id
stringlengths 9
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| slug
stringlengths 2
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| question
stringlengths 1
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int64 1,641B
1,736B
| closeTime
int64 1,702B
1,736B
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int64 1,727B
1,736B
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stringclasses 2
values | resolutionProbability
float64 0
1
⌀ | volume
float64 0
11.6M
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oy6ys8ZqZn
|
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-Acgp2PE8S0
|
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec 11 than it closed on Dec 10?
| null | 1,733,856,362,607
| 1,733,950,985,143
| 1,733,950,985,143
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,012.84458
|
RZPQEudNpA
|
has-scaling-hit-a-wall-who-will-win
|
Has scaling hit a wall? Who will win the debate between Jonathan Frankle and Dylan Patel at NeurIPS 2024?
| null | 1,733,855,893,607
| 1,733,990,340,000
| 1,735,067,168,517
|
YES
| 0.340378
| 1,953
|
U6nqz25hg5
|
will-the-canada-post-strike-end-in
|
Will the Canada Post strike end in 2024?
| null | 1,733,852,060,318
| 1,735,433,389,433
| 1,735,433,389,433
|
YES
| 0.989242
| 1,720.340122
|
OzyNlSpyL9
|
balancing-market
|
Will this market close between 25% and 75%
| null | 1,733,843,457,321
| 1,734,130,740,000
| 1,734,130,834,748
|
YES
| 0.616146
| 1,853.308208
|
UUt00ndIZ2
|
tug-of-war-9qsPg2z8PN
|
Tug of war
| null | 1,733,839,813,157
| 1,733,979,540,000
| 1,734,011,674,466
|
NO
| 0.189741
| 255.880026
|
AypOs6OZIZ
|
daily-coinflip-Qgc00NILNI
|
Daily coinflip
| null | 1,733,820,112,648
| 1,733,979,540,000
| 1,733,987,170,320
|
YES
| 0.496586
| 5,734
|
O8sNnC9lhE
|
will-mikheil-kavelashvili-be-electe
|
Will Mikheil Kavelashvili be elected as President of Georgia
| null | 1,733,810,432,650
| 1,734,232,948,959
| 1,734,232,948,959
|
YES
| 0.959286
| 4,643
|
5nS5nSSdSO
|
will-luigi-mangione-waive-extraditi
|
Will Luigi Mangione waive extradition?
| null | 1,733,807,009,163
| 1,734,627,576,821
| 1,734,627,576,821
|
YES
| 0.943829
| 879.844546
|
hESEUhlyU0
|
did-luigi-mangione-author-the-manif
|
Did Luigi Mangione author the manifesto 'The Allopathic Complex and Its Consequences' posted on Substack?
| null | 1,733,804,749,653
| 1,733,879,830,272
| 1,733,972,620,810
|
NO
| 0.074283
| 3,255
|
2ItOQ0ytlQ
|
will-we-hit-a-new-record-for-vancou-LpQnOcPSE8
|
Will we hit a new record for Vancouver's 8th Taco Tuesday?
| null | 1,733,803,362,993
| 1,733,903,940,000
| 1,733,948,121,854
|
NO
| 0.246154
| 75
|
pQtIz68EIL
|
will-this-post-from-manifolds-x-acc
|
Will this post from Manifold's X account be deleted within a week?
| null | 1,733,798,376,570
| 1,734,389,581,621
| 1,734,389,581,621
|
NO
| 0.020374
| 10,897.960358
|
ZOt8Qdh9sI
|
will-this-pull-request-take-down-th
|
Will this pull request take down the site or need major changes?
| null | 1,733,794,378,588
| 1,733,903,940,000
| 1,734,386,436,707
|
NO
| 0.043309
| 3,700
|
g805nul22A
|
will-any-new-videos-appear-on-luigi
|
Will any new videos appear on Luigi Mangione Youtube account?
| null | 1,733,783,919,154
| 1,733,785,980,752
| 1,733,785,980,752
|
NO
| 0.5
| 6,053.334335
|
N2ZthQOshZ
|
will-syria-have-a-new-president-wit
|
Will Syria have a new president within a week?
