id
stringlengths
8
13
isApi
bool
2 classes
userId
stringlengths
28
28
content
dict
userName
stringlengths
1
30
contractId
stringlengths
9
20
visibility
stringclasses
2 values
commentType
stringclasses
1 value
createdTime
int64
1,716B
1,720B
contractSlug
stringlengths
5
48
userUsername
stringlengths
1
25
userAvatarUrl
stringlengths
50
1.03k
contractQuestion
stringlengths
2
240
replyToCommentId
stringlengths
8
20
commentorPositionProb
float64
0
50
commentorPositionShares
float64
-0
6.25M
commentorPositionOutcome
stringclasses
2 values
commentorPositionAnswerId
stringlengths
9
12
9bcivitnoil
false
cb6PJqGOSVPEUhprDHCKWWMuJqu1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "This can resolve NO, right, ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": { "id": "rFJu0EIdR6RP8d1vHKSh62pbnbH2", ...
Dan
lMeQUruYzOka128MIWK7
public
contract
1,717,140,155,413
will-trump-be-fined-or-punished-yet
DanMan314
https://firebasestorage.…9e0-a993f643533a
Will Trump be fined or punished yet again for violating the gag order in his hush money trial by the end of May?
null
0.071608
341.812873
NO
null
1eoll0jawny
false
e4uEmboKKXedpcoMa6ew4f1adTn2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "So if the new Siri requires iOS 18, but is not available on all devices that support iOS 18, this resolves NO?", "type": "text" } ...
gigab0nus
7ueFp56Qw412x7NXR0KS
public
contract
1,717,140,267,384
will-ios-18-make-big-improvements-t
gigab0nus
https://firebasestorage.…bb4-402507eb7110
Will iOS 18 introduce big improvements to Siri, making it a competitor to ChatGPT?
null
null
null
null
null
klcdht4km4p
false
k5xMMXRPNNPY5prI5T2jaenfjPS2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Is an instructor who is neither fighting nor repairing equipments but training local troops considered troops being sent?", "type": "text" ...
Figo
FyaxzCiSEVRSS2yEiwin
public
contract
1,717,140,379,499
will-france-send-troops-to-ukraine
figo
https://firebasestorage.…806-eebf1b40e2dd
Will France send troops to Ukraine by the end of 2024?
null
0.691282
1,539.985616
NO
null
tq0sjk02z28
false
e4uEmboKKXedpcoMa6ew4f1adTn2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "If the new Siri is just ChatGPT (4o) with a new skin and deep OS integration, does this resolve NO, since it is not a competitor?", "type": "...
gigab0nus
7ueFp56Qw412x7NXR0KS
public
contract
1,717,140,393,942
will-ios-18-make-big-improvements-t
gigab0nus
https://firebasestorage.…bb4-402507eb7110
Will iOS 18 introduce big improvements to Siri, making it a competitor to ChatGPT?
null
null
null
null
null
2hcczrhssxj
false
ErrdqYQwz5dyjNTOj5Ee3G2FlYH2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Not in orbit yet therefore Dragon's 4-yr anniversary is safe.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "typ...
Jon Wharf
KPKHLsXvUt7xzMK8iwXN
public
contract
1,717,141,004,059
starliner-vs-dragon4yrs-crew-to-iss
JonWharf
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIRl9lgtNXOk76Ezq9u52bgS8-9BBqVEANCwz7FEuqhsQ=s96-c
Starliner vs Dragon+4yrs - crew to ISS
null
0.013699
0
YES
null
555n77zysjj
false
sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "d4fr50yl4pq", "label": "TimothyJohnson5c16", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Ben Shindel
KYemquxoEQCMagfo5XE0
public
contract
1,717,141,177,803
good-tweet-or-bad-tweet-which-contr
benshindel
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu22VD_r1GJh-n-cEmVyjrKEFlOdTcYxeXuYzn_4Ag=s96-c
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
95iyykffxak
null
936.221125
YES
d702020abfbd
xuy5sicli1h
false
G4JTSx4yXAYll9JkJOj0z0qNNBt1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Robotnik is basically just a Silicon Valley technocrat if they were cool. How could I not vote for him?", "type": "text" } ], ...
Jessica Evans
EW6jnWOvvYs7PE2V050z
public
contract
1,717,141,521,870
if-you-had-to-vote-in-an-election-w-9a8636956863
JessicaEvans
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJ09N-L0VcH3A2_jFbvwzXuPQH7Z8dtC_qkPe9VUC3kHfs=s96-c
If you had to vote in an election, would you rather vote for Donald Trump or Dr Eggman / Robotnik?
null
null
null
null
null
bhchfms8f2p
false
73Xc1YMjhiTQliBS8koH4C2wRns1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "y9ph9x5m11r", "label": "chrisjbillington", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }...
Abraxas
3iKCGWdtAzX1L4bYK3IL
public
contract
1,717,141,788,316
will-the-linked-paper-on-positive-e
Abraxas
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp6BKS-xCicUKAulE2GhdZa_r7I5fOxVw5MUhLEt=s96-c
Will the linked paper on positive effects of soleus muscle activation have more than 10 citations by 5/30/2024?
y9ph9x5m11r
0.987931
36.584721
YES
null
zf7be677rc
false
73Xc1YMjhiTQliBS8koH4C2wRns1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Abraxas
3iKCGWdtAzX1L4bYK3IL
public
contract
1,717,141,848,477
will-the-linked-paper-on-positive-e
Abraxas
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp6BKS-xCicUKAulE2GhdZa_r7I5fOxVw5MUhLEt=s96-c
Will the linked paper on positive effects of soleus muscle activation have more than 10 citations by 5/30/2024?
null
0.987931
36.584721
YES
null
iyqy0iqmg8p
false
cZi7vNVALETO84lwgQnX4gNygBM2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "tu45jdsrb8", "label": "SteveSokolowski", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
braulios
Bzd2WtlFSBJHHMpPxGnY
public
contract
1,717,142,110,259
how-will-the-donald-trumps-stormy-d
braulios
https://firebasestorage.…9e5-0cc3feb623a7
How will Donald Trump's Stormy Daniels/Hush Money felony trial end?
tu45jdsrb8
null
null
null
null
kq8i1v7u87k
false
kF7TZaHXRqeisqn1dvzc2Nd8B3p1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "wtorxdltr9", "label": "Panfilo", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Yona
3YmP16rLbG0m6E2jHDUY
public
contract
1,717,142,114,745
will-any-university-announce-a-dive
xyz
https://firebasestorage.…9c0-05d4951471d1
Will any university announce a divestment from Israel by June 2024?
zhg2rj5ur3
null
null
null
null
v3v7h1w55wj
false
XKnrud6GQUaifOB0hOuUfBCFAly1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Arg, my limit orders were \"cancelled due to lack of funds\" even though they were ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": ...
