id stringlengths 8 13 | isApi bool 2
classes | userId stringlengths 28 28 | content dict | userName stringlengths 1 30 | contractId stringlengths 9 20 | visibility stringclasses 2
values | commentType stringclasses 1
value | createdTime int64 1,716B 1,720B | contractSlug stringlengths 5 48 | userUsername stringlengths 1 25 | userAvatarUrl stringlengths 50 1.03k | contractQuestion stringlengths 2 240 | replyToCommentId stringlengths 8 20 ⌀ | commentorPositionProb float64 0 50 ⌀ | commentorPositionShares float64 -0 6.25M ⌀ | commentorPositionOutcome stringclasses 2
values | commentorPositionAnswerId stringlengths 9 12 ⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4bafn929i2k | false | 3P4jYmiRLYPZysvyXy7hmRxOYPz1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I would expect Sauron the deceiver to open a door to maximize the chance of the person choosing to choose incorrectly based on their psychology. ",
... | Connor Dolan | Zofr6Hpiub2cUEOp1RrD | public | contract | 1,717,503,489,045 | will-chatgpt-get-the-one-monty-to-r | ConnorDolan | Will ChatGPT get the *One Monty to Rule them All* problem correct on Dec. 1, 2024? | null | null | null | null | null | |
mkwo8yb3uw | false | sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573",
"label": "mods",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | The Official | qxmIFkQHk3fgZ38DdON9 | public | contract | 1,717,503,667,376 | what-will-be-the-next-team-trained-e0b7deaf07d5 | 10thOfficial | What will be the next team trained by Jose Mourinho? | y4hrgb2oa8 | null | 7,046.021785 | YES | aubov67ekb | |
ek8dv16dzwh | false | sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora... | The Official | eG4My8kjKnMTe4NXFdSE | public | contract | 1,717,503,694,513 | what-will-be-the-next-team-trained-4866c0faf42d | 10thOfficial | What will be the next team trained by Jose Mourinho, after AS Roma? | 65znhaf7uv9 | null | 7,051.276424 | YES | lvxy4lzp7c | |
su2o63cf6fm | false | XKnrud6GQUaifOB0hOuUfBCFAly1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I think this can probably be resolved now, ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": {
"id": "rFJu0EIdR6RP8d1vHKS... | Fion | yeRdT27omnNdjBZKbU9O | public | contract | 1,717,503,777,982 | uk-general-election-2024-will-diane | Fion | UK General Election 2024 - Will Diane Abbot stand as a candidate? | null | null | 1,631.904344 | YES | 62549f652f9f | |
xnvo22llqnp | false | 9dAaZrNSx5OT0su6rpusDoG9WPN2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "This weekend!",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | David Glidden | 742BMZB7prTe3vweDpSF | public | contract | 1,717,504,394,493 | which-horse-will-win-the-2024-belmo | dglid | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GilZzUf5IKsoQ18Y3U_YkjU5JDCVQMuqydda5LP6A=s96-c | 🏇 Which horse will win the 2024 Belmont Stakes? | null | null | 0 | NO | 37f87cd1ceba |
81awqwklz76 | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "vbtfpd7v3fh",
"label": "BrunoParga",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Ziddletwix | nKZKsekXFSTkiIvmuSNh | public | contract | 1,717,504,420,580 | -who-is-manifolds-goat-final-four-p | Ziddletwix | 🐐 Who is Manifold's G.O.A.T.? 🐐 (Final Four) | 92j4x0ka2mh | null | 12.624515 | NO | 58f1389a1390 | |
eqxedsoni39 | false | tXhU9337YpgR5HCuSgkMHv98mOl2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Would a conditional discharge count as probation for the purpose of this question? Legally they are distinct and it is unclear whether conditional dis... | Jake Lowery | HSFwQ8o6np4QWbvBWPZg | public | contract | 1,717,505,094,076 | what-will-trumps-sentence-for-his-f | JakeLowery | What will Trump's sentence for his hush money felony convictions include? | null | null | null | null | null | |
1x8hg77b30r | false | APtmK3Sep3TJB92vIgWeSmAEwVa2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Weather chances still looking good ~ 24h out ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,... | JRP | C2J23KkfC6cJCPaCz1sy | public | contract | 1,717,505,213,243 | will-starliner-fly-before-starship | parhizj | Will Starliner fly before Starship IFT-4? | null | 0.617883 | 856.870633 | YES | null | |
4w0dbv9hocl | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "fusfh51o9y5",
"label": "JamesGrugett",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Ziddletwix | mEID6f2b0a1D1XnJyf9V | public | contract | 1,717,505,247,917 | will-manifold-add-a-cheaper-tier-fo | Ziddletwix | Will Manifold add a cheaper tier for question creation by the end of June? (e.g. 100 mana cost) | fusfh51o9y5 | null | null | null | null | |
6sc2n2x1e1y | false | K0l9JnD5DcPqyfloiKWIHbK8klD3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "So this is kind of silly, because obviously the thread is predictably going to on hiatus, but alas it has not been 6 months and therefore we must wait ... | Tetra | cud1YVEEWAArIg13OF5B | public | contract | 1,717,505,420,650 | in-the-prodigal-sorceress-is-the-dr | Tetraspace | In the prodigal sorceress, is the Dread Emperor a single real living person? | null | null | null | null | null | |
bhf5zlv04tt | false | v2DENYjeaSTAMytc2vNxYtMYPuz2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Missing option \"rectal\", nothing beats a proper mana enema.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"typ... | komplexkonjugat | R0jLnTFmU8iwMXErzaFn | public | contract | 1,717,505,479,801 | how-would-you-consume-mana-as-a-dru-dz7bv1bvo1 | komplexkonjugat | How would you consume Mana as a drug? | null | null | null | null | null | |
wfplzpyz8u | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2",
"label": "Joshua",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Ziddletwix | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,506,087,037 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | Ziddletwix | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | null | null | 2,342.142804 | NO | 9dbcde390667 | |
