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ksdfeixyk8j | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
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... | Ziddletwix | GPNnE6JjonPpM1jJJPRF | public | contract | 1,717,733,163,959 | first-crystal-market-in-june | Ziddletwix | First Crystal Market in June? | null | 0.723917 | 1,802.92879 | YES | null | |
gru6fss7ang | false | wwuaYatAY3bXzQ6i9xC4H48GZgr1 | {
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... | Guilherme sampaio de oliveira | KhYSBd9V84stshwMUeKU | public | contract | 1,717,733,293,878 | will-the-reforms-of-the-new-preside | Guilhermesampaiodeoliveir | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKoJOpm-sb0ENGUKYt8F0z4JclT_9o-RGiWD3ED5lpC=s96-c | Will the reforms of the new president of Argentina(Milei) be good for the country's economy by 2024 | pf2iq4opjr | 0.511923 | 532.809118 | YES | null |
zw9rbo0hdf | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
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... | chris (strutheo) | rAUgi5YYPXELc6c6Nsxa | public | contract | 1,717,733,411,353 | which-will-be-the-best-meme-posted-bqmuxd42c5 | strutheo | Which will be the best meme posted in #memefold in June 2024 according to Manifold? | null | null | 0 | NO | 2hhdyc63r4 | |
2lu2s767gz2 | false | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | {
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"text": "Will the market be closed before the flip? 😅",
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],
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} | Bayesian | rFCd2cbiQhCBDxNFTcQ6 | public | contract | 1,717,733,590,567 | the-crystal-coin-flip | Bayesian | The Crystal Coin Flip | null | null | null | null | null | |
es8cxs2gxtc | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
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"text": "what if the 3rd manifest is held in 2024? (not trying to be too pedantic here, the last manifest was ~9 months ago so you could imagine them deciding i... | Ziddletwix | yICG9wEfnAf8vLqJKwIb | public | contract | 1,717,733,865,616 | will-there-be-a-3rd-manifest-confer | Ziddletwix | Will there be a 3rd Manifest conference held in 2025? | null | null | null | null | null | |
wy4uz3pwdhi | false | 7HhTMy4xECaVKvl5MmEAfVUkRCS2 | {
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"text": "I edited the meaning of this question to clarify I meant the Super 8 round, which I did not realize was a second group stage. ",
"type": "tex... | Kevin Burke | nzwNOr2eaZAuolTlJj91 | public | contract | 1,717,734,098,051 | will-the-usa-advance-to-the-knockou | KevinBurke | Will the USA advance to the Super 8s round of the 2024 Twenty20 T20 World Cup? | null | 0.222184 | 267.943857 | YES | null | |
05l12nvmee5v | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
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],
... | stefanie | gfQm1Qv6rxCt8O0DlY74 | public | contract | 1,717,734,249,947 | manifest-2024-lessonline-summer-cam | shankypanky | Manifest 2024: LessOnline + Summer Camp Prop Bets [May 31-June 7] | null | null | 1,353.533944 | NO | bff58054cf45 | |
pk7rhn6ei2 | false | yykycFLFkqfC48MK7gaPfseTkvl2 | {
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"... | Daniel Filan | cRUeKdYm3bZPgjlS3f6D | public | contract | 1,717,734,457,760 | how-many-manifest-attendees-will-i | DanielFilan | How many Manifest attendees will I see at contra on the 6th? | null | null | 1,080.278399 | NO | lmwnk66uzo | |
gaj9nohqlki | false | fnuHBW8dHwZp2TbEt2MKJY9d28V2 | {
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... | Caleb | YmoNVKh5M2R49ofiDYGP | public | contract | 1,717,734,709,364 | will-i-find-more-than-10-bugs-withi | klob | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxbEIvsgN2Yt12mM3a7_v0MwsoMbuPrmnA9GSZi-Pws=s96-c | Will I find more than 10 bugs within the next week? | k9vyhdimdo | 1 | 3,699.60759 | YES | null |
j1k6fjhw3l | false | hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2 | {
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],
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... | Pat Scott🩴 | 8Up5Fete5pibl3970vK0 | public | contract | 1,717,735,153,697 | will-a-crystal-market-with-m1000000 | Stralor | Will a "Crystal" market with Ṁ1,000,000 of initial liquidity be created by the end of July? | null | 0.980011 | 5,960.569374 | YES | null | |
dk78kdidq9 | false | XA1YJBwS9ISwLj6hf1Ola7y7mxN2 | {
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... | Peter Miller | YTIuuSsNRn2OlA4KykRM | public | contract | 1,717,735,457,598 | will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n | PeterMillerc030 | Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee? | 4jd4mu53cup | 0.944854 | 15,777.275259 | YES | null | |
4dwd0vnhpy | false | e1vpMsZfzASlIASX1xPtLxyAFnA2 | {
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... | Timothy Johnson | 8Up5Fete5pibl3970vK0 | public | contract | 1,717,735,849,773 | will-a-crystal-market-with-m1000000 | TimothyJohnson5c16 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYY1maA_aMEcew3CXHdOWt6elNschJLRt5gE5D8AQ=s96-c | Will a "Crystal" market with Ṁ1,000,000 of initial liquidity be created by the end of July? | j1k6fjhw3l | null | null | null | null |
