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... | Conflux | zyvtbg9wns | public | contract | 1,718,428,721,991 | bay-area-bingo-what-will-i-experien-6ufcpdbqcj | Conflux | Bay Area Bingo: what will I experience/encounter while living here for two months? [medium fuse] | whwkou25ypf | null | 51.657604 | NO | 43if0fsef8 | |
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... | Bayesian | ihHv8pPo7l3af9ZrKc54 | public | contract | 1,718,430,884,899 | who-will-get-funding-because-of-the | Bayesian | Who will get funding because of their pitch at Manifest 2024? | null | null | 437.231204 | NO | 5ic9qytkkp | |
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qp4qjexiq8e | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
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"type... | Jonathan Ray | cCKe5crr6hlARaVQvGtl | public | contract | 1,718,432,484,133 | will-my-followup-covid-test-be-posi | JonathanRay | Will my follow-up covid test be positive? | null | null | null | null | null | |
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mm24iondej | false | OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133 | {
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} | chris (strutheo) | o5rtp4huzc | public | contract | 1,718,432,652,988 | which-hogwarts-house-do-you-sort-me | strutheo | Which Hogwarts house do you sort me into? | null | null | null | null | null | |
uvoii75bh1p | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
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} | chris (strutheo) | r23g45mryo | public | contract | 1,718,432,809,367 | one-month-from-today-will-trump-and | strutheo | One month from today, will Trump and Biden have debated? | null | null | null | null | null | |
i632io65gi | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
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0vyros2cehwd | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
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} | chris (strutheo) | xvyouetd7e | public | contract | 1,718,432,854,671 | one-month-from-today-will-israel-an | strutheo | One month from today, will Israel and Palestine have agreed to a ceasefire deal? | null | null | null | null | null | |
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"text": "If a project doesn't need traditional capital, but only attention AND it gets that attention because of the events that took place at Manifest, does th... | Krantz | ihHv8pPo7l3af9ZrKc54 | public | contract | 1,718,432,865,421 | who-will-get-funding-because-of-the | Krantz | Who will get funding because of their pitch at Manifest 2024? | null | null | 1,338.524165 | NO | 5ic9qytkkp | |
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"l... | chris (strutheo) | 8zdpestejv | public | contract | 1,718,432,882,588 | one-month-from-today-will-bitcoin-b | strutheo | One month from today, will Bitcoin be worth $75,000 USD or more? | null | null | null | null | null | |
wi0dh53pdr7 | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
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"text": "Using current price of 131.88 USD",
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} | chris (strutheo) | aq94zo1mu3 | public | contract | 1,718,433,097,431 | one-month-from-today-will-nvidia-nv | strutheo | One month from today, will Nvidia NVDA be worth more than today? | null | null | null | null | null | |
zs7596hsp | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
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} | chris (strutheo) | sbz0jfgloz | public | contract | 1,718,433,105,478 | one-month-from-today-will-trump-hav | strutheo | One month from today, will Trump have revealed his running mate? | null | null | null | null | null | |
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} | Benjamin Ikuta | A319ydGB1B7f4PMOROL3 | public | contract | 1,718,433,138,658 | in-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-gener | benjaminIkuta | In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt? | 0l5u3lv1fg7 | 0.362945 | 6,700.462263 | NO | null | |
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"type": "pa... | Rana G | b2v3iudszf | public | contract | 1,718,433,189,765 | resolves-yes-on-jan-1-2029 | RanaG | Resolves YES on Jan 1 2029 | null | null | null | null | null | |
8f8v6l4yud9 | false | UT1vHSGiCbfZHIRpm6ZvYhFphws1 | {
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"text": "market subsidizers generally subsidize because they want to learn the probability of something before it happens. Not to pay for a google alert that t... | Jonathan Ray | s8WP59ycmIY2y7xxzliP | public | contract | 1,718,433,297,835 | will-manifold-add-retroactive-close | JonathanRay | Will Manifold add retroactive close times / trade rollbacks in 2024? | null | null | null | null | null | |
rjmji39owd | false | v1sXfDTUK2gOSWrK4pYrJ7boLJx2 | {
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... | Krantz | ihHv8pPo7l3af9ZrKc54 | public | contract | 1,718,433,322,757 | who-will-get-funding-because-of-the | Krantz | Who will get funding because of their pitch at Manifest 2024? | znsxalutzxg | null | 1,338.524165 | NO | 5ic9qytkkp | |
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"type":... | jim | ihHv8pPo7l3af9ZrKc54 | public | contract | 1,718,433,569,404 | who-will-get-funding-because-of-the | jim | Who will get funding because of their pitch at Manifest 2024? | znsxalutzxg | null | 3,181.097738 | NO | tzarbgd8m0 | |
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... | Pat Scott🩴 | 1ebmc5klyv | public | contract | 1,718,433,775,089 | will-there-be-an-orgy-at-vibecamp-2 | Stralor | Will there be an Orgy at Vibecamp 2024? | anoduaa6ho7 | null | null | null | null | |
