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vl6u7zan98q
false
qNyAyreBy9QUeN5RwQSTSFIrLU12
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "What's the source?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
robm
KC2waG03U9I1MYy9tHmC
public
contract
1,719,068,440,204
did-ift2-or-3-use-preburner-exhaust
robm
https://firebasestorage.…c2d-4d0e2a793adf
Did IFT-2 or 3 use pre-burner exhaust to pressurize Starship fuel tanks?
null
1
96.233868
NO
null
8s69tfq8g1y
false
sDPcNq19nRb2IEcfvU3XP3QCqQ02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I just bet on all markets of ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": { "id": "a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2", ...
redcat
maa1e1p3ut
public
contract
1,719,068,569,140
will-at-least-10-traders-of-this-ma
redcat
https://firebasestorage.…35d-f375e7e7fe68
Will at least 10 traders of this market trade on all markets of at least 10 traders of this market?
null
0.195522
141.165452
NO
null
86izbvz9hka
false
9CaU0t9MS8f5chVZYX3F08t9ELc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Tight qualifying session where Verstappen narrowly loses out on Pole, still expect him to win in the long race tomorrow.", "type": "text" ...
Fedor
lo32lc5bqk
public
contract
1,719,068,696,634
f1-grand-prix-prop-bets-spain-gp-ne
Fedor
https://firebasestorage.…d6d-1b2c6bbfbc21
What will be true in the Formula 1 2024 Grand Prixs (Spain Next)
null
null
1,874.21897
NO
a4y67qljkh
q38hdmuf48k
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "There is a sense in which Z is not a word", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Bayesian
65fwoazig1
public
contract
1,719,068,778,425
will-anyone-say-any-words-starting
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Will anyone say any words starting with the letter z at the June 27th debate?
g70y17sck6o
0.68
0
YES
null
r1nc1vgzf9
false
sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Jim… this is like if you pulled up an article saying “SF grants permission to Toyota to begin testing self-driving cars” as proof that Waymo doesn’t al...
Ben Shindel
tlOBpptrUOJI6Jkjr2Y6
public
contract
1,719,068,780,433
will-at-least-10-world-cities-have
benshindel
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu22VD_r1GJh-n-cEmVyjrKEFlOdTcYxeXuYzn_4Ag=s96-c
Will at least 10 world cities have a generally available self-driving taxi service by 2025?
ato7kqp6x6q
0.789737
5,554.943407
YES
null
i7fuzf3n9d
false
0VON2byWgyS10VCUa9X3HX4s1t32
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "\"please\"", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Gordan Knott
H6UfRFm8sqjaJllJPfKk
public
contract
1,719,068,815,720
will-starship-conduct-a-manned-flig
GordanKnott
https://firebasestorage.…14a-c87addf6031a
Will Starship conduct a manned launch before 2025?
kusegf9786q
null
null
null
null
vpgn0stmm9
false
6CwPIJrQdNMswo07A0R19YILp363
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Hi ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": { "id": "rgimn3RrrPTKwTBHGUQjPJplyX72", "label": "Avocad...
James Baker
njUnGFNSFLeZgB3OQsEK
public
contract
1,719,069,359,998
will-bob-go-on-date-with-bethany-be
JamesBaker3
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJIXXxq4jvmFQ8maL0xWNL0ga_m0OYY3WdNuv58HzdcwdI=s96-c
Will Bob go on date with Bethany before June 20th?
null
0.210193
757.611171
NO
null
y8ucf8b9smf
false
sDPcNq19nRb2IEcfvU3XP3QCqQ02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Oh my God ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": { "id": "srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2", "label": ...
redcat
maa1e1p3ut
public
contract
1,719,069,607,623
will-at-least-10-traders-of-this-ma
redcat
https://firebasestorage.…35d-f375e7e7fe68
Will at least 10 traders of this market trade on all markets of at least 10 traders of this market?
null
0.348112
141.165452
NO
null
lse4yl9ae1f
false
NkVYTWX3UVUiy2z5fc1SknVeEXt2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "No answer :'( ?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
dionisos
ii4d7faxzp
public
contract
1,719,070,000,936
will-nvidia-be-the-largest-company-hl44chqzn4
dionisos
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxaBN5h-fDSn1z_PVqv7Ig7DoyQe7_sl0KXlw4bokw=s96-c
Will Nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap at the end of 2024?
rl14p9mmzbq
0.554361
171.052098
YES
null
cvkrer4mlzw
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "You DONT have to do it. I bet up assuming some people with few markets would come along and make this doable.", "type": "text" } ...
Bayesian
maa1e1p3ut
public
contract
1,719,070,244,010
will-at-least-10-traders-of-this-ma
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Will at least 10 traders of this market trade on all markets of at least 10 traders of this market?
y8ucf8b9smf
0.348112
89.774938
YES
null
5jnxx8o5pv9
false
sDPcNq19nRb2IEcfvU3XP3QCqQ02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I've already started! ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
redcat
maa1e1p3ut
public
contract
1,719,070,278,253
will-at-least-10-traders-of-this-ma
redcat
https://firebasestorage.…35d-f375e7e7fe68
Will at least 10 traders of this market trade on all markets of at least 10 traders of this market?
y8ucf8b9smf
0.348112
141.165452
NO
null
lpb5eqdqpo
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Noooo! The costs have been sunk!!!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Bayesian
maa1e1p3ut
public
contract
1,719,070,337,214
will-at-least-10-traders-of-this-ma
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Will at least 10 traders of this market trade on all markets of at least 10 traders of this market?
