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6kwsb1tiapm
false
3P4jYmiRLYPZysvyXy7hmRxOYPz1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "w3ndp4018we", "label": "singer", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Connor Dolan
7sMmoXCJkRw1XR66HUyP
public
contract
1,717,983,472,168
are-these-programming-language-feat
ConnorDolan
https://firebasestorage.…ae7-97b495c2352d
Are these programming language features underrated or overrated?
frtxwmzvub8
null
null
null
null
uqy5zbdj5kk
false
GmaScn1bXEaAgZvilcjmNxHS6qk2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "z6zm640zsig", "label": "shankypanky", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Yoav Tzfati
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,983,670,432
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Crazytieguy
https://firebasestorage.…3fd-adaa38437cc0
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
l33zyqqohlr
null
771.67383
YES
6e36ae11cfc5
rtyyyeru9
false
TIxZM2CkXrVafA9OnTLLpSo1W0s2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2", "label": "jacksonpolack", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "ment...
riverwalk3
yYsyVdPQsIsr3EVpkRYa
public
contract
1,717,983,728,931
will-benny-gantz-leave-israels-gove
riverwalk3
https://firebasestorage.…3e6-c0107ab85326
Will Benny Gantz leave Israel's government, after threatening to, before Jun 18?
null
0.984884
19,291.795284
YES
null
0hsacelyui36
false
4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "this is way too high but it's a keynesian beauty contest", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "...
jackson polack
0GswU1qy80Sk1UogWuKR
public
contract
1,717,983,832,854
if-artificial-general-intelligence
jacksonpolack
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c
If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?
null
null
50,880.995525
NO
a7f45547b647
fykhrdlf84p
false
OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "are there more winners from other sections?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
jim
wg0QliiZKzdwejKIXxV5
public
contract
1,717,984,039,454
who-will-win-the-manifest-pitch-com
jim
https://firebasestorage.…9bd-1f9dcd4cd13f
Who will win the Manifest Pitch Competition (as selected by the judges)?
null
null
18,969.519532
YES
18dc5lkizn
w4g3bzp50mj
false
2FMogQwA0OUT6iqcbsq8EMtW3yw2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "No manifest 25 resolves N/A, or no?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
spider
DLUwpsv8BmaLuz0LCsYH
public
contract
1,717,984,139,409
will-manifest-2025-be-hosted-at-lig
spider
https://firebasestorage.…930-f41df6d1ed53
Will Manifest 2025 be hosted at Lighthaven?
null
0.5
489.511764
YES
null
dvk1w4zxuab
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "haha that was wild", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Bayesian
WJ3DuUPCJhiofMVxEbrn
public
contract
1,717,984,589,561
who-will-win-the-classic-tetris-wor
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Who will win the Classic Tetris World Championship (CTWC) 2024?
null
null
1,193.965417
NO
2b93c9812a3d
9uwy9g4jhyp
false
yhvV0TjNf6bDzOBBZ5cHGu1sPlF3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "53jj9dzvspj", "label": "DanMan314", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
case
rFCd2cbiQhCBDxNFTcQ6
public
contract
1,717,984,644,374
the-crystal-coin-flip
case
https://firebasestorage.…a3b-d765464b70da
The Crystal Coin Flip
53jj9dzvspj
null
null
null
null
oi32piwin9
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "My first prize market - happening now live! ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { ...
chris (strutheo)
176i8UTsdiOoDehgSRek
public
contract
1,717,984,825,554
who-will-win-poker-at-manifest-2024
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Who will win poker at Manifest 2024?
null
null
8,018.712379
NO
keig9msbe9
ihvf7pjyns
false
yhvV0TjNf6bDzOBBZ5cHGu1sPlF3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "w4g3bzp50mj", "label": "spider", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
case
DLUwpsv8BmaLuz0LCsYH
public
contract
1,717,984,864,619
will-manifest-2025-be-hosted-at-lig
case
https://firebasestorage.…a3b-d765464b70da
Will Manifest 2025 be hosted at Lighthaven?
w4g3bzp50mj
null
null
null
null
2op9fln880k
false
bRxFA0SNOJg52WV10V4gWXO99Gr2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "0lywt88eihx", "label": "Johne5ee", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
John
LXrTdCOO1uoi1tUo30V4
public
contract
1,717,985,182,966
what-will-donald-trump-promise-to-d
Johne5ee
https://storage.googleap…0V4gWXO99Gr2.png
What will Donald Trump promise to do in June 2024? (free response)
0lywt88eihx
null
1,601.041331
YES
oeo35qxy1n
4h0wmef9r2x
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "BgM0xobZ0dWJoBrCpFwUC2YcgDn1", "label": "hath", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Ziddletwix
wg0QliiZKzdwejKIXxV5
public
contract
1,717,985,316,877
who-will-win-the-manifest-pitch-com
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Who will win the Manifest Pitch Competition (as selected by the judges)?
