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Thank you, Chair Powell. Jennifer Schonberger with Yahoo Finance. You say you expect growth of just ½ percent next year. Given that you’ve said the process of raising rates and getting inflation back under control will be painful, have you had discussions within the Committee and addressed how long and/or how deep of a...
JENNIFER SCHONBERGER
[ { "content": "Thank you, Chair Powell. Jennifer Schonberger with Yahoo Finance. You say you expect growth of just ½ percent next year. Given that you’ve said the process of raising rates and getting inflation back under control will be painful, have you had discussions within the Committee and addressed how lon...
Hi. Jean Yung with Market News. I wanted to ask about the SEP again. If you’re reaching peak rates around 5 percent in the first half of next year and inflation starts to decline materially, that would seem to make the real rate gradually more restrictive. Is that something that’s built into the projections and into mo...
JEAN YUNG
[ { "content": "Hi. Jean Yung with Market News. I wanted to ask about the SEP again. If you’re reaching peak rates around 5 percent in the first half of next year and inflation starts to decline materially, that would seem to make the real rate gradually more restrictive. Is that something that’s built into the p...
Hi, Chair Powell. It’s Rachel Siegel from the Washington Post. Thanks very much for taking my question. I’m wondering if you can speak specifically about what indicators you’re seeing that suggest the pace of improvement has moderated, including in the labor market, and how correlated those indicators are to the recent...
RACHEL SIEGEL
[ { "content": "Hi, Chair Powell. It’s Rachel Siegel from the Washington Post. Thanks very much for taking my question. I’m wondering if you can speak specifically about what indicators you’re seeing that suggest the pace of improvement has moderated, including in the labor market, and how correlated those indica...
Thank you. Could you talk a little bit about where you think the stimulus package that is being debated in Congress is and how severe a threat that could be to the economy if it does not get passed, say, before January?
MARTIN CRUTSINGER
[ { "content": "Thank you. Could you talk a little bit about where you think the stimulus package that is being debated in Congress is and how severe a threat that could be to the economy if it does not get passed, say, before January?", "role": "user" }, { "content": "So it is—obviously, it’s for Con...
Thanks, Chair Powell. Nick Timiraos at the Wall Street Journal. To follow on Marty’s question, you really have been saying since April that more is needed on the fiscal policy front, and yet we don’t seem to be that much closer than we were in the spring or the summer to additional spending. Two questions: Would the la...
NICK TIMIRAOS
[ { "content": "Thanks, Chair Powell. Nick Timiraos at the Wall Street Journal. To follow on Marty’s question, you really have been saying since April that more is needed on the fiscal policy front, and yet we don’t seem to be that much closer than we were in the spring or the summer to additional spending. Two q...
Thank you. Mr. Chairman, also to follow up on what Nick was talking about, two questions about quantitative easing. The first is, if the market is functioning better, as you and other Fed officials have said, and QE right now is designed for smooth market functioning, why haven’t you reduced QE that you’re doing if the...
STEVE LIESMAN
[ { "content": "Thank you. Mr. Chairman, also to follow up on what Nick was talking about, two questions about quantitative easing. The first is, if the market is functioning better, as you and other Fed officials have said, and QE right now is designed for smooth market functioning, why haven’t you reduced QE th...
Hi, Chair Powell. First, it’s great to see you’re okay. Chair Powell, what is the risk that we come out of this with lower productivity; weaker labor force attachment; slower growth; and, important for your tools, Chair Powell, a cycle of lower real interest rates? And if you think this type of scarring is a risk, then...
CRAIG TORRES
[ { "content": "Hi, Chair Powell. First, it’s great to see you’re okay. Chair Powell, what is the risk that we come out of this with lower productivity; weaker labor force attachment; slower growth; and, important for your tools, Chair Powell, a cycle of lower real interest rates? And if you think this type of sc...
—look like and whether you anticipate any consequences if they are not extended?
JEANNA SMIALEK
[ { "content": "—look like and whether you anticipate any consequences if they are not extended?", "role": "user" }, { "content": "Yes, thanks. So, first, let me say, we do think that the facilities have, have generally served their purposes well, particularly in supporting the flow of credit, particu...
IMF Chief Economist Gita Gopinath wrote—Gita Gopinath wrote a piece this week in which she said, unequivocally, we’re in a global liquidity trap and talked about the limits of monetary policy right now. She said, “Fiscal policy will need to be the main game in town.” And it’s been a busy week. I don’t know if you were ...
DAVID GURA
[ { "content": "IMF Chief Economist Gita Gopinath wrote—Gita Gopinath wrote a piece this week in which she said, unequivocally, we’re in a global liquidity trap and talked about the limits of monetary policy right now. She said, “Fiscal policy will need to be the main game in town.” And it’s been a busy week. I d...
Thank you, Mr. Chairman, for taking the question. So what would cause the Federal Reserve to shift more of its asset purchases towards the long-term securities and Treasuries and change the amount of spending there also? And as a second point onto that, you know, would—if there’s no fiscal stimulus package, would that ...
EDWARD LAWRENCE
[ { "content": "Thank you, Mr. Chairman, for taking the question. So what would cause the Federal Reserve to shift more of its asset purchases towards the long-term securities and Treasuries and change the amount of spending there also? And as a second point onto that, you know, would—if there’s no fiscal stimulu...
Hi, Chair Powell. Thanks for taking the question. I wanted to ask about climate change. FHFA Director Mark Calabria recently said that financial regulators need to account for financial change—climate change, I’m sorry. What are you all thinking of doing on that front beyond what you’re already doing, and do you have a...
VICTORIA GUIDA
[ { "content": "Hi, Chair Powell. Thanks for taking the question. I wanted to ask about climate change. FHFA Director Mark Calabria recently said that financial regulators need to account for financial change—climate change, I’m sorry. What are you all thinking of doing on that front beyond what you’re already do...
Quick follow-up from Gina’s question: Have you gotten a commitment from Secretary Mnuchin to extend the 13(3) facilities if you decide it’s necessary, and are you concerned what a lame-duck Trump Administration might do in that regard? And then, more broadly, on the state of the economy, are you comfortable now that th...
HOWARD SCHNEIDER
[ { "content": "Quick follow-up from Gina’s question: Have you gotten a commitment from Secretary Mnuchin to extend the 13(3) facilities if you decide it’s necessary, and are you concerned what a lame-duck Trump Administration might do in that regard? And then, more broadly, on the state of the economy, are you c...
Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Earlier this summer, I know that you formed a task force to look at the distribution of coins around the System. I wonder if you can give us an update on how that’s going. I know there’s been some, some public relations effort. I think October was “Get the Coins Moving” month. Has that—has that...
SCOTT HORSLEY
[ { "content": "Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Earlier this summer, I know that you formed a task force to look at the distribution of coins around the System. I wonder if you can give us an update on how that’s going. I know there’s been some, some public relations effort. I think October was “Get the Coins Moving” mo...
