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sd5xpghu9hn
true
xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1
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FairlyRandom
Nf5OsAX1uXSgbyUaQHaH
public
contract
1,717,159,201,980
weekly-manifold-lottery-tickets-25x
FairlyRandom
https://firebasestorage.…00d-eb2b72450393
Weekly Manifold lottery tickets 25x return possible
null
null
null
null
null
tijwkispjb
false
KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "60x5mn9ya7x", "label": "Mirek", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, {...
Christopher Randles
DUv8ftjMInHAbp7UgwqJ
public
contract
1,717,159,240,221
will-furiosa-a-mad-max-saga-2024-ha
ChristopherRandles
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c
Will "Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga" (2024) have a Rotten Tomatoes critics score >X%?
4007efyiyvd
null
6,169.042671
YES
52c8a526fb05
frih7o28puw
false
s39YDTv6HvayjjrGcbT8TV56V0e2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "tijwkispjb", "label": "ChristopherRandles", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Quantum Gambler
DUv8ftjMInHAbp7UgwqJ
public
contract
1,717,159,342,024
will-furiosa-a-mad-max-saga-2024-ha
Mirek
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMirek%2FHT1snXZm5P.51?alt=media&token=3ba36ff2-73b1-44fb-9d34-e0da533f7055
Will "Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga" (2024) have a Rotten Tomatoes critics score >X%?
4007efyiyvd
null
581.841759
YES
89ca58589f52
ef5mfl8gmu5
false
KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "BMPLNYGbHzaFPE34cO6HPRkdesb2", "label": "Haws", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Christopher Randles
gTJrOzJB6pg6hgsrEQiz
public
contract
1,717,159,669,676
will-the-close-price-of-xrp-be-high-120c74ea3699
ChristopherRandles
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c
Will the close price of XRP be higher than the previous day?
7e75yscwsn
null
2,430.755935
NO
c0f2caee7c6e
ohe9hevbsy
false
rzqsLOz6k8PH88JIzdGmH7CmAw73
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "label": "Gigacasting", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mentio...
Wilson Kime
FsLn7thKzXJ0PqBj1abt
public
contract
1,717,159,714,529
will-trump-be-convicted
wilsonkime
https://firebasestorage.…7e6-3b1946ddd776
Will Trump be convicted?
null
0.987933
271.089694
YES
null
gh9e0vyg3lw
false
PAbRiiLh2KVClsU5dtGJKD6lkTZ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "afzgqslo9d", "label": "Najawin", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
CyfralCoot
l6u8krLxwMazidXcOxYC
public
contract
1,717,159,923,914
what-would-happen-in-minecraft-121
CyfralCoot
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKI3yTx-AtDSYdSKAGsu6w8QaNcVLkzQ7O2KxAxfMFh-A=s96-c
What would happen in Minecraft 1.21? [Add answers]
trxhh10cdu
null
443.630136
NO
ce782e65090c
vnft7r0ogfi
false
HYKavv7hgWhxCCsziWEifoxOdjA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "At the moment in this market there's a ~20% chance he serves time in 2024. ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" ...
Daniel
iaDMmVj0lMBbKAymmreU
public
contract
1,717,160,143,989
trump-sentenced-to-jail-vs-trump-el
Daniel_MC
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxaQGTfUoEbrPqZn0U9_IjEWIouF64_J7fnacyXbRg=s96-c
If trump is sentenced to jail will it boost his election chances?
null
null
null
null
null
suz7h7zadi
false
ZKkL3lFRFaYfiaT9ZOdiv2iUJBM2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "uktrbup8ozp", "label": "Daniel_MC", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
mint
0r7CYWde6DojE7zo3Fwe
public
contract
1,717,161,418,147
if-trump-is-convicted-in-the-hush-m
mint
https://firebasestorage.…6c1-5baf736896c2
If trump is convicted in the Hush Money case, will he successfully appeal?
4wmewj3dx8
null
null
null
null
f1z2k3biajn
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "s48325429d", "label": "Soli", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
stefanie
w4zfQIizCAHPN3Yv6wqh
public
contract
1,717,161,468,198
will-openai-patch-the-hack-that-all
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Will OpenAI patch the "hack" that allows users to access the unreleased MacOS ChatGPT app in May?
kaz0gz41z0s
0.074511
552.520608
NO
null
bfody71vvo6
false
rFJu0EIdR6RP8d1vHKSh62pbnbH2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "X3z4hxRXipWvGoFhxlDOVxmP5vL2", "label": "traders", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Simon Grayson
mCq2fHhPZcd34tpcgMEw
public
contract
1,717,161,633,375
uk-general-election-which-month-in-6ab8406103dd
SimonGrayson
https://firebasestorage.…846-fd0042ad0696
UK General Election - which month in 2024 will it take place?
null
null
5,076.872411
YES
70d7a690f6d1
pytmppvzfc
false
7VyXHLttmabiTEB4oaUAs2tbyzG3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "kp7jr0pys9a", "label": "TheAllMemeingEye", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }...
RatUziCat
rwb8spHLhFTFd9GtmEza
public
contract
1,717,161,736,959
will-the-us-remove-its-restrictions
RatUziCat
https://firebasestorage.…0ef-5bd2549a9952
Will the US remove its restrictions on allowing Ukraine to use US weapons to target inside Russia by July 1st?
kp7jr0pys9a
1
164.036175
NO
null
kfmkbbre89d
false
HYKavv7hgWhxCCsziWEifoxOdjA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "suz7h7zadi", "label": "mint", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Daniel
0r7CYWde6DojE7zo3Fwe
public
contract
1,717,161,740,353
if-trump-is-convicted-in-the-hush-m
Daniel_MC
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxaQGTfUoEbrPqZn0U9_IjEWIouF64_J7fnacyXbRg=s96-c
If trump is convicted in the Hush Money case, will he successfully appeal?
4wmewj3dx8
null
null
null
null
x5mvg7nrkq
false
rFJu0EIdR6RP8d1vHKSh62pbnbH2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Parliament dissolved without Liz Truss losing the whip, so this resolves to NO", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" ...