null
null
17,543.398306
NO
ut79b21sbh
qynvaqoe8rc
false
1cr4qlB1WReHhDCyVhQmBrASOzF2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Let's go Niraek!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
aenews
176i8UTsdiOoDehgSRek
public
contract
1,717,985,508,878
who-will-win-poker-at-manifest-2024
aenews
https://firebasestorage.…1ae-07ed3f188eea
Who will win poker at Manifest 2024?
null
null
427.3183
YES
znoyi2d1u8
nrlp5tkdb9g
false
yhvV0TjNf6bDzOBBZ5cHGu1sPlF3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Halting trading in 20 minutes. Get your final trades in!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "...
case
rFCd2cbiQhCBDxNFTcQ6
public
contract
1,717,985,531,127
the-crystal-coin-flip
case
https://firebasestorage.…a3b-d765464b70da
The Crystal Coin Flip
null
null
null
null
null
890uhu5d71
false
1cr4qlB1WReHhDCyVhQmBrASOzF2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "qynvaqoe8rc", "label": "aenews", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
aenews
176i8UTsdiOoDehgSRek
public
contract
1,717,985,533,260
who-will-win-poker-at-manifest-2024
aenews
https://firebasestorage.…1ae-07ed3f188eea
Who will win poker at Manifest 2024?
qynvaqoe8rc
null
427.3183
YES
znoyi2d1u8
b5zmw7oimpo
false
d9vxoU9czxR8HkgfMdwwTmVBQ3y2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "@case where's the flip happening at manifest?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Bence
rFCd2cbiQhCBDxNFTcQ6
public
contract
1,717,985,968,790
the-crystal-coin-flip
bence
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY6q8sP8ydlU9daTxBnT6rxi4S_cnrdBUjDR2INFbY=s96-c
The Crystal Coin Flip
null
0.509975
777.156578
YES
null
aye0hfn6w4h
false
tBLV0DkLmwWT5WrLswQj0Xfwuld2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "This just happened", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Multicore
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,986,141,158
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Multicore
https://firebasestorage.…b68-511c711c6aaa
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
659.321703
YES
jebaxjthns
1kcys3rgh23
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "label": "BoltonBailey", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "menti...
Ziddletwix
xxk4VoZ5N2u8QZD4H1DM
public
contract
1,717,986,252,767
if-there-is-another-manifest-in-202
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
If there is another Manifest in 2024, will it be as big as the first one?
null
0.985421
4,084.415663
YES
null
ckz15zuzqzv
false
cA1JupYR5AR8btHUs2xvkui7jA93
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "b5zmw7oimpo", "label": "bence", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, {...
Genzy
rFCd2cbiQhCBDxNFTcQ6
public
contract
1,717,986,330,413
the-crystal-coin-flip
Gen
https://firebasestorage.…bad-76d96081176f
The Crystal Coin Flip
b5zmw7oimpo
0.506948
58,757.858504
NO
null
30ic150n4ui
false
0wZ0MmJzG9RL7OnjbqYydNeZXjv1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I found the last one, resolves yes. Jade is from South America, I'm from Asia, Rana is from Europe, lots from North America, and multiple people at reg...
colorednoise
gKUcJ2i7WIQtnkey4QiD
public
contract
1,717,986,397,778
will-someone-from-each-of-the-6-maj-ee45eb23f799
colorednoise
https://firebasestorage.…7c5-3d0b33690749
Will someone coming from each of the 6 major continents of the world attend Manifest 2024?
null
0.391162
913.548577
YES
null
r0gchedt3lk
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "30ic150n4ui", "label": "colorednoise", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Bayesian
gKUcJ2i7WIQtnkey4QiD
public
contract
1,717,986,468,571
will-someone-from-each-of-the-6-maj-ee45eb23f799
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Will someone coming from each of the 6 major continents of the world attend Manifest 2024?
30ic150n4ui
0.391162
262.883655
NO
null
62jfbi5lamo
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": null, "type": "strike" } ], "text": "range of probabilities integrate to a single probabili...
Bayesian
7XpKDpeKw1paYi1IGR3Y
public
contract
1,717,986,616,951
what-will-the-low-end-of-my-pdoom-b
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
What will the low end of my p(doom) be after LessOnline + Manifest ?
null
null
null
null
null
y74fcmyyhzh
false
0wZ0MmJzG9RL7OnjbqYydNeZXjv1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "r0gchedt3lk", "label": "Bayesian", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
colorednoise
gKUcJ2i7WIQtnkey4QiD
public
contract
1,717,986,673,778
will-someone-from-each-of-the-6-maj-ee45eb23f799
colorednoise
https://firebasestorage.…7c5-3d0b33690749
Will someone coming from each of the 6 major continents of the world attend Manifest 2024?
30ic150n4ui
0.391162
913.548577
YES
null
tf0zjwf7bq
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I am in the lead!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Bayesian
dD2Nzl3pqbGfWEbZDvcA
public
contract
1,717,987,050,030
will-i-bayesian-outearn-everyone-el
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Will I (@Bayesian) out-earn everyone else in Diamond League, in June?
null
0.211124
45.908434
NO
null
5gyipce4q1
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "presumably also a reasonable minimum funding amount", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" ...
