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ke0ohj7lsua
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "9zyigcil5yn", "label": "TheAllMemeingEye", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
l08kRHjahhr7hr0LzZr6
public
contract
1,718,014,465,357
share-market-ideas-here-will-20-ide
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Share market ideas here! Will 20 ideas turn into markets? (experimental)
9zyigcil5yn
0.550034
-0
YES
null
h8nj4j19lvp
false
sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "If you can't resolve n/a will you resolve to 50%?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Martin Randall
YZYxl2Jg0Y4VPP0Ndn1Q
public
contract
1,718,014,746,553
will-donald-trump-break-probation
MartinRandall
https://firebasestorage.…d20-bee14ed5221b
Will Donald Trump break probation?
null
null
null
null
null
7d34xv0zcej
false
BNRxiD3n0vMOV8yXyV5iKAkeTB82
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Final update: The data was too chaotic for me to untangle, and this project eventually slipped completely out of my mind. Sorry to all for not resolvin...
For Truth
y9QRq6wmLDMw6JpcelKF
public
contract
1,718,016,601,690
will-i-still-be-playing-with-my-exp
ForTruth
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocK20H7igUt1-gPcrW65-fV97qkL3DKImwHJGpNxlOzz2-SJksA=s96-c
Will I still be playing with my experimental software idea in mid-June?
null
null
null
null
null
ux4f26h951s
false
nbI9r6hdKiT4j2qdWGK63g4UNsm1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "YFnM8MXfNLMTxqfgmHVENNXem0l2", "label": "zerfaezza", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention"...
Mqrius
6RJffBxB1hrIdQJI057e
public
contract
1,718,017,261,363
how-many-days-after-into-may-will-s
Mqrius
https://firebasestorage.…af0-8c35c7e89dda
How many days into May will Starship flight 4 will happen?
wgxc3yem8j
null
null
null
null
f5c530v8o2p
false
KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "y71hg92cau", "label": "Panfilo", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Christopher Randles
nxdwnJBcQIZN3iVRuuRV
public
contract
1,718,017,302,237
will-destiny-2-the-final-shape-have
ChristopherRandles
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c
Will Destiny 2: The Final Shape have a Metacritic score of 85 or higher as of D-Day?
ikgx8eivel
0.13
310.325424
NO
null
pnnyo2oeni
false
X7mSvL54MORSKmMGAgPmZAdtbnE3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "He already took oath", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Voidvamp
jUInUdpeUrnZ4Ha3ee3O
public
contract
1,718,017,317,050
will-narendra-modi-win-a-third-term
Voidvamp
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtfER8cY0bFxgzKzHxq7nWjTONOmYo6d3q1Ss0mLH2ydNxc=s96-c
Will Narendra Modi win a third term as leader of India?
null
0.983273
782.739908
YES
null
fi0i2q4jy3h
false
sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Door is closed.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
The Official
r22GcVvOeNFFhhro3whv
public
contract
1,718,017,685,035
will-pep-guardiola-ever-coach-fc-ba
10thOfficial
https://firebasestorage.…8ec-be730e0a7e96
Will Pep Guardiola ever coach FC Barcelona again?
null
0.168408
435.759767
NO
null
c7yhxddyfki
false
BNRxiD3n0vMOV8yXyV5iKAkeTB82
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Such a lack of anticipation for Moana 2 in this place. Ah well.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "t...
For Truth
bTGZLqJownVNq0JTRQOH
public
contract
1,718,017,921,691
how-many-months-between-the-release
ForTruth
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocK20H7igUt1-gPcrW65-fV97qkL3DKImwHJGpNxlOzz2-SJksA=s96-c
How many months between the release of the first official Moana 2 trailer and the second?
null
null
13.209177
YES
7355860b293b
21ux9xp5tta
false
JuNOySInVWVyNZKfVnajVbdwPjc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Yeah if could clarify on what funding entails that'd be helpful ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "...
Indra
ihHv8pPo7l3af9ZrKc54
public
contract
1,718,018,379,878
who-will-get-funding-because-of-the
Indra
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocL0nvJAZwVJNNfBTkpBwxUG0GzpxsrCxpoesMC-nEmp=s96-c
Who will get funding because of their pitch at Manifest 2024?
ftja5o3rn7
null
null
null
null
uvvap8dbxxc
false
QRdUiXFvVRXFrq3zNOJrUj76iwn2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
M L
C7htjtpARkXFMSTUx910
public
contract
1,718,018,445,571
how-many-times-will-ai-be-mentioned-61c98fedafb1
ML12d1
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJQ_TkdRKgFmuMlRnyYbkd73FNjzN0J-38pXcnxV40C3A=s96-c
How many times will "AI" be mentioned during the WWDC keynote?
lg8nciylw9i
null
405.644207
NO
47756a10d5a7
qwqdb7ars9p
false
KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Christopher Randles
dVzTwJWK5U7fclT7XChz
public
contract
1,718,018,581,247
will-the-boeing-starliner-abort-the
ChristopherRandles
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c
Will the Boeing Starliner abort the mission that launched on June 5?
null
0.245489
1,138.081948
NO
null
2gwo6k3cfqa
false
J611lCgdyQdv306O7QPCWtAL0Gc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "qwqdb7ars9p", "label": "ChristopherRandles", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Steve Sokolowski
dVzTwJWK5U7fclT7XChz
public
contract
1,718,018,838,642
will-the-boeing-starliner-abort-the
SteveSokolowski
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtc1UM2wtQThBuAPyurW8TD4Y7ydKGRN-eB7Xv8txFEH_g=s96-c
Will the Boeing Starliner abort the mission that launched on June 5?
qwqdb7ars9p
0.245489
300.749634
YES
null
k1e8i318y
false
J611lCgdyQdv306O7QPCWtAL0Gc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "2gwo6k3cfqa", "label": "SteveSokolowski", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" },...
