question_id stringlengths 0 66 | condition_id stringlengths 0 66 | question stringlengths 2 118 | description stringlengths 159 1.79k | end_date_iso stringdate 2024-12-31 00:00:00 2026-02-28 00:00:00 ⌀ | active bool 2 classes | closed bool 2 classes | market_slug stringlengths 12 132 | tags listlengths 1 17 ⌀ | is_50_50 bool 2 classes | yes_price float64 0 1 ⌀ | no_price float64 0 1 ⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0x14e427ccb2367bc84cee531f9e0055cea4c73968bc765c8d98641cf53f9e4d3c | 0x87129563a9187d3789ae944ab03ed02c863b232105ed98a9f0d9e530e39d9f12 | Florida vs. Georgia | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 25 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Florida win, the market will resolve to “Florida”.
If the Georgia win, the market will resolve to “Georgia”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-05T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-uf-uga-2025-02-25 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x6af3687bce2b4a7bac1d2eb178567cfcb82aae2fbbc74fa2b538a74e5875e900 | 0x67172fde1907bca32e78afcc3410bee73275abcb47bcd51a83ca53f0831b87b4 | Will the highest temperature in NYC be 41°F or below on February 24? | This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 24, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. | 2025-02-24T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-41f-or-below-on-february-24 | [
"Weather",
"New York City"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x8a30e814cf1c0892376410efc97eb11b7f0a85521d8095d75f62345e4c84cfe2 | 0x1620688fff73289c7a6b9cb58352a594ac35bb75b487d3fdad424ec6764141d0 | Solana above $175 on February 28? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOLUSDT 28 Feb '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 175.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOLUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOLUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. | 2025-02-28T00:00:00Z | true | true | solana-above-175-on-february-28 | [
"Crypto",
"Solana",
"Crypto Prices",
"Recurring"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xb30b26190ff5363767209a16de38294f7ec8af7e72a7ef1ffb19f46f6c567106 | 0x56a19cc92a36d90e7f38c8d0a45da8362d45c8525a766db9558153205fb5d3cd | Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Feb 21-28? | This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between February 21, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and February 28, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source. | 2025-02-28T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-elon-tweet-650-699-times-feb-21-28 | [
"Politics",
"Elon Musk",
"Tweet Markets",
"Elon Tweets",
"Recurring"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xeed57562145451c7a4b25c8390be54cfd754c7db1825d66a4657a5c7ccb572d6 | 0x5499a01fcaab6f762ef9b5f1526624c11c0208e51bac27dcb532c97e5d724584 | Kansas vs. Colorado | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 24 at 11:00PM ET:
If the Kansas win, the market will resolve to “Kansas”.
If the Colorado win, the market will resolve to “Colorado”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-04T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-ku-col-2025-02-24 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x924bb9597bff7473b6030e04a54713d6db57031b7a47d6ecfcac44eefeb43800 | 0x01d94840e54809ee6253d1b661445c714dbac75e11f0cd508b055c5d48a44f68 | Will Trump's 538 approval rating be less than 47.5% on February 28? | This market will resolve according to FiveThirtyEight's approval rating for Donald Trump on February 28, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
| 2025-02-28T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-trumps-538-approval-rating-be-less-than-47pt5-on-february-28 | [
"Trump",
"Trump Presidency",
"Approval",
"Recurring"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xa71417091bb9822f88f8182848b66228ee68ee929cfe877e34fb9ccab1a5cd74 | 0x4bffdcf8ee79c5f89ec6677241a61ce76eb26c8d1b3f20053009e79a86b443be | Idaho vs. Northern Colorado | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 22 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Idaho win, the market will resolve to “Idaho”.
If the Northern Colorado win, the market will resolve to “Northern Colorado”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-02T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-idho-unco-2025-02-22 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0xeb7a191863a692bcc3cf38dfd25a9e2712999f50249f0f815105ca6faf38a53b | 0xf633b698ac1d9d153b6d269fa5f1391d70f6afc20bce27a1bd3873d907f5a00a | Bellarmine vs. Stetson | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 24 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Bellarmine win, the market will resolve to “Bellarmine”.
If the Stetson win, the market will resolve to “Stetson”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-04T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-bell-stet-2025-02-24 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x593e65a392901faf2923707cb7a2d52dfca475dc1dd1e903b845846133041004 | 0x6356f0a247e4446b2e4ebdc41b201052d937f399fe35a6046af5584e2e4beed2 | Will another party win the second most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election? | The 2025 Ontario parliamentary elections are scheduled to take place on February 27, 2025 to elect the 44th Parliament of Ontario.
This market will resolve to the political party that controls the second most seats in the 44th Parliament of Ontario as a result of the upcoming election.
If voting in the next Ontario parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the second most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ontario government (e.g. via https://results.elections.on.ca/en/results-overview). | 2025-02-27T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-another-party-win-the-second-most-seats-in-the-next-ontario-parliamentary-election | [
"Politics",
"Canada",
"Global Elections",
"World Elections",
"Ontario"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xd8395e8c42e49872e6b346fc0af85d895e7e600cca2dc795f2c1590eb7232500 | 0x15e6ef1f49fefe1e65f2082349e906b3832063cda510ce77ab2d69eb28ca3d6f | Will Kanye tweet less than 10 times February 20-28? | This market will resolve according to the number of times Ye (@kanyewest) posts on X between February 20, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and February 28, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source. | 2025-02-28T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-kanye-tweet-less-than-10-times-february-20-28 | [
"Kanye",
"Tweet Markets"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xb5857c368db06a21b2abe7adfd645867130a3cd7064565a5ce017b41050c0d03 | 0x64eb7f8db68317bb4d912a89b5a9da0b9e0c3c6614edd415d1e6a01ea50e7f06 | Will Kanye name his token Hitler? | This market will resolve according to the ticker of the first token Kanye West is confirmed to have launched between February 22, and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
Only tokens which are confirmed to have been launched by Kanye West, either through posts from official social media channels, or otherwise confirmed by public statements will qualify.
The token must be actively transferrable and/or tradable, announcements alone will not qualify.
If Kanye does not launch a token by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “No token before April”.
| 2025-03-31T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-kanye-name-his-token-hitler | [
"Politics",
"Crypto",
"Kanye"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x09964a600275137e648114f513db7eafc66c943b6a00f0e3e501503f9ef2f0cb | 0xc6d4ba380a5a97764cdb8f14aa5143b218ce670b12cbfa2bf8c1084d0bd53bb1 | Will Club Brugge or Aston Villa advance in the UCL Round of 16? | This market refers to the UEFA Champions League Round of 16 match between Club Brugge and Aston Villa.
If Club Brugge advances to the next round of the Champions League, this market will resolve to "Club Brugge".
If Aston Villa advances to the next round of the Champions League, this market will resolve to "Aston Villa".