Fion
P9kIYDOqTmiFTJXmwzUr
public
contract
1,717,142,289,166
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-p-f5161d083a88
Fion
https://firebasestorage.…c2e-6bc532e44aed
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US presidential election?
null
0.462737
1,965.672894
NO
null
zuysu7230wo
false
uSMp7YeHLwZmrEtqrqlgT41ds5K2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "gwe1wu7qthh", "label": "JoeBoyle", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" } ]...
Shelvacu
PL28v6APNSQkXJXx4AFj
public
contract
1,717,142,360,155
how-many-people-will-i-have-sex-wit-66fb035f5fb3
Shelvacu
https://firebasestorage.…a8d-63bc6f7bd3d2
How many people will I have sex with while in SF for Manifest&Lessonline?
gwe1wu7qthh
null
null
null
null
9gke1udczd
false
uSMp7YeHLwZmrEtqrqlgT41ds5K2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "gwe1wu7qthh", "label": "JoeBoyle", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Shelvacu
PL28v6APNSQkXJXx4AFj
public
contract
1,717,142,368,901
how-many-people-will-i-have-sex-wit-66fb035f5fb3
Shelvacu
https://firebasestorage.…a8d-63bc6f7bd3d2
How many people will I have sex with while in SF for Manifest&Lessonline?
gwe1wu7qthh
null
null
null
null
39nwptf0kc3
false
uSMp7YeHLwZmrEtqrqlgT41ds5K2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Added an updated picture. Traders, update accordingly.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "do...
Shelvacu
PL28v6APNSQkXJXx4AFj
public
contract
1,717,142,401,040
how-many-people-will-i-have-sex-wit-66fb035f5fb3
Shelvacu
https://firebasestorage.…a8d-63bc6f7bd3d2
How many people will I have sex with while in SF for Manifest&Lessonline?
null
null
null
null
null
0705t82cxtfu
false
rQPOELuW5zaapaNPnBYQBMoonk92
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "9gke1udczd", "label": "Shelvacu", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Tumbles ♠︎ Misses Manifold
PL28v6APNSQkXJXx4AFj
public
contract
1,717,142,446,618
how-many-people-will-i-have-sex-wit-66fb035f5fb3
Tumbles
https://firebasestorage.…8aa-654bdc115c8d
How many people will I have sex with while in SF for Manifest&Lessonline?
gwe1wu7qthh
null
2,615.147607
NO
ec97e1d1a600
ayqyv30hq9c
false
XKnrud6GQUaifOB0hOuUfBCFAly1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Creator seems to be inactive...", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Fion
IqKEzytiGfjeEL1CTaFe
public
contract
1,717,142,461,641
will-labour-party-win-2025-uk-elect
Fion
https://firebasestorage.…c2e-6bc532e44aed
Will Labour Party win 2025 UK election?
null
null
null
null
null
k7mskp1phe8
false
rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "oetuf66iuc9", "label": "Odoacre", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Bruno
Cf2B2dBEkOgn1QCcB0Rc
public
contract
1,717,142,572,692
will-ai-replace-jurors-in-trials
BrunoParga
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c
Will AI replace jurors in trials?
qbxdcva1v8j
null
null
null
null
nsyn0837go
false
nsrFthgmf4YAnxy0rKGxQtIKq0A2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "5fngtuziq14", "label": "voodoo", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Gaz Downright
ynVXMvvaemmypx9EeFUE
public
contract
1,717,143,278,245
will-trump-face-any-significant-rep
GazDownright
https://firebasestorage.…03d-44c57f8e25b1
Will Trump Face Significant Repercussions (Incarceration or Political Restrictions) from Hush Money Verdict?
4m4fqrrsheb
null
null
null
null
vv69v01lpmf
false
hIMCU8obvLSeOQm07kqvPkD2lVm2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "How large is “large numbers”?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Garrett Baker
0I5Ud3F6iS0QbC5DNEnl
public
contract
1,717,143,786,299
will-the-israel-invade-lebanon-by-t
GarrettBaker
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GjoFmf8O1o7c4jUCbaWIlJo80o0-6Iu7DZbNVOOhx4=s96-c
Will the Israel invade Lebanon by the end of 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
ixts0dixm6e
false
AeBvsJ1vhEQAWTZ3TvdZCtyAc7S2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Can you describe your reasons for going vegan?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Nat
jElE15KMkbjQHHmfo1WK
public
contract
1,717,143,867,826
will-i-still-be-vegan-by-the-end-of
Nat
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLQiPbh_DxrLlPxnGERX27JKVxmY1R7KNXsjag8WjbVIyY=s96-c
Will I still be vegan by the end of 2026?
null
null
null
null
null
ljsn6sesche
false
hIMCU8obvLSeOQm07kqvPkD2lVm2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Does child porn in particular count here?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Garrett Baker
KkptxMDSeZBfzdsjcf1l
public
contract
1,717,143,892,558
conditional-on-a-negative-consequen
GarrettBaker
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GjoFmf8O1o7c4jUCbaWIlJo80o0-6Iu7DZbNVOOhx4=s96-c
Conditional on a negative consequence of AI that shocks governments into regulating AI occurring, what will it be?
null
null
null
null
null
pa8m8ve10o
false
5tRRokoRHXdoiblRaEE6HDguhgB3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ljsn6sesche", "label": "GarrettBaker", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Robin Green
KkptxMDSeZBfzdsjcf1l
public
contract
1,717,143,933,610
conditional-on-a-negative-consequen
RobinGreen
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5E-q_bZ3CRRdAyvsBKzjKhaVimPpY3ue3d3lKmaA=s96-c
Conditional on a negative consequence of AI that shocks governments into regulating AI occurring, what will it be?
ljsn6sesche
null
1,418.302235
YES
b27ea25e1e72
bf06mq10t39
false
RabL4fATYvdJfRO7qYkwoFyZWYq2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "5eidipo1idg", "label": "Finn", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Arky
DUv8ftjMInHAbp7UgwqJ
public
contract
1,717,145,050,166
will-furiosa-a-mad-max-saga-2024-ha
Arky
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLQN_M4pd9jLZ5rJw6o8dYiJLjJ8C33gC5taqyV8YKL07o=s96-c
Will "Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga" (2024) have a Rotten Tomatoes critics score >X%?