Bayesian
ihHv8pPo7l3af9ZrKc54
public
contract
1,717,987,178,778
who-will-get-funding-because-of-the
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Who will get funding because of their pitch at Manifest 2024?
ftja5o3rn7
null
null
null
null
dtd0d4bsw2d
false
TUvm26ov7fefFj7KYBSHuE49s2M2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Updated description with a bit more info", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
John Carpenter
NgZAoZcVvy889snUiN7m
public
contract
1,717,987,221,137
how-many-games-will-ding-liren-win
JohnCarpenter
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLbnMbgGdE9ZUUqzpL2THIy9BWVUALl8URxyyYemF9Ib6JghmvmNA=s96-c
How many games will Ding Liren WIN in the classical portion of the 2024 World Chess Championship?
null
null
0
NO
lpnrqle8el
en4lobzwy
false
eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "51% heads? Aren't coins technically slightly more likely to land tails?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ...
Plasma Ballin'
rFCd2cbiQhCBDxNFTcQ6
public
contract
1,717,987,247,992
the-crystal-coin-flip
PlasmaBallin
https://firebasestorage.…942-444e233b50a5
The Crystal Coin Flip
null
0.506948
204.081633
NO
null
mxyvdend1r
false
yhvV0TjNf6bDzOBBZ5cHGu1sPlF3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Coin flip is at 8pm in Eigen Hall. Live stream link incoming. ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "ty...
case
rFCd2cbiQhCBDxNFTcQ6
public
contract
1,717,987,403,184
the-crystal-coin-flip
case
https://firebasestorage.…a3b-d765464b70da
The Crystal Coin Flip
null
null
null
null
null
twvq6dxrry
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2", "label": "Ernie", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Bayesian
azLNS5cIq1Gpl3yEf1jJ
public
contract
1,717,987,457,385
will-someone-come-from-africa-to-at
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Will someone come from Africa to attend Manifest 2024?
null
0.945911
370.729757
YES
null
skplrkz4mrs
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Resolves YES ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": { "id": "kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2", "label...
Bayesian
eE3SiT4VNZPfDMDoIise
public
contract
1,717,987,476,464
will-someone-come-from-south-americ
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Will someone come from South America to attend Manifest 2024?
null
0.948989
572.003875
YES
null
prdgfy3jvu
false
cA1JupYR5AR8btHUs2xvkui7jA93
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "bbr0ebt7jmt", "label": "Ziddletwix", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Genzy
pX5jbtvOL2CCWy0S6a2L
public
contract
1,717,987,598,280
what-will-be-true-about-using-prize
Gen
https://firebasestorage.…bad-76d96081176f
What will be true about using prize points at Manifest? [ADD RESPONSES]
bbr0ebt7jmt
null
null
null
null
38apuepdt7y
false
cA1JupYR5AR8btHUs2xvkui7jA93
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "mxyvdend1r", "label": "case", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Genzy
rFCd2cbiQhCBDxNFTcQ6
public
contract
1,717,987,773,492
the-crystal-coin-flip
Gen
https://firebasestorage.…bad-76d96081176f
The Crystal Coin Flip
mxyvdend1r
0.50682
58,757.858504
NO
null
np8ochg7bon
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "It could be that a candidate not endorsed by trump but not the opposition candidate wins? Like if trump endorses a candidate that loses, and hates both...
Bayesian
JeHDbCusfs6qZumDrzRD
public
contract
1,717,987,823,227
if-trump-wins-in-2024-how-will-it-a
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
If Trump wins in 2024, how will it affect transition of power after 2028 election?
null
null
562.906163
YES
cdzgx3b65h
u9c5ki40ktr
false
fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Streaming the flip on ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ ...
N.C. Young
rFCd2cbiQhCBDxNFTcQ6
public
contract
1,717,988,005,291
the-crystal-coin-flip
NcyRocks
https://firebasestorage.…6b3-70181e9d9dc2
The Crystal Coin Flip
null
null
null
null
null
kwrk6w5d33r
false
e1vpMsZfzASlIASX1xPtLxyAFnA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
Timothy Johnson
rFCd2cbiQhCBDxNFTcQ6
public
contract
1,717,988,262,261
the-crystal-coin-flip
TimothyJohnson5c16
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYY1maA_aMEcew3CXHdOWt6elNschJLRt5gE5D8AQ=s96-c
The Crystal Coin Flip
53jj9dzvspj
null
null
null
null
75ky7glrpw
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "X3z4hxRXipWvGoFhxlDOVxmP5vL2", "label": "traders", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
stefanie
rFCd2cbiQhCBDxNFTcQ6
public
contract
1,717,988,356,621
the-crystal-coin-flip
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
The Crystal Coin Flip
null
0.50682
2,140.403493
NO
null
5evaqr5tqvn
false
d9vxoU9czxR8HkgfMdwwTmVBQ3y2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
Bence
rFCd2cbiQhCBDxNFTcQ6
public
contract
1,717,988,616,291
the-crystal-coin-flip
bence
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY6q8sP8ydlU9daTxBnT6rxi4S_cnrdBUjDR2INFbY=s96-c
The Crystal Coin Flip
null
0.495466
1,264.391979
YES
null
6m3pqc0znh
false
d9vxoU9czxR8HkgfMdwwTmVBQ3y2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "5evaqr5tqvn", "label": "bence", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, {...
