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A0yIn2ELQE
will-all-individual-yes-traders-in
Will all individual "YES" traders in this market a unique MAX PAYOUT when this market closes?
null
1,742,847,572,238
1,743,461,940,000
1,743,474,168,019
NO
0.025377
11,963.913446
Finance
Markets & Trading
av7R6n2rUOMrPTjt9E5b
will-lighthaven-be-capable-of-hosti
Will Lighthaven be capable of hosting a Manifest/LessOnline style event in June 2025?
null
1,718,001,258,281
1,748,599,843,783
1,748,599,843,783
YES
0.989913
12,735.023195
Politics
Public Policy & Social Issues
LPEZU6ZQtC
will-openai-reference-anthropics-mo
Will OpenAI Reference Anthropic’s Model Context Protocol (MCP) by the End of 2025?
null
1,732,588,409,367
1,743,028,939,354
1,743,028,939,354
YES
0.956631
7,052.854101
Technology
Emerging Technologies
z08qm5fsvu
will-nvidia-nvda-end-22-at-or-above
Will Nvidia NVDA end 2/2 at or above $222 USD per share?
null
1,719,152,076,271
1,738,558,740,000
1,738,645,437,871
NO
0.009815
2,157.180436
Finance
Markets & Trading
suSNN9LpZS
will-a-tropical-or-subtropical-stor-OR98LELzzl
Will a tropical or subtropical storm be named Tony in 2024?
null
1,731,622,787,024
1,735,718,340,000
1,735,729,717,997
NO
0.011613
24,844.640444
Geopolitics
Regional Affairs
5v1sik39l5
will-the-supreme-court-strike-down-8y7p8a3krk
Will the Supreme Court strike down the Texas age verification law for online content?
null
1,723,261,490,395
1,751,439,540,000
1,751,815,406,066
NO
0.01
10,817.87836
Politics
Domestic Policy
QCSdtut89y
will-both-houses-of-the-missouri-st
Will both houses of the Missouri legislature pass a stadium bill by June 31, 2025 for the Kansas City Chiefs or Royals?
null
1,747,433,324,061
1,750,445,408,967
1,750,445,408,967
YES
0.950723
37,859.408613
Politics
Domestic Policy
U2spctlyEu
will-trump-tweet-about-zohran-mamda
Will Trump tweet about Zohran Mamdani in June?
null
1,750,874,684,458
1,751,385,588,823
1,751,385,588,823
NO
0.004847
4,029.615644
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
yQynENnEON
will-jd-vance-meet-pope-leo-in-2025
Will JD Vance meet Pope Leo before July 1st
null
1,746,749,488,051
1,747,654,872,803
1,747,654,872,803
YES
0.997228
13,836.336436
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
8qRn8OAyPp
will-sp-500-emini-futures-go-limit
Will S&P 500 e-mini futures go limit up or down in the Sunday night session 2025-04-06?
null
1,743,804,874,164
1,744,049,965,932
1,744,049,965,932
NO
0.010189
15,145.750376
Finance
Markets & Trading
szsuZ26tUQ
will-starship-flight-7-fly-before-n
Will Starship Flight 7 fly before New Glenn’s Maiden flight?
null
1,735,931,664,969
1,737,028,647,304
1,737,028,647,304
NO
0.006219
64,579.644696
Technology
Emerging Technologies
cUNl9Z2ScI
will-simmi-rejoin-kalshi-or-houseco
Will Simmi rejoin Kalshi or Housecord Discord Servers by Feb 1 2025?
null
1,737,269,980,914
1,737,272,412,655
1,737,272,412,655
YES
0.987237
2,011.569989
Technology
Internet & Digital Services
uQgNOPOI6n
will-laura-loomer-get-her-bluecheck
Will Laura Loomer get her bluecheck back by Friday?