| null | 1,733,782,826,168
| 1,734,382,740,000
| 1,734,440,482,736
|
NO
| 0.034927
| 4,345.459388
|
NZRcsRQcI5
|
bill-belichick-hired-as-unc-head-co
|
Bill Belichick hired as UNC head coach before January 1st 2025
| null | 1,733,781,238,560
| 1,733,973,680,199
| 1,733,973,680,199
|
YES
| 0.99041
| 1,221.861573
|
Ant6dAhgLz
|
will-luigi-mangione-ultimately-be-t
|
Will Luigi Mangione ultimately be the actual shooter of Brian Thompson?
| null | 1,733,777,748,722
| 1,734,876,317,401
| 1,734,876,317,401
|
YES
| 0.978701
| 662.133048
|
qL9Pg9S0yI
|
will-there-be-evidence-showing-the
|
Will there be evidence showing the UnitedHealthcare shooter had a Manifold account by end of March 2025?
| null | 1,733,772,783,361
| 1,733,778,992,611
| 1,733,778,992,611
|
YES
| 0.98653
| 1,811.708562
|
ONuNA5Ec6C
|
will-a-manifold-user-be-charged-wit
|
Will a Manifold user be charged with the killing of UnitedHealth CEO Brian Thompson?
| null | 1,733,769,853,106
| 1,733,805,077,348
| 1,733,805,077,348
|
YES
| 0.962981
| 3,948.108865
|
gCQZ9qASL5
|
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-OSRnQPAnpP
|
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec 10 than it closed on Dec 9?
| null | 1,733,767,758,891
| 1,733,864,544,331
| 1,733,864,544,331
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,044.287351
|
hCqhgI0tI8
|
will-penn-state-football-win-agains
|
Will Penn State football win against SMU at noon on December 21?
| null | 1,733,763,120,093
| 1,734,813,132,741
| 1,734,813,132,741
|
YES
| 0.99
| 9,645.329333
|
ScAhltZz9h
|
yes-hPpgR6q92n
|
yes
| null | 1,733,755,886,478
| 1,733,755,930,747
| 1,733,755,930,747
|
YES
| 0.969204
| 461
|
AEcEyANQOU
|
2024-ncaaf-gasparilla-bowl-will-flo
|
2024 NCAAF Gasparilla Bowl: Will Florida defeat Tulane?
| null | 1,733,754,762,588
| 1,734,740,877,195
| 1,734,740,877,195
|
YES
| 0.99
| 8,949.874371
|
6StUuRN5SC
|
will-game-9-of-the-fide-world-champ-IAAcdtggNP
|
Will Game 12 of the FIDE World Champion Gukesh vs Ding, result in a draw?
| null | 1,733,732,085,555
| 1,733,748,926,944
| 1,733,748,926,944
|
NO
| 0.023006
| 6,423
|
5QuUl2OP8I
|
identity-of-brian-thompsons-killer
|
Identity of Brian Thompsons killer known before 2024 is over?
| null | 1,733,724,029,549
| 1,733,771,059,314
| 1,733,771,059,314
|
YES
| 0.968
| 450
|
qSgIlNpI8z
|
will-bitcoin-hit-104k-in-december
|
Will Bitcoin hit $104K in December?
| null | 1,733,723,432,108
| 1,734,307,545,531
| 1,734,307,545,531
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,811.724103
|
2ldL0tQ2u6
|
will-the-will-strutheo-slay-all-20
|
Will the "Will strutheo Slay all 20 Top Creators by the end of 2024?" market go to 10% tomorrow?
| null | 1,733,722,465,871
| 1,733,806,800,000
| 1,733,806,924,978
|
NO
| 0.01
| 9,090.967385
|
SEtn0LEPR8
|
will-magnus-carlson-repeat-as-the-c
|
Will Magnus Carlsen repeat as the chess.com Champions Chess Tour winner in 2024?
| null | 1,733,722,056,707
| 1,734,809,739,189
| 1,734,809,739,189
|
YES
| 0.99
| 12,238.016758
|
Sty9sslCEI
|
will-olaf-scholz-win-the-vote-of-co
|
Will Olaf Scholz win the vote of confidence?