Bence
rFCd2cbiQhCBDxNFTcQ6
public
contract
1,717,988,642,698
the-crystal-coin-flip
bence
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY6q8sP8ydlU9daTxBnT6rxi4S_cnrdBUjDR2INFbY=s96-c
The Crystal Coin Flip
5evaqr5tqvn
0.495466
1,264.391979
YES
null
cf5mdtqcj0q
false
ggfvjliocTRO7vlDu2bmIUCByVg1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "np8ochg7bon", "label": "Bayesian", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" } ]...
Oleg Eterevsky
JeHDbCusfs6qZumDrzRD
public
contract
1,717,988,673,437
if-trump-wins-in-2024-how-will-it-a
OlegEterevsky
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIrKQfky4Nxm2Qdsu7P1OOt8lDYh7dkqk19iplCCt_FEXxn=s96-c
If Trump wins in 2024, how will it affect transition of power after 2028 election?
np8ochg7bon
null
null
null
null
jay4sulvky9
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "cf5mdtqcj0q", "label": "OlegEterevsky", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Bayesian
JeHDbCusfs6qZumDrzRD
public
contract
1,717,988,723,142
if-trump-wins-in-2024-how-will-it-a
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
If Trump wins in 2024, how will it affect transition of power after 2028 election?
np8ochg7bon
null
612.371386
YES
cdzgx3b65h
rj80ptosaim
false
8dboiK130XNESzFh0uztbNkfcxa2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "sfcxbbyutvc", "label": "SeekingEternity", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" },...
Will
fDI1wfsh6SeZdYOOPq6p
public
contract
1,717,988,828,805
will-tesla-shareholders-vote-to-giv
wrhall
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLy8Q3CWCvkDqnporNAUQ-xDxOZHF8NzmJa32mXx3Dw5kDlqRfw=s96-c
Will Tesla shareholders vote to give Musk a $56 billion retroactive pay package in June 13th shareholder vote?
sfcxbbyutvc
0.650423
117.68062
YES
null
6kk1le7hd0n
false
lwgcfvkXBVaaZjay1ys8LLJuKTC3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "FUCK", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Santeri
rFCd2cbiQhCBDxNFTcQ6
public
contract
1,717,988,833,245
the-crystal-coin-flip
sanyero
https://firebasestorage.…646-eec20d51e537
The Crystal Coin Flip
null
0.495466
195,093.365485
YES
null
ffw2ygssrj
false
kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "30ic150n4ui", "label": "colorednoise", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Ernie
gKUcJ2i7WIQtnkey4QiD
public
contract
1,717,988,963,723
will-someone-from-each-of-the-6-maj-ee45eb23f799
Ernie
https://firebasestorage.…761-3d26c24f8466
Will someone coming from each of the 6 major continents of the world attend Manifest 2024?
30ic150n4ui
null
null
null
null
8lktzad2j98
false
M66y7AVxEcMLlyXSUBYoFTmGMjR2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "In other news, Idaho literacy rates mysteriously fall!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "do...
NivlacM
cE4IcB4OhHJTf4qcbxwK
public
contract
1,717,989,006,250
will-2-or-more-idaho-libraries-tran
NivlacM
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0e4Y--wpuxNpBGKB54wHqZQP2tJVKVLsuCx8sWIg=s96-c
Will 2 or more Idaho libraries transition to "Adults Only" in 2024?
null
0.500185
94.433547
YES
null
muk6marl2bg
false
lwgcfvkXBVaaZjay1ys8LLJuKTC3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
Santeri
rFCd2cbiQhCBDxNFTcQ6
public
contract
1,717,989,022,578
the-crystal-coin-flip
sanyero
https://firebasestorage.…646-eec20d51e537
The Crystal Coin Flip
null
0.495466
195,093.365485
YES
null
u2a6xz6nquc
false
cA1JupYR5AR8btHUs2xvkui7jA93
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "muk6marl2bg", "label": "sanyero", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Genzy
rFCd2cbiQhCBDxNFTcQ6
public
contract
1,717,989,060,458
the-crystal-coin-flip
Gen
https://firebasestorage.…bad-76d96081176f
The Crystal Coin Flip
muk6marl2bg
0.495466
58,757.858504
NO
null
cnqlgvjbb48
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
stefanie
KARvvXZuzJNFOYQ8IWkm
public
contract
1,717,989,151,819
will-i-eat-ass-in-the-next-24
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Will I eat ass in the next 24...?
null
null
1,345.900233
YES
40237ce68101
psasyn0hyr
false
cA1JupYR5AR8btHUs2xvkui7jA93
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "muk6marl2bg", "label": "sanyero", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Genzy
rFCd2cbiQhCBDxNFTcQ6
public
contract
1,717,989,158,073
the-crystal-coin-flip
Gen
https://firebasestorage.…bad-76d96081176f
The Crystal Coin Flip
muk6marl2bg
0.495466
58,757.858504
NO
null
bzme9gr0d2
false
M66y7AVxEcMLlyXSUBYoFTmGMjR2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Gonna build me a library right across the border like a liquor store next to a dry county ", "type": "text" } ], "type": ...