null
1,735,552,650,579
1,735,975,477,897
1,735,975,477,897
NO
0.01
1,123.645873
Politics
Political Parties & Ideologies
Rnz8yAPLPQ
will-i-be-able-to-download-tiktok-o
Will I be able to download TikTok on the Google Play store and have it function normally by the end of January?
null
1,737,266,582,837
1,737,314,024,133
1,737,314,024,133
YES
0.962033
5,554.683023
Technology
Internet & Digital Services
en29wk5qxy
will-joseph-anderson-release-his-hi-kwsbpb9idd
Will Joseph Anderson release his highly anticipated Witcher 3 review before the end of August?
null
1,719,782,486,381
1,743,782,603,553
1,743,782,603,553
YES
0.947987
2,939.457752
Entertainment
Movies & Television
hOzN0sO5u6
daily-coinflip-nytAQZIN0c
Daily coinflip
null
1,746,253,057,114
1,746,417,540,000
1,746,425,241,742
NO
0.51
7,135.674701
Sports
Sports Culture & Recreation
Lz5qsg09h5
kai-and-speed-win-fortnite-today-fe
Kai and Speed win Fortnite today? (Febuary 4th Eastern Time)
null
1,738,693,449,988
1,738,763,749,216
1,738,763,749,216
NO
0.01
1,438.898676
Entertainment
Gaming
QRS0Z5cPq0
will-there-be-any-break-between-kag-ClSn9t8sgc
Will there be any break between Kagurabachi chapters 82 and 83?
null
1,748,839,628,117
1,749,444,420,000
1,749,535,248,482
NO
0.161225
2,099.095629
Entertainment
Books & Literature
2ZS0858su5
will-alien-life-be-discovered-on-eu
Will Alien Life be discovered on Europa before June 30?
null
1,750,542,308,340
1,751,291,953,248
1,751,291,953,248
NO
0.012175
1,873.197161
Geopolitics
Regional Affairs
nydyCP0phA
will-i-meet-the-person-that-i-like
Will I meet the person that I like at MOP 2025?
null
1,742,262,499,282
1,745,252,970,713
1,745,378,806,603
YES
0.211989
4,484.587862
Entertainment
Celebrity & Pop Culture
QdpyOs0Q5t
will-eric-adams-have-an-approval-ra
Will Eric Adams have an approval rating under 20% by June?
null
1,739,236,115,804
1,741,212,149,095
1,741,212,149,095
YES
0.99
1,148.911546
Politics
Domestic Policy
uySIyq9OlQ
will-hasan-be-banned-from-twitch-fo--cash
Will Hasan be banned from Twitch for at least 1 day by the end of 2024?
null
1,729,874,455,439
1,735,671,726,376
1,735,761,891,416
NO
0.014951
1,276.721942
Entertainment
Gaming
yZ9zQu6Z6t
president-trump-will-release-jfk-fi
President Trump will release JFK files within the first week of the presidency?
null
1,731,055,108,033
1,738,079,183,616
1,738,079,190,079
NO
0.01
2,869.916986
Politics
Domestic Policy
wiphjj61eq
will-the-biden-government-contract
Will the Biden government contract SpaceX to provide rural America with internet?
null
1,722,270,473,438
1,735,685,940,000
1,735,761,101,245
NO
0.05
4,215.788348
Politics
Domestic Policy
g92z0ZC9Ip
will-david-lynch-be-alive-at-the-en-E8O2RqLnRn
Will David Lynch be alive at the end of 2025?
null
1,735,776,156,670
1,737,052,312,594
1,737,052,312,594
NO
0.01
1,122.251588
Entertainment
Celebrity & Pop Culture
EQ2d2LLL68
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-5yqqC5S69S
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Apr 7 than it closed on Apr 4?
null
1,744,013,119,587
1,744,057,483,943
1,744,057,483,943
NO
0.01
58,863.757028
Finance
Markets & Trading
QncIcO8sng
will-grok-3-top-the-chatbot-leaderb
Will Grok 3 Top the Chatbot Leaderboard?