f8yzi1vi4cl | false | KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "yes",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null... | Christopher Randles | hr3A7CX07DiEGXcdd5Ra | public | contract | 1,717,506,159,639 | what-will-happen-this-week-03060906 | ChristopherRandles | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c | What will happen this Week? (03.06-09.06.2024) [You can add answers] | null | null | 2,625.527129 | NO | vv7rt72grb |
7oxws5uxtnm | false | Ag5nFFSKQAMUyEdcfmon8iy31O12 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Mistake: The dates are for June. I messed up, and I'm sorry.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"typ... | Jim Fix | 43PSklecIF9dCRIWixba | public | contract | 1,717,506,197,677 | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-a90a7j7kry | JimFix | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKby3m-W4SFKUQ-LGikDwd5HxXNONtBgiWy97ne8-tQ=s96-c | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on May 4 than it closed on May 3? | null | 0.496693 | 201.775527 | NO | null |
dso0tkol8cl | false | 9ZzhlPfSTLepvh1m3ppqJW5XEi63 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Taking NO on base rates, but if I lose, I win.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Apophatic | GR052xgNTPhuVLk7zRgf | public | contract | 1,717,506,293,403 | will-scott-lynchs-gentleman-bastard | Apophatic | Will Scott Lynch's "Gentleman Bastard" books be turned into a TV series by 2030? | null | 0.509817 | 81.188732 | NO | null | |
2i0uie4be92 | false | Vt7xU7iOuYSReDOkaaVCIdnowus1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "9arkrfdmqwb",
"label": "PlasmaBallin",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Yo-cuddles | j4h8jL02cgr4xvaqBdOW | public | contract | 1,717,506,364,934 | will-donald-trump-die-of-causes-nat | Yocuddles | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLfSvcvtrqoxvB8tvHOAEml6nP00RH-Q2cd4JdCFfJS=s96-c | Will Donald Trump die, of causes natural or not, before election day 2024? | 9arkrfdmqwb | 0.049834 | 6,411.220051 | NO | null |
h77q09fcat | false | Vt7xU7iOuYSReDOkaaVCIdnowus1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "9arkrfdmqwb",
"label": "PlasmaBallin",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Yo-cuddles | j4h8jL02cgr4xvaqBdOW | public | contract | 1,717,506,588,128 | will-donald-trump-die-of-causes-nat | Yocuddles | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLfSvcvtrqoxvB8tvHOAEml6nP00RH-Q2cd4JdCFfJS=s96-c | Will Donald Trump die, of causes natural or not, before election day 2024? | 9arkrfdmqwb | 0.049834 | 6,411.220051 | NO | null |
n3rys5b3plr | false | KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "bvjc2y3i75t",
"label": "Nat",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
... | Christopher Randles | m5fvgBDFYKk4GrCYaX6P | public | contract | 1,717,506,909,769 | will-a-commercial-propellant-depot-b01d4fe06bc5 | ChristopherRandles | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c | Will a commercial propellant depot exist in orbit by 2030? | bvjc2y3i75t | 0.229725 | 27.036038 | YES | null |
e0cmoxv0mn | false | etEkYCPEe5emmK4vvbR30H7i5982 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "bhf5zlv04tt",
"label": "komplexkonjugat",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},... | Max Harms | R0jLnTFmU8iwMXErzaFn | public | contract | 1,717,507,517,306 | how-would-you-consume-mana-as-a-dru-dz7bv1bvo1 | MaxHarms | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocL0xedDuqyhLuCxjkkUd0pH8wOEEFh2BRRMNMgrdTzG1EU=s96-c | How would you consume Mana as a drug? | bhf5zlv04tt | null | null | null | null |
2zly9tl2rea | false | v2DENYjeaSTAMytc2vNxYtMYPuz2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "e0cmoxv0mn",
"label": "MaxHarms",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | komplexkonjugat | R0jLnTFmU8iwMXErzaFn | public | contract | 1,717,507,895,853 | how-would-you-consume-mana-as-a-dru-dz7bv1bvo1 | komplexkonjugat | How would you consume Mana as a drug? | bhf5zlv04tt | null | null | null | null | |
fx88388cda4 | false | OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"l... | SirCryptomind | RmF6tAOKRK0RgZXvKse1 | public | contract | 1,717,507,900,505 | what-event-will-happen-first-starli | SirCryptomind | What Event Will Happen First: Starliner Flight OR Starship Flight Or NHL Champion is Crowned OR Verstappen <1 Finish? | null | null | null | null | null | |
qil9myf00ch | false | HDFJe2Ui9OSFho8f1oRSqVzG0dx1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "X3z4hxRXipWvGoFhxlDOVxmP5vL2",
"label": "traders",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Mike H | SHpuVP9I8ClsuKcFKzpF | public | contract | 1,717,508,071,613 | which-of-the-following-will-be-ment | MikeH | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMarkH%2FgObCokmWVb.11?alt=media&token=2fc87fc1-1292-4070-ae84-042947d511f6 | UK General Election: What will happen in the first televised debate between the candidates for PM? (Add your answer) | null | null | 808.56412 | NO | 67492dc8f4b9 |
6658x99fcv3 | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "wfplzpyz8u",
"label": "Ziddletwix",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | chris (strutheo) | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,508,619,175 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | strutheo | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | wfplzpyz8u | null | 1,788.480505 | NO | dccbbaa3142f | |
pbpc20oganb | false | bLt6k1O80HbqWMzqrsWtsktGLGx2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Interesting: March 30, 2024– Penn keeping admit rates quiet although reporting submissions were Up a record amount (10%) since even last year’s record.... | Susanne inFrance | uiQ8zCyCScliZXNtrY1S | public | contract | 1,717,508,678,914 | after-recent-controversies-will-the | SusanneinFrance | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIDOs86WcHU8dwcDIj414T7jk_b0RgedXuz4g-gxhsW=s96-c | After recent controversies, will the admission rate for Harvard, MIT, and Penn be higher than last year? | null | null | 43.50678 | YES | 2802acba0476 |
