question_id stringlengths 0 66 | condition_id stringlengths 0 66 | question stringlengths 2 118 | description stringlengths 159 1.79k | end_date_iso stringdate 2024-12-31 00:00:00 2026-02-28 00:00:00 ⌀ | active bool 2 classes | closed bool 2 classes | market_slug stringlengths 12 132 | tags listlengths 1 17 ⌀ | is_50_50 bool 2 classes | yes_price float64 0 1 ⌀ | no_price float64 0 1 ⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0x10011969096cef59efb78563bb4bec049c51222a60fceae94992d48b57687663 | 0xad8bfe690b0c308b752a811b81297dbce16fd53ccc992212653102ba4ae8a4c1 | St. Mary's vs. Gonzaga | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 22 at 8:00PM ET:
If the St. Mary's win, the market will resolve to “St. Mary's”.
If the Gonzaga win, the market will resolve to “Gonzaga”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-02T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-smc-gonz-2025-02-22 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0xa27ad01ef537c833a2f9352b3712837b410f183874a6e0048d0a1c3033c9b9ac | 0x61445fa20cab82610b356af29d98a73b6b75a183f5997a00d2c901fd50881276 | Will Jack Dorsey confirm he is Satoshi before May? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jack Dorsey publicly confirms he is Bitcoin creator "Satoshi Nakamoto", or part of a collective called "Satoshi Nakamoto", by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Only credible announcements will qualify. Announcements that are jokes, or otherwise aren't credible won't count.
If Dorsey denies being Bitcoin's creator Satoshi Nakamoto between February 20, and April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is public statements from Jack Dorsey.
| 2025-04-30T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-jack-dorsey-confirm-he-is-satoshi-before-may | [
"Crypto",
"Bitcoin",
"satoshi nakamoto"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xb829f24cf0fb7b67c17ef49dcf792ab9a58a321921749448ecfa4b480804aff9 | 0xbafccb5f7fcb1deb404b5bec6996502dddb435f82983981698c2e0ea68b8c3da | Nuggets vs. Bucks | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for February 27 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Denver Nuggets win, the market will resolve to “Nuggets”.
If the Milwaukee Bucks win, the market will resolve to “Bucks”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-07T00:00:00Z | true | true | nba-den-mil-2025-02-27 | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0x1ba48912bc5b974b06e92307c990e8c62e2235e2c3b761f659acc7c725697862 | 0xde0c35c6f5ef57187778ea522fb18f657edaa96eeab95b9ea96a43fa0dc360ee | Drake vs. Northern Iowa | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 23 at 4:00PM ET:
If the Drake win, the market will resolve to “Drake”.
If the Northern Iowa win, the market will resolve to “Northern Iowa”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-02T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-drke-uni-2025-02-23 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x687fbf6ce75763821c53cf26e6b838de47350eb1dc489a681036afcb4925825f | 0xf07a9d08365c2f0f8d9f163d5a20bcf83c7e11d43ea83dcc302168f954d87dba | Will Trump say "IQ" at CPAC conference on Saturday? | Donald Trump is scheduled to speak at the upcoming Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) conference scheduled for Saturday, February 22, 2025. You can read more about that here: https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/5154914-donald-trump-speaking-cpac-2025/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his speech at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this appearance is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Only Trump’s keynote speech will count toward the resolution of this market. Any Q&A, interviews, or other instances of Trump publicly speaking will not be considered.
The resolution source will be video of the speech. | 2025-02-22T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-trump-say-iq-at-cpac-conference-on-saturday | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Mentions"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xb4e098b4cb6ebf9c611ceff291a453b44fbc5d45439446261a2a936310508f00 | 0xe51245d2716359eda92c7138fbe92d6085e9bfae79260190772bdc09da4aefcf | Will the price of gas be 3.14 or less on February 28? | This market will resolve according to the average US regular gas price according to AAA on February 28, 2025.
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.". | 2025-02-28T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-price-of-gas-be-3pt14-or-less-on-february-28 | [
"Economy",
"Commodities",
"Recurring"
] | false | 1 | 0 |
0xbc0085418cfb5849c66b1cbe70b9cea24bcd5fa385526956eb27bdf75403ef03 | 0x54d14de2e55e662b42a906ee0bd8490acc74b4559e924c69139bb54398156614 | Will the highest temperature in London be between 49-50°F on February 25? | This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 25, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
| 2025-02-25T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-49-50f-on-february-25 | [
"Weather"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x08d1d5af5ff1a07e9bc0a61574af073dc37126f11ade0301f85327c850280e8d | 0x1275b1405adc6d99f10ca4ce6931028e1ecbf54c74181a293067eef7d70e6f67 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Prairie View A&M | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 22 at 5:30PM ET:
If the Arkansas-Pine Bluff win, the market will resolve to “Arkansas-Pine Bluff”.
If the Prairie View A&M win, the market will resolve to “Prairie View A&M”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-01T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-arpb-pv-2025-02-22 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x17bc781409748643eea51b04a09593065c8a845aef9ba4e0297ec5c5f1bb2b00 | 0x6a4ef69e6648e9dea7b5e6dfa257cd7507cee91145245cd3a430ef0202da0602 | Will the highest temperature in NYC be 48°F or below on February 25? | This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 25, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. | 2025-02-25T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-48f-or-below-on-february-25 | [
"Weather"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x4057b44fbef77987a55bbe72a253de077ca3b875919409fbce92dc67759c3b1b | 0x26d06cc7cf95eb4996b2b609246c7db71bd4de2db97c6ea58fac709e1642312f | Ohio vs. Western Michigan | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 25 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Ohio win, the market will resolve to “Ohio”.
If the Western Michigan win, the market will resolve to “Western Michigan”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-05T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-ohio-wmu-2025-02-25 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0xb5857c368db06a21b2abe7adfd645867130a3cd7064565a5ce017b41050c0d05 | 0x00859065091b1959e4d6e68555d57a511a03775f828f7d24a7a85b93847b8a9b | Will Kanye name his token Portnoy? | This market will resolve according to the ticker of the first token Kanye West is confirmed to have launched between February 22, and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
Only tokens which are confirmed to have been launched by Kanye West, either through posts from official social media channels, or otherwise confirmed by public statements will qualify.
The token must be actively transferrable and/or tradable, announcements alone will not qualify.