If the match is canceled or postponed beyond December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League. | 2025-03-12T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-club-brugge-or-aston-villa-advance-in-the-ucl-round-of-16 | [
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"psg",
"Soccer",
"UCL"
] | false | null | null |
0xac7f1ba2389f833689eb771fbabe8ceefc7552d59625c07979577631c6b3cf05 | 0xad27ddc4a1c00ec9278d28ea6b63f0a7953c064c080efcb6d8e0d572a980d93a | Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on February 23? | This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 23, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
| 2025-02-23T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-56-57f-on-february-23 | [
"Weather",
"Recurring"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x562c71f7e36770f98c84021c8bd313f6cb29992c36bc2c964fd66949c6948053 | 0x3825e952c1774b7ebeee20fa1596944501d1aad2f475f1efc12e7a5a768b870b | Akron vs. Ball State | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 25 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Akron win, the market will resolve to “Akron”.
If the Ball State win, the market will resolve to “Ball State”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-05T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-akrn-ball-2025-02-25 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x4315d82090e04c5116f7b4ca9f23d8815ee50b8c239a2fb753d9f15cce296604 | 0x74e9197dc739a6f4b8b92acbc066278143850716cf2e50159f62a0ef90fc50a5 | Will Meta have the top AI model on March 31? | This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | 2025-03-31T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-meta-have-the-top-ai-model-on-march-31 | [
"Business",
"Elon Musk",
"AI",
"OpenAI",
"grok",
"Tech"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xef07b3728fb33a889d767c2707172643e13162f2eb315b435c61e1381e9341f0 | 0x2aac17918a9acc226fc3bf9f38eb9a471cfb03b8fa9c9a9e4e3aa1d7d4d74781 | Stars vs. Blue Jackets | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for February 25 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Dallas Stars win, the market will resolve to “Stars”.
If the Columbus Blue Jackets win, the market will resolve to “Blue Jackets”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-05T00:00:00Z | true | true | nhl-dal-cbj-2025-02-25 | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0x8609cb402778e772978f69fe56e7824ce9227e93f4e2d7328c1afa24721398df | 0x2174df7bf9e5a49db6106a97c99b9d391b0d250f97aaf5f143d377ac492e9be1 | Temple vs. UAB | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 23 at 2:00PM ET:
If the Temple win, the market will resolve to “Temple”.
If the UAB win, the market will resolve to “UAB”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-02T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-tem-uab-2025-02-23 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x0e9c833b72b8f961fd5e31bdb0d0bd260da3f976ad34201f68cfe0a061a6f4d2 | 0x2d422f668f482ff3fef9c94939935b2f5d178722f5fcbd3cbd5eb344f1c919f1 | Duke vs. Miami (FL) | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 25 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Duke win, the market will resolve to “Duke”.
If the Miami (FL) win, the market will resolve to “Miami (FL)”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-05T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-duke-miami-2025-02-25 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x4ee6242127d9e126a3c4c1c86070b28a6de62aedb83e23db43baf70887785101 | 0x7e52856425a1c65f2c27165f2e353cfe23b9e775ad78e673649a889b816c3133 | Panthers vs. Predators | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for February 25 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Florida Panthers win, the market will resolve to “Panthers”.
If the Nashville Predators win, the market will resolve to “Predators”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-05T00:00:00Z | true | true | nhl-fla-nsh-2025-02-25 | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0x947c4ce32bcecc5add0ea35d6686b36f5ef4a3012bddede539665b61da692a43 | 0xab587f59e3c46efe4157b8746bdc09189bc2b8f55e52319518cd2c83170dde77 | Spurs vs. Pelicans | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for February 25 at 8:00PM ET:
If the San Antonio Spurs win, the market will resolve to “Spurs”.
If the New Orleans Pelicans win, the market will resolve to “Pelicans”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-05T00:00:00Z | true | true | nba-sas-nop-2025-02-25 | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0x91569d897121914824ed765b6aa8cd4e58f3ffd9c78a79e458b45e00247e4bd4 | 0x3097e3411e523cd40ec395e38129c42be63249ee863d5b64656deb2e4ee39419 | Will Benfica or FC Barcelona advance in the UCL Round of 16? | This market refers to the UEFA Champions League Round of 16 match between Benfica and FC Barcelona.
If Benfica advances to the next round of the Champions League, this market will resolve to "Benfica".
If Barcelona advances to the next round of the Champions League, this market will resolve to "Barcelona".
If the match is canceled or postponed beyond December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League. | 2025-03-12T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-benfica-or-fc-barcelona-advance-in-the-ucl-round-of-16 | [
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"psg",
"Soccer",
"UCL"
] | false | null | null |
0xbe888a3435be05552a937c3cc7409a6b90b7a5108bbf2085f8f0a12dbc4f6eb0 | 0x3dc299ab3184d199b7c93f3cefb6f3169736fa160bd572676f2752d0190dfb77 | Trail Blazers vs. Jazz | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for February 24 at 9:00PM ET:
If the Portland Trail Blazers win, the market will resolve to “Trail Blazers”.
If the Utah Jazz win, the market will resolve to “Jazz”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-04T00:00:00Z | true | true | nba-por-uta-2025-02-24 | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0x353983bd9c1a6a05e6bc64401e7d402af470dd2def3948b27cfebcb6c60c96f6 | 0xf9d3b2138b9b035031e6d8d9b92f84d2ec4100114bba12f0492be2cd1b51cb5c | Mississippi Valley State vs. Prairie View A&M | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 24 at 8:30PM ET:
If the Mississippi Valley State win, the market will resolve to “Mississippi Valley State”.
If the Prairie View A&M win, the market will resolve to “Prairie View A&M”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-04T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-mvsu-pv-2025-02-24 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0xc9a521000f9ac179b72784eae468a01e2783090f209d1009126b0fa673d4d02a | 0xf6658af5837b6c4be9a5b0afd94db7a8013dbf0e433dc276f942570e02ede9c6 | Akron vs. Ohio | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 22 at 6:00PM ET:
If the Akron win, the market will resolve to “Akron”.
