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int64
1,716B
1,720B
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48
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1
25
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stringlengths
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float64
0
50
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float64
-0
6.25M
commentorPositionOutcome
stringclasses
2 values
commentorPositionAnswerId
stringlengths
9
12
vbt48tli3nq
false
OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Jan 6 deflection is truly S tier ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
jim
cscjHo7n8eHj3WGH3fr3
public
contract
1,719,538,826,112
prop-bets-on-trumpbiden-debate-1
jim
https://firebasestorage.…9bd-1f9dcd4cd13f
June 27th Presidential Debate Prop Bets
b1mz9s5fn9h
null
2,476.356072
YES
7fcf8c6d99ad
duyjtke97m
false
5xYMa7OFYFaurldRbLRwLO0T1fE2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "It's probably also hard for the octopus to move around though, right? And the machetes have long reach...", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Joe C
l9dhhyutra
public
contract
1,719,538,885,395
who-would-win-in-a-fight-between-ja
JoeC
https://firebasestorage.…497-a7ee26bf3490
Who would win in a fight between Jacques Cousteau dual-wielding machetes and a blue-ringed octopus?
531953acp8w
null
null
null
null
l4orzy37dln
false
ADbUe3UA8VeQscv6vWhTsPwCBgi1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2", "label": "strutheo", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " resolves yes", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
blue
NwSf594ZmPtrkLgehxfE
public
contract
1,719,538,918,921
will-biden-and-trump-debate-before
bluefrog
https://firebasestorage.…636-28655ed04405
Will Biden and Trump debate before Trump announces his Vice President Running Mate?
null
0.99
380.170005
YES
null
6apz074051e
false
qjyDZaspY7fjbOsSZ00Hrw1KwXn1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I will vote based on their debate performance, not their morality. Lying can be devilishly advantageous in a debate setting if it's not ridiculous", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
M.H.
5xhis7frz1
public
contract
1,719,539,010,537
will-i-think-joe-biden-won-tonights
MilfordHammerschmidt
https://firebasestorage.…a16-139e7e2fef8f
Will I think Joe Biden won tonight's presidential debate?
r78wc52cv7a
null
null
null
null
f6483mklted
false
AAlytu8Z2cYd1ewYzuqhkU9NMgt2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Fascinating. Can someone explain to me how this happened? How did UMA “get it wrong”? I’ve heard that poly market has ~10 “sharks” with all the voting power. Did one/some of them intentionally vote against the popular opinion?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
niko
yjbz875187
public
contract
1,719,539,025,860
what-will-happen-with-the-controver
Nikos
https://firebasestorage.…a97-2c3621c2928b
What will happen with the controversial Polymarket about Barron Trump's involvement with $DJT?
null
null
1.828234
YES
arozdisf06
k3vizozw08
false
nU1f09PQ2tXXid2YO9Py924PV5J3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "He called him a convicted felon.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
David Bolin
cscjHo7n8eHj3WGH3fr3
public
contract
1,719,539,097,074
prop-bets-on-trumpbiden-debate-1
DavidBolin
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJxBDzHEeklms-AzWLaDGByiape0wpIwJKLyGQDu=s96-c
June 27th Presidential Debate Prop Bets
null
null
null
null
null
u9s7dzjutx
false
I2bVfkY49dQ54suiyzZ2SN15QZA3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "\"Convicted felon\" and \"Come on\" resolve YES.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Kraalnaxx
r5mrk7pb1a
public
contract
1,719,539,160,291
first-debate-bidenisms-megamarket-w
Kraalnaxx
https://firebasestorage.…653-9bc927b2a59d
First Debate Biden-isms Megamarket: Which exact words/phrases will Biden say?
null
null
465.196425
YES
48oa9wrcf5
p9i01lrwa4c
false
UwLRWVqwccdsr1HnGowNxO32pTt1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "THE KILL SHOTS", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "hardBreak" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "hardBreak" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "how do you explain those sentences if you're a family watching with kids... jesus lol", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Blomfilter
cscjHo7n8eHj3WGH3fr3
public
contract
1,719,539,255,181
prop-bets-on-trumpbiden-debate-1
Blomfilter
https://firebasestorage.…45c-6f0fb44c4e70
June 27th Presidential Debate Prop Bets
null
null
112.682748
NO
6c55d70ff6b2
nsht6eat3cl
false
nHX1qmzRItUHm3ifj7wNNR8hGf62
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Sprinkles in the rain", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
TSLABull
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,539,320,939
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
MolbyDick
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ALV-UjXY86BCu6RTvqG8yEFc5Y7D_S97tCf20jO2Z8tVPKaaUqG14DA9PLqiLMFEeMfNIZqYYE4tIzI_BrVccd4GjslXsd5xpRxNHEYntNGm2gIyorhNQXCFWaGveqVbopCKtvW8Hxom_b74OxRgIK95auugOa5P56HIijcmp8zUBmze5fHo3g0ex4yJjnK3v7cvgEOF25_-TG4N8zJWXs8h_RcZDoDOKDs__GbJIprrIRmH0xBPqyMPjM6JiRSy1sfS72DHbE53wywXJmkbjC8pw3Fv6tHNtztWvt2EKzgxFCFO5vBboyToBEm5ne-O_e2iPy2vA10-am1HyumXwhHQ8TmgD7hUTB7yokY1_OnpMRIYz_I26jS_8xrIRYiLTpn4tz1ehGr5MBXc52cHtHOFIr75TBvfRBucNqWMi55HJ3gMafiLCsRRufPbWV9W75ebNkpPQr-Fajv1VVUfjMrOmDhzwcB0uEArrgF0lQ1aSuwd2JN11ZJo7Y7p4gyPbmMDureFH9Ppk6xmGp53c3N5lIgeS_dH309hrZWL-N1_L1xoWufgpSeq0GaYVcpChDe_uWm5muiM39lzL5xdzCh5CLJn2HsflObP9H_Ei2mQXM_JQa0PHtPI11wk4w90HMPihYAIv8U4GECdlSV7nKemKVQ5C9asqy40yji5loeo3jof6fSSvWMYvFj206ohJ0r-NviW0y2A-Pp_VCPDMPg8cLpToFGPcmYguqw6Kw87iUow37UNBwG_vKFyI9_k0QWVT6dXpSSMYpts6Ui-KOv__LGb_ybFWH0dHGR_KA_WNNWZyoH8IDbwiGhUATlBS8qTwS7MDrON0E7K2MJCxCHBcVQdmXFNrBvz0zi2kwCtaPUcLR9teA9h_lcj2ybyXjPfdY_KVPz_smz9XzNssQ5Qaw5sR6n1aTX-wNaONG7j3nIvaOXIArN1glV07JsXIOQYPkPHFnWWq0DMoqOBJHBcna922FE=s96-c
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
null
0.20868
2,829,229.317725
YES
null
ww58yreeuv8
false
b5a3UuCvBgMsA875HdcgdnVljdq1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "FqEdS0WB9FRnYCitX2FV7nwXv0A3", "label": "JohnOliver", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " Biden and Trump both talked about a \"porn star\" (Stormy Daniels).", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Muga Sofer
Z2bE6NdGUCpiHbwy2MpN
public
contract
1,719,539,351,437
what-will-happen-at-biden-and-trump
MugaSofer
https://firebasestorage.…ea7-19aebfd949c8
What will happen at Biden and Trump's First Debate? [ADD RESPONSES]
null
null
1,914.951164
YES
eca2a9b7a6dc
b5x9c62167
false
APtmK3Sep3TJB92vIgWeSmAEwVa2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "NHC TWO has increased genesis probabilities to 70%/90% (48h/7days).", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Increasing bet on (late) June 28 after reviewing model guidance, seeing TAFB subjective dvorak CI of 2.0 (TD), and 5 straight hours of deep convection on IR. 28/00Z fix:", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "language": null, "level": null, "src": null, "start": null, "title": null, "tweetId": null, "url": null }, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "AL, 95, 202406280000, 10, DVTS, CI, , 990N, 3730W, , 2, 30, 2, 1009, 2, DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, NR, VI, 3, 2020 /////, , , GOES16, CSC, T, ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "codeBlock" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The regional models (as well as CMC 12Z) show AL95 having max winds at TS strength by 29/00Z (in time for 8 PM advisory), with the question remaining of whether it will look organized enough to categorize it as a TS by tomorrow night.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "language": null, "level": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FniQ-hepCpR.png?alt=media&token=8995433a-1e41-483e-834e-faf1d6be3a6b", "start": null, "title": null, "tweetId": null, "url": null }, "content": null, "type": "image" } ], "type": "doc" }
JRP
rvhupovwx2
public
contract
1,719,539,528,172
when-will-a-tropical-storm-be-named
parhizj
https://firebasestorage.…a85-f1db3ce3acf8
When will a tropical storm be named Beryl in 2024?