y8ucf8b9smf
0.348112
89.774938
YES
null
ccuplzr6bfm
false
NkVYTWX3UVUiy2z5fc1SknVeEXt2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "They are lying, or they got their epistemology all wrong, or they mean something else by \"evidence\", or it is just a figure of speech.", "t...
dionisos
4MkPyu5D9MRLPREODSD7
public
contract
1,719,070,662,566
did-covid19-come-from-a-laboratory
dionisos
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxaBN5h-fDSn1z_PVqv7Ig7DoyQe7_sl0KXlw4bokw=s96-c
Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?
bwa3q6gl9p5
0.564342
254.892464
YES
null
p8cnjlo72a
false
sDPcNq19nRb2IEcfvU3XP3QCqQ02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I don't want to fall for a fallacy. Therefore, I will bet on all your markets except one.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "...
redcat
maa1e1p3ut
public
contract
1,719,071,196,007
will-at-least-10-traders-of-this-ma
redcat
https://firebasestorage.…35d-f375e7e7fe68
Will at least 10 traders of this market trade on all markets of at least 10 traders of this market?
y8ucf8b9smf
0.332371
141.165452
NO
null
91osgyijbcv
false
yjrqu7KK6cajU398dQxMufYKqJ22
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "So biden would not burn down the world? Have you lived under a rock? US strength projection is at altime low after second world war and socialist and c...
milcaunicorn
ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf
public
contract
1,719,071,574,399
who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
milcaunicorn
https://firebasestorage.…3d0-aa91cdcfde1a
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
ntrzafgaarm
null
null
null
null
r9llk1dqubn
false
LYR0RNU6uJMXbBy1qBeGGmMdwgQ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573", "label": "mods", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Axel Røthing-Cano
ioj7cMhN86k9pqmk54iJ
public
contract
1,719,071,740,850
sundar-pichai-will-remain-the-ceo-o
AxelRthingCano
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIE6mwkmvbgtS7eiZMufNbLwUDjzzA3Ie-r2-IfHNcp=s96-c
Sundar Pichai will remain the CEO of Google through end of 2024
null
0.877757
372.028668
YES
null
pgsikb72uf
false
YbnECWNY20NMmfBiN4Tk3HLmWKu2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Declan Bransfield
ia2u2bkhen
public
contract
1,719,071,877,098
will-manifold-break-2000-engaged-us
DeclanBransfield
https://firebasestorage.…136-09a3b03b076b
Will Manifold break 2000 engaged users by the end of 2024?
vi7293dhpda
null
null
null
null
5tn3rd3wxot
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "i was too shy and embarrassed ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
i6ccx0a846
public
contract
1,719,073,110,444
what-is-the-most-sensitive-part-of-7iclnu5whd
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
What is the most sensitive part of the human body?
kduzkjs8ncj
null
null
null
null
510nmjg76qs
false
VTH7czHKuDRDBwjC2XFWPsqg6dj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Manifold mentioned in WaPo:", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": ...
Al Quinn
1sQFF7liE5Iw5ePbH3GM
public
contract
1,719,073,206,157
will-jimmy-carter-become-a-centenar
AlQuinn
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp46gOxO4QNQsQ8T4KOcwIwbRQPb2PvzEwr7f8nE=s96-c
Will Jimmy Carter become a centenarian?
null
0.56
2,497.811513
NO
null
11nuaftyokp
false
kg2vRQFSJ9aSZebFoLRkbfUlrqL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Extant species?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
😸
FQrUP70GluewKqMOlC7c
public
contract
1,719,073,220,195
will-a-new-species-of-monkey-be-dis
SCS
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fl70bi%2FLmIna_j0eW.11?alt=media&token=30c49838-b87d-47c3-a605-4574d09e491c
Will a new species of Monkey be discovered by the end of 2025?
null
null
null
null
null
j0lll8w8lt
false
nsrFthgmf4YAnxy0rKGxQtIKq0A2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Teams score goals, not tournaments.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Gaz Downright
UQIVR5EPgi2JSmHoWB5C
public
contract
1,719,073,566,091
uefa-euro-cup-2024-tournament-prop
GazDownright
https://firebasestorage.…03d-44c57f8e25b1
UEFA Euro Cup 2024 Tournament Prop Bets ⚽ LIVE!
oe2cyx6brtj
null
1,700.792135
YES
rr95gvgn8p
80h3i7ssy1p
false
rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "UT1vHSGiCbfZHIRpm6ZvYhFphws1", "label": "JonathanRay", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mentio...
Bruno
9QsfOW232lNnFj6ASRrZ
public
contract
1,719,074,003,004
what-is-worse-than-financial-crimes
BrunoParga
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c
What is worse than committing a financial crime?
null
null
null
null
null
jkjygleeaej
false
jZUBm9inM5W8zeSJDPClYNVLAcv2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Musk: \"The payload for all the flights this year is data\" (Tim Dodd interview)", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph...
Jess Riedel
7DQ4DndELA96ntMFJEDb
public
contract
1,719,074,088,311
when-will-starship-first-launch-wit
JessRiedel
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtekvmOko5m7kKrx2fT2UZEzaEFrrwqJqTV6R6kPNhTwUQE=s96-c
When will Starship first launch with useful payload?
null
null
457.915408
NO
q3gqhccjme
k5cjwts3pw
false
UT1vHSGiCbfZHIRpm6ZvYhFphws1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "nice! I was just basing this on double the minimum wage which is ~$2/day", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ...
Jonathan Ray
9QsfOW232lNnFj6ASRrZ
public
contract
1,719,074,122,220
what-is-worse-than-financial-crimes
JonathanRay
https://firebasestorage.…4e6-c893d48ec660
What is worse than committing a financial crime?