If the Ohio win, the market will resolve to “Ohio”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-01T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-akrn-ohio-2025-02-22 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x924bb9597bff7473b6030e04a54713d6db57031b7a47d6ecfcac44eefeb43805 | 0x15e558b67551e64419e56dffb02c393ad5437be73923ddbbf714f93844c0f5cb | Will Trump's 538 approval rating be 49.5% or higher on February 28? | This market will resolve according to FiveThirtyEight's approval rating for Donald Trump on February 28, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
| 2025-02-28T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-trumps-538-approval-rating-be-49pt5-or-higher-on-february-28 | [
"Trump",
"Trump Presidency",
"Approval",
"Recurring"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xb30b26190ff5363767209a16de38294f7ec8af7e72a7ef1ffb19f46f6c56710b | 0xd008cd1470934fb24806d2c48bb07ef76814932ab14ca97092503b885a31057f | Will Elon tweet 900 or more times Feb 21-28? | This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between February 21, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and February 28, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source. | 2025-02-28T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-elon-tweet-900-or-more-times-feb-21-28 | [
"Politics",
"Elon Musk",
"Tweet Markets",
"Elon Tweets",
"Recurring"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xb30b26190ff5363767209a16de38294f7ec8af7e72a7ef1ffb19f46f6c567101 | 0x13a1432bfadbd291220a489f439fbde7c9081bfa6e6151c336e79d2cbfc9a828 | Will Elon tweet 400-449 times Feb 21-28? | This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between February 21, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and February 28, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source. | 2025-02-28T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-elon-tweet-400-449-times-feb-21-28 | [
"Politics",
"Elon Musk",
"Tweet Markets",
"Elon Tweets",
"Recurring"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x22cf67555f002dcdb9e288ea39975912624330de3f65f7032da8776cea853774 | 0xcb0b778ab384162fe8a48fe3d55740c31f8b070d19f18c23df2a553183e11384 | Tel Aviv bus bomber arrested today? | On February 20, multiple buses exploded in Tel Aviv (see: https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/terror-suspected-after-2-buses-explode-in-parking-lots-in-tel-aviv-suburb-nobody-hurt/)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual is arrested in direct connection with the bombing by February 20, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only individuals arrested in direct connection to the attack will qualify. Arrests of suspected accomplices who did not directly participate in the planting of these explosives will not count. Actions such as questioning or detention without a formal arrest will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If an arrest is made, this market may remain open beyond the end date in order to confirm whether the arrested individual qualifies according to the rules.
The primary resolution source will be official information from law enforcement agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
| 2025-02-20T00:00:00Z | true | true | tel-aviv-bus-bomber-arrested-today | [
"Israel",
"Breaking News",
"palestine"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x9a20fdfa10c96daf72b15ccc47b80c0476e6dcd8597f0d33d0b768e2d6b540f8 | 0x5eea74e5f882260097cdf0cfc61af03865630560d2942df24d57aed4d679dddb | Will Bill Clinton be named in Epstein files? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration (including any federal court) publicly releases any previously classified, sealed or unreleased files pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein which contain any mention of the listed individual by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any mention of the listed individual, regardless of if connected to nefarious or illegal activities will qualify.
If the Trump administration releases files which do not contain mention of the listed individual, this market will remain open until the resolution date to allow for additional files to be released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | 2025-06-30T00:00:00Z | true | false | will-bill-clinton-be-named-in-epstein-files | [
"Trump",
"Epstein",
"Declassification",
"Trump Presidency",
"Kash Patel",
"list"
] | false | 0.008 | 0.992 |
0x62b343ca684725d622f98e51b0df3f536c069396d88a2833df73830469af1a21 | 0x43bf3c2d019e5ee18d2177147ea5b4aaed07e7d8d5bfa59d2e9732ee80aa0712 | Georgetown vs. Creighton | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 23 at 4:00PM ET:
If the Georgetown win, the market will resolve to “Georgetown”.
If the Creighton win, the market will resolve to “Creighton”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-02T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-gtwn-crei-2025-02-23 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0xf48e25be89376a2244c7a44bdb2b05f4d7a26e27b3456b0244bb80927a43882c | 0x57d4b7f1c172ea249fe0dde96a1d4a498c853acdd7b058f9c64f5a91fabf4cf0 | Ethena USDe depeg before April? | This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all CoinGeko 30 minute candles for Ethena USDe-USD for any 24 hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 21 Feb '25 00:00 and 1 April '25 00:00 in the ET timezone. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Below 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e. 0.97999 or lower). A 24h period of USDe below 98 cents that starts on the last day in March will count.
The resolution source for this market is the USDe-USD “High” prices currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/ethena-usde with "24h" and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart.
Please note that this market is about the price according to CoinGeko USDe-USD. If CoinGeko stops having the necessary USDe information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USDe was below 98 cents for 24h+ may be used to resolve this market.
| 2025-03-31T00:00:00Z | true | true | ethena-usde-depeg-before-april | [
"Crypto",
"bybit",
"Bybit Hack"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x0a8e97efeddd10d66fedabe8c609757db14f39d145b64ff3e3b3c01935544ff5 | 0x57c95d376a9e04a8a9e0e46fa46b788ab5fa5d7b92b2498a748dd6353784e9b1 | Appalachian State vs. Georgia Southern | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 25 at 5:00PM ET:
If the Appalachian State win, the market will resolve to “Appalachian State”.
If the Georgia Southern win, the market will resolve to “Georgia Southern”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-04T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-app-gaso-2025-02-25 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0xeebb4d5f04e9f47e5fa8ff708c491616cfcaa1679479813b0e600a123893ecfe | 0x07be78a782d18064a05205ea45c70adbd34ee97b648f151349db16e096ce0e21 | Quinnipiac vs. Manhattan | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 23 at 2:00PM ET:
If the Quinnipiac win, the market will resolve to “Quinnipiac”.
If the Manhattan win, the market will resolve to “Manhattan”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-02T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-quin-man-2025-02-23 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x7ba2a3ced0b3b11c9ef9c934c684f0e24fb9d0bde3d31089b3451c0f741f3a07 | 0x261582a525f88cec72d3fa7072aa4d37f9093971c349e6534a4567e1d541e6f4 | Devils vs. Avalanche | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for February 26 at 9:30PM ET:
If the New Jersey Devils win, the market will resolve to “Devils”.
If the Colorado Avalanche win, the market will resolve to “Avalanche”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-06T00:00:00Z | true | true | nhl-nj-col-2025-02-26 | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0x5e4a37f3aaa8b2302cc840bf7f39395a853c65db1d9505b92767cb5c9578c5f8 | 0xdeb3142e3a31a9c6250d4d1509757d36fd015513dfc68a77cc567c73bd5085be | Green Bay vs. Youngstown State | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 23 at 2:00PM ET:
If the Green Bay win, the market will resolve to “Green Bay”.
If the Youngstown State win, the market will resolve to “Youngstown State”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-02T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-gb-ysu-2025-02-23 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x4315d82090e04c5116f7b4ca9f23d8815ee50b8c239a2fb753d9f15cce296600 | 0x20cc003f4a4e1587148fb9629cda11d0db9a48aed16a3a50f6d024c58c615157 | Will Google have the top AI model on March 31? | This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | 2025-03-31T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-google-have-the-top-ai-model-on-march-31 | [
"Business",
"Elon Musk",
"AI",
"OpenAI",
"grok",
"Tech"
] | false | 1 | 0 |
0x06a9fb479004ba3daf2ed7dc61e08daf18073583a92736af4b03cac70f3b41cb | 0xdc4b2f4b36cc4c278d55d9387fadeb73bf7b4f9b28d0da23c38718e297812cbb | Wizards vs. Hornets | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 1 at 6:00PM ET:
If the Washington Wizards win, the market will resolve to “Wizards”.