null
null
1,040.247104
NO
9ibihrp8y4
awnnjb7x6m
false
qnREWtzsdkOkzrR2k0jEe0EDp5j1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Pretty low chance based on this data ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "language": null, "level": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2F6Nb7Aa7wLx.png?alt=media&token=977937d9-9d90-497b-9fb4-bfcac0966ce2", "start": null, "title": null, "tweetId": null, "url": null }, "content": null, "type": "image" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Chris 🥌
5WNGL4L2apuPtpEB54Rj
public
contract
1,719,539,552,423
will-tom-scotts-this-video-has-x-vi
chris
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fcjsedwards%2F0rr7gruUWz.19?alt=media&token=8dfba163-ccec-436f-8af3-57f4cf25db11
Will Tom Scott's "This Video Has X Views" video have more than 80M views before Grand Theft Auto 6 releases?
null
0.241607
855.326483
NO
null
52w6xxumlk
false
uhK5T6eFw9ZgFcX3uHpus0qrIBJ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "JOtRJkyhFIVfXpRfhfUC3cEMt2W2", "label": "Ibozz91", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " Charlottesville!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
wustep
cscjHo7n8eHj3WGH3fr3
public
contract
1,719,539,553,486
prop-bets-on-trumpbiden-debate-1
wustep
https://firebasestorage.…41d-70a96285fc3a
June 27th Presidential Debate Prop Bets
null
null
652.000267
YES
psi8fnf4o7
uja5m8llig
false
fZPvUizORrX6EWhWVpw25I1vTLO2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2", "label": "10thOfficial", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " didn't this happen already?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
xXProGamblerXx
cscjHo7n8eHj3WGH3fr3
public
contract
1,719,539,556,343
prop-bets-on-trumpbiden-debate-1
xXProGamblerXx
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLl7bvP0nceRsYJ6uaattbh6FIJiKlNWVVEvVUOIUwDsiaG-QkC=s96-c
June 27th Presidential Debate Prop Bets
null
null
277.863501
YES
smvkc3anez
pkls9jobse8
false
qnREWtzsdkOkzrR2k0jEe0EDp5j1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The tendency to follow this trend still amazes me ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "language": null, "level": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2F57_mUUOnw7.png?alt=media&token=f180196f-b938-4c2f-a8ef-2633f70bd46c", "start": null, "title": null, "tweetId": null, "url": null }, "content": null, "type": "image" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Chris 🥌
N5glWFmuU5YeEGPPckYd
public
contract
1,719,539,602,053
will-this-poll-asking-if-it-will-re
chris
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fcjsedwards%2F0rr7gruUWz.19?alt=media&token=8dfba163-ccec-436f-8af3-57f4cf25db11
5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will the poll asking if it will reach 500 responses by EOY 2024 actually reach 500 responses by EOY 2024?
null
0.711005
715.944822
NO
null
gbgpy6k811f
false
7cHLitSmqdYIvr3OskswGMzWX103
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Further clarification on \"RCS-like thruster\":", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "This one will include a whole category of hypergolic or monopropellant thrusters. I probably should have used OMS-like (orbital maneuvering system) rather than RCS-like (reaction control thruster), since that more closely matches my intended meaning.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Dan Homerick
483un7g09i
public
contract
1,719,539,605,079
what-will-be-true-about-spacexs-deo
DanHomerick
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLP4VSkxqlzJSD6sryGpPRfqkVJjAt25wLa6ZsgWUJ30DI=s96-c
What will be true about SpaceX's deorbit tug
olfw55i3emt
null
null
null
null
jung2h1kcd
false
qnREWtzsdkOkzrR2k0jEe0EDp5j1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "8 to go", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Chris 🥌
1cqTkc5ua81sj1ZqGoKx
public
contract
1,719,539,639,090
will-the-500-poll-reach-250-by-the
chris
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fcjsedwards%2F0rr7gruUWz.19?alt=media&token=8dfba163-ccec-436f-8af3-57f4cf25db11
Will the 500 poll reach 250 by the end of June?