Steve Sokolowski
dVzTwJWK5U7fclT7XChz
public
contract
1,718,019,232,546
will-the-boeing-starliner-abort-the
SteveSokolowski
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtc1UM2wtQThBuAPyurW8TD4Y7ydKGRN-eB7Xv8txFEH_g=s96-c
Will the Boeing Starliner abort the mission that launched on June 5?
qwqdb7ars9p
0.245489
300.749634
YES
null
a93t8m83it8
false
6yyO7c9thMah6jtdVEzLAH3LLe72
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "It occurs to me that TS might first endorse Biden and then, later, endorse another candidate. If so, however, according to the criteria in the descript...
Tsunombie
9nnzx5izg0jsfP7aDmBG
public
contract
1,718,019,524,440
will-taylor-swift-endorse-a-candida
Tsunombie
https://firebasestorage.…815-1a63db789525
Will Taylor Swift endorse a candidate other than Joe Biden for the 2024 presidential election?
null
0.049916
212.830823
YES
null
jy5b6mcved
false
6yyO7c9thMah6jtdVEzLAH3LLe72
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "(Should extend market close date.)", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Tsunombie
H9YiamjMIXEmeBkG02uw
public
contract
1,718,019,854,892
will-givewell-recommend-a-charity-d
Tsunombie
https://firebasestorage.…815-1a63db789525
Will Givewell recommend a charity distributing the New Malaria Vaccine "R21 Matrix M"?
null
0.393138
11.794201
YES
null
z41c1yt7hcr
false
8r2bepHVOBVLIzkIUVIhOU72unn1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "6tx5e5ltpyq", "label": "LeonardoKr", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Dr. Derek Harris
1sQFF7liE5Iw5ePbH3GM
public
contract
1,718,019,903,594
will-jimmy-carter-become-a-centenar
DrDerek
https://firebasestorage.…68f-50c79076c06f
Will Jimmy Carter become a centenarian?
6tx5e5ltpyq
0.498812
18,383.437504
YES
null
n1p6ku916f
false
LkcvWkZmRRVL5jxeLF9xb9ojyrI2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Relevant: ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { ...
Harrison Lucas
mDOkCw5m6LoPK1muxo3T
public
contract
1,718,020,381,585
images-assumed-to-be-deepfakesaigen
HarrisonLucas
https://firebasestorage.…d92-1497d2c1f57e
Images assumed to be deepfakes/AI-generated unless proven otherwise before 2030
null
null
null
null
null
i8hi63ctfgp
false
DlvX9PKJfxOwj01wWjJllz8CS9i2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": null, "type": "bold" ...
Percentage
JeHDbCusfs6qZumDrzRD
public
contract
1,718,020,399,540
if-trump-wins-in-2024-how-will-it-a
percentage
https://firebasestorage.…e5f-0117675c7295
If Trump wins in 2024, how will it affect the transition of power after 2028 election?
null
null
null
null
null
ccrx7nfdny7
false
8r2bepHVOBVLIzkIUVIhOU72unn1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": "", "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "lan...
Dr. Derek Harris
0oJucOh5KnlC6EM0oql2
public
contract
1,718,020,433,622
uefa-euro-2024-all-group-stage-matc
DrDerek
https://firebasestorage.…68f-50c79076c06f
UEFA EURO 2024 ⚽ All Group Stage Matches
null
null
129.660623
NO
a166db4705a7
kf1ntcu9ohj
false
ggfvjliocTRO7vlDu2bmIUCByVg1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "i8hi63ctfgp", "label": "percentage", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Oleg Eterevsky
JeHDbCusfs6qZumDrzRD
public
contract
1,718,020,537,076
if-trump-wins-in-2024-how-will-it-a
OlegEterevsky
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIrKQfky4Nxm2Qdsu7P1OOt8lDYh7dkqk19iplCCt_FEXxn=s96-c
If Trump wins in 2024, how will it affect the transition of power after 2028 election?
i8hi63ctfgp
null
null
null
null
cseuy58bbjc
false
ggfvjliocTRO7vlDu2bmIUCByVg1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "q22eanuv23", "label": "GordanKnott", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Oleg Eterevsky
JeHDbCusfs6qZumDrzRD
public
contract
1,718,020,572,377
if-trump-wins-in-2024-how-will-it-a
OlegEterevsky
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIrKQfky4Nxm2Qdsu7P1OOt8lDYh7dkqk19iplCCt_FEXxn=s96-c
If Trump wins in 2024, how will it affect the transition of power after 2028 election?
q22eanuv23
null
null
null
null
xvvfe4ocgdf
false
4vsWxylMiVay4P1ENmnMsVJFCfG2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "useful info! Running business is not so easy task. I checked info about best advertaising examples at ", "type": "text" }, { ...
Nikki Heat
X1X8jwyv7QbDrVsgxC6A
public
contract
1,718,020,738,741
will-a-business-run-by-ai-make-more
NikkiHeat
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLfnYDMsABjf8Ymhe0BKlzZnT90Xssye6ePEsE1zjG3Vt-Zag=s96-c
Will a business run by AI make more than 1 million USD in profit before 2025?
null
null
null
null
null
uytf9vkpgjn
false
ggfvjliocTRO7vlDu2bmIUCByVg1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ps0d3bpbqk", "label": "JessicaEvans", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Oleg Eterevsky
JeHDbCusfs6qZumDrzRD
public
contract
1,718,020,806,039
if-trump-wins-in-2024-how-will-it-a
OlegEterevsky
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIrKQfky4Nxm2Qdsu7P1OOt8lDYh7dkqk19iplCCt_FEXxn=s96-c
If Trump wins in 2024, how will it affect the transition of power after 2028 election?
ps0d3bpbqk
null
null
null
null
qglonbsv6ho
false
IRwA1MdNi6bbB9O3pWQW8mCRVZl2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "onxma1lzeve", "label": "shankypanky", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Daniel
DvWzZn3uX57mEdIUfaS2
public
contract
1,718,020,898,151
which-users-will-attend-manifest-20
schlongenheim
https://firebasestorage.…972-36aaa26832d5
Which users will attend Manifest 2024?
onxma1lzeve
null
63.900371
YES
722287f6f2e2
6y5wunqxp58
false
XME7TZ0YG1TxRwLp91N4LDEutyF2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Wish there was a way to block this kind of icky stuff. ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "d...