5eidipo1idg
null
564.332219
NO
1f72e6f34b10
sqeqfu46n2s
false
6IRkXMH8FDQ5bGiAABHD9NHulSz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I'm from Aus and I'll see youse there", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Huw
3upPcxRoxrtZb4bDpAKi
public
contract
1,717,145,245,116
will-someone-come-from-australia-to
huw
https://firebasestorage.…e4c-c37c05b8222a
Will someone come from Australia to attend Manifest 2024?
null
0.841261
1,152.769206
YES
null
8t1jgt7m53k
false
kcT3FBB2ldQuiYCTYW3uQuN2oCk2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "What if OpenAI changes its naming scheme and the next frontier LLM is not released as 'GPT-5'? How would this market resolve in that case?", ...
Mothmatic
dEtHQPYBpXVArZRLGKMJ
public
contract
1,717,145,422,347
gpt5-perfect-sat
Mothmatic
https://firebasestorage.…8ab-982b2c158312
GPT-5: perfect SAT
null
0.509079
2,043.244145
YES
null
sxgr3u7o6cs
false
Hl00u2lWwcgYwYV92yvK1uWTPav1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "i'm not sure this one should resolve until the S-1s are approved", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "...
Bob Snodgrass
HJH6lAXtvPmEVSnjecYB
public
contract
1,717,145,516,576
ethereum-has-an-etf-approved-this-y
BobSnodgrass
https://firebasestorage.…c00-ba7907f2cf2e
Ethereum has an ETF approved this year in the USA
null
0.979153
2,109.19088
YES
null
wj77k1phaoh
false
qnIAzz9RamaodeiJSiGZO6xRGC63
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "xdr8r7516cn", "label": "zaperrer", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Agh
a5Ialv2XlHTcMZWxUgP4
public
contract
1,717,145,520,302
will-trump-be-found-guilty-will-tru
Agh
https://firebasestorage.…96a-92c3aadf6a66
Will Trump be found guilty? / Will Trump’s favorability increase?
xdr8r7516cn
null
132.177137
YES
64943810baea
did4ecwdhs
false
E2SM3CVP42SMEnn8oTgp6QJ0HDW2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "1% for non-Republican non-Democrat president is way, way too high.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], ...
Cian McIntyre
xA5k0OoRuGyVgZ7TrGJ1
public
contract
1,717,145,640,571
trump-vs-biden-odds-will-republican
CianMcIntyre
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKVAcqJjODIZKJvUk3m-HDs1_yDxWzxx8ROE9HlJ-BH-RZT=s96-c
Trump vs Biden Odds: Will Republicans lead in the Election Betting Odds party average on June 15th?
null
null
null
null
null
etdmbhisjta
false
9ZW2q78eBBQ49omVY80OX5fAylQ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "What does purple \"+Plus\" next to subsidìes mean? Never seen it before.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }...
Kongo Landwalker
jNytTr90FjTc3EFQIuoe
public
contract
1,717,146,145,229
will-any-major-urban-areas-be-rende
KongoLandwalker
https://firebasestorage.…335-755c19fad97f
Will any major urban areas be rendered uninhabitable due to wet bulb temperatures by 2050?
null
null
null
null
null
qr7l2hbjyfr
false
cbLvMyHDBMeApgOcL2QoWRdcve63
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
uair01
N8FmLqF3ntg0N61Mgknb
public
contract
1,717,146,367,718
20240606-will-aapl-close-above-219
uair01
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYLtCUTXQWAx5xx-hnQest6ndeRhzArY4NWM4cabw=s96-c
2024-06-06: Will AAPL close above $219?
null
0.049858
54.460692
NO
null
cbl5g2mt8m
false
qytaXO6YY0Q5Tj870GzuZtp3VW03
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:under...
Bary Levy
x07rd3JfAdK5faELuDna
public
contract
1,717,146,779,071
will-google-pause-or-remove-ai-over
BaryLevy
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxbcwWMs55-wIceMJtEvxpuu3xTCVXg4cI9Ev6UrxIA=s96-c
Will Google pause or remove AI Overviews by the end of May?
null
0.045402
858.415887
YES
null
ahukchkg275
false
FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "1rw3c7jpy7c", "label": "parhizj", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Savior of Plant
lKZxVmhYnGhqee49absF
public
contract
1,717,146,858,715
will-a-tropical-or-subtropical-stor-8bb87f7ad23e
SaviorofPlant
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c
Will a tropical or subtropical storm form in the Atlantic basin before the start of the official hurricane season?
jgg84e4ih
0.113007
1,348.255005
NO
null
d9tdk3jkvi
false
GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "What's your definition of \"short timeframe\", \"prolonged period\"?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ],...
RemNi
CZffinztFwWWjxc2zLrM
public
contract
1,717,146,954,258
will-artificial-general-intelligenc-7a5db05d528e
RemNi
https://firebasestorage.…ad4-a4c719e99ff1
Will Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) lead directly to the development of Artificial Superintelligence (ASI)?
null
null
null
null
null
ohvlaeu5r8a
false
cbLvMyHDBMeApgOcL2QoWRdcve63
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "2024-06-20,3663.27978515625", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": ...
uair01
tH5hSWGn2kQSCwcMHs94
public
contract
1,717,147,060,490
will-ethereum-eth-price-surpass-450-243eafbc5d3b
uair01
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYLtCUTXQWAx5xx-hnQest6ndeRhzArY4NWM4cabw=s96-c
Will Ethereum (ETH) price surpass $4,500 before the end of June 2024?
null
0.29705
229.296736
NO
null
2s7giaihw16
false
cbLvMyHDBMeApgOcL2QoWRdcve63
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "2024-06-01,3705.127685546875", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content":...
uair01
BB4zu2Qv1nPUabCOWfWA
public
contract
1,717,147,097,689
will-ethereum-eth-price-surpass-500-39483dd9e2fa
uair01
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYLtCUTXQWAx5xx-hnQest6ndeRhzArY4NWM4cabw=s96-c
Will Ethereum (ETH) price surpass $5,000 before the end of June 2024?
null
0.15373
277.542536
NO
null
1o2h7jc51vn
false
cb6PJqGOSVPEUhprDHCKWWMuJqu1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The second two queries still give the AI Overview for me, so whatever changes they're making in this post don't seem to have rolled it back too signifi...