null
1,738,937,105,234
1,739,863,737,372
1,739,863,737,372
YES
0.99
100,815.874163
Technology
Emerging Technologies
zo6v3r95mq
will-china-announce-the-establishme
Will China announce the establishment of an AI Safety Insitute in 2024?
null
1,725,646,149,450
1,735,718,340,000
1,736,120,160,719
NO
0.13962
3,149.359115
Technology
Emerging Technologies
gyQlIqyAIR
bitcoin-hits-87k-before-97k
Bitcoin hits $87k before $97k?
null
1,745,359,596,574
1,746,121,861,646
1,746,121,861,646
NO
0.01
19,321.641269
Finance
Markets & Trading
gzugN292RN
next-pope-has-a-diacritic-in-their
Next Pope has a diacritic in their name?
null
1,745,753,130,568
1,746,975,919,145
1,746,975,919,145
NO
0.01
1,875.29519
Politics
Government Structure
8gLgq9yd8d
will-the-manifold-office-lock-be-fi
Will the Manifold office lock be fixed before 5pm?
null
1,738,194,923,189
1,738,197,416,747
1,738,197,425,772
YES
0.88
1,805.631849
Technology
Computing & Software
2bhb5wooau
will-ethbtc-trade-below-002500-befo
Will ETH/BTC trade below 0.02500 before the end of 2024?
null
1,726,633,166,332
1,735,714,623,965
1,735,714,638,948
NO
0.057992
4,410.902531
Finance
Markets & Trading
9LCl2QUOnE
kilmar-armando-abrego-garcia-confir
Kilmar Armando Abrego Garcia confirmed alive on or before May 6?
null
1,744,658,864,430
1,744,938,404,753
1,744,938,404,753
YES
0.883587
14,536.627535
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
1mcb0lemkm
will-section-174-be-reverted-in-202
Will Section 174 Allow Full Expensing of SWE Salaries for R&E in 2025?
null
1,722,011,124,904
1,751,729,505,190
1,751,729,505,190
YES
0.839301
1,287
Politics
Domestic Policy
CA2tht8PyN
trump-declares-martial-law-on-420
Trump declares martial law on 4/20?
null
1,742,757,461,849
1,745,193,540,000
1,745,280,141,416
NO
0.01
4,730.458189
Politics
Domestic Policy
ectafw6spf
will-an-ai-win-a-gold-medal-on-the-fc04e26738c6--cash
Will an AI win a gold medal on the IOI (competitive programming contest) before 2025?
null
1,726,715,563,426
1,735,752,347,744
1,735,845,827,111
NO
0.004212
2,998.633421
Technology
Emerging Technologies
uQQ0UELRzL
if-there-is-an-offered-ceasefire-an
If there is an offered ceasefire and Russia doesn't accept, will the US pressure Russia in any way April 30th?
null
1,741,859,142,965
1,746,053,940,000
1,746,101,967,762
NO
0.09184
16,881.391488
Geopolitics
Global Conflicts
9SI5S2sERA
will-the-movie-wicked-hit-1-billion
Will the movie “wicked” hit 1 Billion in the box office?
null
1,732,065,866,588
1,740,815,940,000
1,741,138,700,911
NO
0.01
1,060.133176
Entertainment
Movies & Television
PmXBSOAkO1ZGfbMGJSEv
will-bayern-munich-win-the-202425-c
Will Bayern Munich win the 2024/25 Champions League
null
1,714,918,280,198
1,745,435,409,663
1,745,435,409,663
NO
0.01
1,201.887458
Sports
Professional Sports
buismz3qc2
will-joe-biden-ultimately-give-jimm
Will Joe Biden ultimately give Jimmy Carter's eulogy, as per Carter's request?
