id
stringlengths
20
20
template
stringclasses
6 values
complexity
int64
1
3
split
stringclasses
1 value
market_regime
stringclasses
1 value
asset_class
stringclasses
1 value
assets
listlengths
1
4
decision_date
timestamp[s]date
2015-02-05 00:00:00
2022-12-28 00:00:00
context_summary
stringlengths
52
153
question
stringlengths
245
9.63k
answer
stringlengths
2
63
answer_numeric
float64
-3.07
9.2
explanation
stringlengths
100
240
metadata
unknown
T3_all_20220707_0169
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "DOT-USD" ]
2022-07-07T00:00:00
DOT-USD: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.1923, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: DOT-USD Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=-0.0086, std=0.0701, worst_day=-0.1989 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2022-07-06] Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to DOT-USD, given the drawdown constrai...
0.5201
0.5201
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.1923 (i.e., a 19.23% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.1923 = 0.5201, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 0.5201 (52.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.192273, "expected_loss": 0.192273, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 0.5201, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 20 }
T3_all_20180829_0172
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "XLB" ]
2018-08-29T00:00:00
XLB: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0176, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: XLB Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0002, std=0.0087, worst_day=-0.0185 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2018-08-28] ["Here\u2019s What Blockchain Technology Means for IBM Stock InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips IBM (...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0176 (i.e., a 1.76% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0176 = 5.6897, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.017575999999999998, "expected_loss": 0.017575999999999998, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20210914_0177
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "DOT-USD" ]
2021-09-14T00:00:00
DOT-USD: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.1369, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: DOT-USD Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0185, std=0.0647, worst_day=-0.1890 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to DOT-USD, given the drawdown constraint. Report as a decimal between 0.00 and 1...
0.7303
0.7303
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.1369 (i.e., a 13.69% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.1369 = 0.7303, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 0.7303 (73.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.136936, "expected_loss": 0.136936, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 0.7303000000000001, "has_text": false, "text_chars": 0 }
T3_all_20170615_0182
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "BNDX" ]
2017-06-15T00:00:00
BNDX: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0022, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: BNDX Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0003, std=0.0013, worst_day=-0.0024 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to BNDX, given the drawdown constraint. Report as a decimal between 0.00 and 1.00 (e...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0022 (i.e., a 0.22% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0022 = 46.0446, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.002172, "expected_loss": 0.002172, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": false, "text_chars": 0 }
T3_all_20220110_0185
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "FXI" ]
2022-01-10T00:00:00
FXI: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0288, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: FXI Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=-0.0015, std=0.0154, worst_day=-0.0294 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2022-01-07] ["Tuya Officially Announces Support for Matter Smart Home Standard Tuya Smart (NYSE: TUYA), a leading IoT development platform s...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0288 (i.e., a 2.88% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0288 = 3.4677, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.028838, "expected_loss": 0.028838, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20220117_0188
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "IWM" ]
2022-01-17T00:00:00
IWM: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0355, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: IWM Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=-0.0009, std=0.0141, worst_day=-0.0371 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2022-01-14] ["3 Downtrodden Stocks to Sell Before It Gets Worse InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips Downtrends ar...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0355 (i.e., a 3.55% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0355 = 2.8148, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.035526999999999996, "expected_loss": 0.035526999999999996, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20210316_0193
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "XLI" ]
2021-03-16T00:00:00
XLI: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0229, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: XLI Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0016, std=0.0110, worst_day=-0.0245 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2021-03-15] Cloud Computing's Trillion-Dollar Potential Cloud computing companies not only weathered the storm of the pandemic, they thrived....
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0229 (i.e., a 2.29% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0229 = 4.3660, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.022903999999999997, "expected_loss": 0.022903999999999997, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20191203_0196
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "^VIX" ]
2019-12-03T00:00:00
^VIX: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.1172, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: ^VIX Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=-0.0001, std=0.0629, worst_day=-0.1202 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2019-12-02] ["What\u2019s worth streaming in December? \u2018The Mandalorian,\u2019 \u2018Mrs. Maisel,\u2019 \u2018The Witcher\u2019 and mo...
0.8530
0.853
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.1172 (i.e., a 11.72% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.1172 = 0.8530, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 0.8530 (85.3% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.11723499999999999, "expected_loss": 0.11723499999999999, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 0.853, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20201006_0201
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "DOT-USD" ]
2020-10-06T00:00:00
DOT-USD: 46-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.1651, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: DOT-USD Daily returns (past 46 days): mean=0.0072, std=0.0872, worst_day=-0.1989 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to DOT-USD, given the drawdown constraint. Report as a decimal between 0.00 and 1...
