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ynvzbbcnrb
false
KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Wild guess immediately after flight 4. ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "...
Christopher Randles
XS0xEbncD3l5M7cWuYXH
public
contract
1,717,703,875,317
1-for-each-day-before-starship-flig
ChristopherRandles
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c
1% for each day before Starship flight 5
null
0.459105
174.288253
NO
null
aakaljcgll7
false
h8mrjj5GRDb363eGYxhaKR8hzAF2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Still nothing to replace loans? ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Benjamin Ikuta
kim3FPIfFLuAMv9nBZ9N
public
contract
1,717,703,906,929
will-i-continue-to-routinely-make-l
benjaminIkuta
https://firebasestorage.…42c-4fd343f08410
Will I continue to routinely make long term bets after Manifold gets rid of loans?
null
null
null
null
null
q5erlgleg5
false
h8mrjj5GRDb363eGYxhaKR8hzAF2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I'm not currently making significant long term bets, so I don't know why this market is trading so high. ", "type": "text" } ],...
Benjamin Ikuta
kim3FPIfFLuAMv9nBZ9N
public
contract
1,717,704,006,279
will-i-continue-to-routinely-make-l
benjaminIkuta
https://firebasestorage.…42c-4fd343f08410
Will I continue to routinely make long term bets after Manifold gets rid of loans?
null
null
null
null
null
t9fsfd56euk
false
H9WsRqp0riS8Q4oUOvwYptkQwcP2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "fcym1q1mdw", "label": "10thOfficial", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Earl Kelly
gKy8PAj9g8xG2ofY3MYw
public
contract
1,717,704,024,103
offical-market-for-t20-world-cup-ma
EarlKelly
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYce6r9qcA6KpyiKEz3Co6Vx_SzjlJr3gV8HLI3=s96-c
Offical market for T20 Cricket World cup matches 2024
2fdcnbqgyzr
null
4,898.036035
YES
34tbbcd35t
i04b87to97
false
FUccCOTtAHPByXkdRDhNp2K4DAw2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Initiator of the market deleted, how is it decided now?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "d...
Marius
cJr9XGDCpr6oaNng4prv
public
contract
1,717,704,143,457
ai-will-generate-coherent-5min-film-701f5bf4e5e3
MariusK
https://firebasestorage.…f17-69357aaa533f
AI will generate coherent 5-min films by the end of 2025
null
0.58
356.321337
YES
null
wmsu7n11af7
false
FUccCOTtAHPByXkdRDhNp2K4DAw2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "We are beyond that point, the barrier for voice cloning applications is already very low", "type": "text" } ], "type": "p...
Marius
0buTWMqxRwkduBImztb9
public
contract
1,717,704,441,176
will-github-implement-a-blanket-ban
MariusK
https://firebasestorage.…f17-69357aaa533f
Will GitHub implement a blanket ban on voice cloning projects before 2026?
null
0.163347
117.411186
NO
null
i7hzt4ymgeo
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "mox7fx1i5q", "label": "JamesBaker3", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Bayesian
ibp8odqaQk54GCAOaQIg
public
contract
1,717,704,472,834
bouncy-market
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Bouncy market
k4n9ncutk8
0.12
266.54437
YES
null
ektcepjffd
false
Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Was Emmett Shear a former OpenAI CEO?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
nikki
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,704,533,347
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
nikki
https://firebasestorage.…3b3-20f4f646b970
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
225.964356
NO
dccbbaa3142f
ssk3zkkmncb
false
cA1JupYR5AR8btHUs2xvkui7jA93
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I will beg MattyB to look at this, when I have a chance to show him (he's here at Manifest)", "type": "text" } ], "type":...
Genzy
3YmP16rLbG0m6E2jHDUY
public
contract
1,717,704,546,695
will-any-university-announce-a-dive
Gen
https://firebasestorage.…bad-76d96081176f
Will any university announce a divestment from Israel by June 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
5imme3yr7dj
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "if people already do it, does that prevent github from banning it?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], ...
Bayesian
0buTWMqxRwkduBImztb9
public
contract
1,717,704,554,534
will-github-implement-a-blanket-ban
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Will GitHub implement a blanket ban on voice cloning projects before 2026?
wmsu7n11af7
0.163347
272.096093
NO
null
dkwprb8f52
false
9u8LZIjxZmQlmbI3Ikc5MuftX6S2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "It seems as a correlation/standard that opposition parties in Poland are always gaining popularity during their opponent's governantce, hence I think P...
Vincenty
sNXtXwAQhkiP6LQcPc50
public
contract
1,717,704,570,408
poland-will-pis-popularity-drop-bel
Vincenty
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKFSCS-PYMp-99yvBGy3Tc1g5hvxkcJItN_sC81f5WB3a3xakhe=s96-c
Poland: Will PiS popularity drop below 25% in 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
rle07j9dxvn
false
JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ektcepjffd", "label": "nikki", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Joshua
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,704,579,968
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Joshua
https://firebasestorage.…7d5-f5791800ee6f
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
ektcepjffd
null
147.121674
YES
0v2h7upen3
b1mqz2baxf5
false
nbI9r6hdKiT4j2qdWGK63g4UNsm1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ynvzbbcnrb", "label": "ChristopherRandles", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Mqrius
XS0xEbncD3l5M7cWuYXH
public
contract
1,717,704,600,954
1-for-each-day-before-starship-flig
Mqrius
https://firebasestorage.…af0-8c35c7e89dda
1% for each day before Starship flight 5
ynvzbbcnrb
0.397153
107.96643
YES
null
gv0tvppf7fq
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "f4bq5q5d45t", "label": "PredictordudeT", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Bayesian
3YmP16rLbG0m6E2jHDUY
public
contract
1,717,704,633,334
will-any-university-announce-a-dive
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Will any university announce a divestment from Israel by June 2024?