NivlacM
69ft1ePbWBTtcZGINh3F
public
contract
1,717,989,183,265
will-3-or-more-idaho-libraries-will
NivlacM
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0e4Y--wpuxNpBGKB54wHqZQP2tJVKVLsuCx8sWIg=s96-c
Will 3 or more Idaho libraries transition to "Adults Only" in 2024?
null
0.458472
102.32935
YES
null
sw372trhhcc
false
X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "cnqlgvjbb48", "label": "shankypanky", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Keenen W
KARvvXZuzJNFOYQ8IWkm
public
contract
1,717,989,218,353
will-i-eat-ass-in-the-next-24
KeenenW
https://firebasestorage.…a82-90bc3d0d0fbb
Will I eat ass in the next 24...?
cnqlgvjbb48
null
12.546949
YES
18127cf6e0c4
x62mkk2cb4e
false
M66y7AVxEcMLlyXSUBYoFTmGMjR2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Do you own chinos?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
NivlacM
qi6H5uRFpxRRpWceWlhw
public
contract
1,717,989,234,326
will-i-have-a-girlfriend-in-2024
NivlacM
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0e4Y--wpuxNpBGKB54wHqZQP2tJVKVLsuCx8sWIg=s96-c
Will I have a girlfriend in 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
rg0d71i79on
false
lwgcfvkXBVaaZjay1ys8LLJuKTC3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ig2y6b72css", "label": "Nikos", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, {...
Santeri
rdsLRPfIkV4hmp89YRG7
public
contract
1,717,989,246,240
will-there-be-a-user-with-a-positio
sanyero
https://firebasestorage.…646-eec20d51e537
Will there be a user with a position > 99,999 in the Crystal coin flip when the market closes?
ig2y6b72css
0.954227
17,828.05086
YES
null
x66tiwed4di
false
AAlytu8Z2cYd1ewYzuqhkU9NMgt2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "rg0d71i79on", "label": "sanyero", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
niko
rdsLRPfIkV4hmp89YRG7
public
contract
1,717,989,299,799
will-there-be-a-user-with-a-positio
Nikos
https://firebasestorage.…a97-2c3621c2928b
Will there be a user with a position > 99,999 in the Crystal coin flip when the market closes?
ig2y6b72css
null
null
null
null
lfw3avmlrg
false
kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "skplrkz4mrs", "label": "Bayesian", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Ernie
eE3SiT4VNZPfDMDoIise
public
contract
1,717,989,419,663
will-someone-come-from-south-americ
Ernie
https://firebasestorage.…761-3d26c24f8466
Will someone come from South America to attend Manifest 2024?
skplrkz4mrs
null
null
null
null
100kz9sqp48f
false
HUVezqMCWVVp5NHQpy8maAYtKqI3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "l1jk0rbhre9", "label": "Conflux", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Allahu Akbar
yvDAya5j6o9Hgu8h5WfK
public
contract
1,717,989,471,124
will-i-practice-the-piano-for-at-le
AlexCao
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5MRdji8Fe2SuO4FMlSlHMI_X2LSYi80Hk6u9nB=s96-c
Will I practice the piano for at least 2 hours a day(weekly average) until the end of school?
l1jk0rbhre9
null
null
null
null
ud456ksixdl
false
12ztXVGfibSZaCDnGndN40PKUIO2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "No way, congrats! 😚🍑", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Paul
KARvvXZuzJNFOYQ8IWkm
public
contract
1,717,989,511,020
will-i-eat-ass-in-the-next-24
Paul
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GivsAmgOWywNYNzHSwlvq95nQAGKHiFjTR4-W0NRg=s96-c
Will I eat ass in the next 24...?
null
null
268.642549
NO
8ae9cfaa0b25
cej5es9bayk
false
0wZ0MmJzG9RL7OnjbqYydNeZXjv1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The one from Africa is from South Africa. People from Australia: Caltin, Isabella ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragra...
colorednoise
gKUcJ2i7WIQtnkey4QiD
public
contract
1,717,989,549,753
will-someone-from-each-of-the-6-maj-ee45eb23f799
colorednoise
https://firebasestorage.…7c5-3d0b33690749
Will someone coming from each of the 6 major continents of the world attend Manifest 2024?
