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... | SG | qAfjQeovkKWHcDJNLinV | public | contract | 1,720,149,860,780 | will-i-love-daylight-computer | SG | Will I love Daylight Computer? | null | null | null | null | null | |
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"text": "Very good point. I revised with criteria that approximates that number of troops and is likely to be publicly available information. ",
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... | Mike Linksvayer | url2vico9x | public | contract | 1,720,150,829,325 | how-will-scientific-consensus-in-20 | MikeLinksvayer | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMEt_vp87oGWCPN6fczOoU_PSbnY8JZQWWdkXjXQ=s96-c | How will scientific consensus in 2050 apportion the causes of increased life expectancy from 1000AD to 2000AD in Europe? | 2odqm52b85i | null | 69.692658 | NO | 8b9httnmwh |
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"content"... | Jack | BAX0DIXgrl3Y1nfEpX6V | public | contract | 1,720,150,900,181 | israelhezbollah-conflict-killing-40 | jack | Israel-Hezbollah conflict killing >400 before 2024? And US and Iran at war before 2025? | 3g60uncg3ed | null | 9,464.924696 | YES | 47c86690899c | |
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"t... | Josh Wilkes | cVU4A3zFtzBL3GaEcv1l | public | contract | 1,720,150,998,566 | will-jeremy-hunt-lose-his-seat-at-t | JoshuaWilkes | Will Jeremy Hunt lose his seat at the next general election? | null | 0.084626 | 466.17537 | NO | null | |
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"text": "Polymarket has a slight republican bias, manifold has a larger democrat bias and a larger Biden bias, which is why you'll always get decent odds bettin... | Eric Zhu | w4l6r8bqau | public | contract | 1,720,151,210,409 | will-joe-biden-drop-out-of-the-elec | EricZhu | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKwS96LK82L2BHeWwAKQ5BGUK0vOjwgZXMXaXONBMqTYi-vgZ48=s96-c | Will Joe Biden drop out of the election by end of July 2024? | lf1625natwg | 0.486508 | 499.261065 | YES | null |
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... | Al Quinn | ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf | public | contract | 1,720,151,761,687 | who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 | AlQuinn | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp46gOxO4QNQsQ8T4KOcwIwbRQPb2PvzEwr7f8nE=s96-c | Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | filz33s9xrq | null | 21,906.425166 | YES | 230d5d1b7613 |
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... | Andrew | wGr9jp8Ov3ncKYWHiirJ | public | contract | 1,720,151,870,050 | who-will-be-the-manager-of-manchest | Andrew2a12 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtfb-e5hQc3TDFO8py8RAiv5-W1wReCY6UertyALq0kY=s96-c | Who will be the manager of Manchester United at the start of 2024-25 season? | null | null | 2,679.895292 | YES | 219e0900e6d1 |
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... | Timothy Johnson | VUr0sKGY7SykEXoMxV5Y | public | contract | 1,720,151,938,325 | poll-would-you-trade-up-if-you-met | TimothyJohnson5c16 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYY1maA_aMEcew3CXHdOWt6elNschJLRt5gE5D8AQ=s96-c | Poll: Would you trade up if you met someone X% better than your partner? | null | null | null | null | null |
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... | Al Quinn | YTIuuSsNRn2OlA4KykRM | public | contract | 1,720,152,012,015 | will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n | AlQuinn | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp46gOxO4QNQsQ8T4KOcwIwbRQPb2PvzEwr7f8nE=s96-c | Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee? | em4h7tro1jc | 0.44 | 17,706.775136 | NO | null |
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"hideCloseButton": nu... | Christopher Randles | ncnvxevltz | public | contract | 1,720,152,171,928 | during-the-ge-2024-results-when-wil | ChristopherRandles | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c | During the GE 2024 results, when will Labour reach 326 seats, an overall majority in the House of Commons? | null | null | 838.967091 | NO | ju4c36kmpc |