Thanks very much for the—for the question, Chair Powell. We’ve just had a presidential election here in the United States. We still don’t know who the winner is. Are you concerned that perhaps tensions or uncertainty over the outcome of the presidential election could pose a risk to the economic outlook or trigger mark...
JAMES POLITI
[ { "content": "Thanks very much for the—for the question, Chair Powell. We’ve just had a presidential election here in the United States. We still don’t know who the winner is. Are you concerned that perhaps tensions or uncertainty over the outcome of the presidential election could pose a risk to the economic o...
Thank you for taking my question. Chairman Powell, can you tell us a little bit more about why the minimum loan size under the Main Street facility was reduced last week and why that was done now rather than earlier, seeing that small businesses are still— clearly still—struggling to make the change necessary?
ANNEKEN TAPPE
[ { "content": "Thank you for taking my question. Chairman Powell, can you tell us a little bit more about why the minimum loan size under the Main Street facility was reduced last week and why that was done now rather than earlier, seeing that small businesses are still— clearly still—struggling to make the chan...
Heather Scott this time, right? Thank you, Chair Powell, for taking the question. You say that you’re—that you’re not out of ammo. So I’m wondering, then, what is the next tool you expect to be able to roll out? Would you consider some credit program for state and local businesses—state and local governments that are f...
HEATHER SCOTT
[ { "content": "Heather Scott this time, right? Thank you, Chair Powell, for taking the question. You say that you’re—that you’re not out of ammo. So I’m wondering, then, what is the next tool you expect to be able to roll out? Would you consider some credit program for state and local businesses—state and local ...
Mr. Chairman, there’s a small but growing number of people, including some former Fed economists, who say you should find ways to go beyond your mandate to provide additional support to the economy, which, in essence, would be fiscal support, since it hasn’t come from Congress. One of the suggestions is buying state an...
MICHAEL MCKEE
[ { "content": "Mr. Chairman, there’s a small but growing number of people, including some former Fed economists, who say you should find ways to go beyond your mandate to provide additional support to the economy, which, in essence, would be fiscal support, since it hasn’t come from Congress. One of the suggesti...
Jeanna Smialek from the New York Times. Thanks for taking our questions. Obviously, in the statement and just in your remarks there, you note that you don’t want to cut interest rates without greater confidence that inflation is coming—coming down fully. I wonder—what do you need to see at this point to gain that confi...
JEANNA SMIALEK
[ { "content": "Jeanna Smialek from the New York Times. Thanks for taking our questions. Obviously, in the statement and just in your remarks there, you note that you don’t want to cut interest rates without greater confidence that inflation is coming—coming down fully. I wonder—what do you need to see at this po...
Nick Timiraos of the Wall Street Journal. Chair Powell, it seems to me you raised rates rapidly over the last two years for two reasons. One was the risk of a wage– price spiral. Two, there were risks of inflation expectations becoming unanchored. This morning’s ECI report for the fourth quarter shows private-sector pa...
NICK TIMIRAOS
[ { "content": "Nick Timiraos of the Wall Street Journal. Chair Powell, it seems to me you raised rates rapidly over the last two years for two reasons. One was the risk of a wage– price spiral. Two, there were risks of inflation expectations becoming unanchored. This morning’s ECI report for the fourth quarter s...
Hi. Thanks, Chair Powell. I’d like you to, to key in on the use of the word in, in the statement that inflation still “remains elevated.” You’ve pledged to cut rates before inflation reached 2 percent. So that implies that there’s some intermediate step here on, on inflation and that a, a cut would be consequent with a...
HOWARD SCHNEIDER
[ { "content": "Hi. Thanks, Chair Powell. I’d like you to, to key in on the use of the word in, in the statement that inflation still “remains elevated.” You’ve pledged to cut rates before inflation reached 2 percent. So that implies that there’s some intermediate step here on, on inflation and that a, a cut woul...
Claire Jones, Financial Times. Just to circle back to the “greater confidence” aspect of the statement, there’s been a lot of unanimity in recent meetings. I’m just wondering, going forward, when it comes to all needing greater confidence, is there unanimity or, at least, consensus among FOMC members about what the thr...
CLAIRE JONES
[ { "content": "Claire Jones, Financial Times. Just to circle back to the “greater confidence” aspect of the statement, there’s been a lot of unanimity in recent meetings. I’m just wondering, going forward, when it comes to all needing greater confidence, is there unanimity or, at least, consensus among FOMC memb...
Hi, Chair Powell. Rachel Siegel from the Washington Post. Thanks for taking our questions. So, over the past few years, there have been all these real-time indicators that helped us gain a sharper understanding of where the economy was, like OpenTable data or office attendance. You’ve talked about vacancies in the past...
RACHEL SIEGEL
[ { "content": "Hi, Chair Powell. Rachel Siegel from the Washington Post. Thanks for taking our questions. So, over the past few years, there have been all these real-time indicators that helped us gain a sharper understanding of where the economy was, like OpenTable data or office attendance. You’ve talked about...
Thank you, Mr. Chairman. You’ve said that you would know the neutral rate by its works. So I’m wondering what you could tell me—how do you believe the neutral rate is working or telling you right now that growth is stronger? In other words, how much is the economy really being restrained right now by the current funds ...
STEVE LIESMAN
[ { "content": "Thank you, Mr. Chairman. You’ve said that you would know the neutral rate by its works. So I’m wondering what you could tell me—how do you believe the neutral rate is working or telling you right now that growth is stronger? In other words, how much is the economy really being restrained right now...
Thank you—sorry. Thanks for taking the question, Mr. Chairman. You mentioned earlier we’re not seeking a weaker labor market, I think you, you said. Can you talk a little bit more about that? Do you—do you think the labor market now is back to quote, unquote, “normal” and that the—we can achieve the inflation target wi...
RICH MILLER
[ { "content": "Thank you—sorry. Thanks for taking the question, Mr. Chairman. You mentioned earlier we’re not seeking a weaker labor market, I think you, you said. Can you talk a little bit more about that? Do you—do you think the labor market now is back to quote, unquote, “normal” and that the—we can achieve t...
Hi, Chris Rugaber at Associated Press. Thank you. I wanted to follow up on Rich’s question. It sounded like you suggested that you’re not worried about faster growth so much—so wanted to see if you’re seeing anything that suggests that inflation could reaccelerate from here. And it sounds like you’re saying you’re not ...
CHRISTOPHER RUGABER
[ { "content": "Hi, Chris Rugaber at Associated Press. Thank you. I wanted to follow up on Rich’s question. It sounded like you suggested that you’re not worried about faster growth so much—so wanted to see if you’re seeing anything that suggests that inflation could reaccelerate from here. And it sounds like you...
Michael McKee, Bloomberg Radio and Television. If you don’t want to use the term “soft landing,” would you say, at least, that, from your point of view now, the other scenario of a hard landing caused by the Fed is off the table or the risks have diminished very much? And you mentioned below–2 percent inflation for—on ...