null
null
null
null
null
ziycdaqh63
false
sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Yes, resolves YES, thank you ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
The Official
cscjHo7n8eHj3WGH3fr3
public
contract
1,719,539,659,075
prop-bets-on-trumpbiden-debate-1
10thOfficial
https://firebasestorage.…8ec-be730e0a7e96
June 27th Presidential Debate Prop Bets
uja5m8llig
null
1,472.022828
YES
24e5cfea74c5
9tpmwc65k6j
false
I2bVfkY49dQ54suiyzZ2SN15QZA3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2", "label": "AndrewG", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " Resolves YES, Trump mentioned Nancy Pelosi by name.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Kraalnaxx
cscjHo7n8eHj3WGH3fr3
public
contract
1,719,539,720,204
prop-bets-on-trumpbiden-debate-1
Kraalnaxx
https://firebasestorage.…653-9bc927b2a59d
June 27th Presidential Debate Prop Bets
null
null
619.148532
NO
76jdit4tsl
sykj55jvizj
false
wMxdL9lv8SgJKMKFazXljpv4g292
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "It’s blue", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
FoxKHTML
P0qLJg4CpytSNhACu8Oa
public
contract
1,719,540,041,340
predominant-color-of-trumps-suit-at
FoxKHTML
https://firebasestorage.…e38-64ea064304ad
Predominant color of Trump's suit at the debate on June 27
null
null
1,101.777085
YES
pf6v3tw41n
5444u8ajd7n
false
I2bVfkY49dQ54suiyzZ2SN15QZA3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "jO7sUhIDTQbAJ3w86akzncTlpRG2", "label": "MichaelWheatley", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " Resolves NO, at podiums in same room with no barrier.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Kraalnaxx
Z2bE6NdGUCpiHbwy2MpN
public
contract
1,719,540,102,781
what-will-happen-at-biden-and-trump
Kraalnaxx
https://firebasestorage.…653-9bc927b2a59d
What will happen at Biden and Trump's First Debate? [ADD RESPONSES]
null
null
662.987723
NO
42jdh6uaws
qn3p297r3wa
false
bxTZpCijH3ZudREgENo46EtUGBu1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "EwhWtm4vwqZwxqVFrIL61ieAOU52", "label": "jBosc", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " I think \"sex with a pornstar\" is enough to be a hint at Stormy Daniels", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
hi-person
cscjHo7n8eHj3WGH3fr3
public
contract
1,719,540,146,511
prop-bets-on-trumpbiden-debate-1
hiperson
https://firebasestorage.…a1c-a5544d3fe781
June 27th Presidential Debate Prop Bets
null
null
2,937.828342
YES
ea5dde4a4658
y778t0ejxe
false
hzIYuxu6ZaWyTm5Vj95BweSImVt2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "V8YMlPAEqLctxYc913NaeA1dYj22", "label": "Tik", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " Mentioned \"Tim Scott\"", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Chris Mills
cscjHo7n8eHj3WGH3fr3
public
contract
1,719,540,198,487
prop-bets-on-trumpbiden-debate-1
ChrisMills
https://firebasestorage.…c9f-3ac095cdf929
June 27th Presidential Debate Prop Bets
null
null
310.254476
NO
000dc9f153cc
1858bieg0fa
false
b5a3UuCvBgMsA875HdcgdnVljdq1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "2BxXRsWcjIU3OTyyhyjac7yyy4P2", "label": "Yoae", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " Trump mentioned talking with an assistant and getting numbers on his environmental record earlier in the day just now.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Muga Sofer
cscjHo7n8eHj3WGH3fr3
public
contract
1,719,540,275,139
prop-bets-on-trumpbiden-debate-1
MugaSofer
https://firebasestorage.…ea7-19aebfd949c8
June 27th Presidential Debate Prop Bets
null
null
768.505861
YES
0c30651bb950
wx1yp1waqii
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I’m probably going to wait to resolve until I get a transcript/video. Not able to watch most of this and I want to be careful to get it right (saw some people betting up things that were the wrong phrasing). Sorry for the delay!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "If mods are very confident in a result and want to resolve things early rhey can, otherwise I’ll wait for transcript ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Ziddletwix
kunxgmp71i
public
contract
1,719,540,277,148
first-debate-trumpisms-megamarket-w
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
First Debate Trump-isms Megamarket: Which exact words/phrases will Trump say?
8rk5u00ht4t
null
3,054.450426
NO
b8il7lraym
8397f4r82wh
false
4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I extremely strongly support waiting to resolve! It's good! Nobody's going to die if they get their internet money back a few hours or days later.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
jackson polack
kunxgmp71i
public
contract
1,719,540,333,092
first-debate-trumpisms-megamarket-w
jacksonpolack
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c
First Debate Trump-isms Megamarket: Which exact words/phrases will Trump say?
8rk5u00ht4t
null
4,629.734832
YES
t7ycnbtyen
o739db690wq
false
cA1JupYR5AR8btHUs2xvkui7jA93
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I will die if Trump says Biden is a sus NPC Skibidi with no rizz and it doesn't resolve immediately", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Genzy
kunxgmp71i
public
contract
1,719,540,455,001
first-debate-trumpisms-megamarket-w
Gen
https://firebasestorage.…bad-76d96081176f
First Debate Trump-isms Megamarket: Which exact words/phrases will Trump say?
8rk5u00ht4t
null
907.66837
YES
xa24v1zsoj
eekx8zxsjt
false
91jUs5utwnRlFgrGh2qJMka2l1j2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "MDMA would make him zone out and give a terrible performance. For that reason alone, you should have a poor opinion of him if he took it.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
PhilosophyBear
vultnu9yim
public
contract
1,719,540,627,299
poll-which-drugs-would-give-you-a-n
PhilosophyBear
https://firebasestorage.…5e9-4830e79d2cee
[Poll] Which drugs would give you a negative view of your President if they took it before a debate? Yes = Negative View
null
null
81.354767
YES
ge2jjild5w
sfo7xfr7w58
false
wR6BFZBUO7Zvt2tvMt2zdsjlg8k1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Biden said “Illegal Aliens”! He’s already apologized for saying that before.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Charlie Bauer
m5i079o53b
public
contract
1,719,540,646,303
first-trump-vs-biden-presidential-d
CharlieBauer
https://storage.googleap…Mt2zdsjlg8k1.png
First Trump vs Biden presidential debate mention market: which words/phrases will be said?
null
null
653.898212
YES
9bgg3yivxs
10usi8cr35rc
false
sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Pain", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Ben Shindel
YTIuuSsNRn2OlA4KykRM
public
contract
1,719,540,774,921
will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n
benshindel
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu22VD_r1GJh-n-cEmVyjrKEFlOdTcYxeXuYzn_4Ag=s96-c
Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee?
null
0.82701
0
YES
null
cdbw9qmoucg
false
b5a3UuCvBgMsA875HdcgdnVljdq1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2", "label": "AndrewG", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " Trump just said it.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Muga Sofer
cscjHo7n8eHj3WGH3fr3
public
contract
1,719,540,803,942
prop-bets-on-trumpbiden-debate-1
MugaSofer
https://firebasestorage.…ea7-19aebfd949c8
June 27th Presidential Debate Prop Bets
null
null
1,898.552718
YES
5776326d9108
py9cgkszde
false
IhF9uOqYoEMvbUFnBYxyxQ9cc7q1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2", "label": "AndrewG", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Arindam Sanyal
cscjHo7n8eHj3WGH3fr3
public
contract
1,719,540,869,444
prop-bets-on-trumpbiden-debate-1
ArindamSanyal
https://storage.googleap…BYxyxQ9cc7q1.png
June 27th Presidential Debate Prop Bets
null
null
518.434548
YES
000dc9f153cc
7l7rii90o26
false
hXoxhZ7koFY3AfvsfcBlCr081jC2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Nice spike on this debate", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Simran 🤍
SsAdHNNaI9hRRMe1XqgG
public
contract
1,719,540,962,351
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-pres
SimranRahman
https://firebasestorage.…59c-fb117d1f5f71
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 presidential election?