| null | 1,733,716,497,956
| 1,734,710,797,505
| 1,734,710,797,505
|
NO
| 0.01334
| 760
|
QztPU6u62O
|
will-there-be-another-assassination-90uyNlC56d
|
Will there be another assassination of a fortune 500 executive before the UHC killer is caught?
| null | 1,733,695,124,855
| 1,733,839,766,426
| 1,733,839,766,426
|
NO
| 0.012607
| 15,090.194825
|
8y5uLqs5pq
|
tug-of-war-lRpIlzzy99
|
Tug of war
| null | 1,733,677,589,046
| 1,733,806,740,000
| 1,733,839,633,476
|
NO
| 0.312441
| 2,427.279285
|
u2LnC0ZQ5N
|
will-there-be-any-break-between-kag-S08slN8h8E
|
Will there be any break between Kagurabachi chapters 61 and 62?
| null | 1,733,677,050,395
| 1,734,279,987,154
| 1,734,279,989,709
|
NO
| 0.4901
| 20
|
R5lu0Isn0U
|
will-there-be-any-break-between-one-upIyq2uR85
|
Will there be any break between One Piece chapters 1134 and 1135?
| null | 1,733,677,011,841
| 1,734,901,377,399
| 1,734,901,379,544
|
YES
| 0.509655
| 40
|
cQ89nR05hZ
|
did-bashar-alassad-die-in-an-plane
|
Did Bashar al-Assad die in a plane crash on December 7th (PST)?
| null | 1,733,632,888,901
| 1,733,690,289,902
| 1,733,690,289,902
|
NO
| 0.015089
| 12,017.897722
|
8g8hlRRcQA
|
ripple-above-239-on-december-13
|
Ripple above $2.39 on December 13?
| null | 1,733,610,565,201
| 1,734,411,540,000
| 1,735,403,948,792
|
YES
| 0.981826
| 635
|
5s909q9Au9
|
will-jimmy-carter-attend-the-trump
|
Will Jimmy Carter attend the Trump inauguration?
| null | 1,733,610,139,519
| 1,735,669,998,064
| 1,735,669,998,064
|
NO
| 0.01
| 979.11271
|
tsEyUSE2SU
|
is-damascus-going-to-fall-before-va
|
Is Damascus going to fall before Valentine's day 2025?
| null | 1,733,609,036,002
| 1,733,699,811,031
| 1,733,699,811,031
|
YES
| 0.99
| 2,024.966017
|
nQghEqSd56
|
will-weather-ruin-the-final-experim
|
Will weather ruin The Final Experiment according to Flat Earthers?
| null | 1,733,608,336,469
| 1,734,917,785,669
| 1,734,917,785,669
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,192.487788
|
8d2gCnERs0
|
will-leclerc-get-more-points-then-s
|
Will Leclerc get more Points then Sainz at the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix
| null | 1,733,599,768,123
| 1,733,669,703,990
| 1,733,669,705,638
|
NO
| 0.01
| 9,483.965728
|
q8A6ldhqEL
|
will-manifold-lower-liquidity-for-i
|
Will Manifold lower liquidity for individual sports matches in 2024?
| null | 1,733,599,213,512
| 1,734,792,103,604
| 1,734,792,103,604
|
YES
| 0.5
| 9.999999
|
StL8t85tqO
|
tug-of-war-n5Z0QntStu
|
Tug of war
| null | 1,733,595,093,913
| 1,733,633,940,000
| 1,733,676,208,628
|
NO
| 0.151668
| 675.214993
|
9LzuNcUOcP
|
will-the-shooter-of-brian-thompson
|
Will the shooter of Brian Thompson of UnitedHealthcare be arrested by the end of February 2025?
| null | 1,733,572,408,460
| 1,733,776,420,559
| 1,733,776,420,559
|
YES
| 0.99
| 16,639.384182
|
UQsd66N9cC
|
will-i-be-impressed-by-the-work-of
|
Will I be impressed by the work of Jacob Barandes if I take the time to study it?
| null | 1,733,570,013,282
| 1,734,866,385,922
| 1,734,866,385,922
|
YES
| 0.5
| 0
|
Rq2dpAlUuZ
|
20-traders-on-this-market
|
20 traders on this Market?