0.6058
0.6058
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.1651 (i.e., a 16.51% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.1651 = 0.6058, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 0.6058 (60.6% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.165067, "expected_loss": 0.165067, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 0.6058, "has_text": false, "text_chars": 0 }
T3_all_20191114_0204
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "MATIC-USD" ]
2019-11-14T00:00:00
MATIC-USD: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0917, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: MATIC-USD Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0034, std=0.0489, worst_day=-0.0959 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to MATIC-USD, given the drawdown constraint. Report as a decimal between 0.00 a...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0917 (i.e., a 9.17% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0917 = 1.0908, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.09167499999999999, "expected_loss": 0.09167499999999999, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": false, "text_chars": 0 }
T3_all_20160719_0209
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "FXI" ]
2016-07-19T00:00:00
FXI: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0341, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: FXI Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0010, std=0.0144, worst_day=-0.0438 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2016-07-18] ["Corporate profits brace for fourth straight losing quarter Investors will look for signs that economy not in negative territory...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0341 (i.e., a 3.41% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0341 = 2.9345, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.034078, "expected_loss": 0.034078, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20170104_0212
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "XLV" ]
2017-01-04T00:00:00
XLV: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0233, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: XLV Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=-0.0006, std=0.0089, worst_day=-0.0254 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2017-01-03] ["Seven highly valued tech startups that could IPO in 2017 Unicorns like Snap and Spotify are expected to reach Wall Street in 2...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0233 (i.e., a 2.33% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0233 = 4.2874, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.023323999999999998, "expected_loss": 0.023323999999999998, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20171215_0217
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "IVV" ]
2017-12-15T00:00:00
IVV: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0050, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: IVV Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0010, std=0.0034, worst_day=-0.0054 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2017-12-14] ["Net neutrality repeal gets the internet all wrong, founders claim Signatories calling for FCC to wait on open-internet repeal i...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0050 (i.e., a 0.50% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0050 = 20.0467, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.004987999999999999, "expected_loss": 0.004987999999999999, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20200819_0224
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "SCHP" ]
2020-08-19T00:00:00
SCHP: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0039, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: SCHP Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0007, std=0.0021, worst_day=-0.0046 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to SCHP, given the drawdown constraint. Report as a decimal between 0.00 and 1.00 (e...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0039 (i.e., a 0.39% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0039 = 25.9272, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.0038569999999999998, "expected_loss": 0.0038569999999999998, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": false, "text_chars": 0 }
T3_all_20211015_0227
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "MATIC-USD" ]
2021-10-15T00:00:00
MATIC-USD: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.1567, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: MATIC-USD Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=-0.0004, std=0.0653, worst_day=-0.1762 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2021-10-12] Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to MATIC-USD, given the drawdown cons...
0.6382
0.6382
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.1567 (i.e., a 15.67% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.1567 = 0.6382, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 0.6382 (63.8% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.156693, "expected_loss": 0.156693, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 0.6382, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 20 }
T3_all_20211018_0230
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "DOT-USD" ]
2021-10-18T00:00:00
DOT-USD: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.1779, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: DOT-USD Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0122, std=0.0757, worst_day=-0.1890 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2021-10-15] Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to DOT-USD, given the drawdown constrain...
0.5623
0.5623
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.1779 (i.e., a 17.79% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.1779 = 0.5623, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 0.5623 (56.2% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.17785499999999999, "expected_loss": 0.17785499999999999, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 0.5623, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 20 }
T3_all_20160129_0233
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "WEAT" ]
2016-01-29T00:00:00
WEAT: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0265, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: WEAT Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=-0.0013, std=0.0118, worst_day=-0.0346 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to WEAT, given the drawdown constraint. Report as a decimal between 0.00 and 1.00 (...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0265 (i.e., a 2.65% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0265 = 3.7795, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.026459, "expected_loss": 0.026459, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": false, "text_chars": 0 }
T3_all_20190104_0238
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "VLUE" ]
2019-01-04T00:00:00
VLUE: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0356, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: VLUE Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=-0.0033, std=0.0146, worst_day=-0.0356 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2019-01-03] ["Apple cuts holiday sales forecast on iPhone and China weakness, stock falls 8% CEO Tim Cook cites weaker-than-expected iPhone...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0356 (i.e., a 3.56% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0356 = 2.8129, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.035551, "expected_loss": 0.035551, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20221028_0242
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "XLK" ]
2022-10-28T00:00:00
XLK: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0427, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: XLK Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=-0.0025, std=0.0180, worst_day=-0.0427 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2022-10-27] ["Apple (AAPL) Q4 2022 Earnings Call Transcript Image source: The Motley Fool. Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) Q4 2022 Earnings Call Oct 27...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0427 (i.e., a 4.27% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0427 = 2.3410, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.042717, "expected_loss": 0.042717, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20191224_0247
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "LINK-USD" ]
2019-12-24T00:00:00
LINK-USD: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0928, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: LINK-USD Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=-0.0057, std=0.0370, worst_day=-0.1137 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to LINK-USD, given the drawdown constraint. Report as a decimal between 0.00 an...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0928 (i.e., a 9.28% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0928 = 1.0776, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.09279899999999999, "expected_loss": 0.09279899999999999, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": false, "text_chars": 0 }
T3_all_20200729_0250
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "XRP-USD" ]
2020-07-29T00:00:00
XRP-USD: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0468, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: XRP-USD Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0028, std=0.0251, worst_day=-0.0629 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to XRP-USD, given the drawdown constraint. Report as a decimal between 0.00 and 1...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0468 (i.e., a 4.68% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0468 = 2.1377, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.04678, "expected_loss": 0.04678, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": false, "text_chars": 0 }
T3_all_20210705_0253
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "BTC-USD" ]
2021-07-05T00:00:00
BTC-USD: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.1328, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: BTC-USD Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=-0.0066, std=0.0536, worst_day=-0.1328 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to BTC-USD, given the drawdown constraint. Report as a decimal between 0.00 and ...
