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6RZ99CpUPt | will-trump-coin-official-trump-surp | Will $Trump coin (Official Trump) surpass the fully diluted valuation of $DOGE (Dogecoin) by April 2025? | null | 1,737,268,840,666 | 1,737,277,478,164 | 1,737,277,478,164 | YES | 0.961069 | 4,450 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
s7z05zlksn | will-grok-3-release-before-mamma-mi | Will Grok 3 release before Mamma Mia 3? | null | 1,724,644,209,504 | 1,740,369,232,075 | 1,740,369,232,075 | YES | 0.984939 | 1,102.006261 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
eg6pdxigjh | will-david-zaslav-resign-or-be-fire | Will David Zaslav remain CEO and president of Warner Bros. Discovery for all of 2024? | null | 1,723,100,226,285 | 1,735,711,140,000 | 1,735,714,014,113 | YES | 0.99 | 10,494.379328 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
6QRmzLDIdtJsIkVqWiuo | will-elon-musk-serve-time-in-prison | Will Elon Musk serve time in prison at any point in 2024? | null | 1,714,942,870,289 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,737,090,861 | NO | 0.01 | 3,724.733702 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
PUgOn8z6yt | another-us-military-action-against | Another US military action against Iran by Sunday? | null | 1,750,562,216,623 | 1,750,651,288,701 | 1,750,651,288,701 | NO | 0.048429 | 6,605.117787 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
qjtbjiu91k | is-ukraines-offensive-in-the-kursk | Is Ukraine's offensive in the Kursk region a diversion? | null | 1,723,576,390,831 | 1,735,738,944,441 | 1,735,738,944,441 | NO | 0.09674 | 4,159.737289 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
4y57ykvT7eIY4Wuty44z | will-meta-release-a-llama-3-405b-mu | Will Meta release a Llama 3 405B multi-modal open source before the end of 2024? | null | 1,715,153,506,830 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,735,771,252,755 | NO | 0.051499 | 5,782.699308 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
qCEd5uROsc | will-there-be-at-least-one-uci-cycl | Will there be at least one UCI cycling professional road race in the Netherlands before 1 September 2025? | null | 1,732,734,101,288 | 1,745,207,075,998 | 1,745,207,075,998 | YES | 0.99 | 11,296.122765 | Sports | Individual Sports |
tt00NhtZzp | ras2025-will-samsung-feature-smart | RAS2025: Will Samsung feature smart glasses at the Unpacked event? | null | 1,736,520,151,471 | 1,737,500,399,000 | 1,737,639,262,664 | NO | 0.896888 | 6,636.632953 | Technology | Mobile & Consumer Electronics |
z8l9ZA0INE | will-trump-impose-any-sort-of-tarif-gySLNnA8Rq | Will Trump impose any sort of Tariff on Mexico by the end of February? | null | 1,737,436,971,005 | 1,740,709,920,000 | 1,741,185,790,416 | NO | 0.01 | 15,587.989948 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
oss1pml9cq | will-there-be-a-disaster-this-year | Will there be a disaster this year with an economic cost of over $100 billion as of December 31, 2024? | null | 1,721,237,425,837 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,739,773,068,257 | NO | 0.033519 | 19,395.937079 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
1u51akc5nz | will-astronauts-sunita-williams-and | Will astronauts Sunita Williams and Barry Wilmore return to Earth before the end of February 2025? | null | 1,727,215,442,658 | 1,740,808,740,000 | 1,741,197,672,259 | NO | 0.014729 | 8,396.664074 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
2Q9ZINquCs | will-bitcoin-fall-below-100k-by-jun | Will Bitcoin fall below $100k by June 30th? | null | 1,748,313,149,273 | 1,750,690,476,519 | 1,750,690,476,519 | YES | 0.99 | 25,078.006744 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
CnLZz0pqRZ | apple-stock-closes-above-210-on-jun | Apple stock closes above $210 on June 27? | null | 1,750,261,989,607 | 1,750,676,400,000 | 1,751,560,503,946 | NO | 0.08 | 4,400.161728 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
