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"type": "mention"... | The All Memeing Eye ♠️ | yVSSHdotBiAW6mVyuses | public | contract | 1,718,973,894,073 | would-you-rather-manifold-chooses | TheAllMemeingEye | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c | Would You Rather? - Manifold chooses! | t801gwdnx7 | null | 115.663335 | YES | a1e1436fa370 |
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... | EBurk | ufqvftpyzp | public | contract | 1,718,978,394,827 | what-will-be-true-of-xkcds-for-june | EBurk | What will be true of xkcd's for June 24th-June 28th? | null | null | null | null | null | |
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... | Certainty of Victory | NKM6oCA1aVmnxnYkB9JH | public | contract | 1,718,980,549,985 | will-the-oct-7-rape-claims-be-subst | CertaintyOfVictory | Will the Oct 7 rape claims be substantiated by an independent investigation? | null | 0.5 | 2,387.443932 | YES | null | |
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"text": "And I'm out of the market. I'm considering the profit loss as a penalty for myself to keep in mind to always thoroughly check the market creators.",
... | Certainty of Victory | NKM6oCA1aVmnxnYkB9JH | public | contract | 1,718,981,106,854 | will-the-oct-7-rape-claims-be-subst | CertaintyOfVictory | Will the Oct 7 rape claims be substantiated by an independent investigation? | hzlj7ywpsak | 0.18 | 0 | YES | null | |
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"id": "cAztQZ0renalM03WNxZegsptHIq2"... | Shaked Koplewitz | NKM6oCA1aVmnxnYkB9JH | public | contract | 1,718,981,145,787 | will-the-oct-7-rape-claims-be-subst | ShakedKoplewitz | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghyqz276_IAbhWaYW8vIhnwIaBQDXSxB3wO9AoCLw=s96-c | Will the Oct 7 rape claims be substantiated by an independent investigation? | null | null | null | null | null |
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"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora... | hecko | m2hYXWuZNqJcaw48fGoe | public | contract | 1,718,982,092,668 | gpt5-by-2025 | hecko | GPT-5 by 2025? | null | null | null | null | null | |
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} | Jes Wolfe | b0ZFWQCAfevzO9CXHTcd | public | contract | 1,718,982,100,138 | if-you-had-to-vote-in-an-election-w-00c94e7c078c | JesWolfe | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcKjht6P3AYXOa2d0KfFkhQ_Fa_Nya7nn9oWrRw1Noi0Fky=s96-c | If you had to vote in an election, would you rather vote for Donald Trump or Nick Land? | null | null | null | null | null |
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"content": n... | Archibald Crone | Yvk7qrDuAlRs4ZtKl9Fi | public | contract | 1,718,982,425,912 | which-of-the-ten-biblical-plagues-o | BlueDragon | 📜Which of the Ten Biblical Plagues of Egypt will strike New York City in 2024? | wna8x0w7yac | null | null | null | null | |
07lnkj4dmlm | false | uyFbHRn5q9fq9DFSoHXIAhw7KrD3 | {
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"text": "Market closed as video released for paid members on patreon. Resolution on Saturday when the video is available for everyone. ",
"type": "tex... | notarealuser | CKuP5LDl4wv70nTg7Yxx | public | contract | 1,718,982,502,615 | what-will-be-true-of-the-everyday-a | notarealuser | What will be true of the Everyday Astronaut 's Starbase tour with Elon Musk about IFT 4? | null | null | 86.593053 | NO | 6e0uvf6zig | |
hmxqd2qwbpf | false | F8KcKLPughaLSaqVMgwVcdkHTul2 | {
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"attrs": ... | Paul | SKsmhLrWp1cWnXS6fKc2 | public | contract | 1,718,982,604,171 | president-of-usa-has-orgasm-on-live | Paulith | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIHa4Skn6HHsMqDfZwL6acec4VIUrcwGzztbvQ_mhU63A=s96-c | President of USA has orgasm on live TV before 2035 | null | null | null | null | null |
ccchiygx7h4 | false | F8KcKLPughaLSaqVMgwVcdkHTul2 | {
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} | Paul | SKsmhLrWp1cWnXS6fKc2 | public | contract | 1,718,982,679,385 | president-of-usa-has-orgasm-on-live | Paulith | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIHa4Skn6HHsMqDfZwL6acec4VIUrcwGzztbvQ_mhU63A=s96-c | President of USA has orgasm on live TV before 2035 | hmxqd2qwbpf | 0.046384 | 52.310916 | NO | null |
27uqd8gsdd4 | false | KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2 | {
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} | Christopher Randles | dLrdP14EYU5Nez82KaFh | public | contract | 1,718,982,777,538 | when-will-elon-musk-reach-190m-foll | ChristopherRandles | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c | When will Elon Musk reach 190M followers | null | null | 2,348.235442 | NO | cxo3rnpd8x |
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"type": "mention"... | Jan | r8LGYZSeHzUfn4WjVKH0 | public | contract | 1,718,982,785,282 | will-money-still-exist-in-a-postagi | Jan53274 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLZcSW6bpjqDQvELRglfn-UDKtyWOEMRwTOdJHuRLELfCA=s96-c | Will money still exist in a post-AGI, post-scarcity society? | null | null | null | null | null |
zclb18iy35i | false | 8dboiK130XNESzFh0uztbNkfcxa2 | {