If the Charlotte Hornets win, the market will resolve to “Hornets”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-08T00:00:00Z | true | true | nba-was-cha-2025-03-01 | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0x2aede51dbf9af60ae64cd4165b0ce27f099115689279c3f3c681769606fd2f01 | 0xbcf0f39d1325a54590c76f2a04c92f2a249599d4af0335f752d8d87e12bf0fca | Will Crystal Palace vs. Ipswich end in a draw? | In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for March 8 at 10:00AM ET,
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If not, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to “Yes”. | 2025-03-08T00:00:00Z | true | true | epl-cry-ips-2025-03-08-draw | [
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x79bdbac735b5d046bd379a0469bcc354e7368ffc5e699ffcde5587c9cb61e16a | 0xb9847c8e904a28a2764ae7450dc4520bb7d3b78064a46f8cc0b9e782b21d905a | Will Bayern Munich or Bayer Leverkusen advance in the UCL Round of 16? | This market refers to the UEFA Champions League Round of 16 match between Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen.
If Bayern Munich advances to the next round of the Champions League, this market will resolve to "Bayern Munich".
If Bayer Leverkusen advances to the next round of the Champions League, this market will resolve to "Leverkusen".
If the match is canceled or postponed beyond December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
| 2025-03-12T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-bayern-munich-or-bayer-leverkusen-advance-in-the-ucl-round-of-16 | [
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"psg",
"Soccer",
"UCL"
] | false | null | null |
0x212bbe3579f9d72c5fba3a7d7f6cc15e59477b29b6ef6a61d3092fa888a065ca | 0x72da2c8e0371996b8a3ffb8adae05314fd502dd46b7bde17ba2beec6a0e9ea60 | South Dakota vs. Nebraska Omaha | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 22 at 8:00PM ET:
If the South Dakota win, the market will resolve to “South Dakota”.
If the Nebraska Omaha win, the market will resolve to “Nebraska Omaha”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-02T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-sdak-oma-2025-02-22 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x670e6a6819d368a05a7a05894d5394608a6764cc25ba1e475c6e55f229cf90b4 | 0x4e9cdeb4e41acae1156d8710cc5e3eb3c16ecd2b5cc58207a466f25099734e59 | Rider vs. Mt. St. Mary's | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 23 at 2:00PM ET:
If the Rider win, the market will resolve to “Rider”.
If the Mt. St. Mary's win, the market will resolve to “Mt. St. Mary's”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-02T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-rid-msm-2025-02-23 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0xea6dd9ca15f3192a7d86d43f4b45927b5372bfa8395417b27306656c996ccb02 | 0xc68dfdea4517f6f7f211de73b6b9ca6593d518e371ef1b142da775c762c2a14f | Will Twente win on 2025-02-20? | In the upcoming UEL game, scheduled for February 20 at 12:45PM ET,
If Twente wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Twente loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve “No”. | 2025-02-20T00:00:00Z | true | true | uel-bod-twe-2025-02-20-twe | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"UEL"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x062ff8b15cf7e4fd0ad99c006136b61d99a4eb88161b7d6b2d6b5879aaf7fd02 | 0xcaba2507c8ce55330e8069c0f7631e56909ef5c9ac06a3e561ab615115c992d8 | Will Manchester City win on 2025-03-08? | In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for March 8 at 7:30AM ET,
If Manchester City wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Manchester City loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve “No”. | 2025-03-08T00:00:00Z | true | true | epl-not-mac-2025-03-08-mac | [
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x687fbc05104d06f083db9b179ad8450a3c52f01f9fccc196b89e8c81a79c768c | 0x2f79bcce3ce755cc849b5bab44e3377a9ed040976ecee7556a3c1a022759a956 | Massachusetts vs. George Washington | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 22 at 6:00PM ET:
If the Massachusetts win, the market will resolve to “Massachusetts”.
If the George Washington win, the market will resolve to “George Washington”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-01T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-umass-gw-2025-02-22 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0xcb94653a4b96b09b87b637f618cffb0ac7dcc71d8aa4169d26b17b9cb81a7702 | 0x6323da7db6e5a57d71a03e2af972931db3e4f341261b331663896f397dfa0f17 | Will Union St. Gilloise win on 2025-02-20? | In the upcoming UEL game, scheduled for February 20 at 3:00PM ET,
If Union St. Gilloise wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Union St. Gilloise loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve “No”. | 2025-02-20T00:00:00Z | true | true | uel-ajx-usg-2025-02-20-usg | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"UEL"
] | false | 1 | 0 |
0x44973f5f4c54d83ab47429713e268492c3c4ad335f4c155510d9632e341c8a02 | 0x1bce6ef39fe3b0264b4792e05e7800824974f449c3c7d62b975609046f5753ca | Will FC Porto win on 2025-02-20? | In the upcoming UEL game, scheduled for February 20 at 12:45PM ET,
If FC Porto wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If FC Porto loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve “No”. | 2025-02-20T00:00:00Z | true | true | uel-rom-por-2025-02-20-por | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"UEL"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xa75e3649070819ce144791e52f2dc75a6d31a41c8493c6d1bcc9da13c54e5e00 | 0x176a93762f4a9b47ef6ce4ba55c7aac71d538c6c7fd600649b3c332551438f3c | Will Trump post less than 100 times on Truth Feb 21-28? | This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on truthsocial.com between February 21, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and February 28, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/?platform=TRUTH_SOCIAL. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, truthsocial.com itself may be used as a secondary resolution source. | 2025-02-28T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-trump-post-less-than-100-times-on-truth-feb-21-28 | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets",
"Trump Presidency",
"Recurring"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x0e089d71e09b6983a56fa1bb1dec91d2d185115b3773f144f28f27fe79e9d9d6 | 0x4dbba5abe0ecc9cb453de7c5483e06fb2c769d4b9e571f9624194392878579af | Baylor vs. Cincinnati | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 25 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Baylor win, the market will resolve to “Baylor”.
If the Cincinnati win, the market will resolve to “Cincinnati”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-05T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-bay-cin-2025-02-25 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x3ff6b389d09a60ac2bf209a2fbb163286c7810d1098b249d0b724eaf4f7f9141 | 0xf12f12d1ce2c1786e773bff1125e0cdf4fa40050096509bcadecd15b17d764b9 | Northwestern State vs. New Orleans | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 22 at 6:00PM ET:
If the Northwestern State win, the market will resolve to “Northwestern State”.