0.7528
0.7528
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.1328 (i.e., a 13.28% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.1328 = 0.7528, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 0.7528 (75.3% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.13283699999999998, "expected_loss": 0.13283699999999998, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 0.7528, "has_text": false, "text_chars": 0 }
T3_all_20151008_0256
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "XLY" ]
2015-10-08T00:00:00
XLY: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0351, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: XLY Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=-0.0004, std=0.0136, worst_day=-0.0388 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2015-10-07] ["Fast Money Picks For October 7", "Susquehanna Maintains Positive on Adobe Systems, Raises PT to $97.00", "Benzinga's Top #PreM...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0351 (i.e., a 3.51% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0351 = 2.8476, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.035116999999999995, "expected_loss": 0.035116999999999995, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20171201_0259
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "VEA" ]
2017-12-01T00:00:00
VEA: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0065, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: VEA Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0008, std=0.0039, worst_day=-0.0068 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2017-11-30] ["High-flying tech stocks fall back toward earth, chip makers suffer worst day of year Tech stocks lead S&P 500 to a loss despite...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0065 (i.e., a 0.65% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0065 = 15.4266, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.006482, "expected_loss": 0.006482, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20170406_0261
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "XLB" ]
2017-04-06T00:00:00
XLB: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0133, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: XLB Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0006, std=0.0071, worst_day=-0.0169 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2017-04-05] ["ADP Posts Another Blowout Jobs Number to 263K Wednesday, April 5, 2017 For the second straight month, Automated Data Processing...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0133 (i.e., a 1.33% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0133 = 7.5411, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.013261, "expected_loss": 0.013261, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20190314_0268
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "XLV" ]
2019-03-14T00:00:00
XLV: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0264, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: XLV Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=-0.0002, std=0.0115, worst_day=-0.0294 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2019-03-13] ["How your internet surfing could make you money in the coming blockchain revolution Decentralized internet will give people onl...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0264 (i.e., a 2.64% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0264 = 3.7926, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.026366999999999998, "expected_loss": 0.026366999999999998, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20220315_0271
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "XLU" ]
2022-03-15T00:00:00
XLU: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0206, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: XLU Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=-0.0000, std=0.0101, worst_day=-0.0256 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2022-03-14] ["Foxconn closes Shenzhen factories after fresh COVID outbreak Foxconn and Unimicron have announced temporary shutdowns to deal ...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0206 (i.e., a 2.06% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0206 = 4.8571, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.020589, "expected_loss": 0.020589, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20190117_0274
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "ETH-USD" ]
2019-01-17T00:00:00
ETH-USD: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.1514, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: ETH-USD Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=-0.0037, std=0.0686, worst_day=-0.1575 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to ETH-USD, given the drawdown constraint. Report as a decimal between 0.00 and ...
0.6607
0.6607
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.1514 (i.e., a 15.14% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.1514 = 0.6607, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 0.6607 (66.1% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.151353, "expected_loss": 0.151353, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 0.6607000000000001, "has_text": false, "text_chars": 0 }
T3_all_20160505_0277
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "EFA" ]
2016-05-05T00:00:00
EFA: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0179, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: EFA Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0014, std=0.0110, worst_day=-0.0199 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2016-05-04] ["Fitbit wins ruling in Jawbone patent dispute Patents invalidated, but trade-secret claims may continue A fight between two of t...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0179 (i.e., a 1.79% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0179 = 5.5775, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.017929, "expected_loss": 0.017929, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20221214_0284
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "XRP-USD" ]
2022-12-14T00:00:00
XRP-USD: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.1492, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: XRP-USD Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=-0.0024, std=0.0488, worst_day=-0.1798 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2022-12-13] Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to XRP-USD, given the drawdown constrai...
0.6701
0.6701
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.1492 (i.e., a 14.92% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.1492 = 0.6701, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 0.6701 (67.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.14923799999999998, "expected_loss": 0.14923799999999998, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 0.6701, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 20 }
T3_all_20170824_0287
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "XLI" ]
2017-08-24T00:00:00
XLI: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0147, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: XLI Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0001, std=0.0057, worst_day=-0.0175 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2017-08-23] ["Apple\u2019s $1 billion TV move pits company against Spotify, not Netflix Apple\u2019s investment in producing and acquiring TV...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0147 (i.e., a 1.47% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0147 = 6.8054, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.014693999999999999, "expected_loss": 0.014693999999999999, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20170301_0294
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "HYG" ]
2017-03-01T00:00:00
HYG: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0050, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: HYG Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0007, std=0.0020, worst_day=-0.0075 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to HYG, given the drawdown constraint. Report as a decimal between 0.00 and 1.00 (e.g...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0050 (i.e., a 0.50% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0050 = 20.1203, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.0049700000000000005, "expected_loss": 0.0049700000000000005, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": false, "text_chars": 0 }
T3_all_20200217_0297
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "QQQ" ]
2020-02-17T00:00:00
QQQ: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0180, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: QQQ Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0024, std=0.0077, worst_day=-0.0209 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2020-02-14] ["Applied Materials (AMAT): Strong Industry, Solid Earnings Estimate Revisions", "Tiger Management Buys Amazon.com Inc, NXP Semic...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0180 (i.e., a 1.80% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0180 = 5.5590, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.017988999999999998, "expected_loss": 0.017988999999999998, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20210512_0300
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "XLU" ]
2021-05-12T00:00:00
XLU: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0191, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: XLU Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0010, std=0.0097, worst_day=-0.0197 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2021-05-11] ["2 Stocks to Invest in Virtual and Augmented Reality Augmented reality (AR) and virtual reality (VR) promise to change the world...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0191 (i.e., a 1.91% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0191 = 5.2334, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.019108, "expected_loss": 0.019108, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20201013_0303
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "LINK-USD" ]
2020-10-13T00:00:00
LINK-USD: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.1681, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: LINK-USD Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=-0.0059, std=0.0746, worst_day=-0.1934 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to LINK-USD, given the drawdown constraint. Report as a decimal between 0.00 an...
0.5948
0.5948
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.1681 (i.e., a 16.81% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.1681 = 0.5948, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 0.5948 (59.5% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.168134, "expected_loss": 0.168134, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 0.5948, "has_text": false, "text_chars": 0 }
T3_all_20210309_0306
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "LINK-USD" ]
2021-03-09T00:00:00
LINK-USD: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.1669, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: LINK-USD Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0145, std=0.0800, worst_day=-0.1817 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to LINK-USD, given the drawdown constraint. Report as a decimal between 0.00 and...