f4bq5q5d45t
0.662303
86.444045
YES
null
8mxf7pls9ac
false
Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "This was resolved too early", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
nikki
qOraa5NCsLIxkyUeEy24
public
contract
1,717,704,654,749
narendra-modi-going-to-be-the-win-t
nikki
https://firebasestorage.…3b3-20f4f646b970
Narendra Modi going to be the win the Indian general election?
null
1
0
YES
null
3w9s2zeqeqd
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "nlfn3ajbtvr", "label": "Panfilo", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Bayesian
3YmP16rLbG0m6E2jHDUY
public
contract
1,717,704,701,579
will-any-university-announce-a-dive
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Will any university announce a divestment from Israel by June 2024?
5xdlieeakhh
0.662303
86.444045
YES
null
r8ls78otgj
false
G4JTSx4yXAYll9JkJOj0z0qNNBt1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ca4rnil2urv", "label": "TheAllMemeingEye", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }...
Jessica Evans
9JNRQ3fhGuyuoW1gN0xL
public
contract
1,717,704,713,119
if-asi-is-created-and-doesnt-wipe-o-bxa1loxmvl
JessicaEvans
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJ09N-L0VcH3A2_jFbvwzXuPQH7Z8dtC_qkPe9VUC3kHfs=s96-c
If ASI is created and doesn't wipe out humanity, will it torture any human-level-intelligences within a year?
httb97cuu3n
0.103571
30.155783
YES
null
qx7v9iplq2o
false
KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "9sno6ayy3il", "label": "Ziddletwix", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Christopher Randles
DUv8ftjMInHAbp7UgwqJ
public
contract
1,717,704,731,937
will-furiosa-a-mad-max-saga-2024-ha
ChristopherRandles
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c
Will "Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga" (2024) have a Rotten Tomatoes critics score >X%?
ajtgjgndbzo
null
6,169.042671
YES
52c8a526fb05
syyjvu9g898
false
FUccCOTtAHPByXkdRDhNp2K4DAw2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "5imme3yr7dj", "label": "Bayesian", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Marius
0buTWMqxRwkduBImztb9
public
contract
1,717,704,751,942
will-github-implement-a-blanket-ban
MariusK
https://firebasestorage.…f17-69357aaa533f
Will GitHub implement a blanket ban on voice cloning projects before 2026?
wmsu7n11af7
0.163347
117.411186
NO
null
x0uozxy6xc
false
MJSWJeLiUuVJx2I04pm6HvDT7Kv1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "6e63jqt728h", "label": "smithers", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Jim
5VxIQger5o9WXEObpfZe
public
contract
1,717,704,767,027
open-market-will-i-find-gold-in-cal
JimAusman
https://firebasestorage.…02c-9c3e2d7602ee
[OPEN MARKET] Will I find Gold in California? (And other bets for my trip to CA).
0j67rg8fcnjt
null
21.938037
NO
581b48786011
b5cf3igre6b
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "r8ls78otgj", "label": "JessicaEvans", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
9JNRQ3fhGuyuoW1gN0xL
public
contract
1,717,704,811,340
if-asi-is-created-and-doesnt-wipe-o-bxa1loxmvl
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
If ASI is created and doesn't wipe out humanity, will it torture any human-level-intelligences within a year?
httb97cuu3n
null
null
null
null
cqtvngiid2
false
GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "syyjvu9g898", "label": "MariusK", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
RemNi
0buTWMqxRwkduBImztb9
public
contract
1,717,704,813,769
will-github-implement-a-blanket-ban
RemNi
https://firebasestorage.…ad4-a4c719e99ff1
Will GitHub implement a blanket ban on voice cloning projects before 2026?
wmsu7n11af7
0.163347
172.137426
YES
null
ivge6l1h6y
false
G4JTSx4yXAYll9JkJOj0z0qNNBt1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "b5cf3igre6b", "label": "TheAllMemeingEye", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }...
Jessica Evans
9JNRQ3fhGuyuoW1gN0xL
public
contract
1,717,704,905,849
if-asi-is-created-and-doesnt-wipe-o-bxa1loxmvl
JessicaEvans
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJ09N-L0VcH3A2_jFbvwzXuPQH7Z8dtC_qkPe9VUC3kHfs=s96-c
If ASI is created and doesn't wipe out humanity, will it torture any human-level-intelligences within a year?
httb97cuu3n
0.103571
30.155783
YES
null
cqxt5ooge4i
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "qx7v9iplq2o", "label": "ChristopherRandles", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Ziddletwix
DUv8ftjMInHAbp7UgwqJ
public
contract
1,717,704,910,504
will-furiosa-a-mad-max-saga-2024-ha
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Will "Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga" (2024) have a Rotten Tomatoes critics score >X%?
ajtgjgndbzo
null
27,069.559319
NO
1f72e6f34b10
a13st2qc5lf
false
cXfjElSKSFTJVYwY3xlxH5wQlF82
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I'm fairly ignorant on this matter, but saw this comment (see image) on a Steve Hsu blog post (", "type": "text" }, { ...