If the New Orleans win, the market will resolve to “New Orleans”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-01T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-nwst-no-2025-02-22 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x79fdf16f63b7478e728d2f3c2c541232eebefbfa4bae24199b17607ad49e3546 | 0x0ca4851ca07be11c315f84b57836c38a52b8d89f017370af1951e3a1655f6758 | Virginia Tech vs. Miami (FL) | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 22 at 6:00PM ET:
If the Virginia Tech win, the market will resolve to “Virginia Tech”.
If the Miami (FL) win, the market will resolve to “Miami (FL)”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-01T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-vt-miami-2025-02-22 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x78a2a9f6f2fb56b06981d362a57c3ccb56485ee1db810aa1165fea3700639a19 | 0x0b856c6744f5b2eb5ce4373c3911e813943ef7df27b7349b5335d9a7b4aabf0a | Holy Cross vs. Navy | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 23 at 2:00PM ET:
If the Holy Cross win, the market will resolve to “Holy Cross”.
If the Navy win, the market will resolve to “Navy”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-02T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-hc-navy-2025-02-23 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x50d68749d533a9307d934a5a9b42466214520447f3b5d4350beb3b2c985cca49 | 0xafbd33d7fe0c91e1c8b52fa7a5355218edf469a2962f93331e2ae2286ebd2793 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" at CPAC conference on Saturday? | Donald Trump is scheduled to speak at the upcoming Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) conference scheduled for Saturday, February 22, 2025. You can read more about that here: https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/5154914-donald-trump-speaking-cpac-2025/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his speech at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this appearance is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Only Trump’s keynote speech will count toward the resolution of this market. Any Q&A, interviews, or other instances of Trump publicly speaking will not be considered.
The resolution source will be video of the speech. | 2025-02-22T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-trump-say-bitcoin-or-crypto-at-cpac-conference-on-saturday | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Mentions"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x9422ce21f5cfbdc397a223529b82897836f09a75487d5f4fe8a056d85bdef46b | 0xbc762b3022435467e538e4b2aca79165af297489db8398f6899f512df774073e | Will Borussia Dortmund or Lille advance in the UCL Round of 16? | This market refers to the UEFA Champions League Round of 16 match between Borussia Dortmund and Lille.
If Borussia Dortmund advances to the next round of the Champions League, this market will resolve to "Dortmund".
If Lille advances to the next round of the Champions League, this market will resolve to "Lille".
If the match is canceled or postponed beyond December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League | 2025-03-12T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-borussia-dortmund-or-lille-advance-in-the-ucl-round-of-16 | [
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"psg",
"Soccer",
"UCL"
] | false | null | null |
0xb4e098b4cb6ebf9c611ceff291a453b44fbc5d45439446261a2a936310508f01 | 0xd4f096b09437d7d2c9d913cc4ae4a032ff4d21b9e574881aa498b92cb7442c5a | Will the price of gas be 3.15 on February 28? | This market will resolve according to the average US regular gas price according to AAA on February 28, 2025.
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.". | 2025-02-28T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-price-of-gas-be-3pt15-on-february-28 | [
"Economy",
"Commodities",
"Recurring"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x26785d9420eba4deaa7589940a9624444fdd52cefaf2f040cadeb8821a0647db | 0xfab1d459cf994c8c1283fb56676958ce72839778a03a9377507b9b4a03ec843a | Will Trump say "Million" 15 or more times at CPAC conference on Saturday? | Donald Trump is scheduled to speak at the upcoming Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) conference scheduled for Saturday, February 22, 2025. You can read more about that here: https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/5154914-donald-trump-speaking-cpac-2025/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his speech at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this appearance is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Only Trump’s keynote speech will count toward the resolution of this market. Any Q&A, interviews, or other instances of Trump publicly speaking will not be considered.
The resolution source will be video of the speech. | 2025-02-22T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-trump-say-million-15-or-more-times-at-cpac-conference-on-saturday | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Mentions"
] | false | 1 | 0 |
0x9ed7c6c6e27c883fb605c8f36e771711770ea73e2f9038a85db1823e876cccd8 | 0x0ef41891c7099a54ade950e5a4a2826f666d47ac856775d5c13817eeca53d840 | Will Trump say "Gold" at CPAC conference on Saturday? | Donald Trump is scheduled to speak at the upcoming Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) conference scheduled for Saturday, February 22, 2025. You can read more about that here: https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/5154914-donald-trump-speaking-cpac-2025/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his speech at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this appearance is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Only Trump’s keynote speech will count toward the resolution of this market. Any Q&A, interviews, or other instances of Trump publicly speaking will not be considered.
The resolution source will be video of the speech. | 2025-02-22T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-trump-say-gold-at-cpac-conference-on-saturday | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Mentions"
] | false | 1 | 0 |
0x6d86553e0c005b2a69ba3a27cc84909dcc8db092548a629e6922ead743d32d7e | 0xd38d115b83d86661d1a75f4788d4b72e15f41524f89be5ffd90a95e5b86d30e2 | Thunder vs. Nets | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for February 26 at 7:30PM ET:
If the Oklahoma City Thunder win, the market will resolve to “Thunder”.
If the Brooklyn Nets win, the market will resolve to “Nets”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-06T00:00:00Z | true | true | nba-okc-bkn-2025-02-26 | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0x55f9873c13d731ca97372db6871d3abe3dacb1c74c1d36e96c00af2f10949333 | 0x39117a97fe11b6bcdb8741b55b42b2a4f1327061ebbaf721cf59ee7f54bcaf5d | SC State vs. MD Eastern Shore | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 24 at 8:00PM ET:
If the SC State win, the market will resolve to “SC State”.
If the MD Eastern Shore win, the market will resolve to “MD Eastern Shore”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-04T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-scst-umes-2025-02-24 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0xa2185a1cc861d3a9befb7fb45d8e266326c22945b953b2ced586d18427d62637 | 0x2a372d0440bb3805146a3fc67c0be518c0c4ac0cf0158d7f5ff6d88b79ec8fd1 | Army vs. Bucknell | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 23 at 12:00PM ET:
If the Army win, the market will resolve to “Army”.
If the Bucknell win, the market will resolve to “Bucknell”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-02T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-army-buck-2025-02-23 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x85db9bb4c8099289863d28df296905756f8dfb8c38718ddceef6fdd45d05b755 | 0x2b7f2c929291e008bd60df686b51a3d458c3f2740a22f5580b6bd36f68af1671 | Houston vs. Texas Tech | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 24 at 9:00PM ET:
If the Houston win, the market will resolve to “Houston”.
If the Texas Tech win, the market will resolve to “Texas Tech”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-04T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-hou-ttu-2025-02-24 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x2971131c0822a6c3c64f21e972d8f08f7305e78d30de1ea4fdbaa1c3b3f237a6 | 0x44b555b4b943343bb77a1eae5cf3b16f1a0443ed51922fe889cf9d50f4ac8d11 | Nets vs. Pistons | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 1 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Brooklyn Nets win, the market will resolve to “Nets”.