MICHAEL MCKEE
[ { "content": "Michael McKee, Bloomberg Radio and Television. If you don’t want to use the term “soft landing,” would you say, at least, that, from your point of view now, the other scenario of a hard landing caused by the Fed is off the table or the risks have diminished very much? And you mentioned below–2 per...
Edward Lawrence from Fox Business. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, for taking this. So, as I’ve—as I’ve heard from some District Fed presidents, is it, in your view, a little premature to think that rate cuts are right around the corner? And then when we do see that first rate cut, is that—should we interpret that as the begi...
EDWARD LAWRENCE
[ { "content": "Edward Lawrence from Fox Business. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, for taking this. So, as I’ve—as I’ve heard from some District Fed presidents, is it, in your view, a little premature to think that rate cuts are right around the corner? And then when we do see that first rate cut, is that—should we inte...
Hi. Victoria Guida with Politico. Could you talk a little bit more about productivity growth? You know, you’ve mentioned multiple times about, you know, the level of wage growth that’s consistent with 2 percent inflation. We’ve obviously seen, you know—you were talking about ECI this morning, in which it’s cooled a lit...
VICTORIA GUIDA
[ { "content": "Hi. Victoria Guida with Politico. Could you talk a little bit more about productivity growth? You know, you’ve mentioned multiple times about, you know, the level of wage growth that’s consistent with 2 percent inflation. We’ve obviously seen, you know—you were talking about ECI this morning, in w...
-GENZER. Hi, Chair Powell. Nancy Marshall-Genzer with Marketplace. I want to ask a little bit more about housing. I’m wondering—how closely are you watching rent and housing prices as you evaluate whether and when to cut rates? And it seems like housing prices are not coming down as quickly as you expected.
NANCY MARSHALL
[ { "content": "-GENZER. Hi, Chair Powell. Nancy Marshall-Genzer with Marketplace. I want to ask a little bit more about housing. I’m wondering—how closely are you watching rent and housing prices as you evaluate whether and when to cut rates? And it seems like housing prices are not coming down as quickly as you...
Courtenay Brown from Axios. Can you give us some insight into whether the Committee discussed the possibility of slowing balance sheet runoff in the months ahead?
COURTENAY BROWN
[ { "content": "Courtenay Brown from Axios. Can you give us some insight into whether the Committee discussed the possibility of slowing balance sheet runoff in the months ahead?", "role": "user" }, { "content": "Yes. So I would start by saying that balance sheet runoff so far has gone very well. And ...
Simon Rabinovitch with the Economist. Thank you, Chair Powell. You’ve mentioned six good months of inflation data, but that not being enough to build up confidence. Based on your previous response that your base case is you probably wouldn’t start easing yet in March, the implication is that eight good months might not...
SIMON RABINOVITCH
[ { "content": "Simon Rabinovitch with the Economist. Thank you, Chair Powell. You’ve mentioned six good months of inflation data, but that not being enough to build up confidence. Based on your previous response that your base case is you probably wouldn’t start easing yet in March, the implication is that eight...
Hi, Chair Powell. Evan Ryser with MNI Market News. Can you explain a little bit more on what you’re considering when tapering QT? Do you need to see the overnight reverse repo facility all the way down to zero, or is it something that you can start with a couple hundred billion dollars there?
EVAN RYSER
[ { "content": "Hi, Chair Powell. Evan Ryser with MNI Market News. Can you explain a little bit more on what you’re considering when tapering QT? Do you need to see the overnight reverse repo facility all the way down to zero, or is it something that you can start with a couple hundred billion dollars there?", ...
Thanks. Greg Robb from MarketWatch. Chair Powell, I want to change gears a little bit. In the presidential primary campaign that’s been going on for the last nine months or so, your name has come up often, and many Republican candidates had said that they probably wouldn’t want to give you a third term. So I wanted to ...
GREG ROBB
[ { "content": "Thanks. Greg Robb from MarketWatch. Chair Powell, I want to change gears a little bit. In the presidential primary campaign that’s been going on for the last nine months or so, your name has come up often, and many Republican candidates had said that they probably wouldn’t want to give you a third...
Thank you, Chair Powell. Jennifer Schonberger with Yahoo Finance. As you mentioned, core PCE inflation has been running at 1.9 percent over the past six months. And you guys are actually expecting core inflation higher this year, at 2.4 percent, compared to that six-month measure. Given that forecast and that the media...
JENNIFER SCHONBERGER
[ { "content": "Thank you, Chair Powell. Jennifer Schonberger with Yahoo Finance. As you mentioned, core PCE inflation has been running at 1.9 percent over the past six months. And you guys are actually expecting core inflation higher this year, at 2.4 percent, compared to that six-month measure. Given that forec...
Hi, Chair Powell. Daniel Avis, Agence France-Presse. I just wondered if I could get your comment on the recent consumer confidence data. It seems to suggest that consumers are moving towards a much more optimistic view of the economy. I just wonder—is it fair to say that they’re moving towards where the Fed appears to ...
DANIEL AVIS
[ { "content": "Hi, Chair Powell. Daniel Avis, Agence France-Presse. I just wondered if I could get your comment on the recent consumer confidence data. It seems to suggest that consumers are moving towards a much more optimistic view of the economy. I just wonder—is it fair to say that they’re moving towards whe...
Thank you for taking our questions. Bryan Mena, CNN Business. Committee members have said they’d like to meet with business leaders and stakeholders in person to learn more about the economy in real time, given that some data is subject to large revisions, the issue of seasonal adjustments being thrown off balance, and...
BRYAN MENA
[ { "content": "Thank you for taking our questions. Bryan Mena, CNN Business. Committee members have said they’d like to meet with business leaders and stakeholders in person to learn more about the economy in real time, given that some data is subject to large revisions, the issue of seasonal adjustments being t...
Thank you, sir. Jeff Cox from CNBC. com. Just looking to put it all together: You talked about basically the, the economy looking strong with 3.3 percent annualized growth in the fourth quarter. Does the strength of the economy speak more loudly to you now than any inflation threat might? That, you know—you’re in a pos...
JEFF COX
[ { "content": "Thank you, sir. Jeff Cox from CNBC. com. Just looking to put it all together: You talked about basically the, the economy looking strong with 3.3 percent annualized growth in the fourth quarter. Does the strength of the economy speak more loudly to you now than any inflation threat might? That, yo...
Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Steve Liesman, CNBC. Just wondering if you could walk me through the Committee’s average inflation forecast—core PCE is now forecast to be 2.8 percent by the year-end. It’s already 2.75, and after today’s number, there were several forecasts on the street that it would be 2.6 at the end of this...
STEVE LIESMAN
[ { "content": "Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Steve Liesman, CNBC. Just wondering if you could walk me through the Committee’s average inflation forecast—core PCE is now forecast to be 2.8 percent by the year-end. It’s already 2.75, and after today’s number, there were several forecasts on the street that it would be ...