jrmygrdn
eHoUkpWQ6f7B6WbaTM6m
public
contract
1,718,021,710,060
will-there-be-an-orgy-at-manifest-2
jrmygrdn
https://firebasestorage.…d2f-99579ce8658a
Will there be an orgy at manifest 2?
null
null
null
null
null
z2swwn03qg
false
U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "f5c530v8o2p", "label": "ChristopherRandles", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Panfilo
nxdwnJBcQIZN3iVRuuRV
public
contract
1,718,022,011,665
will-destiny-2-the-final-shape-have
Panfilo
https://firebasestorage.…30c-2f62a625fa0b
Will Destiny 2: The Final Shape have a Metacritic score of 85 or higher as of D-Day?
ikgx8eivel
0.13
234.952842
YES
null
0yr93o26atc
false
GFhEaNvJqlVqi8xRFYt0WlCYAEL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "80jwcc7rq08", "label": "Ajelenbogen", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Paul Maynard
lchVW2H6mGhiV7k1ytvy
public
contract
1,718,022,344,860
what-cards-from-modern-horizons-3-w
PaulMaynard
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKsJqxlmOJb9UqTFSYCoXOnG5dQzQ6EmYQ1HsVoQVGsDUA=s96-c
What cards from Modern Horizons 3 will be banned/restricted after release in any format within a year of release?
173kxdxdbhu
null
367.804186
NO
75c219d13f3f
7crp8rfid33
false
1RfsLVzFZwaLLXGaSr5yaG5ink23
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2", "label": "strutheo", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
duN
uSkAOnWASY4KdqL5pQ4S
public
contract
1,718,022,458,420
how-many-individual-drugs-will-i-co-of6krlu8ah
dgga
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdgga%2F_HQHzw0yrx.0?alt=media&token=b8a7e5fb-51e0-49fa-b18c-463f38fe9ecc
How many types of drugs will I consume at Manifest?
null
null
452.449619
YES
655zx5q0p0
cwfalr69ds7
false
9ZW2q78eBBQ49omVY80OX5fAylQ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "In case somebody is confused by intervals. 3 explosions would resolve the 3-4 interval to Yes. Left side of the interval matters", "type": "t...
Kongo Landwalker
uExSllgOjLVkxjfZMTGN
public
contract
1,718,022,518,713
nuclear-weapon-detonations-by-2033
KongoLandwalker
https://firebasestorage.…335-755c19fad97f
Nuclear weapon detonations by 2033
null
null
53.041021
YES
7f5993bc5dec
akq0v1tvjx
false
tSxqbw1VcBalBRPsG95cWA6K3E63
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I personally would say no, but I also mentioned in the description of the original market that USAMO 2022/2 is geometry, and USAMO 2024/3 is similar to...
Tiger Zhang
J5X5kXr6O9i4yEUaZE3O
public
contract
1,718,022,849,465
is-usamo-20243-geometry
cyclic
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocL8xf_E8aV05mBfSHhBHeKVv4aGlvBjG_7txbjOF5KiuA=s96-c
Is USAMO 2024/3 geometry?
null
null
null
null
null
xbmwo007caq
false
tSxqbw1VcBalBRPsG95cWA6K3E63
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Oops my comment in the original market is better:", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": n...
Tiger Zhang
J5X5kXr6O9i4yEUaZE3O
public
contract
1,718,022,921,810
is-usamo-20243-geometry
cyclic
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocL8xf_E8aV05mBfSHhBHeKVv4aGlvBjG_7txbjOF5KiuA=s96-c
Is USAMO 2024/3 geometry?
akq0v1tvjx
null
null
null
null
a3of81zub
false
sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": 0, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "lang...
The Official
yz3dhkm7J7SmPwej8Ryv
public
contract
1,718,023,222,180
who-will-win-the-2024-copa-america
10thOfficial
https://firebasestorage.…8ec-be730e0a7e96
Who will win the 2024 Copa América?
null
null
164.628098
YES
67963dca9afc
1r8s4k2zheah
false
f5yqDPdksPXe4rLFDPBkHBL8KJG3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "the construction is the only geometry part and it feels combinatorical ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, ...
Arjun S
J5X5kXr6O9i4yEUaZE3O
public
contract
1,718,023,599,924
is-usamo-20243-geometry
ArjunS
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJyzcEBXC5O4B9C-y340BRA1b2QvLV5kVSK1QtTKuewPow=s96-c
Is USAMO 2024/3 geometry?
null
null
null
null
null
7437priflyj
false
f5yqDPdksPXe4rLFDPBkHBL8KJG3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "well actually depending on whether you bashed it or not", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "att...
Arjun S
J5X5kXr6O9i4yEUaZE3O
public
contract
1,718,023,646,832
is-usamo-20243-geometry
ArjunS
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJyzcEBXC5O4B9C-y340BRA1b2QvLV5kVSK1QtTKuewPow=s96-c
Is USAMO 2024/3 geometry?
null
null
null
null
null
u5n11uip7w
false
rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "8lktzad2j98", "label": "NivlacM", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Bruno
cE4IcB4OhHJTf4qcbxwK
public
contract
1,718,024,486,239
will-2-or-more-idaho-libraries-tran
BrunoParga
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c
Will 2 or more Idaho libraries transition to "Adults Only" in 2024?
8lktzad2j98
null
null
null
null
l4qm7vvq05
false
XmAUlR95VBW12Fee6lES6eY9CRC3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Unfortunately I wasn't there.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Certainty of Victory
DvWzZn3uX57mEdIUfaS2
public
contract
1,718,024,814,806
which-users-will-attend-manifest-20
CertaintyOfVictory
https://firebasestorage.…1a7-eda36bb8a1a8
Which users will attend Manifest 2024?
null
null
262.839906
YES
f5a509b618ea
u7ir30py9y
false
AAlytu8Z2cYd1ewYzuqhkU9NMgt2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "6y5wunqxp58", "label": "jrmygrdn", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
niko
eHoUkpWQ6f7B6WbaTM6m
public
contract
1,718,025,030,490
will-there-be-an-orgy-at-manifest-2
Nikos
https://firebasestorage.…a97-2c3621c2928b
Will there be an orgy at manifest 2?