If Kanye does not launch a token by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “No token before April”.
| 2025-03-31T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-kanye-name-his-token-portnoy | [
"Politics",
"Crypto",
"Kanye"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xeb46a444d15885350fbe4e5226315ef5f5a4e69d09c6c8f238fdf304898268eb | 0x621319f1f6f3a006726661c2e097c6e17530c35399569895de59d871027eaba5 | Will Grok still be #1 Free app next Friday? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Grok iOS app is the #1 app in the United States iPhone Apple App Store for the Top Free Apps category, on February 28, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is information from Apple (see: https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone/top-free-apps/36). | 2025-02-28T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-grok-remain-1-free-app-next-friday | [
"Business",
"Elon Musk",
"AI",
"Tech"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x7caedcdd3248385c7deb65754a7afe86eb03371ff4cbd32df659f9ebec62bce6 | 0xc78f33a01f718dd593187e9e93f35acd2519f3bf2c205d9658c52f66fc33a743 | Nets vs. Wizards | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for February 24 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Brooklyn Nets win, the market will resolve to “Nets”.
If the Washington Wizards win, the market will resolve to “Wizards”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-04T00:00:00Z | true | true | nba-bkn-was-2025-02-24 | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0xcfdaf66a6b75effd34a9b905b1ab7a5e971fbc946e6a377abd9305d50144ddde | 0xb956a0e6213fe0df57d84ffa5bbbff666f1d3ddd0779b3c2976024f84b096bad | Oilers vs. Lightning | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for February 25 at 7:30PM ET:
If the Edmonton Oilers win, the market will resolve to “Oilers”.
If the Tampa Bay Lightning win, the market will resolve to “Lightning”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-05T00:00:00Z | true | true | nhl-edm-tb-2025-02-25 | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0xb4e098b4cb6ebf9c611ceff291a453b44fbc5d45439446261a2a936310508f04 | 0x79cb893c7963d7a25b355502dfef29530800a602edaf7e6d17ea044463d4ca97 | Will the price of gas be 3.18 or higher on February 28? | This market will resolve according to the average US regular gas price according to AAA on February 28, 2025.
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.". | 2025-02-28T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-price-of-gas-be-3pt18-or-higher-on-february-28 | [
"Economy",
"Commodities",
"Recurring"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x91d5e8bb28ef715063ce8eb387ecb45a778036805351da2a356ab335c757f405 | 0x22e1a384d1c81c859f1acefe179b2fa16d6604a534f74185fa422be81f1c1e4c | Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 47-48°F on February 23? | This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 23, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. | 2025-02-23T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-47-48f-on-february-23 | [
"Weather",
"New York City",
"Recurring"
] | false | 1 | 0 |
0x6ee7393e95d2ed3e1c53187e0eee0996bedea17fc31ede274e3e32b60806ac73 | 0x2e6e59d86be37cdda712af50e05526c4e6c3c6a72b537d4e4c9e57942be77084 | Northwestern State vs. SE Louisiana | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 24 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Northwestern State win, the market will resolve to “Northwestern State”.
If the SE Louisiana win, the market will resolve to “SE Louisiana”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-04T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-nwst-sela-2025-02-24 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x7b49d72afb9ea14ae05f859f26487b14df679f16b6872d8e077f32bb128d3b0a | 0x497632f48af50d34ba72dd6b0956c492acdb0aa734b9e0fbfcb05ae0a7879c5e | Raptors vs. Bulls | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for February 28 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Toronto Raptors win, the market will resolve to “Raptors”.
If the Chicago Bulls win, the market will resolve to “Bulls”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-08T00:00:00Z | true | true | nba-tor-chi-2025-02-28 | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0x5ebdc37597757f7f70453e770a2f8f8594803148ab8e98adcc1138aa8823b500 | 0x49e6c761831498dc6ab6fe16b7a1a9df9946a6c60175d93d821941e72431c621 | Will Brighton win on 2025-03-08? | In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for March 8 at 10:00AM ET,
If Brighton wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Brighton loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve “No”. | 2025-03-08T00:00:00Z | true | true | epl-bri-ful-2025-03-08-bri | [
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false | 1 | 0 |
0x6af3687bce2b4a7bac1d2eb178567cfcb82aae2fbbc74fa2b538a74e5875e901 | 0x99146a52ffa1d82191515b799c634c8770aadce3800ec8abd206ba7173283116 | Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 42-43°F on February 24? | This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 24, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. | 2025-02-24T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-42-43f-on-february-24 | [
"Weather",
"New York City"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x11bbfe28faba05f621b0bc8a4cde0ce03d482ef9f534bab840da61bda813dd6b | 0x1fbfd1bc394df6357e3b764fe7711e8184ae51ab6ca4e326db1935a944f256b9 | Celtics vs. Raptors | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for February 25 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Boston Celtics win, the market will resolve to “Celtics”.
If the Toronto Raptors win, the market will resolve to “Raptors”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-05T00:00:00Z | true | true | nba-bos-tor-2025-02-25 | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0xe3ba603131658cf5f0ff129c96d255fb1de1172b2bd10655b06d549521d6df21 | 0xec92e039e0fa92460be26300d37df585eb6e0456644d71e6b92b7b73439ec69d | Will Trump say "Putin" at CPAC conference on Saturday? | Donald Trump is scheduled to speak at the upcoming Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) conference scheduled for Saturday, February 22, 2025. You can read more about that here: https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/5154914-donald-trump-speaking-cpac-2025/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his speech at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this appearance is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Only Trump’s keynote speech will count toward the resolution of this market. Any Q&A, interviews, or other instances of Trump publicly speaking will not be considered.
The resolution source will be video of the speech. | 2025-02-22T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-trump-say-putin-at-cpac-conference-on-saturday | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Mentions"
] | false | 1 | 0 |
0xb5857c368db06a21b2abe7adfd645867130a3cd7064565a5ce017b41050c0d00 | 0x030cb399b6f53a43a108b678af8832cafc2e538347c619f371061784d29c2100 | Will Kanye name his token Swasticoin? | This market will resolve according to the ticker of the first token Kanye West is confirmed to have launched between February 22, and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
Only tokens which are confirmed to have been launched by Kanye West, either through posts from official social media channels, or otherwise confirmed by public statements will qualify.
The token must be actively transferrable and/or tradable, announcements alone will not qualify.
If Kanye does not launch a token by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “No token before April”. | 2025-03-31T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-kanye-name-his-token-swasticoin | [
"Politics",
"Crypto",
"Kanye"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x074b97e239c96c3ca65745597e22f1ab40b0a3fa04b4a1f56b822bca8c7bd457 | 0xd5fbf3fda9aa722665aa31bd479e746a15fe28ed185e6ecf04def24918727b63 | Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" 15 or more times during his Feb 20 Republican Governors Association appearance? | Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver remarks to the Republican Governors Association on February 20 (https://www.c-span.org/event/white-house-event/president-trump-remarks-at-republican-governors-association/431090).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this appearance is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If this event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be video of the speech. | 2025-02-20T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-trump-say-million-or-billion-15-or-more-times-during-his-feb-20-republican-governors-association-appearance | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Mentions"
] | false | 1 | 0 |
0x966e94b4999bbcb260b81a78431ea7856bba0ed5a004a09e8eb3c3929de63c0e | 0xf88304350fc2b0fb19090d4eb0f510b4e2f8c8270c0221e5b2fa32ef3a5947ff | Jets vs. Predators | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for February 27 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Winnipeg Jets win, the market will resolve to “Jets”.