| null | 1,733,569,412,317
| 1,733,703,706,006
| 1,733,703,706,006
|
YES
| 0.99
| 894.987437
|
qd5LlEuZgc
|
will-i-s-rank-armored-core-6-before
|
Will I S rank Armored Core 6 before the end of the year?
| null | 1,733,568,812,060
| 1,733,885,182,154
| 1,733,885,182,154
|
YES
| 0.307692
| 50
|
OQh2cCsz6N
|
will-btes-alleged-alts-be-banned
|
Will BTE's alleged alts be banned?
| null | 1,733,559,527,188
| 1,734,042,074,371
| 1,734,042,074,371
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,052.484847
|
pd0h9lnLLt
|
will-montreal-have-a-white-christma
|
Will Montreal have a white Christmas in 2024?
| null | 1,733,552,543,922
| 1,735,490,681,588
| 1,735,491,402,174
|
NO
| 0.314459
| 5,742.354325
|
LuOgUgsLQI
|
will-the-sp-500-close-higher-on-fri-CNtQysOqsI
|
Will the S&P 500 close higher on Friday December 13th 2024 than it closed on Friday December 6th 2024?
| null | 1,733,539,510,262
| 1,734,100,200,000
| 1,734,142,016,607
|
NO
| 0.724873
| 74
|
nUng5A0C0O
|
will-openai-release-o2-as-part-of-t
|
Will OpenAI release o2 (or o3) as part of the 12 days of Christmas?
| null | 1,733,537,208,429
| 1,734,734,174,942
| 1,734,819,275,806
|
NO
| 0.145053
| 110,361.782255
|
0E5lZ5qp8Z
|
will-i-piss-today
|
will i piss today
| null | 1,733,534,180,012
| 1,733,534,196,965
| 1,733,534,196,965
|
NO
| 0.394073
| 24
|
O6ZLpES6gt
|
will-i-poop-today
|
will i poop today
| null | 1,733,534,094,093
| 1,733,534,128,152
| 1,733,534,128,152
|
NO
| 0.41389
| 19
|
d6pnpuhshq
|
11-traders-on-this-market
|
11 traders on this Market?
| null | 1,733,532,974,043
| 1,733,550,879,755
| 1,733,550,879,755
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,059.124897
|
5NyIO26ltt
|
will-assad-flee-syria-by-2025
|
Will Assad flee Syria by 2025?
| null | 1,733,532,465,277
| 1,733,647,692,567
| 1,733,681,876,266
|
YES
| 0.83964
| 26,546.12853
|
80O2qERCZg
|
will-the-daniel-penny-trial-be-decl
|
Will the Daniel Penny trial be declared a mistrial?
| null | 1,733,527,812,118
| 1,733,765,270,599
| 1,733,765,270,599
|
NO
| 0.078914
| 2,676.39495
|
nQQlg655uU
|
will-the-amazing-digital-circus-epi-pnCuCSntzU
|
Will The Amazing Digital Circus Episode 4 reach 40 million views by the end of December?
| null | 1,733,522,396,310
| 1,734,637,028,605
| 1,734,637,028,605
|
YES
| 0.989932
| 8,916
|
ncc5ZOQS2h
|
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-Qlc2zEgI28
|
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec 9 than it closed on Dec 6?
| null | 1,733,518,126,318
| 1,733,778,130,702
| 1,733,778,130,702
|
NO
| 0.018191
| 676
|
lhARUIRS0y
|
will-gemini-release-a-model-that-ou
|
Will Gemini release a model that outperforms or ties 4o on lmarena (all categories) before Christmas?
| null | 1,733,505,306,931
| 1,733,901,462,736
| 1,733,901,462,736
|
YES
| 0.909399
| 240
|
lUh6s5uP62
|
will-tsla-reach-475-before-8pm-est-UUEPEsu95L
|
Will TSLA reach $475 before 8pm EST on 8/8/2025?
| null | 1,733,504,368,432
| 1,734,464,063,109
| 1,734,464,063,109
|
YES
| 0.982421
| 1,054.049248
|
hAy58dCpCs
|
will-the-cdc-announce-that-an-epide
|
Will the CDC announce that an epidemic of H5N1 "swine flu" exists anywhere in the United States during 2025?