If the Detroit Pistons win, the market will resolve to “Pistons”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-09T00:00:00Z | true | true | nba-bkn-det-2025-03-01 | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0xdd463ee0d5cfd272e0a5ad17f882303e947487f0428dbed3e1def154383f8303 | 0x88c20da7cd1fc74b240af7d7b7ff9eaa2bfa1216c32293128f7ed21d17832c42 | Will the highest temperature in London be between 52-53°F on February 24? | This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 24, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
| 2025-02-24T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-52-53f-on-february-24 | [
"Weather"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xb30b26190ff5363767209a16de38294f7ec8af7e72a7ef1ffb19f46f6c567102 | 0xaf915cb4215c47d7660c6ac3c2c19a587bcabd31c2fd0853c59b151cd5e62f91 | Will Elon tweet 450-499 times Feb 21-28? | This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between February 21, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and February 28, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source. | 2025-02-28T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-elon-tweet-450-499-times-feb-21-28 | [
"Politics",
"Elon Musk",
"Tweet Markets",
"Elon Tweets",
"Recurring"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xac7f1ba2389f833689eb771fbabe8ceefc7552d59625c07979577631c6b3cf06 | 0xdf2ca262277fd66f36e112948086f870e07d57f0408dd1fca151376fdc6f87aa | Will the highest temperature in London be 58°F or higher on February 23? | This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 23, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
| 2025-02-23T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-58f-or-higher-on-february-23 | [
"Weather",
"Recurring"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xe0ed19a565d1cb5c583128cdb23d72869af4a85c50358de4de88cce20e68b003 | 0xc4a0649da2180a7a184fa36773821b189a001e701f56878d545b4a78ab300e69 | Will Kanye launch a token on Ripple? | This market will resolve according to the chain of the first token Kanye West is confirmed to have launched between February 22, and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
Only tokens which are confirmed to have been launched by Kanye West, either through posts from official social media channels, or otherwise confirmed by public statements will qualify.
The token must be actively transferrable and/or tradable, announcements alone will not qualify.
If Kanye does not launch a token by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “No token before April”.
If Kanye launches a token on multiple chains simultaneously (within 60 minutes of the first launch), this market will resolve to “Multiple”.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. | 2025-03-31T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-kanye-launch-a-token-on-ripple | [
"Kanye"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x4c0bd99a6035798b945ab74e950f9a4d48c7c46a630590db1d9055be2dfe5f14 | 0x601f6437c4177b2f21d555691ef256e687828e5b1ea5f4c0c32594f40464d877 | Islanders vs. Bruins | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for February 27 at 7:00PM ET:
If the New York Islanders win, the market will resolve to “Islanders”.
If the Boston Bruins win, the market will resolve to “Bruins”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-07T00:00:00Z | true | true | nhl-nyi-bos-2025-02-27 | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0xb5857c368db06a21b2abe7adfd645867130a3cd7064565a5ce017b41050c0d07 | 0x00deba4c08e43577f736cb89b6763dd6a2e54f22b884939924abbbde2d3af9c9 | Will Kanye name his token SWASTIKA? | This market will resolve according to the ticker of the first token Kanye West is confirmed to have launched between February 22, and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
Only tokens which are confirmed to have been launched by Kanye West, either through posts from official social media channels, or otherwise confirmed by public statements will qualify.
The token must be actively transferrable and/or tradable, announcements alone will not qualify.
If Kanye does not launch a token by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “No token before April”.
| 2025-03-31T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-kanye-name-his-token-token-a | [
"Politics",
"Crypto",
"Kanye"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x76186f4ad1b77762825ce9b2ac99eb4d0de0656931f45d9f8cad7a0a9e53a771 | 0x92eee6a34e6902d75eaa3e00b7404199c14c611fa3ba71c8f508c2cb60a6f193 | Northeastern vs. Monmouth | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 24 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Northeastern win, the market will resolve to “Northeastern”.
If the Monmouth win, the market will resolve to “Monmouth”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-04T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-ne-monm-2025-02-24 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0xb30b26190ff5363767209a16de38294f7ec8af7e72a7ef1ffb19f46f6c567108 | 0x2082b73bebdbad1eab3cdfa45f2645848e114eefe029b26962432f26029a8022 | Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28? | This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between February 21, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and February 28, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source. | 2025-02-28T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-elon-tweet-750-799-times-feb-21-28 | [
"Politics",
"Elon Musk",
"Tweet Markets",
"Elon Tweets",
"Recurring"
] | false | 1 | 0 |
0x2f1c942fe25c4f112a706f1809ab44f27cad4948a9160ab436a9d7d6d56051cb | 0x58f04e4d6d4207be5ffcaa8e12ceaaff491bea2f66a67f1c701744e59c3a920c | Will Trump withdraw the U.S. from NATO in 2025? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally initiates a withdrawal from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
Any action meeting these criteria will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
The U.S.'s exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".
The resolution source will be official information from the US government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | 2025-12-31T00:00:00Z | true | false | will-trump-withdraw-the-us-from-nato-in-2025 | [
"Politics",
"Ukraine",
"Trump",
"U.S. Politics",
"Geopolitics",
"Trump Presidency",
"Foreign Policy",
"World"
] | false | 0.066 | 0.934 |
0xaa2b72abd1c4619bbf141577560c46572d38f44ea3aa87b83b164305124e3974 | 0xd934a7f63f0038b3e3fc89374abfc88969903465f4de496b00bc4226094e044a | Ethereum above $2,800 on February 28? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETHUSDT 28 Feb '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 2,800.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETHUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. | 2025-02-28T00:00:00Z | true | true | ethereum-above-2800-on-february-28 | [
"Crypto",
"Ethereum",
"Crypto Prices",
"Recurring"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x6b2803aa262104970cd27319e81706dfd3e35079fb6aedbfc27731c2d9c27152 | 0xa8dd55637491605eff72ca2a9b67905344d2e7fe9c4fb858bfd429d4d61cf84e | Stephen F. Austin vs. Incarnate Word | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 22 at 6:00PM ET:
If the Stephen F. Austin win, the market will resolve to “Stephen F. Austin”.
If the Incarnate Word win, the market will resolve to “Incarnate Word”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-01T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-sfa-iw-2025-02-22 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0xdd463ee0d5cfd272e0a5ad17f882303e947487f0428dbed3e1def154383f8306 | 0x327837a8d403b58c92a64d8f780e67d8eb771ba6e9ccf1f6277c60a1dcde76cf | Will the highest temperature in London be 58°F or higher on February 24? | This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 24, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
| 2025-02-24T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-58f-or-higher-on-february-24 | [
"Weather"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x95c5d8e3a5b301a6e38b7d504c884b58dd129e11afd9d355ecd3be953030c5e1 | 0xb0960ed376bb0fa5c0fa6960c6f5acfaa0d5897c751c30ef5341e62c04b4290f | Nuggets vs. Pacers | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for February 24 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Denver Nuggets win, the market will resolve to “Nuggets”.