If the Nashville Predators win, the market will resolve to “Predators”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-07T00:00:00Z | true | true | nhl-wpg-nsh-2025-02-27 | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0x8805274790ae3176c557b6b83564952bc331d80ed95923b2cece0dd798cc3d01 | 0x79df5681cae206a95fd5bc54916ae3c2db1ec72809a832666bf3df72a50673ed | Will Real Sociedad vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw? | In the upcoming UEL game, scheduled for February 20 at 3:00PM ET,
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If not, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to “Yes”. | 2025-02-20T00:00:00Z | true | true | uel-rso-mid-2025-02-20-draw | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"UEL"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xdd463ee0d5cfd272e0a5ad17f882303e947487f0428dbed3e1def154383f8302 | 0x647e22f09f136bf10a0b6b815a826debb3ac62ac728d2d71f61a331337803266 | Will the highest temperature in London be between 50-51°F on February 24? | This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 24, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
| 2025-02-24T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-50-51f-on-february-24 | [
"Weather"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x0bd748a15962f56e18afd13fd465f53f9f640a3879b04682abbf7f38221b3fe4 | 0xe242d01b8e1ff74703d6719d7087a34eaafe7e395739434448a9036e03fb8141 | Bitcoin above $99,000 on February 28? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT 28 Feb '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 99,000.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTCUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. | 2025-02-28T00:00:00Z | true | true | bitcoin-above-99000-on-february-28 | [
"Crypto",
"Bitcoin",
"Crypto Prices",
"Recurring"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xa12ebb805eb5f34b0f244735cc68cc379f0dfd7d656843b5aa702b68dd5150f9 | 0x71fe2106ce143f21b866901de1237d0c3481087424bbd2558afb25bde0440074 | Spurs vs. Grizzlies | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 1 at 8:00PM ET:
If the San Antonio Spurs win, the market will resolve to “Spurs”.
If the Memphis Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to “Grizzlies”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-09T00:00:00Z | true | true | nba-sas-mem-2025-03-01 | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0x2c940f589f9903bf2e87089402803c78404376f1316c4e7e5f3af42bd7d5db32 | 0x86e208d4465adea43a1ae99b80878ea0f4192db500d72965c5bb22dcc759a536 | William & Mary vs. Elon | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 22 at 7:00PM ET:
If the William & Mary win, the market will resolve to “William & Mary”.
If the Elon win, the market will resolve to “Elon”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-02T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-wm-elon-2025-02-22 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x7bb12bec338d24e6589eacfa016319a4711d7a550c0a479464ff0b285a44986b | 0xfc54f2f975419313a2cbf4c126c31cb5c0c49798096998ab754afb41e7508352 | Tarleton vs. UT Arlington | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 22 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Tarleton win, the market will resolve to “Tarleton”.
If the UT Arlington win, the market will resolve to “UT Arlington”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-02T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-tar-uta-2025-02-22 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x1592dae50b92e362fd3873fd72d14feb49fdf41aa39c4341b788838ab592f907 | 0xbd622ba7d974976b8f3c4d00fe591f2f9010c3b6d6ab4d6f58c1e33b38f8b3df | Timberwolves vs. Thunder | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for February 24 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Minnesota Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to “Timberwolves”.
If the Oklahoma City Thunder win, the market will resolve to “Thunder”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-04T00:00:00Z | true | true | nba-min-okc-2025-02-24 | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0xd0bc80f66895ddf2d26ab13fb163c36228f9b0025330d76b701ed6555116f63f | 0xd1d21910d06569cb4ebf02ff31da00cc9ead01a44372dbde910cda5da17ba68c | Hawai'i vs. UC San Diego | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 22 at 10:00PM ET:
If the Hawai'i win, the market will resolve to “Hawai'i”.
If the UC San Diego win, the market will resolve to “UC San Diego”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-02T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-haw-ucsd-2025-02-22 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x54b681924e8038faeec180e0e31dd458147df16e63bf00cec672b0d650d5babd | 0x49a882eb4964ca5eb289a83a174929bf6af35b62ab93371f5e5a8be528a45066 | Troy vs. Texas State | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 25 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Troy win, the market will resolve to “Troy”.
If the Texas State win, the market will resolve to “Texas State”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-05T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-troy-txst-2025-02-25 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x5cc1153368ac45898027845c6a0514d1657444691368b43d64f53e4508b3ae24 | 0xdeb36b80d09d490378f62e3601d6f148f1d7c0637a60a86746946c5a8f106456 | Will Trump say "Million" 30 or more times at CPAC conference on Saturday? | Donald Trump is scheduled to speak at the upcoming Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) conference scheduled for Saturday, February 22, 2025. You can read more about that here: https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/5154914-donald-trump-speaking-cpac-2025/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his speech at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this appearance is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Only Trump’s keynote speech will count toward the resolution of this market. Any Q&A, interviews, or other instances of Trump publicly speaking will not be considered.
The resolution source will be video of the speech. | 2025-02-22T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-trump-say-million-30-or-more-times-at-cpac-conference-on-saturday | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Mentions"
] | false | 1 | 0 |
0x91d5e8bb28ef715063ce8eb387ecb45a778036805351da2a356ab335c757f406 | 0xb604ed7ef53cae0a5997c523ba84a652a213c00a984af1771b1f70a80f17a66a | Will the highest temperature in NYC be 49°F or higher on February 23? | This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 23, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. | 2025-02-23T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-49f-or-higher-on-february-23 | [
"Weather",
"New York City",
"Recurring"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x7d543d467b4e1c970cd52ef30d029ef9eec654278f640e9b3ed315fddc328d29 | 0xc1cdbfb7e153d3a0aa93e8a772028bacc7c4044a958d2072d633edfbe7eda1b1 | Sacred Heart vs. Saint Peter's | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 23 at 2:00PM ET:
If the Sacred Heart win, the market will resolve to “Sacred Heart”.
If the Saint Peter's win, the market will resolve to “Saint Peter's”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-02T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-shu-spu-2025-02-23 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0xd7790621128e6a3d0bcd3d3586ce8cc79e67a4f572b6a3ba755e71278c8029b3 | 0x44a5c9298553da49a253a1b484a1efb2cc4cfb24bf569032f781ae141628e839 | Mercer vs. Iona | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 23 at 1:00PM ET:
If the Mercer win, the market will resolve to “Mercer”.
