id stringlengths 10 20 | slug stringlengths 19 53 | question stringlengths 20 120 | firstGroup float64 | createdTime int64 1,715B 1,751B | closeTime int64 1,717B 1,752B | resolvedTime int64 1,736B 1,752B | resolution stringclasses 2 values | resolutionProbability float64 0 1 | volume float64 1k 1.38M | pred_category stringclasses 6 values | pred_subcategory stringclasses 29 values |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CC0OpqEdzl | first-confirmed-humantohuman-h5n1-t-zZnInOSz5g | First confirmed human-to-human H5N1 transmission by May 1st 2025 | null | 1,736,273,723,072 | 1,746,144,000,000 | 1,746,458,300,535 | NO | 0.010025 | 32,657.390334 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
hQEOERRURC | will-all-5-living-presidents-attend | Will all 5 living Presidents attend the funeral of Jimmy Carter? | null | 1,735,543,933,569 | 1,737,621,011,051 | 1,737,621,011,051 | YES | 0.993723 | 3,436.097209 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
EASQCht5Ut | will-there-be-an-upset-in-the-20242 | Will there be an upset in the 2024-25 NFL divisional round? | null | 1,736,792,319,543 | 1,737,260,744,429 | 1,737,260,744,429 | YES | 0.99 | 1,086.341104 | Sports | Professional sports |
NlsRy20QsP | will-gpt45-be-released-on-thursday | Will GPT-4.5 be released on Thursday? | null | 1,740,629,222,671 | 1,740,706,459,366 | 1,740,706,459,366 | YES | 0.990261 | 19,027.906039 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
t26AS2UAR2 | will-russia-agree-to-the-ceasefire | Will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine within the next 30 days? | null | 1,741,784,477,358 | 1,744,408,740,000 | 1,744,412,053,876 | NO | 0.008277 | 1,982.9817 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
IQqUZhuQSc | short-fuse-will-the-ten-current-fav | [SHORT FUSE] Will the ten current favorites be tomorrow's exact Best Picture lineup? (2025 Oscars) | null | 1,737,573,706,362 | 1,737,629,940,000 | 1,737,643,352,175 | NO | 0.317166 | 1,211.962778 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
lE2c9y8q6l | war-in-ukraine-ends-by-may-9-2025 | War in Ukraine ends by May 9, 2025? | null | 1,737,993,433,138 | 1,746,849,540,000 | 1,746,869,114,492 | NO | 0.008013 | 3,656.275835 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
NIlZhzcnLy | will-iran-announceby-june-4that-it | Will Iran announce by June 4 that it has developed a nuclear weapons capability? | null | 1,737,080,509,271 | 1,749,129,996,135 | 1,749,129,996,135 | NO | 0.01 | 1,730.518274 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
S5QEsRcSOE | will-the-cdu-end-up-below-30-of-the | Will the CDU end up below 30% of the vote in the German Federal Elections (February 23rd) | null | 1,739,786,136,470 | 1,740,441,540,000 | 1,740,585,555,543 | YES | 0.99 | 2,475.480253 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
2AsnQEps6I | house-brings-broad-tariff-control-b | House brings broad tariff control bill to floor by end of May 2025? | null | 1,744,056,447,983 | 1,748,735,940,000 | 1,748,755,480,002 | NO | 0.01 | 15,209.887512 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
tcpZd8RNln | will-anyone-die-of-h5n1-in-the-us-i | Will anyone die with H5 bird flu in the US in 2025? | null | 1,735,734,028,417 | 1,736,204,515,651 | 1,736,204,515,651 | YES | 0.99 | 11,802.745894 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
uR9SOCgIRd | will-inter-beat-napoli-this-afterno | Will Inter beat Napoli this afternoon? | null | 1,740,831,118,492 | 1,740,950,455,927 | 1,740,950,455,927 | NO | 0.01 | 1,686.209235 | Sports | Team Sports |
NLElcSzs2d | will-chuck-grassley-become-the-inte | Will Chuck grassley become the interim president of the United States | null | 1,731,456,280,191 | 1,737,439,140,000 | 1,737,873,318,222 | NO | 0.005796 | 2,894.574557 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