rhn6t85hi2h | false | bLt6k1O80HbqWMzqrsWtsktGLGx2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "pbpc20oganb",
"label": "SusanneinFrance",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},... | Susanne inFrance | uiQ8zCyCScliZXNtrY1S | public | contract | 1,717,508,845,737 | after-recent-controversies-will-the | SusanneinFrance | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIDOs86WcHU8dwcDIj414T7jk_b0RgedXuz4g-gxhsW=s96-c | After recent controversies, will the admission rate for Harvard, MIT, and Penn be higher than last year? | pbpc20oganb | null | 43.50678 | YES | 2802acba0476 |
qcdyp60f6i8 | false | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "rioal5765n",
"label": "DrDerek",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Stuart Slagle | XFNtTZyhyC44YTAbCTQ9 | public | contract | 1,717,509,108,695 | which-horse-will-win-the-2024-belmo-77661cde04af | ovals | Which horse will win the 2024 Belmont Stakes? | rioal5765n | null | 127.228688 | NO | 7a842e24f939 | |
up4q9zfwdzd | false | PcmJqrSd5HN56RpdSmy0UjNSSMl2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Farage has been attacked with a milkshake on his first day in Clacton. Not a serious injury, but clearly assault - resolves YES?",
"type": "t... | Noit | M13x60ilxiOqk885AIo1 | public | contract | 1,717,509,119,956 | what-will-be-about-the-next-uk-gene | Noit | What will be true about the next UK general election? | null | null | 2,110.23225 | YES | 3c70154b905e | |
b8tv33go7e8 | false | TUvm26ov7fefFj7KYBSHuE49s2M2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Resolve?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | John Carpenter | AveZDSl1zGFouUSt6pHz | public | contract | 1,717,509,147,524 | will-you-get-this-question-correctl | JohnCarpenter | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLbnMbgGdE9ZUUqzpL2THIy9BWVUALl8URxyyYemF9Ib6JghmvmNA=s96-c | Will you get this question correctly? | null | 0.749141 | 1,006.828085 | YES | null |
hp5x3h78yg8 | false | 8r2bepHVOBVLIzkIUVIhOU72unn1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "qcdyp60f6i8",
"label": "ovals",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{... | Dr. Derek Harris | XFNtTZyhyC44YTAbCTQ9 | public | contract | 1,717,509,199,809 | which-horse-will-win-the-2024-belmo-77661cde04af | DrDerek | Which horse will win the 2024 Belmont Stakes? | rioal5765n | null | 2,131.903618 | NO | fb25dd09b862 | |
k5cgt95cer | false | V3ev7gKdI2cx2TLo6gSUN1UuegI2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"l... | Greg | 6NuccZl5usFBdfaq1HCx | public | contract | 1,717,509,272,234 | will-goody2-say-rationalussy-before | ibuprofen | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIsQQ0IKY5_tQzKYRJh5KoynvPYXjfoPnEDnprOG_km=s96-c | Will GOODY-2 say "rationalussy" before Jimmy Carter's funeral? | null | 50 | 4,751.63869 | YES | null |
46ypd2t4roo | false | BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "E2hz6YIHpWeS6mQtBAssod0CqnE2",
"label": "MathiasBonde",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "menti... | Semiotic Rivalry | RscL7G0kseDHjjoAe2eo | public | contract | 1,717,509,443,931 | will-elon-musk-endorse-trump-for-pr | SemioticRivalry | Will Elon Musk endorse Donald Trump for president? | null | 0.4189 | 6,925.961126 | YES | null | |
qbgzbvdxld9 | false | HDFJe2Ui9OSFho8f1oRSqVzG0dx1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "up4q9zfwdzd",
"label": "Noit",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
... | Mike H | M13x60ilxiOqk885AIo1 | public | contract | 1,717,509,680,715 | what-will-be-about-the-next-uk-gene | MikeH | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMarkH%2FgObCokmWVb.11?alt=media&token=2fc87fc1-1292-4070-ae84-042947d511f6 | What will be true about the next UK general election? | up4q9zfwdzd | null | 579.165082 | YES | 815ae372c2bb |
2ofr6ngbcrx | false | UyEt7kEhNUd9BmRLQsgOp4mOsnQ2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "k5cgt95cer",
"label": "ibuprofen",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Greg Rosenthal | 6NuccZl5usFBdfaq1HCx | public | contract | 1,717,509,758,855 | will-goody2-say-rationalussy-before | gregrosent | Will GOODY-2 say "rationalussy" before Jimmy Carter's funeral? | k5cgt95cer | null | null | null | null | |
7f70pxhtx89 | false | iQKE9LHS0GN0TCOmXWHGzwBM3Tj1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Five or more playoff series go to seven games can now be resolved",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
... | Hayden | uAj4hPT7qv0lanUMK4Vs | public | contract | 1,717,509,831,399 | 202324-nba-season-prop-bets | Hayden | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKQ-MWguzXeTZ_PXFF8kxsEl1_wogfZIQOCMO-1gQ0n5XpDuF8=s96-c | 2023-24 NBA Season Prop Bets | null | null | 664.950964 | YES | 0fce9dfcd512 |
bs8zlbp9xvw | false | 4awgG8uHiJeyHswKCHMBZMHKcyu2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "k52zdy4aay",
"label": "BrunoParga",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Snarflak | P9s56FK7i1yBgNiOAzew | public | contract | 1,717,509,840,190 | leftwing-or-rightwing-which-personc | Snarflak | Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week? | 6s1umeqvv1g | null | 379.722955 | NO | 5f6db2f28df6 | |
8vfrfm56ofa | false | W4yEF6idSMcNWEVUquowziSCZFI3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "vwcdabbwikg",
"label": "TimothyJohnson5c16",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Evan | 7dkCo6CTx9LfiHP95Z0j | public | contract | 1,717,509,902,887 | in-50-years-will-earth-have-550ppm | EvanDaniel | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcNNBEv2GcorWHiElPC6VlaynzKPlKxwXytwbHWc54FNIs=s96-c | In 50 years will earth have 550ppm? | vwcdabbwikg | null | null | null | null |
