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... | Fedor | lo32lc5bqk | public | contract | 1,719,068,696,634 | f1-grand-prix-prop-bets-spain-gp-ne | Fedor | What will be true in the Formula 1 2024 Grand Prixs (Spain Next) | null | null | 1,874.21897 | NO | a4y67qljkh | |
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"text": "Jim… this is like if you pulled up an article saying “SF grants permission to Toyota to begin testing self-driving cars” as proof that Waymo doesn’t al... | Ben Shindel | tlOBpptrUOJI6Jkjr2Y6 | public | contract | 1,719,068,780,433 | will-at-least-10-world-cities-have | benshindel | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu22VD_r1GJh-n-cEmVyjrKEFlOdTcYxeXuYzn_4Ag=s96-c | Will at least 10 world cities have a generally available self-driving taxi service by 2025? | ato7kqp6x6q | 0.789737 | 5,554.943407 | YES | null |
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... | Bayesian | maa1e1p3ut | public | contract | 1,719,070,244,010 | will-at-least-10-traders-of-this-ma | Bayesian | Will at least 10 traders of this market trade on all markets of at least 10 traders of this market? | y8ucf8b9smf | 0.348112 | 89.774938 | YES | null | |
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"t... | dionisos | 4MkPyu5D9MRLPREODSD7 | public | contract | 1,719,070,662,566 | did-covid19-come-from-a-laboratory | dionisos | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxaBN5h-fDSn1z_PVqv7Ig7DoyQe7_sl0KXlw4bokw=s96-c | Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory? | bwa3q6gl9p5 | 0.564342 | 254.892464 | YES | null |
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"text": "So biden would not burn down the world? Have you lived under a rock? US strength projection is at altime low after second world war and socialist and c... | milcaunicorn | ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf | public | contract | 1,719,071,574,399 | who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 | milcaunicorn | Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | ntrzafgaarm | null | null | null | null | |
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... | Axel Røthing-Cano | ioj7cMhN86k9pqmk54iJ | public | contract | 1,719,071,740,850 | sundar-pichai-will-remain-the-ceo-o | AxelRthingCano | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIE6mwkmvbgtS7eiZMufNbLwUDjzzA3Ie-r2-IfHNcp=s96-c | Sundar Pichai will remain the CEO of Google through end of 2024 | null | 0.877757 | 372.028668 | YES | null |
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"content": ... | Al Quinn | 1sQFF7liE5Iw5ePbH3GM | public | contract | 1,719,073,206,157 | will-jimmy-carter-become-a-centenar | AlQuinn | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp46gOxO4QNQsQ8T4KOcwIwbRQPb2PvzEwr7f8nE=s96-c | Will Jimmy Carter become a centenarian? | null | 0.56 | 2,497.811513 | NO | null |
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"type": "mentio... | Bruno | 9QsfOW232lNnFj6ASRrZ | public | contract | 1,719,074,003,004 | what-is-worse-than-financial-crimes | BrunoParga | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c | What is worse than committing a financial crime? | null | null | null | null | null |
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"type": "paragraph... | Jess Riedel | 7DQ4DndELA96ntMFJEDb | public | contract | 1,719,074,088,311 | when-will-starship-first-launch-wit | JessRiedel | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtekvmOko5m7kKrx2fT2UZEzaEFrrwqJqTV6R6kPNhTwUQE=s96-c | When will Starship first launch with useful payload? | null | null | 457.915408 | NO | q3gqhccjme |
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... | Jonathan Ray | 9QsfOW232lNnFj6ASRrZ | public | contract | 1,719,074,122,220 | what-is-worse-than-financial-crimes | JonathanRay | What is worse than committing a financial crime? | 80h3i7ssy1p | null | 1,062.402025 | YES | 62cc028c3547 | |
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"content": ... | Christopher Randles | ii4d7faxzp | public | contract | 1,719,074,414,869 | will-nvidia-be-the-largest-company-hl44chqzn4 | ChristopherRandles | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c | Will Nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap at the end of 2024? | rl14p9mmzbq | 0.464205 | 170.293819 | YES | null |
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... | Bruno | dephm0dak5 | public | contract | 1,719,074,838,476 | what-will-be-true-about-the-europea | BrunoParga | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c | What will be true about the European Union before 2040? [add responses] | null | null | null | null | null |