30ic150n4ui
0.971496
913.548577
YES
null
npspatbbhco
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "lfw3avmlrg", "label": "Ernie", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Bayesian
eE3SiT4VNZPfDMDoIise
public
contract
1,717,989,638,304
will-someone-come-from-south-americ
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Will someone come from South America to attend Manifest 2024?
skplrkz4mrs
0.970741
572.003875
YES
null
406n2qhqzcb
false
hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "lfw3avmlrg", "label": "Ernie", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Pat Scott🩴
eE3SiT4VNZPfDMDoIise
public
contract
1,717,989,815,651
will-someone-come-from-south-americ
Stralor
https://firebasestorage.…6fe-53e90fa501ca
Will someone come from South America to attend Manifest 2024?
skplrkz4mrs
0.970741
16.196898
YES
null
8x7s8afcste
false
hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "406n2qhqzcb", "label": "Stralor", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Pat Scott🩴
eE3SiT4VNZPfDMDoIise
public
contract
1,717,989,828,599
will-someone-come-from-south-americ
Stralor
https://firebasestorage.…6fe-53e90fa501ca
Will someone come from South America to attend Manifest 2024?
skplrkz4mrs
0.970741
16.196898
YES
null
md47soc9qg
false
kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "npspatbbhco", "label": "Bayesian", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Ernie
eE3SiT4VNZPfDMDoIise
public
contract
1,717,989,980,409
will-someone-come-from-south-americ
Ernie
https://firebasestorage.…761-3d26c24f8466
Will someone come from South America to attend Manifest 2024?
skplrkz4mrs
null
null
null
null
t4611o9dvhk
false
JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "This is the last night! Market is set to close at midnight but I said I'd resolve things that happen past midnight while I'm still awake ", "...
Joshua
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,989,995,114
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Joshua
https://firebasestorage.…7d5-f5791800ee6f
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
778.383102
YES
8gqgoka43j
ln11tqfa7vb
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Two out ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractId...
chris (strutheo)
176i8UTsdiOoDehgSRek
public
contract
1,717,990,528,480
who-will-win-poker-at-manifest-2024
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Who will win poker at Manifest 2024?
null
null
8,224.89982
NO
3c3bbe906a16
tfh4c6zvo4b
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Is this meant to be a linked market?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Bayesian
hJ8YKgFTeia3pFTQKA2G
public
contract
1,717,990,557,649
which-players-at-the-manifest-2024
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Which player(s) at the Manifest 2024 poker final will be eliminated third?
null
null
158.82214
NO
zntgbj0t95
xsvjllbp2a
false
hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ln11tqfa7vb", "label": "strutheo", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Pat Scott🩴
176i8UTsdiOoDehgSRek
public
contract
1,717,990,566,435
who-will-win-poker-at-manifest-2024
Stralor
https://firebasestorage.…6fe-53e90fa501ca
Who will win poker at Manifest 2024?
ln11tqfa7vb
null
438.693071
YES
3c10ae82b1f5
v0d6pfbltli
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "How are two yes? (Or just a mistake and need mods?)", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" ...
Ziddletwix
BBTHog9BtH2MPl7NAl8i
public
contract
1,717,990,655,645
which-player-at-the-manifest-2024-p
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Which player(s) at the Manifest 2024 poker final will be eliminated second?
null
null
280.350656
NO
2o82gfbudy
ow5337j0in
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "xsvjllbp2a", "label": "Stralor", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Ziddletwix
176i8UTsdiOoDehgSRek
public
contract
1,717,991,306,714
who-will-win-poker-at-manifest-2024
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Who will win poker at Manifest 2024?
ln11tqfa7vb
null
34,501.609611
NO
btkxwrz5tb
mkfhqsi1luq
false
W4yEF6idSMcNWEVUquowziSCZFI3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I don't know that we need them tightly spaced at the high end, but getting numbers like 100 and 120 on there might be useful.", "type": "text...
Evan
Khb30SmamMXBRQPmzcP3
public
contract
1,717,991,377,579
at-least-how-many-times-will-starsh
EvanDaniel
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcNNBEv2GcorWHiElPC6VlaynzKPlKxwXytwbHWc54FNIs=s96-c
Will Starship launch at least [X] times before it launches with humans? [independent]
null
null
221.82428
YES
b4fe242f9c30
h9o7ikmuf4k
false
W4yEF6idSMcNWEVUquowziSCZFI3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "How would HLS missions be counted? Suppose the crew transfers to Starship in orbit and then flies to the Moon. Does that count? Does the launch from th...
Evan
Khb30SmamMXBRQPmzcP3
public
contract
1,717,991,511,299
at-least-how-many-times-will-starsh
EvanDaniel
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcNNBEv2GcorWHiElPC6VlaynzKPlKxwXytwbHWc54FNIs=s96-c
Will Starship launch at least [X] times before it launches with humans? [independent]
null
null
221.82428
YES
b4fe242f9c30
i490ydcku2
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "v0d6pfbltli", "label": "Ziddletwix", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Bayesian
BBTHog9BtH2MPl7NAl8i
public
contract
1,717,991,766,445
which-player-at-the-manifest-2024-p
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Which player(s) at the Manifest 2024 poker final will be eliminated second?
v0d6pfbltli
null
null
null
null
nikcmbt0yuc
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "how would anyone know this? ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
stefanie
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,991,950,222
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
6,076.616373
YES
8a927a207f83
y0gq1989efh
false
cA1JupYR5AR8btHUs2xvkui7jA93
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "nikcmbt0yuc", "label": "shankypanky", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Genzy
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,991,991,466
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Gen
https://firebasestorage.…bad-76d96081176f
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
nikcmbt0yuc
null
4,135.158848
YES
1f6173f16811
7tvmq713j2m
false
cA1JupYR5AR8btHUs2xvkui7jA93
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "y0gq1989efh", "label": "Gen", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Genzy
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,992,171,000
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Gen
https://firebasestorage.…bad-76d96081176f
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
nikcmbt0yuc
null
4,135.158848
YES
1f6173f16811
vy0qjrucrud
false
cA1JupYR5AR8btHUs2xvkui7jA93
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2", "label": "shankypanky", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mentio...