khhzuqbefx | will-the-game-rimworld-receive-a-ne | Will the game Rimworld have a new DLC announced in 2025? | null | 1,724,611,847,883 | 1,749,505,960,872 | 1,749,505,960,872 | YES | 0.99 | 1,131.80291 | Entertainment | Gaming |
90Nldz6QSI | iran-bombs-us-military-bases-in-mid | Iran bombs US military bases in Middle East by end of June 2025? | null | 1,750,683,792,634 | 1,751,327,940,000 | 1,751,487,256,203 | NO | 0.018848 | 2,799.815069 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
5ApRLEUO2c | will-another-trudeau-cabinet-minist | Will another Trudeau cabinet minister resign in protest before end of January? | null | 1,734,508,259,981 | 1,736,254,327,800 | 1,736,254,327,800 | NO | 0.035605 | 4,383.869186 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
slQts5A62O | chiefs-and-lions-to-win-today | Chiefs and Lions to win today? | null | 1,737,229,042,444 | 1,737,260,706,051 | 1,737,260,706,051 | NO | 0.01 | 1,757.893765 | Sports | Professional Sports |
Qzh5NOC8Nq | will-pope-francis-pass-away-before | Will Pope Francis pass away before the end of March 2025? | null | 1,740,309,087,296 | 1,743,466,544,149 | 1,743,466,544,149 | NO | 0.01 | 10,369.588731 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
dSAlhl8dSC | sp-500-closes-higher-on-friday-janu-cOP5APhC0t | S&P 500 Closes Higher On Friday January 17th 2025 Than It Closed On Friday January 10th 2025? (SP500F-#3) | null | 1,736,543,141,198 | 1,737,147,600,000 | 1,737,155,234,599 | YES | 0.955833 | 3,652 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
qc2va35qwq | will-the-us-population-have-grown-m | Will the U.S. Population Have Grown More in 2024 Than in 2023? | null | 1,724,457,177,411 | 1,736,104,665,952 | 1,736,104,665,952 | YES | 0.99 | 1,424.283437 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
2Od6EdECNg | will-ohio-state-beat-texas-in-the-c | Will Ohio state beat Texas in the CFB playoffs ? | null | 1,736,496,748,505 | 1,736,612,077,150 | 1,736,612,077,150 | YES | 0.989703 | 16,352.223377 | Sports | Team Sports |
2UzCdhgQ6y | will-korean-president-yoon-suk-yeol | Will Korean president Yoon Suk Yeol be impeached [⚠ and gone] before January 3rd 2025? | null | 1,733,244,702,919 | 1,735,883,940,000 | 1,735,933,729,917 | NO | 0.002421 | 286,960.950455 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
dj01wpyf2t | will-the-trapped-nasa-iss-barry-wil | Will the trapped NASA ISS (Barry Wilmore and Sunita Williams) astronauts be brought back in a SpaceX shuttle? | null | 1,722,943,609,575 | 1,742,877,888,138 | 1,742,877,888,138 | YES | 0.99 | 11,038.146469 | Technology | Mobile & Consumer Electronics |
nOq6RPZ8Qp | will-biden-have-granted-more-pardon | Will Biden have granted more pardon petitions than Trump (2017-2021)? | null | 1,733,305,649,982 | 1,737,500,340,000 | 1,738,419,645,830 | NO | 0.104947 | 23,784.827826 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
Pulc8uNPhc | will-trump-announce-a-new-tariff-pa | Will Trump announce a new tariff pause by April 9th? | null | 1,743,988,464,196 | 1,744,220,687,283 | 1,744,220,687,283 | YES | 0.989227 | 8,407.811428 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
Q0NgAsOQzy | will-supreme-court-delay-the-tiktok | Will Supreme Court delay the Tiktok ban? | null | 1,736,757,874,145 | 1,737,133,544,834 | 1,737,133,544,834 | NO | 0.01 | 1,335.53115 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
h53g9bd6hn | will-jumaane-williams-be-the-mayor | Will Jumaane Williams be the mayor or acting mayor of New York by mid 2025? | null | 1,727,376,528,949 | 1,751,353,140,000 | 1,751,358,092,366 | NO | 0.01 | 14,779.673485 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