80h3i7ssy1p
null
1,062.402025
YES
62cc028c3547
fg1tbmupsr9
false
AeBvsJ1vhEQAWTZ3TvdZCtyAc7S2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": "", "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "lan...
Nat
asipPSfytvLZ2NCQu6Fw
public
contract
1,719,074,209,530
should-i-ask-out-my-crushwho-also-h
Nat
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLQiPbh_DxrLlPxnGERX27JKVxmY1R7KNXsjag8WjbVIyY=s96-c
Should i ask out my crush? Who also happens to be my best friend 🙂
ot5og8ghm0q
1
11.806468
NO
null
9zlemv6op1s
false
zghUFlG4NuZ9tCjV2zRBaBi4WS92
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Is there a 2024 version of these markets? ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Rana G
eEOZvwphLtDB1h3Iw1j7
public
contract
1,719,074,331,187
will-we-decide-that-moving-to-sf-wa
RanaG
https://firebasestorage.…467-518727e6e592
Will we decide that moving to SF was a good idea?
null
null
null
null
null
gskg6ttjzyk
false
KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The shares outstanding at 28 April 2024 were 2459million", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": ...
Christopher Randles
ii4d7faxzp
public
contract
1,719,074,414,869
will-nvidia-be-the-largest-company-hl44chqzn4
ChristopherRandles
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c
Will Nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap at the end of 2024?
rl14p9mmzbq
0.464205
170.293819
YES
null
kpcjinnj3a
false
mZKaAbBA5iNEOKJBU0BrluyX8n83
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "HLS was mentioned in part 1, so that answer should resolve YES. ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "...
Simon Westlake
CKuP5LDl4wv70nTg7Yxx
public
contract
1,719,074,529,031
what-will-be-true-of-the-everyday-a
SimonWestlake
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocI6iDk5AS4j1o_3L_kt2oVHYo_s-gOCd0dsz1kKbmUd-B6rug=s96-c
What will be true of the Everyday Astronaut 's Starbase tour with Elon Musk about IFT 4?
null
null
336.863489
YES
1ya54a31iz
6f2h1o99jvr
false
qNyAyreBy9QUeN5RwQSTSFIrLU12
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
robm
lwTN4mEB9rHSs9OiJLTJ
public
contract
1,719,074,697,541
will-boeings-starliner-return-with
robm
https://firebasestorage.…c2d-4d0e2a793adf
Will Boeing's Starliner return with an astronaut?
null
0.92906
899.675528
NO
null
o8hxg3g6js
false
uyFbHRn5q9fq9DFSoHXIAhw7KrD3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "yeah i am watching and resolving as we go", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
notarealuser
CKuP5LDl4wv70nTg7Yxx
public
contract
1,719,074,730,742
what-will-be-true-of-the-everyday-a
notarealuser
https://firebasestorage.…8ad-29a00de78354
What will be true of the Everyday Astronaut 's Starbase tour with Elon Musk about IFT 4?
kpcjinnj3a
null
86.593053
NO
6e0uvf6zig
bm6zbm3h058
false
VTH7czHKuDRDBwjC2XFWPsqg6dj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": "", "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "lan...
Al Quinn
lwTN4mEB9rHSs9OiJLTJ
public
contract
1,719,074,744,752
will-boeings-starliner-return-with
AlQuinn
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp46gOxO4QNQsQ8T4KOcwIwbRQPb2PvzEwr7f8nE=s96-c
Will Boeing's Starliner return with an astronaut?
6f2h1o99jvr
0.92906
1,302.299052
NO
null
5sn69592jky
false
rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "9gBkOzYZQAUG7Mj7EFTFFza0lw22", "label": "Jan53274", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Bruno
dephm0dak5
public
contract
1,719,074,838,476
what-will-be-true-about-the-europea
BrunoParga
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c
What will be true about the European Union before 2040? [add responses]
null
null
null
null
null
ev56hnabhbc
false
rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "9gBkOzYZQAUG7Mj7EFTFFza0lw22", "label": "Jan53274", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Bruno
dephm0dak5
public
contract
1,719,074,863,321
what-will-be-true-about-the-europea
BrunoParga
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c
What will be true about the European Union before 2040? [add responses]
null
null
null
null
null
umm0ecfnffm
false
rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "No mana to add this, but:", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": nu...
Bruno
dephm0dak5
public
contract
1,719,075,011,272
what-will-be-true-about-the-europea
BrunoParga
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c
What will be true about the European Union before 2040? [add responses]
null
null
null
null
null
d7odtyl241m
false
9gBkOzYZQAUG7Mj7EFTFFza0lw22
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Where do I express opinions?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Jan
dephm0dak5
public
contract
1,719,075,025,702
what-will-be-true-about-the-europea
Jan53274
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLZcSW6bpjqDQvELRglfn-UDKtyWOEMRwTOdJHuRLELfCA=s96-c
What will be true about the European Union before 2040? [add responses]
ev56hnabhbc
null
null
null
null
8m8wm48wnuo
false
kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Some submissions ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, ...
Ernie
lzwiyoeyZyK9BabJbjju
public
contract
1,719,075,098,595
manifold-competition-state-vanity-l
Ernie
https://firebasestorage.…761-3d26c24f8466
[Manifold Competition] State Vanity License Plate Civil War
null
null
null
null
null
qfe7kvcjcaq
false
rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "You don't. That's just a rhetorical way of saying that a Union-wide minimum wage is bad for workers because it contradicts the Nordic model.", ...