Simon Grayson
NoKGbSZFHkUPyOylfDS1
public
contract
1,717,161,781,529
will-liz-truss-lose-the-conservativ-8fb67ecad4ac
SimonGrayson
https://firebasestorage.…846-fd0042ad0696
Will Liz Truss lose the Conservative whip before the next election?
null
0.049524
7,154.356371
NO
null
c9ovm2s8oqg
false
rUI8lj6FurQkk7ikuDfuJ5i7UIu2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "bfody71vvo6", "label": "SimonGrayson", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Kurgan
mCq2fHhPZcd34tpcgMEw
public
contract
1,717,161,784,021
uk-general-election-which-month-in-6ab8406103dd
Kurgan
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTte9FaCKbiAw0pPQkMoWQvI9kjj1u8LRBGPaRVwKyBrx=s96-c
UK General Election - which month in 2024 will it take place?
bfody71vvo6
null
6,784.41992
YES
7266785416d4
ynt15zyqhro
false
7VyXHLttmabiTEB4oaUAs2tbyzG3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "pytmppvzfc", "label": "RatUziCat", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
RatUziCat
rwb8spHLhFTFd9GtmEza
public
contract
1,717,161,875,054
will-the-us-remove-its-restrictions
RatUziCat
https://firebasestorage.…0ef-5bd2549a9952
Will the US remove its restrictions on allowing Ukraine to use US weapons to target inside Russia by July 1st?
kp7jr0pys9a
1
164.036175
NO
null
wlevuyq2au
false
rFJu0EIdR6RP8d1vHKSh62pbnbH2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Yes. This is the main thing I want to see when I'm looking at a market, especially one of my own markets.", "type": "text" } ],...
Simon Grayson
phw49HIl79ChYEsRCnHe
public
contract
1,717,161,982,118
do-you-want-the-number-of-traders-m
SimonGrayson
https://firebasestorage.…846-fd0042ad0696
Do you want the 'number of traders' metric back?
null
null
null
null
null
tet14gjm9l
false
jZUBm9inM5W8zeSJDPClYNVLAcv2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Edit May 21st: this market will close at launch so that I can recoup some...
Jess Riedel
THPsMRwQWcaZttCDbZvv
public
contract
1,717,161,992,258
in-starshipsuperheavy-ift4-will-sta
JessRiedel
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtekvmOko5m7kKrx2fT2UZEzaEFrrwqJqTV6R6kPNhTwUQE=s96-c
Will Starship IFT-4 survive past the point of maximum re-entry heating?
null
0.641919
1,448.303803
NO
null
5qwdpitijq9
false
HYKavv7hgWhxCCsziWEifoxOdjA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": 0, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "lang...
Daniel
IJoKwOWOnjRPbeZrWVbM
public
contract
1,717,162,112,099
rtx-5090-production-delayed-or-inte
Daniel_MC
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxaQGTfUoEbrPqZn0U9_IjEWIouF64_J7fnacyXbRg=s96-c
RTX 5090 production delayed or interrupted by military conflict in Taiwan.
null
null
null
null
null
hwf1pkwy2na
false
bLt6k1O80HbqWMzqrsWtsktGLGx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Should resolve YES 👍 ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": { "id": "xWfgfpw24sPrCYMCAnSMUOHrPwD2", ...
Susanne inFrance
Nz3iCzue7KpWd6XLyQfx
public
contract
1,717,162,159,676
will-scotus-rule-in-favor-of-the-nr
SusanneinFrance
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIDOs86WcHU8dwcDIj414T7jk_b0RgedXuz4g-gxhsW=s96-c
Will SCOTUS rule in favor of the NRA in National Rifle Association v. Vullo before July 31, 2024?
null
0.977278
4,145.236397
YES
null
bcsyzw65pmp
false
bLt6k1O80HbqWMzqrsWtsktGLGx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Should resolve YES 👍 ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Susanne inFrance
pShvyfkgRnOI5KeSxjlc
public
contract
1,717,162,307,043
will-trump-be-convicted-in-ny
SusanneinFrance
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIDOs86WcHU8dwcDIj414T7jk_b0RgedXuz4g-gxhsW=s96-c
Will Trump be convicted? (in NY)
null
0.99
131.467803
YES
null
oce2lpsf2dg
false
4awgG8uHiJeyHswKCHMBZMHKcyu2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Snarflak
xXLeEwPXLS3wIe9ggDbx
public
contract
1,717,162,798,032
which-will-happen-first-civil-war-2
Snarflak
https://firebasestorage.…441-21a1c85f3480
Which will happen first, Civil War 2 or World War 3?
null
null
null
null
null
bxgyffkp3l4
false
U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Betting up because I think that poll will reflect people thinking they are less likely to vote for Trump after the conviction.", "type": "tex...
Panfilo
qqH9R1UW4mJqDBvqjnGd
public
contract
1,717,162,881,638
will-biden-overtake-trumps-lead-in
Panfilo
https://firebasestorage.…30c-2f62a625fa0b
Will Biden overtake Trump’s lead in the next NYT/Siena poll?
null
0.353994
570.913056
YES
null
70s7x81vvva
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "label": "NcyRocks", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
stefanie
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,163,204,595
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
null
null
null
rzc2oysosxd
false
U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "r2vbx02hvne", "label": "Panfilo", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Panfilo
sY7HwCqSOziODYvvJ2Zq
public
contract
1,717,163,291,304
will-hamas-still-rule-gaza-on-june
Panfilo
https://firebasestorage.…30c-2f62a625fa0b
Will Hamas still rule Gaza on June 1st 2024?
r2vbx02hvne
0.142395
1,618.649833
NO
null
3h22xtkg0ip
false
KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Entry is shown at T+47:25 so did wonder if closing it at ~T+30min would be possible but I guess you don't want that as the price might go down to 1% if...
Christopher Randles
THPsMRwQWcaZttCDbZvv
public
contract
1,717,163,363,103
in-starshipsuperheavy-ift4-will-sta
ChristopherRandles
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c
Will Starship IFT-4 survive past the point of maximum re-entry heating?
tet14gjm9l
0.639174
10.344796
YES
null
hp5t66zrpu
false
2eLbfaaBmjeKLKMgnpV6TkDmCU83
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "It is, occasionally, fun to do a postmortem of sorts when you have success in a market. In this case, I was not only able to make a large profit, I was...