sOOlp6Ot2u | tesla-stock-below-200-eom | Tesla stock below $200 EOM? | null | 1,745,260,170,478 | 1,746,124,791,850 | 1,746,124,791,850 | NO | 0.01 | 1,816.294088 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
C2g5Qlpynz | will-trump-run-another-rally-before | Will Trump run another rally before 2029? | null | 1,730,880,000,420 | 1,746,036,605,682 | 1,746,036,605,682 | YES | 0.969176 | 8,192.257666 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
qAPqLzR6gh | will-the-clements-invitational-be-m | Will the Clements Invitational be more than an hour delayed? | null | 1,744,912,365,449 | 1,745,218,320,000 | 1,746,165,637,062 | YES | 0.989672 | 9,737.892789 | Sports | Individual Sports |
rkl3h8GuXJwoFlfoA5IH | will-the-kansas-city-chiefs-3peat-a | Will the Kansas City Chiefs 3-peat as NFL Champions? | null | 1,715,551,705,086 | 1,739,158,246,907 | 1,739,158,246,907 | NO | 0.01 | 129,987.211435 | Sports | Professional Sports |
GEWvUnMJwVaTZCJBQvFW | will-the-cftc-finalize-a-rule-banni | Will the CFTC finalize a rule that bans US election betting before Jan 20, 2025? | null | 1,715,363,975,007 | 1,737,435,540,000 | 1,738,344,823,704 | NO | 0.01 | 12,726.873135 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
UC2A66Rd2S | ras2025-will-trump-reverse-bidens-o | RAS2025: Will Trump reverse Bidens offshore drilling ban on his first day? | null | 1,736,519,937,935 | 1,737,327,599,000 | 1,737,467,785,912 | YES | 0.320894 | 12,520.960879 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
N9t6htRp6p | new-pope-announced-before-may-18 | New Pope announced before May 18? | null | 1,745,313,239,375 | 1,746,730,749,982 | 1,746,730,749,982 | YES | 0.99 | 4,339.331973 | Politics | Government Structure |
EzZStygL2u | largescale-cyber-attack-on-iran-or | Large-scale cyber attack on Iran or Israel before Aug 2025? | null | 1,749,798,969,196 | 1,750,356,988,258 | 1,750,356,988,258 | YES | 0.77829 | 1,605.230724 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
NZz8ttcUUt | will-the-spx-sp-500-reach-6000-by-e-Cl9yOg28NC | will the SPX / S&P 500 reach 6000 by end of June? | null | 1,748,673,583,368 | 1,749,222,123,062 | 1,749,222,123,062 | YES | 0.99 | 2,385.612629 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
t2LRSSIg90 | will-the-last-minute-breakdown-of-t | Will the "last minute" breakdown of the Israel-Hamas ceasefire last until January 31, 2025? | null | 1,737,019,433,486 | 1,737,291,348,499 | 1,737,291,348,499 | NO | 0.038601 | 8,924.150281 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
28hhPQ9ZIE | will-the-pittsburgh-steelers-hammer | Will the Pittsburgh Steelers hammer the Baltimore Ravens? | null | 1,736,127,935,836 | 1,736,654,476,282 | 1,736,654,476,282 | NO | 0.004062 | 19,740.683588 | Sports | Professional Sports |
0jw26dwpsk | will-any-usa-state-ban-self-driving | Will any state in the USA ban self driving cars by the end of 2024? | null | 1,719,031,948,145 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,789,313,514 | NO | 0.018342 | 3,355 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
n1leuxaauz | will-joe-biden-pardon-donald-trump | Will Joe Biden pardon Donald Trump before leaving office? | null | 1,725,010,688,492 | 1,737,397,264,652 | 1,737,397,264,652 | NO | 0.01 | 232,408.498054 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
gdc5RQCUnE | will-congress-override-a-trump-veto | Will Congress over-ride a Trump veto during the President's first 100 days? | null | 1,731,363,307,539 | 1,746,161,940,000 | 1,746,488,761,205 | NO | 0.01 | 1,401.231164 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
hd2tq26A59 | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-yn58LyltzI | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Feb 13 than it closed on Feb 12? | null | 1,739,452,720,760 | 1,739,480,483,988 | 1,739,480,483,988 | YES | 0.96618 | 4,595.633276 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