If the Iona win, the market will resolve to “Iona”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-02T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-mer-iona-2025-02-23 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0xf33a4579a156bfc5c7f9278c7e69f266ea17d221fe04f1ba19a50c2e167c997a | 0x92fe525d17141eb651f4626555de3f507eba5f1fe3619ad10af74b2899e0c294 | Pacers vs. Heat | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for February 28 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Indiana Pacers win, the market will resolve to “Pacers”.
If the Miami Heat win, the market will resolve to “Heat”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-08T00:00:00Z | true | true | nba-ind-mia-2025-02-28 | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0xb4e098b4cb6ebf9c611ceff291a453b44fbc5d45439446261a2a936310508f02 | 0x2e0f8e94ed92d3e82d8a31b5ed4e67391ed77349941c44d34ae7b7ff349afafd | Will the price of gas be 3.16 on February 28? | This market will resolve according to the average US regular gas price according to AAA on February 28, 2025.
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.". | 2025-02-28T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-price-of-gas-be-3pt16-on-february-28 | [
"Economy",
"Commodities",
"Recurring"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xf1cb91dad07b94b793564de4c5e8cefdfc66978c5c60269382fc3e6f01ebee2b | 0x06427afcf13b37a02822915b36a5d601a7122faaf3dea30ee2ce4d5addb6f5af | Utah vs. UCF | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 23 at 4:00PM ET:
If the Utah win, the market will resolve to “Utah”.
If the UCF win, the market will resolve to “UCF”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-02T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-utah-ucf-2025-02-23 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x4315d82090e04c5116f7b4ca9f23d8815ee50b8c239a2fb753d9f15cce296605 | 0x541ea33998e7cdd6e3ac240de7ffcfb00d549517958d4150880e4ae10727c82c | Will Alibaba have the top AI model on March 31? | This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | 2025-03-31T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-alibaba-have-the-top-ai-model-on-march-31 | [
"Business",
"Elon Musk",
"AI",
"OpenAI",
"grok",
"Tech"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xb3ecd08ed53511b95b765b3cda5f940853817839f319e65b05322e4f8216b0f7 | 0xfa29144767e3006be28798088dec09a8f83bc1f4abea04dd5d342c6325f656d7 | Will Real Madrid or Atlético de Madrid advance in the UCL Round of 16? | This market refers to the UEFA Champions League Round of 16 match between Real Madrid and Atlético de Madrid.
If Real Madrid advances to the next round of the Champions League, this market will resolve to "Real Madrid".
If Atlético de Madrid advances to the next round of the Champions League, this market will resolve to "Atlético Madrid".
If the match is canceled or postponed beyond December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League. | 2025-03-12T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-real-madrid-or-atltico-de-madrid-advance-in-the-ucl-round-of-16 | [
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"psg",
"Soccer",
"UCL"
] | false | null | null |
0xa497c09403766922f9c34e448e283445ed84c7c3e0be33cec307d60d262bd401 | 0x58d6debbe7bedce0d1e8043f89ec27034b86bdd1ce369d240de460c83e5c6f51 | Will Plzen vs. Ferencvarosi TC end in a draw? | In the upcoming UEL game, scheduled for February 20 at 3:00PM ET,
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If not, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to “Yes”. | 2025-02-20T00:00:00Z | true | true | uel-plz-fer-2025-02-20-draw | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"UEL"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xa497c09403766922f9c34e448e283445ed84c7c3e0be33cec307d60d262bd400 | 0xa752e5b239bba0b79774ac2a5f77d08b5d2b50911990a5c71539e51229a48a74 | Will Plzen win on 2025-02-20? | In the upcoming UEL game, scheduled for February 20 at 3:00PM ET,
If Plzen wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Plzen loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve “No”. | 2025-02-20T00:00:00Z | true | true | uel-plz-fer-2025-02-20-plz | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"UEL"
] | false | 1 | 0 |
0xbc0085418cfb5849c66b1cbe70b9cea24bcd5fa385526956eb27bdf75403ef06 | 0x7943bff9aef644a4b1a86816fff6bc0964f500179ad01e855fd258f41f1f1d78 | Will the highest temperature in London be 55°F or higher on February 25? | This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 25, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
| 2025-02-25T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-55f-or-higher-on-february-25 | [
"Weather"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x4315d82090e04c5116f7b4ca9f23d8815ee50b8c239a2fb753d9f15cce296601 | 0x5e27fe0f4593da2eeff2c8c0601909c33dcc8882c71f2c992a4e153ef0781572 | Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31? | This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | 2025-03-31T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-xai-have-the-top-ai-model-on-march-31 | [
"Business",
"Elon Musk",
"AI",
"OpenAI",
"grok",
"Tech"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x91d5e8bb28ef715063ce8eb387ecb45a778036805351da2a356ab335c757f403 | 0x15109a95a0365314fd7388fe1c16b67961ef41c7dec342fa4bf9e739134e082f | Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 43-44°F on February 23? | This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 23, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. | 2025-02-23T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-43-44f-on-february-23 | [
"Weather",
"New York City",
"Recurring"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xaa002c7bdac1cbefce8eea897a1b8e488214895ff36dc3f9f862b6540cb1dd01 | 0x97004cec761044f6eb772191377b3a352d3ec05ec0249a1bf5ca442ba1fac097 | Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States and Ukraine agree to any deal between February 20 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, that involves Ukraine agreeing to provide economic compensation to the U.S. for the repayment of aid. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes, but is not limited to, agreements related to the repayment of aid through mineral rights, rights to future profits, licenses, financial commitments, or any other form of economic compensation reported as repayment for aid by a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of a deal will qualify regardless of if/when the deal is enacted.
An agreement for Ukraine to purchase U.S. goods, including military equipment, will not qualify unless it explicitly described as repayment for aid.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US and Ukraine. | 2025-06-30T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-ukraine-agree-to-payback-us-aid-before-july | [
"Politics",
"Ukraine",
"zelensky",
"Geopolitics",
"Foreign Policy",
"World"
] | false | 1 | 0 |
0x44e997d7d1f0693b49c4f25b9a7fc54b57c3009e649fc6fb639b55747257f22c | 0xa657e046f6daf9b38fd87e9a411a5d1da978c4fbd2062ab6965d0d8ccb3fdeee | Cornell vs. Brown | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 22 at 6:00PM ET:
If the Cornell win, the market will resolve to “Cornell”.
If the Brown win, the market will resolve to “Brown”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-01T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-cor-brwn-2025-02-22 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x0a586373ba188a52ce4d9276397b70d7c53c5d36c6ec67fd56cf41b7abe54fbb | 0x0786686e20668b1ee0d600421d2e6726e6d5462fa83f8f88d0fb7708eae3c0d5 | UC Santa Barbara vs. Long Beach State | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 22 at 7:00PM ET:
If the UC Santa Barbara win, the market will resolve to “UC Santa Barbara”.