Josh Wilkes
mCq2fHhPZcd34tpcgMEw
public
contract
1,717,163,417,034
uk-general-election-which-month-in-6ab8406103dd
JoshuaWilkes
https://firebasestorage.…516-65b151c295c8
UK General Election - which month in 2024 will it take place?
null
null
4,349.856648
YES
7266785416d4
r1lvgepw8xa
false
xfvv2IHWADa6xJjECe73FFXU3CV2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Involved is the vaguest possible language you could use here. For instance, the helicopter crash of the Iranian President. Technically, Biden was invol...
EugeneBixby
W98ZzyNBGDzrQkffdDdk
public
contract
1,717,163,539,081
president-joe-biden-involved-in-an-x7cg74qn52
EugeneBixby
https://firebasestorage.…a71-2fe7e17f7e21
President Joe Biden involved in an helicopter crash in 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
4xusu3yi5kc
false
rFJu0EIdR6RP8d1vHKSh62pbnbH2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "X3z4hxRXipWvGoFhxlDOVxmP5vL2", "label": "traders", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Simon Grayson
wluc4fM8Bc1oGwhq0q5m
public
contract
1,717,163,887,471
will-a-lifetime-smoking-ban-become
SimonGrayson
https://firebasestorage.…846-fd0042ad0696
Will a "lifetime smoking ban" become law in the UK before the next General Election?
null
0.009548
2,288.197585
NO
null
ednpw5y51wi
false
bhcruiD8kHfiYhieLPwhB5NceBH3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "All right, call for final demos/submissions, tomorrow is June. Any objections to resolve this market by around or before July 1st depending upon eviden...
Patrick Delaney
hKf5VjSjqjjcRxUtO7Lx
public
contract
1,717,163,897,225
will-a-noncrappy-3d-objects-version
PatrickDelaney
https://firebasestorage.…1af-8cfff16b598a
Will a Non-Crappy 3D Objects Version of Dall-e be Published Before June 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
w58k068ajth
false
t3l5cgdWYhXPj2erbyMPjx1UqcQ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "4xusu3yi5kc", "label": "SimonGrayson", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Joey
wluc4fM8Bc1oGwhq0q5m
public
contract
1,717,164,013,554
will-a-lifetime-smoking-ban-become
joeym4
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIoBb69UA4hseN1rwediVLtBbpAqMpqgyh9C95NIz6Pt87H=s96-c
Will a "lifetime smoking ban" become law in the UK before the next General Election?
4xusu3yi5kc
0.009548
1,050.592705
NO
null
43rfzbq8ntg
false
J611lCgdyQdv306O7QPCWtAL0Gc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "2k3zb3a6a8y", "label": "becauseyoudo", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Steve Sokolowski
Bzd2WtlFSBJHHMpPxGnY
public
contract
1,717,164,084,104
how-will-the-donald-trumps-stormy-d
SteveSokolowski
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtc1UM2wtQThBuAPyurW8TD4Y7ydKGRN-eB7Xv8txFEH_g=s96-c
How will Donald Trump's Stormy Daniels/Hush Money felony trial end?
tu45jdsrb8
null
0
YES
ec2b97d8638a
n7c2p7jgtbq
false
rFJu0EIdR6RP8d1vHKSh62pbnbH2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "w58k068ajth", "label": "joeym4", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Simon Grayson
wluc4fM8Bc1oGwhq0q5m
public
contract
1,717,164,192,176
will-a-lifetime-smoking-ban-become
SimonGrayson
https://firebasestorage.…846-fd0042ad0696
Will a "lifetime smoking ban" become law in the UK before the next General Election?
4xusu3yi5kc
0
2,288.197585
NO
null
v5x6lhbkqpa
false
cb6PJqGOSVPEUhprDHCKWWMuJqu1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Campaign just announced $34.8 million - is this sufficient to resolve, ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": { ...
Dan
MVAZUKJhR18iwU4FjXbV
public
contract
1,717,164,966,108
how-much-will-trump-campaign-will-r
DanMan314
https://firebasestorage.…9e0-a993f643533a
How much will Trump Campaign will raise in the 24 hours after guilty verdict
null
null
1,212.456356
YES
0dm8f9fjmo
z9xf1hsbx2o
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "y25e4k9lf3b", "label": "Ziddletwix", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Ziddletwix
SI19wtFDgBbpWXaO2J3l
public
contract
1,717,165,112,524
will-a-jury-convict-trump
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Will a jury convict Trump?
y25e4k9lf3b
null
null
null
null
6m9ixgikb7l
false
W4yEF6idSMcNWEVUquowziSCZFI3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "z9xf1hsbx2o", "label": "Ziddletwix", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Evan
SI19wtFDgBbpWXaO2J3l
public
contract
1,717,165,258,701
will-a-jury-convict-trump
EvanDaniel
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcNNBEv2GcorWHiElPC6VlaynzKPlKxwXytwbHWc54FNIs=s96-c
Will a jury convict Trump?
y25e4k9lf3b
null
null
null
null
09mbanjcvrn
false
dp5qoJAOmqgfNGxbRm00x8b9bU03
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "2tfu5zimci3", "label": "SaviorofPlant", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Mactuary
lKZxVmhYnGhqee49absF
public
contract
1,717,165,341,073
will-a-tropical-or-subtropical-stor-8bb87f7ad23e
Mactuary
https://firebasestorage.…977-b24dde9fa772
Will a tropical or subtropical storm form in the Atlantic basin before the start of the official hurricane season?
s0nj3tbsri
0.939607
1,471.213844
NO
null
wrbn57zlfq8
false
2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "s0nj3tbsri", "label": "SaviorofPlant", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Gabrielle
lKZxVmhYnGhqee49absF
public
contract
1,717,165,375,622
will-a-tropical-or-subtropical-stor-8bb87f7ad23e
Gabrielle
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJwDJ6ZAXuT68UTfLZc5MRPR4vCxG04pHEyT4wDr=s96-c
Will a tropical or subtropical storm form in the Atlantic basin before the start of the official hurricane season?
s0nj3tbsri
null
null
null
null
e0024zees49
false
2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "(Though now that the market has become confusing, I do think N/A would be the best option.)", "type": "text" } ], "type":...