| null | 1,733,496,989,454
| 1,733,497,104,677
| 1,733,497,104,677
|
NO
| 0.5
| 0
|
UqEyt5SsEg
|
daily-coinflip-gZddIyZc6n
|
Daily coinflip 🎉
| null | 1,733,474,086,368
| 1,733,806,740,000
| 1,733,815,371,157
|
YES
| 0.5
| 9,595.219432
|
CQLRduu0RE
|
is-the-killer-of-brian-thompson-the-2ylUzuN0c2
|
Is the killer of Brian Thompson, the UnitedHealthcare CEO, age 28 or younger?
| null | 1,733,460,635,242
| 1,733,844,293,598
| 1,733,844,293,598
|
YES
| 0.979355
| 2,089.289257
|
0AAI0zsph9
|
tug-of-war-CyRnUs9558
|
Tug of war
| null | 1,733,457,219,849
| 1,733,547,540,000
| 1,733,595,031,186
|
NO
| 0.338369
| 548.915997
|
5pd5C9ROq6
|
will-i-get-the-highest-amount-of-re
|
Will I get the highest amount of research points this semester?
| null | 1,733,457,067,569
| 1,734,054,438,228
| 1,734,054,438,228
|
YES
| 0.99
| 3,813.028632
|
8OdugR6hRO
|
are-these-two-supposed-pictures-of
|
Are these two supposed pictures of the United Healthcare CEO assassin actually different people?
| null | 1,733,452,110,700
| 1,735,360,056,732
| 1,735,360,056,732
|
NO
| 0.007962
| 56,511.975885
|
Z2gUZgOqt0
|
will-the-unitedhealthcare-ceo-assas
|
Will the UnitedHealthcare CEO assassin turn himself in before EOY 2024?
| null | 1,733,451,715,233
| 1,734,036,659,411
| 1,734,036,659,411
|
NO
| 0.101555
| 1,239.46757
|
pgIuEZZP2g
|
will-bayesian-die-from-the-carbon-m
|
Will @Bayesian die from the carbon monoxide leak?
| null | 1,733,450,938,932
| 1,733,521,470,633
| 1,733,521,470,633
|
NO
| 0.05
| 362
|
PSU0hCclcS
|
will-jimmy-carter-blaze-through-apr
|
Will Jimmy Carter blaze through April 20, 2025?
| null | 1,733,450,533,140
| 1,735,518,266,163
| 1,735,518,266,163
|
NO
| 0.009722
| 109,217.392563
|
0LP8COgAgn
|
will-bitcoin-hit-100000-between-dec
|
Will bitcoin hit $100,000 between December 6, 2024 and December 31, 2024?
| null | 1,733,440,043,944
| 1,733,523,721,502
| 1,733,523,721,502
|
YES
| 0.99
| 9,293.901427
|
C6RIRRqgug
|
will-the-killer-of-brian-thompson-b-A8RcqsRghp--cash
|
Will the killer of Brian Thompson be arrested by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,733,437,201,033
| 1,733,775,767,666
| 1,733,775,903,769
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,438.361
|
8592sqdEcn
|
will-shavkat-rakhmonov-defeat-ian-g
|
Will Shavkat Rakhmonov defeat Ian Garry at UFC 310?
| null | 1,733,435,586,269
| 1,733,636,471,020
| 1,733,636,471,020
|
YES
| 0.989677
| 9,472.455452
|
0nh6gOn5QN
|
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-nzNICOnuOn
|
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec 6 than it closed on Dec 5?
| null | 1,733,432,673,303
| 1,733,518,927,159
| 1,733,518,927,159
|
YES
| 0.957151
| 414.999998
|
PZ6qcZ0zhN
|
will-the-tsunami-be-visible-from-th
|
Will the tsunami be visible from the top of the Berkeley Campanile?
| null | 1,733,428,881,708
| 1,733,465,017,368
| 1,733,465,017,368
|
NO
| 0.01
| 894.987437
|
OgQghs0Au2
|
will-jimmy-carter-live-to-see-the-s
|
Will Jimmy Carter live to see the Switch 2 reveal?