Genzy
L4w4LLoGn3bbFJAQcdTK
public
contract
1,717,992,490,615
who-will-win-the-miss-alignment-cos
Gen
https://firebasestorage.…bad-76d96081176f
Who will win the Miss Alignment costume contest at Manifest 2024?
null
null
8,378.291371
YES
eydph8652n
bqa1kti9ep
false
HTbxWFlzWGeHUTiwZvvF0qm8W433
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "vy0qjrucrud", "label": "Gen", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Conflux
L4w4LLoGn3bbFJAQcdTK
public
contract
1,717,992,568,055
who-will-win-the-miss-alignment-cos
Conflux
https://firebasestorage.…cdd-373b64a5cd17
Who will win the Miss Alignment costume contest at Manifest 2024?
vy0qjrucrud
null
6,000.233216
YES
eydph8652n
36pmc1tlc7q
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "vy0qjrucrud", "label": "Gen", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
stefanie
L4w4LLoGn3bbFJAQcdTK
public
contract
1,717,992,612,783
who-will-win-the-miss-alignment-cos
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Who will win the Miss Alignment costume contest at Manifest 2024?
vy0qjrucrud
null
3,319.252634
YES
iym0vrfb38
mew7zcmeor
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "rPIxt0FOF6PWHTakglyn88p1dGY2", "label": "MattCWilson", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mentio...
Bayesian
lx2OArX1D8DQvbufbNSI
public
contract
1,717,993,108,724
which-players-at-the-manifest-2024-ff2uefximd
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Which player(s) at the Manifest 2024 poker final will be eliminated sixth?
null
null
350.620291
NO
a6kvr15gov
kgkhr88tdjg
false
rPIxt0FOF6PWHTakglyn88p1dGY2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "mew7zcmeor", "label": "Bayesian", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Matt C. Wilson
lx2OArX1D8DQvbufbNSI
public
contract
1,717,993,126,519
which-players-at-the-manifest-2024-ff2uefximd
MattCWilson
https://firebasestorage.…c23-a3b854776865
Which player(s) at the Manifest 2024 poker final will be eliminated sixth?
mew7zcmeor
null
831.266634
YES
t2fdiv03w7
4x7mm3j04oe
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "suddenly the AI score was different at the end than we were told/tracking while the judges voted - I think that's a twist", "type": "text" ...
stefanie
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,993,226,923
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
6,076.616373
YES
8a927a207f83
qgzf61aje6k
false
4xOTMCIOkGesdJft50wVFZFb5IB3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "JnKhj5uPE9dDR7Z0OItCjDtUnOa2", "label": "LuisPedroCoelho", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "me...
Tripping
WJ3DuUPCJhiofMVxEbrn
public
contract
1,717,993,327,952
who-will-win-the-classic-tetris-wor
Tripping
https://firebasestorage.…25f-2823bd2dce88
Who will win the Classic Tetris World Championship (CTWC) 2024?
null
null
6,662.269591
YES
2enu2sb53z
8tv8l0lsedj
false
tBLV0DkLmwWT5WrLswQj0Xfwuld2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "h9o7ikmuf4k", "label": "EvanDaniel", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Multicore
Khb30SmamMXBRQPmzcP3
public
contract
1,717,993,347,919
at-least-how-many-times-will-starsh
Multicore
https://firebasestorage.…b68-511c711c6aaa
Will Starship launch at least [X] times before it launches with humans? [independent]
h9o7ikmuf4k
null
null
null
null
9xiv6sb3lmm
false
tBLV0DkLmwWT5WrLswQj0Xfwuld2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "mkfhqsi1luq", "label": "EvanDaniel", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Multicore
Khb30SmamMXBRQPmzcP3
public
contract
1,717,993,398,655
at-least-how-many-times-will-starsh
Multicore
https://firebasestorage.…b68-511c711c6aaa
Will Starship launch at least [X] times before it launches with humans? [independent]
mkfhqsi1luq
null
null
null
null
2tof13ejw6p
false
yAPO0lFCr0VYiIosymUdZgbTxnC2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "2024-06-09: 1778, feeling a bit hungry at bedtime though.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": ...
phaen
nuB4dFSb3poVQn7SZG7I
public
contract
1,717,993,728,717
will-i-eat-under-1800-calories-each
phaen
https://firebasestorage.…9a0-90cebc102691
Will I eat under 1800 Calories each day this week (through 2024-06-14)?
null
0.726112
105.191771
YES
null
m307topfml
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "this just happened", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
stefanie
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,993,776,399
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
6,076.616373
YES
8a927a207f83
yo5gssaeyx
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
Bayesian
dD2Nzl3pqbGfWEbZDvcA
public
contract
1,717,993,955,157
will-i-bayesian-outearn-everyone-el
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Will I (@Bayesian) out-earn everyone else in Diamond League, in June?
null
0.36328
38.805449
YES
null
ezl3erdelf
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "woops I misclicked \"set by default\" to the new filter. what was the one before that? soz", "type": "text" } ], "type": ...