Dan
x07rd3JfAdK5faELuDna
public
contract
1,717,147,218,398
will-google-pause-or-remove-ai-over
DanMan314
https://firebasestorage.…9e0-a993f643533a
Will Google pause or remove AI Overviews by the end of May?
cbl5g2mt8m
null
null
null
null
ojov5fxwrt
false
kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Let's goo to manifest", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Ernie
kcQ5QrbNhn3TxvX0pzjd
public
contract
1,717,147,298,029
how-many-people-will-attend-manifes-25d90d0299f8
Ernie
https://firebasestorage.…761-3d26c24f8466
How many people will attend Manifest 2024?
null
null
73.648362
YES
badb5fff4da3
rrsbjm7r79r
false
wNkuCd4vjqOgiwBIXCVPVHRneI63
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Is it also a requirement that this AI is actually good for something? That is, if someone designs an AI system with motivation along these lines, but i...
Vanessa Kosoy
XrKxfTpB7CecWGoB5rAN
public
contract
1,717,147,434,655
before-2028-will-there-be-a-major-r
VanessaKosoy
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTte_ALTuE-hy2f-vUSbXP-z4Ye8ZmPMTm1_h-6L7wCd1Mg=s96-c
Before 2028, will there be a major REFLECTIVELY self-improving AI policy*?
null
0.54998
133.106211
NO
null
ufrzjqxju4k
false
cbLvMyHDBMeApgOcL2QoWRdcve63
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "0 2024-06-01 3758.752930", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [...
uair01
BB4zu2Qv1nPUabCOWfWA
public
contract
1,717,147,475,968
will-ethereum-eth-price-surpass-500-39483dd9e2fa
uair01
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYLtCUTXQWAx5xx-hnQest6ndeRhzArY4NWM4cabw=s96-c
Will Ethereum (ETH) price surpass $5,000 before the end of June 2024?
null
0.146912
277.542536
NO
null
ggzemniccwt
false
XKnrud6GQUaifOB0hOuUfBCFAly1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Unless there's a late upset, it looks like this market might actually resolve next month!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "...
Fion
82Y6R5lXmK0t54ydmfya
public
contract
1,717,147,611,658
the-first-time-i-promote-to-masters
Fion
https://firebasestorage.…c2e-6bc532e44aed
The first time I promote to Masters, will I demote straightaway?
null
null
null
null
null
0nll9hev67wo
false
APtmK3Sep3TJB92vIgWeSmAEwVa2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ahukchkg275", "label": "SaviorofPlant", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
JRP
lKZxVmhYnGhqee49absF
public
contract
1,717,147,782,808
will-a-tropical-or-subtropical-stor-8bb87f7ad23e
parhizj
https://firebasestorage.…a85-f1db3ce3acf8
Will a tropical or subtropical storm form in the Atlantic basin before the start of the official hurricane season?
jgg84e4ih
0.059919
0
YES
null
l9navphfsw
false
FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "0nll9hev67wo", "label": "parhizj", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Savior of Plant
lKZxVmhYnGhqee49absF
public
contract
1,717,148,256,919
will-a-tropical-or-subtropical-stor-8bb87f7ad23e
SaviorofPlant
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c
Will a tropical or subtropical storm form in the Atlantic basin before the start of the official hurricane season?
jgg84e4ih
0.059919
1,348.255005
NO
null
kz75wpt9c4
false
RkAt6Um0wpX2kshaEi1RnZUdBqa2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "did4ecwdhs", "label": "CianMcIntyre", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Shaked Koplewitz
xA5k0OoRuGyVgZ7TrGJ1
public
contract
1,717,148,294,632
trump-vs-biden-odds-will-republican
ShakedKoplewitz
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghyqz276_IAbhWaYW8vIhnwIaBQDXSxB3wO9AoCLw=s96-c
Trump vs Biden Odds: Will Republicans lead in the Election Betting Odds party average on June 15th?
did4ecwdhs
0.831319
56.675975
YES
null
zphx9ga9418
false
4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "kz75wpt9c4", "label": "ShakedKoplewitz", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
jackson polack
xA5k0OoRuGyVgZ7TrGJ1
public
contract
1,717,148,448,701
trump-vs-biden-odds-will-republican
jacksonpolack
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c
Trump vs Biden Odds: Will Republicans lead in the Election Betting Odds party average on June 15th?
did4ecwdhs
0.831319
86.489194
YES
null
5zei8vzturf
false
E2SM3CVP42SMEnn8oTgp6QJ0HDW2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "zphx9ga9418", "label": "jacksonpolack", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Cian McIntyre
xA5k0OoRuGyVgZ7TrGJ1
public
contract
1,717,148,743,717
trump-vs-biden-odds-will-republican
CianMcIntyre
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKVAcqJjODIZKJvUk3m-HDs1_yDxWzxx8ROE9HlJ-BH-RZT=s96-c
Trump vs Biden Odds: Will Republicans lead in the Election Betting Odds party average on June 15th?
did4ecwdhs
null
null
null
null
s0nj3tbsri
false
FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Will resolve YES: ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ ...
Savior of Plant
lKZxVmhYnGhqee49absF
public
contract
1,717,148,893,054
will-a-tropical-or-subtropical-stor-8bb87f7ad23e
SaviorofPlant
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c
Will a tropical or subtropical storm form in the Atlantic basin before the start of the official hurricane season?
null
0.059919
0
NO
null
zj3795b1l6c
false
cbLvMyHDBMeApgOcL2QoWRdcve63
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I can't get historical data without signing up for Kraken, so I use this:", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }...
uair01
7ub7XcN6mEETNYpiXxgG
public
contract
1,717,148,993,304
will-tether-trade-for-less-than-08
uair01
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYLtCUTXQWAx5xx-hnQest6ndeRhzArY4NWM4cabw=s96-c
Will Tether trade for less than 0.8 USD before August 2024 on Kraken?