lywrojwurm | will-mira-murati-work-at-an-ai-lab | Will Mira Murati work at an AI lab at the end of Q2 2025? | null | 1,727,293,512,342 | 1,751,439,540,000 | 1,751,439,892,064 | YES | 0.99 | 22,571.123783 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
2IU5ZPqsUn | grok-35-available-before-june | Grok 3.5 available before June? | null | 1,748,023,207,645 | 1,748,757,540,000 | 1,748,760,385,604 | NO | 0.018157 | 9,625.180732 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
0IyyugAzz5 | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-lRsILtuygy | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Feb 14 than it closed on Feb 13? | null | 1,739,540,037,444 | 1,739,602,998,214 | 1,739,602,998,214 | NO | 0.009445 | 13,494.002424 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
gEQygUsypE | will-tiktok-be-on-the-app-store-by | Will TikTok be on the App Store by Friday? | null | 1,737,505,885,970 | 1,737,716,340,000 | 1,737,825,161,156 | NO | 0.01 | 12,759.954307 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
4dxz1c7p8f | will-toyota-announce-a-sixth-genera-xdnasn9gdf | Will Toyota announce a sixth generation RAV4 in 2024? | null | 1,724,097,866,556 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,735,746,171,934 | NO | 0.026271 | 89,469.686022 | Technology | Mobile & Consumer Electronics |
j8OZxOzhPPkqih5hdIUY | did-covid19-come-from-a-laboratory-8d38660948d1 | Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory? | null | 1,715,707,178,633 | 1,735,711,140,000 | 1,735,711,454,603 | NO | 0.211221 | 16,797.048082 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
S5SdSUqIS9 | will-mathieu-van-der-poel-lead-the | Will Mathieu van der Poel lead the 2025 Criterium du Dauphine after Stage 4? | null | 1,749,615,210,411 | 1,749,650,400,000 | 1,749,660,871,352 | NO | 0.322954 | 1,372.428571 | Sports | Individual Sports |
8NLypCtqpN | in-february-will-the-israel-defence | In February, will the Israel Defence Forces (IDF) carry out ≥5 fatal airstrikes in Gaza whilst a ceasefire is active? | null | 1,737,124,534,364 | 1,740,787,140,000 | 1,743,534,717,060 | NO | 0.231063 | 4,755.216204 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
lRZgUUl8As | iranian-rial-reaches-1-million-to-o | Iranian rial reaches 1 million to one USD in unofficial markets by end of 2025 | null | 1,734,542,446,989 | 1,742,304,638,708 | 1,742,304,638,708 | YES | 0.77941 | 1,059.706558 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
yQQg6lU6O9 | will-the-sp-500-recover-by-eoy | Will the S&P 500 recover by EOY? | null | 1,741,973,308,352 | 1,751,054,768,126 | 1,751,054,768,126 | YES | 0.99 | 16,909.72515 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
oOXo53dEmCvcKkiXnPLa | will-the-aimo-artificial-intelligen | Will the AIMO (Artificial Intelligence Mathematical Olympiad) Grand Prize be won before 2025? | null | 1,715,998,610,033 | 1,735,685,940,000 | 1,735,753,626,906 | NO | 0.088055 | 4,893.405546 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
d1pyc7lyhn | will-kim-jong-un-go-abroad-in-2024--cash | Will Kim Jong Un go abroad in 2024? | null | 1,727,732,633,455 | 1,735,685,940,000 | 1,735,761,724,022 | NO | 0.01396 | 1,060.393779 | Geopolitics | Regional Affairs |
oxcm9yvrs9 | will-there-be-a-model-with-a-69-cha | Will there be a model with a 69%+ Chatbot Arena win rate against gpt-o1 before June 1st, 2025? | null | 1,726,732,365,757 | 1,748,169,877,395 | 1,748,169,884,404 | YES | 0.955511 | 24,383.124302 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
0LSNQSpghz | biden-pardons-fauci | Biden pardons Fauci? | null | 1,733,194,003,471 | 1,737,405,402,979 | 1,737,405,402,979 | YES | 0.999882 | 321,633.488791 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
I6t6dhPCys | bitcoin-hits-100k-1-month-into-trum | Bitcoin hits $100k, 1 month into Trump's Second Term | null | 1,733,789,161,206 | 1,738,081,087,926 | 1,738,081,087,926 | YES | 0.99 | 1,583.535992 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