Bruno
dephm0dak5
public
contract
1,719,075,118,559
what-will-be-true-about-the-europea
BrunoParga
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c
What will be true about the European Union before 2040? [add responses]
ev56hnabhbc
null
null
null
null
3w7ruemgily
false
AeBvsJ1vhEQAWTZ3TvdZCtyAc7S2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Has this class presentation occurred yet?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Nat
ocjxF6wo1UupN74WliuH
public
contract
1,719,075,170,809
will-1-person-make-a-manifold-accou
Nat
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLQiPbh_DxrLlPxnGERX27JKVxmY1R7KNXsjag8WjbVIyY=s96-c
Will >1 person make a Manifold account as a result of my class presentation heavily promoting it?
null
null
null
null
null
1t9n2qrxi8c
false
kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
Ernie
lzwiyoeyZyK9BabJbjju
public
contract
1,719,075,298,562
manifold-competition-state-vanity-l
Ernie
https://firebasestorage.…761-3d26c24f8466
[Manifold Competition] State Vanity License Plate Civil War
null
null
null
null
null
0mduhiad16g
false
HrA6GjQdKRa7rFaDe0NlcftnDt02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I've extended the timer to the end of July due to indefinite extension by Nasa. ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph...
Timothy Bandors
lwTN4mEB9rHSs9OiJLTJ
public
contract
1,719,075,299,299
will-boeings-starliner-return-with
TimothyBandors
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcw5cD4NDESa0IBg9dcxZMuZHrXSqKGycGYx3y_noFFKqs=s96-c
Will Boeing's Starliner return with an astronaut?
null
null
null
null
null
1cm5ak0vuk
false
kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
Ernie
lzwiyoeyZyK9BabJbjju
public
contract
1,719,075,344,869
manifold-competition-state-vanity-l
Ernie
https://firebasestorage.…761-3d26c24f8466
[Manifold Competition] State Vanity License Plate Civil War
null
null
null
null
null
fk8bvfoic5h
false
kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
Ernie
lzwiyoeyZyK9BabJbjju
public
contract
1,719,075,389,967
manifold-competition-state-vanity-l
Ernie
https://firebasestorage.…761-3d26c24f8466
[Manifold Competition] State Vanity License Plate Civil War
null
null
null
null
null
juo4rbtv90k
false
HrA6GjQdKRa7rFaDe0NlcftnDt02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "😆 good luck", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Timothy Bandors
lwTN4mEB9rHSs9OiJLTJ
public
contract
1,719,075,401,948
will-boeings-starliner-return-with
TimothyBandors
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcw5cD4NDESa0IBg9dcxZMuZHrXSqKGycGYx3y_noFFKqs=s96-c
Will Boeing's Starliner return with an astronaut?
5ezz6zzhgoa
null
null
null
null
k1q3stfhpmi
false
kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
Ernie
lzwiyoeyZyK9BabJbjju
public
contract
1,719,075,412,245
manifold-competition-state-vanity-l
Ernie
https://firebasestorage.…761-3d26c24f8466
[Manifold Competition] State Vanity License Plate Civil War
null
null
null
null
null
mnnhom72xi
false
HrA6GjQdKRa7rFaDe0NlcftnDt02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Does this resolve yes if Trump says \"Your son\" to biden? Ie", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { ...
Timothy Bandors
td6ztwn0s4
public
contract
1,719,075,641,144
will-trump-bring-up-hunter-biden-in
TimothyBandors
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcw5cD4NDESa0IBg9dcxZMuZHrXSqKGycGYx3y_noFFKqs=s96-c
Will Trump mention Hunter Biden in the debate?
null
0.61059
80.917485
YES
null
xzr05ivdpf
false
4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "we'll still resolve it at the end of 2024 or when he steps down", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "t...
jackson polack
ioj7cMhN86k9pqmk54iJ
public
contract
1,719,075,658,381
sundar-pichai-will-remain-the-ceo-o
jacksonpolack
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c
Sundar Pichai will remain the CEO of Google through end of 2024
r9llk1dqubn
0.877757
83.333333
YES
null
ljwgxn1hfr
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "oh, all this time I haven't been submitting anything from states I knew were claimed but now I see the rules changed and it's good to keep submitting �...
stefanie
lzwiyoeyZyK9BabJbjju
public
contract
1,719,075,832,122
manifold-competition-state-vanity-l
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…221-72113ad45c7e
[Manifold Competition] State Vanity License Plate Civil War
null
null
83.893468
YES
77925a6265c6
1tjlpytv7sg
false
XtJuqIcTwEa5WnmBtmypEKyjlfu1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2", "label": "AmmonLam", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Henri Thunberg
5pRvbEy5uYaVR6mANMiT
public
contract
1,719,076,506,326
will-barack-obama-make-12-or-more-t-6dde0a3aea07
HenriThunberg
https://firebasestorage.…fa3-77eaaa8c1e8b
Will Barack Obama make 12 or more Twitter(X) posts in Jun 2024?
null
0.982267
1,074.375025
YES
null
og99nbfpamb
false
4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "you have a beautiful mind", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
jackson polack
h9m2x4pr94
public
contract
1,719,076,611,455
will-costin-alamariu-ever-become-pr
jacksonpolack
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c
Will Costin Alamariu ever become president of the USA?
null
null
null
null
null
pnkz5to2udj
false
AeBvsJ1vhEQAWTZ3TvdZCtyAc7S2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Did you intend for this market to close already?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Nat
4UyJ4lCOr3xZzBNkte3w
public
contract
1,719,076,726,869
how-far-will-the-5th-starship-test
Nat
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLQiPbh_DxrLlPxnGERX27JKVxmY1R7KNXsjag8WjbVIyY=s96-c
How far will the 5th Starship test get before exploding?
null
null
null
null
null
g3zes0czo7s
false
jZUBm9inM5W8zeSJDPClYNVLAcv2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "As mentioned the above, it's the everyday astronaut interview. Now available on YouTube. See about 27:30: ", "type": "text" }, ...