wu8b3splyw | will-sheng-thao-be-the-mayor-of-oak | Will Sheng Thao be the Mayor of Oakland on January 31, 2025? | null | 1,718,906,535,569 | 1,738,396,740,000 | 1,738,829,871,220 | NO | 0.01 | 1,434.92884 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
q6xg106zka | will-cmc-play-in-10-or-more-games-i | Will CMC play in 10 or more games in the 2024-2025 season including playoffs? | null | 1,726,290,362,606 | 1,736,697,778,362 | 1,736,697,778,362 | NO | 0.01258 | 7,860 | Sports | Professional sports |
lSgus6ONEI | will-o1-score-60-on-the-rebus-bench | Will o1 score ≥60% on the REBUS benchmark? | null | 1,734,931,506,612 | 1,740,725,940,000 | 1,741,729,068,614 | YES | 0.885749 | 1,905 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
echgx62svs | will-the-eighth-mission-impossible | Will the eighth Mission: Impossible film out gross Dead Reckoning Part One worldwide by the end of its theatrical run? | null | 1,726,856,843,003 | 1,752,027,495,337 | 1,752,027,495,337 | YES | 0.837043 | 1,651.088408 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
uRpgARCPqq | sp-500-above-5500-at-april-close | S&P 500 above 5500 at April close? | null | 1,744,314,846,046 | 1,746,058,407,188 | 1,746,058,407,188 | YES | 0.99 | 1,813.858059 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
8n8prosolx | will-apple-release-a-homepod-powere | Will Apple release a HomePod powered with Apple Intelligence before the end of 2024? | null | 1,718,622,384,432 | 1,735,649,940,000 | 1,735,999,412,956 | NO | 0.031586 | 60,654.607318 | Technology | Mobile & Consumer Electronics |
GfK2KCXVZvnZgnnF2ZeG | will-snapchat-sign-a-partnership-wi | Will Snapchat sign a partnership with OpenAI before the end of 2024? | null | 1,717,192,336,706 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,963,126,602 | NO | 0.095022 | 2,719.135988 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
qAhZAUn8Ah | will-trump-delay-the-tiktok-deadlin | Will Bytedance's deadline to divest from Tiktok be delayed past January 19th? | null | 1,731,439,028,587 | 1,737,272,443,563 | 1,737,272,443,563 | NO | 0.011523 | 1,375,425.133731 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
USZ90gz8RC | bitcoin-up-or-down-on-march-14 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 14? | null | 1,741,952,564,835 | 1,743,232,445,078 | 1,743,232,445,078 | YES | 0.99 | 1,018.369902 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
Dxg3vWvZuv3LqrRl2Lhg | will-the-mana-supply-grow-to-1b-man | Will the mana supply grow to 1B mana before 2025? | null | 1,716,306,415,767 | 1,735,599,540,000 | 1,735,824,514,962 | NO | 0.012543 | 7,947.30301 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
qtPq90sI6u | biden-does-not-pardon-any-of-these | Biden does NOT pardon any of these "surprise" pardons? | null | 1,735,163,815,316 | 1,737,396,414,956 | 1,737,396,414,956 | NO | 0.002483 | 2,817.011875 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
6UpESdOc8C | will-polymarkets-monthly-volume-dec | Will Polymarket’s monthly volume decline for three months straight? | null | 1,739,280,629,418 | 1,743,483,021,523 | 1,743,483,021,523 | NO | 0.01 | 9,790.802149 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
69hCA9up9Z | will-the-next-pope-take-a-first-tim | Will the next Pope take a first time name? | null | 1,745,336,735,542 | 1,746,724,812,244 | 1,746,724,812,244 | NO | 0.014357 | 1,631.834719 | Politics | Government Structure |
OPl99N5Aun | will-the-philadelphia-eagles-swoop-IAPZqhzypP--cash | Super Bowl LIX: Will the Philadelphia Eagles win? | null | 1,738,292,208,068 | 1,739,157,678,861 | 1,739,159,229,100 | YES | 0.992806 | 7,819.037493 | Sports | Professional Sports |
