Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
phase 70: fleet-composition probe - CV packing win is a low-pressure artifact; selection locks to 4c93883
Thibaut Forest+1: Claude Fable 5
8e0e67b
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
phase 68: T5 global-optimum probe (6 lanes) - all rejected with mechanisms; 60d65da stands as final
Thibaut Forest+1: Claude Fable 5
3704c62
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
docs: phase 67 - T4 count-flat campaign (6 lanes, ~50 arms) all rejected with mechanisms; 60d65da = count-flat ceiling
Thibaut Forest+1: Claude Fable 5
e4aaa05
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
HEAD: T3 warmup gate - gated hazard order + alpha 1.4 boost - CV 1418.3
Thibaut Forest+1: Claude Fable 5
e4745d2
While the training fleet's death ledger at the plan origin is below
WARMUP_RATE (0.0759/device = 35/461), Ft2RUL switches ORDER to a
censored-pool discrete-time hazard HGB and boosts appetite x1.4 via a
consume-once plan_tsroute.alpha_boost; past the gate the model is
byte-identical to the previous head (WARMUP_RATE=0 disables exactly,
verified 0.0 max cell diff vs 1541.3).
bgkf: 1418.3, -123.0 +/- 43.1 (2.9sigma), 14W/5L, Wilcoxon .0017.
COUNT-COUPLED (swaps 2.54 vs 2.27) - shipped on the user's CV-first
call for a public trigger. Scale harness: gate narrows as fleets grow
(8/4/0 active scenarios at 1x/2x/4x) - bounded downside. Rehearsal:
gate fired on exactly s_0-14, s_15+ byte-identical, 0 warnings.
Includes T3 lane reports (gm label-statistic axis closed: the exact
label is a lagging smoother; cold-start gating; scale validation) and
phases 65-66.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
lam2sp3 from the T2 planner lane: scale timing curves x2 inside
optimize_days' objective (new BATTERYSWAP_TIMING_WEIGHT dial, default
2.0) and SPLIT_DAYS default 7->3. Refuses cheap trip-merges that drag
swaps off timing-optimal days: late -3.5, early -1.2, mobility +0.8.
bgkf paired vs 1545.4 champion: -4.11 +/- 1.41 (2.9sigma), 25W/4L,
Wilcoxon 8.8e-6, count-flat (battery sets cell-identical); dose-response
plateau on both dials; survives 35-arm multiplicity. New-mechanism tier
(2sigma + controls) PASSED. Deployment parity: cand ft2a10 cell-exact
(diff 0.0) vs the lane measurement; timing_weight=1.0 legacy path
bit-exact vs pre-T2 reference (ft2a10_sp7 control). End-to-end pseudo-
split rehearsal clean (static held-out branch, 0 warnings, 38s).
Also: phases 63-64 records (public conversion 1575.31 at 4c93883;
five-lane T2 campaign - timing/order/hazard axes closed with structure,
counts lane report-only incl. warmup-gated alpha 1488.0 for a possible
public trigger) + the five t2_*.…
Adoption bar TIERED (user-approved): 1.5sigma for count-flat tweaks in validated mechanisms; 2sigma+controls for new mechanisms; report-only for count/label-process at any sigma
Thibaut Forest+1: Claude Fable 5
4086a56
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Wave A10: head is at its local optimum on every dial; wiener .25 sub-bar trend shelved
Thibaut Forest+1: Claude Fable 5
ff0189b
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Phase 62 postscript: scaling verdict is geography-insensitive (cluster-local and map-faithful travel variants <2% shift, arm ranking unchanged)
Thibaut Forest+1: Claude Fable 5
97af9ac
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Phase 62: synthetic scaling study (1x/2x/4x, official-mechanism EOLs); count rule scales cleanly; fixed-ref vmin7 dial (default off); alpha-1.0 edge holds at every scale
Thibaut Forest+1: Claude Fable 5
34c30a6
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Phase 61 findings: team stack on bgkf (no adoption, all count-channel); operating-point analysis (podium swaps 15-17.6 vs our 12.1); alpha-1.0 A/B commit prepared
Thibaut Forest+1: Claude Fable 5
7330221
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Ft2RUL = logbag on FEATURES+vmin7_rank, 0.20 value-preserving WienerFHT
order blend (order remapped onto primary's own sorted p42 values; count/
pricing/timing untouched). bgkf v5: 1688.4 vs 1760.2 (-71.8 +/- 23.5,
3.05 sigma, Wilcoxon .037, swaps flat, count-clean; reproduced exactly by
3 lanes). Worst-case within-test-fleet vmin7 recompute still -60.8 (2.3
sigma). Deployment parity vs the CV frontier: bit-exact (max cell diff 0).
wnr_m/s2/n merged into the shipped train table; split-path wiener params
computed past-only from the scored split's own telemetry (0.1s/scenario).
Soft degradation: missing wnr -> pure vm7 order; fit error -> legacy
champion. BATTERYSWAP_FT2=0 reverts to the measured-1661.45 config.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Board: md lane closed, no survivor - logbag(C=1,b=15) locally optimal; monotone HGB genuine but subsumed by frontier (+1.0 as 3rd source), shelf fallback only
Thibaut Forest+1: Claude Fable 5
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Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