Gabrielle
lKZxVmhYnGhqee49absF
public
contract
1,717,165,441,198
will-a-tropical-or-subtropical-stor-8bb87f7ad23e
Gabrielle
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJwDJ6ZAXuT68UTfLZc5MRPR4vCxG04pHEyT4wDr=s96-c
Will a tropical or subtropical storm form in the Atlantic basin before the start of the official hurricane season?
s0nj3tbsri
null
null
null
null
35q7mulajt
false
HYKavv7hgWhxCCsziWEifoxOdjA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": 0, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "lang...
Daniel
xA5k0OoRuGyVgZ7TrGJ1
public
contract
1,717,165,587,589
trump-vs-biden-odds-will-republican
Daniel_MC
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxaQGTfUoEbrPqZn0U9_IjEWIouF64_J7fnacyXbRg=s96-c
Trump vs Biden Odds: Will Republicans lead in the Election Betting Odds party average on June 15th?
null
0.831131
11.891075
YES
null
8lhe53446u7
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "nsxHy4XRlidZMFBNcxkCpBa5Mh63", "label": "TFDRev", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Ziddletwix
f8f4wQGk26Z98Cfxub0y
public
contract
1,717,165,636,507
will-the-average-rental-price-for-a
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Will the average rental price for a one bedroom rental in Vancouver, Canada surpass $3500 CAD by June 1, 2024?
null
0.184672
761.271778
NO
null
7cmy0pyrrz
false
HYKavv7hgWhxCCsziWEifoxOdjA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": 0, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "lang...
Daniel
Gtv5mhjKaiLD6Bkvfhcv
public
contract
1,717,165,843,969
agi-when-resolves-to-the-year-in-wh-d5c5ad8e4708
Daniel_MC
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxaQGTfUoEbrPqZn0U9_IjEWIouF64_J7fnacyXbRg=s96-c
AGI When? [High Quality Turing Test]
null
null
214.013655
YES
9b885d17779f
69kdn9jk0ca
false
JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "MV9fTVHetcfp3h6CVYzpypIsbyN2", "label": "CodeandSolder", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "ment...
Joshua
mBCHbqhuw7nN28qmGMNj
public
contract
1,717,165,981,634
will-joe-manchin-leave-the-democrat-978ba18006c7
Joshua
https://firebasestorage.…7d5-f5791800ee6f
Will Joe Manchin leave the Democratic Party before 2027?
null
0.155273
5,183.533222
YES
null
ndd044r2bdr
false
NpMMO5jy1BajObWxUgg9Nk5Wstg1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The title is self contradictory. A Turing test is not AGI.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type"...
Teddy Weverka
Gtv5mhjKaiLD6Bkvfhcv
public
contract
1,717,166,132,367
agi-when-resolves-to-the-year-in-wh-d5c5ad8e4708
TeddyWeverka
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYs8wz6ugEqvtxofXIdn-8Bg2zz_nRePvJR5pGuVw=s96-c
AGI When? [High Quality Turing Test]
null
null
0
NO
46ff975d1efe
7xa4fbqbq0a
false
ovFIUtAhsmW4CgczuBGoHSEjFI13
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Just like with almost every other group, I will always trust rationalists' tendencies to overestimate themselves.", "type": "text" } ...
Stark
rvV9kDFlQ77H1hb5rBs1
public
contract
1,717,166,147,923
will-narcissistic-orgying-tech-nerd
StarkLN
https://firebasestorage.…b7b-8e8f10700842
Will "narcissistic, orgying tech nerds" solve social ills?
null
0.690926
405.2481
NO
null
74j9bw9ccrb
false
ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
Predictor 🔥
kOTY3DfuG9U3TlUq6KmC
public
contract
1,717,166,311,076
who-will-be-on-the-cover-of-madden
Predictor
https://firebasestorage.…22a-9833cd6cbc4e
Who will be on the cover of Madden NFL in 2024?
null
null
33.885936
YES
6ce5d4644ac0
0h0mnbh709rd
false
iEE5Xt4StNg7Wtu1pNN6YE5v1S23
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "k5yb89ke9qf", "label": "Ziddletwix", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Sapphire828
C4WdcK1OhcDbH0AKvBdw
public
contract
1,717,166,316,110
what-will-be-time-magazines-100-mos-1ccb89e7e3a1
EstMtz
https://firebasestorage.…4bd-91600290a4d7
What will be TIME Magazine's 100 most influential Companies of 2024?
2yb6tijet92
null
323.959999
NO
d791944a7dcf
xaucp4sga2
false
dp5qoJAOmqgfNGxbRm00x8b9bU03
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "wrbn57zlfq8", "label": "Gabrielle", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Mactuary
lKZxVmhYnGhqee49absF
public
contract
1,717,166,626,231
will-a-tropical-or-subtropical-stor-8bb87f7ad23e
Mactuary
https://firebasestorage.…977-b24dde9fa772
Will a tropical or subtropical storm form in the Atlantic basin before the start of the official hurricane season?
s0nj3tbsri
0.939607
1,471.213844
NO
null
knzi5aa73tp
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "0h0mnbh709rd", "label": "EstMtz", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Ziddletwix
C4WdcK1OhcDbH0AKvBdw
public
contract
1,717,166,635,438
what-will-be-time-magazines-100-mos-1ccb89e7e3a1
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
What will be TIME Magazine's 100 most influential Companies of 2024?
2yb6tijet92
null
719.944833
NO
7701d6e6a91f
riwq9a4z95s
false
JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Y'all should add some about yourselves! Feel free to copy mine.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "t...