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... | Bruno | dephm0dak5 | public | contract | 1,719,075,118,559 | what-will-be-true-about-the-europea | BrunoParga | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c | What will be true about the European Union before 2040? [add responses] | ev56hnabhbc | null | null | null | null |
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"type": "doc"... | constantine+- | td6ztwn0s4 | public | contract | 1,719,080,040,767 | will-trump-bring-up-hunter-biden-in | constantine | Will Trump mention Hunter Biden in the debate? | null | 0.805794 | 647.955512 | YES | null | |
q74zte97cl | false | P6XpUpKbtlZ4B7jaFjYT3eKF07y2 | {
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... | notune | oiulzk2n00 | public | contract | 1,719,080,226,145 | where-will-anthropics-claude-35-son | notune | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fnotune%2FZqoeQ1d4gW.27?alt=media&token=e89841b8-0480-4048-ad6c-636762b6788a | Where will Anthropic's Claude 3.5 Sonnet model rank on LMSys Chatbot Arena on July 7th? Ahead of GPT, Gemini? | null | null | 65.052984 | YES | 7l752hnki9 |
bvayawsz69 | false | 0k1suGSJKVUnHbCPEhHNpgZPkUP2 | {
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q1b42nkmsz | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
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... | stefanie | IVHHY0nWlko9MCE8aAnR | public | contract | 1,719,080,316,799 | will-a-third-boeing-whistleblower-d-d9e1164aa2e6 | shankypanky | Will a third Boeing whistleblower die before the end of Halloween? | null | null | null | null | null | |
0u949qyeh7p | false | iXPkCXt5EQZ78Yqz03MqWsXpD122 | {
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"type": "par... | Niko | oiulzk2n00 | public | contract | 1,719,080,511,399 | where-will-anthropics-claude-35-son | Moscow25 | Where will Anthropic's Claude 3.5 Sonnet model rank on LMSys Chatbot Arena on July 7th? Ahead of GPT, Gemini? | q74zte97cl | null | 762.486461 | NO | xwnodwmv3u | |
ajus4spxnue | false | OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2 | {
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"l... | SirCryptomind | 5bspd4Kx9spEydEU9GHe | public | contract | 1,719,080,592,119 | what-event-will-happen-first-nhl-ch | SirCryptomind | What Event Will Happen First: NHL Champion is Crowned OR Verstappen <1 Finish? | null | null | null | null | null | |
79qiwpmd8pk | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
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"type... | stefanie | IVHHY0nWlko9MCE8aAnR | public | contract | 1,719,080,604,659 | will-a-third-boeing-whistleblower-d-d9e1164aa2e6 | shankypanky | Will a third Boeing whistleblower die before the end of Halloween? | q1b42nkmsz | null | null | null | null | |
4mi8gw5ehd6 | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
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... | chris (strutheo) | wcqjkvv47g | public | contract | 1,719,080,754,687 | which-ai-will-be-the-best-at-the-en | strutheo | Which AI will be the best at the end of 2024? | 37koz0283g | null | 318.691471 | YES | edlvkqqell | |
3dlq3mdc20w | false | 5LZ4LgYuySdL1huCWe7bti02ghx2 | {
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} | James | 1ab825kfr4 | public | contract | 1,719,080,875,915 | how-many-people-will-subscribe-to-m | JamesGrugett | How many people will subscribe to my Substack in the next week? | bvayawsz69 | null | 8,656.004775 | YES | cyl7npflao | |
ybm2kkpsjn | false | EIV7jGjL3jhXPJmief8lB37F8su2 | {
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"text": "streak bonuses",
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],
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} | Pat Myron | NEpTIkMlf9EZY9PBTyB3 | public | contract | 1,719,081,159,133 | arbitrary-arbitrage-market-1-out-of | PatMyron | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FPatMyron%2FTwhMJnB6r7.7s-47px?alt=media&token=eaf328f2-64ea-4238-a4a1-b96a1eab91a2 | Arbitrary arbitrage market 1 out of 2 | 2xd3Cc325zGndY5fZpwD | 0.6 | 0 | NO | null |
qkfy5srywu | false | K0l9JnD5DcPqyfloiKWIHbK8klD3 | {
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],
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} | Tetra | hr1nrp686f | public | contract | 1,719,081,352,365 | will-tetras-ear-feel-worse-tomorrow | Tetraspace | Will Tetra's ear feel worse tomorrow? | null | null | null | null | null | |