0.5990
0.599
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.1669 (i.e., a 16.69% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.1669 = 0.5990, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 0.5990 (59.9% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.16694299999999998, "expected_loss": 0.16694299999999998, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 0.599, "has_text": false, "text_chars": 0 }
T3_all_20190211_0309
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "VLUE" ]
2019-02-11T00:00:00
VLUE: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0302, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: VLUE Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=-0.0012, std=0.0132, worst_day=-0.0356 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2019-02-08] ["If you own Apple, Amazon, Facebook or AMD, look out below Those shares have been bid up by the average investor, but buying c...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0302 (i.e., a 3.02% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0302 = 3.3154, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.030161999999999998, "expected_loss": 0.030161999999999998, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20190201_0312
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "EEM" ]
2019-02-01T00:00:00
EEM: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0236, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: EEM Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0013, std=0.0134, worst_day=-0.0263 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2019-01-31] ["Apple may soup up cameras, boost AR capabilities in new iPhones: report With iPhone growth slowing, Apple Inc. hopes to reboot ...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0236 (i.e., a 2.36% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0236 = 4.2306, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.023637, "expected_loss": 0.023637, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20210907_0317
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "QQQ" ]
2021-09-07T00:00:00
QQQ: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0102, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: QQQ Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0019, std=0.0064, worst_day=-0.0111 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2021-09-03] ["Zip acquisition of Payflex means Africa is ripe for BNPL disruption Australian buy now, pay later (BNPL) company Zip this week ...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0102 (i.e., a 1.02% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0102 = 9.7575, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.010249, "expected_loss": 0.010249, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20180503_0322
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "ACWI" ]
2018-05-03T00:00:00
ACWI: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0268, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: ACWI Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0001, std=0.0109, worst_day=-0.0309 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2018-05-02] ["AMD the underdog bites back, as Intel and Qualcomm struggle in their own ways The chip companies\u2019 quarterly reports show ...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0268 (i.e., a 2.68% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0268 = 3.7271, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.026830999999999997, "expected_loss": 0.026830999999999997, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20220114_0325
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "ETH-USD" ]
2022-01-14T00:00:00
ETH-USD: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0789, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: ETH-USD Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=-0.0051, std=0.0390, worst_day=-0.0847 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2022-01-13] Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to ETH-USD, given the drawdown constrai...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0789 (i.e., a 7.89% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0789 = 1.2675, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.07889399999999999, "expected_loss": 0.07889399999999999, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 20 }
T3_all_20200228_0328
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "XLP" ]
2020-02-28T00:00:00
XLP: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0240, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: XLP Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=-0.0004, std=0.0067, worst_day=-0.0250 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2020-02-27] ["Apple's stock drops 2.8% premarket, after rising 1.6% Wednesday to snap 4-day losing streak", "With Microsoft\u2019s coronavir...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0240 (i.e., a 2.40% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0240 = 4.1637, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.024017, "expected_loss": 0.024017, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20221010_0331
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "XLF" ]
2022-10-10T00:00:00
XLF: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0332, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: XLF Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0002, std=0.0154, worst_day=-0.0372 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2022-10-07] ["US STOCKS-Wall Street slips as jobs growth boosts rate hike bets For a Reuters live blog on U.S., UK and European stock markets...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0332 (i.e., a 3.32% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0332 = 3.0139, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.033179, "expected_loss": 0.033179, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20220418_0334
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "XLV" ]
2022-04-18T00:00:00
XLV: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0203, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: XLV Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0008, std=0.0109, worst_day=-0.0206 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2022-04-14] ["Mercury Systems (MRCY) Clinches $14M SiP Assemblies Contract Mercury Systems MRCY has been awarded a $14-million contract by a ...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0203 (i.e., a 2.03% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0203 = 4.9232, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.020312, "expected_loss": 0.020312, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20201005_0337
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "SOL-USD" ]
2020-10-05T00:00:00
SOL-USD: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.1932, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: SOL-USD Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0093, std=0.1022, worst_day=-0.2453 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to SOL-USD, given the drawdown constraint. Report as a decimal between 0.00 and 1...
0.5177
0.5177
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.1932 (i.e., a 19.32% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.1932 = 0.5177, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 0.5177 (51.8% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.193159, "expected_loss": 0.193159, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 0.5177, "has_text": false, "text_chars": 0 }
T3_all_20170103_0342
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "XLI" ]
2017-01-03T00:00:00
XLI: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0115, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: XLI Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0012, std=0.0073, worst_day=-0.0129 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2016-12-30] ["Which Wall Street Firm Made The Best Stock Picks Of 2016?", "Which Wall Street Firm Made The Best Stock Picks Of 2016?", "7 Sto...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0115 (i.e., a 1.15% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0115 = 8.6885, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.011509, "expected_loss": 0.011509, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20151026_0344
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "BTC-USD" ]
2015-10-26T00:00:00
BTC-USD: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0268, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: BTC-USD Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0039, std=0.0141, worst_day=-0.0332 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to BTC-USD, given the drawdown constraint. Report as a decimal between 0.00 and 1...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0268 (i.e., a 2.68% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0268 = 3.7310, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.026803, "expected_loss": 0.026803, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": false, "text_chars": 0 }
T3_all_20221202_0347
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "WEAT" ]
2022-12-02T00:00:00
WEAT: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0379, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: WEAT Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=-0.0014, std=0.0191, worst_day=-0.0405 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to WEAT, given the drawdown constraint. Report as a decimal between 0.00 and 1.00 (...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0379 (i.e., a 3.79% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0379 = 2.6397, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.037883, "expected_loss": 0.037883, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": false, "text_chars": 0 }
T3_all_20181212_0350
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "DBB" ]
2018-12-12T00:00:00
DBB: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0202, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: DBB Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0008, std=0.0107, worst_day=-0.0243 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to DBB, given the drawdown constraint. Report as a decimal between 0.00 and 1.00 (e.g...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0202 (i.e., a 2.02% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0202 = 4.9532, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.020189, "expected_loss": 0.020189, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": false, "text_chars": 0 }
T3_all_20201203_0353
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "SOL-USD" ]
2020-12-03T00:00:00
SOL-USD: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.1697, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: SOL-USD Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=-0.0014, std=0.0743, worst_day=-0.1811 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to SOL-USD, given the drawdown constraint. Report as a decimal between 0.00 and ...
0.5894
0.5894
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.1697 (i.e., a 16.97% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.1697 = 0.5894, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 0.5894 (58.9% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.169651, "expected_loss": 0.169651, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 0.5894, "has_text": false, "text_chars": 0 }
T3_all_20210420_0356
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "^VIX" ]
2021-04-20T00:00:00
^VIX: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.1809, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: ^VIX Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=-0.0078, std=0.0828, worst_day=-0.1825 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2021-04-19] ["The Station: A chat with Scale AI's Alexandr Wang, the NYC scooter winners and TuSimple goes public The Station is a weekly n...