Joshua
zr1MibMZUcbBt5kGmlkq
public
contract
1,717,166,716,993
festival-personal-predictions-what
Joshua
https://firebasestorage.…7d5-f5791800ee6f
Festival Personal Predictions: What will attendees say they did while attending Manifest / Less Online / Summer Camp?
null
null
89.041388
YES
xjeocqlx9m
dzi06ww0dhn
false
TWTidsyddMdMSC3pHoJGiTF5IKv1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "z2cytmc1um", "label": "JKHater", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
ed
8GBJppKZi0gwGX2ukPAP
public
contract
1,717,166,952,180
will-uks-real-gdp-growth-for-year-2
3d
https://firebasestorage.…588-b9e2bc905854
Will UK's real GDP growth for year 2025 exceed 1% under Labor party?
odnp1z599qj
0.355369
233.817858
YES
null
mo62fq1bafc
false
xQqqZqlgcoSxTgPe03BiXmVE2JJ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "f1z2k3biajn", "label": "shankypanky", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Soli ꩜
w4zfQIizCAHPN3Yv6wqh
public
contract
1,717,166,969,493
will-openai-patch-the-hack-that-all
Soli
https://firebasestorage.…8d8-036e569a957f
Will OpenAI patch the "hack" that allows users to access the unreleased MacOS ChatGPT app in May?
kaz0gz41z0s
null
null
null
null
zg3m2hfecog
false
xQqqZqlgcoSxTgPe03BiXmVE2JJ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "f1z2k3biajn", "label": "shankypanky", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Soli ꩜
w4zfQIizCAHPN3Yv6wqh
public
contract
1,717,166,993,740
will-openai-patch-the-hack-that-all
Soli
https://firebasestorage.…8d8-036e569a957f
Will OpenAI patch the "hack" that allows users to access the unreleased MacOS ChatGPT app in May?
kaz0gz41z0s
null
null
null
null
hul225qiqzh
false
2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "Ak6rSLF3pbPHpWFPoXMW", "label": "Conflux", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }...
Gabrielle
mBCHbqhuw7nN28qmGMNj
public
contract
1,717,167,009,715
will-joe-manchin-leave-the-democrat-978ba18006c7
Gabrielle
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJwDJ6ZAXuT68UTfLZc5MRPR4vCxG04pHEyT4wDr=s96-c
Will Joe Manchin leave the Democratic Party before 2027?
Ak6rSLF3pbPHpWFPoXMW
0.986667
-0
NO
null
5lolteqpnrl
false
xQqqZqlgcoSxTgPe03BiXmVE2JJ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "i haven’t watched a single football game for over 5 years now 🤡 yet i hold the 2nd largest position in this market haha", "type": "text" ...
Soli ꩜
4RPTODxPehmsYgONkTm0
public
contract
1,717,167,050,643
will-borussia-dortmund-beat-bayern
Soli
https://firebasestorage.…8d8-036e569a957f
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Real Madrid? ⚽|🏆 Champions League Final
null
0.285427
33,167.058197
YES
null
65d9hru8k1w
false
2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "NOAA’s forecast for this season calls for 17-25 named storms, 8-13 hurricanes, and 4-7 major hurricanes.", "type": "text" } ], ...
Gabrielle
TBYNAnqaCZmeAHJ7P2Qa
public
contract
1,717,167,237,291
which-names-will-be-used-for-hurric
Gabrielle
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJwDJ6ZAXuT68UTfLZc5MRPR4vCxG04pHEyT4wDr=s96-c
Which names will be used for hurricanes in the 2024 Hurricane Season?
null
null
null
null
null
gax1gn2e2sp
false
R1FYWUk3bveksTL1k9kJCmuJjey1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "wj77k1phaoh", "label": "Agh", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
zaperrer
a5Ialv2XlHTcMZWxUgP4
public
contract
1,717,167,296,799
will-trump-be-found-guilty-will-tru
zaperrer
https://firebasestorage.…0f8-44002cc485a0
Will Trump be found guilty? / Will Trump’s favorability increase?
xdr8r7516cn
null
null
null
null
wwztbvh5itm
false
xh2QtJ0WuKQFK3nyXsxDRxBhqYB3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "kxba0tvjvrk", "label": "itsTomekK", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
IY
eG4My8kjKnMTe4NXFdSE
public
contract
1,717,167,522,936
what-will-be-the-next-team-trained-4866c0faf42d
vitamind
https://firebasestorage.…977-5917b2772a78
What will be the next team trained by Jose Mourinho, after AS Roma?
1e5kqtb8bme
null
965.546884
YES
2059a8a3bd5f
cbigh6ozy8f
false
yCEJKMJLIic6ei3w3zAgJTjI1Ex2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "X3z4hxRXipWvGoFhxlDOVxmP5vL2", "label": "traders", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
EBurk
oISkma1gViUEFtPlbfgd
public
contract
1,717,168,043,112
what-will-be-true-of-the-xkcd-on-fr-by2w4n9jsr
EBurk
https://firebasestorage.…0e3-2fdb94d99bad
What will be true of the xkcd on Friday, May 31st, 2024?
null
null
128.740402
NO
az31h475c5
2lhqzb3nvdp
false
FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "wrbn57zlfq8", "label": "Gabrielle", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Savior of Plant
lKZxVmhYnGhqee49absF
public
contract
1,717,168,193,951
will-a-tropical-or-subtropical-stor-8bb87f7ad23e
SaviorofPlant
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c
Will a tropical or subtropical storm form in the Atlantic basin before the start of the official hurricane season?
s0nj3tbsri
0.939607
0
NO
null
dgkd1w6erf
false
LRWC4p997NObPY7tN5b8vYfvdsH3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "43rfzbq8ntg", "label": "SteveSokolowski", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" },...
becauseyoudo
Bzd2WtlFSBJHHMpPxGnY
public
contract
1,717,168,235,336
how-will-the-donald-trumps-stormy-d
becauseyoudo
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbecauseyoudo%2F0GXbVCpNNX.bmp?alt=media&token=d5558412-2de1-47d7-ad36-a44a43748531
How will Donald Trump's Stormy Daniels/Hush Money felony trial end?
tu45jdsrb8
null
704.19566
YES
ec2b97d8638a
h1tyl57g39
false
d9vxoU9czxR8HkgfMdwwTmVBQ3y2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "69rcrho8uht", "label": "chrisjbillington", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }...
Bence
ZlDNd204Hlc7GkXcztNI
public
contract
1,717,168,252,519
will-cnns-online-news-abandon-its-l
bence
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY6q8sP8ydlU9daTxBnT6rxi4S_cnrdBUjDR2INFbY=s96-c
Will CNN's online news abandon its left-leaning bias by 2025 according to AllSides Media Bias ratings?