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... | Pat Scott🩴 | 1ebmc5klyv | public | contract | 1,718,434,045,100 | will-there-be-an-orgy-at-vibecamp-2 | Stralor | Will there be an Orgy at Vibecamp 2024? | anoduaa6ho7 | null | null | null | null | |
fpygzngi4jk | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
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} | stefanie | zyvtbg9wns | public | contract | 1,718,434,195,768 | bay-area-bingo-what-will-i-experien-6ufcpdbqcj | shankypanky | Bay Area Bingo: what will I experience/encounter while living here for two months? [medium fuse] | null | null | 81.35005 | YES | 0x7xf2dci2 | |
2xipjh2vuse | false | OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133 | {
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... | jim | ihHv8pPo7l3af9ZrKc54 | public | contract | 1,718,434,219,989 | who-will-get-funding-because-of-the | jim | Who will get funding because of their pitch at Manifest 2024? | null | null | 3,181.097738 | NO | tzarbgd8m0 | |
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"text": "Hungary wants a formal apology from Mark Rutte in exchange for supporting his appointment. ",
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"type":... | Gaz Downright | JEdvrURr0C5ywLDZSyqJ | public | contract | 1,718,434,572,741 | will-hungary-stall-the-election-of | GazDownright | Will Hungary stall the transition to Mark Rutte as NATO secretary-general beyond October 1st? | null | 0.31 | 81.738618 | NO | null | |
t81mrud2in | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
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} | chris (strutheo) | ibDBCrvI3WN9bU1GnFJO | public | contract | 1,718,434,658,814 | which-of-these-100-video-games-will | strutheo | 🎮Which of these 100 video games will release LAST (or after 2040) in chronological order? (1 DONE) | null | null | null | null | null | |
tu17cydv7yc | false | GxByO08XQHdK19Od5auuvu3K1g72 | {
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"text": "Possible, but I’m pretty sure a mod or AI would eventually resolve it. Regardless, that doesn’t seem to have affected the price much",
"type"... | Ansel | b2v3iudszf | public | contract | 1,718,435,684,561 | resolves-yes-on-jan-1-2029 | Ansel | Resolves YES on Jan 1 2029 | cabhknsiqhj | null | null | null | null | |
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... | Bence | loXJvyVO3SvXTscabzSi | public | contract | 1,718,436,014,400 | will-nvidia-reach-1337-per-share-be | bence | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY6q8sP8ydlU9daTxBnT6rxi4S_cnrdBUjDR2INFbY=s96-c | Will Nvidia reach $1337 per share before the end of July 2025? | c42mbl174um | 0.685959 | 997.739088 | NO | null |
jdka63crwdd | false | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | {
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"text": "Other: This is a description of almost all life we encounter in the wild, but is not a necessary property of life, because aliens that got designed by ... | Bayesian | 47t5p555t4 | public | contract | 1,718,436,398,275 | life-is-a-selfsustaining-chemical-s | Bayesian | "Life is a self-sustaining chemical system capable of Darwinian evolution." | null | null | null | null | null | |
cdn07kw251a | false | GxByO08XQHdK19Od5auuvu3K1g72 | {
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... | Ansel | A319ydGB1B7f4PMOROL3 | public | contract | 1,718,436,465,632 | in-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-gener | Ansel | In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt? | 0l5u3lv1fg7 | 0.362945 | 101.739476 | YES | null | |
3bdf4lfsdg2 | false | JkH8Q9cPPjg9T4dFcz8wTXlLioX2 | {
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} | Jono | EHVAPeVSDBkeAKwQuAEU | public | contract | 1,718,437,101,677 | in-2025-will-an-ai-be-able-to-gener | Jono3h | In 2025, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short story to a prompt? | 43hzpszrnad | null | null | null | null | |
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"l... | Tumbles ♠︎ Meme Rising | PXd5l5qBVArJrSYZhivM | public | contract | 1,718,437,136,901 | will-tumbles-ever-be-late-to-pay-ba | Tumbles | Will Tumbles be late to pay back a loan? | null | 0.073898 | 479,049.618813 | NO | null | |
0xb2p2w9c4sl | false | tsLGbpzbvEZt0Y4tafpjAqCMQeF2 | {
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... | Noya | ibDBCrvI3WN9bU1GnFJO | public | contract | 1,718,437,356,984 | which-of-these-100-video-games-will | NoyaV | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYZ0_H2vY9Mr8HoT1lAqx7RKtsu8hU7Lk1lx7Gr=s96-c | 🎮Which of these 100 video games will release LAST (or after 2040) in chronological order? (1 DONE) | null | null | 302.257596 | NO | 8c8d3195e3fb |
u227vu6y1hd | false | ovFIUtAhsmW4CgczuBGoHSEjFI13 | {
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"text": "Trump should be higher than 45% even if you don't think he's gonna win. There's the Trump win % + the Trump runs and wins in 2028 % which is nonzero",
... | Stark | 7VZWm9ZiDboTHsmypFVk | public | contract | 1,718,437,734,902 | who-will-become-the-47th-the-next-p | StarkLN | Who will become the 47th (the next) President of the USA? | null | null | 100.32669 | YES | a5962ca70f5a | |
goa46ju7ut8 | false | QRdUiXFvVRXFrq3zNOJrUj76iwn2 | {
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"type": "do... | M L | g98bfvctn8 | public | contract | 1,718,438,550,349 | tuesday-dice-roll-what-number-will | ML12d1 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJQ_TkdRKgFmuMlRnyYbkd73FNjzN0J-38pXcnxV40C3A=s96-c | Tuesday Dice roll - What number will they land on? | null | null | 126.002179 | YES | rf3icsvajr |
zddxcuaozun | false | 0G4e0M74JzfTXbZXvYWjzwQCbQP2 | {
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