Elf
wENpa5mETtrCnBYJKl5t
public
contract
1,717,705,235,419
will-china-launch-a-fullscale-invas
elf
https://firebasestorage.…225-4e706826a59b
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
null
0.312952
13.871604
NO
null
pz5tgc13yqq
false
sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573", "label": "mods", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
The Official
Il4oBsB16jLFueuuy7ew
public
contract
1,717,705,296,414
will-elizabeth-holmes-serve-at-leas
10thOfficial
https://firebasestorage.…8ec-be730e0a7e96
Will Elizabeth Holmes serve at least 1 year of her prison sentence?
w6f6eklc77
0.99
1,688.216119
YES
null
ewbgyt87vh
false
e1vpMsZfzASlIASX1xPtLxyAFnA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "rrlm4yqe1wj", "label": "ClubmasterTransparent", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Timothy Johnson
8wLURoRAPrdpSodTYMZo
public
contract
1,717,705,318,989
what-will-happen-in-june-2024-add-r
TimothyJohnson5c16
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYY1maA_aMEcew3CXHdOWt6elNschJLRt5gE5D8AQ=s96-c
☀️What will happen in June 2024? [ADD RESPONSES]
zmy3x9wrez
null
1,227.487417
YES
a7fd6e4ae5ac
wngsek4r7x
false
Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "hmqpIVl4jzgEqvqaeWRfAfYxzXG2", "label": "FarazAhmed", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention...
nikki
mIrNFcGgHwanYG3SvJeR
public
contract
1,717,705,328,656
i-applied-to-over-20-colleges-in-rd
nikki
https://firebasestorage.…3b3-20f4f646b970
I applied to over 20 colleges in RD season as an International needing aid. Which ones would I get into?
null
null
116.632708
NO
4671c0f9a041
1i520yhgjrm
false
xh2QtJ0WuKQFK3nyXsxDRxBhqYB3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33", "label": "NathanpmYoung", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "ment...
IY
AFYtfyvxBJgqFwk1Ik2x
public
contract
1,717,705,364,919
will-ukraine-severely-hamper-russia
vitamind
https://firebasestorage.…977-5917b2772a78
Will Ukraine severely hamper Russia's lostical lines through the land bridge for more than a week before 2024 July?
null
0.306019
165.148537
YES
null
idsefwpj2s
false
Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
nikki
CzBC8KHJudq6UXxnk4jL
public
contract
1,717,705,377,534
will-chp-lose-izmir-in-upcoming-tur
nikki
https://firebasestorage.…3b3-20f4f646b970
Will CHP lose İzmir in upcoming Turkish local elections?
null
0.031785
31.033184
NO
null
rx7l425a84c
false
xh2QtJ0WuKQFK3nyXsxDRxBhqYB3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "1i520yhgjrm", "label": "vitamind", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
IY
AFYtfyvxBJgqFwk1Ik2x
public
contract
1,717,705,535,620
will-ukraine-severely-hamper-russia
vitamind
https://firebasestorage.…977-5917b2772a78
Will Ukraine severely hamper Russia's lostical lines through the land bridge for more than a week before 2024 July?
1i520yhgjrm
0.306019
165.148537
YES
null
ju0w8fwvto
false
BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "a13st2qc5lf", "label": "elf", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Semiotic Rivalry
wENpa5mETtrCnBYJKl5t
public
contract
1,717,705,688,057
will-china-launch-a-fullscale-invas
SemioticRivalry
https://firebasestorage.…b1c-6adfb2a3dfaf
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
a13st2qc5lf
0.312952
32,755.668082
YES
null
nngre530kmo
false
KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "cqxt5ooge4i", "label": "Ziddletwix", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Christopher Randles
DUv8ftjMInHAbp7UgwqJ
public
contract
1,717,705,729,607
will-furiosa-a-mad-max-saga-2024-ha
ChristopherRandles
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c
Will "Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga" (2024) have a Rotten Tomatoes critics score >X%?
ajtgjgndbzo
null
6,169.042671
YES
52c8a526fb05
4mtxfc2afo
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "been busy ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": { "id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573", "label": ...
chris (strutheo)
8wLURoRAPrdpSodTYMZo
public
contract
1,717,705,776,749
what-will-happen-in-june-2024-add-r
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
☀️What will happen in June 2024? [ADD RESPONSES]
zmy3x9wrez
null
204.01187
YES
99f4a2dc15f0
hkp34zfg9xg
false
JDWfUBan8sfznLDCqOCavHToD5a2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "t6xo4atvzth", "label": "Mqrius", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
DP
4cZRK67eRwY3KIGZXDAZ
public
contract
1,717,705,780,093
will-a-mishap-investigation-be-requ
dp9000
https://firebasestorage.…9e7-7657a7df8de2
Will Starship Flight 4 result in an FAA mishap investigation?
t6xo4atvzth
0.198459
1,544.964859
NO
null
4xw1mulq0gr
false
xNZQawSuOdWPwqnVlFwQbIMT2x42
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "173kxdxdbhu", "label": "PaulMaynard", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
themightysalmon
lchVW2H6mGhiV7k1ytvy
public
contract
1,717,705,937,222
what-cards-from-modern-horizons-3-w
themightysalmon
https://firebasestorage.…270-0cf2a6f9e513
What cards from Modern Horizons 3 will be banned/restricted after release in any format within a year of release?
173kxdxdbhu
null
149.256497
NO
380d30408169
k2pq0za6jz
false
7Bj5HMJ0odhpaAOakIX7ZuiHx9x2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "$586m now 🚀", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { ...