Nick Timiraos of the Wall Street Journal. Chair Powell, if I look at the, the rate projections, I see 15 of the 19 that are anticipating either one or two cut—two cuts this year—fairly evenly split between the two. And so I wonder if you could explain a little more the nuances or the differences there. Would two or thr...
NICK TIMIRAOS
[ { "content": "Nick Timiraos of the Wall Street Journal. Chair Powell, if I look at the, the rate projections, I see 15 of the 19 that are anticipating either one or two cut—two cuts this year—fairly evenly split between the two. And so I wonder if you could explain a little more the nuances or the differences t...
Hi, Chair Powell. Jonnelle Marte from Bloomberg. As you noted, the labor market is now in many ways back to where it was before the pandemic. I wondered if you could comment on how officials are viewing that. So do you think that there still needs to be more cooling in the labor market to bring inflation all the way do...
JONNELLE MARTE
[ { "content": "Hi, Chair Powell. Jonnelle Marte from Bloomberg. As you noted, the labor market is now in many ways back to where it was before the pandemic. I wondered if you could comment on how officials are viewing that. So do you think that there still needs to be more cooling in the labor market to bring in...
Thanks, Chair Powell. Neil Irwin, with Axios. Back on the rates path: The SEP showed quite a large shift of rate cut expectations relative to March—that’s a period in which the economic data flow hasn’t been that dramatic a shift. How, how—can you provide some color on what changed in the attitudes on the Committee ove...
NEIL IRWIN
[ { "content": "Thanks, Chair Powell. Neil Irwin, with Axios. Back on the rates path: The SEP showed quite a large shift of rate cut expectations relative to March—that’s a period in which the economic data flow hasn’t been that dramatic a shift. How, how—can you provide some color on what changed in the attitude...
Jeanna Smialek, New York Times. Thanks for taking our questions. In the Summary of Economic Projections, the long-run interest rate forecast moved up a bit. I wonder if we should read that as a sign that you think that policy is not as restrictive as we’ve previously expected. You know, how should we interpret what tha...
JEANNA SMIALEK
[ { "content": "Jeanna Smialek, New York Times. Thanks for taking our questions. In the Summary of Economic Projections, the long-run interest rate forecast moved up a bit. I wonder if we should read that as a sign that you think that policy is not as restrictive as we’ve previously expected. You know, how should...
Thanks, Chair Powell. Howard Schneider, with Reuters. Just to—just to carry that a little further, should we read this as a conclusion that the combination of tipping to one cut this year and acknowledging further progress on inflation as a mark to market on the level of restrictiveness that you need—that you, in fact,...
HOWARD SCHNEIDER
[ { "content": "Thanks, Chair Powell. Howard Schneider, with Reuters. Just to—just to carry that a little further, should we read this as a conclusion that the combination of tipping to one cut this year and acknowledging further progress on inflation as a mark to market on the level of restrictiveness that you n...
Michael McKee from Bloomberg Radio and Television. The base case of the Committee seems to be that there is going to be at least one rate cut this year, but your growth forecast doesn’t see any slowdown in the rest of the year, nor does the unemployment forecast see any significant weakening of the labor market. And yo...
MICHAEL MCKEE
[ { "content": "Michael McKee from Bloomberg Radio and Television. The base case of the Committee seems to be that there is going to be at least one rate cut this year, but your growth forecast doesn’t see any slowdown in the rest of the year, nor does the unemployment forecast see any significant weakening of th...
Thanks. Chris Rugaber at Associated Press. I was wondering if we can read—on inflation, if you can tell us a little more about where you see inflationary pressure in the economy. You mentioned labor markets coming into better balance, and inflation expectations appear to be well anchored. You’re seeing, you know, anecd...
CHRISTOPHER RUGABER
[ { "content": "Thanks. Chris Rugaber at Associated Press. I was wondering if we can read—on inflation, if you can tell us a little more about where you see inflationary pressure in the economy. You mentioned labor markets coming into better balance, and inflation expectations appear to be well anchored. You’re s...
Hi, Chair Powell. Rachel Siegel from the Washington Post. Thanks for taking our questions. There’s obviously a lot of focus on how many cuts could be expected this year. But can you give us a sense of what one cut by the end of the year would actually do to the economy—what you think would be a meaningful difference if...
RACHEL SIEGEL
[ { "content": "Hi, Chair Powell. Rachel Siegel from the Washington Post. Thanks for taking our questions. There’s obviously a lot of focus on how many cuts could be expected this year. But can you give us a sense of what one cut by the end of the year would actually do to the economy—what you think would be a me...
Hi, Chair Powell. Thank you for taking our questions. I’m Jo Ling Kent, with CBS News. What’s your message to Americans who are seeing encouraging economic data but don’t feel good about this economy?
JO LING KENT
[ { "content": "Hi, Chair Powell. Thank you for taking our questions. I’m Jo Ling Kent, with CBS News. What’s your message to Americans who are seeing encouraging economic data but don’t feel good about this economy?", "role": "user" }, { "content": "I, you know—I, I don’t think anyone knows—has a def...
Claire Jones, Financial Times. I’m just drawing on the change in the statement on there being “modest further progress” on inflation. You know, halfway, you know, through the year and after today’s CPI release, you know, what have you and other Committee members found that has been particularly encouraging to you? And ...
CLAIRE JONES
[ { "content": "Claire Jones, Financial Times. I’m just drawing on the change in the statement on there being “modest further progress” on inflation. You know, halfway, you know, through the year and after today’s CPI release, you know, what have you and other Committee members found that has been particularly en...
Edward Lawrence, with Fox Business. Thank you for taking the question, Chair Powell. So I want to go back to jobs and the consumer. The last jobs report showed that over the past year, 634,000 more people took multiple jobs. That’s up 8.2 percent. And since January of 2021, we’ve seen prices rise 19 percent. So people ...
EDWARD LAWRENCE
[ { "content": "Edward Lawrence, with Fox Business. Thank you for taking the question, Chair Powell. So I want to go back to jobs and the consumer. The last jobs report showed that over the past year, 634,000 more people took multiple jobs. That’s up 8.2 percent. And since January of 2021, we’ve seen prices rise ...
Hi. Victoria Guida with Politico. You’ve mentioned that unexpected weakening in the labor market would, would bring rate cuts sooner. And I was just wondering—can you talk a little bit about what that would look like? Is it more of, like, a quicker pace of people losing jobs? Is it more the level of the unemployment ra...
VICTORIA GUIDA
[ { "content": "Hi. Victoria Guida with Politico. You’ve mentioned that unexpected weakening in the labor market would, would bring rate cuts sooner. And I was just wondering—can you talk a little bit about what that would look like? Is it more of, like, a quicker pace of people losing jobs? Is it more the level ...
Thank you, Chair Powell. Simon Rabinovitch with the Economist. May I ask—you mentioned, with the slightly higher PCE inflation readings earlier this year, that it wasn’t one or two months but three months that tipped you to be a bit more cautious in the rate outlook. Should we take from —you know, it looks like May wil...