pxypypjkkl | false | a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2 | {
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{
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{
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"text": "Impressive, though I suspect we won't get 10 people doing it :(",
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"t... | The All Memeing Eye ♠️ | maa1e1p3ut | public | contract | 1,719,081,673,243 | will-at-least-10-traders-of-this-ma | TheAllMemeingEye | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c | Will at least 10 traders of this market trade on all markets of at least 10 traders of this market? | 8s69tfq8g1y | 0.332371 | 12.378274 | NO | null |
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} | chris (strutheo) | 5cgetiph65 | public | contract | 1,719,081,742,161 | will-bitcoin-reach-80k-before-chat | strutheo | Will Bitcoin reach $80K before Chat GPT 5 Releases? | null | null | null | null | null | |
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"text": "Technically multiple could fully resolve to YES if there is a tie, and even if there's not a tie it's also possible that many will resolve pretty high ... | blue rat | putooiagfa | public | contract | 1,719,081,786,699 | which-beliefs-are-the-most-rational | bluerat | Which beliefs are the most rationalist? | toa4jy2k67 | null | null | null | null | |
6kmzvsdsjql | false | 4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2 | {
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... | jackson polack | wcqjkvv47g | public | contract | 1,719,082,135,209 | which-ai-will-be-the-best-at-the-en | jacksonpolack | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c | Which AI will be the best at the end of 2024? | 37koz0283g | null | null | null | null |
ipxv4obkua | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
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} | chris (strutheo) | wcqjkvv47g | public | contract | 1,719,082,418,376 | which-ai-will-be-the-best-at-the-en | strutheo | Which AI will be the best at the end of 2024? | 37koz0283g | null | 318.691471 | YES | edlvkqqell | |
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"text": "what if we can abstract, and model the neurons as spikes + control mechanisms + ion concentration densities + randomization, and non-neuronal effects s... | Garrett Baker | otIwVPvCPLaNkYPw1DMB | public | contract | 1,719,082,426,039 | is-the-brain-quantum | GarrettBaker | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GjoFmf8O1o7c4jUCbaWIlJo80o0-6Iu7DZbNVOOhx4=s96-c | Is the brain quantum? | null | 0.335281 | 7.36021 | NO | null |
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... | jackson polack | wcqjkvv47g | public | contract | 1,719,082,437,716 | which-ai-will-be-the-best-at-the-en | jacksonpolack | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c | Which AI will be the best at the end of 2024? | 37koz0283g | null | null | null | null |
e9wlxhiru28 | false | a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2 | {
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],
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} | The All Memeing Eye ♠️ | maa1e1p3ut | public | contract | 1,719,082,440,309 | will-at-least-10-traders-of-this-ma | TheAllMemeingEye | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c | Will at least 10 traders of this market trade on all markets of at least 10 traders of this market? | 8s69tfq8g1y | 0.332371 | 12.378274 | NO | null |
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"text": "Technically, this question ought to say \"Paris\" or \"Metropolitan France\": Tahiti is in France (in the overseas collectivity of French Polynesia).",... | Ij Kayone | aar07ip4ef | public | contract | 1,719,083,120,770 | during-the-2024-summer-olympics-wil | ijk1 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtdhu4bCTNc1n-E1g0iffYUWC8ePwAl4pFxyvk4YrUxDTOLE=s96-c | During the 2024 Summer Olympics, will someone mistakenly travel to France for the surfing events? | null | null | null | null | null |
xon8or8nekj | false | UAybp5Bg2JWQFmKZCqv1DEllms23 | {
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"text": "I mean i would like to…..but I don’t think that would be possible🙃"... | Madhav Kumar | asipPSfytvLZ2NCQu6Fw | public | contract | 1,719,083,163,464 | should-i-ask-out-my-crushwho-also-h | MadhavKumar | Should i ask out my crush?