Nav
IxDznuH9Dq9tnkwGVFtz
public
contract
1,717,706,103,506
will-udeepfuckingvalue-roaring-kitt
navitron32
https://firebasestorage.…578-afd9626400c9
Will u/DeepFuckingValue (Roaring Kitty) post a screenshot of his account with over a billion dollars in 2024?
null
0.109719
3,324.607561
YES
null
e8ti2vdcgv
false
GFhEaNvJqlVqi8xRFYt0WlCYAEL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "4xw1mulq0gr", "label": "themightysalmon", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" },...
Paul Maynard
lchVW2H6mGhiV7k1ytvy
public
contract
1,717,706,151,586
what-cards-from-modern-horizons-3-w
PaulMaynard
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKsJqxlmOJb9UqTFSYCoXOnG5dQzQ6EmYQ1HsVoQVGsDUA=s96-c
What cards from Modern Horizons 3 will be banned/restricted after release in any format within a year of release?
173kxdxdbhu
null
367.804186
NO
75c219d13f3f
goaa3cpu0ot
false
GFhEaNvJqlVqi8xRFYt0WlCYAEL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "4xw1mulq0gr", "label": "themightysalmon", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" },...
Paul Maynard
lchVW2H6mGhiV7k1ytvy
public
contract
1,717,706,306,088
what-cards-from-modern-horizons-3-w
PaulMaynard
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKsJqxlmOJb9UqTFSYCoXOnG5dQzQ6EmYQ1HsVoQVGsDUA=s96-c
What cards from Modern Horizons 3 will be banned/restricted after release in any format within a year of release?
173kxdxdbhu
null
367.804186
NO
75c219d13f3f
h8x5fzp8aoo
false
9CaU0t9MS8f5chVZYX3F08t9ELc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "4jd4mu53cup", "label": "SemioticRivalry", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" },...
Fedor
YTIuuSsNRn2OlA4KykRM
public
contract
1,717,707,240,004
will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n
Fedor
https://firebasestorage.…d6d-1b2c6bbfbc21
Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee?
4jd4mu53cup
0.944827
18,027.05238
YES
null
lektjf8y72n
false
KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "\"if the capsule is abandoned and the astronauts return to Earth by some other method\"", "type": "text" }, { "attr...
Christopher Randles
dVzTwJWK5U7fclT7XChz
public
contract
1,717,707,285,509
will-the-boeing-starliner-abort-the
ChristopherRandles
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c
Will the Boeing Starliner abort the mission that launched on June 5?
null
null
null
null
null
sjgtcohalef
false
7Bj5HMJ0odhpaAOakIX7ZuiHx9x2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "closed at $46.46 June 6th", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Nav
IkxCZ1KxXUgH2EFy6Pbd
public
contract
1,717,707,469,476
will-gme-reach-50-before-ether-end
navitron32
https://firebasestorage.…578-afd9626400c9
Will GME reach $50 before ether end of June 2024
null
0.572277
4,893.239132
YES
null
v21110y1enm
false
kB8B9wkkCeRj0a3rvri2ZzZxhpN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "7rOJimfGo9ZrZL7JoXrFm2YIWRR2", "label": "RyanGreenblatt", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "men...
Jon Simon
egyL8fxok00ck9NLQAkz
public
contract
1,717,707,470,977
will-there-exist-a-compelling-demon
jonsimon
https://firebasestorage.…044-b37f36b0f757
Will there exist a compelling demonstration of deceptive alignment by 2026?
null
null
null
null
null
id03o3kej0f
false
2wvyM5pGg5WPcCNODDU5tcleXN02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I probably should have asked this question beforehand, but do you have resolution criteria for this? Does this require economic breakeven (ie the suppl...
Few
6FErOD68cyROtqzCoUPk
public
contract
1,717,707,511,426
will-fusion-power-be-commercially-a
fwbt
https://firebasestorage.…838-87b43f8c52ea
Will fusion power be commercially available by 2035?
null
0.474738
481.080854
NO
null
26es3fj6rtw
false
Q2OdR7M0WfSjfJSC0OjSchD2pYm1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Sorry, Just got here, but isn't this voting system kinda unstable? Like, I want to vote for Newton \"NO\" but as things stand right now i\"m likely to ...
Dan Elton
nKZKsekXFSTkiIvmuSNh
public
contract
1,717,708,220,043
-who-is-manifolds-goat-final-four-p
delton
https://firebasestorage.…3f9-de1db9ae18d6
🐐 Who is Manifold's G.O.A.T.? 🐐 (Final Four)
null
null
53.881768
NO
0b8ca19072a2
42kaaassyop
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "26es3fj6rtw", "label": "delton", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Ziddletwix
nKZKsekXFSTkiIvmuSNh
public
contract
1,717,708,376,213
-who-is-manifolds-goat-final-four-p
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
🐐 Who is Manifold's G.O.A.T.? 🐐 (Final Four)
26es3fj6rtw
null
28.386859
NO
0b8ca19072a2
wnnny23isy
false
7Bj5HMJ0odhpaAOakIX7ZuiHx9x2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
Nav
IkxCZ1KxXUgH2EFy6Pbd
public
contract
1,717,708,458,755
will-gme-reach-50-before-ether-end
navitron32
https://firebasestorage.…578-afd9626400c9
Will GME reach $50 before ether end of June 2024
null
0.572277
5,638.095372
YES
null
omy4x34waw
false
Ma9fxDVKZ2Pw21ux1k5seTgzwoD2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I'm never going to financially recover from this", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Big0h
IkxCZ1KxXUgH2EFy6Pbd
public
contract
1,717,708,508,106
will-gme-reach-50-before-ether-end
Big0h
https://firebasestorage.…e21-c013ed2f474a
Will GME reach $50 before ether end of June 2024
null
0.572277
5,235.769103
NO
null
tp30encajn
false
eCtM8emPN2OOKFUkotDkAa9MsSk1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Isn't Israel already using AI to genocide Palestinians?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "d...