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... | Will | id0u55fyz2 | public | contract | 1,718,982,792,979 | is-there-a-major-error-in-httpstior | wrhall | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLy8Q3CWCvkDqnporNAUQ-xDxOZHF8NzmJa32mXx3Dw5kDlqRfw=s96-c | Is there a major error in this transit-vs-car comparison https://ti.org/antiplanner/?p=88 ? | null | null | null | null | null |
bj68stkk5oc | false | RENPmnXDYmbTnIzOBdoy8QiOWHH3 | {
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... | Archibald Crone | Yvk7qrDuAlRs4ZtKl9Fi | public | contract | 1,718,982,982,960 | which-of-the-ten-biblical-plagues-o | BlueDragon | 📜Which of the Ten Biblical Plagues of Egypt will strike New York City in 2024? | wna8x0w7yac | null | 172.031678 | NO | b0eb35097cd5 | |
7nxki2b9efj | false | 9gBkOzYZQAUG7Mj7EFTFFza0lw22 | {
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"text": "There are already many things that are scarce but free. Scarcity can also be solved via waiting lists or random draws, for example.",
"type":... | Jan | r8LGYZSeHzUfn4WjVKH0 | public | contract | 1,718,983,035,516 | will-money-still-exist-in-a-postagi | Jan53274 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLZcSW6bpjqDQvELRglfn-UDKtyWOEMRwTOdJHuRLELfCA=s96-c | Will money still exist in a post-AGI, post-scarcity society? | 3jWmZGyAGoR9O5UxUua6 | null | null | null | null |
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"type": "doc... | Vanessa Kosoy | 7Go5CN7A6NovTHFJisRW | public | contract | 1,718,983,196,586 | will-there-be-an-ai-lets-play-chann | VanessaKosoy | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTte_ALTuE-hy2f-vUSbXP-z4Ye8ZmPMTm1_h-6L7wCd1Mg=s96-c | Will there be an AI "Let's Play" channel by 2030? | null | null | null | null | null |
5lcnexe0yze | false | kOzh2wOQW3SGGYMWGzFvP6CQZw53 | {
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} | Martin | j8OZxOzhPPkqih5hdIUY | public | contract | 1,718,983,232,957 | did-covid19-come-from-a-laboratory-8d38660948d1 | bbb | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtc1hVkRTqxrwtL1dtbhMdl6n5FGdr0N27PA_XCg7Q=s96-c | Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory? | null | 0.381559 | 674.179964 | YES | null |
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xp2kls7t56k | false | sLDSFm43iuaHRYE0YpTx9B3QBvJ2 | {
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... | vVv | 1vwl81497o | public | contract | 1,718,983,785,999 | will-claude-35-sonnet-rank-higher-t | vVv | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtc217hRvo5DrxSz_u1Qgbbkv-2nqvvCWdszujgbw4A_=s96-c | Will Claude 3.5 Sonnet rank higher than GPT-4o on LMSYS leaderboard? | 1w7ohogehtw | null | null | null | null |
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"t... | FAKEMON3Y | 261ZqrZ0m5Q6apEhLcup | public | contract | 1,718,983,879,849 | will-manifold-still-be-functioning | FakeMoney | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FFakeMoney%2FUCSjrV6DUK.38?alt=media&token=64ebabfb-bd10-4fd5-a48b-30900bbb71ed | Will Manifold still be functioning by 2030? | qvyfp16wfma | 0.807567 | -0 | YES | null |
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... | vVv | 1vwl81497o | public | contract | 1,718,983,906,814 | will-claude-35-sonnet-rank-higher-t | vVv | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtc217hRvo5DrxSz_u1Qgbbkv-2nqvvCWdszujgbw4A_=s96-c | Will Claude 3.5 Sonnet rank higher than GPT-4o on LMSYS leaderboard? | 1w7ohogehtw | null | null | null | null |
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... | vVv | 1vwl81497o | public | contract | 1,718,983,965,403 | will-claude-35-sonnet-rank-higher-t | vVv | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtc217hRvo5DrxSz_u1Qgbbkv-2nqvvCWdszujgbw4A_=s96-c | Will Claude 3.5 Sonnet rank higher than GPT-4o on LMSYS leaderboard? | null | null | null | null | null |
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... | Bruno | hNEBP19ImdDj7ugd8Ugk | public | contract | 1,718,984,013,100 | will-the-state-of-palestine-hold-a | BrunoParga | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c | Will the State of Palestine hold a fair presidential election by 2030? | null | null | null | null | null |
hpylxcdjak | false | RkAt6Um0wpX2kshaEi1RnZUdBqa2 | {
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"text": "I think that would settle as no? This specifically asked about a major mistake within the comparison, not misleading framing.",
"type": "text... | Shaked Koplewitz | id0u55fyz2 | public | contract | 1,718,984,266,162 | is-there-a-major-error-in-httpstior | ShakedKoplewitz | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghyqz276_IAbhWaYW8vIhnwIaBQDXSxB3wO9AoCLw=s96-c | Is there a major error in this transit-vs-car comparison https://ti.org/antiplanner/?p=88 ? | zclb18iy35i | 0.877858 | 349.674391 | YES | null |
iszz9t92qiq | false | dhCrgRRZIQTGtUh7edfosuFHU1F3 | {
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... | GiovaGa | Yvk7qrDuAlRs4ZtKl9Fi | public | contract | 1,718,984,558,192 | which-of-the-ten-biblical-plagues-o | GiovanniGaio | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocI5_9ld4r8jV1QllGSBJ8FBMflzLViK-KkjqGLMuZ3VryjfxQ=s96-c | 📜Which of the Ten Biblical Plagues of Egypt will strike New York City in 2024? | null | null | 107.719998 | NO | 233df5325570 |
95nst5vjq1p | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
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