher, and aligns its projected hidden states to the teacher's at every layer alongside the reward objective, with no external skill library, separate teacher, or inference overhead. On ALFWorld and WebShop with two backbones, PR-OPD achieves the best overall results in every setting, improving over GRPO by up to 4.7 points in ALFWorld success and 14.0 points in WebShop accuracy. Code is available at https://github.com/balibata/PR-OPD.

On-policy self-distillation (OPSD) uses a privileged teacher to supervise a reasoning model on prefixes sampled from its own rollouts. Yet each rollout also reveals how the student's response unfolds and whether it succeeds, student-specific hindsight that standard OPSD does not use to form the teacher. We introduce Privileged Adaptation from Student Trajectories (PAST), which treats each completed student trajectory as additional privileged information for the OPSD teacher while leaving the student's distillation prefixes unchanged. PAST preserves the student's next-token distribution on correct trajectories and uses failed trajectories to adapt the teacher toward verified success under student-proximity regularization. We characterize what such a trajectory-conditioned teacher can transfer to a prefix-only student. Forward-KL distillation projects the teacher distributions to their conditional arithmetic mean given the prefix. This projection separates trajectory-specific variation that remains privileged from the mean policy shift available to the student. For correct trajectories, the unclipped population objective also has the frozen student as an ideal distributional fixed point. Across three mathematical reasoning benchmarks, PAST improves the Avg@12 macro average over Vanilla OPSD by 5.6 percentage points. A 2times2 factorial study shows gains from both complete-trajectory access and teacher adaptation, while trajectory removal and shuffling confirm that the adapted teacher uses the matching hindsight context.

Reinforcement learning (RL) for large language models (LLMs) increasingly relies on sparse, outcome-level rewards -- yet determining which actions within a long trajectory caused the outcome remains difficult. This credit assignment (CA) problem manifests in two regimes: reasoning RL, where credit must be distributed across tokens and steps within a single chain-of-thought generation (500--30K+ tokens); and agentic RL, where multi-turn environment interaction introduces stochastic transitions, partial observability, and horizons of 100+ turns (100K--1M tokens), making episode-level credit increasingly uninformative. We survey 47 CA methods (41 core, 6 adjacent enablers) published between 2024 and early 2026, organizing them in a two-dimensional taxonomy by assignment granularity (token, segment, step, turn, multi-agent) and methodology (Monte Carlo, temporal difference, model-based, game-theoretic, information-theoretic). Beyond the survey itself, we contribute three reusable resources: (1) a structured, machine-readable paper inventory with taxonomy labels, baseline families, and evidence levels; (2) a reporting checklist for future CA papers, validated against the reviewed literature to identify systematic methodological gaps; and (3) a benchmark protocol specification with task families, metadata requirements, and controlled bifurcation tasks, accompanied by a method selection decision tree. Our synthesis suggests that the shift from reasoning to agentic RL complicates and reshapes the credit assignment landscape: reasoning CA is maturing around process reward models and critic-free group comparison, while agentic CA is driving genuinely new approaches -- hindsight counterfactual analysis, privileged asymmetric critics, and turn-level MDP reformulations -- that have no direct precedent in reasoning RL.

A large language model (LLM) agent solves long-horizon tasks through many reasoning-action turns, with one verification signal at termination. Deployed agents face streams of related tasks, making their trajectories a natural resource for improvement. In-context adaptation agents store reflections, memories, or skills as text, so reuse depends on retrieving the right experience and on a frozen policy executing it. We study Online Agentic Test-Time Training (OaTTT), which trains the LLM's weights on its own execution trajectories during deployment. The agent executes each task once, in one pass over the stream, and the executed trajectory with its verification result is the only learning signal for weight updates that persist across tasks. Directly imitating or reinforcing the generated tokens of this single attempt destabilizes the policy. We introduce ASCENT (Agentic Self-distillation for Cross-task EvolutioN at Test-time), which instead self-distills verified experience. A stable version of the LLM, its frozen initial copy, receives the verified trajectory as privileged information and predicts next-token distributions along it with this hindsight. Distilling them into persistent LoRA fast weights updates the agent for later tasks, without an external reference solution or stronger teacher. By further removing invalid-action turns, ASCENT distills enhanced privileged experience for more efficient execution. We characterize its population target and the limits of sparse outcome selection. Across ALFWorld, WebShop, and AppWorld at varied model scales, ASCENT improves task success and interaction efficiency as experience accumulates, outperforms online adaptation methods, and transfers to held-out scenes, showing that an agent can consolidate verified experience into its weights without a separate training phase or memory retrieval. Project page: https://artificer-ai-lab.github.io/ASCENT