Conor Renwick
YuUohD0RPHlNUoi5MDfg
public
contract
1,717,708,514,154
in-the-first-event-when-ai-kills-at
ConorRenwick
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJ3RKkteSGX46N6sAizBss3-4Quhzoq85-vNUR9wKjqbQ=s96-c
In the first event when AI kills at least 1,000 people, how many people will be killed?
null
null
null
null
null
50bucga1x2j
false
Wx3iu5xJgMTRw6GN9h2lxo4wSn23
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
dp
LMRf1dV5mhe79YTLT16v
public
contract
1,717,708,788,141
will-openais-superalignment-team-pu
dp
https://firebasestorage.…2ab-c6314de603e5
Will OpenAI's Superalignment team publish any paper towards its goal in 2024?
null
0
413.830848
NO
null
gbvv7p809he
false
PDt0ZBUmBCfpnynOmre77KYqVim2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "It’s been 48 hours since the debate, so I think this can resolve now?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ]...
Lisa Marsh
fJ5Vx28NTUMMvnKuNMvQ
public
contract
1,717,708,801,091
uk-general-election-2024-who-will-w
lisamarsh
https://firebasestorage.…baf-262c369f8514
UK General Election 2024 - Who will win the first debate?
null
null
2,770.204921
YES
eqom8hs7qk
aueo8kelj86
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "🎪", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
yICG9wEfnAf8vLqJKwIb
public
contract
1,717,708,822,556
will-there-be-a-3rd-manifest-confer
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will there be a 3rd Manifest conference held in 2025?
null
null
null
null
null
xmot5v8t4dp
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "add some props please!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
9eDK3nny1QPGkdtFZe56
public
contract
1,717,708,908,626
manifest-bingo-what-will-i-experien
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
🎪Manifest Bingo: What will I experience at Manifest 2024? [ADD RESPONSES]
null
null
646.801232
YES
b29bb5e5c75d
uoqok92op5
false
Kx0k4qc6X5db7Vykwob35iTMOdL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "if it’s a personal insurance market, should’t you be holding yes? 😛 ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ]...
Vlad Sitalo
NTzDIAxDpvua30AlsBII
public
contract
1,717,709,021,446
will-i-get-injured-riding-my-electr
vlad
https://firebasestorage.…bcd-c0f5d114f14d
Will I get injured riding my electric unicycle by the end of 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
ub0oc66uq18
false
5LZ4LgYuySdL1huCWe7bti02ghx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "uoqok92op5", "label": "vlad", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
James
NTzDIAxDpvua30AlsBII
public
contract
1,717,709,052,217
will-i-get-injured-riding-my-electr
JamesGrugett
https://firebasestorage.…e65-9d8b4836eb03
Will I get injured riding my electric unicycle by the end of 2024?
uoqok92op5
0.04
4,627.302709
NO
null
s5qmkghyxgp
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "when is it! ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": { "id": "OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133", "label"...
chris (strutheo)
gfQm1Qv6rxCt8O0DlY74
public
contract
1,717,709,137,786
manifest-2024-lessonline-summer-cam
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Manifest 2024: LessOnline + Summer Camp Prop Bets [May 31-June 7]
null
null
481.579558
YES
3a72cde210bc
znkv8teddne
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "poll is closed", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, "cont...
stefanie
gfQm1Qv6rxCt8O0DlY74
public
contract
1,717,709,230,183
manifest-2024-lessonline-summer-cam
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Manifest 2024: LessOnline + Summer Camp Prop Bets [May 31-June 7]
195qk5dacbi
null
1,353.533944
NO
bff58054cf45
h4vp5saxpsi
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "znkv8teddne", "label": "shankypanky", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Ziddletwix
gfQm1Qv6rxCt8O0DlY74
public
contract
1,717,709,304,556
manifest-2024-lessonline-summer-cam
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Manifest 2024: LessOnline + Summer Camp Prop Bets [May 31-June 7]
195qk5dacbi
null
8,435.10403
YES
7d3ab63031a7
nv7c6zpniy
false
hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "9rs94ptdq8p", "label": "Mqrius", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Eliza
QzEp5HlWcXywqAWMxhcq
public
contract
1,717,709,486,842
will-the-next-starship-launch-ift4
Eliza
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c
Will the next Starship launch (IFT-4) be scheduled for 4/20, 5/4, 6/9, or 7/11?