null
0.072274
165.118237
YES
null
nyad4e3m4g
false
APtmK3Sep3TJB92vIgWeSmAEwVa2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "l9navphfsw", "label": "SaviorofPlant", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
JRP
lKZxVmhYnGhqee49absF
public
contract
1,717,149,050,184
will-a-tropical-or-subtropical-stor-8bb87f7ad23e
parhizj
https://firebasestorage.…a85-f1db3ce3acf8
Will a tropical or subtropical storm form in the Atlantic basin before the start of the official hurricane season?
jgg84e4ih
0.059919
0
YES
null
9untrn6pe2a
false
FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "nyad4e3m4g", "label": "parhizj", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Savior of Plant
lKZxVmhYnGhqee49absF
public
contract
1,717,149,135,639
will-a-tropical-or-subtropical-stor-8bb87f7ad23e
SaviorofPlant
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c
Will a tropical or subtropical storm form in the Atlantic basin before the start of the official hurricane season?
jgg84e4ih
0.059919
0
NO
null
zd6x4l74vh
false
PFel1j19mySRR96OMtQhdwyk3ZF2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "etdmbhisjta", "label": "KongoLandwalker", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" },...
Tom Goldthwait
jNytTr90FjTc3EFQIuoe
public
contract
1,717,149,232,710
will-any-major-urban-areas-be-rende
TomGoldthwait
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtfOE7AVAT7axu3SdwDCRrK3eOF4agpSRwE__Ezhu-jKd5g=s96-c
Will any major urban areas be rendered uninhabitable due to wet bulb temperatures by 2050?
etdmbhisjta
null
null
null
null
fn1pou8bs1v
false
FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "s0nj3tbsri", "label": "SaviorofPlant", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Savior of Plant
lKZxVmhYnGhqee49absF
public
contract
1,717,149,313,559
will-a-tropical-or-subtropical-stor-8bb87f7ad23e
SaviorofPlant
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c
Will a tropical or subtropical storm form in the Atlantic basin before the start of the official hurricane season?
s0nj3tbsri
0.059919
0
NO
null
ysnqqlnw0mr
false
cbLvMyHDBMeApgOcL2QoWRdcve63
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Model says NO for August:", "type": "text" } ...
uair01
mMRX6dutQNHGr6eL8Vm5
public
contract
1,717,149,323,409
will-tether-depeg-even-slightly-in-1bf8081ebeb2
uair01
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYLtCUTXQWAx5xx-hnQest6ndeRhzArY4NWM4cabw=s96-c
Will Tether depeg even slightly in 2024?
null
0.329163
48.803961
YES
null
uabv4l8a4p
false
APtmK3Sep3TJB92vIgWeSmAEwVa2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "9untrn6pe2a", "label": "SaviorofPlant", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
JRP
lKZxVmhYnGhqee49absF
public
contract
1,717,149,579,847
will-a-tropical-or-subtropical-stor-8bb87f7ad23e
parhizj
https://firebasestorage.…a85-f1db3ce3acf8
Will a tropical or subtropical storm form in the Atlantic basin before the start of the official hurricane season?
jgg84e4ih
0.103547
0
YES
null
oqujh9q4jk
false
LYR0RNU6uJMXbBy1qBeGGmMdwgQ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "1eoll0jawny", "label": "gigab0nus", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Axel Røthing-Cano
7ueFp56Qw412x7NXR0KS
public
contract
1,717,149,877,462
will-ios-18-make-big-improvements-t
AxelRthingCano
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIE6mwkmvbgtS7eiZMufNbLwUDjzzA3Ie-r2-IfHNcp=s96-c
Will iOS 18 introduce big improvements to Siri, making it a competitor to ChatGPT?
1eoll0jawny
0.58
214.581442
YES
null
jslhd0u420k
false
LYR0RNU6uJMXbBy1qBeGGmMdwgQ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "tq0sjk02z28", "label": "gigab0nus", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Axel Røthing-Cano
7ueFp56Qw412x7NXR0KS
public
contract
1,717,149,934,336
will-ios-18-make-big-improvements-t
AxelRthingCano
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIE6mwkmvbgtS7eiZMufNbLwUDjzzA3Ie-r2-IfHNcp=s96-c
Will iOS 18 introduce big improvements to Siri, making it a competitor to ChatGPT?
tq0sjk02z28
0.58
214.581442
YES
null
mp25xi9uc9h
false
4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "5zei8vzturf", "label": "CianMcIntyre", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
jackson polack
xA5k0OoRuGyVgZ7TrGJ1
public
contract
1,717,150,343,926
trump-vs-biden-odds-will-republican
jacksonpolack
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c
Trump vs Biden Odds: Will Republicans lead in the Election Betting Odds party average on June 15th?
did4ecwdhs
0.829524
86.489194
YES
null
6gr0u4rp3ak
false
Bjf7r6vZRgNBTJ4tnXarW7XFTGq2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "if this market ever reaches more than 100 traders, it will break", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "...
Dvorak gigachad
liO81A8ROlMc3gLKPK2D
public
contract
1,717,150,397,234
will-this-market-have-a-greater-num
Dvorakgigachad
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJlnVALdNQ_WfrMzj81q2AWe4elFvBGJZYffmoSWqIqaQ=s96-c
Will this market have a greater number of traders than percentage odds by June 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
7laryo0col
false
rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "oetuf66iuc9", "label": "Odoacre", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Bruno
Cf2B2dBEkOgn1QCcB0Rc
public
contract
1,717,150,453,256
will-ai-replace-jurors-in-trials
BrunoParga
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c
Will AI replace jurors in trials?
qbxdcva1v8j
null
null
null
null
tdq59mpq1z
false
U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "kq8i1v7u87k", "label": "xyz", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Panfilo
3YmP16rLbG0m6E2jHDUY
public
contract
1,717,150,493,705
will-any-university-announce-a-dive
Panfilo
https://firebasestorage.…30c-2f62a625fa0b
Will any university announce a divestment from Israel by June 2024?
zhg2rj5ur3
0.672073
10,003.925084
YES
null
7e75yscwsn
false
KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Please allow some trading on 31st.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Christopher Randles
gTJrOzJB6pg6hgsrEQiz
public
contract
1,717,150,606,208
will-the-close-price-of-xrp-be-high-120c74ea3699
ChristopherRandles
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c
Will the close price of XRP be higher than the previous day?
null
null
2,430.755935
NO
c0f2caee7c6e
08h6rk1x8zhu
false
U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "5eidipo1idg", "label": "Finn", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Panfilo
DUv8ftjMInHAbp7UgwqJ
public
contract
1,717,150,609,797
will-furiosa-a-mad-max-saga-2024-ha
Panfilo
https://firebasestorage.…30c-2f62a625fa0b
Will "Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga" (2024) have a Rotten Tomatoes critics score >X%?