m5ll403tx09 | false | PAbRiiLh2KVClsU5dtGJKD6lkTZ2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora... | CyfralCoot | T9BClzVSR3grvKRWCApH | public | contract | 1,717,509,929,601 | which-youtube-channels-will-release-wkgauivkam | CyfralCoot | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKI3yTx-AtDSYdSKAGsu6w8QaNcVLkzQ7O2KxAxfMFh-A=s96-c | ▶️Which Youtube channels will release at least one video in June 2024? [ADD RESPONSES] | null | null | 4,309.957478 | YES | lahsln73pj |
1vkl3peog1n | false | 4iC2MEvQtHNkBLBkORm84TeLe0O2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Boosting this market after adding Yankees and Phillies. The bad teams be pretty bad, so we may end up with several 100 game-winning teams.",
... | Spongpad | VtZU9UQS3TpyoGxtAE1Y | public | contract | 1,717,509,946,097 | which-mlb-teams-if-any-will-finish | LBeesley | Which MLB team(s), if any, will finish the 2024 regular season with 100+ wins? | null | null | null | null | null | |
rbu3irwawk | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Mc answers are now 100",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
... | chris (strutheo) | yfyPBZNkCMZiffCyICSj | public | contract | 1,717,509,966,672 | manifold-leadership-approval-rating | strutheo | 👍👎 Manifold Leadership Approval Rating [Market Index] | null | null | null | null | null | |
39927umrya1 | false | F2jc9n4FB6OOasUMHUGgtogzrl42 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Android app has similar issues in the sell shares panel.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"at... | Amaryllis | ro3tpgrVliDMJlmtT2cI | public | contract | 1,717,510,038,441 | bounty-for-reporting-manifold-bugs | Amaryllis | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2j31d1kIbC6pIFYbWAI1pkquDheFj06csGbOo3=s96-c | Bounty for reporting Manifold bugs | lb2a8ovzbxd | null | null | null | null |
qvbjjkr9kzp | false | EWQomLxotNQffxOlqJygV7XkbGL2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Should've bet more mana xd",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Jake | mQnfyRLgaqbv3invrnwy | public | contract | 1,717,510,346,235 | will-the-mike-tyson-vs-jake-paul-bo | jknowak | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fjknowak%2FBRRp3nEZaN.39?alt=media&token=454f0df4-c02c-434c-9760-372e56f4ab6c | Will the Mike Tyson vs Jake Paul boxing match go ahead on 20th July? | null | 0 | 70.899549 | NO | null |
5g0p1hepod8 | false | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "hp5x3h78yg8",
"label": "DrDerek",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Stuart Slagle | XFNtTZyhyC44YTAbCTQ9 | public | contract | 1,717,510,500,590 | which-horse-will-win-the-2024-belmo-77661cde04af | ovals | Which horse will win the 2024 Belmont Stakes? | rioal5765n | null | 127.228688 | NO | 7a842e24f939 | |
dczbbd39ofl | false | KRnu3iY3AwOSYCE6RQvkyT07SIS2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora... | Hans Peter | jhzjsb29e1HMjyDCndwA | public | contract | 1,717,511,072,546 | will-gpt5-be-released-on-6th-of-jun | HansPeter | Will GPT-5 be released on 6th of June? | null | null | null | null | null | |
y2llouml6bp | false | UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "There’s discussion on the below market relevant to Manifold’s showcasing/incentivizing “fun” markets about Manifest. Your market has popped up in my au... | ClubmasterTransparent | yNaODVFlMXRbuUCPn3RP | public | contract | 1,717,511,823,274 | will-manifold-reverse-its-sexnegati | ClubmasterTransparent | Will Manifold reverse its sex-negative decision and list my market before Manifest starts? | null | null | null | null | null | |
ep49f4zrxt5 | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "rfbac9ydtyi",
"label": "shankypanky",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Ziddletwix | KYemquxoEQCMagfo5XE0 | public | contract | 1,717,511,984,059 | good-tweet-or-bad-tweet-which-contr | Ziddletwix | Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week? | l7d5flccne | null | 744.727443 | NO | e972eba34d19 | |
4rh8yuf7anb | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "i dont think sex positive means they have to feature the market",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"t... | chris (strutheo) | yNaODVFlMXRbuUCPn3RP | public | contract | 1,717,512,603,812 | will-manifold-reverse-its-sexnegati | strutheo | Will Manifold reverse its sex-negative decision and list my market before Manifest starts? | null | null | null | null | null | |
9xrstddtub7 | false | P9LqyxXFS8PiM7dsnNDe6ZWkuec2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "anything for today yet!?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | reg connolly | rpINgNCUuLZiHkvZkGjZ | public | contract | 1,717,512,733,020 | major-league-baseball-mlb-regular-s | regconnolly | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocK4rLHZjzQMZfhNOfesaVVIQMtsUoXFpInKkADBqpsw=s96-c | Major League Baseball (MLB) ⚾Regular Season Matches | null | null | 1,753.618483 | YES | 001fe3a3414f |
1u04mqhi6pwh | false | AGgmBGQmELWjLomOOBAYM11Bx1l1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora... | Elon say u gay lulz | yNhazeIQgDVsHCGH59BP | public | contract | 1,717,512,958,683 | will-joe-biden-live-to-see-the-russ | Elonsayugaylulz | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKXe0eVwGL1RsJQc0A3RZocVzz8qeF5cB1FifAu8sh6JOf_7A=s96-c | Will Joe Biden live to see the Russia-Ukraine war end? | null | 0.676065 | 270.945978 | NO | null |
bn17ja2kyke | false | rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "bs8zlbp9xvw",