9rs94ptdq8p
null
null
null
null
xin32nf9gvq
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "haha this is good. ive already been surprised. but ill count it for 2 new ppl who show up at manifest ", "type": "text" } ], ...
chris (strutheo)
9eDK3nny1QPGkdtFZe56
public
contract
1,717,709,507,620
manifest-bingo-what-will-i-experien
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
🎪Manifest Bingo: What will I experience at Manifest 2024? [ADD RESPONSES]
null
null
646.801232
YES
b29bb5e5c75d
g6edis5hyf
false
dZG4tTBMFKTGknyn1ZUWjB7pmXz1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Nothing ever happens ---> It's happening", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
JS
0I5Ud3F6iS0QbC5DNEnl
public
contract
1,717,709,708,522
will-the-israel-invade-lebanon-by-t
JS_81
https://firebasestorage.…b16-b19b5949bcd5
Will the Israel invade Lebanon by the end of 2024?
null
0.538263
170.942159
YES
null
6wbkovmddnp
false
OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Made some real $ off this! Nice.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
SirCryptomind
IkxCZ1KxXUgH2EFy6Pbd
public
contract
1,717,709,831,232
will-gme-reach-50-before-ether-end
SirCryptomind
https://firebasestorage.…340-2fe2428b1394
Will GME reach $50 before ether end of June 2024
null
1
201.918615
YES
null
t7uun6i0b7
false
KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "JfutqxH7POVPYb0R4pH2TJHCJKN2", "label": "JakeTeale", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention"...
Christopher Randles
5xxeSOVmWVacydE8zoLC
public
contract
1,717,710,221,113
will-mrbeasts-main-channel-be-the-m
ChristopherRandles
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c
Will Mrbeast’s main channel be the most subscribed YouTube channel on June 1st 2024?
r3d68rux4qn
0.014114
15,366.230189
NO
null
uzz88dkifl
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "h4vp5saxpsi", "label": "Ziddletwix", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
stefanie
gfQm1Qv6rxCt8O0DlY74
public
contract
1,717,710,276,925
manifest-2024-lessonline-summer-cam
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Manifest 2024: LessOnline + Summer Camp Prop Bets [May 31-June 7]
195qk5dacbi
null
1,353.533944
NO
bff58054cf45
iaegfl0hqxm
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "oh i think ppl were reading this as prop bets for Manifest AND less online AND summer camp... at least thats what i thought. maybe NA poker one ", ...
chris (strutheo)
gfQm1Qv6rxCt8O0DlY74
public
contract
1,717,710,325,579
manifest-2024-lessonline-summer-cam
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Manifest 2024: LessOnline + Summer Camp Prop Bets [May 31-June 7]
null
null
481.579558
YES
3a72cde210bc
h9fdun36tw
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "iaegfl0hqxm", "label": "strutheo", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
stefanie
gfQm1Qv6rxCt8O0DlY74
public
contract
1,717,710,422,439
manifest-2024-lessonline-summer-cam
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Manifest 2024: LessOnline + Summer Camp Prop Bets [May 31-June 7]
iaegfl0hqxm
null
1,353.533944
NO
bff58054cf45
zagaypspqu
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "iaegfl0hqxm", "label": "strutheo", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
stefanie
gfQm1Qv6rxCt8O0DlY74
public
contract
1,717,710,472,594
manifest-2024-lessonline-summer-cam
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Manifest 2024: LessOnline + Summer Camp Prop Bets [May 31-June 7]
iaegfl0hqxm
null
1,353.533944
NO
bff58054cf45
w2shfdttrq8
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
stefanie
gfQm1Qv6rxCt8O0DlY74
public
contract
1,717,710,510,716
manifest-2024-lessonline-summer-cam
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Manifest 2024: LessOnline + Summer Camp Prop Bets [May 31-June 7]
iaegfl0hqxm
null
1,353.533944
NO
bff58054cf45
rv8dyw9emp
false
nbI9r6hdKiT4j2qdWGK63g4UNsm1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "nv7c6zpniy", "label": "Eliza", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Mqrius
QzEp5HlWcXywqAWMxhcq
public
contract
1,717,710,738,972
will-the-next-starship-launch-ift4
Mqrius
https://firebasestorage.…af0-8c35c7e89dda
Will the next Starship launch (IFT-4) be scheduled for 4/20, 5/4, 6/9, or 7/11?
9rs94ptdq8p
0
1,453.588263
NO
null
ord68y7rocf
false
HnyzqGs3sdhBeabLBhGhPgP4i3y2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "wcp6mit3i8i", "label": "Mqrius", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
NGK
ksrRtaaVIyBKYtUK8Y33
public
contract
1,717,710,757,812
will-spacex-deploy-any-starlink-sat
NGK
https://firebasestorage.…0f0-9ab0e24c4f4f
Will SpaceX deploy any Starlink satellites using Starship in 2024?
wcp6mit3i8i
0.717307
117,794.103001
NO
null
h0bnc4jfn5
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "h9fdun36tw", "label": "shankypanky", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
chris (strutheo)
gfQm1Qv6rxCt8O0DlY74
public
contract
1,717,711,011,857
manifest-2024-lessonline-summer-cam
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Manifest 2024: LessOnline + Summer Camp Prop Bets [May 31-June 7]
iaegfl0hqxm
null
481.579558
YES
3a72cde210bc
4pi31egdpa5
false
HnyzqGs3sdhBeabLBhGhPgP4i3y2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "wcp6mit3i8i", "label": "Mqrius", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
NGK
ksrRtaaVIyBKYtUK8Y33
public
contract
1,717,711,022,552
will-spacex-deploy-any-starlink-sat
NGK
https://firebasestorage.…0f0-9ab0e24c4f4f
Will SpaceX deploy any Starlink satellites using Starship in 2024?
wcp6mit3i8i
0.717307
117,794.103001
NO
null
019t6ok9cs6u
false
JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
Joshua
QSAeVAgZEFR5tpgIIynS
public
contract
1,717,711,196,552
what-will-be-the-single-most-impres
Joshua
https://firebasestorage.…7d5-f5791800ee6f
What will be the single most impressive action that I witness at Less Online & Manifest?
null
null
0
YES
5e67a0a75b56
vdmiowrgoj8
false
kB8B9wkkCeRj0a3rvri2ZzZxhpN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Which GPT-4? The GPT-4 that's serving now is miles ahead on all of the benchmarks compared to what was originally released.", "type": "text" ...