6y5wunqxp58
0.061234
243.67684
NO
null
p0rhn6edo3
false
RK6Nd7IBfMVOcLekfqcN9Ys17qJ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "gs2ub4jpf7v", "label": "HarryHayfield", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Peter Njeim
5UV2Q6JKh70yP0uM6OUk
public
contract
1,718,025,493,556
will-the-conservative-vote-at-the-g
PeterNjeim
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKEfIjg6agfzK10gUG7Pht9z6y3O1nV87K7pQwUqKf_0HE=s96-c
Will the Conservative vote at the general election be HIGHER or LOWER than their score in the 2019 European Elections?
s68zmm3iqc8
null
null
null
null
sxsybenh18
false
vcRnogNTojb2z8RejfxaYDwYs6B3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "What if a Republican candidate wins in 2028, but is not a \"candidate endorsed by Trump\"? Would they count as an \"opposition\" candidate?", ...
A. Dings
JeHDbCusfs6qZumDrzRD
public
contract
1,718,025,746,831
if-trump-wins-in-2024-how-will-it-a
ADings
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKyQmiXuUz7vNTKFEGxzvoGhgYnrN03vcCFlsSwpc7SDg=s96-c
If Trump wins in 2024, how will it affect the transition of power after 2028 election?
null
null
null
null
null
c0x2joo2sii
false
IQ9DwxT6rxaynVgkiDDfIv58LGE3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Ken Michaels
y5eGY1CFGGllUatsiXMx
public
contract
1,718,026,185,960
who-will-win-the-2024-nba-champions
kenmichaels
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fmkalbert%2FsV_slNrI7H.MP?alt=media&token=cceb6bb1-21f3-4385-9a6c-c47195b85cb9
Who will win the 2024 NBA Championship?
null
null
6,153.458537
YES
734a0a905106
tn6d28bptb
false
IQ9DwxT6rxaynVgkiDDfIv58LGE3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Ken Michaels
02nzY83J1FtMhF2YCl6P
public
contract
1,718,026,205,712
who-will-win-the-2024-nba-finals
kenmichaels
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fmkalbert%2FsV_slNrI7H.MP?alt=media&token=cceb6bb1-21f3-4385-9a6c-c47195b85cb9
Who will win the 2024 NBA Finals?
null
null
4,098.41168
YES
00e649e7a342
vxfsikdm41b
false
IQ9DwxT6rxaynVgkiDDfIv58LGE3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Ken Michaels
ve2DjbUNGEB5h3IzK1zB
public
contract
1,718,026,239,066
nba-finals-dallas-mavericks-vs-bost
kenmichaels
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fmkalbert%2FsV_slNrI7H.MP?alt=media&token=cceb6bb1-21f3-4385-9a6c-c47195b85cb9
NBA Finals: Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics (EXACT SERIES OUTCOME)
null
null
510.890855
YES
u3sdveka1d
h4hgje8f8q
false
IQ9DwxT6rxaynVgkiDDfIv58LGE3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Ken Michaels
0GIBkffKG2YGu9XzCP65
public
contract
1,718,026,258,449
which-team-will-win-the-nba-finals-fd3163334bf5
kenmichaels
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fmkalbert%2FsV_slNrI7H.MP?alt=media&token=cceb6bb1-21f3-4385-9a6c-c47195b85cb9
Which team will win the NBA Finals 2024?
null
null
269.365904
YES
84b01c73bc16
tq1gm4scva
false
IQ9DwxT6rxaynVgkiDDfIv58LGE3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Ken Michaels
TsfRjS4Bo92zqDLln8J9
public
contract
1,718,026,298,399
conditional-on-kristaps-porzingis-m
kenmichaels
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fmkalbert%2FsV_slNrI7H.MP?alt=media&token=cceb6bb1-21f3-4385-9a6c-c47195b85cb9
Conditional on Kristaps Porzingis missing at least one playoff game due to injury, will the Celtics win the NBA title?
null
0.836239
413.257367
YES
null
flw49gq7faa
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "gFPP5Z6rRPdPLcwZmqt5c1tTo6Q2", "label": "saulmunn", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Ziddletwix
H1liOXSMibRUj7WBEk3c
public
contract
1,718,026,408,114
will-there-be-a-ball-pit-at-manifes
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Will there be a ball pit at Manifest 2024?
null
0.036725
1,731.710767
NO
null
mhls47owtph
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "label": "IsaacKing", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention"...
Ziddletwix
06qDWVUxdcQDD30vCEQM
public
contract
1,718,026,495,387
will-the-next-manifest-include-a-co
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Will the next Manifest include a Competitive Magic tournament?
null
0.020762
789.32119
NO
null
kp78dzq6tal
false
RkAt6Um0wpX2kshaEi1RnZUdBqa2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Shaked Koplewitz
5ycL1cc8b99IM93fNtA4
public
contract
1,718,026,504,485
will-the-us-humanitarian-aid-pier-i
ShakedKoplewitz
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghyqz276_IAbhWaYW8vIhnwIaBQDXSxB3wO9AoCLw=s96-c
Will the US humanitarian aid pier in the Mediterranean be attacked?
null
0.531389
229.816884
YES
null
voi2hxqpt9
false
BMPLNYGbHzaFPE34cO6HPRkdesb2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "t2yn9nv3op", "label": "Ramble", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, {...
Haws
mjbR2jzW5Mg1U20FVLoC
public
contract
1,718,026,602,484
trump-v-biden-debate-bingo-second-d
Haws
https://firebasestorage.…977-f36ea9ae4436
Trump v Biden debate BINGO [Second debate hosted by ABC]
t2yn9nv3op
null
null
null
null
oyc4rspuv7n
false
0VON2byWgyS10VCUa9X3HX4s1t32
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Any/all of the top three could be caused by the bottom one", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "...
Gordan Knott
JeHDbCusfs6qZumDrzRD
public
contract
1,718,028,177,222
if-trump-wins-in-2024-how-will-it-a
GordanKnott
https://firebasestorage.…14a-c87addf6031a
If Trump wins in 2024, how will it affect the transition of power after 2028 election?
q22eanuv23
null
null
null
null
bniclfp7a55
false
aLcMG0Cj63WLil96xiNOksVffg12
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "jJ8pny5RHgN2G4pKfJukjEsGffm1", "label": "Administrator", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "ment...