3uyv5qt9n3 | will-kirill-shevchenko-be-banned-fr | Will Kirill Shevchenko be banned from FIDE for six months or more by the end of 2025? | null | 1,728,934,864,058 | 1,746,982,063,593 | 1,746,982,063,593 | YES | 0.989131 | 8,888.086974 | Sports | Individual Sports |
NldyN2cn5d | who-will-win-the-2025-wisconsin-sta | Will the more liberal/Democratic side win the 2025 Wisconsin state supreme court election? | null | 1,738,441,733,611 | 1,743,564,288,438 | 1,743,564,288,438 | YES | 0.99 | 1,645.428585 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
9uqzmkegus | will-the-minnesota-timberwolves-win-49dv06ah5a | Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more games than the Dallas Mavericks in the 2024-2025 NBA regular season? | null | 1,727,188,100,823 | 1,744,055,690,775 | 1,744,055,690,775 | YES | 0.99 | 11,573.946522 | Sports | Professional Sports |
LI5hO69LEI | trump-admin-official-held-in-contem | Trump admin official held in contempt before end of June? | null | 1,744,831,625,748 | 1,751,327,940,000 | 1,751,337,638,058 | NO | 0.024719 | 14,132.167797 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
tN996z8UcN | will-ford-q1-2025-gross-profit-exce | Will Ford Q1, 2025 Gross Profit exceed Tesla's | null | 1,731,412,179,160 | 1,746,734,340,000 | 1,746,768,136,748 | YES | 0.991704 | 1,135.557259 | Finance | Corporate Finance |
dhIpl8N5Rc | will-bitcoin-surpass-110000-by-the-09Zq2As9Aq | Will bitcoin surpass $110,000 by the end of March 2025? | null | 1,739,806,742,636 | 1,743,506,727,899 | 1,743,506,727,899 | NO | 0.01 | 2,902.858351 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
eJaszkCfuFMEEiuKDZPK | will-an-aipiloted-fighter-jet-of-us | Will an AI-piloted Fighter Jet of US origin see combat in Ukraine before March 2025? | null | 1,715,029,930,483 | 1,740,787,140,000 | 1,740,788,141,174 | NO | 0.01 | 10,453.484354 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
lf5ws4bxwtDMPc4gc9tP | will-the-adl-have-to-issue-a-statem | Will the ADL issue a statement against Kyrie Irving by 12/31/2024? | null | 1,716,427,863,437 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,857,271,235 | NO | 0.026776 | 5,244 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
6uzRPu2lZ6 | mavs-trade-number-1-pick | NBA Draft - Mavericks trade number 1 pick? | null | 1,747,136,425,107 | 1,750,901,940,000 | 1,750,964,708,172 | NO | 0.01 | 1,076.742038 | Sports | Professional Sports |
2BAH7MUvyu2FO43UNj9g | will-one-of-the-top-10-highest-gros | Will one of the top 10 highest grossing movies of 2024 be from China? | null | 1,715,658,883,630 | 1,735,723,767,039 | 1,735,723,767,039 | YES | 0.988426 | 1,107.133173 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
NzQdush9h6 | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-g5glIunUnh | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Mar 25than it closed on Mar 24? | null | 1,742,909,602,757 | 1,742,932,815,133 | 1,742,932,815,133 | YES | 0.99 | 35,380.237782 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
bRKNXg3f0EdzV2SlShQh | will-the-chinese-army-will-launch-a | Will China launch an attack on Taiwan in 2024? | null | 1,716,594,389,393 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,736,741,035,304 | NO | 0.018351 | 96,012.514653 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
bwbbj21uec | will-bryce-young-finish-in-the-top | Will Bryce Young finish in the top 20 in QBR in 2024? | null | 1,722,522,271,124 | 1,739,336,340,000 | 1,739,594,077,098 | YES | 0.906904 | 22,362.294324 | Sports | Professional Sports |
gZI2lA6Zcc | mcdonalds-corp-makes-an-official-st | McDonald's Corp makes an official statement about their ice cream machines by 2/1/2025 | null | 1,730,929,238,237 | 1,738,475,940,000 | 1,746,115,674,348 | NO | 0.010499 | 1,017.945428 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