SIMON RABINOVITCH
[ { "content": "Thank you, Chair Powell. Simon Rabinovitch with the Economist. May I ask—you mentioned, with the slightly higher PCE inflation readings earlier this year, that it wasn’t one or two months but three months that tipped you to be a bit more cautious in the rate outlook. Should we take from —you know,...
Thank you for doing this. I, I am Kosuke Takami, with Nikkei. I would like to know about the impact of a stronger dollar on U.S. economic growth and prices. And I have no doubt that markets should determine the exchange rate, but in—Japan and some emerging markets are suffering from the strong dollar. So I want to know...
KOSUKE TAKAMI
[ { "content": "Thank you for doing this. I, I am Kosuke Takami, with Nikkei. I would like to know about the impact of a stronger dollar on U.S. economic growth and prices. And I have no doubt that markets should determine the exchange rate, but in—Japan and some emerging markets are suffering from the strong dol...
Thank you, Chair Powell. Jennifer Schonberger, with Yahoo Finance. You said you would cut rates before inflation falls to 2 percent. You’re forecasting inflation to end the year at 2.8 percent on core PCE. We’re at 2.8 percent, of course, on core PCE. Right now, you said the inflation forecast is conservative and that ...
JENNIFER SCHONBERGER
[ { "content": "Thank you, Chair Powell. Jennifer Schonberger, with Yahoo Finance. You said you would cut rates before inflation falls to 2 percent. You’re forecasting inflation to end the year at 2.8 percent on core PCE. We’re at 2.8 percent, of course, on core PCE. Right now, you said the inflation forecast is ...
Thank you, Chair Powell. Evan Ryser with Market News International. You have mentioned before the framework review process will start in the latter half of the year. At this point, do you have any specific time frame for the start of that? Who will lead it? Will you be—will it be you or a member—a Committee group of yo...
EVAN RYSER
[ { "content": "Thank you, Chair Powell. Evan Ryser with Market News International. You have mentioned before the framework review process will start in the latter half of the year. At this point, do you have any specific time frame for the start of that? Who will lead it? Will you be—will it be you or a member—a...
-GENZER. Hi, Chair Powell. Nancy Marshall-Genzer, with Marketplace. Just one more question on housing—can you still cut rates with shelter prices high, or will you wait until they start to moderate a bit?
NANCY MARSHALL
[ { "content": "-GENZER. Hi, Chair Powell. Nancy Marshall-Genzer, with Marketplace. Just one more question on housing—can you still cut rates with shelter prices high, or will you wait until they start to moderate a bit?", "role": "user" }, { "content": "I wouldn’t—there isn’t any one thing—one variab...
Thank you. Chris Rugaber at Associated Press. I wanted to ask, how should we interpret the addition of the word “any” before “additional... firming” in the statement? I mean, does that mean that you’re pretty much done with rate hikes and the Committee has shifted away from a tightening bias and toward a more neutral s...
CHRISTOPHER RUGABER
[ { "content": "Thank you. Chris Rugaber at Associated Press. I wanted to ask, how should we interpret the addition of the word “any” before “additional... firming” in the statement? I mean, does that mean that you’re pretty much done with rate hikes and the Committee has shifted away from a tightening bias and t...
Steve Liesman, CNBC. Happy holidays, Mr. Chairman. Fed Governor Chris Waller said that if inflation continues to fall, then the Fed in the next several months could be cutting interest rates. I wonder if you could comment on whether you agree with Fed Governor Waller on that, that the Fed would become more restrictive ...
STEVE LIESMAN
[ { "content": "Steve Liesman, CNBC. Happy holidays, Mr. Chairman. Fed Governor Chris Waller said that if inflation continues to fall, then the Fed in the next several months could be cutting interest rates. I wonder if you could comment on whether you agree with Fed Governor Waller on that, that the Fed would be...
Hi, Chair Powell. Rachel Siegel from the Washington Post. Thanks for taking our questions. At this point, can you confidently say that the economy has avoided a recession and isn’t heading for one now? And if the answer is “no,” I’m curious about what you’d still be looking for. Thanks.
RACHEL SIEGEL
[ { "content": "Hi, Chair Powell. Rachel Siegel from the Washington Post. Thanks for taking our questions. At this point, can you confidently say that the economy has avoided a recession and isn’t heading for one now? And if the answer is “no,” I’m curious about what you’d still be looking for. Thanks.", "rol...
Thanks. Howard Schneider with Reuters, and thanks for taking the questions. I, I wonder if you could give a little more color or detail on what—on what motivates the lower rates next year, whether it’s a coincidence, for example, that the spread between PCE inflation, core inflation, and the federal funds rate stays co...
HOWARD SCHNEIDER
[ { "content": "Thanks. Howard Schneider with Reuters, and thanks for taking the questions. I, I wonder if you could give a little more color or detail on what—on what motivates the lower rates next year, whether it’s a coincidence, for example, that the spread between PCE inflation, core inflation, and the feder...
Nick Timiraos of the Wall Street Journal. Chair Powell, you’ve argued over the last year that policy tightening started before you actually lifted off because the market anticipated your moves and tightened on your behalf. The market is now easing policy on your behalf by anticipating a funds rate by next September tha...
NICK TIMIRAOS
[ { "content": "Nick Timiraos of the Wall Street Journal. Chair Powell, you’ve argued over the last year that policy tightening started before you actually lifted off because the market anticipated your moves and tightened on your behalf. The market is now easing policy on your behalf by anticipating a funds rate...
Jeanna Smialek, New York Times. Thanks for taking our questions. In the SEP from today, real GDP growth is notably below potential in 2024. If growth were to surprise us again in the way that it has for years now by being stronger than expected next year, would it still be possible to cut rates? Or, put another way, is...
JEANNA SMIALEK
[ { "content": "Jeanna Smialek, New York Times. Thanks for taking our questions. In the SEP from today, real GDP growth is notably below potential in 2024. If growth were to surprise us again in the way that it has for years now by being stronger than expected next year, would it still be possible to cut rates? O...
Hi, Chair Powell. Neil Irwin with Axios. How do you interpret the state of the labor market right now? And, in particular, you’ve referred even today to evidence that it’s coming into better balance. What would you need to see to conclude that it has reached that balance?
NEIL IRWIN
[ { "content": "Hi, Chair Powell. Neil Irwin with Axios. How do you interpret the state of the labor market right now? And, in particular, you’ve referred even today to evidence that it’s coming into better balance. What would you need to see to conclude that it has reached that balance?", "role": "user" },...
Claire Jones, Financial Times. You know, I’d say the mood among economists at the moment seems to be one of cautious optimism, which is somewhat corroborated by your forecast by the sense that we are going to have a soft landing. Yet when we—when we hear from the general public, there’s a lot of discord about economic ...
CLAIRE JONES
[ { "content": "Claire Jones, Financial Times. You know, I’d say the mood among economists at the moment seems to be one of cautious optimism, which is somewhat corroborated by your forecast by the sense that we are going to have a soft landing. Yet when we—when we hear from the general public, there’s a lot of d...