"label": "Snarflak",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Bruno | P9s56FK7i1yBgNiOAzew | public | contract | 1,717,513,129,167 | leftwing-or-rightwing-which-personc | BrunoParga | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c | Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week? | 6s1umeqvv1g | null | 2.759356 | YES | 16df8c8459d1 |
ct10ormwybh | false | U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "What ultimately undercuts this is that the leftists who ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": ... | Panfilo | KYemquxoEQCMagfo5XE0 | public | contract | 1,717,513,210,905 | good-tweet-or-bad-tweet-which-contr | Panfilo | Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week? | null | null | 76.931093 | YES | vybijuptrc | |
w7bjlmptipk | false | 9GvIXLtI42XrGhWIeT3h9L6NIpA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "For what it's worth, we were only off by a week. ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
... | Michael | apUrGriOIQKo8EFrSfPW | public | contract | 1,717,513,474,430 | will-the-uspto-issue-its-12-million | burkh4rt | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv31Whhbh-4wrvOPbGM9zLTlznsRJp_8zkd0nrodHyg6za=s96-c | Will the USPTO issue its 12 millionth utility patent before June? | null | 0 | 659.466977 | NO | null |
d6xt7yai8nv | false | AGgmBGQmELWjLomOOBAYM11Bx1l1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"alt": "TV gif. Jimmy Fallon on the Tonight Show is wearing a suit as he sits in a barn. He holds a little bundle of hay in his hand and he says, \"Hayyyy,\" before tossing it away and smiling cheesily.",
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
... | Elon say u gay lulz | 9re3xe1soLUwdOEudDno | public | contract | 1,717,513,492,154 | who-will-be-the-next-person-to-win | Elonsayugaylulz | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKXe0eVwGL1RsJQc0A3RZocVzz8qeF5cB1FifAu8sh6JOf_7A=s96-c | Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi? | null | null | null | null | null |
7h6q9pg876f | false | eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "ct10ormwybh",
"label": "Panfilo",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Plasma Ballin' | KYemquxoEQCMagfo5XE0 | public | contract | 1,717,513,813,318 | good-tweet-or-bad-tweet-which-contr | PlasmaBallin | Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week? | ct10ormwybh | null | 1,185.946396 | YES | 36508860cdd0 | |
dgphb9194a | false | AGgmBGQmELWjLomOOBAYM11Bx1l1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133",
"label": "jim",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Elon say u gay lulz | 9re3xe1soLUwdOEudDno | public | contract | 1,717,513,814,887 | who-will-be-the-next-person-to-win | Elonsayugaylulz | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKXe0eVwGL1RsJQc0A3RZocVzz8qeF5cB1FifAu8sh6JOf_7A=s96-c | Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi? | d6xt7yai8nv | null | null | null | null |
3tnqruzpwqc | false | xawbUvzCOqQ5lES9uTwchwiIQbp2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Thoughts?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
... | Magnus Hambleton | C8JUHrtHLPJD2L0thkv1 | public | contract | 1,717,513,841,753 | by-2025-gpts-are-proven-to-be-able | Mag | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiuBf5z98TB2cfhe9XjIiILUkrpblyydYtJlpUe6dg=s96-c | By 2025, GPTs are proven to be able to infer scientific principles from linguistic data. | null | 0.368343 | 35.205915 | NO | null |
sxqlcft825 | false | ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Is this a “play” market?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Predictor 🔥 | 4MkPyu5D9MRLPREODSD7 | public | contract | 1,717,513,902,368 | did-covid19-come-from-a-laboratory | Predictor | Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory? | null | 0.62 | -0 | NO | null | |
fwd0vatmnnr | false | ZB1ZaRBPQJMEg08lQpXfzEXCb9L2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora... | Bob | lAZa8y1hNMOVUkdV48FT | public | contract | 1,717,513,923,803 | will-eliezer-yudkowsky-start-dating | sponge | Will Eliezer Yudkowsky start dating Aella at some point in 2024? | null | 0.054117 | 381.089988 | YES | null | |
opi29ch9vrs | false | 4awgG8uHiJeyHswKCHMBZMHKcyu2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": null,
"type": "bold"
... | Snarflak | P9s56FK7i1yBgNiOAzew | public | contract | 1,717,513,979,266 | leftwing-or-rightwing-which-personc | Snarflak | Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week? | null | null | 379.722955 | NO | 5f6db2f28df6 | |
vi75c04qcg | false | BNRxiD3n0vMOV8yXyV5iKAkeTB82 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "How would this market possibly distinguish between the options?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
... | For Truth | GP7FeJsbtU5Uh2efttSS | public | contract | 1,717,513,980,468 | if-we-discover-time-travel-what-kin | ForTruth | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocK20H7igUt1-gPcrW65-fV97qkL3DKImwHJGpNxlOzz2-SJksA=s96-c | If we discover time travel, what kind will it be? | null | null | null | null | null |
s3cxfx5j6l | false | sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573",
"label": "mods",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | The Official | BP2V3NIE4an0IYtmyxlJ | public | contract | 1,717,514,081,306 | binance-collapses-before-june | 10thOfficial | Binance collapses before June | 0godx2jup69m | 0.01 | 1,468.508784 | NO | null | |
4tc9biawa2v | false | eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "jlukebpzbtr",
"label": "Arky",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
... | Plasma Ballin' | KYemquxoEQCMagfo5XE0 | public | contract | 1,717,514,084,056 | good-tweet-or-bad-tweet-which-contr | PlasmaBallin | Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week? | jlukebpzbtr | null | 1,185.946396 | YES | 36508860cdd0 | |