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} | stefanie | VUr0sKGY7SykEXoMxV5Y | public | contract | 1,720,152,179,944 | poll-would-you-trade-up-if-you-met | shankypanky | Poll: Would you trade up if you met someone X% better than your partner? | xrnwhzj59lh | null | null | null | null | |
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"text": "Yep, and the BBC is a little delayed compared to the results read out by the returning officer, it actually happened at about 04:55.",
"type"... | alh | ncnvxevltz | public | contract | 1,720,152,273,068 | during-the-ge-2024-results-when-wil | alh | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJOYqNwjWqVxrdyfZkgI7wzcYEKBtW2Wyl50riBsXx4IQ=s96-c | During the GE 2024 results, when will Labour reach 326 seats, an overall majority in the House of Commons? | srvz8qhd58 | null | 1,909.604116 | NO | q5gta2ql7m |
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"text": "As the country navigates this new political terrain, several scenarios could lead to an early election before the next scheduled one in 2029. This arti... | Doyle Jaeden | BCIGoiQT29Ov4S1EvMEl | public | contract | 1,720,152,274,925 | will-south-africa-have-another-pres | DoyleJaeden | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocK3__OTcp_hl3mjauU8wHZIZiw5bdBYCGFK2EVxddQKXMXBOA=s96-c | Will South Africa have another presidential election before 2029? | null | null | null | null | null |
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"text": "Sure, I don't see any reason why not. The description just requires that the channel has content, not that anyone actually watches it.",
"typ... | NLeseul | 7Go5CN7A6NovTHFJisRW | public | contract | 1,720,152,441,860 | will-there-be-an-ai-lets-play-chann | NLeseul | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5NPcSyIQZFZcOY7wcwSutdgrXKzq-TcO3gnn6UvQ=s96-c | Will there be an AI "Let's Play" channel by 2030? | k36fs7hsdnr | null | null | null | null |
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"type": ... | niko | 2l0jx5q7hr | public | contract | 1,720,152,576,931 | inversion-resolutions-what-would-be | Nikos | [Inversing Resolutions] What would be true in a world where Donald Trump wins the election? | 0ijq34jmkjpt | null | 2.054833 | YES | d6at09urdg | |
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} | zaperrer | dvmla8o1ku | public | contract | 1,720,152,665,161 | will-kamala-harris-be-president-by | zaperrer | Will Kamala Harris become President before February 2029? | 93wi4yb7gtw | null | null | null | null | |
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... | Bayesian | pFApJ12OsplIhO50twf3 | public | contract | 1,720,152,728,862 | will-tesla-license-fsd-to-any-major | Bayesian | Will Tesla License FSD to any major OEM by January of 2025 | titw77vo7c | null | null | null | null | |
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"text": "Not active enough in US politics to evaluate this but I really appreciate you publicly explaining your model in this way",
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... | Super Nukey | rEjvq11HwIopdqvN8ufV | public | contract | 1,720,153,407,799 | who-would-win-the-presidential-elec | SuperNukey | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY6M9VAclGze6gwQkgJRTETl7b_szEsAR5iFwY8=s96-c | Who would win the US Presidential Election, if they were the Democratic Party nominee in 2024? | q2civ80lbj | null | null | null | null |
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]... | Patrik Cihal | s7b3q9x08b | public | contract | 1,720,154,391,103 | does-listening-to-music-lead-to-hig | patrik | Does listening to music lead to higher utility? | 1vi3tx5nx3lh | 0.257007 | 54,791.6868 | NO | null | |
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... | Timothy Johnson | s7b3q9x08b | public | contract | 1,720,154,456,695 | does-listening-to-music-lead-to-hig | TimothyJohnson5c16 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYY1maA_aMEcew3CXHdOWt6elNschJLRt5gE5D8AQ=s96-c | Does listening to music lead to higher utility? | null | null | null | null | null |
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