Jon Simon
NypJd6LMEHq3ZqBNil9T
public
contract
1,717,711,237,384
will-llama4-be-open-sourced-and-as
jonsimon
https://firebasestorage.…044-b37f36b0f757
Will Llama-4 be (open sourced and) as good as GPT-4?
null
null
null
null
null
40bwqtp5sbd
false
rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The omnibenevolent definition is fishy. If there is a god, morality is whatever he says it is.", "type": "text" } ], "typ...
Bruno
P02kEpHYkmiynJHc14f6
public
contract
1,717,711,259,383
does-a-perfect-god-exist-all-good-a
BrunoParga
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c
Does a perfect God exist? (All good, all powerful, all knowing)
null
null
null
null
null
le51e76p1em
false
3fZ60DMrJveoJj9AKoKcODTTTpc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Does decriminalisation require they stop going after dealers and supply?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ...
MercurialGuesser
CH6wmWnZg4d8hqnkFEaV
public
contract
1,717,711,313,760
will-cannabis-be-decriminalised-in-c09a36e1bd87
OP
https://firebasestorage.…8da-0f20dd0e5cac
Will cannabis be decriminalised in New Zealand by 2027?
null
0.147557
23.249242
NO
null
dews4ndji4i
false
dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1", "label": "FairlyRandom", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "menti...
Base
NBNz5u6thHlYfyDBD8FA
public
contract
1,717,711,416,284
how-many-hits-after-30-days-v2
Base
https://firebasestorage.…816-54142cec3137
How many hits after 30 days? V2
null
null
984.937059
NO
b483o7mnon
z3sa3qj3knc
true
xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
FairlyRandom
NBNz5u6thHlYfyDBD8FA
public
contract
1,717,711,422,173
how-many-hits-after-30-days-v2
FairlyRandom
https://firebasestorage.…00d-eb2b72450393
How many hits after 30 days? V2
null
null
null
null
null
5b8x4snld7n
false
cA1JupYR5AR8btHUs2xvkui7jA93
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ssk3zkkmncb", "label": "Gen", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Genzy
3YmP16rLbG0m6E2jHDUY
public
contract
1,717,711,430,331
will-any-university-announce-a-dive
Gen
https://firebasestorage.…bad-76d96081176f
Will any university announce a divestment from Israel by June 2024?
ssk3zkkmncb
null
null
null
null
lkfaiclrd8j
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " Ohh I thought this was a staff market my b ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": { "id": "h0bnc4jfn5", ...
chris (strutheo)
gfQm1Qv6rxCt8O0DlY74
public
contract
1,717,711,439,702
manifest-2024-lessonline-summer-cam
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Manifest 2024: LessOnline + Summer Camp Prop Bets [May 31-June 7]
iaegfl0hqxm
null
481.579558
YES
3a72cde210bc
si8zfv7zawt
true
xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
FairlyRandom
NBNz5u6thHlYfyDBD8FA
public
contract
1,717,711,473,309
how-many-hits-after-30-days-v2
FairlyRandom
https://firebasestorage.…00d-eb2b72450393
How many hits after 30 days? V2
null
null
null
null
null
gbjxw6htb6
false
GJ8hthQbXcUVZiSQZe1LydKyr7v2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ivaxkod984l", "label": "BrunoParga", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
𐑴𐑓𐑰𐑿𐑒𐑩𐑕
BWnlunizDQRwrawxo1oA
public
contract
1,717,711,502,658
will-the-united-states-of-america-h
Ophiuchus
https://firebasestorage.…2f2-87985f69b1c3
Will the United States of America hold a Constitutional Convention by 2050?
ivaxkod984l
null
null
null
null
o94ppdxvgce
false
dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Base
NBNz5u6thHlYfyDBD8FA
public
contract
1,717,711,523,545
how-many-hits-after-30-days-v2
Base
https://firebasestorage.…816-54142cec3137
How many hits after 30 days? V2
null
null
984.937059
NO
b483o7mnon
v9603jm3zef
true
xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
FairlyRandom
NBNz5u6thHlYfyDBD8FA
public
contract
1,717,711,525,335
how-many-hits-after-30-days-v2
FairlyRandom
https://firebasestorage.…00d-eb2b72450393
How many hits after 30 days? V2
null
null
null
null
null
e5t0qqwo8c
true
xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
FairlyRandom
NBNz5u6thHlYfyDBD8FA
public
contract
1,717,711,562,274
how-many-hits-after-30-days-v2
FairlyRandom
https://firebasestorage.…00d-eb2b72450393
How many hits after 30 days? V2
null
null
null
null
null
sa24dxzkcq
false
dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Base
NBNz5u6thHlYfyDBD8FA
public
contract
1,717,711,588,591
how-many-hits-after-30-days-v2
Base
https://firebasestorage.…816-54142cec3137
How many hits after 30 days? V2
null
null
984.937059
NO
b483o7mnon
jjdxil2yki
true
xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
FairlyRandom
NBNz5u6thHlYfyDBD8FA
public
contract
1,717,711,591,166
how-many-hits-after-30-days-v2
FairlyRandom
https://firebasestorage.…00d-eb2b72450393
How many hits after 30 days? V2
null
null
null
null
null
m4w3kz99zx
false
3fZ60DMrJveoJj9AKoKcODTTTpc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "You mean another one?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, ...