Tricky Duck
rO4oCBs37SrXOot0VEOl
public
contract
1,718,028,291,919
224-18261157847f
TrickyDuck
https://firebasestorage.…b03-a48bf6d36fa7
2+2=4
null
0.767236
67.422225
YES
null
5r9yccg4zd
false
VTbvGNq8spM2EDZCug7Ox2kvEyu1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "dmpaq7h0nvc", "label": "wrhall", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Tossup
yBgbKkObAFck4fvmcvot
public
contract
1,718,028,315,385
lasa-1t-ai-training-cluster-by-the
Tossup
https://firebasestorage.…65d-bb9a9100a290
[LA:SA] $1T AI training cluster by the end of 2030?
dmpaq7h0nvc
null
null
null
null
cayswe4b0zf
false
hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "WielerFlits thinks PFP will sign with Visma's womens team. I have still not heard anything about an INEOS womens team.", "type": "text" ...
Eliza
xmOiYyphgVWGdssvcoHm
public
contract
1,718,028,405,429
will-the-ineos-grenadiers-organizat
Eliza
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c
Will the INEOS organization own/title sponsor a UCI professional womens (road) cycling team for the 2025 season?
null
0.085515
517.202061
NO
null
hjjo13r6bk6
false
RqRkNuiib7U9HjfyyhiKcPwN0Z83
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "y0lrclbu8f", "label": "MrBrien", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Andrew Hebb
N96XISoQnmK8nCAeqmki
public
contract
1,718,028,475,889
will-jimmy-carter-die-in-2024
AndrewHebb
https://firebasestorage.…460-d13def83d032
Will Jimmy Carter die in 2024?
y0lrclbu8f
0.819984
1,071.9283
NO
null
gsd8djrb825
false
Jl26Ttc3PQepBiyHpmZRXh7OPnD2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "o62upieslsp", "label": "AndrewCrosse", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
BoxFang WP
biXq0Tl6I185ivohSgoV
public
contract
1,718,028,500,894
will-kizaru-betraydefect-the-marine
BoxFangWP
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTte8Sxe6KsP85uVgy0hBzv0F7iT-0AVPKg7g5_6REpTLaa0=s96-c
Will Kizaru betray/defect the Marines?
xuwlz2khrwg
0.77907
13,887.174985
YES
null
05dpbmtoz44g
false
rPIxt0FOF6PWHTakglyn88p1dGY2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": null, "type": "italic" } ], "text": "cracks knuckles", "type": "text" } ...
Matt C. Wilson
MsMkiBToQsmKlWuBVAN7
public
contract
1,718,028,523,172
manifoldplaysciv6-which-civilizatio
MattCWilson
https://firebasestorage.…c23-a3b854776865
[ManifoldPlaysCiv6] Which civilization will win the game?
null
null
123.777165
YES
620a2dee8d32
ct4und6242w
false
ggfvjliocTRO7vlDu2bmIUCByVg1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "oyc4rspuv7n", "label": "GordanKnott", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Oleg Eterevsky
JeHDbCusfs6qZumDrzRD
public
contract
1,718,028,602,985
if-trump-wins-in-2024-how-will-it-a
OlegEterevsky
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIrKQfky4Nxm2Qdsu7P1OOt8lDYh7dkqk19iplCCt_FEXxn=s96-c
If Trump wins in 2024, how will it affect the transition of power after 2028 election?
q22eanuv23
null
null
null
null
0fvzbbtgb4av
false
ggfvjliocTRO7vlDu2bmIUCByVg1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "sxsybenh18", "label": "ADings", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, {...
Oleg Eterevsky
JeHDbCusfs6qZumDrzRD
public
contract
1,718,028,664,261
if-trump-wins-in-2024-how-will-it-a
OlegEterevsky
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIrKQfky4Nxm2Qdsu7P1OOt8lDYh7dkqk19iplCCt_FEXxn=s96-c
If Trump wins in 2024, how will it affect the transition of power after 2028 election?
sxsybenh18
null
null
null
null
kiu4pz908zr
false
IiMcXEGTjUXE5oAOu95ntKjxzZ92
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "gsd8djrb825", "label": "BoxFangWP", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Andrew
biXq0Tl6I185ivohSgoV
public
contract
1,718,028,726,027
will-kizaru-betraydefect-the-marine
AndrewCrosse
https://firebasestorage.…f22-3dec558fe261
Will Kizaru betray/defect the Marines?
xuwlz2khrwg
0.77907
340.117233
NO
null
bh1en72jd1a
false
IiMcXEGTjUXE5oAOu95ntKjxzZ92
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "gsd8djrb825", "label": "BoxFangWP", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Andrew
biXq0Tl6I185ivohSgoV
public
contract
1,718,028,869,463
will-kizaru-betraydefect-the-marine
AndrewCrosse
https://firebasestorage.…f22-3dec558fe261
Will Kizaru betray/defect the Marines?
xuwlz2khrwg
0.77907
340.117233
NO
null
averr4rglk
false
8dboiK130XNESzFh0uztbNkfcxa2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "5r9yccg4zd", "label": "Tossup", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, {...
Will
yBgbKkObAFck4fvmcvot
public
contract
1,718,028,896,206
lasa-1t-ai-training-cluster-by-the
wrhall
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLy8Q3CWCvkDqnporNAUQ-xDxOZHF8NzmJa32mXx3Dw5kDlqRfw=s96-c
[LA:SA] $1T AI training cluster by the end of 2030?
dmpaq7h0nvc
0.415279
217.857345
YES
null
35dbhjkjzap
false
1RfsLVzFZwaLLXGaSr5yaG5ink23
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2", "label": "jacksonpolack", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "ment...
duN
mu0tcUZVbnwc6ezmXcbv
public
contract
1,718,029,222,570
which-of-these-people-will-destiny
dgga
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdgga%2F_HQHzw0yrx.0?alt=media&token=b8a7e5fb-51e0-49fa-b18c-463f38fe9ecc
Which of these people will Destiny talk to before the end of 2024?
null
null
2,924.76907
YES
e26d43998783
zhf5c1i1t9
false
Ph89DIjTlRd35eWciMDoxciQWhB3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Is this on a single match or total during the tournament?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": ...