| null | 1,733,428,141,638
| 1,735,518,269,618
| 1,735,518,269,618
|
NO
| 0.010924
| 14,214.655136
|
uhn9IOLNq9
|
reported-damage-in-san-francisco-du
|
Reported damage in San Francisco due to earthquake or tsunami by December 6, 2024
| null | 1,733,427,767,858
| 1,733,490,458,243
| 1,733,490,458,243
|
NO
| 0.545686
| 2,547.222534
|
nlNAl9CSRl
|
casualties-in-san-francisco-due-to
|
Casualties in San Francisco due to tsunami on 12/5/2024 greater than 10
| null | 1,733,426,789,600
| 1,733,558,340,000
| 1,733,600,433,908
|
NO
| 0.013012
| 1,061
|
Ih9qyA6EhZ
|
will-manchester-city-win-at-least-5--cash
|
Will Manchester City win at least 5 matches in December?
| null | 1,733,426,152,889
| 1,734,288,015,251
| 1,734,381,971,353
|
NO
| 0.019293
| 324.128484
|
LyEIhOAzLS
|
will-a-tsunami-kill-10-people-in-ca
|
Will a tsunami kill >10 people in California in the next 10 days?
| null | 1,733,425,302,777
| 1,734,335,940,000
| 1,734,370,895,640
|
NO
| 0.01
| 53,696.366972
|
Cllpy5Edzt
|
will-i-regret-not-moving-to-the-hig
|
Should I get to higher ground RIGHT NOW
| null | 1,733,424,841,680
| 1,733,455,522,769
| 1,733,455,522,769
|
NO
| 0.011327
| 11,759.811452
|
c89zZAt5IA
|
will-los-ratones-win-the-nno-cup
|
Will Los Ratones win the NNO cup?
| null | 1,733,424,431,657
| 1,733,731,140,000
| 1,733,797,418,144
|
YES
| 0.742931
| 700
|
AAACQ9udIQ
|
was-there-russian-meddling-in-the-2
|
Was there Russian meddling in the 2024 Romanian presidential election?
| null | 1,733,411,345,933
| 1,733,511,575,163
| 1,733,511,575,163
|
YES
| 0.99
| 8,949.874371
|
5CtytsgZZn
|
2024-ncaaf-mountain-west-conference
|
2024 NCAAF 🏈 Mountain West Conference Championship: Will Boise State WIN against UNLV?
| null | 1,733,409,361,693
| 1,733,545,624,968
| 1,733,545,624,968
|
YES
| 0.99
| 8,949.874371
|
ylccNQLs5u
|
a-provider-of-ipl-photofacials-will
|
A provider of IPL Photofacials will be posted in the comments by December 24, 2024
| null | 1,733,406,989,012
| 1,734,011,184,002
| 1,734,011,184,002
|
YES
| 0.590164
| 200
|
NqOy9yO66Q
|
will-the-syrian-government-control-COL59Ig2An
|
Will the Syrian government control a contiguous area between Damascus and Latakia until 31 March 2025?
| null | 1,733,406,162,967
| 1,733,686,476,060
| 1,733,686,476,060
|
NO
| 0.012345
| 927.557833
|
gNA6PPRsOR
|
will-the-syrian-government-control
|
Will the Syrian government control a contiguous area between Damascus and Latakia until the end of 2024
| null | 1,733,406,006,279
| 1,733,686,494,566
| 1,733,686,494,566
|
NO
| 0.01333
| 845.170386
|
hyypdOlUz6
|
short-fuse-will-john-mahama-be-elec
|
(Short Fuse) Will John Mahama be elected the President of Ghana?
| null | 1,733,405,056,585
| 1,733,792,028,394
| 1,733,792,028,394
|
YES
| 0.99
| 4,885.569465
|
t000825p8t
|
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-p5S6OsnzRA
|
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec 5 than it closed on Dec 4?
| null | 1,733,403,560,629
| 1,733,432,508,090
| 1,733,432,508,090
|
NO
| 0.123261
| 196.949006
|
uulE22E5Qd
|
bitcoin-above-100k-on-dec-14
|
Bitcoin above $100K on Dec 14?