nAvTzimJUQkew3sqpOLU | will-the-median-home-sold-price-in | Will the median home sold price in San Francisco be higher in April 2025 than April 2024? | null | 1,715,153,313,684 | 1,747,378,740,000 | 1,750,217,842,103 | YES | 0.674764 | 4,429.837427 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
Ic520qIRpQ | will-wicked-2024-gross-750-million | Will "Wicked" (2024) gross >$750 million? (worldwide) | null | 1,732,123,713,490 | 1,744,922,131,076 | 1,744,922,131,076 | YES | 0.998859 | 5,538.454746 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
tstNs5tsnt | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-gQtzNpLUEA | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Feb 18 than it closed on Feb 14? | null | 1,739,795,485,064 | 1,739,912,415,272 | 1,739,912,415,272 | YES | 0.973866 | 8,626.005244 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
StzOQ85yls | tariffs-on-china-above-150-by-end-o | Tariffs on China above 150% by end of June | null | 1,744,371,405,892 | 1,751,327,940,000 | 1,751,336,499,839 | NO | 0.027481 | 3,581.163106 | Finance | Trade & Economics |
QuNytU9Zz9 | will-any-state-have-more-than-30000 | Will any state have more than 300,000 customers without power before the end of 2024? | null | 1,732,233,607,205 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,742,122,406 | NO | 0.024602 | 6,394.432731 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
PZNEuPI2Cn | national-injunctions-banned-by-the | National injunctions banned by the Supreme Court? | null | 1,747,323,172,934 | 1,751,037,213,191 | 1,751,037,213,191 | YES | 0.266747 | 2,202.970056 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
tLI0E0R6N9 | will-1-usd-be-worth-1500-south-kore | Will 1 USD be worth 1500 South Korean Won before the end of January 2025? | null | 1,735,534,714,816 | 1,738,441,521,895 | 1,738,441,521,895 | NO | 0.01 | 14,356.965366 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
2052tsOhZU | will-luka-doncic-get-a-triple-doubl | Will Luka Dončić get a Triple Double tonight? | null | 1,739,215,982,971 | 1,739,282,050,272 | 1,739,282,050,272 | NO | 0.01 | 8,969.874371 | Sports | Individual Sports |
06dEOAdtgU | will-any-ai-get-a-score-of-at-least | Will any AI get a score of at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam benchmark before March 11, 2025? | null | 1,738,605,663,614 | 1,741,640,340,000 | 1,741,706,025,253 | NO | 0.01 | 1,293.521979 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
gR89Q6dhdI | will-yoon-suk-yeol-be-arrested-befo | Will Yoon Suk Yeol be arrested before 2026? | null | 1,733,242,131,881 | 1,737,002,035,869 | 1,737,002,035,869 | YES | 0.988101 | 22,590.433058 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
EPyC8lOPls | ronen-bar-removed-as-shin-bet-chief | Ronen Bar removed as Shin Bet chief before April 30, 2025 | null | 1,742,318,423,938 | 1,745,971,200,000 | 1,746,001,785,216 | NO | 0.01 | 1,132.188062 | Politics | Government Structure |
c8LO9nEng5 | ukraine-conducts-military-action-in | Ukraine conducts military action in Moscow on May 9, 2025 | null | 1,746,539,976,965 | 1,746,799,140,000 | 1,749,539,457,792 | NO | 0.07038 | 2,186.771669 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
dCdc8sLCRl | xrp-price-exceeds-250-before-july-2 | XRP price exceeds $2.50 before July 2, 2025 | null | 1,748,894,109,042 | 1,751,414,340,000 | 1,751,471,106,940 | NO | 0.01 | 1,349.982746 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
p9g8CdAES8 | will-trump-impose-any-sort-of-tarif | Will Trump impose any sort of Tariff on Canada by the end of February? | null | 1,737,436,953,871 | 1,740,709,920,000 | 1,741,307,471,032 | NO | 0.01426 | 7,332.969226 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
9y1gxuntth | will-openai-dissolve-by-july-2025 | Will OpenAI dissolve by July 2025? | null | 1,719,347,314,275 | 1,751,432,340,000 | 1,751,473,381,109 | NO | 0.010844 | 13,443.801707 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