69rcrho8uht
0.041327
149.664094
YES
null
ioqepomm3z
false
hXoxhZ7koFY3AfvsfcBlCr081jC2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "1d85wahzxzw", "label": "JonBoopin", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Simran 🤍
ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf
public
contract
1,717,168,536,986
who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
SimranRahman
https://firebasestorage.…59c-fb117d1f5f71
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1d85wahzxzw
null
5,734.566138
YES
33b8f3dc81b9
mn2hjosq5gc
false
RqRkNuiib7U9HjfyyhiKcPwN0Z83
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "pazpxex40hh", "label": "MichaelDickens", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Andrew Hebb
RKUo5XMnKNCmTP80EzpH
public
contract
1,717,168,574,527
manifold-american-english-pronuncia
AndrewHebb
https://firebasestorage.…460-d13def83d032
Manifold Decides - English Pronunciation Guide
pazpxex40hh
null
481.622677
YES
hz7kkmahly
ufmgpfkbqg
false
RqRkNuiib7U9HjfyyhiKcPwN0Z83
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "t4qvgnvmta", "label": "josh", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Andrew Hebb
RKUo5XMnKNCmTP80EzpH
public
contract
1,717,168,681,679
manifold-american-english-pronuncia
AndrewHebb
https://firebasestorage.…460-d13def83d032
Manifold Decides - English Pronunciation Guide
t4qvgnvmta
null
481.622677
YES
hz7kkmahly
w21pizmyxk
false
xQqqZqlgcoSxTgPe03BiXmVE2JJ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "X3z4hxRXipWvGoFhxlDOVxmP5vL2", "label": "traders", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Soli ꩜
682etxG55rqAwUVJnSCF
public
contract
1,717,168,831,983
will-apple-offer-a-version-of-the-v
Soli
https://firebasestorage.…8d8-036e569a957f
Will Apple offer a version of the Vision Pro for less than 2500$ in the next ~5 years?
null
0.802878
0
YES
null
va4fo02wmz
false
yCEJKMJLIic6ei3w3zAgJTjI1Ex2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
EBurk
Fk2qUMdjaq8uFZoWGOGh
public
contract
1,717,168,868,422
what-will-be-true-of-the-xkcd-on-mo-9qcheexroq
EBurk
https://firebasestorage.…0e3-2fdb94d99bad
What will be true of the xkcd on Monday, June 3rd, 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
wg1mkcw8r1p
false
AJwLWoo3xue32XIiAVrL5SyR1WB2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Unlisting and closing this market until we figure out the NaN bug on Trump", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" ...
Ian Philips
ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf
unlisted
contract
1,717,168,959,513
who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
ian
https://firebasestorage.…2e2-669b3fa9eaf0
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
null
null
28,811.600912
NO
51e4cacd136a
5ygtx7lmz1s
false
yCEJKMJLIic6ei3w3zAgJTjI1Ex2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
EBurk
6te0Vpb1CCLm1MBJ975d
public
contract
1,717,169,010,761
what-will-be-true-of-the-xkcd-on-we-aqgfbnb5lv
EBurk
https://firebasestorage.…0e3-2fdb94d99bad
What will be true of the xkcd on Wednesday, June 5th, 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
2izjuvcxroy
false
Zz3GS8J8MXR3U84VxvFkUGl4ukJ3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "4kg1lqd5jxk", "label": "Gen", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Fedor Shabashev
rUjuLmpvTZaaeQNuf8qx
public
contract
1,717,169,085,843
will-robert-f-kennedy-jr-run-as-a-l
FedorShabashev
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcYKCCQDvOqTk_mzeu6UCiSOSvacJ8IeBwTnVn0_9vBP8w=s96-c
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. run as a Libertarian in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
hl3no5h4ool
0.02
0
YES
null
1c039vbai2k
false
rzqsLOz6k8PH88JIzdGmH7CmAw73
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "As of this morning, Core PCE index for April is 121.909. June 2023 was 119.189, which means we are at 2.28%. Unless we see radical deflation in the nex...
Wilson Kime
KJnuSifh7ctWRsnTWAtJ
public
contract
1,717,169,377,793
will-the-federal-reserve-engineer-a
wilsonkime
https://firebasestorage.…7e6-3b1946ddd776
Will the Federal Reserve engineer a soft landing?
null
0.071287
5,053.722072
NO
null
9h58csd4i8
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
Bayesian
uf2vhub2JbvE3LuuJqZg
public
contract
1,717,169,402,650
season-13-leagues-bayesian-vs-shank
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Season 13 Leagues: @Bayesian vs @shankypanky [Short Fuse!]
null
null
1,210.674167
YES
nbadj4qlfq
fu38azgzlo
false
SAHMugNTeUVlxgzaf3T7WfPkrRi2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "r1lvgepw8xa", "label": "EugeneBixby", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Quadrifold
W98ZzyNBGDzrQkffdDdk
public
contract
1,717,169,688,563
president-joe-biden-involved-in-an-x7cg74qn52
Quadrifold
https://firebasestorage.…188-ddf20d36d83e
President Joe Biden involved in an helicopter crash in 2024?
r1lvgepw8xa
0.034448
329.868931
NO
null
rpfdvitmo0m
false
5k45vTAvHBfcp0oh2brDuX01Y0g1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "What does nationalization mean? Are you using the same operationalization as in ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": nul...
Jacob Pfau
C0synA4s77aSCYr5SYaz
public
contract
1,717,169,772,823
will-a-top-us-ai-lab-be-nationalize
JacobPfau
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ACNPEu9AcHAinEt-V5Xi8pbj83HmY8nWf1vkc_FfNTDr=s96-c
Will a top US AI lab be nationalized by 2030?
null
0.286934
1.374496
NO
null
f3qejsgro14
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
Ziddletwix
I0XNxnd4VP2dNES0iGZ7
public
contract
1,717,169,890,592
who-will-be-1-on-the-leaderboard-af
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Who will be #1 on the leaderboard after the pivot profit increase?
null
null
0
NO
62782ac9039e
tkz66i9c0x
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "IBezIpRUNmysXIRjHPaL", "label": "/strutheo/will-slack-sign-a-partnership-with", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, ...
chris (strutheo)
eQTedEJqkPFm92YesSx2
public
contract
1,717,170,013,768
will-discord-sign-a-partnership-wit
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will Discord sign a partnership with Open AI before the end of 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
zuwtrjr5qjh
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "bump", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw
public
contract
1,717,170,168,418
who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]
null
null
null
null
null
dj5kfu6anbk
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "he's first while losing 1 million profits today. that's how much ahead of the rest of us he is.", "type": "text" }, { ...