If the Long Beach State win, the market will resolve to “Long Beach State”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-02T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-ucsb-lbsu-2025-02-22 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0xbc513f0b17bcebbd4a8caafad7d3d53a02cafb15aedd9a4b89d511633f3468ee | 0x37d9a838703822ba934931297bddf8c5b7736d7418a9d2c1cd4c5663fe0235a1 | Providence vs. Marquette | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 25 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Providence win, the market will resolve to “Providence”.
If the Marquette win, the market will resolve to “Marquette”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-05T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-prov-marq-2025-02-25 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x4600fa3623e149d7f74c98fc2cf683bb1761f908a1ccee092161ad4f4e3da2bd | 0xb3c238b42ff5195ade37e8d839ba1d2f1680cbfeb57aa5c3c8ca096eb189ca94 | Will Trump say "Trump" 3 or more times during his Feb 20 Republican Governors Association appearance? | Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver remarks to the Republican Governors Association on February 20 (https://www.c-span.org/event/white-house-event/president-trump-remarks-at-republican-governors-association/431090).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this appearance is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If this event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be video of the speech. | 2025-02-20T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-trump-say-trump-3-or-more-times-during-his-feb-20-republican-governors-association-appearance | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Mentions"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xa0e8be433ba588123a772a101dafac4e1110af7316856cd755efcce0d5209381 | 0xa9b5750f7911a0dcca18fe415634f2ab5c752cb6de01154d219c8da4970cd087 | Will Trump say "Border" 5 or more times during his Feb 20 Republican Governors Association appearance? | Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver remarks to the Republican Governors Association on February 20 (https://www.c-span.org/event/white-house-event/president-trump-remarks-at-republican-governors-association/431090).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this appearance is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If this event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be video of the speech. | 2025-02-20T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-trump-say-border-5-or-more-times-during-his-feb-20-republican-governors-association-appearance | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Mentions"
] | false | 1 | 0 |
0x85d4bdceacb3305ccafaa67eae6c2876c3799e8e9778310e26b09f8c8fbdcb9c | 0x0aa14e96da45616efff10d870a9c1885d1877b431739780d88eac741cff6b099 | Montana vs. Montana State | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 22 at 9:00PM ET:
If the Montana win, the market will resolve to “Montana”.
If the Montana State win, the market will resolve to “Montana State”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-02T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-mont-mtst-2025-02-22 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0xb5835300773df2cd2795e0416966a48fa7374a64d0e96c9c12a3236da4a5c1c0 | 0xb4a6c9e737db4fb2f16c4e8c230d7cc1630d472d6906de80e7c59499867b1370 | Heat vs. Hawks | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for February 24 at 7:30PM ET:
If the Miami Heat win, the market will resolve to “Heat”.
If the Atlanta Hawks win, the market will resolve to “Hawks”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-04T00:00:00Z | true | true | nba-mia-atl-2025-02-24 | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0x66708b259a50e83abe73963aade410d13aece9cdf6ec6dcb25c97fb54a8c2f7b | 0xe09af207153115ccada8a1d4854e419a777ba4bebc9b0faaabad1eb569afb797 | James Madison vs. UL Monroe | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 25 at 7:30PM ET:
If the James Madison win, the market will resolve to “James Madison”.
If the UL Monroe win, the market will resolve to “UL Monroe”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-05T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-jmu-ulm-2025-02-25 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0xa47c0e0ac1a9083f6c84f0ecd227e22f323618e45dc24ccf552fb34c8a9683dd | 0xfb3814469992274e5fb77838c4b43fce497c53436bd160b3ef4ffce168b3271e | Niagara vs. Marist | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 23 at 2:00PM ET:
If the Niagara win, the market will resolve to “Niagara”.
If the Marist win, the market will resolve to “Marist”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-02T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-niag-mrst-2025-02-23 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x17bc781409748643eea51b04a09593065c8a845aef9ba4e0297ec5c5f1bb2b04 | 0x40ca912d2ae464de5866e530144c794bde4b86fc161eadf684a7e399af72c82e | Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 55-56°F on February 25? | This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 25, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. | 2025-02-25T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-55-56f-on-february-25 | [
"Weather"
] | false | 1 | 0 |
0xf5b8cfacf2cdfb2a78a0592b91e7021fcfbd667c9e65cf80294b7535fe6ae3af | 0x2c2e54e0cb35399ea2df85f9781b18f719ac267c5ebd822c69e357d83ecd0b11 | Human case of new COVID disease before April? | On February 21, a bat coronavirus that has the capacity to spread to humans, known as HKU5-CoV-2, was reportedly discovered (See: https://www.aa.com.tr/en/asia-pacific/china-discovers-new-bat-coronavirus-that-poses-risk-of-animal-to-human-transmission/3489013)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a human case of HKU5-CoV-2 is confirmed by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. | 2025-03-31T00:00:00Z | true | true | human-case-of-new-covid-disease-before-april | [
"Pandemics",
"covid",
"disease",
"Wuhan",
"HKU5-CoV-2"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x86cc378d2597bb29de1f4dbf49f512ef7ae479bbe5da9a47ca6e14be332ab601 | 0x8ae6c53a9fd9e5a29c810268698d2335488e4f96608118428f50baaa262cc282 | Will Galatasaray vs. AZ Alkmaar end in a draw? | In the upcoming UEL game, scheduled for February 20 at 12:45PM ET,
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If not, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to “Yes”. | 2025-02-20T00:00:00Z | true | true | uel-gal-az-2025-02-20-draw | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"UEL"
] | false | 1 | 0 |
0x99f2998b64a356c9c60fc6252546b191e87f16652ba20f5e799e3f23e8206301 | 0xbb7a2aa5dd8c1c0ea19f9acb0c221945a8c21a5118bbb2aaae2d4b58d57db0bb | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $93000 and $95000 on Feb 28? | This market will resolve according to the final “Close” price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT 28 Feb '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTCUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. | 2025-02-28T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-93000-and-95000-on-feb-28 | [
"Crypto",
"Bitcoin",
"Crypto Prices",
"Recurring"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xd81593b4123e2b362180b5099937d4256eeecf05d4ecb364ab344a8a86444a0b | 0xc7d9887c1b9722ffb550025c60abbd3196b71a77890a4d9759d98175a873502f | Will X remove Community Notes before April? | On February 20, Elon Musk posted “Unfortunately, @CommunityNotes is increasingly being gamed by governments & legacy media. Working to fix this …” (see: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1892613981426102465)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if X removes the Community Notes feature by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
The absence of Community Notes from X due to technical issues, temporary glitches, or third-party interventions will not be considered for the resolution of this market. Only changes implemented as part of a deliberate action by X will qualify for market resolution. The Community Notes will be considered removed if it is no longer available on either desktop or mobile with the English language.