Enlil
wKqDM5xqI1JtdpGPaS85
public
contract
1,718,029,470,227
what-will-happen-during-uefa-europe
Enlil
https://firebasestorage.…679-a63c7b518da2
What will happen during UEFA European Football Championship 2024? [Add Answer]
null
null
null
null
null
d2dpp3lkv9
false
T7EybFKrm5bP1NBglYX7Twtwuv13
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "zhf5c1i1t9", "label": "Enlil", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
The Wabi Sabi
wKqDM5xqI1JtdpGPaS85
public
contract
1,718,029,493,057
what-will-happen-during-uefa-europe
TheWabiSabi
https://firebasestorage.…2ec-cedfd2c3f9b5
What will happen during UEFA European Football Championship 2024? [Add Answer]
zhf5c1i1t9
null
null
null
null
ov3e3272y0j
false
8oYk5oEiFQUW7v5383FwzFL6Xab2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "No break ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { ...
dwax
RABGvJ13L8SoeG9tQpIs
public
contract
1,718,030,049,144
will-there-be-any-break-between-one-bb30d47f1958
dwax
https://firebasestorage.…35a-f30dc5e92bd8
Will there be any break between One Piece chapters 1117 and 1118?
null
null
null
null
null
gmsdirlhl49
false
qytaXO6YY0Q5Tj870GzuZtp3VW03
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Alerts in Kiryat Bialik near Haifa today", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, ...
Bary Levy
M70mtdWPEXN5pe1653wS
public
contract
1,718,030,240,936
will-haifa-be-successfully-attacked-3a7f3188f5c1
BaryLevy
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxbcwWMs55-wIceMJtEvxpuu3xTCVXg4cI9Ev6UrxIA=s96-c
Will Haifa be successfully attacked by rockets, missiles, mortars, air bombs, or kamikaze drones before the end of 2024?
null
0.157096
637.094223
YES
null
pqxugsqg97r
false
vMsWLvZrq4eLI1g13dD53Evifg93
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "end of January ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { ...
ii
YZYxl2Jg0Y4VPP0Ndn1Q
public
contract
1,718,030,288,063
will-donald-trump-break-probation
i_i
https://firebasestorage.…3fc-c02812f05680
Will Donald Trump break probation?
null
null
null
null
null
ujqrjqop47
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "P7rLJmOcMDZGzqOSdPR1AdeH2Lg1", "label": "houstonEuler", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "menti...
Ziddletwix
jZXgDYzTWCsZTGGyFFEr
public
contract
1,718,030,343,503
who-will-win-the-manifold-goat-tour
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Who will win the Manifold G.O.A.T. Tournament?
null
null
573.622701
YES
eaaa42f0b6bf
jnilj9zqxi
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "prdgfy3jvu", "label": "Gen", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Ziddletwix
pX5jbtvOL2CCWy0S6a2L
public
contract
1,718,030,557,061
what-will-be-true-about-using-prize
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
What will be true about using prize points at Manifest? [ADD RESPONSES]
bbr0ebt7jmt
null
444.703021
YES
dpgaojr634
121hvmgvmjtl
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3", "label": "SemioticRivalry", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "me...
Ziddletwix
Ke8rX1Pr1ieVmYzQoVp1
public
contract
1,718,030,623,859
will-all-claude-premium-users-have
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Will ~all Claude premium users have access to 1m token context window by June 1st?
null
0.01007
1.16818
NO
null
hjckffo4zas
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "wBbFp7MokYWw6nTe6l0RYZWVeD72", "label": "UFTG", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Ziddletwix
298Vyn12n5aba4pYtr5U
public
contract
1,718,030,766,382
will-destiny-attend-manifest-2024
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Will Destiny attend Manifest 2024?
null
0.03189
1,589.656917
NO
null
ql6ejbaibnf
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2", "label": "nikki", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Ziddletwix
m6cRGqip2U63BQzzP2OC
public
contract
1,718,030,784,086
will-a-person-commonly-featured-on
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Will a person commonly featured on death markets die during Summer Camp or Manifest?
null
0.044683
365.720087
NO
null
rs5s7g704m
false
Ph89DIjTlRd35eWciMDoxciQWhB3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "d2dpp3lkv9", "label": "TheWabiSabi", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Enlil
wKqDM5xqI1JtdpGPaS85
public
contract
1,718,030,860,622
what-will-happen-during-uefa-europe
Enlil
https://firebasestorage.…679-a63c7b518da2
What will happen during UEFA European Football Championship 2024? [Add Answer]
zhf5c1i1t9
null
406.750248
NO
e4wux3abr3
oo4fchjttjh
false
KNqZAiItmVTCX0LzUcj8Twg7tnh1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "7crp8rfid33", "label": "dgga", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
snazzlePop
uSkAOnWASY4KdqL5pQ4S
public
contract
1,718,031,019,672
how-many-individual-drugs-will-i-co-of6krlu8ah
snazzlePop
https://firebasestorage.…4df-4312e7a7f92b
How many types of drugs will I consume at Manifest?
7crp8rfid33
null
537.233182
YES
gu1w2s1126
cuv413mekue
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "jnilj9zqxi", "label": "Ziddletwix", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Ziddletwix
pX5jbtvOL2CCWy0S6a2L
public
contract
1,718,031,087,047
what-will-be-true-about-using-prize
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
What will be true about using prize points at Manifest? [ADD RESPONSES]
bbr0ebt7jmt
null
444.703021
YES
dpgaojr634
6u2gtwin9wn
false
1RfsLVzFZwaLLXGaSr5yaG5ink23
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "oo4fchjttjh", "label": "snazzlePop", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
duN
uSkAOnWASY4KdqL5pQ4S
public
contract
1,718,031,183,594
how-many-individual-drugs-will-i-co-of6krlu8ah
dgga
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdgga%2F_HQHzw0yrx.0?alt=media&token=b8a7e5fb-51e0-49fa-b18c-463f38fe9ecc
How many types of drugs will I consume at Manifest?