Hi. Victoria Guida with Politico. I wanted to ask, you know, on, on the flip side of if things start to deteriorate rapidly, if we do fall into a recession, if we do start to see unemployment rise, at the levels of inflation that we’re seeing now, how would you all think about that in terms of rate cuts? Would that be ...
VICTORIA GUIDA
[ { "content": "Hi. Victoria Guida with Politico. I wanted to ask, you know, on, on the flip side of if things start to deteriorate rapidly, if we do fall into a recession, if we do start to see unemployment rise, at the levels of inflation that we’re seeing now, how would you all think about that in terms of rat...
Michael McKee from Bloomberg Television and Radio. Mr. Chairman, you were, by your own admission, behind the curve in starting to raise rates to fight inflation, and you said earlier, again, “the full effects of our tightening (cycle) have not yet been felt.” How will you decide when to cut rates, and how will you ensu...
MICHAEL MCKEE
[ { "content": "Michael McKee from Bloomberg Television and Radio. Mr. Chairman, you were, by your own admission, behind the curve in starting to raise rates to fight inflation, and you said earlier, again, “the full effects of our tightening (cycle) have not yet been felt.” How will you decide when to cut rates,...
Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Edward Lawrence of Fox Business. So if the Fed cuts rates as the dot plot is, is showing, about 75 basis points, does that signal that there’s a belief of weakness next year in the economy?
EDWARD LAWRENCE
[ { "content": "Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Edward Lawrence of Fox Business. So if the Fed cuts rates as the dot plot is, is showing, about 75 basis points, does that signal that there’s a belief of weakness next year in the economy?", "role": "user" }, { "content": "It wouldn’t, if that were to—first of...
Catarina Saraiva of Bloomberg News. Thanks for taking our questions. I just wanted to ask a little bit about, you know, we had some pretty positive data this, you know, this morning and yesterday. I’m assuming those were not incorporated into the forecast we see today, but I just wanted to ask, you know, how that adds ...
CATARINA SARAIVA
[ { "content": "Catarina Saraiva of Bloomberg News. Thanks for taking our questions. I just wanted to ask a little bit about, you know, we had some pretty positive data this, you know, this morning and yesterday. I’m assuming those were not incorporated into the forecast we see today, but I just wanted to ask, yo...
Thank you, Chair Powell. Jennifer Schonberger with Yahoo Finance. You said back in July that you needed to start cutting rates before getting to 2 percent inflation. As you mentioned, PCE inflation is now running at 3½ on core. On a six- month annual basis, core PCE is running at 2½ percent, though when you look at sup...
JENNIFER SCHONBERGER
[ { "content": "Thank you, Chair Powell. Jennifer Schonberger with Yahoo Finance. You said back in July that you needed to start cutting rates before getting to 2 percent inflation. As you mentioned, PCE inflation is now running at 3½ on core. On a six- month annual basis, core PCE is running at 2½ percent, thoug...
Hi, Chair Powell. Jean Yung with Market News. I wanted to go back to the stickiness-of-inflation question. Over the past couple of years, a lot of central bankers have talked about the more difficult last mile of getting inflation back down to 2 percent, yet it’s also been surprising how fast inflation has come down th...
JEAN YUNG
[ { "content": "Hi, Chair Powell. Jean Yung with Market News. I wanted to go back to the stickiness-of-inflation question. Over the past couple of years, a lot of central bankers have talked about the more difficult last mile of getting inflation back down to 2 percent, yet it’s also been surprising how fast infl...
Hi, Chair Powell. Thanks for taking our questions. Megan Cassella with Barron’s. I want to ask about the balance sheet given the Fed’s focus now on proceeding carefully and considering rate cuts. And can you talk us through what the latest thinking is, and has there been any consideration of altering the pace of quanti...
MEGAN CASSELLA
[ { "content": "Hi, Chair Powell. Thanks for taking our questions. Megan Cassella with Barron’s. I want to ask about the balance sheet given the Fed’s focus now on proceeding carefully and considering rate cuts. And can you talk us through what the latest thinking is, and has there been any consideration of alter...
Hi. Jeanna Smialek, New York Times. Thanks for taking our questions. I wonder if you could tell us whether we should read the statement today as a suggestion that the Committee is prepared to pause interest rate increases in June. And I also wonder if the Fed staff has in any way revised their forecast for a mild reces...
JEANNA SMIALEK
[ { "content": "Hi. Jeanna Smialek, New York Times. Thanks for taking our questions. I wonder if you could tell us whether we should read the statement today as a suggestion that the Committee is prepared to pause interest rate increases in June. And I also wonder if the Fed staff has in any way revised their for...
Thank you, Chair Powell. Rachel Siegel from the Washington Post. Thanks for taking our questions. I’m wondering if you can talk about the account of possible effects of a debt-limit standoff. You’ve said repeatedly that the ceiling must be raised, but do you see any economics effects of even getting close to a default?...
RACHEL SIEGEL
[ { "content": "Thank you, Chair Powell. Rachel Siegel from the Washington Post. Thanks for taking our questions. I’m wondering if you can talk about the account of possible effects of a debt-limit standoff. You’ve said repeatedly that the ceiling must be raised, but do you see any economics effects of even getti...
Mr. Chairman, can you—oh, thank you. Steve Liesman, CNBC. Can you tell us what the Federal Reserve Board did in the wake of that February presentation where you were informed that Silicon Valley Bank and other banks were experiencing interest rate risks? And can you tell me what supervisory actions you’ve done in the w...
STEVE LIESMAN
[ { "content": "Mr. Chairman, can you—oh, thank you. Steve Liesman, CNBC. Can you tell us what the Federal Reserve Board did in the wake of that February presentation where you were informed that Silicon Valley Bank and other banks were experiencing interest rate risks? And can you tell me what supervisory action...
Hi, Chair Powell. I wanted to ask—obviously, with the recent bank turmoil, we’ve seen multiple banks buy other banks. And I was just curious whether you think that further consolidation in the banking sector would increase or decrease financial stability and whether you have any concerns about the biggest bank in the U...
VICTORIA GUIDA
[ { "content": "Hi, Chair Powell. I wanted to ask—obviously, with the recent bank turmoil, we’ve seen multiple banks buy other banks. And I was just curious whether you think that further consolidation in the banking sector would increase or decrease financial stability and whether you have any concerns about the...
Thank you. Colby Smith with the Financial Times. At the March meeting, you mentioned that tightening of credit conditions from the recent bank stress could be equal to one or more rate increases. So, given developments since then, how has your estimate changed?
COLBY SMITH
[ { "content": "Thank you. Colby Smith with the Financial Times. At the March meeting, you mentioned that tightening of credit conditions from the recent bank stress could be equal to one or more rate increases. So, given developments since then, how has your estimate changed?", "role": "user" }, { "c...
Howard Schneider with Reuters. Thank you. So, noting that the statement dropped the reference to “sufficiently” restricted—“restrictive,” I was wondering, given your baseline outlook, whether you feel this current rate of 5 to 5¼ percent is, in fact, sufficiently restrictive.