World action models jointly predict future video and action during training, raising an open question about what role the future-prediction branch actually plays. A recent finding shows that this branch can be removed at inference with little to no loss on common manipulation benchmarks, suggesting that future information may act merely as a regularizer on the shared visual backbone. We propose instead that joint training induces an action-conditioned correction that privileged future observations impose on action denoising, and that current-only policies capture this correction only partially. Making the account precise, we formulate privileged foresight as a residual in the action-denoising direction -- the difference between what a model predicts given the true future and what it predicts given only the current frame -- and introduce Privileged Foresight Distillation (PFD), which transfers this residual from a training-time teacher into a small adapter on a current-only student. The teacher and student share the same backbone and differ only in the attention mask over video tokens; future video is never generated at inference. Controlled experiments verify that this gain reflects a genuine future-conditioned correction rather than a side effect of capacity or regularization. Empirically, PFD achieves consistent improvements on LIBERO and RoboTwin manipulation benchmarks while preserving the current-only inference interface at negligible added latency. This view reframes the role of future information in world action models: not as a target to predict, nor as a regularizer to absorb, but as a compressible correction to be distilled.

Preference based Reinforcement Learning (PbRL) removes the need to hand specify a reward function by learning a reward from preference feedback over policy behaviors. Current approaches to PbRL do not address the credit assignment problem inherent in determining which parts of a behavior most contributed to a preference, which result in data intensive approaches and subpar reward functions. We address such limitations by introducing a credit assignment strategy (Hindsight PRIOR) that uses a world model to approximate state importance within a trajectory and then guides rewards to be proportional to state importance through an auxiliary predicted return redistribution objective. Incorporating state importance into reward learning improves the speed of policy learning, overall policy performance, and reward recovery on both locomotion and manipulation tasks. For example, Hindsight PRIOR recovers on average significantly (p<0.05) more reward on MetaWorld (20%) and DMC (15%). The performance gains and our ablations demonstrate the benefits even a simple credit assignment strategy can have on reward learning and that state importance in forward dynamics prediction is a strong proxy for a state's contribution to a preference decision. Code repository can be found at https://github.com/apple/ml-rlhf-hindsight-prior.

Long-horizon agents rely on memory mechanisms to compress interaction history, but optimizing memory writing faces a distinct credit assignment challenge: a memory update may be rewarded or penalized due to downstream tool failures, noisy observations, or reasoning errors rather than its own contribution. This causally entangled credit can lead agents to discard useful evidence or preserve irrelevant information. We propose HiMPO, a Hindsight-Informed Memory Policy Optimization framework for assigning less-entangled credit to memory-writing actions in long-horizon agents. HiMPO first estimates the local utility of a memory update by comparing the task-relevant information recoverable from the previous and updated memories under the same pre-write state. It then uses hindsight relevance as a bounded retrospective filter that attenuates memory credit when local utility is not supported by the target outcome. The resulting memory-specific advantage is applied only to memory tokens, while trajectory-level rewards optimize the rest of the agent behavior. Across judge-based open-domain tasks and objective compressive-memory QA, HiMPO improves over strong memory-based and RL-based baselines while preserving compressed-context efficiency. Controlled interventions further show that HiMPO reduces blame leakage from tool-induced errors and improves attribution fidelity of memory updates.

Dealing with sparse rewards is one of the biggest challenges in Reinforcement Learning (RL). We present a novel technique called Hindsight Experience Replay which allows sample-efficient learning from rewards which are sparse and binary and therefore avoid the need for complicated reward engineering. It can be combined with an arbitrary off-policy RL algorithm and may be seen as a form of implicit curriculum. We demonstrate our approach on the task of manipulating objects with a robotic arm. In particular, we run experiments on three different tasks: pushing, sliding, and pick-and-place, in each case using only binary rewards indicating whether or not the task is completed. Our ablation studies show that Hindsight Experience Replay is a crucial ingredient which makes training possible in these challenging environments. We show that our policies trained on a physics simulation can be deployed on a physical robot and successfully complete the task.