foj10c4mojb | false | NiiLeUCCgVZygGyO9fV60N8rUgp2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Program was full didn't accept anyone off the waitlist ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"att... | peppapig69 | rhG8XpQMBYReut5LoZZD | public | contract | 1,717,514,194,841 | will-i-get-into-uf-sstp | meth124 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKohcNIxQT_OOV-qB7OTv2f5M2bUckPX89OHWlyG1GstUI=s96-c | Will I get into UF SSTP? | null | 0.59 | 61.215347 | YES | null |
asm78d05nt | false | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Derek Gee leads after three stages",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Stuart Slagle | IAiuorpnA7XqE1hSlNYF | public | contract | 1,717,514,287,922 | after-stage-3-of-the-2024-criterium | ovals | After Stage 3 of the 2024 Critérium du Dauphiné, who will wear the Maillot Jaune? | null | null | 521.364653 | YES | tltuh5rabg | |
hwlegu5bgy | false | 2BxXRsWcjIU3OTyyhyjac7yyy4P2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "This market is ridiculous. We've only been keeping track of the temperature for 100 years, and the accuracy is questionable. ",
"type": "text... | Kakonomics | UgDySInslzxKjUX9hB1x | public | contract | 1,717,514,360,436 | will-may-2024-be-the-hottest-may-on | Yoae | Will May 2024 be the hottest May on record? | null | 0.975797 | 681.642687 | NO | null | |
3yhku0ag0of | false | IX4Txfl87BgyhzXbJbF4fhqABes2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "stvqzkju6m8",
"label": "strutheo",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Bionic | u5ve0CXwIYg8hb1vLllv | public | contract | 1,717,514,382,897 | will-the-estimated-training-cost-of | BionicD0LPH1N | Will the estimated training cost of GPT-4 be over $50M? | stvqzkju6m8 | 0.951016 | 0 | NO | null | |
p6wxz2doi9o | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "3yhku0ag0of",
"label": "BionicD0LPH1N",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | chris (strutheo) | u5ve0CXwIYg8hb1vLllv | public | contract | 1,717,514,473,062 | will-the-estimated-training-cost-of | strutheo | Will the estimated training cost of GPT-4 be over $50M? | stvqzkju6m8 | 0.951016 | 1,143.670114 | YES | null | |
d0puysk1n2f | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "either way everyone is voting yes on this, i'd be more worried about resolving in a direction that would be confusing to all the traders, since clearly... | chris (strutheo) | u5ve0CXwIYg8hb1vLllv | public | contract | 1,717,514,566,250 | will-the-estimated-training-cost-of | strutheo | Will the estimated training cost of GPT-4 be over $50M? | stvqzkju6m8 | 0.951016 | 1,143.670114 | YES | null | |
ybil2n007ul | false | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Djokovic is out. I will resolve the market once the results are on the ATP website",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragr... | Stuart Slagle | 2VuCTw4WpIcqiySInhv1 | public | contract | 1,717,514,573,579 | to-which-is-the-last-round-that-nov | ovals | To which is the last round that Novak Djokovic will advance in the 2024 FRENCH OPEN tournament? 🎾 | null | null | 1,992.074444 | NO | 23de3d5f636 | |
xndbkn677ym | false | GxByO08XQHdK19Od5auuvu3K1g72 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "yavm37b5qtk",
"label": "EduardoFilippi",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Ansel | ogCmoCcIVjvrbG9OWd0D | public | contract | 1,717,514,592,058 | will-biden-issue-a-pardon-for-donal | Ansel | Will Biden issue a pardon for Donald Trump before the 2024 presidential election | cerxscyzc2 | 0.053678 | 189.91441 | YES | null | |
yf6c6l37zb | false | OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "3yhku0ag0of",
"label": "BionicD0LPH1N",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | SirCryptomind | u5ve0CXwIYg8hb1vLllv | public | contract | 1,717,514,615,063 | will-the-estimated-training-cost-of | SirCryptomind | Will the estimated training cost of GPT-4 be over $50M? | stvqzkju6m8 | null | null | null | null | |
6y8ak98x2mn | false | 8K7OokTvKUWJ8OjAucDKG90Yi4H2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "UKIP have performed well in this area before, so I thought Other might be higher here since Reform have a candidate",
"type": "text"
... | GooGhoul | K66cLOlFBdSwVgDjI2Zh | public | contract | 1,717,514,622,098 | uk-general-election-which-party-wil-4c251a49726d | GooGhoul | UK General Election: Which party will win Hamble Valley? | null | null | null | null | null | |
f7wrrli02vg | false | adacMmaulIhc3gDusLffuvzzXTS2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Is there a ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
... | Barb Predicts | goVdTD2RcwLhDYzjrGnj | public | contract | 1,717,514,670,474 | who-will-win-the-smash-bros-ultimat | BarbPredicts | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLT1LFLGGX12IDwTRY5Kh2YM53iLs0BKB1VZnsMa8OAvfPHNg=s96-c | Who will win the Smash Bros. Ultimate tournament at the Manifest Summer Camp? | null | null | 70.455954 | NO | n7s61ilowb |
ee0cjsu1ux4 | false | HlKGLfVeclY6K6zmR6N5rICa3cB3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "pw6my2nln4l",
"label": "Anime",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{... | Niel S | nDvvM2NqhiHswFYTmwS7 | public | contract | 1,717,514,672,034 | will-narendra-modi-be-the-pm-of-ind | NielS | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocI1f_-sQy0dE4yU_6hAgPvUVI-PGSnuCHMzFZT5AlSj=s96-c | Will Narendra Modi be the PM of India in 2024? | pw6my2nln4l | null | null | null | null |
5r5siflztvg | false | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Will Djokovic be back for Wimbledon?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"c... | Stuart Slagle | 2VuCTw4WpIcqiySInhv1 | public | contract | 1,717,514,725,710 | to-which-is-the-last-round-that-nov | ovals | To which is the last round that Novak Djokovic will advance in the 2024 FRENCH OPEN tournament? 🎾 | null | null | 1,992.074444 | NO | 23de3d5f636 | |