7crp8rfid33
null
452.449619
YES
655zx5q0p0
e8jl2d1jfxc
false
J611lCgdyQdv306O7QPCWtAL0Gc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "This market seems at odds with the exact numerical market, which is currently targeting 19%. Surely there would be greater than a 17% chance that stat...
Steve Sokolowski
wg9fmS1fE7n8UJsrqLbO
public
contract
1,718,031,273,717
will-at-least-20-of-manifold-respon
SteveSokolowski
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtc1UM2wtQThBuAPyurW8TD4Y7ydKGRN-eB7Xv8txFEH_g=s96-c
Will at least 20% of Manifold respondents agree that weak AGI had been achieved before June 23, 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
d1uluo0xf1v
false
KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Jewelery shops are easy to find 🤣 ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Christopher Randles
5VxIQger5o9WXEObpfZe
public
contract
1,718,031,316,993
open-market-will-i-find-gold-in-cal
ChristopherRandles
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c
[OPEN MARKET] Will I find Gold in California? (And other bets for my trip to CA).
null
null
null
null
null
3sj0mm1i391
false
J611lCgdyQdv306O7QPCWtAL0Gc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Update: corrected the body text to be consistent with the question - the June 2024 poll also occurs in 2024.", "type": "text" } ...
Steve Sokolowski
JAd5hYfInZxGkfnwPu9U
public
contract
1,718,031,436,215
will-a-majority-of-manifold-respond
SteveSokolowski
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtc1UM2wtQThBuAPyurW8TD4Y7ydKGRN-eB7Xv8txFEH_g=s96-c
Will a majority of Manifold respondents agree that weak AGI has been achieved in one of the 2024 monthly polls?
null
null
null
null
null
f9zyg3wh5kj
false
ggfvjliocTRO7vlDu2bmIUCByVg1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Similar market with different options for the timelines: ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": { "id": "me5HO...
Oleg Eterevsky
60R6kt9Yk541qbBPavSX
public
contract
1,718,031,605,715
will-there-be-an-israelhamas-ceasef-jgos0206r2
OlegEterevsky
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIrKQfky4Nxm2Qdsu7P1OOt8lDYh7dkqk19iplCCt_FEXxn=s96-c
Will there be an Israel-Hamas ceasefire announced before the end of September 6th?
null
0.304515
70.889274
NO
null
us9uqt0real
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2", "label": "Ernie", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Ziddletwix
AhwxbFjZ0x8n6XRA1vaD
public
contract
1,718,032,011,775
will-sbf-attend-manifest-2024
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Will SBF attend Manifest 2024
null
0.014681
904.549269
NO
null
anf013v7tr
false
NOwmwNXwwEPeMSyRv7Jby3Ry2Qs1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "obpgorcx8nl", "label": "MarkHamill", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Benjamin Cosman
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,718,032,070,376
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
BenjaminCosman
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpw00X8vUChExgzazukv9rP3dnjhsvxGTntPujSNQ=s96-c
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
obpgorcx8nl
null
347.279542
NO
68bd808c2fa2
2o6xuvdy4b5
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "anf013v7tr", "label": "BenjaminCosman", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Ziddletwix
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,718,032,187,491
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
obpgorcx8nl
null
5,079.914396
YES
26eee8e05d65
4cwrezu0mkr
false
4w7ZYpvZ3OfE0A8fuWttBVZWvRR2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Resolves 5.2% as per the preliminary results: ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, ...
Johnny Ten-Numbers
GCLCRTiBtg0vJG1gWitl
public
contract
1,718,032,425,723
eu-parliamentiary-election-german-f
1941159478
https://firebasestorage.…5d6-609a1a4230e5
EU Parliament election German FDP vote share?
null
null
758.130712
NO
0a085742f97a
mksku18mo2c
false
H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Wait why does 2023 not count", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Andrew G
EH6ZymfYEWxvlYLRnyuH
public
contract
1,718,032,645,119
how-many-manifest-babies-born-befor
AndrewG
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiaKzvDVGOvUXFxGChB6G4D9spo8N6MGUqFjIRTqAk=s96-c
How many manifest babies born before 2028
null
null
null
null
null
bqh2ejc5byt
false
xULIs4V4S5ag3T5XjHGYXOMfLIm2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "FWIW this was mentioned but not discussed by Allison Duettman in the Tech Trees session on Sunday in Eigen Hall. ", "type": "text" } ...
Zander
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,718,033,016,318
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
CommanderZander
https://firebasestorage.…62a-a09d2e78315a
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
23.438288
YES
8a927a207f83
er7bzlvrao
false
UT1vHSGiCbfZHIRpm6ZvYhFphws1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "DM me to report an orgy, if it occurred. Also DM me the invitee list so I can resolve the related market, if you have it", "type": "text" ...
Jonathan Ray
eHoUkpWQ6f7B6WbaTM6m
public
contract
1,718,033,048,848
will-there-be-an-orgy-at-manifest-2
JonathanRay
https://firebasestorage.…4e6-c893d48ec660
Will there be an orgy at manifest 2?
null
0.040806
-0
NO
null
yyjsbtvdhlm
false
UT1vHSGiCbfZHIRpm6ZvYhFphws1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I can’t resolve this until people DM me the invite list, if there was an orgy", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" ...
Jonathan Ray
VblTUyaAErtVjnvbEn6K
public
contract
1,718,033,162,036
unlinked-multiple-choice-anyone-can
JonathanRay
https://firebasestorage.…4e6-c893d48ec660
[Unlinked multiple choice, anyone can add] Who will get invited to an orgy at Manifest 2?
null
null
343.304982
NO
512204634a46
w7y58tabvz
false
TUvm26ov7fefFj7KYBSHuE49s2M2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Also have the inverse market up, now", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "c...
John Carpenter
NgZAoZcVvy889snUiN7m
public
contract
1,718,033,172,887
how-many-games-will-ding-liren-win
JohnCarpenter
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLbnMbgGdE9ZUUqzpL2THIy9BWVUALl8URxyyYemF9Ib6JghmvmNA=s96-c
How many games will Ding Liren WIN in the classical portion of the 2024 World Chess Championship?
null
null
0
NO
lpnrqle8el
hfzd0s5ig5s
false
TUvm26ov7fefFj7KYBSHuE49s2M2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Inverse market is also available", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "conte...