ra03enxo4p | will-sam-darnold-start-10-or-more-g | Will Sam Darnold start 10 or more games at QB in 2024? | null | 1,719,628,376,379 | 1,737,521,940,000 | 1,737,568,346,732 | YES | 0.99 | 12,414.149184 | Sports | Professional Sports |
4d3c2fe60v | will-the-number-of-monthly-active-u | Will the number of monthly active users on Manifold drop between November 30th, 2024 and December 31st, 2024? | null | 1,721,606,258,416 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,736,192,713,745 | YES | 0.96944 | 5,380.959762 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
6n9CzCcgPl | will-a-rider-who-starts-the-first-s | Will a rider who starts the first stage of the 2025 Tour de France fail to finish the stage? | null | 1,751,440,916,556 | 1,751,709,600,000 | 1,751,726,751,121 | YES | 0.677572 | 1,104.386276 | Sports | Team Sports |
qE5qCyt9y2 | champions-league-will-psg-advance-a | Champions League: Will PSG advance against Aston Villa? | null | 1,742,768,869,416 | 1,744,743,600,000 | 1,744,751,327,911 | YES | 0.924769 | 1,574.095627 | Sports | Team Sports |
W98ZzyNBGDzrQkffdDdk | president-joe-biden-involved-in-an-x7cg74qn52 | President Joe Biden involved in an helicopter crash in 2024? | null | 1,717,051,043,546 | 1,735,660,740,000 | 1,737,388,998,644 | NO | 0.018045 | 8,998.505562 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
gqP00y5Oy2 | will-amazon-amzn-close-higher-on-fe | Will Amazon (AMZN) close higher on Feb 7th, 2025 than it did on Jan 31st, 2025 | null | 1,738,506,840,300 | 1,738,967,415,157 | 1,738,967,415,157 | NO | 0.28 | 1,004.752163 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
UyuZpIzR9g | at-least-5-of-federal-workers-accep | At least 5% of federal workers accept Trump administration buyout offer by February 6th 2025 | null | 1,738,213,632,713 | 1,738,886,400,000 | 1,739,466,276,457 | NO | 0.054675 | 9,764.49607 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
2u51nzx2ay | will-any-of-azncga-states-that-neve | Will any of AZ/NC/GA vote more democratic than any of the "blue wall" states in 2024? | null | 1,724,955,119,885 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,744,416,095,145 | NO | 0.025 | 1,124.640588 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
zuPLOLSnly | will-the-bank-of-canada-raise-inter-l9tn8tyE90 | Will the Bank of Canada raise interest rates in Q2 2025? | null | 1,743,493,405,774 | 1,751,327,940,000 | 1,751,474,906,556 | NO | 0.01 | 1,003.69235 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
dAspnCUsNC | will-bitcoin-surpass-95000-by-the-e | Will bitcoin surpass $95,000 by the end of March 2025? | null | 1,741,001,601,207 | 1,743,506,701,550 | 1,743,506,701,550 | NO | 0.01 | 1,900.04537 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
tSmI97iXzTCHLh61JPTs | will-ross-ulbricht-be-pardoned-or-h | Will Ross Ulbricht be pardoned or have his sentence commuted to time served before March 2025? | null | 1,716,783,511,071 | 1,737,561,797,030 | 1,737,561,797,030 | YES | 0.998972 | 170,564.652869 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
AhQLzRl29O | will-the-nintendo-switch-2-or-other-ZtqdqN0hAn | Will the "Nintendo Switch 2" (or other successor) be revealed before end of year? | null | 1,730,631,509,871 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,735,736,036,311 | NO | 0.01 | 15,092.715663 | Technology | Gaming |
5hdESARgtz | us-nonfarm-payroll-higher-in-may-20 | US non-farm payroll higher in May 2025 than April 2025? | null | 1,746,200,020,428 | 1,749,213,221,846 | 1,749,213,221,846 | NO | 0.01 | 9,085.874371 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
EhZqc0qqyh | will-there-be-another-major-plane-a | Will there be another major plane accident before the weekend arrives. | null | 1,739,986,521,641 | 1,740,073,396,372 | 1,740,073,396,372 | YES | 0.988961 | 1,015 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