Privileged on-policy distillation improves multimodal reasoning by allowing a teacher to evaluate student trajectories using rich, training-only visual evidence. Both models score these trajectories while conditioning on the same student-generated prefix. When a student misinterprets an image early in a response, this accumulating erroneous rationale eventually pulls the teacher away from its visual evidence. The teacher and student converge on the same hallucination, causing standard cross-model supervision to collapse precisely where correction is most needed. We find that the teacher's visual corrective preference is not lost under this misleading agreement. Comparing the predictions of the identical teacher given the real image and a visual null reveals that the privileged evidence still pushes the model toward the correct interpretation. We introduce OPD-Aha, which reconstructs the distillation target directly from this isolated visual preference rather than relying on the fragile teacher-student discrepancy. This reconstructed target aggressively suppresses continuations that contradict the image. Trained with this objective, students learn to naturally interrupt their own flawed reasoning with reflection tokens such as wait and actually. After reflection, subsequent generation relies less on the accumulated erroneous text and more on the visual evidence. Correcting these trajectories mid-generation fundamentally alters the reasoning process, yielding broad and consistent improvements across diverse fine-grained perception and complex multimodal reasoning benchmarks. Our code and models are available at https://github.com/Echochef/OPD-Aha.

Reinforcement Learning (RL) has recently achieved remarkable success in robotic control. However, most works in RL operate in simulated environments where privileged knowledge (e.g., dynamics, surroundings, terrains) is readily available. Conversely, in real-world scenarios, robot agents usually rely solely on local states (e.g., proprioceptive feedback of robot joints) to select actions, leading to a significant sim-to-real gap. Existing methods address this gap by either gradually reducing the reliance on privileged knowledge or performing a two-stage policy imitation. However, we argue that these methods are limited in their ability to fully leverage the available privileged knowledge, resulting in suboptimal performance. In this paper, we formulate the sim-to-real gap as an information bottleneck problem and therefore propose a novel privileged knowledge distillation method called the Historical Information Bottleneck (HIB). In particular, HIB learns a privileged knowledge representation from historical trajectories by capturing the underlying changeable dynamic information. Theoretical analysis shows that the learned privileged knowledge representation helps reduce the value discrepancy between the oracle and learned policies. Empirical experiments on both simulated and real-world tasks demonstrate that HIB yields improved generalizability compared to previous methods. Videos of real-world experiments are available at https://sites.google.com/view/history-ib .

Distilling reasoning capabilities from Large Reasoning Models (LRMs) into smaller models is typically constrained by the limitation of rejection sampling. Standard methods treat the teacher as a static filter, discarding complex "corner-case" problems where the teacher fails to explore valid solutions independently, thereby creating an artificial "Teacher Ceiling" for the student. In this work, we propose Hindsight Entropy-Assisted Learning (HEAL), an RL-free framework designed to bridge this reasoning gap. Drawing on the educational theory of the Zone of Proximal Development(ZPD), HEAL synergizes three core modules: (1) Guided Entropy-Assisted Repair (GEAR), an active intervention mechanism that detects critical reasoning breakpoints via entropy dynamics and injects targeted hindsight hints to repair broken trajectories; (2) Perplexity-Uncertainty Ratio Estimator (PURE), a rigorous filtering protocol that decouples genuine cognitive breakthroughs from spurious shortcuts; and (3) Progressive Answer-guided Curriculum Evolution (PACE), a three-stage distillation strategy that organizes training from foundational alignment to frontier breakthrough. Extensive experiments on multiple benchmarks demonstrate that HEAL significantly outperforms traditional SFT distillation and other baselines.

Reality may establish that an outcome occurred without identifying which evolving procedure produced it or why. This distinction matters in production ML systems whose code, configuration, and artifacts change while external feedback accumulates. We examine it in a human-directed, agent-engineered quantitative trading system, using oracle to mean an external source of realized outcomes rather than a complete correctness specification. Across one year, the account gained and outperformed a broad market index, while annual alpha was not statistically distinguishable from zero under the main retrospective specification. Retrospectively selected subperiods include adverse relative performance and conditional candidate-level weakness under declared approximate references. Engineering records document changes during the episode, and complete recommendation-to-runtime binding is unavailable. The archive does not establish a common frozen instance or a unique cause. The case motivates an outcome--diagnosis gap: outcome evidence, evaluated-object identity, and causal explanation support distinct claims. We distinguish frozen instances, pre-specified adaptive procedures, and ad-hoc development; organize archive-relative claim identifiability and an evidence hierarchy; and propose a prospective production-binding protocol. An illustrative compatible-history example shows how factual binding can resolve a recommendation's referent without supplying its counterfactual effect. The protocol is proposed rather than prospectively validated. External feedback constrains outcome claims, while provenance and additional identification structure determine the resolution of diagnosis.