If the Indiana Pacers win, the market will resolve to “Pacers”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-04T00:00:00Z | true | true | nba-den-ind-2025-02-24 | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0xd16615e140f7c4aa2bd713586aba6acd035b936ddecae290fd0e56836b5109c9 | 0x471e557ba4a90dd532ef278886f7aa03254fef0910f032770ab9db78f404ae09 | Florida Atlantic vs. Memphis | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 23 at 2:00PM ET:
If the Florida Atlantic win, the market will resolve to “Florida Atlantic”.
If the Memphis win, the market will resolve to “Memphis”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-02T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-fau-mem-2025-02-23 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0xd9589791d8d89116270d070f4cdc827b61fbd5a749c0f27a70935aba8b16cc26 | 0x76f20cf92a88298736e069ae401c798a6e22f642f612cc79bfa9e8e38f150c51 | Stephen F. Austin vs. Houston Christian | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 24 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Stephen F. Austin win, the market will resolve to “Stephen F. Austin”.
If the Houston Christian win, the market will resolve to “Houston Christian”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-04T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-sfa-hcu-2025-02-24 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x7b8c6e97437feca8f8c0843bbde19453323bded16e96dae15fb9abed33f66e91 | 0x43236153aab4c7557be1da1b1c8d604cb84bf0648a4eeaeb2fb52c59577a776d | Florida vs. LSU | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 22 at 6:00PM ET:
If the Florida win, the market will resolve to “Florida”.
If the LSU win, the market will resolve to “LSU”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-01T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-uf-lsu-2025-02-22 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x99f2998b64a356c9c60fc6252546b191e87f16652ba20f5e799e3f23e8206304 | 0x97662882d46c78d0f628b09a7059208c5bd0e689c137620feedd9944850f012f | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $99000 and $101000 on Feb 28? | This market will resolve according to the final “Close” price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT 28 Feb '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTCUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. | 2025-02-28T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-99000-and-101000-on-feb-28 | [
"Crypto",
"Bitcoin",
"Crypto Prices",
"Recurring"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xdd463ee0d5cfd272e0a5ad17f882303e947487f0428dbed3e1def154383f8304 | 0x1678c81a4d5ca2b6f9434266eeb2892a626e908d726d41177bae927deae945ee | Will the highest temperature in London be between 54-55°F on February 24? | This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 24, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
| 2025-02-24T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-54-55f-on-february-24 | [
"Weather"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x6af3687bce2b4a7bac1d2eb178567cfcb82aae2fbbc74fa2b538a74e5875e905 | 0x4ff875c4cbe15d53110231513792bda577329b39cd06321760af6d124da329a4 | Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 50-51°F on February 24? | This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 24, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. | 2025-02-24T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-50-51f-on-february-24 | [
"Weather",
"New York City"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x17bc781409748643eea51b04a09593065c8a845aef9ba4e0297ec5c5f1bb2b06 | 0x833e942aa9adcaca8794e55cb16f0e487155eefed24ddea618a1bd8ef6a1d002 | Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 57-58°F on February 25? | This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 25, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. | 2025-02-25T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-57-58f-on-february-25 | [
"Weather"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xa75e3649070819ce144791e52f2dc75a6d31a41c8493c6d1bcc9da13c54e5e03 | 0x989dea59f6404d98bcc4f53ebcca5e8c61a3d874230c2cb773d2f38deaed37e0 | Will Trump post 140-159 times on Truth Feb 21-28? | This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on truthsocial.com between February 21, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and February 28, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/?platform=TRUTH_SOCIAL. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, truthsocial.com itself may be used as a secondary resolution source. | 2025-02-28T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-trump-post-140-159-times-on-truth-feb-21-28 | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets",
"Trump Presidency",
"Recurring"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x1e96fa24152b321a64d23e0187d93bf31682da5955e51674a98ed767c7b4bf26 | 0x1ff0b58b880d02fc183ca1cfe5cfc9d5d624fb2fc1f660963664266697d94119 | Portland vs. Pacific | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 22 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Portland win, the market will resolve to “Portland”.
If the Pacific win, the market will resolve to “Pacific”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-02T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-port-pac-2025-02-22 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0xa75e3649070819ce144791e52f2dc75a6d31a41c8493c6d1bcc9da13c54e5e07 | 0x07615145ef989afed773784bdfb4f52cf67413dc6f2a569ef9c674a53672afab | Will Trump post 220-239 times on Truth Feb 21-28? | This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on truthsocial.com between February 21, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and February 28, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/?platform=TRUTH_SOCIAL. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, truthsocial.com itself may be used as a secondary resolution source. | 2025-02-28T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-trump-post-220-239-times-on-truth-feb-21-28 | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets",
"Trump Presidency",
"Recurring"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xb4b4a6104e40d8dda7caa8efd353aa89e3809cc964f7a69c3fada82a43535d19 | 0x27166767cbc44d4a08101b139e21d5af10d50fd61cf7dac56196c3e5267f0699 | Dartmouth vs. Princeton | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 22 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Dartmouth win, the market will resolve to “Dartmouth”.
If the Princeton win, the market will resolve to “Princeton”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-02T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-dart-prin-2025-02-22 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0xea856a626830f6952db11b6ac1f304460852d95afc4cd6d7ad406afda686d326 | 0xea452ad23a99dffcf9ce4b233ffa9dbbce670ab6fc9469f631279c0c8856305d | Knicks vs. Grizzlies | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for February 28 at 8:00PM ET:
If the New York Knicks win, the market will resolve to “Knicks”.
If the Memphis Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to “Grizzlies”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-08T00:00:00Z | true | true | nba-nyk-mem-2025-02-28 | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0xb30b26190ff5363767209a16de38294f7ec8af7e72a7ef1ffb19f46f6c567107 | 0xfb178547e84095b4a312392a4d703268f372935daec86e5795305db424c3ab00 | Will Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 21-28? | This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between February 21, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and February 28, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source. | 2025-02-28T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-elon-tweet-700-749-times-feb-21-28 | [
"Politics",
"Elon Musk",
"Tweet Markets",
"Elon Tweets",
"Recurring"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x48acbf2cca7e9904bd19e468235ea16309706a1ea8c679d326cec11eeb977605 | 0xc290ac1b8799eda4f16251ac6fcff5ea9c161533ea72758298c451890bbbc0e7 | Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 56-57°F on February 26? | This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 26, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. | 2025-02-26T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-56-57f-on-february-26 | [
"Weather",
"New York City",
"Recurring"
] | false | 1 | 0 |
0x663db54ea3a1b14fe2daec5df5a570d8685dd27575a2de21105dda5785b76096 | 0x542e324af1d9d113a9d1e574bf56179bc30468f5c8dd34c6f63bca82d809bfe2 | Rider vs. Mercer | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 28 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Rider win, the market will resolve to “Rider”.