5eidipo1idg
null
9,311.423794
YES
52c8a526fb05
6z08do3rh7p
false
HnyzqGs3sdhBeabLBhGhPgP4i3y2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "2qgktgwbf1u", "label": "NGK", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
NGK
lFx5LHHUTgHnQPquiOMs
public
contract
1,717,150,947,102
will-rafael-nadal-win-another-grand
NGK
https://firebasestorage.…0f0-9ab0e24c4f4f
Will Rafael Nadal win another Grand Slam before his retirement?
2qgktgwbf1u
0.058001
5,472.987045
NO
null
ertzaufunn5
false
HYKavv7hgWhxCCsziWEifoxOdjA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": 0, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "lang...
Daniel
2kIiHFTnkp5taBAnp6yc
public
contract
1,717,151,288,093
when-will-trump-be-imprisoned
Daniel_MC
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxaQGTfUoEbrPqZn0U9_IjEWIouF64_J7fnacyXbRg=s96-c
When will Trump serve time?
null
null
478.645359
YES
e51df9fe2357
pm4qb0t0fw
false
wUb31hi72zgolOqxm88HDZAP9zy1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "215wy9x24yi", "label": "PlasmaBallin", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
VerySeriousPoster
ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf
public
contract
1,717,151,317,630
who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
VerySeriousPoster
https://firebasestorage.…0f3-f29350ce2baa
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
z0nhj913hgq
null
168.39475
NO
51e4cacd136a
ufjntzf44i
false
HYKavv7hgWhxCCsziWEifoxOdjA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": 0, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "lang...
Daniel
HSFwQ8o6np4QWbvBWPZg
public
contract
1,717,151,378,442
what-will-trumps-sentence-for-his-f
Daniel_MC
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxaQGTfUoEbrPqZn0U9_IjEWIouF64_J7fnacyXbRg=s96-c
What will Trump's sentence for his hush money felony convictions include?
8zxumg9z76j
null
null
null
null
3r8w4t744tc
false
HYKavv7hgWhxCCsziWEifoxOdjA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": 0, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "lang...
Daniel
04YXUVuljtNmxuOX4p0C
public
contract
1,717,151,433,674
will-trump-be-convicted-of-a-felony-b058de7d20f7
Daniel_MC
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxaQGTfUoEbrPqZn0U9_IjEWIouF64_J7fnacyXbRg=s96-c
Will Trump be convicted of a Felony before the presidential election, and will he win the election?
null
null
85.177768
NO
90a46a5154dc
2tfu5zimci3
false
FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Asked for an N/A resolution given the misleading title. Seems like the best solution (everyone gets their mana back and it's like this market never hap...
Savior of Plant
lKZxVmhYnGhqee49absF
public
contract
1,717,151,654,221
will-a-tropical-or-subtropical-stor-8bb87f7ad23e
SaviorofPlant
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c
Will a tropical or subtropical storm form in the Atlantic basin before the start of the official hurricane season?
s0nj3tbsri
0.103547
0
NO
null
1e5kqtb8bme
false
xh2QtJ0WuKQFK3nyXsxDRxBhqYB3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": null, "type": "bold" } ], "text": "Sky Sports: ", "type": "text" }, ...
IY
eG4My8kjKnMTe4NXFdSE
public
contract
1,717,151,821,060
what-will-be-the-next-team-trained-4866c0faf42d
vitamind
https://firebasestorage.…977-5917b2772a78
What will be the next team trained by Jose Mourinho, after AS Roma?
null
null
965.546884
YES
2059a8a3bd5f
evzp7nee1kc
false
iqqOmBcHRTOl4aioSWFmn59xkwl1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2", "label": "JamesF", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Eric
1WQMKPMWtEk8PQOKFDVs
public
contract
1,717,151,841,439
will-there-be-a-hurricane-in-the-at
Shifbru
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLd6GPm0Dli1vymkoPadzweMIXwL4jA34xzFTBVPtCfXqc=s96-c
Will the first hurricane of the 2024 season be in the Atlantic or Pacific
null
null
null
null
null
4vwfjihph7d
false
KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Add June dates (or new market?) ?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Christopher Randles
1Gdv4hZ5KDwB3se2cHRO
public
contract
1,717,151,935,147
which-days-will-spacex-preform-a-su-88b594748d08
ChristopherRandles
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c
Which days will SpaceX preform a successful launch? (Daily Market - May)
null
null
1,201.230333
NO
418d2a7bcead
5gzhiwb07gf
false
SH00CK0vpLPWbrFnC4rk9xSackF3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I hope I do 😍", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Fidel
ttOlxazkn6jAxTHmCT0c
public
contract
1,717,151,980,236
will-i-get-1-million-likes-on-my-ti
Fidell
https://firebasestorage.…991-2254da353060
Will I get 1 million likes on my tiktok account before June 14th 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
ylrqs8bjnv
false
U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "n8gyqXUr87ZtucTxXqbAOKGs9Xi2", "label": "Thesamman42", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mentio...
Panfilo
0FwxpKx7RX4lLA1bguUJ
public
contract
1,717,152,020,166
will-the-us-dollar-be-valued-higher
Panfilo
https://firebasestorage.…30c-2f62a625fa0b
Will the U.S. Dollar be valued higher than 0.9243 against the Euro by June 2024?
null
0.219357
1,680.803833
NO
null
xy8a5wim3md
false
HYKavv7hgWhxCCsziWEifoxOdjA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
Daniel
6VwJ6xRRYSfenLQyFTzf
public
contract
1,717,152,211,241
what-topics-or-who-will-elon-musk-t-0a7be0e1f6ef
Daniel_MC
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxaQGTfUoEbrPqZn0U9_IjEWIouF64_J7fnacyXbRg=s96-c
What topics or who will Elon Musk tweet about on X before July 4th? [ADD YOUR OWN]
null
null
583.552859
YES
83dfb8f9cd61
ekvyqnhbuxp
false
5vEowFr3rBPiRMtqc8UPhqpbHWh2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573", "label": "mods", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Matt Lashof-Sullivan
QnZym7H3zg5EieuvN5cB
public
contract
1,717,152,272,916
will-scotus-rule-in-favor-of-alexan
MattLashofSullivan
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLS04zSTXXFhgB1eacAIEE9U0EH4jKv5V55bjuYL9e-FHw=s96-c
Will SCOTUS rule for Alexander in Alexander v. South Carolina State Conf of the NAACP by 7/31/24?