0.5528
0.5528
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.1809 (i.e., a 18.09% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.1809 = 0.5528, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 0.5528 (55.3% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.18090699999999998, "expected_loss": 0.18090699999999998, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 0.5528000000000001, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20150409_0359
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "EWJ" ]
2015-04-09T00:00:00
EWJ: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0183, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: EWJ Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0025, std=0.0084, worst_day=-0.0198 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2015-04-08] ["Jabil a Buy Even if Business With Apple Ebbs Raymond James is upgrading the electronics supplier to Outperform with a price tar...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0183 (i.e., a 1.83% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0183 = 5.4701, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.018281, "expected_loss": 0.018281, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20160308_0364
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "SCHH" ]
2016-03-08T00:00:00
SCHH: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0289, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: SCHH Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0005, std=0.0129, worst_day=-0.0299 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to SCHH, given the drawdown constraint. Report as a decimal between 0.00 and 1.00 (e...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0289 (i.e., a 2.89% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0289 = 3.4627, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.028879, "expected_loss": 0.028879, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": false, "text_chars": 0 }
T3_all_20221124_0367
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "FXI" ]
2022-11-24T00:00:00
FXI: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0434, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: FXI Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=-0.0019, std=0.0243, worst_day=-0.0438 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2022-11-23] ["Paramount (PARA) to Stream Top Gun: Maverick on Paramount+ Paramount Global PARA recently announced that it will be streaming ...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0434 (i.e., a 4.34% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0434 = 2.3066, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.043354, "expected_loss": 0.043354, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20180320_0369
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "ADA-USD" ]
2018-03-20T00:00:00
ADA-USD: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.1586, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: ADA-USD Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=-0.0173, std=0.0775, worst_day=-0.1761 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to ADA-USD, given the drawdown constraint. Report as a decimal between 0.00 and ...
0.6304
0.6304
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.1586 (i.e., a 15.86% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.1586 = 0.6304, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 0.6304 (63.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.158636, "expected_loss": 0.158636, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 0.6304000000000001, "has_text": false, "text_chars": 0 }
T3_all_20150707_0372
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "XLF" ]
2015-07-07T00:00:00
XLF: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0199, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: XLF Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0003, std=0.0078, worst_day=-0.0244 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2015-07-06] The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights: Automatic Data Processing, Marriott Vacations Worldwide, Carnival and SkyWest - Press Releases...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0199 (i.e., a 1.99% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0199 = 5.0158, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.019937, "expected_loss": 0.019937, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20221107_0375
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "BTC-USD" ]
2022-11-07T00:00:00
BTC-USD: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0588, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: BTC-USD Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0017, std=0.0258, worst_day=-0.0927 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2022-11-06] Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to BTC-USD, given the drawdown constrain...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0588 (i.e., a 5.88% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0588 = 1.7018, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.058762999999999996, "expected_loss": 0.058762999999999996, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 20 }
T3_all_20221026_0378
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "EEM" ]
2022-10-26T00:00:00
EEM: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0325, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: EEM Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=-0.0024, std=0.0131, worst_day=-0.0341 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2022-10-25] ["Why Is Everyone Talking About Apple? Apple's (NASDAQ: AAPL) stock has fallen about 10% since mid-September. The leading causes...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0325 (i.e., a 3.25% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0325 = 3.0808, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.032459, "expected_loss": 0.032459, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20220628_0383
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "VTI" ]
2022-06-28T00:00:00
VTI: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0335, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: VTI Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=-0.0025, std=0.0177, worst_day=-0.0335 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2022-06-27] ["CEOs will look past abortion bans, too Reuters Reuters NEW YORK (Reuters Breakingviews) - The demolition of the constitutional...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0335 (i.e., a 3.35% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0335 = 2.9889, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.033457, "expected_loss": 0.033457, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20200904_0386
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "BNO" ]
2020-09-04T00:00:00
BNO: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0373, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: BNO Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0023, std=0.0157, worst_day=-0.0504 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to BNO, given the drawdown constraint. Report as a decimal between 0.00 and 1.00 (e.g...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0373 (i.e., a 3.73% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0373 = 2.6815, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.037293, "expected_loss": 0.037293, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": false, "text_chars": 0 }
T3_all_20210922_0391
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "XLE" ]
2021-09-22T00:00:00
XLE: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0350, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: XLE Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=-0.0024, std=0.0184, worst_day=-0.0360 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2021-09-21] ["Over 2 Billion Devices Will be Shipped with a Dedicated Chipset for Ambient Sound or Natural Language Processing By 2026 Natur...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0350 (i.e., a 3.50% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0350 = 2.8547, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.035030000000000006, "expected_loss": 0.035030000000000006, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20201027_0394
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "XLB" ]
2020-10-27T00:00:00
XLB: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0314, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: XLB Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0012, std=0.0133, worst_day=-0.0337 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2020-10-26] ["Apple, Amazon, Boeing, Visa, Pfizer, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet, Facebook, Amazon, AMD, Cat...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0314 (i.e., a 3.14% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0314 = 3.1835, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.031411999999999995, "expected_loss": 0.031411999999999995, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20190926_0397
