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"text": "I suspect what you mean to say is “someone besides Biden or Trump is inaugurated in January 2025, and/or Biden resigns/dies in office”",
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],
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} | Kevin Burke | KEvgu7FyUWYaIXGUZ44w | public | contract | 1,716,431,254,035 | neither-joe-biden-nor-donald-trump-44f0ef7373cf | KevinBurke | Neither Joe Biden nor Donald Trump will be the next U.S. President. | null | 0.049123 | 209.09818 | NO | null | |
85e7npp5tw4 | false | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | {
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"text": " even if human narration continues to exist, if AI narration becomes indistinguishable from human narration to the untrained ear, it would resolve as YES.",
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],
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} | Franklin Baldo | 28RJ23fKDFMr4Mo8YQ4f | public | contract | 1,716,431,334,374 | will-human-narration-for-audiobooks | FranklinBaldo | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c | Will human narration for audiobooks become mostly unnecessary before 2026? | o8qv8g2smkr | 0.570452 | 37.880703 | YES | null |
pvf1ll98ck | false | 5pdlqOtBlpT1nNSbFLJk3G2Ozep2 | {
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"text": "Manifold’s No option on right",
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],
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],
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} | ismellpillows | yVSSHdotBiAW6mVyuses | public | contract | 1,716,431,493,269 | would-you-rather-manifold-chooses | ismellpillows | Would You Rather? - Manifold chooses! | null | null | 152.800764 | NO | ef58e3be4375 | |
4jplg8dpd2c | false | JljMq9ITGFVYhXqKk1oS1MtmXf83 | {
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"text": "Could we add xAI?",
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} | mr_mino | G9LK2uvWOmbtd6hsCErD | public | contract | 1,716,431,895,037 | what-will-be-the-top3-ai-labs-in-20 | mr_mino | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIhpVDFQAVKbt-9Od9WSi01Lp_CQJnMybA5BxSxLa6a=s96-c | What will be the top-3 AI labs in 2025? | null | null | 88.00546 | YES | 86c5db59d5d3 |
h0etx5kwfi8 | false | XeQf3ygmrGM1MxdsE3JSlmq8vL42 | {
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"text": " that doesn't seem consistent with the question posed, but sure, I would guess that an untrained population (e.g., US nationally representative crowdworkers) will still be able to distinguish the average AI narration from the average (professional) narration with statistical significance (e.g., 100 workers each with 10 tests each of 1 minute of complex book-style audio).",
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} | Jacy | 28RJ23fKDFMr4Mo8YQ4f | public | contract | 1,716,432,066,710 | will-human-narration-for-audiobooks | Jacy | Will human narration for audiobooks become mostly unnecessary before 2026? | o8qv8g2smkr | 0.570452 | 354.731269 | NO | null | |
zx0ahd9giv | false | 5pdlqOtBlpT1nNSbFLJk3G2Ozep2 | {
"content": [
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"text": "Have the YES option be on the LEFT (YES) -OR- have the YES option be on the right (NO)",
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}
],
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],
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} | ismellpillows | yVSSHdotBiAW6mVyuses | public | contract | 1,716,432,324,591 | would-you-rather-manifold-chooses | ismellpillows | Would You Rather? - Manifold chooses! | pvf1ll98ck | null | 152.800764 | NO | ef58e3be4375 | |
jhlgbl8n1r | false | kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
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"text": "Gimme those EU Aussie Drugs yo",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ernie | giPRqdXW6YgDw5yoITHe | public | contract | 1,716,432,886,601 | us-adopts-pharmaceutical-reciprocit | Ernie | US adopts pharmaceutical reciprocity with the UK, some/all of the EU, Japan, or Australia before 2035 | null | 0.116113 | 13.472222 | NO | null |
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