f7fgf9l9hp | false | Qhe20Uqz28Q3q7fhPHRvTs6pcZI2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "ee0cjsu1ux4",
"label": "NielS",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{... | Animesh Jha | nDvvM2NqhiHswFYTmwS7 | public | contract | 1,717,515,080,650 | will-narendra-modi-be-the-pm-of-ind | Anime | Will Narendra Modi be the PM of India in 2024? | pw6my2nln4l | 0.971343 | 2,764.02311 | NO | null | |
zvnhsayh0r | false | U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "7h6q9pg876f",
"label": "PlasmaBallin",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Panfilo | KYemquxoEQCMagfo5XE0 | public | contract | 1,717,515,221,511 | good-tweet-or-bad-tweet-which-contr | Panfilo | Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week? | ct10ormwybh | null | 76.931093 | YES | vybijuptrc | |
ck4b6k6nxth | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "yf6c6l37zb",
"label": "SirCryptomind",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Ziddletwix | u5ve0CXwIYg8hb1vLllv | public | contract | 1,717,515,333,388 | will-the-estimated-training-cost-of | Ziddletwix | Will the estimated training cost of GPT-4 be over $50M? | stvqzkju6m8 | 0.951016 | 2,640.298571 | NO | null | |
667mgvarpt9 | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "ck4b6k6nxth",
"label": "Ziddletwix",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | chris (strutheo) | u5ve0CXwIYg8hb1vLllv | public | contract | 1,717,515,554,656 | will-the-estimated-training-cost-of | strutheo | Will the estimated training cost of GPT-4 be over $50M? | stvqzkju6m8 | 0.951016 | 1,143.670114 | YES | null | |
3y4hq861fe | false | pB8wGgqET7Vy4UKEA3fzF080UgN2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "More than one person voted \"vanilla extract\" -> this thing is gonna be bitter as hell.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "p... | K4IICHI | PqUHmGF921vb1Dpmo3fz | public | contract | 1,717,515,603,377 | manifold-makes-a-cake-ingredients-p | K4IICHI | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJP-owWz4G_so5yF1KxYH7I8tOL4M_EyDrdoBKPpMbz2xU=s96-c | Manifold makes a vegan cake: ingredients proportioned as below. | null | null | null | null | null |
w8m34znx9pm | false | eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "rbu3irwawk",
"label": "strutheo",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Plasma Ballin' | yfyPBZNkCMZiffCyICSj | public | contract | 1,717,515,621,147 | manifold-leadership-approval-rating | PlasmaBallin | 👍👎 Manifold Leadership Approval Rating [Market Index] | rbu3irwawk | 0.350085 | 166.666667 | NO | null | |
62vvxkiimj4 | false | ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "w8m34znx9pm",
"label": "PlasmaBallin",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Predictor 🔥 | yfyPBZNkCMZiffCyICSj | public | contract | 1,717,515,670,119 | manifold-leadership-approval-rating | Predictor | 👍👎 Manifold Leadership Approval Rating [Market Index] | rbu3irwawk | 0.350085 | 0 | NO | null | |
mmrhjkoglbl | false | UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Please consider adding Willie Nelson after the next cull. He has even self-memed about it “The Internet said I had passed away”",
"type": "te... | ClubmasterTransparent | LkPCpjA6WImIfMByv4Un | public | contract | 1,717,515,748,792 | universal-death-market-which-public | ClubmasterTransparent | Universal Death Market - Which public figures will die before 2025? [Unlinked Free Response] | null | null | 458.055782 | YES | b2ec3df9a8c9 | |
gzf8j76uw2 | false | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "fwd0vatmnnr",
"label": "sponge",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Bayesian | lAZa8y1hNMOVUkdV48FT | public | contract | 1,717,515,756,415 | will-eliezer-yudkowsky-start-dating | Bayesian | Will Eliezer Yudkowsky start dating Aella at some point in 2024? | fwd0vatmnnr | 1 | 0 | NO | null | |
54cclv5x8q3 | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "also since when has training been only electricity and hardware, i thought that number involved other costs typically ",
"type": "text"
... | chris (strutheo) | u5ve0CXwIYg8hb1vLllv | public | contract | 1,717,515,760,915 | will-the-estimated-training-cost-of | strutheo | Will the estimated training cost of GPT-4 be over $50M? | stvqzkju6m8 | 0.951016 | 1,143.670114 | YES | null | |
7ou94o2kysy | false | 5xYMa7OFYFaurldRbLRwLO0T1fE2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Update: No girlfriend yet. I'm on a few dating apps but it hasn't gone well- no dates. I've also tried asking out women in person but they're typically... | Joe C | qi6H5uRFpxRRpWceWlhw | public | contract | 1,717,515,763,071 | will-i-have-a-girlfriend-in-2024 | JoeC | Will I have a girlfriend in 2024? | null | 0.27868 | 877.842095 | NO | null | |
a0vqx3f5nxk | false | 8dboiK130XNESzFh0uztbNkfcxa2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "What are the cumulative wear-hours for apple vision pro in 2024? I suspect not that high",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "p... | Will | 0RB0yzqx7DDjKjsG81Kc | public | contract | 1,717,515,796,076 | someone-dies-wearing-apple-vision-p-5b9624f299e0 | wrhall | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLy8Q3CWCvkDqnporNAUQ-xDxOZHF8NzmJa32mXx3Dw5kDlqRfw=s96-c | Someone dies wearing Apple Vision Pro in 2024 | null | 0.163388 | 29.523746 | NO | null |
it9li6d0kj | false | 5xYMa7OFYFaurldRbLRwLO0T1fE2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "75bo9h2g5z3",
"label": "benjaminIkuta",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Joe C | qi6H5uRFpxRRpWceWlhw | public | contract | 1,717,515,845,307 | will-i-have-a-girlfriend-in-2024 | JoeC | Will I have a girlfriend in 2024? | 75bo9h2g5z3 | 0.27868 | 877.842095 | NO | null | |
az34csm2s8 | false | j3DDsBlKwERpzRFeRIDRd5PSR6e2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "pxd9p9n3ual",
