Humanoid Temporal Stability Forecaster (HTSF)

Problem Statement

During continuous human-robot interaction, stability does not degrade instantly โ€” it drifts over time due to accumulated micro-errors and environmental fluctuations.

Most existing models treat stability as a static prediction task. HTSF models stability as a temporal forecasting problem.

Objective

Forecast short-horizon stability index for the next interaction step.

Input

Time-windowed tabular sequence:

  • environmental_shift_index (t-n โ†’ t)
  • command_ambiguity_score (t-n โ†’ t)
  • actuator_micro_error (t-n โ†’ t)
  • stability_index (t-n โ†’ t)

Output

  • predicted_stability_index_t+1
  • forecast_confidence_interval

Model Architecture

  • Temporal feature encoder
  • Gated recurrent layer (lightweight GRU)
  • Stability drift regularizer
  • Forecast regression head

Training Configuration

  • Loss: MSE + Temporal Smoothness Penalty
  • Optimizer: Adam
  • Sliding window training
  • Early stopping enabled

Evaluation Metrics

  • MAE
  • RMSE
  • Forecast Drift Error
  • Stability Trend Correlation

Intended Use

  • Proactive stability correction
  • Early intervention trigger
  • Adaptive control adjustment

Limitations

  • Requires sequential interaction logs
  • Not designed for single-step prediction

License

MIT

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