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Binomial Technologies

Open-source ML specialists for finance.

We build small (≀500M parameter) task-specific models for finance under Apache 2.0 β€” engineered for sub-second CPU inference, public eval tables, and drop-in compatibility with the pipelines quant teams actually run.

Thesis

For narrow finance tasks, small specialists beat:

  • Frontier LLMs on cost and latency by two orders of magnitude
  • Dictionary methods (Loughran-McDonald, FinBERT) on context-awareness and number of dimensions captured per article
  • Closed bespoke fine-tunes on auditability β€” every model card here ships with eval tables, methodology, and explicit limitations

Nobody has open-sourced this stack at this fidelity. That's the gap we fill.

The model zoo

Six task-specialists named after thinkers in quantitative finance. One per quarter through 2027.

Model Task Status
binomial-marks-1 Earnings-call NLP scoring β€” 23 outputs (10 topics Γ— {mention, direction}, 3 tone) Shipped (v1.1, April 2026)
binomial-shannon-1 Financial news characterizer In progress
binomial-godel-1 Realized volatility forecasting In design
binomial-mandelbrot-1 Market regime classification In design
binomial-simons-1 Order-flow / microstructure In design
binomial-bachelier-1 Vol surface dynamics v2 cycle

All models Apache 2.0. All run under 100 ms on CPU (most under 30 ms).

What we publish

  • Weights on this org's HF Hub
  • Runtime helpers as PyPI packages β€” pip install binomial-marks
  • Source, training scripts, eval harnesses β€” github.com/Binomial-Capital-Management/binomial-ai-research
  • Model cards β€” full eval tables, panel comparisons, tier (1 / 2 / 3) declared upfront

Tier system

Each model card declares one of three tiers honestly:

Tier Definition
1 Production-validated against measurable outcomes (returns, realized vol). Tradeable as a feature.
2 Research preview. Eval against an LLM panel + held-out test sets. Use as input to your own models.
3 Experimental.

We do not host inference. Weights are yours to deploy.

Contact

ilay@binomialtec.com