MercurialGuesser
GdpRMzPFrtudYL2GJcom
public
contract
1,717,711,624,327
divorce-becomes-harder-in-china-thr
OP
https://firebasestorage.…8da-0f20dd0e5cac
Divorce becomes harder in China through 2030
null
null
null
null
null
vmfkgywio2
true
xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
FairlyRandom
NBNz5u6thHlYfyDBD8FA
public
contract
1,717,711,652,809
how-many-hits-after-30-days-v2
FairlyRandom
https://firebasestorage.…00d-eb2b72450393
How many hits after 30 days? V2
null
null
null
null
null
gx3pirbfa3b
false
dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Base
NBNz5u6thHlYfyDBD8FA
public
contract
1,717,711,681,665
how-many-hits-after-30-days-v2
Base
https://firebasestorage.…816-54142cec3137
How many hits after 30 days? V2
null
null
984.937059
NO
b483o7mnon
jbz1yza03ur
true
xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
FairlyRandom
NBNz5u6thHlYfyDBD8FA
public
contract
1,717,711,683,028
how-many-hits-after-30-days-v2
FairlyRandom
https://firebasestorage.…00d-eb2b72450393
How many hits after 30 days? V2
null
null
null
null
null
tmu10o2619m
true
xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
FairlyRandom
NBNz5u6thHlYfyDBD8FA
public
contract
1,717,711,744,617
how-many-hits-after-30-days-v2
FairlyRandom
https://firebasestorage.…00d-eb2b72450393
How many hits after 30 days? V2
null
null
null
null
null
36hiurzuqp7
false
QMNEq1sCmthJzApNMKkowgHTEEy2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "r3hdjk7vsf", "label": "SusanneinFrance", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Max Sarinsky
mY8eR7W0O3iALtUT66JN
public
contract
1,717,711,798,453
how-will-the-supreme-court-decide-t
MaxSarinsky
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLwYi9bL3oijHLHd_RWm88p9tO5qqHH9-ypp1PmAydi=s96-c
How will the Supreme Court split in the Trump immunity case?
r3hdjk7vsf
null
348.907513
YES
77b4bccd3ca5
hxi73ygy618
false
hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "rv8dyw9emp", "label": "Mqrius", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, {...
Eliza
QzEp5HlWcXywqAWMxhcq
public
contract
1,717,712,049,829
will-the-next-starship-launch-ift4
Eliza
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c
Will the next Starship launch (IFT-4) be scheduled for 4/20, 5/4, 6/9, or 7/11?
9rs94ptdq8p
null
null
null
null
mi0jgb4u1pg
false
FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "This law was amended today to require both this compute threshold and a 100 million dollar training cost. How does that impact the resolution?", ...
Savior of Plant
HiBbG8iT2VMiyXiK5URl
public
contract
1,717,712,247,723
assuming-sb-1047-is-passed-will-the
SaviorofPlant
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c
Assuming SB 1047 is passed, will the "compute threshold" of 10^26 flop be raised before 2030?
null
0.491027
81.197158
NO
null
ljjvqb4ssp9
false
Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "what's a tournament? there was a cash game", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { ...
nikki
gfQm1Qv6rxCt8O0DlY74
public
contract
1,717,712,370,235
manifest-2024-lessonline-summer-cam
nikki
https://firebasestorage.…3b3-20f4f646b970
Manifest 2024: LessOnline + Summer Camp Prop Bets [May 31-June 7]
null
null
2,697.218203
YES
8bca377e66b7
20upsu2zicu
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ljjvqb4ssp9", "label": "nikki", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, {...
stefanie
gfQm1Qv6rxCt8O0DlY74
public
contract
1,717,712,390,441
manifest-2024-lessonline-summer-cam
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Manifest 2024: LessOnline + Summer Camp Prop Bets [May 31-June 7]
ljjvqb4ssp9
null
1,353.533944
NO
bff58054cf45
d9qed5t9s9c
false
KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "b1mqz2baxf5", "label": "Mqrius", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Christopher Randles
XS0xEbncD3l5M7cWuYXH
public
contract
1,717,712,483,817
1-for-each-day-before-starship-flig
ChristopherRandles
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c
1% for each day before Starship flight 5
ynvzbbcnrb
0.397153
174.288253
NO
null
huhqtmrd0jo
false
vEGHPznXKbTXFIzEf8iLwwO3okY2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Oh wow. That was quick. Humane reportedly attempting to sell to HP for $1b ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, ...
Marnix
2eYepv728Nb32pjafPkr
public
contract
1,717,713,259,066
will-humane-ai-be-sold-or-fold-in-2
Marnix
https://firebasestorage.…d53-a4e0da9e141d
Will Humane AI be sold or fold in 2024?
w28w3y3acna
0.852437
250.760707
YES
null
hoeleiujmoc
false
8u5ZFBP4UjQ3JvD7B8z0gR9Um2F3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I assume most people would not consider Kling from kuaishou to be \"as good as\" Sora, but it is very close. ", "type": "text" }, ...
Sss
NbkTM8IxncCTMqQUE5vr
public
contract
1,717,713,352,277
will-a-chinese-company-recreate-sor
Sss19971997
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJYstjF0shAAXTwqQnhiZPJhmg3XSDaVGD2Kttp_TCF=s96-c
Will a Chinese company/organization recreate Sora by the end of 2024?
null
null
null
null
null