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "BTC-USD" ]
2019-09-26T00:00:00
BTC-USD: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0924, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: BTC-USD Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=-0.0014, std=0.0310, worst_day=-0.1140 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to BTC-USD, given the drawdown constraint. Report as a decimal between 0.00 and ...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0924 (i.e., a 9.24% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0924 = 1.0819, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.092432, "expected_loss": 0.092432, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": false, "text_chars": 0 }
T3_all_20150602_0400
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "CPER" ]
2015-06-02T00:00:00
CPER: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0297, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: CPER Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=-0.0000, std=0.0149, worst_day=-0.0313 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to CPER, given the drawdown constraint. Report as a decimal between 0.00 and 1.00 (...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0297 (i.e., a 2.97% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0297 = 3.3726, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.029651, "expected_loss": 0.029651, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": false, "text_chars": 0 }
T3_all_20171009_0403
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "XLRE" ]
2017-10-09T00:00:00
XLRE: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0104, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: XLRE Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0004, std=0.0057, worst_day=-0.0108 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2017-10-06] ["IYW, ADBE, CRM, CTSH: Large Outflows Detected at ETF Looking today at week-over-week shares outstanding changes among the univ...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0104 (i.e., a 1.04% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0104 = 9.6220, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.010393, "expected_loss": 0.010393, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20220126_0408
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "XLE" ]
2022-01-26T00:00:00
XLE: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0403, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: XLE Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0022, std=0.0174, worst_day=-0.0411 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2022-01-25] ["7 Best Technology Stocks to Buy After the Big Dip InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips So far, 2022 i...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0403 (i.e., a 4.03% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0403 = 2.4800, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.040322, "expected_loss": 0.040322, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20170207_0411
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "XLRE" ]
2017-02-07T00:00:00
XLRE: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0198, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: XLRE Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0003, std=0.0093, worst_day=-0.0227 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2017-02-06] ["Apple, Google among nearly 100 tech firms fighting Trump\u2019s travel ban in court Companies claim president\u2019s immigrati...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0198 (i.e., a 1.98% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0198 = 5.0601, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.019762, "expected_loss": 0.019762, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20220721_0414
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "XLF" ]
2022-07-21T00:00:00
XLF: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0358, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: XLF Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=-0.0016, std=0.0175, worst_day=-0.0368 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2022-07-20] ["US STOCKS-Nasdaq rises on positive earnings signals as inflation concerns loom By Echo Wang July 20 (Reuters) - The tech-heavy...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0358 (i.e., a 3.58% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0358 = 2.7966, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.035758, "expected_loss": 0.035758, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20221020_0417
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "ICSH" ]
2022-10-20T00:00:00
ICSH: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0006, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: ICSH Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0001, std=0.0003, worst_day=-0.0006 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to ICSH, given the drawdown constraint. Report as a decimal between 0.00 and 1.00 (e...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0006 (i.e., a 0.06% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0006 = 166.9237, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.0005989999999999999, "expected_loss": 0.0005989999999999999, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": false, "text_chars": 0 }
T3_all_20210810_0420
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "UNG" ]
2021-08-10T00:00:00
UNG: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0384, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: UNG Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0045, std=0.0188, worst_day=-0.0432 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to UNG, given the drawdown constraint. Report as a decimal between 0.00 and 1.00 (e.g...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0384 (i.e., a 3.84% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0384 = 2.6027, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.038422, "expected_loss": 0.038422, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": false, "text_chars": 0 }
T3_all_20200612_0423
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "IVV" ]
2020-06-12T00:00:00
IVV: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0328, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: IVV Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0016, std=0.0187, worst_day=-0.0328 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2020-06-11] ["Can the all-new Cadillac CT5 take on its European competitors? Review: It\u2019s meant to compete with European big boys like t...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0328 (i.e., a 3.28% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0328 = 3.0503, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.032784, "expected_loss": 0.032784, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20200625_0430
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "MATIC-USD" ]
2020-06-25T00:00:00
MATIC-USD: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.1267, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: MATIC-USD Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0082, std=0.0595, worst_day=-0.1465 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to MATIC-USD, given the drawdown constraint. Report as a decimal between 0.00 a...
0.7892
0.7892
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.1267 (i.e., a 12.67% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.1267 = 0.7892, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 0.7892 (78.9% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.126708, "expected_loss": 0.126708, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 0.7892, "has_text": false, "text_chars": 0 }
T3_all_20221116_0432
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "DOT-USD" ]
2022-11-16T00:00:00
DOT-USD: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.1259, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: DOT-USD Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=-0.0018, std=0.0397, worst_day=-0.1400 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2022-11-15] Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to DOT-USD, given the drawdown constrai...
0.7942
0.7942
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.1259 (i.e., a 12.59% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.1259 = 0.7942, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 0.7942 (79.4% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.125919, "expected_loss": 0.125919, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 0.7942, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 20 }
T3_all_20210217_0435
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "LINK-USD" ]
2021-02-17T00:00:00
LINK-USD: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.1547, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: LINK-USD Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0175, std=0.0800, worst_day=-0.1567 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to LINK-USD, given the drawdown constraint. Report as a decimal between 0.00 and...