John Carpenter
4lkUABC2LakyHlRAz1x8
public
contract
1,718,033,202,745
how-many-games-will-gukesh-d-win-in
JohnCarpenter
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLbnMbgGdE9ZUUqzpL2THIy9BWVUALl8URxyyYemF9Ib6JghmvmNA=s96-c
How many games will Gukesh D WIN in the classical portion of the 2024 World Chess Championship?
null
null
113.338961
NO
tq4k3hbed1
fcq05qtosa
false
UT1vHSGiCbfZHIRpm6ZvYhFphws1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Sinclair is buying herself on the who organized the orgy market. That’s all the info I have at this time", "type": "text" } ],...
Jonathan Ray
eHoUkpWQ6f7B6WbaTM6m
public
contract
1,718,033,252,189
will-there-be-an-orgy-at-manifest-2
JonathanRay
https://firebasestorage.…4e6-c893d48ec660
Will there be an orgy at manifest 2?
null
0.040806
1,195.783592
YES
null
tm3yx9r5p8
false
9gBkOzYZQAUG7Mj7EFTFFza0lw22
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "how could you count the number of emulations? Including possible forks? We also don't know how many instances of ChatGPT are running at the same time."...
Jan
9WXgDpKC7UyF4mh34NlP
public
contract
1,718,033,426,988
if-human-brain-emulations-are-creat
Jan53274
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLZcSW6bpjqDQvELRglfn-UDKtyWOEMRwTOdJHuRLELfCA=s96-c
If human brain emulations are created, will they outnumber the biological human population within a decade?
null
null
null
null
null
o0go9dii71q
false
KQIZEaeOOwVatEt07ktQ1mV4CMk1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
nsokolsky
hRTc0hK0Ttx28UlhuhaY
public
contract
1,718,033,451,158
will-the-port-of-baltimore-restore
nsokolsky
https://firebasestorage.…3fd-0bf53e95c42d
Will the port of Baltimore restore normal operations by the end of 2024?
null
0.848338
87.623161
YES
null
jr3awt4l4l
false
wbXNSHyBlFb22U3jMxheKBoOXYn2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Chris V
7dydRYW81ShM8d6w6bwJ
public
contract
1,718,033,497,667
will-apple-announce-a-partnership-w-db8a0fd6ca2f
voodoo
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJvMxwuK2gMCy5Z5egEg2drhsz4s5lov7Jd_WwypFTydJw=s96-c
Will Apple announce a partnership with OpenAI regarding Siri during WWDC 2024?
null
0.687467
4,370.055573
NO
null
5lmuknghvc
false
KQIZEaeOOwVatEt07ktQ1mV4CMk1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "They didn't shake hands in 2020 due to COVID, 75% sure they'll do it in June.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" ...
nsokolsky
gffoEWwKUc5NIG4cYgZH
public
contract
1,718,033,610,978
will-trump-and-biden-shake-hands-at
nsokolsky
https://firebasestorage.…3fd-0bf53e95c42d
Will Trump and Biden shake hands at the first debate in June?
null
0.362574
14,702.205251
YES
null
cl8tb2k9fc4
false
bzaLzQXeU3NwzawClYtJkNxc5fj1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "“I’m going to do it in the convention,” Mr. Trump said in an interview with Dr. Phil McGraw, the television host and supporter of the former president....
Daniel
ZLnXae9dXnTryLWWScUi
public
contract
1,718,033,680,679
will-donald-trump-select-a-running
DanielRohrer
https://firebasestorage.…a33-a07f030e942d
Will Donald Trump select a running mate for VP prior to July 15, 2024?
null
0.570292
47.097355
YES
null
o59mq1r00gn
false
DgiY4whXdTOHJyM3Qn0vcEsEcCD2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Arbitrage opportunities:", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": nul...
Antoine Dusséaux
ZOpjhyLi9if4TBD4LHd4
public
contract
1,718,033,867,774
will-marine-le-pen-win-the-2027-fre
adssx
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ACNPEu8p4k4KE9xrnxs6Iop5Df3i3SjHGfXZPYd0NPoUvA=s96-c
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French Presidential Election?
null
null
null
null
null
41g0d7zt905
false
bzaLzQXeU3NwzawClYtJkNxc5fj1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "related ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text":...
Daniel
rNAXXgJj9cyLdqne0qZo
public
contract
1,718,033,907,769
in-what-week-will-trump-announce-hi
DanielRohrer
https://firebasestorage.…a33-a07f030e942d
In what week will Trump announce his VP/Vice Presidential running mate?
null
null
null
null
null
ebj2xjof95h
false
bzaLzQXeU3NwzawClYtJkNxc5fj1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "related ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text":...
Daniel
vKZUxybbx1OnaklIO5CN
public
contract
1,718,033,926,472
who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-8a36dedc6445
DanielRohrer
https://firebasestorage.…a33-a07f030e942d
Who will be the Republican nominee for vice president? (Trump VP)
null
null
477.277415
YES
93a1f2f817df
h1xym3ihzzq
false
bzaLzQXeU3NwzawClYtJkNxc5fj1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "related", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": ...
Daniel
J6p9MyQY5PsTjAVRCNeJ
public
contract
1,718,033,973,987
when-will-trump-announce-his-runnin
DanielRohrer
https://firebasestorage.…a33-a07f030e942d
When will Trump announce his running mate for Vice President?
null
null
null
null
null
gmlcf4zkc7g
false
yCEJKMJLIic6ei3w3zAgJTjI1Ex2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "X3z4hxRXipWvGoFhxlDOVxmP5vL2", "label": "traders", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
EBurk
Nhd15dP2UgfryhFvxLHE
public
contract
1,718,034,035,697
what-will-be-true-of-the-xkcd-on-mo-9hr3nb06tu
EBurk
https://firebasestorage.…0e3-2fdb94d99bad
What will be true of the xkcd on Monday, June 10th, 2024?
null
null
97.748727
NO
k5eq39so8l