6bx4tfhoflq | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
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"text": "na/ 50 percent idk",
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}
],
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} | chris (strutheo) | yICG9wEfnAf8vLqJKwIb | public | contract | 1,717,736,430,289 | will-there-be-a-3rd-manifest-confer | strutheo | Will there be a 3rd Manifest conference held in 2025? | es8cxs2gxtc | null | null | null | null | |
u3842yruvb | false | cb6PJqGOSVPEUhprDHCKWWMuJqu1 | {
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... | Dan | 8Up5Fete5pibl3970vK0 | public | contract | 1,717,736,599,305 | will-a-crystal-market-with-m1000000 | DanMan314 | Will a "Crystal" market with Ṁ1,000,000 of initial liquidity be created by the end of July? | j1k6fjhw3l | null | null | null | null | |
6b9f2reqkzv | false | e1vpMsZfzASlIASX1xPtLxyAFnA2 | {
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... | Timothy Johnson | 8Up5Fete5pibl3970vK0 | public | contract | 1,717,736,896,099 | will-a-crystal-market-with-m1000000 | TimothyJohnson5c16 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYY1maA_aMEcew3CXHdOWt6elNschJLRt5gE5D8AQ=s96-c | Will a "Crystal" market with Ṁ1,000,000 of initial liquidity be created by the end of July? | j1k6fjhw3l | null | null | null | null |
4fbwmf5reph | false | HSB5OZ8jBHQZZLjs9oWS7avZTqE3 | {
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"type": "par... | Odoacre | kHjBM0ezaRo9pZrYXPyt | public | contract | 1,717,736,924,687 | is-it-actually-possible-that-the-ca | Odoacre | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FOdoacre%2Fe8tDh301jg.avatar2?alt=media&token=79f05389-576e-437b-9be9-bda60b4cd21a | Is it actually possible that the Catholic Church could even go bankrupt? | null | null | null | null | null |
wq5o9hfcnz | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
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"type": "mentio... | Ziddletwix | AuWiRoiwSFu0UHnYQZQK | public | contract | 1,717,737,300,368 | when-will-kristaps-porzingis-return | Ziddletwix | When will Kristaps Porzingis return? | null | null | 1,114.819158 | YES | 4adf8f9d9ffe | |
wikx51ux4ti | false | cMNsFz6pr3TgU79K6H7fJukUopE3 | {
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... | Primer | 9nMyhcmJYPRKCq59XBOs | public | contract | 1,717,737,444,604 | will-resolution-criteria-be-mandato-0aea04981983 | Primer | Will resolution criteria be mandatory for new Yes/No markets on 06/06/2024? | null | 0.013656 | 0 | YES | null | |
yviuj1iais | false | cb6PJqGOSVPEUhprDHCKWWMuJqu1 | {
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... | Dan | 8Up5Fete5pibl3970vK0 | public | contract | 1,717,737,605,452 | will-a-crystal-market-with-m1000000 | DanMan314 | Will a non-coinflip "Crystal" market with Ṁ1,000,000 of initial liquidity be created by the end of July? | j1k6fjhw3l | null | null | null | null | |
nhef7ng2qcc | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
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... | Ziddletwix | gfQm1Qv6rxCt8O0DlY74 | public | contract | 1,717,737,630,261 | manifest-2024-lessonline-summer-cam | Ziddletwix | Manifest 2024: LessOnline + Summer Camp Prop Bets [May 31-June 7] | 05l12nvmee5v | null | 8,435.10403 | YES | 7d3ab63031a7 | |
1puxttibvjo | false | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | {
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"text": "What about a market that's effectively a 50/50 coin flip? something simple that is known to be unpredictable and with a known probability. stuff like \... | Bayesian | 8Up5Fete5pibl3970vK0 | public | contract | 1,717,737,658,152 | will-a-crystal-market-with-m1000000 | Bayesian | Will a non-coinflip "Crystal" market with Ṁ1,000,000 of initial liquidity be created by the end of July? | null | 0.529248 | 358.69698 | NO | null | |
vr7yjknem59 | false | cb6PJqGOSVPEUhprDHCKWWMuJqu1 | {
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... | Dan | 8Up5Fete5pibl3970vK0 | public | contract | 1,717,737,745,767 | will-a-crystal-market-with-m1000000 | DanMan314 | Will a non-coinflip "Crystal" market with Ṁ1,000,000 of initial liquidity be created by the end of July? | 1puxttibvjo | null | null | null | null | |
why178eyu5 | false | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | {
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"text": "Would 132% not resolve YES now? Since it happened between 2020-2030? ",
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... | Bayesian | CXnZGPPISGxk48JL9Z4E | public | contract | 1,717,737,783,312 | what-will-be-the-peak-us-government-xzno1zxew4 | Bayesian | What will be the peak U.S. government debt to GDP ratio, 2020-2030? | null | null | null | null | null | |
k9b4dohc74m | false | XXYfg8j2XWVCeet9HlOAA1vUwQW2 | {