null
0.58
8,089.346812
YES
null
hf3len97aom
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "lmao", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
stefanie
09h3l6pt5i
public
contract
1,719,540,992,877
will-biden-4x-taxes-for-the-average
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…221-72113ad45c7e
Will Biden 4x taxes for the average American taxpayer?
null
null
null
null
null
aucw4k45bjb
false
5UEJDhfkuLNxnh3UKgg0rHesRCg2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Currently at 3, by my count.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
JKS
gBbPUOlDYvbmlGNwuWml
public
contract
1,719,540,995,578
how-many-times-will-trump-say-china-3b2682baa359
jks
https://firebasestorage.…638-cbc4a0a8faa6
How many times will Trump say "China" in the first Presidential debate?
null
null
255.013399
NO
000488db36cb
q12u6yb1f0s
false
OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Yeah, unless he promptly recovers they're prob not gonna keep him", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "language": null, "level": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2Fp0lBsFaUrQ.png?alt=media&token=57277e83-f049-471e-8a8e-175ea077de74", "start": null, "title": null, "tweetId": null, "url": null }, "content": null, "type": "image" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
jim
YTIuuSsNRn2OlA4KykRM
public
contract
1,719,541,016,124
will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n
jim
https://firebasestorage.…9bd-1f9dcd4cd13f
Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee?
10usi8cr35rc
0.835452
15,095.603731
NO
null
9v91ouxjtu5
false
cA1JupYR5AR8btHUs2xvkui7jA93
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Honestly the lies gradually scaled up to the point of absurdity, I can't tell if it's funny (as a non-American) or depressing", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Genzy
09h3l6pt5i
public
contract
1,719,541,057,275
will-biden-4x-taxes-for-the-average
Gen
https://firebasestorage.…bad-76d96081176f
Will Biden 4x taxes for the average American taxpayer?
hf3len97aom
null
null
null
null
emg7da7t2fq
false
UwLRWVqwccdsr1HnGowNxO32pTt1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "He should've mentioned unitree g1 going for 16,000 USD", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Blomfilter
cscjHo7n8eHj3WGH3fr3
public
contract
1,719,541,084,460
prop-bets-on-trumpbiden-debate-1
Blomfilter
https://firebasestorage.…45c-6f0fb44c4e70
June 27th Presidential Debate Prop Bets
null
null
112.682748
NO
6c55d70ff6b2
z8csj6m3v5
false
5UEJDhfkuLNxnh3UKgg0rHesRCg2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "He just dropped several more lol", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
JKS
gBbPUOlDYvbmlGNwuWml
public
contract
1,719,541,093,981
how-many-times-will-trump-say-china-3b2682baa359
jks
https://firebasestorage.…638-cbc4a0a8faa6
How many times will Trump say "China" in the first Presidential debate?
aucw4k45bjb
null
284.531768
NO
c2d6b3f3e948
keb2yw7f2f
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "definitely the latter. 1000% the latter.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
stefanie
09h3l6pt5i
public
contract
1,719,541,116,399
will-biden-4x-taxes-for-the-average
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…221-72113ad45c7e
Will Biden 4x taxes for the average American taxpayer?
hf3len97aom
null
null
null
null
7wz5sx24fbv
false
8PfLXqhRt4YSaTvsugaNMxi5aT02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "An interesting question.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
.CLI
b2jozj13on
public
contract
1,719,541,121,585
who-will-win-the-first-trump-vs-bid
CLI
https://firebasestorage.…f38-10f1776cd1a2
Will Trump win the first Trump vs Biden presidential debate according to LLMs on the debate transcript?
null
0.47
77.504944
NO
null
ssr4dg1l46k
false
sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Prediction markets: they freaking work", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Ben Shindel
YTIuuSsNRn2OlA4KykRM
public
contract
1,719,541,211,785
will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n
benshindel
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu22VD_r1GJh-n-cEmVyjrKEFlOdTcYxeXuYzn_4Ag=s96-c
Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee?
null
0.844264
0
YES
null
rfhxd6l4qa
false
UrOFJ9KFr2NZ9CUCfUSbzDz8eDj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Looks like RFK Jr is winning after all", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
RedEagle
52tTHsLfKrSHYMmS0s9j
public
contract
1,719,541,220,698
will-joe-biden-win-the-first-debate
redeagle
https://firebasestorage.…181-0133ade9969f
Will Joe Biden win the first debate against Donald Trump?
null
null
null
null
null
ly6ov8ni51e
false
I2bVfkY49dQ54suiyzZ2SN15QZA3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "V8YMlPAEqLctxYc913NaeA1dYj22", "label": "Tik", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " I believe this resolves YES. Biden cites the bipartisan deal and claims Trump called up Republicans to oppose it because it would look bad for him.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Kraalnaxx
cscjHo7n8eHj3WGH3fr3
public
contract
1,719,541,224,986
prop-bets-on-trumpbiden-debate-1
Kraalnaxx
https://firebasestorage.…653-9bc927b2a59d
June 27th Presidential Debate Prop Bets
null
null
619.148532
NO
76jdit4tsl
h7m29omdlsh
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I’m the average American (I don’t pay any taxes, declaring income is for suckers), and my taxes will 4x under Biden ($0 -> $0)", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Ziddletwix
09h3l6pt5i
public
contract
1,719,541,233,094
will-biden-4x-taxes-for-the-average
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Will Biden 4x taxes for the average American taxpayer?
hf3len97aom
null
null
null
null
f8u01b2r3pn
false
OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "vuI5upWB8yU00rP7yxj95J2zd952", "label": "ManifoldPolitics", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " upgrade this market?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
jim
uCXtqcxwV2lmFgWrJ4pQ
public
contract
1,719,541,239,910
who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e8e500acc68a
jim
https://firebasestorage.…9bd-1f9dcd4cd13f
Who will be the Democratic Nominee 2024
null
null
374.864186
NO
046bdbfd67a9
bz7a4qkrza8
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573", "label": "mods", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " resolves YES", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Ziddletwix
2IHHX3nQVJ2GICcsYrzA
public
contract
1,719,541,458,098
will-immigration-problems-be-mentio
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Will Immigration problems be mentioned at all in the 2024 presidential debates?