HOWARD SCHNEIDER
[ { "content": "Howard Schneider with Reuters. Thank you. So, noting that the statement dropped the reference to “sufficiently” restricted—“restrictive,” I was wondering, given your baseline outlook, whether you feel this current rate of 5 to 5¼ percent is, in fact, sufficiently restrictive.", "role": "user" ...
Nick Timiraos, Wall Street Journal. Chair Powell, the argument around the end of last year and the beginning of this year to slow down the pace of increases was to give yourself time to study the effects of those moves. After the bank failures in March, as you’ve discussed, the Fed staff projected a recession starting ...
NICK TIMIRAOS
[ { "content": "Nick Timiraos, Wall Street Journal. Chair Powell, the argument around the end of last year and the beginning of this year to slow down the pace of increases was to give yourself time to study the effects of those moves. After the bank failures in March, as you’ve discussed, the Fed staff projected...
Thank you very much, Chair Powell. Edward Lawrence with Fox Business. So if the Federal Reserve gets down to the 3 percent inflation, as the projections show, at the end of this year or close to it, would it be okay for you for a prolonged period of 3 percent inflation and hoping for some outside event to move down to ...
EDWARD LAWRENCE
[ { "content": "Thank you very much, Chair Powell. Edward Lawrence with Fox Business. So if the Federal Reserve gets down to the 3 percent inflation, as the projections show, at the end of this year or close to it, would it be okay for you for a prolonged period of 3 percent inflation and hoping for some outside ...
Hi, Chair Powell. Matthew Boesler with Bloomberg News. So, many analysts noted at the time of the March FOMC meeting that at least half of Fed officials’ projections did imply or seemed to imply that a recession was in their baseline forecast as well, given the strong first-quarter GDP tracking estimates. And so I’m ju...
MATTHEW BOESLER
[ { "content": "Hi, Chair Powell. Matthew Boesler with Bloomberg News. So, many analysts noted at the time of the March FOMC meeting that at least half of Fed officials’ projections did imply or seemed to imply that a recession was in their baseline forecast as well, given the strong first-quarter GDP tracking es...
Great. Chris Rugaber at Associated Press. Well, you mentioned profit margins. Those have expanded—did expand sharply during this inflationary period. And while there are some signs that they are starting to decline, many economists note they haven’t fallen as much as might be expected, given that we’re seeing at least ...
CHRIS RUGABER
[ { "content": "Great. Chris Rugaber at Associated Press. Well, you mentioned profit margins. Those have expanded—did expand sharply during this inflationary period. And while there are some signs that they are starting to decline, many economists note they haven’t fallen as much as might be expected, given that ...
Michael McKee for Bloomberg Radio and Television. Can you tell us something about what your policy reaction function is—your policy framework is going forward? When you look at the economy at the next meeting, are you looking at incoming data, which is, by definition, backward looking? Are you going to be forecasting w...
MICHAEL MCKEE
[ { "content": "Michael McKee for Bloomberg Radio and Television. Can you tell us something about what your policy reaction function is—your policy framework is going forward? When you look at the economy at the next meeting, are you looking at incoming data, which is, by definition, backward looking? Are you goi...
Courtenay Brown from Axios. I’m curious how you view the role of the overnight reverse repo facility in the context of the current banking stress. Do you think it’s contributing to the stress by making it more attractive for money market funds to compete with banks for deposits? And did the Committee discuss any change...
COURTENAY BROWN
[ { "content": "Courtenay Brown from Axios. I’m curious how you view the role of the overnight reverse repo facility in the context of the current banking stress. Do you think it’s contributing to the stress by making it more attractive for money market funds to compete with banks for deposits? And did the Commit...
-WICE. Sarah Ewall-Wice, CBS News. I want to go back to the debt ceiling for a moment. I know you talked about that in terms of fiscal policy, but can you just speak towards what the impact of a default would mean for Americans across the country, the markets, and borrowing?
SARAH EWALL
[ { "content": "-WICE. Sarah Ewall-Wice, CBS News. I want to go back to the debt ceiling for a moment. I know you talked about that in terms of fiscal policy, but can you just speak towards what the impact of a default would mean for Americans across the country, the markets, and borrowing?", "role": "user" ...
Thanks, Mr. Chairman. Scott Horsley for NPR. In his report last week, Vice Chair Barr identified a couple of the factors that he thought contributed to the regulatory—or the supervisory lapses at Silicon Valley Bank: a policy change in 2019 to exempt all but the biggest banks from strict scrutiny and also what he calle...
SCOTT HORSLEY
[ { "content": "Thanks, Mr. Chairman. Scott Horsley for NPR. In his report last week, Vice Chair Barr identified a couple of the factors that he thought contributed to the regulatory—or the supervisory lapses at Silicon Valley Bank: a policy change in 2019 to exempt all but the biggest banks from strict scrutiny ...
Thank you. Evan Ryser with MNI Market News. Chair Powell, are we in the early stage or nearing the end stage of the banking turmoil among regional banks? And, secondly, do you still have a bias to tighten rates? Is that what the statement is saying?
EVAN RYSER
[ { "content": "Thank you. Evan Ryser with MNI Market News. Chair Powell, are we in the early stage or nearing the end stage of the banking turmoil among regional banks? And, secondly, do you still have a bias to tighten rates? Is that what the statement is saying?", "role": "user" }, { "content": "So...
Thank you, Fed Chairman. Greg Robb from MarketWatch. I just wondered if you’ve done any reflection on, on your own actions during this crisis and leading up to it over the last—since you’ve been Fed Chairman, I think I’ve heard you say a couple of times that you deferred to the Vice Chair for Supervision. Do you think ...
GREG ROBB
[ { "content": "Thank you, Fed Chairman. Greg Robb from MarketWatch. I just wondered if you’ve done any reflection on, on your own actions during this crisis and leading up to it over the last—since you’ve been Fed Chairman, I think I’ve heard you say a couple of times that you deferred to the Vice Chair for Supe...
Hi, there. Megan Cassella with Barron’s. Did the possibility of pausing at this meeting come up at all, and how seriously was that considered? I’m curious if you can give us any color as to whether there were any initial concerns about raising rates again or what those discussions entailed.
MEGAN CASSELLA
[ { "content": "Hi, there. Megan Cassella with Barron’s. Did the possibility of pausing at this meeting come up at all, and how seriously was that considered? I’m curious if you can give us any color as to whether there were any initial concerns about raising rates again or what those discussions entailed.", ...
-GENZER. Hi, Chair Powell. Nancy Marshall-Genzer with Marketplace. You mentioned a few times about the lessons you’ve learned from the banking crisis—that you would learn the right lessons. What are those lessons?
NANCY MARSHALL
[ { "content": "-GENZER. Hi, Chair Powell. Nancy Marshall-Genzer with Marketplace. You mentioned a few times about the lessons you’ve learned from the banking crisis—that you would learn the right lessons. What are those lessons?", "role": "user" }, { "content": "Well, I just would start with somethin...