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... | Dark Speculator | CXnZGPPISGxk48JL9Z4E | public | contract | 1,717,737,837,101 | what-will-be-the-peak-us-government-xzno1zxew4 | 0482 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTteS8SwkT3ywrOgne_djZRPozlXiVaKvKDJhqwdJd3Ox=s96-c | What will be the peak U.S. government debt to GDP ratio, 2020-2030? | why178eyu5 | null | null | null | null |
nze563re5w | false | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | {
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... | Bayesian | 8Up5Fete5pibl3970vK0 | public | contract | 1,717,737,920,917 | will-a-crystal-market-with-m1000000 | Bayesian | Will a non-coinflip "Crystal" market with Ṁ1,000,000 of initial liquidity be created by the end of July? | 1puxttibvjo | 0.415874 | 358.69698 | NO | null | |
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... | Bayesian | CXnZGPPISGxk48JL9Z4E | public | contract | 1,717,737,962,586 | what-will-be-the-peak-us-government-xzno1zxew4 | Bayesian | What will be the peak U.S. government debt to GDP ratio, 2020-2030? | why178eyu5 | null | 126.238924 | YES | szlm74l7e4 | |
57z4aeu625r | false | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | {
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"text": "you may want to make a new market that is dependent multiple choice in that case, to ensure that the probabilities add up to 100%",
"type": "... | Bayesian | CXnZGPPISGxk48JL9Z4E | public | contract | 1,717,737,990,911 | what-will-be-the-peak-us-government-xzno1zxew4 | Bayesian | What will be the peak U.S. government debt to GDP ratio, 2020-2030? | why178eyu5 | null | 126.238924 | YES | szlm74l7e4 | |
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... | Dan | 8Up5Fete5pibl3970vK0 | public | contract | 1,717,738,007,984 | will-a-crystal-market-with-m1000000 | DanMan314 | Will a non-coinflip "Crystal" market with Ṁ1,000,000 of initial liquidity be created by the end of July? | 1puxttibvjo | null | null | null | null | |
cy0v89w3ju | false | yhvV0TjNf6bDzOBBZ5cHGu1sPlF3 | {
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... | case | rFCd2cbiQhCBDxNFTcQ6 | public | contract | 1,717,738,297,760 | the-crystal-coin-flip | case | The Crystal Coin Flip | 2lu2s767gz2 | null | null | null | null | |
u8ekvditfqi | false | ct6oydGUOWPw4mriOThe4VKvjp02 | {
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"type": "d... | Craig Talbert | m0PcAtnsnTvAduQu6pez | public | contract | 1,717,738,446,447 | if-i-run-my-big-experiment-on-how-d | CraigTalbert | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu07zX_MPxiC_Z__K153f6dF4Tly8coWnj1HWKHboRo=s96-c | If I run my big experiment on how death salience affects political views, what will be the result? | null | null | null | null | null |
2b2msgmtgaf | false | ZuszDdXKmAa8olvm3Y2APkEyc9C2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
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{
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"text": "New email in perl porters maillist:",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"mark... | bessarabov | ywClndqYugtSpvKnxOZ1 | public | contract | 1,717,738,483,584 | in-what-month-of-year-2024-perl-540 | bessarabov | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxa0vn1x1xAzRtUYlNYFvDv8apE9Dr8EZAyBq_q2-Q=s96-c | In what month of year 2024 perl 5.40.0 will be released | null | null | 266.381293 | YES | 23b5a73d852e |
ostys9bzr5k | false | yykycFLFkqfC48MK7gaPfseTkvl2 | {
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{
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"text": "Low turnout :(",
"type": "text"
}
],
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}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Daniel Filan | cRUeKdYm3bZPgjlS3f6D | public | contract | 1,717,738,484,625 | how-many-manifest-attendees-will-i | DanielFilan | How many Manifest attendees will I see at contra on the 6th? | null | null | 1,807.968105 | NO | l25acj7s78 | |
ozscz3vt4rl | false | cMNsFz6pr3TgU79K6H7fJukUopE3 | {
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{
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"text": "The catholic church's worth was estimated to be €270 Billion. In 2002. In Germany alone. ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"at... | Primer | kHjBM0ezaRo9pZrYXPyt | public | contract | 1,717,738,669,753 | is-it-actually-possible-that-the-ca | Primer | Is it actually possible that the Catholic Church could even go bankrupt? | null | null | null | null | null | |
zbvdnz6lgc | false | HUVezqMCWVVp5NHQpy8maAYtKqI3 | {
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"text": "This should resolve in the next day or two (depending on how long things take), when the final primaries have been held and the Wikipedia page has been... | Muga Sofer | cVI96yfzL9wBHjjUp0U3 | public | contract | 1,717,745,486,177 | who-will-win-the-2024-democratic-pr-352749441ac4 | MugaSofer | Who will win the 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? [Top 4 candidates, new market style] | null | null | 1,632.871751 | YES | a4ecfdee035b |
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