Bayesian
I0XNxnd4VP2dNES0iGZ7
public
contract
1,717,170,298,931
who-will-be-1-on-the-leaderboard-af
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Who will be #1 on the leaderboard after the pivot profit increase?
f3qejsgro14
null
102.146795
YES
b0a3c61184de
o42yi9ub0jc
false
XmAUlR95VBW12Fee6lES6eY9CRC3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Note to myself: Remember to deduct points from the resolution score due to the creator of the market @-spamming me. ", "type": "text" ...
Certainty of Victory
682etxG55rqAwUVJnSCF
public
contract
1,717,170,459,371
will-apple-offer-a-version-of-the-v
CertaintyOfVictory
https://firebasestorage.…1a7-eda36bb8a1a8
Will Apple offer a version of the Vision Pro for less than 2500$ in the next ~5 years?
null
0.802878
62.24471
YES
null
gjn1nu484p7
false
KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Slowing a bit 28 since message above 25 hours ago. Now up to 222 so only 11 needed to reach 233. Seems likely to acquire those so seems highly likely t...
Christopher Randles
hqTQw1GX53g8obtHvgxO
public
contract
1,717,170,582,133
how-many-traders-will-this-market-g
ChristopherRandles
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c
How many traders will this market get?
g41a8ejhwze
null
2.753958
YES
f9d8f7d9dac6
j2imn3gfwe
false
xQqqZqlgcoSxTgPe03BiXmVE2JJ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "o42yi9ub0jc", "label": "CertaintyOfVictory", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Soli ꩜
682etxG55rqAwUVJnSCF
public
contract
1,717,170,700,732
will-apple-offer-a-version-of-the-v
Soli
https://firebasestorage.…8d8-036e569a957f
Will Apple offer a version of the Vision Pro for less than 2500$ in the next ~5 years?
o42yi9ub0jc
0.802878
0
YES
null
x8eeq1ym9h
false
F7wdER4UHVPp9Kfd0ijTGtCzxHI2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I doubt that he knows IMU's identity if he still doesn't know about the D clan.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph"...
Angryman64
WKsp787qUyy9smxERIlI
public
contract
1,717,170,764,199
will-vegapunk-reveal-imus-existence
Angryman64
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJyQy1bd8PC_dG8HdXNSMwQjzcFf2yF8m_4HJyJKwrG1-6d9w=s96-c
Will Vegapunk reveal imu's existence to the world?
null
null
null
null
null
hlh6fzhh54p
false
UwLRWVqwccdsr1HnGowNxO32pTt1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "why doesnt it show unique traders? doesnt that only limit who knows to who writes a bot to sort count the 1.5K Trades via API? (I swear it used to sho...
Blomfilter
hqTQw1GX53g8obtHvgxO
public
contract
1,717,171,461,204
how-many-traders-will-this-market-g
Blomfilter
https://firebasestorage.…45c-6f0fb44c4e70
How many traders will this market get?
null
null
584.670097
YES
f9d8f7d9dac6
7lfsut9ngp8
false
y5epDloYrxdc6yqnC1VjnTuVCal2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "hlh6fzhh54p", "label": "Blomfilter", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Bair
hqTQw1GX53g8obtHvgxO
public
contract
1,717,171,765,652
how-many-traders-will-this-market-g
Bair
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYUvh0DyDuiAdCtqW5aBt7A1JYDjm0gzHvntw_W5g=s96-c
How many traders will this market get?
hlh6fzhh54p
null
2,883.567722
YES
93c9250c460b
0p55bxwb3u0r
false
JbR42honqBfz9TCHnHk0JGERPit2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "klcdht4km4p", "label": "figo", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
$aturation
FyaxzCiSEVRSS2yEiwin
public
contract
1,717,171,832,016
will-france-send-troops-to-ukraine
smokey
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKqNxgPFHnX0iy5ad3wtLe11iFMhuFJfWYG6Cpg1vnJvoewVQ=s96-c
Will France send troops to Ukraine by the end of 2024?
klcdht4km4p
0.668102
196.46601
NO
null
43axcj7fmhc
false
UCDNQ1A1vdbPWrOP6Qnwh5NuAR72
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "u0g2bvgq6v9", "label": "KongoLandwalker", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" },...
BetObserver
woiVbQjfBSdAiFv7Jiyu
public
contract
1,717,172,137,617
will-russia-unilaterally-reconstitu
MikeKa
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLCJYj_pQ3zj-Mqa7A7GLxSMQdMVRuSVN9Vm8exjWVh=s96-c
Will Russia unilaterally reconstitute own government of Ukraine with self-appointed authorities in 2024?
u0g2bvgq6v9
null
null
null
null
51c2gvl3joj
false
1wygrQ94KrMNSHF3ck9rxKVrRED2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "2 states ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { ...
Joshua
RLt8Q8zPq2NMouT17cIn
public
contract
1,717,172,147,546
will-trump-say-all-50-states-before
JoshuaB
https://firebasestorage.…3b9-ee28a908e5dd
Will Trump say all 50 states before the election?
null
0.276087
-0
YES
null
hl6uife8ipv
false
rFJu0EIdR6RP8d1vHKSh62pbnbH2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "X3z4hxRXipWvGoFhxlDOVxmP5vL2", "label": "traders", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Simon Grayson
Vqlel5shoIBN16Kz8UwF
public
contract
1,717,172,176,935
uk-general-election-2024-will-refor
SimonGrayson
https://firebasestorage.…846-fd0042ad0696
UK General Election 2024 - Will Reform UK run in at least 600 seats?
null
0.391672
334.355099
YES
null
ynrxhn868de
false
vEGHPznXKbTXFIzEf8iLwwO3okY2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "8a6luud94ei", "label": "TheAllMemeingEye", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }...