| null | 1,733,385,087,719
| 1,734,167,257,912
| 1,734,167,257,912
|
YES
| 0.990915
| 32,863.220971
|
gEu0UgdPA2
|
will-this-market-get-at-least-100-t
|
Will this market get at least 100 traders?
| null | 1,733,379,686,380
| 1,733,711,530,159
| 1,733,711,530,159
|
YES
| 0.99
| 22,129.432178
|
u29RPdENq0
|
will-the-unitedhealthcare-ceos-kill
|
Will the UnitedHealthcare CEO's killer be arrested before Pete Hegseth withdraws from the Trump nomination?
| null | 1,733,376,191,490
| 1,734,023,720,293
| 1,734,023,720,293
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,818.325288
|
tcNRECcny9
|
will-bitcoin-go-lower-than-100k-bef
|
Will Bitcoin go lower than $100k before the end of 2024?
| null | 1,733,369,181,105
| 1,733,431,506,903
| 1,733,431,506,903
|
YES
| 0.990694
| 932.522484
|
Q8nIIzUPu5
|
will-unitedhealthcare-ceo-brian-tho
|
Will UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson's assassin be apprehended by Monday December 9th?
| null | 1,733,352,121,306
| 1,733,720,626,151
| 1,733,720,626,151
|
NO
| 0.010352
| 175,015.636358
|
yRRglglpAN
|
will-kraven-the-hunter-have-a-rotte
|
Will "Kraven the Hunter" have a Rotten Tomatoes critics score >50%?
| null | 1,733,351,484,099
| 1,734,767,940,000
| 1,734,935,268,687
|
NO
| 0.023312
| 1,072.123948
|
NZcLNsh896
|
will-lord-of-the-rings-war-of-the-r
|
Will "Lord of the Rings: War of the Rohirrim" have a Rotten Tomatoes critics score at least 60%?
| null | 1,733,350,698,360
| 1,734,767,940,000
| 1,734,935,247,777
|
NO
| 0.034752
| 960.118623
|
Cn8q6SscC6
|
will-the-killer-of-brian-thompson-b-A8RcqsRghp
|
Will the killer of Brian Thompson be arrested by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,733,344,763,637
| 1,733,775,767,666
| 1,733,775,767,666
|
YES
| 0.99
| 118,850.851918
|
c0Anqtuh2l
|
will-the-united-healthcare-ceo-shoo
|
Will the United Healthcare CEO shooter be caught by June 2025?
| null | 1,733,342,571,336
| 1,733,890,873,475
| 1,733,890,873,475
|
YES
| 0.99363
| 64,207.162107
|
I5unZc6O8n
|
will-this-stegosaurus-dinosaur-skel
|
Will this stegosaurus (dinosaur) skeleton sell for >$10 million at its upcoming Christie's auction?
| null | 1,733,340,047,259
| 1,734,011,940,000
| 1,735,665,157,571
|
NO
| 0.526342
| 85.054369
|
2RQA89hyuI
|
tug-of-war-hC9QCqtUsc
|
Tug of war
| null | 1,733,330,162,497
| 1,733,461,140,000
| 1,733,461,270,970
|
NO
| 0.281319
| 1,392.119688
|
ISAphSINc2
|
murderer-of-unitedhealthcare-ceo-br
|
Murderer of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson caught before January 3, 2025
| null | 1,733,327,504,488
| 1,733,771,103,193
| 1,733,771,103,193
|
YES
| 0.99
| 27,869.484753
|
UdzPIhttR6
|
will-game-9-of-the-fide-world-champ
|
Will Game 9 of the FIDE World Champion Gukesh vs Ding, result in a draw?
| null | 1,733,325,539,431
| 1,733,411,199,109
| 1,733,411,199,109
|
YES
| 0.989821
| 966
|
OCOsCnSRt9
|
will-i-get-sick-again-with-diarrhea
|
Will I get sick again with diarrhea in India?
| null | 1,733,298,435,784
| 1,735,120,559,072
| 1,735,120,559,072
|
YES
| 0.67221
| 66.061482
|
gl0dcc09Nz
|
daily-coinflip-ql88h5UdE0
|
Daily coinflip
| null | 1,733,291,663,148
| 1,733,461,140,000
| 1,733,472,072,582
|
YES
| 0.505438
| 4,976.107824
|
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