0sULs82R29 | will-bluesky-have-70-million-or-mor | Will Bluesky have 70 million or more users at the end of 2024? | null | 1,731,741,525,095 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,877,434,807 | NO | 0.010014 | 1,003.000007 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
4fJOJKtgd2PyusFPrLtw | will-a-soldier-from-a-nato-country | Will a soldier from a NATO country be confirmed killed in action inside Ukraine during 2024? | null | 1,715,927,995,890 | 1,735,649,940,000 | 1,739,956,294,964 | NO | 0.019112 | 8,492.766715 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
8syen48a46 | will-dan-clancey-still-be-ceo-of-tw--cash | Will Dan Clancy still be CEO of Twitch at the end of 2024? | null | 1,729,695,622,566 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,761,690,413 | YES | 0.984979 | 1,699.007932 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
UC9pu9cAhp | will-the-philadelphia-eagles-swoop-IAPZqhzypP | Super Bowl LIX: Will the Philadelphia Eagles win? | null | 1,737,943,197,845 | 1,739,157,678,861 | 1,739,157,678,861 | YES | 0.995645 | 713,956.211245 | Sports | Professional Sports |
tdqtntsLqO | will-there-be-any-break-between-one-8INN68q6lz | Will there be any break between One Piece chapters 1138 and 1139? | null | 1,737,904,780,722 | 1,738,509,474,520 | 1,738,509,477,447 | NO | 0.202491 | 12,796.297178 | Entertainment | Books & Literature |
5Zp9PhC8En | ncaa-basketball-march-madness-round | NCAA Basketball 🏀 March Madness Round 1: Will BOTH Florida(v. Norfolk St) AND Houston (v.SIU Edwardsville) win by 10+? | null | 1,742,218,669,740 | 1,742,605,143,819 | 1,742,605,143,819 | YES | 0.99 | 9,166.015039 | Sports | Team Sports |
5UNSILQAUA | will-tsla-reach-420-during-trumps-p | Will $TSLA reach 420 during Trump’s presidency? | null | 1,730,986,730,277 | 1,737,966,730,449 | 1,737,966,730,449 | YES | 0.99489 | 1,875.623853 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
rmsxvqrgb4 | will-donald-trump-be-the-republican-osvrf1kdjz | Will Donald Trump be the Republican nominee for the 2028 U.S. Presidential election if he loses the 2024 election? | null | 1,726,596,778,857 | 1,739,581,687,704 | 1,739,581,687,704 | NO | 0.01 | 10,510.805768 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
NpILIcROR9 | will-the-chiefs-score-more-than-30 | Will the Chiefs score more than 30 points in a game this season? | null | 1,734,288,216,116 | 1,737,945,710,297 | 1,737,945,710,297 | YES | 0.99 | 15,896.259059 | Sports | Professional Sports |
excelfy5nd | will-bambu-lab-release-a-significan | Rumors: Will Bambu Lab release a significantly new printer in 2024? | null | 1,720,829,304,227 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,735,782,062,989 | NO | 0.033842 | 2,010 | Technology | Mobile & Consumer Electronics |
ENtSIsAQ60 | will-the-federal-reserve-change-the | Will the Federal Reserve change the fed funds rate in their May 6th-7th meeting? | null | 1,746,493,512,572 | 1,746,641,006,383 | 1,746,641,006,383 | NO | 0.01 | 56,335.345682 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
RnPSLCnU9E | will-gpt5-be-released-before-claude | Will GPT-5 be released before Claude 4? | null | 1,735,805,293,841 | 1,747,936,400,376 | 1,747,936,400,376 | NO | 0.01 | 2,541.000123 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
6PdugCyNn5 | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-C8tCsQlpqR | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Jan 10 than it closed on Jan 9? | null | 1,736,430,456,845 | 1,737,093,540,000 | 1,737,130,564,260 | NO | 0.01 | 1,132.414761 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
gOLIRzg6l0 | eric-adams-no-longer-identifies-as | Eric Adams no longer identifies as a Democrat by December 31, 2025 | null | 1,737,407,961,238 | 1,744,421,376,236 | 1,744,421,393,176 | YES | 0.99 | 18,408.986298 | Politics | Political Parties & Ideologies |