Temporary suspensions of the feature will qualify, however changes to Community Notes such as limiting which accounts can propose notes, or other changes which do not constitute full removal will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be X. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | 2025-03-31T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-x-remove-community-notes-before-april | [
"Business",
"Twitter",
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Tech"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xaad0ccfd6759cf87b04aecadc2bfe6adf657bfa747c6b2d670469f43782dd03c | 0xcc19206c5a28f49332312f03c6a0fbf63f595d8069dcf637d3c47d78f097027a | South Alabama vs. Texas State | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 22 at 5:30PM ET:
If the South Alabama win, the market will resolve to “South Alabama”.
If the Texas State win, the market will resolve to “Texas State”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-01T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-sbama-txst-2025-02-22 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x7ce13080e9e8f5aa0385a00f28b1b7f12291606163044b54401b25a4196a4c02 | 0x5b58a7d4133859576e34fa7aa15225d5abdcd4646b7d3ddc86d013b639d41f86 | Will PAOK win on 2025-02-20? | In the upcoming UEL game, scheduled for February 20 at 12:45PM ET,
If PAOK wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If PAOK loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve “No”. | 2025-02-20T00:00:00Z | true | true | uel-fcsb-paok-2025-02-20-paok | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"UEL"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x924bb9597bff7473b6030e04a54713d6db57031b7a47d6ecfcac44eefeb43803 | 0xcaa45def702778a64bf1dfb60b6c573fafb017184162c35b9f347b34a5a831f4 | Will Trump's 538 approval rating be between 48.5% and 48.9% on February 28? | This market will resolve according to FiveThirtyEight's approval rating for Donald Trump on February 28, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
| 2025-02-28T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-trumps-538-approval-rating-be-between-48pt5-and-48pt9-on-february-28 | [
"Trump",
"Trump Presidency",
"Approval",
"Recurring"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x355a3d107b7ce364411b0c297af53068f52d747a858629d8ab078374ff5e61f3 | 0x73e5aa827f6705f18dd71da26f074cef281ec747afc5285fd967a02c365d059c | US lifts Russia sanctions before April? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially lifts or removes any existing sanctions on Russia between February 19 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions.
The passage of an official act/executive order lifting sanctions on Russia within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, even if the lifting of those sanctions does not come into effect until after this market's resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used. | 2025-03-31T00:00:00Z | true | true | us-lifts-russia-sanctions-before-april | [
"Politics",
"russia",
"Trump",
"Geopolitics",
"Trump Presidency",
"Foreign Policy",
"World"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x22bece12dd895b5eb736cf7a1b77145f7002155339ba2a037652ec6064f10a12 | 0xc8ba77663c455d672486a362421b72aa533f9d02d3e82adb3ea4f74c6f532158 | Oilers vs. Panthers | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for February 27 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Edmonton Oilers win, the market will resolve to “Oilers”.
If the Florida Panthers win, the market will resolve to “Panthers”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-07T00:00:00Z | true | true | nhl-edm-fla-2025-02-27 | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0x71a2ffd44fbedcd663ba532d39f8d34614327f4a32695c61c3a381481bc8c501 | 0x9fa5023d24fbc548311e6e8e2b322c381bd5e3126a05404887ab011d455d6fb3 | Will Liverpool vs. Southampton end in a draw? | In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for March 8 at 10:00AM ET,
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If not, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to “Yes”. | 2025-03-08T00:00:00Z | true | true | epl-liv-sou-2025-03-08-draw | [
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x3dc27c8c3f2ce7caa1cb05408b1c6fdd6f4f07275d8f91c752b157f3b1f7c1b6 | 0x2e90031ea986fc822ff8166dbe5a8fed80afad6726719fce787d46f5ff7f7377 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Texas Southern | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 24 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Arkansas-Pine Bluff win, the market will resolve to “Arkansas-Pine Bluff”.
If the Texas Southern win, the market will resolve to “Texas Southern”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-04T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-arpb-txso-2025-02-24 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0xb30b26190ff5363767209a16de38294f7ec8af7e72a7ef1ffb19f46f6c567105 | 0xff0d0d0ce93eb5e5c5f97f6d2a7cbdc818675b6a970dec93ef8d092fcf5f7682 | Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 21-28? | This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between February 21, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and February 28, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source. | 2025-02-28T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-elon-tweet-600-649-times-feb-21-28 | [
"Politics",
"Elon Musk",
"Tweet Markets",
"Elon Tweets",
"Recurring"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xf211098a62dc32cac1be676c637423dc6b69409f109c3c235c07c280a4ba399d | 0x224b972568efc488596c2aaf2a0da24040dd302b8ad849765a1fdc57114ee6a0 | Did Kanye sell his twitter account? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed by March 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET that the X account @kanyewest (https://x.com/kanyewest), believed to be owned by Kanye West, was sold or transferred to another individual. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be a public statement from Kanye West confirming the sale or transfer of the account, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | 2025-03-14T00:00:00Z | true | true | did-kanye-sell-his-twitter-account | [
"Crypto",
"Kanye",
"X"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x71a7012c44d377ea43801029bbf9fe68856a12bdc1410c762b5ff58e225fc956 | 0x3b67d454ef383209094fac5c4150dd3378721b339ca0a92ff5ae6b2c03af2228 | Kraken vs. Blues | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for February 25 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Seattle Kraken win, the market will resolve to “Kraken”.
If the St. Louis Blues win, the market will resolve to “Blues”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-05T00:00:00Z | true | true | nhl-sea-stl-2025-02-25 | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0x7079a3013ed16ef396d10379279d7b31cea48769e2b213a508cf7e82b1edf8a8 | 0xacb5a9a025e7781ad932dafb8b48d54f36a9898d321b3b400257d7ba7b73bedc | Indiana State vs. Murray State | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 25 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Indiana State win, the market will resolve to “Indiana State”.
If the Murray State win, the market will resolve to “Murray State”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-05T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-inst-murr-2025-02-25 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0xf3abaf0d25f7b8e45df1bb326fed91f319d7286f2bdc936c0b3b7cba7dd385b6 | 0xc7de48360566d05af00d9732e0a2e1f0768daffa19de5a1b61edba3a08a464a8 | Will Trump say "Condom" at CPAC conference on Saturday? | Donald Trump is scheduled to speak at the upcoming Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) conference scheduled for Saturday, February 22, 2025. You can read more about that here: https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/5154914-donald-trump-speaking-cpac-2025/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his speech at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this appearance is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Only Trump’s keynote speech will count toward the resolution of this market. Any Q&A, interviews, or other instances of Trump publicly speaking will not be considered.