Marnix
5qsRisqOvy94WjGq5lq3
public
contract
1,717,172,204,787
what-2-word-phrases-will-appear-in
Marnix
https://firebasestorage.…d53-a4e0da9e141d
What 2+ word phrases will appear unbroken in a front-page NYT headline before 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
8a6luud94ei
null
282.250042
YES
e102c556afe4
p3i60p4zlbp
false
ePk7uWInUId1WLSGxLHqEW1cYP63
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "RaS6ZKjLkQDRJ756DxMs", "label": "whybyfire", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Sonata Green
ZcpxXoAP5UyRQIb300dP
public
contract
1,717,172,266,343
will-unsong-be-published-by-2025
SonataGreen
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GjsZdUi0APHb8mz5kCS6AhPZiSrXopQtKpBXcaT=s96-c
Will Unsong be published by 2025?
KmaoYwfBztq9vrAEHm6l
null
null
null
null
27fqz4lpekp
false
UCDNQ1A1vdbPWrOP6Qnwh5NuAR72
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "26j532z1d11", "label": "KongoLandwalker", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" },...
BetObserver
woiVbQjfBSdAiFv7Jiyu
public
contract
1,717,172,306,254
will-russia-unilaterally-reconstitu
MikeKa
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLCJYj_pQ3zj-Mqa7A7GLxSMQdMVRuSVN9Vm8exjWVh=s96-c
Will Russia unilaterally reconstitute own government of Ukraine with self-appointed authorities in 2024?
cmhr2bhqarg
null
null
null
null
w8u0w31bo79
false
4kmI6qPTByfhXfvgRfUKAwVtYpi1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Anyone here that think Elon's IQ is 100 has a severe political bias that doesn't allow them to see stuff clearly", "type": "text" } ...
spirti
U1t6nrLFr52JiJPf04FH
public
contract
1,717,172,573,735
what-is-elon-musks-iq
spirti
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcJmJqddeKBhWiK89UIK0pOyHlMvbJpBm1mQ29yztkc=s96-c
What is Elon Musk's IQ?
null
null
null
null
null
ebyfsmhw8w
false
UCDNQ1A1vdbPWrOP6Qnwh5NuAR72
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I'm in if it's an Ancapistan dictatoship", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
BetObserver
k9FpfRBSYlTjX3DazBGD
public
contract
1,717,172,653,633
will-i-hire-mercenaries-to-install
MikeKa
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLCJYj_pQ3zj-Mqa7A7GLxSMQdMVRuSVN9Vm8exjWVh=s96-c
Will I hire mercenaries to install me as dictator of of some small tropical island?
null
null
null
null
null
p9xl2c9wiaj
false
rOygyJSsAfYxLThk36BU5iSlfdO2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
draaglom
IukCvE9Gupld3NsKWS83
public
contract
1,717,172,683,149
will-a-game-on-steam-not-in-the-top
draaglom
https://firebasestorage.…a3e-1dbfa72b78a4
Will a game on steam not in the top 100 most played be in the top 60 most played games at the end of May? Read desc
null
0.738965
876.11829
YES
null
lr25gh0thtj
false
ylcusgGEHahoLLpvGKcNNZeV58H3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "klcdht4km4p", "label": "figo", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Florent ROUFFIGNAC
FyaxzCiSEVRSS2yEiwin
public
contract
1,717,172,800,867
will-france-send-troops-to-ukraine
FlorentROUFFIGNAC
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIaDroOagMv4VK60PAdpMwe_ahaC09midIvpV4uxzkLni8=s96-c
Will France send troops to Ukraine by the end of 2024?
klcdht4km4p
null
null
null
null
9575c3rplnj
false
X7eEaQER2RauGtssmqMAv5PbFln2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "2elrKFTn74R4fQVtRgqUbuxd2xv1", "label": "MarioFSchlitzer", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "me...
Daniel Tello
7ayelBT238vPqNkUHe9R
public
contract
1,717,172,819,590
will-the-price-of-bitcoin-btc-fall
deagol
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp6BsfsqAl7jpz1-555S-MyDfZq8L-o_pMzd20B1Yw=s96-c
Will the price of Bitcoin (BTC) fall below the following thresholds at any point before the end of May 2024?
null
null
2,000.334574
YES
89046d6e9add
woyf9acdxtd
false
dp5qoJAOmqgfNGxbRm00x8b9bU03
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "89drm2wq246", "label": "Panfilo", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Mactuary
aGkuWqGUL0sQFaR03sps
public
contract
1,717,172,914,605
will-elon-musk-be-googled-more-than
Mactuary
https://firebasestorage.…977-b24dde9fa772
Will Elon Musk be googled more than Kanye West on any day in May, in the US?
89drm2wq246
0.659754
865.52622
YES
null
suf1117gsyi
false
4xOTMCIOkGesdJft50wVFZFb5IB3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Tripping
ZcpxXoAP5UyRQIb300dP
public
contract
1,717,172,989,992
will-unsong-be-published-by-2025
Tripping
https://firebasestorage.…25f-2823bd2dce88
Will Unsong be published by 2025?
null
0.912461
945.984962
YES
null
1ht3msmt5w8
false
vFBeGDlrdGTqxZAR7rhIcc4j8ME2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "@traders I've added Arjun Erigaisi to the market", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Max
fV7Ez5TVMu0ThNB1h1yL
public
contract
1,717,173,031,912
who-will-be-the-next-world-number-1-1f945202c574
MaxMorehead
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJNd7kHBLlTkwCIfQaCa6Ieo-qvLitBWddnWiyik3yg=s96-c
Who will be the next world number 1 in chess?
null
null
0
NO
18f397dfe0fd
8i9fkctksww
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "9h58csd4i8", "label": "Bayesian", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
stefanie
uf2vhub2JbvE3LuuJqZg
public
contract
1,717,173,080,794
season-13-leagues-bayesian-vs-shank
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Season 13 Leagues: @Bayesian vs @shankypanky [Short Fuse!]
9h58csd4i8
null
3,477.090204
YES
nbadj4qlfq
jinmyeply7
false
UwLRWVqwccdsr1HnGowNxO32pTt1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "7lfsut9ngp8", "label": "Bair", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Blomfilter
hqTQw1GX53g8obtHvgxO
public
contract
1,717,173,151,306
how-many-traders-will-this-market-g
Blomfilter
https://firebasestorage.…45c-6f0fb44c4e70
How many traders will this market get?
hlh6fzhh54p
null
584.670097
YES
f9d8f7d9dac6