null
0.981597
2,056.555043
YES
null
tx4buctc2ym
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ejrXP65NZobvj5ISjMhXdeKXKI42", "label": "SanskritiManoharan", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " resolves YES", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400", "href": "https://manifold.markets/ManoSamy/will-trump-bring-up-hunter-biden-in?r=SXNhYWNLaW5n", "target": "_blank" }, "type": "link" } ], "text": "https://manifold.markets/ManoSamy/will-trump-bring-up-hunter-biden-in?r=SXNhYWNLaW5n", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Ziddletwix
98ujdfuk20
public
contract
1,719,541,500,625
will-trump-mention-hunter-biden-in
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Will Trump mention Hunter Biden in the first debate?
null
0.961034
2,091.766316
YES
null
z7b6kq0da2q
false
UwLRWVqwccdsr1HnGowNxO32pTt1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " \"We knock on wood... wherever we have wood\" ---- Trump answering about whether he is affected by old age lol", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Blomfilter
cscjHo7n8eHj3WGH3fr3
public
contract
1,719,541,534,393
prop-bets-on-trumpbiden-debate-1
Blomfilter
https://firebasestorage.…45c-6f0fb44c4e70
June 27th Presidential Debate Prop Bets
null
null
112.682748
NO
6c55d70ff6b2
kra1l9lz66
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "twitter mentioned", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
stefanie
cscjHo7n8eHj3WGH3fr3
public
contract
1,719,541,544,685
prop-bets-on-trumpbiden-debate-1
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…221-72113ad45c7e
June 27th Presidential Debate Prop Bets
null
null
424.91571
YES
unuc63q5im
p9rgptm02ue
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573", "label": "mods", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " BTE market, resolves NO, Biden & trump are now debating ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Ziddletwix
L3PX8O2Xj74NANBL7QfY
public
contract
1,719,541,704,332
will-biden-refuse-to-debate-trump
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Will Biden refuse to debate Trump?
null
0.01654
4,684.040047
NO
null
ewnjbm63mqw
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573", "label": "mods", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " gigacasting market, very inactive, resolves YES", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Ziddletwix
6iq4XUDSluhrnbg7DMB8
public
contract
1,719,541,710,884
will-biden-debate
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Will Biden debate?
null
0.99
1,593.309217
YES
null
gnr29redep7
false
b5a3UuCvBgMsA875HdcgdnVljdq1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "vcRnogNTojb2z8RejfxaYDwYs6B3", "label": "ADings", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " Does suggesting he won't concede if the election isn't \"fair and free\" just now count?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Muga Sofer
cscjHo7n8eHj3WGH3fr3
public
contract
1,719,541,727,178
prop-bets-on-trumpbiden-debate-1
MugaSofer
https://firebasestorage.…ea7-19aebfd949c8
June 27th Presidential Debate Prop Bets
null
null
1,748.552718
YES
5776326d9108
rnfoqgexth
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "MV9fTVHetcfp3h6CVYzpypIsbyN2", "label": "CodeandSolder", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " resolves NO, they are debating", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Ziddletwix
UsY8wRU89oCttWpfBJj9
public
contract
1,719,541,728,589
will-trump-refuse-to-debate-biden-b
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Will Trump refuse to debate Biden before the 2024 presidential election?
null
0.016034
3,950.807558
NO
null
rj3ksmqhdl
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "cgrBqe2O3AU4Dnng7Nc9wuJHLKb2", "label": "jskf", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " resolves YES. ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": { "id": "PQ8Ot2GZ8NfQdXiJVmJqf3yea8O2", "label": "mirrorbot", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Ziddletwix
KDZ3TIBsN6H3TthSG0di
public
contract
1,719,541,741,659
acx-2024-will-a-debate-be-held-betw
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Will a debate be held between Joe Biden and Donald Trump before the 2024 US presidential election? [ACX 2024]
null
0.985103
510.493308
YES
null
r0q1sd6kfn
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "jtXzMTdDPlfZm2WTiHuf8vc0szo2", "label": "BarryBaker", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " resolves YES", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Ziddletwix
CAycRBh5314xbcPnT5rS
public
contract
1,719,541,780,935
will-donald-trump-do-any-debates-pr
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Will Donald Trump do any debates prior to the Presidential election 2024?
null
0.986193
1.013022
YES
null
hksdmlo2rfg
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "rFJu0EIdR6RP8d1vHKSh62pbnbH2", "label": "SimonGrayson", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " resolves to June ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Ziddletwix
bXHki2jX0BkQ62iAQJuF
public
contract
1,719,541,804,913
when-will-donald-trump-debate-joe-b-520fb55751b3
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
When will Donald Trump debate Joe Biden?
null
null
262.383561
YES
0cfa2380f1f7
thaov6oozn9
false
2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Resolved to YES - the outcome was known and unambiguous", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Gabrielle
KDZ3TIBsN6H3TthSG0di
public
contract
1,719,541,805,683
acx-2024-will-a-debate-be-held-betw
Gabrielle
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJwDJ6ZAXuT68UTfLZc5MRPR4vCxG04pHEyT4wDr=s96-c
Will a debate be held between Joe Biden and Donald Trump before the 2024 US presidential election? [ACX 2024]
rj3ksmqhdl
0.985103
29.710986
YES
null
uks2gatqqd
false
hIMCU8obvLSeOQm07kqvPkD2lVm2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Very much both", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Garrett Baker
09h3l6pt5i
public
contract
1,719,541,808,600
will-biden-4x-taxes-for-the-average
GarrettBaker
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GjoFmf8O1o7c4jUCbaWIlJo80o0-6Iu7DZbNVOOhx4=s96-c
Will Biden 4x taxes for the average American taxpayer?
hf3len97aom
null
null
null
null
lsc88v9qos9
false
TIxZM2CkXrVafA9OnTLLpSo1W0s2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Biden needed a win and clearly won't get one. Trump didn't say anything stupid on abortion or J6.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
riverwalk3
4amdGgZFKTxUMC3Fym6F
public
contract
1,719,541,822,311
will-joe-biden-win-the-2024-us-pres
riverwalk3
https://firebasestorage.…3e6-c0107ab85326
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
null
0.37
4,615.804228
YES
null
sooafjtkz8
false
I2bVfkY49dQ54suiyzZ2SN15QZA3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I would say yes, I assume they'll be some bickering about it lol.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Kraalnaxx
cscjHo7n8eHj3WGH3fr3
public
contract
1,719,541,826,368
prop-bets-on-trumpbiden-debate-1
Kraalnaxx
https://firebasestorage.…653-9bc927b2a59d
June 27th Presidential Debate Prop Bets
gnr29redep7
null
619.148532
NO
76jdit4tsl
hfe48do5yun
false
gFPP5Z6rRPdPLcwZmqt5c1tTo6Q2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400", "href": "https://www.stafforini.com/blog/anki-decks-by-lesswrong-users/", "target": "_blank" }, "type": "link" } ], "text": "https://www.stafforini.com/blog/anki-decks-by-lesswrong-users/", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Saul Munn
BkJVbsMTxgtEuK7tOR2B
public
contract
1,719,541,827,145
what-are-some-useful-things-to-memo
saulmunn
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZUXokPymgD5tR3Rv4gtxGuihIIsF3UOHG4nlIEyQ=s96-c
What are some useful things to memorize?