If the Mercer win, the market will resolve to “Mercer”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-08T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-rid-mer-2025-02-28 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x3539a09f9f0352b73b74b215f428419e3b4aad199098ba6c6264276f8062ee00 | 0x71cea5060c2180e5e054dd1c5c0fcf4a4b7ab770fe8a168de71c2e4a7f839549 | Will Robert Lewandowski be the top Champions League scorer? | This market will resolve according to the top goalscorer of the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League.
If multiple players tie for the most goals in the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League season, the market will resolve based on most assists, then most games played, and finally the player's last name alphabetically if ties persist.
If a player's team is eliminated, and they are not in the goal lead, the market for that player may resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | 2025-05-31T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-robert-lewandowski-be-the-top-champions-league-scorer | [
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Soccer",
"UCL",
"Champions League Final"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x0a8deb1ca827e9474a183a85a1bd5e8aaa56296a633e8b8aea29350945aa4f0b | 0x858216c5dcc41cf473226ceea1d3ff43c70570a3f34b6a889588229ab395371f | Will the Indiana Pacers finish with the worst regular season record? | This market will resolve according to the team that finishes with the worst regular season record in the NBA for the 2024-25 Season.
If multiple teams finish with identical records, the league’s tiebreaker rules will be used to determine the worst record.
If it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish with the worst record based on the rules of the NBA, the market for that team may resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the NBA.
| 2025-04-13T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-indiana-pacers-finish-with-the-worst-regular-season-record | [
"Sports",
"Basketball",
"NBA"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xd01e6bb7034d77321197aeb388529d4960f05de15f57ef566de6517b4732f758 | 0x78c78ec7839234eaf7164500d5412a1636782f38257799efd1932a03ec6b4067 | Will Trump say "Martial Law" during Macron presser today? | Donald Trump is scheduled to hold a press conference with French president Emmanuel Macron on February 24, 2025, 2:00 PM ET (https://www.c-span.org/event/white-house-event/pres-trump-french-pres-macron-hold-news-conference/431203).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 24, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If this event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be video of the press conference.
| 2025-02-24T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-trump-say-martial-law-during-macron-presser-today | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"france",
"Geopolitics",
"Mentions"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0xccc9ab8c48c8f2d5349b7992ac9f2c1a9b3485dab670c3927190732b479b278b | 0x4847cc0c926e4436552ffcf83b60bb6505f60deb447448781bb918ee85154944 | Rutgers vs. Michigan | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 27 at 9:00PM ET:
If the Rutgers win, the market will resolve to “Rutgers”.
If the Michigan win, the market will resolve to “Michigan”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-07T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-rutg-mich-2025-02-27 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0xabc899afe99bbb341104710df087daa09aa8896f7dff952719383bd4c7aa7102 | 0xfcd86ac23f3dba2299c8b04653bb707a2b3f1d7d28617a3b66fd853d51a85a64 | Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 51-52°F on February 27? | This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 27, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. | 2025-02-27T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-51-52f-on-february-27 | [
"Weather",
"New York City",
"Recurring"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x8b332bb5825acc1aed70762943cd1ce7d9fa5d9e7e5c399776714ab7304695c2 | 0xb27350f6f8638851b43e0533a83224cc0b65b118559036ae110aea1e900aff5a | Will Ellen DeGeneres be named in Epstein files? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration (including any federal court) publicly releases any previously classified, sealed or unreleased files pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein which contain any mention of the listed individual by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any mention of the listed individual, regardless of if connected to nefarious or illegal activities will qualify.
If the Trump administration releases files which do not contain mention of the listed individual, this market will remain open until the resolution date to allow for additional files to be released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | 2025-06-30T00:00:00Z | true | false | will-ellen-degeneres-be-named-in-epstein-files | [
"Trump",
"Epstein",
"Declassification",
"Trump Presidency",
"Kash Patel",
"list"
] | false | 0.0105 | 0.9895 |
0x4a0bc18919fd8fc19d45f62a81d818b63a36b245bd4ee48d1070a167c40db67b | 0x2cf6f5a26730eaa7dafd249e6363ce8e09706d06856809888a92ca5aa4245638 | Maple Leafs vs. Rangers | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for February 28 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Toronto Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to “Maple Leafs”.
If the New York Rangers win, the market will resolve to “Rangers”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-08T00:00:00Z | true | true | nhl-tor-nyr-2025-02-28 | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false | null | null |
0x3539a09f9f0352b73b74b215f428419e3b4aad199098ba6c6264276f8062ee0d | 0x369ed22af6187ad8286abe836fa8116e7e1912b332e021c46ec7be9e3049342c | Will Michael Olise be the top Champions League scorer? | This market will resolve according to the top goalscorer of the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League.
If multiple players tie for the most goals in the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League season, the market will resolve based on most assists, then most games played, and finally the player's last name alphabetically if ties persist.
If a player's team is eliminated, and they are not in the goal lead, the market for that player may resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | 2025-05-31T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-michael-olise-be-the-top-champions-league-scorer | [
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Soccer",
"UCL",
"Champions League Final"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x7e06e0c82d41d1f4bc3c7e3640498ad10216bd63e8ec63d31880887d8d588f05 | 0x3d11dd97cf6c1fec610d9605ce25e8b1bae91f7a8b41b2878ce36142830a46fb | Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on February 27? | This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 27, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
| 2025-02-27T00:00:00Z | true | true | will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-53-54f-on-february-27 | [
"Weather",
"Recurring"
] | false | 0 | 1 |
0x9ff62aa1c576606ba9ebd7e0f02cd0e8ece501f59d5ef68b6288b273d830edf4 | 0x70b5e60603d25e9aed566cd0dcccec91cc6fdf8528a32d83ccddfcf1b780d59f | Cal Poly vs. UC Santa Barbara | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 27 at 10:00PM ET:
If the Cal Poly win, the market will resolve to “Cal Poly”.
If the UC Santa Barbara win, the market will resolve to “UC Santa Barbara”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-07T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-cp-ucsb-2025-02-27 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
0x577432af58fe6c9593ea8a621e5c349f5b1c477429a3d88fb2308fbec4aac373 | 0x3a77051489fb430dc7eeaa59f8ad113331ef3f4b2295c5104cd10d43a5ca0168 | Princeton vs. Columbia | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 28 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Princeton win, the market will resolve to “Princeton”.
If the Columbia win, the market will resolve to “Columbia”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | 2025-03-08T00:00:00Z | true | true | cbb-prin-clmb-2025-02-28 | [
"Sports",
"Games",
"CBB"
] | false | null | null |
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