null
1,721,678,625,149
1,737,250,745,715
1,737,250,745,715
YES
0.99
11,167.61838
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
dd6P0IyLAR
will-tiktok-be-banned-in-the-united-5L0tdy5RAO
Will TikTok be banned in the United States for the majority of the population by the end of 2025?
null
1,735,995,112,349
1,738,215,341,269
1,738,215,341,269
YES
0.97
34,530.693394
Politics
Public Policy & Social Issues
n2UdcP0ggI
israels-current-operations-against
Israel's current operations against Iran last more than 14 days?
null
1,749,814,397,245
1,750,748,796,041
1,750,748,796,041
NO
0.570857
3,562.07572
Geopolitics
Global Conflicts
s6sQ62d5PZ
holy-shit-my-reaction-to-deepseek-r
"Holy shit!" -> my reaction to deepseek r1. Will I feel the same about any AI developments in the next 5 months?
null
1,737,984,860,605
1,751,043,540,000
1,751,083,798,743
NO
0.014313
23,385.750554
Technology
Emerging Technologies
ESzClcS2II
will-bitcoin-cross-90000-this-month
Will bitcoin cross 90,000 $ this month ?
null
1,743,505,441,707
1,745,373,241,332
1,745,373,241,332
YES
0.980211
65,073.017158
Finance
Markets & Trading
AgEl0URcCP
will-btc-hit-95000-before-the-end-o
Will BTC hit $95,000 before the end of April 2025?
null
1,743,496,743,529
1,745,769,920,919
1,745,769,920,919
YES
0.99
6,424.796423
Finance
Markets & Trading
QgLsq0OgUg
vladimir-putin-attends-brics-summit
Vladimir Putin attends BRICS Summit in Brazil July 6-7?
null
1,750,640,006,062
1,751,935,920,000
1,752,092,650,108
NO
0.009969
1,607.776224
Geopolitics
Regional Affairs
jbxlw97ork
will-openai-use-a-different-name-fo
Will OpenAI use a different name for an AI model this year than the names it already used with incremental numbers?
null
1,726,234,459,324
1,735,682,340,000
1,741,734,950,797
YES
0.976943
1,445.611496
Technology
Emerging Technologies
s9s6R2CyR6
scott-alexander-publishes-a-post-on
Scott Alexander publishes a post on ACX before Tuesday midnight PST?
null
1,748,681,078,374
1,748,879,765,346
1,748,879,765,346
YES
0.989961
9,507.450941
Entertainment
Books & Literature
P2dl6RClc2
will-mirror-bot-atmirrorbot-post-cr
Will Mirror Bot ([at]mirrorbot) create another question before January 1, 2025?
null
1,733,593,097,332
1,735,729,953,793
1,735,729,953,793
NO
0.024961
5,250
Technology
Internet & Digital Services
9Cz6AE2IzR
will-i-make-usaco-camp-in-2025
Will I make USACO camp in 2025
null
1,737,902,537,587
1,745,836,369,074
1,745,836,369,074
YES
0.842861
4,681.875704
Sports
Individual Sports
LFkwX83OPKPtqVKy87SP
nfl-week-18-jan-4-2025-will-the-los
NFL Week 18 (Jan 4 2025): Will the Los Angeles Rams (home) beat the Seattle Seahawks (away)?
null
1,715,834,719,771
1,736,226,000,000
1,737,477,042,349
NO
0.01
1,419.529622
Sports
Professional Sports
nUN906OORP
will-25-or-more-states-be-affected
Will 25 or more states be affected by H5N1 by the end of March 2025?
null
1,731,560,438,396
1,743,479,940,000
1,743,480,457,155
NO
0.063605
1,566.416977
Politics
Public Policy & Social Issues
I2PnPLzUsA
will-trump-pardon-enrique-tarrio
Will Trump pardon Enrique Tarrio?
null
1,733,497,049,386
1,739,400,986,384
1,739,400,986,384
YES
0.978598
4,655.399351
Politics
Elections & Campaigns