null
null
null
null
null
eyjzz23yga
false
cA1JupYR5AR8btHUs2xvkui7jA93
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Biden is going to 4x taxes, why is nobody talking about this?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Genzy
4amdGgZFKTxUMC3Fym6F
public
contract
1,719,541,921,323
will-joe-biden-win-the-2024-us-pres
Gen
https://firebasestorage.…bad-76d96081176f
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
lsc88v9qos9
0.37
26,273.099572
YES
null
d1ls3rq9k9l
false
srqK0MA5FBYrXLBAYrh41JxIvJA3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Legitimate question, can someone explain why this is so high when he’s only up by 0.2 with over a week left? I think it should be much closer than the 67% and I want to know why it’s not. ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Abhi
l6vOZFr7LZ3KRsszwDHp
public
contract
1,719,541,932,379
will-trump-beat-biden-in-national-p-22b14142a89a
Skyguy
https://firebasestorage.…bb3-e246d3dddb97
Will Trump beat Biden in national polling at the beginning of July? (538)
null
0.669328
373.169074
NO
null
usvwz1u241
false
b5a3UuCvBgMsA875HdcgdnVljdq1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "Lk7U1F6C5DXTTXCKYJhmwTok9Ps1", "label": "vibhav", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " He just complained about \"fraud\" in the election.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Muga Sofer
Z2bE6NdGUCpiHbwy2MpN
public
contract
1,719,541,944,501
what-will-happen-at-biden-and-trump
MugaSofer
https://firebasestorage.…ea7-19aebfd949c8
What will happen at Biden and Trump's First Debate? [ADD RESPONSES]
null
null
1,864.951164
YES
eca2a9b7a6dc
gjakjp9iy99
false
qjyDZaspY7fjbOsSZ00Hrw1KwXn1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Watching now", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
M.H.
5xhis7frz1
public
contract
1,719,541,947,448
will-i-think-joe-biden-won-tonights
MilfordHammerschmidt
https://firebasestorage.…a16-139e7e2fef8f
Will I think Joe Biden won tonight's presidential debate?
null
null
null
null
null
2jllzi6271f
false
BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "probably the debate", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Semiotic Rivalry
l6vOZFr7LZ3KRsszwDHp
public
contract
1,719,541,982,033
will-trump-beat-biden-in-national-p-22b14142a89a
SemioticRivalry
https://firebasestorage.…b1c-6adfb2a3dfaf
Will Trump beat Biden in national polling at the beginning of July? (538)
d1ls3rq9k9l
0.669328
469.596116
YES
null
lk431y5q47i
false
b5a3UuCvBgMsA875HdcgdnVljdq1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "BMPLNYGbHzaFPE34cO6HPRkdesb2", "label": "Haws", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " I think we can safely say this resolves NO.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Muga Sofer
ZDorRfxLNqK4JzV8x2Sc
public
contract
1,719,541,988,014
tump-v-biden-debate-bingo
MugaSofer
https://firebasestorage.…ea7-19aebfd949c8
Trump v Biden debate BINGO [First debate hosted by CNN]
null
null
1,068.64804
YES
2c5z3fp5lh
pdr4c3afqae
false
srqK0MA5FBYrXLBAYrh41JxIvJA3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "But the market was already at ~63% before the debate started", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Abhi
l6vOZFr7LZ3KRsszwDHp
public
contract
1,719,542,080,546
will-trump-beat-biden-in-national-p-22b14142a89a
Skyguy
https://firebasestorage.…bb3-e246d3dddb97
Will Trump beat Biden in national polling at the beginning of July? (538)
d1ls3rq9k9l
0.669328
373.169074
NO
null
gqp9kgstz1r
false
nU1f09PQ2tXXid2YO9Py924PV5J3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "He had his eyes closed for at least 3 seconds at the start right there.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
David Bolin
cscjHo7n8eHj3WGH3fr3
public
contract
1,719,542,124,478
prop-bets-on-trumpbiden-debate-1
DavidBolin
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJxBDzHEeklms-AzWLaDGByiape0wpIwJKLyGQDu=s96-c
June 27th Presidential Debate Prop Bets
null
null
null
null
null
gdm111a6cic
false
KNqZAiItmVTCX0LzUcj8Twg7tnh1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "vuI5upWB8yU00rP7yxj95J2zd952", "label": "ManifoldPolitics", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " This happened to Biden sometime around 1900 PST. I believe his last words were, \"And another thing--\".", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
snazzlePop
cscjHo7n8eHj3WGH3fr3
public
contract
1,719,542,169,806
prop-bets-on-trumpbiden-debate-1
snazzlePop
https://firebasestorage.…4df-4312e7a7f92b
June 27th Presidential Debate Prop Bets
null
null
4,860.417376
YES
ddc25fa749a2
izp7kpa2kts
false
2BVjwaEP1tYvmQ1xqIRzkID5aPC2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Can be resolved", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Corinne
wff51om26j
public
contract
1,719,542,177,583
will-trump-say-obama-during-the-deb
manic_pixie_agi
https://firebasestorage.…8d0-9fdad2a36df6
Will Trump say Obama during the debate?
null
0.84
172.625836
YES
null
397e3m76aqi
false
nU1f09PQ2tXXid2YO9Py924PV5J3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "it was \"by the way\"", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
David Bolin
cscjHo7n8eHj3WGH3fr3
public
contract
1,719,542,195,239
prop-bets-on-trumpbiden-debate-1
DavidBolin
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJxBDzHEeklms-AzWLaDGByiape0wpIwJKLyGQDu=s96-c
June 27th Presidential Debate Prop Bets
gdm111a6cic
null
null
null
null
35uv7bodva
false
KmmDnJMprgS91xbLmgb2lSoJe2f2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "He stopped talking before they had to mute him", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Skibiti Tea
cscjHo7n8eHj3WGH3fr3
public
contract
1,719,542,264,328
prop-bets-on-trumpbiden-debate-1
Skibiti_Tea
https://firebasestorage.…168-fa5789cb5d12
June 27th Presidential Debate Prop Bets
gdm111a6cic
null
1,018.382327
NO
unuc63q5im
derwxjytyf
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "he stopped talking because they were muting him - this happened", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
stefanie
cscjHo7n8eHj3WGH3fr3
public
contract
1,719,542,286,748
prop-bets-on-trumpbiden-debate-1
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…221-72113ad45c7e
June 27th Presidential Debate Prop Bets
gdm111a6cic
null
424.91571
YES
unuc63q5im
3vv5g38ojc9
false
2BxXRsWcjIU3OTyyhyjac7yyy4P2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Do you really not know what 'wokeism' is? Ugh. ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The definition of wokeism varies quite a bit depending on who you ask but is basically: ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "hardBreak" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Identity politics, DEI, CRT, anti-white sentiment", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Kakonomics
4amdGgZFKTxUMC3Fym6F
public
contract
1,719,542,323,903
will-joe-biden-win-the-2024-us-pres
Yoae
https://firebasestorage.…9b9-ed72121a5535
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
s13xzt2qzv8
0.372188
96.188291
NO
null
8ukft5g2eyu
false
U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Shockingly well-disciplined.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Panfilo
1tjqv8vl8e
public
contract
1,719,542,367,084
will-donald-trump-overcome-a-muted
Panfilo
https://firebasestorage.…30c-2f62a625fa0b
Will Donald Trump overcome a muted microphone at the first debate?