Jess Riedel
KC2waG03U9I1MYy9tHmC
public
contract
1,719,076,859,005
did-ift2-or-3-use-preburner-exhaust
JessRiedel
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtekvmOko5m7kKrx2fT2UZEzaEFrrwqJqTV6R6kPNhTwUQE=s96-c
Did IFT-2 or 3 use pre-burner exhaust to pressurize Starship fuel tanks?
vl6u7zan98q
1
97.024649
YES
null
85cfpmd6dcv
false
KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "June 22nd", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text"...
Christopher Randles
am8jfkzrz1
public
contract
1,719,077,574,141
will-elon-musk-make-2-or-more-tweet-qbcfvz1byc
ChristopherRandles
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c
Will Elon Musk make 2 or more Tweeter(X) posts "today" between 9am to 9pm CST
null
null
1,226.150922
YES
rca2ufr52l
9wt55g09a6p
false
yjrqu7KK6cajU398dQxMufYKqJ22
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Know what happens then, you would kill courage of every freedom promoting crypto platforms devs. One can say good by to freedom if civil suit that can ...
milcaunicorn
IlMXb2LgVketC4kjgkas
public
contract
1,719,077,753,485
will-richard-heart-richard-james-sc-7cc51b6804e6
milcaunicorn
https://firebasestorage.…3d0-aa91cdcfde1a
Will Richard Heart (Richard James Schueler) be charged of any felony crime before 2030?
BoVg4qUA9U0liCHcvwYb
null
null
null
null
rh55gdrgwxi
false
GSBHngag3UTwsdIcS0rfnKL07qB2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "We need a question on if R(3,...,3) is exponential or not.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type":...
Nathan Wei
CEmgVDjQ6kRIRWRXEGaE
public
contract
1,719,077,850,953
will-the-5-5-ramsey-number-by-known
nathanwei
https://firebasestorage.…47c-77836969b89a
Will the [5, 5] Ramsey number by known before 2040?
null
null
null
null
null
nkqechzf52
false
YbnECWNY20NMmfBiN4Tk3HLmWKu2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": null, "type": "italic" } ], "text": "Nippon Steel sees path toward U.S. Steel deal after No...
Declan Bransfield
mjPLRyMHLx5FVSnXhhvg
public
contract
1,719,078,277,979
will-nippon-steels-deal-to-acquire
DeclanBransfield
https://firebasestorage.…136-09a3b03b076b
Will Nippon Steel’s deal to acquire U.S. Steel gain all required regulatory approvals?
null
0.15
541.004781
NO
null
eepnsohsorh
false
1PVc5zJffsU794fvWTh4Pu44gRm1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Sorry I didn't see your question until now. I had two thoughts with this market. First, my understanding is that a pardon can only apply to a federal c...
Amit Amin
SHcgOjPm9IM4QrGK61jo
public
contract
1,719,078,583,928
if-trump-selfpardons-will-the-supre
AmitAmin
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GhyRzCqZX6zr7yBu-6V6Lu23-PJOQheYtNTBcT_=s96-c
If Trump self-pardons, will the Supreme Court rule the action unconstitutional?
gn0a5mrpfqm
0.5
0
YES
null
q00g5hxdwi
false
JsoHnF7zq8Phr6J0K2qKXimVcrs2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ICJTd6fnXcMsRSj6LrkDcQq7YSV2", "label": "Jim", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Shai
gffoEWwKUc5NIG4cYgZH
public
contract
1,719,078,663,307
will-trump-and-biden-shake-hands-at
Shai
https://firebasestorage.…f38-e2c9873ba7d7
Will Trump and Biden shake hands at the first debate in June?
71zqtx7lghr
0.502217
2,145.887751
YES
null
f8dw9m1csl5
false
rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Way too late already.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Bruno
kyHNkoCTe8K1m5obnlW5
public
contract
1,719,078,981,793
will-there-be-another-scottish-inde
BrunoParga
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c
Will there be another Scottish Independence referendum by 2026?
null
0.107807
1.112478
NO
null
voeobpmro7a
false
KNqZAiItmVTCX0LzUcj8Twg7tnh1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2", "label": "egroj", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
snazzlePop
XeEt9xPkVcG5tXLhBOxj
public
contract
1,719,079,294,007
will-an-mdmaassisted-therapy-for-tr
snazzlePop
https://firebasestorage.…4df-4312e7a7f92b
Will an MDMA-Assisted Therapy for Treatment of PTSD be approved by the FDA before the summer of 2024?
null
0.021241
5,926.145359
NO
null
q4v2lur851b
false
YbnECWNY20NMmfBiN4Tk3HLmWKu2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "A multiple choice market based on the Presidential election would be interesting:", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragrap...