The resolution source will be video of the speech. | 2025-02-22T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-trump-say-condom-at-cpac-conference-on-saturday | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Mentions"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x72bbd7a100db81928e00ec466e4527faa792e19aafbfc0b9baf07750b882bcbb | 0x512795bc0cbcd67b18ffd4d83aa3f262779cadcae9690a0ebfbb89c212400d81 | Penguins vs. Flyers | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for February 25 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Pittsburgh Penguins win, the market will resolve to “Penguins”.
If the Philadelphia Flyers win, the market will resolve to “Flyers”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-05T00:00:00Z | true | true | nhl-pit-phi-2025-02-25 | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0x34e03d274a7a401512bcb0a7fe81ddcee5ec2081b64c27786e6f1acb3d427be5 | 0xdb0a4851f4e62cab528709cc2ecaf78a338d8e96b6b50eb0ce2a863fc94befbc | Will Trump say "Egg" at CPAC conference on Saturday? | Donald Trump is scheduled to speak at the upcoming Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) conference scheduled for Saturday, February 22, 2025. You can read more about that here: https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/5154914-donald-trump-speaking-cpac-2025/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his speech at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this appearance is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Only Trump’s keynote speech will count toward the resolution of this market. Any Q&A, interviews, or other instances of Trump publicly speaking will not be considered.
The resolution source will be video of the speech. | 2025-02-22T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-trump-say-egg-at-cpac-conference-on-saturday | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Mentions"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x72bcf02689998d6097da0c8df4fcbba309575abad158f91d9359766e31e4e519 | 0x0e743da0291602963aa075678cdca5ffd83f13b67d6a01247d5d8de4f4460d18 | Sharks vs. Jets | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for February 24 at 7:30PM ET:
If the San Jose Sharks win, the market will resolve to “Sharks”.
If the Winnipeg Jets win, the market will resolve to “Jets”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-04T00:00:00Z | true | true | nhl-sj-wpg-2025-02-24 | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0xb5857c368db06a21b2abe7adfd645867130a3cd7064565a5ce017b41050c0d04 | 0xd1f77a3400817730aca6f1c9508b98f2a5e591e8945b5419b617b9586a17461f | Will Kanye name his token Jew? | This market will resolve according to the ticker of the first token Kanye West is confirmed to have launched between February 22, and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
Only tokens which are confirmed to have been launched by Kanye West, either through posts from official social media channels, or otherwise confirmed by public statements will qualify.
The token must be actively transferrable and/or tradable, announcements alone will not qualify.
If Kanye does not launch a token by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “No token before April”.
| 2025-03-31T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-kanye-name-his-token-jew | [
"Politics",
"Crypto",
"Kanye"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xd8395e8c42e49872e6b346fc0af85d895e7e600cca2dc795f2c1590eb7232501 | 0x4fdd1e79952b45c548781eff1eee2d56a38ece0147ec19fc3cd9915483f468ca | Will Kanye tweet 10-49 times February 20-28? | This market will resolve according to the number of times Ye (@kanyewest) posts on X between February 20, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and February 28, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source. | 2025-02-28T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-kanye-tweet-10-49-times-february-20-28 | [
"Kanye",
"Tweet Markets"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xdd463ee0d5cfd272e0a5ad17f882303e947487f0428dbed3e1def154383f8300 | 0x527df1c06bf6df66fce4a0d52fb30c23a3e04d0b4ba063174dd312c067adecbb | Will the highest temperature in London be 47°F or below on February 24? | This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 24, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
| 2025-02-24T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-47f-or-below-on-february-24 | [
"Weather"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x068732ea2f968e97f84d8852adf3bd68108df107b7133078f704ee2bf7663031 | 0xe82da9271345b8951cebd011b00b5feffd614cceb6703f0e05de07a9bcd6cc57 | 76ers vs. Knicks | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for February 26 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Philadelphia 76ers win, the market will resolve to “76ers”.
If the New York Knicks win, the market will resolve to “Knicks”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-06T00:00:00Z | true | true | nba-phi-nyk-2025-02-26 | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0x2a45ab8ab173fc250d3b10f4800a727f8dd297dc14ffe2a7910399904ef7e0ef | 0xb474d95c4ef2ccff6bf5cbadf3920d0367ad3e1df2190159059d45e34df54099 | Will Kanye West launch his own blockchain before April? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kanye West launches a blockchain or sidechain by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only blockchains which are confirmed to have been launched by Kanye West, either through posts from official social media channels, or otherwise confirmed by public statements will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Kanye, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | 2025-03-31T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-kanye-west-launch-his-own-blockchain-before-april | [
"Crypto",
"Kanye",
"Memecoins"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xac7f1ba2389f833689eb771fbabe8ceefc7552d59625c07979577631c6b3cf01 | 0xb9a053131071e36a156d2d4e7127264f4572d6f84601f4cfc9c77e13d415bd00 | Will the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on February 23? | This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 23, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
| 2025-02-23T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-48-49f-on-february-23 | [
"Weather",
"Recurring"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x9157fa80f5f1aece81f52013a62686b9d7ad5784594bedd779c348cf7aa5a5c0 | 0x61fe4ddca40e0657a88b60f53c5df8610a517d3bac2dc1793d2a893a1aadf294 | Pepperdine vs. Loyola Marymount | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 22 at 9:00PM ET:
If the Pepperdine win, the market will resolve to “Pepperdine”.
If the Loyola Marymount win, the market will resolve to “Loyola Marymount”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-02T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-pepp-lmu-2025-02-22 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x44973f5f4c54d83ab47429713e268492c3c4ad335f4c155510d9632e341c8a00 | 0x9ce867c7d6814fbdec3ab736cd61e30b7d9bf45974db6f2d0128a70c31f022c9 | Will AS Roma win on 2025-02-20? | In the upcoming UEL game, scheduled for February 20 at 12:45PM ET,
If AS Roma wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If AS Roma loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve “No”. | 2025-02-20T00:00:00Z | true | true | uel-rom-por-2025-02-20-rom | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"UEL"
] | false | 1 | 0 |
0x0e071f6d7d56d4f8f93d4f848d8a55bd1de784ac1f85c286eddfa7b0c80ead02 | 0xefadce9bbd3c167e0aa62272b1ffe86142cd15a432c99ca815d683d244fc86e7 | Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-08? | In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for March 8 at 12:30PM ET,
If Aston Villa wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Aston Villa loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve “No”. | 2025-03-08T00:00:00Z | true | true | epl-bre-ast-2025-03-08-ast | [
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false | 1 | 0 |
0x4315d82090e04c5116f7b4ca9f23d8815ee50b8c239a2fb753d9f15cce296603 | 0x14a5164a7390e4aaf3516ed32476afb1f8b5573e4416cf71bb16ebf48361b6bb | Will Anthropic have the top AI model on March 31? | This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | 2025-03-31T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-anthropic-have-the-top-ai-model-on-march-31 | [
"Business",
"Elon Musk",
"AI",
"OpenAI",
"grok",
"Tech"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xa75e3649070819ce144791e52f2dc75a6d31a41c8493c6d1bcc9da13c54e5e05 | 0x519c5b1c70793249af25406e0773fea8a8601bc33d23604222fad2ee34aa7960 | Will Trump post 180-199 times on Truth Feb 21-28? | This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on truthsocial.com between February 21, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and February 28, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/?platform=TRUTH_SOCIAL. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, truthsocial.com itself may be used as a secondary resolution source. | 2025-02-28T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-trump-post-180-199-times-on-truth-feb-21-28 | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets",
"Trump Presidency",
"Recurring"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x20237b89f65195a13beb22811634a3ad028d1a6a2a8990cfdbabbb460c9fdb1e | 0x3897f2ae059cce2487d6f80b01906e9e29c7f291f2d5556914257c5fb60830d1 | Columbia vs. Yale | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 22 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Columbia win, the market will resolve to “Columbia”.