Who also happens to be my best friend 🙂 | ot5og8ghm0q | null | null | null | null | |
317cyhkc094 | false | 04wvS0E3jSZCB9PgL6IKCWKDEMi2 | {
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],
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"type": ... | Ij Kayone | oxgcx054ee | public | contract | 1,719,083,244,012 | time-machine-coin-flip-coin-1 | ijk1 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtdhu4bCTNc1n-E1g0iffYUWC8ePwAl4pFxyvk4YrUxDTOLE=s96-c | Time Machine Coin Flip: Coin 1 | null | 0.5 | 24.174689 | NO | null |
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"type": "menti... | blue rat | putooiagfa | public | contract | 1,719,083,270,913 | which-beliefs-are-the-most-rational | bluerat | Which beliefs are the most rationalist? | null | null | null | null | null | |
zojvqykle9a | false | sDPcNq19nRb2IEcfvU3XP3QCqQ02 | {
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} | redcat | maa1e1p3ut | public | contract | 1,719,083,333,289 | will-at-least-10-traders-of-this-ma | redcat | Will at least 10 traders of this market trade on all markets of at least 10 traders of this market? | 8s69tfq8g1y | 0.332371 | 141.165452 | NO | null | |
v464wcm623 | false | mZKaAbBA5iNEOKJBU0BrluyX8n83 | {
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"type": "... | Simon Westlake | ReT9HBnmbIDrvxkyy7Gu | public | contract | 1,719,083,474,036 | will-spacex-attempt-a-catch-with-th-ad6d782dd262 | SimonWestlake | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocI6iDk5AS4j1o_3L_kt2oVHYo_s-gOCd0dsz1kKbmUd-B6rug=s96-c | Will SpaceX attempt a 'catch' with the 'chopsticks' on Starship's seventh 'orbital' test flight? | null | null | null | null | null |
esrx3p62pk | false | OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2 | {
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... | SirCryptomind | 5bspd4Kx9spEydEU9GHe | public | contract | 1,719,083,569,797 | what-event-will-happen-first-nhl-ch | SirCryptomind | What Event Will Happen First: NHL Champion is Crowned OR Verstappen <1 Finish? | null | null | null | null | null | |
pw7iherxn | false | OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2 | {
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} | Alexander Favvas | a1dex5bwF19qXJGSL7U7 | public | contract | 1,719,083,983,495 | does-god-exist | AlexanderFavvas | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJu-z9bBCp1g1S6muIfAquA2eTy8aXgezttxsr4DyZQEaSyoKtpAg=s96-c | Does God exist? | m4anr3jrvms | null | null | null | null |
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... | Project Victory | mw9GE6pkfDuqHeDq5jv9 | public | contract | 1,719,084,136,739 | matter-and-energy-are-finite-within | ProjectVictory | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocI4y0VVuOG8tCfdABrtBsS8cUQ6Me5av07oSlAEEoT8=s96-c | Matter and energy are finite within our universe. | null | null | null | null | null |
cbe0l95obx | false | mZKaAbBA5iNEOKJBU0BrluyX8n83 | {
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} | Simon Westlake | gGnxdT90w0mxEPTVwD9S | public | contract | 1,719,084,149,139 | will-elon-musk-endorse-donald-trump | SimonWestlake | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocI6iDk5AS4j1o_3L_kt2oVHYo_s-gOCd0dsz1kKbmUd-B6rug=s96-c | Will Elon Musk endorse Donald Trump for 2024 presidency? | u951npya0ac | 0.45 | 124.658621 | YES | null |
punnmm1xba | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
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... | Ziddletwix | Ma0dKTwgUugrONk3mH0A | public | contract | 1,719,084,380,384 | who-is-going-to-win-the-nba-champio | Ziddletwix | who is going to win the nba championship? | gnsbhowjnk | null | 206.982062 | NO | 2a8fa2b7c151 | |
59rxxtfod8g | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
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... | Ziddletwix | Y8xY2r82WF6Ja262VV3G | public | contract | 1,719,084,428,585 | when-will-manifold-reach-9000-month | Ziddletwix | When will Manifold Reach 9000 Monthly Active Users? | null | null | 826.643194 | NO | 8585938cfef9 | |
6wypx1qqvvl | false | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | {
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"text": "Ryan Moore won his 11th Royal Ascot title",
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],
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} | Stuart Slagle | VkTpKXYlVWKZkfBWRmbg | public | contract | 1,719,084,447,756 | which-jockey-will-win-the-most-2024 | ovals | Which Jockey Will Win The Most 2024 Royal Ascot Races? | null | null | 538.758877 | NO | 3fpymquwk4 | |
tnkwr419a0r | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
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