ib7ov5u3od | will-the-us-have-a-port-strike-in-j | Will the US have a port strike in January 2025? | null | 1,729,643,764,821 | 1,738,432,133,030 | 1,738,432,133,030 | NO | 0.012025 | 9,993.580906 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
8uj95y2gpd | did-adrian-wojnarowski-retire-becau | Did Adrian Wojnarowski retire because of a scandal that will shortly be revealed about him? | null | 1,726,672,677,722 | 1,740,815,940,000 | 1,740,875,518,624 | NO | 0.122629 | 1,812.727191 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
t5PQQLE0pS | federal-reserve-cuts-interest-rates | Federal Reserve cuts interest rates at June 2025 FOMC meeting | null | 1,749,023,801,763 | 1,750,316,979,038 | 1,750,316,979,038 | NO | 0.01 | 1,978.657959 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
RyUAUtUPRc | will-the-2025-french-open-have-a-fi | Will the 2025 French Open have a first time men's major finalist? | null | 1,748,226,946,652 | 1,749,223,695,914 | 1,749,223,695,914 | NO | 0.01 | 14,243.599373 | Sports | Individual Sports |
s2i8y2m2oh | will-neuralink-implant-its-device-i | Will Neuralink implant its device in five or more patients before the end of 2024? | null | 1,720,697,592,689 | 1,735,682,340,000 | 1,735,692,702,474 | NO | 0.082856 | 2,839.529701 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
px1bogbfs7 | will-the-supreme-leader-of-iran-sey | Will the supreme leader of Iran (Seyyed Ali Hosseini Khamenei) be killed before the end of 2024 | null | 1,727,813,818,626 | 1,735,682,340,000 | 1,735,706,302,365 | NO | 0.014534 | 16,787.241578 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
T6rN8CL5Zrf7b7HvpD3M | will-volt-be-elected-into-the-next | Will Volt be elected into the next Bundestag (2025)? | null | 1,718,114,847,917 | 1,740,382,977,223 | 1,740,382,977,223 | NO | 0.01 | 29,690.369572 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
uLnu006AlU | tariff-on-chinese-goods-is-100-or-h | Tariff on Chinese goods is 100% or higher? | null | 1,738,620,757,043 | 1,744,168,160,554 | 1,744,168,160,554 | YES | 0.974415 | 13,905.617398 | Finance | Trade & Economics |
rjmebgg50r | will-the-supreme-court-reverse-rich | Will the Supreme Court reverse Richard Glossip's conviction? | null | 1,728,991,212,521 | 1,740,500,586,520 | 1,740,500,586,520 | YES | 0.939925 | 3,157.378525 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
qhNntsL6EU | will-march-2025-be-the-hottest-marc | Will March 2025 be the hottest March ever? [NCEI] | null | 1,734,106,231,984 | 1,744,297,200,000 | 1,744,552,562,487 | NO | 0.034732 | 17,640.558354 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
9k9wu6u6ga | will-more-than-five-people-be-succe | Will more than five people be successfully prosecuted for the viral Chase bank check fraud? | null | 1,725,269,456,602 | 1,747,601,940,000 | 1,749,345,496,872 | NO | 0.070637 | 2,291.02707 | Finance | Banking & Financial Services |
hzRh25stS9 | pturkey-launches-major-ground-offen | Turkey launches major ground offensive into Syria before March 1st 2025 | null | 1,734,941,496,840 | 1,740,780,000,000 | 1,740,787,729,277 | NO | 0.01 | 1,156.663082 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
6znr7fh7mm | will-any-israeli-aircraft-be-shot-d | Will any Israeli aircraft be shot down over Iranian airspace by the end of 2024? | null | 1,728,335,540,467 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,739,777,684,127 | NO | 0.034239 | 5,331.041383 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
Z000S9h8CN | trump-attempts-to-revoke-good-ventu | Trump attempts to revoke Good Ventures/Open Philanthropy's tax-exempt status by 5/31/25? | null | 1,745,175,943,972 | 1,748,735,940,000 | 1,748,759,301,362 | NO | 0.01 | 8,987.112002 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
sN2UEzuLLu | will-the-sp-500-closer-higher-on-ja | Will the s&p 500 closer higher on Jan 10 than on Jan 6? | null | 1,736,201,468,829 | 1,736,544,723,079 | 1,736,544,723,079 | NO | 0.010963 | 1,015 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