szr361vzdf | will-rfk-jr-get-any-electoral-colle | Will RFK Jr. get any electoral college votes? | null | 1,723,406,689,999 | 1,735,882,805,036 | 1,735,882,805,036 | NO | 0.008422 | 17,582.109019 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
m71j0802uu | usa-will-there-be-fatal-casualties-gzfiru9bwz | USA: Will there be fatal casualties of the Inauguration Day? | null | 1,721,577,922,049 | 1,737,500,340,000 | 1,737,502,463,229 | NO | 0.01 | 11,372.460178 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
L98Lp6t0Z6 | will-sam-fender-play-glastonbury-20 | Will Sam Fender play Glastonbury 2025? | null | 1,734,051,879,420 | 1,751,237,940,000 | 1,751,383,526,756 | NO | 0.10373 | 2,238.548687 | Entertainment | Music & Audio |
A6npQIlh5u | will-openai-release-o3-pro-mode-thi-qOhIqpyLRq | Will OpenAI release o3 pro mode this month? | null | 1,748,973,306,792 | 1,749,757,613,231 | 1,749,757,613,231 | YES | 0.99 | 1,662.656613 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
On5tNsSIyU | will-there-be-any-break-between-one-ntdRtZ9sgN | Will there be any break between One Piece chapters 1153 and 1154? | null | 1,750,701,278,961 | 1,751,241,540,000 | 1,751,246,176,827 | YES | 0.756853 | 14,234.266188 | Entertainment | Books & Literature |
g0s8j8znb7 | will-gta6-be-delayed | Will GTA6 be delayed? | null | 1,726,101,189,130 | 1,748,229,883,524 | 1,748,229,883,524 | YES | 0.99 | 2,472.176097 | Entertainment | Gaming |
l8NUULdE0z | will-novak-djokovic-be-a-finalist-a | Will Novak Djokovic be a finalist at the 2025 Australian Open? | null | 1,736,778,335,165 | 1,737,709,288,079 | 1,737,709,288,079 | NO | 0.003828 | 1,858.358214 | Sports | Individual Sports |
p57a5ul0t7 | will-iran-announce-it-is-a-nuclear | Will Iran announce it is a nuclear state by end of 2024? | null | 1,728,315,571,238 | 1,735,689,639,668 | 1,735,689,639,668 | NO | 0.030452 | 2,625 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
pct57l6lzx | will-biden-pardon-anyone-within-1-m | Will Biden pardon anyone with 1 month or less until he leaves office? | null | 1,729,448,938,607 | 1,737,435,540,000 | 1,737,436,250,707 | YES | 0.993618 | 2,429.083312 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
2hpPI8nsIg | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-Cyq2yh6U2n | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Feb 5 than it closed on Feb 4? | null | 1,738,767,057,010 | 1,738,789,293,600 | 1,738,789,293,600 | YES | 0.936628 | 4,908.333572 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
iqliqhey5n | will-the-texas-longhorns-make-it-to | Will the Texas Longhorns make it to the CFP final? | null | 1,729,455,030,534 | 1,736,573,400,000 | 1,736,575,126,000 | NO | 0.01 | 2,646.066464 | Sports | Team Sports |
Octct9Ry9p | will-kanye-release-a-coin-before-th | Will kanye release a coin before the new pope releases? | null | 1,740,419,921,594 | 1,746,721,391,344 | 1,746,721,391,344 | NO | 0.01 | 1,129.058927 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
piap8xqsiu | 3rd-assassination-attempt-on-donald | 3rd assassination attempt on Donald Trump? | null | 1,726,450,842,842 | 1,738,396,740,000 | 1,738,437,594,003 | NO | 0.01 | 504,483.962941 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
gqCRyUQ220 | la-mayor-karen-bass-ousted-by-end-o | LA Mayor Karen Bass ousted by end of Feb? | null | 1,737,063,315,673 | 1,740,815,940,000 | 1,740,876,776,800 | NO | 0.01 | 1,210.457217 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
1h8q34oqdu | trump-to-impose-60-tariff-on-china | Trump to impose 60% tariff on China in first year? | null | 1,722,688,245,710 | 1,747,043,720,530 | 1,747,043,720,530 | YES | 0.997626 | 38,670.356054 | Geopolitics | Trade & Economics |
