id stringlengths 9 20 | slug stringlengths 11 53 | question stringlengths 8 120 | firstGroup float64 | createdTime int64 1,715B 1,752B | closeTime int64 1,717B 1,752B | resolvedTime int64 1,736B 1,752B | resolution stringclasses 2 values | resolutionProbability float64 0 1 | volume float64 0 1.38M | pred_category stringclasses 15 values | pred_subcategory stringclasses 39 values |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AgEl0URcCP | will-btc-hit-95000-before-the-end-o | Will BTC hit $95,000 before the end of April 2025? | null | 1,743,496,743,529 | 1,745,769,920,919 | 1,745,769,920,919 | YES | 0.99 | 6,424.796423 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
tprzeiu04t | will-pausing-ai-developments-isnt-e-h9yy9ohsp8 | Will "Pausing AI Developments Isn't Enough. We Need..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review? | null | 1,723,777,818,988 | 1,738,368,000,000 | 1,738,964,683,215 | YES | 0.133368 | 50 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
QgLsq0OgUg | vladimir-putin-attends-brics-summit | Vladimir Putin attends BRICS Summit in Brazil July 6-7? | null | 1,750,640,006,062 | 1,751,935,920,000 | 1,752,092,650,108 | NO | 0.009969 | 1,607.776224 | Geopolitics | Regional Affairs |
jbxlw97ork | will-openai-use-a-different-name-fo | Will OpenAI use a different name for an AI model this year than the names it already used with incremental numbers? | null | 1,726,234,459,324 | 1,735,682,340,000 | 1,741,734,950,797 | YES | 0.976943 | 1,445.611496 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
s9s6R2CyR6 | scott-alexander-publishes-a-post-on | Scott Alexander publishes a post on ACX before Tuesday midnight PST? | null | 1,748,681,078,374 | 1,748,879,765,346 | 1,748,879,765,346 | YES | 0.989961 | 9,507.450941 | Entertainment | Books & Literature |
EUICPOS0sS | will-andrew-tate-meet-in-person-wit-PSCEZuAdyq | Will Andrew Tate meet in person with Musk within 1 week [March 6]? - credible reporting | null | 1,740,682,040,471 | 1,741,334,340,000 | 1,741,359,503,921 | NO | 0.01027 | 8,976.495556 | Celebrity & Pop Culture | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
P2dl6RClc2 | will-mirror-bot-atmirrorbot-post-cr | Will Mirror Bot ([at]mirrorbot) create another question before January 1, 2025? | null | 1,733,593,097,332 | 1,735,729,953,793 | 1,735,729,953,793 | NO | 0.024961 | 5,250 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
y6LtqUuyup | is-rejecting-mit-be-worth-while-if | Is Rejecting MIT be worth while if I go to comunity college to save cost? | null | 1,745,820,414,146 | 1,746,056,751,478 | 1,746,056,751,478 | YES | 0.251394 | 175.433468 | Finance | Personal Finance |
zL2OCSURCO | will-the-usajmo-cutoffs-come-out-be | Will the USA(J)MO cutoffs come out before March? | null | 1,739,326,680,573 | 1,740,806,928,243 | 1,740,806,928,243 | NO | 0.068771 | 581.243505 | Sports | Individual Sports |
9Cz6AE2IzR | will-i-make-usaco-camp-in-2025 | Will I make USACO camp in 2025 | null | 1,737,902,537,587 | 1,745,836,369,074 | 1,745,836,369,074 | YES | 0.842861 | 4,681.875704 | Sports | Individual Sports |
RtCZgRSt5N | western-states-100-mens-course-reco | Western States 100 men's course record broken? | null | 1,750,836,740,544 | 1,751,095,620,000 | 1,751,182,514,397 | NO | 0.224102 | 151.358014 | Sports | Individual Sports |
LyOdttQSN8 | i-regret-playing-last-of-us-part-2 | I regret playing Last of Us Part 2 on PC release? | null | 1,742,894,610,512 | 1,744,243,140,000 | 1,744,245,262,312 | NO | 0.370893 | 40 | Entertainment | Gaming |
0ygqPpUUPu | will-10-silver-bulletin-articles-be | Will >10 Silver Bulletin articles be posted in February 2025? | null | 1,739,235,474,678 | 1,740,840,069,053 | 1,740,840,069,053 | YES | 0.2 | 100 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
c0ZthRZIZ8 | 2025-april-hottest-on-record-resolv | 2025 April hottest on record? [Resolves from GISTemp data] | null | 1,744,227,056,479 | 1,747,451,323,276 | 1,747,451,323,276 | NO | 0.01 | 940.402799 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
LFkwX83OPKPtqVKy87SP | nfl-week-18-jan-4-2025-will-the-los | NFL Week 18 (Jan 4 2025): Will the Los Angeles Rams (home) beat the Seattle Seahawks (away)? | null | 1,715,834,719,771 | 1,736,226,000,000 | 1,737,477,042,349 | NO | 0.01 | 1,419.529622 | Sports | Professional Sports |
nUN906OORP | will-25-or-more-states-be-affected | Will 25 or more states be affected by H5N1 by the end of March 2025? | null | 1,731,560,438,396 | 1,743,479,940,000 | 1,743,480,457,155 | NO | 0.063605 | 1,566.416977 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
I2PnPLzUsA | will-trump-pardon-enrique-tarrio | Will Trump pardon Enrique Tarrio? | null | 1,733,497,049,386 | 1,739,400,986,384 | 1,739,400,986,384 | YES | 0.978598 | 4,655.399351 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
6lyIEtpE2I | will-topick-finish-develoopment-by | Will Topick finish develoopment by Jan 15 2025 | null | 1,736,826,411,992 | 1,736,826,727,239 | 1,736,826,727,239 | YES | 0.36 | 70 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
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