"label": "dominic",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Jim Hays | LPxYV8cUXZOwTUe5ufrj | public | contract | 1,717,515,923,676 | will-a-large-language-models-beat-a | JimHays | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5OSur1iRh2XJCBqWybZBd64MFALBZbO6xjTAxCmAM=s96-c | Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028? | 8v8t3cosmkt | 0.402213 | 44,167.705258 | NO | null |
44dmcljtee4 | false | JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "fwd0vatmnnr",
"label": "sponge",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Joshua | lAZa8y1hNMOVUkdV48FT | public | contract | 1,717,516,106,056 | will-eliezer-yudkowsky-start-dating | Joshua | Will Eliezer Yudkowsky start dating Aella at some point in 2024? | fwd0vatmnnr | null | null | null | null | |
4eetscuenhy | false | IX4Txfl87BgyhzXbJbF4fhqABes2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1",
"label": "Ziddletwix",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention... | Bionic | u5ve0CXwIYg8hb1vLllv | public | contract | 1,717,516,313,250 | will-the-estimated-training-cost-of | BionicD0LPH1N | Will the estimated training cost of GPT-4 be over $50M? | stvqzkju6m8 | 0.951016 | 0 | NO | null | |
6t12pk6bkwa | false | VkyRaWYyvkY3DhipDo1ZQBmrXr63 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "3y4hq861fe",
"label": "K4IICHI",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Madge | PqUHmGF921vb1Dpmo3fz | public | contract | 1,717,516,346,619 | manifold-makes-a-cake-ingredients-p | Mad | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTte8_eF79qvYqWfwsUrbabHSKNfFlLcBDrV4NU24H1KAMmev=s96-c | Manifold makes a vegan cake: ingredients proportioned as below. | 3y4hq861fe | null | null | null | null |
wlxtqu0kymf | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "667mgvarpt9",
"label": "strutheo",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Ziddletwix | u5ve0CXwIYg8hb1vLllv | public | contract | 1,717,516,381,756 | will-the-estimated-training-cost-of | Ziddletwix | Will the estimated training cost of GPT-4 be over $50M? | stvqzkju6m8 | 0.951016 | 2,640.298571 | NO | null | |
dfjy6qp8c5g | false | VkyRaWYyvkY3DhipDo1ZQBmrXr63 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Note that any commentary on which ingredients are lacking / in excess risks directing poll results. ",
"type": "text"
}
],
... | Madge | PqUHmGF921vb1Dpmo3fz | public | contract | 1,717,516,407,700 | manifold-makes-a-cake-ingredients-p | Mad | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTte8_eF79qvYqWfwsUrbabHSKNfFlLcBDrV4NU24H1KAMmev=s96-c | Manifold makes a vegan cake: ingredients proportioned as below. | null | null | null | null | null |
fcavca5pknc | false | WSC5NWEmAEXhUdSXeOoJYvzCkGO2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "test",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Hillary Clinton | IkxCZ1KxXUgH2EFy6Pbd | public | contract | 1,717,516,453,284 | will-gme-reach-50-before-ether-end | HillaryClinton | Will GME reach $50 before ether end of June 2024 | null | 0.268272 | 53.33993 | NO | null | |
czla1yqx9z | false | rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "935551uyixw",
"label": "Jack_Rose",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Bruno | M13x60ilxiOqk885AIo1 | public | contract | 1,717,516,608,577 | what-will-be-about-the-next-uk-gene | BrunoParga | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c | What will be true about the next UK general election? | qw98fxt809 | null | 24.375 | YES | ded45ea953b7 |
cumnk15ger | false | JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Seems hard to track, ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": {
"id": "Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1",
... | Joshua | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,516,842,448 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | Joshua | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | null | null | 147.121674 | YES | 0v2h7upen3 | |
ag16dimjzsr | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "cumnk15ger",
"label": "Joshua",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{... | stefanie | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,516,894,310 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | shankypanky | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | cumnk15ger | null | 1,174.636623 | NO | 5c7be309f31e | |
3dk08kia7d2 | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "cumnk15ger",
"label": "Joshua",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{... | Ziddletwix | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,516,898,408 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | Ziddletwix | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | cumnk15ger | null | 2,342.142804 | NO | 9dbcde390667 | |
qpxkt1n2t5n | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "3dk08kia7d2",
"label": "Ziddletwix",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Ziddletwix | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,516,960,847 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | Ziddletwix | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | cumnk15ger | null | 2,342.142804 | NO | 9dbcde390667 | |
myio6020po | false | U63xexgO2Cebw3ZnyRHJ9ssHfui2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "The U.S. basically said “we don’t see any way for Israel to evacuate that many people from Rafah that quickly, we think it will take months” and then I... | Eliot | 9mkpts1kVKuIm7SOXE9B | public | contract | 1,717,516,970,383 | if-israel-invades-rafah-will-they-h | eliot | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtfDdlMXLAUeGjbpftcJiAgOHaluXWk-aT2uLji8EylC6WiZ=s96-c | If Israel invades Rafah, will they have a reasonable plan for evacuating civilians from there? | null | 0.553576 | 247.600575 | YES | null |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.