If the Yale win, the market will resolve to “Yale”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-02T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-clmb-yale-2025-02-22 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x984f4f404c0461b3178e09f9eefad06188e2a8b5f141ef68bd57837635ba6120 | 0x857f6929e75d0d6c1563d129db16daabc559e2f0f91abdbf86e7da9a299c5ba1 | Will Trump say "Tax" 8 or more times during his Feb 20 Republican Governors Association appearance? | Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver remarks to the Republican Governors Association on February 20 (https://www.c-span.org/event/white-house-event/president-trump-remarks-at-republican-governors-association/431090).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this appearance is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If this event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be video of the speech. | 2025-02-20T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-trump-say-tax-8-or-more-times-during-his-feb-20-republican-governors-association-appearance | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Mentions"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x593e65a392901faf2923707cb7a2d52dfca475dc1dd1e903b845846133041002 | 0xdb1794153bcda118354815961738627534574e4b5cc1fe39f587b442480a742e | Will the Liberals win the second most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election? | The 2025 Ontario parliamentary elections are scheduled to take place on February 27, 2025 to elect the 44th Parliament of Ontario.
This market will resolve to the political party that controls the second most seats in the 44th Parliament of Ontario as a result of the upcoming election.
If voting in the next Ontario parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the second most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ontario government (e.g. via https://results.elections.on.ca/en/results-overview). | 2025-02-27T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-liberals-win-the-second-most-seats-in-the-next-ontario-parliamentary-election | [
"Politics",
"Canada",
"Global Elections",
"World Elections",
"Ontario"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x17bc781409748643eea51b04a09593065c8a845aef9ba4e0297ec5c5f1bb2b03 | 0xc3532f4afa17fa891445ebca537e323d1b441a88e314cc8ae22e4e37e0f0eb32 | Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 53-54°F on February 25? | This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 25, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. | 2025-02-25T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-53-54f-on-february-25 | [
"Weather"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xe296d1b504040a8f3e136aa0de081d63cdd5c7e13d921ab8432265e2fbbc7318 | 0xf0d271ea80ecf85ccd448d899a8a493fcc12c392ec218da2f5f0b9ec036f8c3b | Will Trump say "King" at CPAC conference on Saturday? | Donald Trump is scheduled to speak at the upcoming Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) conference scheduled for Saturday, February 22, 2025. You can read more about that here: https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/5154914-donald-trump-speaking-cpac-2025/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his speech at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this appearance is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Only Trump’s keynote speech will count toward the resolution of this market. Any Q&A, interviews, or other instances of Trump publicly speaking will not be considered.
The resolution source will be video of the speech. | 2025-02-22T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-trump-say-king-at-cpac-conference-on-saturday | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Mentions"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xcb94653a4b96b09b87b637f618cffb0ac7dcc71d8aa4169d26b17b9cb81a7701 | 0x94888ae0b62688fb814762dcd2560a2a491748e11d13ff3cb2be45b184261e09 | Will Ajax vs. Union St. Gilloise end in a draw? | In the upcoming UEL game, scheduled for February 20 at 3:00PM ET,
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If not, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to “Yes”. | 2025-02-20T00:00:00Z | true | true | uel-ajx-usg-2025-02-20-draw | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"UEL"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xd8395e8c42e49872e6b346fc0af85d895e7e600cca2dc795f2c1590eb7232503 | 0x83d425263a3c0cf452545f9fae679d569d8c4753d63592d39da3e05c223ed989 | Will Kanye tweet 100-199 times February 20-28? | This market will resolve according to the number of times Ye (@kanyewest) posts on X between February 20, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and February 28, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source. | 2025-02-28T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-kanye-tweet-100-199-times-february-20-28 | [
"Kanye",
"Tweet Markets"
] | false | 1 | 0 |
0x4dd3878ed885970739f547fa03ab69a95debb34184f864e24174784cb65871b0 | 0xe184fab701ea45e2ccaa1e954165c843174212d0bd43bbdce3f74957eecfdc85 | Lipscomb vs. Austin Peay | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 24 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Lipscomb win, the market will resolve to “Lipscomb”.
If the Austin Peay win, the market will resolve to “Austin Peay”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-04T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-lip-peay-2025-02-24 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0xab42f4550d7d3e6e0d0ee5b1048cda43bc67bfae17a9a8c35287d2e2115e7f03 | 0xe40e2ab85df16ac5b68ce9e130750a8256ff060c71f084e79c5944d94d6198b3 | Kings vs. Rockets | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 1 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Sacramento Kings win, the market will resolve to “Kings”.
If the Houston Rockets win, the market will resolve to “Rockets”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-09T00:00:00Z | true | true | nba-sac-hou-2025-03-01 | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0xea6dd9ca15f3192a7d86d43f4b45927b5372bfa8395417b27306656c996ccb01 | 0xc7cbdb9583881361523fbe79a8a18ba67509f4d3c42f030a5aa02ca9013c24f8 | Will Bodo/Glimt vs. Twente end in a draw? | In the upcoming UEL game, scheduled for February 20 at 12:45PM ET,
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If not, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to “Yes”. | 2025-02-20T00:00:00Z | true | true | uel-bod-twe-2025-02-20-draw | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"UEL"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x1fc0b801ae3e985f84b91bcaef4a7ae4d6386a36dcc6a858104e082ea14769d1 | 0x889bac40f14dcdb14c8a9eebc7de952f2c290ed8aa32279177345ae20d8015ae | Ohio State vs. UCLA | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 23 at 3:45PM ET:
If the Ohio State win, the market will resolve to “Ohio State”.
If the UCLA win, the market will resolve to “UCLA”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-02T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-ohst-ucla-2025-02-23 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
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