0.6463
0.6463
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.1547 (i.e., a 15.47% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.1547 = 0.6463, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 0.6463 (64.6% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.154738, "expected_loss": 0.154738, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 0.6463, "has_text": false, "text_chars": 0 }
T3_all_20200128_0438
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "XRP-USD" ]
2020-01-28T00:00:00
XRP-USD: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0773, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: XRP-USD Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0011, std=0.0344, worst_day=-0.1135 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to XRP-USD, given the drawdown constraint. Report as a decimal between 0.00 and 1...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0773 (i.e., a 7.73% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0773 = 1.2945, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.07725000000000001, "expected_loss": 0.07725000000000001, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": false, "text_chars": 0 }
T3_all_20220809_0441
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "XLY" ]
2022-08-09T00:00:00
XLY: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0388, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: XLY Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0025, std=0.0219, worst_day=-0.0388 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2022-08-08] ["US STOCKS-Wall St set for higher open after selloff on jobs data By Bansari Mayur Kamdar and Aniruddha Ghosh Aug 8 (Reuters) - ...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0388 (i.e., a 3.88% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0388 = 2.5763, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.038815999999999996, "expected_loss": 0.038815999999999996, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20151221_0444
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "USMV" ]
2015-12-21T00:00:00
USMV: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0168, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: USMV Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0006, std=0.0083, worst_day=-0.0203 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2015-12-18] Adobe (ADBE) Attains a New 52-Week High on Solid Earnings Shares of Adobe Systems Inc.ADBE attained a new 52-week high of $96.42...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0168 (i.e., a 1.68% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0168 = 5.9466, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.016815999999999998, "expected_loss": 0.016815999999999998, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20191112_0449
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "HYG" ]
2019-11-12T00:00:00
HYG: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0051, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: HYG Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0003, std=0.0022, worst_day=-0.0059 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to HYG, given the drawdown constraint. Report as a decimal between 0.00 and 1.00 (e.g...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0051 (i.e., a 0.51% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0051 = 19.5016, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.005128, "expected_loss": 0.005128, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": false, "text_chars": 0 }
T3_all_20191231_0453
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "QQQ" ]
2019-12-31T00:00:00
QQQ: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0123, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: QQQ Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0022, std=0.0064, worst_day=-0.0151 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2019-12-30] Is North America Contribution To Amazon's Total Revenue 60%, 70%, Or 80%? Amazon‘s (NASDAQ:AMZN) North America business, consisti...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0123 (i.e., a 1.23% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0123 = 8.1560, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.012261, "expected_loss": 0.012261, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20190702_0456
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "ETH-USD" ]
2019-07-02T00:00:00
ETH-USD: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.1059, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: ETH-USD Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0112, std=0.0501, worst_day=-0.1262 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to ETH-USD, given the drawdown constraint. Report as a decimal between 0.00 and 1...
0.9447
0.9447
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.1059 (i.e., a 10.59% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.1059 = 0.9447, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 0.9447 (94.5% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.10585399999999999, "expected_loss": 0.10585399999999999, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 0.9447000000000001, "has_text": false, "text_chars": 0 }
T3_all_20200521_0459
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "ACWI" ]
2020-05-21T00:00:00
ACWI: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0309, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: ACWI Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=-0.0006, std=0.0210, worst_day=-0.0309 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2020-05-20] ["Earnings Scheduled For May 20, 2020", "Analog Devices Q2 Adj. EPS $1.080 Beats $1.040 Estimate, Sales $1.317B Miss $1.330B Es...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0309 (i.e., a 3.09% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0309 = 3.2314, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.030947, "expected_loss": 0.030947, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20160729_0461
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "QQQ" ]
2016-07-29T00:00:00
QQQ: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0282, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: QQQ Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0015, std=0.0097, worst_day=-0.0399 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2016-07-28] ["3M Stock Seen Edging Up to $186 Second-quarter margins expanded by about 50 basis points year-over-year, and should accelerate ...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0282 (i.e., a 2.82% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0282 = 3.5470, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.028193, "expected_loss": 0.028193, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20190111_0464
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "XLRE" ]
2019-01-11T00:00:00
XLRE: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0375, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: XLRE Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0008, std=0.0136, worst_day=-0.0375 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2019-01-10] ["Apple's stock slips 0.7% premarket, after rising 3.6% the past 2 sessions", "The stock market is too damaged for a sustained r...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0375 (i.e., a 3.75% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0375 = 2.6646, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.037529, "expected_loss": 0.037529, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20210203_0467
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "XHB" ]
2021-02-03T00:00:00
XHB: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0284, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: XHB Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0019, std=0.0138, worst_day=-0.0411 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to XHB, given the drawdown constraint. Report as a decimal between 0.00 and 1.00 (e.g...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0284 (i.e., a 2.84% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0284 = 3.5263, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.028359, "expected_loss": 0.028359, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": false, "text_chars": 0 }
T3_all_20210614_0470
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "EMB" ]
2021-06-14T00:00:00
EMB: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0069, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: EMB Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0009, std=0.0038, worst_day=-0.0091 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to EMB, given the drawdown constraint. Report as a decimal between 0.00 and 1.00 (e.g...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0069 (i.e., a 0.69% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0069 = 14.4529, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.006919, "expected_loss": 0.006919, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": false, "text_chars": 0 }
T3_all_20210514_0473
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "AVAX-USD" ]
2021-05-14T00:00:00
AVAX-USD: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.1510, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: AVAX-USD Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0062, std=0.0799, worst_day=-0.1550 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to AVAX-USD, given the drawdown constraint. Report as a decimal between 0.00 and...
0.6623
0.6623
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.1510 (i.e., a 15.10% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.1510 = 0.6623, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 0.6623 (66.2% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.15098599999999998, "expected_loss": 0.15098599999999998, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 0.6623, "has_text": false, "text_chars": 0 }
T3_all_20210216_0476
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "LINK-USD" ]
2021-02-16T00:00:00
LINK-USD: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.1547, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: LINK-USD Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0179, std=0.0799, worst_day=-0.1567 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to LINK-USD, given the drawdown constraint. Report as a decimal between 0.00 and...
0.6463
0.6463
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.1547 (i.e., a 15.47% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.1547 = 0.6463, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 0.6463 (64.6% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.154738, "expected_loss": 0.154738, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 0.6463, "has_text": false, "text_chars": 0 }
T3_all_20181123_0481
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "ETH-USD" ]
2018-11-23T00:00:00
ETH-USD: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.1583, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: ETH-USD Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=-0.0099, std=0.0438, worst_day=-0.1593 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to ETH-USD, given the drawdown constraint. Report as a decimal between 0.00 and ...