null
0.970651
2,653.621476
YES
null
r90i0e170y
false
Iiok8KHMCRfUiwtMq1tl5PeDbA73
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "xy8a5wim3md", "label": "Daniel_MC", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Lion
6VwJ6xRRYSfenLQyFTzf
public
contract
1,717,152,333,801
what-topics-or-who-will-elon-musk-t-0a7be0e1f6ef
Lion
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtd3adN9d-sYT7-qHh6OyHunfASevxNfHMBVx2GSE0Cu=s96-c
What topics or who will Elon Musk tweet about on X before July 4th? [ADD YOUR OWN]
xy8a5wim3md
null
0
YES
8e9d07a81f93
7wsfec8ynrs
false
zDEVlPkmUlUVkjVC79f9J0fpnR32
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Com'on here! LeCun is a no brainer. Even if he's wrong about AI risk now, there's no way that Trump is more reliable if something on that front comes u...
Goodgulf
EZvXSqTW12VYZkJ0TW1p
public
contract
1,717,152,499,011
if-you-had-to-vote-in-an-election-w-652d3b2f163f
Goodgulf
https://firebasestorage.…815-4b5f7a6bf6e8
If you had to vote in an election, would you rather vote for Donald Trump or Yann Lecunn
null
null
null
null
null
89drm2wq246
false
U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Back to seeing May 1st and yesterday as tied when I hard refresh the page.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" ...
Panfilo
aGkuWqGUL0sQFaR03sps
public
contract
1,717,152,563,786
will-elon-musk-be-googled-more-than
Panfilo
https://firebasestorage.…30c-2f62a625fa0b
Will Elon Musk be googled more than Kanye West on any day in May, in the US?
null
0.633491
3,886.431464
NO
null
duhoy9z1r3
false
8F51KnOVikcy57eEkJ2QxMEjSqZ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "na9v0l8ned", "label": "TimothyJohnson5c16", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Scott Supak
klqu5TXW1rKzGmjiLmNv
public
contract
1,717,152,897,663
what-will-be-the-number-of-named-st
ScottSupak
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5DFv99tA_zCypikjGaDt5DPMJL0KdMjFQR3rdlyg=s96-c
What will be the number of named storms during the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season?
na9v0l8ned
null
1,000.52923
YES
81430aa4da44
0uqzbee6mtyg
false
3fZ60DMrJveoJj9AKoKcODTTTpc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "So this is a “will China invade/blockade Taiwan by 2025” question.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], ...
MercurialGuesser
IJoKwOWOnjRPbeZrWVbM
public
contract
1,717,153,452,273
rtx-5090-production-delayed-or-inte
OP
https://firebasestorage.…8da-0f20dd0e5cac
RTX 5090 production delayed or interrupted by military conflict in Taiwan.
null
0.288687
69.509656
NO
null
girg5nseipw
false
55k7cuWjp1cyCGTfJ8NNMwyde882
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "7p442re4ll2", "label": "ZacCucinotta", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
-Ūfoleëp -
eAtIJcMyZcBsmVX25I7B
public
contract
1,717,153,556,944
will-there-be-any-groundbreaking-di
Ufoleep
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKYqvwXFEYNNOS-XsqDDY5T6dSIrpm4REpeRpGgOmmIKA=s96-c
Will there be any groundbreaking discovery regarding transhumanism in the next 30 days.
7p442re4ll2
0.050684
253.430179
NO
null
oy4vgnabsen
false
J611lCgdyQdv306O7QPCWtAL0Gc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "iyqy0iqmg8p", "label": "braulios", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Steve Sokolowski
Bzd2WtlFSBJHHMpPxGnY
public
contract
1,717,153,577,846
how-will-the-donald-trumps-stormy-d
SteveSokolowski
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtc1UM2wtQThBuAPyurW8TD4Y7ydKGRN-eB7Xv8txFEH_g=s96-c
How will Donald Trump's Stormy Daniels/Hush Money felony trial end?
tu45jdsrb8
null
0
YES
ec2b97d8638a
s48325429d
false
xQqqZqlgcoSxTgPe03BiXmVE2JJ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "kaz0gz41z0s", "label": "shankypanky", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Soli ꩜
w4zfQIizCAHPN3Yv6wqh
public
contract
1,717,153,588,312
will-openai-patch-the-hack-that-all
Soli
https://firebasestorage.…8d8-036e569a957f
Will OpenAI patch the "hack" that allows users to access the unreleased MacOS ChatGPT app in May?
kaz0gz41z0s
null
null
null
null
118mkt067nm
false
xQqqZqlgcoSxTgPe03BiXmVE2JJ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "kaz0gz41z0s", "label": "shankypanky", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Soli ꩜
w4zfQIizCAHPN3Yv6wqh
public
contract
1,717,153,599,321
will-openai-patch-the-hack-that-all
Soli
https://firebasestorage.…8d8-036e569a957f
Will OpenAI patch the "hack" that allows users to access the unreleased MacOS ChatGPT app in May?
kaz0gz41z0s
null
null
null
null
4s9xlvwoa25
false
O9I4q6Z8eqMV3rBAuPqhwTxgiY83
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "no, they would need ~71k new subs every month on average until EOY, their best month was 35k.", "type": "text" } ], "type...
pzet
mtadPVf9eglEcMZClv0v
public
contract
1,717,154,669,827
will-the-allin-podcast-youtube-chan
pzet
https://firebasestorage.…532-5891b98d9414
Will the All-In Podcast YouTube channel get more than 1 million subscribers by 2025?
null
0.490183
353.513986
NO
null
yjy5ty0py6i
false
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Started to watch last night... But will finish soon. ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc...