null
0.093111
2,726.618511
NO
null
b4tw2w51qxt
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "just ended - didnt happen", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
no9e1ub5ew
public
contract
1,719,542,406,816
live-trading-allowed-will-trump-and
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
[LIVE TRADING ALLOWED] Will Trump and Biden shake hands at the first debate in June?
null
0.026944
155.144325
NO
null
ktthukn4kas
false
ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "CNN broadcast production team was really fucking with us there. Holy shit.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Predictor 🔥
gffoEWwKUc5NIG4cYgZH
public
contract
1,719,542,411,864
will-trump-and-biden-shake-hands-at
Predictor
https://firebasestorage.…22a-9833cd6cbc4e
Will Trump and Biden shake hands at the first debate in June?
null
0.487841
5,541.246722
YES
null
t5p2br5w4q
false
XeQf3ygmrGM1MxdsE3JSlmq8vL42
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "There wasn't any of his audio muted. It's hard to make the case someone is \"mid-sentence\" when they're not even talking.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Jacy
cscjHo7n8eHj3WGH3fr3
public
contract
1,719,542,426,166
prop-bets-on-trumpbiden-debate-1
Jacy
https://firebasestorage.…73f-503ef6cf6c81
June 27th Presidential Debate Prop Bets
gdm111a6cic
null
299.614394
NO
0jgl8qwqoa
jj0b32ayanf
false
J611lCgdyQdv306O7QPCWtAL0Gc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Go vote on the poll!", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "hardBreak" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "hardBreak" }, { "attrs": { "id": "nfb8dcanr5", "label": "/SteveSokolowski/who-won-the-june-27-2024-cnn-presid", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "contract-mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Steve Sokolowski
cscjHo7n8eHj3WGH3fr3
public
contract
1,719,542,436,970
prop-bets-on-trumpbiden-debate-1
SteveSokolowski
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtc1UM2wtQThBuAPyurW8TD4Y7ydKGRN-eB7Xv8txFEH_g=s96-c
June 27th Presidential Debate Prop Bets
null
null
1,682.10946
NO
ncde00ogtm
d9yklrq0gru
false
wkA0N4FfASaBmfTcZKY7YCNP2WI2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "shouldn't it be resolved now?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
typeofemale
gffoEWwKUc5NIG4cYgZH
public
contract
1,719,542,438,298
will-trump-and-biden-shake-hands-at
typeofemale
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp7I3UMA5PlNFsWQAoZ6Cp9AJho1hF07pgwh99ES=s96-c
Will Trump and Biden shake hands at the first debate in June?
null
0.487841
93.068926
NO
null
of1w67kcw29
false
b5a3UuCvBgMsA875HdcgdnVljdq1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "DTyyXdqFjkWdnFRnL04Exf8XNBH2", "label": "willMay", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " I believe this happened when they were both bickering & calling each other childish.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Muga Sofer
Z2bE6NdGUCpiHbwy2MpN
public
contract
1,719,542,470,686
what-will-happen-at-biden-and-trump
MugaSofer
https://firebasestorage.…ea7-19aebfd949c8
What will happen at Biden and Trump's First Debate? [ADD RESPONSES]
null
null
1,864.951164
YES
eca2a9b7a6dc
qfhbyziq7zd
false
5UEJDhfkuLNxnh3UKgg0rHesRCg2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I count 12. That seems to be covered by two answers, ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": { "id": "BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3", "label": "SemioticRivalry", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
JKS
gBbPUOlDYvbmlGNwuWml
public
contract
1,719,542,491,507
how-many-times-will-trump-say-china-3b2682baa359
jks
https://firebasestorage.…638-cbc4a0a8faa6
How many times will Trump say "China" in the first Presidential debate?
null
null
508.641798
NO
c2d6b3f3e948
9qnax6al0wq
false
nU1f09PQ2tXXid2YO9Py924PV5J3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "He was mid sentence even if he stopped voluntarily because they were cutting him off.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
David Bolin
cscjHo7n8eHj3WGH3fr3
public
contract
1,719,542,512,630
prop-bets-on-trumpbiden-debate-1
DavidBolin
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJxBDzHEeklms-AzWLaDGByiape0wpIwJKLyGQDu=s96-c
June 27th Presidential Debate Prop Bets
gdm111a6cic
null
null
null
null
c0ijklisem4
false
qjyDZaspY7fjbOsSZ00Hrw1KwXn1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "\"*eight stumbles* We finally beat medicare\" holy shit what the fuck it's only eight minutes in", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
M.H.
5xhis7frz1
public
contract
1,719,542,531,461
will-i-think-joe-biden-won-tonights
MilfordHammerschmidt
https://firebasestorage.…a16-139e7e2fef8f
Will I think Joe Biden won tonight's presidential debate?
gjakjp9iy99
null
null
null
null
xo6hcm8dwck
false
BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "lol, i didn't realize these overlapped. Very dumb by me. I'll close and wait for transcript though", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Semiotic Rivalry
gBbPUOlDYvbmlGNwuWml
public
contract
1,719,542,549,530
how-many-times-will-trump-say-china-3b2682baa359
SemioticRivalry
https://firebasestorage.…b1c-6adfb2a3dfaf
How many times will Trump say "China" in the first Presidential debate?
qfhbyziq7zd
null
null
null
null
upiokdqdkei
false
8r2bepHVOBVLIzkIUVIhOU72unn1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Hey, I don't think so! This needs to resolve the day after lest we mess with the market's premise.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Dr. Derek Harris
gffoEWwKUc5NIG4cYgZH
public
contract
1,719,542,580,346
will-trump-and-biden-shake-hands-at
DrDerek
https://firebasestorage.…68f-50c79076c06f
Will Trump and Biden shake hands at the first debate in June?
d9yklrq0gru
0.487841
468.149646
NO
null
n3o2wnyps7h
false
d9vxoU9czxR8HkgfMdwwTmVBQ3y2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Gavin Newsom", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Bence
nfb8dcanr5
public
contract
1,719,542,584,636
who-won-the-june-27-2024-cnn-presid
bence
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY6q8sP8ydlU9daTxBnT6rxi4S_cnrdBUjDR2INFbY=s96-c
Who won the June 27, 2024 CNN Presidential debate?