Declan Bransfield
mjPLRyMHLx5FVSnXhhvg
public
contract
1,719,079,368,960
will-nippon-steels-deal-to-acquire
DeclanBransfield
https://firebasestorage.…136-09a3b03b076b
Will Nippon Steel’s deal to acquire U.S. Steel gain all required regulatory approvals?
null
0.15
541.004781
NO
null
q6vuynftzt
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "no to acne and herpes i think, would need to be a different skin condition ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" ...
chris (strutheo)
Yvk7qrDuAlRs4ZtKl9Fi
public
contract
1,719,079,717,078
which-of-the-ten-biblical-plagues-o
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
📜Which of the Ten Biblical Plagues of Egypt will strike New York City in 2024?
fwl6311j4gr
null
13.704574
NO
7e5da4acf91c
ta6460v2pv
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "basic market", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
BNzZGfHhCWUF98e0WPV6
public
contract
1,719,079,730,264
will-another-banjo-kazooie-game-be
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will another Banjo Kazooie game be released or announced before June 1st 2025?
null
null
null
null
null
f3rgzx3czni
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "close to this date: ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": { "id": "nvbwctisu2", "label": "/struth...
chris (strutheo)
RxR5grRyVrDm0wtzhAuM
public
contract
1,719,079,893,730
will-gpt5-be-released-before-2025
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will GPT-5 be released before 2025?
null
null
null
null
null
uvg6hlbrjhm
false
RkAt6Um0wpX2kshaEi1RnZUdBqa2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "They will die on the same day, like Adams and Jefferson ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "...
Shaked Koplewitz
DKcv46CC9GBFA2BQ4Oco
public
contract
1,719,079,897,516
will-either-donald-trump-or-joe-bid
ShakedKoplewitz
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghyqz276_IAbhWaYW8vIhnwIaBQDXSxB3wO9AoCLw=s96-c
Will either Donald Trump or Joe Biden attend the other's funeral?
null
null
null
null
null
s24p9cpi83o
false
WetAYdhsYpX8uoFR7btWx6wElMK2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "He’ll probably mention him in the first ten minutes…", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc"...
constantine+-
td6ztwn0s4
public
contract
1,719,080,040,767
will-trump-bring-up-hunter-biden-in
constantine
https://firebasestorage.…32c-58631d0defe2
Will Trump mention Hunter Biden in the debate?
null
0.805794
647.955512
YES
null
q74zte97cl
false
P6XpUpKbtlZ4B7jaFjYT3eKF07y2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "What if the leaderboard gets updated at this day? Will the new or old version of the leaderboard count? ", "type": "text" } ], ...
notune
oiulzk2n00
public
contract
1,719,080,226,145
where-will-anthropics-claude-35-son
notune
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fnotune%2FZqoeQ1d4gW.27?alt=media&token=e89841b8-0480-4048-ad6c-636762b6788a
Where will Anthropic's Claude 3.5 Sonnet model rank on LMSys Chatbot Arena on July 7th? Ahead of GPT, Gemini?
null
null
65.052984
YES
7l752hnki9
bvayawsz69
false
0k1suGSJKVUnHbCPEhHNpgZPkUP2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I genuinely like the first post! I didn't just heart it for friend-nepotism reasons!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "parag...
Sinclair Chen
1ab825kfr4
public
contract
1,719,080,298,753
how-many-people-will-subscribe-to-m
Sinclair
https://firebasestorage.…39f-fbdfef31a3ac
How many people will subscribe to my Substack in the next week?
null
null
null
null
null
q1b42nkmsz
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Boeing about to retaliate against this guy 🥲", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { ...
stefanie
IVHHY0nWlko9MCE8aAnR
public
contract
1,719,080,316,799
will-a-third-boeing-whistleblower-d-d9e1164aa2e6
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…221-72113ad45c7e
Will a third Boeing whistleblower die before the end of Halloween?
null
null
null
null
null
0u949qyeh7p
false
iXPkCXt5EQZ78Yqz03MqWsXpD122
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I’ll use the first screenshot I can get with 7/7 date according to the LMSys website. ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "par...
Niko
oiulzk2n00
public
contract
1,719,080,511,399
where-will-anthropics-claude-35-son
Moscow25
https://firebasestorage.…c7e-93270a85b3ad
Where will Anthropic's Claude 3.5 Sonnet model rank on LMSys Chatbot Arena on July 7th? Ahead of GPT, Gemini?
q74zte97cl
null
762.486461
NO
xwnodwmv3u
ajus4spxnue
false
OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
SirCryptomind
5bspd4Kx9spEydEU9GHe
public
contract
1,719,080,592,119
what-event-will-happen-first-nhl-ch
SirCryptomind
https://firebasestorage.…340-2fe2428b1394
What Event Will Happen First: NHL Champion is Crowned OR Verstappen <1 Finish?
null
null
null
null
null
79qiwpmd8pk
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "(will it count for this market if he mysteriously dies? lol)", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type...
stefanie
IVHHY0nWlko9MCE8aAnR
public
contract
1,719,080,604,659
will-a-third-boeing-whistleblower-d-d9e1164aa2e6
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…221-72113ad45c7e
Will a third Boeing whistleblower die before the end of Halloween?
q1b42nkmsz
null
null
null
null
4mi8gw5ehd6
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "delete the image please ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": { "id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573", ...
chris (strutheo)
wcqjkvv47g
public
contract
1,719,080,754,687
which-ai-will-be-the-best-at-the-en
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Which AI will be the best at the end of 2024?
37koz0283g
null
318.691471
YES
edlvkqqell
3dlq3mdc20w
false
5LZ4LgYuySdL1huCWe7bti02ghx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Thanks Sinclair!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
James
1ab825kfr4
public
contract
1,719,080,875,915
how-many-people-will-subscribe-to-m
JamesGrugett
https://firebasestorage.…e65-9d8b4836eb03
How many people will subscribe to my Substack in the next week?