Pt5Elln99I | will-the-starship-flight-9-ship-be | Will the Starship Flight 9 ship be caught? | null | 1,741,058,227,032 | 1,748,578,527,655 | 1,748,578,527,655 | NO | 0.01 | 2,271.52428 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
ZSQg28zuZQ | will-any-state-have-more-than-10000-zRtNRLOdsU | Will any state have more than 100,000 customers without power (red on US Power Outage Map) before the end of 2024? | null | 1,732,412,244,472 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,742,066,270 | NO | 0.0099 | 24,156.098168 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
gNL85uPdsA | will-the-buffalo-bills-win-the-supe--cash | Will the Buffalo Bills win the Super Bowl in 2025? | null | 1,730,485,321,991 | 1,737,997,980,383 | 1,737,997,980,383 | NO | 0.009881 | 1,402.793672 | Sports | Professional Sports |
2QCh0ZRL68 | bitcoin-below-90k-in-december | Bitcoin below $90K in December? | null | 1,733,114,420,195 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,735,718,469,000 | NO | 0.010523 | 60,425.987732 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
aoz7g7jqvy | will-noam-chomsky-live-to-see-an-is | Will Noam Chomsky live to see an Israel-Palestine ceasefire? | null | 1,718,329,896,259 | 1,742,184,389,875 | 1,742,184,389,875 | YES | 0.982718 | 52,300.369529 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
zhyys5lLzO | will-barcelona-fc-win-the-champions | Will Barcelona FC win the Champions League 2024/2025? | null | 1,742,179,629,971 | 1,746,889,846,807 | 1,746,889,846,807 | NO | 0.001738 | 4,359.689552 | Sports | Professional Sports |
hOUd98dgQc | sam-altman-takes-temporary-leave-of | Sam Altman takes temporary leave of absence from OpenAI before June 2025 | null | 1,741,808,710,378 | 1,748,736,000,000 | 1,748,764,765,082 | NO | 0.019686 | 2,844.31996 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
gNUURzzuSI | will-trump-ever-have-a-net-positive | Will Trump ever have a net positive approval rating? (Read Description) | null | 1,734,108,219,494 | 1,740,065,004,672 | 1,740,065,004,672 | YES | 0.978368 | 8,679.850037 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
qt6dndUSQR | will-trump-impose-additional-tariff | Will Trump impose additional tariffs on China before April 10? | null | 1,738,692,010,681 | 1,741,105,625,372 | 1,741,105,625,372 | YES | 0.980984 | 8,510.898722 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
OZR0Iqphzn | will-openai-release-a-product-with-6LpgOUzROg | Will OpenAI release a product with the word "Orion" in its name before 2025? | null | 1,730,259,379,484 | 1,735,649,940,000 | 1,736,916,358,746 | NO | 0.036064 | 5,581.403125 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
0SN2qUQ5O5 | sp-500-above-6050-on-june-13 | S&P 500 above $6050 on June 13? | null | 1,749,604,773,162 | 1,749,846,916,957 | 1,749,846,916,957 | NO | 0.01 | 3,218.297257 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
ctz2EdtCPQ | bitcoin-above-97k-on-february-21 | Bitcoin above $97K on February 21? | null | 1,739,312,586,547 | 1,740,130,262,973 | 1,740,130,262,973 | YES | 0.990382 | 31,880.387425 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
LyRZPE9RIy | will-andrew-tate-meet-in-person-wit-N0pOOU6qUn | Will Andrew Tate meet in person with Trump within 1 week [March 6]? - credible reporting | null | 1,740,682,004,088 | 1,741,334,340,000 | 1,741,359,513,606 | NO | 0.033124 | 5,163.625418 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
uhmaba0ts8 | will-any-nfl-quarterback-exceed-509 | Will any NFL quarterback exceed 509 passing yards in a single game before the end of the 2024 season?* | null | 1,728,055,195,407 | 1,736,131,165,732 | 1,736,131,165,732 | NO | 0.01 | 1,272.936594 | Sports | Professional Sports |
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