On-policy distillation (OPD) improves reasoning models by learning the token-level discrepancy between a stronger teacher and an on-policy student. However, this discrepancy does not purely reflect the capability gap between the teacher and the student: it also contains deviations arising from the teacher itself, which are consequently mixed into the observed teacher--student discrepancy and indiscriminately learned by standard OPD during training. This issue is further exacerbated by privileged OPD, where privileged information induces larger teacher-side likelihood shifts, thereby encouraging the student to learn more of the teacher's own deviation. We introduce Calibrated On-Policy Distillation (Cal-OPD), which estimates the teacher's self-deviation region through positive and negative privileged interventions and calibrates the original teacher--student discrepancy by retaining only the component that lies beyond this region. Experiments on mathematical reasoning benchmarks show that, while retaining only about 52--65\% of the original teacher--student discrepancy as the optimization signal, Cal-OPD consistently outperforms standard OPD and its variants across model scales.

Reinforcement learning (RL) is increasingly used to post-train vision-language-action (VLA) models, but every update consumes robot rollouts that are slow and costly to collect, making sample efficiency a central concern. Manipulation tasks typically provide only sparse rewards, so a weak policy fails almost every rollout early in training and has little to learn from, even when those failures execute coherent behavior. Such a failure, however, is a success at a different task. We present Learning from Hindsight (LfH), which brings hindsight relabeling to RL post-training of VLAs by scoring failed rollouts against the tasks they actually achieved. A single vision-language model relabels both the instruction and the reward, proposing a hindsight instruction for a group of failed rollouts and scoring how well each satisfies it, and the policy trains on the relabeled and original rollouts jointly. Because VLAs generalize across language, relabeling in language lets the policy learn more from the same trajectories. On out-of-distribution LIBERO-PRO tasks, where standard RL improves only slowly, LfH achieves 5times improvement in sample efficiency, and outperforms a dense progress-reward baseline. The gains hold across VLA backbones and on a physical Franka robot.

Consider the problem of exploration in sparse-reward or reward-free environments, such as in Montezuma's Revenge. In the curiosity-driven paradigm, the agent is rewarded for how much each realized outcome differs from their predicted outcome. But using predictive error as intrinsic motivation is fragile in stochastic environments, as the agent may become trapped by high-entropy areas of the state-action space, such as a "noisy TV". In this work, we study a natural solution derived from structural causal models of the world: Our key idea is to learn representations of the future that capture precisely the unpredictable aspects of each outcome -- which we use as additional input for predictions, such that intrinsic rewards only reflect the predictable aspects of world dynamics. First, we propose incorporating such hindsight representations into models to disentangle "noise" from "novelty", yielding Curiosity in Hindsight: a simple and scalable generalization of curiosity that is robust to stochasticity. Second, we instantiate this framework for the recently introduced BYOL-Explore algorithm as our prime example, resulting in the noise-robust BYOL-Hindsight. Third, we illustrate its behavior under a variety of different stochasticities in a grid world, and find improvements over BYOL-Explore in hard-exploration Atari games with sticky actions. Notably, we show state-of-the-art results in exploring Montezuma's Revenge with sticky actions, while preserving performance in the non-sticky setting.

On-Policy Self-Distillation (OPSD) has recently emerged as an alternative to Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards (RLVR), promising higher accuracy and shorter responses through token-level credit assignment from a self-teacher conditioned on privileged context. However, this promise does not carry over to thinking-enabled mathematical reasoning, where reported accuracy gains shrink and sometimes turn negative. We hypothesize that hindsight supervision can specify better token-level alternatives in short thinking-disabled outputs, but in long thinking-enabled traces it more readily identifies redundancy than supplies better replacements. To test this, we applied OPSD separately to correct and incorrect rollout groups, so that compression and correction can be observed in isolation. Our results show that in thinking-enabled mathematical reasoning, OPSD behaves most reliably as a compression mechanism rather than a correction mechanism: training only on correct rollouts preserves accuracy while substantially shortening responses, whereas training only on incorrect rollouts damages accuracy. In light of these findings, we propose a revised post-training pipeline for thinking-enabled mathematical reasoning: SFT then RLVR then OPSD.