Thank you. Colby Smith with the Financial Times. What makes the Committee inclined to think that the fed funds rate at this level is not yet sufficiently restrictive, especially when officials are forecasting a slightly more benign inflation outlook for this year? There’s noted uncertainty about policy lags. Headwinds ...
COLBY SMITH
[ { "content": "Thank you. Colby Smith with the Financial Times. What makes the Committee inclined to think that the fed funds rate at this level is not yet sufficiently restrictive, especially when officials are forecasting a slightly more benign inflation outlook for this year? There’s noted uncertainty about p...
Hi, Chair Powell. Rachel Siegel from the Washington Post. Thanks for taking our questions. How would you characterize the debate around another hike or holding steady? Is it discussion around lag times, fear of too much slowing, too little slowing? Could you walk us through what this disagreement was about at the meeti...
RACHEL SIEGEL
[ { "content": "Hi, Chair Powell. Rachel Siegel from the Washington Post. Thanks for taking our questions. How would you characterize the debate around another hike or holding steady? Is it discussion around lag times, fear of too much slowing, too little slowing? Could you walk us through what this disagreement ...
Steve Liesman, CNBC. Mr. Chairman, I want to return to Colby’s question here. What is it saying about the Committee’s view of the inflation dynamic in the economy that you achieve the same forecast inflation rate for next year but need another half a point of the funds rate on it? Does it tell you that—does it tell us ...
STEVE LIESMAN
[ { "content": "Steve Liesman, CNBC. Mr. Chairman, I want to return to Colby’s question here. What is it saying about the Committee’s view of the inflation dynamic in the economy that you achieve the same forecast inflation rate for next year but need another half a point of the funds rate on it? Does it tell you...
Howard Schneider with Reuters. Thank you. So you’ve said several times that the economy needed a period of below-trend growth to get inflation consistently back to 2 percent. You get that in 2024 a little bit—1.5 percent is just a touch below what’s the estimate of potential. So the fact that you’re getting so much don...
HOWARD SCHNEIDER
[ { "content": "Howard Schneider with Reuters. Thank you. So you’ve said several times that the economy needed a period of below-trend growth to get inflation consistently back to 2 percent. You get that in 2024 a little bit—1.5 percent is just a touch below what’s the estimate of potential. So the fact that you’...
Nick Timiraos, the Wall Street Journal. Chair Powell, both you and Vice Chair Williams have indicated that “sufficiently restrictive” will be judged on a real rather than nominal basis, implying some scope for nominal rate cuts next year—provided further compelling evidence that price pressures will continue to subside...
NICK TIMIRAOS
[ { "content": "Nick Timiraos, the Wall Street Journal. Chair Powell, both you and Vice Chair Williams have indicated that “sufficiently restrictive” will be judged on a real rather than nominal basis, implying some scope for nominal rate cuts next year—provided further compelling evidence that price pressures wi...
Thanks, Chair Powell. Following up on Nick’s question, actually—John Williams, the New York Fed president, obviously, has said things to the effect of, “Next year, as we see inflation kind of”—again, to Nick’s point—“as, as we see inflation coming down, we’re going to need to reduce interest rates to make sure that we’...
JEANNA SMIALEK
[ { "content": "Thanks, Chair Powell. Following up on Nick’s question, actually—John Williams, the New York Fed president, obviously, has said things to the effect of, “Next year, as we see inflation kind of”—again, to Nick’s point—“as, as we see inflation coming down, we’re going to need to reduce interest rates...
Thanks so much, Chair Powell. Neil Irwin with Axios. I wonder—how do you think about the question of whether the strong GDP growth we’ve been seeing is driven by excess demand versus supply-side factors, productivity, labor force growth? And, relatedly, if GDP keeps coming in “hot,” even in the absence of inflation res...
NEIL IRWIN
[ { "content": "Thanks so much, Chair Powell. Neil Irwin with Axios. I wonder—how do you think about the question of whether the strong GDP growth we’ve been seeing is driven by excess demand versus supply-side factors, productivity, labor force growth? And, relatedly, if GDP keeps coming in “hot,” even in the ab...
Hi. Victoria Guido with Politico. There are multiple external factors that are playing out right now. We see rising oil prices. We see auto workers striking. There’s the looming, very real possibility of a government shutdown. And I was just wondering, for each of those things, could you talk about how you’re thinking ...
VICTORIA GUIDA
[ { "content": "Hi. Victoria Guido with Politico. There are multiple external factors that are playing out right now. We see rising oil prices. We see auto workers striking. There’s the looming, very real possibility of a government shutdown. And I was just wondering, for each of those things, could you talk abou...
Craig Torres from Bloomberg News. I was a little surprised, Chair Powell, to hear you say that a soft landing is not a primary objective. This economy’s seeing added supply in a way that could create long-term inflation stability. We have prime-age labor force participation moving up where people can add skills. Worker...
CRAIG TORRES
[ { "content": "Craig Torres from Bloomberg News. I was a little surprised, Chair Powell, to hear you say that a soft landing is not a primary objective. This economy’s seeing added supply in a way that could create long-term inflation stability. We have prime-age labor force participation moving up where people ...
Hi. Thank you. Chris Rugaber at Associated Press. When you look at the disinflation that has taken place so far, do you see it mostly as a result of what some economists are calling “the low-hanging fruit”—such as the unwinding of supply chain snarls and other pandemic disruptions—or is it more a broad disinflationary ...
CHRISTOPHER RUGABER
[ { "content": "Hi. Thank you. Chris Rugaber at Associated Press. When you look at the disinflation that has taken place so far, do you see it mostly as a result of what some economists are calling “the low-hanging fruit”—such as the unwinding of supply chain snarls and other pandemic disruptions—or is it more a ...
Michael McKee from Bloomberg Television and Radio. In June, you forecast a 5.6 percent year-end median fed funds rate, and since then, you’ve more than doubled your growth forecast. You lowered your unemployment forecast significantly. So, what would justify that last move, because the median forecast is for lower infl...
MICHAEL MCKEE
[ { "content": "Michael McKee from Bloomberg Television and Radio. In June, you forecast a 5.6 percent year-end median fed funds rate, and since then, you’ve more than doubled your growth forecast. You lowered your unemployment forecast significantly. So, what would justify that last move, because the median fore...
Thank you, Chair Powell. Jennifer Schonberger with Yahoo Finance. With your focus on year-over-year PCE, isn’t it true that base effects are huge and that by the time you meet in November, that it’s more likely that you’ll have a low PCE number that would make you feel more comfortable? And, secondly, how would the lac...
JENNIFER SCHONBERGER
[ { "content": "Thank you, Chair Powell. Jennifer Schonberger with Yahoo Finance. With your focus on year-over-year PCE, isn’t it true that base effects are huge and that by the time you meet in November, that it’s more likely that you’ll have a low PCE number that would make you feel more comfortable? And, secon...