9plzId0Rq0 | will-bitcoin-reach-110k-in-may | Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May? | null | 1,746,774,497,488 | 1,747,869,959,919 | 1,747,869,959,919 | YES | 0.99 | 236,634.318648 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
zcEN9y5POZ | will-o3-be-added-to-the-chatbot-are | Will o3 be added to the chatbot arena leaderboard (lmarena.org) within 3 weeks of its release? | null | 1,738,968,202,764 | 1,745,454,660,620 | 1,745,454,660,620 | YES | 0.98977 | 16,949.211911 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
L8862pUqsp | jefferson-griffin-appointed-to-the | Jefferson Griffin appointed to the North Carolina Supreme Court in 2025 | null | 1,738,713,763,030 | 1,747,175,134,751 | 1,747,175,134,751 | NO | 0.015826 | 126,228.882032 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
5uyS0h2zP8 | will-south-korean-president-yoon-su | Will South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol be in police custody before February 1, 2025? | null | 1,735,903,586,338 | 1,736,918,139,041 | 1,736,918,139,041 | YES | 0.987096 | 13,372.153508 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
UpfNoFH6Q6sU3HAZ2SzR | will-scarlett-johansson-sue-openai | Will Scarlett Johansson sue OpenAI and/or Sam Altman personally in 2024? | null | 1,716,253,939,279 | 1,735,711,140,000 | 1,735,742,241,678 | NO | 0.014017 | 79,139.726513 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
OIl99Rn0OP | openai-release-o3-pro-by-may-8-2025 | OpenAI release o3 pro by May 8, 2025? | null | 1,744,830,997,547 | 1,746,716,888,401 | 1,746,716,888,401 | NO | 0.013641 | 10,773.973861 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
Og0zlPuNSI | bitcoin-above-84k-on-april-18 | Bitcoin above $84K on April 18? | null | 1,744,589,618,623 | 1,744,959,897,432 | 1,744,959,897,432 | YES | 0.99 | 24,863.57696 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
qtudbliwjj | did-the-idf-intentionally-kill-isra | Did the IDF intentionally kill Israelis on October 7th as part of the Hannibal Directive? | null | 1,720,496,314,884 | 1,739,030,116,308 | 1,739,030,116,308 | YES | 0.769537 | 21,432.583988 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
yUqu6URtqu | will-ethereum-eth-reach-2900-in-may | Will Ethereum (ETH) reach $2,900 in May? | null | 1,747,162,917,743 | 1,748,735,940,000 | 1,748,749,937,741 | NO | 0.01 | 35,752.704903 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
uqQd6UdC8l | will-dogecoin-reach-1-before-the-en | Will Dogecoin reach $1 before the end of the year (2024)? | null | 1,731,651,364,250 | 1,735,682,340,000 | 1,735,915,765,654 | NO | 0.025961 | 11,842.18908 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
OsSyRAN20S | tsla-higher-than-330-on-june-16 | TSLA higher than $330 on June 16? | null | 1,749,589,146,574 | 1,750,118,340,000 | 1,750,146,385,087 | YES | 0.983819 | 1,973.395829 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
9p4wtr0tyi | will-any-1-seed-lose-on-the-first-w-rp01yrpiwl | Will any #1 seed lose on the first weekend of March Madness 2025? | null | 1,729,456,480,212 | 1,742,788,740,000 | 1,742,852,900,411 | NO | 0.032761 | 4,602.556675 | Sports | Team Sports |
gP6ypIII8t | will-bitcoin-surpass-112500-before | Will bitcoin surpass $112,500 before the end of 2024? | null | 1,734,482,063,325 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,736,768,726 | NO | 0.01284 | 4,224.762176 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
oaiz5l6s9t | will-reddit-put-a-subreddit-behind | Will Reddit put any subreddit behind a paywall in 2024? | null | 1,723,055,755,741 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,739,214,757,884 | NO | 0.061142 | 5,487.782178 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
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