bvayawsz69
null
8,656.004775
YES
cyl7npflao
ybm2kkpsjn
false
EIV7jGjL3jhXPJmief8lB37F8su2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "streak bonuses", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Pat Myron
NEpTIkMlf9EZY9PBTyB3
public
contract
1,719,081,159,133
arbitrary-arbitrage-market-1-out-of
PatMyron
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FPatMyron%2FTwhMJnB6r7.7s-47px?alt=media&token=eaf328f2-64ea-4238-a4a1-b96a1eab91a2
Arbitrary arbitrage market 1 out of 2
2xd3Cc325zGndY5fZpwD
0.6
0
NO
null
qkfy5srywu
false
K0l9JnD5DcPqyfloiKWIHbK8klD3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Maybe 75% of.yesterday", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Tetra
hr1nrp686f
public
contract
1,719,081,352,365
will-tetras-ear-feel-worse-tomorrow
Tetraspace
https://firebasestorage.…4a7-b7343519b16f
Will Tetra's ear feel worse tomorrow?
null
null
null
null
null
pxypypjkkl
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Impressive, though I suspect we won't get 10 people doing it :(", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "t...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
maa1e1p3ut
public
contract
1,719,081,673,243
will-at-least-10-traders-of-this-ma
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Will at least 10 traders of this market trade on all markets of at least 10 traders of this market?
8s69tfq8g1y
0.332371
12.378274
NO
null
cfafycm7w6o
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "upgraded", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
5cgetiph65
public
contract
1,719,081,742,161
will-bitcoin-reach-80k-before-chat
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will Bitcoin reach $80K before Chat GPT 5 Releases?
null
null
null
null
null
73e41p6eot8
false
rNVW9sNdznbeEiOEvWjw0ZmMSXZ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Technically multiple could fully resolve to YES if there is a tie, and even if there's not a tie it's also possible that many will resolve pretty high ...
blue rat
putooiagfa
public
contract
1,719,081,786,699
which-beliefs-are-the-most-rational
bluerat
https://firebasestorage.…d80-4da51f53b651
Which beliefs are the most rationalist?
toa4jy2k67
null
null
null
null
6kmzvsdsjql
false
4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "i'm pretty sure i did hide this one earlier? it shows as hidden for me now", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" ...
jackson polack
wcqjkvv47g
public
contract
1,719,082,135,209
which-ai-will-be-the-best-at-the-en
jacksonpolack
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c
Which AI will be the best at the end of 2024?
37koz0283g
null
null
null
null
ipxv4obkua
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "can i delete them though??", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
wcqjkvv47g
public
contract
1,719,082,418,376
which-ai-will-be-the-best-at-the-en
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Which AI will be the best at the end of 2024?
37koz0283g
null
318.691471
YES
edlvkqqell
i0g1268tfq
false
hIMCU8obvLSeOQm07kqvPkD2lVm2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "what if we can abstract, and model the neurons as spikes + control mechanisms + ion concentration densities + randomization, and non-neuronal effects s...
Garrett Baker
otIwVPvCPLaNkYPw1DMB
public
contract
1,719,082,426,039
is-the-brain-quantum
GarrettBaker
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GjoFmf8O1o7c4jUCbaWIlJo80o0-6Iu7DZbNVOOhx4=s96-c
Is the brain quantum?
null
0.335281
7.36021
NO
null
lfjkzfexxca
false
4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "deleting comments is not a thing right now! we've asked the admins", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], ...
jackson polack
wcqjkvv47g
public
contract
1,719,082,437,716
which-ai-will-be-the-best-at-the-en
jacksonpolack
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c
Which AI will be the best at the end of 2024?
37koz0283g
null
null
null
null
e9wlxhiru28
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Done back to you in kind", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
maa1e1p3ut
public
contract
1,719,082,440,309
will-at-least-10-traders-of-this-ma
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Will at least 10 traders of this market trade on all markets of at least 10 traders of this market?
8s69tfq8g1y
0.332371
12.378274
NO
null
i9lvzf0wqwn
false
04wvS0E3jSZCB9PgL6IKCWKDEMi2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Technically, this question ought to say \"Paris\" or \"Metropolitan France\": Tahiti is in France (in the overseas collectivity of French Polynesia).",...
Ij Kayone
aar07ip4ef
public
contract
1,719,083,120,770
during-the-2024-summer-olympics-wil
ijk1
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtdhu4bCTNc1n-E1g0iffYUWC8ePwAl4pFxyvk4YrUxDTOLE=s96-c
During the 2024 Summer Olympics, will someone mistakenly travel to France for the surfing events?
null
null
null
null
null
xon8or8nekj
false
UAybp5Bg2JWQFmKZCqv1DEllms23
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I mean i would like to…..but I don’t think that would be possible🙃"...
Madhav Kumar
asipPSfytvLZ2NCQu6Fw
public
contract
1,719,083,163,464
should-i-ask-out-my-crushwho-also-h
MadhavKumar
https://storage.googleap…Cqv1DEllms23.png
Should i ask out my crush? Who also happens to be my best friend 🙂
ot5og8ghm0q
null
null
null
null
317cyhkc094
false
04wvS0E3jSZCB9PgL6IKCWKDEMi2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Hey everybody, let's conspire to make this really boring!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": ...
Ij Kayone
oxgcx054ee
public
contract
1,719,083,244,012
time-machine-coin-flip-coin-1
ijk1
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtdhu4bCTNc1n-E1g0iffYUWC8ePwAl4pFxyvk4YrUxDTOLE=s96-c
Time Machine Coin Flip: Coin 1
null
0.5
24.174689
NO
null
asbzcvhvzen
false
rNVW9sNdznbeEiOEvWjw0ZmMSXZ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "GwfhBrAEukcYZBxp9QEE7J5BkM83", "label": "MaxKammerman", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "menti...
blue rat
putooiagfa
public
contract
1,719,083,270,913
which-beliefs-are-the-most-rational
bluerat
https://firebasestorage.…d80-4da51f53b651
Which beliefs are the most rationalist?
null
null
null
null
null
zojvqykle9a
false
sDPcNq19nRb2IEcfvU3XP3QCqQ02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Thanks!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
redcat
maa1e1p3ut
public
contract
1,719,083,333,289
will-at-least-10-traders-of-this-ma
redcat
https://firebasestorage.…35d-f375e7e7fe68
Will at least 10 traders of this market trade on all markets of at least 10 traders of this market?