null
null
null
null
null
yrsqapl840s
false
5UEJDhfkuLNxnh3UKgg0rHesRCg2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "\"The definition of wokeism varies quite a bit depending on who you ask\"", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "hardBreak" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "That's probably why ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": { "id": "1RfsLVzFZwaLLXGaSr5yaG5ink23", "label": "dgga", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " asked lol", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
JKS
4amdGgZFKTxUMC3Fym6F
public
contract
1,719,542,630,399
will-joe-biden-win-the-2024-us-pres
jks
https://firebasestorage.…638-cbc4a0a8faa6
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
s13xzt2qzv8
0.372188
3,277.210614
NO
null
9hfcyviw1h5
false
YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Resolved everything I heard during the debate. Waiting for the transcript to finish resolving.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Jack
m5i079o53b
public
contract
1,719,542,639,977
first-trump-vs-biden-presidential-d
jack
https://firebasestorage.…606-5fc6e2c6b096
First Trump vs Biden presidential debate mention market: which words/phrases will be said?
null
null
1,124.321703
YES
ev9ztuzhc2
53g593m5zte
false
XeQf3ygmrGM1MxdsE3JSlmq8vL42
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "nU1f09PQ2tXXid2YO9Py924PV5J3", "label": "DavidBolin", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " what does it mean to be mid-sentence if you're not talking? \"Mid\" is ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400", "href": "https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/mid", "target": "_blank" }, "type": "link" } ], "text": "defined by Merriam-Webster", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " as \"being the part in the middle or midst.\" If this was the middle, where was second section?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Jacy
cscjHo7n8eHj3WGH3fr3
public
contract
1,719,542,677,166
prop-bets-on-trumpbiden-debate-1
Jacy
https://firebasestorage.…73f-503ef6cf6c81
June 27th Presidential Debate Prop Bets
gdm111a6cic
null
452.172088
NO
unuc63q5im
ezy297g01rl
false
nU1f09PQ2tXXid2YO9Py924PV5J3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "He was mid sentence. He started a sentence and did not complete it.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
David Bolin
cscjHo7n8eHj3WGH3fr3
public
contract
1,719,542,720,321
prop-bets-on-trumpbiden-debate-1
DavidBolin
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJxBDzHEeklms-AzWLaDGByiape0wpIwJKLyGQDu=s96-c
June 27th Presidential Debate Prop Bets
gdm111a6cic
null
null
null
null
u8d0x0acyt
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "agree with David - he was in the middle of a sentence/statement and he didn't finish it. that's \"mid-sentence\" at a very basic level.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
stefanie
cscjHo7n8eHj3WGH3fr3
public
contract
1,719,542,762,232
prop-bets-on-trumpbiden-debate-1
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…221-72113ad45c7e
June 27th Presidential Debate Prop Bets
gdm111a6cic
null
424.91571
YES
unuc63q5im
zi2mqy3ft7f
false
OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "My opinion: he had stopped his sentence before the microphone was cut off. It wasn't cut off mid-sentence. ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
jim
cscjHo7n8eHj3WGH3fr3
public
contract
1,719,542,819,541
prop-bets-on-trumpbiden-debate-1
jim
https://firebasestorage.…9bd-1f9dcd4cd13f
June 27th Presidential Debate Prop Bets
gdm111a6cic
null
3,417.246547
YES
7fcf8c6d99ad
1nvpqdggpn3
false
XeQf3ygmrGM1MxdsE3JSlmq8vL42
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "nU1f09PQ2tXXid2YO9Py924PV5J3", "label": "DavidBolin", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": { "id": "KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2", "label": "shankypanky", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " I agree he was mid-sentence when he stopped talking, but the point is that he didn't continue to be mid-sentence after he stopped, which is when the mic was muted.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Jacy
cscjHo7n8eHj3WGH3fr3
public
contract
1,719,542,902,228
prop-bets-on-trumpbiden-debate-1
Jacy
https://firebasestorage.…73f-503ef6cf6c81
June 27th Presidential Debate Prop Bets
gdm111a6cic
null
452.172088
NO
unuc63q5im
7mtd9dkne1d
false
d9vxoU9czxR8HkgfMdwwTmVBQ3y2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1", "label": "Ziddletwix", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "hardBreak" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "hardBreak" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "> I come of householdth… where the ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": null, "type": "bold" } ], "text": "kitchen table", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " thuh… things weren't able to be met during the month it was a problem ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "hardBreak" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "hardBreak" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400", "href": "https://youtu.be/XxAU0K94fpw?t=14700", "target": "_blank" }, "type": "link" } ], "text": "https://youtu.be/XxAU0K94fpw?t=14700", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Bence
r5mrk7pb1a
public
contract
1,719,542,935,397
first-debate-bidenisms-megamarket-w
bence
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY6q8sP8ydlU9daTxBnT6rxi4S_cnrdBUjDR2INFbY=s96-c
First Debate Biden-isms Megamarket: Which exact words/phrases will Biden say?
null
null
205.203315
NO
k86fny72rs
edqqelsvhal
false
jZsECgI1Y5fuDY9alZvz7CMcxSg2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "If he stopoed voluntarily its just a weird full sentence", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Roberto Gomez
cscjHo7n8eHj3WGH3fr3
public
contract
1,719,542,964,421
prop-bets-on-trumpbiden-debate-1
RobertoGomez
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJzsGkARi5n93ihu6fO41PTFHtZh-XCjvWL5b0ki=s96-c
June 27th Presidential Debate Prop Bets
gdm111a6cic
null
14.049742
YES
c5137020a173
19yhn8rmaqu
false
I2bVfkY49dQ54suiyzZ2SN15QZA3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "vcRnogNTojb2z8RejfxaYDwYs6B3", "label": "ADings", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " This resolves as YES imo. Talking about how the election would be fradulent is a hint he won't accept the results if he loses, since that's hat he did when he lost last time.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Kraalnaxx
cscjHo7n8eHj3WGH3fr3
public
contract
1,719,543,012,473
prop-bets-on-trumpbiden-debate-1
Kraalnaxx
https://firebasestorage.…653-9bc927b2a59d
June 27th Presidential Debate Prop Bets
null
null
619.148532
NO
76jdit4tsl
7qxw7pv5qok
false
4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The probability of Biden maintaining the nomination seems to be dropping...for anyone who was previously at ~95% but is now closer to 80%, I'm curious what changed for you. Was Biden performing poorly in a debate not already baked in? Or did he come off as older than you anticipated? ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Carson Gale
YTIuuSsNRn2OlA4KykRM
public
contract
1,719,543,018,139
will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n
CarsonGale
https://firebasestorage.…ff3-a1fc33070eae
Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee?
null
0.834479
6,533.203653
NO
null