0.6319
0.6319
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.1583 (i.e., a 15.83% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.1583 = 0.6319, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 0.6319 (63.2% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.158264, "expected_loss": 0.158264, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 0.6319, "has_text": false, "text_chars": 0 }
T3_all_20220425_0484
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "XLY" ]
2022-04-25T00:00:00
XLY: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0360, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: XLY Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=-0.0001, std=0.0204, worst_day=-0.0388 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2022-04-22] ["Smart Speaker Market: 20.87% Y-O-Y Growth Rate in 2021 | By End-user (residential users and commercial users) and Geography | ...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0360 (i.e., a 3.60% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0360 = 2.7802, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.035969, "expected_loss": 0.035969, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20180403_0491
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "IGOV" ]
2018-04-03T00:00:00
IGOV: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0084, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: IGOV Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0008, std=0.0041, worst_day=-0.0096 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to IGOV, given the drawdown constraint. Report as a decimal between 0.00 and 1.00 (e...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0084 (i.e., a 0.84% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0084 = 11.8837, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.008414999999999999, "expected_loss": 0.008414999999999999, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": false, "text_chars": 0 }
T3_all_20200206_0496
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "MATIC-USD" ]
2020-02-06T00:00:00
MATIC-USD: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.1741, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: MATIC-USD Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0005, std=0.0728, worst_day=-0.2144 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to MATIC-USD, given the drawdown constraint. Report as a decimal between 0.00 a...
0.5745
0.5745
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.1741 (i.e., a 17.41% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.1741 = 0.5745, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 0.5745 (57.5% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.17407599999999998, "expected_loss": 0.17407599999999998, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 0.5745, "has_text": false, "text_chars": 0 }
T3_all_20220810_0501
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "^VIX" ]
2022-08-10T00:00:00
^VIX: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0969, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: ^VIX Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=-0.0063, std=0.0583, worst_day=-0.0986 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2022-08-09] ["Down 47% in a Year, Time to Buy This Growth Stock? With a market cap of $8.3 billion, Cognex Corporation (NASDAQ: CGNX) is no...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0969 (i.e., a 9.69% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0969 = 1.0319, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.096908, "expected_loss": 0.096908, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20190521_0504
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "FXI" ]
2019-05-21T00:00:00
FXI: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0307, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: FXI Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=-0.0015, std=0.0127, worst_day=-0.0327 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2019-05-20] Credit Suisse Absolutely Is Right to Double Down on Pfizer Stock After upgrading Pfizer (NYSE:) to “Outperform” in January and r...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0307 (i.e., a 3.07% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0307 = 3.2527, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.030743, "expected_loss": 0.030743, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20200311_0507
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "XLY" ]
2020-03-11T00:00:00
XLY: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0388, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: XLY Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=-0.0010, std=0.0148, worst_day=-0.0388 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2020-03-10] ["123 Biggest Movers From Yesterday", "UBS Maintains Buy on Apple, Lowers Price Target to $335", "Shares of several technology c...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0388 (i.e., a 3.88% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0388 = 2.5763, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.038815999999999996, "expected_loss": 0.038815999999999996, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20190306_0510
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "CPER" ]
2019-03-06T00:00:00
CPER: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0245, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: CPER Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0014, std=0.0114, worst_day=-0.0292 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to CPER, given the drawdown constraint. Report as a decimal between 0.00 and 1.00 (e...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0245 (i.e., a 2.45% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0245 = 4.0845, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.024482999999999998, "expected_loss": 0.024482999999999998, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": false, "text_chars": 0 }
T3_all_20190225_0513
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "QQQ" ]
2019-02-25T00:00:00
QQQ: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0358, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: QQQ Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0008, std=0.0161, worst_day=-0.0391 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2019-02-22] ["Pinnacle West's (PNW) Q4 Earnings Beat Estimates, Up Y/Y Pinnacle West Capital CorporationPNW delivered adjusted earnings per s...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0358 (i.e., a 3.58% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0358 = 2.7899, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.035844, "expected_loss": 0.035844, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20220706_0516
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "XLK" ]
2022-07-06T00:00:00
XLK: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0427, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: XLK Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=-0.0028, std=0.0232, worst_day=-0.0427 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2022-07-05] ["EU lawmakers pass landmark tech rules, but enforcement a worry By Foo Yun Chee BRUSSELS, July 5 (Reuters) - EU lawmakers gave ...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0427 (i.e., a 4.27% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0427 = 2.3410, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.042717, "expected_loss": 0.042717, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }
T3_all_20190207_0519
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "SCHH" ]
2019-02-07T00:00:00
SCHH: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0340, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: SCHH Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0010, std=0.0120, worst_day=-0.0340 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to SCHH, given the drawdown constraint. Report as a decimal between 0.00 and 1.00 (e...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0340 (i.e., a 3.40% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0340 = 2.9369, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.034048999999999996, "expected_loss": 0.034048999999999996, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": false, "text_chars": 0 }
T3_all_20210824_0522
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "MATIC-USD" ]
2021-08-24T00:00:00
MATIC-USD: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.1015, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: MATIC-USD Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0070, std=0.0651, worst_day=-0.1305 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Determine the maximum fraction of total portfolio capital that should be allocated to MATIC-USD, given the drawdown constraint. Report as a decimal between 0.00 a...
0.9852
0.9852
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.1015 (i.e., a 10.15% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.1015 = 0.9852, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 0.9852 (98.5% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.101507, "expected_loss": 0.101507, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 0.9852000000000001, "has_text": false, "text_chars": 0 }
T3_all_20160510_0527
T3
1
train
sideways
all
[ "ACWI" ]
2016-05-10T00:00:00
ACWI: 60-day history, VaR(99%)=-0.0146, max drawdown threshold=10%.
Asset: ACWI Daily returns (past 60 days): mean=0.0020, std=0.0090, worst_day=-0.0149 Maximum acceptable portfolio drawdown: 10% Market regime: sideways Recent filing/news: [Kaggle 2016-05-09] Drug Stocks Reporting on May 10: XON, ARIA, CPRX & More How is the Earnings Picture Evolving now that a large part of the first-...
1.0000
1
Step 1: Compute |VaR(99%)| from historical returns = 0.0146 (i.e., a 1.46% loss in the worst 1% of days). Step 2: Fixed-fractional formula: f* = 10% / 0.0146 = 6.8337, capped at 1.0. Maximum position size = 1.0000 (100.0% of portfolio).
{ "var_99": -0.014633, "expected_loss": 0.014633, "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.1, "position_size": 1, "has_text": true, "text_chars": 3020 }