8s69tfq8g1y
0.332371
141.165452
NO
null
v464wcm623
false
mZKaAbBA5iNEOKJBU0BrluyX8n83
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Does a dedicated catching tower count as the chopsticks?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "...
Simon Westlake
ReT9HBnmbIDrvxkyy7Gu
public
contract
1,719,083,474,036
will-spacex-attempt-a-catch-with-th-ad6d782dd262
SimonWestlake
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocI6iDk5AS4j1o_3L_kt2oVHYo_s-gOCd0dsz1kKbmUd-B6rug=s96-c
Will SpaceX attempt a 'catch' with the 'chopsticks' on Starship's seventh 'orbital' test flight?
null
null
null
null
null
esrx3p62pk
false
OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Orange/Papaya at it again!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, ...
SirCryptomind
5bspd4Kx9spEydEU9GHe
public
contract
1,719,083,569,797
what-event-will-happen-first-nhl-ch
SirCryptomind
https://firebasestorage.…340-2fe2428b1394
What Event Will Happen First: NHL Champion is Crowned OR Verstappen <1 Finish?
null
null
null
null
null
pw7iherxn
false
OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": "", "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null...
SirCryptomind
5bspd4Kx9spEydEU9GHe
public
contract
1,719,083,655,886
what-event-will-happen-first-nhl-ch
SirCryptomind
https://firebasestorage.…340-2fe2428b1394
What Event Will Happen First: NHL Champion is Crowned OR Verstappen <1 Finish?
4x5a1iofses
null
null
null
null
l38uzdwq1r
false
F7bJQkcsn7RybKyVQY73zTjGkj02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "It won’t", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Alexander Favvas
a1dex5bwF19qXJGSL7U7
public
contract
1,719,083,983,495
does-god-exist
AlexanderFavvas
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJu-z9bBCp1g1S6muIfAquA2eTy8aXgezttxsr4DyZQEaSyoKtpAg=s96-c
Does God exist?
m4anr3jrvms
null
null
null
null
2wy13yo4m6k
false
cDzkzLtyW3VCfKWYsKOF6iKsuV92
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I would be willing to bet against us having a definitive answer to this question on almost arbitrary timeline.", "type": "text" } ...
Project Victory
mw9GE6pkfDuqHeDq5jv9
public
contract
1,719,084,136,739
matter-and-energy-are-finite-within
ProjectVictory
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocI4y0VVuOG8tCfdABrtBsS8cUQ6Me5av07oSlAEEoT8=s96-c
Matter and energy are finite within our universe.
null
null
null
null
null
cbe0l95obx
false
mZKaAbBA5iNEOKJBU0BrluyX8n83
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Not very, based on the description", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Simon Westlake
gGnxdT90w0mxEPTVwD9S
public
contract
1,719,084,149,139
will-elon-musk-endorse-donald-trump
SimonWestlake
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocI6iDk5AS4j1o_3L_kt2oVHYo_s-gOCd0dsz1kKbmUd-B6rug=s96-c
Will Elon Musk endorse Donald Trump for 2024 presidency?
u951npya0ac
0.45
124.658621
YES
null
punnmm1xba
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573", "label": "mods", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Ziddletwix
Ma0dKTwgUugrONk3mH0A
public
contract
1,719,084,380,384
who-is-going-to-win-the-nba-champio
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
who is going to win the nba championship?
gnsbhowjnk
null
206.982062
NO
2a8fa2b7c151
59rxxtfod8g
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573", "label": "mods", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Ziddletwix
Y8xY2r82WF6Ja262VV3G
public
contract
1,719,084,428,585
when-will-manifold-reach-9000-month
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
When will Manifold Reach 9000 Monthly Active Users?
null
null
826.643194
NO
8585938cfef9
6wypx1qqvvl
false
JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Ryan Moore won his 11th Royal Ascot title", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Stuart Slagle
VkTpKXYlVWKZkfBWRmbg
public
contract
1,719,084,447,756
which-jockey-will-win-the-most-2024
ovals
https://firebasestorage.…998-09d34fa58717
Which Jockey Will Win The Most 2024 Royal Ascot Races?
null
null
538.758877
NO
3fpymquwk4
tnkwr419a0r
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573", "label": "mods", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Ziddletwix
zcQRz2rzw479D8MCXvaJ
public
contract
1,719,084,573,917
will-any-vibecampvibeclipse-related
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Will any vibecamp/vibeclipse related markets wind up with over 500 total unique traders?
q6o6wpqx4wr
0.014647
4,060.737377
NO
null
qdwh1zxnde
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573", "label": "mods", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Ziddletwix
l5PZ87dg7funDjvy42Wj
public
contract
1,719,084,596,492
will-the-2024-nba-finals-be-decided
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Will the 2024 NBA finals be decided in less than 6 games?
wobizov6sb
0.427423
70.105363
NO
null
boy63qcjg4g
false
JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "AOB won his 3rd consecutive title for a total of 13 Royal Ascot festivals as top trainer", "type": "text" } ], "type": "p...
Stuart Slagle
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public
contract
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which-trainer-will-win-the-most-202
ovals
https://firebasestorage.…998-09d34fa58717
Which Trainer Will Win The Most 2024 Royal Ascot Races?
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null
928.123362
YES
nyy624jo27