Franklin Baldo
BajZ4k4REmmemaFo5fKI
public
contract
1,717,155,519,520
what-tv-shows-will-i-watch-at-least-264e43f89c3e
FranklinBaldo
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c
What movies will I watch before 2025?
null
null
944.343446
YES
04a0d3a5ddfc
jzyhrfri01k
false
qnREWtzsdkOkzrR2k0jEe0EDp5j1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The clock has started", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Chris 🥌
ifOBmM9grJObRekGWdiO
public
contract
1,717,155,573,755
within-6-months-of-trump-being-conv
chris
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fcjsedwards%2F0rr7gruUWz.19?alt=media&token=8dfba163-ccec-436f-8af3-57f4cf25db11
Within 6 months of Trump being convicted of any crime, will his favorability drop below 35%?
null
null
null
null
null
gpd5icwgtl
false
ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": 0, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "lang...
Predictor 🔥
30EzAFfW4YdQWOqodZIQ
public
contract
1,717,156,273,176
which-team-will-win-the-western-con
Predictor
https://firebasestorage.…22a-9833cd6cbc4e
Which team will win the Western Conference? Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks
null
null
597.727756
YES
bfba958c6a86
60x5mn9ya7x
false
s39YDTv6HvayjjrGcbT8TV56V0e2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "pivrbeh0jx", "label": "Ziddletwix", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Quantum Gambler
DUv8ftjMInHAbp7UgwqJ
public
contract
1,717,157,566,992
will-furiosa-a-mad-max-saga-2024-ha
Mirek
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMirek%2FHT1snXZm5P.51?alt=media&token=3ba36ff2-73b1-44fb-9d34-e0da533f7055
Will "Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga" (2024) have a Rotten Tomatoes critics score >X%?
4007efyiyvd
null
581.841759
YES
89ca58589f52
2k3zb3a6a8y
false
LRWC4p997NObPY7tN5b8vYfvdsH3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "oy4vgnabsen", "label": "SteveSokolowski", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" },...
becauseyoudo
Bzd2WtlFSBJHHMpPxGnY
public
contract
1,717,157,626,610
how-will-the-donald-trumps-stormy-d
becauseyoudo
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbecauseyoudo%2F0GXbVCpNNX.bmp?alt=media&token=d5558412-2de1-47d7-ad36-a44a43748531
How will Donald Trump's Stormy Daniels/Hush Money felony trial end?
tu45jdsrb8
null
704.19566
YES
ec2b97d8638a
ffl1erk7lk
false
HYKavv7hgWhxCCsziWEifoxOdjA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Where do you get these figures from and what will be the resolution source? ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" ...
Daniel
MVAZUKJhR18iwU4FjXbV
public
contract
1,717,157,718,022
how-much-will-trump-campaign-will-r
Daniel_MC
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxaQGTfUoEbrPqZn0U9_IjEWIouF64_J7fnacyXbRg=s96-c
How much will Trump Campaign will raise in the 24 hours after guilty verdict
null
null
null
null
null
kp7jr0pys9a
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Holy shit we're so gonna die now 😥 it was nice knowing y'all", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "typ...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
rwb8spHLhFTFd9GtmEza
public
contract
1,717,157,789,448
will-the-us-remove-its-restrictions
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Will the US remove its restrictions on allowing Ukraine to use US weapons to target inside Russia by July 1st?
null
1
15.861829
NO
null
0ol0hk9zdazr
false
BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "pjd7gmu6xyn", "label": "Alfie", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, {...
Semiotic Rivalry
gAvHrVDElna09NsD6LLd
public
contract
1,717,158,068,089
when-will-scott-alexander-publish-u
SemioticRivalry
https://firebasestorage.…b1c-6adfb2a3dfaf
When will Scott Alexander publish Unsong?
pjd7gmu6xyn
null
77.662048
NO
6e2e54295dca
o1xayhlonce
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "6gr0u4rp3ak", "label": "Dvorakgigachad", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
liO81A8ROlMc3gLKPK2D
public
contract
1,717,158,546,283
will-this-market-have-a-greater-num
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Will this market have a greater number of traders than percentage odds by June 2024?
6gr0u4rp3ak
0.37
0
NO
null
t1jq1rp7dxd
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "X3z4hxRXipWvGoFhxlDOVxmP5vL2", "label": "traders", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
liO81A8ROlMc3gLKPK2D
public
contract
1,717,158,721,201
will-this-market-have-a-greater-num
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Will this market have a greater number of traders than percentage odds by June 2024?
null
0.37
0
NO
null
kxba0tvjvrk
false
TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "1e5kqtb8bme", "label": "vitamind", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Tomek ⚡ K
eG4My8kjKnMTe4NXFdSE
public
contract
1,717,158,839,563
what-will-be-the-next-team-trained-4866c0faf42d
itsTomekK
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c
What will be the next team trained by Jose Mourinho, after AS Roma?
1e5kqtb8bme
null
334.461368
YES
d25b1784707a
kdx3vx1swp
false
qnIAzz9RamaodeiJSiGZO6xRGC63
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "6z08do3rh7p", "label": "NGK", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Agh
lFx5LHHUTgHnQPquiOMs
public
contract
1,717,158,859,550
will-rafael-nadal-win-another-grand
Agh
https://firebasestorage.…96a-92c3aadf6a66
Will Rafael Nadal win another Grand Slam before his retirement?
2qgktgwbf1u
null
null
null
null
abyjag6smm
false
xh2QtJ0WuKQFK3nyXsxDRxBhqYB3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "kxba0tvjvrk", "label": "itsTomekK", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
IY
eG4My8kjKnMTe4NXFdSE
public
contract
1,717,159,021,188
what-will-be-the-next-team-trained-4866c0faf42d
vitamind
https://firebasestorage.…977-5917b2772a78
What will be the next team trained by Jose Mourinho, after AS Roma?
1e5kqtb8bme
null
965.546884
YES
2059a8a3bd5f
8kln86p7r08
false
HlKGLfVeclY6K6zmR6N5rICa3cB3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1", "label": "FairlyRandom", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "menti...
Niel S
Nf5OsAX1uXSgbyUaQHaH
public
contract
1,717,159,136,741
weekly-manifold-lottery-tickets-25x
NielS
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocI1f_-sQy0dE4yU_6hAgPvUVI-PGSnuCHMzFZT5AlSj=s96-c
Weekly Manifold lottery tickets 25x return possible
null
0.043138
9,672.294953
NO
null
ou8mb67jek
true
xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
FairlyRandom
Nf5OsAX1uXSgbyUaQHaH
public
contract
1,717,159,144,163
weekly-manifold-lottery-tickets-25x
FairlyRandom
https://firebasestorage.…00d-eb2b72450393
Weekly Manifold lottery tickets 25x return possible
null
null
null
null
null