Bayesian
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,994,162,700
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
625.091743
YES
1f6173f16811
ys77wklwhd
false
ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ezl3erdelf", "label": "Bayesian", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Predictor 🔥
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,994,214,433
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Predictor
https://firebasestorage.…22a-9833cd6cbc4e
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
ezl3erdelf
null
1,930.987167
YES
3cf24e5487bb
tnmhvvsawz
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "uvh7kymo3gi", "label": "moo", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
stefanie
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,994,219,356
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
uvh7kymo3gi
null
6,076.616373
YES
8a927a207f83
4r4kzdi4ui4
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ys77wklwhd", "label": "Predictor", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
stefanie
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,994,266,824
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
ezl3erdelf
null
6,076.616373
YES
8a927a207f83
8yp8m9xkaxv
false
Fxsi2an7IoMsNLyq1ODqsXZIMqC3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
Benjamin Manns
rFCd2cbiQhCBDxNFTcQ6
public
contract
1,717,994,287,519
the-crystal-coin-flip
benmanns
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKkghDuSf2qFv60YgKDe4sB83Qr5ah-gRmsZWJ4Y8cUS4oz=s96-c
The Crystal Coin Flip
null
0
0
NO
null
3etswudexq9
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "6kk1le7hd0n", "label": "sanyero", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
stefanie
rFCd2cbiQhCBDxNFTcQ6
public
contract
1,717,994,344,441
the-crystal-coin-flip
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
The Crystal Coin Flip
6kk1le7hd0n
0
2,140.403493
NO
null
04s31lzrn9ew
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "FJ5Fo1i5QCR8CTh6j98E8CBxU602", "label": "RickiHeicklen", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "ment...
stefanie
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,994,583,379
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
6,076.616373
YES
8a927a207f83
4dig3rzcg5g
false
sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "0urjg8i6x5sk", "label": "jacksonpolack", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Ben Shindel
0GswU1qy80Sk1UogWuKR
public
contract
1,717,994,620,083
if-artificial-general-intelligence
benshindel
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu22VD_r1GJh-n-cEmVyjrKEFlOdTcYxeXuYzn_4Ag=s96-c
If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?
0urjg8i6x5sk
null
1,677.937963
YES
26c47b64f965
jx0r1rdprr
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "4dig3rzcg5g", "label": "benshindel", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Bayesian
0GswU1qy80Sk1UogWuKR
public
contract
1,717,994,672,684
if-artificial-general-intelligence
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?
0urjg8i6x5sk
null
52.070716
YES
eeb3629b07a2
brwtpe03qv
false
UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "P7rLJmOcMDZGzqOSdPR1AdeH2Lg1", "label": "houstonEuler", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "menti...
ClubmasterTransparent
176i8UTsdiOoDehgSRek
public
contract
1,717,995,298,151
who-will-win-poker-at-manifest-2024
ClubmasterTransparent
https://firebasestorage.…448-76c2f1fcfeee
Who will win poker at Manifest 2024?
null
null
71.775447
YES
56aa762544e8
z1e801llj3
false
0V3S6J1x9pfk4OOmn9whfHYKRxB3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I think it is currently raining", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Stephen Thomas-Dorin
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,995,943,526
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
StephenThomasDorin
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocL_cGe-z5es76SctK0KyZ1JgMu8gSdHn4kCtZQchXE-lkVL=s96-c
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
1,383.692796
YES
3cf24e5487bb
fwnxxevdd4g
false
KNqZAiItmVTCX0LzUcj8Twg7tnh1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Will you re-test if negative?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
snazzlePop
cuxbqqlwFIMjMyrZiusf
public
contract
1,717,996,246,166
will-my-covid-test-be-positive
snazzlePop
https://firebasestorage.…4df-4312e7a7f92b
Will my Covid test be positive?
null
0.428047
191.654174
YES
null
g5079b6tmk
false
fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Please like and subscribe", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
N.C. Young
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,996,658,972
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
NcyRocks
https://firebasestorage.…6b3-70181e9d9dc2
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
8,056.673092
YES
7b803e259083
jgvyasb28d7
false
Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "count: 6 or 7", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
nikki
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,996,777,231
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
nikki
https://firebasestorage.…3b3-20f4f646b970
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
2,618.578629
YES
0c989f10d177
5vxx6xlegn9
false
Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "resolves no", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
nikki
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,996,806,475
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
nikki
https://firebasestorage.…3b3-20f4f646b970
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
jgvyasb28d7
null
2,618.578629
YES
0c989f10d177